𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBP/USD kay baray mein kal, jab gap band ho gaya, to qeemat ne palat kar strong bullish impulse se upar jaane ki taraf dabaav dala, jis se ek full bullish candle bani. Ye candle sirf mujhe neeche darj ki gayi resistance level, jo maine 1.25180 par mark ki thi, ke neeche bandhne ka maqsad rakhti thi, balkay pichle din ke range ke high ke ooper bhi bandh gayi. Mojooda manzar par ghor kiya jaaye to aaj hum next shumali nishana ki taraf aik harkat dekh sakte hain, jis ka target resistance level 1.25785 par mark hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, do manazir pesh aa sakte hain. Pehli priority scenario mein, aik reversal candle banne aur keemat ka dobara neeche jaane ka maqsad banna. Agar ye mansuba kaamyaab hota hai, to main support level 1.24487 par palatne ki talaash karunga. Agar keemat is support level ke neeche mushtamil hoti hai, to main mazeed dakhil karne ki umeed rakhoonga, jo keemat ko support level 1.22992 par le jaaye gi. Is support level ke qareeb, main aik trading setup ke shikar banunga, jo agle trading raah ko tay karnay mein madad karega. Beshak, keemat ko mazeed janoobi rukh mein dabaaya ja sakta hai, lekin main is waqt is option ko ghor nahi kar raha, kyun ke main is ki jald raftar ko dekhta nahi. Price ka doosra raasta resistance level 1.25785 ko test karne par ek plan hai jahan keemat is level ke ooper mushtamil hoti hai aur shumali rukh par jaari rehti hai. Agar ye plan safar hota hai, to main keemat ko mazeed agay barhte hue ummed rakhoonga, jis ka target resistance level 1.27094 ya resistance level 1.28032 par hoga. In resistance levels ke qareeb, main jari rahunga janoobi signals ki talash mein, neeche rukh ki dobara jaari hone ki umeed rakhta. Aam tor par, aaj ke din mujhe kisi khaas cheez ko mahir nahi nazar aati. Aam tor par, main global janoobi trend ki dobara jaari hone ki taraf munhasir hoon, is liye main nazdeeki resistance levels se bearish signals ki talash mein hoon. Jab Hama aur RSI indicators neela aur hara rang dikhaen, to yeh bullish dilchaspi aur yeh haqeeqat ke baare mein glat ka saboot hoga ke market mein kharidne wale hukoomat mein hain. Jaise he indicators rang badalte hain, hum market mein dakhil ho jate hain aur aik lamba position kholte hain. Position ka exit point magnetic levels indicator readings ke mawaafiq tay kiya jata hai. Mojooda waqt mein, signal execution ke liye sab se zyada wabastagi wale levels ye hain - 1.26554. Zaroori targets ko hasil karne ke baad, zaroori hai ke chart par keemat ka amal dekha jaye, aur agle kadam ka faisla kiya jaye - kya position ko market mein rakhna hai agle magnetic level tak, ya phir pehle hasil ki gayi munafa ko band karne ka faisla kiya jaye. Agar mazeed munafa barhane ki koshish ki jaye, to trailing stop ka istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Kisi bhi level ko zyada aam tor par dekho to dekho, toh agar woh ooper se resistance zone ko todena shuru karte hain, toh main samajhta hoon ke woh sirf tab karenge jab keemat neeche chali jaye aur signals ko process kiya jaye. 1.2460 ke neeche, matlab spike ke neeche jo wahaan par baki hai, hum bahar jaayenge, phir shayad wahaan par umeed hai ke barhav dobara shuru hoga, agar kuch aisa wahin ke liye bana hota hai, neeche palatne ka level. Intehai halat mein, main ek neeche ki taraf dobara palatne ka tasawwur karta hoon; ek mushkil ki misaal factors ki combination ki baat karta hai, kam az kam, pehle se pehle ek barhav ke liye.

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Palestine
Member

• تاریخِ شمولیت: May 2024
• پوسٹس: 83
• موصول شدہ کو پسند کریں 2

Wednesday Analysis: GBP/USD Movement
Aaj Wednesday hai aur kal humne EUR/USD aur GBP/USD pairs mein high volatility movement dekhi thi, aur Gold par bhi. USA dollar index kal weakness show kar raha tha aur aaj main GBP/USD par further analysis karne ja raha hoon. Wednesday ko UK mein koi major events scheduled nahi hain. Main event US Consumer Price Index (CPI) hoga jo April ke liye hai. Inflation mein 0.1-0.2% ki slowdown ho sakti hai, jo US dollar par pressure mount kar sakti hai, halan ke aise values ka matlab nahi hoga ke Federal Reserve monetary policy easing ke kareeb aa raha hai. Isliye, inflation mein minor slowdown dollar ke fundamental background ko change nahi karega.

