𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBPUSD market mein H4 TF reference ke hawale se kuch dilchasp movement conditions hain. Yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke current price Ma 200 (blue) movement ke range mein wapas aa rahi hai jahan MA limit yeh decide karne wali hai ke agla trend kidhar jayega. Upar ki side limit jise consider karna chahiye woh resistance area ka range hai 1.2862 par aur neeche ki side limit support area ke aas paas hai jo is hafte ka lowest price level hai, yaani 1.2706. Jab tak price in 2 crucial levels ke range mein trade ho rahi hai, short-term transactions ko pehle calculate kiya ja sakta hai.
Option ek short-term sale ka hai 1.2800 ke range se jis mein 50 pips ke decrease ka target hai taake level 1.2750 tak pohch jaye aur risk loss limit 1.2865 ke level se upar rakhi jaye. Ek short-term buy plan ko bhi consider kiya ja sakta hai 1.2750 ke range se enter karne ke liye aur target phir se 1.2810 ke level tak increase ka hai aur stop loss limit 1.2700 ke level se neeche rakhi jaye.

Long-term purchases ke liye agar trend dobara bullish phase mein wapas aane ka mumkin hai to uske liye 1.2865 ke level se upar increase ka wait karna hoga. Potential yeh hai ke base up rally previous month ke highest price limit 1.3042 ke range tak pohchne ka try kare aur phir previous year ke highest price limit 1.3140 ke range tak ja sakti hai.

Sales plans ko consider karna bhi dilchasp ho sakta hai agar bearish rally price further neeche jaaye to 1.2700 ke level pe breakout ho. Bearish movement ka target us price level se neeche 1.2611 ke range mein next support area tak pohchna hai aur base drop rally movement ke liye year ka lowest price limit 1.2299 ke range tak pohchne ka moka milta hai.

### GBP/USD Ka Jari Bazar Ka Tajziya
GBP/USD ke currency pair ne haali mein izafa dekha, jo ke aham round number 1.2800 pe band hui. Yeh harakat yeh zahir karti hai ke kharidaar abhi bazar par asar daal rahe hain. Magar, is upar ki harakat ke bawajood, keemat ab tak aik baray downward channel mein hai aur koi faislay kaari breakout nahi hua. Yeh soorat-e-haal aik ehtiyaati trading mahal banati hai, jo ke kharidari ka position kholne mein muskilat paida karti hai jab tak bazar halat par mazid zor se re-aqaat nahi karta.

#### Haali Keemat Ki Harakat

**1. Aham Round Number:**
1.2800 level par band hona notable hai kyun ke round numbers forex trading mein aksar psychological barriers ka kaam karte hain. Yeh level buying interest ko attract kar raha hai, jo ke yeh suggest karta hai ke market participants is point par keemat ko support karne ke liye tayar hain. Magar, is level ko barqarar rakhna bullish outlook ko tasdeeq karna critical hai.

**2. Downward Channel:**
Keemat ab tak aik downward channel mein confined hai, jo ke broader trend ab tak bearish hai. Channel ka upper boundary dynamic resistance ka kaam kar raha hai, jab ke lower boundary support provide karta hai. Jab tak channel se upar breakout nahi hota, bearish trend dominant rahega.

#### Technical Indicators

**1. Moving Averages:**
- 50-day moving average (MA) 200-day MA se neeche hai, jo ke long-term bearish trend ko reinforce kar raha hai. Keemat abhi 50-day MA ke aaspas trading kar rahi hai, jo ke pivot point ka kaam kar sakti hai.
- Aik sustained move 50-day MA ke upar, jo ke filhal 1.2830 ke kareeb hai, bullish case ko mazid mazboot karega.

**2. Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur MACD:**
- RSI 50 level ke kareeb hai. RSI agar 50 se upar ho jaye to bullish momentum ki taqat ka pata chalta hai, jab ke 50 se neeche rehna bearish sentiment ko zahir karta hai.
- MACD histogram zero line ke kareeb hai, jo ke momentum ko relatively neutral suggest kar raha hai. Zero line ke upar positive crossover bullish outlook ko support karega.

#### Buniyadi Asar

**1. Economic Data:**
- Recent izafa UK se positive economic data ke asar se ho sakta hai, jaise ke stronger-than-expected GDP growth ya favorable employment figures.
- Doosri taraf, US economic data agar kamzor hoti hai, jaise ke disappointing job numbers ya lower-than-expected inflation, to USD kamzor ho sakta hai aur GBP/USD ko support mil sakta hai.

**2. Central Bank Policies:**
- Bank of England (BoE) aur Federal Reserve policies ab bhi aik ahem kirdar ada kar rahi hain. BoE se koi rate hikes ka ishara GBP ko mazboot kar sakta hai, jab ke Fed se dovish comments USD ko kamzor kar sakte hain.

