𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBP/USD Price Analysis

Main GBP/USD currency pair ki live analysis ka jaiza le raha hoon. Pound-dollar currency pair ne Jumeraat ko khaas taur par tezi se upar ki taraf charh kar 1.2829 tak pohanch gaya. Lekin, trading din ke end tak, thodi si kami aayi, aur yeh 1.2799 par band hua. Yeh tab hua jab dollar mein khaas kami aayi. Jaisa ke aam tor par hota hai, aise mazboot hiljaton ke baad aksar ek jaldi palta hota hai, aur dollar lambi muddat tak girawat mein nahi rehta. Triangle ki upper limit ko test kiya gaya lekin isay todne mein kami rahi. Is kami ka matlab hai ke bazaar shayad ek girne wali leher ke liye tayar hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke pound-dollar pair lagbhag 1.2699 tak girega. Aaj main price channel indicator ka istemal karunga, jo moving average analysis par mabni hai, taake main is pair ki price movement ka andaza laga sakun.

Filhal, channel upar ki taraf hai, jo darust karta hai ke buyers sellers se zyada mazboot hain. Halankeh choti moti bearish pullbacks hain, lekin bulls mazboot dikh rahe hain aur bears ko control dene ke liye tayar nahi hain. Zigzag line ki direction yeh darust karti hai ke long positions kholna behtar hai. MACD aur RSI indicators, jo CCI signals ko filter karne mein madadgar hain, long buy zone mein hain. Main apni khuli hui order ko tab band karne ka plan bana raha hoon jab price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level par 1.29416 tak pohanchti hai. Pichhla hafta US dollar ke liye buniyadi factors ki buniyad par mushkil raha. Chalo dekhte hain ke bazaar Monday ko kaise khulta hai. Filhal, GBP/USD 1.2819 se 1.2774 ke darmiyan trade ho raha hai. Sell zone, jo EMA50 par 1.2839 aur EMA200 par 1.2819 ke darmiyan bana hai, ne is pair ko Jumeraat ko roka, aur yeh haftay ke 2 mukhtat ki ute se nicha band hua. Yeh setup ek potential rebound aur baad mein kami ka mauqa pesh karta hai.

GBP/USD Analysis Updates - August 04, 2024

Daily Timeframe

Hum ne phir se northern vector mein enter kiya hai, jo achha impression de raha hai. Channel mein growth ab resistance se set ho rahi hai, aur ab do resistance levels hain: 1.3060-1.3120. Is range mein rebound ki possibility hai. Lekin, mujhe dekhna hoga ke upper resistance ka real working kaisa hai, phir channel ke along questions nahi honge. Yeh clear ho gaya hai ke GBP/USD price upar jayegi, yeh movements se evident hai jo ab tak manifest ho chuki hain.

Kuch waqt guzarne ke baad, humne market phase conduct kiya, jo bullish trend ko continue karne ki tendency dikha raha hai. Main note karna chahunga ke significant timeframe is trend ke liye already set up ho chuka hai. Mujhe lagta tha ke buyers' vector ke time parameters ko predict karna mushkil hoga, lekin is baar main successful raha. Agar decline 1.2763 tak aati hai, to buy karne ka mauka hai, is situation mein deal ko lamba trade karna asaan hoga. Agar resistance 1.2827 ko break kar lete hain, to reversal ki expectation nahi honi chahiye.

Next week growth continue karegi aur channel ke along north jayegi. Hume last growth mein jo resistance nahi poocha, usko finish karna hoga. Lekin, agar southern trend wapas aa jata hai, to direction change karna padega. Lekin, direction ko strengthen karne ka process already noticeable hai. Yeh waqt hai ke ek zyada convenient trend range mein move kiya jaye, kyunki reversal ke signals hain. Most pairs ne is moment ko miss kar diya hai.

GBP/USD ka jo jora hai, usne Jumma ko taqat ke saaf nishan dikhaye, lekin yeh aik girti hui channel mai raha, kyunki Thursday ko ek girawat dekhi gayi thi. Is liye, lower trend ab bhi barqarar hai, aur Jumma ko jo correction shuru hui woh aati hai. Agar hum euro ke liye mazeed barhota ki umeed nahi rakhte, toh British pound ke liye bhi nahi rakhni chahiye. Bank of England ne abhi tak sirf apni monetary policy ko aasan banana shuru kiya hai. Yeh behtareen nahi hoga agar hum ek aisi currency ki barhota ki umeed rakhein jiska central bank interest rates ko kam kar raha hai. Hum yeh nahi keh rahe ke pound kisi halat mein nayi udaan nahi bhar sakta, bas hum keh rahe hain ke aisa hona behtar na hoga. Har surat mein, price ko girti hui channel ke upar mustahkam hona padega takay ek nayi udaan ki nishandahi ho sake.

