𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBP/USD pair. Bank of England ki central bank policies, especially agar hawkish stance adopt karein jo inflation control par emphasize karta hai through tighter monetary policy, GBP ko aur bolster kar sakti hai, supporting a bullish movement in GBP/USD. ada karte hain. Maslan, Eurozone mein ma'eeshati developments indirectly GBP/USD pair ko asar andaz kar sakte hain global economies ke interconnected hone ki wajah se. Haal hi mein euro ki qeemat mein kami, jo ke Eurozone mein slow ma'eeshati growth aur European Central Bank (ECB) aur doosray central banks ke darmiyan mukhtalif monetary policies ki wajah se aayi hai, ne GBP/USD ke maqool giravat ko madde nazar rakha hai. Jab euro kamzor hota hai, to US dollar ki relative taqat barh jati hai, jis se GBP/USD exchange rate par niche ki pressure dalta hai.Is ke ilawa, siyasi waqiyat aur trade relations currency markets ko bhi asar andaz karte hain. Maslan, Brexit negotiations, major economies ke darmiyan trade tensions, aur global political uncertainties GBP/USD pair mein fluctuations ka sabab bante hain. Maslan, koi bhi negative news Brexit ke mutalliq pound ki qeemat ko kami kar sakti hai jabke investors economic disruptions ger potential se wabasta hote hain.Market sentiment aur investor behavior bhi GBP/USD exchange rate par asar dalta hai. Jab uncertainty ya risk se bachne ki zyada zarurat hoti hai, to investors aam tor par US dollar jaise safe-haven assets ki taraf rahe hote hain, jo ke uski qeemat ko buland karta hai. Bar'aks, optimism aur risk-taking ke doran, zyada yielding currencies jaise ke British pound zyada invest kiye jate hain, jis se uski qeemat ko support milta hai.Maujooda manzar mein, Asian session mein GBP/USD ke maqool giravat ka yeh reflection hai ke ye gath jhooti ka asar hai, jo ke Eurozone mein economic challenges aur monetary policy ke mukhtalif hone ki wajah se aaya hai. Isi waqt, UK ke gharail factors, jaise ke haal hi mein economic data releases ya siyasi taraqqiyat, pound ki kamzori mein kuch kirdar ada kar sakte hain.Jab traders aur investors in dynamics ko samajhte hain, to woh hoshyar aur mubaddal rehna zaroori hai. Currency market both expected aur unexpected events ke liye bohot hi sensitive hoti hai, jis ki wajah se ma'eeshati indicators, markazi bank communications, aur siyasi waqiyat ko constant monitor karna zaroori hota hai. Technical aur fundamental analysis ka combination istemal karne se informed decisions liye ja sakte hain, sath hi sentiment indicators aur market trends par nazar rakhna bhi faida mand hai.Ikhtitam mein, gharail factors aur broader global economic trends ke darmiyan ke talluqat GBP/USD currency pair ke liye ek complex aur hamesha changing manzar ko paida karte hain. Asian session mein GBP/USD ke maqool giravat ka asal wajah euro ki qeemat girne aur US dollar ki taqat hai, jo ke mukhtalif economic, siyasi, aur market sentiment factors se mutasir hoti hai. Traders aur investors ko
GBP/USD pair ek bearish trend exhibit kar rahi hai
Iske ilawa, macroeconomic factors bhi price movements ke context ko shape karne mein bohot important hain. Fundamental drivers jaise monetary policy decisions, economic data releases, aur geopolitical developments currency markets ko profoundly influence kartay hain, jo charts par observed technical signals ki significance ko augment kartay hain
Conclusion yeh hai ke recent trading day mein GBP/USD currency pair ko higher drive karne ki concerted efforts dekhi gayi, lekin ab market analysis ek compelling reversal pattern unveil karta hai jo market sentiment ke short side ki taraf shift hone ka hint deta hai. Yeh observation vigilant monitoring aur adaptive trading strategies ki importance ko underscore karta hai jo evolving market dynamics ka faida uthane ke liye tailored honi chahiye. Jaisay traders in fluctuations ko navigate karte hain, technical signals aur underlying fundamental drivers ka comprehensive understanding GBP/USD currency pair ki complexities ko navigate karne mein bohot helpful hogi

**H1 Hour Time Frame Outlook:**

GBPUSD pair ki price movement high prices 1.2799 ko reach karne ke baad neeche correct ho rahi hai, jo ke lagbhag 1.2800 level ko touch kar sakti thi. Agar aap bearish engulfing candlestick pattern ke reversal signal ko dekhein jo ke long tail/shadow ke sath hai, toh yeh ek accurate signal hai jo prices ko neeche push kar raha hai. Price jo ab EMA 50 ke neeche hai aur FR 38.2 - 1.2752 ke around consolidate ho rahi hai, iske neeche jaane ke chances hain towards FR 50 - 1.2737 jo ke liquidity area ke sath confluent nazar aa raha hai. Iske alawa, price FR 61.8 - 1.2723 ke taraf bhi correct ho sakti hai jo ke SMA 200 ke qareeb dynamic support ke taur par hai.

