𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBPUSD ke four-hour chart par, British pound ne "Pennant" pattern banana shuru kar diya hai. Ye pattern aam tor par bullish breakout ka signal deta hai. Is liye, main umeed karta hoon ke agle hafte 1.27000 ke level par wapas aane ka imkan ho sakta hai, aur shayad is se bhi zyada upar move kar sakta hai. Lekin, yahaan ek choti si baat ko madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai, jo main apne agle analytical review mein tafseel se discuss karunga. Hum "Pennant" pattern ke breakout ke baad dekhnay ke liye potential price levels ka bhi jaiza lenge.
Market filhal kafi quiet hai aur koi significant movements nahi hui hain, is liye hum shanti se aur baghair kisi surprise ke close kar rahe hain.

Pichle kuch dino mein, GBPUSD ne range-bound trading dekhi hai, aur koi khaas volatility nahi nazar ayi. Lekin ab jab "Pennant" pattern ban raha hai, traders ko agle kuch dinon mein ek substantial move ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.

Agar hum technical indicators ka jaiza lein, to RSI (Relative Strength Index) aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) mein bhi kuch bullish signals nazar aa rahe hain. RSI abhi 50 ke upar hai, jo momentum mein ek healthy positive trend ko show karta hai. MACD line bhi signal line ke upar move kar rahi hai, jo ke ek bullish crossover ka indication hai.

Agar price is "Pennant" pattern se breakout hoti hai, to sabse pehle target humein 1.27000 ka level nazar aata hai. Is level ko cross karne ke baad, agla resistance 1.28000 par hoga. Dusri taraf, agar price "Pennant" ke niche breakdown hoti hai, to humein 1.25000 aur 1.24000 ke levels par support nazar aata hai.

Is waqt, traders ko sabar se kaam lena chahiye aur apni positions ko thik se manage karna chahiye, jab tak ke "Pennant" pattern confirm na ho jaye. Overall, market calm aur steady hai, lekin is "Pennant" pattern ke breakout se kuch significant moves dekhne ko mil sakte hain.

Jald hi, main apne agle analytical review mein mazeed tafseelat aur predictions share karunga

GBP/USD currency pair ne mamooli nuqsan ka samna kiya aur Tuesday ke early Asian trading session mein 1.2730 ke darje ke aas paas trade ho raha tha. Yeh harkat is waqt ho rahi hai jab ke market ke shirkat daron ne UK ki mazdor market ke data ke intezar mein, jo aaj ke baad muntakhib hai, sabr o himmat ko apnaaya hai.

Karobarion ne mazdor market ke figures ke jariye faisle se pehle barahe raast aur ahtiyaat kiya hai. Mazdor market riport ka intezar hai jo UK ki maeeshat ke haalat mein eham tanazurat faraham karegi, khaas tor par urooj-e-mohtajgi, berozgari dar aur rozgar ki ibteda. Yeh data points mulk ki maeeshat ke umoomi sehat ka taeen karne ke liye zaroori hain aur Bank of England ke aane wale monetary policy decisions ke liye wazni asarat rakhte hain.

GBP/USD jode ke mamooli nuqsan is waqt ke halaat-e-taamer se wabasta hain. Sarmaya dan intezar mein hain ke mazdor market ke data ko mutaliq aagahi hasil karen aur bank-e-markazi ke agle qadam ke baray mein maqool umeedon ko banayen. Agar mazdor market riport majboot urooj-e-mohtajgi aur kam berozgari dar ko dikhati hai, to yeh bank-e-markazi ke mazeed sakht qadam lene ka saboot de sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar riport umeed se kamzor nikalti hai, to yeh hawaalat ke liye ziada ihtiyaat se kaam liya ja sakta hai, aur munsalik rait hikes ko intezar mein dair kar sakti hai.

GBP/USD jode ke tabdeeli daramad bhi maazi market sentiments aur aalam-e-aasir maeeshati iqdaar se mutasir hain. Halat mein, market shirkat daron ne COVID-19 pandemic se maeeshati bahaali, siyasi-o-iqtisadi tension aur asbabit ke aalami asarat ke jayein tayari ki hai. Yeh maamlaat kul aitimaad aur joda ke tanzeemi liye bias mein madad dain.

UK jobs report ke qareeb, market shirkat daron ne joda maeeshati isharaat aur haadse ko nazar andaz kiya hai jo currency market ko mutasir kar sakti hain. Maslan, agar bara central banks jese ke US Federal Reserve, bayanat ya policy announcements karte hain, to yeh GBP/USD jode par asar andaz ho sakte hain. Is ke alawa, aalam-e-aasir maeeshati market ke tabdeeliyon ke sabab se sarmaya danon ke khatir-e-jokhmon ke dauran tabdeeliyon se asar andaz ho sakta hai.

Early Asian trading session aksar puri trading din ke liye tashkeel deta hai, jahan par market fa'al ho jata hai jab ke Europe aur North America ke market kholte hain. Is doran, karobarion ne raat bhar ke news ko digest kiya aur ane wali economic releases ke liye tayari ki hai. UK mazdor market data ke intezar mein, GBP/USD joda riport ke ijaad ke waqt ziada ishtiaqat se guzarsakta hai.

Mukhtasar taur par, Tuesday ke early Asian session mein GBP/USD currency pair 1.2730 ke darje ke aas paas mamooli nuqsan ke sath trade ho raha tha. Karobarion ne sabr o himmat apnaaya hai jab ke UK ki mazdor market riport ke intezar mein hain, jo mulk ki maeeshati halat mein eham tajziyati faraham karegi. Data ko rozgar ki urooj-e-mohtajgi, berozgari dar aur rozgar ke umoomi sehat ke isharaat ke liye gehraayi se jaye ga, jo ke Bank of England ke mazeed monetary policy decisions par asar andaz ho sakte hain. Maazi market sentiments aur global maeeshati asarat bhi GBP/USD jode ke tabdeeli daramad ko tarteeb dete hain.