Jumma ko 5-minute time frame par kuch trading signals bane lekin inhein amal mein lana buhat mushkil tha. Pehla buy signal US ki economic reports ki release ke doran bana. Price foran 1.2748 ke level se ooncha chala gaya, jo market mai enter karna fizikally mushkil bana diya. Baad mein price 1.2791-1.2798 ke ilake ke upar stabilize ho gaya, lekin tab tak price din ki low se 100 pips se zyada badh chuka tha. Hum samajhte hain ke aise signal par market mein enter karna behtar nahi tha. Din ke aakhir mein, price ne 1.2791-1.2798 ke ilake ke neeche mustahkam hone ki koshish ki, lekin ye koshish nakam rahi.

Peer ke trading tips:
GBP/USD ki hourly time frame par aage girne ki achi sambhavana hai. British pound ab bhi overbought hai, dollar undervalued hai, aur BoE apne borrowing costs ko kam karne laga hai—ab aur kya chahiye ke British currency girti rahe? Macro data ne phir se dollar ke perfect picture ko kharab kar diya. Halankeh, aisi kisi bhi waqt disappointing US reports nahi aayengi, aur UK bhi hamesha achhe data faraham nahi karega. Magar, buniyadi background, macroeconomic background se kam ahmiyat nahi rakhta.

Peer ko, novice traders 1.2791-1.2798 se trading kar sakte hain. Us par bounce aane se naye long positions khul sakte hain, targeted 1.2848. Agar consolidation neeche hoti hai, toh is ka matlab hai naye girawat ki shuruat.

Key levels ko 5M timeframe par madde nazar rakhein: 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980-1.2993, 1.3043, 1.3102-1.3107, 1.3145. Peer ko, UK aur US mein July ke final estimates of Services PMI data share kiye jayenge. Lekin, ek aur ahm ISM index bhi service sector ke liye US mein share kiya jayega.

GBP/USD Daily Forecast

Aaj hum GBP/USD ke price action ka jaiza lenge. Naya trading hafta aaj currency market mein kaafi pur-sukoon khula. Pichle Jumme ko is pair par buyers ki activity bohot zyada thi, aur iska sabab ye tha ke USA mein bekaar data aaya tha jo unemployment se mutaliq tha. Iske natije mein, subsequent growth ke sath, hum asani se 1.2778 ka resistance level toor kar upar establish karne mein kamiyab hue. Is puri karwai ke doran volumes lagataar barhte rahe aur kaafi high values par reh gaye, jo yeh darshan deta hai ke bade buyers aur bhi positions khol rahe hain. Aur trading week ke aakhir mein 1.2778 ke level ke upar establish hone ka tariqa aage chal kar British pound ke mazid mazboot hone ke liye bohot achi umeed de raha hai. GBP/USD quotes Asian session mein zyada tabdeel nahin hui, aur yeh abhi bhi 1.2776 se 1.2827 ke horizontal channel mein trade kar rahi hain. Saath hi, aaj trading ke doran US dollar ki mazid kamzori dekhte hue, upar ki taraf movement ka mauqa hai, lekin jaise pehle bhi kaha tha, main kisi bhi direction mein trade karne ka plan bana raha hun jahan bhi quotes is horizontal channel se bahar nikalti hain.

GBP/USD H4 Forecast

Agar bulls 1.2827 ke level ke upar nikalne mein kamiyab hote hain, to aage ke growth ka bohot zyada imkaan hai aur 1.2878 ke level tak pahuncha ja sakta hai. Yeh level kaafi mazboot hai, aur ise seedha toorna mushkil hoga, isliye agar yeh level work out hota hai, to mujhe kam az kam ek poora rebound dekhne ki umeed hai. Ek alternate scenario mein, main neeche ki taraf movement ki resume hone ka sochta hun, aur agar quotes 1.2776 ke neeche laut aati hain, to main is girawat par khelunga, inexpectation ke 1.2703 ka level tootta hai aur 1.2611 ke level tak girawat hoti hai. General taur par, pair ke liye downward slope ab bhi barqarar hai, khaaskar jab Federal Reserve aur Central Bank of England ki policies ke darmiyan tafreeq quotes par bohot zyada दबाव daalti hai, aur agar September mein Federal Reserve system ka refinancing rate kum karne ki koi baat bhi ho, to asli taqat ke yahaan kuch bhi tabdeeli nahi hoti.

