𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

H1 timeframe par 1.2738 ke price movement ka analysis karte hue yeh samajh aata hai ke halanki jo current candle hai usne successfully support level ko breach kar liya hai, lekin Monday ko price ke upar jane ka potential ab bhi mojood hai. Yeh anticipation is baat par mabni hai ke abhi tak candle ne 1.2630 ke RBS (Resistance Becomes Support) area se bahar exit nahi kiya hai. RBS level technical analysis mein ek aham indicator hota hai, jahan pehla resistance level breach hone ke baad support ban jata hai.

Filhal, price action yeh dikhata hai ke 1.2630 ke aas paas ka area mazboot hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke is level par ab bhi strong buying interest mojood hai. Jab tak price is RBS area ke neeche breakdown nahi hoti, rebound ka imkaan kaafi zyada hai. Yeh resilience yeh batati hai ke buyers is support level ko defend kar rahe hain, jo ke downward movement ko rok raha hai aur shayad ek bounce back ki tayyari kar raha hai.

Iske ilawa, candle ka 1.2630 level ke neeche decisively close na hona yeh reinforce karta hai ke yeh support mazboot hai. Technical traders aksar aisi confirmations ko dekh kar apne trading decisions ko validate karte hain. Agar 1.2630 area ka sustaind defense hota hai, toh yeh renewed upward momentum ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo ke mazeed buyers ko attract karega aur price ko upar push karega.

Technical support ke ilawa, market sentiment aur external factors bhi price movement mein kirdar ada kar sakte hain. Agar broader market conditions favorable rehti hain ya asset ke hawale se koi positive developments hoti hain, toh upar jane ka imkaan aur bhi barh jata hai.

Akhir mein, support breach hone ke bawajood, 1.2738 ke price ka Monday ko upar jane ka significant chance ab bhi mojood hai. 1.2630 ka level key hai jisey closely monitor karna hoga. Jab tak yeh area hold karta hai, upward movement ka imkaan khula rahta hai, jo ke technical analysis aur market sentiment dono se backed hai. Isliye traders ko is level ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur mazeed signals ki talash karni chahiye jo ke bullish reversal ko confirm kar sake.

Pichlay trading haftay ke dauran, GBP/USD yani Sterling ek limited range mein trade karta raha. Jab price level 1.2667 ko torhne mein nakam rahi, to yeh wapas ghati aur 1.2612 tak pohanch gayi. Lekin yahan support milte hi price ne rebound kiya aur phir se 1.2667 ke neeche aa gayi, jahan ab yeh trade ho rahi hai. Iss doran, price chart zyada tar super-trending red zone mein raha, jo is baat ka ishara deta hai ke sellers ka control hai aur woh market ko apni marzi se chala rahe hain.

Agar technical point of view se dekha jaye, to yeh saaf hai ke GBP/USD pair ne 1.2700 ke psychological resistance ke neeche apni jagah banayi hui hai. Negative pressure jo simple moving average se upar ki taraf tha, ab retreat kar gaya hai aur price par neeche ka pressure daal raha hai. Stochastic indicator bhi negative direction mein move kar raha hai, jo yeh batata hai ke aane wale dino mein bearish trend barkarar reh sakta hai.

Aaj ki trading session mein expected trend negative rehne ka imkaan hai, jahan pehla target 1.2630 ka hai. Agar price is level ke neeche break kar jati hai, to yeh pair par aur zyada downward pressure daal sakta hai aur price ko 1.2580 ke level tak le ja sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar hourly chart par price 1.2700 aur 1.2720 ke broken support levels ke upar close hoti hai, to yeh downside ko thodi dair ke liye delay kar sakta hai aur pair ko recovery ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jahan targets 1.2750 aur 1.2790 par ho sakte hain.

Filhaal, GBP/USD pair mukhtalif directions mein trade kar rahi hai aur har week neutral hi rehti hai. Bari resistance areas ko test kiya ja raha hai, magar growth ko dobara shuru karne ki koshishen abhi bhi fail ho rahi hain, jiski wajah se decline ko fresh rakha gaya hai. Yeh confirm karne ke liye, zaroori hai ke price 1.2667 ke level ke neeche confident consolidation kare, jo ke main resistance zone ka border hai. Is area ka bar bar test karna aur phir pullback hona, pair ko agle target area 1.2524 aur 1.2401 ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Agar resistance break hota hai aur price reversal level 1.2739 ko torh deti hai, to yeh current scenario ko cancel kar sakta hai. Traders ko yeh levels bohot closely monitor karne chahiye, taake woh apni trading strategies mein sahi waqt par adjustments kar sakein.