GBP/USD pair ne consistent upward trajectory dikhayi hai. Constrained range ke bawajood, bullish trend itna robust raha hai ke buyers ki dominance ko sustain kar saka hai. Yeh market behavior higher prices ko favor karne wala sentiment suggest karta hai, jo ke UK se aane wale positive economic data ya USD ki weaker performance ki wajah se driven ho sakta hai. Levels 1.26937 aur 1.27362 ke darmiyan push hona buyer strength mein aik significant gain ko highlight karta hai. Magar, price ka Moving Average line ki taraf aana active seller participation ko bhi signal karta hai, jo resistance create karte hain jo ke bullish trend ko persist karne ke liye overcome karna zaroori hai. Jab yeh jora is sabz consolidation rectangle mein tha, tab Bank of England ke monetary policy tightening cycle khatm hone ke bare mein kuch bhi maloom nahi tha. Bank of England phir bhi sab se zyada Hawkish bank rahi, jo interest rates ko buland rakhne ka irada rakhti thi. Us waqt Euro/dollar pair gir raha tha, lekin yeh pair range mein trade kar raha tha. Jab maloom hua ke Bank of England apne monetary policy tightening cycle ko khatam kar rahi hai aur wazeh taur par ishara kiya ke jald hi monetary policy ko halka kia jayega, tab yeh pair girne laga, aur selling volume barh gaya, lekin yahan par izaafa hai.
Yeh theek nahi tha ke pair kyun izaafa kar raha tha, kyun ke jab yeh range mein trade kar raha tha, tab Bank of England ke faislay ka intezar tha, aur us faislay ke baad, pair izaafa karna shuru kar diya. Yeh bilkul samajh nahi aya ke kyun, phir maine samjha ke yeh bas seller ke stops ko trigger kar raha hai. Is ke baad, yeh range ke nichle hadood ke qareeb wapis aya. Jaise he maine samjha tha, range ke nichle hadood ke qareeb selling volume barhna shuru ho gaya. Pair 1.23041 ke support se neeche gir gaya, lekin is support se bounce back ho gaya. Yahan par mahangai mein kami shuru ho gayi, lekin phir jab yeh pehle se barh gaya, to wazeh ho gaya ke mahangai tham gayi hai, mazeed girawat nahi hui. Federal Reserve rate cut nahi karegi, aur pair wapis ho gaya.
Aur asal mein, yeh theek nahi tha ke yeh yeh un unchayon par trade kar raha tha. Is ke ilawa, yeh pehle ke unchayon ko bhi update kar diya, kyun ke UK mein mahangai maqsad ke level par pohanch chuki hai. Amuman, is pair ke yeh levels par rehne ka koi wajah nahi hai. Main samjhata hoon ke girawat mazeed jari rahegi takay 1.25623 ke support tak pohanche. Main samajhta hoon ke pair mazeed neeche ja sakta hai 1.25017 ke levels tak, phir palat jayega aur range mein trade karega jab tak mahangai ke data jaari na ho jaye, jo pair ke movement ko zahir kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ne Tuesday ke early Asian trading session mein thayri hui halki giravat ka samna kiya aur yeh lagbhag 1.2730 level par trade ho raha tha. Yeh movement is wajah se ho rahi hai ke market participants UK ke labor market data ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo aaj baad mein jaari kiya jayega.

Traders ek wait-and-see approach adopt kar rahe hain aur saavdhaani se kadam utha rahe hain labor market figures ke announcement se pehle. Labor market report UK economy ke haalat ke baare mein mahatvapurn insights provide karega, khaaskar wage growth, berozgaari dar aur job creation ke hawale se. Yeh data points desh ki overall economic health ko measure karne mein madadgar hote hain aur Bank of England ke future monetary policy decisions ke liye bhi significant implications rakhte hain.

GBP/USD pair ki thayri hui nuqsanat prevailing uncertainty ke bais se hain. Investors labor market data ka assessment karne ke liye intezaar kar rahe hain takay woh central bank ke agle steps ke baare mein informed expectations bana sakein. Agar labor market report strong wage growth aur low unemployment dikhaaye toh, central bank ke further monetary tightening ke liye case strong ho sakta hai. Lekin agar report expectations se kam ho, toh cautious approach aana bhi mumkin hai, aur additional rate hikes ko delay kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD exchange rate dynamics ko broader market sentiments aur global economic developments bhi influence karte hain. Is waqt ke context mein, market participants ongoing economic recovery from COVID-19 pandemic, geopolitical tensions, aur commodity prices ke fluctuations ko closely monitor kar rahe hain. Yeh factors overall volatility aur currency pair ke directional bias mein contribute karte hain.

UK jobs report ke announcement se pehle, market participants dusre economic indicators aur events ko bhi observe kar rahe hain jo currency market ko influence kar sakte hain. Jaise ke agar major central banks, jaise ke US Federal Reserve, statements ya policy announcements karte hain, toh yeh GBP/USD pair par asar daal sakte hain. Additionally, global financial markets mein investors' risk appetite mein changes hone se bhi exchange rate par asar pad sakta hai.

Early Asian trading session aksar poora trading day ke tone ko set karta hai, jahan market activity European aur North American markets open hone par generally increase hoti hai. Is dauran traders overnight news ko digest karte hain aur upcoming economic releases ke liye tyaari karte hain. UK labor market data release ke intezaar mein, GBP/USD pair jab report jaari hoga toh heightened volatility experience kar sakta hai.