GBP/USD Currency Pair Ka Tajziya: Ahem Levels Aur Market Trends

GBP/USD currency pair ne haali mein mixed performance dikhayi hai, jahan dollar ne non-farm payroll data ke baad tezi se kamzori dikhayi. Is ibtidaai kami ke bawajood, kharidaaron ne daam ko upar le jane mein mushkilat ka samna kiya, jo isi subah ke asar se zahir hota hai. Kharidaaron ko daam ko upar le jane ke liye 1.28394 se upar ke levels ko todna aur wahan qaim rehna hoga. Agar yeh level tod dia gaya, to agla ahem target 1.28637 hoga.

Agar daam is 1.28637 ke level se upar todta hai aur wahan mazboot hota hai, to yeh downward trend mein ek potential shift ki nishani ho sakti hai, jisse yeh pair agay badhne ki sambhavana rakhta hai. Is ke muqabil, bechne walon ko 1.27772 se neeche girne aur daarust hone ki zaroorat hai taake bearish trend jari rahe. Agar yeh level bhi toota, to agla target 1.27063 hoga.

4-ghante ke chart (GBP/USD H4) par, pair Bollinger Bands ke central area mein hai, jo yeh darust karta hai ke market consolidation phase mein hai. Is position se movement kisi bhi taraf ho sakti hai, yeh is baat par depend karega ke daam bands se bahar nikalta hai ya nahi. Saaf direction jaanne ke liye, traders ko upper ya lower band se nikalne ka intezaar karna chahiye, phir yeh dekhna chahiye ke kya bands expand ya contract ho rahe hain.

Fractal analysis se pata chalta hai ke ek naya upward fractal bana hai. Agar is fractal se upar breakout aur consolidation hota hai, to yeh daam ko pehle ke fractal tak le jayega jo 31 July ko hai, jo ke 1.28637 par hai. Is ke muqabil, agar daam haali ke downward fractal se neeche girta hai, to agla ahem fractal target 3 July ka hoga, jo 1.26772 par hai.

Iske alaawa, Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator abhi negative zone mein hai magar yeh kam hota dikh raha hai. Agar AO zero ke par hota hai aur positive zone mein barhta hai, to yeh GBP/USD pair ke liye bullish outlook ko mazid mazboot karega. Is se mukabala, agar negative area mein continued movement hoti hai to yeh aage ke ghatne ki sambhavana darust karega.

Nakhra ke tor par, ahem levels aur indicator signals ka dekhtay rehna bhot zaroori hai taake GBP/USD pair ke mustaqbil ke price movements ka andaza laga sakein. Traders ko in ahem levels ke upar ya neeche breakouts ka intezaar karna chahiye aur AO indicator mein tabdeelion ko track karna chahiye taake market sentiment aur potential price trends ko samajh sakein.

Chalo D1 chart ko review karte hain trading instrument GBP/USD ka. Is haftay ka aghaz chhoti si downward price gap se hua tha jo jaldi se fill ho gayi, aur phir price increase ka silsila jari raha. Pichlay haftay, is currency pair ne strong upward movement dekhi, jo technical analysis aur current trend ke momentum se support hui thi. Wave structure ek upward pattern bana raha hai, jahan MACD indicator apni signal line ke upar overbought zone mein rise kar raha hai. Sirf pound hi nahi, balkay US dollar bhi market mein weakness show kar raha hai.

Is haftay uptrend jari raha, aur daily chart par hum dekh sakte hain ke price do peechle peaks se draw ki gayi gentle descending trendline ko touch kar rahi hai. Naturally, profit-taking is level ke kareeb hui, jis ke natijay mein pullback aaya. Kal, is retracement par asaani se kuch dozen pips kamaaye ja sakte thay. Further downside development ki high probability hai, kyun ke kal ki candle ne typical reversal pattern show kiya, jo hammer ya pin bar ke naam se jana jata hai. Iske ilawa, CCI indicator overbought zone se downside exit karne ko tayar hai. Chhoti H4 timeframe par, same indicator par bearish divergence bhi hai. Magar yeh sab ek trap bhi ho sakta hai, khaaskar jab pound apni deceptive moves ke liye mashhoor hai.

Price reverse ho sakti hai aur kal ke high ko break kar sakti hai, khaaskar agar koi significant news events aajayein jo aisi move ko justify kar sakein, considering ke aaj ka economic calendar relatively light hai. Aaj ka noteworthy event Federal Reserve ke head, Powell ka speech hai jo 17:00 Moscow time par hai. Filhal, mera rujhan zyada downside scenario ki taraf hai, magar price action isko confirm nahi kar raha.