Hello,

Budh ke din, Asian session ke aghaz mein GBP/USD pair ne musalsal paanchwein din positive territory mein trade kiya, jahan yeh 1.2688 ke qareeb thi. USD index 106.00 ki barrier ke neeche gir gaya, jo ke is badi pair ko support faraham kar raha tha. Ab sarmaaya karne wale US June ADP employment change, ISM services PMI aur FOMC minutes ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke Budh ke baad mein aane wale hain.

Agar technical analysis ki baat karein, to 100-day aur 50-day SMAs ne 1.2640 par ek mazboot area bana diya hai. Agar yeh level hold karta hai, to yeh sellers ke liye dilchaspi ka baais ban sakta hai. Neeche ki taraf, 1.2600 (jo ke ek psychological level aur static level hai) interim support ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai, iske baad 1.2580 (jo ke latest uptrend ka Fibonacci 50% retracement hai) aur 1.2520 (Fibonacci 61.8% retracement) ka level hai.

1.2640 ka level pehli resistance ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai. Agar price is level ke upar daily close karti hai, to yeh technical buyers ko attract kar sakti hai. Aagey, 1.2700 (20-day SMA, psychological level) aur 1.2720 (Fibonacci 23.6% retracement) ko agle resistance levels ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai.

Pichlay Monday ke US session mein, GBP/USD ne 1.2700 ke upar rise kiya aur June 20 ke baad se apne highest level ko chua. Lekin, din ke aakhri hisse mein pair apna traction kho baithi aur 1.2650 par lagbhag unchanged thi. Tuesday ke din, pair ne neeche ka rukh apnaya aur 1.2640 ke key technical level ke neeche trade kar rahi thi.

Tuesday ke din, risk sentiment mein negative shift ne US dollar ko demand mein rakha aur GBP/USD ko rebound karne se roka. US stock index futures bhi 0.3% se 0.5% tak neeche gaye, jo market ke sour mood ko reflect karte hain. Din ke aakhri hisse mein, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ECB Forum on Central Banking mein policy outlook par guftagu karenge.

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, September mein Fed ke policy rates ko unchanged chhorne ka 35 percent chance price kiya ja raha hai. Agar Powell pichlay Jumay ke personal consumption expenditures price index ke baad inflation outlook mein behtari ko tasleem karte hain, to USD ko demand mein masla ho sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar Powell September mein rate cut ke liye market expectations ke khilaf baat karte hain, to USD ke mazid strength dikhane ke chances hain. Traders ko yeh sab developments closely monitor karni chahiye taake sahi trading decisions le sakein.

Aaj ke din GBP/USD currency pair ne aik complex soorat-e-haal pesh ki hai, jo hoshiyaar traders ke liye buying aur selling dono ke mauqay faraham kar rahi hai. Hum market sentiment mein tabdeeli ki umeed kar sakte hain, jo US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke intehai intezar kash speech ke baad aaye gi. Yeh speech currency market par baray asar dal sakti hai. Kuch analysts yeh ummed karte hain ke yeh speech sellers ke haq mein hogi, jo GBP/USD ko 1.2626 ke zone se neeche le jayegi, lekin asal direction abhi tak maqbool nahi hai.

Meri estimation ke mutabiq, yeh increase sirf temporary ho sakti hai aur price waapis bearish trend ki taraf move karegi. MACD indicator par histogram bar ki position abhi tak zero level ke neeche consistently khel rahi hai, jo ke ek bearish trend ki taraf ishaara kar rahi hai. Aane wale dinon mein market mein aur zyada bearish ka potential hai. Jo maine market mein observe kiya hai, uske mutabiq seller army ek baar phir se market trend ko dominate karne ke liye tayar hai. Pichlay mahine ki conditions ko dekhein to hum yeh dekh sakte hain ke GBP/USD currency pair abhi bhi sellers ke control mein hai. Isliye behtar yeh hoga ke un movements par concentrate kiya jaye jin mein abhi bhi bearish trend ke jaari rehne ka potential hai.

Haalan ke market abhi Asian session mein hai, lekin agli price ke liye yeh andaza lagaya ja raha hai ke yeh abhi bhi bearish trend ki taraf move karegi aur price level 1.2600 ko test karegi. Mera khayal hai ke aaj raat se lekar kal raat tak trading option ab bhi SELL trading ka intikhab karna behtar hoga.

