𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

Aaj yeh dekha gaya hai ke Japanese yen US dollar ke taqatmand hone ki wajah se nuqsan utha raha hai. Yeh uske baad aaya hai jab guzishta haftay mein pur-amraz hali darukenige se former US President Donald Trump ka qatal karne ki koshish ki gayi. Investors samaajh samajh kar ehtiyaat barat rahe hain, jo dollar ki taraf suraksha ke rukh ko barhata hai. Jumeraat ko, US dollar aur Japanese yen ke darmiyan (USD/JPY) ke exchange rate 159.30 ke aas paas tha. Rozana ke charts par nazar daalne par paish-e-nazar trend saamne aata hai. Pehle se bullish trend mein kuch loos ja raha lagta hai.

USD/JPY pair nedhez taur par umoomi channel ke neeche gira tha, jo ke ek technical indicator hai jo ek kamzor hone ki taraf shift ka ishara deta hai. Mazeed fikron ki aag mein charhane ki wajah 14 dinon ke doran price momentum ka andaaza lagane wali aik technical measure Relative Strength Index (RSI) hai. Yeh mikdaar, jo 14 dinon ke doran price ki harkat ko naaphta hai, ab zara 50 ke neeche hai. Yeh yeh dikhata hai ke USD/JPY pair ka upar ki taraf harkat kamzor ho raha hai. To, yeh currency pair kahan ja sakta hai? Agar yen apni neeche ke spiral ko jari rakhta hai, to woh shayad pehli support ko 159.00 ke psychological level ke aas paas paaye ga. Iss aham level ke neeche girne se ek bearish sentiment ka silsila shuru ho sakta hai, jo pair ko junay ki low tak lay sakta hai, 154.55 ke qareeb.





Additionally, a technical indicator used to measure momentum is pointing downwards, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. If this trend continues, the pair could revisit its June low of 154.55. However, there's still a chance for a reversal. Resistance levels near the 14-day Exponential Moving Average and the ascending channel's lower boundary could offer some support. If the price action climbs back within the ascending channel, it could signal a renewed bullish sentiment for USD/JPY, with a potential target near the channel's upper limit. In essence, the attempted assassination has injected volatility into the currency market. While the near future may see the yen weaken further due to risk aversion and potential intervention by Japanese authorities, technical indicators suggest a possible trend reversal if the USD/JPY pair manages to recapture key support levels. The upcoming weeks will likely be crucial in determining the future trajectory of the yen and the dollar, with close attention paid to developments in the US election and any further intervention attempts.

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Rozana Trading Chat On USDJPY:

Chalo phir se daily chart dekhte hain is hafte ke pehle din - USDJPY currency pair par. Pichle trading hafte mein, American dollar nay sellers ko apni taqatwar kami ke sath khush kiya. US ke baray mein news aai, indicators bohot ziada behtar se behtar nikle aur price neechay chali gayi, lekin, American dollar sirf Japanese currency ke khilaf hi nahi giraa, balke lagbhag puray market spectrum mein gir gaya. Canadian dollar ke ilawa, wo ab tak qayam hai. Lagbhag 400 points bohot tezi se neeche aagaye. Girawat ke doran, price ne apna sahara mila ek ascending support line ke roop mein jo waves ke bottoms ke sath bana tha aur upar ki taraf chaala gaya, phir girawat phir uthar chadh karke wapis line ke pass aaya. Lekin wave structure apna order upward banati hai, MACD indicator purchase zone mein hai, lekin ab signal line ke nichay. Aur ab do options hain. Ya phir phir se barhna aur horizontal resistance level 160.30 tak pahunchna, ya neeche ja kar ascending line ko toor dena. Main umeed karta hoon ke level tak barhna, CCI indicator lower overheating zone mein hai aur aap us pe grow signal dekh sakte hain - ek bullish convergence. Aur line ke basis pe, ye kaafi acha signal hai. Aur general, ye ye bhi nahi ke upward trend mukamal tarah se khatam ho gaya hai aur deeper correction aayega. Shayad phir se, zyada sellers ko lena ho ta ke socho, ab tou chali gayi is chakkar mein, price yahan ek din ke liye sideline ja sakti hai. Positions ka jama hoga aur asani se unhe wapas top tak le ja sakte hain, jab resistance level 160.32 ko tor denge. Har hall mein, agar hum sales ka khayal karein, ab line pe behtareen jagah nahi. Magar mujhe kharidna bhi nahi hai kyunki line ne pehle bhi kuch achhi chaddaiyan di hain, lekin yahan sirf line nahi hai, balki ek horizontal support level 157.72 bhi hai.

Sab ko salam,

H1 (ek ghante) timeframe par USD/JPY currency pair ab majboot bullish signs dikhata hai. Chaliye is tajziya ke khasiyat mein dubein.

Price Movement aur Key Levels:

Mausool current bullish trend ka sab se ahem ishaarah price ka rawayati izaafa hai key support aur resistance levels ke aas paas. Price ned recently resistance mili 159.901 par, aik ahem level jo temporary rok laga diya upward momentum ko. Is resistance tak puhnchne se pehle, price ne support level 159.296 tak correction kiya, jo Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 50 ke qareeb hai. Is correction se support area ko point karna goad karta hai aik temporary phase selling pressure ka, jo price ko neeche laya, sirf taake strong buying interest mila 159.296 level ke aas paas.

