𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

EUR/USD pair is waqt upper red channel line aur upper blue channel line ke darmiyan move kar rahi hai, jisme volatility nazar aa rahi hai jab yeh lower channel line par support test karte hue upper channel line par resistance face kar rahi hai.

Is haftay trading upper channel ke limit se shuru hui, jisse ek strong upward movement nazar aayi aur price weekly high 1.1020 tak chali gayi. Lekin is increase ke baad, price ne decline karna shuru kiya aur us area mein support mila jo pehle channel ke andar breach hua tha. Tab se yeh sideways trading kar rahi hai, jo chart par bhi dikh raha hai.

Is context mein, umeed hai ke yeh fluctuations continue karengi jab tak current range se breakout nahi hota, jo ke white triangle ke formation se zahir ho raha hai.

Current trading advice yeh hai ke maujooda levels se sell kiya jaye aur lower channel line tak jaane diya jaye.

Economic perspective se dekha jaye to EUR/USD exchange rate par global central banks ke tightening measures aur U.S. mein possible recession ke concerns ka asar pad raha hai. Halankeh Euro ne kuch losses face kiye hain, magar kuch relative gains bhi dekhe gaye hain. Recent U.S. jobs data ne U.S. economy mein recession ke concerns ko badha diya hai, saath hi Middle East mein escalating tensions se mutaliq bhi rising concerns hai.

Stock market mein, German equities ne strong performance dikhayi hai, jisme German DAX index 0.8% barh kar 17,485 points tak pohncha, jo ke doosri European markets ke gains ke mutabiq hai. Investors ko reassure karte hue, Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Uchida ne yeh emphasize kiya ke central bank unstable financial conditions ke doran interest rates increase nahi karega. Iske ilawa, ongoing earnings season mein positive results aaye hain companies ke liye, jaise ke Continental, jinki shares mein 5% ka izafa dekhne ko mila hai, halankeh company ne apni full-year sales guidance ko reduce kiya hai

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EUR/USD H4 Analysis

Market Overview: EUR/USD pair ab H4 timeframe par strong bullish trend dikha raha hai. Price action consistently higher highs aur higher lows bana rahi hai, jo ke sustained upward momentum ka indication hai.

Support aur Resistance Levels:

• Strong Support: 1.0850 level pe pehle strong support dekha gaya hai aur agar price is level tak wapas aati hai to yeh buying opportunity de sakta hai. Lekin, current bullish momentum ko dekhte hue, agar is level ke neeche break hota hai to trend reversal ka signal mil sakta hai.
• Immediate Support: 1.0910 level recently support ki tarah act kar raha hai aur yeh temporary respite provide kar sakta hai.
• Immediate Resistance: Sab se kareeb resistance 1.0970 level par hai, jo ke pehle ke swing high se coincide karta hai. Agar is level ke upar break hota hai to further upside ke liye raasta khul sakta hai aur ongoing uptrend confirm ho sakta hai.
• Key Resistance: 1.1000 level psychological resistance level hai aur yeh further price appreciation ke liye ek key hurdle ho sakta hai.

Indicators:

• RSI (14): Ab 51.17 par hai, jo ke neutral market sentiment ko suggest karta hai. RSI 50 level ke aas paas hai, jo ke traders ke bechay behchayn ke indication hai. Lekin, RSI ka upward slope bullish price action ke saath align karta hai.
• MACD (12,26,9): MACD line signal line ke upar hai aur dono lines positive territory mein hain. Yeh bullish trend ko confirm karta hai aur strong upward momentum ko indicate karta hai.

Order Blocks:

• Potential Order Block: 1.0850 support level ke aas paas ek potential order block hai. Yeh area wo level hai jahan pehle significant buying pressure dekha gaya tha aur agar price wapas is area tak aati hai to yeh strong support level ban sakta hai.
• Potential Order Block: 1.0930 level ke aas paas bhi ek potential order block hai, kyunke price ne is level se multiple times reject kiya hai.

Best Areas for Buying aur Selling:

• Buy: Agar price 1.0850 support level tak wapas aati hai aur bullish reversal ke signs, jaise bullish engulfing pattern ya support level se bounce, show karti hai, to buy entry consider ki ja sakti hai. Lekin, neutral RSI ko dekhte hue, thoda pullback wait karna behtar hoga.
• Sell: Jabke overall trend bullish hai, agar price 1.0970 resistance level ko break nahi karti aur bearish reversal ke signs, jaise bearish engulfing pattern, dikhati hai, to sell entry consider ki ja sakti hai. Lekin, strong upward momentum ko dekhte hue, yeh counter-trend trade hoga aur careful risk management ki zaroorat hai.

Additional Considerations:

EUR/USD pair ab strong uptrend mein hai, aur further upside ke potential ke saath hai. Lekin, neutral RSI reading short-term pullback ka indication deti hai. Traders ko caution rakhni chahiye aur naye long positions enter karne se pehle price correction ka wait karna chahiye. Trade accuracy improve karne aur capital protect karne ke liye additional technical indicators aur risk management strategies ka use karna zaroori hai.

