𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

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USD/JPY Prices: Trends and Analysis

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ki pricing behaviour ko analyse karenge. Central Bank of Japan ke ek representative ne haal hi mein is baat ki taraf ishara kiya hai ke woh market mein zyada yen release karke intervene kar sakte hain. Yeh interesting hai kyunki unhon ne pehle rates barhaye the aur ab yen ki strength ko counteract karne ki baat kar rahe hain. Yeh contradictory lagta hai, magar yeh shaayad ek verbal intervention hai taake exchange rate ko stabilize kiya ja sake. Jaise ke maine pehle bhi kaha, bank ek zyada stable yen ko prefer karta hai aur 149-141 ke price range ko consider kiya ja sakta hai. Sabse important level jo dekhna hai wo hai 146.13; agar yeh level break hota hai to further declines dekhne ko mil sakti hain. Humne dekha hai ke price mein lagbhag 184 points ki kami aayi hai, jo kaafi significant hai. Aage chal kar humein 142-143 ki taraf continued slide dekhne ko mil sakti hai ya phir 146 tak bounce back ho sakta hai, jo potential higher push de sakta hai. Mera strategy simple hai: jitna price upar jayega, utni hi zyada attractive selling opportunities banengi.

4-Hour Chart Analysis:

4-hour chart par, maine initially yen-dollar pair ke further growth ki ummeed ki thi jab pair ek range mein trade kar raha tha. Magar mujhe yeh nahi laga tha ke yeh range break karke stop-loss orders ko trigger karega. Ab jab yeh stops clear kar chuka hai, mujhe lagta hai ke pair aage bhi upward movement continue karega. Yeh highest point jo reach kar sakta hai wo 143.102 ke niche aata hai. Dubara se, pair ne buyers aur sellers dono ko attract kiya hai, jo mujhe lagta hai ke yeh aur zyada stop orders trigger kar sakta hai. Potential maximum 142.266 hai, iske baad pair phir se climb kar sakta hai. Mujhe lagta nahi ke yeh apne previous lows ko revisit karega; meri anticipation hai ke yeh further growth dega. Mera target around 160.548 hai; mujhe lagta hai ke pair ne apne stops clear kar diye hain aur yeh upar jayega. Jab ke Japan ka bank intervention kar sakta hai, main buy nahi karunga kyunki long-term trend downward shift hota hua dikhai de raha hai.

USD/JPY ka pair price ka behavior aur analysis ke hawale se baat karte hain. H4 chart par linear regression channel mein buyers ki strength reflect hoti hai, jo upward trend mein hai. Jitna steeper channel ka tilt hoga, utna zyada buyer activity evident hogi. Bulls apne target level 161.148 tak pahunchne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Market mein pullback ke baad enter karne ke liye, wait karein jab tak price 160.217 ke paas ya is level par ho, tab buy karne par consider karein. Channel ke andar trading straightforward hai: lower edge par buy karein aur upper edge par sell karein. Lekin, trend ke against trading risky hoti hai. Main prefer karta hoon target reach hone ke baad pullback ka wait karoon taake growing channel mein re-enter kar saku. Agar price 160.217 ke baad bhi without stopping move karti hai, toh strong seller momentum signal hota hai, jo buying se pehle reassess karne ka zarurat hota hai. Aise situations mein caution advised hai.Doosri taraf, agar bulls trend line ko phir se toor kar iske upar position secure kar lete hain, to ye global trend ki restoration ka signal de sakta hai. Aam tor par average prices ki movement downward hai, aur dynamic filter bhi downward trend mein hai. Pehle, dynamic filter ki control line ne correction ko support kiya tha, magar ab daily candle patterns yeh darshate hain ke sellers dhire dhire momentum haasil kar rahe hain. Oscillator windows mein indicators, jisme dynamic RSI shamil hai, downward turn lene lage hain, halanke dynamic RSI abhi tak channel ke upper limit ke neeche cross nahi kiya. Junior RSI bhi dhire dhire downward shift ho raha hai, jabke day aur week RSI neeche hi hain, jo ke downward trend ke sath aligned hain. Agle downward move mein price kitni neeche jayegi is waqt predict karna mushkil hai, magar qarib tareen target 145.51 hai. Iske aage, direction abhi uncertain hai.