Kal ke din GBP/USD pair ne lower areas mein trade kiya aur din ka ikhtitaam 1.2645 ke aas paas hua. Aaj yeh 1.2630 ke price level ki taraf neeche ki direction mein move kar rahi hai. Agar hum hourly chart par dekhein to yeh notice hota hai ke GBP/USD moving average line MA (200) H4 ke neeche 1.2660 par trade kar rahi hai. Hamein four-hour chart par bhi aisa hi soorat-e-haal dekhne ko mil raha hai, jahan GBP/USD abhi MA (200) H4 ke neeche trade kar rahi hai. Is lihaaz se, upar diye gaye facts ko madde nazar rakhte hue, traders ko yeh mashwara diya jata hai ke correction ke baad aik acha sell entry point dekha jaye. Neeche diya gaya picture aur chart is analysis par behtar roshni daal rahe hain, aap isay zaroor dekhein.

### GBP/USD Ka Technical Aur Fundamental Jaiza

**Technical Outlook:**

GBP/USD ne Wednesday ke Asian session ke doran girawat dekhi aur do hafton ke high se neeche aaya, aur ab 1.2870-1.2875 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai jo pichle din dekha gaya tha. Lekin, girawat ka trend abhi bhi muqabil hai kyun ke traders nayi buyer inflation data ka intezaar kar rahe hain jo UK aur US se aayegi. UK CPI Bank of England (BoE) ke monetary policy decisions aur British Pound Sterling (GBP) ke istemal ko asar andaz kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, US Consumer Price Index (CPI) bhi bohot important hai, kyun ke yeh Federal Reserve ke rate cuts ke raaste ka pata lagane mein madad karega, jo ke US dollar ko strong kar sakta hai aur naye trend ko tay karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Bulls abhi bhi technical charts par dominate kar rahe hain, lekin GBP/USD abhi tak 1.2900 level ko tod nahi paya jo mid-July mein break hua tha.

**Fundamental Outlook:**

US Dollar Index jo Greenback ki value ko chay bade currencies ke muqablay mein track karta hai, 103.00 ke upar steady hai. Long-term perspective ke mutabiq GBP/USD ko favor milta hai kyun ke USD ki kamzori GBP ko upar le jaati hai aur long-term technical samples mein major lows bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhte hain. GBP/USD pichle characteristics mein wapas aa gaya hai, lekin broader technical tone abhi bhi favorable hai kyun ke pichle haftay ka bullish reversal 200-day moving average (1.2667) se behtar raha. Positive correction ab 1.2810 ke aas-paas retracement resistance par ruk gaya hai, lekin agar 1.28 ke lows ko break kiya gaya to GBP ko 1.2850 level tak push karna chahiye. August mein do highs, 1.2840, aur ball phase, 1.2900, GBP ke upward movement ke liye significant resistance levels hain. Doosri taraf, agar pair 1.2665 ke August low se neeche close karta hai to healing channel break ho sakta hai. Isse April 29 ka high 1.2570 aur June 27 ka low 1.2613 reveal ho sakta hai.

Jaise keh aap dekh sakte hain, pound ke kharidaar labour market ki statistics ke release hone ke baad zyada der tak nahi ruke, jo pound kharidne ka challenging mahol bana diya. Nateeja yeh hua ke kharidaaron ki koshish jald hi khatam ho gayi, bina kisi bade khiladi ki support ke, aur uthaan sirf jo jo pair ki technical tasveer par asar daala. Dopehar ke doosre hisson mein, hume U.S. Producer Price Index ka ek dilchasp report dekhne ko milega, saath hi NFIB Small Business Optimism Index ki data bhi aayegi. FOMC member Raphael Bostic ki taqreer bhi tawajjo kheench sakti hai. Agar unke dovish comments aate hain to isse dollar kamzor ho sakta hai, jo pound kharidne walon ko phir se uthane ka mauqa de sakta hai. Agar pair niche jaata hai, main sabse nazdeek ka support 1.2764 par tawajjo doonga, jo aaj tay kiya gaya tha aur moving averages ke sath aligned hai. Sirf ek jhooti breakout hi long positions kholne ke liye ek munasib manzar hoga, jiska maqsad 1.2810 tak ki uthaai hoga, jo aaj pehle se hi ek martaba test kiya gaya hai. Agar yeh breakout hota hai aur phir se ye level test hota hai, to pound mein uthaan ke chances barh jaayenge, jis se main long position kholne par fiker karunga aur mera potential exit 1.2836 par hoga. Meri akhri target 1.2860 level hoga, jahan main profits le loon ga. Agar GBP/USD niche jaaye aur doosre hisson mein 1.2764 par buyer interest khatam ho jaaye, jo mujhe shak hai, to pound ko zyada kami ka samna karna par sakta hai. Yeh 1.2731 ke agle support ko update karne ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo pair ke liye zyada kami ke chances barha dega. Isliye, sirf ek jhooti breakout hi long positions kholne ke liye munasib shart hogi. Main 1.2700 ke minimum se rebound par turant GBP/USD kharidne ka irada rakhta hoon, din ke andar 30-35 point ki correction ka maqsad rakhte hue.