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EUR/USD W-1 Analysis

Good morning! Happy weekend! Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ki weekly analysis pe nazar daalenge. German news ka European currency pairs par zyada asar nahi hoga kyunki news neutral regions mein hain. US ke economic calendar se do aham events bhi neutral regions mein hain jo ke market ko zyada influence nahi karenge.

Jumeraat ko, EUR/USD pair ne 1.0930 se 1.0908 ke beech chhoti si trading ki. Yeh range market ke liye uncertain hai. Ek taraf, price ka upar ya neeche jana clear nahi hai aur traders ko is waqt market ka clear trend nazar nahi aa raha. Is haftay ke aakhir mein, maine advanced timetable ki analysis ki aur dekha ke har haftay chart par tripod ka bottom last week close hua tha aur upar ka shadow kafi bada tha.

Abhi ki price 1.0914 hai, jo ke moving average se upar hai. Moving average ki current value 1.0824 hai. Yeh indication de raha hai ke market short-term mein upar ki taraf move kar sakti hai. Lekin, indicators bhi yeh dikhate hain ke reversal trend shuru ho sakta hai. Random indicators market ki volatility aur excessive fluctuations se bachne ki koshish kar rahe hain, jo ke market ke uncertain nature ko reflect karta hai.

Abhi market ki situation mixed signals de rahi hai. Moving average ke upar hone ke bawajood, indicators reversal ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Yeh market ke direction ko clarify nahi karte aur traders ko cautious approach apnani chahiye. Market mein abhi clear trend nazar nahi aa raha aur indicators suggest kar rahe hain ke price kisi bhi direction mein move kar sakti hai.

Traders ko chahiye ke woh market ki current volatility ko dekhte hue apni trading strategy ko adjust karein. Agar market price 1.0930 se upar move karti hai aur stability show karti hai, to yeh bullish signal ho sakta hai. Wahi agar price 1.0908 se niche aati hai aur bearish trend show karti hai, to yeh sell signal ho sakta hai.

Har haftay ki chart analysis yeh bhi dikhati hai ke market mein ek consistent pattern dekhne ko mil raha hai jahan tripod ke bottom ko close kiya gaya hai aur shadow upar bada hai. Yeh trend continuation ya reversal dono scenarios ko suggest kar sakta hai.

In short, EUR/USD pair ki market situation abhi mixed hai aur traders ko chahiye ke woh careful rahe. Indicators aur moving averages market ke uncertain nature ko reflect kar rahe hain, isliye trading decisions ko carefully plan karna zaroori hai. Market ki aage ki movement ko closely monitor karna hoga aur har change ke liye prepared rehna hoga.

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EUR/USD H-1 Analysis

Salaam traders!

Pichli trading week mushkil thi, lekin kuch achi baatein bhi thi, isliye Monday ka din behtar raha. Euro/USD ka price har ghante ke hisaab se kam hota ja raha hai. Market participants is waqt price ko is dead point se aage nahi le ja pa rahe hain. Mere analysis ke mutabiq, fiber recovery ka growth rate 23.6% tak pohnch gaya hai. Yeh level internal model ko meet karta hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke EUR/USD ka target level 61.8% tak barh sakta hai.

Yeh point ek aham hai kyunki agar price is level tak pohnchti hai, toh yeh bullish signal dene ki umeed hai. Lekin agar price is level ko nahi cross karti, toh ek alternative option bhi hai. Bears ko ab current range ko neeche ki taraf break karna hoga. Agar yeh break hota hai, toh 61.8% ka path khulega.

Lekin, main apne analysis ke zariye pehli scenario ko zyada feasible samajhta hoon. Is waqt market ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke euro/USD mein uptrend ka potential hai, aur 61.8% ka level ek maqsad ho sakta hai. Traders ko is scenario ko monitor karte rehna chahiye aur market ke movements ke mutabiq apne trading decisions ko adjust karna chahiye.

Is analysis ko dekhte hue, jo bhi trading decisions lein, unhe apne risk management rules ke saath align karein. Market ki volatility aur unexpected movements ko dhyan mein rakhte hue trading strategy ko flexible rakhein. Aapke trading plans aur strategies ko regularly update karna zaroori hai taake market ki changing conditions ka faida uthaya ja sake.

Yeh analysis sirf ek perspective hai, aur market ki actual movements ke mutabiq changes ho sakte hain. Isliye, apne trading decisions lete waqt market ki latest updates aur technical indicators ko bhi zaroor consider karein.



Umeed hai ke yeh analysis aapke trading decisions ko madadgar sabit hoga. Happy trading!

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EUR/USD H-4 Analysis

Hello!

Aaj kal bohot se traders ko lagta hai ke market ka trend south ki taraf jaa sakta hai, khaaskar weekend ke baad. Aapka forecast bhi kaafi acha hai aur mere analysis ke sath milta hai, isliye maine decide kiya ke main bhi apne analysis ko share karoon. Mera bhi maanna hai ke EUR/USD mein ek strong upward movement aa sakti hai, jo ke 1.1122 tak pohnch sakta hai.