Mukhtasar mein, GBP/USD currency pair Tuesday ke early Asian session mein halki giravat ke saath lagbhag 1.2730 level par trade ho raha tha. Traders labor market report ke announcement ka intezaar karte hain jo UK ki economic condition ke significant insights provide karega. Yeh data wage growth, unemployment rates, aur overall job market health ke indicators ke liye closely scrutinized hoga, jo Bank of England ke future monetary policy decisions ko influence kar sakta hai. Broader market sentiments aur global economic factors bhi GBP/USD pair ke exchange rate dynamics ko shape karte hain.

GBP/USD pair ki nazr-e-aamad ke mutabiq, pound sterling ke qeemat mid-week trading mein US dollar ke khilaf aik teesra percent kam hui, jis ki wajah "tight" signals thin jo US Federal Reserve ke afraad ne jaari kiye thay. Is natijay mein, pound sterling ke qeemat ke nuqsanat US dollar ke khilaf, GBP/USD, 1.2612 level tak phel gaye, jo ke cheh hafte ki kamzori ki sabsay kam qeemat thi, phir likhnay ke waqt 1.2645 level par stabil ho gayi thi aur ahem American economic releases ke ilaan se pehle.

US dollar ke qeemat pehlay hi se euro-centric khatron se aagay hai jo France ke weekend ke elections se dominated ho sakta hai, jo European Central Bank ko aane waale dinon mein mazeed interest rates cut karne par majboor kar sakta hai. Analysts ke mutabiq, Canada aur Australia ke past 24 ghanton mein heran kun taizi se inflation rates ne global inflation ki dobara shuru hone ke khauf ko barhaya hai, jis ne bond yields ko buland kiya hai. Bohat se Fed afraad ne is baat par tanqeed ki hai ke is saal interest rates ko kam karne mein jaldi nahi kiya jaye ga, jo bond markets par dabao dala hai aur aakhir kar US dollar ko pasand kiya hai.

Is lehaz se, Brown Brothers Harriman ke mahir Dr. Win Thein ke mutabiq: "Fed afraad ab bhi sakht hain." Interest rate policy mein United States (lambi muddat ke liye buland interest rates), United Kingdom aur Eurozone ke darmiyan farq US dollar ko support deta hai.

Haal hi mein di gayi bayaniyon ke mutabiq, "Hum abhi tak us maqam par nahi pohanchay hain jahan interest rates ko kam karne ka munasib waqt ho," kehti hain Fed policymaker Michelle Bowman. "Mere economic outlook ke risks aur uncertainty ke baray mein, main monetary policy ke future changes ko tawajjo se gaur se sochnay mein surkhiyaan rakhun gi." Unhon ne bhi apni political position ka zikr kiya hai." Unhon ne bhi bataya hai ke un mein se kai afraad hain jo is saal kisi bhi cut ko nahi dekhtay, jo unhen interest rates ko be-harkat rehnay par yakeen hai. June 12 ko Fed ne jari kiye gaye forecasts ke mutabiq, unke saat colleagues ek cut dekhtay hain, aur un ashtafaa ko do cut dekhte hain. "Main future meetings mein federal funds rate ke target range ko barhane ke liye tayyar rehti hun agar inflation ruk jaye ya palat jaye," Bowman ne izafah kiya.

Apni taraf se, Federal Reserve ke President Lisa De Kock ne cut ko qubool karne ke liye zyada raghib nazar aayi, kehte hue: "Inflation mein mazeed izafa aur kaam ke bazat-e-khalal gradual slow honay ke sath, policy restrictions ke level ko kam karne ke liye kisi bhi waqt munasib ho sakta hai takay economy mein sehat mand balance ko barqarar rakha ja sakay." Unhon ne ye bhi izafah kiya ke is tarah ke kisi adjustment ka waqt economic data ke baray mein kaisa hota hai aur ye economic expectations aur risk balance ke liye kya matlab rakhta hai, is par munhasir hoga. Market ab bhi November ko cut ke liye sab se zyada mumkin maqam samajhti hai, haan ke September mein 70% chances hain ke cut ho sakta hai.

Sterling Dollar forecast aaj:

Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, British pound ke qeemat US dollar ke khilaf, GBP/USD, ab bhi bearish hai, aur 1.2600 support ko toornay se trend par bears ka qabza mazboot ho jaye ga. Agla psychological support 1.2445 hoga, jo technical indicators ko strong overbought levels ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo ke ek ahem buying area hai. Dusri taraf, is samay ke doraan, current bearish channel bina resistance 1.2775 ke taraf barhnay ke bina tootay ga nahi. Aaj, GBP/USD pair ko US GDP growth reading, haftay ke jobless claims ki tadad aur durable goods orders ke ilaanat asar andaz ho sakti hain.

ANALYSIS of GBP/USD:

GBP/USD ke pair ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke trend direction bullish se bearish mein badal gaya hai. Price pattern ka structure bhi badal gaya hai: minimum ke neeche – maximum ke neeche. 1.2687 ke kam prices par invalidity level ko safalta purvak paar kiya gaya hai, jisse structure ka breakout hua hai. Iske alawa, price 50 EMA aur 20 SMA ke neeche movement kar raha hai, jinki intersection se ek death cross signal mil raha hai. Price Pivot Point (PP) 1.2667 ke neeche hai aur support (S1) 1.2594 ko test karne ke liye neeche jaane ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar downward rally support (S1) 1.2594 ko galat tareeke se tode ya reject kare, to price ko upper correction karne ka bhi possibility hai.

