𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

TF Daily reference ke mutabiq, abhi ek bullish trend condition hai jo abhi bhi dominant hai aur jo current downward movement hai, woh abhi tak sirf correction phase tak hi mehdood hai kyun ke pichle increase ne RSI 70 level par overbought area mein move kiya tha. Abhi bhi ek target hai decrease ka jo lagta hai ke seller abhi bhi pohanchne ki koshish karega, yani RBS area range jo ke neeche 1.3042 par hai.
Mazeed downward correction bhi MA 50 (red) movement limit ko kareeb 1.2895 par retest karne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai. Bullish trend ke direction ko follow karne ke liye, behtar hoga ke sabar se downward phase ke tamam hone ka intezar kiya jaye taa ke behtar price level par re-entry buy ka mauka mil sake. Is case mein, short-term sales plan ko abhi bhi pehle consider kiya jaa sakta hai kyun ke ek downward momentum lagta hai ke jaari rahega is se pehle ke bullish phase mazeed upar ki taraf jari ho.

Sales plan ki soch-vichar mein sab se qareeb TP ko RBS area tak pohanchne ke liye add kiya jaa sakta hai jo ke kareeb 1.3042 par hai aur risk loss limit ko pichle Sunday market session ke end ke high area ke upar kareeb 1.3197 par rakha jaa sakta hai. Entry area ke hawale se, re-entry buy ko consider kiya jaa sakta hai pending order ko 1.3040 se 1.3050 ke range mein rakh kar. Price level ki range se target increase ko bullish efforts ke liye plan kiya jaa sakta hai taa ke pichle haftay ke sab se high price limit ko 1.3264 ke range mein pohanchne aur base up rally ko mazeed upar ki taraf le jaane ki koshish ki jaa sake.

GBP/USD Forum Analysis aur Forecast



H4 TF ki upar di gayi reference ke mutabiq, abhi ek downward condition hai jo ke correction phase ke tor pe nazar aati hai. Yeh phase peechlay izafa ke baad aaya hai jab price RSI 70 level ke upar overbought area mein chali gayi thi. Abhi jo downward movement hai, uss ne MA 50 (red) ki limit ko paar kar liya hai, jis se yeh imkaan hai ke price mazeed neeche jaye aur aglay MA area tak pohanchay, jo ke MA 100 (green) hai aur iska range 1.3030 ke qareeb hai. Agar mazeed bearish correction hoti hai, to price MA 200 (blue) ki movement limit ko test kar sakti hai jo ke 1.2937 ke qareeb hai. Chhoti duration mein lagta hai ke sale ka plan consider kiya ja sakta hai jab tak ke price apni qareebi resistance area 1.3197 ke range ke upar move nahi karti.

Agar price is level ke upar breakout hota hai, to mazeed bullish efforts ka imkaan hai jo ke ek nayi high banane ki koshish karengi jo ke crucial resistance area ko cross karegi aur 1.3264 ke range ke upar hogi. Filhal, chhoti duration ke liye sell option consider kiya ja sakta hai aur entry range 1.3140-1.3150 mein ki ja sakti hai. Price level ke is range se decline ka target TP 1 ke liye 1.3050 ke level ke qareeb rakha ja sakta hai aur TP 2 demand area range ke upar MA 200 (blue) ki movement 1.2970 ke qareeb rakha ja sakta hai. Sell plan mein stop loss limit 1.3200 ke level ke upar lagayi ja sakti hai.

Buy plan ke liye, jo ke bullish trend continuation ko follow karega, yeh consider kiya ja sakta hai ke bearish rejection condition ka intizaar kiya jaye jo ke MA 100 (green) ki movement 1.3130-1.3150 ke range mein hogi. Target yeh hoga ke peechlay mahine ke highest price limit ko cross karne ki koshish ki jaye jo ke 1.3264 ke range mein hai aur phir Zero area ke upar 1.3300 ke qareeb pohanchay. Bullish trend H4 TF mein invalid ho jayega agar seller MA200 ke movement limit ke neeche Zero area 1.2900 ke range mein decline karne mein kamiyab ho jaye.

