𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

USD/JPY Pair Analysis ka Summary


USD/JPY exchange rate filhal consistent bullish momentum dikha raha hai, jo ek triangle pattern bana raha hai. Yeh pattern aam tor par consolidation phase ko darshata hai, jo ek potential breakout ke pehle aata hai. Jabke bullish sentiment dominant hai, yeh bohot mumkin hai ke pair upward breakout ka samna kare, jo lagbhag 50-80 pips ka movement de sakta hai. Yeh breakout broader bullish trend ke sath align karega aur traders ko USD ke JPY ke against strength ko capitalize karne ka mauka dega.

Key Levels to Watch

Traders ko triangle pattern ke upper boundary ko nazar mein rakhna chahiye, kyunki yeh ek key level hai jo anticipated breakout ko signal kar sakta hai aur clear buy signals generate kar sakta hai. Lekin agar pair apne current levels se niche aati hai, toh 153.50 level par ek strong re-entry opportunity mil sakti hai. Yeh level ek significant support zone ko represent karta hai jo further declines ko rok sakta hai aur long positions ke liye ek favorable entry point provide kar sakta hai.

Risk ko effectively manage karne ke liye, traders ko strategically 153.83 level par stop-loss place karna chahiye. Stop-loss ko support zone ke just below position karke, traders potential losses ko minimize kar sakte hain aur anticipated upward movement se faida utha sakte hain.

Current Market Sentiment

USD/JPY pair ke D1 timeframe par overall setup traders ke liye ek attractive opportunity present karta hai jo ongoing bullish trend ka faida uthana chahte hain, lekin short-term fluctuations ko dekhte hue caution bhi zaroori hai.

Dusri taraf, pair ke downward trajectory ki possibility bhi abhi tak bani hui hai. Bank of Japan ki interest rate policy aur upcoming U.S. labor market data is pair ke direction ko shape karne mein pivotal roles play karenge. Agar bullish sentiment wapas aata hai, toh resistance level 155.50 crucial hoga. Conversely, agar key support level 145.00 breach hota hai, toh further declines ho sakti hain. Market participants ko in levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur apni strategies ko accordingly adjust karna chahiye.

Conclusion

USD/JPY pair multiple bearish signals exhibit kar raha hai jo various technical indicators aur chart patterns se supported hain. Jabke pullback possible hai, overall sentiment bearish hi hai. Traders ko key resistance levels par shorting opportunities dekhni chahiye aur support levels breach hone par further declines ke liye prepare rehna chahiye.

Summary mein, USD/JPY pair ka bearish trend technical indicators aur recent market activity se backed hai. Central bank policies aur economic data releases ke bare mein informed rehna aane wale weeks mein market ko successfully navigate karne ke liye crucial hoga.

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USD/JPY Analysis


Kal, USD/JPY pair ne uchi levels par trading ki aur din ke aakhir mein 147.25 ke aas-paas band hui. Aaj, yeh pair 147.60 ke price level ki taraf upward move kar raha hai. Agar hum hourly chart ki taraf dekhen, to yeh nazar aata hai ke USD/JPY moving average line MA (200) H1 ke niche trade kar raha hai, jo ke 146.55 par hai. Isi tarah, chaar ghante ke chart par bhi USD/JPY moving average line MA (200) H4 ke upar trade kar raha hai.
Current Trading Scenario


Hourly aur four-hour charts par analysis karne se yeh maloom hota hai ke abhi USD/JPY ki position mixed hai. Hourly chart ke mutabiq, agar price moving average line MA (200) H1 ke niche rahti hai, to yeh bearish signal de sakta hai. Lekin chaar ghante ke chart par, agar price moving average line MA (200) H4 ke upar rahti hai, to yeh bullish trend ko indicate kar sakta hai. Yeh contradiction traders ke liye trading decisions lete waqt mushkilat paida kar sakta hai.
Resistance Aur Support Levels


Resistance Levels:

1. 148.00 - Yeh level pair ke upward move ko rokne ke liye ek major resistance point ban sakta hai.
2. 149.80 - Yeh level agla resistance zone hai jahan se pair ki movement rok sakti hai.
3. 150.90 - Yeh level pair ke upar move karne ki maximum limit ko indicate karta hai.

Support Levels:

1. 146.50 - Yeh level short-term support zone hai jahan se price bounce back kar sakti hai.
2. 146.10 - Yeh level bhi support ke tor par kaam aa sakta hai, aur agar price isse niche girti hai to further decline ka indication mil sakta hai.
3. 145.60 - Yeh level deep support zone hai jahan se significant price rebound ho sakta hai.

Expected Trends


Agar hum in levels aur current market conditions ko dekhein, to kuch potential scenarios samajh mein aate hain:

1. Decline Scenario:
   • Hum dekh sakte hain ke USD/JPY ki price continuous decline ka shikaar ho sakti hai, jo ke next support level 146.50 tak le ja sakti hai. Agar price is level ko bhi todti hai, to 146.10 aur 145.60 tak further decline dekhne ko mil sakta hai.
2. Rise Scenario:
   • Dusri taraf, agar price moving average line MA (200) H4 ko break karti hai, to pair ke upar move hone ke chances hain. Is scenario mein, price 151.25 tak rise kar sakti hai. Yeh rise bullish trend ke continuation ko indicate karega.