Lekin, support (S1) 1.2594 tak pahunchne se pehle sudden price reversal se bhi savdhan rahna chahiye. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke volume histogram mein bearish divergence signal dikha raha hai, jo downtrend momentum ko darshata hai. Iske alawa, volume histogram mein teen waves hain jo price volume ke decline ke saath match nahi karte hain. Stochastic indicator ke setting mein jo oversold zone (20-10) mein ja raha hai, wo indicate karta hai ke downward rally oversold point tak pahunch sakta hai. Isse confirmation ke baad price mein upward correction ho sakta hai.

Position entry setting:

Bearish trend direction ke saath trading options mein downward price growth ke zyada chances hote hain. Isliye sell position enter karne ke liye price ka wait kar sakte hain jab tak wo Pivot Point (PP) 1.2667 ke aas paas dobara correct ho jaye, jo EMA 50 ke saath milta hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameter ka confirm karein ki wo 50 level ko cross kar raha hai aur AO indicator histogram 0 level ke neeche hai ya negative area mein previous se bada volume hai. Take profit support level (S1) 1.2594 par rakha ja sakta hai, aur stop loss resistance level (R1) 1.2712 par lagaya ja sakta hai, jo lagbhag SMA 200 ke barabar hai.

GBP/USD 1.2650 par aa gaya. Fed aur BoE ke darmiyan policy differences UK election se pehle kaafi tense hain, jis se yeh pair vulnerable lag raha hai, bawajood positive expectations ke. Jab British calendar khatam ho raha hai, toh focus American news par shift ho gaya hai. 4-hour chart ka momentum indicator 50 se neeche hai, jo buyers ke interest ki kami ko indicate kar raha hai. Dusri taraf, 100 aur 50-day moving averages 1.2640 par strong support offer kar rahe hain. Yeh level 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the last uptrend se bhi supported hai. Agar GBP/USD is level ke neeche break karta hai aur isse resistance ke tor par use karta hai, toh agle targets 1.2600 (psychological level, stable level) aur 1.2580 (Fibonacci 50% retracement) ho sakte hain. 1.2700 (200-SMA times on 4-hour chart) immediate resistance ke tor par start hota hai before 1.2730 (100-SMA-100, Fibonacci 23.6% retracement) aur 1.2800 (psychological level, stable level). Magar Tuesday ko isse clear karne mein fail raha. Yeh pair Wednesday ko slight pressure mein raha aur ek broader rise dekhi ja sakti hai agar 1.2640 support broken ho jata hai.
Market caution due to lack of early news ne US dollar ko apne rivals ke muqable mein resilient banaye rakha. Iske ilawa, dovish statements from Central Bank officials ne bhi USD ko support kiya. Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bauman ne Tuesday ko kaha ke wo abhi interest rates cut karne ke liye ready nahi hain, aur unhone yeh bhi add kiya ke wo interest rate increases ko limit karengi agar inflation stable ya volatile hota hai. United States mein traded shares ki tadad kaafi zyada hai. Jabke early comments on Wall Street USD gains ko limit kar sakte hain aur GBP/USD ko ek solid footing mil sakti hai, yeh pair strength gather karne mein struggle kar sakta hai jab investors large positions lete hain. Pehla of these is to look forward to next week's British elections. United States ke economic data mein sirf May ke new home sales include hain. Agar yeh figures dobara sharp decline dikhate hain, following the 4.7% decline in April, yeh indicate kar sakte hain ke Fed ki restrictive policies ka housing market par negative impact ho raha hai aur yeh USD ko damage kar sakta hai
Iss tarah, baad mein hum market developments ko dekhne mein freer aur flexible honge. Iss week ke bearish movement ka continuation shayad agle mahine ke shuruat mein downward trend ke liye momentum provide kar sakta hai, shayad zyada fundamentals isse support karenge. General tor par, mere khayal mein, agle kuch dino ke liye, Sell trading option ko consider kiya ja sakta hai. Agla market opportunity bearish trend ko continue karne ka chance rakhta hai. Ek acchi signal ko confirm karne ke liye humein wait karna hoga jab sellers price ko 1.2621 ki taraf push karte hain. Is beech, agla decline ka target yeh ho sakta hai ke candlestick 1.2601 price area ke neeche gir sakta hai.

Aaj Ka Taza HaalGBP/USD currency pair abhi ek neeche jaane wale channel mein trade kar rahi hai, hourly chart ke mutabiq. Aaj subah se hi price girawat ki taraf chal padi hai, jisne yeh anticipate kiya hai ke yeh downward movement aage bhi jaari rahegi. Iss halat mein, traders lower boundary ko target kar rahe hain taake price ke aur bhi neeche jaane ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Subah ke price action ne yeh reinforce kiya ke selling pressure abhi bhi mazboot hai.
Yeh aik trading chart hai jo kay foreign exchange market mein currency ki price action ko dikhata hai. Is chart mein price levels aur trends nazar aa rahe hain jo traders ke liye analysis ka zaroori hissa hain. Chart par vertical aur horizontal lines bani hui hain jo time aur price levels ko represent karti hain.
Is chart par jo sab se pehle cheez dekhne ko milti hai woh hai aik significant price drop. Pehle price relatively stable thi, lekin phir aik sharp decline dekha ja sakta hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke market mein koi significant event hua hoga jiski wajah se yeh price movement hui. Aik high peak bhi nazar aata hai jo ke sharp drop se pehle tha, yeh show karta hai ke kuch traders ne shayad profit taking ki ho ya phir koi economic news ki wajah se yeh spike aaya ho.
Chart ke bottom mein price recovery ka aik attempt nazar aata hai. Lekin yeh recovery sustainable nahi lagti kyun ke price phir se niche gir gayi. Yeh suggest karta hai ke market mein abhi bhi bearish sentiment zyada hai. Yani traders ka confidence abhi bhi weak hai aur selling pressure zyada hai.
Agar hum thoda aur detail mein dekhein to yeh chart kisi short to medium term trading ka lagta hai. Ismein different levels par resistance aur support levels clearly identify kiye ja sakte hain. Jo horizontal lines draw ki gayi hain woh different price points ko show karti hain jahan par price ne kuch time ke liye stability dikhayi.
Is chart ko dekh kar yeh bhi kaha ja sakta hai ke trading ke doran bohot saari volatility thi. Aise charts usually active trading periods mein dekhe jaate hain jahan par market news ya events ki wajah se price movements significant hote hain.
Traders ke liye yeh chart aik valuable tool hai. Iske zariye woh apni trading strategies ko adjust kar sakte hain. Jaisay ke agar kisi ne support level identify kiya hai to woh us level par buy positions open kar sakte hain aur resistance level par sell positions. Yani is chart ko dekh kar, traders market ke trend aur price action ko samajh kar apni trading decisions ko plan karte hain.
Akhir mein, yeh chart foreign exchange market ki aik realistic picture dikhata hai jahan par price movements, trends aur market sentiment ko observe karke traders profit kamaane ki koshish karte hain.