Jab Monday subha trading ka aghaz hua, toh currency pair ne apni recent losses ka retracement kiya aur Asian trading hours ke doran 1.3150 ke aas-paas stabilize hogaya. Agar four-hour chart ka jaiza liya jaye, toh yeh pata chalta hai ke pair iss waqt ek descending channel ke narrow section mein hai. Yeh position suggest karti hai ke ya to consolidation phase chal raha hai ya phir jald hi ek potential reversal dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Is waqt GBP/USD 1.3141 mark ke qareeb hai, aur market observers dekh rahe hain ke shayad yeh significant psychological level 1.3100 ki taraf decline kare.
GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

Global inflationary pressures mein kami ke aasaar dekhne ke baad, yeh speculation chalu ho gayi hai ke Bank of England (BoE) aaj interest rate cut kar sakti hai. Financial markets mein filhal yeh imkaan zyada hai, 65% se zyada, ke BoE apne 16 saal ke high 5.25% se rates kam karegi. Iske ilawa, yeh umeed bhi hai ke saal ke akhir se pehle ek aur quarter-point cut kiya ja sakta hai. Aise kisi bhi action ka asar British Pound (GBP) par hoga, jisse GBP/USD pair par pressure banega.

In expectations ke bawajood, investor sentiment abhi bhi cautious hai. UK mein service inflation ke high levels ne BoE ke immediate action par uncertainty ko barhawa diya hai. Is uncertainty ki wajah se traders naye directional bets lagane se katra rahe hain, jisse price movements range-bound aur subdued rahi hai. Isliye, focus ziada tar BoE ke monetary policy statement aur Governor Andrew Bailey ke post-meeting press conference par rahega.




Four-hour Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Agar trend mein bearish continuation chahiye, toh sellers ko prices 20-day moving average (DMA), jo ke 1.3163 par hai, ke neeche push karni hongi. Agar daily close iss level ke neeche hoti hai, toh mazeed declines ka rasta khul sakta hai, aur agle support levels recent low 1.3121, phir psychological level 1.3100, aur 100-DMA 1.3053 par hosakte hain. Dusri taraf, agar GBP/USD pair iss haftay ke high 1.3153 ko cross karne mein kamiyab hota hai, toh yeh rally trigger kar sakta hai jo 1.3200 tak ja sakti hai, aur shayad recent pivot high 1.3265 tak bhi pohanch sakti hai.

Four-hour chart ke mutabiq, major pair ke liye bearish sentiment abhi bhi intact hai, kyun ke price consistently 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke critical level ke neeche hold kar rahi hai. Yeh downward momentum aur ziada strong hoti hai jab Relative Strength Index (RSI) ka position 50 midline ke neeche, lagbhag 44.0 par hota hai. Yeh technical indicator bearish outlook ko mazid support karta hai aur current market environment mein sellers ka sath deta hai.

Profit Potential through GBP/USD
Aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ki price action analysis par baat karenge. Friday ko, GBP/USD pair apni decline continue karte hue 1.3130 ke support level tak pohanchi. Agar pair resistance 1.3213 par break karta ya phir support 1.3130 ko breach nahi kar pata, toh ek rebound ka imkaan tha. Pair ne 1.3130 support ko breach toh kiya, magar is level ke neeche consolidate karne mein mushkil hui. Iss liye, current level se rebound ka risk abhi bhi minimal hai. Agar 1.3213 ka level break hota hai, toh yeh 1.3284 tak growth ko lead kar sakta hai, lekin naye M15 signal mein hourly chart ke overloads ki wajah se perfect alignment nahi ho sakti. Best scenario yeh hoga ke pair 1.3130 ke neeche break karay, 1.3054 tak pohanchay, aur wahan consolidate ho jaye, taake effective signal processing ho sake. Yeh setup ek rebound aur potential rise ko support karega jo 1.3185 tak ja sakta hai, aur mazeed gains 1.3501 tak dekhne ko mil sakte hain.




