𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

**Monday ke American trading session mein ek numaya taraqqi hui, jahan currency pair 1.1009 par charh kar chaar mahine ke buland tareen level par pahunch gaya.** Yeh surge Euro ki taqat ko highlight karta hai, jo ke kamzor DXY ke muqablay mein upar ja raha hai, halan ke United States ke Producer Price Index (PPI) report ne dikhaya ke July mein producer inflation tawaqo se zyada barh gaya.

**Milay Julay Inflation Signals ne Fed Rate Cut Expectations Ko Makhdoom Kar Diya:**

CME FedWatch tool se market ka yaqeen zahir hota hai ke Federal Reserve September mein interest rates ko cut karega, aur mazeed cuts shayad November ya December mein ho sakte hain. Yeh expectations largely June Consumer Price Index (CPI) data par mabni hain, jo ke dikhata hai ke disinflation process wapas shuru hua hai ek waqfa ke baad jo saal ke aghaz mein dekha gaya tha.

Iske bar'aks, June ke consumer inflation data se kamzor nateeja saamne aaya, jo ke deceleration dikhata hai. Producer aur consumer inflation ke darmiyan yeh ikhtilaf market ke us speculation ko undermine kar sakta hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) September ke meeting ke baad interest rate cuts ka aghaz karega. Market is sambhavana ke qareeb tha ke rate reductions ho sakte hain, magar milay julay inflation signals is outlook ko mushkil bana dete hain.

**D1 Chart EUR/USD Rally Ko Technical Resistance Aur Potential Correction Ka Samna:**

Pair ne steady taraqqi dikhayi hai, aur Jumma ko 1.0930 level se thoda upar close hua. June ke aakhir mein 1.0667 ke low se pair 2.3% ka faida utha chuka hai. Maujooda intraday price movements ke madde nazar, aisa lagta hai ke early August ke peaks 1.1009 ke aas paas technical resistance ka test ho sakta hai.

Currency pair ne haal hi mein daily charts par ek descending channel se breakout kiya hai. Mazboot performance ke bawajood, jab ke aakhri 12 trading days mein se das din green mein close huay hain, bullish momentum apne peak ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Traders ko ek potential bearish correction ka khayal rakhna chahiye, khaaskar jab price 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.0811 ke qareeb aata hai.

### GBP/USD H-4 Analysis

**Analysis:**

H-4 timeframe chart ke mutabiq, GBP/USD currency pair pichle teen hafton se bearish rukh apnane ki koshish kar raha hai. Is haftay ki market analysis ke mutabiq, price ab bhi consistently downward trend mein chal rahi hai aur 1.2671 ke price range tak gir gayi hai. Pichle mahine, is pair ne bullish trend ko continue karne mein naakam raha, lekin aakhri kuch dinon mein bearish trend dominate kar raha hai. Isliye, agle market trend ke bearish rahne ka imkaan hai, aur price girne ke liye mumkin hai. Sellers ke paas ab bhi potential hai ke woh price ko neeche ki taraf push karein, jiska maqsad 1.2650 ke price level ko test karna ho sakta hai, ya is se bhi neeche tak girna mumkin hai.

**Current Conditions and Analysis:**

Jumeraat ki subah, GBP/USD pair ne US Dollar ke muqablay mein 1.2800 ke qareeb gains ko barqarar rakha. Ye positive movement largely USD ke kamzor hone ke wajah se hai, jo July ke US jobs data report ke nikalne ke baad aaya, jo labor market ke thanda hone ko darshata hai. Aage chal kar, investors UK ke monthly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures aur May ke factory data ko nazar mein rakhenge, jo Thursday ko release hone wale hain. UK economy se 0.2% ke modest expansion ki ummeed hai, jabke April mein koi tabdeeli nahi aayi thi.

Agar GDP figures expected se behtar aate hain, to GBP/USD ko short-term me support mil sakta hai aur bullish movement dekha ja sakta hai. Lekin, agar data disappointing hota hai ya market expectation se kam hota hai, to bearish trend barqarar reh sakta hai aur price 1.2650 ya is se neeche girne ke imkaan hain. Overall, aaj ki market conditions aur upcoming data releases GBP/USD ke short-term trend ko significant influence de sakti hain.

Wednesday ke session ke dauran, pair ne 12-mahine ka peak breach kiya, aur 1.3064 ko touch kiya, jo iske recent price action mein ek potential turning point ko mark karta hai. Yeh upward momentum khaaskar significant tha amidst limited economic data ke pehle week ke start mein, jabke traders eagerly upcoming high-impact calendar releases ka intezar kar rahe the. Yeh milestone renewed investor interest ko underscore karta hai pair mein, jo evolving market sentiments aur economic indicators se influence hota hai jo aane wale hain.

Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco ki President Mary Daly ne recently 2024 mein inflation trends par comment kiya, cautious optimism ko note karte hue despite ongoing challenges. Unki sentiments Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago ke President Austan Goolsbee ke sentiments ko echo karti hain, jo Fed's policy stance par confident hain aur anticipate karte hain ke inflation management mein further progress hoga.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Currency pair significant support encounter kar sakti hai around 1.2936, jo aligned hai bottom edge of a broadening bottom pattern ke sath. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, toh pair lower support ke near expose ho sakti hai near 1.2842, jo pivotal levels hain traders ke liye closely monitor karne ke liye. Immediate resistance near 14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.2851 ke aas-paas hai. Ek decisive move above this barrier GBP/USD ko propel kar sakti hai towards testing higher resistance around 1.3100, jo potential opportunities highlight karta hai for bullish continuation.



Market indicators ko further analyze karne par bearish bias reveal hoti hai, with the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently below the 50 mark, jo prevailing downward momentum ko suggest karta hai. Moreover, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is trend ko reinforce karta hai, depicting a divergence below the signal line despite the MACD line's position above the centerline. Jaise traders in dynamics ko navigate karte hain, key technical levels aur market indicators ke baare mein informed rehna crucial rahta hai.

USD/JPY/H4

Main is waqt USD/JPY pair ko D1 time frame mein dekh raha hoon, jahan iska price Thursday ko tezi se gir kar 144.40 par aa gaya tha. Lekin, yeh mumkin nahi lagta ke yeh 146.50 se neeche giray ga. Iske ilawa, US dollar index ne Ukraine aur Russian crisis ke geopolitical tensions ke wajah se tezi se izafa dekha hai. Thursday ko, USD/JPY ke 145.50 supply zone se aage recover hone ka imkaan hai, jahan long-term bulls ko faida ho sakta hai. Natijan, USD/JPY ke barhney ke imkanaat zyada hain. Agar buyers supply level 147.10 ke upar settle ho jate hain, to woh price ko January ke high 146.40 tak le jayenge.

Main Bollinger Bands aur resistance levels 149.251, 150.855, 153.348, aur 153.720 ko target kar raha hoon. Aaj bulls ne pehle ke bearish trend line ko surpass kar liya, jo ke buying volume mein izafa ka ishara hai. Lekin agar bearish sell level 142.901 par hit hota hai, to yeh bearish trend ki taraf shift ko zahir karega. Agar price reverse hota hai aur bearish scenario ke sath align hota hai, to main ek decline ko prioritize karunga, expecting a drop in the Bollinger Bands. 30-minute chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke oscillator oversold conditions ko indicate kar raha hai, aur histogram ne uptrend shuru kiya hai. Price, jo ke minimum 141.86 tak pohonch gaya tha, ab barhna shuru ho gaya hai. Yeh green zone se guzarta hai aur shayad red zone ko support level ke tor par use kare. Price poori tarah green zone ko navigate kar sakta hai aur apne pehle ke sideways range mein wapas aa sakta hai jahan support 153.11 aur resistance 154.71 par hai.

Prices is waqt sharply lower hain aur weekly lows ke qareeb trade kar rahi hain. Important support areas ab tak untested hain lekin ab bhi hold kar rahi hain, jo downside ko significant banata hai. Waqt ke sath, corrective recovery ka yeh current phase apni continuation ki potential ko level 145.81 par exhaust kar chuka hai, jahan main resistance zone expected hai. Is level ka retest aur subsequent reversal neeche ki taraf ek naye wave ka rasta banayega jo 137.72 aur 135.18 areas ko target karega.

USD/JPY currency pair is waqt 146.52 par trade kar raha hai, aur ek bearish trend dikha raha hai jo traders aur analysts ki nazar mein hai. Market ki gradual pace ke bawajood, kuch underlying factors hain jo suggest karte hain ke significant movement aasakti hai. Yeh analysis economic indicators, market sentiment, aur geopolitical influences ko explore karti hai jo aane wale dinon mein anticipated volatility ko drive kar sakti hain.
### Economic Indicators

**1. U.S. Economic Data:**
U.S. economy USD/JPY exchange rate mein ek crucial role play karti hai. Key indicators jese ke GDP growth, non-farm payrolls, aur inflation rates ko market participants dhyan se dekhte hain. Hal hi mein, U.S. se mixed economic data ne USD par bearish pressure banaya hai. Agar aane wale reports bhi economic weakness ke signs dikhati hain, khaaskar job growth ya consumer spending mein, to yeh USD ko aur neeche kheench sakta hai, USD/JPY pair ko lower karte hue.

**2. Japan’s Economic Outlook:**
Dusri taraf, Japan ka economic outlook bhi pair ko influence karta hai. Japanese yen aam taur par global uncertainty ke doran safe-haven flows se faida uthata hai. Halankeh Japan ki economic growth modest rahi hai, agar kisi bhi strengthening ka indication milta hai—jese ke industrial production ya inflation mein improvements— to yeh yen ko dollar ke khilaf strong kar sakta hai. Saath hi, Bank of Japan ki monetary policy stance bhi ek critical factor hai. Agar woh tightening ya kam accommodative policy ki taraf shift hota hai, to yeh yen ko additional support de sakta hai, jo USD/JPY mein bearish trend ko enhance karega.