Maine apna profit target thoda niche rakha hai. Is waqt mujhe profit to loss ka ratio 6:1 mila hai, jo ke kaafi achha hai. Main agle hafte market ko closely monitor karunga, aur agar sab kuch theek raha toh main 5:1 ka ratio bhi consider kar sakta hoon. Lekin, agar market conditions aise hi rahte hain, toh shayad main isi ratio ko maintain karoon.

Agar hum specifically current price location se dekhain, toh mujhe profit ke liye 190 points ki zaroorat hai. Yeh points intraday movements mein achieve karna mushkil lagta hai, isliye zyada chances hain ke yeh movement kuch din ke liye chala ho. Market ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke kam se kam kuch din ke liye acha upward trend zaroori hoga.



Trading strategy ko implement karte waqt, profit taking aur risk management ko dhyan mein rakhna zaroori hai. Market ki volatility aur technical indicators ko analyze karna trading decisions ko behtar banane mein madad kar sakta hai. Agar market ka trend bullish hota hai, toh apne trading plans ko adjust karna aur market conditions ke sath align karna important hai.

Yeh analysis aapke trading decisions mein madadgar sabit ho sakti hai. Apni trading strategy ko flexible rakhein aur market ki changing conditions ke mutabiq updates aur adjustments karte rahen. Umeed hai ke yeh information aapko trading decisions lene mein madad karegi.

Happy trading!

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EUR/USD H-1 Analysis

Acha, trading week khatam ho gayi hai.

EUR/USD ka short-term trading trend abhi bhi downward hai. Jab EUR/USD quotes ne 1.1000 ko reach kiya, tab se decline shuru ho gaya tha. Ab, kuch choti corrections ke baad, EUR/USD ka price 1.0880 tak pohnch gaya hai (minimum value). Technical analysis ke mutabiq, main kuch scenarios propose kar sakta hoon:

1. Kharidari ke liye: Sabse pehle, humein yeh ensure karna hoga ke price 1.0900 ke neeche na jaye. Yeh initial task hai jo humein prevent karna hai.
2. Doosra step: 1.0931 aur 1.0945 ke resistance levels ko overcome karna zaroori hai. In levels ko break kiye bina, upward movement ka progress mushkil ho sakta hai.
3. Agar EUR/USD quotes 1.0945 ke upar chali jati hain: Toh hum assume kar sakte hain ke 10th figure tak ka path open ho jayega. Yeh level bullish signal provide karega.
4. EUR/USD ko bechne ke liye: Price ko 1.0900 ke support level ke neeche jana hoga. Yeh important hai, kyunki yeh support level break karna bearish trend ko confirm karega.
5. Support level 1.0880 ko bhi break karna hoga: Agar price is level ke neeche chali jati hai, toh hum 1.0800 ki taraf further move dekh sakte hain. Yeh scenario downward trend ko continue karne ka signal hai.

Is analysis ke mutabiq, trading decisions lene se pehle market ki current situation aur technical indicators ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai. Market ke movements ko dekhte hue, apni strategy ko adjust karna aur risk management ka dhyan rakhna bhi important hai.



Yeh information aapki trading plans ko enhance karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakti hai. Umeed hai ke yeh analysis aapko trading decisions lene mein madad karegi.

Happy trading!

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EUR/USD Analysis

Hello!

Kal, Euro ke sideways trend se niche break karne ki koshish ki gayi, lekin aakhir mein sellers is movement ko complete nahi kar paaye aur price wapas sideways trend mein chali gayi. Yeh kehna zaroori hai ke sellers ne uske baad koi significant action nahi dikhaya. Agar woh upward trend start karna chahte hain, toh unhe 1.09444 level ko break karke uske peechay consolidate karna hoga. Agar yeh karne mein successful hote hain, toh 1.10081 ki taraf raasta khul jayega. Sellers ke liye, agar woh dobara downward movement form karna chahte hain, toh unhe ab 1.08807 level ko break karke uske peechay consolidate karna hoga. Agar woh isme kamiyab hote hain, toh hum 1.07764 ki taraf movement expect kar sakte hain.

Pair EUR/USD M30 Analysis:

1. Kal ke Forecast: Euro ke liye sales ke entry point ka forecast 1.08963 level par diya gaya tha. Price ne is level ko break kiya, lekin akhirat iske peechay consolidate nahi kar payi.
2. Bands ke Mutabiq: Price lower band ke saath movement form karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Iska matlab hai ke price ne band ke limits ko cross kiya hai, aur dono bands outward open ho gaye hain, jo ke price drop ke signal ka indication hai. Is situation ko observe karna zaroori hai, dekha jaye ke yeh signal develop hota hai ya nahi.
3. AO Indicator: Yeh indicator zero mark ke paas lamba time se hai aur koi specific signal nahi de raha. Is situation mein, positive ya negative area mein active increase ka intezaar karna behtar hoga, jo ke price movement ko is direction mein indicate karega.
4. Sales ke Entry Point: Is situation mein sales ke entry point ko 1.08963 level se consider kiya ja sakta hai. Price ke 1.08706 aur 1.08328 tak girne ki ummeed hai.
5. Purchases ke Entry Point: Purchases ko 1.09306 level se consider kiya ja sakta hai. Price ke 1.09576 aur 1.09917 tak barhne ki ummeed hai.

