𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Foreign currencies ka technical analysis, GBP/USD pair ke hawale se

British pound ka US dollar ke muqablay mein rise dekha gaya hai, GBP/USD ke rate mein izafa hua hai, jo ke US jobs panic aur Federal Reserve ki emergency cut ki guftagu ke bawajood hai. Reliable trading platforms ke mutabiq, British pound ka exchange rate US dollar ke muqablay mein barh gaya hai aur stocks gir gaye hain, jab ke highly anticipated US jobs report ne confirm kiya ke unemployment ab bhi barh rahi hai aur economy dheemi ho rahi hai.

Iske mutabiq, financial markets ne 2024 mein Federal Reserve ke 100 basis points ke interest rate cuts ko price in karna shuru kar diya hai, jab US ka unemployment rate July mein 4.3% tak barh gaya, aur non-farm payrolls 114,000 tak barh gaye, jo ke June ke 179,000 se kam hai aur analysts ke 176,000 ke expectations se kafi niche hai. General economists ka kehna hai ke US Federal Reserve September mein 50 basis points ka bada cut kar sakti hai ya phir meetings ke darmiyan bhi cut kar sakti hai.

US dollar broad tor par kamzor hua hai, isliye GBP/USD ne pehle ke losses ko recover kar liya aur din ke dauran ek tehai se zyada barh kar 1.2840 tak pohanch gaya. EUR/USD 0.85% barh kar 1.0925 par hai aur USD/JPY 1.34% gir kar 146.55 par hai.

September ke meeting mein 50 basis points rate cut ke chances barh gaye hain, market prices ke mutabiq 30% se zyada probability hai. Official announcement ke mutabiq, US private sector companies ne July mein total 97,000 jobs add kiye, jo ke March 2023 ke baad sabse kam hai, aur private sector payroll growth ka three-month average (142,000 jobs) January 2021 ke baad sabse kam hai.

Stock markets bhi data ke bawajood sharply gir gaye hain, investors ko dar hai ke Federal Reserve ne US interest rate cuts bohot der se kiye hain. Isse pound ko bhi nuksan pohanch raha hai. Barhte hue Fed rate cut ke expectations se Bank of England ke expectations par bhi similar asar hota hai, jo ke is baat ko samjhata hai ke pound dusri currencies ke muqablay mein kyun gir gaya hai.

GBP/USD Forecast Aaj

Pichle Friday ke izafe ke bawajood, pound ke general trend ka US dollar ke muqablay mein bearish hi hai aur jitna maine pehle kaha tha, 1.2800 ke level ke neeche stability bears ke control ko continue rakhegi aur mazid loss ka imkaan hai. Main ab bhi pound ko har barhti hui level par bechne ki preference rakhta hoon. Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, pair ka bullish direction tab tak badalna mushkil hai jab tak 1.3000 ke psychological resistance tak nahi pohnchta. Aaj trading session mein major aur influential releases ki kami ke bawajood, main expected kar raha hoon ke trading session quiet rahegi.

### GBP/USD Daily Analysis (D-1) - 08 July 2024

Hello, fellow forum members and traders! Hum pound/dollar pair ki market picture ka analysis karte rehte hain. Daily chart ko kholte hain aur dekhte hain ke 2023 mein pehle ek sideways wedge bana tha, jismein extensive flat trading chal rahi thi. Yeh wedge dheere dheere narrow hota gaya, price squeeze hoti rahi, aur pichle trading week mein humne is graphic figure ka breakdown dekha. Yeh figure upper border ko break karke toot gaya, lekin isse pehle downward wave break hui jab bears round level 1.2600 ko break nahi kar sake. Teen unsuccessful attempts hui 1.2600 level ko breakout karne ki aur teen rebounds, jo akhirkar southern wave ke breakdown aur growth wave ke formation ka sabab ban gayi.

### GBP/USD H4 Analysis

H4 chart par dekhte hain ke British pound mein super confident growth ho rahi hai aur yeh upward trend most likely continue karega. Buyers ka target previous local maximum hai jo 1.2680 par hai. Yeh 12 June ka high hai aur most likely near future mein bulls is level ko test karne ki koshish karenge breakout ke liye, isse break karke price ko further northern direction mein move karenge. H4 chart par pehle ek ascending price channel bana tha, jismein pound/dollar trade ho raha hai. Yeh pair abhi 1.2815 par trade kar raha hai jo channel ki lower border hai, jahan se hum ek rebound dekh sakte hain aur pound/dollar pair north ki taraf shoot karega.

Usi waqt, humein fundamental factors bhi consider karne padenge by opening the economic calendar. Aaj British pound ke liye koi important news expected nahi hai, lekin kal 17:00 Moscow time par US Federal Reserve ke head Powell ka speech hai aur mujhe lagta hai kal pound/dollar pair mein corrective movement expect karni chahiye.

