𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBP/USD Pair Price Analysis: Monday Market Insights


Jab ham trading week ko Monday ko shuru karte hain, to GBP/USD pair ka price market mein poori tarah se open hota hai, jo ke 1.2812 levels ki critical test ko jaari rakhta hai, bilkul waise hi jaise ke woh pichle Jumma ko kiya tha. Abhi, H4 chart par, price 1.2689 aur 1.2812 levels ke darmiyan sideways move kar raha hai, jo ek consolidation ke dor ko darshata hai. Chart par Stochastic indicator, jo 80 levels ke upar se crossover kar chuka hai, ek strong buy signal ko confirm kar raha hai. Is ke alawa, price dono 50 aur 100 Simple Moving Averages (SMA) ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ek bullish trend ko mazbooti deta hai. Agar mojooda price 1.2812 level ko safal taur par break kar leta hai, to chart par agla target 1.2893 level hone ki sambhavna hai. Ye breakout ek bullish trend ka jari rakhne ka ishara hoga, jis se traders ko upward momentum ka faida uthane ka mauka milega.

Dusri taraf, agar mojooda price phir se 1.2812 level se nichayi hatati hai, to ye ek sell entry ke liye mauqa pesh karegi. Ye giravat traders ko nichli harkat se faida hasil karne ka mouqa de sakti hai. In critical levels aur uske corresponding indicators ko monitor karna trading decisions banane mein khasi ahmiyat rakhega GBP/USD pair mein. Mukammal tor par, traders ko 1.2812 level ko kareeb se dekhna chahiye, kyun ke is level ke upar breakout ek aur tezi ke liye signal ho sakta hai jo 1.2893 ki taraf movement ka pehla ishara hoga. Doosri taraf, is level se giravat ek munafa hasil karne ka mauqa de sakti hai. Mojud market shiryaat, Stochastic indicator aur SMA trends ke saath, ek bullish outlook ko favor karta hai, lekin chaukanna rehna aur market ke movements ka jawab dena GBP/USD pair mein kamyaabi se trading karne ke liye mahatvapurna hoga.

bakhair, sab ko!
Kal, GBPUSD pair ek baar phir naye lows tak pahunch gaya, haal hi ki downtrend jari rahi. Magar, signs hain ke kuch waqt baad ek pullback mumkin hai, khaaskar H1 timeframe aur nichle timeframes par. H1 chart ka tajziya karte hue, humne dekha ke pehle wala candle bullish engulfing candlestick pattern ka ban-raha hai. Yeh pattern aam tor par market mein murna ki sambhavna darshata hai, iska matlab hai ke buyers sellers se control lene lag rahe hain. Oversold zone ke context mein, yeh pattern ek strong signal ho sakta hai buy entry ke liye, traders ko ek aisa mauka dene ke liye jahan se wo ek possible upward movement ka faida utha sakte hain.

Shaam ki khabron ka bhi bada asar hota hai market ki movement par, aur yeh zaroori hai ke inn events ko consider karein jab trades ka anlaysis karte hain. Economic data, geopolitical developments ya central bank announcements se related news releases market sentiment mein sudden shifts ko darust kar sakti hain. Current market conditions aur bullish engulfing pattern ki formation ke maadhyam se, ek achi ummeed hai ke humein upward movement dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Yeh expected movement ek naya buying zone ya support level qaim kar sakta hai, future price action ke liye ek mazboot foundation prastut kar sakte hue.

Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke trading hamesha risk ke saath hoti hai, aur technical patterns jaise ke bullish engulfing candlestick insights provide kar sakte hain, magar yeh foolproof nahi hote. Market dynamics ko kai factors influence karte hain, aur jo ek instance mein strong signal lagta hai, woh hamesha expected tarah se na ho. Isliye, apne trading capital ko bachane ke liye risk management strategies ka istemal karna bhi zaroori hai, jaise ke stop-loss orders set karna aur position sizing ko c

GBPUSD pair ke context mein, recent price action ne ek consistent downward trend dikhaya hai, naye lows bante hue. Magar, bullish engulfing pattern ka appearance ek potential reversal ke liye ek ummeed ka chiraag lekar aaya hai. Traders ko kisi bhi trend change ka further confirmation ke liye key support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhni chahiye. Iske alawa, news events ke reaction ka monitor karna bhi market sentiment aur sustained move ki likelihood ke baray mein clues offer kar sakta hai.

Agar aap bullish engulfing pattern par based buy entry par vichar kar rahe hain, to ho sakta hai ke aur confirmation ke liye rukna behtar ho. Yeh nichle timeframes par higher highs aur higher lows ke form mein aane ke roop mein aa sakta hai, iska darshata hai ke market sach mein upward trend mein badal raha hai. Iske alawa, volume par dhyan dena bhi valuable information provide kar sakta hai; buying volume ka increase strong conviction darshak ho sakta hai market participants ke darmiyan.