Japanese yen (JPY) par US dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein niche jani ki dabao dekhne ko mila Tuesday ko, halankeh Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke hawkish stance ke zyada ummeed thi. Japan ki ma'eeshat ne na-umeed karnay wali resilience dikhayi, doosre quarter mein 3.1% ke annualized growth rate ke sath. Ye mazboot growth BoJ ki 2% inflation target ko hasil karne mein confidence ko barhawa de rahi hai, aur yeh bhi iska imkaan hai ke aage interest rate hikes honge jo ke pichle chand saalon ki ultra-loose monetary policy ko unwind karenge. BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda Friday ko recent interest rate decision par guftagu karne wale hain, jo ke investors ko central bank ke policy trajectory ke baare mein zyada insights provide karega. Agar Ueda ka hawkish tone aata hai, to yeh yen ko support de sakta hai aur iski downside ko limit kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, US dollar ko dovish Fed rhetoric ki wajah se mushkilat ka samna hai. Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Kashkari ne zikar kiya ke September mein rate reduction munasib ho sakta hai, given ke labor market soft ho raha hai. Ye dovish sentiment greenback par bhari pad raha hai.

Technical analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair ka short-term bearish bias hai, aur yeh apne nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke niche trade kar raha hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) jo ke 30 ke qareeb hai, yeh correction ka potential dikhata hai. USD/JPY pair ke liye support seven-month low 141.69 par hai, jabke immediate resistance nine-day EMA ke qareeb 147.41 par hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to pair 50-day moving average 152.54 tak jaa sakta hai aur shayad 154.50 ke previous resistance level ko test kare. Nakhira, Japanese yen ki kamzori thodi ajeeb hai given ke BoJ ke hawkish prospects barh rahe hain. Lekin, US dollar ki dovish Fed rhetoric ki wajah se yen ka girna dekha gaya. BoJ Governor Ueda ka aane wala speech yen ke liye ek crucial event hoga, jo market sentiment ko shift kar sakta hai aur pair ke direction ko influence kar sakta hai.

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USD/JPY Analysis: Bearish Momentum

USD/JPY pair filhal daily time frame par bearish momentum ke signs dikhata hai. Yeh pair lower peaks aur valleys ka silsila bana raha hai, jo downward trend ko indicate karta hai. Kal, market 147.61 se open hua, jahan high 148.06 aur low 145.20 tak gaya, resulting in approximately 286 pips ka trading range. Yeh significant range market ki volatility ko highlight karti hai, aur kyunki pair daily pivot level se neeche trade kar raha hai, sentiment bilkul bearish hai.

Is analysis mein use kiye gaye sabhi technical indicators bearish outlook ko support karte hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) jo 14-period setting ke sath hai, ab 50 level se neeche hai aur overbought conditions se drop ho gaya hai. Yeh move bearish trend ke continuation ka signal hai. Iske ilawa, recently ek bearish pin bar pattern nazar aaya, jiske baad ek aur bearish candlestick bhi aayi, jo downtrend ki strength ko aur confirm karti hai. USD/JPY pair bhi 200-day Moving Average (MA) se neeche trade kar raha hai, jo bearish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai.

Price action ke hisaab se, pair ne rising trend line ko break kar diya hai, jo ek strong bearish signal hai. Yeh 30-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se bhi neeche trade kar raha hai, jo market ke short-term momentum ko longer-term downtrend ke sath align karta hai. Market daily pivot level ke neeche open hua, jo aane wale trading sessions mein bearish move ka ek aur indicator hai.

Is analysis ke madde nazar, USD/JPY pair ke downward move ki umeed hai, jiska potential target 145.41 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai. Traders jo short positions mein enter karna chahte hain, unke liye optimal entry range 148.00 se 147.00 ke beech honi chahiye. Magar, agar market 148.30 level ko break kar deti hai, to yeh bearish outlook invalidate ho sakta hai aur reversal ka signal de sakta hai.

Jo traders already short positions mein hain, unhe 145.87 level par partial profits lene ka consider karna chahiye taake gains lock in ho sakein, jabke remaining position ko 145.41 ke projected target ki taraf continue hone diya ja sake. Yeh approach profit-taking aur further downside ke potential ko balance karti hai.

In conclusion, USD/JPY pair ke liye current market conditions strong bearish trend ko suggest karti hain. Traders ko mentioned key levels ko watch karna chahiye aur apne positions accordingly manage karni chahiye. Aapke feedback aur suggestions hamesha welcome hain, kyunki yeh analysis ko refine karne mein madadgar ho sakte hain. Agar aapko yeh analysis madadgar lagti hai, to kripya "like" click karein taake mere work ko support mil sake.