#### Trading Strategy

Maujooda soorat-e-haal ko dekhte hue, traders ko buy positions mein commit karne se pehle ehtiyaat baratni chahiye. Ahem levels jo dekhnay chahiye wo hain:
- **1.2830:** Is level ke upar breakout bullish move ko signal kar sakta hai, jo ke long positions ke liye mauqay khol sakta hai.
- **1.2750:** Is support ke neeche girna bearish trend ko reinforce kar sakta hai aur short positions ke liye mauqay provide kar sakta hai.

#### Nateeja

GBP/USD currency pair ka haali izafa 1.2800 tak buyer interest ko zahir karta hai, magar prevailing downward channel aur faislay kaari breakout ki kami ko dekhtay hue turant long positions lena ehtiyaati hai. Traders ko ahem levels aur technical indicators ko closely monitor karna chahiye, saath hi fundamental factors ko, taake bazar ki next move ko effectively gauge kar sake.

GBP/USD ne Thursday ko thodi kami dekhi hai, jab kuch USD buying samne aayi. Thoda overbought RSI bhi bulls ko naye bets lagane se rok raha hai.

Technical setup yeh suggest karta hai ke sabse kam resistance upar ki taraf hai. GBP/USD pair Asian session ke dauran halki negative bias ke sath trade kar raha hai, magar selling ka follow-through nahi hai aur pichle din touch kiye gaye one-year peak ke nazdeek hai.

Spot prices abhi 1.3000 ke psychological mark ke aas-paas hain aur lagta hai ke yeh recent uptrend ko barqarar rakhenge jo pichle teen hafton se dekha gaya hai.

US Treasury bond yields me halki si badhoti USD ko pichle din ki bhari losses se recover karne me madad de rahi hai, jo GBP/USD pair ke liye headwind ban raha hai. Lekin, growing expectation ke Federal Reserve September me rate-cutting cycle shuru karega, aur global equity markets me strong bullish tone, safe-haven Greenback ki upside ko cap kar sakte hain.

Dusri taraf, Wednesday ko publish hui data ke mutabiq UK inflation thoda zyada expect kiya gaya tha, June ke liye 2% YoY rate par aaya. Iske saath hi, May me better-than-expected GDP growth 0.4% dekhne ko mili hai, jo August me Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rate cut ke chances ko dampen karti hai. Yeh British Pound ko support provide kar sakti hai aur GBP/USD pair ki downside ko limit kar sakti hai, bearish traders ke liye caution zaroori hai.

Technical perspective se, pichle YTD peak ke through recent breakout, 1.2895 region ke aas-paas, bullish traders ke liye naya trigger tha. Lekin, daily chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) overbought conditions dikha raha hai, aur yeh prudent hoga ke kuch near-term consolidation ya modest pullback ke baad next leg up ka intezar kiya jaye. Koi bhi significant slide 1.2965 area ke nazdeek naye buyers ko attract kar sakti hai aur limit me rahegi.

Iske baad, weekly low, 1.2940-1.2935 region jo Tuesday ko touch hua, agar decisively break hota hai to 1.2900 mark ki taraf slide ka rasta clear ho sakta hai. Yeh handle ab ek key pivotal point ke roop me kaam karega, jiske neeche GBP/USD pair corrective decline ko intermediate support ke 1.2855 zone ki taraf extend kar sakta hai aur 1.2820-1.2815 region aur 1.2800 round-figure mark tak ja sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, YTD peak ke beyond, 1.3045 area jo Wednesday ko set hua, bulls ko 1.3100 mark reclaim karne ki ijaazat dega. Uske baad, GBP/USD pair ko 1.3140 region ya July 2023 swing hig

/USD currency pair ki movement par ek nazar daalte hain. Technically dekha jaye toh, is pair ki trend clearly bullish hai, kyunki price 50-period moving average ke ooper hai. Yeh bullish trend daily pivot point level 1.26893 ke ooper hone ki bhi wajah se support mil rahi hai. Is analytical data ke saath, aur doosre supporting factors ke saath mila kar, main yeh nateeja nikalta hoon ke is waqt behtar trading option hai buy karna, jahan tak ke target resistance levels one and two ke beech 1.2670 se 1.2693 ke range mein rakha ja sakta hai. Ummeed hai yeh analysis aapki madad karay. GBP/USD ki bullish trend mein kai technical indicators shamil hain. Sab se pehle toh 50-period moving average significant support level hai, jo yeh batata hai ke pair uptrend mein hai. Jab price is moving average ke ooper rehti hai, toh yeh strong buying interest aur sustained upward momentum ko indicate karta hai. Iske alawa, price jo daily pivot point 1.2653 ke ooper hai, yeh bhi bullish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. Pivot points potential support aur resistance levels determine karne mein crucial hote hain, aur jab price pivot ke ooper hoti hai, toh generally yeh trading day ke liye bullish outlook indicate karta hai.
Maujooda market conditions aur technical indicators ko madde nazar rakhte hue, GBP/USD ko buy karna sab se prudent strategy lagta hai. Target ko 1.2739 se 1.2693 ke resistance levels par rakha ja sakta hai, jo clear profit potential offer karte hain. Yeh resistance levels recent price action aur historical data se derive kiye gaye hain, jo yeh suggest karte hain ke yeh logical points hain jahan price selling pressure encounter kar sakta hai. Lekin agar bullish momentum jaari rahe, toh yeh levels breach ho bhi sakte hain, jo higher prices tak le ja sakta hai. Traders ko in levels ko monitor karna aur apni strategies ko uss ke mutabiq adjust karna zaroori hai.
Is ke ilawa, market sentiment, economic data, aur geopolitical events jaise factors bhi GBP/USD pair ke movement par asar daal sakte hain. Maslan, US ya Japan se positive economic indicators pair ke bullish trend ko strengthen kar sakte hain. Isi tarah, geopolitical stability ya instability