### Market Sentiment

**1. Risk Aversion:**
Market sentiment filhal risk aversion ki taraf inclined hai, jo ke yen ko support karta hai uski safe-haven status ke wajah se. Global economic uncertainties, major economies mein slowing growth aur persistent inflationary pressures ke concerns ne investors ko safer assets ki taraf rukh kar diya hai. Is sentiment shift ne USD/JPY pair par downward pressure daala hai, kyunki yen ki demand dollar ke muqable mein barh gayi hai.

**2. Technical Analysis:**
Technical perspective se, USD/JPY pair key moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke bearish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. Pair ka resistance levels ko break na karna, lower highs aur lower lows ke saath, yeh suggest karta hai ke downward trend continue ho sakta hai. Traders shayad yeh technical indicators monitor karte rahenge further weakness ya potential reversals ke signs ke liye.

### Geopolitical Factors

**1. U.S.-China Relations:**
Geopolitical tensions, khaaskar U.S. aur China ke beech, USD/JPY pair ko significantly impact kar sakti hain. Trade disputes ya diplomatic conflicts mein kisi bhi escalation se market volatility barh sakti hai, jo yen ki safe-haven asset ke tor par demand ko drive kar sakti hai. Ongoing geopolitical landscape ek crucial factor hai jo dekhna zaroori hai.

**2. Global Energy Prices:**
Global energy prices, khaaskar oil, mein fluctuations bhi USD/JPY exchange rate ko influence kar sakti hain. Japan, jo ke oil ka major importer hai, energy costs mein changes ke liye sensitive hai. Rising oil prices yen ko weigh down kar sakti hain, jabke decline se yen ko support mil sakta hai, broader market context ke hisaab se.

Ham traders, aaj ke market ke liye apne trading plans se mutabiq achi entry points dhoondhne mein masroof hain. Bolang posting karte waqt relax karta hai, jo unhein har haftay consistent aur badhti hui bonuses kamaane mein madad deta hai. Magar, guzishta hafta unke liye mushkil tha kyunki market trading mein kuch floating losses ka samna tha, aur ab wo is hafta achha munafa kamaane ki umeed karte hain taake withdrawal (WD) kar sakein. Is wajah se, hum trend confirmation pattern ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Chhote traders jaise humne 1.2645 par buy kiya, aur kuch pehle ke buyers ne bhi is level par pehle touch hone par buy kiya, apne stop losses 1.2715 par lagaye. Kuch traders zyadti ehtimaad mein the aur apne stop losses is level se neeche lagaye.

Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke market ka 80% market makers se milkar banta hai. Is suratehaal mein, market makers aksar chhote traders ke against move karte hain taake liquidity le sakein aur unke stop losses ko hit kar sakein. Hum dekh sakte hain ke market ne aisa kiya, jiski wajah se direction sideways se downtrend mein tabdeel ho gayi. Bunyadi taur par, GBP/USD pair, aur doosre pairs ke sath, Ukraine mein jari jang aur anqareebi Fed rate hike ki tashweeshon ke sabab se kumzor hai. Is ne GBP/USD pairs ki movement ko mazeed dabaa diya hai. Iske ilawa, scheduled news ya high-impact fundamentals bhi GBP/USD market pairs mein significant volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain. Economic calendar ke mutabiq, Bolang ne pehchana hai ke aaj kuch low-impact fundamentals, yani JOLTS Openings ki news release hogi. Agar nataij munasib rahe, to yeh US dollar ki taqat ko barhawa de sakti hai, jo ke GBP/USD pair ko kamzor kar sakti hai.

British Pound (GBP) ne Friday ke US trading session ke douran major currencies ke saamne, siwaye Yen ke, surprising resilience dikhayi, jo ke market expectations ko defy karta hai. Yeh positive shift us waqt aya jab British leadership mein tabdeeliyan aane ki umeed hai. Labour Party, jo Keir Starmer ke under hai, ne Thursday ko strong performance di, jo ke investor sentiment ko boost kar gaya. Aam tor par, ek single political party ki absolute jeet financial markets ke liye faidemand hoti hai. Investors yeh anticipate karte hain ke Labour Party ki jeet Pound ki attractiveness ko significantly barhade gi. Yeh optimism Pound ko three-week high par le gaya, jahan yeh 1.2800 tak pohoch gaya US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein.

GBP/USD pair ki technical analysis se mazeed positive signs nazar aate hain. Pound is waqt 1.2770 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke kareeb hai, aur strong 61.8% level 1.2670 ke upar hai. Is ke ilawa, 20-day moving average lagbhag 1.2695 ke aaspaas hai, jo recent upward trend ko mazeed support karta hai. Halanki Pound ka outlook promising lagta hai, magar kuch factors ko consider karna zaroori hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo price momentum ko measure karta hai, ne recently 60 ke upar cross kiya hai. Agar yeh rise jari rehti hai, toh yeh positive hoga, magar agar is mein reversal aata hai, toh Pound wapas apne initial support level 1.2655 par aasakta hai.

