𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐉𝐏𝐘

EUR/JPY ka jo trend hai, wo kuch din se considerable upward pressure dikh raha hai, aur ab yeh dekhna hai ke kya yeh trend ulatnay wala hai ya yeh sirf ek price correction hai. Is baat ka tehqiq karte hain aur EUR/JPY currency pair ka D1 time frame mein gehrai se tajzia karte hain.
Sab se pehla qadam yeh hai ke hum trend ko samjhen aur dekhain ke EUR/JPY ka rujhan kis taraf ja raha hai. Abhi ke liye price Moving Average indicator ke upar hai, jo ke bullish trend ko zahir karta hai. Lekin Stochastic Indicator overbought area ko touch karne wala hai, is liye mumkin hai ke pehle ek price correction aaye.

Jab humein yeh pata chal jaye ke trend bullish hai, tou agla qadam yeh hoga ke hum EUR/JPY ka buy option dekhen. Lekin yeh kaam us waqt karna chahiye jab stochastic indicator oversold area mein ho D1 time frame par. Phir hum buy kar sakte hain. Best buying momentum smaller time frames par banega, jaise ke M30 ya M15. Agar hum abhi ke price par enter karte hain, tou pehle ek niche girnay ka chance kaafi strong hai.

Agar humein buy ka option milta hai, tou agla qadam yeh hoga ke stop loss area set karein. Main stop loss ke liye support area ka istemal karunga jo ke 158.04 ke price level par hai. Aur target take profit ke liye resistance area ka istemal karunga jo ke 167.88 ke price level par hai.

Agar abhi tak aapko meri analysis samajhnay mein mushkil ho rahi hai, tou main ne ek image attach ki hai jisse aap guide le sakte hain. Yeh meri taraf se EUR/JPY currency pair par chhoti si analysis thi, umeed hai ke members ke

EUR/JPY pair ko filhal selling pressure ka samna hai aur price mein girawat nazar aa rahi hai. Yeh girawat us waqt hui jab Japanese Yen mein mazid mazbooti dekhi gayi, jo kai factors ki wajah se hui. Pehla factor, Bank of Japan ke board member Asahi Noguchi ke comments hain, jo yeh suggest karte hain ke central bank ke paas interest rates barhane ki gunjaish abhi bhi hai, magar yeh ehtiyaat se kiya jayega. Is wajah se Japanese Yen ko support mili. Doosra, Middle East mein barhte hue geopolitics tensions ne Yen ki safe-haven demand ko barhawa diya. Teesra factor yeh hai ke Euro mein kamzori dekhne ko mili, kyunke European Central Bank ke October mein interest rates dobara cut karne ki umeed hai, jabke inflation ke pressures mein kami aur economy ki slow growth bhi is ke peeche hai. In tamam challenges ke bawajood, EUR/JPY pair ko ab tak support mila hua hai, Bank of Japan ke future mein interest rate hikes ke hawalay se uncertainty ki wajah se.
Japan ke naye Prime Minister aur Economic Revitalization Minister ne deflation ko khatam karne ke ahmiyat ko ujaagar kiya hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke qareebi mustaqbil mein interest rates mein zyada izafa nahi hoga. Yeh cheez Japanese Yen ki taqat ko mehdood kar sakti hai, aur EUR/JPY pair ke liye support ban sakti hai.
**Technical Analysis**
Agar hum technical perspective se dekhen, daily chart par ek "death cross" ka formation nazar aaya hai, jahan 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) 200-day SMA se neeche cross kar gaya hai. Yeh EUR/JPY ke liye bearish bias ko darshata hai. Iske ilawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 ke level ke qareeb hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke pair ab oversold conditions mein hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi apni trigger aur zero line ke neeche hai, jo ke downward trend ko support karta hai.
Short term mein, EUR/JPY pair 155.15 ke support level ko test kar sakta hai aur thoda pullback aasakta hai. Agar yeh is level ke upar rehne mein kaamiyab hota hai, to yeh 158.00 ke short-term downtrend line tak wapas aane ki koshish kar sakta hai, aur phir 159.30-160.05 ke limit zone tak bhi pohanch sakta hai. Is zone mein 23.6% Fibonacci retracement bhi shamil hai jo downtrend ke 175.37 se 154.40 tak ka range cover karta hai. Magar, overall bearish technical