Maximizing Profits with GBP/USD Prices

Aaj humara focus GBP/USD currency pair ke live pricing movements ko decode karne par hai. Moving average indicate kar rahi hai ke current price ke neeche position hai, jo buying opportunities ko favour karti hai. Dusra indicator high overbought conditions ko reflect kar raha hai, jo moving average ke buy signal se conflict kar raha hai. Hum dono indicators se clear directional signal ka intezar kar rahe hain. Main market mein enter karne ka soch raha hoon jab pair 1.2757 se rise karega, jo aaj ke liye ek favourable entry point hai. Risk ko effectively manage karna zaroori hai, isliye main stop loss order 1.2737 par establish kar raha hoon. Price action mein koi tabdeeli nahi hai aur market low price volatility show kar raha hai. Yeh measure potential losses ko cap karne mein madadgar hoga jabke take profit level 1.2817 par target karte huye profits ko lock karne ka soch rahe hain. Hum market ko closely observe karenge jab tak stop loss ya take profit thresholds hit nahi hote.

British pound ne shayad apni initial decline wave complete kar li hai. Aaj ke potential minor correction ke baad, further downward movement 1.2783 ke neeche likely hai. Pound ke further strengthening ke prospects limited hain due to conflicting underlying factors. Technically, dusri currency pairs mein reversal pattern broader trend shift ko suggest karta hai. H1 time frame par significant pullback ho chuka hai, jahan following price direction recent highs ke retest par depend karti hai. Agar price in recent highs ko surpass kar leti hai, to yeh upward tendency ka continuation display kar sakti hai, jo further upward movement ke opportunities present kar sakti hai. Conversely, agar market weakness show karti hai aur upward momentum sustain nahi kar sakti, to yeh reversal ko signal kar sakta hai towards support level of around 1.2720.

Yeh strategy apko trading decisions mein madadgar hogi aur risk management ko ensure karegi, isliye har step ko carefully plan karna zaroori hai. Market ka analysis aur indicators ka proper understanding apko profitable trading decisions lene mein assist kar sakti hai. Trading mein patience aur discipline key factors hain jo aapki overall success ko determine karte hain. Isliye, aaj ka trading plan carefully execute karna aur market signals ko closely follow karna zaroori hai.

### Moving Averages and Momentum Indicators

20-day moving average (EMA) jo ke is waqt 1.2695 ke qareeb hai, recent upward trend ka ek aur significant indicator hai. Moving averages technical analysis mein commonly use hoti hain taake price data ko smooth out kiya ja sake aur trend direction identify kiya ja sake. 20-day EMA ka current price ke qareeb hona yeh suggest karta hai ke recent upward movement well-supported hai aur agar market conditions favorable rahi to yeh movement continue ho sakti hai.

Iske ilawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo ek momentum oscillator hai aur price movements ki speed aur change ko measure karta hai, recently 60 ke ooper move hua hai. RSI value 60 ke ooper typically yeh indicate karti hai ke asset strength gain kar rahi hai aur aagey barh sakti hai. Lekin yeh bhi zaroori hai ke note kiya jaye ke RSI agar bohot ooper chali jaye to overbought conditions signal kar sakti hai, jo ke ek imminent correction ko suggest karti hai.

### Potential Reversal and Support Levels

Pound ke positive outlook ke bawajood, traders ko potential reversals se hoshiyar rehna chahiye. Agar current trend hold nahi karta, to pound apne initial support level 1.2655 par wapas aa sakta hai. Support levels woh price points hain jahan currency pair ko buying interest mil sakti hai, jo further decline ko prevent karne mein madadgar hote hain.

Agar reversal hoti hai, to 1.2655 support level ko closely monitor karna zaroori hoga. Agar pound is level ke ooper hold karta hai, to yeh indicate karta hai ke overall upward trend ab bhi intact hai. Conversely, agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to yeh deeper correction ko signal kar sakta hai, jo further declines tak lead kar sakta hai.

### Broader Economic Context

Political developments aur technical indicators valuable insights provide karte hain, lekin broader economic context ko consider karna bhi essential hai jab GBP/USD pair analyze kiya jaye. Dono UK aur US economies bohot se factors se influenced hoti hain, jismein economic data releases, central bank policies aur global economic conditions shamil hain.

#### UK Economic Outlook

UK economy ne recent years mein bohot challenges face kiye hain, jismein Brexit, COVID-19 pandemic aur inflationary pressures shamil hain. Lekin, recent data kuch recovery ki signs suggest karte hain. Labour market ne resilience show kiya hai, low unemployment rates ke sath, aur consumer spending gradually improve ho rahi hai.

Inflation ab bhi ek concern hai, aur Bank of England (BoE) closely price levels monitor kar rahi hai. BoE ki monetary policy decisions, particularly regarding interest rates, GBP/USD pair par significant impact rakhti hain. Higher interest rates typically foreign investment attract karti hain, jo pound ki value boost karti hain.

#### US Economic Outlook

US economy bhi UK ki tarah ek complex landscape navigate kar rahi hai. Inflation major concern rahi hai, jo Federal Reserve ko rising prices control karne ke measures lene par majboor kar rahi hai. Fed ki monetary policy, including interest rate hikes, US dollar ke performance mein crucial role play karti hai.

