𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

Umeed hai ke investor confidence yeh dekhte hue barhe ga ke UK mein inflation ka dabaav maqsad ke qareeb aa jayega. Is se Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rate mein jald az jald kami ki umeedain bhi barhengi. June ke policy meeting mein BoE ka interest rate 5.25% par qaim rakhne ki tawaqo ki jati hai. Investors taqseem shuda vote aur interest rates ke raaste par kisi bhi naye ishaarat ko nazdeek se dekh rahe hain. BoE Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden ne policymaker Swati Dhingra ke sath mil kar interest rates ko 25 basis points (bps) kam karne ke liye vote kiya tha, jo ke boht recently hui policy meeting mein. Reuters ke mutabiq, investors abhi 57% imkaan rakhte hain ke August mein dobara BoE rate hold hoga.

Pound sterling BoE monetary policy meeting aur UK inflation data ke samne ehtiyat se trade kar raha hai, jis ke qareeb Friday ke low 1.2660 par hai. GBP/USD pair ko 1.2667 par 61.8% Fibonacci retracement support ke upar qaim rehna mushkil ho raha hai, jo March 8 ki high 1.2900 se April 22 ki low 1.2300 tak chart kiya gaya hai. 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), jo ab 1.2670 par trade ho rahi hai, cable ke qareeb aa chuki hai, jis se short-term picture thora sa be-aasoodah nazar aata hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00–60.00 range mein wapas aa gaya hai, jo ke upward trend mein thamao ki slow hone ki alamat hai. GBP/USD ke daam 1.2700 dollar ke level ke neeche band ho gaye hain, jo ke aaj ke bearish trend ko dobara barhane ke liye ek manfi tahrik ki tawaqo par hai, jahan 1.2580 dollar agla maqsad hai. Agar daam 1.2700 ke upar nikal jaye aur daily bandish ke sath is ke upar reh jaye, to manfi manazir aane ke kuch agle sessions tak tajziyaat ke liye qaim rahega.

Support: 1.2600$ ke liye

Resistance: 1.2750$

GBP/USD

Jaise aam tor par intehai muntazir tha, kal GBPUSD pair ka rate poora din ek tang price range mein uchhla, aur aaj, raat bhar 1.2802 par resistance aur channel ke upper boundary ka imtehaan lenay ke baad, yeh 1.2786 ke level aur channel ke lower boundary ke neeche laut gaya. Ab southern correction shuru ho chuki hai aur iske baad, ab bulls ek rally ka aghaz kar sakte hain. Agar 1.2810 range ko tor kar is ke upar mazbooti se muqarrar ho jaye, to ye kharidne ka signal hoga. Mashwara hai ke hum 1.2810 range ko tor saken aur agar is ke upar mazbooti se muqarrar ho jaye, to ye kharidne ka signal hoga. 1.2755 range ko tor kar aur is ke neeche mazbooti se muqarrar ho jana girne ka signal hoga. Ek choti si correction ke taur par south ki taraf 1.2700 range tak ho chuki hai aur is ke baad, umeed hai ke izafa hoga. Bilkul mumkin hai ke aaj hum 1.2816 range ko tor saken aur is ke upar mazbooti se muqarrar ho jaye, ye rate ko barhne ka signal hoga. Urooj ke liye maqsad 1.2900 par hoga,


GBP/USD
jahan hum Mukhtalif shumaraon ke mutabiq, agar naqdi dar mein mazeed izafa hota rahe, to ye kharidne ka signal hoga. Ye mumkin hai ke hum 1.2800 range ko tor kar aur us par mazbooti se muqarrar ho jana ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo kharidne ka signal hoga. 1.2755 mein kharidne ke liye tayar hain. 1.2815. Asal mein, khareedaron ke doraan bullish trend abhi bhi jari hai lekin ek halki rukawat ka samna kar raha hai mahaz side mein ahtiyaat ke faize ke silsile ke baad. Lagta hai ke naye market ke taur par rat ke American session mein ghumao phirao hoga, khaaskar American NFP data ke mutaliq buland asar wali khabron ke natayej ka intezar hai. Agar aap khareedne walon ke koshishon par tawajjo dete hain ke bullish trend ko jari rakhne ki koshish ki jati hai, to lagta hai ke unka kafi achha buniyadi nez, aur mazeed bearish correction ke liye tawajjo ki zarurat hai, khaaskar is ke neeche darkhwast ilaqa ko test karne ki zarurat hai jo taqreeban 1.2729 ke aas paas hai. Chhotay doraan mein ye dilchaspi paida karne ke liye phir se farokht ka mauqa dhoondhna dilchaspi paida kar raha hai aur demand ilaqa mein bearish inkar sharaait ka intezar kiya ja sakta hai jis se bullish trend ka aage izafa ho sake.
Dakhil plan ke baray mein, lagta hai ke aap pehle ek farokht position mein dakhil ho sakte hain ek zyada mehdood target ke saath. Is waqt dakhil hone ka ilaqa jo madakhil mein liya ja sakta hai woh hai 1.2780-1.2800 range mein. Is price level range ke liye neechay ka maqsad tp1 tak pohanchne ka mansooba level 1.2750 aur tp2 tak pohanchne ka mansooba 1.2730 hai. Ye farokht plan is hafte ke uncha elaka ke nuqta e nazar ke upar nuksan ka khatra rakh sakta hai jo ke 1.2815 ke aas paas hai. Kharidne ke plans ko tawajjo mein rakha ja sakta hai ek pending Buy ke sath

Technical analysis of the GBPUSD pair

1-hour chart

Pichle do trading dinon ke liye trend neechay ka raha hai, is liye aaj ke din trading neechay trend ke price channels ke andar shuru ki gayi hai.