GBP/USD ke upar janay ke asar ziyada hain. Yeh demand area ek important support zone hai, aur is ka barqarar rehna bullish outlook ko sustain karnay ke liye zaroori hai. Agar yeh area breach ho gaya, to further rises ke chances kam ho jate hain, aur deeper decline ho sakta hai. Recent mein support area mein morning star candle pattern nazar aaya hai, jo ke market reversal ka strong indication deta hai. Yeh bullish reversal pattern teen candles pe mushtamil hota hai: pehle ek long bearish candle, phir ek small-bodied candle (jo bullish ya bearish dono ho sakti hai), aur aakhir mein ek long bullish candle. Morning star pattern suggest karta hai ke selling pressure kam ho gaya hai aur buying interest barh raha hai.
Is chart par jo sab se pehle cheez dekhne ko milti hai woh hai aik significant price drop. Pehle price relatively stable thi, lekin phir aik sharp decline dekha ja sakta hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke market mein koi significant event hua hoga jiski wajah se yeh price movement hui. Aik high peak bhi nazar aata hai jo ke sharp drop se pehle tha, yeh show karta hai ke kuch traders ne shayad profit taking ki ho ya phir koi economic news ki wajah se yeh spike aaya ho.
Chart ke bottom mein price recovery ka aik attempt nazar aata hai. Lekin yeh recovery sustainable nahi lagti kyun ke price phir se niche gir gayi. Yeh suggest karta hai ke market mein abhi bhi bearish sentiment zyada hai. Yani traders ka confidence abhi bhi weak hai aur selling pressure zyada hai.
Agar hum thoda aur detail mein dekhein to yeh chart kisi short to medium term trading ka lagta hai. Ismein different levels par resistance aur support levels clearly identify kiye ja sakte hain. Jo horizontal lines draw ki gayi hain woh different price points ko show karti hain jahan par price ne kuch time ke liye stability dikhayi.
Is chart ko dekh kar yeh bhi kaha ja sakta hai ke trading ke doran bohot saari volatility thi. Aise charts usually active trading periods mein dekhe jaate hain jahan par market news ya events ki wajah se price movements significant hote hain.
Traders ke liye yeh chart aik valuable tool hai. Iske zariye woh apni trading strategies ko adjust kar sakte hain. Jaisay ke agar kisi ne support level identify kiya hai to woh us level par buy positions open kar sakte hain aur resistance level par sell positions. Yani is chart ko dekh kar, traders market ke trend aur price action ko samajh kar apni trading decisions ko plan karte hain.
Akhir mein, yeh chart foreign exchange market ki aik realistic picture dikhata hai jahan par price movements, trends aur market sentiment ko observe karke traders profit kamaane ki koshish karte hain.

### GBP/USD: Ek Model Ke Advantages aur Disadvantages
GBP/USD currency pair mein recent buying activity ne range ko new strength di hai, especially upper end par. Yeh consumer prices mein rise ek reversal ka signal ho sakta hai, jo pehla decline ya ek significant decline ho sakta hai. Buying power ke bawajood, jab pair rise hua to clear resistance dekhi gayi aur early sellers ne move ko block kar diya. Agar rally continue karni hai, toh selling pressure ko ease karna hoga aur sterling ko upar jane dena hoga.

### Long-Term Buying Pattern

Encouragingly, kuch long-term buying pattern ke signs nazar aa rahe hain, evidenced by the high temperature on the 1-hour chart. Yeh suggest karta hai ke market shayad bear market mein hai with price volatility in this range. Trading range for GBP/USD is defined by the 1.2440 aur 1.2590 levels, jo short-term direction determine karne mein important hain. Weekend par li gayi short positions inactive rahi hain kyunki market ne apna zyada momentum lose kar diya hai.

### Period of Indecision

Jab traders ko ek small profit opportunity milti hai, toh wo ek period of indecision face karte hain, waiting for that opportunity to diminish. Lekin, yeh fact ke price stable rahi throughout the day, exit positions lene ya losses cut karne ka decision ban gaya. Agar price 1.2440 par drop hoti hai, toh direction of divergence confirm hota hai. Positive GDP figures initially pound ko support kar rahi thi, lekin yeh growth slow ho gayi, shayad current sales increases ki wajah se. Absence of fundamental factors jo lower prices cause kar sakti hain yeh suggest karta hai ke selling pressure ko ease karna possible hai.

### Technical Indicators

Technical indicators kehte hain ke momentum continue ho raha hai, aur kuch direction ho sakti hai. Agar buyers wapas aate hain aur price ko downward line ke upar push karte hain, toh pehla obstacle resistance area hoga between April 1 aur March 2564. Is barrier ko break karna ek reversal lead kar sakta hai around 1.2632. Further tests ho sakte hain after addressing 1.2708 in April.