Kal ke din ko hi le lein. Humne EUR/USD article mein US Producer Price Index (PPI) ka analysis kiya tha aur conclude kiya tha ke yeh report currency pairs mein decline trigger karni chahiye thi, rise nahi. Lekin is report ke ilawa, UK ne bhi apne data release kiye. Unemployment rate 4.3% tak increase hua, unemployment benefit claims ka number 8,900 tak barh gaya, aur average wage growth rate 5.7% tak increase hui. Doosri aur teesri reports pound ke liye positive samjhi ja sakti hain, lekin unemployment rate ko nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. British pound ne is data par girawat se react kiya, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke traders ne initially unemployment rate par zyada dhyan diya. Halan ke US mein PPI ki tarah, sellers ne phir retreat kar liya.

1H Chart Analysis: GBP/USD Bullish Correction

1H chart par, GBP/USD bullish correction se guzar raha hai, jo kuch bhi ban sakti hai. Price 1.2605-1.2620 area ko overcome nahi kar saka, isliye medium-term mein downward trend wapas lane ki umeed hai. Lekin pound aik naye sideways channel mein trading kar raha hai aur yeh situation ab ek hafte se zyada se chal rahi hai. Yeh sochna mushkil hai ke yeh next flat mein kitna aur waqt guzarega.

Detailed Observations and Expectations

Kal ki volatility ki movement ko dekhte hue, yeh clear hai ke market participants kaafi sensitive hain kisi bhi economic indicators ke hawale se. GBP/USD pair ne kal ke data par initial reaction girawat se diya, lekin baad mein stabilization aayi. Yeh dekha gaya ke unemployment rate ke data ka asar significant tha, jabke wage growth aur unemployment benefit claims ne pound ko thoda support diya. Yeh mixed data ek complex picture present karta hai jo short-term trading decisions ko mushkil banata hai.

US CPI Impact on GBP/USD

Aaj ke din ka main focus US CPI par hoga. Inflation mein agar slowdown hota hai, to US dollar par pressure barh sakta hai. Lekin, agar CPI expectations ke mutabiq ya us se zyada hota hai, to dollar mein strength a sakti hai, jo GBP/USD ko niche la sakti hai. Yeh scenario traders ke liye bohot important hoga, kyunki Federal Reserve ke future policies ka yeh ek key indicator banega.

Conclusion

GBP/USD pair is waqt aik uncertain phase mein hai. Short-term bullish correction ke bawajood, medium-term mein downtrend wapas aane ki umeed hai. Market participants ko closely monitor karna hoga economic data ko, specially US CPI ko, jo ke aaj release hone wala hai. Aane wale dinon mein GBP/USD ka movement largely dependent hoga is data par aur traders ke reaction par.

Is waqt GBP/USD sideways channel mein trade kar raha hai aur agle kuch dino mein volatility aur fluctuations dekhne ko mil sakti hain. Traders ko cautious approach rakhni hogi aur economic indicators ke analysis par zyada focus karna hoga

**GBPUSD Pair Ki Technical Analysis**

*4-Hour Chart*

Aaj ke trading ke aghaz se, price ek sideways direction mein move kar rahi hai aur ek ascending pattern ke andar hai. Is hafte ke trading ka aghaz ascending price channels ke andar hua hai jo pichlay do hafton ke dauran price trend ko represent karte hain.

Ab price red channel ke andar trade kar rahi hai jo sirf pichlay hafte ke dauran price movement ka direction show karta hai. Neeche waali channel line price ko support de sakti hai taake ye rise kare, aur humein resistance levels 1.2769 par hain jo rise ka pehla target hai.

Dusra level 1.2840 hai, aur yeh woh levels hain jo is hafte ke trading ke dauran price se reach hone ki umeed hai. Agar price ka sideways movement jaari raha aur price red channel se bahar nikal aayi, to downward correction wave aasakti hai. Humein jo qareebi support level hai, woh weekly pivot level 1.2638 hai jo price ko wapas upar le aasakta hai.

Economic side par dekhein to, pichlay hafte price of the pair barhi, jab markets ne shayad US inflation data ko zyada hi react kiya. Sterling ke perspective se dekhein to, is hafte ke crucial inflation data ke pehle tensions barh rahi thi. Forex currency trading companies ke platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/USD exchange rate 5 hafton ke highest level 1.2711 tak pohanch gaya tha pehle ke slightly below 1.2650 aane se pehle.

Sterling dollar ke expected price ke hawalay se, Nordea ne expect kiya hai ke GBP/USD agle 3 mahinon mein 1.22 support tak weaken ho sakta hai jab Fed US interest rate cuts ko reject kar raha hai aur Europe borrowing costs ko kam kar raha hai. Forex market trading ke mutabiq, British pound ka exchange rate euro ke against (GBP/EUR) relatively narrow ranges mein raha aur around 1.1650 par settle ho gaya. ING Bank ne comment kiya; “Hamara preferred call is point par yeh nahi hai ke US dollar ka decline jaari rahega May ke end tak, balki ek period of quiet trading jahan direction aur volatility low hogi.”

Overall, markets Bank of England ke interest rates ka outlook debate karte rahe aur rhetoric par nazar rakhte rahe. Foreign Monetary Policy Committee member Green ke mutabiq; “Given ke humein apni restrictive stance ko kab tak maintain karna hoga before policy eased hoti hai, mujhe lagta hai ke burden of proof yeh hona chahiye ke inflation decline karti rahe.”