### GBP/USD Analysis - 08 July 2024

Kal, GBP/USD ne positive territory mein trading continue ki. US se aane wali key reports disappointing rahi, isliye dollar ka girna bilkul logical tha. Magar, market pichle 6-9 mahine se dollar ko sell kar rahi hai, jab ke uske liye koi khas grounds nahi hain. Federal Reserve Chief Jerome Powell ki stance, Fed ki prolonged hawkish monetary policy, ya Bank of England ki monetary policy easing ki threat ab utni significant nahi hain jitni pehle hoti thi. Isliye dollar girta hai jab uske grounds hote hain, aur bina grounds ke bhi gir sakta hai.

### Key Reports Analysis

Friday ko release hone wali key US economic reports ne market ko disappoint kiya. NonFarm Payrolls ki growth expectation se +16,000 zyada hui, lekin pichle mahine ka figure 272,000 se revise karke 218,000 kiya gaya. Is tarah, pichle do mahine ka total NonFarm Payrolls expectation se worse raha. Unemployment rate bhi 4.1% par chala gaya, jo market ne anticipate nahi kiya tha.

5-minute timeframe par beginners apni long positions hold kar sakte the jo unhone Thursday ko open ki thi jab pound ne 1.2748 level breach kiya tha. US data release se pehle, price 1.2791-1.2798 area tak pohanch gayi thi, jahan traders profit le sakte the. Unhone takreeban 30 pips gain kiye. Agla buy signal execute karna bhi sensible tha jab price ne 1.2791-1.2798 area ko overcome kiya, kyunki US reports ne dollar par pressure dala tha. Magar, is trade ko profit banane ke liye ek ya do din open rakhna zaroori tha.

### Trading Tips for Monday

Hourly chart par, GBP/USD downtrend form karte huye promising signs show kar raha hai, lekin iska matlab yeh nahi ke pair upward trend form nahi kar sakta. Pair phir se rise kar raha hai, aur overall, erratic aur illogical movements exhibit kar raha hai. Abhi, pound sterling apne latest local high par return ho gaya hai aur fundamental background ko ignore kar raha hai.

Monday ko, pound sterling ek break le sakta hai after a quite positive week. Hum ek new round of bearish correction expect kar sakte hain, jo tab identify hogi jab price 1.2798 level ke neeche settle ho jaye.

5M chart par key levels hain: 1.2457, 1.2502, 1.2541-1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980. Monday ko UK aur US mein koi important events scheduled nahi hain. Friday ko do key reports release hone ke bawajood, GBP/USD volatility sirf around 60 pips rahi. Isliye, Monday ko hum much weaker movements expect kar sakte hain.

### GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis

H4 chart ko dubara dekhein—GBP/USD trading instrument. Is hafte ki shuruaat downward price gap se hui, jo ab close ho chuka hai. Pichle hafte, is currency pair ne ek powerful upward movement dikhayi thi. Technical picture bhi develop ho rahi thi, aur yeh trend inertia ke saath continue kar raha hai. Wave structure ne apna order upward banana shuru kar diya; MACD indicator upper purchase zone aur signal line ke upar grow kar raha hai.

Rapid growth ke baad, correction rollback downward hua, lekin phir se growth resume ho gayi. Rollback ke baad, price phir se top par pohanch gayi aur uske kareeb hai. Lekin sirf pound ke khilaf nahi, balki US dollar almost pure market spectrum mein weaken ho raha tha. Agar target Fibonacci grid ko pehli wave par apply kiya jaye, to target level 161.8 nazar aata hai jo work out ho chuka hai. Is level ke kareeb, positions fix ki gayi, aur ek chota rollback downward hua. Woh wahin ruk gaye aur level 200 tak bhi pohanch gaye, jahan pe bhi fixation hui.

Mera andaza hai ke price pehle horizontal support level 1.2763 tak decline karegi. Yeh fourth wave ka rollback hoga, aur phir fifth wave follow karegi jo level 1.2859 tak pohanchegi. CCI indicator par bearish divergence bhi correction indicate kar raha hai. Isliye, shorter periods par sirf downward entries consider karna behtar hoga jab tak downward correction nahi hota. Agar support level 1.2763 tak price jati hai, to wahan se rebound aur phir breakdown downward ho sakta hai. Decline ka target area level 1.2701 par hoga.

Ek additional entry point level 1.2763 ka test from below ho sakta hai. Correction ka probability is liye bhi zyada hai kyunki MACD indicator par bearish divergence maujood hai. Aaj ke economic calendar par koi important news nahi hai.