ki wajah se hui. Pehla factor, Bank of Japan ke board member Asahi Noguchi ke comments hain, jo yeh suggest karte hain ke central bank ke paas interest rates barhane ki gunjaish abhi bhi hai, magar yeh ehtiyaat se kiya jayega. Is wajah se Japanese Yen ko support mili. Doosra, Middle East mein barhte hue geopolitics tensions ne Yen ki safe-haven demand ko barhawa diya. Teesra factor yeh hai ke Euro mein kamzori dekhne ko mili, kyunke European Central Bank ke October mein interest rates dobara cut karne ki umeed hai, jabke inflation ke pressures mein kami aur economy ki slow growth bhi is ke peeche hai. In tamam challenges ke bawajood, EUR/JPY pair ko ab tak support mila hua hai, Bank of Japan ke future mein interest rate hikes ke hawalay se uncertainty ki wajah se. Japan ke naye Prime Minister aur Economic Revitalization Minister ne deflation ko khatam karne ke ahmiyat ko ujaagar kiya hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke qareebi mustaqbil mein interest rates mein zyada izafa nahi hoga. Yeh cheez Japanese Yen ki taqat ko mehdood kar sakti hai, aur EUR/JPY pair ke liye support ban sakti hai.
**Technical Analysis**
Agar hum technical perspective se dekhen, daily chart par ek "death cross" ka formation nazar aaya hai, jahan 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) 200-day SMA se neeche cross kar gaya hai. Yeh EUR/JPY ke liye bearish bias ko darshata hai. Iske ilawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 ke level ke qareeb hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke pair ab oversold conditions mein hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi apni trigger aur zero line ke neeche hai, jo ke downward trend ko support karta hai.
Short term mein, EUR/JPY pair 155.15 ke support level ko test kar sakta hai aur thoda pullback aasakta hai. Agar yeh is level ke upar rehne mein kaamiyab hota hai, to yeh 158.00 ke short-term downtrend line tak wapas aane ki koshish kar sakta hai, aur phir 159.30-160.05 ke limit zone tak bhi pohanch

**Salam aur sab ko good morning!**

EUR/JPY ka market pichle hafte buyers ke haq mein raha. Is hafte, mujhe lagta hai ke buyers apni qeemat khoyenge. Aur, qeemat tezi se giregi aur baad mein 162.75 ka zone test kar sakti hai. Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke doosre currency pairs jaise ke US dollar bhi EUR/JPY ke market ko affect kar sakte hain. Agar inventories mein ghaflati izafa ya kami hoti hai, to is se oil prices mein tezi se harkaat ho sakti hain, jo ke broader market trends, khaaskar energy-related sectors ko bhi asar daal sakta hai.

Is ke ilawa, FOMC meeting minutes ki release se humein aise valuable insights milengi jo humein is hafte ka market direction samajhne mein madad karegi. Yeh minutes Federal Reserve ke discussions aur monetary policy par unke khayalat ka ek jhalak faraham karti hain, jo ke investor sentiment aur market trends par bohot bada asar daal sakti hain. Fed ki interest rates aur inflation par stance ko samajh kar, traders behtar tarike se market shifts ke liye apne aap ko tayyar kar sakte hain.

Overall, mujhe lagta hai ke is hafte technical traders ke haq mein rahega, khaaskar jab weekly calendar mein khabron ki tadaad kam hai. Jab external influences kam honge, to market zyada tar technical factors par rely karega, jo aksar aise environments mein qeemat ki harkaat ko dictate karte hain. Traders ko chahiye ke ye technical insights ka istemal karke stop-loss orders ko behtar tarike se implement karein, apne capital ko is transitional phase ke doran mehfooz rakhein.