Strategy and Recommendations


Current trading conditions ke madde nazar, traders ko yeh advise kiya jata hai ke woh correction ke baad achi sell entry points ko dhoondein. Agar price resistance levels ko break karti hai, to yeh bullish trend ko continue kar sakti hai. Lekin agar price support levels ko todti hai, to bearish trend ko bhi consider karna padega.

Chart Analysis:

• Hourly Chart: Moving average line MA (200) H1 ke niche trading karna bearish signal de sakta hai. Traders ko yeh dekhna chahiye ke price is line ko break karti hai ya nahi.
• Four-Hour Chart: Moving average line MA (200) H4 ke upar trading karna bullish trend ko indicate karta hai. Lekin agar price is level ko todti hai, to price ke downward movement ke chances bhi hain.

In points ko dhyan mein rakhte hue, traders ko market movements ke hisaab se apni trading strategy adjust karni chahiye. Price movements aur key levels ka analysis karna zaroori hai taake trading decisions informed aur strategic hon.
Conclusion


USD/JPY ki current situation mixed signals de rahi hai, aur traders ko in signals ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna hoga. Resistance aur support levels ke analysis se traders ko help mil sakti hai in determining the next move. Agar aap buy or sell decisions lene ki planning kar rahe hain, to in factors ko zaroor consider karein. Trading karte waqt patience aur strategy zaroori hai, taake aap market ke dynamic nature se benefit utha saken. Aapka din acha guzre!

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USD/JPY Ka Fundamental Aur Technical Outlook


Fundamental Outlook:

US Dollar ka expected trading range 146.50 se 147.80 ke darmiyan hai. Ab downside momentum dheere dheere kam ho raha hai; agar price 148.30 ke upar chali jati hai, to iska matlab hoga ke USD ki weakness stabilize ho gayi hai. Thursday ko USD/JPY around 147.40 trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ka analysis yeh dikhata hai ke pair ek descending channel ke andar consolidate kar raha hai, jo ke bearish bias ko indicate karta hai. Aid levels ke hisaab se, USD/JPY shayad downtrend channel ke lower boundary ko 142.50 ke aas-paas check karega. Agar price is channel ke neeche girti hai, to bearish bias aur zyada intense ho jayega aur yeh pair 7-month low 141.69 ke taraf push ho sakti hai, jo ke August 5 ko hit hui thi. Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rates ko aur kam karne ka expectation hai, jo upside potential ko limit kar raha hai. Iske ilawa, US inflationary pressures ke kam hone ke indications hain, jo ke USD bulls ko defensive position mein daal raha hai aur ek headwind create kar raha hai.

Technical Outlook:

Falling channel ki upper border 149.00 ke aas-paas aur nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 147.53 level par hai, USD/JPY pair ke liye immediate resistance provide kar sakte hain. Agar pair falling channel ko break kar deti hai, to yeh 50-day EMA jo 153.40 par hai tak approach kar sakti hai aur shayad 154.50 ke resistance level ko bhi test karegi. Yeh level pehle support tha jo ab resistance mein convert ho gaya hai. Agar breakout hota hai, to negative momentum kam hoga. USD/JPY pair ko weekly low se solid recovery build karne mein fail hua hai, jo ke round figure 146.00 tha, aur Thursday ko Asian session ke doran narrow range mein trade kar raha tha. Traders naye catalysts ke intezar mein hain taake woh near-term direction ke liye prepare kar saken, aur USD/JPY prices 147.00 mark ke upar comfortably trade kar rahi hain aur ek range mein confined hain jo ek haftay se chal rahi hai.

Summary:

Fundamental aur technical analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ki current situation mixed signals de rahi hai. Jab tak USD/JPY 148.30 se upar nahi jata, downside momentum continue rehne ke chances hain. Agar price 142.50 ke support level ke neeche girti hai, to bearish trend aur zyada strong ho sakta hai aur 7-month low ko test karne ke chances hain. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, agar USD/JPY falling channel ko break karti hai aur resistance levels ko test karti hai, to bullish momentum build ho sakta hai, magar short-term mein price narrow range mein confined hai.