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USD/JPY Forum Analysis aur Forecast

Aaj ki technical analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY currency pair ke movement par nazar daalte hue lagta hai ke price 147.70 tak ki upward correction hone ki umeed hai. H1 time frame mein USD/JPY ne ek bullish engulfing candle banayi hai, jo ke ek mazboot buy signal hai. Yeh candle market ke mood ko bullish darshati hai aur iske zariye hum USD/JPY ko 147.70 tak buy karne ki soch sakte hain. Iske ilawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 14 indicator ke mutabiq, kal USD/JPY ki price 145.70 par oversold thi, yani ke market mein zyada bechi gayi thi, jo yeh darshata hai ke USD/JPY ki price aage chal kar 147.70 tak upar ja sakti hai. Yeh signal bhi milta hai ke USD/JPY ne Fibonacci 0 line ko bhi cross kiya hai, jo ki ek positive indication hai ke buyers aaj USD/JPY pair mein enter kar sakte hain. Meri technical analysis ke natije mein, maine decide kiya hai ke USD/JPY ko 147.70 tak buy kiya jaye.

Daily time window mein Moving Average technique se dekha jaye to price bearish trend ko dikhati hai aur Yellow MA 200 se door chal rahi hai. Is se yeh samajh aata hai ke price ab bhi sellers ke control mein hai jo bearish pressure banaaye hue hain. Bearish candlestick bhi market mein dominate kar rahi hai, jo is baat ko darshata hai ke aaj trading ke doran bearish move ke zyada chances hain aur price agle target ke liye buyer demand support area ki taraf ja sakti hai. Aaj dopahar ki trading mein, buyers bade quantities mein market mein enter kar rahe hain aur bullish resistance put up karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, jisse price ko seller ke resistance area tak le jaya ja sake. Agar yeh resistance successfully penetrate hota hai, to price continue to rise karegi. Lekin agar yeh resistance fail hota hai, to aap sell entry karne ka soch sakte hain.

Technical Indicators aur Trend Analysis

H1 time frame par, bullish engulfing candle ki formation ke saath, market ne ek strong bullish signal generate kiya hai. Yeh candle ka shape aur placement market ke sentiment ko bullish darshata hai, jo ke price ke upar jaane ke chances ko zyada kar deta hai. RSI indicator ki reading bhi is scenario ko support karti hai; jab price oversold condition mein hoti hai, to yeh market ke rebound hone ke chances ko badha deti hai. RSI ki current position, jo ke 145.70 par thi, yeh indicate karti hai ke USD/JPY ki price 147.70 tak rise karne ki umeed hai.

Moving Average (MA) aur Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke indicators bhi is analysis ko support karte hain. Agar price Yellow MA 200 ke niche chal rahi hai to yeh bearish trend ko confirm karta hai. Lekin jab price EMA ke upar hoti hai to yeh short-term bullish trends ko darshata hai. Current scenario mein, jab price moving average se door hai aur bearish candlestick patterns dominate kar rahe hain, yeh market ke bearish pressure ko confirm karta hai.

Possible Trading Scenarios

1. Buy Scenario

Agar price H1 time frame par 147.37 ke entry point tak pahunche, to yeh ek acha buy opportunity ho sakta hai. Is level par, price ke upar jaane ke chances hain aur aap isko 148.11 tak buy kar sakte hain. 148.11 par, long positions ko exit karna aur short positions ko open karna chahiye, kyunki yeh level resistance ke roop mein kaam kar sakta hai. Agar price yeh level successfully break karti hai to aap long positions ko continue kar sakte hain. Buy signal tab tak valid hai jab tak MACD indicator zero line ke upar hai aur rising trend show kar raha hai.

2. Sell Scenario

Agar price 146.74 level ko test karti hai aur MACD indicator oversold area mein hai, to yeh market ke reversal signal ko darshata hai. Is scenario mein, price 147.37 aur 148.21 tak grow kar sakti hai. Lekin agar price 146.74 level par test karti hai aur MACD indicator oversold area se nikalta hai, to yeh bearish movement ko confirm karta hai. Aap short positions ko 146.74 ke level par enter kar sakte hain aur target 145.78 tak rakh sakte hain.

Agar market 147.37 level ko test karti hai aur MACD indicator overbought area mein hai, to yeh bearish signal ko confirm karta hai aur price ko 146.74 aur 145.78 tak decline karne ke chances hain

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Daily USD/JPY Price Forecast

Aaj hum USD/JPY rate ki daily price forecast ko detail mein dekhenge. Chart ko dekh kar ye kehna mushkil nahi ke currency pair ki current situation aur future movements ko samajhna zaroori hai. Recent trends aur economic factors ko samajhne se humein is pair ke future movements ki achi prediction mil sakti hai.