Abhi tak qeemat aik samtal raftar mein chal rahi hai, aur humein aik red channel line ke saath price bottom hai, is liye qeemat ke imkaan hai ke woh buland ho kar upar ki taraf jaane aur blue channel ko torhne ki koshish kare.

Aaj ke sab se ahem trading levels un waqt honge jab qeemat blue channel ko upar torhe, jahan haftawar ke pivot level tak khareedne ke mumkinat ho sakti hain.

Dusra level khareedne ka tab samjha jayega jab qeemat mahinay ke pivot level ke upar aik trading ghante ke liye mustaqil ho jaye.

Aaj bechne ka mauqa tab milega jab pichle Jumeraat ko trading ke sab se kam qeemat ko torha jaye.

Mali hawale se is hafte, forex markets mein British pound ki performance par sab tawajjo Bank of England ki announcement par hogi.

NatWest ke mutabiq; "Bank of England ne sirf 40 basis points ki keemat rakhi hai 2024 ke akhir tak versus NatWest economists ke 75 basis points ke nazariye ke mutabiq, jis se sterling euro ke khilaf ane wale maheenon mein girne ki jagah hai."

Aam chunav ke hawale se, raay taqat ke liye mazeed girao mein izafa ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, jahan Labor ko bara majority milne ki ummid hai.

HSBC Bank ne bhi apne hawale se tajziya diya; "Kuch log yeh samajhte hain ke chunav sterling ke liye faida mand hoga. Labor ki jeet taza opinion polls ke mutabiq sab se zyada mumkin hai, jis se Britain aur EU ke darmiyan garam taluqat ki mumkinat aur mazboot maali taqwiyat ke asarat honge, jis se sterling ke liye manzar behtar ho sakta hai."

GBP/USD

US dollar ne apni taqat ka muzahira kiya jab ek stronger-than-expected US jobs report ayi, jiski wajah se British pound par pressure aya. GBP/USD currency pair 1.2722 par dip hui, jo likhne ke waqt 0.53% ki decline thi. Yeh weakness is wajah se aayi kyunki pair ek key resistance level ko overcome karne mein nakam rahi, shayad dollar ki sudden strength ki wajah se. Technically, GBP/USD ka outlook thoda sellers ke favor mein shift ho gaya hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo ek momentum indicator hai, 64 se 54.26 par aa gaya, jo bearish territory ke qareeb hai.

Is recent pullback ke bawajood, yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke 2024 mein pound ka overall resilience kaafi strong raha hai. GBP/USD pair ne apne yearly low 1.2298 se steady recovery ki hai, aur 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ko bhi surpass kar liya. Yeh bullish momentum ne is hafte ke start mein two-month high bhi touch kiya, lekin profit-taking aur dollar ki strength ne ek correction cause ki.




GBP/USD

Agle dino mein, bulls December 2023 ke high 1.2826 par potential attack ko dekh rahe hain. Agar yeh level decisively break hota hai, toh yeh 2024 peak 1.2892 ka test karne ka raasta khol sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar pair ne ground lose kiya, toh pehla defense line shayad 1.2669 par hoga. Aur agar decline hota hai, toh pair 1.2598 tak aa sakta hai, jo January aur March mein firm support raha hai. Agar yeh level crumble hota hai, toh February low 1.2517 next ho sakta hai.