### GBP/USD Analysis in Roman Urdu

Hello. Pound ki picture ab tak zyada nahi badli, pichle hafte tak yeh actively grow kar raha tha. Aaj sellers ne ek gap down ke saath market khola, lekin isne bhi growth ko rokne mein madad nahi ki. Buyers ke liye sabse qareebi target 1.28599 ka mark hai, aur agar yeh break through ho gaya aur wahan par price gain ho gayi, to hum level 1.28932 tak movement expect kar sakte hain. Agar sales ki baat ki jaye, to hum 1.27901 ke level par try kar sakte hain, agar is breakthrough ke baad wahan par price gain hoti hai, to phir hum price ko 1.27401 level ki taraf move hoti dekh sakte hain.

#### GBP/USD H4 Chart Analysis:

1. **4-Hour Chart Analysis**:
- Pound 4-hour chart par nayi exit form karne ki koshish kar raha hai towards the upper band. Price growth ka behtar signal hasil karne ke liye, upper band ka active touch hone ka wait karna zaroori hai, aur phir dekhna hoga ke bands outward open hote hain ya koi reaction nahi hota.
- Agar fractals ki baat ki jaye, to price qareebi fractal ko upar break through karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Agar yeh ho jata hai aur wahan consolidate kar leti hai, to price growth ka next target 12 June ka fractal 1.28599 par hoga.
- Downwards qareebi fractal current price value se kaafi door hai, aur price fall direction mein rely karne ke liye, ek naya aur qareebi fractal ka intezar karna zaroori hoga.

2. **AO Indicator Analysis**:
- AO indicator positive area mein increase form karna continue kar raha hai, abhi yeh clear nahi ke pehla peak kab form hoga, aur yeh suggest karta hai ke price growth aage bhi continue ho sakti hai.
- Price fall ka signal hasil karne ke liye, zero mark ki taraf active attenuation ka wait karna zaroori hai.

Pound ki yeh analysis humein batati hai ke halaat ab tak zyada nahi badle aur price upward movement ki taraf continue kar rahi hai. Buyers ka target level 1.28599 hai aur yeh break hone par level 1.28932 tak ja sakta hai. Sellers ke liye important level 1.27901 hai, jahan se breakthrough hone par price 1.27401 ki taraf move ho sakti hai. Chart aur indicators ko dekhte hue, humein fractals aur AO indicator par bhi nazar rakhni hogi taake market ke aage ke movements ka behtar andaza lagaya ja sake.

### GBP/USD Analysis in Roman Urdu

Hello, GBP/USD Monday ko European trading mein 1.2800 ke upar hold kar gaya. US dollar ki recovery ruk gayi hai aur yeh pair ko thodi si comfort de rahi hai. Traders, magar, ab bhi UK election ke baad aur Powell ke testimony aur is hafte ke aakhir mein aane wale US CPI data se pehle ehtiyat barat rahe hain. 4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator 70 ke upar hai aur yeh overbought conditions ko indicate kar raha hai. Phir bhi, agar US data ke wajah se USD selling trigger hoti hai to investors is technical development ko ignore kar sakte hain. 1.2800 (psychological level, static level) agla resistance nazar aa raha hai jo ke 1.2860 (June 12 high) aur 1.2900 (psychological level, static level) se pehle hai. Neeche ki taraf, support 1.2700 (20-day Simple Moving Average), 1.2670 (50-day SMA) aur 1.2650 (100-day SMA) par dekha ja sakta hai.

Thursday ke subdued action ke baad, GBP/USD ne apna traction regain kiya aur Friday ko teen hafton ka sabse uncha level, 1.2780 ke qareeb pohanch gaya. 1.2800 agla immediate resistance hai jab investors US se aane wale key data releases ke liye prepare kar rahe hain. UK general election mein Labor Party ne parliamentary majority hasil ki, 650-seat House of Commons mein 411 seats jeet kar, jo ke Labor leader Keir Starmer ko agla prime minister banane ka raasta banati hai. Is result ki umeed thi, isliye isne pound sterling ke value par koi asar nahi dala.

Doosray half mein, US Bureau of Labor Statistics apni June jobs report release karega. Nonfarm payrolls ke 190,000 badhne ka forecast hai June mein, jo ke May mein record 272,000 se kam hai. Unemployment rate 4% par stable rehne ka dekha ja raha hai aur annual wage inflation, jo ke average hourly earnings ke change se measure hota hai, 4.1% se 3.9% tak slow hone ki umeed hai. Is hafte ke shuru mein, ISM ne manufacturing aur services PMI reports publish kiye jo in sectors ke payrolls mein decline dikhate hain. Iske ilawa, ADP employment change 150,000 par aayi, jo ke market expectations 160,000 se kam thi, jab ke weekly initial jobless claims 238,000 tak barh gayi week ended June 29 mein, jo ke pichle week 234,000 thi.

Is analysis ke zariye humein yeh samajhne ko milta hai ke GBP/USD ab tak positive territory mein trade kar raha hai aur agle kuch din mein important economic data ke madde nazar further movements predict ki ja sakti hain.