Current Market Conditions

Recent data ke mutabiq, yen aur franc ne Tuesday ke end tak achi growth show ki hai, jab ke ye currencies traditionally haven currencies rahi hain. Haven currencies wo hoti hain jo economic uncertainty ke waqt investors ka preference hoti hain, jaise ke yen aur franc. Is waqt, Bank of Japan aur Swiss Bank ke interest rates sabse kam hain major banks ke comparison mein. Bank of Japan ka interest rate sirf 0.25% hai, jab ke Swiss Bank ka rate 1.25% hai. In rates ke bawajood, yen aur franc ki growth dekhne ko mili hai, jo ke ek interesting observation hai.

Fed ke agar September mein 0.25% ka rate cut hota hai, to bhi Fed aur in dono central banks ke beech interest rate ka farq kafi zyada rahega. Fed ka rate agar 0.25% se cut hota hai, to bhi yen aur franc ke muqablay mein rate ka difference considerable hai. Yeh sawal uthta hai ke yen aur franc dollar ke muqablay mein growth kyun kar rahe hain? Iska jawab kuch economic aur market dynamics mein chhupa ho sakta hai.

Technical Analysis

Double bottom pattern ke baare mein bhi kuch observations hain. Double bottom pattern ek technical analysis pattern hota hai jo market ke reversal trends ko indicate karta hai. Main sochta tha ke yeh pattern kaam karega aur 145.20 se ek correction milegi. Lekin current trends ko dekhte hue, USD/JPY pair niche ki taraf aur bhi gir raha hai. Yeh pattern ke expectations ke mukable ek different trend dikhata hai.

USD/JPY price ab downward channel ke andar kaam kar rahi hai, jo ke D1 (daily) timeframe par dekha ja sakta hai. Downward channel ek aise trend ko indicate karta hai jahan price consistently lower highs aur lower lows banati hai. Is channel se price ka nikalna ya retest hona market ke future direction ko hint kar sakta hai. Filhal, price downward channel ke lower border se kaam kar rahi hai, jo ke yeh darshata hai ke market ne apne downward trend ko continue karne ka decision liya hai.

Agar price downward channel ke lower border ko retest karne ke baad bhi niche girti hai, to iska matlab hai ke fall continue ho sakta hai. Historical data aur technical indicators ke basis par, yeh expect kiya ja raha hai ke price is week ke dauran 141.60 level ko dobara test kar sakti hai. Yeh level ek significant support level hai jo pehle bhi price ko niche girne se rok chuka hai.

USD/JPY pair ne is haftay H4 timeframe par ek clear bearish trend dikhaya hai, apne downward momentum ko jaari rakha aur significant price zone 145.68 ke neeche break kiya hai. Yeh girawat bearish sentiment ka izhaar karti hai, khaaskar jab price 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke neeche rehne ki koshish kar raha hai. 100 SMA ke neeche trading karna, traders ke liye market direction ko samajhne ka ek important indicator hai. Iss waqt ki market conditions ke mutabiq, jab price 100 SMA ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, to bearish outlook mazid strong hota ja raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke sellers control mein hain aur market trend downward ja raha hai, jo pichlay weekend se ab tak dekhne mein aaya hai.

Agar hum trading activity ko July se dekhein, to yeh saaf hai ke market ek bearish trajectory par hai. Yeh downward trend steady hai, aur agar pair 144.96 price zone ko touch karta hai, to girawat ka silsila aglay haftay tak barh sakta hai. Pichlay haftay buyers ne price ko upar dhakelne ki koshish ki thi, lekin yeh efforts short-lived sabit hui. Price 149.36 area ko touch karne ke baad kisi bhi upward momentum ko sustain karne mein nakam rahi, aur phir reverse ho gayi, jisse bearish trend ka silsila jaari raha jo ab tak ke trading period mein dekhne ko mil raha hai.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye, to mid-week mein downtrend pattern market movement ko strongly influence kar raha hai. Stochastic indicator, jo overbought ya oversold conditions ko identify karne ka popular tool hai, ne 20 zone ko touch kiya hai, jo yeh signal deta hai ke market is waqt bearish state mein hai. Market ke khulne ke baad se price neeche girti hui aayi hai, jo downtrend ko aur confirm karta hai. Jab tak bearish momentum jaari hai, sellers ke liye neeche ki price areas target karna mumkin hai, jese ke pair apni girawat ko barhata hai.

Jo traders is trend se faida uthana chahte hain, un ke liye 145.22 zone ek key area ban kar samne aata hai jahan short positions open ki ja sakti hain. Yeh level broader market trend ke sath align karta hai aur un logon ke liye ek strategic entry point hai jo bearish movement ki direction mein trade karna chahte hain. Magar, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke trend dobara se downward jaane se pehle ek brief upward correction ho sakta hai. Aisi correction sellers ke liye aur behtar entry point bana sakti hai jo bearish side par trade karna chahte hain.