Yeh bhi worth noting hai ke GBP/USD pair ne recently key support levels ko dip kiya hai: 1.2680 (May 30th low) aur 1.2674 (May 24th session low). Lekin, agar pair 1.2740 zone ko recapture karne mein successful hota hai, toh yeh 1.2750 aur 1.2800 ke beech trading range mein wapas aa sakta hai. Aane wale din crucial honge yeh determine karne ke liye ke pound apni footing regain kar sakta hai ya dollar apni dominance continue karega.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD Forex Mein Hamari Guftagu Abhi Ke Halat par Mubariz hai. Mujhe umeet thi ke data ke nateejo par tezi ka ehsaas hoga lekin volatility ki kami hogi. Phir bhi in teziyon ne bechne ke nayi jagahain nikaali hain. Ab pata chala hai ke qeematen kis tarah se wapas aayengi is qisam ke qishti teziyon ke baad. Is liye main dheere dheere pound ko bech raha hoon. GBP/USD pair ne 1.2847, phir 1.2877 aur 1.2908 tak pahunch kar gira. Jaise woh phir gira, waise hi qeematen wapas gir bhi sakti hain. Wapas aane ki jagahain woh pehle giraen hue manzilein 1.2816 aur 1.2786 hain. Magar abhi jo ooncha uttar momentum hai, woh muqaddar mein akhri zabaan ho sakta hai bikhao ke liye, jis se trend mein tabdeeli hogi. Ham intezaar karte hain ke taayyari khatam ho, aindiati oonchay manzilein nazar aayen, phir giraavat ho.
Kal GBP/USD pair ki harakatein 1.2732 se kam aur 1.2859 se ziada rahi hain. Qeemat daily pivot point ke aird-gird chali rahi hai, jo ke 1.2795 hai. 4 ghantay ke waqt ke frame mein stochastic indicator zyada ho raha hai. Qeemat abhi bhi MA 50 se oonchi hai. Is liye mumkin hai ke qeemat pehle MA 50 ke kareeb tak gire, jo ke qeemat 1.2761 ke aas-paas hai, aur phir dobara oonchayi karay. Is liye mujhe lagta hai ke becho ki chunauti acha soch samajh kar istemal ki ja sakti hai. Intizaar karein ke qeemat MA 50 ko touch karein ya jab qeemat 1.2765 se 1.2760 ke andar pahunchay, aur us waqt buy option istemal karein, stop loss ko 1.2740 se 1.2725 ke andar rakhein (support 1 ke neeche) aur take profit ko 1.2825 se 1.2850 ke andar rakhein (resistance 1 ke neeche).
Is tarah, yahan tak hamara maamla hai ke trends ka muddat khatam hone ke baad phir se bechne ki soch samajh kar jagah tayar ho sakti hai.




GBP/USD

Technically, GBP/USD ka 1.2800 se upar na ja sakna aur uske baad girawat ne GBP ke kharidar ko hoshiyaar bana diya hai, khaaskar UK ke general election 4th July ke qareebi hone par. Tajziya kar rahe hain ke agar koi bara baichnay ka amal hota hai tabhi April ke niche se halhi recent GBP rally ko khatam manayenge. GBP/USD ke liye support 1.2755-1.2750 ke area mein expected hai. Is level ke neeche girawat is joore ko 1.2715-1.2710 area tak le ja sakti hai aur mumkin hai ke 1.2690-1.2685 zone tak pohanch jaye. 100-day simple moving average (SMA) jo ke 1.2640-1.2635 ke qareeb hai, iske neeche kisi bara break hone se bearish trend ka ishara hoga aur mazeed nuksan ka darwaza khol sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar GBP ke kharidar dobara qaboo hasil kar lein, to yeh joora 1.2820 par mukabla karega aur mumkin hai ke naye six-month high 1.2892 tak pohanch jaye. Is level se upar jaane se GBP ka outlook behtar hoga aur 1.3000 ke psychologically important level tak pohanchne ke chances barh jayege. Khulasa yeh ke, jab ke GBP/USD ne halhi mein ek noteworthy rally dekhi hai, kuch challenges abhi bhi hain jo ke long-term uptrend ko tasdeeq se pehle door karne hain. Aanewale UK election aur USD ki direction jo ke Fed policy par mabni hogi, yeh GBP/USD ke trajectory ko aanewale hafta mein farq daalne wale ahem factors honge.

GBP/USD:

GBP/USD ke H4 chart ko dekhte hue, hum dekh sakte hain ke keemat 1.2763-1.2815 manasik resistance ke qareeb aur ooper qaaim ho rahi hai. Is qaaimi se bullish trend ki taqat ko tasdeeq mil rahi hai. Yen ki mazid kamzori bhi GBP/USD ke urooj hone aur haal ki bulandiyon 1.2737, 1.2749, aur 1.2754 ke qareeb aane ke imkaanat barha sakti hai. Iss bullish trend ke bawajood, main ab bhi prefer karta hoon ke kisi bhi bullish level par GBP/USD ko bechna. Main samajhta hoon ke is doran mukhtalif trend ko torne ke liye 1.2740-1.2753 support level ki taraf chalna zaroori hai. Ye qadam ek mumkinah urooj ya kam az kam mojooda bullish trend mein durusti la sakti hai.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD ke keemat ka 1.2763-1.2815 resistance level ke qareeb qaaim hona yeh dikhata hai ke is ilaqe mein mazid kharidari ki dilchaspi hai. Magar, yeh bhi darust karta hai ke yeh level qatai tor par tora jaa sakta hai. Agar keemat is range ke ooper reh sakti hai, toh yeh shayad mojooda bullish trend ko taawun dena jaari rakhegi. Traders ko is level ko tawajju se dekhte rehna chahiye, kyun ke yeh mustaqbil ki qeemat ke harekaton ke liye ahem signals faraham kar sakta hai. Yen ki kamzori ek aur factor hai jo ghor kiya jana chahiye. Jab yen kamzor hota hai, toh ye USD ko digar currencies ke muqable mein mazboot banata hai, shamil hai GBP. Ye taluq mojooda bullish trend ko mazeed taawun de sakta hai. Magar, yen ki taqat mein kisi tabdeeli ko ghor se dekhna ahem hai, kyun ke achanak mukhalifat GBP/USD par mutasir ho sakti hai.
Kal ki GBP/USD ki giraawat ne upward wave formation ke liye aakhri chord ki tarah kaam kiya ek single zigzag daily time frame par - mere pehle wave marking ka aakhri uncha wave, "C," jaise ki ek diagonal tha, woh sahi tha. Aakhri zigzag, jo H4 par 5th choti wave ko darust karta hai, mujhe uska sub-wave "c" ka banne ka intezar tha. H1 time frame ki qareebi tafteesh ke mutabiq, aakhri zigzag zahir hai ke sub-wave "c" mein tha. Yeh saabit karta hai ke senior zigzag ke wave "C" ka andaruni structure mukammal tha. MACD indicator ke saath ikhata hua bearish divergence kal zahir hone laga.
Yeh tajziya GBP/USD pair ke ongoing transition ko ujagar karta hai aur technical patterns aur Fibonacci levels ke aadhar par potential future movements ke liye ek saaf roadmap faraham karta hai. In levels aur patterns ko nigaah mein rakhte hue bazaar ka rawayya pehchanna aur informed trading decisions lena ahe