Hourly chart par, pair apne current low se rebound ki koshish kar sakta hai, magar congestion kam hone ki wajah se yeh move itni urgent nahi lagti. Agar decline 1.3130 support ke neeche se continue hota hai, toh agla support 1.3054 par possible hai. Agar pair Monday ko aadha din lagbhag 1.3054 ke aas-paas guzaray, toh hourly moving averages mazeed decline ka signal de sakti hain. Dusri taraf, agar pair 1.3130 ke upar bounce back karti hai, toh yeh 1.3213 tak rise kar sakti hai, jo ke bullish signal hoga. Ideal scenario yeh hoga ke pair 1.3054 ke neeche break kare, jis se decline 1.2966 tak ho sakta hai, halan ke four-hour chart par yeh kam imkaan hai. Agar pair 1.3130 se rebound karti hai lekin 1.3213 ko break nahi kar pati, toh phir bhi yeh 1.3054 tak bearish trend mein reh sakti hai taake hourly averages adjust ho sakein. Agar 1.3213 ka breakthrough hota hai, toh yeh further growth ka indication hoga, aur M15 chart par potential bullish signal bhi dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Agar pair M15 bearish signal ko follow karti hai, toh yeh Monday aur Tuesday tak persist kar sakti hai. Agar Tuesday tak signal valid rehta hai, toh pair ek bullish trend mein switch kar sakti hai, khaaskar agar hourly signal bhi align kar jaye.

GBP/USD Price Move
Aao GBP/USD currency pair ke current price behavior ki analysis par baat karte hain. Monday ko 1.3109 level ko bohot qareebi nazar se dekhna zaroori hai, kyun ke yeh point yeh decide karega ke correction start hota hai ya nahi. 1.3108 aur 1.3109 ke darmiyan sirf ek point ka farq hai, lekin yeh ek point hi correction ki direction ko decide kar sakta hai. Agar 1.3161 par update hoti hai, toh yeh ek badi correction ka pehla indicator hoga, jo shayad dollar ki weakness ki taraf ishara karega. Iske baad target Friday ke high 1.3197 par shift ho sakta hai, jo is peak ki strength ko test karne ke liye hoga. Yeh level test karna is baat ka andaza lagane mein madad karega ke kab ek badi correction start ho sakti hai, jo 1.3219 tak ja sakti hai. Mein apni strategy ko weekdays ke daily movements ke mutabiq adjust karne ka plan kar raha hoon. Abhi bhi yeh mumkin hai ke Bulls is se faida uthayenge, lekin lagta hai ke abhi tak koi signal nahi aaya jo monthly chart par upward movement ko rokne ka ishara kare.



Yeh downward correction sloping resistance line se shuru hui thi, aur trading week ke end tak price 1.3121 par close hui, jo ke local support 1.3139 ko breach kar chuki thi. Yeh downward movement jaari rahegi, jo ke price ko ek mazid strong support level 1.3044 tak le jaayegi. Is retest level par, mein buy karne ka soch raha hoon, taake expected upward trend ki resumption ka faida utha sakoon. Current debt levels ke sath, ek price rebound 1.3219 tak kaafi possible lagta hai, aur mein iske mutabiq apni position set karunga. Agle hafte mein U.S. labor market data par focus karunga, jo ke mere khayal mein hafte ke aakhri hisse mein significant movements ko drive karega. Price ne second resistance ko break kar liya hai aur iske upar ja chuki hai, jo ke is channel ke upside ki taraf ek potential breakout ka ishara kar raha hai.

THE CURRENCY PAIR GBP-USD

Achay din ki dua karta hoon, aur tamam forum members ke liye profitable trading ki umeed rakhta hoon! Mein trading situation par apna nazariya share karna chahta hoon. Technical analysis shuru karne ke liye, mein chart par ek indicator lagata hoon jo pair ke movement ki dynamics ko alternative Heikin Ashi candles ke zariye display karta hai. Iska sabse bada faida yeh hai ke yeh market noise ko smooth out karta hai. Heikin Ashi ka price bars banane ka khas tareeqa hota hai, jo price chart ko display karne mein delay ko kam kar deta hai. Channel indicator TMA (Triangular Moving Average) working chart par support aur resistance lines draw karta hai, aur smoothed moving averages ka istemal karke current channel boundaries ko show karta hai jisme instrument iss waqt move kar raha hai.

Aur akhir mein, ek oscillator jo transactions ko filter karta hai aur Heikin Ashi ke saath milkar positive trading results achieve karne mein madad karta hai, woh hai basement RSI indicator with standard settings. Instrument ke chart ko analyze karne par yeh samajh aata hai ke candles ka rang ab blue ho gaya hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers ab sellers se zyada strong hain aur price ko upar le kar ja rahe hain. Price ne channel ki lower boundary (red dotted line) ko cross kiya, aur minimum point se bounce karne ke baad phir se apni middle line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf rukh kiya.