Aakhir mein, USD/JPY pair H4 timeframe par mazboot tor par bearish trend mein hai, jahan technical indicators aur market conditions mazeed girawat ka ishara de rahe hain. Traders ko 145.22 zone par nazar rakhni chahiye for potential selling opportunities, lekin yeh bhi dhyan mein rakhna chahiye ke koi short-term correction bhi ho sakti hai trend ke dobara se neeche jaane se pehle. Overall sentiment bearish hai, aur jab tak price 100 SMA ke neeche rehti hai, neeche ki taraf mazeed movement ka imkaan barh jata hai.

**USD/CAD Ka Fundamental Outlook**

Wednesday subah European trade mein, USD/CAD bearish trading kar raha hai 1.3620 ke aas-paas, jo 12 July ke baad se sabse nicha level hai. Federal Open Market Committee ke meeting ke minutes Wednesday ko investors ke liye available honge, jo Fed ke future operations ke intentions par additional information provide karenge. Is waqt, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil prices lagbhag $72.90 per barrel par trading kar rahi hain aur yeh chouthi consecutive session ke liye decline kar rahi hain Middle East ceasefire ki umeed ke bawajood. Lekin, Hamas ke suicide bombs carry karne ke threats ke sath, Reuters reports kehta hai ke tensions ab bhi bahut high hain. U.S. dollar index, jo dollar ki value ko chhah major currencies ke against measure karta hai, 101.70 tak gir gaya hai, jo pichhle saat mahine se nicha hai. Iske sath, unstable oil prices Canadian dollar par pressure daal rahi hain, jo commodities ke sath correlated hai.



**USD/CAD Ka Technical Outlook**

US dollar ne near-term appeal kho diya hai kyunki corporations ko lagta hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein activity fees kam karne start karega, jisse Canadian dollar assets 1.3630 ke neeche gir gaya hai. Volatile oil prices ke karan, commodity-linked Canadian currency (CAD) ko bhi pressure face karna pad sakta hai. Israeli-Iranian cease-fire ke ummedon ke badh, oil subsidies par concerns kam hue hain, jisse costs kam hui hain. U.S. dollar index, jo dollar ki value ko chhah major world currencies ke against measure karta hai, 101.77 ke aas-paas tha, jo saat mahine se zyada ka low hai. 10-year U.S. Treasury yield ab 3.87% hai. USD ke movements ko positive market mood bhi restrict karega, aur USD/CAD ko short-term pullback 1.3600 ke handle ke aas-paas verify karne se pehle kuch prudence zaroori hai.

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USD/JPY H4 Chart

USD/JPY H4 time frame chart par, USDJPY currency pair ek corrective phase se guzra hai, aur hal hi mein yen ya dollar par koi khaas aham khabrein nahi aayi hain. Is ongoing correction ke bawajood, market ka bearish trend Thursday tak barqarar rehne ka mumkinah hai. Market ki potential direction samajhne ke liye, US unemployment claims data ka jaiza lena zaroori hai, jo ke labor market ki current state ko samajhne mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Agar data labor market ke kamzor hone ki tasdeeq karta hai, to yeh USDJPY pair ke liye bearish sentiment ko support karega. Lekin, recent US unemployment claims data ka release hua jo expected se behtar tha. Is unexpected positive outcome ne US dollar ko boost diya, jisse wo yen ke muqablay mein taqatwar ho gaya. Data ka behtar performance yeh bhi indicate karta hai ke labor market shayad initial projections se zyada healthy ho, jo ke dollar ko mazid strengthen kar sakta hai. Traders aur analysts in developments ko closely monitor karenge taake USDJPY pair ki future trajectory ko samjha ja sake. Market participants ko hamesha vigilant rehna chahiye aur currency movements ko influence karne wale immediate aur broader economic factors ko consider karna chahiye.

Traders jo is trend ka faida uthane ka soch rahe hain, unke liye 145.22 zone ek key area ban jata hai short positions open karne ke liye. Ye level broader market trend ke sath align karta hai aur ongoing bearish movement ke direction mein trade karne ke liye ek strategic entry point provide karta hai. Lekin, yeh bhi zaroori hai ke short-term upward correction bhi ho sakti hai, jisse trend ka downward course resume hota hai. Aisi correction sellers ke liye ek aur behtar entry point provide kar sakti hai jo bearish side join karna chahte hain.