Aaj, mujhe 163.55 ka chota target rakhtay hue buy order pasand hai. EUR/JPY ke trading ke liye, jab hum is hafte se guzar rahe hain, yeh bohot zaroori hai ke hum economic indicators aur technical signals par nazar rakhein jo humein apni trading strategies guide karengi. Fundamental data aur technical analysis ke darmiyan ka taluq hamari decisions ko shape karne mein ahem hoga, khaaskar jab hum hafte ke volatile akhri hisson ki taraf barh rahe hain. In elements ko combine kar ke, hum behtar tarike se potential trading opportunities ke liye tayyar ho sakte hain jabke risks ko bhi achi tarah manage kar sakein.

Aapka trading week khushgawar ho!

**EUR/JPY: Market Analysis aur Technical Outlook**

EUR/JPY pair ne recent sessions mein selling pressure ka samna kiya hai aur price ne kuch kum ki taraf rukh kiya hai. Ye decline Japanese Yen ki taqat ke sath coincide hota hai, jo kayi factors ki wajah se hai. Pehla, Bank of Japan ke board member Asahi Noguchi ke comments se yeh samajh aata hai ke central bank ke paas interest rates ko dheere dheere barhane ka mauqa hai, jo ke Japanese Yen ko support deta hai. Doosra, Middle East mein barhte hue geopolitical tensions ne Yen ki safe-haven appeal ko mazid barhaya hai. Teesra, Euro ne kamzori dekhi hai jab se umeed hai ke European Central Bank agle mahine October mein interest rates ko phir se ghatayega, jo ke easing inflationary pressures aur slowing economy ki wajah se hai.

In sab challenges ke bawajood, EUR/JPY pair abhi bhi Bank of Japan ki future interest rate hikes ke aspaas hone wali uncertainty se supported hai. Japan ke naye Prime Minister aur Economic Revitalization Minister dono ne deflation ko overcome karne ki zaroorat par zor diya hai, jo ke yeh darshata hai ke short-term mein interest rates ko khaas tor par nahi barhaya ja sakta. Ye Japanese Yen ki taqat ko limit kar sakta hai aur EUR/JPY pair ke liye tailwind faraham kar sakta hai.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to daily chart par "death cross" ki formation dekhi gayi hai, jahan 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) 200-day SMA ke neeche chala gaya hai, jo EUR/JPY pair ke liye bearish bias ko darshata hai. Iske ilawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 level ke kareeb hai, jo oversold conditions ko darshata hai, jabke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) apne trigger aur zero lines ke neeche hai, jo downward trend ko aur support deta hai.

Short term mein, EUR/JPY pair thoda pullback dekh sakta hai jab ye 155.15 support level ko test karega. Agar pair is level ke upar tik sakti hai, to ye short-term downtrend line 158.00 ki taraf wapas uthane ki koshish kar sakti hai, aur phir 159.30-160.05 ke limit zone tak, jo ke 175.37 se 154.40 tak ke downtrend ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement bhi hai.

Is halat mein, traders ko chahiye ke wo market ke movements aur technical indicators par nazar rakhein taake wo behtar trading decisions le sakein. Market ki ye volatility aur technical signals traders ke liye ahem hote hain, jo unhe future movements ka andaza lagane mein madadgar sabit hote hain.