Economic indicators jaise ke GDP growth, employment data, aur consumer sentiment closely investors ke nazar mein hain. Koi bhi significant deviations from expectations volatility ko lead kar sakti hain USD mein aur consequently GBP/USD pair mein bhi.

### Summary and Future Outlook

Summary yeh hai ke recent performance of GBP/USD pair political developments, technical indicators, aur broader economic factors se influenced hui hai. Labour Party ke strong performance ne investor confidence ko bolster kiya hai, jo pound ki value ko rise karne mein lead karti hai.

Technical analysis suggest karti hai ke pound apni upward trend continue kar sakta hai, supported by key indicators jaise ke 20-day EMA aur RSI. Lekin, traders ko potential reversals se cautious rehna chahiye, jismein 1.2655 support level ek critical point hoga.

Broader economic context, including Bank of England aur Federal Reserve ki policies, bhi GBP/USD pair ki future trajectory ko shape karne mein significant role play karegi. Dono economies ongoing challenges face kar rahi hain, aur koi bhi major economic developments investor sentiment aur market dynamics ko impact kar sakti hain.

Jesa ke hamesha, traders aur investors ko informed rehna chahiye aur multiple factors consider karne chahiye jab decisions le rahe hon. Political insights, technical analysis, aur economic context ko combine karke, ek comprehensive understanding achieve ki ja sakti hai GBP/USD pair ki, jo foreign exchange market ki complexities ko navigate karne mein madadgar hogi.

### GBP/USD Trading Mein Kamyabi Ki Strategies

Hamari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ke pricing ki live evaluation ke sath align karti hai. Pound/Dollar pair mein bears ek significant correction bearish side mein nahi laa sake local maximum se, jo Murray +1/8 level 1.2847 ke qareeb hai. Yeh hatta ke expected 7/8 reversal level 1.2786 tak bhi nahi pohnch sake. GBP/USD ki price phir se rise kar rahi hai, trading 28th figure ke andar, aur bulls 8/8 resistance 1.2816 ko push kar rahe hain. Chaar ghante ke stochastic barely apne lower limit se turn ho raha hai, yeh upward movement shuru ho rahi hai, jo bulls ko support kar rahi hai. Iss growth wave mein, price likely middle of the 28th figure ko break karne ki koshish karegi, wahan ek chota zigzag banayegi, aur phir main Murray level +2/8, 1.2877 tak rise continue karegi. Technical perspective se, aur aaj significant news ke baghair aside from US Federal Reserve head ke speech, yeh trend ko significantly change karna unlikely hai.

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Ab tak, humne rollback mein ek reversal dekha hai 1.2864 se, slightly miss karke, aur pair H1 support 1.2749 ki taraf move kar rahi hai. H4 support 1.2679 par stand karta hai. Jab tak yeh H1 support 1.2749 ko break nahi karte, upward movement restricted hai. H1 se, pair phir se grow karna start kar sakti hai 1.2909 aur 1.2969 ki taraf, phir rollback 1.3124 tak, jo main goal hai. Agar yeh balance of the day ko aaj 1.2839 par break karte hain, to growth 1.2909 tak continue kar sakti hai, followed by a rollback to 1.2779, jahan H1 resistance significant ban jayegi. Agar H1 support 1.2749 break hoti hai, to wahan se ek pullback ho sakta hai 1.2739 se, likely 1.2719 se, towards H1 resistance at 1.2844. Phir, ek reversal H4 support 1.2679 tak ho sakta hai, followed by growth towards medium-term goal of 1.3124.

### Strategies for Successful Trading

1. **Technical Analysis Par Focus Karen:**
Technical indicators jaise ke moving averages aur stochastic oscillators ko use karna zaroori hai. Inse aapko trend direction aur potential reversal points ka andaza lagta hai.

2. **Support Aur Resistance Levels Ko Monitor Karen:**
Price movements ko samajhne ke liye critical support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karen. Yeh levels price ke behavior ke liye key points hoti hain.

3. **Risk Management Ka Khayal Rakhen:**
Trading mein risk management critical hai. Stop loss orders set karen taake potential losses ko minimize kiya ja sake.

4. **Economic News Aur Events Par Nazar Rakhen:**
Significant economic news aur events, jaise ke Federal Reserve head ke speeches, market sentiment ko influence kar sakti hain. In events ko monitor karna zaroori hai.

5. **Multiple Time Frames Analyze Karen:**
H1 aur H4 time frames ko analyze karna important hai taake short-term aur medium-term trends ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

6. **Market Sentiment Ko Samjhen:**
Market sentiment ko samajhna zaroori hai. Agar market bullish hai to buying opportunities search karen, aur agar bearish hai to selling opportunities par focus karen.