In conclusion, USD/JPY pair H4 timeframe par firmly bearish trend mein hai, jahan technical indicators aur market conditions further declines ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain. Traders ko 145.22 zone par potential selling opportunities dekhni chahiye, saath hi short-term corrections ke liye bhi alert rehna chahiye jo downtrend ke continue hone se pehle ho sakti hain. Overall sentiment bearish hai, aur jab tak price 100 SMA se niche rahegi, downside movement ke chances high hain.
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**USD/JPY Trades ka Analysis aur Tips**
Price test 145.91 ka us waqt hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se neeche move kar raha tha, jis ne scenario No. 1 ko execute kar diya selling ke liye. Iska natija yeh nikla ke pair 50 pips se zyada gir gaya. Jaise ke expected tha, Federal Reserve ke minutes release hone ke baad dollar pe pressure barh gaya, jis ne pair ko weekly low tak le aya. Aaj ki Asian trading session mein yen thoda kamzor hua weak manufacturing activity ki news ke baad, lekin Japan ke services sector ki relatively strong growth ne isse offset kar diya. Is se composite PMI mein bhi thoda izafa dekhne ko mila. US dollar ki kamzori USD/JPY ko neeche le jaari rahegi, lekin ab kafi kuch kal ke Jerome Powell ke speech par depend karega, is liye current levels pe short positions lete waqt ehtiyaat barhtein. Intraday strategy ke liye, main BUY signals ko follow karoon ga.

**Scenario No. 1:**
Aaj main USD/JPY ko buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon jab yeh entry point 145.56 ke qareeb pohanchay ga, jo chart par green line se dikhaya gaya hai, aur meri target price 146.13 hogi, jo chart par thicker green line se mark hai. 146.13 ke area mein main long positions ko exit kar doon ga aur opposite direction mein short positions open karoon ga, jahan se 30-35 pips ke reversal ka intezaar hai. Hum pair ke aaj barhne ki ummed kar sakte hain ek upward correction ke tor par. **Important:** Buy karne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur wahan se barhna shuru kar raha ho.

**Scenario No. 2:**
Main USD/JPY ko buy karne ka plan yeh bhi kar raha hoon agar do martaba 145.06 ka test hota hai jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Is se pair ke downward potential ko limit kiya ja sakta hai aur market ka reversal upturn ho sakta hai. Hum growth ki tawaqo kar sakte hain opposite levels tak, yaani 145.56 aur 146.13.

**Sell Signals**

**Scenario No. 1:**
Aaj main USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan sirf tab karoon ga jab 145.06 ka level test ho jaye, jo ke chart par red line se mark kiya gaya hai, aur yeh pair ke rapid decline ka sabab banega. Sellers ka key target 144.50 ka level hoga, jahan main short positions exit karoon ga aur foran opposite direction mein long positions open karoon ga, jahan se 20-25 pips ke reversal ka intezaar hai. USD/JPY pe pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyun ke dollar ka bearish market abhi tak gaya nahi hai. **Important:** Sell karne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur decline shuru ho raha ho.

**Scenario No. 2:**
Main USD/JPY ko sell karne ka yeh bhi plan kar raha hoon agar do martaba 145.56 ka test hota hai jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Is se pair ke upward potential ko limit kiya ja sakta hai aur market ka reversal downturn ho sakta hai. Hum decline ki tawaqo kar sakte hain opposite levels tak, yaani 145.06 aur 144.50. Main scenarios No. 1 aur 2 pe zyada rely karoon ga.

**Recent Movement ka Overview**

Pichle Wednesday ko trading session ke doran price mein aik aham girawat dekhne ko mili. Choti timeframes par price ko monitor kiya gaya hai aur ab yeh 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke upar hai, aur thodi si upward correction bhi dekhne ko mili hai. Aaj ke din price ke 154.00 - 155.23 range ke aas-paas consolidate hone ke chances hain, kyunki aise conditions aksar Tuesdays ko hoti hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai.

**Market Trend Conditions**

H1 timeframe ko dekhte hue, yeh clear hota hai ke market filhal downward phase mein hai, halanke range zyada wide nahi hai. Is hafte ka trend thoda bearish lag raha hai, khaaskar USD/JPY pair ke upward movement ke baad, jo July 2024 ke trading sessions ke shuru hone ke baad dekha gaya. Agar market kuch specific levels ke upar nahi rukta is hafte, to yeh agle support levels ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo shayad 168.00 ya usse lower ho sakte hain.

**Support aur Resistance Levels**

Agar support hold kar jata hai, to rebound ka bhi tajwez diya ja sakta hai, jisse pair previous highs ko 168.70-169.00 ke aas-paas test kar sakta hai. D1 moving average line trend indicator ka kaam karti hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehta hai, to yeh bullish trend ki continuation ka indication hota hai. Lekin, agar sustained trading moving average ke niche hoti hai, to yeh trend reversal ya consolidation phase ka signal de sakti hai.