Agar mazeed decline hota hai, toh Pound 1.2598 zone ki taraf push kar sakta hai, jo January aur March mein strong tha. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, toh ek steeper decline trigger ho sakta hai, jo ke possibly 1.2517 tak pohoch sakta hai, jo February mein dekha gaya tha. Dusri taraf, agar ek sustained rally hoti hai, toh Pound ko immediate resistance ka saamna 1.2816-1.2826 range mein hoga. Agar yeh hurdle overcome hota hai, toh Pound three-month high 1.2859 ki taraf surge kar sakta hai. Agar is area se upar breakout hota hai, toh Pound potentially 2024 ka peak achieve kar sakta hai.

Overall, recent strength jo Pound ne dikhayi hai, woh ek prolonged downtrend ke baad ayi hai. Magar short-term outlook is baat par depend karta hai ke kya Pound apni position crucial 50-day moving average ke upar maintain kar sakta hai ya nahi. Labour Party ki performance ne undoubtedly investor confidence ko boost kiya hai, lekin yeh sustained rally mein translate hota hai ya nahi, yeh dekhna baqi hai.

GBP/USD ne Friday ko US jobs report ke baad 0.20% se zyada ka acha gain register kiya. June ke data ne dikhaya ke economy ne expect kiye gaye se zyada jobs add ki, magar April aur May ke figures mein revision ne yeh hint diya ke labor market mazeed weak ho raha hai. GBP/USD ab 1.2790 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke apni opening price se upar hai, aur isne din ka low 1.2752 par hit kiya tha.

GBP/USD din ke doran 1.2800 ke psychological level ke aaspaas fluctuate kar raha hai, aur yeh crucial resistance trendlines ke upar daily close karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ab tak support ban chuki hain, kareeb 1.2660/75 par.

Momentum bullish lag raha hai, jaisa ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne dikhaya, jo 50-neutral line ko June 2 ko cross karne ke baad mazeed upar jaane ka aim kar raha hai. Is liye, GBP/USD ka resistance ka path upward lag raha hai. Agar buyers daily close 1.2800 ke upar karne mein kamyab ho jate hain, toh yeh year-to-date (YTD) high 1.2894 ko challenge karne ka rasta banayega. Is level ko cross karne par mazeed upside dekhi ja sakti hai, jisme agla resistance 1.2900 par hoga, uske baad July 27, 2023 ka high 1.2995, aur phir 1.3000 ka level aa sakta hai.

Agar bearish reversal hoti hai, toh sellers yeh expect karenge ke exchange rate July 4 ke daily low 1.2733 se neeche gir jaye. Yeh phir April 8 ka high expose karega, jo ke ab support ban gaya hai, aur 1.2709 par hai. Iske baad 1.2700 ka level exposed hoga, aur mazeed losses par 50-day moving average (DMA) 1.2673 par expose ho sakta hai.

Overall, GBP/USD ka technical outlook bullish hai, magar support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna zaroori hoga, kyun ke yeh currency pair ke agle movement ko determine karenge. Buyers ke liye 1.2800 ke upar daily close critical hoga, jab ke sellers ke liye 1.2733 ke neeche fall hona zaroori hoga ek strong bearish signal ke liye.

Good morning. Haan, kal buyers ne phir se sellers ko koi moka nahi diya, halaan ke din ke doran neeche jaane ki koshish hui thi. Aur ajeeb baat yeh hai ke non-farm payrolls ke data forecast se behtar aaye, lekin phir bhi yeh Dollar ko strengthen karne mein madadgar nahi hua. Shayad iski wajah yeh ho sakti hai ke data, halaan ke forecast se behtar the, lekin pehle ke values se kamzor the. Aik tarah se dekha jaye toh growth continue hai aur ab buyers ka qareebi target 1.28599 ka level hai. Agar agle hafte yeh level break kar diya jata hai aur uske baad iske piche consolidate karne mein kamyabi milti hai, toh hum movement 1.28932 ke level ki taraf expect kar sakte hain.

Sellers ke liye zaroori hai ke wo kam az kam koi reversal model banaayein taa ke hum kam az kam correction ki umeed rakh sakein. GBP/USD H4 chart par dekha jaye toh:

1 - Pound 4-hour chart par trading ke end par upper band ke qareeb pohonch gaya hai. Agar agle hafte hum upper band ka active touch dekhein, aur iske baad dono bands outward open ho jayein, toh yeh humein price growth ka mazid mazboot signal dega. Agar hum situation ko fractals se evaluate karein, toh price July 3 ke fractal level tak pohonch gayi thi, aur iske ilawa aur bhi upar chal gayi - June 13 ke fractal tak. Agar hum is level ke piche consolidate karne mein kamyab ho gaye, toh price growth ka agla target June 12 ka fractal hoga jo ke 1.28599 par hai. Qareebi fractal ab current price value se kaafi door hai, aur price growth ki direction mein kuch rely karne ke liye humein aik naya, qareebi fractal ka intizaar karna hoga.