### GBP/USD Analysis in Roman Urdu

Aaj GBP/USD ne market ko ek significant gap ke saath open kiya, jo ke Asian session ke doran fill ho chuka hai, aur abhi ke liye price Friday ke daily range mein fluctuate kar rahi hai. Overall, is instrument ke liye, main yeh samajhta hoon ke price aage chal kar upside ki taraf move kar sakti hai. Is case mein, jaise ke main pehle bhi mention kar chuka hoon, main plan kar raha hoon ke resistance level ko hold karne par focus karoon, jo ke meri analysis ke mutabiq 1.28604 par located hai, ya phir resistance level 1.28938 par.

Yeh resistance levels ke qareeb do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario involve karta hai price ko in levels ke upar consolidate karna aur further upwards move karna. Agar yeh plan play out hota hai, to main expect karoon ga ke price resistance level 1.29956 ki taraf advance kare. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ke form hone ka intezar karoon ga jo ke agle trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega.

Bilkul, ek possibility higher northern target tak pohanchne ki bhi hai, jo ke meri analysis ke mutabiq 1.31424 par hai. Lekin, agar yeh plan unfold hota hai, to main southern pullbacks ke liye bhi open hoon ga along the way, jo ke main nearby support levels se bullish signals dhundne ke liye use karoon ga, in anticipation of uptrend ka resumption within the formation of the overall bullish trend.

Ek alternative scenario jab price resistance level 1.28604 ya resistance level 1.28938 ke qareeb pohanchi gi, wo yeh ho sakta hai ke reversal candle form ho aur downward price movement ka resumption ho. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main price ke support level 1.27399 par return hone ka intezar karoon ga. Is support level ke qareeb, main bullish signals dhundta rahoon ga in anticipation of price increase. Bilkul, ek possibility lower southern targets tak pohanchne ki bhi hai, jo ke meri analysis ke mutabiq 1.26154 aur 1.25694 par hain. Lekin, main abhi in options ko consider nahi kar raha hoon kyun ke mujhe inki quick realization ke prospects nazar nahi aate.

General tor par, agar brief mein kaha jaye, to aaj ke liye, main yeh samajhta hoon ke price ko upside ki taraf push hone ki possibility hai until the nearest resistance level, aur phir main market situation ko assess karoon ga aur accordingly act karoon ga.

GBP/USD Price Action

Main GBP/USD currency pair ki real-time mein dynamic pricing behavior ka tajziya kar raha hoon. Jaise ke aap dekh sakte hain, jabke pound ne sales ke baad kaafi fluctuations dekhi, correction wave 1.3049 ke peak se ubhri. Bears, jo pichle mahine ke tez uthane ke baad pressure daal rahe the, ne is movement ko drive kiya. Unhone is mauqe ka faida uthaate hue apni positions ko unload kiya, jo ke technical pullback ko janam diya. Yeh instrument apni correction wave complete kar chuka tha, jabhi buyers ne isse rok diya jab yeh 27th figure zone ke qareeb pohnch gaya. Agle do hafton mein, bears ne substantial recovery hasil ki, magar ab buyers ka phase wapas aane wala hai. Chaar ghante ke chart ke mutabiq, GBP/USD instrument ke significant rebound hone ki ummeed hai, jo bulls ke iraadon ko confirm karta hai. Is bullish scenario ke liye, ab current downward structure ko todna zaroori hai aur pehle 1.2889 line tak aur phir isse aage barhna zaroori hai. Pound 1.2989 tak recover kar sakta hai, jo 1.299 ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Negative news se buyers ke support milne ki ummeed hai, pound ka 1.3049 tak phir se barhna agle hafte ho sakta hai, lekin choti bearish pullbacks ki bhi umeed hai.

Maine daily period mein lower limit extend ki hai, jo dikhata hai ke GBP/USD ne hafte ke aakhir mein ascending channel ke border ke qareeb close kiya, 1.2786 ke support level se rebound karte hue, jo abhi bhi daily EMA50 ke upar hai. Is tarah, Monday ka trading range EMA50 ke 1.2839 aur EMA200 ke 1.2819 ke beech selling zone aur 1.2786 aur 1.2774 ke beech buying zone ke beech hoga. Market ka reaction is range ke andar agle targets ko tay karega. Market September mein Fed ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahi hai, lekin abhi ek mahina baqi hai aur situation mein kaafi tabdeeli aa sakti hai. Ye uncertainty United States aur Britain dono ke liye hai, jahan conditions aur bhi kharab hain, isliye mera expectation hai ke pound ka decline US dollar ke muqablay mein zyada substantial ho sakta hai.

