𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBPUSD H-1 Analysis

Jaise pichli dafa hua tha, jab GBP/USD pair ne hourly time frame pe area 1.2603-1.2634 se south turn kiya tha, is dafa bhi aisa hi ho sakta hai. Ab pair resistance 1.2603 (channel 5/8 ki top) ki taraf ja rahi hai. Agar yeh 1.2603 ke upar consolidate kar leti hai, to pound bulls ke liye upper limit ki taraf raasta khul jayega, jo 1.2634 (rotation reversal 6/8) par hai. Yahaan se main pair ke sell-off ki umeed kar raha hoon, jo support 1.2573 (4/8) tak reduce karegi, jaise neeche diye gaye chart mein dikhaya gaya hai. Ek aur option bhi hai ke GBP/USD pair 1.2603 ki nearest resistance se rebound kare aur wapas 1.2573 tak decline kare. Is case mein, hum 1.2603 level pe quotes ka reaction dekhenge aur situation ke mutabiq kaam karenge.



GBP/USD H-4 Analysis

Aaj ke liye, support level 1.2570 hoga. Pair ne is level ko resistance tod kar momentum ko 1.2680 tak le jaane ki koshish nahi ki, ho sakta hai ke next resistance 1.2680 tak pair nahi pohnch sake. Aise impulse ke sath is level tak pohnchna mushkil hoga. Filhal, jab tak pair 1.2570 ke upar hai, growth priority rahegi. Mera assumption hai ke pair 1.2680 level tak pohnchne ki koshish karegi, aur wahan se agar break through nahi hota, to reversal aur decline ki umeed hai. Agar break through hota hai, to further growth medium-term resistance level 1.2750 tak possible hai, aur south ko hold karne ka akhri chance hai. Agar pair support 1.2570 ke neeche consolidate kar leti hai, to main phir se reversal aur support 1.2447 tak decline expect karta hoon, lekin aaj yeh mushkil lagta hai kyunki decline kam se kam do din tak chalega.

GBP/USD Ki Technical Tahlil

Is hafte ki shuruaat se, GBPUSD currency pair ke daam dheere dheere barh rahe hain, jabke kal ek gehri pullback ki khabar aayi US mein, lekin overall trend mehdood hai. Wave structure neutral hai. Aur is growth ke doran, daam ek descending resistance line tak pahuncha; yeh ek daily line hai aur kaafi mazboot hai apni purani dor aur chhoti inclination ke wajah se; chhoti inclination, jaise ke hum jaante hain, line ko mazboot karta hai. Zahir hai ke yeh kam se kam 1.2561 horizontal support level tak neeche bounce karega. CCI indicator bhi rebound ki ishara karta hai; yeh upper overheating zone mein hai aur sab se ahem baat yeh hai ke ispe bearish divergence hai. Aur divergence ek achha signal hota hai agar ek mazboot line ya level ke upar ho. Nearest support level tak girna minimum target hai; zahir hai ke yeh tor diya jayega aur behtareen selling point hoga agar yeh neeche se 1.2561 broken level par wapas aayega aur resistance ke taur par kaam karega. Yahan, ek downward target ke roop mein, neeche se guzarte hue ek ascending support line ko define kar sakte hain jo do lows ke saath banayi gayi hai. Main is tafteesh ke saath kisi bhi signal ke sath kharidai ko nahi samajhta, ghatawai ke sath urooj hone ka khud bhi koi amkan hai, lekin is case mein kam amkan hai. Aaj ka sab se ahem khabar ka paigham, jo ke aksar hota hai 15-30 Moscow time: Core consumer price index in the USA, Core retail sales index in the USA, Consumer price index in the USA, Retail sales volume in the USA. 17-30 - US crude oil reserves. Main yeh samajhta hoon ke is khabar ke tehat noticeable movement hoga, aur technology ke mutabiq yeh zyada tar neeche ascending line ki taraf hoga. Yahan par ek uncertainty ka figure ban raha hai - ek tapering triangle, figure ke oopar se neeche ki movement samjhi ja rahi hai.



Forex market mein daam mein kal significant fluctuations aaye kuch arzi economic news stories ke natijay mein jo ke USDX aur pound sterling ko asar andaz kiya, zyada aggressive movements ko trigger karte hue. Khaaskar raat ko, daam mein mustaqil izafa hua, jaisa ke GBPUSD ki movement se dekha gaya hai, jo correction ya mazeed girawat ke potential ko dikhata hai. Abhi market pivot point line ke oopar shuruat hui hai level 1.2563x par, resistance 1 ke qareeb level 1.2595x par pohncha, lekin abhi bhi neeche jaane ki koshish kar raha hai aur pivot point line pe wapas aa gaya hai. Jab tak EMA50 trend upar hai, daam mein izafa ka imkan hai. Ek ziada safe strategy trend ko follow karna hai jaga usse ladna, behtareen mauqe ko dhoondne par tawajju dena hai. Umeed hai ke daam phir se oopar jayega, pivot point line se door hoga, aur kuch levels ko chase karne ke liye buy position ko secure karega, jisme resistance 3 level 1.2647x shamil hai. Is mauqe par bharosa karke, kharidne walo ko kharidne ke action par zor dena chahiye kyunki yeh behtareen munafa hasil karne ka zyada imkan deta hai.