In strategies ko follow kar ke, aap GBP/USD trading mein successful ho sakte hain. Hamesha updated rehne aur informed decisions lene se hi aap market ki complexities ko navigate kar sakte hain.

### GBP/USD Mein Foreign Currencies Ka Technical Analysis

British pound ne US dollar ke against high levels ko touch kiya hai aur apni progress ko continue rakhne ke liye, Thursday ko aane wali US inflation release ka weak hona zaroori hai. Forex currency trading platforms ke mutabiq, British pound aur US dollar (GBP/USD) ka exchange rate pehle week mein 1.35% increase hua, jo Federal Reserve ke September mein rate cut ki umeed ka ishara hai. US educational supply data, jaise ke Friday ka jobs report, yeh indicate karte hain ke economy slow ho rahi hai jo jaldi lower interest rates ki madad mang sakti hai. Jab yeh likha ja raha tha to sterling dollar ki value 1.2840 resistance level ki taraf barh rahi thi.

Iske ilawa, Britain mein general elections ka clear result bhi aik important role ada karta hai, jo Britain mein relative political certainty ka aik period shuru karta hai. XTB ki analyst Kathleen Brooks ne currency pair ki performance aur impact factors ko sarahte hue kaha, "GBP/USD pehle week mein 1.29% increase hua, jo is baat ka sign hai ke pound ka potential aik bara rebound ke liye ho sakta hai jab ke political risk premium Britain mein dissipate ho gaya hai." Agla important level psychological resistance of $1.30 hai. "Yeh note kiya gaya ke British pound ki value barh rahi hai, Bank of England ke agle mahine rate cut ki umeed ke sath, jo current OIS market ke mutabiq 66% chance hai."

Currency pair ke technical analysis ke mutabiq: GBP/USD apne main moving averages ke upar trade kar raha hai aur relative strength index positive aur upwards point kar raha hai. Yeh bhi note kiya gaya ke RSI abhi overbought condition mein nahi hai. Magar, daily chart par ek warning sign hai ke wahan 1.28 ke upar aik resistance area hai: 2024 chart ko dekhte hue, yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke exchange rate 1.28 ke upar kisi extended period ke liye hold nahi karta.

Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, major resistance 1.2860 par threat hone ki kam possibility hai. Yad rahe ke wahan 1.2840 ke qareeb ek aur resistance level hai. Support 1.2785 par hai, aur 1.2770 ka breach karna yeh matlab hoga ke pound aage nahi barhta. Is resistance level ki mojoodgi ka matlab yeh ho sakta hai ke GBP/USD narrow range mein trade karega, 1.28 ke upar aur niche, important US inflation reading se pehle Thursday ko.

Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq, headline US consumer price index 3.1% annually girne ki umeed hai, jo January mein 3.3% se neeche aayega. Yeh result rapidly growing economy mein slowdown ko indicate karega jab currency ke rapid progress ke pehle week mein disruption hui thi. Yeh Federal Reserve ke September mein US interest rates cut karne ke chances ko barha sakta hai, jo dollar ko affect kar sakta hai.

Influence ke hawale se, Britain se koi major releases nahi hain, siwaye Thursday ko GDP update ke, jo market par major impact dalne ke laayak nahi hai jab tak important inflation aur labor market data agle hafte release na ho jaye.

### GBP/USD Trading Ka Technical Analysis

Is haftay ka aghaz GBP/USD trading instrument ne aik choti si downward price gap ke sath kiya, lekin yeh gap jaldi se close hogaya aur price ne upar barhna shuru kar diya. Pichle haftay, currency pair mein ek zabardast upward movement dekhi gayi, aur technical picture is direction mein develop ho rahi hai, jahan trend abhi bhi momentum gain kar raha hai. Wave structure ne upwards build hona shuru kiya hai, aur MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein signal line ke upar grow kar raha hai. US dollar ne sirf pound ke against nahi, balke puri market spectrum mein weakness show ki hai.

Is haftay bhi growth continue hui hai, aur daily chart yeh dikhata hai ke price ne gentle downward line ko touch kiya jo ke do pehle peaks se form hui thi. Is wajah se, positions ko is line ke qareeb close kiya gaya, jis se downward correction shuru hui. Kal, is rollback par kuch dozen points aram se earn kiye ja sakte the. Aik aur decline ki high probability hai, kyun ke kal ki candle ne hammer-like pattern ke sath close kiya, jo ke aik reversal characteristic hai aur pin bar ke naam se bhi jaana jata hai. Is ke ilawa, CCI indicator bhi upper overheated zone se neeche move karne ke liye tayar hai.