GBP/USD D1 Analysis:

Abhi GBP/USD ne Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rates barhane ke faisle ke baad ek mahine ke low par gir gaya hai. Abhi GBP/USD 1.2600 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo aage ke girawat ke liye ek nishaan ban sakta hai. BoE ki dovish comments, jo August mein rate cut ka ishara de rahi hain, ne investors ko pareshan kar diya, jis se Pound kamzor ho gaya. Is kamzori ko UK ke general election ke aage, jo 4 July ko hai, aur zyada badaaya ja sakta hai. Lekin, ek positive point bhi hai: US Dollar, jo recent gains ke bawajood struggle kar raha hai, kyunki markets Federal Reserve se September mein rate cut ki umeed kar rahi hain. Yeh situation Pound ko kuch madad bhi de rahi hai.

Trading ke hawale se, last week ke "H4" chart ne bearish signal diya aur price ne 1.27214 ke level par breakdown diya. Maine GBP/USD ko yahan becha aur decline dekhte hue 1.26210 ke level tak pohncha. Ab, meri bearish sell level 1.27214 ab tak kaam ki gayi hai aur main apni sale ko profit mein close kar chuka hoon. Lekin, abhi bhi bearish trend ke side mein hi rahanay ki priority hai, jo ke price ke aur neeche girne ka khatra dikhata hai. Agle supports jo dekhe ja sakte hain woh 1.25600 aur 1.24950 ke levels hain.

Summary mein, GBP/USD ne recent BoE decision ke baad significant decline dikhaya hai aur aage ke movements critical honge, khaaskar UK general election aur US Federal Reserve ke rate decisions ke context mein. Traders ko support levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur bearish trend ko dekhte hue sell signals par focus karna chahiye.

Pichlay trading haftay ke dauran, GBP/USD yani Sterling ek limited range mein trade karta raha. Jab price level 1.2667 ko torhne mein nakam rahi, to yeh wapas ghati aur 1.2612 tak pohanch gayi. Lekin yahan support milte hi price ne rebound kiya aur phir se 1.2667 ke neeche aa gayi, jahan ab yeh trade ho rahi hai. Iss doran, price chart zyada tar super-trending red zone mein raha, jo is baat ka ishara deta hai ke sellers ka control hai aur woh market ko apni marzi se chala rahe hain.

Agar technical point of view se dekha jaye, to yeh saaf hai ke GBP/USD pair ne 1.2700 ke psychological resistance ke neeche apni jagah banayi hui hai. Negative pressure jo simple moving average se upar ki taraf tha, ab retreat kar gaya hai aur price par neeche ka pressure daal raha hai. Stochastic indicator bhi negative direction mein move kar raha hai, jo yeh batata hai ke aane wale dino mein bearish trend barkarar reh sakta hai.

Aaj ki trading session mein expected trend negative rehne ka imkaan hai, jahan pehla target 1.2630 ka hai. Agar price is level ke neeche break kar jati hai, to yeh pair par aur zyada downward pressure daal sakta hai aur price ko 1.2580 ke level tak le ja sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar hourly chart par price 1.2700 aur 1.2720 ke broken support levels ke upar close hoti hai, to yeh downside ko thodi dair ke liye delay kar sakta hai aur pair ko recovery ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jahan targets 1.2750 aur 1.2790 par ho sakte hain.

Filhaal, GBP/USD pair mukhtalif directions mein trade kar rahi hai aur har week neutral hi rehti hai. Bari resistance areas ko test kiya ja raha hai, magar growth ko dobara shuru karne ki koshishen abhi bhi fail ho rahi hain, jiski wajah se decline ko fresh rakha gaya hai. Yeh confirm karne ke liye, zaroori hai ke price 1.2667 ke level ke neeche confident consolidation kare, jo ke main resistance zone ka border hai. Is area ka bar bar test karna aur phir pullback hona, pair ko agle target area 1.2524 aur 1.2401 ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Agar resistance break hota hai aur price reversal level 1.2739 ko torh deti hai, to yeh current scenario ko cancel kar sakta hai. Traders ko yeh levels bohot closely monitor karne chahiye, taake woh apni trading strategies mein sahi waqt par adjustments kar sakein