### GBPUSD Pair# Ki Technical Analysis

1-hour Chart


Pichlay do trading dinon ke doran, trend neechay tha, aur isi wajah se aaj trading ne downward trend ke price channels ke andar kholi gayi hai. Ab tak, price sideways direction mein move hui hai, aur humare paas red channel line ke saath ek price bottom hai, is liye price ka upar jaane aur blue channel ko upward break karne ki koshish karna mumkin hai.

Aaj ke liye sab se important trading levels tab honge jab price blue channel ko upwards break karegi, jahan buy karna possible hoga weekly pivot level tak. Ye bhi ek doosra level hoga buy karne ke liye agar price aik trading hour ke liye monthly pivot level ke upar stable rehti hai.

Aaj sell karne ka mauqa tab hoga jab pichle Friday ka lowest trading price break hota hai.

Is hafte ke economic side par, saari tawajju British pound ke Forex markets mein performance par hogi Bank of England ke announcement ke doran. NatWest ke mutabiq, "Bank of England ne sirf 40 basis points price kiye hain 2024 ke end tak, jabke NatWest economists ka view 75 basis points ka hai, is liye sterling ke euro ke muqablay mein girne ki guzarish abhi bhi mojood hai aane walay mahinon mein."

Election ke hawale se, opinion polls ne Conservative Party ke support mein mazeed kami ka ishara diya hai, aur Labor party se ummed hai ke wo bohat bara majority hasil karegi. HSBC Bank ne apne hesaab se kaha: "Kuch logon ko lag sakta hai ke election sterling ke liye positive hoga. Aik Labor jeet sab se zyada mumkin natija hai aakhri opinion polls ke mutabiq, jo Britain aur EU ke darmiyan behtar taluqat aur mazboot fiscal impetus ka imkaan darshaata hai, is tarah se sterling ke outlook ko improve kar sakta hai."

Asalam-o-Alaikum, Aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ki price behavior ki gehraiyo se guftagu karenge, jis mein haalat-e-bazari ka jaiza lenge aur traders ke liye strategic insights bhi pesh karenge. Aaj ke moqa par, GBP/USD pair muflis territory mein hai aur aham level 1.2759 ke neeche trade kar raha hai. May ke mazboot labor market data ke asar se dollar ki taqat ne pair par neechayi dabao daala hai, jab hafta ikhtitam par aa raha hai.

Mehsoos hota hai ke ascending regression channel ka midpoint aham resistance level 1.2799 ke saath milta hai. Agar pair is point ko paar kar ke isay support zone mein badal deta hai, to technical buyers ko attract kar sakta hai. Is surat-e-haal mein, agle rukawaton ke darwazay 1.2849 par, phir aham rukawat 1.2899 par hongi. Lekin pichle haftay ki muntazir bharti asar nahi hui, jis se trading strategies ko mustaqbil ke giravat ke mutabiq dobara tashkeel dena zaroori hai.

Statistics ke mutabiq, GBP/USD market mein bullish mawaqif nahi hai. Lekin aane wale hafton mein do aham events honge jo market dynamics ko badalne ka sabab ban sakte hain.

Currency market bohat unpredictable hai, jahan chhotay se tabdeeliyan bhi ghair mutawaqah reaction paida kar sakti hain. Is beqarari ke darmiyan, Federal Reserve ke qareeb ane wale faislay par tawajjo aati hai, jis se traders ko conference ke sath liye jane wale muzakraat ko bhi nazar andaz nahi karna chahiye. Market ki lambi mazahmat bhi ek potential downward trajectory mein mukammal ho sakti hai, lekin ek doosra manzar bhi mumkin hai.