Akhri mein, jabki GBPUSD pair downtrend mein tha, H1 timeframe par recent bullsih engulfing candlestick pattern ek potential pullback upwards ki sambhavna darshata hai. Yeh pattern, shaam ki khabron ke saath mila kar, ek upward move ko le ja sakta hai, ek naya buying zone ya support level qaim kar sakta hai. Magar, jitna bhi trading decision le, thorough analysis conduct karna, various factors ko consider karna, aur risk management strategies ko implement karna zaroori hai ek balanced approach ensure karne ke liye. Neeche di gayi chart yeh points ko illustrate karti hai aur current market setup ka visual representation provide karti hai.

downtrend jari rahi. Magar, signs hain ke kuch waqt baad ek pullback mumkin hai, khaaskar H1 timeframe aur nichle timeframes par. H1 chart ka tajziya karte hue, humne dekha ke pehle wala candle bullish engulfing candlestick pattern ka ban-raha hai. Yeh pattern aam tor par market mein murna ki sambhavna darshata hai, iska matlab hai ke buyers sellers se control lene lag rahe hain. Oversold zone ke context mein, yeh pattern ek strong signal ho sakta hai buy entry ke liye, traders ko ek aisa mauka dene ke liye jahan se wo ek possible upward movement ka faida utha sakte hain.

Shaam ki khabron ka bhi bada asar hota hai market ki movement par, aur yeh zaroori hai ke inn events ko consider karein jab trades ka anlaysis karte hain. Economic data, geopolitical developments ya central bank announcements se related news releases market sentiment mein sudden shifts ko darust kar sakti hain. Current market conditions aur bullish engulfing pattern ki formation ke maadhyam se, ek achi ummeed hai ke humein upward movement dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Yeh expected movement ek naya buying zone ya support level qaim kar sakta hai, future price action ke liye ek mazboot foundation prastut kar sakte hue.

Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke trading hamesha risk ke saath hoti hai, aur technical patterns jaise ke bullish engulfing candlestick insights provide kar sakte hain, magar yeh foolproof nahi hote. Market dynamics ko kai factors influence karte hain, aur jo ek instance mein strong signal lagta hai, woh hamesha expected tarah se na ho. Isliye, apne trading capital ko bachane ke liye risk management strategies ka istemal karna bhi zaroori hai, jaise ke stop-loss orders set karna aur position sizing ko c



GBPUSD pair ke context mein, recent price action ne ek consistent downward trend dikhaya hai, naye lows bante hue. Magar, bullish engulfing pattern ka appearance ek potential reversal ke liye ek ummeed ka chiraag lekar aaya hai. Traders ko kisi bhi trend change ka further confirmation ke liye key support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhni chahiye. Iske alawa, news events ke reaction ka monitor karna bhi market sentiment aur sustained move ki likelihood ke baray mein clues offer kar sakta hai.

Agar aap bullish engulfing pattern par based buy entry par vichar kar rahe hain, to ho sakta hai ke aur confirmation ke liye rukna behtar ho. Yeh nichle timeframes par higher highs aur higher lows ke form mein aane ke roop mein aa sakta hai, iska darshata hai ke market sach mein upward trend mein badal raha hai. Iske alawa, volume par dhyan dena bhi valuable information provide kar sakta hai; buying volume ka increase strong conviction darshak ho sakta hai market participants ke darmiyan.

Akhri mein, jabki GBPUSD pair downtrend mein tha, H1 timeframe par recent bullsih engulfing candlestick pattern ek potential pullback upwards ki sambhavna darshata hai. Yeh pattern, shaam ki khabron ke saath mila kar, ek upward move ko le ja sakta hai, ek naya buying zone ya support level qaim kar sakta hai. Magar, jitna bhi trading decision le, thorough analysis conduct karna, various factors ko consider karna, aur risk management strategies ko implement karna zaroori hai ek balanced approach ensure karne ke liye. Neeche di gayi chart yeh points ko illustrate karti hai aur current market setup ka visual representation provide karti hai.

GBP/USD D1

Hamari taujjo abhi GBP/USD currency pair ki price action par hai. Iss waqt, GBP/USD currency pair impusively trade kar rahi hai. Ek price correction hone wala hai, jahan intermediate range 1.265 pe hai, jo ke achi buying opportunity dega zyada attractive prices pe. Agar yeh scenario develop hota hai, toh profit-taking ka target agla maximum 1.273 hoga, aur protective order ko ek critical level pe set karenge.



Iske ilawa, ek entry point long position ke liye tab likely hoga jab currency 1.273 ka maximum cross karegi aur stabilize hogi, jo market ko PPD pe signal dega. Iss scenario mein, profit target agla maximum 1.279 hoga. Lekin, agar pair critical range 1.262 ke neechay girta hai, toh yeh downward trend ki taraf shift ko indicate karega.