Mili hui information se mein yeh nateeja nikaalta hoon ke is waqt pair khareedna profitable hai. Sath hi, RSI oscillator bhi buy signal ko confirm karta hai kyunki uski curve upar ki taraf hai aur overbought level se kaafi door hai. Upar di gayi baat ko summarize karte hue, hum faisla karte hain ke buy karein aur entry ke liye reference points dekhein. Hum take profit set karte hain jab market quotes channel ki upper boundary (blue dotted line) ko reach karein jisme price mark 1.33169 ho.

GBP/USD ka 4-hour chart ek clear aur mustaqil bullish trend ko present karta hai, jo khas tor par August ke darmiyan se nazar aata hai jab pair ko 1.27000 level ke aas paas significant support mili. Is upward movement ki khasiyat higher highs aur higher lows se hoti hai, jo strong aur persistent bullish momentum ko indicate karte hain, jisne kuch hafton mein pair ko 400 pips se zyada upar le gaya. Is rally se pehle, pair ne ek consolidation phase ka samna kiya jo July ke aaghaz se lekar August ke darmiyan tak chala. Is waqt, price ziada tar 1.27000 support level aur 1.29000 resistance level ke darmiyan confined rahi. Yeh range multiple key technical indicators se define hui thi, jinmein Fair Value Gaps (FVG) aur Bottom Liquidity (BLiq) zones shamil hain. Yeh zones un areas ko represent karte hain jahan price imbalances hui thi, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke market accumulation phase mein tha aur ek potential breakout ke liye momentum gather kar raha tha. In zones ka hona aksar yeh signal karta hai ke price future mein kahan support ya resistance dhoond sakti hai, jo entry ya exit points ke liye critical areas hain.
Yeh consolidation phase se breakout late August mein hua, jab GBP/USD pair ne 1.29000 resistance level ko strong upward momentum ke saath breach kar liya. Yeh breakout significant tha kyunke isne consolidation phase ka ikhtitam kar diya aur ek naya bullish trend shuru ho gaya. Is surge ko 1.29000 level ke aas paas ek Fair Value Gap (FVG) ke maujoodgi se support mila, jo ek demand zone ke taur par act kar raha tha aur price ko upar le jane ke liye zaroori support diya. Breakout ke baad price ne tezi se 1.32000 level ki taraf rukh kiya, jo ek key psychological level hai aur pehle resistance ke taur par act kar chuka hai.




Jab pair ne 1.32000 level ko touch kiya, to usne resistance ka samna kiya, jaisa ke Distribution Liquidity (DLiq) zone se indicate hota hai. Yeh zone un areas ko mark karta hai jahan sellers shayad market mein aakar bullish momentum ko rok sakte hain, jo short-term correction ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is level ke aas paas ki price action bohot crucial hogi, taake GBP/USD pair ke agle move ka pata chal sake. Agar pair is 1.32000 resistance ko decisively break karne mein kaamyab hota hai, to yeh mazeed gains ka rasta khol sakta hai, jismein 1.33000 level ya us se bhi zyada target kar sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh resistance break karne mein nakam hota hai, to price wapas 1.29000 level ki taraf pullback kar sakti hai, jahan usay dobara support mil sakti hai. Summary mein, GBP/USD pair is waqt ek strong uptrend mein hai jismein key support levels 1.29000 par hain aur major resistance 1.32000 ke aas paas hai. Traders ko closely dekhna chahiye ke kya current resistance ke upar koi breakout hota hai, taake bullish trend ke continuation ki confirmation ho sake, jabke 1.29000 se neeche hold na karne ki surat mein potential reversal ya deeper correction ka signal mil sakta hai. Market sentiment abhi bhi bullish hai, lekin jab pair key resistance levels ke kareeb aaye to ehtiyaat ki zaroorat hai.

GBP/USD Price Examinations
GBP/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya karenge. Mein UK inflation prospects ko Eurozone data ke zariye primary reference ke taur par emphasize nahi karunga. Mukhtalif regions, jaise Bearish aur Eastern Europe, jo UK ke major trading partners nahi hain, bhi nazar mein rakhni chahiye. Jabke mehenga pound kisi bhi economy ke liye nuqsan-dai ho sakta hai, lekin yeh ab tak itna tez nahi badha ke global risks ko janam de, jabke US dollar 2020 se kafi costly ho gaya hai. 1.3043 support level, jo ek recent peak hai, khaaskar dilchasp hai aur substantial support provide kar sakta hai. Jab tak pair 1.3043 ke upar trade kar raha hai, short-term sales viable ho sakti hain, lekin mai zyada tawajjo rise ke potential par doonga, significant decline ke bajaye. Halanki is hafte thoda decline dekha gaya hai, daily chart ke mutabiq uptrend intact hai, aur sirf ek choti si correction nazar aa rahi hai.