EMA 50 aur Support Level:

EMA 50 is aham indicator is scenario mein, jo dynamic support level faraham karta hai jo 159.296 price point ke sath miltajulta hai. Price ka rebound is level se ye dikhata hai ke selling pressure itni taqatwar nahi thi ke is support ko torh sake, aur EMA 50 ne is support area ko reinforce karne mein madad ki. Is point se aglay bullish momentum se buyers ki taqat aur unka control market sentiment par zor tandurust karti hai.





Bullish Strength aur Market Sentiment:

159.296 ke support ko test karne ke baad aur us se bounce karne ke baad, price ne significant bullish strength dikhayi, jari barkaraar upward movements ke saath. Ye rawayat dikhade ke support level effectively act kiya ek springboard ke tor par buyers ke liye, jo bharosa barhakar market mein dobaara shamil hue. Is support level ko chhute hue ke baad price ke consistent barhne se dikhata hai ke broader market sentiment bullish hai, jisme buying power pair ke movement par dominate kar rahi hai.

Approaching Resistance aur Breakout Potential:

Halat mein, price dobara 159.901 ka critical resistance level approach kar rahi hai. Ye level mushkil hai hesitation ke liye ke bullish trend continue hoga ya doosra setback hoga. Agar price is resistance ko tor deti hai, ye ek strong signal hoga ke buying power kafi hai ke price ko ooper le jaaye. Successful breakout 159.901 ke ooper price ko agle resistance levels tak target karwa sakti hai, aur further opportunities bullish movement ke liye khol sakti hai.

Implications of a Resistance Breakout:

159.901 ke ooper breakout aik taqatwar bullish sentiment ko signify karega, traders ko a clear signal provide karne ke liye continue buying. Aglay resistance levels, jo shayad 160.50 ke aas paas honge, new targets ban sakte hain bulls ke liye. Ye breakout bhi support level 159.296 aur bullish trend H1 timeframe par ki strength ko validate karega, traders ko confidence de kar continuation of the upward movement mein.

Conclusion:

Mukhtasir taur par, USD/JPY currency pair H1 timeframe par strong bullish characteristics dikhata hai. Price ka interaction key support 159.296 ke saath aur resistance 159.901 ki taraf highlight karte hain significant market dynamics. Agar resistance level ko break kia jata hai, ye further bullish momentum signal karega, buyers ka dominance confirm karte hue current market mein. Traders ko closely monitor karna chahiye price action ko 159.901 ke aas paas for signs of a breakout, taake potential upward movements se faida utha sakein.

USD/JPY D1 chart

Haal mein Japanese Yen ne US Dollar ke khilaaf numaya taqat dikhayi hai, wazeh tor par Treasury yields mein aam uptrend ke bawajood greenback ko taqwiyat faraham karte hue. Yeh mukhalif movement pehli tor par Japanese authorities ki mumkin intervention ki market expectations ke sath mansab di ja rahi hai takay Yen ke tezi se depreciation ko roka jaa sake. Situatsituation ko aur bhi complicated banata hai US se mukhtalif economic indicators. Jabke US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ke kamzor honay ke mawaqay initial tor par Dollar ki taqat ko kum kartay hain, agle reports, jinmein Michigan Consumer Confidence Index aur US Producer Price Index (PPI) shamil hain, US ki economic trajectory ke baray mein mazeed insights faraham karne ki umeed ki ja rahi hai. Ehmiyat rakhni chahiye ke Japan ne Yen ko stabilize karne ke liye qadam utha liye hain, 11 July ko currency khareedne ke liye arabon kharch kiye hain. Government officials ne bhi zarurat parne par izafi measures istemal karne ki isharaat di hain. Magar monetary policy ke aakhri faisla Bank of Japan (BoJ) par hai, jo inflationary pressures ka mukabilah karne ke liye apne anay wale July ke meeting mein interest rates barhane ka intezar kiya jata hai.



Pichle weekend, jab United States mein kam hone wale inflation ke data ke shor mein Bank of Japan ne currency intervention market mein anjam diya, hamne Japan ke tajziaedaro ki qabile qadar kheyal rakhne ki taareef ki, jo chart par dikhai deta hai. Sach kehne ke saath, mujhe lagta hai ke Bank of Japan pehle hi is action ke liye taiyaar tha, magar situation ko badalne ka moqa dhoondh raha tha. Magar, main ab bhi yeh kehna sahi nahi samajhta ke situation torh gaya hai aur Monday ko main umeed karta hun ke USD/JPY currency pair mein nayi growth ki ek nai leher hogi, pehle resistance level of 158.30 tak, magar yeh aik kamzor level hai, isliye mujhe umeed hai ke price figure of 159 mein enter karega. Beshak, bears ne USD/JPY currency pair ki price ko ek waqt mein char points neeche kiya, magar pehle ke situation ke mutabiq, ye dekha ja sakta hai ke bears lambe waqt tak khush nahi rahe. Yeh isliye samjha jaa sakta hai ke temperature ko kam kiya ja sakta hai, magar pair abhi tak sehatmand se bohat door hai aur iss beemari ke wajah ko khatam karna zaroori hai, jese interest rates ke farq ko. Beshak, iska ek ishara hai, magar yeh abhi sirf aik ishara hai, aur hamare samne do mahinay aur do inflation reports hain, jo aaj ke decline ke background ke mukablay mein fir se barhne ka buland imkan rakhta hai.

Japani yen ne apni slide ko Tuesday ko jari rakha, ek halaat bhare haftay ke baad jo Japanese authorities ki shakist mili. Yen ne pehlay hafty mein taqreeban 2% izafa kar liya tha, jis se uski tezi se kamzori ke baare mein fikar uthi. Reuters ke mutabiq, Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke dware jari shuda data ne Thursday ko potential intervention ki isharaat di. Data ne ishara diya ke BOJ ne yen ke depreciate hone ko rokne ke liye 3.37 trillion yen se lekar 3.57 trillion yen tak kharch kiya ho sakta hai. Jabke, America ka dollar ek boost mehsoos kiya, pichhle dinon ek sakht hamla jis ne purane America ke president Trump par hone wale koshish-e-hatmi ke baad. Ye waqe investors ke darmiyan risk se bachne ki taraf le gaya, jiska natija dollar ki mehsoos ki jaane wali salamti tha. Magar, dollar ki ye tezi mukhtasir muddat ke liye ho sakti hai. America mein inflation ke slowdown ke halaat ne September mein Federal Reserve rate cut hone ki ummeed ko barha diya hai. Ye potential rate cut dollar ki attractiveness ko weak kar sakta hai. Investors future ki economic data releases par nigrani rakhte hain, jaise ke June ke American retail sales figures, Federal Reserve ki monetary policy stance ke baare mein aur clues dene ke liye. CME Group ke FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, markets abhi 85.7% probability dete hain ke September ke Fed meeting mein 25 basis point rate cut hoga, jo ke sirf ek hafta pehle 71.0% tha.





Agar hum apni focus ko USD/JPY currency pair par lete hain, to exchange rate Tuesday ko 158.70 ke qareeb tha. Daily chart analysis se pata chalta hai ke ek mazboot uptrend hai. Pair abhi ek taraqqi pasand pattern ka sab se neeche wala hadaf hai, jo ke bullish sentiment ko aur mazboot banata hai. Is ke ilawa, 14-din ka Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi 50 mark ke just neeche hai, jo ke ek neutral momentum ko darust kar sakta hai jo mazeed izafe ke raaste ko pave kar sakta hai. Agar uptrend jari rahe, to USD/JPY ka pehla rukawat 9-din ke exponential moving average (EMA) par hogi jo ab 159.46 par hai. Is darwaze ko par karne ka kamyaabi se pair ko aagay barhnay ka raasta mil sakta hai jo ke ascending channel ke neeche wala hadaf hai joke 160.30 par hai. Is channel mein trading jaari rahe to uptrend par bharosa barh jayega, ek potential hadaf 163.70 ke qareeb hosakta hai. Neche ki taraf, USD/JPY ke liye significant support ko psychological level 158.00 ke qareeb mil sakta hai. Agar is hadaf se neeche chala gaya, to ek downward correction ko trigger kar sakta hai, jise pair June ke kam se kam 154.55 tak le ja sakta hai. BOJ ke yen ko kamzor karna aur aik mumkin Fed rate cut se dollar ko kamzor karna ke darmiyan garhti hui larai future mein USD/JPY ka rasta shape karne wala ahem factor hoga.

USD
Exchange Rate Mein Jaiza: USD/JPY

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ki mojooda keemat ka jaiza kar rahe hain. USD/JPY pair ne chaar ghanton ke chart par kafi girawat darj ki hai, jise America ke dollar ke baare mein khabron ne chalaya hai. Ye to uchhaal gaya, lekin sirf 23.5 Fibonacci retracement level tak pohancha, aur mazeed gehri correction tak 38.1 level par pohanchne ka koi amkan nahi tha. 153.64 ke level par ye ruk gaya. Main hairan hoon. Mujhe bhi cross-pairs ke liye orders khule the. 153.69 level ki taraf yeh bearish move jari rakhna behtar manzara hoga. Main yeh ummeed rakhta hoon, lekin mujhe hairat hoti hai ke kya hum mazeed taraqqi dekhein ge. Hum 157.59 ke level ke qareeb mazboot support banane ki ummeed hain. Ye humein global price high ko 161.949 tak update karne ki ijazat dega aur 162 yen har dollar tak pohanchne ki koshish karein ge. Agar ye hojaye, hum 165.009 ke level tak pohanch sakte hain.





Ghantay ka chart dekhne par, keemat ek nichli channel ke andar hai. Kal, neeche ki taraf ja kar, keemat is channel ka neeche wala border, yaani 157.57 ke level tak pohanchi. Is ke baad, aik ulat phiraan hua, aur pair upar ki taraf chalne laga. Haftay ke avqat Monday se shuru hoti hui, keemat mazeed barhti rahegi, aur pair upper border of the descending channel tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 159.01 par hai. Is level tak pohanchne par, pair ka izafa ruk sakta hai, aur keemat neeche ki taraf ja sakti hai, is channel ke neeche wale border tak pohanch sakti hai, jise 157.16 ke level tak pohanch sakti hai. USD/JPY currency pair ka haftawaray time frame tafseel se dekhte hue, wazeh ho raha hai ke ek lambay arse tak be-misal qabza raha hai, lekin buyers ne trading ke pichhle paanch dinon mein apni leading positions kho di hain. Aise bearish moves pehle bhi hote rahe hain. Ye kai hafton tak chalte hain, lekin long position holders aakhir mein keblaat dikhate hain aur naye unchayiyon tak pohanchte hain.

USD/JPY

Dear members! Kisi bhi mukhtalif alternative nahi hain; jo ke current level se fall hona shuru hoga, ya phir baad mein 161.50 par. 161.85 par likely significant resistance hoga. Kuch indications hone ke bawajood ke U-turn ho sakta hai, market largely unaffected hai. Japanese economy ka oil imports par depend karna, directly exchange rate ko influence karta hai. Current oil price situation yen ki value ko affect kar rahi hai, aur demand accordingly adjust ho sakti hai. Magar, yeh abhi tak uncertain hai ke yeh kitna extent tak hoga. General tor par, mujhe umeed hai ke decline hoga 161.00 tak. Halaat clear nahi hain. Isliye, main suggest karta hoon ke koi bhi move karne se pehle zyada concrete signals ka wait karein. Current H4 chart yeh indicate karta hai ke agar aap sell-off ka signal dekhte hain, toh zaroori hai ke lower point of the active wave 162.80 se neeche ho. Yeh likely ek correction ya reversal trigger karega jo ke ek three-wave structure follow karega. Agar price current level se rise karne ki koshish karta hai, toh yeh resistance face karega around 161.58, aur stop losses ko accordingly set karna advisable hai. Click image for larger version



USDJPY pair ne pichle hafte selling activity dikhayi, magar yeh ek corrective decline tha jo ke liquidity gather karne ke liye tha before new upward movement start hone se pehle jo highs ko renew karega. Mujhe umeed hai ke USDJPY pair ki price levels 162 aur 163 tak rise hogi, jald hi hum in levels ko dekhenge agar mera idea sahi hai, aur ek upward retracement shuru hoga. Mujhe umeed hai ek upward impulse ka jo ke 161.81 level ke breakthrough se start hoga, jo ke pehla step north hoga.


Mere forecasts bhi confirm ho rahe hain. Lower time frame par, ek soon recovery 162 level tak confirm ho rahi hai; although is level par resistance tha, chart par abhi tak breakout nahi hai, jo ke buyers se time aur effort ki zaroorat hai. Halanke mujhe 162 level ke breakout ke baad resistance nahi dikhayi de raha, hum right moment choose kar rahe hain entry ke liye. Currently, hum ek reversal moment observe kar rahe hain, aur main entry point dhoondh raha hoon, although opportunity already exist karti hai.

USD/JPY pair ne khaas taur par H4 chart par significant volatility dekha hai. Guzishta Jumeraat ko, price ne upper boundary ke ird gird 161.95 se decline kiya, jo ek potential reversal ka signal hai. Is movement ne traders mein kafi dilchaspi paida ki hai, jo mukhtalif interpretations kar rahe hain prevailing trend ke baare mein.
Technical Perspective
Stochastic indicator ke mutabiq, ek clear sell signal issue hua hai jab crossover hua, jo ek potential downturn ka ishara de raha hai. Woh traders jo heavily is indicator par rely karte hain, isko ek mouqa samajh sakte hain sell positions enter karne ka, expecting further price declines.
Context of Price Action
USD/JPY pair ka behavior aksar broader economic conditions ko reflect karta hai, jaise ke US aur Japan ke interest rate differentials, geopolitical events, aur economic data releases. Guzishta mahino mein, in areas mein fluctuations ne pair ki volatility mein contribute kiya hai.

Yen Ki Kamzori: Jaise keh yen kamzor hua aur record darjay par pahuncha, investors umuman ummeed rakhte thay keh Japani hukumat April aur May mein phir se forex market mein dakhil ho gi.
Japani Ki Maliyaat: Magar waqt ke saath analysts ne is baat ka bhi ishara kiya keh Japan ki maliyaat ki normalisation kafi tezi se nahi ho rahi hai aur Japan aur United States ke darmiyan munfarid interest rate ke farq ki wajah se, market Japani authorities ki dakhalat ka jawab nahi deti aur dollar khareedne ki behtar imkaan ke talaash mein hoti hai.
Import Ke Kharche: Is mausam ke kamzori se import ke wasool ke kharche mein achanak izafa ho ga, jo istemaal par dabao daal kar muashi nashonuma mein rukawat daal sakta hai.
Japani Maeeshat: Mukhtalif challenges ne Japani maeeshat ko sakht takleef mein daal diya hai. Musbat interest rate ki hifazat bhi maslaat-e muashi ka hal nahi karegi, lekin interest rate mein izafa Japani hukumat ke qarz ko barha dega, jo insano par dabao daale ga.
Market Ki Umeed: Is nazar se market Bank of Japan se interest rate ki normalisation ka imkan-e peshgoi karta hai. Magar Fed ke interest rate cut ke raste par abhi bhi shak hai. Jab tak yeh interest rate farq jari rahega, yen par mazeed dabao qaim rahega.
US Non-Farm Data Report: Chhotey arse mein, Thursday ke US non-farm data report ek sans lene ki jagah moujood hai. Agar data ummeed se kafi kam nikle, to USD/JPY mojooda uchayiyo par munafa talash karega aur ehtiyat ke sath neechay aayega.
Technical Indicators: Daily chart se, mukhtalif technical indicators overbought conditions dikhate hain, aur short-term adjustments aur USD/JPY ke downside risk se bachna zaroori hai.
Yeh tehqiqati report mein mukhtalif tafseeli muddaton par guftagu ki gayi hai jo USD/JPY currency pair ke hawale se hai, jis mein Japani yen aur US dollar ke darmiyan mukhtalif factors ke asarat ka jayeza liya gaya hai.

USD/JPY subah ki yatra mein qareeb 40 saal ke record darjay par qaim raha, aur band ke ikhtitam tak 161.25 tak gir gaya. Jaise keh yen kamzor hua aur record darjay par pahuncha, investors amuman ummeed rakhte thay keh Japani hukumat April aur May mein phir se forex market mein dakhil ho gi.
Magar waqt ke saath analysts ne is baat ka bhi ishara kiya keh Japan ki maliyaat ki normalisation kafi tezi se nahi ho rahi hai aur Japan aur United States ke darmiyan munfarid interest rate ke farq ki wajah se, market Japani authorities ki dakhalat ka jawab nahi deti aur dollar khareedne ki behtar imkaan ke talaash mein hoti hai. Is mausam ke kamzori se import ke wasool ke kharche mein achanak izafa ho ga, jo istemaal par dabao daal kar muashi nashonuma mein rukawat daal sakta hai. Mukhtalif challenges ne Japani maeeshat ko sakht takleef mein daal diya hai. Musbat interest rate ki hifazat bhi maslaat-e muashi ka hal nahi karegi, lekin interest rate mein izafa Japani hukumat ke qarz ko barha dega, jo insano par dabao daale ga. Is nazar se market Bank of Japan se interest rate ki normalisation ka imkan-e peshgoi karta hai. Magar Fed ke interest rate cut ke raste par abhi bhi shak hai. Jab tak yeh interest rate farq jari rahega, yen par mazeed dabao qaim rahega. Chhotey arse mein, Thursday ke US non-farm data report ek sans lene ki jagah moujood hai. Agar data ummeed se kafi kam nikle, to USD/JPY mojooda uchayiyo par munafa talash karega aur ehtiyat ke sath neechay aayega. Daily chart se, mukhtalif technical indicators overbought conditions dikhate hain, aur short-term adjustments aur USD/JPY ke downside risk se bachna zaroori hai.
Mukhtasar Tafseelat:
Market Overview: Jumeraat ko (12 July), amreeki chhuti ke din, USD/JPY ne subah ki yatra mein qareeb 40 saal ke record darjay par qaim raha, aur band ke ikhtitam tak 161.25 tak gir gaya.
Yen Ki Kamzori: Jaise keh yen kamzor hua aur record darjay par pahuncha, investors umuman ummeed rakhte thay keh Japani hukumat April aur May mein phir se forex market mein dakhil ho gi.
Japani Ki Maliyaat: Magar waqt ke saath analysts ne is baat ka bhi ishara kiya keh Japan ki maliyaat ki normalisation kafi tezi se nahi ho rahi hai aur Japan aur United States ke darmiyan munfarid interest rate ke farq ki wajah se, market Japani authorities ki dakhalat ka jawab nahi deti aur dollar khareedne ki behtar imkaan ke talaash mein hoti hai.
Import Ke Kharche: Is mausam ke kamzori se import ke wasool ke kharche mein achanak izafa ho ga, jo istemaal par dabao daal kar muashi nashonuma mein rukawat daal sakta hai.
Japani Maeeshat: Mukhtalif challenges ne Japani maeeshat ko sakht takleef mein daal diya hai. Musbat interest rate ki hifazat bhi maslaat-e muashi ka hal nahi karegi, lekin interest rate mein izafa Japani hukumat ke qarz ko barha dega, jo insano par dabao daale ga.
Market Ki Umeed: Is nazar se market Bank of Japan se interest rate ki normalisation ka imkan-e peshgoi karta hai. Magar Fed ke interest rate cut ke raste par abhi bhi shak hai

USD/JPY H4 Time Frame Chart Analysis USD/JPY currency pair ka H4 time frame chart analyze karte hue, hum dekhenge ke price ka current movement kya suggest karta hai aur possible future directions kya ho sakte hain.

Current Market Situation
Price ko currently upward push dekha ja raha hai, lekin expected hai ke price decline bhi ho sakta hai, jahan 160.27 support position further decline ko rok sakta hai. Price ne end of April mein ek bullish position form kiya tha, lekin isko recent days mein important profit tak nahi pahuncha aur price wapas aaya.

Key Levels and Technical Analysis
1. Support and Resistance Levels

Vertical resistance position 161.10 ne candles ke ending prices ke advance ko roka hai. Yeh resistance position support se resistance ban gaya hai. Ab price ko expected hai ke is position se neeche aayega, lekin recent movement ne show kiya hai ke support position phir se bana hai. Abhi most probably, price last week ke highs tak le jayega.

2. Trading Strategy

Agar price 161.10 glass position se upar jaata hai, toh log wahan se vend karne ki koshish karenge aur stop loss positions ko piche set karenge. Yeh situation bearishness ko indicate karta hai aur price ko down le ja sakta hai.

3. CCI Index and Market Sentiment

CCI index ne upper overheating zone se neeche gira hai, jo bearish signal ho sakta hai. Lekin yeh signal outside ke beyond jaane se pehle applicable nahi hai. Top ke piche ek implied deals zone bhi ho sakti hai, jahan bearishness different pointers ke liye vary kar sakta hai.

News Impact
Bank of Japan apne currency ko stabilize karne ke liye efforts kar raha hai, jabki America isko rok raha hai. Aane waali crucial news package, jaise severance benefits aur Consumer Price Index in the United States, market sentiment aur price movement par impact daal sakta hai.

Conclusion
USD/JPY H4 time frame chart ke analysis se yeh pata chalta hai ke price abhi resistance level 161.10 ke paas hai aur support level 160.27 important hai. Market sentiment bearish ho sakta hai agar price resistance se neeche jaata hai. Traders ko price movement aur news updates ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake future trading opportunities ko identify kiya ja sake.

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USDJPY Market Analysis Jumeraat (12 July) ko, jo keh amreeki chhuti thi, USD/JPY subah ki yatra mein qareeb 40 saal ke record darjay par qaim raha, aur band ke ikhtitam tak 161.25 tak gir gaya. Jaise keh yen kamzor hua aur record darjay par pahuncha, investors amuman ummeed rakhte thay keh Japani hukumat April aur May mein phir se forex market mein dakhil ho gi.

Magar waqt ke saath analysts ne is baat ka bhi ishara kiya keh Japan ki maliyaat ki normalisation kafi tezi se nahi ho rahi hai aur Japan aur United States ke darmiyan munfarid interest rate ke farq ki wajah se, market Japani authorities ki dakhalat ka jawab nahi deti aur dollar khareedne ki behtar imkaan ke talaash mein hoti hai. Is mausam ke kamzori se import ke wasool ke kharche mein achanak izafa ho ga, jo istemaal par dabao daal kar muashi nashonuma mein rukawat daal sakta hai. Mukhtalif challenges ne Japani maeeshat ko sakht takleef mein daal diya hai. Musbat interest rate ki hifazat bhi maslaat-e muashi ka hal nahi karegi, lekin interest rate mein izafa Japani hukumat ke qarz ko barha dega, jo insano par dabao daale ga. Is nazar se market Bank of Japan se interest rate ki normalisation ka imkan-e peshgoi karta hai. Magar Fed ke interest rate cut ke raste par abhi bhi shak hai. Jab tak yeh interest rate farq jari rahega, yen par mazeed dabao qaim rahega. Chhotey arse mein, Thursday ke US non-farm data report ek sans lene ki jagah moujood hai. Agar data ummeed se kafi kam nikle, to USD/JPY mojooda uchayiyo par munafa talash karega aur ehtiyat ke sath neechay aayega. Daily chart se, mukhtalif technical indicators overbought conditions dikhate hain, aur short-term adjustments aur USD/JPY ke downside risk se bachna zaroori hai.

Mukhtasar Tafseelat:

Market Overview: Jumeraat ko (12 July), amreeki chhuti ke din, USD/JPY ne subah ki yatra mein qareeb 40 saal ke record darjay par qaim raha, aur band ke ikhtitam tak 161.25 tak gir gaya.
Yen Ki Kamzori: Jaise keh yen kamzor hua aur record darjay par pahuncha, investors umuman ummeed rakhte thay keh Japani hukumat April aur May mein phir se forex market mein dakhil ho gi.
Japani Ki Maliyaat: Magar waqt ke saath analysts ne is baat ka bhi ishara kiya keh Japan ki maliyaat ki normalisation kafi tezi se nahi ho rahi hai aur Japan aur United States ke darmiyan munfarid interest rate ke farq ki wajah se, market Japani authorities ki dakhalat ka jawab nahi deti aur dollar khareedne ki behtar imkaan ke talaash mein hoti hai.
Import Ke Kharche: Is mausam ke kamzori se import ke wasool ke kharche mein achanak izafa ho ga, jo istemaal par dabao daal kar muashi nashonuma mein rukawat daal sakta hai.
Japani Maeeshat: Mukhtalif challenges ne Japani maeeshat ko sakht takleef mein daal diya hai. Musbat interest rate ki hifazat bhi maslaat-e muashi ka hal nahi karegi, lekin interest rate mein izafa Japani hukumat ke qarz ko barha dega, jo insano par dabao daale ga.
Market Ki Umeed: Is nazar se market Bank of Japan se interest rate ki normalisation ka imkan-e peshgoi karta hai. Magar Fed ke interest rate cut ke raste par abhi bhi shak hai. Jab tak yeh interest rate farq jari rahega, yen par mazeed dabao qaim rahega.
US Non-Farm Data Report: Chhotey arse mein, Thursday ke US non-farm data report ek sans lene ki jagah moujood hai. Agar data ummeed se kafi kam nikle, to USD/JPY mojooda uchayiyo par munafa talash karega aur ehtiyat ke sath neechay aayega.
Technical Indicators: Daily chart se, mukhtalif technical indicators overbought conditions dikhate hain, aur short-term adjustments aur USD/JPY ke downside risk se bachna zaroori hai.
Yeh tehqiqati report mein mukhtalif tafseeli muddaton par guftagu ki gayi hai jo USD/JPY currency pair ke hawale se hai, jis mein Japani yen aur US dollar ke darmiyan mukhtalif factors ke asarat ka jayeza liya gaya hai.

Japani Yen ki Halat

Japani yen kuch arsay se rollercoaster ride par hai. Pichle hafte karib 2% surge ke baad, yen ki tez depreciation ne concerns ko barhaya, aur yen ne Tuesday ko phir se slide ki. Reuters ke mutabiq, Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki taraf se jari hui data se hint milta hai ke Thursday ko intervention ho sakta hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke BOJ ne yen ki girawat ko rokne ke liye 3.37 trillion yen aur 3.57 trillion yen ke darmiyan kharch kiye ho sakte hain.

Interesting baat yeh hai ke recent assassination attempt on former US President Trump ke baad US dollar ko boost mila. Yeh event investors mein risk aversion ko barhawa diya, jisse wo dollar ki perceived safety ki taraf bhaag gaye. Magar yeh upward momentum dollar ke liye ziada dair tak nahi reh sakti. Recent slowdown in US inflation ke signs ne September mein Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki expectations ko barhaya hai. Yeh potential rate cut dollar ki appeal ko kam kar sakta hai.





USD/JPY Currency Pair

USD/JPY currency pair ko dekhte hue, exchange rate Tuesday ko 158.70 ke aas paas hover kar raha tha. Daily chart analysis se uptrend ki mazbooti nazar aati hai, aur pair ek ascending channel pattern ki lower boundary ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 mark ke thoda niche hai, jo neutral momentum ko show karta hai aur further gains ke raste khol sakta hai. Agar uptrend continue karta hai, to USD/JPY ke liye pehli hurdle 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) par hogi jo abhi 159.46 par hai. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, to pair 160.30 par ascending channel ke lower limit tak pohanch sakta hai.

Aane Wala Scenario

Japani yen ko weaken karne ke liye BOJ ke intervention aur dollar ko weaken karne ke liye possible Fed rate cut ke darmiyan tug-of-war USD/JPY ki future trajectory ko shape karegi. Investors upcoming economic data releases, jaise ke June ke US retail sales figures, par kareebi nazar rakhe hue hain taake Fed ki monetary policy stance ke baare mein further clues mil sakein.

AUD/USD H-4 Time Frame Chart

AUD/USD H-4 Australian Dollar - US Dollar ka chart dekhtay hain. Heiken Ashi candles ki readings aur TMA (Triangular Moving Average) aur RSI indicators ke signals ko combine karke analyze karte hain. Abhi market mein sellers ki power kamzor hoti nazar aa rahi hai aur buyers ki taraf initiative shift hota lag raha hai. Heiken Ashi candles, regular candles ke mukablay mein, flattened ya averaged price value show karti hain, jo technical analysis ko simplify karte hain aur trading decisions ki accuracy ko badhate hain. TMA Channel indicator (red, blue aur yellow lines) do flattened moving averages ki buniyad par support aur resistance lines build karta hai aur instrument ke current movement ke limits ko display karta hai.




Trades ko filter karne ke liye aur positive results show karne ke liye, Heiken Ashi ke saath RSI Basement indicator use kiya gaya hai. Currency pair ke chart par dekhte hain ke candles ka rang blue ho gaya hai, jo bullish interest ki priority power ko emphasize karta hai. Price ne channel ki lower border (red dotted line) ko cross kiya aur minimum point se bounce karte hue wapas apni middle line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf move kar gayi. RSI oscillator buy signal ko confirm karta hai kyunki uski curve upwards directed hai aur overbought level ke kareeb nahi hai.

Hum yeh conclude kar sakte hain ke ek suitable moment aa gaya hai ek profitable, long buy transaction conclude karne ke liye, market quotes ke upper border of the channel (blue dotted line) ko reach karne ke liye, jo ke price mark 0.68262 par hai.

Chart: AUD/USD H-4.

USD/JPY H4 Chart Analysis

USD/JPY pair ne H4 chart par significant volatility dikhayi hai. Pichlay Jumay ko, price upper boundary around 161.95 se decline hui, jo ek potential reversal ka signal de rahi hai. Yeh movement traders mein kaafi interest paida kar rahi hai, jisse prevailing trend ke mutaliq mukhtalif interpretations saamne aa rahi hain.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to stochastic indicator ne ek clear sell signal issue kiya hai by crossing over, jo ek potential downturn ko suggest kar raha hai. Traders jo heavily is indicator par rely karte hain, isay ek mauqa samajh rahe hain sell positions enter karne ka, anticipating further price declines.

Is price action ka context samajhna zaroori hai. USD/JPY pair ka behavior aksar broader economic conditions ko reflect karta hai, jaise interest rate differentials between US aur Japan, geopolitical events, aur economic data releases. Recent months mein, in areas mein fluctuations ne pair ki volatility ko contribute kiya hai.

Kai factors ho sakte hain jo current movement ko contribute kar rahe hain. Pehle, USD pressure mein ho sakta hai shifting expectations about Federal Reserve's monetary policy ki wajah se. Agar market participants samjhte hain ke Fed interest rate hikes ko pause ya slow down kar sakta hai, to USD weaken ho sakta hai. Dosri taraf, JPY relative strength experience kar sakta hai apni status as a safe-haven currency ki wajah se, khaaskar global economic uncertainty ya risk aversion ke waqt.