Chart ko dekhte hue, GBP/USD D1 pe ek “Diamond” pattern form ho raha hai. Agar yeh pattern hold karta hai, toh pound ko agle resistance levels 1.2715 pe touch karte dekh sakte hain, followed by EMA150, aur phir potentially 1.2645 pe, jo ke EMA50 ke kareeb hai. Uske baad downside pe reversal possible hai. Lekin yeh speculative hai, aur patterns aur calculations dono is scenario ko confirm aur disprove kar sakte hain. Abhi ke liye, yeh mera outlook hai.

Haal hi ke headways ke bawajood, pair ko upper 1.26 range ke around firm resistance face karna pad raha hai. Pair ne last week ke bullish close ke baad 1.2818 levels ke upar sustain karne mein struggle kiya hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke Pound ko stable base establish karne ke liye aur kaam karna padega, chahe upper 1.2800 range ko hold karke ya phir high 1.2500 range mein foothold dhoond ke, tabhi yeh stabilize aur improve kar sakta hai.

e pehle wale tensions is pair ko vulnerable rakhte hain bawajood risk appetite ke. Ab tawajju mid-range US data par hai, kyun ke UK calendar data abhi dry hai. 4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index indicator thoda sa 50 ke neeche hai, jo buyer interest ki kami ko dikhata hai.

Downside par, 100-day aur 50-day simple moving averages 1.2640 par strong support form karte hain. Yeh level latest uptrend ke Fibonacci 38.2% retracement se bhi supported hai. Agar GBP/USD is level ke neeche break karta hai aur isko resistance ke taur par use karna shuru karta hai, toh 1.2600 (psychological level, static level) aur 1.2580 (Fibonacci 50% retracement) agle bearish targets ban sakte hain. 1.2700 (200-period SMA on 4-hour chart) immediate resistance banata hai pehle 1.2730 (100-period SMA, Fibonacci 23.6% retracement) aur 1.2800 (psychological level, static level) ke.

Tuesday ko pair ne surface clear karne ki koshish ki lekin kamyab nahi ho saka. Pair Wednesday ko minor bearish pressure mein hai aur agar 1.2640 support toot jata hai, toh extended slide dekhi ja sakti hai.

Cautious market stance aur advanced data ke absence mein US dollar resilient raha rivals ke muqable mein. Fed ke dovish comments ne bhi USD ko support kiya. Fed Governor Michelle Bauman ne Tuesday ko kaha ke abhi woh interest rates cut karne ke liye taiyar nahi hain, aur agar inflation rukta hai ya reverse hota hai toh woh rate hikes target karne ke liye ready hain. US stock index futures marginally higher trade kar rahe hain. Wall Street par bullish start USD ke gains ko limit kar sakta hai aur GBP/USD ko footing milne mein madad kar sakta hai, lekin pair ko bullish momentum ikattha karne mein mushkil ho sakti hai kyun ke investors pehle next week ke UK elections ka intezar kar rahe hain. US economic docket mein sirf new home sales for May ka data shamil hai. April mein 4.7% decline ke baad, agar is data mein phir se significant drop hoti hai, toh yeh Fed ke tightening policy ke housing market par negative impact ko highlight kar sakta hai aur USD ko hurt kar sakta hai.

Technical analysis initial support 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb 1.2600 par point karti hai, aur further support lower boundary of an ascending channel ke qareeb 1.2500 par anticipate karti hai. Agar yeh levels breach hote hain, toh selling pressure intensify ho sakta hai, potentially key support 1.2451 ko test karte hue. Agar is level ke upar breakthrough hota hai, toh yeh further upward movement ke raasta khol sakta hai, potentially GBP/USD pair ko ascending channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb 1.3000 ko test karne tak push kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD ka tajziya:

Dekha ja sakta hai ke 1.2800 level se bahar nikalne wala yeh bullish price movement bohat taizi aur qaabil-e-yaqeen tha. Is haftay mein bhi GBP/USD currency pair ki qeemat mein taizi se upar ki taraf movement nazar aa rahi hai, jo ke is mahine ki shuruwat se buyer army ke taraf se ki gayi price increase ka continuation hai. Mausam ke haalat dekhte hue, nazar aata hai ke abhi tak 1.2811 level par qeemat qaim hai.

Is haftay ki tezi se movement ki strukchar dekhte hue, mujhe yeh shak hai ke bullish movement ka continuation hone ke chances hain, khas tor par jab end of last week mein price increase ne 1.2816 level tak pohanch liya tha. Is halat mein buyer army ki itmenan barhane wali hai ke price ko mazeed upar le jane ke liye. Aglay trading session mein bhi kuch mukhtalif scenarios hain jinhein market trend ke mutabiq faida hasil karne ke liye istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Isliye hum market conditions ko mazbooti se match karne ka intezar karenge jo analysis ki gayi hai.