Friday ko GBP/USD pair ne downward correction phase mein close kiya, jo agle hafte bhi continue ho sakta hai. Is decline ka immediate target support level 1.3089 hai. Agar is level ko breach kiya gaya to prices aur neeche 1.3009 tak ja sakti hain. Pichle hafte ke akhir mein, GBP/USD ke bears ne thodi hesitation dikhayi—shayed bulls ka tactical pause ho. Agar 4-hour candle 1.3107 ke neeche close hoti hai, to main selling consider kar sakta hoon. Agar current range mein reversal pattern banta hai bina bearish gap ke, to main buy karunga, stop ko pattern ke minimum ke just neeche (shayed 1.3108 ke aas paas) place karunga. Sustained downtrend ke liye, 4-hour period ko 1.3107 ke qareeb rehna hoga. Main apni strategy Monday ke qareeb candle dekhne ke baad finalize karunga.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis
Jab price lower channel lines se support le rahi hai, to ab yeh achi buying zone mein hai. Is hafte, lower channel lines ne support area mein trade kiya hai. Prices ne channels ke saath ek bottom form kiya, lekin jab yeh weekly pivot level tak pohnchi, to resistance ne price ko upar dhakel diya. Jab price current candle ke dauran lower channel line se bounce karti hai, to hum expect karte hain ke price upar ki taraf move karegi aur weekly resistance level 1.3190 tak pohnchegi. Is level par buy karna sahi rahega, stop loss level ko current candle ke lowest price ke neeche set karna chahiye, aur target level ko 1.3195 resistance ke neeche set karna chahiye. Selling level tab available hota hai jab price price channels ko break karke unke neeche chaar trading hours ke liye trade karti hai.




Economically, pair ki price early French elections ki news ke baad decline hui. Pichle hafte ka gloomy market mood British currency ke appeal ko kam kar raha tha. Lekin Monday ke session mein risk appetite improve hui, jisne pound ko impressive comeback karne ka mauka diya. Halanki middle of last week mein British services ke liye PMI data weak tha, pound ne thoda upar fluctuation dekha. Jaisa ke expected tha, survey results ne service sector growth mein slowdown ko reveal kiya. Iske bawajood, British pound sector ke expansion ke saath khada hai. Ek upward arrow blue channel ke entry level ko indicate karti hai jab price wapas usmein trading karti hai. Is case mein, weekly basis par pivot level ko purchase kiya ja sakta hai. Jab price weekly support level 1.2980 ke neeche stabilize hoti hai aur channel lines ke neeche trade karti hai, to sell entry adjust kiya ja sakta hai agar price weekly support level ke neeche trade karti rahe.

GBP/USD Pair ne do saal ka high touch kiya, aur resistance level 1.3265 tak pohncha, jo strong European stock markets aur US aur UK ke behtareen monetary policies ke expectations ki wajah se tha. Federal Reserve ke possible rate cuts ke hints, khaaskar Chairman Jerome Powell ke comments ke baad, dollar ko kamzor karte hue pound ko boost diya. Bank of England ke recent rate cuts ke bawajood, traders British pound ko lekar optimistic rahe, kyunki UK ke strong economic data aur Bank of England ke cautious statements ne further reductions ko attract karne ki umeed di. Pair ne ek complex wave pattern dikhaya, jo market uncertainties ko reflect karta hai, jo mixed US economic data se influence hui, jinmein behtareen GDP report aur weaker-than-expected PCE index shamil hain, jo Federal Reserve ke future rate decisions par doubts ko raise karta hai. Potential US rate cuts ke speculation ne dollar ko pressure mein rakha, jabke Bank of England ke agle steps ke bare mein uncertainty ne traders ko market ko cautiously approach karne par majboor kiya.