2 - AO indicator positive area mein active increase form kar raha hai, aur ab tak yeh clear nahi hai ke pehla peak kab form hoga, jo ke yeh batata hai ke price growth mazid continue reh sakta hai. Price fall ka signal receive karne ke liye humein zero mark ki taraf active attenuation ka intizaar karna hoga.

Aik aur baat yeh ke halaan ke non-farm data forecast se behtar tha, Dollar ki mazid strength nahi ho paayi. Is se lagta hai ke market ke factors ab sirf economic data par nahi, balke pehle se ziada technical indicators aur fractal levels par bhi depend kar rahe hain. Ab humein yeh dekhna hoga ke agle hafte market kis taraf jati hai aur kya GBP/USD ke buyers apna momentum barqarar rakh pate hain ya nahi.

British Pound (GBP) ne Friday ko umeedon ke bar'aks kaafi mazbooti dikhayi, jab ke US trading session ke doran yeh aam currency pairs ke muqablay mein (Yen ke siwa) surprise resilience dikhane mein kamyab raha. Yeh positive shift is liye dekhne mein aayi ke British leadership mein tabdeeli ke asar nazar aa rahe hain. Labor Party, jo Keir Starmer ke under hai, ne Thursday ko mazboot dikhayi dikhayi, jis ne investoron ke jazbat ko barhawa diya. Aam tor par, jab koi aik siyasi party absolute victory hasil karti hai, toh yeh financial markets ke liye faida mand samjha jata hai. Investors ki umeed hai ke agar Labor Party jeet gayi, toh yeh Pound ki attractiveness ko khaasi tor par barha dega. Isi optimism ki wajah se Pound ne teen hafton ki bulandiyon ko chhua, jab yeh US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein 1.2800 tak pohonch gaya.

GBP/USD pair ki technical analysis bhi mazeed positive asraat dikhati hai. Pound is waqt 1.2770 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level par hai, aur is ne pehle 61.8% ke level ko, jo 1.2670 par tha, cross kar liya hai. Iske ilawa, 20-day moving average (EMA) bhi qareeb 1.2695 par hai, jo ke hal hi mein dekhe gaye upward trend ki tasdeeq karta hai. Halaankeh Pound ka outlook promising nazar aa raha hai, lekin kuch factors bhi hain jo madde nazar rakhne chahiye. Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo ke price momentum ko naapne ka aik meezan hai, hal hi mein 60 ke upar gaya hai. Agar yeh rise continue karta hai toh yeh positive hoga, lekin agar is mein reversal hota hai, toh Pound apne initial support level 1.2655 par wapas aa sakta hai.

Agar mazeed decline hoti hai, toh Pound 1.2598 zone tak dhakel sakta hai, jo ke January aur March mein mazboot raha tha. Agar is level ke neeche breach hoti hai, toh ek aur ziada steep decline dekhi ja sakti hai, jo mumkin hai ke 1.2517 tak, jo February mein dekha gaya tha, pohonch jaye. Dusri taraf, agar rally sustainable hoti hai, toh Pound qareebi resistance ko 1.2816-1.2826 range mein face kar sakta hai. Agar yeh hurdle cross kar leta hai, toh teen mahine ke high 1.2859 tak surge dekha ja sakta hai. Aur agar is area ke upar breakout hota hai, toh yeh 2024 ke peak ke liye rasta bana sakta hai.

Overall, Pound ki recent strength ek lambi downtrend ke baad dekhne mein aayi hai. Lekin short-term outlook ka inhasar is baat par hai ke Pound apne crucial 50-day moving average ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakh pata hai ya nahi. Labor Party ki performance ne investoron ke confidence ko be-shak barhaya hai, lekin yeh sustainable rally mein tabdeel hota hai ya nahi, yeh abhi dekhna baqi hai.

Good morning. Haan, kal buyers ne ek dafa phir sellers ko kisi bhi qisam ka moka nahi diya, halan ke din ke doran neeche janay ki koshish ki gayi thi. Ajeeb baat yeh hai ke non-farm payroll data forecast se behtar aaya, lekin is ne Dollar ko mazid mazbooti dene mein madad nahi ki. Shayad is ki wajah yeh hai ke data, halan ke forecast se behtar hai, magar pichle values se ab bhi kamzor hai. Jo bhi ho, growth ka silsila jari hai aur ab buyers ka qareebi target 1.28599 ka level hai. Agar aglay haftay yeh level break hota hai aur us ke baad consolidate karta hai, to hum 1.28932 ke level ki taraf movement expect kar sakte hain.