Pichle haftay ke market conditions ki mutfiq, Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke Lime Line ka position ab bhi 70 level se ooper aram se qaim hai, jo ke ek consistent bullish trend ki nishani hai. Is haftay mein candlestick saaf tor par upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Agar hum graph dekhen to buyer's troops ab bhi price fluctuation ke relatively high level par dominate kar rahe hain.

Pichle dino mein candlestick ke movement ko dekhte hue, yeh mumkin hai ke price agle haftay phir se bullish move kar sake. BUY transaction set-up ke liye, hum 1.2830 level tak price ke barhne ka intezar kar sakte hain. GBP/USD currency pair ki movement is haftay mein waqai volatile hai, is liye nuqsaan ke risk ko kam karne ke liye trading capital ka behtar istemal karna zaroori hai.

**Forex Pair: GBP/USD Price Action**

Hum is waqt GBP/USD currency pair ki continuous price movements ka tajziya kar rahe hain. GBP/USD pair ne abhi haal hi mein sideways movement dikhayi hai. Dekhte hain ke yeh sideways trend jaari rehta hai ya doosre scenarios bhi mumkin hain. Technical aspects ko analyze karte hue, moving averages actively buying ka ishara kar rahe hain, jab ke technical indicators selling ka mashwara de rahe hain. Outlook neutral hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke sideways movement jaari reh sakti hai. Sales 1.2669 ke support level tak gir sakti hain jab ke buying 1.2694 ke resistance level tak ja sakti hai. Isliye, aaj ke liye sideways market ke similar plan ka imkaan hai. Monthly chart pe GBP/USD pair ke baray mein dekha jaye to yeh zahir hota hai ke saal bhar yeh pair uncertain raha hai, choti choti izafa aur kamiyan ke saath.

Global downtrend pullback July pichle saal khatam hua jab pair 1.31416 tak barh gaya, aur uske baad se yeh us level tak nahi pohoncha. Abhi yeh lagbhag 1.266 par trade kar raha hai aur upar janay mein mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. Aakhir kar downtrend jaari rahega, jo pair ko 2022 ke lows ke qareeb le jayega. Magar abhi ke liye, pair ek direction chunnay mein hichkichahat mehsoos kar raha hai aur fluctuation jaari rakhta hai. Daily chart thodi si clearer picture provide karta hai. July 14 pichle saal ke high se rebound hone ke baad, pair ne wide range mein move karna shuru kiya, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke bade sellers liquidity ko July peak ke neechay accumulate kar rahe hain. Jab zaroori volumes ikatthi ho jayengi, to pair ka downtrend continue hone ka imkaan hai. Yeh moment shayad aa gaya hai, magar abhi confirm nahi hai. Phir bhi, ek alternative scenario ke saath growth ka ek aur attempt bhi mumkin hai, chahe wo kam imkaan rakhta ho.
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Assalam-o-Alaikum sab ko, aap sab ke trading activities kaise chal rahi hain? Kya aap apne expected munafa hasil kar rahe hain ya abhi bhi nuqsan ka samna kar rahe hain? Chahe apke natije kuch bhi hon, hosla rakhein aur mehnat jaari rakhein, taake apke results waqt ke saath behtar ho aur consistent ho jayein. Chaliye hum GBP/USD currency pair ki movement par ek nazar daalte hain. Technically dekha jaye toh, is pair ki trend clearly bullish hai, kyunki price 50-period moving average ke ooper hai. Yeh bullish trend daily pivot point level 1.26893 ke ooper hone ki bhi wajah se support mil rahi hai. Is analytical data ke saath, aur doosre supporting factors ke saath mila kar, main yeh nateeja nikalta hoon ke is waqt behtar trading option hai buy karna, jahan tak ke target resistance levels one and two ke beech 1.2670 se 1.2693 ke range mein rakha ja sakta hai. Ummeed hai yeh analysis aapki madad karay.

GBP/USD ki bullish trend mein kai technical indicators shamil hain. Sab se pehle toh 50-period moving average significant support level hai, jo yeh batata hai ke pair uptrend mein hai. Jab price is moving average ke ooper rehti hai, toh yeh strong buying interest aur sustained upward momentum ko indicate karta hai. Iske alawa, price jo daily pivot point 1.2653 ke ooper hai, yeh bhi bullish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. Pivot points potential support aur resistance levels determine karne mein crucial hote hain, aur jab price pivot ke ooper hoti hai, toh generally yeh trading day ke liye bullish outlook indicate karta hai.

Maujooda market conditions aur technical indicators ko madde nazar rakhte hue, GBP/USD ko buy karna sab se prudent strategy lagta hai. Target ko 1.2739 se 1.2693 ke resistance levels par rakha ja sakta hai, jo clear profit potential offer karte hain. Yeh resistance levels recent price action aur historical data se derive kiye gaye hain, jo yeh suggest karte hain ke yeh logical points hain jahan price selling pressure encounter kar sakta hai. Lekin agar bullish momentum jaari rahe, toh yeh levels breach ho bhi sakte hain, jo higher prices tak le ja sakta hai. Traders ko in levels ko monitor karna aur apni strategies ko uss ke mutabiq adjust karna zaroori hai.