Downtrend momentum ko Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ne dikhaya hai kyun ke histogram negative area yaani level 0 ke neeche enter kar chuka hai. Downward correction phase tab tak continue hona chahiye jab tak price FR 50 - 1.2737 aur FR 61.8 - 1.2723 ke beech retracement complete na kare. Agar aap Stochastic indicator ke perspective se dekhein, toh yeh possible hai ke price wapas upar move kare. Yeh is liye ke trend direction ab bhi bullish trend condition mein hai aur EMA 50 abhi SMA 200 ke qareeb nahi hai, jo ke weakness ko indicate nahi kar raha. Agar crossing parameter oversold zone mein hai, iska matlab yeh hai ke price sirf FR 38.2 - 1.2752 ke around neeche correct ho rahi hai, phir high prices 1.2799 ko test karegi.

**Position entry setup:**

Trading options par focus karke BUY moment ka wait karen kyun ke trend direction clearly bullish trend condition dikhata hai. Entry position tab place karen jab price successfully retracement complete kare around FR 50 - 1.2737 aur FR 61.8 - 1.2723. Confirmation ke liye dekhen ke Stochastic indicator parameter re-enter kare oversold zone mein level 20 - 10 pe phir crossing ho. AO indicator ka histogram jo ke negative area mein hai kam az kam green ho to indicate kare ke downtrend momentum weak ho raha hai. High prices 1.2799 ko take profit ke liye use karen ya phir slightly lower FR 23.6 - 1.2770 pe aur stop loss FR 78.6 - 1.2702 pe place karen.

GBP/USD currency pair ka trend abhi bhi bearish tha yaani ke downtrend ka silsila jari raha. Market jo ke kuch hafton se bearish trend ki taraf dominate kar rahi thi, abhi bhi lagta hai ke yeh khatam nahi hui hai. Graph se observation ke mutabiq, GBP/USD currency pair ka condition abhi bhi bearish trend ki taraf wapas move karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, aur iss hafte downward movement jari nahi reh sakti thi kyun ke guzishta hafte ke end pe trading session ke aghaz se pehle kharidaaron ki taraf se resistance thi jisne bearish trend ko upward correction ki taraf le aaya aur level 1.0725 ko touch karwaya. Guzishta hafte ke trading session mein yeh pair market mein trend ko reverse karne ki koshish kar rahi thi bullish direction mein move karte hue, lekin kyun ke market ka daily timeframe yeh indicate kar raha tha ke sellers ka control abhi bhi hai, pichle hafte ka increase sirf ek correction hi lagta hai.

GBP/USD pair abhi consolidation phase mein hai, significant resistance level ko break karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Weak US dollar, jo ke weak CPI figures ki wajah se hai, recent price movements mein crucial role play kar raha hai. Short-term outlook abhi bhi uncertain hai, lekin greenback ki depreciation jari rehne se pair ka upward movement support ho sakta hai, jo ke potentially 1.2700+ ke local high ko target kar sakti hai. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur trading decisions karte waqt technical aur fundamental factors dono ko madde nazar rakhna chahiye. European currency ne market khulne ke baad kaafi actively move kiya, jab ke British pound ne American dollar ke against sirf chhoti si step forward ki. Is tarah, GBP/USD chart pe situation Asian session ke dauran bilkul nahi badli; quotes abhi bhi yellow moving average ke niche trade ho rahi hain false puncture ke bawajood, jo ke south direction mein rollback ke prospects ko indicate kar rahi hai taake current trading range ki lower limit, jo ke 1.2610 level area hai, ko workout kiya ja sake. Aaj kaafi strong fluctuations ho sakti hain, given the expected publication of the index of business activity in the manufacturing sector of the United States for June, aur index, economists ki expectations ke mutabiq, increase ke sath publish hoga, jo ke US dollar ki strengthening ka aur ek reason hai American session ke khulne se pehle, jaise ke growth on expectations. As an alternative scenario, main yellow moving average ka breakdown ka possibility consider kar raha hoon further growth ke prospect ke sath trading range ke upper limit tak, jo ke 1.2700 level hai,