GBP/USD pair ke movements pichle do dino mein Federal Reserve aur Bank of England ki monetary policies ke differing expectations aur US aur UK se mixed economic data ki wajah se driven the. Hourly chart par, bearish activity nazar aati hai. Do saal ka high reach karne ke baad, asset ne bearish flag pattern form kiya, jo market closure tak barqarar raha. Level 1.3140 ke aas paas ek mitigation block ke taur par serve kiya, lekin isne kafi bullish momentum generate nahi kiya, jiski wajah se asset 1.3122 tak slip kar gaya. Relative Strength Index (RSI) is waqt 60.00 ke upar hai, jo suggest karta hai ke pair market reopen hone ke baad upwards reverse kar sakti hai. Lekin agar bullish momentum nahi aata, to correction 1.3000 level ki taraf deepen ho sakti hai.

Pichle hafte, GBP/USD pair ne kamzor shuruat ki, jo 1.3200 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha, kyunki bazar ke log BoE ke monetary policy faislay ki intezar mein the. Jabke bohot se log rate cut ki ummeed kar rahe the, probability sirf 59% thi. Hafte ke aakhir mein, pair 1.3121 par trade kar raha tha, jo BoE ke elan se pehle bazar ke ehtiyaat ko darshata hai.
Market Reactions aur Aane Wale Ahm Events for GBP/USD:

Ab nazar BoE ke aane wale policy update aur ahm US economic reports par hai, khaaskar Jobs report jo Friday ko hai. BoE ke faislay ke gird ghuman wala uncertainty British Pound (GBP) ko ongoing support de sakti hai, jo GBP/USD pair ke mazeed girawat ko roknay mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Traders ko 1.3150 level ke upar sustained breakout par nazar rakhni chahiye, jo recent pullback ke baad rebound ka indication de sakta hai.

BoE ka rate decision bohot close call hone ki ummeed hai, shayad 5-4 vote split ke sath. UK ke service sector mein inflation June mein 5.7% thi, jo bank ke forecast 5.1% se zyada hai. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne pehle indicate kiya tha ke rates ko steady rakhne ka faisla 'finely balanced' tha, jo August mein rate cut ki expectations ko barhawa de raha hai.




GBP/USD ka Technical Analysis:

Pair ko foran resistance 1.3267 level ke aas-paas face karna pad raha hai, jo upper boundary hai, aur iske baad 1.3120 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) hai. In levels ke upar breakout hone par pair ko August 27 ko reach kiye gaye yearly peak 1.3267 ki taraf le jaa sakta hai. Agar pair 1.3100 mark ke neeche gir jata hai, to agla support level 50-day Moving Average (DMA) hoga.

Agar girawat jaari rahi, to pair August 27 ke high 1.3266 ki taraf aur shayad 1.2800 ke neeche 100-DMA 1.2808 aur 200-DMA 1.2709 tak ja sakti hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) filhal yeh suggest karta hai ke momentum niche ki taraf hai, jo indicate karta hai ke GBP/USD pair ko mazeed downward pressure ka samna karna pad sakta hai.

Hourly chart par, GBP/USD pair ne Thursday ke decline ko continue kiya, jab ke yeh 161.8% corrective level 1.3258 se rebound kar ke 127.2% corrective level 1.3054 ki taraf move kiya. Pair ab bhi ek upward trend channel ke daira-e-kar mein hai, jo market sentiment ko "bullish" rakhta hai. Agar channel ke lower line se rebound hota hai, to pound ko support milega aur growth 1.3258 level ki taraf wapas resume ho sakti hai. Agar channel ke neeche break hota hai, to yeh sirf bearish trend ka signal hoga.
Wave structure clear hai. Aakhri completed wave down ne previous wave ke low ko nahi break kiya, jabke aakhri wave up ne previous wave ke peak ko break kar diya. Is liye, hum filhal bullish trend se deal kar rahe hain bina kisi doubt ke, magar saari waves itni badi hain ke trend reversal ko detect karne mein significant delay ho sakta hai. Chhoti waves ka koi pattern nahi dikh raha jo trend change ka indication de. Lekin, upward trend channel ab bhi intact hai, jo pair ko support provide kar raha hai.