Iske ilawa, technical levels jaise support aur resistance zones bhi significant role play karte hain. Decline from 161.95 ko dekha ja sakta hai as price reacting to a key resistance level. Agar yeh level hold karta hai, to yeh stochastic indicator ke suggest kiye gaye bearish outlook ko further validate kar sakta hai. Magar, agar price support paata hai aur critical levels ke upar stabilize ho jata hai, to yeh bearish scenario ko challenge kar sakta hai.

Traders ko ehtiyat baratni chahiye aur multiple factors ko consider karte hue decisions leni chahiye. Jabke stochastic indicator ek sell signal provide karta hai, yeh zaroori hai ke isay doosre technical indicators aur fundamental analysis ke sath corroborate kiya jaye. Price action se confirmation dekhna, jaise recent lows ke neeche break, traders ko false signals se bachne aur trades ke reliability ko improve karne mein madad de sakta hai.

Summary mein, USD/JPY pair ki recent volatility, combined with stochastic indicator se technical signals, ek potential bearish trend ki taraf ishara karte hain. Magar, traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye, broader economic factors aur additional technical indicators ko consider karte hue ek comprehensive trading strategy ensure karne ke liye.

USD/JPY H-4 Analysis

US inflation levels ke numbers expectations se kam aane ke baad, USD/JPY par strong selling operations dekhi gayi. Is ke natije mein yeh pair 157.37 support level tak gir gaya, jo lagbhag ek mahinay ka sabse kam level hai, aur is hafte ke trading ke aghaz par 158.18 level par stabilize hua. Selling operations 161.80 resistance level par based hain, jo 38 saal mein Japanese yen ka sabse kam price hai.

Economic side par, Japan mein nationwide price growth June mein 2.7% tak barhne ki umeed hai, jo ke agle Jumay ko release hone wale data se pata chalega. Yeh natija expectations ko barha sakta hai ke Bank of Japan bond purchases ko kam karne aur interest rates barhane par ghor karega apni meeting mein. Japanese workers ke basic salaries 1993 ke baad sabse zyada barh gayi hain, jo ke consumption ko support kar sakti hain aur Bank of Japan ko interest rates dobara barhane ka moqa de sakti hain.

American side par, core US consumer price index - jo food aur energy costs ko exclude karta hai - May se 0.1% barha, jo ke 3 saalon mein sabse choti increase hai. General index pehli baar epidemic ke shuru hone ke baad se gira hai, gasoline prices ke girne ki wajah se. Distressed investors samajhte hain ke United States mein distressed real estate assets khareedna unke liye is generation ki behtareen opportunities mein se ek hai, kyun ke commercial real estate ka collapse market ko disturb kar raha hai. Mortgage Bankers Association ke mutabiq, takriban $1 trillion commercial real estate-related debt is saal due hone wala hai, aur borrowers ke fail hone ki wajah se default rates barh rahe hain, jo distressed assets ke buyers ke liye zyada options create karenge.




Stock trading companies ke front par, US stocks record levels ke kareeb close hui hain. Trading ke mutabiq, United States of America mein stocks ne apne kuch gains trim kiye hain aur record levels ke kareeb close hui hain, September mein interest rate cuts ke badhte expectations ke support ki wajah se, inflation ke girne ke signs aur earnings season ke start hone ke sath, focus banks par hai. S&P 500 index 0.5% barha, session mein apne highest level 5655 tak pohanch gaya. Nasdaq 100 index bhi 0.5% barha, April ke baad apne worst day se rebound hua. Dow Jones index 247 points jump kar gaya, aur doosri baar 40,000 mark ke upar close hua, pehli baar May 17 ko yeh level touch kiya tha. JPMorgan shares 1.2% gir gaye, despite higher-than-expected revenue report karne ke baawajood, jo higher investment banking fees ki wajah se tha. Citigroup stock 1.8% gir gaya, despite revenue aur profit expectations ko beat karne ke baad. Wells Fargo shares 6% gir gayi, lower-than-expected net interest income report karne ke baad. Pichle haftay ke trading ke dauran, Dow Jones ne gains lead kiye, 1% jump kar gaya, followed by S&P 500 (+0.6%) jabke Nasdaq 100 (-0.5%) gira.

USD/JPY ke aaj ke expectations:

USD/JPY abhi bhi 100-hour moving average line ke kuch levels neeche trade kar raha hai. Jumay ke late pullback ne currency pair ko 14-hour RSI ke oversold levels ke kareeb le gaya. Near term mein, aur hourly chart ke performance ke mutabiq, USD/JPY sideways channel mein trade kar raha hai. Magar, 14-hour RSI recently oversold conditions ke kareeb aa gaya hai. Is liye, bears extended pullbacks target karenge around 156.96 ya neeche 156.14 support par. Doosri taraf, bulls bounces ko target karenge around 158.55 ya upar 159.33 resistance par.

Long term mein, aur daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ascending channel mein trade kar raha hai. Magar, 14-day RSI recently overbought levels se recover karne ke liye pull back kar gaya hai. Is liye, bears extended pullback profits target karenge around 154.50 ya neeche 150.82 support par. Doosri taraf, bulls profits target karenge around 161.90 ya upar 165.35 resistance par.