Is ke ilawa, market sentiment, economic data, aur geopolitical events jaise factors bhi GBP/USD pair ke movement par asar daal sakte hain. Maslan, US ya Japan se positive economic indicators pair ke bullish trend ko strengthen kar sakte hain. Isi tarah, geopolitical stability ya instability currency movements par significant impact daal sakti hai. Is liye, jabke technical analysis trading decisions ke liye strong foundation provide karta hai, broader market conditions ke baray mein informed rehna bhi utna hi zaroori hai.

Maujooda technical analysis ke mutabiq, GBP/USD pair ki bullish trend indicate ho rahi hai, jahan price 50-period moving average aur daily pivot point 1.2673 ke ooper hai. Recommend ki gayi trading strategy buy karna hai, targeting resistance levels 1.2647 se 1.2684 ke beech. Technical analysis ko market conditions ke saath combine kar ke, traders apni decision-making process ko enhance kar sakte hain aur behtar trading outcomes achieve kar sakte hain. Mehnat jaari rakhein, maloomat hasil karte rahein, aur aapki trading kamyabiyaan haasil ho, inshaAllah.

Pichlay haftay ke trading mein, GBPUSD currency pair bullish raha jab tak market band hui, aur abhi 1.2805 ya usse zyada ke price par trade ho raha hai, jo ke pehle din ke opening price se zyada hai. D1 time frame par banne wali candle abhi bhi MA 24 aur MA 200 lines ke upar hai, aur stochastic indicator 5.3.3 level 80 ke upar hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke GBPUSD currency pair abhi bhi buyers ke control mein hai aur aaj ke trading mein bullish trend continue karne ke imkaan hain.

Pichlay Jumay ko NFP news ke natayij ne USD index par pressure dala, jis se kuch currency pairs mein izafa dekha gaya NFP news ke release ke baad, aur lagta hai ke yeh silsila is haftay ke aaghaz mein bhi barqarar rahega. Upar di gayi analysis ke mutabiq, aaj ke trading ke liye, GBPUSD currency pair ke bullish trend continue karne ke imkaan hain, halaan ke pehle kuch downward correction bhi ho sakta hai bullish trend ko continue karne se pehle, aur hum is pair mein buying ke mauqay talash kar sakte hain.

Mere trading plan ke mutabiq is haftay ke aaghaz mein, mein 1.2805 par buy order place karunga profit target 1.2835 par rakhta hoon aur stoploss 1.2775 par rakhunga. Lot volume ko hum trading account ke resistance ke mutabiq adjust kar sakte hain. Yeh trading journal update hai jo mein is subah de raha hoon, umeed hai ke yeh mufeed hoga aur doosron ke liye samajhna asaan hoga aur market mein entry determine karne ke liye ek reference ban sakta hai. Yeh sab mere taraf se aur sab doston ko good day.

Technical Analysis

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ke mutabiq, value 50 level se neeche hai jo ke bearish bias dikhata hai. Yeh Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) momentum indicator se bhi confirm hota hai jo downward trend dikhata hai. MACD line midline ke upar hai magar signal line ke neeche divergence dikhata hai. Midline ke neeche break karna bearish trend ko mazid mazboot kar sakta hai.

Jumay ke din, British Pound ne US Dollar ke against rebound kiya jab investor confidence wapas aya. Yeh rebound us waqt hua jab latest US jobs report se mixed signals aaye. June ke liye nonfarm payrolls ka headline figure strong tha, 206,000 naye jobs add huye jo expectations se zyada the. Lekin is positive data point ko temper kiya gaya significant downward revision se jo pichle mahine ke figures mein hui thi. May ka jobs number 272,000 se revise hokar 218,000 par agaya. Wage growth bhi cooling dikhayi di, average hourly earnings forecasts miss kar gayi. Year-on-year increase 3.9% pe ayi, jo pichle mahine ke 4.1% se kam thi. Iske ilawa, unemployment rate 4.1% tak badh gaya, jo December 2021 se highest level hai, aur expectations of 4.0% se zyada tha. Investors ne jobs report ke weaker aspects pe zyada focus kiya, jis se yeh conclusion nikalta hai ke Federal Reserve shayad monetary policy ko loosen kar sakti hai. Ek dovish Fed, jo interest rates cut karne ke zyada chances rakhta hai, generally stocks aur currencies jaise ke Pound ke liye positive mana jata hai.