EUR/JPY currency pair ka D1 time frame mein gehrai se tajzia karte hain.
Sab se pehla qadam yeh hai ke hum trend ko samjhen aur dekhain ke EUR/JPY ka rujhan kis taraf ja raha hai. Abhi ke liye price Moving Average indicator ke upar hai, jo ke bullish trend ko zahir karta hai. Lekin Stochastic Indicator overbought area ko touch karne wala hai, is liye mumkin hai ke pehle ek price correction aaye.
Jab humein yeh pata chal jaye ke trend bullish hai, tou agla qadam yeh hoga ke hum EUR/JPY ka buy option dekhen. Lekin yeh kaam us waqt karna chahiye jab stochastic indicator oversold area mein ho D1 time frame par. Phir hum buy kar sakte hain. Best buying momentum smaller time frames par banega, jaise ke M30 ya M15. Agar hum abhi ke price par enter karte hain, tou pehle ek niche girnay ka chance kaafi strong hai.
Agar humein buy ka option milta hai, tou agla qadam yeh hoga ke stop loss area set karein. Main stop loss ke liye support area ka istemal karunga jo ke 158.04 ke price level par hai. Aur target take profit ke liye resistance area ka istemal karunga jo ke 167.88 ke price level par hai.
Agar abhi tak aapko meri analysis samajhnay mein mushkil ho rahi hai, tou main ne ek image attach ki hai jisse aap guide le sakte hain. Yeh meri taraf se EUR/JPY currency pair par chhoti si analysis thi, umeed hai ke members ke
EUR/JPY ke liye bearish bias ko darshata hai. Iske ilawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 ke level ke qareeb hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke pair ab oversold conditions mein hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi apni trigger aur zero line ke neeche hai, jo ke downward trend ko support karta hai.
Short term mein, EUR/JPY pair 155.15 ke support level ko test kar sakta hai aur thoda pullback aasakta hai. Agar yeh is level ke upar rehne mein kaamiyab hota hai, to yeh 158.00 ke short-term downtrend line tak wapas aane ki koshish kar sakta hai,

EUR/JPY Market Analysis

Salam aur sab ko Good Morning!

EUR/JPY ka market pichle hafte buyers ke haq mein tha. Is hafte, mujhe umeed hai ke buyers apni value kho denge. Aur price tezi se giregi aur baad mein 162.75 zone ko test kar sakti hai. Ye yaad rakhein ke doosre currency pairs, jaise ke US dollar, bhi EUR/JPY ke market par asar daal sakte hain. Aur agar inventories mein koi ghata ya izafa hota hai, to ye oil prices mein tezi se movements ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo ke broader market trends, khaaskar energy-related sectors, ko bhi asar de sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, FOMC meeting minutes ka release hamen valuable insights faraham karega jo ke hamen is hafte ke market direction ko samajhne mein madad karega. Ye minutes Federal Reserve ki discussions aur monetary policy par unke faislon ka jhalak dete hain, jo ke investor sentiment aur market trends par khaas asar daal sakte hain. Fed ka interest rates aur inflation par stance samajhne se traders ko potential market shifts ke liye behtar position mil sakti hai.

Kul mila kar, mujhe umeed hai ke ye hafte technical traders ke haq mein rahega, khaaskar is hafte ke news events ki limited number ko dekhte hue. Jab external influences kum hote hain, to market zyadah tar technical factors par rely karta hai, jo aksar aise environments mein price movements ko dictate karte hain. Traders ko in technical insights ka istemal karna chahiye taake wo stop-loss orders ko behtar taur par implement kar saken, is transitional phase mein apne capital ko protect karne ke liye.

Aaj, main ek buy order prefer karta hoon jiska short target 163.55 hai. EUR/JPY par trading karte waqt, is hafte ke dauran economic indicators aur technical signals par nazar rakhna zaroori hai jo hamari trading strategies ko guide kareinge. Fundamental data aur technical analysis ke darmiyan ka taluq hamesha hamare faislon ko shape dene mein pivotal hoga, khaaskar jab hum hafte ke volatile latter half ki taraf barh rahe hain. In elements ko mila kar, hum potential trading opportunities ke liye behtar position le sakte hain jabke risks ko sahi taur par manage karte hain.

Aapka trading week behtar guzre!

### EUR/JPY Pair Ka Jaiza

EUR/JPY pair ne ek choti si rally ka tajurba kiya, jo weekly high tak pahuncha, lekin iske baad selling pressure ka saamna karte hue peeche hata. Ye girawat Japanese Yen ki mazbooti ke sath milti hai, jo kuch wajahaton ki wajah se hai. Pehli wajah, Bank of Japan ke board member Asahi Noguchi ke bayan hain, jinhon ne kaha ke central bank ke paas interest rates barhane ka mauqa abhi bhi hai, halanke ye ehtiyaat se karna hoga, jo Japanese Yen ko support karta hai.