### Big Picture

Agar hum big picture dekhen, daily chart technical trends ko show karta hai. GBP/USD abhi bhi head-neck-shoulders (H&S) chart ke neeche hai, jo usually ek reversal signal karta hai. Yeh trend mid-April mein dekha gaya jab pound neck ko break karne ke baad fall hua. Additionally, 14-period RSI jo 40 aur 60 ke beech move kar raha hai decision-making signal karta hai among market participants aur short-term direction of the GBP/USD pair uncertain bana deta hai.

### Conclusion

Overall, GBP/USD ne recent sessions mein kaafi value lose ki hai due to its failure to react to the 50-day SMA. Isliye, pair ko March low ko connect karte hue lower line ke upar break karna hoga taake short-term chart improve ho sake. Is analysis ke zariye, traders ko GBP/USD pair ke dynamics ko samajhne mein madad milegi aur informed decisions lene mein help hogi.

Market conditions rapidly change ho sakti hain, aur traders ko vigilant rehna hoga taake timely aur profitable trades execute kar sakein. GBP/USD pair ka current scenario both challenges aur opportunities present karta hai, jo astute traders ke liye beneficial ho sakta hai.

USD pair ki nazr-e-aamad ke mutabiq, pound sterling ke qeemat mid-week trading mein US dollar ke khilaf aik teesra percent kam hui, jis ki wajah "tight" signals thin jo US Federal Reserve ke afraad ne jaari kiye thay. Is natijay mein, pound sterling ke qeemat ke nuqsanat US dollar ke khilaf, GBP/USD, 1.2612 level tak phel gaye, jo ke cheh hafte ki kamzori ki sabsay kam qeemat thi, phir likhnay ke waqt 1.2645 level par stabil ho gayi thi aur ahem American economic releases ke ilaan se pehle.
US dollar ke qeemat pehlay hi se euro-centric khatron se aagay hai jo France ke weekend ke elections se dominated ho sakta hai, jo European Central Bank ko aane waale dinon mein mazeed interest rates cut karne par majboor kar sakta hai. Analysts ke mutabiq, Canada aur Australia ke past 24 ghanton mein heran kun taizi se inflation rates ne global inflation ki dobara shuru hone ke khauf ko barhaya hai, jis ne bond yields ko buland kiya hai. Bohat se Fed afraad ne is baat par tanqeed ki hai ke is saal interest rates ko kam karne mein jaldi nahi kiya jaye ga, jo bond markets par dabao dala hai aur aakhir kar US dollar ko pasand kiya hai.

Is lehaz se, Brown Brothers Harriman ke mahir Dr. Win Thein ke mutabiq: "Fed afraad ab bhi sakht hain." Interest rate policy mein United States (lambi muddat ke liye buland interest rates), United Kingdom aur Eurozone ke darmiyan farq US dollar ko support deta hai.

Haal hi mein di gayi bayaniyon ke mutabiq, "Hum abhi tak us maqam par nahi pohanchay hain jahan interest rates ko kam karne ka munasib waqt ho," kehti hain Fed policymaker Michelle Bowman. "Mere economic outlook ke risks aur uncertainty ke baray mein, main monetary policy ke future changes ko tawajjo se gaur se sochnay mein surkhiyaan rakhun gi." Unhon ne bhi apni political position ka zikr kiya hai." Unhon ne bhi bataya hai ke un mein se kai afraad hain jo is saal kisi bhi cut ko nahi dekhtay, jo unhen interest rates ko be-harkat rehnay par yakeen hai. June 12 ko Fed ne jari kiye gaye forecasts ke mutabiq, unke saat colleagues ek cut dekhtay hain, aur un ashtafaa ko do cut dekhte hain. "Main future meetings mein federal funds rate ke target range ko barhane ke liye tayyar rehti hun agar inflation ruk jaye ya palat jaye," Bowman ne izafah kiya.

Apni taraf se, Federal Reserve ke President Lisa De Kock ne cut ko qubool karne ke liye zyada raghib nazar aayi, kehte hue: "Inflation mein mazeed izafa aur kaam ke bazat-e-khalal gradual slow honay ke sath, policy restrictions ke level ko kam karne ke liye kisi bhi waqt munasib ho sakta hai takay economy mein sehat mand balance ko barqarar rakha ja sakay." Unhon ne ye bhi izafah kiya ke is tarah ke kisi adjustment ka waqt economic data ke baray mein kaisa hota hai aur ye economic expectations aur risk balance ke liye kya matlab rakhta hai, is par munhasir hoga. Market ab bhi November ko cut ke liye sab se zyada mumkin maqam samajhti hai, haan ke September mein 70% chances hain ke cut ho sakta hai.

Sterling Dollar forecast aaj:

Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, British pound ke qeemat US dollar ke khilaf, GBP/USD, ab bhi bearish hai, aur 1.2600 support ko toornay se trend par bears ka qabza mazboot ho jaye ga. Agla psychological support 1.2445 hoga, jo technical indicators ko strong overbought levels ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo ke ek ahem buying area hai. Dusri taraf, is samay ke doraan, current bearish channel bina resistance 1.2775 ke taraf barhnay ke bina tootay ga nahi. Aaj, GBP/USD pair ko US GDP growth reading, haftay ke jobless claims ki tadad aur durable goods orders ke ilaanat asar andaz ho sakti hain.

GBPUSD
29.06.2024

Sab ko ek shaandar weekend ki mubarakbaad. Pound ne kal ke trading session ko uncertainty mein khatam kiya. Magar yeh asal mein acha hai ke isne apne maqasid ko weekend ke liye zahir nahi kiya. Waqt ka tajziya bohot ahem hai aur traders ko do din puri planning ke liye hai, isliye yeh mumkin hai ke yeh plans asal mein na ho. Isliye, hum dual situation ka samna kar rahe hain, aur naye haftay ke shuru mein zyada ummeed nahi rakhi jaani chahiye.