Yeh analysis aapko market ki current situation ko samajhne mein madad karega aur trading decisions ko behtar banane mein help karega. Trading decisions lete waqt, market ke technical indicators aur price movements ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai. Apni strategy ko flexible rakhein aur market ki changing conditions ke mutabiq updates aur adjustments karte rahen.



Umeed hai ke yeh information aapke trading plans ko enhance karne mein madad karegi.

Happy trading!

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Currency Pair EUR/USD Analysis (30-Minute Time Frame)

EUR/USD currency pair ka 30-minute time frame aur Bollinger indicator ke sath analysis:

Aaj kal, main 1.09132 level par focus kar raha hoon aur shayad thoda neeche bhi dekh raha hoon. Yeh level mujhe short position se exit karne ke liye interesting lagta hai. Mere hisaab se, is waqt bechna sabse zyada profitable hai. Isliye, jab tak EUR/USD pair 1.09200 level ke neeche trade kar raha hai, short positions kholna faida mand rahega.

Agar price 1.09200 ke upar break kar jati hai aur uske baad consolidation hoti hai, toh yeh mere liye highly undesirable situation hogi, lekin yeh possible bhi hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh yeh full-fledged purchases ke conditions create kar dega, jiska target 1.09269 ho sakta hai. Magar filhal, main seller’s position par hi stick kar raha hoon.

Analysis Details:

1. Bollinger Bands: Bollinger Bands indicator price volatility aur trends ko identify karne mein madad karta hai. Agar price 1.09200 level ke upar break kar jati hai, toh yeh bands ke limits ko cross kar sakti hai, jo ke bullish signal ka indication hai. Is situation mein, price ko bands ke upar consolidate karna zaroori hai, jo ke market ko upward movement ki taraf push karega.
2. Short Positions: Mere liye, short positions kholna tab tak faida mand hai jab tak EUR/USD 1.09200 ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Agar price 1.09132 ya uske thoda neeche pohnchti hai, toh yeh ek acchi exit point ho sakti hai. Yeh level mujhe short positions se nikalne ke liye suitable lagta hai, kyunki is level par market ki movement ko observe karna asaan hota hai.
3. Breakout Scenario: Agar price 1.09200 ke upar break karti hai aur uske baad consolidation hoti hai, toh yeh ek naya trend create kar sakti hai. Is case mein, market ko bullish signal milega aur purchases ka signal generate ho sakta hai. Yeh situation full-fledged purchases ke liye conditions create kar degi, jiska target 1.09269 ho sakta hai.
4. Tick Volume Charts: Tick volume charts bhi important hote hain kyunki yeh trading volume ko reflect karte hain aur price movements ki strength ko indicate karte hain. Bollinger Bands ke sath in charts ko dekhna helpful hota hai, kyunki yeh additional confirmation provide karte hain ke price movements genuine hain ya nahi. Agar tick volume charts bhi bullish trends ko support karte hain, toh purchases ki position ko consider kiya ja sakta hai.

Filhaal, main seller’s position par stick kar raha hoon aur price movements ko closely monitor kar raha hoon. Bollinger Bands aur tick volume charts ka combined analysis mujhe accurate trading signals provide karta hai. Yeh analysis mujhe current market conditions aur potential price movements ko samajhne mein madad karta hai.

Aapko bhi apne trading decisions ko market ke latest updates aur technical indicators ke mutabiq adjust karna chahiye. Risk management ka dhyan rakhein aur trading strategy ko flexible rakhein, taake market ki changing conditions ka faida uthaya ja sake.

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EUR/USD M-30 Analysis

Hello!

Kal, Euro ne sideways trend se break karne ki koshish ki, lekin akhirat sellers ek full-fledged downward exit form nahi kar paye aur price wapas sideways trend mein chalagi. Yeh kehna zaroori hai ke sellers ne uske baad koi significant movement nahi dikhayi. Agar upward trend form karna hai, toh sellers ko 1.09444 level ko break karke uske peechay consolidate karna hoga. Agar woh yeh karne mein successful hote hain, toh 1.10081 level tak raasta khul jayega. Sellers ke liye, agar downward trend phir se form karna hai, toh unhe 1.08807 level ko break karke uske peechay consolidate karna hoga. Agar woh isme kamiyab hote hain, toh price 1.07764 level ki taraf move kar sakti hai.