GBP/USD Analysis
Current Market Overview

GBP/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein aik significant resistance level ko break kiya hai jo ke 1.29374-1.28900 ke range mein tha. Yeh breakout forex market mein aik key development hai aur market sentiment aur trading opportunities mein potential shifts ko suggest karta hai.

#### Key Developments

1. **Breakout of Resistance**:
- GBP/USD pair ne successfully resistance range 1.29374-1.28900 ko breach kiya hai. Yeh breakout strong bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai, jo ke yeh suggest karta hai ke buyers ne market par control hasil kar liya hai.
- **Transformation into Support**: Breakout ke baad, yeh resistance level ab aik naya support zone ban gaya hai. Resistance se support mein shift karna is range ki significance aur future price action mein iske role ko underscore karta hai.

2. **Trading Above Support**:
- Filhal, pair nayi established support zone ke upar trade kar raha hai. Yeh behavior suggest karta hai ke breakout hold kar raha hai aur market participants bullish sentiment ko maintain kar rahe hain.

#### Implications for Traders

1. **Key Support Zone**:
- 1.29374-1.28900 range ab aik critical area ban chuki hai. Jab tak price is support zone ke upar hai, bullish trend continue rehne ka strong chance hai. Traders ko potential buying opportunities ke liye is level ke qareeb dekhna chahiye aur isey aik strong support consider karna chahiye.

2. **Potential for Further Upside**:
- Confirmed breakout ke sath, GBP/USD pair ke pass further upside movement ke liye jagah hai. Agle key levels jo watch karne hain wo previous highs aur potential resistance levels hain. Traders ko continuation patterns ya additional breakouts ke signs ke liye alert rehna chahiye jo further gains ko signal kar sakte hain.

3. **Risk Management**:
- Jab ke current outlook bullish hai, aik risk management strategy zaroori hai. Agar price wapas 1.29374-1.28900 support zone ke neeche chali jati hai, to yeh aik false breakout ko indicate kar sakta hai, jo potential downward pressure ko lead kar sakta hai. Is support level ke neeche stop-loss orders set karna risk manage karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai.

#### Conclusion

GBP/USD currency pair ka breakout above significant resistance level 1.29374-1.28900 aik key development hai, jo is range ko aik naya support zone banata hai. Jab tak price is support ke upar trade kar rahi hai, bullish trend ka strong chance hai, jo potential buying opportunities offer karta hai. Traders ko is key area ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur further upside ke liye tayar rehna chahiye jab ke risks ko effectively manage karte hue.

Click image for larger version

GBP:USD1: 1.2667

Ek bohot hi khatarnak moqa aa raha hai, kyunki support breakout ka imkan hai. Lekin mujhe lagta hai ke yeh breakout nahi hoga aur GBP/USD wapas north bounce karega. Mere khayal mein flat movement north ki taraf end hogi. Bulls ke paas potential mein advantage hai. Yeh saaf hai ke unke liye advantage hasil karna mushkil hai, lekin unke paas achi potential hai. Agar yeh silsila jari rehta hai, to impulse increase hone ka imkan hai. Yeh saaf hai ke sellers ab bhi asar rakhte hain, lekin agar unhone kamzori na dikhayi hoti to woh ab bhi top par hote. Chaliye dekhte hain ke fundamental side se hume kya milta hai, price tag block ke exit par zinda ho jata hai. Agar woh rate increase karne ki taraf barh rahe hain, to rollback ke south mein naye deals dhundhein. Strong statistics ke umeed ke sath pair ka price barhne ka imkan hai. Jab hum 1.2750 ka range break kar lenge, to decline aage continue hoga. Aaj, 1.2750 ka false breakout ab bhi mumkin hai aur jab yeh confirm ho jaye, to yeh buy ka signal hoga. Iss level tak 90 points ka decline ab bhi baqi hai. Jab hum break karne mein kamiyab ho jayein.