Traders ko market ke naye developments aur economic data ke release ke intezar mein rehna chahiye taake woh informed trading decisions le saken. Fundamental aur technical factors ka combination trading strategies ko adjust karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY Ka Analysis Aur Trading Tips


Trade Analysis:

USD/JPY ka price 147.13 par test hua jab MACD indicator ne zero mark se significant downward movement ki thi, jo ke pair ke downward potential ko limit kar raha tha. Is wajah se maine dollar ko sell nahi kiya. Thodi der baad, 147.13 par phir se test hua jab MACD oversold area mein tha, jo dollar khareedne ka ek mauka bana raha. Lekin, U.S. producer price index ke girne ki khabren dollar ko support nahi kar paayi, isliye yeh signal puri tarah se realize nahi hua. Aaj, pair pehle din ke pehle hisson mein thodi recovery kar sakta hai, lekin risks abhi bhi dollar ke aur girne aur yen ke mazboot hone ke hain, kyunki humein U.S. Consumer Price Index ka crucial data aane wala hai. Is par hum aage forecast mein zyada detail se baat karenge, lekin abhi ke liye behtar hai ke patient rahein aur dollar bechne ke liye zyada favorable prices ka intezar karein. Intraday strategy ke liye, main scenario No. 1 aur No. 2 par zyada rely karunga.

Buy Signals:

Scenario No. 1: Aaj, main USD/JPY ko buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon jab price entry point 147.45 tak pohnchegi, jo green line ke zariye chart par plot hai. Mera goal hoga ki price 148.13 tak bade, jo chart par thick green line se plot kiya gaya hai. 148.13 par main long positions ko exit kar dunga aur short positions kholunga, expect karte hue ki price us level se 30-35 pips ka movement karegi. Aaj pair ke upar move karne ki umeed hai upward correction ke hisaab se. Lekin, jitni zyada pair upar chalegi, dollar bechna utna hi attractive hoga. Important: Buy karne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur isse rise kar raha ho.

Scenario No. 2: Main USD/JPY ko buy karne ka plan bhi kar raha hoon agar price 146.76 ko do consecutive tests karti hai jab MACD oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market mein reverse upturn ko trigger karega. Hum growth ki umeed kar sakte hain 147.45 aur 148.13 tak.

Sell Signals:

Scenario No. 1: Main USD/JPY ko aaj sirf tab sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon jab price 146.76 ko test karegi, jo red line ke zariye chart par plot hai. Yeh pair mein rapid decline ko trigger karega. Sellers ka key target 145.81 hoga, jahan main short positions ko exit kar dunga aur immediately long positions kholunga, expect karte hue ki price us level se 20-25 pips ka movement karegi. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khaaskar agar pehle din ke hisson mein correction unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ko test nahi karti. Important: Sell karne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur decline kar raha ho.

Scenario No. 2: Main USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan bhi kar raha hoon agar price 147.45 ko do consecutive tests karti hai jab MACD overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market mein reverse downturn ko trigger karega. Hum decline ki umeed kar sakte hain 146.76 aur 145.81 tak.

Summary:

USD/JPY ki trading ke liye, buy aur sell signals dono ko consider karte hue strategy plan karna zaroori hai. Aapko trading decisions lene se pehle MACD indicator aur price action ka dhyan rakhna hoga. Har scenario mein patience aur careful analysis zaroori hai, taake aap best trading opportunities ko identify kar sakein. Trading ke decisions ko timely aur accurately implement karna aapko market ke changing conditions ke mutabiq adjust karne mein madad karega.

USD/JPY currency pair mein recent pullback dekha gaya hai jabke Japanese Yen ne thodi si stability dikhayi hai ek lambe girawat ke baad against the US Dollar. Midweek Wednesday ko yeh pair 147.00 ke neeche apne high par tha, magar ab yeh ek zyada stable trading pattern mein hai. Filhal, USD/JPY 147.21 ke qareeb hover kar raha hai jabke market participants Friday ko release hone wale key US economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain.

**USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:**

US Dollar ne apne new 38-year highs ko touch kiya hai against the Yen, jo ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki persistently accommodative monetary policy se driven hai. Japan ke officials ki repeated warnings ke bawajood foreign exchange markets mein interventions ke hawalay se, Yen ab bhi pressure mein hai. Japan ke near-zero interest rates ke sabab se interest rate differential mein kafi farq hai doosri bari currencies ke saath, jo ke Yen ki struggles ko aur barha raha hai.

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ki June 11-12 ki meeting ke dauran, Federal Reserve (Fed) officials ne apne data-driven approach ko monetary policy mein highlight kiya. Unhon ne interest rate cuts ka commitment karne se guraiz kiya, aur further observation ki zaroorat par zor diya. Kuch Fed members ne rate cuts ke hawalay se ehtiyat baratne ki baat ki, jabke doosron ne kaha ke agar inflation pressure wapas aaye toh mazeed hikes zaroori ho sakti hain.

**Four-hour Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

USD/JPY ne thoda lower frame kiya hai lekin yeh ab bhi 147.60 level ke upar hai, jo ke short-term support consider kiya ja raha hai. Buyers ka focus iss level par hoga, taake pair ko 161.95 tak push kar sakein, phir 148.00 aur eventually 150.00 ke milestones tak le jaane ki umeed hai. Agar yeh 147.00 ke neeche girta hai toh focus Tenkan-Sen par shift ho sakta hai 146.35 par, aur mazeed girawat ka potential hai towards Senkou Span A at 146.00 aur Kijun-Sen at 145.25.