Dusri wajah, Middle East mein badhte hue geopolitical tensions ne Yen ki safe-haven appeal ko barhaya. Teesri wajah, Euro ki kamzori hai, kyunki umeed hai ke European Central Bank October mein interest rates ko phir se kam karega, jabke inflationary pressures kam ho rahe hain aur ma'ashi growth slow ho rahi hai.

In sab rukawaton ke bawajood, EUR/JPY pair ko Bank of Japan ke future interest rate hikes ke aas-paas ki uncertainty se support mil raha hai. Japan ke naye Prime Minister aur Economic Revitalization Minister dono ne deflation par qabo paane ki ahmiyat ko ujagar kiya hai, jo darshata hai ke interest rates jald hi significant taur par nahi barhaye jayenge. Ye Japanese Yen ki qeemat ko barhane mein rukawat bana sakta hai, jo EUR/JPY pair ke liye faida mand sabit ho sakta hai.

### Technical Analysis: EUR/JPY Pair

Technical perspective se, daily chart par "death cross" ka banana, jahan 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) 200-day SMA ke neeche chala gaya hai, EUR/JPY pair ke liye bearish bias ko darshata hai. Iske ilawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 ke level ke qareeb hai, jo oversold conditions ki taraf ishaara karta hai, jabke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) apne trigger aur zero lines ke neeche hai, jo downward trend ko aur support karta hai.

Short term mein, EUR/JPY pair thoda pullback experience kar sakta hai jab ye 155.15 support level ko test karega. Agar pair is level ke upar apni position banae rakhne mein kamiyab hota hai, to ye short-term downtrend line 158.00 ki taraf recover karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, aur phir 159.30-160.05 limit zone tak, jo downtrend ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement bhi shamil karta hai (175.37 se 154.40 tak).

Lekin, overall bearish technical outlook ko dekhte hue, agar 155.15 support level toota, to is se further declines ki sambhavna barh jayegi.

Aisa system dhundhein jo simple ho aur sirf 1 ya 2 indicators use karta ho, taake market ko analyze karte waqt hum confuse na hon. Aise system ka intekhab karein jiska risk aur reward ratio kam se kam 1:2 ho. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar 10 analysis mein se 7 galat bhi hote hain, tab bhi aakhirat mein hum profit kama sakte hain. Sabse zaroori baat yeh hai ke 100% accuracy rate wale trading system ki umeed na rakhein, kyunki aisa kuch bhi nahi hota. Isliye, agar hum 1:2 ka risk aur reward ratio apply karte hain, toh 7 out of 10 sahi analysis bhi kaafi hain.


European Union/Japanese Yen (EUR/JPY) currency pair ne haal hi mein ek taza chadhai dekhi hai, jismein Asian trading session mein teen din ki girawat ke baad izafa hua. Yeh izafa zyada tar Japanese yen ke kamzor hone ki wajah se hai, jo ke desh ke trade balance data ke chalte hua. Japan ki merchandise trade balance July ke mahine ke liye 621.84 billion yen ka deficit dikhayi, jo ke June mein surplus se ulta hai. Halankeh yeh deficit bazaar ki ummeed se kam tha, lekin yeh is saal ka paanchwa deficit tha. Imports aur exports ke darmiyan farq, jo imports ke haq mein hai, yen ki kami ka sabab bana hai. Lekin, yen ki kami ko Bank of Japan ke doosre interest rate hike ke imkaan se kuch had tak control kiya ja sakta hai. Iski ummeed ek recent Reuters poll se milti hai, jismein se aadhe se zyada economists ne saal ke end se pehle rate increase ka prediction diya hai. Central bank ke Governor, Kazuo Ueda, Friday ko parliament ke saamne aakar ke recent rate hike ka faisla discuss karenge.