**Economic Influences on Trading Activity**

USD/JPY pair ki recent trading activity economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical factors ke complex interplay ko reflect karti hai. D1 moving average line par 168.470 support level ka current test pair ke liye aik critical juncture hai. Traders ko is level ke aas-paas pair ke behavior ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunki yeh future price movements ke bare mein significant insights de sakta hai.

**Conclusion aur Strategy**

USD/JPY pair ke market dynamics ko navigate karte waqt cautious aur informed approach apnana zaroori hai. Technical aur fundamental analysis dono ko incorporate karna trading decisions ko well-informed banane ke liye crucial hoga.

USD JPY Forum Analysis, Forecast


Aaj ke din USDJPY currency pair ke movement ke technical analysis ke mutabiq, lagta hai ke 147.70 ke price tak upar ki taraf correction hoga. H1 time frame mein, USDJPY pair ne bullish engulfing candle banaayi hai, jo ke USDJPY ko 147.70 tak buy karne ka strong signal hai. Iske ilawa, Relative Strength Index 14 indicator ke mutabiq, USDJPY ki price kal 145.70 par oversold thi, yani zyada bech di gayi thi, isliye USDJPY ke 147.70 tak phir se barhne ki puri umeed hai. USDJPY ke price ka Fibonacci 0 line ko cross karna bhi buy signal hai, isliye aaj buyers ka USDJPY pair mein enter karna mumkin lagta hai. Mere technical analysis ke mutabiq, maine USDJPY ko 147.70 tak buy karne ka faisla kiya hai.

Daily time window mein Moving Average technique ke zariye dekha jaye toh price ab bhi Yellow MA 200 area se door gir rahi hai, jo ke sellers ke control mein hai aur bearish pressure barqarar hai. Bearish candlestick bhi dominate kar rahi hai, isliye aaj ke trading mein price ka neeche ki taraf aur girne ka mumkin hai, agle buyer demand support area tak. Aaj dopahar ke trading mein buyers bade size mein enter karne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur bullish resistance laga rahe hain, jo ke price ko seller ke resistance area tak le jaane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar yeh resistance successfully penetrate hota hai, toh price barhegi, warna sell entry ki soch sakte hain.apka trading day Acha rhe

USD/JPY Pair Ka Hal
USD/JPY pair abhi daily time frame par bearish momentum dikhata hai. Yeh pair lower peaks aur valleys bana raha hai, jo ke downward trend ko indicate karta hai. Kal market 147.61 par open hui, jahan highest 148.06 aur lowest 145.20 tha, is tarah trading range lagbhag 286 pips thi. Yeh bada range market ki volatility ko highlight karta hai, aur daily pivot level ke neeche trading karne se bearish sentiment zahir hota hai.

Is analysis mein use kiye gaye sabhi technical indicators bearish outlook ko support karte hain. 14-period ka Relative Strength Index (RSI ab 50 level ke neeche hai, jo ke overbought conditions se gir gaya hai. Yeh move bearish trend ke continuation ka signal hai. Saath hi, recent bearish pin bar pattern aur ek aur bearish candlestick ne downtrend ki strength ko aur confirm kiya. USD/JPY pair 200-day Moving Average (MA) ke neeche bhi trading kar raha hai, jo bearish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai.

Price action ke maamle mein, pair ne rising trend line ko break kiya hai, jo ke strong bearish signal hai. Yeh 30-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche bhi trading kar raha hai, jo short-term momentum ko longer-term downtrend ke sath align karta hai. Market ka daily pivot level ke neeche open hona bhi ek aur indicator hai jo aane wale trading sessions mein bearish move ki taraf ishara karta hai.

Is analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair ke niche move hone ki umeed hai, jiska potential target 145.41 ke aas-paas hai. Traders jo short positions lena chahte hain, unke liye optimal entry range 148.00 se 147.00 ke beech honi chahiye. Lekin agar market 148.30 level ko break karti hai, toh yeh bearish outlook invalidate ho sakta hai aur reversal signal de sakta hai.

Jo traders already short positions mein hain, unhe 145.87 level par partial profits lene par consider karna chahiye taake gains lock ho sakein aur baaki position ko 145.41 ke projected target tak move karne diya ja sake. Yeh approach profit-taking ko further downside ke potential ke sath balance karti hai.

Aakhir mein, USD/JPY pair ke liye current market conditions strong bearish trend ko suggest karti hain. Traders ko mentioned key levels par nazar rakhni chahiye aur apni positions accordingly manage karni chahiye. Aapke feedback aur suggestions hamesha welcome hain, kyunki yeh analysis ko aur behtar banane mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain. Agar aapko yeh analysis madadgar lage, toh mere kaam ko support karne ke liye "like" click karein.

