British Pound (GBP) iss waqt aik complex landscape ka samna kar raha hai, jo ke recent UK macroeconomic data se mutasir hai, jo economy ki resilience ko highlight karta hai. Yeh strength BoE (Bank of England) ki taraf se September mein dusra interest rate cut expect karne ki umeedon ko kam kar rahi hai. Iske muqable mein, US Dollar (USD) struggles ka samna kar raha hai, aur haal hi mein January se apne lowest level tak pohanch gaya hai. Federal Reserve ka dovish stance GBP/USD currency pair ke upward momentum ko aur zyada support de raha hai.
**Retail Sales Forecast: Ek Mumkin Rebound**
Aage dekhte hue, UK Retail Sales ke rebound hone ka imkaan hai, jo ke recent downturn ke baad aayega. July ke liye month-on-month Retail Sales mein 0.5% ka izafa expect kiya ja raha hai, jo ke pichle mahine ki 1.2% decline ke muqable mein ek aham recovery hai. Year-on-year basis par, outlook aur bhi behtar hai, jahan 0.2% contraction ke muqable mein 1.4% ki growth ki umeed hai. Yeh anticipated rebound GBP ko aur zyada mazbooti de sakta hai jab ke consumer spending mein behtri ke asaar dikhayi de rahe hain.
**US Consumer Sentiment: Umeedon Mein Tabdeeli**
Doosri taraf, US mein University of Michigan ka Consumer Sentiment Survey Index bhi barhne ki tawaqo hai. Iske 66.9 tak barhne ki umeed hai, jo ke pichle aath mahino ke lowest level 66.4 se recovery dikhata hai. US economy mein consumer confidence ka izafa market sentiment ko mutasir kar sakta hai, lekin shifting expectations ke bawajood GBP mazboot position mein hai.
**BoE ke Aane Wale Faislay: Aik Nazaqat Bhara Balance**
BoE ki aane wali monetary policy meeting, jo September mein hogi, aik aham marhala hogi. UK service sector mein inflation July mein tez tar girawat ka shikar hui hai, jo ke wage growth ke slowdown ki wajah se hai, lekin labor market ne surprising resilience dikhayi. Unemployment rate ghata, jo ke is baat ki nishani hai ke economy growth trajectory par hai. Yeh BoE ke liye aik challenging environment paida karta hai, jab ke woh inflation concerns aur employment data ke darmiyan balance banane ki koshish kar raha hai.
**Technical Analysis: GBP/USD Resistance Levels**
In positive economic signals ke bawajood, buyers ab tak critical 1.3300 price level ko reclaim nahi kar paye hain. Is wajah se currency pair ek naazuk position mein hai, khaaskar jab momentum traders short positions dekh rahe hain, aur 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas paas 1.3006 ka potential decline target kar rahe hain. Yeh technical aspect traders aur investors ke liye complexity ka ek aur
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