Chaliye, humne jo material padha hai uska tajziya karte hain. Main aapko yaad dilana chahta hoon ke H4 timeframe par humein ek sell signal mila hai. Jaisa ke pound neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, lekin yeh signal execute nahi ho paya hai. Signal level 1.27218 par mark kiya gaya hai, uske targets 1.25855 par hain. Agar koi upar ki taraf movement bhi hoti hai, yeh signal tab tak valid rahega jab tak uska risk level 1.28588 ko breach nahi kiya jata. Iske alawa, maine ek wedge pattern identify kiya hai, jo dikhata hai ke pound neeche ki movement ko dher kar diya hai aur apna slope badal liya hai, ek potential rise ki taraf ishara dete hue. Magar abhi is point par rise par trading karne ka koi base nahi hai kyunki upar ki structure mein koi break nahi hua hai aur H4 timeframe par koi buy signal nahi hai.

Humare paas hourly timeframe par ek buy signal hai. Magar yeh kisi concrete cheez se support nahi mil raha, sirf guesswork hai. Is signal ki potential ek brown bar se mark ki gayi hai, uske targets 1.26827 par hain. Taqreeban detailed examination karne par samne aya ke hourly timeframe signal ki potential kafi significant nahi hai. Yeh zyada ek false breakout lagta hai upper boundary of the wedge ke upar, aur price neeche ki taraf kaam karna jari rakhega H4 timeframe par. Jaisa ke pehle bataya gaya, H4 timeframe signal execute karne ke liye, main prefer karta hoon ke enter karna zyada faidey ke saath, ya toh level 1.27687 ya 1.27946 se. Pehla level 1:2 ka risk-to-reward ratio provide karega is bearish scenario mein, jabki doosra level 1:3 ka ratio dena chahiye. Pound aisa kar sakta hai bina sell plan ko H4 timeframe par invalidate kiye, bas ek deep northern retracement provide karke. Magar jab tak decline ka potential bana rahega aur stop-loss intact rahega, yeh bearish idea valid rahenge.

mein output lehaaz se, teen asli sectrons mein giravaten aai, jin mein khidmaton mein 0.2%, production mein 1.0%, aur tameer mein 1.3% giravat thi. Net trade, ghar ki istehqaq, aur bruto capital formation mein bhi giravat aai, jise hukoomati istehqaq ke izafa ne teil kiya.
Agar ek maaliya lehaaz se dekha jaye, to takneek muddat ka matlab hai ke maeeshat ki rukawat, jo ke tanazuai ahem asbaab mein se aik hai, waqe ho chuki hai. Aur agar tawanai ka khaza khatra wazeh tor par kam ho raha hai, to agle ijtima mein Bank of England ke dar ka khatra barh jata hai. UK ki tawanai dar February tak saal ke liye 3.4% tak gir gayi hai, jo ke january mein 4.0% se nichle. March data 17 April ko shaya hoga, is liye agle do hafton mein rate ke taqazon mein tabdeeliyon ka intizar karna jaldi hai.

Bank of England ko sirf ittehad ke tawanai mein rukawat dekhni hai taake wo qeemat darwaze ko khatam kar sake. Jab yeh hota hai, to ek akhri rukawat, rate cut ko khatam karne wali, ghaib ho jati hai.
Ghulam Daftarat aur GBP/USD ke lehaz se tajziya aur tajaweez

Aur bharne ki fikar ghair mojooda tha jab MACD line zero se intehai mazbooti se upar ko chali gayi.

UK ke imalat sektor ke leye behtareen PMI data ne khareedaron ko unke positions ko barhaane ki ijazat di, jis se GBP/USD mein aik halki sahih ki gayi. Ye aaj jaari reh sakta hai, agar bullish activity daily high ke ird gird barh jaye. Magar, khali macroeconomic calendar ke lehaz se, bekaar mein izafa karne ka koshish aik bade farokht mein tabdeel ho sakta hai.

Lambay positions ke leye:

Khareedain jab pound 1.2584 (chart par sabz line) tak pohanch jaye aur faida len 1.2615 ke qeemat par (chart par moti sabz line). Bharne ke leye, yaqeeni banaye ke MACD line zero ke upar hai ya sirf is se uthna shuru hua hai. Pound ko 1.2564 ke do mutawater qeemat tests ke baad bhi khareed sakte hain, lekin MACD line oversold area mein honi chahiye kyun ke sirf isi se market 1.2584 aur 1.2615 tak palat jaye gi.

Chhotay positions ke leye:

Bechaini wapas aaye gi agar daily low todne ki koshish hui. Becharte waqt, yaqeeni banaye ke MACD line zero ke neeche hai ya is se neeche ja rahi hai. Pound ko 1.2584 ke do mutawater qeemat tests ke baad bhi bech sakte hain, lekin MACD line overbought area mein honi chahiye kyun ke sirf isi se market 1.2564 aur 1.2530 tak palat jaye gi.

SD currency pair ne Tuesday ke early Asian trading session mein thayri hui halki giravat ka samna kiya aur yeh lagbhag 1.2730 level par trade ho raha tha. Yeh movement is wajah se ho rahi hai ke market participants UK ke labor market data ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo aaj baad mein jaari kiya jayega.
Traders ek wait-and-see approach adopt kar rahe hain aur saavdhaani se kadam utha rahe hain labor market figures ke announcement se pehle. Labor market report UK economy ke haalat ke baare mein mahatvapurn insights provide karega, khaaskar wage growth, berozgaari dar aur job creation ke hawale se. Yeh data points desh ki overall economic health ko measure karne mein madadgar hote hain aur Bank of England ke future monetary policy decisions ke liye bhi significant implications rakhte hain.