GBP/USD Daam Ki Gatividhi

GBP/USD currency pair ke daam ki gatividhi ek garam mudda hai charcha ka. Haal hi mein, pair ne 1.2564 par support dhoondha aur upar ki taraf rukh kiya hai. Agla maqsad 1.2637 hai, thoda sa farq hai, sirf 15 points ka. Magar is nateejay par inflation data ka bhaari asar hai, jo aaj bohot se currency pairs ke liye aik ahem din bana raha hai. Yeh aik make-or-break situation hai, jisme dollar ki taqat ka faisla hoga ya phir maujooda trend ka jari rakhna. Pound ke liye, 1.2637 ko paar karna aur mazeed izafa 1.2704 ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jise ek correction follow karega.

Dusri taraf, kamiyabi USD ke liye aik josh bhara toofan ho sakti hai. Bull apne rukh ko sambhalte hain jabke upar ki taraf chalti hui trend jari hai lekin 1.2655 ke aas-paas rukawat ka samna hai. Pound ki tajziyati fitrat aur buland ghair-muzara pan ke maqam se, aaj is leval tak pohochna poori tarah mumkin hai.





Teen-line Bollinger indicator ke mutabiq, pair ne maujooda channel ke upper price border ko tor diya hai, jo ek jhoota breakout ka ishara de sakta hai jise ek tez girawat ka silsila munsalik karega. Pound ki adaayegi se waqif traders ko ehtiyaat bartaraf karna chahiye aur nuqsanat ko kam karne ke liye stop orders ka istemal karna chahiye. Halankeh 1.2534 par farokht karna aur 1.2653 par khareedna mumkin hai, lekin mein abhi trading se inkar karunga. Agar US ki khabron mein aaj kuch negatif aata hai, to aaj aik toofan ki breaking ho sakti hai, lekin yeh bilkul tajziyati hai.

Is ke ilawa, mazeed inflation report sunwai ki tawaqqo hai, lekin iski waqt ki abhi ta'ayun ki zarurat hai. Ek halki girawat ke baad 1.2586 tak, aur phir ek aur izafa, averaging zaroori ho sakta hai. Is market ke is badalne par jo haal mein ma'amooli sakoon tha, is par adap karna waqt lega.

GBP/ USD Munafa K Faislay

Neeche di gayi tajziya GBP/USD currency pair ke daam ki gati par tawajjo deta hai. Mera trading tareeqa Bollinger indicator aur volume histogram ka istemal karta hai. Halat mein, indicators ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke mojooda daam 1.2607 par hai, jo ke 1.2609 ke upper limit ke upar hai. Behtareen hai ke jab daam neeche do Bollinger levels ki taraf palatay, to bechne ka tasavvur karein. Pehla munafa maqam beech ka level hoga, aur dosra 1.2584 par. Main trailing stop ka istemal karunga, aaj aik kamiyabi ke baad mazeed munafa ki tawaqqu hone par. Daam ki tezi ab mazboot hai.

GBP/USD ka chart aik up trend dikhata hai, jise hari taraf ke MACD indicator ke musbat slope se tasdeeq mil rahi hai. MACD bhi zero ke upar hai aur hara rang ka hai, jo ke bullish trend ko zahir karta hai. Is ke ilawa, OsMA indicator mein pink line ne blue line ko paar kar diya hai. Isliye GBP/USD par kharidari ke positions munasib hain, lekin MACD ke average level 1.2597 par qeemat ka palatna intezar karna munasib hai. Currency pair ka daam ki chart umeed afza hai, jo ek overall izaafat ko darust karta hai. Haal ki khabrein US mein aane wali muminin inflation rate se munsalik masail ki nishandahi karti hain, jo dollar ke qeemat mein girawat ka ishara hai. Daam ki nazar mazboot aur mazboot hai. Is par amal karte hue, main pair ko kharidne ki taraf raagib hoon aur farokht karna taal dena behtar hai. Dollar ki upar ki qeemat mein kami ki behtareen khatraat ke baad, zaroori hai ke pound ki tezi ho. Munafa 1.2705 ke aas paas hasil karna aqalmandana hai, agar bazaar iske baad qayam ho jaye.