Thursday ke news ne U.S. dollar ko majbooti di, kyunki U.S. economy ne second quarter mein traders ki expectations se zyada growth ki. Bears ab bhi bohot kamzor hain. Pair ko channel ke lower line ki taraf move karne mein considerable time lag sakta hai. Har naye report jo September ya saal ke end tak Fed ke monetary policy mein easing suggest kare, dollar par pressure daal sakta hai. Aaj PCE index release hoga, aur agar yeh slow hota hai, to yeh indicate karega ke U.S. inflation kam ho rahi hai. Inflation ka slowdown Fed ke rate cut ke chances ko barhata hai aane wale months mein. Filhal, FOMC members har meeting mein easing ki zaroorat par confident nahi hain, magar agar inflation kam hoti rahi aur labor market weak results dikhata raha sath hi unemployment badhti rahe, to unka opinion change ho sakta hai.

4-hour chart par, pair 1.3044 level ke upar settle hai. CCI indicator ek "bearish" divergence ka warning de raha hai ek haftay se, aur RSI indicator ek haftay se overbought territory mein hai, jo ek rare occurrence hai. Aane wale dino mein pair ke decline hone ka high likelihood hai. Lekin filhal, pair ke 1.3044 level ke upar settle hone se growth ka signal mil raha hai agle Fibonacci level 76.4% par 1.3314 ki taraf. Pound ke decline ka ek hi signal hourly chart par maujood hai.

GBP/USD ANALYSIS
Is mahine ke shuru hone par, GBP/USD ka daam ek khareedari ke pattern mein trade kar raha tha aur isay 1.3130 ke mahine ke pivot level se madad mili. Is doran, daam upar chala gaya aur mid-channel lines ko tod diya, pehle trading din par is se upar band hui. Ye ek signal tha ke aage chal kar daam 1.3240 ke resistance level tak barh sakta hai.




Ek hafte ke liye daam sideway trade hota raha, phir daam gir gaya, red channel ko tod kar niche band hogaya. Is waqt daam lower blue channel line se support le raha hai, jo ke daam ke upar chalanay ka sabab ban sakta hai. Ab jab daam mahine ke pivot level tak pahunch gaya hai, zaroori hai ke daam neeche rebound kare. 1-hour ya 4-hour chart par agar daam ka peak banta hai to iska matlab hai ke daam aage gir sakta hai, aur yeh ek level hai jahan se sale ki ja sakti hai. Agar daam mahine ke pivot level se upar chala jata hai aur chaar trading hours tak wahan stable rehta hai, to iska matlab hai ke daam mid-channel lines tak barh sakta hai.

Is haftay agar daam niche gir jaye, blue channel ko tod de, aur chaar trading hours tak usse niche stable rahe, to sell position enter karna mumkin hai. Aaj ke trading session ke shuruat mein daam mein ek downward gap dekha gaya tha, jiske niche daam trade kar raha hai bina band huye. Halankeh daam chart par dikhaye gaye price channels ke andar trade kar raha hai, lekin yeh unse niche trade kar raha hai, jo ke strong resistance bana raha hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ke real-time price action ke evaluation par mabni hai. Technical analysis ke liye, maine resistance aur support ko represent karne ke liye diagonal lines plot ki hain. Agla qadam hai ke hum US Federal Reserve System ke head ki speech ko 16:39 Moscow time par bariki se dekhein. Is ke ilawa, 16:59 par labor market vacancy statistics release honge, jo local volatility ka sabab ban sakte hain. Humne 1.2614 tak ke decline ko manage kiya, aur price ab 59 points barh gayi hai. Spread ko chhod kar, ye nateeja kafi acha hai. Hum GBP/USD situation ko 18:01 ke baad dobara assess karenge, Fibonacci grid ka review karte hue, chhote time intervals par 100 – 161.7 range par focus karte hue. Filhaal price view aur sentiment mein koi tabdeeli nahi dikhayi de rahi.
Kal chhutti hai, lekin trading limited form mein chalegi, aur Thursday ko complete holiday hoga. Is wajah se trading week skewed hai aur Friday ko significantly start hoga, jo major players ko investing se roka sakta hai. Agar sirf speculative movements hoti hain, to wahi sawal uthta hai. Mera aaj ka main concern ye hai ke Americans apni holidays aaj ya kal se shuru karenge; lagta hai ke aaj se hi shuru karenge.
GBP/USD ka rebound barh gaya hai, meri target zone 1.2639-59 tak pohnch gaya hai. Filhaal ke impulse se neeche ki taraf ek pullback zaroori hai, jiska aim 1.2700 level ke nazdeek hona chahiye, shayad isse bhi break kar sake. Kal ka high ko surpass karna mushkil hai, lekin movement ke dauran closely observe karna zaroori hai. Maine apni position already close kar di hai, current profit ko potential gains par preference dete hue. Overall, situation abhi bhi uncertain hai. Ye scenarios possible outcomes ko reflect karte hain. Agar slope break hoti hai to buyers ko upper hand
GBP/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior ka analysis karne se mutaliq hai. Agle hafte major central banks se kaafi significant action ki umeed hai, kyunki Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of England (BoE) apne interest rate decisions announce karne wale hain. Jabke Fed apna current rate ek aur meeting ke liye barqarar rakhega, BoE ko quarter-percentage-point rate cut ka speculation face karna pad raha hai. Money markets BoE ke base rate ko 5.24% se 5.9% tak kam hone ki forecasting kar rahe hain. Yeh anticipated narrowing of interest rate differential pound sterling par pressure daal raha hai. United States se recent economic data, jo Department of Commerce ne highlight kiya, steady growth trajectory ko reflect karta hai. Q2 ke preliminary GDP estimate ke mutabiq annual growth rate 2.7% hai, jo Q1 ke 1.3% se barh gaya hai aur forecasted 1.9% ko bhi surpass karta hai. Yeh stronger-than-expected indicator Fed ki future policies ko influence kar sakta hai aur GBP/USD trading dynamics ko impact kar sakta hai