Buying momentum mein kami aani shuru ho gayi hai, jo ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke overbought territory se bahar nikalne se zahir ho raha hai, jo ke ek selling opportunity ko signal kar raha hai. Magar, overall bullish sentiment ab tak intact hai jab tak RSI 50-neutral mark se neeche nahi girta.

USD/JPY Price Activity

Hamari guftagu ka mawad USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka tajziya hai. Monday ko, mujhe lagta hai ke trend line ka control hasil karne ke liye chalti hui jang jari rahegi, lekin mukhtalif darje ke kamiyabi ke sath. Is marahil par bazaar me dakhil hona jaise coin flip karna hai. Lekin, bears is hi trend line ko resistance ke tor par istemal kar sakte hain, aur aaj ke growth ko breakout zone ka rad karna samajh sakte hain. Dono taraf ke barabar mauqe hain, isliye main Monday ko bazaar me dakhil hone ke liye jaldi nahi karunga. Is bajaye, main is ahem area me price movement ko dhyan se dekhunga. Pichle hafte, maine bulls ko pasand kiya tha, jo ke pair ko 164.09 price zone tak le gaya. Lekin, pair resistance level ke upar rehne me nakam raha. Yeh pata nahi chal raha ke yeh failed breakout jhoota tha ya ek natural occurrence tha, lekin aage barhna zaroori hai. Agar pair dobara is zone ko todta hai, to mujhe agle hafte bhi growth ki umeed hai.

Dollar ki mojooda kamzori ko dekhte hue, pair bearish trend me ja sakta hai. Monday ki market activity se zyada wazeh hoga. Friday ko, pair ne ek strong bearish move dekha. Daily chart sideways move kar raha hai, jo ke yeh sawaal uthata hai ke pair bearish trend me rahega ya sideways range me. Monday ke liye, technical analysis kehte hain ke downward movement jari rahegi. Moving averages ek active sell ka signal de rahe hain; technical indicators is outlook ko confirm karte hain. Recommendation bilkul clear hai: sell. Monday ke liye aham khabrein jo dekhni hain wo hain US ke leading economic indicators ka release, jo negative hone wala hai. Japan se koi aham khabar nahi hai. In factors ke base par, mujhe further declines ki umeed hai, jahan possible sales 146.59 support level tak ja sakti hain. Dusri taraf, purchases 148.24 resistance level tak extend ho sakti hain. Main bearish move ki umeed kar raha hoon, lekin sideways trend ke andar, jo ke Monday ke liye mera rough trading plan banata hai.

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USDJPY ki shuruat 147.23 par hui. Agar aap H1 timeframe dekhein, to candle ab bhi resistance area mein phansi hui hai. Agar ye area successfully break ho jata hai, to USDJPY upar ki taraf move kar sakta hai. Lekin agar ye resistance area cross nahi hota, to USDJPY phir se gir sakta hai. Pichle Thursday ko, USDJPY ne girawat ke baad upar ki taraf movement dekhi, khaaskar jab candle RBS zone mein phansi hui thi. Us waqt iska movement kaafi high tha, aur ye lagbhag 150 pips tak badh gaya.

Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USDJPY ke paas upar move karne ka ab bhi chance hai kyunke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko cross kar liya hai. Lekin, hamesha ehtiyaat baratni chahiye kyunke candle ne MA50 line ko ab tak cross nahi kiya hai. Is level ke aas paas ek rebound ho sakta hai, jo aakhirkar girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar puppeteer zyada market participants ko ye convince kar deta hai ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, to price distribution is trading instrument mein shuru ho sakta hai. Shayad kai market participants ko lagta hai ke price yahan se gir sakti hai.

USD/JPY ke market ne khwahon ko haqeeqat maan liya hai. Haan, FOMC ke accompanying statement aur Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke press conference mein kai hints diye gaye ke September mein Fed ki monetary policy ko aasan kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin, sab decisions data ke upar depend karte hain. Is background mein, derivatives mein teen rate cuts ke end of 2024 tak ka confidence zyada lag raha hai. Agar aisa hota hai, to US dollar ke comeback ka acha chance hai. Powell ne yeh indicate kiya ke FOMC ne July meeting ke dauran rates kam karne par ghoor kiya, lekin zyada tar officials ne ye socha ke sab kuch waise ka waisa rehna behtar hai. US economy inflation aur unemployment ke hawale se achi jagah par hai, aur disinflationary processes aur labor market ke further cooling se monetary policy easing ka rasta khul sakta hai. Yeh masla agle Fed ke meeting mein September ke liye wapas table par aa sakta hai.