GBP/USD Mai Izafa

Asia ke pehle din, British pound US dollar ke khilaaf (GBP/USD) taqat hasil kar raha hai, jo ke US inflation data ke ikhtitaam ke baad har qisam ke dollar ki kamzori ki wajah se aala hai. Dollar ki girawat ne doosri barri currencies mein izafay ko sahara diya. US dollar pressure mein aya jab data ne dikhaya ke US inflation ne April mein thori se rafah kiya. US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ke data ke mutabiq, Consumer Price Index (CPI) April mein saalana buniyad par 3.4% izafa kiya, jo ke March ke 3.5% izafay se nicha hai. Saalana core CPI inflation rate bhi April mein 3.6% se pehle se 3.8% tak gira. Dono figures market ki tawajju ko mutabiq thay. Mahinay bhar mein CPI aur core CPI April mein 0.3% izafay se guzra. Ye kamzor se kamzor inflation data ne khayalat ko paida kiya ke Federal Reserve 2024 mein interest rates ko khatam kar sake, jo ke US dollar par asar daali aur GBP/USD ke faiday mein madad ki. Mazeed, April ke liye US retail sales ka aakhri reading 3% izafay par aaya, jo ke market ke tajwezon ke 0.4% izafay ko miss kar gaya.





Dusray janib, UK ke rozgar ke data ne dikhaya ke wahan kaam ke sharaait teen maheenay se kharab hotay ja rahe hain, jisme berozgari dar izafa kar rahi hai. Is ke bawajood, Bank of England (BOE) ke policymakers inflation mein izafa ke lehaz se urte hain, jo ke services sector mein inflation mein izafa ke khatray ke baare mein chinta ki wajah se inflation ko khatam karne mein taraqqi mein rukawat daal sakta hai. Ye mukhalif data BOE ke monetary policy stance ke baare mein uncertainty paida kar chuka hai, jisme ek mumkin rate cut ke faislay ka intizaar hai. Technical tor par, GBP/USD ne ahem 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke oopar chadhne ka hasool kiya hai, agle ahem resistance levels khatarnak downtrend line aur 50-day SMA ke 1.2590 ke aspaas hain. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator halat mein kamzor upward momentum ka ishara de raha hai, trigger line ke oopar lekin zero ke neeche. Stochastic oscillator ko bhi utharne ka ishara hai, %K aur %D lines ke darmiyan bullish crossover ke baad overbought zone ke qareeb ja raha hai. Downtrend line ke oopar chalne se GBP/USD ko foran 1.2630 ke aspaas ka resistance muqabla karna pad sakta hai, jise 1.2708 ke level ka potential imtehan ho sakta hai. Magar, puri nazar ka manzar neutral ho jayega. 1.2892 ke chhe mahine ke uchch par saaf se break bullish bias ki taraf ishara karega.

H-4 Time Frame par GBPUSD Jora ka Tahlil

waqt frame ke liye GBPUSD currency pair ka acha signal hai, ab tahlil ka waqt hai. GBPUSD ke price mein izafa resistance se zyada hai, jo ke ek ishara hai ke khareedne walon ne market par mustaqil qabza kar liya hai. Mojooda sab se kam price GBPUSD joray ke liye 1.25082 hai, peechlay kam price 1.24447 se ooncha hai, aisi harkat ka matlab hai ke GBPUSD ke price mein ek uptrend hai, isliye ab khareedne ke mauqe dhundhne ka waqt hai.

GBPUSD ke price mein izafa ab bhi base supply ke zariye roka ja raha hai. Mojuooda GBPUSD ke price upper Bollinger bands ke ird gird ghoom raha hai, isliye ab middle Bollinger bands ki taraf neeche jana waqt hai. GBPUSD ke price ka qawi aur mustqil izafa ise overbought bana deta hai, jo ke stochastic oscillator ko level 80 ke oopar hone ka ishara hai, isliye ab level 20 ki taraf neeche jana waqt hai. Bollinger Bands aur stochastic oscillator ke indicators istemal karke dekha gaya hai ke GBPUSD ke price mein correction ke liye kami hoga.





GBPUSD ke price ka tahlil ke natayej trend ke mutabiq izafa karega. Agar aap yakeen rakhte hain ke GBPUSD ke price mazeed mazboot hoga, to foran kharidari ka transaction mat karein. Sabar rakhein aur dekhein ke GBPUSD ke price base demand tak neeche jaata hai tak ke sahi price mil sake. Kharidi ho sakti hai agar bullish pin bar ya engulfing candle ki tasdeeq ho jisme candle ka jism base demand ke oopar ho aur price loss limit 1.25081 base demand ke neeche aur faida lena 1.26716 base supply ke neeche jo abhi tak taza hai. Agar GBPUSD ke price ki kami base demand se neeche hoti hai to kharidi ka signal khatam ho gaya hai trend ka ulta ho jane ki wajah se.