Trends Ka Faaida Uthana: USD/JPY Prices
Hum USD/JPY currency pair ke pricing behaviour ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Central Bank of Japan ke ek representative ne haal hi mein is baat ka ishara diya ke wo market mein zyada yen release kar sakte hain. Yeh interesting hai kyunki pehle unhone rates barhaye the, aur ab yen ki strength ko counteract karne ki baat kar rahe hain. Yeh contradictory lagta hai, lekin yeh shayad ek verbal intervention thi exchange rate ko stabilize karne ke liye. Jaise ke maine pehle bhi kaha, bank ek zyada stable yen ko prefer karti hai, aur 149-141 ka price range possible hai. Sabse critical level 146.13 hai, aur iske neeche break karne se further declines dekhne ko mil sakti hain. Humne lagbhag 184 points ki girawat dekhi hai, jo ke significant hai. Hume 142-143 ki taraf aur girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai ya 146 tak bounce back ho sakta hai, jo higher push kar sakta hai. Mera strategy yeh hai ke jitna zyada price barhega, utna hi zyada selling opportunities attractive hongi.



On the 4-hour chart, maine pehle yeh expect kiya tha ke yen-dollar pair further growth show karega jab yeh range ke andar trading kar raha tha. Lekin mujhe yeh nahi laga tha ke yeh range se bahar niklega aur stop-loss orders ko trigger karega. Ab jab yeh stops clear kar chuka hai, mujhe lagta hai ke pair upar ki taraf move karega. Sabse ucha point jo yeh reach kar sakta hai woh 143.102 ke neeche hai. Ek baar phir, pair ne buyers aur sellers dono ko attract kiya hai, jo mujhe lagta hai ke yeh aur bhi stop orders trigger karne ki koshish karega. Potential maximum 142.266 hai, uske baad pair phir se barh sakta hai. Main purane lows ko revisit karne ki umeed nahi rakhta; mujhe lagta hai ke further growth dekhne ko milegi. Mera target 160.548 ke aas-paas hai; mujhe lagta hai ke pair ne apne stops clear kar diye hain aur yeh barhne wala hai. Jabke Japan ka bank intervene kar sakta hai, main buy nahi karunga, kyunki long-term trend downward shift hota dikh raha hai.

Forex USD/JPY Ka Technical Analysis
Japanese yen ne US dollar ke muqablay mein 145 yen ke threshold tak reach kar liya hai, jo ke lagbhag do hafton mein sabse ucha level hai, jabke US dollar kamzor ho gaya hai due to Federal Reserve ke monetary policy ke easing ke expectations. Pichle hafte, Chicago Federal Reserve Bank ke President Austin Goolsbee ne kaha tha ke US labor market aur kuch leading economic indicators warning signs dikhate hain, jaise ke credit card defaults ka barhna.

Local front par, investors ne economic data ko digest kiya jo dikhata hai ke Japan ke machinery orders, jo capital spending ka indicator hai, June mein maamooli 2.1% se barh gaye, jo ke 1.1% ke increase ki expectations se zyada hai. Ab markets Japanese inflation figures ka intezar kar rahi hain jo is hafte ke end mein aayengi, taake Bank of Japan ki monetary policy ke raaste ka pata chal sake. Overall, Japanese yen (JPY) ne US dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein doosre din bhi rise kiya, jo ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke hawkish sentiment aur rising geopolitical tensions ke wajah se hai. Japanese GDP growth jo second quarter mein ummed se zyada thi, ne yeh expectations paida kiya ke BoJ jaldi hi interest rates barha sakta hai, jis se yen ki strength barh gayi hai.

Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq… Pichle hafte data ne dikhaya ke Japan ki economy second quarter mein quarterly basis par 0.8% barhi, pehle quarter mein 0.6% contraction ke baad aur 0.5% ke expectations se zyada. Saal ke hisaab se, economy ne second quarter mein 3.1% growth show kiya, jo pehle quarter ke 2.3% decline se reverse hai aur 2.1% growth ke expectations se zyada hai.

USD/JPY Forecast Aaj



Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, USD/JPY price ne apne broader bearish path par wapas aa gaya hai aur 144.00 ke support ko break karna next stronger bearish move ko support karega, jo psychological support 140.00 ki taraf hoga, aur is se pehle technical indicators strong oversold levels tak pohanch sakte hain. Dusri taraf, aur same time frame mein, psychological resistance 150.00 bulls ke liye aage barhne ke liye ek important element rahega. USD/JPY pair apni current bearish range mein reh sakta hai jab tak markets aur investors US Federal Reserve ki last meeting ke minutes ke content aur Jackson Hole symposium mein global central bank officials ke statements ka reaction nahi de dete.