**GBP/USD Analysis: Market Overview in Roman Urdu**
GBP/USD ne Monday ko 1.3000 ke north mein chart paper ko dissect kiya, jab ke markets ne trading week ke pehle hisse ke doran aik relaxed tone apnayi. Aham UK data ke release hone ka intezaar tha. Tuesday ko UK wages aur job growth ka data expected tha, jab ke Wednesday ko UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation ke figures release hone walay hain.
GBP/USD daily candlesticks par momentum mein aik noticeable tabdeeli dekhne ko mili hai. Yeh pair apne 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke neeche break kar gaya hai, jo ke 1.31050 par tha, aur ab 1.3050 ke aas paas hover kar raha hai. GBP/USD ne late September mein apni peak se significant pullback dekha hai, aur 50-day EMA bhi flatten ho raha hai, jo ke bullish trend mein kamzori ka ishara hai. Halaanki, pair abhi bhi 200-day EMA ke upar hai jo ke 1.28450 ke aas paas hai, aur yeh aik important long-term support level hai.
Momentum ke perspective se, moving average convergence-divergence (MACD) indicator bearish pressure ko signal kar raha hai. MACD line (blue) signal line (orange) ke neeche cross kar gayi hai, aur histogram bhi negative bar mein deep ho raha hai. Yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke selling momentum mein izafa ho raha hai aur agar current trend jaari raha, toh pair aur neeche girne ke risks ka samna kar sakta hai. MACD histogram ka zero ke neeche move karna bearish divergence ko confirm karta hai, jo downtrend ki taqat ko dikhata hai.
Aham support levels mein psychological 1.3000 ka level shamil hai, aur 200-day EMA jo ke 1.28450 ke qareeb hai, yeh donon important buffers ka kaam kar sakte hain. Doosri taraf, 50-day EMA jo ke 1.31050 ke qareeb hai, ek resistance zone ban raha hai. Bullish momentum ko regain karne ke liye is level ke upar break hona zaroori hoga. Jab tak pair 50-day EMA ke neeche hai, outlook cautious hai, aur short term mein aur girawat ka imkaan hai.
Markets UK jobs data mein ease ki umeed rakh rahe hain jo August tak ke quarter ka data hoga. Median market forecasts expect karte hain ke headline earnings excluding bonuses 4.9% ho jaye, jo pehle 5.1% tha. UK ke claimant numbers mein bhi ease ka imkaan hai, September mein 20.2K tak jo pehle August mein 23.7K tha, jab ke UK ILO unemployment rate August ke three-month period ke liye 4.1% par steady rehne ka andaza hai.
Yeh GBP ke forward data docket ka pehla hissa hai trading week ke liye. Wednesday ko UK CPI inflation figures follow up karengi, jahan headline YoY CPI inflation 1.9% hone ka andaza hai jo pehle 2.2% tha. Halanki, core CPI inflation expected hai ke 3.6% se 3.4% tak ease karega.
US se meaningful data Thursday ko aayega jab US retail sales ka data expected hai, jo September mein 0.3% MoM tak pohonchne ki umeed hai, jo August mein 0.1% decline tha. Halaanki, cable traders Thursday ke Bank of England monetary policy report hearings par zyada focus karenge.
GBP/USD ne Monday ko 1.3000 ke north mein chart paper ko dissect kiya, jab ke markets ne trading week ke pehle hisse ke doran aik relaxed tone apnayi. Aham UK data ke release hone ka intezaar tha. Tuesday ko UK wages aur job growth ka data expected tha, jab ke Wednesday ko UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation ke figures release hone walay hain.
GBP/USD daily candlesticks par momentum mein aik noticeable tabdeeli dekhne ko mili hai. Yeh pair apne 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke neeche break kar gaya hai, jo ke 1.31050 par tha, aur ab 1.3050 ke aas paas hover kar raha hai. GBP/USD ne late September mein apni peak se significant pullback dekha hai, aur 50-day EMA bhi flatten ho raha hai, jo ke bullish trend mein kamzori ka ishara hai. Halaanki, pair abhi bhi 200-day EMA ke upar hai jo ke 1.28450 ke aas paas hai, aur yeh aik important long-term support level hai.
Momentum ke perspective se, moving average convergence-divergence (MACD) indicator bearish pressure ko signal kar raha hai. MACD line (blue) signal line (orange) ke neeche cross kar gayi hai, aur histogram bhi negative bar mein deep ho raha hai. Yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke selling momentum mein izafa ho raha hai aur agar current trend jaari raha, toh pair aur neeche girne ke risks ka samna kar sakta hai. MACD histogram ka zero ke neeche move karna bearish divergence ko confirm karta hai, jo downtrend ki taqat ko dikhata hai.
Aham support levels mein psychological 1.3000 ka level shamil hai, aur 200-day EMA jo ke 1.28450 ke qareeb hai, yeh donon important buffers ka kaam kar sakte hain. Doosri taraf, 50-day EMA jo ke 1.31050 ke qareeb hai, ek resistance zone ban raha hai. Bullish momentum ko regain karne ke liye is level ke upar break hona zaroori hoga. Jab tak pair 50-day EMA ke neeche hai, outlook cautious hai, aur short term mein aur girawat ka imkaan hai.
Markets UK jobs data mein ease ki umeed rakh rahe hain jo August tak ke quarter ka data hoga. Median market forecasts expect karte hain ke headline earnings excluding bonuses 4.9% ho jaye, jo pehle 5.1% tha. UK ke claimant numbers mein bhi ease ka imkaan hai, September mein 20.2K tak jo pehle August mein 23.7K tha, jab ke UK ILO unemployment rate August ke three-month period ke liye 4.1% par steady rehne ka andaza hai.
Yeh GBP ke forward data docket ka pehla hissa hai trading week ke liye. Wednesday ko UK CPI inflation figures follow up karengi, jahan headline YoY CPI inflation 1.9% hone ka andaza hai jo pehle 2.2% tha. Halanki, core CPI inflation expected hai ke 3.6% se 3.4% tak ease karega.
US se meaningful data Thursday ko aayega jab US retail sales ka data expected hai, jo September mein 0.3% MoM tak pohonchne ki umeed hai, jo August mein 0.1% decline tha. Halaanki, cable traders Thursday ke Bank of England monetary policy report hearings par zyada focus karenge.
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