Markets ab ek delicate balancing act ka samna kar rahe hain, jahan economic downturns rate cut ke umeed ko barha rahe hain Fed se. CME ka FedWatch Tool dikha raha hai ke traders 100% chance price kar rahe hain kam az kam quarter-point rate cut ka 18 September ko, ek-in-five chance ke sath ke 50 basis points cut ho sakta hai. Lekin agar downturn zyada severe ho jata hai, to yeh market sentiment ko negative impact de sakta hai, aur koi bhi rate cuts Fed se irrelevant ho jayenge. Yeh investors ko challenging position mein daal deta hai, kyunki woh rate cuts ki umeed kar rahe hain soft data par, lekin nahi chahte ke US economy hard landing experience kare. Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) figures jo ke easing Pound Sterling flows ke sath achi nahi thein Bank of England (BoE) ke quarter-point rate trim ke baad.

GBP:USD1: 1.2667

GBP/USD technical outlook
Thursday ko Cable ke 1% decline ne bids ko low end tak drag kiya, 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko 1.2789 par tor diya jahan price action notably bearish ho gaya. Pair ab bhi 200-day EMA par 1.2667 ke upar trade kar raha hai, lekin bidders ka breathing room kam hota ja raha hai jab short pressure barh raha hai.

P/USD Continues Downward Trend Amidst Weaker USD Index GBP/USD currency pair ne apni downward trajectory ko teesre consecutive week tak extend kiya hai, aur Friday ke early Asian session mein 1.2730 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Yeh persistent negative trend tab bhi continue ho raha hai jab USD Index (DXY) 104.20 ke threshold ke neeche gir gaya hai, jo ke major currency pair ko kuch support provide karta hai.

Key Factors Influencing GBP/USD
1. Persistent Downward Momentum:
GBP/USD pair consistent selling pressure ke under hai aur recent weeks mein steady decline dekh raha hai. Yeh trend broader market sentiment aur technical factors ko reflect karta hai jo pair ko lower drive kar rahe hain.

2. Weaker USD Index (DXY):
USD Index, jo ke US dollar ki value ko major currencies ke basket ke against measure karta hai, weaken hua hai aur 104.20 mark ke neeche gir gaya hai. DXY ke decline se GBP/USD pair ko support milna chahiye, kyunki weaker dollar se dusri currencies relatively stronger hoti hain. Lekin is supportive factor ke bawajood, pound ko ground gain karne mein mushkil ho rahi hai, jo ke underlying weakness ko indicate karta hai.

3. Economic Indicators:
UK aur US se recent economic data current trend ko shape karne mein role play kar rahe hain. US mein mixed economic indicators ne dollar ko soft kiya hai. Wahi UK economy inflationary pressures aur economic slowdown ka samna kar rahi hai, jo ke pound ko affect kar raha hai.

4. Central Bank Policies:
Federal Reserve aur Bank of England ki monetary policy decisions aur statements GBP/USD pair ko impact karte hain. BoE ke rate cuts ke speculation pound ke bearish outlook ko badhawa deti hai.

Technical Analysis
1. Support and Resistance Levels:

Support: Pair abhi 1.2730 ke aas-paas key support ko test kar raha hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to further declines dekhne ko mil sakti hain, aur next significant support 1.2700 aur 1.2650 ke aas-paas ho sakti hai.
Resistance: Upar ki taraf, immediate resistance 1.2800 ke aas-paas dekha gaya hai, jo ke 1.2850 level tak extend ho sakta hai. Kisi bhi upward correction ko in points par selling pressure ka saamna karna pad sakta hai.
2. Moving Averages:
GBP/USD pair daily chart par apne key moving averages ke neeche hai, jo bearish trend ko reinforce karta hai. 50-day aur 200-day moving averages upward attempts par resistance ka role play kar sakte hain.

3. RSI aur MACD Indicators:
Relative Strength Index (RSI) bearish territory mein hai, jo ke selling pressure ke continue hone ka indication hai. MACD indicator bhi bearish outlook ko support karta hai, jahan MACD line signal line ke neeche hai.

Conclusion
GBP/USD currency pair ki ongoing decline current bearish sentiment ko highlight karti hai. Weaker USD Index se kuch support milne ke bawajood, pound ki struggles broader economic aur technical factors ko reflect karti hai. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur near term mein further declines ke potential ko consider

P/USD Continues Downward Trend Amidst Weaker USD Index GBP/USD currency pair ne apni downward trajectory ko teesre consecutive week tak extend kiya hai, aur Friday ke early Asian session mein 1.2730 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Yeh persistent negative trend tab bhi continue ho raha hai jab USD Index (DXY) 104.20 ke threshold ke neeche gir gaya hai, jo ke major currency pair ko kuch support provide karta hai.

Key Factors Influencing GBP/USD
1. Persistent Downward Momentum:
GBP/USD pair consistent selling pressure ke under hai aur recent weeks mein steady decline dekh raha hai. Yeh trend broader market sentiment aur technical factors ko reflect karta hai jo pair ko lower drive kar rahe hain.