Agar GBPUSD ke price foran base demand ko chhoone ya dakhil hone se pehle uth jaata hai, to apne aap ko kharidari ka transaction karne par majboor na karein kyunke yeh technical shara'it ko poora nahi karta. Transaction ek pending sell order limit price ke saath kiya ja sakta hai jo base supply ke neeche 1.26716 hai kyunke GBPUSD ke price ne overbought ka samna kiya hai, loss limit price 1.27069 base supply ke oopar aur faida lena 1.25620 base demand ke oopar.

Subah bakhair. Euro mein, khareedne walon ne apni taqat ikhatti ki aur apni positions ko barhane mein qamiyab rahe. Yeh maloom hota hai ke Powell ka kal ka taqreer is mein madadgar thi, jahan unho ne kaha ke darajat zyada tar barhaye nahi jayenge, lekin unko mojooda daraje par chhod diya jayega. Yeh maloom hota hai ke yeh dollar ki ek naye wave ko kamzor karne mein madadgar tha. Natija yeh hua ke Euro ne apna maqami buland intaha ko 1.08117 par update kiya; agar yeh iske peeche jam jata hai, to phir agle maqam ke liye 1.08844 inteha ke liye daakil ho sakta hai. Abhi bechne ki baat karna bohot jaldi hai; behtar hai ke neeche ke adhaon mein aik ulta pattern ka intezar kiya jaye. Agar aap darjat par tawajjo den, to bechne walon ko 1.07663 mark par guzarna aur wahan jam jana chahiye.

GBPUSD jora D1:

1 - Khareedne walon ne kal aktive session rakha, trading ke daldal ko palat diya aur din ko aktive tor par peeche chhod diya, aaj subah woh keemat ko mazeed buland karne ke liye chalay ja rahe hain, dekhte hain ke woh keemat ko kitna buland kar sakte hain. Agar aap bands ke zariye halat ka andaza lagate hain, to keemat ko upper band ki taraf nikalne ki koshish kar rahi hai, aur keemat ke mazeed izafe ke liye aik naya signal hasil karne ke liye aapko upper band ka intezar karna chahiye, phir dekhein ke bands ko baahar khulne ki koi pratikriya hogi ya nahi hogi. Agar hum ab waqt ke surat hal ko fractals ke zariye tajziya karte hain, to keemat ke mazeed izafe ka maqam nazdeek ka upward fractal hai; iska tootna aur jam jana keemat ko April 9 ke fractal ke taraf mazeed izafe ke liye agay barhne ki ijaazat dega jis ka qareebi maqam 1.27089 ke aas paas hai. Nazdeeki neeche ka fractal mojooda keemat ke qeemat se bohot door hai, aur keemat ke rukh mein kisi cheez par aitmaad karne ke liye, behtar hai ke naye neeche ke fractal ka intezar kiya jaye.

2 - AO indicator ne aakhir mein zero mark ko cross kiya hai. Agar hum kuch trading dino tak musbat area mein tezi se izafe ko dekhte hain, to hum keemat ke izafe ke liye mazboot signal paenge.

GBP/USD Mein Bullish Rally Hoshiyar Rehti Hai

Foreign exchange market par mabni tehqiqat. Sterling thori dair ke liye gira phir traders ne hal halal data aur monetary policy ki umeedon ka hazam kiya, aur phir wapas kareeb $1.25 ke aas paas laut gaya. Rasmi Iklawa aur Ma'ashi Calendar ke mutabiq. UK ka be-rozgar rate teesre maheenay tak musalsal barh gaya aur urooj mein betha reh gaya, jo Bank of England ki tajwez ke mutabiq 6% raha, jis ne buniyadi bank ke qarza dar cheezon ke qataye ki umeed ko uda dala, is se afwah pheli ke qarza dar ko jald hi kam karna shuru karega. May ki baitaq mein Bank of England ne do ahem afraad ki dhamkiyon ke bawajood interest daromad par qayam rakha, jari taur par baazaron ko kam qarzadari ke janib ishara karte hue. Governor Bailey ne ishara diya ke mustaqbil mein interest daromad mein kami ki surat mein kami a sakti hai, ishara karte hue ke mustaqbil mein rafaqat pasandi monitory policy ko amal mein lai jaegi.

Traders ne Jun mein interest daromad mein kami ke imkanat ko thori si barhaya, jabke August mein 25 buniyadi point ki karkardagi umeedon ke andar bani rehti hai.