GBP/USD pair ki thayri hui nuqsanat prevailing uncertainty ke bais se hain. Investors labor market data ka assessment karne ke liye intezaar kar rahe hain takay woh central bank ke agle steps ke baare mein informed expectations bana sakein. Agar labor market report strong wage growth aur low unemployment dikhaaye toh, central bank ke further monetary tightening ke liye case strong ho sakta hai. Lekin agar report expectations se kam ho, toh cautious approach aana bhi mumkin hai, aur additional rate hikes ko delay kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD exchange rate dynamics ko broader market sentiments aur global economic developments bhi influence karte hain. Is waqt ke context mein, market participants ongoing economic recovery from COVID-19 pandemic, geopolitical tensions, aur commodity prices ke fluctuations ko closely monitor kar rahe hain. Yeh factors overall volatility aur currency pair ke directional bias mein contribute karte hain.

UK jobs report ke announcement se pehle, market participants dusre economic indicators aur events ko bhi observe kar rahe hain jo currency market ko influence kar sakte hain. Jaise ke agar major central banks, jaise ke US Federal Reserve, statements ya policy announcements karte hain, toh yeh GBP/USD pair par asar daal sakte hain. Additionally, global financial markets mein investors' risk appetite mein changes hone se bhi exchange rate par asar pad sakta hai.

Early Asian trading session aksar poora trading day ke tone ko set karta hai, jahan market activity European aur North American markets open hone par generally increase hoti hai. Is dauran traders overnight news ko digest karte hain aur upcoming economic releases ke liye tyaari karte hain. UK labor market data release ke intezaar mein, GBP/USD pair jab report jaari hoga toh heightened volatility experience kar sakta hai.

Mukhtasar mein, GBP/USD currency pair Tuesday ke early Asian session mein halki giravat ke saath lagbhag 1.2730 level par trade ho raha tha. Traders labor market report ke announcement ka intezaar karte hain jo UK ki economic condition ke significant insights provide karega. Yeh data wage growth, unemployment rates, aur overall job market health ke indicators ke liye closely scrutinized hoga, jo Bank of England ke future monetary policy decisions ko influence kar sakta hai. Broader market sentiments aur global economic factors bhi GBP/USD pair ke exchange rate dynamics ko shape karte hain.

band ho gaya, to qeemat ne palat kar strong bullish impulse se upar jaane ki taraf dabaav dala, jis se ek full bullish candle bani. Ye candle sirf mujhe neeche darj ki gayi resistance level, jo maine 1.25180 par mark ki thi, ke neeche bandhne ka maqsad rakhti thi, balkay pichle din ke range ke high ke ooper bhi bandh gayi. Mojooda manzar par ghor kiya jaaye to aaj hum next shumali nishana ki taraf aik harkat dekh sakte hain, jis ka target resistance level 1.25785 par mark hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, do manazir pesh aa sakte hain. Pehli priority scenario mein, aik reversal candle banne aur keemat ka dobara neeche jaane ka maqsad banna. Agar ye mansuba kaamyaab hota hai, to main support level 1.24487 par palatne ki talaash karunga. Agar keemat is support level ke neeche mushtamil hoti hai, to main mazeed dakhil karne ki umeed rakhoonga, jo keemat ko support level 1.22992 par le jaaye gi. Is support level ke qareeb, main aik trading setup ke shikar banunga, jo agle trading raah ko tay karnay mein madad karega. Beshak, keemat ko mazeed janoobi rukh mein dabaaya ja sakta hai, lekin main is waqt is option ko ghor nahi kar raha, kyun ke main is ki jald raftar ko dekhta nahi. Price ka doosra raasta resistance level 1.25785 ko test karne par ek plan hai jahan keemat is level ke ooper mushtamil hoti hai aur shumali rukh par jaari rehti hai. Agar ye plan safar hota hai, to main keemat ko mazeed agay barhte hue ummed rakhoonga, jis ka target resistance level 1.27094 ya resistance level 1.28032 par hoga. In resistance levels ke qareeb, main jari rahunga janoobi signals ki talash mein, neeche rukh ki dobara jaari hone ki umeed rakhta. Aam tor par, aaj ke din mujhe kisi khaas cheez ko mahir nahi nazar aati. Aam tor par, main global janoobi trend ki dobara jaari hone ki taraf munhasir hoon, is liye main nazdeeki resistance levels se bearish signals ki talash mein hoon. Jab Hama aur RSI indicators neela aur hara rang dikhaen, to yeh bullish dilchaspi aur yeh haqeeqat ke baare mein glat ka saboot hoga ke market mein kharidne wale hukoomat mein hain. Jaise he indicators rang badalte hain, hum market mein dakhil ho jate hain aur aik lamba position kholte hain. Position ka exit point magnetic levels indicator readings ke mawaafiq tay kiya jata hai. Mojooda waqt mein, signal execution ke liye sab se zyada wabastagi wale levels ye hain - 1.26554. Zaroori targets ko hasil karne ke baad, zaroori hai ke chart par keemat ka amal dekha jaye, aur agle kadam ka faisla kiya jaye - kya position ko market mein rakhna hai agle magnetic level tak, ya phir pehle hasil ki gayi munafa ko band karne ka faisla kiya jaye. Agar mazeed munafa barhane ki koshish ki jaye, to trailing stop ka istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Kisi bhi level ko zyada aam tor par dekho to dekho, toh agar woh ooper se resistance zone ko todena shuru karte hain, toh main samajhta hoon ke woh sirf