2. Weaker USD Index (DXY):
USD Index, jo ke US dollar ki value ko major currencies ke basket ke against measure karta hai, weaken hua hai aur 104.20 mark ke neeche gir gaya hai. DXY ke decline se GBP/USD pair ko support milna chahiye, kyunki weaker dollar se dusri currencies relatively stronger hoti hain. Lekin is supportive factor ke bawajood, pound ko ground gain karne mein mushkil ho rahi hai, jo ke underlying weakness ko indicate karta hai.

3. Economic Indicators:
UK aur US se recent economic data current trend ko shape karne mein role play kar rahe hain. US mein mixed economic indicators ne dollar ko soft kiya hai. Wahi UK economy inflationary pressures aur economic slowdown ka samna kar rahi hai, jo ke pound ko affect kar raha hai.

4. Central Bank Policies:
Federal Reserve aur Bank of England ki monetary policy decisions aur statements GBP/USD pair ko impact karte hain. BoE ke rate cuts ke speculation pound ke bearish outlook ko badhawa deti hai.

Technical Analysis
1. Support and Resistance Levels:

Support: Pair abhi 1.2730 ke aas-paas key support ko test kar raha hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to further declines dekhne ko mil sakti hain, aur next significant support 1.2700 aur 1.2650 ke aas-paas ho sakti hai.
Resistance: Upar ki taraf, immediate resistance 1.2800 ke aas-paas dekha gaya hai, jo ke 1.2850 level tak extend ho sakta hai. Kisi bhi upward correction ko in points par selling pressure ka saamna karna pad sakta hai.
2. Moving Averages:
GBP/USD pair daily chart par apne key moving averages ke neeche hai, jo bearish trend ko reinforce karta hai. 50-day aur 200-day moving averages upward attempts par resistance ka role play kar sakte hain.

3. RSI aur MACD Indicators:
Relative Strength Index (RSI) bearish territory mein hai, jo ke selling pressure ke continue hone ka indication hai. MACD indicator bhi bearish outlook ko support karta hai, jahan MACD line signal line ke neeche hai.

Conclusion
GBP/USD currency pair ki ongoing decline current bearish sentiment ko highlight karti hai. Weaker USD Index se kuch support milne ke bawajood, pound ki struggles broader economic aur technical factors ko reflect karti hai. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur near term mein further declines ke potential ko consider

Ye situation hamein defined support aur resistance levels ke beech buying aur selling karne ki ijaazat deti hai. Meri predictions ke mutabiq, GBP/USD ka price in zones mein tab tak rahega jab tak koi significant economic data release nahi hota. Is liye, hum ek buying position support level ke qareeb 1.2658 par open kar sakte hain aur ek sell order resistance level ke qareeb 1.2715 par place kar sakte hain, stop loss 60-70 points ke distance par set karke. Ye approach hamein rapid market movements ki surat mein balance protect karne mein madad karta hai.
Agar GBP/USD price support area 1.2680 se neeche girta hai, to hum apni buying trades 1.2655 level ke aas paas place kar sakte hain. Sath hi, agar local upward correction ki koshish hoti hai, to uska potential limited hai. Ye limit 1.2760 par determined hai, jahan crucial resistance zone located hai. Is level par retest aur solid rally new negative momentum create karegi, jo area between 1.2768 aur 1.2890 ko target karegi. Agar 1.2780 pivot level ko break kiya gaya, to current scenario cancel ho jayega.

4-hour timeframe mein, GBP/USD price ne support area 1.2705 aur resistance 1.2625 ke beech volatility resume ki hai. Humein dekhna padega ke GBP/USD currency pair week ke progress ke sath up ya down move karta hai. High-impact dollar data, jaise ke NFP, is movement ko influence kar sakta hai. Past dollar data ke basis par, hum expect karte hain ke dollar strengthen hoga, jo GBP/USD ko 1.2605 level se neeche le ja sakta hai. Nearest support zone jo maine identify ki hai, wo around 1.2508 hai, jahan GBP/USD price dusre critical support area ki taraf move kar sakta hai.

Markets abhi ek delicate balance ka samna kar rahe hain, economic downturns rate cut expectations ko badha rahe hain jo Fed se anticipated hai. CME ke FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq traders 18 September ko kam az kam ek quarter-point rate cut ko 100% expect kar rahe hain, aur 50 basis points cut ka bhi ek one-in-five chance hai. Lekin agar downturn zyada severe hota hai, to market sentiment ko negatively impact kar sakta hai, aur kisi bhi rate cuts ko irrelevant bana sakta hai. Investors ek challenging position mein hain, kyunki woh rate cuts ki umeed kar rahe hain soft data ke basis par, lekin hard landing wale scenario se bachna bhi chahte hain.

Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) figures ne Pound Sterling flows ko ease kar diya hai Bank of England (BoE) ke broadly-expected quarter-point rate trim ke baad. Thursday ko 1% decline ne Cable ko low end par drag kiya, aur 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.2789 par smash kiya, jisse price action notably bearish turn hui. Pair abhi bhi 200-day EMA 1.2667 par trade kar raha hai, lekin bidders ka breathing room kam hota ja raha hai, kyunki short pressure build ho raha hai.

GBP/USD Pair Review

British pound ne ab US dollar ke muqablay mein high levels ko achieve kar liya hai aur aage barhne ke liye, Thursday ko US inflation release ko kamzor hona zaroori hoga. Forex currency trading platforms ke mutabiq, GBP/USD ka exchange rate pichle hafte 1.35% barh gaya, jo ke September mein Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ke expectations ke revitalization ki wajah se hai. US economic data, including Friday’s jobs report, dikhati hai ke economy dheemi ho rahi hai jo shayad jald hi lower interest rates ki zaroorat ho. Sterling dollar ki price analysis likhne ke waqt resistance level 1.2840 ki taraf jump kar gayi thi.

Britain mein general elections ka clear result bhi tha, jo Britain mein political certainty ka aik dor shuru kar raha hai. Currency pair ke performance aur impact factors par comment karte hue, XTB ki analyst Kathleen Brooks keh rahi hain, “GBP/USD ne pichle hafte 1.29% barhaya, jo yeh darshata hai ke pound shayad ek bade rebound ke qareeb hai, kyunki political risk premium khatam ho gaya hai.” Agla key level $1.30 psychological resistance hai. “Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke British pound ki price barh rahi hai, aur Bank of England ke agle mahine rate cut ke expectations ke sath, OIS market ke mutabiq ab rate cut ki 66% chance hai.”

MUFG Bank Ltd ke foreign exchange research ke head Derek Halfpenny keh rahe hain, “Humne sterling ke forecasts ko behtar political stability aur economic growth recovery ke signs ke chalte barhaya hai.”

Technical analysis ke mutabiq, GBP/USD pair apne main moving averages ke upar trade kar raha hai aur relative strength index (RSI) positive aur upward pointing hai. RSI abhi tak overbought conditions tak nahi pahuncha. Lekin, daily chart par ek warning sign hai, jo ke 1.28 ke upar resistance area hai: 2024 ke chart ko dekhte hue, exchange rate ne 1.28 ke upar kisi sustained period ke liye hold nahi kiya hai.

Daily chart par major resistance 1.2860 ke aas-paas hai aur yeh threat hone ke imkaan kam hain. Ek aur resistance level 1.2840 hai. Support 1.2785 par hai, aur agar 1.2770 breach hota hai to pound aage nahi barhega. Is resistance ke honay se GBP/USD shayad narrow range mein trade kare ga 1.28 ke aas-paas, pehle ke important inflation reading ke release se pehle.

Economic calendar ke mutabiq, US consumer price index ka headline 3.1% ke annual basis par decline hone ki umeed hai, jo May mein 3.3% se kam hoga aur January ke level ke barabar hoga. Aisa result dikhayega ke inflation ka deceleration process phir se shuru ho raha hai, jo ke price acceleration ke first half ke baad disrupt hua tha. Isse yeh bhi increase ho sakta hai ke Federal Reserve September mein US interest rates ko cut kare, jo dollar ko impact kar sakta hai.

Saath hi, Britain se koi major releases nahi hain, sirf Thursday ko GDP update hai jo market par significant impact nahi dal sakti inflation aur labor market data ke next week ke release ke pehle.

GBP/USD TF H4 - Aaj raat GBP/USD pair ke trading mein, aisa lagta hai ke price psychological level 1.2800 ke neeche break karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Agar price ne is psychological level ko validly break kar diya, to aage girawat ka potential abhi bhi kaafi open hai. Bollinger Bands indicator period 24 par dekha jaye to abhi bhi Bollinger Bands ka condition kaafi wide lagti hai, jo ke trading volatility ke high hone ki indication hai.

Simple Moving Average indicator period 50 aur period 120 ke sath trend direction abhi bhi Bullish signal de raha hai, jo ke humein dono SMAs ke upar price position se nazar aata hai. RSI indicator period 5 par dekha jaye to RSI line level 30 ko break kar rahi hai, jo ke trading conditions ka Oversold zone mein hona darshata hai.

Trading Plan ~ USD Index ke trading data ke madde nazar, main SBR test results ke level 105.10 ka intezar karunga, jo ke GBP/USD pair trade ke liye support ke tor par use kiya jayega. Agle trading plan ke liye, sab possibilities ko dekhne aur consider karne ke baad, main GBP/USD par Entry Buy ke liye momentum ka intezar karunga. Mujhe umeed hai ke aaj raat jo price decline ho rahi hai, wo psychological level 1.2750 tak pahunche, aur agar wo RBS Support level 1.2739 tak bhi reach karti hai to wahan Entry Buy open karunga.