Forex currency trading company platfarm ke mutabiq. Sterling mazid tar surprising UK wage data ke baad mazid taqwiyat hasil kiya, halan ke mazeed labour market statistics ne buland be-rozgari aur mehdood urooj ke imkanat dikhaya. Office for National Statistics ne kaha ke UK ke urooj (bonus shamil hote hue) March mein saalana 5.7% ke hisaab se barh gaya, jo ke ittefaq shuda 5.3% ke urooj ke mukable mein bohot zyada tha, aur pound euro ke badle ke maamle mein barh gaya 1.1642 tak. Jab ke bonus ko tanazul kar diya jata hai to data ka qeemat bhi zyada hai, jo 6.0% hai.

Yeh tab tha jab minimum wage April mein barha gaya tha. Data yeh sujhaata hai ke pehle se inflation ke dabaon mein barhne ke asraat jari hain, jo ke mafaad paida karne wale inflation ko mukhtasar arse tak buland rakh sakte hain, jo ke qarza dar mein intezar ko taakhir kar sakta hai.

British maeeshat ne March tak teen maheenon mein 177,000 naukriyan khatam kar di, pehle dour mein 156,000 se kam hain. Be-rozgari dar 4.3 feesad par barh gaya hai. 4.2 feesad Yeh darust karta hai ke tanazul ke wage inflation wale daro tak pohnchny ka hisaab mukhtasar hai, aur investors ke hisaab se yeh dar baad mein tezi se kami karay ga.

Aaj ka GBPUSD tabadla:

UK rozmara kaam aur wage data se guzarne ke baad, British pound ke dauro pe dauro ka khasratein takrao US inflation data ke ijlas ki mojodgi se mutasir hogi, jo ke USA mein mustaqbil ke interest daromad barhne ki bazaar ki umeedon ke khaas aur seedha rad-e-amal hoga. Agar reading umeedon ke mutabiq alag nikalti hai, to bullishon ko 1.2630 aur 1.2700 ke resistance levelon ke rukh mein chalne ka moqa mil sakta hai, mutawafiha. Doosri taraf, aur usi maqam tak

GBP-USD TAHSIS

Forex market mein qeemat mein mazeed tabdeeliyan dekhi gayi kal ek silsile economic khabron ki wajah se jo ke USDX aur pound sterling ko mutasir karke zyada aggressive harkatein trigger ki. Khaaskar kal raat ko qeemat mein barhti hui istiqamat dekhi gayi, jaise ke GBPUSD ke harek, jo ke tasleem deti hai ke tehqiqat ya mazeed kami ke liye khaas hai. Halanke, bazaar pivot point line par level 1.2563x ke oopar khula tha, umeed hai ke resistance 1 par level 1.2595x tak, lekin abhi bhi neeche jaane aur pivot point line par palat jaane ki koshish kar raha hai. EMA50 trend ab bhi oopar hai, yeh ek mumkin qeemat barhne ki umeed hai. Ek ziada safe strategy hai trend ka peecha karna na ke us se larna, behtareen moqay dhoondne par tawajju dena. Umeed hai ke qeemat phir se barhegi, pivot point line se door jaayegi, aur kai levels ko shamil karke ek kharidari position ko mustaqil kiya jayega, jo ke resistance 3 par level 1.2647x hai. Is moqa par a buyers ke liye kharidari amal par zor diya ja sakta hai ke sahi moqon ka intezar karen kyun ke yeh behtar munafa haasil karne ke imkanat ko zyada hai.

Mozu mein moaziz
Resistance 3: 1.2647x
Resistance 2: 1.2615x
Resistance 1: 1.2595x
Pivot point: 1.2563x
Support 1: 1.2532x
Support 2: 1.2512x
Support 3: 1.2480x






GBPUSD currency ke liye aaj ki positions ke liye reference:
Moujooda trend Yeh phir se bullish hai kyun ke qeemat pivot point line 1.2563x ke oopar hai.
Moujooda trend phir se bullish hai kyun ke qeemat EMA50 trend filter ke oopar hai.
Moujooda trend phir se bullish hai kyun ke qeemat middle BB ke oopar hai lekin upper BB ke neeche shuru hai, is liye kharidar ki taqat ab bhi mehdood hai.
Umeed hai ke qeemat girne ki zariye jaari rahegi kyun ke qeemat abhi bhi resistance 1 par level 1.2595x par atki hui hai aur pivot point line 1.2563x par palat sakti hai.
RSI 13 ab bhi level 50 ke oopar hai. Kharidari amal level 50 tak pohanche se faida utha sakta hai taake qeemat ke resistance ko choone ka imkan barh jaye.