Sellers ko ab kam az kam koi reversal model banana ho ga taake hum kisi correction ki umeed kar saken. GBP/USD H4 chart par dekha jaye to: 1 - Pound ne 4-hour chart par trading ke ikhtitaam par upper band ko approach kiya hai. Aur agar aglay haftay hum upper band ka aik active touch dekhte hain aur us ke baad dono bands outward khul jate hain, to yeh price growth ke liye aik mazid mazboot signal hoga. Agar hum situation ko fractals ke zariye evaluate karein, to price ne July 3 ke fractal ke level par apna target poora kiya aur is se bhi ooper chala gaya - June 13 ke fractal tak. Agar hum is ke peeche consolidate karne mein kamyab hote hain, to agla target price growth ke liye June 12 ka fractal hoga jo 1.28599 par hai.

Jo qareebi fractal neeche hai, wo abhi ke current price value se kaafi door hai. Aur price growth ki direction mein kisi cheez par bharosa karne ke liye, ye zaroori hoga ke ek naya, qareebi fractal nazar aaye. 2 - AO indicator positive area mein ab bhi aik active increase form kar raha hai, aur abhi yeh saaf nahi ke pehla peak kab form hoga. Yeh baat yeh zahir karti hai ke price growth mazeed barh sakti hai. Agar price fall ka signal lena hai, to is ke liye zaroori hoga ke zero mark ki taraf aik active attenuation ka intezar kiya jaye.

GBP/USD pair ne pichlay paanch din se musalsal positive territory mein trade karte hue 1.2688 ke qareeb apni position bana rakhi hai. USD index 106.00 barrier se neeche gir gaya hai, jo ke pair ke liye ek bara support ban raha hai. Investors ab US June ADP employment change, ISM services PMI aur FOMC minutes ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke Wednesday ko release hone wale hain. 100-day aur 50-day SMAs 1.2640 par ek mazboot technical area bana rahe hain. Agar yeh level hold karta hai, to sellers ki interest barqarar reh sakti hai. Neeche ki taraf, 1.2600 (ek psychological aur static level) ko interim support samjha ja sakta hai, jo ke 1.2580 (Fibonacci 50% retracement of the latest uptrend) aur 1.2520 (Fibonacci 61.8% retracement) ke qareeb hai.

1.2640 ko pehla resistance level mana ja raha hai. Agar daily close is level se ooper hota hai, to yeh technical buyers ko attract kar sakta hai. 1.2700 (20-day SMA, psychological level) aur 1.2720 (Fibonacci 23.6% retracement) aglay resistance levels ke tor par dekhay ja sakte hain. GBP/USD ne Monday ko 1.2700 se ooper rise kiya aur US session mein June 20 se apna sab se high level touch kiya. Lekin din ke akhir mein pair ne traction lose ki aur 1.2650 par lagbhag unchanged raha. Tuesday ko pair ne apni back foot position barqarar rakhi aur 1.2640 ke key technical level ke neeche trade kiya.

Tuesday ko risk sentiment mein negative shift ne US dollar ko demand dilai aur GBP/USD ko rebound karne se roka. Is douran, US stock index futures mein 0.3% se 0.5% ka downfall dekhne ko mila. Doosray hissay mein, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ECB Forum on Central Banking mein policy outlook par baat karain gay. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, markets mein takriban 35% chance hai ke Fed September mein policy rates ko unchanged chor dega. Agar Powell last Friday ke personal consumption expenditures price index ke baad inflation outlook mein improvement acknowledge karte hain, to USD ko demand paane mein mushkil ho sakti hai. Dusri taraf, market positioning yeh suggest karti hai ke agar Powell September mein rate cut ke expectations ke khilaf chaltay hain, to USD mein mazid strength dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

GBP/USD pair is waqt bearish movements dikhata hai, jo key moving averages aur stochastic indicator se rejections se confirm hoti hain. Agla significant support level 1.2593 par hai, aur agar yeh level break hota hai, to mazid declines aa sakte hain. Wazeh hai ke agar price 1.2689 se ooper move karta hai, to yeh phir se bullish trend ki taraf shift ka indication ho sakta hai. Traders ko in critical levels ko monitor karte hue informed trading decisions lene chahiye.

1.2610 level selling opportunities ke liye ek clear entry point hai. Aap stop loss ko 1.2650 se ooper set karke, lower red channel line ke upar target kar ke pair ke potential decline ko confidently navigate kar sakte hain. Sales opportunities current candle ke 4-hour chart par sab se lowest price ke neeche arise hoti hain. Stop loss ko adjust kar ke usi candle ke highest price ke ooper set karna chahiye, aur weekly support level 1.2580 ke upar target karna chahiye.

GBP/USD pair ne ek musalsal upward trajectory dikhai hai. Iske bawajood ke range tight hai, bullish trend itna mazboot hai ke buyers ki dominance ko sustain kar saka hai. Yeh market behavior is baat ka ishara karta hai ke prices mein mazeed izafa ki umeed hai, jo ke UK se positive economic data ya USD ke weaker performance ki wajah se ho sakta hai.

**Buyer Strength Ki Numaya Honi**

Price ka 1.26937 aur 1.27362 ke darmiyan move karna buyers ki strength mein aham izafa dikhata hai. Magar, Moving Average line ke qareeb aane se yeh signal milta hai ke sellers bhi actively market mein hain, jo resistance create karte hain. Is resistance ko overcome karna zaroori hai agar bullish trend ko barqarar rakhna hai.