Jab Asian session Monday ko unfold hoti hai, GBP/USD thoda ooper dikhayi de raha hai, 1.2607 ke qareeb hover karte hue. Yeh uptick risk appetite ke resurgence ko attribute kiya ja sakta hai jo positive economic indicators, khaaskar UK mein, se bolster hua hai. Notably, UK economy ne Q1 mein remarkable expansion dikhayi 0.7% ki, jo initial forecasts ko surpass karta hai aur nation ke brief recession ka decisive end signal karta hai.

GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko six major currencies ke against track karta hai, ek modest rebound experience kar chuka hai jabke dip karke 105.00 tak gaya tha. Magar, US Dollar ka agla move significant tor par April ke US Inflation data par depend karega, jo Wednesday ko release hone wala hai. Inflation figures essential insights offer karenge ke Federal Reserve September se interest rate reductions initiate karega ya nahi. Tab tak, market participants interest rate guidance ko closely monitor karenge Federal Reserve speakers se, jo US Dollar ka trajectory shape karega.

Four-hour Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Subsequently, attention psychological barrier par shift hogi at 1.2400, followed by the year-to-date (YTD) low of 1.2297. Pair ka retracement towards 1.2500 seller optimism ko maintain karta hai ek downtrend ke liye, especially considering ke buyers 200-day moving average (DMA) jo 1.2544 par situated hai, ko surpass karne mein nakam rahe hain. Additionally, Relative Strength Index (RSI) ek bearish stance ko retain karta hai jo extended losses ki possibility ko further reinforce karta hai.





Bearish resurgence ki likelihood badh jaati hai jab sellers 200-DMA aur 1.2540 support levels ko breach karne par nazar rakhte hain. Agar yeh key thresholds breach hote hain, toh next significant support level emerge hota hai at 1.2444, jo May low ko correspond karta hai, followed by April low of 1.2297.

GBP/USD Price Direction

Hamari discussion ka topic GBP/USD currency pair ki price movements ka analysis hai. Yeh quote trading week ki shuruaat 1.2699 par karta hai, thora sa downward gap dikhata hai, aur ab tak koi significant movement nahi dikhai. Monday ka projection uneventful hai, koi clear direction zaroori hai, intraday aur kuch dinon tak neutrality barqarar rakhti hai, lekin longer term mein bulls ko favor karti hai. Asset ne hourly moving dynamics ko test kiya, brief bearish resistance ko face karte hue wapas 1.2707 par rebound kar gaya, jo ke din ki peak 1.2714 ke qareeb hai. European session ki activity ke bawajood, GBP/USD quotes kareeb 1.2704 par hover kar rahi hain, subha se minimal change ke sath, indicators zyada tar hourly chart par buyers ko favor karte hain. European session ke dauran movement ka imkaan kam hai; attention ab American market ki taraf shift ho rahi hai for potential price shifts. Filhal, GBP/USD ke liye 1.2658 ki taraf bearish movement ka tasawwur hai, kyunki bears, jo 1.2715 ke qareeb hain, corrective decline ki tayari kar rahe hain, stochastic entering ke pair ke overbought territory ko correct karne ki zaroorat hai.

Four-hour chart par aik bearish candle form hui hai, lekin sirf aik dikhai de rahi hai; meri trading system ke liye do candles ka signal expected hai, jo mujhe jald milne ki umeed hai. Qareebi future mein, GBP/USD ki price pehle 1.2653 support level tak decline hone ka imkaan hai, jo May 3 ka local minimum hai, bears shaayad 1.2634 support ko target kar rahe hain, naye H4 low ko establish karne ke liye, "zigzag" indicator ke zariye fresh growth wave ka rasta banane ke liye, 1.2706-1.2719 resistance range ke liye consolidation ka target banate hue. Is currency pair ka overall movement unmistakably aik upward four-hour trend ko resemble karta hai, notably 55-period moving average ke upar trade kar raha hai aur filhal Bollinger indicator ke median ko surpass kar raha hai, envisioned correction is trend ko nahi rok rahi, jisse bulls confidently apna ascent continue kar sakte hain.

Bank of England (BOE) June meeting mein interest rate cut ka soch rahi hai. Governor Andrew Bailey ne zor diya hai ke bank ke faislay data pe base karenge, khas tor pe wage growth aur consumer price inflation figures pe UK mein. UK ka Consumer Prices Index (CPI) inflation forecast hai ke April mein 2.1% tak gir jayega, jo ke March mein 3.2% tha. Isi tarah, core CPI bhi April mein 3.6% tak girne ki umeed hai, jo ke pichle mahine 4.2% tha.
Agar data expected se kamzor nikla, toh BOE rate hike kar sakti hai, jo Pound ko asar daal sakta hai. Agar Pound 1.2465 support level se neeche girta hai, toh short-term mein 1.2300 ke five-month low tak girne ka chance hai. Aur ziada girne se traders ka dhyan 1.2186 support level pe shift ho sakta hai.

Yeh dynamics upcoming economic data aur BOE ke decisions ki importance ko highlight karte hain, jo Pound ki trajectory aur broader market expectations ko significantly impact kar sakte hain.