Market ab 80% chance price kar raha hai ke Fed September 18th tak rates cut karega. Investors closely watch karenge Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke comments ko agle hafte further clues ke liye central bank ke intentions ke baare mein. Agle hafte US se kuch key data releases bhi hain. Final Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation figures for June Thursday ko aayengi. Iske baad Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation data aur University of Michigan Consumer Confidence index Friday ko aayenge
Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh, GBP/USD pair ko 1.2655 pe support mil raha hai, jo June ka low hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh pair 1.2620 ke one-month low tak gir sakti hai. Further weakness 1.2598 level ko challenge kar sakti hai, jo January aur March mein firm raha tha. Agar positive sentiment prevail karta hai, toh pair January resistance area 1.2771 ko revisit kar sakti hai. Is zone ke upar breakout pair ko recent highs test karne ki raah par dal sakta hai jo defined range 1.2816-1.2859 mein hain. Agar yeh resistance area cross hota hai, toh pair potentially apne 2024 peak 1.2892 tak wapas ja sakti hai
Jumay ke din British Pound ne US Dollar ke against rebound kiya jab investor confidence wapas aya. Latest US jobs report se mixed signals ke bawajood yeh rebound hua. June ke liye nonfarm payrolls ka headline figure strong tha, 206,000 naye jobs add huye jo expectations se zyada the. Lekin is positive data point ko temper kiya gaya significant downward revision se jo pichle mahine ke figures mein hui thi. May ka jobs number 272,000 se revise hokar 218,000 par agaya. Wage growth bhi cooling dikhayi di, average hourly earnings forecasts miss kar gayi. Year-on-year increase 3.9% pe ayi, jo pichle mahine ke 4.1% se kam thi. Iske ilawa, unemployment rate 4.1% tak badh gaya, jo December 2021 se highest level hai, aur expectations of 4.0% se zyada tha. Investors ne jobs report ke weaker aspects pe zyada focus kiya, jis se yeh conclusion nikalta hai ke Federal Reserve shayad monetary policy ko loosen kar sakti hai. Ek dovish Fed, jo interest rates cut karne ke zyada chances rakhta hai, generally stocks aur currencies jaise ke Pound ke liye positive mana jata hai

GBP/USD Jumma ko mazeed hadaf par trading ki aur positve territory mein raha. Amrici reports ghair mutabaqat waley nikle, is liye dollar girna bilkul laqiq tha. Magar market ne pehle 6-9 mahino mein dollar ko bechti rahi hai, jab koi wajah nahi hoti. Market ke liye Federal Reserve Chief Jerome Powell ka tajziya, Federal Reserve ki lambi roshni-rakh monetary policy ya Bank of England ka agle mulaqat mein apni monetary policy darust karne ka khiyal pahle tarah ahem nahi hai. Isliye, agar koi wajah hai to dollar gir jata hai, aur wajah ke bina bhi gir sakta hai.

Jumma ko aamirici reports jari hui jo market ko naraaz kar diya. NonFarm Payrolls ke numbers zyada se zyada +16,000 badh gaye, magar aik waqt mein pehle mahine ka figure badal kar 272,000 se 218,0000 kar diya gaya. Is tarah, pechle do mahino ke tamaam NonFarm Payrolls expected se kharab nikle. Berozgaari dar bhi 4.1% tak barh gayi, jo market ka intezar nahi tha.

5-minuti waktframe par, beginners Thursday ko positions len aur jab pound ne 1.2748 level ko paar kiya to un positions mein rah sakte the. Jumma ko amrici data jari hone se pehle, keemat ne 1.2791-1.2798 area tak pohch gayi, jahan traders profit le sakte the. Unhe lagbhag 30 pips hasil hue. Agla buy signal bhi execute kiya ja sakta tha 1.2791-1.2798 area ko paar karne se, kyunki amrici reports ne dollar par dabao dala tha. Magar ye trade kuch din tak khuli rakhna zaroori tha takay traders profit kamate.

Peer ko trading tips:
Hourly chart par dekha jaye to, GBP/USD naye downtrend ka ban ne ke liye achi nishaniyan dikhata hai, magar yeh yeh ye matlab nahi ke pair upward trend nahi bana sakta. Pair phir se uth raha hai, aur overall, ye behtareen aur ghair mantiki movements dikhata hai. Hal hi mein pound sterling ne apna local high wapas liya hai aur fundamental background ko ignore kar raha hai.

Peer ko pound sterling break le sakta hai, ek kaafi positive hafta guzarne ke baad. Hum naye round of bearish correction ka intezaar kar sakte hain, jo tabhi pehchan sakte hain jab keemat 1.2798 level ke neeche stabil ho.

5M chart par key levels hain 1.2457, 1.2502, 1.2541-1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980. Peer ko UK aur US mein koi ahem events schedule nahi hain. Jumma ko do key reports release hone ke bawajood, GBP/USD ki volatility sirf 60 pips thi. Isliye, hum peer ko zyada kamzoor movements ka intezaar kar sakte hain.