**Bank of England Ki Monetary Policy Tightening Cycle**

Jab pair green consolidation rectangle mein tha, tab tak Bank of England ke monetary policy tightening cycle ke khatam hone ke baare mein koi maloomat nahi thi. Us waqt, Bank of England sab se hawkish bank tha aur interest rates ko high rakhne ka irada rakhta tha. Us waqt Euro/dollar pair neeche gir raha tha, lekin yeh pair apne range mein trade kar raha tha. Jab yeh wazeh ho gaya ke Bank of England apni monetary policy tightening cycle ko khatam kar raha hai aur clear signal de raha hai ke monetary policy ko ease karne wala hai, tab yeh pair decline hone laga aur selling volume mein bhi significant izafa dekhne ko mila.

**Confusion Aur Realization**

Pehle yeh wazeh nahi tha ke pair range mein trade karne ke baad kyun increase ho raha hai, jab market Bank of England ke decision ka intezar kar raha tha, aur us decision ke baad pair increase hone laga. Yeh baad mein samajh aayi ke yeh sellers ke stops ko trigger kar raha tha. Is realization ke baad, selling volume range ke lower bounds ke qareeb increase hone lagi. Pair 1.23041 ke support ke neeche gir gaya, lekin us support se bounce back kar gaya. Inflation decrease hona shuru hui thi, lekin jab yeh dobara increase hui, tab yeh wazeh ho gaya ke inflation stabilize ho gayi hai aur mazeed decline ki umeed nahi hai. Federal Reserve bhi rates cut nahi karega, aur pair ne dobara bounce back karna shuru kar diya.

**Predictions Aur Analysis**

Asal mein, koi wazeh wajah nahi thi ke pair un levels par trade kar raha tha. Iske ilawa, pair ne pichle highs ko update kar diya, jab ke UK mein inflation target levels tak pohanch gayi thi. Generally, koi reason nahi hai ke pair un levels par barqarar rahe. Yeh predict kiya jata hai ke bearish trend support level 1.25623 tak continue karega. Pair mazeed 1.25017 ke levels tak gir sakta hai, phir reverse kar sakta hai aur ek range mein trade kar sakta hai jab tak inflation data release nahi hota, jo ke pair ke movement ko asar andaz kar sakta hai.

Hello everyone. Abhi ke liye, GBP/USD pair H-1 chart par upar ki taraf correction dikhara hai aur 1.28108 par trade kar raha hai. Instaforex company ke indicator ke pehle hissay mein, bulls aur bears ke darmiyan ek barabar ka farq hai, jahan bulls 50.02% range mein hain. Indicator ke doosray hissa mein northward trend ka ishara diya gaya hai. Agle haftay iss pair mein kya dekhnay ko milega? UK se kuch important aur dilchasp news yeh hain: Gross Domestic Product (GDP) aur balance of trade in goods. United States mein: Federal Reserve ke discussion leader Powell ne iss haftay do speeches ki hain. Crude oil reserves, core consumer price index (CPI), consumer price index (CPI), initial jobless claims, producer price index (PPI), trade balance aur consumer confidence index. Eurozone mein: Consumer Price Index aur Trade Balance. Yeh sab fundamental aur technical analysis ke liye kafi hai. Toh short mein kya aur kaise? Mera khayal hai ke pair pehle south side par adjust karega aur 1.2715 level tak jayega, uske baad north side par reverse kar ke 1.2980 level tak pohanch sakta hai. Sabko good luck for the hunt!

GBP/USD H-4 par.

Hello. Theek hai, ab aap samajh gaye. Labor ki victory UK ke liye achi khabar thi, jisse GBP strong hua, jab ke non-farm payrolls (NFP) data ne abhi tak job data ke tor par consider hone ka faisla nahi kiya hai, magar phir bhi unemployment ke tor par dekh rahe hain. Yeh baat wazeh nahi hai ke yeh sab kaise connect hota hai, lekin chalo chalte hain. Shayad baad mein yeh likhen ke calculation errors ya alag departments ke different calculation methods ki wajah se aisa hua. Lekin aaj hum jo dekh rahe hain, woh yeh hai ke GBP/USD barh raha hai aur weekly ascending triangle se nikalne ki koshish kar raha hai. Humare paas 28-day chart par consolidation bhi hai jo ke bears ke liye negative hai, lekin hum dekhte hain ke agle haftay ke open par kya hota hai aur phir yeh pair triangle ke borders ko retest karta hai. Filhal pair ne is mode se exit nahi kiya hai, aur ek option yeh bhi hai ke yeh dobara iss diagram par wapas aajaye. Lekin flag break ho chuka hai aur bullish flag mein convert nahi hua kyun ke aaj koi momentum nahi tha.