Eurozone mein, market participants ko ummeed hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) dheere dheere interest rates ko kam karega. Lekin, ECB ke officials ne rate cuts ke specific timeline ko commit karte waqt caution barqarar rakha hai, aur inflationary pressures ka zikr kiya hai. Eurozone ke Harmonized Consumer Price Index (HICP) data July ke liye monthly basis par same raha, jo ke expectations ke mutabiq tha

EUR/JPY currency pair ne teen din ki giraawat ke baad dubaara udaan bhari, jo ke Asian trading session mein dekhi gayi. Yeh barhoti khaas taur par Japanese yen ki kamzori ki wajah se thi, jo ke Japan ke trade balance data se mutasir hui. Japan ne July ke liye 621.84 billion yen ka trade deficit report kiya, jabke June mein surplus tha. Yeh deficit agarche bazaar ki ummeed se kam tha, lekin yeh is saal Japan ka paanchwa deficit tha. Imports ki tulna mein exports ke kam hone ne yen ki kamzori mein izafa kiya. Lekin is giraawat ko Bank of Japan se doosri interest rate hike ki mumkinah wajah se kuch had tak control kiya ja sakta hai. Ek recent Reuters poll ke mutabiq, aadaad shumar karne wale economists ka akser yeh khayal hai ke saal ke end se pehle interest rate mein izafa hoga. Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda jumeraat ko parliament mein is rate hike ke faislay par guftagu karne wale hain.
Eurozone mein, bazaar ke log samajhte hain ke European Central Bank (ECB) dheere dheere interest rates kam karega. Magar ECB ke officials ne rate cuts ke liye kisi khaas waqt ka waada karne se gurez kiya hai, inflationary pressures ko ek aham masla samajhte hue. Eurozone ka Harmonized Consumer Price Index (HICP) data July ke liye mawaqi par steady raha, jo ke bazaar ki ummeedon par pura utra.
EUR/JPY currency pair upward dynamics dikha raha hai. Price ne 163.41 par resistance ka saamna kiya. Technical analysis dikhata hai ke char ghante ke time interval par price Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke upar trade kar rahi hai, cloud ke upar hai, aur Chikou-span line price chart ke upar hai. Golden cross bhi active hai.
Bollinger bands upar ki taraf directed hain, relative strength indicator 50 ke upar move kar raha hai, MACD oscillator volumes barh rahe hain, aur trend filter oscillator green rang ka hai, jo bullish market sentiment ka signal hai. Growth ka potential ab bhi maujood hai. Agar price 163.41 ke level ke upar breakthrough aur successful consolidation karti hai, to naye purchases dekhna samajhdaari hogi. Is surat mein, agla potential target 165.65 ka resistance level hoga.
Price aage barhna jari rakh sakta hai aur poori tarah se green zone ko work out kar sakta hai. Upar ki taraf price ke paas reference points hain - MA resistance levels. Price ne do resistance levels, blue aur red MA, ko work out kiya, red MA ko upar ki taraf tod diya aur ab black MA (164.95) ki taraf barh raha hai. Yeh price black MA ko upar ki taraf tod sakta hai aur bade green zone ko continue kar sakta hai.