### GBP/USD کا تجزیہ: مضبوط بیریش سگنلز مزید گراوٹ کی نشاندہی کرتے ہیں

GBP/USD کرنسی جوڑی میری پسندیدہ ٹریڈنگ جوڑی ہے کیونکہ یہ مجھے منافع کمانے کے زیادہ مواقع فراہم کرتی ہے۔ فی الحال، قیمت 1.2629 کی سطح پر ٹریڈ کر رہی ہے۔ H4 چارٹ پر، قیمت 1.2689 کی سیل لیول سے بریک آؤٹ کے بعد مضبوط بیریش موومنٹ ظاہر کر رہی ہے۔ اس گراوٹ نے فروخت کی موومنٹ کو مزید مضبوط کیا ہے۔ میں نے چارٹ پر اسٹاکیسٹک انڈیکیٹر لگایا ہے، جو قیمت کی فروخت کی موومنٹ کی تصدیق کرتا ہے۔ قیمت کا بڑا اور موجودہ رجحان بیریش ہے، جو نیچے کی سمت جاری رہنے کا اشارہ دیتا ہے۔ اس کے علاوہ، قیمت 50 اور 100 سمپل موونگ ایوریجز (SMA) کے نیچے عبور کر چکی ہے، جو سیل سگنل کی مزید حمایت کرتا ہے۔ اسٹاکیسٹک انڈیکیٹر خاص طور پر زیادہ خرید یا زیادہ فروخت کی حالتوں کی نشاندہی کرنے میں مفید ہے۔ اس صورت میں، یہ دکھاتا ہے کہ قیمت ایک مضبوط سیل زون میں ہے، جس سے بیریش رجحان کی تصدیق ہوتی ہے۔ 50 اور 100 SMA کا کراسنگ بیریش کراس اوور کی نشاندہی کرتا ہے، جو نیچے کی طرف جاری رہنے کا ایک اور مضبوط اشارہ ہے۔

اگر قیمت اپنی سیل موومنٹ جاری رکھتی ہے، تو چارٹ پر اگلا ہدف 1.2593 کی سپورٹ لیول تک پہنچ سکتا ہے۔ یہ لیول اہم ہے کیونکہ یہ ایک مضبوط سپورٹ زون کے طور پر کام کرتا ہے، اور اس لیول تک پہنچنا بیریش رجحان کی طاقت کی تصدیق کرے گا۔ تاجروں کو ان اشاریوں اور مجموعی مارکیٹ کے جذبات پر نظر رکھنی چاہیے۔ اسٹاکیسٹک انڈیکیٹر، SMA کراس اوورز کے ساتھ مل کر، سیلنگ رجحان کی قابل اعتماد تصدیق فراہم کرتا ہے۔ ان تکنیکی اشاروں کی نگرانی تاجروں کو باخبر فیصلے کرنے اور ان کی تجارتی حکمت عملیوں کو بہتر بنانے میں مدد دے سکتی ہے۔

آخر میں، GBP/USD کرنسی جوڑی موجودہ قیمت کی کارروائی اور تکنیکی اشارے بیریش رجحان کی طرف بڑھتے ہوئے مضبوط سیل سگنلز دکھا رہی ہے۔ تاجروں کو ان عوامل پر غور کرنا چاہیے اور ممکنہ نیچے کی حرکت سے فائدہ اٹھانے کے لیے اپنی تجارت کی منصوبہ بندی کرنی چاہیے۔ ہمیشہ کی طرح، رسک مینجمنٹ اور مناسب تجزیہ کامیاب تجارت کی کلید ہیں۔

GBP/USD currency pair ka price action hamari discussion ka focus hoga. Agar price 1.2849 tak pohanchti hai, to yeh 1.2816 (rotation reversal 2/8) par resistance aur MA-200 moving average, jo ke usi level par align kar raha hai, ke tor jane ka signal hoga. Yeh breakthrough aglay resistance ki taraf move initiate kar sakta hai, jo ke 1.2877 (3/8 channel ka lower boundary) par hai. Is point se, ek sell strategy jo ke 1.2816 level par retest ke liye return target kare, feasible ho sakti hai, jo ke main anticipate kar raha hoon.Britain se aane wale unemployment rate data ke positive hone ke bawajood, July mein unemployment benefit claims mein significant izafa is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke unemployment rate mein potential decline ho sakta hai. UK ke liye is negative outcome ke bawajood, pair rise isliye hua kyunke US ne producer price index mein drop report kiya hai. Yeh umeed hai ke US inflation aglay period mein decrease karegi. Remarkably, in developments ne aaj US market par significant asar dala hai.H-1 chart par, mera bullish buy level 1.27134 par breach hua, jo ke growth ki taraf shift aur bullish priority ko establish kar raha hai. Bull ne bearish trend line ko tor kar, additional volume gain karte hue upward price movement ko mazid strengthen kiya hai. Bull ne resistance 1.28586 ko reach kiya, aur aglay resistances 1.28899, 1.29175, 1.29384, 1.29659, aur 1.29919 par hain. H1 chart par bullish priority barqarar hai, lekin kal tak ek solid overbought zone develop ho sakta hai, jo ke ek corrective decline ka sabab ban sakta hai—GBP/USD buyers ko yeh baat note karni chahiye. Mera bearish sell level 1.28759 par hai, lekin yeh level kal tak, din ke darmiyan ya shaam tak, rise kar sakta hai. Agar bearish sell level breach hota hai, toh market mein decline ke favor mein shift ho sakta hai, jo mujhe sell karne par majboor karega. Main decline ko support levels 1.27134, 1.26834, 1.26759, 1.26589, 1.26394, aur 1.26275 tak consider karunga.