Bearish threshold 1.2661 ko taur par takseem karna aur ek downward trend ko shuru karna lazim nahi hai. Agar support level umeedwar momentum ke khilaf qawi sabit hota hai, to 1.2765 resistance level ki ahmiyat mein izafa hota hai, jo ek possible trend reversal ki isharaat dete hain. 1.2765 ke ibtedai hurdle ko paar karna bullish narrative ke liye aham hai, jo ek upward trajectory ke liye ek jazba ka zaraiya ban sakta hai. Ascent ke doran potential corrective movements ke liye tayyar rehna zaroori hai.

1.2661 level ko currency pair ke downward momentum ko rokne ke liye khayal rakhna zaroori hai, kyun ke bearish sentiment ka dobara se ubhar sakta hai aur maujooda market dynamics ko jari rakh sakta hai. In complexities ke samundar mein safar karte hue, 1.2661 level se upward movements par tawajjo dena munasib hai, jis mein adaptability aur sahi risk management ka ehem kirdar hota hai trading outcomes ko optimize karne mein.

Agar kisi aur tafseeli analysis ya masla ki tashkhees ki zaroorat ho, tou barah-e-karam mujh se zaroor rabta karein.

Aaj ke GBP/USD currency pair ke movement mein abhi bhi bullishness ka potential hai, jo traders ko buying ke liye favorable opportunities provide karta hai. Yeh positive outlook technical indicators, market sentiment, aur economic fundamentals ke blend se nikalta hai, jo upward trend ki likelihood ko suggest karta hai. **Technical Analysis:** Recent price action consolidation dikhati hai crucial support levels ke qareeb, jo aksar bullish breakout se pehle hoti hai. Trading around significant support 1.2700 pe suggest karta hai ek robust foundation for upward movements historically. Further bullish divergences in relative strength index (RSI) aur moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicators hint karte hain waning downward momentum aur potential buyer control pe. 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ka insight bhi bullish trend potential dikhata hai. Ek potential bullish signal tab emerge hoga jab shorter-term moving average longer-term moving average ke upar cross karega, jo "golden cross" kehlata hai. Abhi, price in moving averages ke qareeb hai, jo koi bullish crossover ke monitoring ka case strengthen kar sakti hai.
**Market Sentiment:** Positive economic data from the UK, jaise robust GDP growth, increased consumer spending, aur resilient job market, bullish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. Aise strong domestic fundamentals typically currency appreciation lead karte hain, favoring the GBP/USD pair. Bank of England ki central bank policies, especially agar hawkish stance adopt karein jo inflation control par emphasize karta hai through tighter monetary policy, GBP ko aur bolster kar sakti hai, supporting a bullish movement in GBP/USD. ada karte hain. Maslan, Eurozone mein ma'eeshati developments indirectly GBP/USD pair ko asar andaz kar sakte hain global economies ke interconnected hone ki wajah se. Haal hi mein euro ki qeemat mein kami, jo ke Eurozone mein slow ma'eeshati growth aur European Central Bank (ECB) aur doosray central banks ke darmiyan mukhtalif monetary policies ki wajah se aayi hai, ne GBP/USD ke maqool giravat ko madde nazar rakha hai. Jab euro kamzor hota hai, to US dollar ki relative taqat barh jati hai, jis se GBP/USD exchange rate par niche ki pressure dalta hai.

Is ke ilawa, siyasi waqiyat aur trade relations currency markets ko bhi asar andaz karte hain. Maslan, Brexit negotiations, major economies ke darmiyan trade tensions, aur global political uncertainties GBP/USD pair mein fluctuations ka sabab bante hain. Maslan, koi bhi negative news Brexit ke mutalliq pound ki qeemat ko kami kar sakti hai jabke investors economic disruptions ke potential se wabasta hote hain.

Market sentiment aur investor behavior bhi GBP/USD exchange rate par asar dalta hai. Jab uncertainty ya risk se bachne ki zyada zarurat hoti hai, to investors aam tor par US dollar jaise safe-haven assets ki taraf rahe hote hain, jo ke uski qeemat ko buland karta hai. Bar'aks, optimism aur risk-taking ke doran, zyada yielding currencies jaise ke British pound zyada invest kiye jate hain, jis se uski qeemat ko support milta hai.

Maujooda manzar mein, Asian session mein GBP/USD ke maqool giravat ka yeh reflection hai ke ye gath jhooti ka asar hai, jo ke Eurozone mein economic challenges aur monetary policy ke mukhtalif hone ki wajah se aaya hai. Isi waqt, UK ke gharail factors, jaise ke haal hi mein economic data releases ya siyasi taraqqiyat, pound ki kamzori mein kuch kirdar ada kar sakte hain.

Jab traders aur investors in dynamics ko samajhte hain, to woh hoshyar aur mubaddal rehna zaroori hai. Currency market both expected aur unexpected events ke liye bohot hi sensitive hoti hai, jis ki wajah se ma'eeshati indicators, markazi bank communications, aur siyasi waqiyat ko constant monitor karna zaroori hota hai. Technical aur fundamental analysis ka combination istemal karne se informed decisions liye ja sakte hain, sath hi sentiment indicators aur market trends par nazar rakhna bhi faida mand hai.