25 April se GBP/USD pair sideways trading kar raha hai, apne moving average range mein reh raha hai. Yeh consolidation ka period suggest karta hai jahan buyers aur sellers ne definitive control nahi liya. Agar downtrend line ke upar breakout hota hai, toh market sentiment neutral ho sakta hai.

Agar pair decisively Qatar riyal peg (1.2892 ke aas-paas) ke resistance level ko cross karta hai, toh yeh upside move ki taraf bias signal kar sakta hai. Aisa breakout bullish sentiment ko attract kar sakta hai, aur potentially GBP/USD ko higher drive kar sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh level ke upar clear breakout nahi hota, toh broader outlook neutral rehta hai, jo ek balanced market ko reflect karta hai bina strong directional bias ke.

Traders in technical levels, upcoming economic indicators aur central bank announcements ko closely dekh rahe hain, cues ke liye pair ke next significant move pe.

/USD currency pair ke tezi mein kami ke maamle mein char ghante ka chart dekhne se thoda sa tabahi ho gaya hai, kyunki, sach kehne ka, jodi mere umeed se niche chali gayi, aur maine socha tha ke keemat 25th figure se bahar nahi jayegi, lekin aisa ho gaya, halankeh maine khud sales band kar diye aur kharidariyon ki taraf muraad di. Magar main daramadi muddat ke saath trade karta hoon, to mere liye kuch chinta ki baat nahi hai. Ab hamari mukhya lakshya 1.2475 par hai, pichle sthaniya minimum ke star par, jise bullock pair ko jaane na dena chahiye, agar ve pair ko aage badhane ka iraada karte hain, aur mujhe lagta hai ke voh karte hain. To shayad abhi vahaan, dakshini sudhaar khatam ho jayega aur bull GBP/USD jodi ko 1.2475 ki samarthan parikshan se upar le jaane ke liye shuruwat karenge, aur saath hi TMA trend indicator ke nichey ki seema, khaaskar jab char ghante ka stochastic ab nishchit roop se indicator ke nichle kinare tak pahunch gaya hai aur shayad ab jald hi uttar ki taraf mudega, aur Zigzag indicator ne kal se hi giravat ke ant ki taraf ishaara kiya hai. To main ek ulte kaaran aur GBP/USD jodi ke naye udbhav ke liye quotes mein naye vridhi ka karan ka intezaar kar raha hoon, jismein mukhya lakshya hai ki bull 1.2585-1.2600 ke samarthan parikshan ka daura karein, kyunki uttar ke lakshya ab gir gaye hain, halankeh pehle maine 26th figure ke beech mein vridhi ka ishaara kiya tha, lekin ab ek naye sudhaar ke bina yahin chart par darshaya gaya kshetra nishchit roop se kaafi nahi hoga. Sabko vyapar mein saflta ki shubhkaamnayein.


GBP/USD H1 Time Frame:

Haal hi mein, ek Fed pratinidhi ne ek bhashan diya aur yah shayad keemat par asar kiya, keemat niche gayi. Kabhi-kabhi, bazaar dwara ausat khabar ka badiya prkriya hota hai. Is resistance star se 1.2563, keemat ne neeche ki aur badh sakti hai aur 1.2471 ki samarthan star tak pahunch sakti hai, lekin mujhe shak hai, agar ab keemat ko ek bada khiladi daba raha hai, to yah bilkul ho sakta hai. Abhi tak maine dakhil ki nirnay nahi kiya hai, lekin jyadatar main kharidari shuru karunga. Magar main chart par keemat kaise jaati hai, yeh bhi dekhunga. Kal voh abhi bhi swaichalit ho sakte hain, lekin guruvaar ko pound ke liye majboot khabrein hain aur keemat pichle khabron ke anusaar jaayegi. 1.2465 neeche 1.2471 ke neeche majboot samarthan hai aur yeh keval pound ke liye kamjor khabron par toot sakta hai, anyatha keemat pichle samarthan se oopar uth sakti hai agar pehle nahi utarti. Jab tak keemat 1.2507 par hai, 25 figures bhi neeche ja sakte hain.

GBPUSD jodi ki ab mojooda qeemat mein izafa ka silsila jari hai, jaise ke 200 SMA ko guzar kar. 50 EMA aur 200 SMA ek dusre ke nazdeek hain, jo bullish trend ki taraf rukh ki tabdeeli ka imkan dete hain aur ek golden cross signal ka pakeezah hone ka imkan bhi dete hain. Lekin, jab haqeeqat mein qeemat 200 SMA ko guzarti hai, to yeh bearish trend ki taraf rukh ka samna kar sakti hai. Qeemat ab bhi 1.2500 level par rehne ki koshish kar rahi hai, kuch din pehle kuch 1.2445 ke qareeb chali gayi thi. Stochastic indicator ke nukta-e-nazar ko dekhte hue, parameter overbought zone ko cross kar chuka hai, jo izafa ka silsila jald khatam ho sakta hai. Shayad qeemat ab EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke aas paas mazid mawaazna karegi taake agle qeemat ka rukh tay kiya ja sake. Agar parameter 50 ke level ko cross kar sakta hai to qeemat dobara ooper ja sakti hai. Qeemat ke pattern mein koi tabdeeli nahi hai aur yeh aik lower low - lower high shorat ko jari rakhta hai. Iske ilawa, jab tak qeemat 1.2445 ke neeche girne ka rukh nahi rakhti aur qeemat jab 1.2633 ke unchi ke qeematon ko guzar jati hai, tab qeemat ko bulandiyaon ki taraf le jaane wali tabdeeli ko inkar nahi kiya ja sakta. Iske ilawa, aapko New York session mein US Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment data report se savdhaan rehna chahiye.
Trading Salahiyat