Broad-market pivot into hopes ke bawajood, jo ke easing inflation figures ki wajah se Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut ke ummeed par hai, UK ek decaying employment landscape ka samna kar raha hai. July ka Claimant Count Change 135K new unemployment benefits seekers ko register karta hai, jo ke forecasted 14.5K se qareeb das guna zyada hai aur pichle month ki figure 32.3K se bhi chaar guna se zyada hai. Yeh UK unemployment claims ka sabse worst print hai jabse 2020 mein pandemic ne mulk ka zyadah tar hissa band kar diya tha, aur Pound Sterling traders Friday ko aane wale UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) print ke liye pehle se ziada trepidation ka samna kar rahe hain.

US PPI inflation July mein 2.2% YoY tak ease hui, jo expected 2.3% se neeche hai aur pichle period ke revised 2.7% se aur zyada girawat mein hai. Core PPI inflation bhi July mein year-ended 2.4% tak decline hui, jo forecasted 2.7% se neeche aur pichli 3.0% se kaafi kam hai. US inflation pressure mein musalsal declines ne US market session mein risk appetite ko bolster kiya, aur Federal Reserve (Fed) se September mein 50 basis point double-cut ke market bets CME ke FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq 55% tak barh gayi hain. GBP/USD ne 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke pass pichle haftay ke technical bounce ke baad recovery rally ko extend kiya hai, jo ke 1.2675 ke near tha. Bulls abhi bhi technical charts par control mein hain, lekin Cable abhi tak 1.2900 handle ko pierce aur recover nahi kar saka jo ke mid-July mein lose hua tha.

Hamari guftagu ka markaz GBP/USD currency pair ke mojooda price action ka jaiza lena hai. Aaj British pound (GBP) ne US dollar (USD) ke against remarkable growth dikhayi hai. Yeh izafa khaas taur par noteworthy hai kyunki hum descending channel ko successfully break kar chuke hain, aur price steady barh rahi hai baghair kisi unexpected fluctuations ke, jo ek naye upward trend ke aghaz ka signal hai. Abhi tak set goals achieve nahi huye hain. Agar GBPUSD pair support level 1.2789 tak girta hai, jo ke meri ninety-ninth Fibonacci level ke mutabiq hai, to long positions consider karna faidamand ho sakta hai. Is scenario mein target 160th level hoga, jo ke humare kareeb hai aur 1.2869 par hai. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke pound ka upward momentum uski pehle ki downward movement se zyada strong hai, jo lagbhag char hafton tak neeche jaati rahi. Agar yeh momentum barqaraar rehta hai, to price aasani se apni peak 1.3042 ko surpass kar sakti hai, jo pichle mahine establish hui thi.
GBPUSD pair daily aur hourly charts par wave-like patterns dikhata hai, jisme yeh ascending channel ke lower aur upper boundaries ko clearly break karta hai, jo ke false breakouts ke areas banata hai. British pound ke fundamental strengthening aur US dollar ke weakening ke madde nazar, pair ne 1.2841 level ko touch kiya hai, jo ke historically aik significant resistance zone hai. Technical analysis ke perspective se, instrument ne Bollinger Bands ke moving average ko cross kiya hai, jo ke upward trend ke continuation ka ishara de sakta hai, jab pair higher price range ki taraf move kare. Agar resistance levels 1.2890 ya 1.2899 hain aur price in points ke upar barqaraar rehti hai, to mujhe mazeed upward movement ka umeed hai, jo ke Bollinger Bands ke upper boundary ke kareeb 29th figure level tak ja sakti hai.

1.2738 ke price movement ko H1 timeframe par analyze karte hue ye dekhne ko milta hai ke current candle ne support level ke neeche break kiya hai, lekin Monday ko ek upward move ki possibility ab bhi qayam hai. Ye umeed is wajah se hai ke candle ab tak Resistance Becomes Support (RBS) zone ke bahar nahi nikli hai jo 1.2630 ke ird gird hai. RBS level technical analysis mein kaafi ahem hota hai, jo ek aise shift ko represent karta hai jahan pehle ka resistance level breach hone ke baad support mein tabdeel ho jata hai.