### British Pound aur US Dollar Analysis (Roman Urdu)

Jummah ke din, British Pound ne US Dollar ke muqable mein rebound kiya jab investor confidence wapas aaya. Yeh tab hua jab latest US jobs report se mixed signals aayi. June ke nonfarm payrolls ka headline figure strong tha, 206,000 naye jobs add hui aur expectations se zyada thi. Lekin yeh positive data point previous month ke figures mein significant downward revision ke saath tempered ho gaya. May jobs number ko 272,000 se revise karke 218,000 kar diya gaya. Wage growth bhi cool ho gayi, aur average hourly earnings ne forecasts miss kiye. Year-on-year increase 3.9% par aayi, jo ke pichle month ke 4.1% se kam thi. Iske ilawa, unemployment rate 4.1% par badh gaya, jo ke December 2021 ke baad se sabse zyada hai aur expectations ke 4.0% se zyada tha. Investors ne jobs report ke weaker aspects par zyada focus kiya, jisse yeh nateeja nikla ke Federal Reserve monetary policy ko loosen kar sakti hai. Ek dovish Fed, jo ke zyada interest rates cut karne ke liye tayar hoti hai, stocks aur currencies jaise ke Pound ke liye aam tor par positive hoti hai.

Market ab 80% chance price kar raha hai ke Fed September 18 tak rates cut karay gi. Investors Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke comments ko next week closely dekhain ge for further clues about the central bank's intentions. Agle hafta bhi US se key data releases dekhe jaayenge. June ke Final Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation figures Thursday ko aayenge. Iske baad Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation data aur University of Michigan Consumer Confidence index Friday ko release honge.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to GBP/USD pair support 1.2655 par find kar rahi hai, jo ke June ka low hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to pair one-month low 1.2620 tak gir sakti hai. Further weakness 1.2598 level ko challenge kar sakti hai, jo ke January aur March mein firm tha. Upside par, agar positive sentiment prevail karta hai, to pair January resistance area 1.2771 ko revisit kar sakti hai. Is zone ke upar breakout hone se pair ko recent highs test karne ka rasta mil sakta hai in the defined range of 1.2816-1.2859. Agar yeh resistance area cross hota hai, to pair potentially apne 2024 peak 1.2892 tak wapas aa sakti hai.

### British Pound aur US Dollar Analysis (Dubara)

Jummah ke din, British Pound ne US Dollar ke muqable mein rebound kiya jab investor confidence wapas aaya. Yeh tab hua jab latest US jobs report se mixed signals aayi. June ke nonfarm payrolls ka headline figure strong tha, 206,000 naye jobs add hui aur expectations se zyada thi. Lekin yeh positive data point previous month ke figures mein significant downward revision ke saath tempered ho gaya. May jobs number ko 272,000 se revise karke 218,000 kar diya gaya. Wage growth bhi cool ho gayi, aur average hourly earnings ne forecasts miss kiye. Year-on-year increase 3.9% par aayi, jo ke pichle month ke 4.1% se kam thi. Iske ilawa, unemployment rate 4.1% par badh gaya, jo ke December 2021 ke baad se sabse zyada hai aur expectations ke 4.0% se zyada tha. Investors ne jobs report ke weaker aspects par zyada focus kiya, jisse yeh nateeja nikla ke Federal Reserve monetary policy ko loosen kar sakti hai. Ek dovish Fed, jo ke zyada interest rates cut karne ke liye tayar hoti hai, stocks aur currencies jaise ke Pound ke liye aam tor par positive hoti hai.

Market ab 80% chance price kar raha hai ke Fed September 18 tak rates cut karay gi. Investors Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke comments ko next week closely dekhain ge for further clues about the central bank's intentions. Agle hafta bhi US se key data releases dekhe jaayenge. June ke Final Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation figures Thursday ko aayenge. Iske baad Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation data aur University of Michigan Consumer Confidence index Friday ko release honge.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to GBP/USD pair support 1.2655 par find kar rahi hai, jo ke June ka low hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to pair one-month low 1.2620 tak gir sakti hai. Further weakness 1.2598 level ko challenge kar sakti hai, jo ke January aur March mein firm tha. Upside par, agar positive sentiment prevail karta hai, to pair January resistance area 1.2771 ko revisit kar sakti hai. Is zone ke upar breakout hone se pair ko recent highs test karne ka rasta mil sakta hai in the defined range of 1.2816-1.2859. Agar yeh resistance area cross hota hai, to pair potentially apne 2024 peak 1.2892 tak wapas aa sakti hai.

### GBP/USD Technical Analysis (Roman Urdu)

GBP/USD ka exchange rate 3-week highs ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, dono taraf Atlantic ke major economic aur political developments ke moqable se pehle. Weekend ke baad, Britain mein aik nayi hukumat hogi aur ek potential naya US Democratic presidential candidate saamne aa sakta hai, jo political dynamics mein aik bara tabdeeli la sakta hai. British pound ke gains US dollar ke muqable GBP/USD ne 1.2817 resistance level ko touch kiya, jo ke teen hafton ka sabse uncha level hai.