EUR/JPY pair ne ek choti si rally ka tajurba kiya, jo weekly high tak pahuncha, lekin iske baad selling pressure ka saamna karte hue peeche hata. Ye girawat Japanese Yen ki mazbooti ke sath milti hai, jo kuch wajahaton ki wajah se hai. Pehli wajah, Bank of Japan ke board member Asahi Noguchi ke bayan hain, jinhon ne kaha ke central bank ke paas interest rates barhane ka mauqa abhi bhi hai, halanke ye ehtiyaat se karna hoga, jo Japanese Yen ko support karta hai.
Dusri wajah, Middle East mein badhte hue geopolitical tensions ne Yen ki safe-haven appeal ko barhaya. Teesri wajah, Euro ki kamzori hai, kyunki umeed hai ke European Central Bank October mein interest rates ko phir se kam karega, jabke inflationary pressures kam ho rahe hain aur ma'ashi growth slow ho rahi hai.
In sab rukawaton ke bawajood, EUR/JPY pair ko Bank of Japan ke future interest rate hikes ke aas-paas ki uncertainty se support mil raha hai. Japan ke naye Prime Minister aur Economic Revitalization Minister dono ne deflation par qabo paane ki ahmiyat ko ujagar kiya hai, jo darshata hai ke interest rates jald hi significant taur par nahi barhaye jayenge. Ye Japanese Yen ki qeemat ko barhane mein rukawat bana sakta hai, jo EUR/JPY pair ke liye faida mand sabit ho sakta hai.
(EUR/JPY) currency pair ne haal hi mein ek taza chadhai dekhi hai, jismein Asian trading session mein teen din ki girawat ke baad izafa hua. Yeh izafa zyada tar Japanese yen ke kamzor hone ki wajah se hai, jo ke desh ke trade balance data ke chalte hua. Japan ki merchandise trade balance July ke mahine ke liye 621.84 billion yen ka deficit dikhayi, jo ke June mein surplus se ulta hai. Halankeh yeh deficit bazaar ki ummeed se kam tha, lekin yeh is saal ka paanchwa deficit tha. Imports aur exports ke darmiyan farq, jo imports ke haq mein hai, yen ki kami ka sabab bana hai. Lekin, yen ki kami ko Bank of Japan ke doosre interest rate hike ke imkaan se kuch had tak control kiya ja sakta hai. Iski ummeed ek recent Reuters poll se milti hai, jismein se aadhe se zyada economists ne saal ke end se pehle rate increase ka prediction diya hai. Central bank ke Governor, Kazuo Ueda, Friday ko parliament ke saamne aakar ke recent rate hike ka faisla discuss karenge.
Eurozone mein, market participants ko ummeed hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) dheere dheere interest rates ko kam karega. Lekin, ECB ke officials ne rate cuts ke specific timeline ko commit karte waqt caution barqarar rakha hai,

Pichle hafte EUR/JPY pair mein bullish momentum kaafi prominent tha, jisse euro ne Japanese yen ke muqable mein mazid taqat hasil ki aur price upar gayi. Magar ab jab hum is haftay mein daakhil ho rahe hain, toh mujhe umeed hai ke market sentiment mein tabdeeli dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Jo bullish strength pichle haftay price action ko support kar rahi thi, wo ab kamzor ho sakti hai, jisse pair mein ek potential pullback ya mazeed significant downward movement dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Mojooda momentum se lagta hai ke pair apni upward traction kho sakti hai, jisse yeh sharp drop ke liye zyada susceptible banegi. Ek ahem level jo monitor karna zaroori hoga, wo 162.27 ka zone hai. Yeh support zone wo pehli jagah ho sakta hai jahan price ko test karna par sakta hai agar bearish pressure barh gaya. Agar price is level tak girti hai, toh yeh ek notable correction hoga mojooda highs se, aur agar pair is support ko hold karne mein nakam rahta hai, toh yeh ek gehri retracement ka ishara ho sakta hai.

Is decline ka sabab market sentiment mein tabdeeli ya phir eurozone ya Japan ki economic outlook mein tabdeeli ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, daily chart par technical indicators, jaise ke RSI (Relative Strength Index) aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), bhi kisi potential trend reversal ya continuation pattern ka ishara de sakte hain.

Agar EUR/JPY mein zyada volatility dekhi gayi, toh yeh EUR/JPY market ke price trajectory ko aur complicate kar sakti hai. Is liye traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena hoga aur intermarket relationships ko apne trades plan karte waqt madde nazar rakhna hoga. Economic reports, central bank policy updates, aur geopolitical developments ka ghor se jaiza lena zaroori hoga taake sahi trading faislay kiye ja sakein.

Jab ke pichla hafta EUR/JPY ke liye clearly bullish tha, is haftay mein kahani mukhtalif ho sakti hai. Aik potential bearish correction nikal sakta hai jo ke 162.27 zone ko target kar sakta hai. Traders ko momentum mein kisi bhi shift ke liye alert rehna chahiye aur technical aur fundamental analysis ka combination istemal karna chahiye taake pair ke aglay moves ko samjha ja sake. Proper risk management aur doosray major pairs par news updates se baakhabar rehna EUR/JPY ko effectively navigate karne ke liye ahem hoga.