Meri kal ki trading ke liye, maine psychological level 1.2800 ke area mein cut loss kiya. Iska sabab yeh tha ke maine dekha ke price ke 1.2800 psychological level ko break karne ke efforts ko kai baar Rejection ka saamna karna pada.

GBP/USD D1 Chart

GBP/USD pair filhal resistance level 1.2850 ke aas paas range trading kar raha hai. Market ki nazar agle US labor market data par hai, jo ke currency pair ke future direction ko tay karne mein ahm kirdar ada karega. Filhal, main in levels se buying consider nahi kar raha aur selling ke liye zyada inclined hoon jab tak ke mentioned resistance level tak nahi pahuncha jata. Jab market in levels ko process kar lega, to buying option bhi consider ki ja sakti hai.

GBP/USD pair ke resistance level 1.2850 ke aas paas range trading ke aasaar hain, aur US labor market data par nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Ye data pair ke future direction ko tay karega. Tab tak, selling abhi bhi preferred strategy hai, ummeed hai ke price 1.2831-1.2811 tak gir sakti hai. Lekin, resistance zone 1.2836-1.2804 ki taraf bhi move ho sakti hai, jo ke additional selling opportunities provide kar sakti hai. Traders ko US labor market data par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki yeh GBP/USD pair ki movement aur trading strategy par aham asar daal sakti hai.

Hamari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ke ongoing live evaluation ke sath align karti hai. Pound/Dollar pair mein bears ne local maximum near Murray +1/8 level 1.2847 se significant correction ko drive nahi kiya. Unhone 7/8 reversal level 1.2786 tak bhi nahi pahuncha. GBP/USD price dobara upar ja rahi hai aur 28th figure ke andar trading kar rahi hai, jahan bulls 8/8 resistance level 1.2816 ko push kar rahe hain. Halankeh four-hour stochastic barely apne lower limit se upar turn hua hai, lekin yeh upward movement shuruat hi hai jo bulls ko support de raha hai. Is growth wave mein, price middle of the 28th figure ko break karne ki koshish kar sakti hai, aur phir main Murray level +2/8, 1.2877 tak rise kar sakti hai. Technical perspective se, aur aaj ke din ke liye US Federal Reserve head ki speech ke siwa koi significant news nahi hai, isliye trend mein significant change ki umeed nahi hai.

GBP/USD H-1 Chart Analysis

Filhal, GBP/USD ka chart dekhte huye, mujhe yeh kehna mushkil hai ke kis jaga par maloomat reliable hai aur kis jaga par nahi. Har cheez thodi confuse aur ambiguous lagti hai. Halankeh mere paas GBP/USD ke movement par apna ek perspective hai, lekin yeh theek hai ya nahi, iski puri tasdeeq hum baad mein hi kar sakenge. Main yeh kehna chahta hoon ke mujhe lagta hai ke yeh growth itni straightforward nahi hai jaisa lag raha hai. Is liye isko nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta, aur mujhe lagta hai ke sellers ke liye yeh reluctance decline ka favorable nahi hoga.

Technical standpoint se, short positions abhi bhi relevant lagti hain, lekin entry point itna significant nahi hai. Main ne 1.2815 range ko selling ke liye identify kiya hai, lekin situationally evaluate karna behtar hoga. Agar hum foran current levels se 1.2750 tak move kar jayein, jo maine din ke liye target area ke tor par highlight kiya tha, to yeh ideal nahi hoga. Mere hisaab se, yeh point ek zigzag decline ke zariye tak pohnchna behtar rahega, lekin yeh market ki fitrat hai.

1.2750 level intraday support ke tor par kaam karta hai, aur is point se rebound hone ki possibility bhi hai. Broader perspective se market ko analyze karte huye, mujhe trend line ke breakout par buy orders initiate karne mein hichkichahat hai, kyunki 1.2850 ke upar move hone ka intezar shayad bekaar ho. Lekin, is type ke move ke liye ek specific catalyst ki zaroorat hai, aur aaj Powell ki speech scheduled hai, jisse market ka reaction dekhna zaroori hai.

GBP/USD H4 Chart Analysis

GBP/USD pair filhal resistance level 1.2850 ke qareeb range trading kar rahi hai. Market ki nazar agle US labor market data par hai, jo currency pair ke future direction ko determine karne mein ahm role ada karega. Filhal, main current levels se buying consider nahi kar raha aur zyada inclined hoon selling ki taraf jab tak resistance level 1.2850 tak nahi pohnchti. Jab market in levels ko process kar lega, tab buying ek option ban sakti hai. GBP/USD pair ka resistance level 1.2850 ke qareeb range trading continue karne ka imkaan hai, aur US labor market data par focus banaye rakhna zaroori hai. Yeh data pair ke future direction ko determine karne mein pivotal hoga. Tab tak, selling hi behtar strategy hai, jo 1.2831-1.2811 ke taraf decline ko anticipate kar rahi hai. Lekin, resistance zone 1.2836-1.2804 ki taraf move bhi ho sakti hai, jo further selling opportunities provide kar sakti hai. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur US labor market data ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunki yeh GBP/USD pair ke movement aur trading strategy par significant impact daal sakta hai.