British elections ke hawale se, bohot zyada strong expectations hain ke Labor Party jeetay gi. Kisi bhi cheez ke siwa ek bara majority recent times mein sabse bara shock hoga. MUFG Bank ne comment kiya: “Labour ka waada ke economic stability aur fiscal rules ka ehtram ko prioritize karna tensions ko reduce karta hai looser fiscal policy ke risks aur sterling mein confidence ki kami ke risks par. Dusri taraf, investors greater political stability ko welcome karenge Britain mein aur aik improved Brexit deal ka possibility jo pound ko support kar sakti hai.

Forex market trading ke mutabiq, US dollar ki strength global markets mein aam tor par affected hui weaker-than-expected US data ke baad jo business confidence data tha services sector mein ISM se contraction ke baad manufacturing sector mein. Is silsile mein, ING Bank ne comment kiya: “Yeh aik important kahani hai kyun ke yeh historically best leading indicators hain changes in economic cycle ke aur suggest karte hain ke downside growth risks barh rahi hain.” Bank ne mazeed kaha; “Yeh zaroor September Fed rate cut ke case ko strengthen karta hai kyun ke yeh sab boxes ko tick karta hai weak growth, slowing inflation aur deteriorating jobs market ka.”

### GBP/USD Forecast Today:

Daily chart ke neeche British pound ke price against US dollar GBP/USD ke liye ek upward channel bana hai, aur bulls ka control trend par mazboot hoga agar currency pair psychological resistance level 1.3000 ki taraf move kare, jo technical indicators ko strong saturation levels towards buying move karega. Dusri taraf, isi time period par, support level 1.2700 current upward path ke liye ek threat bana rahega. Currency pair iss hafta react karega US inflation numbers ke announcement aur US Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell ke testimony ke sath.

### GBP/USD Ka Haal

GBP/USD ka jo jor Friday ko nazar aaya, woh bhi ek nishan tha ke strength hai, lekin yeh descending channel mein raha jaye, Thursday ko drop ki wajah se. Is wajah se downward trend abhi bhi barqarar hai, aur Friday ko correction shuru hui. Agar hum euro ke liye aage kisi growth ki umeed nahi rakhte, to British pound ke liye bhi yeh umeed kam hai. Bank of England ne abhi tak apni monetary policy ko dheela karna shuru kiya hai. Ek currency ka growth tabhi possible hai jab uski central bank rates ko barhaye, na ke kam kare. Hum yeh nahi keh rahe ke pound bilkul bhi naye rise ko start nahi kar sakta, bas hum keh rahe hain ke yeh move logical nahi hai. Har haal mein, price ko descending channel se upar consolidate karna hoga naye upward trend ko identify karne ke liye.

### Trading Signals Aur Analysis

Friday ko 5-minute time frame par kai trading signals bane, lekin unko execute karna mushkil tha. Pehla buy signal tab bana jab US economic reports release hue. Price ne 1.2748 ke level se foran soar kiya, jis wajah se market mein enter karna mushkil ho gaya. Baad mein, price 1.2791-1.2798 ke area ke upar stabilize ho gayi, lekin tab tak price din ke low se 100 pips se zyada move kar chuki thi. Hum samajhte hain ke aise signal par market mein enter karna advisable nahi tha. Din ke end par, price ne 1.2791-1.2798 ke area ke neeche consolidate karne ki koshish ki, lekin woh unsuccessful raha.

### Trading Tips Monday Ke Liye

Monday ko GBP/USD ke hourly time frame par downward trend continue karne ke achi chances hain. British pound abhi bhi overbought hai, dollar undervalued hai, aur BoE ne apne borrowing costs ko kam karna shuru kar diya hai—aur aur kya chahiye ke British currency girti rahe? Macro data ek baar phir dollar ki perfect picture ko kharab kar diya hai. Lekin, disappointing US reports har din nahi aati, aur UK bhi hamesha achha data nahi deti. Phir bhi, fundamental background macroeconomic se kam ahmiyat nahi rakhta.

Monday ko, novice traders 1.2791-1.2798 se trade kar sakte hain. Is area se bounce karne par naye long positions 1.2848 tak target kar sakte hain. Agar price is area ke neeche consolidate karti hai, to yeh naye drop ki nishani hai.

### Key Levels

5M timeframe par key levels yeh hain:
- 1.2605-1.2633
- 1.2684-1.2693
- 1.2748
- 1.2791-1.2798
- 1.2848-1.2860
- 1.2913
- 1.2980-1.2993
- 1.3043
- 1.3102-1.3107
- 1.3145

Monday ko, July ke final estimates Services PMI data UK aur US se publish honge. Lekin, zyada ahmiyat US ka ISM index for the service sector ko di jayegi.