Ek kamzor bearish trend ke darmiyan trading Salahiyat ko koshish kar sakte hain ke BUY position rakhein. Dakhilay ke positions ko rakhein jab yeh yaqeeni ban jaye ke 200 SMA ke ooper qareeb dakhilay hain aur Stochastic indicator ke parameters 50 ke level ko cross kar chuke hain. Munafa hasil karne ke liye maqsad ko bulandiyo 1.2633 ke qeematon par rakhein aur stop loss ko kam qeematon 1.2445 ke aas paas rakhein.

Aur yahan, beshak, koi shak nahi hai, kyunki agar koi surat-e-haal zyada samajhne ki mumkin hoti, to yeh bura nahi hota, kyunki mere liye abhi koi fori maqasid nahi hain. Pound se kya talluq hai, market ke khulne ke baad bhi, kuch khaas tabdeeli nahi aayi hai, kyunki hum ab bhi wahi range mein trade kar rahe hain aur koi khaas sargarmi nahi hai, kam az kam abhi ke liye. Magar phir bhi ahem hai ke dollar agle kis tarah se trade hoga.
Is surat-e-haal mein, mere liye sab kuch mustaqil hai ke mein khud abhi bhi sahay par hoon aur aise keemat par mein kisi bhi rukh mein le transactions ki koi ghor nahi kar raha. Magar mujhe yakeen hai ke hum abhi bhi 1.2575 ke upar ja sakte hain aur sirf wahan par mein farokht ko na-mumkin nahi samjhta.

GBP/USD jora riwayati tor par EUR/USD joray ki wahi rawish dikhata hai. Yeh bilkul wahi tameer channel mein horizontally chalta hai jo 1.2450 (Murray 6.8) - 1.2572 (Murray 7.8) ke darmiyan hai, jahan Kijun H4 line daurati hai. MACD indicator neutral ilaqa ke qareeb pohncha hai, magar musbat bannay mein jaldi nahi kar raha hai. Bunyadi data jo trading ke mazeed dor ka asar daal sakta hai, kal hi shuru honge, is liye ab aap baghair kisi pareshani ke intizar kar sakte hain.

GBPUSD, yaani British Pound aur United States Dollar ka currency pair, forex market mein aik ahem aur popular pair hai. Yeh pair traders ke darmiyan rozana lakhon transactions ka markaz hai. Iska maqsad hai do mukhtalif currencies ke darmiyan tajawuzat ko qaim karne ka tajziya karna.
GBPUSD ki keemat ka tajziya karna, jise kuch traders as "Cable" bhi jante hain, maamoolan challenging hota hai. Yeh pair kayi factors par asar daalti hain jaise ke economic indicators, political events, aur global market sentiments. Har ek factor ka asar keemat par hota hai aur is liye traders ko maqasid ki taraf tawajjo deni chahiye.

Is currency pair ke movement par asar daalti hain UK aur US ke economic indicators. Employment rates, GDP growth, aur inflation ka level iske movement par farq daal sakta hai. Political events bhi iske movement ko asar andaz kar sakte hain, jaise ke elections, policy changes, aur international relations.

GBPUSD ki movement ka analysis karte waqt, traders ko technical aur fundamental analysis ka istemal karna chahiye. Technical analysis mein price charts, indicators, aur patterns ka istemal hota hai taake future ki movement ka andaaza lagaya ja sake. Jabke fundamental analysis mein economic data, geopolitical events, aur monetary policy ka asar dekha jata hai.

Is waqt, GBPUSD kaafi volatile ho sakta hai aur iske movement par kisi bhi waqt tabdeeli aa sakti hai. Isliye, traders ko hamesha taiyar rehna chahiye aur apni trading strategy ko mukhtalif halat ke mutabiq adjust karna chahiye

Aur yahan, beshak, koi shak nahi hai, kyunki agar koi surat-e-haal zyada samajhne ki mumkin hoti, to yeh bura nahi hota, kyunki mere liye abhi koi fori maqasid nahi hain. Pound se kya talluq hai, market ke khulne ke baad bhi, kuch khaas tabdeeli nahi aayi hai, kyunki hum ab bhi wahi range mein trade kar rahe hain aur koi khaas sargarmi nahi hai, kam az kam abhi ke liye. Magar phir bhi ahem hai ke dollar agle kis tarah se trade hoga.
Is surat-e-haal mein, mere liye sab kuch mustaqil hai ke mein khud abhi bhi sahay par hoon aur aise keemat par mein kisi bhi rukh mein le transactions ki koi ghor nahi kar raha. Magar mujhe yakeen hai ke hum abhi bhi 1.2575 ke upar ja sakte hain aur sirf wahan par mein farokht ko na-mumkin nahi samjhta.