**GBP/USD Forecast: Potential Downturn and Key Levels**

Hello Yura,

GBP/USD pair ke liye dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke agle waqt mein iski upar ki movement dekhna mushkil hoga. Halanki recent decline evident hai, lekin yeh impulsive nature ki kami hai jo zyada significant downtrends se hoti hai. Yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke shayad hum ek series of minor declines dekh rahe hain, na ke ek decisive drop. Phir bhi, mujhe lagta hai ke pair ko further girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai, khaaskar 1.30 se 1.3350 ke range tak. Lagbhag 65 points ki aur girawat ki zarurat hai takay yeh 1.3050 level tak pohnche. Yeh tajwez current technical setup aur market sentiment par base hai.

Agar GBP/USD pair 1.30 ke niche break nahi karta aur is level par stability establish karta hai, to short-term mein ek rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Yeh rebound shayad bearish trend ke aage badhne se pehle aaye. Upcoming US economic data ko nazar mein rakhna zaroori hai, khaaskar jobless rate jo Friday ko release hoga, aur kisi bhi relevant non-cash data ko bhi dekhein. Agar economic indicators favorable hue, to 1.30 ke niche move hona zyada asaan aur plausible ho sakta hai. In data points ko observe karna zaroori hoga takay yeh samajh sakein ke pair lower trajectory ko sustain karega ya temporary upward correction dekhne ko milegi.

US data ke ilawa, UK inflation figures bhi jaldi available hongi, jo yeh batayengi ke Bank of England kaise respond karega. Agar Bank of England interest rates cut karta hai, to pound ka depreciation dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo Fed ke recent rate decrease ke contrast mein hai jisne GBP/USD pair ko boost diya. Market ne Bank of England ke rate cut ko consider nahi kiya, aur yeh scenario poori tarah se ignore kiya gaya hai.

Technical perspective se, weekly chart par dekhte hue, highest level jo recently reach hua tha, wo 1.3265 hai. Yeh level northern zigzag pattern ka peak ho sakta hai, jabke lowest recorded point 1.0345 hai. Is context mein, US dollar ko appreciation ke liye poised dekha ja sakta hai, aur minimum target 1.0345 tak pohnchne ki koshish ho sakti hai. Yeh potential movement south ki taraf significant zigzag pattern ko indicate karta hai, jo ek considerable bearish trend ko darshata hai.

Summary mein, jabke GBP/USD pair ne kuch resilience dikhayi hai, prevailing indicators aur technical patterns downtrend ki continuation ka suggest karte hain. Key economic data aur technical levels ko monitor karna crucial hoga agle hafton mein pair ke trajectory ko determine karne ke liye. US aur UK economic conditions ka interplay agle movement ko drive karega, isliye market developments se updated rehna aur trading strategies ko accordingly adjust karna zaroori hai