EUR/USD M30 Currency Pair Analysis:

1. Sell Point: Kal ke forecast ke mutabiq, Euro ke liye sell point 1.08963 level par diya gaya tha. Price ne is level ko break kiya, lekin akhirat iske peechay consolidate nahi kar payi. Yeh situation indicate karti hai ke price ko stable downward movement ke liye additional confirmation ki zaroorat hai.
2. Bands Analysis: Agar hum bands ke basis par situation ko evaluate karein, toh price lower band ke saath trend form karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Isne band ke limits ko cross kiya hai aur dono bands outward open ho gaye hain, jo ke price ke girne ke signal ka indication hai. Is signal ko observe karna zaroori hai, dekhna hoga ke yeh signal develop hota hai ya nahi.
3. AO Indicator: AO (Awesome Oscillator) indicator zero mark ke paas lamba time se hai aur koi specific signal nahi de raha. Is situation mein, positive ya negative area mein growth ka intezaar karna behtar hoga. Jab indicator positive ya negative area mein significant movement dikhayega, tab hum price movement ke direction ko discuss kar sakte hain.
4. Selling Opportunity: Agar selling consider karni hai, toh 1.08963 level se entry point ho sakta hai. Is situation mein, price ke 1.08706 aur 1.08328 levels tak girne ki ummeed hai. Yeh levels downward trend ke continuation ke liye important hai.
5. Buying Opportunity: Buying consider karte waqt 1.09306 level se entry point ho sakta hai. Price ke 1.09576 aur 1.09917 levels tak barhne ki ummeed hai. Yeh levels upward trend ko confirm karne ke liye useful honge.

Conclusion:

Current market conditions aur technical indicators ko dekhte hue, apni trading strategy ko adjust karna zaroori hai. Price movements aur technical signals ko closely monitor karna important hai, taake trading decisions accurate aur timely ho. Bands aur AO indicator ka combined analysis aapko better trading signals provide kar sakta hai.

Trading decisions lete waqt risk management ka dhyan rakhein aur market ke changing conditions ke mutabiq updates aur adjustments karte rahen. Yeh analysis aapko EUR/USD pair ki current situation ko samajhne mein madad karegi aur aapke trading plans ko enhance karne mein help karegi.

Hello. Kal, sellers ne Euro ko sideways trend se upar ki taraf breakout karne ki koshish ki, aur aisa lag raha tha ke unka impulse acha aur active tha, magar aakhir mein unka breakout fully develop nahi ho paya. Pura decline jaldi se buy back kar diya gaya, aur price wapas sideways area mein aa gayi. Ab, agar downward breakout dekhna hai, to 1.08807 level ke peeche breakthrough aur consolidation zaroori hai. Agar yeh successful hota hai, to raasta 1.07764 level ke taraf khul jayega. Agar upward movement develop karni hai, to buyers ko 1.09444 level ke peeche breakthrough aur consolidation karni hogi, jisse price growth ka expectation 1.10081 level ke taraf ho sakta hai.

**EUR/USD H4 Pair:**

1. Euro 4-hour chart par bands ke central area mein hai, aur bands khud actively inward turn ho rahi hain aur ek dusre ki taraf move kar rahi hain. New high-quality signal ke liye price ke grow karne ke liye, hume upper ya lower band ke bahar active exit ka intezar karna hoga, aur phir dekhna hoga ke bands outward open hoti hain ya nahi. Fractals ke situation ko dekhte hue, price ne kal nearest fractal ko downward break kiya aur August 5 ke fractal level tak pahuncha, lekin uspe consolidate nahi kar paya. Filhal, ek naya, closer fractal downward bana hai, jo ab continued price fall ke liye target hai. Iska breakout aur consolidation price ko August 1 ke fractal level 1.07764 ki taraf le jayega. Ek naya fractal upwards bhi bana hai, iska breakout aur consolidation quotes ko August 5 ke fractal level 1.10081 ki taraf move karne ki ijazat dega.

2. AO indicator zero mark ke kareeb aa gaya hai. Agar agle trading days mein hum zero ke through transition aur negative area mein active increase dekhte hain, to price ke fall ke liye ek strong signal milega. Positive area mein nayi acceleration price ke rise ke liye signal degi.

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EUR/USD Pair Analysis

Introduction:

EUR/USD currency pair abhi bhi strong hai aur 1.0912 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke U.S. dollar ke kamzor hone aur euro ke thode rebound ke wajah se hai. Yeh performance partly is wajah se bhi hai ke far-right National Rally, jo Marine Le Pen ke under hai, recent French elections mein absolute majority hasil nahi kar paayi. Is wajah se, DXY jo greenback ko chhah major currencies ke against measure karta hai, 103.20 level ke upar recovery maintain karne mein struggle kar raha hai.

Political Uncertainty in France aur Iska Impact EUR/USD Par:

Far-right ke outright majority secure na karne se kuch foran concerns French financial crisis ke baare mein kam hue hain. Lekin, political landscape abhi bhi uncertain hai kyunki fiscal adjustments aur coalition government mein ministerial positions ka distribution clear nahi hai. Yeh ummeed hai ke French President Emmanuel Macron ki centrist alliance shayad left-wing New Popular Front ke saath coalition banaye, jo Jean-Luc Mélenchon ke under hai.