Filhal price action 1.2630 ke qareeb strong support show kar raha hai, jo is level par buying interest ka izhar karta hai. Jab tak price is RBS area ke upar hai, ek rebound ki potential considerable hai. Ye resilience is baat ka ishara deti hai ke buyers is support level ko defend kar rahe hain, jis se mazid decline ko roka ja raha hai aur shayad upward movement ki tayari ho rahi hai.

Is ke ilawa, agar candle 1.2630 level ke neeche decisively close karne mein kamiyab nahi hoti, to ye support ke strength ko reinforce karta hai. Technical traders aksar aise confirmations ko apni trading strategies ko validate karne ke liye dhoondhte hain. Agar 1.2630 par sustained support rehta hai, to ye nayi upward momentum ko janam de sakta hai, jisse zyada buyers attract honge aur price ko upar push karne mein madad milegi.

Technical factors ke ilawa, market sentiment aur external developments bhi price action ko influence kar sakti hain. Agar broader market conditions favorable hote hain ya asset se related koi positive news ati hai, to upward movement ke chances aur bhi barh sakte hain.

Summary mein, halan ke recent breach of support dekha gaya hai, lekin Monday ko 1.2738 ke price par ek upward movement ki significant possibility ab bhi qayam hai. Jo critical level monitor karne ke liye hai, wo 1.2630 hai. Jab tak ye level hold karta hai, upward movement ki potential qayam hai, jo technical analysis aur market sentiment se support hoti hai. Traders ko developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur additional signals ko dekhna chahiye jo ek bullish reversal ko confirm kar sakti hain

GBPUSD market pair ne bullish movement ka izhar kiya, jahan buyers ka faida raha aur unhon ne price ko upar le jane mein kamyabi hasil ki. Sellers dobara price ko neeche lane mein nakam rahe, kyun ke strong buyers ne support area ko 1.2733-1.2736 ke price par mazbooti se barqarar rakha, jis ki wajah se price bearish se bullish ho gaya.
Daily timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator ke zariye monitor karte hue dekha ja sakta hai ke price buyers ke control mein hai, jo ke Lower Bollinger Bands area ke upar price ko maintain karne mein kamyab rahe hain. Bullish candlestick ki dominance se yeh chances barh gaye hain ke agle hafte bhi buyers GbpUsd pair market par apna control barqarar rakhenge, jisme next bullish target Middle Bollinger Bands area ki taraf 1.2845-1.2850 ke price par hoga. Agar yeh successfully penetrate hota hai, toh GbpUsd pair ki price aur bhi zyada upar ja sakti hai, jahan agla target Upper Bollinger Bands area ki taraf 1.3036-1.3040 ke price par hoga.
Monday ke trading mein yeh expect kiya ja raha hai ke pehle GBPUSD pair ki price mein kuch correction aasakti hai, kyun ke market close hone ke qareeb buyers ko sellers se muqabla karna para jo ke resistance area 1.2770-1.2768 par guard kar rahe hain. Sellers ka bearish target yeh hoga ke woh buyers ke support area ko test karein jo 1.2736-1.2733 par hai. Agar sellers is area ko breach kar lete hain, toh price agle buyer demand support area ki taraf 1.2676-1.2673 par ja sakti hai. Lekin agar yeh area breach nahi hota, toh price bullish trajectory par wapas ja sakti hai.
Is forex pair ka minor retracement aaj ke end tak khatam hone ki umeed hai. Current market analysis ke mutabiq, mujhe lagta hai ke is short-term pullback ke baad upward trend continue hoga. Pichle analysis mein, maine noted kiya tha ke 1.2775 ka resistance level ek key reference point hai potential upward movement ke liye. Abhi jo market behavior hai usse lagta hai ke is brief rollback ke baad pair apne ascent ko resume karega. 1.2775 ka level ek significant barrier sabit hua hai, aur agar isko break kiya jata hai to ye strong bullish momentum ka signal ho sakta hai.
Traders ko dekhna hoga ke price is resistance level ke sath kaise interact karti hai, kyunki ye pair ki future direction ka insight dega. Agar price 1.2775 ko surpass karti hai, to hum further gains dekh sakte hain jo upward trend ko reinforce karenge. Lekin agar ye level firm rahe aur price break nahi ho pati, to ye consolidation phase ya potential reversal ka indication ho sakta hai. Isliye, is resistance level par nazar rakhna crucial hai taake pair ke agle phase aur informed trading decisions ki forecasting ki ja sake.
Is analysis ko samajhne ke baad, traders ko is pair ki movements aur economic indicators par dhyan rakhna chahiye taake wo market conditions ke mutabiq behtar trading decisions le sakain

GBP/USD Ki Bunyadi Aur Technical Tehqiq:

GBP/USD pair mein budh ke din aik pullback dekha gaya, jis ne chaar din ke lagataar kamiyabi ka silsila tor dia. Ye wapas hua jab UK aur US ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data umeed se kam raha. Pair 1.2850 ke level se neechay gir gaya, jo ke recent rally ke dauran aik ahem support zone tha. UK mein CPI inflation July mein pichlay saal ke muqable mein 2.2% barh gayi, jo ke forecast 2.3% se thori kam thi, magar pichlay mahine ke 2.0% se zyada thi. Core inflation, jo ke food aur energy jese volatile items ko exclude karta hai, bhi 3.5% se kam hoke 3.3% par aagayi. Ye data yeh suggest karta hai ke UK mein inflationary pressures ab kam ho rahe hain, jo Bank of England (BoE) ko aane walay mahino mein apni rate hikes rokne par majboor kar sakta hai.

US mein bhi inflation ka pattern kuch aisa hi tha, jahaan headline aur core CPI umeed se kam aaye. Is wajah se Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke hawalay se sochnay ka andaaz badal gaya hai, aur ab market mein rate hikes ke imkanaat kam nazar aate hain. Ab Fed ka markaz inflation control se hatkar economic growth ko support karne par hai, khas tor par jab recent data se economic activity mein thoda cooling dekha gaya hai.

Ye tamaam factors GBP/USD pair par downward pressure dal rahe hain. Technical factors bhi is decline ka sabab bane, kyun ke pair 1.2900 ke level ke upar apni position qaim rakhne mein nakam raha, jo mid-July se aik critical resistance zone hai. Aagay jaake, UK GDP growth data aur US Retail Sales figures jo ke Thursday ko schedule hain, par nazar rahegi. Ye releases dono maeshat ki sehat ke baare mein mazeed maloomat faraham karain gi aur GBP/USD pair ke agle rukh ko taayun kar sakti hain. Agar UK GDP growth strong hoti hai, to pound ko support mil sakta hai, jabke mazboot US retail sales dollar ko mazid taqat de sakti hain. Magar agar data disappoint karta hai, to hum pair mein aur ziada downside dekh sakte hain.




Technical Tafseelat Aur Trading Strategy:

GBP/USD ab ek upward trend mein hai jab ke ye aik falling wedge pattern complete kar chuka hai, aur ascending channel ke lower boundary par support mila hai. Kal New York session ke dauran, US Dollar Index ne dollar ke liye positive pressure paida kiya, jis ke natijay mein ye pair 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) aur 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke support levels ke qareeb gir gaya. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi favorable level par hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke sellers puri taqat se kaam nahi kar rahe, jis se buyers ko control qaim rakhne ka moka mil raha hai aur wo rising wedge pattern ko mukammal karne ke qareeb hain.

Forex Trading mein GBP/USD Ki Keemat

Hamara mojooda focus GBP/USD currency pair ki price action ko evaluate karne par hai. Daily aur hourly chart par GBP/USD ka halat abhi kaafi nazuk hai, jabke yeh asset un resistance zones ke qareeb hai jo historically is pair ko bearish direction mein dhakelte rahe hain. Jin logon ne aaj ke bullish trend ka faida uthane ka mauqa kho diya, un ke liye yeh risky hai kyun ke mojooda situation mein pullback ho sakta hai. Aaj ka daily candle Bollinger Band ke moving average se false breakout ho sakta hai, jo asset ke average price range ko zahir karta hai. Kal ka din aaj ke anomali candle ka correction le kar aa sakta hai, jo ke guzishta candle ke upper tail ke sath align ho sakta hai. Yeh 80% retracement ka sabab ban sakta hai Fibonacci scale par, jis se 1.2799 ka level aik ahem zone ban jata hai bearish trend-based correction ke liye, potential further growth se pehle.




Pound ho sakta hai ke is growth ko nahi chalayega, halan ke GBP/USD mein upward movement dekha gaya hai. Baray market ka sentiment ziada tar US dollar ko sell karne par focus kar raha hai. Ek ahem observation jo mein aksar mad e nazar rakhta hoon wo yeh hai ke agar trading ke liye koi benchmark—jaise ke level ka pehla test ke baad rebound—likely nahi hai, aur price apne aap ko correct kar leti hai pehle ke baraks, to wo benchmark apni reliability kho deta hai. Price acha hai. Aaj GBP/USD ke sath aisa hi hua. Mene sell entry level ko 1.2813 par identify kiya tha, magar pair ne pehle local maximum 1.28115 ko touch kiya, phir 1.2777 tak gir gaya. Is move ne ek mukammal pullback ka ishara diya, jo ke bullish direction mein zigzag pattern ka stage set kar raha hai, aur yeh tab confirm hua jab top 1.28115 ka break huwa.