𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

USDJPY D1 time frame:
Jab USD/JPY 151.60 ke qareeb pohnchta hai, to yeh dikhata hai ke bechne walon par zyada dabao hai, jo mukhtalif reasons se 151.00, agle support level ki taraf girne ka imkan hai. Oil ke daam mein bhi kami anay wali hai jab support trend line descending channel ko 150.55 pe milti hai. Halankeh yeh pehle do hafton ke nizam mein sab se kam ke daam ke neeche chala gaya hai, magar yeh apni nichi manzil par mazid jaari hai, jo trading cycle ka mukhtasir akhri hissa hone ki alaamat hai. Yeh 149.70 ke neeche range mein ek taseeh karne ko janib le ja sakta hai.
Mausool halat ko dekhte hue, wazeh hai ke mazeed kami ki taraf tezi se ja rahe hain, khaaskar jab dollar kamzor hota hai aur daam 150.10 aur 149.60 jese levalon ko paar karta hai, 151.00 ki taraf girne se pehle NFP report ke release se pehle. Magar ek mukhalfat ka bhi moamla hai jo ek mul saar chehra ko roshan kar sakta hai, daam ko upper levalon ki taraf punah lotne ki alaamat hai. 150.50 support level ki ahmiyat uski takhleeq karna hai ke yeh bearish trend ko dobara janam de sakti hai, magar daam foran is leval se 150.20 pe punah se chhote ki taraf kood gaya, jis se pair ke mustaqbil ke rukh par shak ka saaya hai.
Agar ek ulta palat ho, to pair shayad 151.70 ke qareeb ke buland imdad zone ko nishana banaye, jo daily pivot point ko shamil karta hai. Next week ke liye mutakheer 151.40 ke aas-paas ko pahunchne se pehle, ek minor offset 151.45 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai. Doosri taraf, 151.75 ke neeche se guzarna aur mazeed nuqsanat ka ishara de sakta hai, jo 151.10 se 151.30 range se talab ko khatam kar sakta hai, jo 151.90 pe ek fizai support leval sthapit karta hai.
Mukhtasar tor par, market ab ek ahem moor par hai, jahan mukhtalif signals ke darmiyan ke tanazur ne pair ke mustaqbil ke hawalay se paish-goi ko pesh karna mushkil bana diya hai. Mukhtalif factors jese ke ma'ashi data releases, siyasi waqeaton, aur market ke jazbat ke interplay ke tor par qareebi doar mein USD/JPY pair ka rukh muqarrar karenge. Karobarion ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko is halat-e-lahasil mein tabdeel karne ke liye taiyar rahna chahiye.

USDJPY H1 time frame:

Aaj ke movement ke base par, USDJPY currency pair aur takreeban 150.60 tak mazeed girne ka mukaam nazar aata hai. Yeh tehqiqat ko taey karta hai ke bearish engulfing candlestick pattern H1 timeframe par bana hai, jo USDJPY ko bechnay ka mazboot signal deta hai. Is ke ilawa, relative strength index (RSI) 14 indicator ki tajziyaati analysis se pata chalta hai ke 150.85 ke qareeb ka USDJPY daam pehle hi oversold territory mein hai, jo 151.00 ki taraf taseeh ki sambhavna ko darust karta hai. Mazeed, SNR method ka tehqiqat kehta hai ke USDJPY 150.85 pe RBS daam tak pohanch gaya hai, jo 10-50 pips ki izafat ke imkan ki nishandahi karta hai. Magar, ehmiyat hai ke jab ke USDJPY 150.04 ke qareeb pohanchne ki sambhavna hai, aaj woh 150.60 ki taraf mazeed gir sakta hai. Is liye, karobarion ko market ki halat ko behtareen tor par monitar karna chahiye aur USDJPY pair mein mohtamam tez raftar ke imkanat ko sambhalne ke liye khatra management strategies ko amal mein lain.

USDJPY M30 time frame:

Haal hi mein USD/JPY currency pair ki daam mein 151.77 level par resistance ka samna kiya gaya, jo ise barhne se rok diya. American session ke doran, pair ne mazeed giravat dekhi. Intehai Asian traders ne 150.90 ke darmiyan ka intermediate target hasil kiya phir chhote zigzag pattern ki tarah minor upar ki taraf movement shuru ki.
Mausool halat ki nazar mein, mujhe niche ki taraf ki trend ki tawalat ka izafi 150.14 level ka nishana tha, jo main ne haftay ke shuru se banaya tha. Magar, 151.77 level ke lagatar taqatmand istaqrar ne shak-o-shuba barha diya hai. Halankeh is resistance level ko torne aur upar ki taraf barhne ki koshishen ki gayi, magar maujooda satah-e-istiqamat ki taqat anya upar jaane ki kisi bhi mazeed halat ke liye zaroori hai.
151.77 ke aas-paas lagatar istiqrar darust karta hai ke bullish aur bearish mein aham muqabla hai, jahan koi bhi taraf mukammal tor par kabu hasil karne mein qabil nahi hai. Yeh market mein tension ka ek mukhtalif tawalat ka izhar karta hai, jo ek direction faraham karne ke liye kisi bhi muhim ki muntazir hai.
Tehqiqat karne ka bara market manzar, maashi data releases, siyasi waqeaton, aur maishat ke policy mein tabdiliyon ko agle major harkat ke liye potential triggers ban sakte hain. Karobarion ko aane wale daam par isharay hasil karne ke liye in tabdilat ko nazar andaz n.

USD/JPY

Jab USD/JPY 151.60 ke qareeb pohanchta hai, to yeh bechne walon par dabao ka izhar karta hai, jo shayad 151.00, agle support level ki taraf girne ka bais ban sakta hai. Usi tarah, tail ke daam ka tajwez hai ke jab support trend line aur nichli haddi wala channel 150.55 par milta hai, to ek qabil-e-zikr kami ka samna ho sakta hai. Do hafton ke lowest point se pehle bhi, tail ka daam apne neechay ke rukh par mazid baqi hai, jo trading cycle ki nichey ki taraf isharat karta hai. Yeh aik doranay ki tasleem ko darkar banata hai.

Mozu ke moatalliq mojooda trend ko dekhte hue, wazeh tor par mazeed kamiyon ki taraf tezi se barh raha hai, khaaskar jab dollar kamzor hota hai aur daam 150.10 aur 149.60 jaise darjat ko tor kar girne ki taraf barhta hai, pehle NFP report release se pehle 151.00 ki taraf girne ka samna karta hai. Lekin, ek mukhalif daleel bhi hai ke daam ko upper levels ki taraf rebound karne ka izhar karne ke liye ek mukammal moawza maujood hai. 150.50 support level ki ahmiyat ismein hai ke yeh ek bearish trend ko dubara jalane ki salahiyat rakhta hai, lekin daam jaldi se 150.20 ke upar rebound kar gaya, jo ke is pair ki mustaqbil ki rah ka shak o shuba dalta hai.

Agar ek ulta mor ho, to pair 151.70 ke aas paas ke buland maqam ki resistance zone ki taraf nishana bana sakta hai, jo daily pivot point ko shamil karta hai. 151.40 ke darjaat ke liye aane wala wazeh rukh honay se pehle, ek minor offset 151.45 ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Muttasil tor par, 151.75 ke neechay girna mazeed nuqsaan ki isharaat ko signal karsakta hai, jo ke 151.10 se 151.30 ke range mein se talab ko khatam kar sakta hai, jo ke 151.90 par ek fizai support level banata hai.

Ikhtisaar mein, market ab ek ahem mor par hai, jahan mukhalif signals pair ki mustaqbil ki harkaat ko pesh karte hain. Mukhtalif factors jaise ke iqtisadi data releases, siyasi waqiyat, aur market ke jazbat jald hi USD/JPY pair ki rukh ko tay karenge. Traders ko chaukasi se mahfuz rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko is ghair yaqeeni dour se guzarnay ke liye mutabiq banaye rakhna chahiye.

USDJPY D1 time frame: Jab USD/JPY 151.60 nishaan ko qareeb pohanchti hai, to ye bechne walon par barhti dabao ki nishaani hai, jo mukhtalif muddaton ke liye 151.00, agla support level tak ek kami ka imkaan deta hai. Isi tarah, jab oil price neechay ki ja rahi hai to 150.55 par neeche ke channel se milne par aik numaya kami ka samna karay ga. Do hafton ke low se bhi neeche hone ke bawajood, oil price apne neeche ki raftar mein muzir rahi hai, jo trading cycle ka nichla hissa dikhata hai. Yeh ek correctie move ko shuru kar sakta hai 149.70 ke neeche ki range mein.

Mojudah trend ko dekhte hue, wazeh hai ke mazeed kami ki taraf tezi se ja raha hai, khaaskar dollar ki kamzori aur price ke 150.10 aur 149.60 jese levels ko paar karne ke baad, 151.00 ke qareeb giraane se pehle NFP report release ke waqt. Magar, ek barhavati urooj ka tasalsul ka bhi tajziya hai, jis mein price ke upar uthne ke indications hain. 150.50 ke support level ka ahmiyat is mein hai ke yeh aik bearish trend ko dobara zinda kar sakta hai, lekin price jaldi se 150.20 par uth gayi is level ke oopar, jo jod par future trajectory mein shak paida kar raha hai.




Agar ek urooj ho, to jodi high-level resistance zone ko 151.70 ke qareeb lay jayegi, jo daily pivot point ko shamil karega. Next week ke liye tajziye ki gayi 151.40 ke qareebi low tak pohanchne se pehle, 151.45 ke aas paas aik minor offset ho sakta hai. Mutasira tor par, 151.75 ke neeche ek breach mazeed nuqsanat ka ishaara ho sakta hai, jo 151.10 se 151.30 range se demand ko kam kar sakta hai, 151.90 par physical support level ko qaim karke.

Mukhtasir taur par, bazaar ab aik ahem juncture par hai, jahan mukhtalif signals jodi ke future movements ki peshgoi ko paicheeda kar rahi hain. Mukhtalif factors jese ke ma'ashiyati data releases, geopolitical events, aur bazaar ki jazbat market ke raah ko qareebi muddaton mein USD/JPY jodi ka rukh mukarar karenge. Traders ko mutawajjah rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko mutabiq tawajjo deni chahiye takay yeh asman se zameen par utarne wale doran mein apne ap ko samne aane wale musibaton se bacha sakein.

USDJPY H1 time frame:
Aaj ke movement ke mabain USDJPY currency pair mazeed 150.60 ke qareeb girne wala lagta hai. Yeh tasalsul ek bearish engulfing candlestick pattern ke formation ke saath sath, H1 timeframe par bechnay ka mazboot signal deta hai. Mazeed, relative strength index (RSI) 14 indicator ke tajziya se pata chalta hai ke USDJPY ke price 150.85 ke qareeb pehle se hi oversold territory mein hai, jo 151.00 ki taraf ek mukhtalif correction ka imkaan deta hai. Mazeed, SNR method ke mutabiq, USDJPY 150.85 par RBS price tak pohanch gaya hai, jo 10-50 pips ki izafa ki tajveez deta hai. Magar, ehmiyat hai ke agar USDJPY 150.04 ke qareeb uthne ki koi mumkinat hai, to yeh bhi mumkin hai ke aaj yeh mazeed 150.60 ke qareeb giray. Is liye, traders ko bazaar ki halat ko khaas tawajjo se dekhna chahiye aur USDJPY jodi mein maujooda fluctuations se bachne ke liye risk management strategies ko amal mein lana chahiye.

USD/JPY

Market ki khatray ki pemaish ka ehtamam ahem hai, kyun ke ye support zone ka tor phor ka sabab bhi ban sakta hai. Is khatray ko pehchanna, market sentiment ko behtar taur per samajhne ke liye negative strategies aur trading plans ka bunyadi haisiyat rakhta hai. Khatra management tools, jaise ke stop-loss orders, ko apnana aik hifazati taab lagane ka bara haisiyat rakhta hai, jo traders ko potential nuqsanat ko kam karne mein madad karta hai.

Market ki khatray ki pemaish mukhtalif factors ki wajah se ho sakti hai, jin mein ma'ashiyati indicators, siyasi waqiyaat, ya investor sentiment mein sudden tabdiliyan shamil hain. Ye khatray price fluctuations, barhne wali aazmaish, ya market crashes ke tor per zahir ho saktay hain. Traders ko chaukanna rehna aur ye khatray ka intezar karna chahiye taake apne investments ko mehfooz rakh sakein.

Support zone ka tor phor hone ki potential ko tasleem karte hue, traders apni strategies ko mutabiq taraqqi dila sakte hain. Ye shamil ho sakta hai defensive tactics jaise ke stop-loss orders ko key levels per set karna nuqsanat ko had se zyada barhne se rokne ke liye. Stop-loss orders apne pehle muqarrar ki gayi price level tak pohanchne per khud-ba-khud aik sell order trigger karte hain, jo traders ko nuqsanat barhne se pehle positions se nikalne mein madad karta hai.

Is ke ilawa, negative techniques aur trading plans ko tayar karna downside scenarios ke liye tayyari aur potential nuqsanat ke liye tadaad lena shamil hai. Ye proactive approach traders ko market uncertainty ke doran discipline banaye rakhne aur emotional faislay se bachne mein madad deta hai. Is ke saath saath ye unhe mukhtalif market conditions mein mojood opportunities ko faida uthane ki ijaazat deta hai.

Stop-loss orders ke ilawa, traders apne portfolios ko hifazati tools aur techniques ka istemal karke mehfooz kar sakte hain. Diversification, misaal ke tor per, apne investments ko mukhtalif asset classes, sectors, ya geographic regions mein taqseem karna shamil hai, taake overall risk exposure ko kam kiya ja sake. Hedging strategies, jaise ke options contracts ya futures contracts, bhi istemal kiye ja sakte hain taake aik asset mein potential nuqsanat ko doosri asset mein faida hasil karke mukammal kiya ja sake.

Is ke saath saath, market dynamics ke baare mein maloomat rakna aur maqbool khabron aur waqiyaat ke mutabiq rehna traders ko khatron ka behtar jawab dene mein madad karta hai. Ye shamil ho sakta hai thorough research ka, financial news sources se rabtay mein rehna, aur technical indicators aur market trends ko monitor karna.

Ikhtitami tor per, market ki khatray ki pemaish ka ehtamam aur munasib risk management strategies ka istemal financial markets ke complexities ko kamyaabi se samajhne ke liye zaroori hai. Support zone ka tor phor hone ki potential ko tasleem karte hue aur stop-loss orders jaise defensive tactics ka istemal karte hue, traders apni investments ko behtar taur per hifazat mein rakhte hain aur kisi bhi market environment mein opportunities ka faida utha sakte hain.

U.S. stocks ko pehle toh thora sa zyada buland kholne ka intezar tha kal, magar din guzarte gaye toh unka girna jari raha. Monday ko, humne 151.70 ke aas-paas local unchaai tak pohanch gaye. Agar hum us leval ko paar nahi kar paate toh, yeh dekhne layak hoga ke kya hota hai, kyunki yeh us waqt shares ko bechnay ka ek sabab banaayega. Doosri taraf, agar stock price 150.30 ke upar chadti hai, toh yeh ek khareedne ka signal hoga. Lekin agar price 150.30 ke neeche jaati hai aur usse guzarti hai, toh yeh doosra ek bechnay ka sabab ho sakta hai.

151.70 ke qareeb ek halki chadhaav ke baad, yeh khatarnaak lagta hai ke giravat jaari rahegi, jaise ke mukhtalif trends ka nigaar hai. Halankeh agar chand mohlat ke liye upper momentum wapas aaye, toh lambi term ki tajwez ab bhi bechain hai. Hamari ma'ashi karobari daur mein mukhtalif trends ki qataar ke sath sath, giravat ke dor ke baad maqroozgi ka ek daur anay wala hai. Agar maazi ki tezi ko neeche laaya jaaye toh, giravat ke trend ko mazeed barhava de sakti hai.

Jab tak 151.75 ke qareeb resistance mojood hai, price girne jaari rahegi, shayad woh zone paar karne ke baad bhi. Qareebi mustaqbil mein, exchange rate neechay ki taraf jaari rahega. 150.40 ke upar break-out aur uske baad is se niche settle hone ki soorat mein aur giravat ka aur bhi sabab ho sakta hai. Hum mojoodgi ke darje se ek mukhalif chadhaav dekh sakte hain, jo abhi ke levels se shuru hoga, phir daaron ka silsila jari rahega. Agar U.S. karobari daur ke doran raftar barh jaaye, toh aane waale dinon mein giravat jaari rahegi.

Achi baat hogi agar hum 151.75 ke area se bahar nikal jaaye aur uske upar settle ho jaaye. Lekin, abhi yeh ikhtiyarana hai. Isi tarah, 152.05 ke area se bahar nikal jaane aur uske upar settle hone se bhi woh mukhtalif ho jayega. Magar, thora sa upar ki raftar ka imkan rakhna bhi zaroori hai, kyunki giravat sara process ka sabse ahem pehlu raha hai. Ab, agar darje 150.30 ke neeche jaata hai, aur phir 149.00 ke neeche gir jaata hai, to giravat jaari rahegi.

USDJPY currency pair ki movement aaj tezi se neeche ki taraf ja rahi hai aur lagta hai ke yeh phir se 150.60 ke price tak girne ke zyada ke liye munsar hai. Iska ek bada sabab yeh hai ke H1 timeframe mein USDJPY currency pair ki movement ne ek bearish engulfing candle bana hai, jo ke traders ke liye ek strong signal hai ke currency pair aur neeche ja sakta hai. Bearish engulfing candle ka matlab hota hai ke ek lamba red candlestick ek chhota green candlestick ko poori tarah se engulf kar leta hai, yeh ek reversal signal hota hai ke market ka trend badalne wala hai. Is scenario mein, yeh bearish engulfing candle USDJPY currency pair ke chart par 150.60s ke price level ke qareeb bana hai, jisse ke traders ko alert mil raha hai ke ab currency pair neeche ki taraf ja sakta hai.

Is Jumma ko, yeh signal aur bhi zyada important ho sakta hai, kyun ke Jumma market mein volatility aur trading activity ko barhata hai. Is wajah se traders ko zyada cautious rehna chahiye aur is signal ko seriously lena chahiye. 150.60s ke price level ke neeche girne ki surat mein, traders ko sell karne ka mauqa mil sakta hai, ya phir existing positions ko protect karne ke liye stop-loss orders lagana bhi ek option ho sakta hai.

Yeh decision har trader ke apne risk tolerance aur trading strategy par depend karta hai. Kuch traders is signal ko confirmation ke liye aur ek candlestick pattern ka wait karte hain, jabke doosre traders immediate action lete hain. Har halat mein, risk management ka ahem role hota hai. Agar 150.60s ke price level ke neeche girne ke baad bhi currency pair mein further downside potential lagta hai, to traders ko apne positions ko monitor karte rehna chahiye aur market conditions ke hisaab se apne trading plans ko adjust karte rehna chahiye.

Is maamlay mein, technical analysis ke saath saath fundamental analysis bhi important hoti hai. USDJPY currency pair ki movement par impact daalne wale kisi bhi khaas events ya economic indicators ke bare mein jankari hona bhi traders ke liye zaroori hai. Overall, market mein active rahna aur changing conditions ke sath adjust karna hi ek successful trader ka raasta hota hai.

USDJPY H1 waqt frame ka tasawwur:
151.30 par, ek mowqay par umeed hai ke mazeed girawat ho sakti hai, 151.68 tak chadhaw ho sakta hai phir dobara girawat ka imkaan hai. Agar trading 151.70 tak pohanch jaati hai, toh mazeed girawat ka zyada imkaan hai, khaaskar jab is darje par ek jhooti breakout hoti hai.
Kahani 150.80 range ki ahmiyat par zor deti hai, jis ko breakthrough aur is ke neeche mazid salai ka mauqa ban sakta hai. 152.00 aur 151.65 par jhooti breakouts bhi zikar kiye gaye hain jin ko mazeed niche ke movement ke pehchane ke tor par zikar kiya gaya hai.
151.58 range par khaas tawajjo di gayi hai, jis ke neeche girawat ki aur mazeed girawat ka rasta khul sakta hai. Tasawwur kiya gaya hai ke abhi haal ke market ke izafay ko sahi karna galti ka izhar hai, jo USD/JPY ki taraf bechne ka ek imkaan dikhata hai.
Chhoti chhoti upar ki harkaten ke bawajood, jaise ke 151.95 tak, tasawwur diya gaya hai ke overall trend mazeed girawat ki taraf rahega, khaaskar jab 150.88 ke neeche breakout ho.
Aam tor par, yeh analysis potential trading scenarios aur signals ki tafseelat wazeh karti hai, ahem keemat ke sath jo dekhte rahen aur breakout patterns ke baray mein chand ashrafiyat par dalalat karti hai USD/JPY trading mein.


USDJPY H1 waqt frame ki nazar:

D1 chart par paish ki gayi musbat nazar ke ilawa, jo ke kharidaron ke liye ek faiday mand manzar hai, wazeh shauoor ke honay ka zikr hai ke mazeed faiday mand market sharaay shuruaat ke jari rah sakti hai. Yeh trend na sirf kharidaron ke liye umeed afza aurat ka dawa karta hai, balkay alag waqt frames par un ke positions ko maamooli zor mein bhi banaaye rakhta hai.
Mukhtasaran USD/JPY pair par tawajjo ki aik numaya bulandi nazar aati hai kharidar dabaao ke mutabiq jo D1 aur H4 charts mein zaahir hai. Chhoti arsay ke traders ke liye jo is dynamics ka faida uthana chahte hain, saath saath technical indicators jaise ke Moving Averages aur Bollinger Bands ka faida uthana kisi khas importance ka hamil ho sakta hai.
Hourly time frames ka istemal kar ke, traders ko market ke harkaton ka ziada tehqiqi nazar milta hai, jo dakhil aur nikal ke maqamat ko durust karta hai. Technical indicators jaise ke Moving Averages halaat ki raahat ka intezar aur mukhtalif reversion points ko zahir karta hai, jab ke Bollinger Bands potential breakout opportunities ko pehchanne mein madad karte hain.
In technical tools ko kharidaron ka faida uthane ke liye trading strategy mein shamil karne se munafay ki exits aur zyada se zyada wapasay hasil karne ki imkaan barh jati hai. Trading faislay ko haqeeqat ke tajurbaat ke mutabiq rakhte hue, traders ko mazeed hone wale mouqe ki taraf ghabrane ki zarurat nahi hai.
Aglay trading week ke liye aglay taqreer ka bohot ahem hai, USD/JPY pair ko kisi bhi market sentiment ya mukhtalif economic developments ke shifts ke liye tawajjo se nazar andaz karna zaroori hai jo qeemat ki harkaton par asar daal sakte hain. Maaloomat se wabasta rehne aur mutaqabil hone se, traders market mein pur itminan se chal sakte hain aur aanay wale mouqe ka faida utha sakte hain.
Ikhtataam mein, analysis ne USD/JPY market mein mazeed kharidar dabaao ke liye imkaanat ka zikr kiya hai, jo trading strategy ko kharidar dabaao ke haalaat ke mutabiq apnane ka moqa deta hai. Technical analysis ka istemal kar ke aur market ke halaat ko nazdeek se mutala karte hue, traders ko aglay trading week mein kamyabi ke liye moqaat mojhon mein position lena chahiye.

USDJPY MARKET OVERVIEW


Ek aur hafta khatam hone ja raha hai, lekin yahan tasveer wahi hai. Is currency pair ke liye, lehar stracture bhi barhte huwe tarteeb mein hai, aur MACD indicator upper buy zone mein hai. Pichle haftay bhar mein, keemat aik side ki range mein rahi, 2022 aur 2023 ke uchayiyo se chhipki hui rahi. Theek hai, 2024 ke maximum tak nahi. Is par bhi wahi tha, oopar neeche gaye, magar sir ke uchayi se guzar nahi sake. Lekin main sakht shak karta hoon ke teesri saal se keemat is uchayi se 151.90 se neeche jayegi aur isay update nahi karegi. Ab unhone dobara neeche gir gaye hain maximum se ek point ke baghair, is liye maujooda kami ko istemal kiya ja sakta hai upar dakhil hone ke liye aur positions band karne ke liye agle maximum ke pehle ke aik chhote samay mein. Zyada tareefan ke maximum aur minimum se bahar nikalne ka izhar hoga, jahan main samjhta hoon, yeh 161.8 ke darja tak jaye ga Fibonacci grid ka maqsad nichle se upar pehli lehar par laagoo kiya gaya, wahan aik u-turn ho sakta hai, yeh ek mumkin farokht zone hoga. Ek kam waqt mein, masalan, aik ghante mein, farokht ke liye aik formation ka intezar kiya ja sakta hai, ek mirror level upar ke kinare par taake support resistance mein tabdeel ho. Lekin yeh yaqeeni nahi ke hum wahan se neeche jayenge, shayad mazeed aik mahine ke liye taqatwar upar chalaan tayar ho, masalan, yeh yen hai, yeh woh kaam hai jo pasand karta hai karna. Din ke andar, main sirf upar ki entries ka tawazun karta hoon, kal ke wapis ko dekhte hue aur aaj kaafi zyada jaga hai jab tak ke top update nahi hota.






Tum tijarati mein pair ke barhne ko dekh rahe ho aur bunyadi tajziya daramadon ke liye USD/JPY pair ke lie mustaqil izafa ki tawaqquh darust karti hai. Pair ascending triangle ke andar trade karte hue raha hai aur meri samajh mein aata hai, ke hume pair ka barhav dekhne ke liye 153.00 ke darje tak upar jaana chahiye. Gaur karne layak hai ke pair 151.25 ke level ke oopar aatma vishwas se trade kar raha hai, jo ke bull scenario ke liye ahem hai. Heiken Ashi Indicator ka uparward u-turn naye barhne ki nishani thi. Is liye main samjhta hoon ke aap pair par be fikar kar sakte hain, tawaqquh ke saath ke pair 152.50 ke resistance level tak barhega.

M30 timeframe par halat abhi tak ghair yaqeeni hain, lekin ek urooj ki nishandahi shuru ho gayi hai. Abhi, hum dekh rahe hain ke ek urooj ki rukh tajawuz kar raha hai, jo qadam ba qadam barh raha hai. Humari manzil ke mutaliq moving average ki position ek bullish hawale ke liye kafi madadgar hai. Magar is umeed par, chaukanna rehna ahem hai. Agar kisi darmiyan mein girawat aati hai, toh main yeh mauqa uthane ka tasawwur karta hoon ke bullish lehar par sawar ho sakun. Apni harkat mein lachari aur badalav ko qaim rakhna intehai zaroori hai. Markets ka tasavvur karna koi aasan kaam nahi hai. Har naye din naye challenges aur mawaqay paish karta hai. Humain hamesha tayyar rehna chahiye ke kisi bhi waqt situation tabdeel ho sakti hai. Is liye, humain apni strategy ko naye maqasid ke mutabiq muntakhib karna chahiye.
Hamara pehla qadam hamesha analysis aur tajziyah ke liye hona chahiye. Humain market ke current trends ko samajhna hoga, taake hum apni future predictions ko sahi taur par kar sakein. Moving averages, trend lines, aur technical indicators humain market ki hawale se behtareen insight faraham karte hain.



Magar yaad rahe, market ke rukh badalte rehte hain. Ek ghair yaqeeni mahol mein, humein hamesha taiyar rehna chahiye ke humain apni strategy mein tabdiliyan laani par sakti hain. Lachari aur badalav ko qaim rakhna, trading mein kamiyabi ki ek ahem shart hai. Is waqt, bullish trend ka hona hamare liye faida mand hai, lekin humein hoshyar rehna hoga. Agar market mein koi girawat aati hai, toh humein tayyar rehna hoga ke hum is mauqe ko fayda utha sakein. Humain apni strategy ko flexible rakhna hoga, taake hum har halaat mein kamyaab ho sakein. Toh yeh hai, humari halat aur umeedain. Hum ne dekha hai ke ek urooj ki nishandahi shuru ho gayi hai, aur hum is safar ko tajziya aur tawaja ke sath jari rakhenge. Hum apni strategy ko taraqqi aur kamiyabi ke raaste par muntakhib karenge, aur market ke har rukh se tayyar rahenge.



Aaj ki guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ke qeemat ke rawayya par mabni hai jo hum tajziya kar rahe hain. Farokht karne wale ne unloading ka intikhab kiya, jo ek zaroori qadam tha, lekin is shift ka duration ghair yaqeeni hai. Urooj ki rah finally shuru ho gayi hai. Haal hi mein market ek urooj ki rukh dikha raha hai, jo qadam ba qadam barh raha hai. Hamari manzil ke mutaliq moving average ki position ek bullish hawale ke liye kafi madadgar hai. Agar kisi darmiyan mein girawat aati hai, toh humein tayyar rehna chahiye ke is rukh mein tabdeeliyan aasakti hain.Is waqt USD/JPY currency pair ke daftar mein ek tezi ka silsila shuru ho chuka hai. Behtareen kharidari ka mauqa dikh raha hai jab farokht karne walon ne unloading ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla zaroori tha taake unhain munafa hasil karne ka mauqa mil sake. Lekin, is silsile ka duration ghair yaqeeni hai, aur is liye, humein soch samajh kar har qadam uthana chahiye.



Urooj ki rah par hamare samne kai challenges bhi hain. Market ke halat tabdeel ho sakti hain, is liye, humein mustaqbil ki taraf tawajju deni chahiye. Market ka haal hi mein urooj darust ho raha hai, lekin yeh zaroori hai ke hum sabr se kaam lein aur dhyaan se tasleem karein ke koi bhi tabdeeli ka silsila ho sakta hai. Hamari manzil ke mutaliq moving average ki position bhi hamari himayat mein hai. Yeh bullish position humein behtareen results dene ki umeed dilati hai. Lekin, humein yaad rakhna chahiye ke market mein kabhi bhi girawat aasakti hai, is liye, humein taiyyar rehna chahiye ke agar aisi koi situation aati hai toh hum uska saamna kaise karenge. Aakhir mein, humein istiqamat aur hosla buland rakhna hoga. Market ke rukh ka pata lagana mushkil ho sakta hai, lekin humein apni strategy par mabni rehna hoga. Agar hum sabar aur tahayyur ke sath kaam karte hain, toh hum behtareen nateeje hasil kar sakte hain.

Tehqiqi Jaiza: USD/JPY

Mukhtasar Tafseelat:


USD/JPY ki keemat waqt ke sath kaise tabdeel hoti gayi hai aur is ka asar bazaar ki rawayat par kya hai, is par hum tajziya karenge. USD/JPY likhne ke waqt 151.61 par karobar hota hai. Keemat ka rukh ooper hai aur yeh 50 moving average ke upar bhi hai. Lambi aur darmiyani muddat mein wazeh urooj ka trend hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) musbat hai aur 60 ke level ke upar karobar ho raha hai. RSI 62.4586 par hai aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) musbat readings dikhata hai aur ooper ki taraf rukh kar raha hai. Kal, bazaar ne kisi bhi bhaari harkat ka izhar nahi kiya tha kyunke kisi bhi buland asar wali khabar ki kami thi. Chart ke mutabiq, USD/JPY keemat EMA50 moving average ke upar karobar kar rahi hai, jo trend ki rukh ki taraf ishara karta hai. 20EMA bhi bullish signal mein hai. USD/JPY ab bhi dabao ke neeche hai, aur humein bade chart waqt ke frames par bullish trend ka ultaawa nahi dikh raha hai.

Tasurat:


USD/JPY mukhya rukh ke aas paas dabao mein hoga $160.43 par jo USD/JPY ka pehla resistance level hai. Main samajhta hoon ke pehle keemat 170.32 ke level ki taraf barhegi, aur agar 160.43 ke resistance level ko torrne mein kamyab hoti hai, to yeh mazeed 180.78 ke level ki taraf barhegi jo teesra resistance level hai. Doosri taraf, USD/JPY mukhya support ke aas paas dabao mein hoga $146.70 par jo USD/JPY ka pehla support level hai. Main samajhta hoon ke pehle keemat 140.74 ke level ki taraf giraygi, aur agar 146.70 ke support level ko torrne mein kamyab hoti hai, to yeh mazeed 133.99 ke level ki taraf giraygi jo teesra support level hai. Kharidari ko farz karna uchit hai, bechne ke bajaye. Dekhte hain, yeh sirf waqt ka mamla hai.

Istemaal Kiye Gaye Indicator:

• MACD indicator:
• RSI indicator period 14:
• 50-day exponential moving average color Orange:
• 20-day exponential moving average color Magenta:

USD/JPY H-1 Timeframe Analysis:

Range Trading and Potential Falls:


151.30 ke range mein vyapar hai aur sambhav hai ki giravat wahan se jaari rahegi. Ati paristhitiyon mein, main aasha karta hoon ki vridhi 151.68 ke range tak hogi aur wahan se, giravat jaari rahegi. Yeh baat samne aati hai ki 151.70 ke range mein vyapar hai aur wahan se, giravat aur bhi aage ja sakti hai. 151.70 ke range ka ek galat breakout pehle hi ho chuka hai aur uske baad, hum dhire-dhire ek giravat kar rahe hain aur 151.00 ke trading range ka break bhi kar rahe hain. Yeh sambhav hai ki hum 150.80 ke range ko tod lenge aur iske neeche sthayi ho jayenge, phir yeh bechne ka signal hoga. 152.00 ka ek galat breakout manzoor hai aur aise ek breakout ke baad, giravat jaari rahegi. Agar giravat abhi se jaari rahe, toh iske liye 150.80 ke range ko todna zaroori hai. 151.70 ke range mein vyapar hai aur wahan se, giravat jaari rahegi. 151.65 ke trading range ka breakdown hote hi, mazbooti aur bhi badh sakti hai. Asal mein, 151.58 ke range mein ek vyaparik khaali jagah hai aur jab hum ise tod lenge, giravat jaari rahegi. Market mein jo vriddhi ho rahi hai, yeh ek sudhaar apmaan ke bahut saman lag rahi hai. Uske baad, USD/JPY ko bechna ab bhi sabse achha hai. Main nahi chhodta ki abhi se humein ek chhota sa upar ki aur kshan mil sakta hai, lekin uske baad, giravat aur bhi aage badhti rahegi. Ek chhota sa upar ki aur kshan ke baad, jaise ki 151.95 ke range tak, giravat aur bhi aage badhti rahegi. 150.88 ke trading range ka breakout aur iske neeche sthayi ho jaane ka signal bechne ka hoga.

USD/JPY

US Dollar / Yen currency pair ka market movement ka tajziya karte hain 4 ghante ke time frame par.

Ham ab mojooda signals ke mustaqbil ke intezar mein hain, jo Extended Regression StopAndReverse linear regression indicator ki taraf se aaye hain, jo RSI aur MACD oscillator indicators ke readings ke saath tasdiq kiye gaye hain. Aur chuninda instrument ke liye ek tafseelat se bhara trading plan banayenge takay market mein sab se behtareen dakhil points ko dhoondha ja sake. Manzil ko hasil karne ke baad, ham Fibonacci grid ke nazdeek tajziyat ke levels ko tafseel se ghor karenge, jo timeframe ka istemal karke uske intehaai noothon tak khiche gaye hain, takay kaamyaab position ko band karne ke liye sab se zyada munafa wala point sahi taur par chuna ja sake.

Chuninda time frame (time-frame H4) par linear regression channel ek urooj rukh ka hai, jo ke market mein kharidari ke mojoodgi ko zor o shor se nazar andaaz karta hai aur unka further upward trend movement mein dilchaspi hai. Is ke ilawa, jo zyada angle ki raftar hogi, wo current upward trend utna hi mazboot hoga. Ghair linear regression channel ka graph dikhata hai ke wo urooj rukh mein muda hai, jo ke kharidari karnewalon ke koshishat ko dikhata hai jo ke taraqqi ke price ko barqarar rakhne mein masroof hain aur unka iraada hai ke wo apni dominant position ko farokht karnewalon ko nahi denge.

Qeemat ne laal resistance line ko cross kiya hai linear regression channel 2nd LevelResLine lekin 151.766 ke zyada faiz ke qiymat tak pohanch gayi, jis ke baad wo apni izaafi barhao ko rok kar seedha girne lag gayi. Ab instrument 151.582 ke qeemat ke darje par trading kar raha hai. In sab ke mutabiq, mujhe umeed hai ke market ke price quotes waapas laut kar aur channel line 2-nd LevelResLine (148.502) FIBO level 38.2% ke neeche waapas aayenge aur phir neeche ki taraf chalenge golden average line LR of the linear channel 147.731, jo ke FIBO level 23.6% ke saath milta hai. Sell transaction mein dakhil hone ki munasibat aur kefiyat RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ke poori tarah tasdeeq ki gayi hai, kyunke wo ab overbought zone mein hain. Abhi tak RSI (14) aur MACD oscillators yeh aasoodah kar rahe hain ke instrument overbought hai kyunke wo munafa hasil karne wale selling transaction ko conclude karne ke liye ek zone mein hain.

US Dollar / Yen currency pair ka market movement ka tajziya karte hain 4 ghante ke time frame par.

Ham ab mojooda signals ke mustaqbil ke intezar mein hain, jo Extended Regression StopAndReverse linear regression indicator ki taraf se aaye hain, jo RSI aur MACD oscillator indicators ke readings ke saath tasdiq kiye gaye hain. Aur chuninda instrument ke liye ek tafseelat se bhara trading plan banayenge takay market mein sab se behtareen dakhil points ko dhoondha ja sake. Manzil ko hasil karne ke baad, ham Fibonacci grid ke nazdeek tajziyat ke levels ko tafseel se ghor karenge, jo timeframe ka istemal karke uske intehaai noothon tak khiche gaye hain, takay kaamyaab position ko band karne ke liye sab se zyada munafa wala point sahi taur par chuna ja sake.

Chuninda time frame (time-frame H4) par linear regression channel ek urooj rukh ka hai, jo ke market mein kharidari ke mojoodgi ko zor o shor se nazar andaaz karta hai aur unka further upward trend movement mein dilchaspi hai. Is ke ilawa, jo zyada angle ki raftar hogi, wo current upward trend utna hi mazboot hoga. Ghair linear regression channel ka graph dikhata hai ke wo urooj rukh mein muda hai, jo ke kharidari karnewalon ke koshishat ko dikhata hai jo ke taraqqi ke price ko barqarar rakhne mein masroof hain aur unka iraada hai ke wo apni dominant position ko farokht karnewalon ko nahi denge.

Qeemat ne laal resistance line ko cross kiya hai linear regression channel 2nd LevelResLine lekin 151.766 ke zyada faiz ke qiymat tak pohanch gayi, jis ke baad wo apni izaafi barhao ko rok kar seedha girne lag gayi. Ab instrument 151.582 ke qeemat ke darje par trading kar raha hai. In sab ke mutabiq, mujhe umeed hai ke market ke price quotes waapas laut kar aur channel line 2-nd LevelResLine (148.502) FIBO level 38.2% ke neeche waapas aayenge aur phir neeche ki taraf chalenge golden average line LR of the linear channel 147.731, jo ke FIBO level 23.6% ke saath milta hai. Sell transaction mein dakhil hone ki munasibat aur kefiyat RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ke poori tarah tasdeeq ki gayi hai, kyunke wo ab overbought zone mein hain. Abhi tak RSI (14) aur MACD oscillators yeh aasoodah kar rahe hain ke instrument overbought hai kyunke wo munafa hasil karne wale selling transaction ko conclude karne ke liye ek zone mein hain.

USD/JPY ka 150.82 ke qareeb pohanch jana ek ahem moar tha jo ke kafi logon ko surprise kar gaya. Aam tor par, jab ek currency pair itni bulandiyon tak pohanch jata hai, to log samajhte hain ke ab iska rukh neeche ki taraf hi hoga, lekin is mamle mein, asal aurat ke peeche chhupi hui haqiqat samne aayi. USD/JPY ke is unexpected behavior ke peeche kuch mukhtalif factors the jo isay agay barhne ki taraf daba diya.

Sab se pehle, global economic conditions ka asar tha. Economic conditions har waqt change hote rehte hain aur yeh currency pairs par asar andaz hota hai. USD/JPY ka rukh is waqt shayad is tarah badla kyunki global economic landscape mein kuch tabdeeliyan aayi thin, jo ke is pair ko mazeed upar le gayi. Maamoolan, jab ek currency strong hoti hai, uska mukabla doosri currencies ke sath bhi behtar hota hai, jaise ke dollar ne yen ke sath. Dusra factor geopolitical tensions aur market sentiment tha. Kabhi kabhi, kisi bhi currency pair ke movement ko samajhna asaan nahi hota, kyunke is par kayi factors asar daal sakte hain. Geopolitical tensions, jaise ke political instability ya international conflicts, currency pairs ko directly influence karte hain. Agar kisi bhi waqt USD/JPY ke rukh mein tabdeeli aati hai, to ismein market sentiment ka bhi bara hissa hota hai. Investor confidence, economic outlook, aur political stability, sab iske andar shaamil hote hain.

Teesra aur shayad sab se ahem factor tha central banks ka monetary policy. Har mulk ki apni central bank hoti hai jo monetary policy ke zariye currency ke value ko control karti hai. Agar ek mulk ka central bank apni monetary policy ko change karta hai, jaise ke interest rates ko badalna, to isse us mulk ki currency ke value par direct asar padta hai. Agar Federal Reserve ya Bank of Japan ne kisi bhi waqt monetary policy mein changes kiya hai, to yeh bhi USD/JPY ke rukh mein tabdeeli la sakta hai. In factors ke milte julte hain aur aur bhi reasons ho sakte hain jin ki wajah se USD/JPY ka rukh 150.82 ke baad bhi upar hi reh gaya. Isi tarah ke unexpected movements common hote hain aur investors ko hamesha taiyar rehna chahiye ke market kaafi volatile ho sakta hai.

Urooj darusti ke darmiyan, American dollar ka qeemat Japanese yen ke khilaaf (USD/JPY) Friday ko March ke US non-farm payrolls report ka release ka intezar hai, kyun ke ek aur mazboot reading US Federal Reserve ke easing plans se mazeed hatne ka matlab ho sakta hai. Yaad rakhen, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ne is saal teen interest rate cuts ke liye ikhtiyar ka zikar kiya tha, mazid jobs aur inflation numbers ke behtar hone ke bawajood. Ahem waqya se pehle, USD/JPY currency pair ka qeemat 151.95 resistance level tak chadha phir Jumeraat ke session ke ibtida par 151.25 ke aas paas stabilize ho gaya.
Economic Calendar data ke natayej ke mutabiq, key economic indicators mishrafein hain, ISM Manufacturing PMI aur ADP US jobs report achi tajaweez ki taraf ishara karte hain jabke ISM Services PMI ek aur mahine mein rozgar mein contraction ki taraf ishara karta hai. Aam tor par, mayoos kun US NFP numbers US dollar ki qeemat mein kami ka matlab ban sakte hain kyun ke ye June tak interest rate ko kam karne ka mutabiq ahami mawqaa bana sakta hai. Ye bhi yaad rakhen ke Japanese authorities Japani yen ke levels ko qareeb se nazar andaz nahi karte aur agar currency zyada tezi se gir jaaye to Forex market mein mudakhlat karne se guraiz nahi karte.

Aur Japani central bank ke policy ke mustaqbil ke tanazur mein. Bank of Japan zyada taqriban girftar hone se pehle phir se interest rates ko barhaane ka intezar karega, ek mushkil tajwez program ko kam karne ke kamyabi ke baad, aik purane policy board member ke mutabiq.

"Mujhko lagta hai ke Bank of Japan ke andar kisi nayi kamyaabi ka ahsas hona chahiye," Makoto Sakurai, aik purane BOJ board member, ne is haftay ki interview mein kaha. "Unhone pahar ko qaboo mein le liya hai aur ab koi badi masla nahi baki hai." Sakurai, jo ab tak current Bank of Japan officials ke saath raabta banaye hue hain, ne ye bhi kaha ke Governor Kazuo Ueda aur unke saathi board members taqriban October ke qareeb aik policy meeting tak intezar karenge ke kya maamla ab aur interest rates barha sakte hain ya nahi. Usne ye bhi kaha ke aik mustaqil policy normalization ka dora next year shuru hoga, jahan interest rates her chhe mahinay mein 25 basis points barh sakte hain.

Usne ye bhi kaha, "Kisi bhi qadam ka aks phal hota hai." Ye official samajhta hai ke Bank of Japan tayyar hai ke January mein interest rates ko barhaaye: "Koi bold action nahi hai." "Ye ek wazeh tabdeeli ke sath mukamal tarahi ke liye 2025 fiscal year mein bhi qayam kiya jayega agar economy theek hai." Sakurai ke views kuch Bank of Japan ke observers ke khilaf hain, jo ummid karte hain ke authorities Japan aur United States ke darmiyan interest rate gap ko chhote karne ke liye jaldi amal karein. Pichle haftay Japani yen ki keemat ka US dollar ke khilaaf 34 saalon ki buland darjaat tak girna kuch logon ke nazron mein is manzar ko maqbool banata hai.