Iske bawajood, agar French political deadlock barqarar rehti hai, toh market sentiment restless ho sakti hai, jo euro mein increased fiscal risk ko price karne ka sabab ban sakta hai. Yeh scenario EUR/USD pair ki gains ko cap kar sakta hai. Domestic macroeconomic arena mein, aaj ka activity relatively subdued hai, aur agle hafte mein zyada significant developments ka intezaar hai, jinmein European Central Bank (ECB) meeting bhi shamil hai.

Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD:

Agar pair significant declines ka samna karta hai, toh buying interest 1.0950 level ke around surface karne ki ummeed hai, jo ke ab ek resistance breakpoint se support zone mein convert ho gaya hai. Yeh shift further drops ke against ek buffer provide karna chahiye, khaaskar 1.0850 level ke aas paas. Lekin, agar yeh support levels breach ho jaati hain, toh technical selling pair ko 1.0900 ke neeche drive kar sakti hai, jo ke June monthly swing low ke around 1.0765 tak push kar sakti hai.

Technical Indicators and Outlook:

Pair ka outlook optimistic hai kyunki yeh consistently crucial 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar hold kar raha hai on the 4-hour chart. Prevailing trend upward movement ko favor karta hai, jo ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke bullish territory mein position ke saath bolster hota hai, jo ke 57.0 ke around hai aur sustained positive momentum indicate karta hai.

Summary:

EUR/USD pair abhi bhi strong position mein hai aur agar political uncertainty France mein barqarar rehti hai, toh yeh pair kuch resistance aur support levels ko test kar sakta hai. Technical analysis aur indicators ke basis par, agar market support levels ko breach karta hai, toh downward movement ko consider karna hoga. Lekin, agar pair crucial EMA ke upar hold karta hai aur bullish momentum maintain karta hai, toh upward movement ke chances bhi hain.

Market conditions aur political developments ke mutabiq apni trading strategy ko adjust karna zaroori hai. Risk management ka dhyan rakhein aur technical signals ke basis par decisions lein.

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EUR/USD Technical Analysis and Market Outlook

Introduction:

Khuab-e-iqbal mein Euro ne U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein Thursday ko bohot zyada mazbooti dikhayi, aur early European trading hours ke doran 1.0910 tak pahuncha. Yeh uttar hoti trajectory zyada tar U.S. dollar ke kamzor hone ki wajah se thi. Jabke pair 1.0911 ke aas paas consolidate ho gaya hai, yeh stability recent bullish trend ke continue hone ki nishani hai.

EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ke recent remarks jo unke semi-annual Congressional testimony ke doran aaye, ne bohot zyada tawajjo hasil ki hai. Powell ne indicate kiya ke interest rate cuts tab tak munasib nahi hain jab tak inflation ka track Fed ke 2% target ke according clear na ho jaye. Market ab key inflation data ka intezar kar raha hai aur Powell ke comments ko digest kar raha hai. Traders ko in developments ko nazar mein rakhna chahiye. Economic indicators aur technical signals ka interplay EUR/USD pair ke movements ko agle dinon mein guide karega.

Is Hafte Ka Focus:

Is hafte ki spotlight U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data par hai. Economists ka kehna hai ke core inflation, jo ke food aur energy sectors ko exclude karta hai, June mein har mahine 0.2% aur saal ba saal 3.4% barh gayi thi. Forecasts yeh bhi suggest karte hain ke annual headline inflation rate May ke 3.3% se kam hoke 3.1% tak aa gaya hai, jabke monthly figure 0.1% tak barhne ki umeed hai, jo pehle stable raha tha.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Technically, pair apni current MACD formation se breakout karne ke qareeb hai daily chart par. Pair 1.0910 ke aas paas downward-sloping boundary ke near trade kar raha hai. Yeh boundary March 8 ke high 1.0981 se draw ki gayi hai, jabke upward-sloping border April 16 ke low 1.0621 se extend hota hai.

Technical Indicators and Analysis:

20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), jo ke ab 1.0874 ke aas paas hai, near-term mein bullish trend ko suggest karta hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi bullish range 60.00-80.00 mein hai, jo ke positive momentum ki indication hai.

Summary:

EUR/USD pair ne abhi tak apne bullish trend ko maintain kiya hua hai aur U.S. dollar ke kamzor hone ke sabab se Euro ki strength barh gayi hai. Market ab key inflation data aur Federal Reserve ke remarks ko closely monitor kar raha hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, agar pair MACD formation se breakout karta hai aur 20-day EMA ke upar trade karta hai, toh bullish trend continue ho sakta hai. Lekin, agar pair 1.0910 ke niche fall karta hai ya 20-day EMA ko breach karta hai, toh downward movement bhi dekhi ja sakti hai.