Price bearish trend ke liye poised lag rahi hai, signals potential downward movement ka ishara kar rahe hain. Magar, ehtiyat zaroori hai, kyun ke British pound apni deceptive nature ke liye jaana jata hai, jo traders ko mislead karne ke liye traps set karta hai. Market price ko pehle din ke high se upar push kar sakti hai, lekin aise significant move ke liye, substantial news ka hona zaroori hai. Afsos ke sath, aaj ke din ki events kuch khaas nahi lag rahi, jahan Eurogroup meeting 1:00 PM Moscow time aur US Federal Reserve Chair Powell ka speech 5:00 PM ko main highlights hain.

Mojooda information ke mutabiq, decline zyada likely lag raha hai.

### Subah Bakhair

Pound kaafi arsay se grow kar raha hai aur kuch correction aane wali hai. Kal sellers ne kuch form karna shuru kiya tha, lekin aaj wo price ko neeche le jaane mein kamiyab nahi ho sake. Price drop ka stronger signal lenay ke liye aap 1.27861 level par rely kar sakte hain. Iska break hote hi, chahay yeh local hi kyun na ho, ascending structure ka breakdown ho jayega aur price fall ke possible continuation ka signal mil jayega. Target 1.27401 ka mark hoga.

Agar hum quotes ke growth ke continuation ki baat karein, toh mujhe lagta hai buyers zyada se zyada koshish karenge ke price ko 1.28599 level ki taraf le jayein. Agar wo is level ke peeche consolidate karne mein kamiyab hote hain, toh unka target 1.28932 ka mark hoga.

### Pair GBP/USD M5 Chart Analysis:

1. Pound ne 5-minute chart par central area tak rollback kiya, aur tapes inward tuck hone aur ek doosre ki taraf move karne lagi hain. Is situation mein price ke rise ya fall ke liye naya high-quality signal lene ke liye, humein upper ya lower band ke beyond ek active exit ka intezar karna chahiye, aur phir evaluate karna chahiye ke bands outward open hoti hain ya koi reaction nahi hota.

2. AO indicator positive area mein damping form karna shuru kar raha hai. Agar hum near future mein zero ke through transition aur negative zone mein increase dekhte hain, toh yeh price fall ka stronger signal hoga. Positive area mein nayi increase quotes ke rise ka signal degi.

3. Purchases ke liye entry point 1.28157 par locate ho sakti hai, aur price ke 1.28271 tak rise hone ki umeed hai.

4. Sales ko 1.27977 se consider kiya ja sakta hai, aur price ke 1.27889 tak fall hone ki umeed hai.

Ye analysis aap ko GBP/USD ke price movements aur potential trading opportunities ko samajhne mein madad de sakti hai. Trading decisions lene se pehle hamesha market trends aur indicators ka achi tarah se tajziya karna zaroori hai.

### Subah Bakhair

Mujhe samajh nahi aaya ke Dollar ne Friday ko kyun strengthen nahi kiya jab non-farm data expected se behtar aaya. Shayad yeh sach hai, jaisa aap keh rahe hain, hum data aur decisions ka sirf aadha hissa jaante hain jo quotes ko affect karte hain, isliye aise sawaal uthte hain jab direct logic kaam nahi karti. Kal Pound ke sellers ne trading ke end mein buyers ko counter karna start kiya, mujhe lagta hai ke is hafte hum kuch downward correction dekh sakte hain. Aap 1.27861 level par focus karne ki koshish kar sakte hain, agar yeh test hota hai aur fix hota hai, toh humein ascending structure ka chhota breakdown mil sakta hai aur 1.27401 level ki taraf jaane ka mauka milega.

### Pair GBP/USD H4 Chart Analysis:

1. Pound ne 4-hour chart par central area tak rollback kiya, aur movement yahan se kisi bhi direction mein continue ho sakti hai. Is situation mein price ke rise ya fall ke liye naya high-quality signal lene ke liye, humein upper ya lower band ke beyond ek active exit ka intezar karna chahiye, aur phir dekhna chahiye ke bands outward open hoti hain ya koi reaction nahi hota. Fractals ki point of view se baat karein toh, ek naya fractal upward form hua hai, iska breakout aur consolidation price ko June 12 ke fractal ke taraf 1.28599 le jaane dega. Najdeeki fractal downward abhi bhi current price value se door hai, aur quotes ke falling direction mein rely karne ke liye, naya fractal dekhna behtar hoga.

2. AO indicator positive area mein damping form karna shuru kar raha hai, aur price is par react karte hue gir rahi hai. Agar zero ki taraf movement continue hoti hai, toh humein price fall ka stronger signal milega. Positive area mein nayi increase price rise ka signal degi.

Yeh analysis aapko GBP/USD ke price movements aur potential trading opportunities ko samajhne mein madad degi. Trading decisions lene se pehle market trends aur indicators ka achi tarah se tajziya karna zaroori hai.