Technical Analysis - USD/JPY

Good Morning. Aaj main USD/JPY market par prices ka behaviour discuss karunga. Abhi USD/JPY 147.57 par trade kar raha hai. USD index 102.37 level ke support ko test kar raha hai, isliye is waqt USD/JPY ka bullish hona asaan hai. Is time frame par USD/JPY bullish lag raha hai. Kal ke trading session mein USD/JPY market mein sellers ka dominance dekha gaya, jinhonne USD/JPY ki price ko neeche push kiya. Is time frame ke chart par, USD/JPY ki price overbought nahi lagti kyunke Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ne abhi 70 ko touch nahi kiya. Saath hi, technical analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ki price overbought nahi lagti kyunke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator ne abhi 0.0065 ko touch nahi kiya. Jab price 50 EMA line ke upar hai, to iska trend bullish hai, aur isliye mujhe lagta hai ke ye resistance level ko test karega jo maine diagram mein dikhaya hai.



Abhi USD/JPY bulls $161.56 barrier ko attack kar rahe hain. Price pehla resistance level cross kar sakti hai aur dusre resistance level 167.65 tak bhi ja sakti hai. Is chart par, supply/resistance area jo 172.54 ke price range mein hai, ek strong area hai aur ye 3rd level ka resistance hai. Dusri taraf, USD/JPY ka initial support level 137.33 hai. Price pehla support level cross kar sakti hai aur dusre support level 102.37 tak bhi ja sakti hai. Is chart par, demand/support area jo 76.15 ke price range mein hai, ek strong area hai aur ye 3rd level ka support hai. Dekhte hain kuch ghanton mein kya hota hai. Is risky pair ke trading ke doran hamesha ehtiyaat baratni chahiye.

Chart Mein Istemaal Hote Indicators:

• MACD Indicator:
• RSI Indicator Period 14:
• 50-Day Exponential Moving Average Color Orange:
• 20-Day Exponential Moving Average Color Magenta:

USD/JPY Ne Monday Ko Kuch Positive Movement Dikhayi Lekin Resistance Ka Samna Karna Pada

USD/JPY currency pair ne Monday ko kuch positive movement dikhayi, lekin ye upward momentum ko sustain karne mein struggle kar raha hai. Iske aage barhne mein ek badi rukawat Bank of Japan (BoJ) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke darmiyan policy expectations ka farq hai.

Divergent Monetary Policies:

• Bank of Japan (BoJ):
  BoJ ne ek ultra-loose monetary policy banayi hui hai, jisme negative interest rates aur yield curve control shamil hain taake economy ko stimulate kiya ja sake. BoJ ke policy ko tighten karne ka koi zyada indication nahi hai.
• Federal Reserve (Fed):
  Iske muqable, Fed ne inflation ko control karne ke liye rate hikes mein zyada aggressiveness dikhayi hai, jiski wajah se US dollar ko support mila hai. Ye divergence ek aisi situation create karti hai jahan yen Japan ke low-interest rates ki wajah se pressure mein rehta hai, jabke dollar ko Fed ke higher rates se support milta hai. Lekin, market cautious hai, jo USD/JPY pair ke significant gains banane ki ability ko limit kar raha hai.

Risk Sentiment Ka Asar:

Japanese yen traditionally ek safe-haven currency samjha jata hai. Jab global market sentiment positive hota hai, to investors yen ko hold karne ki bajaye riskier assets ko prefer karte hain. Monday ko, global markets mein overall positive risk tone ne yen ko undermine kiya, jisne USD/JPY pair ko kuch support diya.

Technical Levels Ko Dekhen:

• Resistance Levels:
  Pair ko 146.50 ke aas paas resistance ka samna karna pad raha hai, jo recently gains ko cap kar raha hai.
• Support Levels:
  Niche ki taraf, support 145.00 ke aas paas dekha gaya hai, jahan buyers intervene kar sakte hain agar pair kamzor hota hai. Halankeh USD/JPY pair ne kuch traction gain kiya hai, BoJ aur Fed policies ke darmiyan ongoing divergence aur positive market sentiment ke combination ne pair ko decisive move higher karne se roka hua hai. Traders ko key technical levels aur central bank policies ke updates par nazar rakhni chahiye taake aage ka direction samajh sakein.