GBP/USD D1
Hamari mojooda tuwajjo GBP/USD currency pair ke price action ka jayza lena hai. Is waqt, GBP/USD impulsively trade kar raha hai. Ek price correction aney wala hai, aur 1.265 ka intermediate range, achi buying opportunity offer kar raha hai, behtar prices per. Agar ye scenario develop hota hai, to profit-taking ka target agla maximum 1.273 hoga, aur ek protective order critical level par set kiya jayega. Ek long position ke liye entry point tab likely hoga jab currency 1.273 ke maximum ko surpass karay aur stabilize ho, signaling the market on the PPD. Is scenario mein, profit target agla maximum 1.279 hoga. Agar pair 1.262 ke critical range se neeche girta hai, to ye downward trend ki taraf shift in priorities ko indicate karega.

Jab tak movement vigorous raheti hai, patterns aur figures ka analysis zaroori hai bajaye overly optimistic statements banane ke. GBP/USD chart ko D1 par dekhte hue, ek "Diamond" pattern form ho raha hai. Agar ye pattern hold karta hai, to hum expect kar sakte hain pound upcoming resistance levels ko 1.2715 tak pohanchne, phir EMA150 aur phir potential 1.2645 tak, jo EMA50 ke kareeb hai. Wahan se, downside ko reversal possible hai. Lekin, ye speculative hai, aur patterns aur calculations dono hi is scenario ko confirm aur disprove kar sakte hain. Filhal, ye mera outlook hai.

Recent headways ke bawajood, pair upper 1.26 range ke aas paas firm resistance ka samna kar raha hai. Pair ne 1.2818 levels ko sustain karne mein mushkilat ka samna kiya hai last week’s bullish close ke baad. Ye suggest karta hai ke Pound ko stable base establish karne ke liye abhi aur kaam karna hoga, ya to upper 1.2800 range ko hold karke ya phir high 1.2500 range mein foothold dhoond kar, tabhi ye stabilize aur improve kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD Tahlil

Nazar ata hai ke 1.2800 level se bahar nikalne wala bullish price movement bohat taizi se aur pur-josh hai. Jaise ke kuch din pehle market trend tha, is hafte GBP/USD currency pair ki qeemat ka movement bullish direction mein bohat comfortable nazar aa raha hai aur yeh haalat woh qeemati izafa jari rakhne ka natija hai jo mahine ke ibteda se buyer army ne kiya hai. Maujooda qeemat position dekhte hue, lagta hai ke yeh abhi tak 1.2811 level par holiday pe hai.

Agar is hafte ke kaafi tezi se movement structure ko dekha jaye, to mujhe is baat ka shuba hai ke bullish movement ka jari rehna mumkin hai, khaas tor par jab ke pichle haftay ke ikhtitami mein qeemat ka izafa 1.2816 level tak pohanch gaya tha, is halat mein buyer army ki itminan barhane wali baat hai ke woh qeemat ko mazeed upar le jane ke liye jari rakhenge. Aglay trading session mein, main dekhta hoon ke hamare pass market trend ke mutabiq faida hasil karne ke liye kai scenarios ab bhi hain. Is liye hum market conditions ka intezar karenge jo analysis ki gayi hai, ke sath milti julti ho.

Pichle haftay ke market conditions ke mutabiq, Relative Strength Index indicator ke Lime Line ka position abhi bhi level 70 se ooper comfortably holiday pe hai, jo ek trend ki tasawwur hai jo consistent bullishness ko experience kar raha hai. Is hafte, candlestick saaf tor par upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Agar hum chart ko dekhein, to wahan buyer's troops jo price fluctuation ke relatively high level par dominate kar rahe hain.

Agar main pichle dinon mein banayi gayi candlestick movement ko dekhoon, to ek mauqa hai ke qeemat agle hafte phir se bullish move kar sake. BUY transaction set-up ke liye, hum qeemat ko level 1.2830 tak jane ka intezar kar sakte hain. GBP/USD currency pair ke movement ki khasiyat is hafte mein kaafi volatile hai, is liye behudgi se trading capital istemal karne se bachna behtar hai, taake nuqsaan ke risk ko had se zyada na hone dena ho.

Good afternoon. Foot ke mutabiq buy ka signal moving average se perfectly work out hua. Lekin ye indefinitely grow nahi kar sakta, aur regression to average values ka principle hai, isliye is haftay hum expect karenge ke agar market reversal na ho, to kam az kam kuch correction zarur ho. Agar hum senior timeframes dekhein, to buyers ka target price growth ke liye 1.28599 ka level hai, aur agar yeh break through aur consolidate karne mein kamyab hota hai, to further growth ki umeed 1.28932 ke mark tak ho sakti hai. Agar sales ki baat karain, to abhi tak obvious reversal model form nahi hui hai, hum level 1.27901 par rely kar sakte hain, agar yeh breakthrough aur consolidate ho jaye, to price drop ki umeed 1.27401 ke mark tak ki ja sakti hai.