Apni trading strategies ko in technical aur fundamental factors ke mutabiq adjust karna zaroori hai. Risk management ka khayal rakhein aur market ke signals ke basis par decisions lein.



Happy Trading!

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EUR/USD Ka Fundamental Outlook

EUR/USD currency pair ne Wednesday ko early European trade ke doran 1.0900 level ke upar apni position barqarar rakhi, lekin doosre consecutive din ke liye downward pressure ka samna karna pada. Yeh pressure tab bhi tha jab broader context yeh suggest kar raha tha ke significant 1.1000 resistance level se decline se pehle caution rakhni chahiye, jo ke seven-month high ko represent karta hai. Magar, U.S. dollar ki recent weakness kuch had tak mitigate hui hai nayi buying interest ke zariye, jo euro ko kuch support de raha hai.
EUR/USD Ko Asar Dalne Wale Key Factors:

1. U.S. Dollar Ki Kamzori:
   • U.S. dollar ko pressure ka samna karna par raha hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke regarding softer expectations ki wajah se hai. Market ab Fed ke dovish stance ko zyada price kar raha hai, jo ke dollar ki safe-haven currency ke taur par demand ko kam kar raha hai. Isse euro ko temporary relief mila hai, jo EUR/USD pair ko zyada decline se rok raha hai.
2. German Industrial Sector Ka Revival:
   • Destatis ke latest data ke mutabiq, Germany ke industrial sector ne June quarter mein recovery ke signs dikhaye hain, jo ke euro ko support provide kar raha hai. Eurozone ki sabse badi economy ka output June mein month-over-month 1.4% barh gaya, jabke expectations sirf 1.0% rise ki thi. Yeh May mein significant 2.5% decline ke baad hua, jo ke sector ke rebound ko indicate karta hai. Germany mein strong industrial performance euro ke liye crucial hai, kyunki yeh eurozone ki broader economic stability ko reflect karta hai.
3. European Central Bank (ECB) Ki Monetary Policy:
   • European Central Bank ka eurozone ke monetary prospects par cautious outlook ab bhi euro par bhari hai. ECB ne dovish tone maintain rakha hai, yeh signaling karte hue ke woh monetary policy ko tighten karne ke liye jaldi nahi hai, economic growth aur inflation ke concerns ke madde nazar. Yeh EUR/USD exchange rate par downward pressure ko contribute kar raha hai, kyunki investors euro ke prospects ko loose monetary policy ke potentially prolonged period ke samne wary hain.
4. Global Market Sentiment:
   • Global equity markets high-intensity threat tone ke saath characterized hain, jo ke safe-haven currencies jaise U.S. dollar ki appeal ko kam kar raha hai. Yeh dynamic EUR/USD pair ke liye ek complex environment create kar raha hai, jahan risk-on sentiment euro ko support karta hai, lekin eurozone ke economic outlook ke concerns ke wajah se yeh support limited hai.

Conclusion:


EUR/USD currency pair ne 1.0900 level ke upar apni position barqarar rakhi hai, lekin downward pressure ab bhi dekhne ko mil raha hai. Yeh pressure tab bhi hai jab broader context yeh suggest karta hai ke 1.1000 resistance level se decline se pehle caution rakhni chahiye. U.S. dollar ki recent weakness ko nayi buying interest ke zariye kuch had tak mitigate kiya gaya hai, jo euro ko kuch support de raha hai.

Key factors jo EUR/USD ko influence kar rahe hain, unme U.S. dollar ki kamzori, German industrial sector ka revival, ECB ki monetary policy, aur global market sentiment shamil hain. Yeh factors EUR/USD ke future movements ko guide karenge. Investors ko yeh dekhna hoga ke kaise in factors ka interplay market ko affect karta hai aur apne trading strategies ko accordingly adjust karna hoga.

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EUR/USD Ke Liye Trading Forecast

Meri subah ki forecast mein, maine 1.0931 level par focus kiya aur is point se trading decisions lene ka plan banaya. Ab humein 5-minute chart ko dekhna chahiye aur analyze karna chahiye ke kya hua. Price 1.0931 ke area tak barh gayi, lekin koi false breakout nahi hua, isliye maine din ke pehle hisse mein market mein enter nahi kiya. Iske nateeje mein, subah ke session mein koi trades nahi kiye gaye. Technical picture ko din ke doosre hisse ke liye revise nahi kiya gaya.
EUR/USD Par Long Positions Open Karne Ke Liye:


Germany aur Italy se aayi data ne expected volatility spike ko trigger nahi kiya. Subah ke session mein kisi significant statistics ki kami ke bawajood, haftay ka aakhir kaafi dull aur uneventful rehne ki umeed hai. Isliye, main market mein enter karne mein jaldi nahi karunga. Main decline ka intezaar karunga aur naye support level 1.0907 ke aas-paas ek false breakout ka formation dekhoonga, jo ke kal ke results ke basis par bana hai. Target hoga 1.0931 par upar chadhna aur naye resistance ka retest karna, jahan mujhe ummeed hai ke sellers emerge karenge. Agar is range ka breakout aur subsequent retest upar se neeche hota hai, to yeh pair ko strengthen kar sakta hai, jisse 1.0958 tak chadhne ka chance hai. Sabse door ka target 1.0985 hoga, jahan main profits fix karunga. Agar EUR/USD decline karta hai aur din ke doosre hisse mein 1.0907 ke aas-paas koi activity nahi hoti, to sellers initiative wapas le sakte hain aur downward trend banana shuru kar sakte hain. Aise mein, main sirf 1.0884 ke aas-paas ek false breakout ke baad enter karne ka sochunga. Main 1.0855 se rebound par turant long positions open karne ka plan banata hoon, jiska target intraday correction of 30-35 points hoga.
EUR/USD Par Short Positions Open Karne Ke Liye:


Sellers abhi bhi initiative ko barqarar rakh rahe hain. U.S. ke significant statistics ki kami ke madde nazar, 1.0931 ko false breakout ke saath defend karna short positions open karne ke liye ek suitable scenario hoga, jiska target 1.0907 ke support tak girna hai, jo kal ke results ke basis par bana hai. Agar is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche hota hai, aur fir neeche se upar tak retest hota hai, to yeh ek aur entry point provide karega selling ke liye, jiska movement 1.0884 ki taraf hoga, jahan mujhe zyada active buyers dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Sabse door ka target 1.0855 hoga, jahan main profits fix karunga. Is level ka testing buyers ke uptrend banane ke plans ko negate karega. Agar EUR/USD din ke doosre hisse mein upar chadhai karta hai aur 1.0931 par koi bears nahi hote, to buyers ko initiative wapas milne ka chance hoga. Aise mein, main sales ko agle resistance 1.0958 ke testing tak postpone kar dunga. Main wahan bhi act karna plan karta hoon, lekin sirf unsuccessful consolidation ke baad. Main 1.0985 se rebound par turant short positions open karne ka plan banata hoon, jiska target short-term downward correction of 30-35 points hoga.

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Aaj Ka Market Analysis

Aaj hum ek conflicting situation observe kar rahe hain. Kal sellers ke liye acha din tha; price shuru mein upar gayi aur 1.0942 ke mirror level tak pohnch gayi, jahan support resistance mein tabdeel ho gaya. Jaisa ke expect kiya gaya tha, is level se acha decline dekha gaya. Lekin price ko zyada niche girne nahi diya gaya. Neeche ke breakthrough ke turant baad, decline tezhi se ruk gayi, aur ek compensation movement shuru ho gayi. Halankeh price 1.0903 ke level ke neeche close hui, lekin isne is level ka false breakout ka signal diya, jo ke upar ke movement ka signal hai. Filhal hum beech mein atke hue hain, dono directions mein equal chances hain.

Buyers ke Hafaz mein:

• Ascending Wave Structure: Four-hour aur daily chart par ek ascending wave structure nazar aa raha hai. Yeh buyers ke liye positive signal hai.
• MACD Indicator: MACD indicator do higher periods par overbought zone mein hai, jo ke bullish momentum ka indication hai.

Selling ke Hafaz mein:

• Bearish Divergence: Daily chart par MACD indicator pe ek strong bearish divergence dekhi ja rahi hai. Yeh selling ke liye ek strong argument hai.
• Second Indicator: Dusra indicator bhi downside ko suggest kar raha hai kyunki yeh abhi recently overbought zone se neeche gaya hai.
• Ascending Channel: Price ek ascending channel mein hai aur isne abhi apne top se bounce kiya hai, jo ke downward cycle ka indication hai, khaaskar upar strong resistances ko dekhte hue.
• EURGBP Cross Rate: EURGBP cross rate bhi decline ko support kar raha hai, jo ke significant rise ke baad decrease kar raha hai.
• GBPUSD Pair: GBPUSD pair bhi prolonged decline ke baad upward correction se guzar raha hai, jo ke yahan growth ke liye favorable hai.

Jaisa ke maine pehle bhi mention kiya, yeh conflicting situation hai - kal clear thi lekin aaj nahi. Aaj economic calendar mein koi significant news events nahi hain jo market ko impact kar sakein.

Summary:

Aaj ki market situation mixed hai. Kal ke din sellers ke liye favorable raha, lekin aaj price ke movement mein uncertainty hai. Buyers ke liye ascending wave structure aur MACD indicator ke signals positive hain, lekin selling ke arguments bhi strong hain, jaise bearish divergence aur ascending channel ke indicators. EURGBP aur GBPUSD ke cross rates bhi market ke current trends ko reflect karte hain.

Ab humein wait karna hoga aur dekhna hoga ke market kis direction mein move karti hai. Filhal, dono taraf equal chances hain aur kisi bhi direction mein movement ho sakti hai. Economic calendar ke update na hone ke bawajood, market ke internal indicators ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai