𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

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GBP/USD H1 Chart

Aaj tak, GBP/USD pair purani price movement se upar ki taraf rally kar raha hai. Price ne psychological level 1.3000 ko successfully paar kar liya hai aur ab bhi is level ke upar consistently trade kar raha hai. Agar aap dhyan se dekhein, toh candlestick pattern se koi reversal signal nahi mil raha jo yeh indicate kare ke price neeche correct hogi. Lekin, MACD indicator ka perspective bearish divergence signal dikhata hai. Yeh is liye hai ke ongoing uptrend momentum histogram volume ke sath price increase volume ke saath align nahi ho raha. Maslan, agar price neeche correct hoti hai, toh yeh psychological level 1.3000 se niche ja sakti hai, minor support 1.2948 ya EMA 50 ke aas-paas. RSI indicator parameter (14) jo overbought zone se nikal chuka hai aur ab level 70 ke neeche hai, yeh indicate karta hai ke uptrend momentum kamzor ho raha hai. Yeh price ko neeche correct karne mein madad kar sakta hai kyunki pichle hafte se lagatar upar ki taraf rallies chal rahi hain.

GBP/USD pair ke liye maine kal ek bearish scenario ko outline kiya tha, yeh anticipate karte hue ke dollar American economic developments ke against zyada kamzor ho sakta hai. Meri analysis ke mutabiq, monthly resistance zone ka upper line lagbhag 100 points ke faasle par hai, jo downside ki taraf ek U-turn ko aur bhi zyada probable banata hai. Critical level jo dekhna hai wo 1.3130 hai, aur aaj dekhenge kya market is point ko paar kar sakti hai. Bulls surrender nahi kar rahe, aur bears ko momentum gain karne se rok rahe hain. Unho ne sirf H1 chart par minor pullback ki ijaazat di hai. Ab ek maximum test chal raha hai, aur upper Bollinger band upward movement ka raasta khol raha hai. Yeh signal pullback ko negate kar sakta hai aur upward trend ko continue karne ki ijazat de sakta hai, provided ke bulls 1.3052 ke max ko paar kar lein. Bearish activity minimal hai, kyunki bears MA121 ko H4 chart par tod nahi paaye aur wahan movement ko sustain nahi kar paaye. MA11 se rebound hone par situation drastically badal sakti hai. Technical indicators yeh support karte hain ke uptrend shayad ab bhi intact hai. 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), jo filhal 1.3032 ke aas-paas hai, ongoing upward momentum ko indicate karta hai. Commodity Channel Index (CCI) abhi overbought conditions se gir chuka hai aur 60.00 mark ke aas-paas support dhoondne ki ummeed hai.

Khaas baat yeh hai ke GBP/USD pair ko 1.3141 ke do saal ke high ke aas-paas significant resistance ka samna hai. Is level ko break karne par pair ke liye ek crucial shift ho sakta hai, jabke 1.31440 ke aas-paas ka high bullish GBP/USD sentiments ke liye ek key resistance bana hua hai.

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GBP/USD Market Pair on the Daily Timeframe

GBP/USD market pair ne Friday ko ek baar phir bullish movement dikhayi, jab buyers ne dominance dikhayi. Buyers ne itna zyada enter kiya ke wo selling pressure ko bardasht kar paaye, jahan sellers ne ek baar phir buyer support area ko penetrate karne mein nakami ka samna kiya. Buyer support area 1.2730-1.2735 ke beech tha, aur is wajah se price ya candle phir se upar ki taraf bullish ho gayi.

Bollinger Bands indicator ko Daily timeframe par monitor karte hue yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke price ab buyers ke control mein hai. Buyers price ko Lower Bollinger Bands area ke upar maintain karne mein kamyab rahe hain, aur unho ne ek bullish Doji candlestick bhi form kiya hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke market ab bhi buyers ko support kar rahi hai. Yeh support price ko phir se bullish karne mein madadgar hai, jiska agla target Middle Bollinger Bands area hai jo 1.2835-1.2837 ke price range mein hai. Agar yeh successfully penetrate hota hai, toh upar bullish opportunity khul sakti hai jiska agla target Upper Bollinger Bands area hoga.

Monday ke Asian market session mein trading ke doran, buyers ne apna bullish momentum maintain karne ke liye zyada strong entry di. Unho ne price ko upar bullish karne aur sellers ke resistance area ko test karne ki koshish ki, jo 1.2760-1.2765 ke price range mein tha. Agar buyers yeh area successfully penetrate kar lete hain, toh agla bullish path khul sakta hai jiska next target sellers ke supply resistance area par hoga jo 1.2775-1.2777 ke price range mein hai.

Conclusion:

• Sell Entry: Sell entry tab kiya ja sakta hai agar sellers successfully nearest buyer support area ko penetrate kar lein jo 1.2745-1.2743 ke price range mein hai, aur TP target area 1.2728-1.2725 ke price range mein hoga.
• Buy Entry: Buy entry tab kiya ja sakta hai agar buyers successfully nearest seller resistance area ko penetrate kar lein jo 1.2760-1.2765 ke price range mein hai, aur TP target area 1.2775-1.2777 ke price range mein hoga.

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GBP/USD H1 Chart

GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka hal hi mein hum discussion kar rahe hain. Halanki foran recent high ka retest na ho, lekin mere khayal se yeh sirf waqt ki baat hai. Primary trend bullish hai aur humein buyers ko follow karte rehna chahiye. Phir bhi, daily chart ki technical analysis se ek reversal pattern ka pata chalta hai jo paanch bars par mushtamil hai, jo last July ke pattern se milta julta hai. Agar bulls aaj positive close banaye rakhti hain, toh kal hum selling consider kar sakte hain. Ek ahm stop-loss 100 points ka hoga aaj ke closing price se (yaani, L-5 bar ki close se). Pichle mahine ka average gain 300 points ke aas-paas tha, lekin is baar hamara target 200 points se zyada nahi hona chahiye. Agar price 1.2734 tak girti hai, toh humein apni strategy ko adjust karna padega aur us level par buying par ghoor karna padega.

Kal, pound/dollar pair ne reversal dikhane mein nakami ka samna kiya, aur bulls ne local high ko update kiya. Isliye, selling positions abhi bhi questionable hain, lekin main abhi bhi apni "wish list" mein downside move ko consider kar raha hoon. Hourly chart par, indicators abhi bhi north ki taraf point kar rahe hain, pair ne ek aur buy signal respond kiya, aur correction ke dauran upper Bollinger Band ko test kiya, jahan wo currently bounce karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar bounce confirm hota hai, toh naye long positions din ke andar kholi ja sakti hain. Lekin, bearish divergences lower indicators par nazar aa rahi hain jo reversal ki hint de rahi hain, lekin abhi tak direct signals nahi hain. 4-hour chart par bhi, indicators north ki taraf aur movement ko support karte hain, Bollinger Band channel upward impulse ke end aur local correction ke start ki hint de raha hai taake upper band ko test kiya ja sake. Isliye, din ke andar downside scenario kaafi mumkin hai, lekin short positions kholne ke liye technical analysis se zyada complete confirmation ka intezar karna behtar hai.



Daily chart par, doublek ka bhi possibility hai. Mere observation ke mutabiq, GBP/USD currency pair ki market mein movement abhi bhi bullish trend ko continue karne ke potential dikhati hai. Aaj subah se trading session ke dauran, movement zyada tar upar ki taraf thi jo 1.3037 ke level tak pahunchi. Subah ka bullish movement itna strong nahi lag raha. BUY position phir se enter karne ke liye, humein sirf price movement ka wait karna hoga jo current position ko chhod kar upar chale. Zyada possibilities yeh hain ke price movement correction ka samna karegi pehle, phir is hafte ke bullish trend ke mutabiq wapas move karegi. Temporary monitoring se, main abhi tak yeh decide nahi kar sakta ke price movement aane wale waqt mein phir se increase hogi ya nahi, aur yeh bhi mumkin hai ke aaj price movement correction phase ya sideways move mein rahe, jaise ke Asian session mein aam hota hai.

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GBP/USD currency pair ne apni bullish momentum ko jaari rakha hai aur naya chart high 1.3100 tak pahuncha hai. Is surge ke piche kai factors ka combination hai, jinmein British pound ki mazbooti aur US dollar ki kamzori shamil hai. Ab yeh pair April 2022 ke baad se apni sabse unchi price ko achieve karne ki raah par hai, kyunki markets Federal Reserve se interest rates mein mazeed izafa ki umeed kar rahi hain. NFP data ki recent revision ne job growth mein significant izafe ko dikhaya hai, jo September mein zyada aggressive rate hike ke expectations ko barhawa de rahi hai. Iske ilawa, Federal Reserve ki latest meeting ke minutes se yeh pata chala hai ke policymakers July tak rate cuts par discuss kar rahe hain, jo GBP/USD ki upward trend ko aur tez kar raha hai.

UK ke August PMI data se thodi behtari ki ummeed hai, lekin US PMI business activity survey aur Jackson Hole symposium bhi nazar mein rakhe jayenge. Fed ki last policy meeting ke minutes, jo Wednesday ko release honge, central bank ke potential actions ke rationale ke bare mein insights denge. US ka S&P Global Manufacturing PMI stable rahne ka expectation hai, lekin services PMI component thoda kam hone ki umeed hai. Jackson Hole symposium ka opening Thursday ko hoga, aur Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ki Friday ko hone wali appearance market sentiment ke liye tone set kar sakti hai aane wale hafte ke liye.

GBP/USD pair ne strong upward trend dikhaya hai, key support levels se recovery ki hai aur resilience bhi demonstrate ki hai. Lekin, Stochastics aur RSI indicators se short-term weakness ke asaar nazar aa rahe hain. Agar yeh pair is resistance ko paar karne mein kamyab hota hai, toh yeh apni upward trajectory ko continue kar sakta hai aur one-year high 1.3045 tak pahuncha ja sakta hai. Downside par, support levels 23.6% Fibonacci level, 20- aur 50-day simple moving averages, aur ascending trend line ke aas-paas maujood hain.

Mujhe pata hai ke shayad aisa lag raha hoga ke main apne aap ko dohra raha hoon, lekin mere nazariye se, GBP/USD pair ki recent ubarat British pound ki inherent strength ki wajah se nahi hai. Balki, iski badhoti zyada tar U.S. dollar ke market mein tez girawat ki wajah se hai, jo ke GBP/USD pair ko upar le ja rahi hai.

Jese ke weekend aane wala hai, yeh acha waqt hai ke longer time frames par focus shift karen jo main trade karta hoon. Main ne GBP/USD pair ko weekly chart par dekha, aur technical setup kafi logical aur well-founded lag raha hai. Yahan current situation ka breakdown hai aur yeh future movements ke liye kya suggest karta hai.

Haal hi mein, GBP/USD pair ne 1.3040 par ek local high reach kiya aur phir downward correction shuru hui. Price neeche aayi lekin moving average tak hi correct hui. Is moving average ko test karne ke baad, humne pichle hafte ke end mein ek notable bullish candle dekhi. Yeh strong bullish signal potential upward trend ke continuation ko indicate karta hai.

Aage dekhte hue, setup suggest karta hai ke hum shayad jaldi price ko upar push karne ki aur koshish dekh sakte hain, shayad 1.3040 aur 1.3142 ke beech ki range test karna. Yeh range critical hai, kyunki yeh significant resistance levels ko represent karta hai jahan price break hone par buying pressure increase ho sakta hai.

Magar, main current level par GBP/USD pair ko buy karne ka inclined nahi hoon. Long position enter karne ke liye, mujhe ek pullback ki zaroorat hai. Pullback mujhe ek behtar entry point aur potentially zyada favorable trade conditions offer karega. Agar price pullback nahi karti aur seedha 1.3040 se 1.3142 ki range ki taraf barhti hai, to main situation ko closely monitor karunga.

Agar price is range ko test karti hai, to main pair ko sell karne ka soch raha hoon. Mere analysis se lagta hai ke agar price is range se turant downward movement nahi dikhati, to shayad mujhe multiple sell orders ka strategy implement karna pade. Yeh approach mujhe potential decline par capitalize karne aur trade ke associated risks ko manage karne ki ijaazat dega.

Mujhe lagta hai ke agar price 1.3040 se 1.3142 ki range ko reach karti hai aur reverse nahi hoti, to decline significant aur extended ho sakta hai. Isliye, main sell orders ka ek series prepare kar raha hoon, aur volumes ko market conditions aur trading strategy ke mutabiq adjust karunga.

Summary yeh hai ke halanki GBP/USD pair recently U.S. dollar ke kamzor hone ke wajah se ubar rahi hai, current market conditions suggest karti hain ke trading decisions lene se pehle further analysis zaroori hai. Weekly chart ek potential test of 1.3040 se 1.3142 range ko indicate karta hai. Agar yeh resistance level test hota hai bina immediate reversal ke, to main sell orders ka series initiate karne ka plan kar raha hoon, expecting a possible extended decline.

Hamesha ki tarah, market developments ke mutabiq flexible aur responsive rehna zaroori hai. Price action ko monitor karte hue aur strategies ko adjust karte hue informed decisions lena madadgar hoga.

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GBP/USD

Forume Time™ H4

Sab ko achi mood ki dua! 4-hour chart par linear regression channel upar ki taraf hai, isliye mujhe lagta hai ke buyers active hain. Main buy karne ka soch raha hoon, lekin market correction ka intezar karunga. Channel ke lower limit, jo ke 1.30143 hai, tak pahunchne par main sochunga ke kahan buy karna hai. Main market ke khilaf short trades nahi karna chahta, aur jab tak channel barh raha hai, iski zarurat nahi hai. Market mein entry karne ka sabse sahi tareeqa yeh hai ke channel ke lower limit ke saath entry ki jaye. Aisi entry se false entry ki surat mein loss ko minimize kiya ja sakta hai, jo har trader ko suffer karna padta hai. Channel ka upper limit 1.30437 ke level par hoga. Jab upper part determine ho jayega, toh correction ke decline ko consider karna chahiye. Correction ka base channel ke along fluctuations se hota hai.

GBP/USD H1

Hourly chart par linear regression channel H4 ki tarah same direction mein hai, jo bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority buy karne ki hai. Selling conditions abhi nahi bani hain. Iske liye, kam se kam H4 channel ka downward-facing hona zaroori hai, tabhi sell trades enter kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin jaise ke aap pictures mein dekh sakte hain, dono channels upar dekh rahe hain aur bears ko koi mauka nahi de rahe. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, isliye lower border of the channel, jo 1.30271 hai, se unke saath join karna zyada sahi hai. Yahan buying ke liye zyada favorable entry point hai. Is point ke neeche sales start honge aur purchases flow karenge. Mera plan hai ke channel ke upper part tak grow karna, jo 1.30888 hai. Peaks par kaam karte hue, bull apne criterion ko meet karega, aur uske baad decline ho sakta hai. Main ise pass kar dunga. Aur decline se phir se growth ke liye purchases ki talash karunga.

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GBP/USD Forum Analysis and Forecast

H4 Time Frame

Agar hum 4-hour time frame mein Stochastic 5,3,3 indicator ko monitor karein, toh candlestick ne bullish run kiya hai aur iski increase 1.3049 price zone ko successfully cross kar gayi hai, halanki kuch din pehle seller ne GBP/USD price ko neeche push karne ki koshish ki thi. Seller ki 1.2677 area ko break karne mein nakami ke baad, buyer ke liye price ko upar le jane ka mauka abhi bhi kaafi wide open hai, with a bullish target towards 1.3142 price zone. Pichle mahine ke shuruat mein, price ne girne ki koshish ki thi, lekin agle trading period ke baad strong buying interest ke wajah se price mein significant increase hua.

Graph ki situation ke mutabiq, buyers ki taraf se price position ko upar le jane ki koshish nazar aa rahi hai. Agar hum pichle kuch hafton ke trend ko dekhein, toh yeh bullish lag raha hai, aur buyer ki strong influence continue ho sakti hai. Price movement pattern ko dekhe to, aaj upward trend hone ke chances hain. Pichle do hafton mein price drop relatively chhoti thi, jabke aakhri kuch dinon mein increase ka range kafi bada tha. Isliye, buyer ki strength abhi bhi dominant hai, aur candlestick finally bullish trend mein wapas aa sakti hai, jaise ke stochastic indicator ke signal se price movement indicate hoti hai.

Aaj ke analysis ke mutabiq, agle GBP/USD market ke liye, yeh predict kiya ja raha hai ke buyer price ko upar le jane ki koshish karega. Agar is haftay ka highest price position, jo ke 1.3118 area mein hai, bina kisi rukawat ke pass ho jata hai, toh market trend agle haftay tak chal sakta hai. Lekin, ek baar phir main yaad dilata hoon ke price ke bearish side ki taraf girne ke chances bhi hain, jo end of the week tak downward trend ki taraf direction change kar sakti hai. Is situation ko anticipate karne ke liye, behtar hai ke ek alternate plan tayar rakha jaye.

Transaction Options:

Buy in the 1.3097 area, Take Profit: 1.3142, Stop Loss: 1.3060

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GBP/USD Pair Analysis

GBP/USD pair ka 1.3100 level se upar uthna British Pound ke bullish momentum ko continue karta hai, jo ke mainly US Dollar ki kamzori ke wajah se hai. Yeh movement largely Federal Reserve ke rate hike cycle ko soon pause karne ki umeed se driven hai, aur key insights Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole Symposium mein speech se milne ki umeed hai. Pound ki strength ko further support mil raha hai kyunki Bank of England ke rate increases continue karne ke chances hain, jab ke UK mein inflation high hai.

Lekin, is bullish trend ko challenges ka samna karna pad sakta hai, khaaskar aane wale PMI data se jo UK aur US dono se aane wale hain. UK ke weak PMI figures Pound ko kamzor kar sakte hain, jabke strong US data Dollar ko mazboot bana sakti hai, jo current trend ko reverse kar sakta hai.

Technical front par, GBP/USD pair 1.3100 level ke aas-paas resistance ka samna kar raha hai. Agar Pound is resistance ko todne mein nakam raha, toh 1.3050 ya us se neeche pullback ho sakta hai. Wahi agar pair apni upward momentum ko maintain karta hai, toh yeh 1.3142 mark ko challenge kar sakta hai, jo is saal ka highest level hai.

GBP/USD pair ne haal hi mein 1.3100 level ko break kiya, jo UK monetary policy aur Federal Reserve ke dovish stance ke positive sentiment ke saath market optimism ko reflect karta hai. Lekin, pair ki future direction largely upcoming economic data aur central banks ke guidance par depend karegi, khaaskar Jackson Hole Symposium ke dauran.

Hourly Chart Analysis

Hourly chart par, pair ab kuch downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai, jo ke bearish Engulfing pattern se indicate hota hai jo recent highs ke paas kuch ghante pehle bana. Iske bawajood, buyers ne resilience dikhayi hai, aur bullish Engulfing pattern subsequent pullback ke doran emerge hua hai. Phir bhi, market apne recent peak ko dobara test karne mein struggle kar rahi hai.

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GBP/USD Price Outlook

Ab hum GBP/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ko assess kar rahe hain. Main 30-minute time frame ka use karta hoon aur Bollinger Band indicator ke saath vertical tick volumes bhi employ karta hoon. Filhaal GBP/USD ki current quote 1.30348 hai. Bollinger Bands ke andar iska position bullish movement ke potential ko suggest karta hai. Main is price par ek long position open karne ka plan bana raha hoon, jiska target 1.30383 hoga, jo Bollinger Band ke upper boundary ke saath align karta hai. Saath hi, main vertical volumes ki development ko bhi monitor karunga. Mere initial take-profit target 1.30383 hai, lekin agar volume chart steady growth dikhata hai, toh main trade ko extend kar sakta hoon. Market volatility is decision mein crucial factor banegi. Ek aur critical level 1.30250 hai, jo Bollinger envelope ke middle ko represent karta hai. Agar GBP/USD 1.30250 ke neeche girta hai, toh main long position ko loss ke saath close karunga aur market ko short karne par consider karunga. Last H1 candle ne D1 opening price ke same level par close kiya, jo ke 1.3029 hai.

GBP/USD Upward Trend

GBP/USD currency pair ka upward trend market quotations ko drive kar raha hai. Hum price consolidation ko dekh rahe hain jo broken resistance 1.3008 ke upar ho rahi hai, jo ab support level ban gaya hai. Buyers ka immediate target ab resistance 1.3072 hai. Hourly chart par, broken resistance 1.3008 ka successful retest hua, jo bullish trend ka indication hai. Lekin, agar price horizontal line 1.3008 ke neeche girti hai, toh downward correction ho sakta hai. Ye correction support level 1.2939 tak extend ho sakta hai, jahan se main buy positions initiate karne ka soch raha hoon. D1 candle abhi bhi form ho rahi hai, aur bulls isse bullish candle mein convert karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Lekin, unhone abhi tak price ko sirf opening level 1.3029 tak push kiya hai, aur bears further ascent ko roknay ki koshish kar rahe hain.

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GBP/USD Pair ka Analysis 22 August 2024

GBP/USD exchange rate ne Wednesday ko ek aur 10 basis points ka izafa kiya.

GBP/USD ka wave pattern kaafi complex aur ambiguous raha hai. Ek waqt pe lag raha tha ke wave pattern kaafi convincing hai, jo downward wave set ki formation ko suggest kar raha tha jiske targets 1.23 level ke neeche the. Lekin, practically, US dollar ki demand itni barh gayi ke yeh scenario play out nahi ho paaya.

Ab wave pattern thoda unreadable ho gaya hai. Meri analysis mein, main simple structures ka use karta hoon kyunke complex structures mein bahut zyada nuances aur ambiguous aspects hote hain. Filhaal hum ek upward wave dekh rahe hain jo ek downward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai, aur woh phir se previous upward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai, aur aise hi chal raha hai (yeh sab waves ek triangle ke andar hain). Sirf ek assumption ki ja sakti hai ke ek expanding triangle ban raha hai jiska upper point 1.30 level ke aas-paas hai aur equilibrium line 1.26 ke aas-paas hai. Triangle ka upper line reach ho gaya hai, aur usko break karne ki failed attempt ne market ki downward wave set banane ki tayyari ko indicate kiya hai, jisme pehli wave already complete ho chuki hai aur doosri wave completion ke kareeb hai.

Commerzbank ka Interesting Perspective

GBP/USD exchange rate ne Wednesday ko 10 basis points ka izafa kiya, lekin aaj ke din ke end tak isme kaafi izafa ho sakta hai. Sab ko yeh adat hai ke naya impulse start hone se pehle correction hoti hai. Pichle paanch din se continuous growth ke bawajood, pound ne 50 basis points bhi correct nahi kiya. Isliye, buyers filhaal bahut strong hain aur pound bina kisi limitation ke rise kar sakta hai.

Mere nazar mein, jo cheez is naye buyer surge ko rok sakti hai woh expanding triangle ka upper line hai jiska zikr maine pehle kiya. Sath hi, wave structure ne teen-wave corrective structure ki formation ko suggest kiya hai, jo abhi tak nazar nahi aayi. Isliye, situation abhi bhi complex aur confusing hoti ja rahi hai, halanke current movement kaafi simple lag rahi hai.

Commerzbank ke economists ne aaj report kiya ke pound par thoda pressure hai. Mujhe yeh samajh nahi aata ke unhone yeh pressure kahan dekha, shayad unke paas different trading charts hain jahan pound consistently pull back kar raha hai. Bank ne yeh bhi kaha ke pound aane wale mahino mein rise karta reh sakta hai UK mein rising inflation ke bawajood. Main yaad dilana chahta hoon ke UK mein inflation 2.2% tak barh gaya hai, jabke US mein yeh 2.9% tak gir gaya hai. Isliye, pound barh raha hai (kyunki inflation barh rahi hai), aur dollar gir raha hai (kyunki inflation gir rahi hai). Yeh leading analysts ki logic hai filhaal. Commerzbank ne British economy ki recovery (0.6% second quarter mein) aur ek stable government ke prospects (Labour, jo pichle 14 saalon se power mein nahi thi) ka bhi zikr kiya.

GBP/USD ka wave pattern abhi bhi decline suggest karta hai. Agar upward trend 22 April ko shuru hua tha, toh yeh already five-wave form le chuka hai. Isliye, kisi bhi surat mein humein ab at least teen-wave correction ki ummeed rakhni chahiye. Mere nazar mein, agle kuch waqt mein, is instrument ko sell karna advisable hai jiska target 1.2627 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke 38.2% Fibonacci level ke barabar hai, aur lower. Lekin, clear sell signal ki zarurat hai short positions open karne ke liye. Current growth ko dekhte hue, intezar lamba ho sakta hai.

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GBP/USD Price Movement Analysis

GBP/USD currency pair ke real-time pricing ka jaiza lete hue, yeh dekha ja raha hai ke growth ka potential maujood hai, lekin yeh 1.3041 level se resistance ko break karne par depend karta hai. Yeh level abhi bhi intact hai, lekin overbought conditions balance ho gayi hain kyunki aaj market mein significant selling volumes aaye hain. Investors shayad upcoming Fed minutes ke liye positioning kar rahe hain, lekin halat abhi bhi uncertain hain. Trading range ab 1.3041 aur 1.3011 ke beech hai, jahan crucial support EMA20 aur ascending channel ke lower boundary par 1.2971 par hai. Agar GBP/USD is level ke neeche girta hai, toh yeh channel se bahar nikal sakta hai, jo further decline ke signal ho sakta hai. Lekin filhaal, upward impulse ab bhi mumkin hai. Dollar ki kamzori kai factors ki wajah se ho sakti hai, jaise U.S. stock indices ki recovery, September mein rate cut ki expectations, aur presidential election ke aas-paas uncertainties.

Commerzbank ka Perspective

Maine kal GBP/USD pair ke liye ek bearish scenario outline kiya tha jisme Double Top formation ka zikr kiya tha, jo suggest karta hai ke dollar American economic developments ke against kamzor ho sakta hai. Meri analysis ke mutabiq, monthly resistance zone ki upper line 100 points se thodi door hai, jisse downside ka U-turn increasingly likely lag raha hai. Critical level jo dekhna zaroori hai woh 1.3130 hai, aur dekhenge kya market is point ko aaj cross kar sakti hai. Bulls ab bhi surrender nahi kar rahe, jo bears ko momentum gain karne se rokh rahe hain. H1 chart par unhone sirf ek chhoti si pullback ko allow kiya hai. Maximum test chal raha hai, aur upper Bollinger band upward movement ka raasta khol raha hai. Yeh signal pullback ko negate kar sakta hai aur upward trend ko continue karne de sakta hai, provided bulls 1.3052 ke maximum ko cross karein. Bearish activity minimal hai, kyunki woh MA121 ko H4 chart par break nahi kar paaye aur wahan movement sustain nahi kar paaye. MA11 se rebound situation ko drastically alter kar sakta hai.

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GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis

GBP/USD currency pair ne Wednesday ko Asian session ke doran significant buying activity ke sath market ka dhyan khinch liya. Pichle hafte 1.3045 par peak karne ke baad—jo ke ek saal ka highest level tha—pair ne 1.3062 ke aas-paas stabilize ho gaya hai. Yeh daily increase 1.10% se zyada hai, lekin Friday ko recorded one-week high ke kareeb hai. Current price movements se lagta hai ke corrective slide mein ek momentary pause hai, jo future developments ke potential ko suggest karta hai.

Market Dynamics: US Dollar Kamzor Aur British Pound Ko Support Mil Raha Hai

Naye hafte ki shuruat ke sath, US Dollar (USD) kamzor performance ka saamna kar raha hai, jo ke recent political developments ki wajah se hai. Weekend par President Joe Biden ne 2024 Presidential race se withdraw hone ka elan kiya. Yeh unexpected shift Donald Trump ke presidency jeetne ke chances ko barhata hai, aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein interest rate cut ke expectations ke sath, safe-haven USD ki appeal kam ho rahi hai. Is environment ka asar GBP/USD pair ke favorable stance par bhi pad raha hai.

Is ke muqabil, British Pound (GBP) ko Bank of England (BoE) ke is August mein imminent interest rate cut ke expectations kam hone se support mil raha hai. BoE ke Chief Economist Huw Pill ne indicate kiya hai ke persistent domestic inflation ko address karne se pehle kuch challenges hain. Iske ilawa, UK consumer inflation June mein thodi si forecast se zyada thi, 2% YoY increase ke sath, aur May mein GDP growth 0.4% se behtar rahi. Yeh factors investors ko apne projections ko reassess karne par majboor kar rahe hain, aur near-term rate cut ke expectations ko push back kar rahe hain.

Technical Analysis: GBP/USD Ko Key Resistance Aur Support Levels Ka Samna

In developments ke bawajood, pair ne recently sharp correction ka saamna kiya, aur USD ke against 1.3065 ke kareeb trade kar raha hai. Pair ne 1.3044 par fresh annual high ke baad resistance ka saamna kiya aur kamzor ho gaya. Agar pair 1.3080 level ko break kar leta hai, toh yeh 1.3120 region ki taraf rise kar sakta hai. Lekin, hourly chart par Bearish Belt Hold candlestick pattern ka appearance—jo ke sharp rally ke baad dekha jata hai—suggest karta hai ke bearish reversal confirm nahi hua hai, lekin caution zaroori hai.

Technical Indicators: Uptrend Abhi Bhi Intact Hai

Technical indicators yeh view support karte hain ke uptrend abhi bhi intact ho sakta hai. 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), jo ke ab 1.3032 ke near hai, ongoing upward momentum ko indicate karta hai. Commodity Channel Index (CCI) recently overbought conditions se decline ho gaya hai aur 60.00 mark ke around support paane ki umeed hai. Khaas taur par, GBP/USD pair ko do saal ke high ke nazdeek 1.3141 par significant resistance ka saamna hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh yeh pair ke liye ek crucial shift ho sakta hai, jabke 1.31440 ke aas-paas high bullish GBP sentiments ke liye key resistance hai.

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GBP/USD Pair Analysis: Friday's Movements and Upcoming Events

Friday ke American session mein, GBP/USD pair ne 1.2663 ke nazdeek paanch hafton ke low se rebound kiya, jo iski overall strength ko reflect karta hai. Yeh recovery pair ki resilience ko highlight karti hai, jo ke market ke strong anticipation se fuel hui hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) agle September meeting mein interest rate cuts shuru kar sakta hai.

Federal Reserve ki Umeed Shuda Policy Aur UK Economic Data:

Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell se yeh umeed hai ke woh inflation par progress ko recognize karenge, lekin woh cautious rahne ki ummeed hai aur rate cuts ke liye data-driven approach par zyada zor denge. Powell shayad rate cuts ke liye koi specific timeline na dein aur inflation ke girne ka sustained evidence dekhne ki zarurat par zyada focus karenge. Woh US labor market ki moderating strength par bhi concerns express kar sakte hain.

Is hafte UK economic data kaafi kam raha hai, lekin key events mein Bank of England (BoE) ke policymakers ki Wednesday ko appearance aur Thursday ko industrial aur manufacturing activity surveys shamil hain. Analysts yeh anticipate kar rahe hain ke UK Industrial aur Manufacturing Production May ke liye rebound kar sakti hai, April mein thodi si contraction ke baad.

GBP/USD ka Technical Analysis:

Pair ke recent bullish momentum ne isko 1.2800 ke upar supply zone mein push kar diya hai, jo ke price action ko elevated levels par stretch karta hai. Ek potential pullback dekhne ko mil sakti hai jisme price 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke around 1.2795 par wapas aa sakti hai. Bulls ke liye challenge yeh hoga ke woh four-hour charts par significantly higher low establish karen taake further declines ko roka ja sake.

Resistance Levels Aur Future Targets:

Agar buyers 1.2800 level ko successfully defend kar lete hain, toh yeh uptrend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai. Agle key resistance levels ko dekhna hoga jo ke July 8 ka high 1.2844 aur June 12 ka peak 1.2861 hain. In levels ko clear karne se buyers ko year-to-date (YTD) high target karne ka mauka mil sakta hai jo 1.3043 ke nazdeek hai.

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GBP/USD Price Movement Overview

Hamari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ke price action par markooz hai. GBP/USD pair ne haal hi mein apna bullish target 1.3043 par pohnch gaya, jahan usne significant resistance ka saamna kiya. Ab ek pullback ki umeed hai jo ke technical indicators ko relax karne ke liye zaroori hai. Main pair ko bechnay ka tajwez deta hoon, aur umeed hai ke price 1.2959 ke niche gir sakti hai, shayad 1.2869 tak bhi ja sakti hai. Technical outlook yeh darshata hai ke pair ek trend mein ho sakta hai, jaisa ke Zigzag indicators bhi support karte hain, jo oversold zone mein hain aur long buy positions ko favor karte hain. Current strength aur bulls ki activity ko dekhte hue, main plan kar raha hoon ke profits lock kar loon jab pair 61.8% Fibonacci target, jo ke 1.30928 par hai, tak pohnche. Lekin safety ke liye, main order ko break-even par move kar dunga jaisay hi yeh positive zone mein enter karega. Halanki recent corrective decline dekha gaya hai, lekin channel ka upper boundary intact hai, jo ke growth ki wapas aane ki significant likelihood ko darshata hai.

British Pound ki Market Dynamics ka Jaiza:

British pound ke market dynamics ka jaiza lete hue, daily chart par dekhte hain ke 1.2299 ke local low se rebound karne ke baad, pair ne upward movement ki aur ek solid ascending price channel form kiya hai. Filhaal, British pound 1.3029 par trade kar raha hai is channel ke andar. Is bullish channel ka upper boundary abhi bhi door hai, jo ke possible corrective decline ka indication hai. Lekin ek secondary upward channel bhi hai jo sideways slope par hai, jahan upper boundary bhi abhi tak determine nahi hui. Price apne current level se uttar kar lagbhag 1.3049 ya 1.3054 tak rise kar sakti hai, jahan resistance ka saamna karna pad sakta hai, aur iske baad ek potential corrective decline ho sakti hai. Buyers ka target bullish channel ki upper limit hai, jo 1.3049 level ke aas-paas intersect hoti hai.

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GBP/USD Pair Technical Analysis

GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya abhi chal raha hai. Price naye futures contract ke shuru hone ke level ke nazdeek trade kar rahi hai, jo ke upar se neeche aakar, mahine ke opening level se kaafi neeche hai, aur overall trend bearish lag raha hai. Haan, corrections ka khayal nahi bhoolna chahiye. Agle hafte US CPI ke naye figures aayenge, aur aam taur par, hum jante hain ke Fed September meeting mein interest rate kam karega, jab tak inflation achanak 8% tak nahi pohnchti. Magar yeh realistic nahi lagta. GBP/USD ke liye situation EUR/USD ki tarah hai. Hafte ke shuru mein, jab price 1.2800 tak pohnchi, sellers ne market mein enter kiya. Minimum price jo unhone achieve ki, woh 1.2662 thi. Aur Thursday ko lagta hai ke is price se ek technical northern correction shuru hui hai. Trading week ne price ko channel ke andar fluctuate karte hue khatam kiya.

Pound Sterling ke liye, aane wale dinon mein key economic indicators ko nazar rakha jayega. UK employment data for July ke sath, July CPI figures bhi Bank of England (BoE) ke potential interest rate decisions ke liye crucial insights provide karengi. Agar employment data robust job growth dikhati hai aur CPI figures inflation ke badhne ki taraf ishaara karti hain, toh BoE ko interest rates ko maintain ya increase karna pad sakta hai taake inflationary pressures ko control kiya ja sake. Dusri taraf, agar data kamzor hoti hai, toh BoE dovish stance le sakta hai, aur rate cuts consider kar sakta hai economy ko stimulate karne ke liye. Is environment mein, traders cautious rahenge, dono US aur UK ke upcoming economic data releases ko dhyan se analyze karenge. Fed aur BoE ke decisions ka interplay GBP/USD pair ki short-term direction ko significantly influence karega. Market ke current sentiment ko dekhte hue, economic data mein kisi bhi surprise se GBP/USD pair mein volatility barh sakti hai, jab traders apni positions ko evolving monetary policy outlook ke hisaab se adjust karenge.