Ikhtitam mein, gharail factors aur broader global economic trends ke darmiyan ke talluqat GBP/USD currency pair ke liye ek complex aur hamesha changing manzar ko paida karte hain. Asian session mein GBP/USD ke maqool giravat ka asal wajah euro ki qeemat girne aur US dollar ki taqat hai, jo ke mukhtalif economic, siyasi, aur market sentiment factors se mutasir hoti hai. Traders aur investors ko in dynamics ko effectively navigate karne ke liye hamesha assess karna chahiye aur potential opportunities ka faida uthana chahiye

British Pound (GBP) US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein kamzor ho gaya hai, jab Wednesday ko GBP/USD ne apne 10-week high ko touch karne ke baad gains ko stall hota dekha. Yeh GBP/USD gains ki rukawat UK inflation expectations ke kam hone aur US dollar ke mazboot hone ke sabab hai. British Retail Consortium (BRC) ke data ne dikhaya ke May mein UK shop price inflation kaafi had tak soft ho gaya, jahan food aur non-food prices dono gir gaye. Major UK retailers pe store prices ka annual increase sirf 0.6% tak barh gaya, jo late 2021 ke baad se slowest pace hai. Yeh April ke 0.8% rise se neeche hai. Food price inflation specifically May mein 3.2% tak gir gaya, jab ke April mein yeh 3.4% tha. BRC kehte hain ke retailers yeh cost reductions customers ko pass kar rahe hain.

GBP selling pressure ka samna kar raha hai jab yeh 1.2800 resistance level ke qareeb aata hai. GBP/USD pair Friday ko Federal Reserve ka preferred inflation gauge release hone tak volatile rehne ka imkaan hai.

Short-term headwinds ke bawajood, British pound ka long-term outlook positive hai. GBP/USD filhal 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar hold kar raha hai, jo 1.2670 pe hai. Yeh level highs aur lows jo March aur April ke darmiyan dekhe gaye hain, se derived hai. Iske ilawa, exponential moving averages, jo trends identify karne ke liye use hote hain, sab upwards point kar rahe hain, jo pound ke liye ek strong uptrend ko signify karte hain. Bullish case ko further support mil raha hai kyun ke 14-period RSI (Relative Strength Index) bullish territory mein enter kar gaya hai, 60 aur 80 ke darmiyan range karte hue. RSI ek momentum indicator hai, aur is zone mein reading upward momentum ke dominant hone ko suggest karti hai. Magar, RSI bhi 70 ke qareeb hai, jo potential decline ko indicate kar sakta hai jab momentum lose hota hai.

Agar current levels ke upar breakout hota hai, to pound ke liye positive outlook solidify ho jayega, aur yeh potentially 1.3000 ke psychologically important level ko push kar sakta hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2630-1.2670 ke neeche le aate hain, to 50-day aur 200-day moving averages kuch support provide kar sakte hain around 1.2575 aur 1.2537 respectively. In moving averages ke neeche break ek more extended decline ko signal kar sakta hai, potentially support line 1.2465 tak aur even five-month low of 1.2300 ko revisit

British Pound (GBP) US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein kamzor ho gaya hai, jab Wednesday ko GBP/USD ne apne 10-week high ko touch karne ke baad gains ko stall hota dekha. Yeh GBP/USD gains ki rukawat UK inflation expectations ke kam hone aur US dollar ke mazboot hone ke sabab hai. British Retail Consortium (BRC) ke data ne dikhaya ke May mein UK shop price inflation kaafi had tak soft ho gaya, jahan food aur non-food prices dono gir gaye. Major UK retailers pe store prices ka annual increase sirf 0.6% tak barh gaya, jo late 2021 ke baad se slowest pace hai. Yeh April ke 0.8% rise se neeche hai. Food price inflation specifically May mein 3.2% tak gir gaya, jab ke April mein yeh 3.4% tha. BRC kehte hain ke retailers yeh cost reductions customers ko pass kar rahe hain.

GBP selling pressure ka samna kar raha hai jab yeh 1.2800 resistance level ke qareeb aata hai. GBP/USD pair Friday ko Federal Reserve ka preferred inflation gauge release hone tak volatile rehne ka imkaan hai.

Short-term headwinds ke bawajood, British pound ka long-term outlook positive hai. GBP/USD filhal 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar hold kar raha hai, jo 1.2670 pe hai. Yeh level highs aur lows jo March aur April ke darmiyan dekhe gaye hain, se derived hai. Iske ilawa, exponential moving averages, jo trends identify karne ke liye use hote hain, sab upwards point kar rahe hain, jo pound ke liye ek strong uptrend ko signify karte hain. Bullish case ko further support mil raha hai kyun ke 14-period RSI (Relative Strength Index) bullish territory mein enter kar gaya hai, 60 aur 80 ke darmiyan range karte hue. RSI ek momentum indicator hai, aur is zone mein reading upward momentum ke dominant hone ko suggest karti hai. Magar, RSI bhi 70 ke qareeb hai, jo potential decline ko indicate kar sakta hai jab momentum lose hota hai.