So far, 1.2864 se rollback ka reversal dekha gaya hai, jo slightly miss hua, aur pair H4 support 1.2749 ki taraf move kar rahi hai. H4 support 1.2679 par hai. Jab tak H4 support 1.2749 nahi tooti, upward movement restricted hai. H4 se pair phir se grow kar sakti hai 1.2909 aur 1.2969 ki taraf, phir rollback hote hue 1.3124, jo main goal hai. Agar aaj balance 1.2839 ko break kar leti hai, to growth continue ho sakti hai 1.2909 tak, uske baad rollback hote hue 1.2779 par, jahan H4 resistance significant ho jayega. Agar H4 support 1.2749 break hota hai, to 1.2739 se pullback ho sakta hai, shayad 1.2719 se, H4 resistance 1.2844 ki taraf. Phir, H4 support 1.2679 ki taraf reversal ho sakta hai, aur medium-term goal 1.3124 ki taraf growth dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Is doran, Britain se koi major releases nahi hain, sirf Thursday ka GDP update hai, jo market par significant impact nahi daal sakta important inflation aur labor market data release hone se pehle agle haftay.

**GBP/USD Price Analysis: Technical Outlook**

GBP/USD currency pair ne US jobs report ke baad notable climb dekhi hai, jo 0.20% se zyada hai. Yeh report June ke liye thi, jismein higher-than-expected job additions dekhi gayi, lekin April aur May ke revisions ne labor market mein kamzori ka izhar kiya. Yeh mixed data market sentiment ko affect kar raha hai aur GBP/USD pair ko upar le ja raha hai.

Filhal trading session mein, GBP/USD 1.2790 par trade kar raha hai, jo opening price se upar hai, aur daily low 1.2752 tak pohnch gaya hai. Yeh movement bullish technical outlook ko highlight karti hai, jab pair ek key resistance area 1.2660 aur 1.2675 ke qareeb pohnch raha hai.

**Resistance Levels**

Immediate resistance level GBP/USD ke liye 1.2800 par hai. Agar pair is level ko break kar deti hai, to agla target year-to-date (YTD) high 1.2894 hoga. Yeh level significant hai kyunki yeh current year ka highest price hai, jo strong upward momentum ko indicate karta hai agar breach ho jaye.

Aage resistance 1.2900 par expected hai, jo ek psychologically important level hai aur ise cross karna challenging ho sakta hai. Iske baad, resistance 1.2995 par hai, jo July 27, 2023 ka high hai. Yeh level closely watched hai kyunki yeh significant 1.3000 mark ke qareeb hai. Agar 1.3000 ko break kiya jata hai, to yeh substantial bullish trend ko signal kar sakta hai aur market mein zyada buyers ko attract kar sakta hai.

**Support Points**

Niche ki taraf, GBP/USD ko pehli support 1.2733 par milegi, jo July 4 ka low hai. Yeh level downward pressure ke khilaf initial cushion ka kaam karega. Iske neeche, 1.2709 mark, jo April 8 ka high hai, additional support provide karta hai. Yeh levels pehle resistance areas the jo ab support ban gaye hain, aur technical analysis mein strong foundation ki tarah dekhe jate hain.

Aage support 1.2700 par hai, jo ek round number hai aur further declines ke liye psychological barrier ka kaam kar sakta hai. Saath hi, 50-day moving average (50-DMA) 1.2673 par dynamic support level provide karta hai, jo medium-term trend ka indicator hota hai. Agar is moving average ke neeche breach hota hai, to yeh sentiment shift ko suggest kar sakta hai aur further selling pressure ko invite kar sakta hai.

**Technical Indicators and Market Sentiment**

GBP/USD ki recent gains, jo US jobs report ke wajah se hai, positive market sentiment ko indicate karti hain. Data ka mixed nature – higher job additions for June aur downward revisions for prior months – US labor market ka nuanced view present karta hai, jo pair ke upward momentum ko contribute karta hai.

Technical indicators jaise Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ko overbought ya oversold conditions ke liye monitor karna chahiye. RSI agar overbought territory ke qareeb pohnchti hai, to yeh potential pullback indicate kar sakti hai, jabke MACD ki signal line ke upar positioning bullish outlook ko support karti hai.

In conclusion, GBP/USD ka current bullish trajectory favorable economic data aur key technical levels se supported hai. Jab pair significant resistance points ke qareeb pohnchti hai, traders ko potential breakouts ya reversals ke liye vigilant rehna chahiye. Yeh resistance aur support levels ka interplay pair ke near-term direction ko dictate karega, isliye in thresholds ka close monitoring informed trading decisions ke liye crucial hai.