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USD-JPY PAIR KA FORECAST

Jab European session Monday ko khulne wala hai, USD/JPY market mein sellers ka raaj nazar aa raha hai. Monday ko price daily open 147.61 ke neeche chali gayi hai, aur support level 146.79 ko break karte hue ab 145.49 ke support ki taraf barh rahi hai, 146.18 area ko cross karte hue. H4 time frame par trend downtrend mein hai jahan price EMA 200 H4 ke neeche chal rahi hai, aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H4 bhi niche ki taraf point kar rahe hain. Is waqt buy plan ko postpone kiya gaya hai kyunki sellers ki current strength zyada hai. Agar pressure 145.49 area ko break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, toh sell option ko continue kiya ja sakta hai, jahan further bearishness ke liye 143.90 level tak potential hai. Lekin, filhal stochastic ne saturated selling condition dikhayi hai, isliye correction bhi ho sakti hai. Re-sell EMA 36 H4 line ke aas-paas monitor kiya ja sakta hai, agar rejection hoti hai, toh sell ko dobara implement kiya ja sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, agar price 145.49 ko penetrate karne mein nakam rehti hai aur valid bullish signal milta hai, toh buy option consider kiya ja sakta hai. Take profit ko EMA 36 H4 realtime line tak socha ja sakta hai. USD-JPY ka current situation interesting hai, kyunki aaj significant bearish movement dekhne ko mil raha hai. H4 timeframe ka condition bhi interesting hai MA 200, MA 100 aur MA 50 ke reference ke saath, kyunki jo bearish movement ab ho raha hai, woh MA 50 ko break karne mein kamiyab raha hai aur USD-JPY ki movement MA 50 ke kaafi neeche hai, isliye trend phir se bearish trend mein chala gaya hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh situation interesting hai kyunki yeh confirm hota hai ke USD-JPY phir se bearish trend mein aa gaya hai. Isliye yeh potential rakhta hai ke further aur significant bearish movement trigger ho sakta hai. Yeh guide ban sakta hai ya sell entry ke liye ek moment bhi ho sakta hai jo bearish power ke current condition ko dekhte hue, 146.12 support level ko break karne ke liye bhi ek moment ho sakta hai. Yeh support level 144.10 tak horizontal line ke support level tak lead karne ka potential rakhta hai.

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Hello sabko! ✌️

USD/JPY trading instrument ke hawale se situation kaafi interesting hai. Jaise ke main ne weekend par anticipate kiya tha, decline ka silsila jari hai. Lekin, sach kahoon to mujhe yeh ummed nahi thi ke aaj ke trading day se hi yeh decline shuru ho jayega. Ab USD/JPY quotes 146.00 ke nazdeek pohnch rahi hain. Is level ko break karne ki high probability hai ke market mein naye sellers ko attract karega. USD/JPY ke downtrend ka target 141.68 hoga. Asal mein, pichle hafte humne 147.70 ke level par ek false breakout dekha. Yeh baat yeh hai ke technical indicators bhi uptrend ke continuation ka ishaara kar rahe the. Saath hi, fundamental background bhi USD/JPY ko buy karne ka keh raha tha, kyunki US se positive fundamental data mil raha tha. Lekin ab jo hum dekh rahe hain, woh yeh hai ke zyada sellers USD/JPY bechne ke liye tayar hain, aur hum downward trend ko continue kar rahe hain.

Agar USD/JPY ko buy karna hai, toh yeh saaf hai ke buyers ko 147.70 ke level ko phir se break karna hoga. Tab hum 150.85 jaise levels ko target kar sakte hain. Agar is level ko break karna kamiyab hota hai, toh 155.00 tak jaane ka raasta khul jayega.

Summary ke taur par, mere scenario ko dekhte hue, humare paas yeh points hain:
1. Overall picture USD/JPY ko bechne ka favor karti hai;
2. Agar 146.00 ke level ko break kiya jata hai, toh 141.57 tak jaane ka raasta khul sakta hai;
3. Is level se ek chhoti si north correction bhi expected hai;
4. Agar trend waisa hi bana raha, toh hum 140.00 ki taraf barhenge;
5. Agar USD/JPY 147.70 ke upar majboot hota hai, toh yeh uptrend ko continue karne ka factor ban sakta hai;
6. Agar USD/JPY 150.85 se upar pohnchta hai, toh hum 155.00 ki taraf move karte rahenge.



Bus yahi baat thi. Sabko profitable trading aur achhi mood ki dua!

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USD-JPY DAILY TIME FRAME

USD/JPY ki current movement ko dekha jaye, toh yeh currency pair ab bhi upar ki taraf barhne ki koshish kar raha hai, kyunki buyers ne seller pressure ko handle kar liya jo pehle price ko 141.786 ke low tak le gaya tha. Yeh dikhata hai ke kaafi significant buying power hai jo price ko upar push karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, khaaskar decline ke baad jo recently hua. EMA 50 aur EMA 100 indicators ko dekhte hue, dono upar ki taraf point kar rahe hain, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke medium-term trend bullish hona shuru ho gaya hai. EMA 50 jo ke price changes ke liye tez react karta hai, yeh dikhata hai ke upward momentum form hona shuru ho raha hai. Dhime EMA 100 yeh dikhata hai ke jabke main trend ko abhi further confirmation ki zaroorat hai, reversal ke signs ab nazar aane lage hain.

Lekin, short term mein, mujhe lagta hai ke ab bhi ek upward correction hone ki sambhavnayein hain jo ke 152.887 aur 154.347 ke base area ke beech ho sakta hai. Yeh area ek potential resistance zone ke taur par kaam karta hai jahan price ko phir se selling pressure ka samna karna pad sakta hai, khaaskar agar EMA 50 ko resistance ke taur par test kiya jaye. Yeh upward correction consolidation process ka ek hissa hai, jisse price ke upar jaane ke trend ko continue karne se pehle prepare kiya jata hai. Is scenario mein, sabse acha strategy yeh hai ke current upward correction ka faida uthaate hue buy opportunities dhoondhe jaye. Jab momentum build ho raha hai, toh dips par buy karna ya jab price support level ya EMA 50 ke paas aaye toh buy karna ek achi strategy ho sakti hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke price reaction ko monitor kiya jaye in key levels ke aas-paas, kyunki EMA 50 se support confirmation ya base area mein resistance ka signal strong buy position continue karne ke liye ek behtar indicator ho sakta hai.