GBP/USD Analysis Current Market Overview

GBP/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein aik significant resistance level ko break kiya hai jo ke 1.29374-1.28900 ke range mein tha. Yeh breakout forex market mein aik key development hai aur market sentiment aur trading opportunities mein potential shifts ko suggest karta hai.

#### Key Developments

1. **Breakout of Resistance**:
- GBP/USD pair ne successfully resistance range 1.29374-1.28900 ko breach kiya hai. Yeh breakout strong bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai, jo ke yeh suggest karta hai ke buyers ne market par control hasil kar liya hai.
- **Transformation into Support**: Breakout ke baad, yeh resistance level ab aik naya support zone ban gaya hai. Resistance se support mein shift karna is range ki significance aur future price action mein iske role ko underscore karta hai.

2. **Trading Above Support**:
- Filhal, pair nayi established support zone ke upar trade kar raha hai. Yeh behavior suggest karta hai ke breakout hold kar raha hai aur market participants bullish sentiment ko maintain kar rahe hain.

#### Implications for Traders

1. **Key Support Zone**:
- 1.29374-1.28900 range ab aik critical area ban chuki hai. Jab tak price is support zone ke upar hai, bullish trend continue rehne ka strong chance hai. Traders ko potential buying opportunities ke liye is level ke qareeb dekhna chahiye aur isey aik strong support consider karna chahiye.

2. **Potential for Further Upside**:
- Confirmed breakout ke sath, GBP/USD pair ke pass further upside movement ke liye jagah hai. Agle key levels jo watch karne hain wo previous highs aur potential resistance levels hain. Traders ko continuation patterns ya additional breakouts ke signs ke liye alert rehna chahiye jo further gains ko signal kar sakte hain.

3. **Risk Management**:
- Jab ke current outlook bullish hai, aik risk management strategy zaroori hai. Agar price wapas 1.29374-1.28900 support zone ke neeche chali jati hai, to yeh aik false breakout ko indicate kar sakta hai, jo potential downward pressure ko lead kar sakta hai. Is support level ke neeche stop-loss orders set karna risk manage karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai.

#### Conclusion

GBP/USD currency pair ka breakout above significant resistance level 1.29374-1.28900 aik key development hai, jo is range ko aik naya support zone banata hai. Jab tak price is support ke upar trade kar rahi hai, bullish trend ka strong chance hai, jo potential buying opportunities offer karta hai. Traders ko is key area ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur further upside ke liye tayar rehna chahiye jab ke risks ko effectively manage karte hue.

GBP/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein mixed performance dikhayi hai. Dollar ne non-farm payroll data ke release ke baad tezi se kamzori dikhayi, lekin is initial decline ke bawajood, buyers ne price ko upar push karne mein mushkil ka samna kiya hai. Aaj subah bhi significant movement dekhne ko nahi mili. Agar buyers ko momentum hasil karna hai aur price ko upar le jana hai, to unhe 1.28394 ke upar break karna aur is level ko maintain karna hoga. Agar is level ka successful breach ho jata hai, to aage ke gains ke liye raasta khul sakta hai, jahan agla key target 1.28637 hoga.

Agar price 1.28637 ke upar break aur consolidate kar leti hai, to yeh downward trend ke shift ka signal ho sakta hai aur pair ka rise continue ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar sellers ko bearish trend ko continue karna hai, to unhe price ko 1.27772 ke neeche girana aur wahan consolidate karna hoga. Agar yeh level breach ho jata hai, to agla target 1.27063 ke decline ke liye hoga.

4-hour chart (GBP/USD H4) par pair Bollinger Bands ke central area mein hai, jo indicate karta hai ke market consolidation phase mein hai. Is position se movement kisi bhi direction mein ho sakti hai, depending on whether price bands se break out karti hai. Clear direction identify karne ke liye traders ko definitive exit ka wait karna chahiye, phir evaluate karna chahiye ke bands expand ho rahi hain ya contract kar rahi hain.

Fractal analysis ke mutabiq, ek naya upward fractal formation dikhayi diya hai. Agar yeh fractal ke upar breakout aur consolidate hota hai, to price pehle ke fractal jo July 31 ko tha, 1.28637 tak le ja sakti hai. Agar price recent downward fractal ke neeche break karti hai, to agla significant fractal target July 3 ka hoga, jo 1.26772 par hai.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator abhi negative zone mein hai lekin fading ke signs dikhata hai. Agar AO zero ke through transition karke positive zone mein increase karta hai, to yeh GBP/USD pair ke bullish outlook ko reinforce karega. Agar AO negative area mein continue karta hai, to yeh potential further declines ka indication hoga.