Agar current levels ke upar breakout hota hai, to pound ke liye positive outlook solidify ho jayega, aur yeh potentially 1.3000 ke psychologically important level ko push kar sakta hai. Agar bea.



s price ko 1.2630-1.2670 ke neeche le aate hain, to 50-day aur 200-day moving averages kuch support provide kar sakte hain around 1.2575 aur 1.2537 respectively. In moving averages ke neeche break ek more extended decline ko signal kar sakta hai, potentially support line 1.2465 tak aur even five-month lo

35 GBP/USD currency pair narrow corridor mein fluctuate kar rahi hai, jahan dono sides ko 1.268 pe test kar rahi hai. Support level 1.2682 par hai jabke resistance level 1.2810 par hai. Yeh narrow range ka movement rare hai, jo current market conditions ko aur bhi intriguing banata hai. Repeated attempts ke bawajood, prices is range se bahar nahi nikli, jo buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan strong equilibrium ko indicate karta hai. Initially, pair downward move karte hue support level 1.2690 tak pohanchi, jo potential bearish trend ko hint karta hai. Yeh southern movement dikhati hai ke sellers pressure daal rahe hain, taake price ko support level ke neeche le jaya ja sake. Magar, yeh downward momentum strong buying interest se mila 1.2690 level par, jo price ko aur decline hone se rok raha tha. Yeh support level firm rahi, jo iski significance aur market participants ka confidence dikhata hai.Support test karne ke baad, price rebound hui aur upward move karne lagi. Yeh upward movement resistance level 1.2820 ko test karne ke liye thi. Support se resistance level tak ka journey market sentiment mein shift ko indicate karta hai, jahan buyers ne upper hand gain kar liya. Lekin, jab price resistance level ke qareeb aayi, to significant selling pressure encounter hua. Resistance level 1.2820 ek formidable barrier sabit hua, jo price ko upar break hone se rok raha tha.Yeh back-and-forth movement defined range mein bulls aur bears ke darmiyan ongoing battle ko highlight karti hai. Koi bhi side decisive advantage gain nahi kar saki, jo consolidation period ko lead karti hai. Aisi consolidation phases aksar significant price movements ke precursors hote hain, kyunke yeh indicate karte hain ke market breakout ke liye momentum gather kar raha hai. Traders closely monitoring kar rahe hain is range-bound activity ko, kyunke breakout kisi bhi direction mein next major trend ko signal kar sakti hai GBP/USD pair ke liye. Agar price 1.2820 resistance level ke upar breakout karti hai, to yeh suggest karta hai ke buyers ne sufficient strength gain kar liya hai price ko upar push karne ke liye, jo potentially bullish trend ko lead kar sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar price 1.2690 support level ke neeche breakdown karti hai, to yeh indicate karta hai ke sellers ne buyers ko overpower kar liya hai, jo bearish trend ka stage set kar sakta hai. Technical indicators jese ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur moving averages aise scenarios mein essential tools hote hain. Agar RSI bullish territory mein rehta hai, to yeh potential breakout ko support kar sakta hai resistance level ke upar. Conversely, agar RSI bearish territory mein dip karta hai, to yeh impending breakdown ko indicate kar sakta hai support level ke neeche. Fundamental factors bhi crucial role play karte hain GBP/USD pair ke direction ko determine karne mein. Economic data releases, central bank policies, aur geopolitical events sab market sentiment ko influence kar sakte hain aur significant price movements ko lead kar sakte hain. Traders ko informed rehna chahiye in factors ke baare mein taake well-rounded trading decisions le

GBPUSD pair ki Technical Analysis
1-hour chart




Do pichle trading dinon ke liye, trend neeche ki taraf tha, isliye aaj trading neeche ki taraf ke price channels ke andar shuru hui.
Price ab tak sideways direction mein move hui hai, aur humein ek price bottom mila hai red channel line ke saath, isliye price kehte hain ke wo upar jaane aur blue channel ko tor karne ki koshish karega.
Aaj ke sab se ahem trading levels honge jab price blue channel ko upar toray, jahan haftawana pivot level tak kharidne ki mumkinat hai.
Yeh bhi ghoora ja raha hai ke doosra level kharidne ka ho agar price mahine ke pivot level ke upar ek trading ghante ke liye stabil hojaye.
Aaj bechnay ki mauqa mojood hoga jab peechle Jumma ko sab se kam trading price ko tor diya jaye.
Is haftay, British pound ki performace par sab tawajjo Forex markets mein Bank of England ke elaan par hogi.
NatWest ke mutabiq; "Bank of England ne sirf 24 ke end ke liye 40 basis points ko pricing kiya hai jabke NatWest economists ki raye hai 75 basis points ki, iska matlab hai ke aane wale mahinon mein euro ke khilaf sterling girne ka abhi bhi kuch maqaam hai."

Aam chunav ke hawale se, raye ke anketon ne Conservative Party ke liye aur bhi zyada support ka ghata hua, jismein Labor ko bohot bara majority milne ka intezar hai. HSBC Bank ne bhi apna kaha: "Kuch log soch sakte hain ke chunav sterling ke liye khushkhabri lekar aayega. Current opinion polls ke mutabiq Labor ka vijay sab se zyada mumkin hai, jo Britain aur EU ke darmiyan garm tauluqat aur mazboot maali taqat ki tawanai ke imkaanat ko zyada darust karti hai, jisse sterling ke outlook ko izafa hoga."