Mazeed qeemat phir se girne ke bohot se imkanat dekh kar, ek sell position ka intekhab karna is waqt behtareen faisla hai jo ke is waqt kiya ja sakta hai jiske liye ek take profit resistance 2 par level 1.2615 par rakhna hoga.

Hello. Kal Pound ki keemat mein izafa hua jis ka natija tha. Kharidari walon ne aakhir mein 125.712 ke darjay ko torh diya, jo ke mukhtalif local girawat ki aik aur torh di aur qeemat mein mazeed izafa ke liye aik signal diya. Agar aap is mark ke peeche qadam jama kar letay hain, to phir aap 1.26333 ke darjay ki taraf le jaane ka intezar kar saktay hain. Agar aap girawat ka intezar karte hain aur darjay par bharosa karte hain, to qareebi mazboot darja 1.25087 par waqif hai; agar yeh torr jata hai aur mustaqil ho jata hai, to girawat ka intezar kiya ja sakta hai 1.24452 tak. Aaj United States se mahasarat ke data honge, shayad Dollar mazboot ho.


GBPUSD pair M5:

1 - 5 minute ka chart par Pound bands ke darmiyan ilaqa mein hai, aur bands khud horizontal position mein hain. Yahan se harkat kisi bhi raah mein jaari ki ja sakti hai, aur ek naye signal ke liye qeemat mein izafa ya girawat ke liye ek naya signal paane ke liye, aik bands ke bahar active naye nikalne ka intezar karne ke laayak hai, phir assess karen ke bands kholengay ya nahi.

2 - AO indicator zero mark ke ird gird ghoom raha hai, aur ek naye signal paane ke liye qeemat mein izafa ya girawat ke liye, aapko mustaqil taqatwar ya manfi ilaqa mein ek active izafa ka intezar karna chahiye, jo ke aapko is izafa ke rukh ki taraf qeemat harkat ke baare mein baat karne ki ijazat dega.

3 - Jari haalaat mein kharidariyon ke liye dakhil hone ka point 1.25994 ke darajay se tasawwur kiya ja sakta hai; toor par girawat aur mustaqil hone ke doran 1.26096 ke darajay tak pohanch sakti hai.

4 - Farokht ke liye dakhil hone ka point 1.25878 ke darajay par tasawwur kiya ja sakta hai, toor par girawat aur mustaqil hone ke doran 1.25825 ke darajay tak pohanch sakti hai.

Is haftay ki shuruaat se is currency pair GBPUSD ki keemat musalsal bulandi ki taraf badh rahi hai, lekin kal Amreeki khabron par gehra waapis lai gayi. Magar overall trend mein izafa ho raha hai. Lahar structure neutral hai. Aur is beech ke darmiyan, keemat ek girne wale resistance line tak pohanch gayi; yeh ek daily line hai aur iska purana dor aur chhota ishara ke kham zawiye ki wajah se mazboot hai; hum jante hain ke chhota zawiye line ko mazboot karta hai. Zyadatar, yeh neeche ki taraf phir se 1.2561 ke nazdeeki horizontal support level tak phechan jaega. CCI indicator bhi ishara deti hai; yeh upper overheating zone mein hai aur sab se ahem baat, is par bearish divergence hai. Aur ek acha line ya level par divergence ek behtareen signal hai. Neeche ke support level tak girna kam se kam ka maqsad hai; zyadatar yeh torr diya jaega aur behtareen farokht ka point yeh hoga ke agar 1.2561 ke tor par neeche se wapas aaye.






Yahan, neeche ka nishana mukhtalif do lows ke darmiyan se guzarta ek ascending support line banai ja sakti hai. Main ishara ke saath kharidari ko nahi samajhta hoon girawat ke liye, haalaanki izafa na mumkin nahi hai, lekin is halat mein iska kamyabi kaam karne ke chances kam hain. Aaj ka sab se ahem khabarnama, jo aksar Moscow ke waqt 15-30 par hota hai: Amreeki asli istemal shuda qeemat index, Amreeki asli karobar index, Amreeki asli istemal shuda qeemat index, Amreeki asli karobar volume. 17-30 - Amreeki kache tail ke reserves. Mujhe yeh samjh aata hai ke is khabar par numaya harkat hogi, aur takneek ke mutabiq iska zyada tar neeche ke taraf hona munkin hai. Yahan yeh samne aata hai ke uncertainty ka ek shakal ban raha hai - a tapering triangle, ek figure ke top se neeche ki taraf harkat ki jaati hai.