GBP/USD jora riwayati tor par EUR/USD joray ki wahi rawish dikhata hai. Yeh bilkul wahi tameer channel mein horizontally chalta hai jo 1.2450 (Murray 6.8) - 1.2572 (Murray 7.8) ke darmiyan hai, jahan Kijun H4 line daurati hai. MACD indicator neutral ilaqa ke qareeb pohncha hai, magar musbat bannay mein jaldi nahi kar raha hai. Bunyadi data jo trading ke mazeed dor ka asar daal sakta hai, kal hi shuru honge, is liye ab aap baghair kisi pareshani ke intizar kar sakte hain.

GBPUSD, yaani British Pound aur United States Dollar ka currency pair, forex market mein aik ahem aur popular pair hai. Yeh pair traders ke darmiyan rozana lakhon transactions ka markaz hai. Iska maqsad hai do mukhtalif currencies ke darmiyan tajawuzat ko qaim karne ka tajziya karna.
GBPUSD ki keemat ka tajziya karna, jise kuch traders as "Cable" bhi jante hain, maamoolan challenging hota hai. Yeh pair kayi factors par asar daalti hain jaise ke economic indicators, political events, aur global market sentiments. Har ek factor ka asar keemat par hota hai aur is liye traders ko maqasid ki taraf tawajjo deni chahiye.

Is currency pair ke movement par asar daalti hain UK aur US ke economic indicators. Employment rates, GDP growth, aur inflation ka level iske movement par farq daal sakta hai. Political events bhi iske movement ko asar andaz kar sakte hain, jaise ke elections, policy changes, aur international relations.

GBPUSD ki movement ka analysis karte waqt, traders ko technical aur fundamental analysis ka istemal karna chahiye. Technical analysis mein price charts, indicators, aur patterns ka istemal hota hai taake future ki movement ka andaaza lagaya ja sake. Jabke fundamental analysis mein economic data, geopolitical events, aur monetary policy ka asar dekha jata hai.

Is waqt, GBPUSD kaafi volatile ho sakta hai aur iske movement par kisi bhi waqt tabdeeli aa sakti hai. Isliye, traders ko hamesha taiyar rehna chahiye aur apni trading strategy ko mukhtalif halat ke mutabiq adjust karna chahiye.

USD currency pair ke tezi mein kami ke maamle mein char ghante ka chart dekhne se thoda sa tabahi ho gaya hai, kyunki, sach kehne ka, jodi mere umeed se niche chali gayi, aur maine socha tha ke keemat 25th figure se bahar nahi jayegi, lekin aisa ho gaya, halankeh maine khud sales band kar diye aur kharidariyon ki taraf muraad di. Magar main daramadi muddat ke saath trade karta hoon, to mere liye kuch chinta ki baat nahi hai. Ab hamari mukhya lakshya 1.2475 par hai, pichle sthaniya minimum ke star par, jise bullock pair ko jaane na dena chahiye, agar ve pair ko aage badhane ka iraada karte hain, aur mujhe lagta hai ke voh karte hain. To shayad abhi vahaan, dakshini sudhaar khatam ho jayega aur bull GBP/USD jodi ko 1.2475 ki samarthan parikshan se upar le jaane ke liye shuruwat karenge, aur saath hi TMA trend indicator ke nichey ki seema, khaaskar jab char ghante ka stochastic ab nishchit roop se indicator ke nichle kinare tak pahunch gaya hai aur shayad ab jald hi uttar ki taraf mudega, aur Zigzag indicator ne kal se hi giravat ke ant ki taraf ishaara kiya hai. To main ek ulte kaaran aur GBP/USD jodi ke naye udbhav ke liye quotes mein naye vridhi ka karan ka intezaar kar raha hoon, jismein mukhya lakshya hai ki bull 1.2585-1.2600 ke samarthan parikshan ka daura karein, kyunki uttar ke lakshya ab gir gaye hain, halankeh pehle maine 26th figure ke beech mein vridhi ka ishaara kiya tha, lekin ab ek naye sudhaar ke bina yahin chart par darshaya gaya kshetra nishchit roop se kaafi nahi hoga. Sabko vyapar mein saflta ki shubhkaamnayein.


GBP/USD H1 Time Frame:

Haal hi mein, ek Fed pratinidhi ne ek bhashan diya aur yah shayad keemat par asar kiya, keemat niche gayi. Kabhi-kabhi, bazaar dwara ausat khabar ka badiya prkriya hota hai. Is resistance star se 1.2563, keemat ne neeche ki aur badh sakti hai aur 1.2471 ki samarthan star tak pahunch sakti hai, lekin mujhe shak hai, agar ab keemat ko ek bada khiladi daba raha hai, to yah bilkul ho sakta hai. Abhi tak maine dakhil ki nirnay nahi kiya hai, lekin jyadatar main kharidari shuru karunga. Magar main chart par keemat kaise jaati hai, yeh bhi dekhunga. Kal voh abhi bhi swaichalit ho sakte hain, lekin guruvaar ko pound ke liye majboot khabrein hain aur keemat pichle khabron ke anusaar jaayegi. 1.2465 neeche 1.2471 ke neeche majboot samarthan hai aur yeh keval pound ke liye kamjor khabron par toot sakta hai, anyatha keemat pichle samarthan se oopar uth sakti hai agar pehle nahi utarti. Jab tak keemat 1.2507 par hai, 25 figures bhi neeche ja sakte hain.