UK election mein Labor ne 412 seats jeet kar majority hasil ki, jis se market expectations ko sukoon mila. GBP/USD stable raha, monetary policy ko tight karne aur possible BOE rate cuts ke expectations ke beech.

U.S. inflation estimates ahmiyat rakhti hain; agar data weak aaye to USD depreciation ko extend kar sakta hai, jo short-term employment outlook ko affect karega. Last week, UK general election mein Labor ne 412 seats jeeti House of Commons mein, jo pehle se expected thi.

Result mein overall vote ka sirf 34% hissa aaya kyun ke single-candidate constituencies thi, aur market ne is par khamosh reaction diya, kyunki yeh pehle se expected tha. Aane wale mahino mein, nayi hakoomat fiscal discipline maintain karne aur ahm budgetary reforms ko limit karne ka irada rakhti hai, jaisa election campaign ke doran bataya gaya tha.

Is stance se Bank of England tayar hai ke apne interest rates cut launch kare, shayad agle meeting mein hi. Is context mein, chaliye current sentiment ko examine karte hain GBP/USD ke liye taake trading opportunities ko samajh sakein.

Kya Bank of England aur Fed rate cut ek sath karenge? Market expectations suggest karti hain ke agle BoE meeting mein dovish move likely hai, UK mein slower inflation aur economic growth ko bolster karne ki khwahish ke chalte, jo recent mein 1% per annum se neeche aa gayi hai. Yeh anticipated event already current market sentiments mein shamil hai. Kisi bhi further British pound ke strengthen hone se Bank of England signal de sakta hai ke woh wider rate adjustment ke liye tayari kar raha hai.

### Technical Path - 1.284 Level Decisive

Month ke shuru se demand momentum observed hua hai jo supply side ke resistance se mila area ke near maximum price 1.2840 ke paas. Disciplinary action ka direction depend karega U.S. inflation news par jo Wednesday ko aayegi; agar data disappointing aaye to trading pressure increase ho sakta hai, initial target ke near 1.2740 local support zone ke paas.

Technical analysis ke mutabiq, support aur resistance levels ko samajhna aur monitor karna bohot zaroori hai. Yeh levels trading strategies ko refine karte hain aur informed decisions lene mein madad karte hain. Moving averages aur cycle lows aur highs ko monitor karna traders ko market trends aur potential reversals ko samajhne mein madad deta hai. GBP/USD ke liye pehla support 50-day moving average par hai jo ke 1.2884 hai, phir 100-day moving average jo ke 1.2852 hai, aur aakhri cycle low jo ke 1.2812 hai. Agar price in levels se neeche girti hai, to yeh bearish sentiment aur selling pressure ko indicate karegi. Iske baraks, agar pair 1.27930 se upar break karta hai, to yeh bullish momentum ko confirm karega, aur next target July 27, 2023 ka high jo ke 1.2895 hai. Is analysis ko use karke, traders informed trading decisions le sakte hain aur market trends ko behtar samajh sakte hain.

Year-to-date high 1.2793 resistance mein badal jayega, aur GBP/USD mein further strength pair ko 1.27930 se upar push kar sakti hai, jahan buyers July 27, 2023 ka high 1.2895 ko target karenge.

50-day moving average ek significant support level hai kyunki yeh short-term price trend ko indicate karta hai. Agar price is level se neeche girti hai, to yeh short-term bearish sentiment ko confirm karega aur further downside pressure create karega. 50-day moving average ke neeche, 100-day moving average ek aur important support level hai. Yeh long-term price trend ko indicate karta hai, aur agar yeh level bhi break hota hai, to yeh long-term bearish trend ko confirm kar sakta hai. Bearish side pe, GBP/USD ke liye pehla support 50-day moving average ho ga (jo ke is waqt 1.2884 par hai), uske baad 100-day moving average (jo ke is waqt 1.2852 par hai), aur phir aakhri cycle low, jo ke June 27 ka low 1.2812 hai.

June 27 ka latest cycle low 1.2812 ek aur critical support level hai. Agar price is level se neeche girti hai, to yeh further bearish sentiment aur market mein selling pressure ko indicate karega. Is scenario mein, traders ko ehtiyat karni chahiye aur closely price movements ko monitor karna chahiye.

Doosri taraf, agar GBP/USD mein strength continue karti hai, to pair 1.27930 se upar rise kar sakta hai. Yeh level ek significant resistance ke taur par act karega. Agar price is level se upar break karti hai, to yeh bullish momentum ko confirm karega aur buyers ko encourage karega. Phir next target July 27, 2023 ka high 1.2895 hoga, jo further bullish momentum ko indicate karega.