Summary yeh hai ke GBP/USD pair ki future price movements ko anticipate karne ke liye key levels aur indicator signals ko monitor karna zaroori hai. Traders ko critical levels ke upar ya neeche breakouts dekhne chahiye aur AO indicator mein changes ko track karna chahiye taake market sentiment aur potential price trends ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

Pound/Dollar ne pichle haftay ko ek bearish candlestick ke saath khatam kiya, is liye girawat ke silsile ko barqarar rakhne ka imkaan zyada hai. Daily chart par, pair Barish zone mein consolidation show kar raha hai Bollinger Bands ke. Magar, chhoti technical analysis par confusion hai. Hourly chart par, indicators north ki taraf point kar rahe hain, magar buy signal activate nahi hua, aur yeh bearish candlestick par bana hai. Is ke ilawa, Bollinger Bands end of the upward impulse aur middle band ko upar se test karne ka ishara de rahe hain, jo ke pair ko south return karne ka matlab hai apne initial composition ke mutabiq. Is liye, mein abhi bhi south ko dekh raha hoon. Four-hour chart par, indicators south ko point kar rahe hain, pair ne middle Bollinger Bands ko neeche se test kiya magar break through nahi kar paya. Is ke ilawa, ek bearish pin bar bana, magar activate nahi hua. Monday ko, opening level se breakout ya bounce ke mutabiq aage ka direction zyada clear hoga, magar mein zyada inclined hoon south ko.
H4 TF reference par GBPUSD market ki movement conditions mein kuch interesting hai. Yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke current price 200 Ma movement (blue) ke range mein wapas move kar rahi hai jahan MA limit agle trend ko indicate kar sakta hai. Upper side limit jo consider karna chahiye wo resistance area range 1.2862 par hai aur lower side limit support area ke aas paas lowest price level is week ka 1.2706 par hai. Jab tak price in 2 crucial levels ke range mein trade kar rahi hai, short-term transactions pehle calculate ki ja sakti hain. Option jo kiya ja sakta hai ek short-term sell 1.2800 range se by targeting 50 pip drop neeche taake 1.2750 level tak pahuche aur risk loss limit 1.2865 level se upar ho. Ek short-term buy plan bhi consider kiya ja sakta hai 1.2750 range se enter karne ke liye aur ek aur increase ko target karne ke liye 1.2810 level tak aur stop loss limit 1.2700 level se neeche ho. Long-term purchases ke liye possibility of trend ko bullish phase mein re-enter karne ka intezar 1.2865 level se upar increase hone ka. Potential ek basic rally up taake pichle mahine ke highest price limit ko 1.3042 range mein try kare aur continue kar sake highest price limit pichle saal ka 1.3140 range tak. Selling plan ke liye, bearish price rally ko further down consider karna interesting ho sakta hai, yani 1.2700 level pe breakout ka. Bearish movement below this price level ka target agle support area tak pahunchna hai 1.2611 range mein aur basic rally movement ka mauqa neeche jaane ka lowest price limit is saal ka 1.2299 range mein.

Forex Dynamics through GBP/USD Prices
Hamari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ki pricing ki ongoing live evaluation se align karti hai. Meri analysis ke mutabiq, 1.2929 par potential resistance hai, jo ke 14.5% Fibonacci retracement level se indicate hota hai. Yeh resistance akela weak hai, magar yeh 61.7% hourly retracement level ke saath coincide karta hai, jo ek solid resistance cluster banata hai aur reversal ki likelihood ko increase karta hai. Hourly retracement ke liye 23.5% level test ho chuka hai, magar ek pullback 8% tak ho sakta hai growth ke return se pehle towards 61.7% level ke cluster ke andar. Maine GBP/USD ke ideal movement ko chart par outline kiya hai. Individual waves mein minor adjustments ho sakti hain, magar goal cluster ke andar hi rahta hai. British pound ka analytical review start karte hue, maine market sentiment chart ko examine kiya. Yahan buy-to-sell transactions ka ratio euro/dollar sentiment se mukhtalif situation dikhata hai.

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Yahan koi significant directional advantage nahi hai, 47 percent buyers versus 53 percent sellers ke sath. Yeh slight sales advantage negligible hai aur decisions ko heavily influence nahi karna chahiye. Pound/dollar pair sideways trade kar sakta hai ya euro/dollar pair ko follow karte hue grow kar sakta hai. Next, maine daily chart open ki British pound ke liye. Ek local minimum 1.2299 se rebound karne ke baad, pound/dollar pair sharply bullish turn hui, aur ek ascending price channel banaya. Is channel ke andar, British pound currently trade kar raha hai. Maine do growth waves aur do decline waves ko chart par mark kiya hai. Doosri decline wave complete ho chuki hai, aur Friday ko red day ke saath close hui, jo ke high likelihood suggest karta hai ke price uptrend likely hai. Buyers ka goal yeh hai ke upward movement ko established upward channel ke andar maintain rakha jaye.