Good morning. Kal ke trading session mein GBP/USD buyers ne phir se sellers ko koi moka nahi diya, halaan ke din ke doran neeche jane ki koshish hui thi. Ajeeb baat yeh hai ke non-farm payroll data forecast se behtar aya, magar phir bhi Dollar ko mazid taqat nahi mil saki. Shayad iska asar is baat se hua ke yeh data, halaan ke forecast se better tha, magar pichli values se kamzor tha. Kisi na kisi tarah, growth ka silsila jari raha aur ab buyers ka qareebi target 1.28599 ka level hai. Agar agle hafte yeh level break hota hai aur uske baad consolidation hoti hai, to phir agla move 1.28932 ki taraf expect kiya ja sakta hai. Dusri taraf, sellers ko ab ek reversal model banani hogi taake kam az kam ek correction ki umeed ki ja sake.

GBP/USD H4 par analysis:

1 - H4 chart par pound ne trading ke end mein upper band ko approach kiya hai. Agar agle hafte upper band ko actively touch karta hai aur uske baad dono bands outward khulte hain, to yeh hame price growth ke liye mazid strong signal dega. Agar hum situation ko fractals ke zariye dekhen, to price ne 3rd July ke fractal level ko touch kiya aur usse bhi upar, 13th June ke fractal tak pohanch gaya. Agar yeh level par consolidation hoti hai, to agla target 12th June ka fractal ho sakta hai jo ke 1.28599 par hai. Sabse qareebi fractal jo neeche hai, woh abhi ke price value se kaafi door hai, isliye price growth ke direction mein rely karne ke liye, naya aur qareebi fractal ka intezar karna zaroori hai.

2 - AO indicator abhi bhi positive area mein active growth show kar raha hai, lekin pehla peak kab form hoga yeh abhi tak wazeh nahi hai. Yeh baat is cheez ke haq mein jaati hai ke price growth mazid aage barh sakti hai. Agar price fall ka signal lena hai to phir zero mark ki taraf active attenuation ka intezar karna chahiye.

### GBP/USD Technical Analysis (H1 Timeframe) Roman Urdu

**Timeframe: H1**

GBP/USD pair ka H1 timeframe par technical analysis ek acha moka pesh karta hai profitable long position mein enter hone ka, jahan success ka imkaan kaafi zyada hai. Is analysis ke liye jo methodical steps hain unko follow kar ke optimal entry point ko select kiya ja sakta hai:

### Step 1: Current Trend ka Direction Maloom Karna

Sabse pehle zaroori step yeh hai ke higher timeframe, specifically H4 par trend ka direction check karain taake market ke overall movement ke against trade na karain. Is process mein yeh steps shamil hain:

1. **H4 Chart Open Karna**: GBP/USD ka chart load karain 4-hour timeframe ke saath taake broader market trend ko dekha ja sake.
2. **Trend Confirmation**: Yeh ensure karain ke H1 aur H4 timeframes par trend movements aligned hain. Is example ke liye, dono timeframes par bullish trend ki confirmation long position ko validate karne ke liye zaroori hai.

### Step 2: Key Indicators Ka Istemaal

Jab trend direction confirm ho jaye, agla step yeh hai ke specific indicators par rely kiya jaye: HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color, jo ke entry point ko fine-tune karne aur profitable trade ka potential maximize karne mein madad karte hain.

1. **HamaSystem**: Yeh indicator prevailing trend direction ko identify karne mein madad karta hai aur potential entry aur exit points ko clear visualization ke zariye show karta hai. Agar HamaSystem se bullish signal milta hai to yeh long positions mein enter hone ke liye supportive environment ko indicate karta hai.

2. **RSI Trend**: Relative Strength Index (RSI) Trend market ki momentum ko assess karne ke liye istimaal hota hai. RSI value agar 50 se upar ho to yeh aam tor par bullish trend ko suggest karta hai. Iske ilawa, price aur RSI ke darmiyan divergence patterns trend continuation ya reversal ka further confirmation offer kar sakte hain.

3. **Magnetic_Levels_Color**: Yeh indicator key support aur resistance levels ko identify karta hai, significant price zones ko color-code karke. Yeh critical insights provide karta hai potential price targets aur stop-loss levels ke liye. Agar price support levels ke upar aur higher resistance levels ki taraf ja raha ho to bullish signal confirm hota hai.

### Step 3: Market Opportunity Ki Confirmation

Aaj ka market analysis yeh reveal karta hai ke GBP/USD pair ek excellent opportunity pesh karta hai long positions mein enter hone ke liye, jo ke in factors se support hoti hai:

1. **Aligned Trends**: H1 aur H4 dono timeframes par bullish trend ki confirmation milti hai.
2. **Positive Indicators**: Teeno indicators - HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color - bullish sentiment ko confirm karte hain aur entry points ke liye clear signals provide karte hain.

### Conclusion

Is structured approach ko follow karke traders effectively GBP/USD pair mein H1 timeframe par bullish trend se capitalize kar sakte hain. Yeh ensure karte hue ke H1 aur H4 timeframes par trends aligned hain aur HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color indicators se insights leverage karke, successful aur profitable trade ke imkaan ko significantly increase kiya ja sakta hai.