GBPUSD D1
British Pound (GBP) ne Jumma ko teeno din ke rally ke baad mushkilat ka samna kiya, jab United States Dollar (USD) mazboot hua. GBP/USD pair takreeban 1.2760 ke qareeb gir gaya jab United States Dollar Index (DXY) 105.00 ke upar phir se chadh gaya. USD ki yeh izaafa weak-than-expected US economic data ke bawajood aayi. Data, Bureau of Labor Statistics ke zariye jaari kiya gaya tha, jismein US mein inflation control mein rahi. Producer Price Index (PPI) May mein saal bhar mein 2.2% barha, market ki umeedon aur pehle ke readings se kam tha. Magar, Federal Reserve (Fed) ki revised economic outlook ne, 2024 ke end tak potential interest rate cut ka ishara dete hue, USD ko mazboot kiya. Fed ki stance ka yeh badalna weaker inflation data se aaye positive sentiment ko khatam kiya. GBP ko bhi dabaav ka saamna tha kyunke kuch logon ka khayal tha ke Bank of England (BoE) aane wale mahinon mein interest rates ko kam kar sakta hai. Ye soorat haal Pound mein investor confidence ko kum kar deti hai. Reserve, hinting at fewer anticipated interest rate cuts. Iske saath hi UK mein dheemi maali nashonuma bhi GBP par neeche ki taraf dabaav daal rahi thi. Technical tor par, GBP/USD currency pair ko resistance ka samna hai, jahan price baar baar 1.28 mark ko paar karne mein naqam reh rahi hai, bullish traders ke darmiyan ihtiyaat ka ishara dete hue, khaaskar July mein UK ke qoumi intekhabat nazdeek aate ja rahe hain. Jab tak koi significant sell-off nahi hua hai, analysts action se pehle tasdeeq ka intezaar karne ki hidayat dete hain. GBP/USD mein numaya giravat nedeedishat ke haal ki nishani ho sakti hai. Agay dekhte hue, kuch support levels Pound ke liye thoda sa aaram faraham kar sakte hain. Shuruati rukawat takreeban 1.2755-1.2750 ke darmiyan hai, jahan 1.2715-1.2710 range price ke aur girne par waqtanfuran mustaqil stability faraham kar sakti hai. Gehri giravat GBP/USD ko ahem 100-day SMA support ki taraf le ja sakti hai, jo abhi qareeb 1.2640-1.2635 ke qareeb hai. Is level ke neeche tasdeeq kar dena bearish sentiment ko mazboot kar sakta hai aur mazeed nuksan ka bais ban sakta hai.

GBP/USD: H4 chart par, MACD indicator normal buy ka signal de raha hai. Ye yeh ishaara deta hai ke market mein kuch kharidari ki dilchaspi hai, lekin nazdeeki doran price ko kafi zyada buland nahi le jaane ke liye mazboot nahi hai. Traders ko MACD indicator ko mazeed tabdeel hone ke liye nazdeek se nigrani mein rakhna chahiye, kyunke zyada mazboot buy signal ki taraf ka inqilab mojooda bearish trend ka mukhalif ishaara kar sakta hai. In factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, main chart ko zyada tawajjo se dekhunga ke price 1.2686 ke support level ko test karta hai. Ye level ahem hai kyunke ye GBP/USD pair ke mazeed movement ko mutayyan karega.
Agar price is support level ke oopar rehta hai, to ye ek acha buying mauqa pesh kar sakta hai. 1.2686 ke oopar barqarar level yeh ishara karega ke market ne ek mazboot support base dhoond liya hai, jo shayad ek upar ki taraf ka movement ka bais ban sake. Magar, traders ihtiyaat se kaam karein aur kharidari position mein dakhil hone se pehle doosre indicators aur market signals ke zariye tasdeeq talash karein. Ulta, agar price is support level ke neeche gir jaye, to hum GBP/USD ke aur giravat dekh sakte hain. 1.2686 ko tor dena yeh ishara dega ke bechne ki dabav zyada mazboot hai kharidari ki dilchaspi ko shikast de kar, price ko naye dipo mein le ja sakti hai.




Maujooda market sentiment GBP/USD ke liye ehtiyaat bhari hai, traders mazeed bari karne se pehle wazeh signals ka intezar kar rahe hain. MACD se normal buy signal ki taraf ka ishaara hai lekin abhi tak kafi mazboot bullish stance ke liye kafi nahi hai. Nigrani karne ke liye ahem level 1.2686 hai, kyunke ye traders ke agle qadam ko guide karega. Agar ye support ke oopar rehta hai to ye ek potential buying mauqa pesh kar sakta hai, jabke iske neeche girna mazeed bearish gatividhi ka ishaara ho sakta hai. Isliye, market ke tabdil hone par chaukanna rehna aur uske mutabiq jawab dena GBP/USD pair mein soch samajh kar trade karne ke liye ahem hai.