GBPUSD M5 pair:

1. Pound 5-minute chart par lower band ke sath movement form karne ki koshish kar raha hai, dono bands outward open ho gaye hain touch ke baad, jo price fall ke possible continuation ka signal de rahe hain. Iss situation mein hum sirf dekh sakte hain ke yeh signal develop hoga ya nahi.
2. AO indicator negative zone mein actively grow kar raha hai, abhi tak clear nahi hai ke pehla peak kab form hoga, aur yeh suggest karta hai ke price drop aage continue ho sakta hai. Price growth ka signal lene ke liye, zero ke through transition aur positive zone mein active growth ka wait karna zaruri hai.
3. Purchase ke liye entry point 1.28183 ke level se consider kiya ja sakta hai, price growth ka breakout aur consolidation ke baad 1.28344 ke mark tak umeed ki ja sakti hai.
4. Iss situation mein sales 1.28016 ke level par place ki ja sakti hain, price drop ki umeed 1.27899 ke mark tak ki ja sakti hai.

ki nazr-e-aamad ke mutabiq, pound sterling ke qeemat mid-week trading mein US dollar ke khilaf aik teesra percent kam hui, jis ki wajah "tight" signals thin jo US Federal Reserve ke afraad ne jaari kiye thay. Is natijay mein, pound sterling ke qeemat ke nuqsanat US dollar ke khilaf, GBP/USD, 1.2612 level tak phel gaye, jo ke cheh hafte ki kamzori ki sabsay kam qeemat thi, phir likhnay ke waqt 1.2645 level par stabil ho gayi thi aur ahem American economic releases ke ilaan se pehle. US dollar ke qeemat pehlay hi se euro-centric khatron se aagay hai jo France ke weekend ke elections se dominated ho sakta hai, jo European Central Bank ko aane waale dinon mein mazeed interest rates cut karne par majboor kar sakta hai. Analysts ke mutabiq, Canada aur Australia ke past 24 ghanton mein heran kun taizi se inflation rates ne global inflation ki dobara shuru hone ke khauf ko barhaya hai, jis ne bond yields ko buland kiya hai. Bohat se Fed afraad ne is baat par tanqeed ki hai ke is saal interest rates ko kam karne mein jaldi nahi kiya jaye ga, jo bond markets par dabao dala hai aur aakhir kar US dollar ko pasand kiya hai. Is lehaz se, Brown Brothers Harriman ke mahir Dr. Win Thein ke mutabiq: "Fed afraad ab bhi sakht hain." Interest rate policy mein United States (lambi muddat ke liye buland interest rates), United Kingdom aur Eurozone ke darmiyan farq US dollar ko support deta hai.

Haal hi mein di gayi bayaniyon ke mutabiq, "Hum abhi tak us maqam par nahi pohanchay hain jahan interest rates ko kam karne ka munasib waqt ho," kehti hain Fed policymaker Michelle Bowman. "Mere economic outlook ke risks aur uncertainty ke baray mein, main monetary policy ke future changes ko tawajjo se gaur se sochnay mein surkhiyaan rakhun gi." Unhon ne bhi apni political position ka zikr kiya hai." Unhon ne bhi bataya hai ke un mein se kai afraad hain jo is saal kisi bhi cut ko nahi dekhtay, jo unhen interest rates ko be-harkat rehnay par yakeen hai. June 12 ko Fed ne jari kiye gaye forecasts ke mutabiq, unke saat colleagues ek cut dekhtay hain, aur un ashtafaa ko do cut dekhte hain. "Main future meetings mein federal funds rate ke target range ko barhane ke liye tayyar rehti hun agar inflation ruk jaye ya palat jaye," Bowman ne izafah kiya.

Apni taraf se, Federal Reserve ke President Lisa De Kock ne cut ko qubool karne ke liye zyada raghib nazar aayi, kehte hue: "Inflation mein mazeed izafa aur kaam ke bazat-e-khalal gradual slow honay ke sath, policy restrictions ke level ko kam karne ke liye kisi bhi waqt munasib ho sakta hai takay economy mein sehat mand balance ko barqarar rakha ja sakay." Unhon ne ye bhi izafah kiya ke is tarah ke kisi adjustment ka waqt economic data ke baray mein kaisa hota hai aur ye economic expectations aur risk balance ke liye kya matlab rakhta hai, is par munhasir hoga. Market ab bhi November ko cut ke liye sab se zyada mumkin maqam samajhti hai, haan ke September mein 70% chances hain ke cut ho sakta hai.

Sterling Dollar forecast aaj:

Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, British pound ke qeemat US dollar ke khilaf, GBP/USD, ab bhi bearish hai, aur 1.2600 support ko toornay se trend par bears ka qabza mazboot ho jaye ga. Agla psychological support 1.2445 hoga, jo technical indicators ko strong overbought levels ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo ke ek ahem buying area hai. Dusri taraf, is samay ke doraan, current bearish channel bina resistance 1.2775 ke taraf barhnay ke bina tootay ga nahi. Aaj, GBP/USD pair ko US GDP growth reading, haftay ke jobless claims ki tadad aur durable goods