Overall, USD/JPY ki daily time frame par jo situation hai, usse lagta hai ke ek bullish trend develop ho raha hai, lekin isme correction aur resistance levels ko dekhna zaroori hai. EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ki positions aur reaction ko closely monitor karna chahiye, taake kisi bhi potential reversal ya continuation trend ka sahi time par assessment kiya ja sake.

USD/JPY
Japanese yen ne apni tezi ko barqarar rakha, aur dollar ke muqable mein 141.68 yen per dollar tak pahunch gaya, jo ke January 2024 ke aghaz ke baad se sab se zyada hai. Yeh is wajah se hua ke logon ka yeh andaza hai ke Bank of Japan aane wale mahinon mein interest rates mazeed barhaye ga, jab ke U.S. Federal Reserve se umeed ki ja rahi hai ke wo apni rates ko zyadti se kam kare ga. Yeh umeed tab barhi jab U.S. ka kamzor jobs report samnay aya, jis ne America mein mandi ka khauf barha diya, aur is wajah se bazaron ne Fed se September mein 50 basis points ki badi rate cut ki tawakku ki hai.
Iske ilawa, Bank of Japan ne pichle hafte apni interest rate ko 0.25% tak barhaya aur ye zahir kiya ke agar maeeshat mazid mazboot hoti hai to wo interest rates mazeed barha sakte hain. Financial markets ab yeh andaza laga rahi hain ke is fiscal year jo March 2025 mein khatam ho ga, mein do aur rate hikes ho sakti hain, jisme se agla izafa December mein umeed kiya ja raha hai. Markazi bank ne apni mahana bond kharidari ko agle do saalon mein aadha karne ka plan bhi zahir kiya.
Iske ilawa, data se maloom hua hai ke Japanese authorities ne July mein apni currency ki support ke liye 5.53 trillion yen kharch kiye.
Japanese government bond ke 10 saal wali benchmark yield 0.8% se neeche gir gayi, jo ke chaar mahine ki kam tareen satah hai. Yeh girawat U.S. bond yields mein girawat ke baad hui, jab ke bazar ne weak U.S. jobs data ke baad Federal Reserve se zyadti se interest rates kam karne ki umeed rakhni shuru kar di. Japanese government bond yields par bhi pressure pada hai safe-haven buying ki wajah se, jo ke global stock selloff aur yen carry trade ke jaldi khatam hone se hui hai.
Mazid, Bank of Japan ke bond kharidari ke plans market ki umeedon par pura nahi utaray. BOJ ne pichle hafte kaha ke wo 2026 ke pehle quarter mein apni mahana bond kharidari ko takreeban 3 trillion yen mahana tak kam kar denge. Yeh taqreeban 400 billion yen per quarter ka cut ho ga, jo market ke 1 trillion yen per quarter ke expectations se kaafi kam hai.
USD/JPY ne bohot saari stop-loss orders accumulate ki hain aur 146.00 level ke neeche baitha hai. Agle kuch ghanton mein breakthrough ho sakta hai, lekin yeh clear nahi hai ke baad mein girawat hogi ya nahi. Main nahi jaanta ke kya is technique ko ab dekhna chahiye, kyunke major downtrend abhi bhi four-hour chart par chal raha hai, aur chhoti trends ke saath upar bhi move kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, 148.00 high ka test jab sellers ko drive out kiya jaye, khaaskar agar main trend resume hota hai.

USD/JPY
Japanese yen ne apni tezi ko barqarar rakha, aur dollar ke muqable mein 141.68 yen per dollar tak pahunch gaya, jo ke January 2024 ke aghaz ke baad se sab se zyada hai. Yeh is wajah se hua ke logon ka yeh andaza hai ke Bank of Japan aane wale mahinon mein interest rates mazeed barhaye ga, jab ke U.S. Federal Reserve se umeed ki ja rahi hai ke wo apni rates ko zyadti se kam kare ga. Yeh umeed tab barhi jab U.S. ka kamzor jobs report samnay aya, jis ne America mein mandi ka khauf barha diya, aur is wajah se bazaron ne Fed se September mein 50 basis points ki badi rate cut ki tawakku ki hai.
Iske ilawa, Bank of Japan ne pichle hafte apni interest rate ko 0.25% tak barhaya aur ye zahir kiya ke agar maeeshat mazid mazboot hoti hai to wo interest rates mazeed barha sakte hain. Financial markets ab yeh andaza laga rahi hain ke is fiscal year jo March 2025 mein khatam ho ga, mein do aur rate hikes ho sakti hain, jisme se agla izafa December mein umeed kiya ja raha hai. Markazi bank ne apni mahana bond kharidari ko agle do saalon mein aadha karne ka plan bhi zahir kiya.
Iske ilawa, data se maloom hua hai ke Japanese authorities ne July mein apni currency ki support ke liye 5.53 trillion yen kharch kiye.
Japanese government bond ke 10 saal wali benchmark yield 0.8% se neeche gir gayi, jo ke chaar mahine ki kam tareen satah hai. Yeh girawat U.S. bond yields mein girawat ke baad hui, jab ke bazar ne weak U.S. jobs data ke baad Federal Reserve se zyadti se interest rates kam karne ki umeed rakhni shuru kar di. Japanese government bond yields par