### GBP/USD Outlook Analysis
Pichlay Pirs ko, GBP/USD currency pair ka market activity kaafi sust raha. Na to buyers aur na hi sellers ne zyada trading mein dilchaspi dikhayi, jiski wajah se price 1.2720 level ke aas-paas hi ruki rahi. Yeh harkat ki kami yeh batati hai ke market balance mein hai, jahan na bullish aur na hi bearish forces price ko decide karne mein mazboot hain.

GBP/USD pair poore din 1.2720 level se thoda upar hi raha, jo market sentiment mein balance ko dikhata hai. Yeh balance yeh batata hai ke traders shayad kisi baray economic data ya geopolitical developments ka intezar kar rahe hain naye positions lene se pehle. Aise low volatility ke dor aam hote hain aur aksar baray market movements se pehle hote hain jab traders wazeh signals ka intezar karte hain.

Hourly chart ke indicators dekhein to buyers ko thoda faida nazar aata hai. Technical indicators jaise moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur MACD bullish signals dikhate hain. Agar short-term moving average long-term moving average se upar ho, ya RSI upar ki taraf ja raha ho lekin abhi overbought territory mein na ho, to yeh mild bullish sentiment hota hai. Magar yeh faida itna nahi hai ke foran baray upward movement ki tawaqo ki ja sake.




Is context mein, current market conditions ehtiyaat baratne ko kehti hain. Kuch technical indicators ke slight bullish bias ke bawajood, buyers aur sellers ki Monday ko kam dilchaspi ka matlab hai ke aaj northward movement shayad na ho. Market participants shayad ab bhi hesitant hain, aur baray economic indicators ya news events ka intezar kar rahe hain jo zyada direction de saken.

Kayi factors is ehtiyaati ravaiye mein hissa le sakte hain. Ek to, economic calendar ke start mein impactful data releases kam thi, jisse traders ne wait-and-see approach apnayi. Saath hi, chalti hui geopolitical events ya uncertainties bhi traders ko sidelines par rakh sakti hain. Jab tak koi compelling reason na ho naye positions lene ka, market range-bound reh sakta hai.

Euro ne US dollar ke against major global currencies ke muqable mein US inflation data ke release hone ke baad faida uthaya. Kya greenback wapas aa sakta hai? FOMC meeting minutes is haftay ka key event nahi hain jo May 24 tak hone wala hai. European wages aur business activity ke reports zyada ahmiyat rakhti hain. Serve EUR/USD bulls ke haath mein hai, lekin kya woh iska faida utha sakenge?
Investors ke US dollar se nikalne ki wajah se doosri global currencies mein speculative long positions mein izafa hua. Euro is se sabse zyada faida uthane walon mein se ek raha. Hedge funds aur asset managers ne regional currency ko bohot jaldi khareeda, Mexico ke super-peso se bhi tez. European session ke aghaz mein, British Pound (GBP/USD) symmetrical triangle pattern ke ird gird 1.2705 par trade kar raha hai aur H4 chart par May 7 se banne wale uptrend channel mein hai.

British pound agle chand ghanton mein sharply symmetrical triangle pattern ko tor sakta hai aur hum ek drop expect kar sakte hain. Ye scenario tabhi valid hoga agar GBP/USD 21 SMA ke neeche 1.2685 par break aur consolidate kare, phir yeh 200 EMA tak pohanch sakta hai jo 1.2572 par hai.

Agar British pound weekly high 1.2730 par consolidate kar jaye ya symmetrical triangle ke upar break kare, to hum bullish movement ke continuation ki tawaqo kar sakte hain aur yeh instrument 1.2817 par +1/8 Murray ya 1.2770 ke upar trend channel tak pohanch sakta hai.

British pound 1.27 par May 15 se consolidate ho raha hai. Is area ke upar outlook positive ho sakta hai. Neeche is zone ke hum ek technical correction expect kar sakte hain kyun ke eagle indicator overbought signal generate kar raha hai.

Hamari trading plan agle chand ghanton ke liye yeh hai ke hum British pound ko tabhi sell karenge agar yeh 1.2685 se neeche girta hai, aur targets 1.2620, 1.2573, aur psychological level 1.2500 par hain.

Har kisi ko Tuesday par garam joshi se welcome karta hoon. Guzishta Pirs ko na buyers aur na hi sellers ne hamare instrument mein dilchaspi dikhayi. GBP/USD currency pair ka quotes thora upar 1.2700 level ke aas paas stagnant raha, jahan abhi bhi hai. Is waqt, hourly chart ke indicators ke mutabiq, buyers ko thoda faida hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke aaj northward movement expect nahi karna chahiye. European session ke doran sideways movement jaari reh sakti hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke American session ke start hote hi GBP/USD quotes dheere dheere southern direction mein gir ke 1.2655 level ke ird gird pohanch sakti hain.

GBP/USD aaj phir aik flat range mein guzra, jahan 1.2691 se lekar 1.2701 tak ka chal raha tha. Ji haan, aap ne sahi parha, keemat European trading session aur US session ke adhay tak 10 point ke andar reh gayi. Yeh halat British currency ke movement ko Monday ko kuch is tarah ka zikar kar rahe hain. US session ke darmiyan mein, keemat is range ke oopar nahi gayi, lekin ooncha chalne ka andaza mushkil hai. Kya yeh bhi sawab tha ke is khareedne ki nishani ko faida uthane ki koshish ki gayi, jo lagbhag 8 ghante mein bani, jabke aam toor par din ki baqaida ghair mustaqilat tak pahunchi bhi nahi. Sa'at ki timeframe par chadhate hue trend line abhi bhi ahmiyat rakhti hai, jisme British currency ke barhne ke koi signs nahi hain.

British pound be ghair bunyadi buniyad par barh rahi hai, lekin yeh haqeeqat traders ko ab kisi had tak heran nahi karti. Pichle che mahino se (ya shayad ziada) pound ne mustaqil taur par ghair logic barhawat dikhayi hai. To hum phir se dekh rahe hain kaise pound market ki kam aktiiviti par bhi, haan ek Monday ko bhi, kisi bhi buniyadi ya macroeconomic waqiyat ki puri kami mein bhi, 250 pips ke chadhaw ke baad bhi, aur Bank of England ke taqreeban mukhtalif rate cut ke bawajood bhi barhti hai. Agar kisi hamare parhne walon ko hamare yeh nateeje par shaq tha ke is be bunyadi barhawat ke baray mein, to unhone kal isay khud bhi tasdeeq kar liya. Yeh mushkil hai ke yeh harkat kitni deer tak jari rahegi. Technical nazar se, upar ka trade mumkin hai, lekin bunyadi tor par, yeh pair khareedne ka intehai mushkil hai. 1H chart par, GBP/USD ab bhi aik bullish correction ka safar tay kar raha hai. Keemat ne doosri koshish par 1.2605-1.2620 area ko asani se guzra, aur 1.2691-1.2701 area bhi kharidarun ko rok nahi saka. Market yeh dikhata hai ke woh pound khareedna chahti hai bina kisi bunyadi ya macroeconomic background ke, ya phir uski puri kami ke bawajood. Iska matlab hai ke pair ki harkat be bunyadi hai, is liye kisi bhi patterns ko dhoondhne ka koi maqsad nahi hai. Abhi ke trend line ko torne se bhi yeh zaroori nahi ke ek giravat shuru hogi. Mangalwar ko, US mein koi ahmiyat ka waqia ya report shamil nahi hai. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey baat karenge, jo kaafi dilchasp ho sakta hai. Yaani, agar market saare khabron aur waqiyat par mantahi tor par jawab deti, to baat Bailey ki kuch ahmiyat nahi rakhti. Market ke zyada tar hisaab se, woh uske alfaz ko pound ke haq mein samjhegi.

### GBP/USD: Price Analysis
GBP/USD chart ke H4 time frame mein ek noticeable change hua hai: ek distinct downward price channel form hua hai. Yeh market dynamics mein aik significant shift ko zahir karta hai, jo duniya bhar ke traders ki tawajju attract kar raha hai. Yeh descending channel local highs se notable recovery ke baad saamne aaya, jo 1.2900 par peak hua tha. GBP/USD traders ke darmiyan is development par interest aur discussion barh gayi hai. GBP/USD chart par downward price channel ka ubharna trend direction mein possible shift ko zahir karta hai, jo traders aur experts ko evolving situation ko closely monitor karne par majboor kar raha hai. Aise technical patterns aksar traders ke liye valuable indicators hote hain, jo unki market actions ko guide karte hain. Jab tak GBP/USD pair is declining pattern mein hai, traders potential entry points ko evaluate kar rahe hain. Kuch log downward momentum ka faida uthate hue short positions lena chaheinge, jab ke doosre log zyada ehtiyaat barat kar clear breakout evidence ka intezar karenge pehle ke significant decisions lein.




Broader economic factors ne bhi GBP/USD pair ke market sentiment par asar daala hai. CCI indicator upper portion of the overheated zone se exit hone ki tayari kar raha hai. Kyun ke price significant peak par pohanch gaya hai sales area mein, pullback ki likelihood barh gayi hai. Filhal, rising peak se faida uthane ke liye purchases karna premature hai, lekin decline anticipate karna bhi abhi jaldi hai. Potential hai ke price horizontal support at 1.2562 ke upar rise kar sake, aur downward trend se recover kar sake. Trading strategy ke lihaaz se, investors ko GBP/USD pair mein long positions open karne ke mauqe dekhne chahiye. Ek approach yeh ho sakti hai ke key support levels ki taraf decline ka intezar kiya jaye, jaise ke previous resistance-turned-support zone at 1.24447, pehle ke buy positions enter karne aur necessary risk management measures implement karne se pehle. In conclusion, strong bullish momentum GBP/USD currency pair mein promising buying opportunities present karta hai.