Global financial markets ke halla gulla mein, GBP/USD pair ne traders ka dihan apni taraf kheencha hai, jo Thursday ki early Asian session ke doran 1.2670 ke aas paas hover kar raha hai. Iss doran, USD Index (DXY) ne bhi halka sa recovery dikhaya, 104.40 tak badh gaya, jiski wajah se yeh major pair neechay ki taraf chal pada.

GBP/USD ke fundamentals:

Financial circles mein anticipation ghoom rahi hai, is baat ka ishara dete hue ke BoE interest rate reductions ko June meeting se shuru karne wala hai. Market sentiments is baat ko price kar rahe hain ke 53 basis points (bps) ka easing saal bhar mein hoga. Yeh imply karta hai ke kam az kam do quarter-point cuts honge, jo ke pehle ke expectations se mukhtalif hain, jahan sirf ek rate cut ko puri tarah price kiya gaya tha. Market perception mein yeh shift us waqt aya jab Andrew Bailey ne apni aakhri monetary policy meeting mein remarks diye, yeh kehte hue ke do ya teen rate cuts ke baray mein speculation reasonable hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

1.2750 ke aas paas stability milne par, Pound Sterling notable buying momentum reflect karta hai, magar uncertainty ke saaye mein hai kyunke yeh 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se neeche slip ho gaya, jo ke taqreeban 1.2671 par hai. 12 April ko, neckline of the H&S pattern jo ke December 8 ke low se 1.2500 ke kareeb hai, breach karne ke baad significant drop se yeh descent shuru ho gaya.


Aaj ki price action ek interesting development present karti hai, jo technical analysts ko ‘hammer’ pattern kehte hain. Agar buyers successfully 200-DMA ko 1.2536 par breach kar lein, toh agla major resistance level May 6 ka high aur 50-DMA ke confluence par ho ga, jo ke 1.2591 ke aas paas hover karta hai. Iske baad, yeh hurdle clear hone par 100-DMA jo ke 1.2579 par hai, ko challenge karne ka rasta mil jaye ga.

Pound/dollar ek aham kirdar hai, khaaskar jab yeh DXY ke saath apna raqs karta hai. Haal hi mein, GBP/USD ne dhyan apni taraf kheench liya hai jab yeh Jumme ki subah ke session mein 1.2690 ke ahem support level se aage barh gaya. Magar, is oopar ki taraf ke rujhan ke darmiyan, kuch adam barabariyaan Pound ki trajectory par saaya daal rahi hain, khaaskar jab Bank of England (BoE) ka qarz faraham karne ka faisla qareeb hai.

Fed Insights aur Market Sentiment

Jab market ke khilari BoE ke aanay wale faislay ka intezar kar rahe hain, Federal Reserve ke officials ke insights ne GBP/USD dynamics mein mazeed pecheedgiyaan daal di hain. Pichlay haftay, Boston Fed ke President Susan Collins, New York Fed ke President John Williams, aur Minneapolis Fed ke President Neel Kashkari ne apni rai di jo ke is baat ki taraf ishara karti hai ke wo mojudah faiz ki satah ko dair tak barqarar rakhne ke haq mein hain. Yeh remarks, jo ke hawkish andaz mein hain, ne US Dollar ko support di hai, jis se GBP/USD pair ke trajectory par asar para hai.

Technical Analysis aur Momentum Indicators

GBP/USD ek pecheedah technical tasveer pesh karta hai. Jab ke pair ke haaliya faiday ek mumkin uptrend ka ishara dete hain, yeh pair abhi bhi neutral territory mein stuck hai ek subtle downward bias ke saath. Yeh is baat se wazeh hai ke yeh 200-day moving average (DMA) ke ahem level se convincingly ooper nahi chadh pa raha, aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi bearish tilt dikhata hai, jo ke yeh suggest karta hai ke short-term mein sellers ka upper hand hai. Magar, exchange rate ka 1.2700 ke level ke aas paas ziddi panah mein rehna kisi bhi potential decline mein rukawat daal raha hai.

Ek cautious optimism ka aik kahani samnay aati hai iski neutral stance ke darmiyan. RSI, jo ke bullish tendencies dikhata hai, 50-midline ke qareeb hai, jo ek naazuk balance ko zahir karta hai. Yeh juxtaposition price fluctuations ko volatile bana sakta hai, jo ke momentum ko kisi bhi direction mein tilt kar sakta hai, aur is tarah GBP/USD dynamics ki pecheedgiyon ko ujagar karta hai.

GBPUSD

1-hour time frame ka review karnay ke baad, yeh saaf hai ke 100-period moving average ke movement range mein bullish effort current trend direction ko badalne ki koshish kar raha hai. Yeh moving average dynamic support aur resistance level ke taur par act kar raha hai, jo buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan jari struggle ko represent karta hai. Halanki recent bounce off 100 MA se underlying demand ka pata chalta hai, pair ab bhi is average ke neeche hai, jo prevailing bearish sentiment ko signal karta hai. Higher lows aur highs ka nikalna direction mein potential shift ko suggest karta hai, jo sellers ko market mein dobara enter hone ka mauka deta hai aur agar upward momentum agle resistance level, jo ke 1.2570 ke qareeb hai, ko cross karne mein nakam hota hai to bearish trend ko prolong kar sakta hai. Agar yeh resistance breach karne mein nakam hoti hai to bearish rejection ka moqa hai, jo sellers ko potential retracement ka faida uthane ka mauka deta hai.

Bearish resistance ke lehaz se, RBS area par tawajjo di jati hai, jahan underlying demand 1.2495 aur 1.2510 ke qareeb estimate ki jati hai. Halanki yeh zone historically support level ke tor par serve karta raha hai, lekin iske neeche breakdown aur downward movements ko trigger kar sakta hai. Mojooda market environment, jo ke bullish aur bearish forces ke darmiyan balance se characterized hai, mein buying aur selling opportunities comparable probabilities offer karti hain, jo ke short-term transactions par initially focus karne ki importance ko underscore karta hai.

Short-term entry strategies ke liye, traders upper supply area 1.2550 par buying opportunities explore kar sakte hain, jahan selling pressure arise ho sakta hai, ya lower demand zone 1.2480 se purchases evaluate kar sakte hain, jahan buying interest emerge ho sakta hai. Ek bullish scenario tab unfold ho sakta hai jab 1.2575 ke upar breakthrough ho, jo ke price ko agle resistance zone 1.2640 ke qareeb le ja sakta hai. Is level ke upar close hona bullish trend ko signify karega, jo ke upward momentum ko strengthen karega. Iske baraks, bearish trend ke continuation ki confirmation us waqt materialize hogi jab is level ke neeche move hogi, jo ke decline ko previous month's lowest price ke lower boundary tak le ja sakti hai, jo ke 1.2310 ke range mein hai. Yeh critical support area agar breach hoti hai, to bearish development ko signal karegi, jo ke deeper correction ko trigger kar sakti hai.

GBPUSD

1-hour time frame ko review karne ke baad yeh wazeh hai ke bullish effort current trend direction ko alter karne ki koshish kar raha hai within the movement range of the 100-period moving average. Yeh moving average ek dynamic support aur resistance level ke tor par kaam karta hai, jo buyers aur sellers ke ongoing struggle ko represent karta hai. Recent bounce off the 100 MA, jo underlying demand ko indicate karta hai, ke bawajood, pair abhi bhi is average ke neeche hai, jo prevailing bearish sentiment ko signal karta hai. Higher lows aur highs ka emergence direction shift ka potential suggest karta hai, sellers ko market mein re-enter karne ka mauqa deta hai aur agar upward momentum next resistance level around 1.2570 ko surpass karne mein fail hota hai to bearish trend ko prolong karne ka potential rakhta hai. Agar yeh resistance breach nahi hota, to bearish rejection ka result ho sakta hai, jo sellers ko ek potential retracement ka faida uthane ka mauqa dega.

Bearish resistance ke hawalay se, RBS area par tawajju di gayi hai, jo approximately 1.2495 aur 1.2510 ke darmiyan underlying demand ko estimate karta hai. Jab ke yeh zone historically support level ke tor par serve karta raha hai, agar yeh breakdown hota hai to further downward movements trigger ho sakti hain. Current market environment jo ke bullish aur bearish forces ke balance se characterize hoti hai, dono buying aur selling opportunities ko comparable probabilities deti hain, aur short-term transactions par initially focus karna zaroori hai.

Short-term entry strategies ke liye, traders upper supply area at 1.2550 se buying opportunities explore kar sakte hain, jahan selling pressure arise ho sakta hai, ya phir lower demand zone at 1.2480 se purchases evaluate kar sakte hain, jahan buying interest emerge ho sakta hai. Ek bullish scenario unfold ho sakta hai agar 1.2575 ke upar breakthrough hota hai, potentially price ko next resistance zone around 1.2640 ki taraf propel karte hue. Is level ke upar close hona bullish trend ko signify karega, jo ek strengthening upward momentum ko indicate karta hai. Conversely, agar yeh level breach nahi hota, bearish trend ke continuation ka confirmation hoga. Agar price is level ke neeche move karti hai to yeh decline ko previous month ke lowest price ke lower boundary tak le ja sakti hai, jo 1.2310 ke range mein situated hai. Agar yeh critical support area breach hota hai to yeh bearish development ko signal karega, potentially deeper correction ko trigger karte hue.