bhi pressure pada hai safe-haven buying ki wajah se, jo ke global stock selloff aur yen carry trade ke jaldi khatam hone se hui hai.
Mazid, Bank of Japan ke bond kharidari ke plans market ki umeedon par pura nahi utaray. BOJ ne pichle hafte kaha ke wo 2026 ke pehle quarter mein apni mahana bond kharidari ko takreeban 3 trillion yen mahana tak kam kar denge. Yeh taqreeban 400 billion yen per quarter ka cut ho ga, jo market ke 1 trillion yen per quarter ke expectations se kaafi kam hai.
USD/JPY ne bohot saari stop-loss orders accumulate ki hain aur 146.00 level ke neeche baitha hai. Agle kuch ghanton mein breakthrough ho sakta hai, lekin yeh clear nahi hai ke baad mein girawat hogi ya nahi. Main nahi jaanta ke kya is technique ko ab dekhna chahiye, kyunke major downtrend abhi bhi four-hour chart par chal raha hai, aur chhoti trends ke saath upar bhi move kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, 148.00 high ka test jab sellers ko drive out kiya jaye, khaaskar agar main trend resume hota hai.

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Market Analysis for USD/JPY Currency Pair

Friday (August 16) ko, U.S. dollar yen ke muqable 1.04% gir gaya aur 147.75 par close hua, jo ke pichle trading day par 149.40 ke do hafton ke high se kaafi door tha. Weekend par traders ke profit-taking aur U.S. housing data ke disappointing results ne bhi dollar par pressure dal diya. Pichle din consumption ke resilient data ki wajah se dollar ne jo gains hasil kiye the, unme se kuch wapas chhodna pada.

U.S. se Friday ko aaye data ke mutabiq, single-family homes ki construction July mein kam hui hai. Rising mortgage rates aur house prices ke wajah se potential buyers sidelines par hain, jo ke third quarter ke shuruat mein housing market ke sluggish hone ka indication hai. Isne investors ko yeh sochne par majboor kiya ke economic data Federal Reserve ke interest rates ko cut karne ki willingness ko affect karega ya nahi. Lekin, Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ke bayan ke baad, jisme unhone kaha ke central bank market ke turbulent hone par interest rates nahi barhayega, market mein kuch shanti wapas aayi hai. Traders ke short positions ko dobara se rebuild karne ke signs bhi dekhe gaye hain.

Official data ke mutabiq, Japanese investors ne August 10 tak ke haftay mein 12 hafton ke baad sabse zyada paise long-term overseas bonds mein invest kiye hain. Sath hi, foreigners ne aath consecutive hafton ke baad short-term Japanese bonds ko net buyers ban kar kharida. Overseas investors ne Japanese stocks mein bhi lagbhag $3.5 billion ka investment kiya, jo ke teen consecutive hafton ki net selling ke baad hua. Is wajah se yen ke long aur short forces ke darmiyan ek tug of war chal raha hai. Investors ko yeh dekhna hoga ke in dono forces mein se kaun si finally prevail karti hai.

Technical Analysis

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to, daily chart par Friday ko ek bada negative column USD/JPY ke upward momentum ko temporarily suppress karta hua nazar aaya. Exchange rate Bollinger Band ki middle line ke niche pressure mein tha, lekin phir bhi yeh previous consolidation range ke upper edge par khara raha. Technical indicators upward trend ko indicate kar rahe hain, isliye USD/JPY ke further rebound ke risk se guard karna zaroori hai. Agar rebound 150 ke niche limit raha, toh yeh expect kiya ja sakta hai ke USD/JPY ka rebound fail ho sakta hai.



Overall, market analysis aur technical indicators ke mutabiq, USD/JPY currency pair abhi bhi volatile hai aur is par nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Pichle data aur trends ko dekhte hue, yeh samajhna mushkil hai ke future mein market kis direction mein move karega. Investors ko short-term aur long-term trends dono ko closely monitor karna chahiye, taake woh informed decisions le sakein aur market ke fluctuations ko manage kar sakein.

Aaj ki market conditions aur technical analysis se yeh clear hota hai ke USD/JPY pair ke liye short-term mein bearish pressure hai. Lekin, long-term trends aur external factors bhi is pair ke movement ko affect kar sakte hain. Traders ko market ki updates aur data points ko dekhte hue apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye aur potential rebound aur resistance levels ko bhi consider karna chahiye.

Happy trading!