GBP/USD jodi 1.2550 par ahem 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ko tor kar musbat trend dikha rahi hai. Ye breakout bullish outlook ka ishara deta hai. Jodi ka agla target 1.3000 ka nafsiyati level hai, jo 1.2893 ka peak tha jo 8 March, 2024 ko tha. Magar, ihtiyaat ki wajahain bhi hain. Takniki indicators se mix signals aur 1.2800 ke darjoo darjoo levelon ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ka baar baar saboot ye dikhate hain ke jodi ko mazeed mustehkam honay se pehle mazeed mustehkam hona parega. Ye khaas taur par sach hai UK ke qoumi intekhabat 4 July ko qareeb hain, jo market ki bechaini ko barha sakti hain. Agar keemat 1.2690-1.2685 zone se neeche gir jati hai, to ye tajziya khatam hone ka ishara ho sakta hai jo April mein dekha gaya tha. Is surat mein, 100-day moving average, karib 1.2640-1.2635, waqtan fawat madad faraham kar sakta hai. Agar ye level tor diya jata hai, to GBP/USD mazeed gir sakti hai aur mukhya 200-day moving average ki taraf barh sakti hai, jo abhi 1.2560-1.2555 par mojood hai. Agar ye level tor diya jata hai, to jodi ka nafsiyati ahem level 1.2630 ka shikaar ho sakta hai.
GBP/USD jodi ahem 200-day SMA ko tor kar musbat trend dikha rahi hai. Agla target 1.3000 ka nafsiyati level hai, jo 1.2893 ka peak tha jo 8 March, 2024 ko tha. Magar, behtari ke pehle muddat ke liye kuch sawalat hain. Takniki indicators se mix signals aur 1.2800 ke darjoo darjoo levelon ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ka baar baar saboot ye dikhate hain ke jodi ko mazeed mustehkam honay se pehle mazeed mustehkam hona parega. Ye khaas taur par sach hai UK ke qoumi intekhabat 4 July ko qareeb hain, jo market ki bechaini ko barha sakti hain. Agar keemat 1.2690-1.2685 zone se neeche gir jati hai, to ye tajziya khatam hone ka ishara ho sakta hai jo April mein dekha gaya tha. Is surat mein, 100-day moving average, karib 1.2640-1.2635, waqtan fawat madad faraham kar sakta hai. Agar ye level tor diya jata hai, to GBP/USD mazeed gir sakti hai aur mukhya 200-day moving average ki taraf barh sakti hai, jo abhi 1.2560-1.2555 par mojood hai. Agar ye level tor diya jata hai, to jodi ka nafsiyati ahem level 1.2630 ka shikaar ho sakta hai.

ki haalat par mabni hai jo char ghante ke movement mein Bollinger indicator ke sath support ke andar dekhte hain, jahan hum dekhte hain ke is waqt jo overall trend H4 ke andar giravat ki halat mein hai, is jori ke quotes ne 1.2630 tak pohanch kar ruk gaye hain aur mazeed aage nahi barh sakte abhi tak. Is ke ilawa, bullish logon ne apni chaar ghante ki candlestick ko shakhsiat di hai, jabke stochastic pair ke oversold area mein dakhil ho gaya hai aur yeh kisi aadhi ghante ke growth ko mutawajjah kar sakta hai.

Mager mein is baat ka ittefaq karta hoon ke is giravat ke safar mein bearon ke maqasid abhi tak puray nahi hue hain aur mein giravat ki taraf lautne aur mojooda maqami minimum ke nazdeek 1.2610 ke support tak aur giravat ki taraf pohanchne ke liye 1.2600 ke round level ki aazmaish ki umeed karta hoon.

Lekin mein yeh bhi tasleem karta hoon ke is option ko keh pehle GBP/USD pair 26th figure ke darmiyan mein aik hook bana sakta hai aur phir wahan se giravat shuru karay ga. Yeh tab hota hai agar hum sirf technical pehlu se soch rahe hain aur bunyadi asool ko mad e nazar bhi na len, lekin saaf hai keh ye sab apni taabeer ko la sakte hain, aur aaj, sab se pehle hum ye seekhenge ke eurozone mein inflation dar mein kaisi tabdeeli aayi hai, jo US dollar ki taqat par asar dalay gi, aur is tarah GBP/USD pair par bhi asar dalay gi.

Phir, Moscow waqt ke 4:30 baje par, US Federal Reserve ke head, Jerome Powell, ki taqreer hogi aur unki taqreer se hum ye seekhenge keh qareebi mustaqbil mein US Federal Reserve monitory policy kaise conduct kare gi, jo ke US dollar ke quotes par bhi asar andaz ho ga.

Aur phir thora baad mein, labor market mein khuli hui jobs ki tadaad ke data release honge, to yeh saari malumat beshak is currency pair ke technical movement mein dakhal andazi karein gi.

Is waqt jo halat mein hum dekh rahe hain, woh maazi aur mustaqbil ke data ke intizami asar se bhi mukhtalif ho sakte hain, jin ka asar GBP/USD pair ke movement par hoga. To traders ko taiyar rehna chahiye keh woh market ke mukhtalif dynamics aur naye mauqe ke jawab mein apni strategies ko adjust karte hue tajarbat ke sath amal mein laayein, taakeh wo volatile maali marketon ke hawale se khatre ko kam kar sakein aur faidamand trading conditions ko istemal kar sakein.

Ummeed hai ke aap sab ko yeh maali analysis pasand aayi hogi aur aap ke liye faida mand sabit hogi.

GBP/USD

Good morning. Pound ab bhi ek mushkil halat mein hai. Pehle buyers apni positions ko develop karne aur price ko actively upwards move karne mein nakam rahe, aur kal sellers apni advantageous position ko hold karne aur ek achha fall develop karne mein nakam rahe. Nateeja yeh hai ke hum basically ek sideways trend mein hain, halan ke yeh chhota hai. Upward movement ko continue karne ke liye, buyers ko 1.27094 level ko break aur consolidate karna hoga, aur agar woh yeh karne mein kamiyab hote hain, to phir unhein pehle 1.27394 level tak movement ki umeed hogi, aur phir 1.28599 tak. Ab sellers ko 1.26120 level ko break aur consolidate karna hoga active fall ko develop karne ka mauka pane ke liye, aur agar kamiyab hote hain, to woh 1.25087 level tak fall ki umeed kar sakte hain.

GBP/USD H4:
1 - Pound ne 4-hour chart par upper band ke sath ek active movement form karna shuru kiya hai, jabke dono bands bahar ki taraf open hue hain, jo ek possible price growth continuation ka signal dete hain, aur hum bas dekh sakte hain ke yeh signal develop hoga ya nahi. Agar hum current situation ko fractals ke zariye evaluate karein, to price growth ko continue karne ka target sabse qareeb fractal upwards hai, iski breakout aur consolidation price ko 19 June ke level 1.27394 tak le jane ki ijazat dega. Sabse qareeb fractal downwards kaafi door hai, aur price fall direction mein kisi cheez par rely karne ke liye, ek nayi, qareeb fractal ka zahir hona worth waiting hoga.

2 - AO indicator zero mark ko cross kar chuka hai aur positive area mein increase form karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar hum aane wale dino mein ek zyada active acceleration dekhte hain, to humein price growth ke liye ek stronger signal milega. Reverse transition zero ke through aur negative area mein active increase pound ke fall ka signal dega.

GBP/USD bhi din ke pehle half main behtar trades dikhaya, jo ke France ke election ke natije se na kisi taluq se the, kyunke ye UK ya British pound se koi lena dena nahi rakhte. Magar, GBP/USD pair, jese EUR/USD pair, pichle do hafto se aik dosre ke sath side pe trade kar raha hai. Isliye, flat trend ke andar ek aur round of growth ke liye kisi khas wajah ya saboot ki zarurat nahi thi. Pooray din, keemat 1.2633 aur 1.2693 ke darmiyan rahi. Volatility thori zyada normal thi. Din bhar macroeconomic events tohue, lekin market ne unhe practically ignore kiya.

Mehazke macroeconomic events main, hum US main ISM Manufacturing Index ko highlight kar sakte hain. Jese ke expected value se kharab value dikhate hue bhi, dollar din ke doosre hisse main hi badha. Isliye, ek baar phir pair inconsistent aur baseless movements dikhaya. Magar, hum aapko yaad dilana chahte hain ke flat market main logical movements bohot kam milte hain. Pair ne 5-minute timeframe par do trading signals generate kiye. Jumma ko, keemat ne 1.2605-1.2633 wale area se rebound kiya, lekin hum amuman signals jo agle hafte tak chalte hain se parhez karte hain. Somwaar ko, price ne 1.2684-1.2693 wale area se do baar rebound kiya, toh newbie traders ne short position open kar sakti thi. US session main, price ne 1.2633 wale nearest target level tak pohancha. Trade se profit lagbhag 35 pips ka tha. 1.2633 level se keemat ki do rebounds ye suggest karte hain ke pair aaj upar ja sakta hai.

Trading tips for Tuesday:
Hourly chart par, GBP/USD abhi bhi aik downtrend ka shakhs bana raha hai, lekin ye ye nahi ke pair upar jane ki koshish nahi kar sakta. Bearish prospects ke liye, acha hai ke price ne 1.2693 level do baar overcome kiya; Magar, market often sell karne se inkar karta hai, agar technical, fundamental, aur macroeconomic factors us raste ko support kar rahe hain. Halhi mein pair mainly sideways move kar raha hai. Price ne descending channel ko chod diya hai.

Aaj, British pound erratic aur illogical movements dikhana jaari rakhsakta hai. Bhagwan se, pair ko zyada strong movements dikhane shuru hone ke chances hain kyunke is haftay ke economic calendars mai kafi important data shaamil hain, magar Somwaar ne dikhaya hai ke hum abhi bhi zyada strong movements par depend nahi kar sakte.



5M chart par key levels 1.2457, 1.2502, 1.2541-1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980 hain. UK main koi important events ya reports schedule nahi hain. Dosri taraf, US docket main Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ka khitaab aur JOLTs report shamil hain jo May main khuli vacancies ki shumar ko dekhaega.

GBP/USD bhi din ke pehle half main behtar trades dikhaya, jo ke France ke election ke natije se na kisi taluq se the, kyunke ye UK ya British pound se koi lena dena nahi rakhte. Magar, GBP/USD pair, jese EUR/USD pair, pichle do hafto se aik dosre ke sath side pe trade kar raha hai. Isliye, flat trend ke andar ek aur round of growth ke liye kisi khas wajah ya saboot ki zarurat nahi thi. Pooray din, keemat 1.2633 aur 1.2693 ke darmiyan rahi. Volatility thori zyada normal thi. Din bhar macroeconomic events tohue, lekin market ne unhe practically ignore kiya.

Mehazke macroeconomic events main, hum US main ISM Manufacturing Index ko highlight kar sakte hain. Jese ke expected value se kharab value dikhate hue bhi, dollar din ke doosre hisse main hi badha. Isliye, ek baar phir pair inconsistent aur baseless movements dikhaya. Magar, hum aapko yaad dilana chahte hain ke flat market main logical movements bohot kam milte hain. Pair ne 5-minute timeframe par do trading signals generate kiye. Jumma ko, keemat ne 1.2605-1.2633 wale area se rebound kiya, lekin hum amuman signals jo agle hafte tak chalte hain se parhez karte hain. Somwaar ko, price ne 1.2684-1.2693 wale area se do baar rebound kiya, toh newbie traders ne short position open kar sakti thi. US session main, price ne 1.2633 wale nearest target level tak pohancha. Trade se profit lagbhag 35 pips ka tha. 1.2633 level se keemat ki do rebounds ye suggest karte hain ke pair aaj upar ja sakta hai.

Trading tips for Tuesday:
Hourly chart par, GBP/USD abhi bhi aik downtrend ka shakhs bana raha hai, lekin ye ye nahi ke pair upar jane ki koshish nahi kar sakta. Bearish prospects ke liye, acha hai ke price ne 1.2693 level do baar overcome kiya; Magar, market often sell karne se inkar karta hai, agar technical, fundamental, aur macroeconomic factors us raste ko support kar rahe hain. Halhi mein pair mainly sideways move kar raha hai. Price ne descending channel ko chod diya hai.

Aaj, British pound erratic aur illogical movements dikhana jaari rakhsakta hai. Bhagwan se, pair ko zyada strong movements dikhane shuru hone ke chances hain kyunke is haftay ke economic calendars mai kafi important data shaamil hain, magar Somwaar ne dikhaya hai ke hum abhi bhi zyada strong movements par depend nahi kar sakte.

5M chart par key levels 1.2457, 1.2502, 1.2541-1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980 hain. UK main koi important events ya reports schedule nahi hain. Dosri taraf, US docket main Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ka khitaab aur JOLTs report shamil hain jo May main khuli vacancies ki shumar ko dekhaega.

GBP/USD, H4 chart
Filhal, hum GBP/USD currency pair ki live pricing ko decode kar rahe hain. GBP/USD pair 1.2649 par recover kar raha hai European session ke start mein bearish sentiment dekhne ke baad. Investors Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke ECB forum mein policy prospects par speech ka intezar kar rahe hain aur isliye badi positions open karne se bach rahe hain. Support 1.2639 par hai. Agar yeh level hold karta hai, toh sellers' interest shayad barkarar rahe. Dusri taraf, 1.2599 ek intermediate support hai 1.2579 aur 1.2519 se pehle. Aaj market open hone ke baad se, GBP/USD pair mukhtalif directions mein move kar raha hai, Asia mein gir raha hai aur Europe mein badh raha hai. Humari pair ki purchases acchi perform kar rahi hain. Powell ki speech jaldi shuru hogi, aur agar woh phir se dollar ko mazbooti na dene wali stance leta hai, toh sales bhi effective ho sakti hain. GBP/USD pair ke hawale se, kal ke pin bar se bearish sentiment ab tak tuti nahi hai. Agar yeh sentiment aaj bhi barkarar rehta hai, toh hum bearish direction mein apne Fibonacci targets ki taraf kam kar sakte hain.

Hourly chart dekh kar, mujhe lagta hai ke linear regression channel neeche ki taraf hai, aur mere liye yeh M15 se zyada important hai. Yeh matlab hai ke bears strong hain, aur yeh fact ke M15 chart par signal purchases dikha raha hai, yeh market mein strong buyer ki mojoodgi ko dikhata hai. Aapko price ka sahi jagah par intezar karna hoga aur wahan se sell karna hoga. Woh jagah jahan se main sales dhoondhunga, woh upper border of the channel 1.26796 hai jahan se mujhe lower border of the channel 1.26002 tak sell karna hai. Agar target level break hota hai, toh aage girawat expect ki ja sakti hai, lekin zyadatar correction ke baad ek upside hoga, kyunki bearish move developed hoga, aur bulls apni movement ko restore karne ki koshish karenge. Agar bulls 1.26796 ka level pass kar lete hain, toh yeh bullish interest ka sign hai, jisme sales unprofitable ho jati hain, aur market ki situation ko dobara assess karna padega.

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GBP/USD prices mein profit potential

Ham real-time GBP/USD currency pair ke price assessment ko dissect kar rahe hain. 1-hour chart par mujhe pair ke liye ek potential buying opportunity nazar aa rahi hai. Price 200 moving average ke upar hai, jo upward momentum ko indicate kar raha hai. Kal, instrument ne din ke opening se upar trade kiya aur higher close kiya. Market quotes upper Bollinger band ke paas hain, jo growing trend aur continued upward movement ki high probability ko suggest karte hain. Main Relative Strength Index (RSI) 14-period ke sath use karta hoon aur trades avoid karta hoon agar RSI 70 se upar (overbought) ya 30 se niche (oversold) ho. Filhal, RSI buy trades ke liye acceptable hai. Mera target Fibonacci take profit 211% par hai, jo 1.27088 price ke corresponding hai. Zyadah profit ke liye, main Fibonacci targets follow karunga.

H4 chart par, GBPUSD ne ek triangle ke bottom ko test kiya aur ab rebound kar raha hai. Powell ka speech significant ho sakta hai; warna yeh flat movement kal tak persist kar sakti hai jab tak important dollar news ka naya block na aaye. Resistance 1.2641 par pehli barrier ke tor par act kar raha hai. Agar daily close is level ke upar hoti hai, to yeh technical buyers ko attract kar sakta hai, jahan agle resistance levels 1.2699 aur 1.2719 par hain. British pound ne recent losses se retrieve hone ke signs dikhaye hain against the US dollar, significant resistance level 1.2601 ke near correct karte hue. Is recovery ke bawajood, GBP/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai aur levels above 1.2666 sustain karne mein mushkil ka samna kar raha hai. Currency pair range ke andar fluctuate kar raha hai, jahan high 1.2901 aur low 1.2301 tak pohanch rahe hain.

Overall, GBP/USD prices mein significant profit potential nazar aa raha hai, khas tor par agar yeh current upward trend ko continue karti hai. Technical indicators aur market dynamics ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai taake informed trading decisions liye ja saken aur potential profit maximize kiya ja sake.

The GBP/JPY currency pair, which represents the exchange rate between the British Pound (GBP) and the Japanese Yen (JPY), is currently trading at 205.81. Observing the current market trend, it's apparent that the pair is in a bearish phase. This downtrend indicates that the British Pound is losing value against the Japanese Yen. Despite the slow pace of the market, there are compelling reasons to anticipate significant movements in the near future.
Several factors could contribute to this potential volatility. Firstly, economic indicators from both the United Kingdom and Japan play a crucial role. For the UK, key metrics such as GDP growth rates, inflation figures, employment data, and consumer confidence indices are pivotal. Any unexpected shifts in these indicators could influence the GBP’s strength. For instance, a higher-than-expected inflation rate might lead to speculations about the Bank of England raising interest rates, which could bolster the GBP. Conversely, weak economic data might exacerbate the current bearish trend.

In Japan, the economic landscape also plays a significant role. The Japanese economy is heavily influenced by its export performance, industrial production, and consumer spending. Moreover, the policies of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) are closely watched. The BoJ’s stance on monetary policy, particularly its commitment to maintaining ultra-low interest rates and its yield curve control measures, can significantly impact the JPY. Any signals from the BoJ about tightening monetary policy could strengthen the JPY, potentially pushing the GBP/JPY pair lower.

Global market sentiment and geopolitical developments are additional factors that could drive movements in the GBP/JPY pair. Political events such as Brexit negotiations, changes in government policies, or unexpected geopolitical tensions can lead to increased volatility. For instance, any new developments in the UK-EU trade relations post-Brexit could cause sharp movements in the GBP.

Moreover, broader market sentiment often drives currency movements. During periods of risk aversion, investors tend to flock to safe-haven assets like the JPY. Conversely, in times of risk-on sentiment, currencies like the GBP might benefit. Current global economic uncertainties, such as the ongoing impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, supply chain disruptions, and varying rates of economic recovery across countries, add layers of complexity to the market dynamics.

Technical analysis also suggests potential for significant movement. Traders often look at historical price patterns, support and resistance levels, and various technical indicators to predict future price movements. The current bearish trend in the GBP/JPY pair might be part of a larger correction phase. If the pair reaches critical support levels, it could trigger a substantial rebound or further decline, depending on market reactions and the prevailing economic conditions.

Additionally, the interplay between market participants, including institutional investors, hedge funds, and retail traders, can amplify market movements. Large positions held by institutional investors can lead to significant price changes when these positions are adjusted. The behavior of hedge funds, often driven by sophisticated algorithms and strategies, can also contribute to market volatility. Meanwhile, the growing influence of retail traders, who are increasingly using online trading platforms, adds another dimension to market dynamics.

In conclusion, while the GBP/JPY pair is currently exhibiting a bearish trend and moving slowly, there are multiple factors at play that could lead to substantial movement in the coming days. Economic indicators from the UK and Japan, global market sentiment, geopolitical developments, and technical analysis all suggest that traders should be prepared for potential volatility. Monitoring these elements closely and understanding their implications can help in making informed trading decisions. The interplay of these factors could lead to either a continuation of the bearish trend or a significant reversal, making the GBP/JPY pair one to watch closely in the near term.

Joray logon ne US Dollar (USD) ke saamne aik bar phir se zorawar utar dekha Wednesday ke American session mein, jab yeh 1.2678 ke qareeb pohanch gaya. Yeh izafa isliye huwa kyonke US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko chhe major currencies ke muqabil napta hai, 105.75 tak barh gaya. USD Index ke is upward trend ne doosre lagataar din phir se gains hasil kiye hain, jo ke zyada tar US Federal Reserve ke hawkish mauqe par mabni hai interest rates ke hawalay se, jabke United States se aane walay softer inflation reports ke bawajood.

GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

US mein recent reports ne consumer aur producer inflation ke hawalay se thandi preshaniya dikhayi hain, jo yeh tajweez karti hain ke core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE)—Jo ke Fed ka pasandeeda inflation measure hai—bhi naram hota hua nazar aa sakta hai. Is se market mein speculative soorathaal barh gai hai ke shayad rate cuts hon. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, ab September mein rate-cut ka faisla hone ka 65% chance hai, jo sirf aik hafta pehle 50.5% tha.

Chaar-ghante ke Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Yeh joora USD ke maqable mein apne haftay ke lowest point 1.2611 ke qareeb pohch gaya tha. Yeh joora selling pressure se samna karte hue dekhai diya jabke yeh koshish kar raha tha ke 78.6% Fibonacci retracement support se upar position ko barqarar rakhey, jo March 8 ke high 1.2900 se April 22 ke lowest 1.2300 tak drawn tha, jo ke haal mein 1.2771 pe hai. Yeh joora 61.8% Fibonacci support 1.2669 tak gir chuka hai.



Cable hal hi mein 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb gir gaya hai, jo ke 1.2659 ke ird gird trade ho raha hai. Yeh harkat GBP/USD ke joore ke liye nikat muddat mein ghair yaqini soorathaal ka ishara deti hai. Ise ke sath, 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) phir se 40.00-60.00 range ke andar aa gaya hai, jo ke upward momentum mein kami ka ishara hai.

GBP/USD ke liye, kal, jab local resistance level ko niche se upar test kiya gaya, jo ke meri markings ke mutabiq 1.27025 par hai,

price ne ulat kar nichi ki taraf rukh kiya aur puri yaqeen ke saath neechay chali gayi, jiske natijay mein aik waazeh reversal candle bani, jo ke janub ki taraf ishara kar rahi thi. Mujoodah signals ke combination ko dekhte hue, mujhe pori umeed hai ke janubi movement aaj bhi jari rahegi aur is surat mein, mein support level ko apni nazar mein rakhoonga, jo ke meri markings ke mutabiq 1.25694 par hai. Iss support level ke qareeb do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario ye hai ke aik reversal candle banty hai aur price ka upward movement dobara shuru hota hai.

Agar ye plan kaam karta hai, to mein price ke resistance level par wapas aane ka intizar karoonga, jo ke 1.27025 par hai, ya phir resistance level par jo 1.27399 par hai. Agar price in resistance levels ke upar consolidate karti hai, to mein further northern movement ki tawaqo karoonga, jo ke resistance level tak ja sakti hai, jo ke 1.28604 hai, ya phir resistance level tak jo 1.28938 hai. Iss resistance level ke qareeb, mein aik trading setup banne ka intizar karoonga jo trading ki further direction ka taayun karegi. Beshak, mein yeh bhi manzoor karta hoon ke price northern level tak aur dhakel sakti hai, jo ke 1.29956 par hai,

lekin yahan hamein situation ko dekhna hoga aur sab kuch is baat par munhasir hoga ke price movement ke doran kon se news background shamil hote hain aur price designated northern targets par kya reaction deti hai. Aik mukhlif option price movement ke liye jab support level 1.25694 ko test kartay hain, plan yeh hoga ke price is level ke neeche fix kar jaye aur aur bhi neeche chali jaye.

Agar yeh plan kaam karta hai, to mein price ke support level tak move karne ka intizar karoonga, jo ke 1.24661 par hai, ya phir support level tak jo 1.24506 par hai. In support levels ke qareeb, mein bullish signals ki talash jari rakhoonga, price ka dobara upward move hone ka intizar karte hue. Aam tor par, agar hum mukhtasir taur par baat karen, to aaj locally mujhe pori umeed hai ke price ko janubi direction mein push kiya jayega taqreeban agle support level tak, aur phir mein market situation ke mutabiq amal karoonga, situation ke mutabiq qadam uthaonga.

GBP/USD

Subah bakhair. Pound abhi bhi mushkilat ka shikar hai; pehlay kharidne walay apni positions ko mazbooti se develop kar ke price ko actively upar nahi le ja sake, aur kal bechnay walay apni advantageous position ko hold karke achi girawat nahi la sakay. Natijan, hum asal mein sideway trend mein hain, lekin chota sa. Taake upward movement ko jari rakha ja sake, buyers ko 1.27094 ka level torna aur iske piche consolidate karna hoga, aur agar wo ismein kaamyaab ho jatay hain, to woh pehle 1.27394 ke level tak aur phir 1.28599 ki mark tak movement ki tawaqo kar sakte hain. Ab bechne walay ko 1.26120 ka level torna aur iske piche consolidate karna hoga taake active girawat ka mauka mil sake, aur agar kaamyaab hote hain, to woh 1.25087 ke level tak girawat ki tawaqo kar sakte hain.

### GBPUSD H4:

1 - Chaar-ghantay ke chart par pound ne upper band ke sath aik active movement shuru kiya, jab dono bands outward khuli hain, jo ke price growth ke possible continuation ka signal deti hain, aur hum sirf dekh sakte hain ke kia yeh signal develop hota hai ya nahi. Agar hum current situation ko fractals ke zariye evaluate karein, to price growth ke continuation ka target nearest fractal upwards hai, iska breakout aur consolidation price ko June 19 ke fractal ke level 1.27394 tak le jane mein madad karega. Nearest fractal neechey kafi door hai, aur price girawat ki direction mein kisi cheez par rely karne ka mauka tab milega jab koi naya, qareebi fractal nazar aaye ga.

2 - AO indicator ne zero mark cross kar liya hai aur positive area mein increase form karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar hum agle kuch dinon mein zyada active acceleration dekhte hain, to hamein price growth ka zyada mazboot signal milega. Zero ke through reverse transition aur negative area mein zyada active increase se Pound ke girne ka signal milega.

Salam

Budh ke din early Asian session ke doran, GBP/USD pair ne musbat territory mein trade kiya aur paanchwin din bhi lagataar near 1.2688 par raha. USD index ne 106.00 barrier ko tor diya, jo ke pair ke liye support ka kaam kar raha hai. Sarmaayakar US June ADP employment change, ISM services PMI, aur FOMC minutes ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke baad mein aanay hain. 100-day aur 50-day SMAs 1.2640 par aik mazboot technical area form karte hain. Agar yeh level hold kar leta hai, to sellers ka interest barqarar reh sakta hai. Neeche ke janib 1.2600 (psychological level, static level) interim support nazar aa sakta hai pehle 1.2580 (Fibonacci 50% retracement of the latest uptrend) aur 1.2520 (Fibonacci 61.8% retracement) ke. 1.2640 pehli resistance ke tor pe set ho jata hai. Agar daily close is level ke upar hojaaye, to yeh technical buyers ko attract kar sakta hai. 1.2700 (20-day SMA, psychological level) aur 1.2720 (Fibonacci 23.6% retracement) agle resistance levels ke tor pe dekha ja sakta hai.

GBP/USD raised above 1.2700 aur apni highest level ko touch kiya since June 20 US session mein Monday ko. Pair ne din ke aakhri me traction kho diya aur lagbhag unchanged raha 1.2650 par. Pair Tuesday ko back foot par hai aur aik key technical level 1.2640 ke neechey trade kar raha hai.

Risk sentiment mein negative shift US dollar ko demand milne mein madad karti hai Tuesday ko aur GBP/USD ko rebound hone se rokti hai. Ghumgi hawa ko reflect karte hue, US stock index futures 0.3% aur 0.5% ke darmiyan neeche hain. Din ke doosre hisse mein, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ECB Forum on Central Banking mein policy outlook par baat karenge. Markets CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq is September mein Fed policy rates ko unchanged chorne ka 35 percent chance price kar rahe hain. Agar Powell pichlay Friday ke personal consumption expenditures price index ke baad inflation outlook mein behtari ko tasleem karte hain, to USD demand ko struggle karna par sakta hai. Dusri taraf, market positioning ke mutabiq aur USD strength ka room hai agar Powell rate cut ke September mein market expectations ke mukhalif kaam karte hain.