EUR/JPY
EUR/JPY Ka Overview
EUR/JPY, yani Euro aur Japanese Yen ka currency pair, forex market mein ek popular aur volatile pair mana jata hai. Eurozone ke 19 countries ka official currency Euro hai, jabke Japan ka national currency Yen hai. Dono currencies apne apne regions ki economic performance aur monetary policies par depend karti hain. Is liye, EUR/JPY ko trade karte waqt European Central Bank (ECB) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke decisions par nazar rakhna zaroori hota hai.

Economic Factors Ka Asar

Euro ki value Eurozone ki overall economic health se direct taluq rakhti hai. Agar Eurozone ke economic indicators, jaise ke inflation, GDP growth, aur employment data strong hote hain, to Euro ki value barhti hai. ECB ka bhi kafi bara role hota hai, kyun ke agar ECB interest rates ko increase karta hai to Euro strong hota hai. Abhi ke economic conditions mein, Eurozone inflation kaafi highlight kiya ja raha hai, aur ECB ke actions ki wajah se Euro mein stability dekhne ko mil rahi hai.

Japanese Yen ko safe-haven currency mana jata hai, jo zyada tar global market uncertainty ke doran strong hoti hai. BoJ ki monetary policy kaafi dovish rahi hai, kyun ke Japan mein inflation kaafi arsay se low levels par hai. BoJ ne interest rates ko negative rakha hai taake economic growth ko support kiya ja sake. Agar global market mein instability hoti hai, to investors Japanese Yen ko prefer karte hain, jis se EUR/JPY pair mein Yen strong ho jata hai aur Euro weaken hota hai.

Technical Analysis

Agar hum EUR/JPY ka technical analysis karein, to ye pair abhi 157.00 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. 155.00 ka level ek strong support level hai, aur agar ye pair is level ke neeche break karta hai, to further downside movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Resistance ka pehla level 160.00 par hai, jahan se agar breakout hota hai to pair aur bullish ho sakta hai.

Technical indicators jaise ke Moving Averages aur MACD abhi bullish signals de rahe hain. Lekin, overbought conditions ko bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai, kyun ke agar RSI 70 ke level ke qareeb aata hai, to correction ka chance barh jata hai.

Summary

EUR/JPY ka future mostly ECB aur BoJ ke monetary policies par depend karega. Agar Eurozone ki economy strong rehti hai aur ECB interest rates ko further barhata hai, to Euro ki value barh sakti hai. Lekin, global economic uncertainty Yen ko strengthen kar sakti hai. Short-term mein, EUR/JPY ke liye 155.00 aur 160.00 key levels hain jo further price direction ka faisla karenge.

**EUR/JPY Weekly aur Daily Forecast**

EUR/JPY ke weekly chart par, price ne 155.067 ke support level ko test karne ke baad wapas bullish momentum ke saath upar move kiya. Yeh movement ek complete bullish candle mein convert hui, jo poori pichhli week ki range ko absorb karti hai aur close karte waqt 158.387 ke resistance level ke qareeb thi. Upar shadow ne yeh level ko bhi test kiya. Agle hafte ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke sellers phir se price ko neeche push karne ki koshish karenge, aur mein plan kar raha hoon ke 155.067 ke support level ko defend karun.

Iss support level ke ird-gird do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke koi reversal candle banay, jo potential upward reversal ka signal de. Agar yeh pattern form hota hai, toh price ka dobara resistance level 158.387 ki taraf wapas aana expected hoga. Agar price is resistance ke upar hold kar le, toh aagay movement barh kar agle resistance level 161.245 tak ja sakti hai. Iss level ke qareeb koi trading setup dekhunga jo agay ke trend ka direction bataye.

Dusra scenario yeh hai ke price 155.067 ke support se neeche break karke sustain kare. Agar yeh break confirm ho jaye, toh phir price neeche 153.115 ke next support level tak gir sakti hai. Yehan pe mein bullish signals ka intezar karunga jo price ke recovery ka signal dein, aur wapas bullish trend shuru ho.

Kul mila kar, agle hafte sellers ka pehla target 155.067 ka support level hoga. Jab price iss support tak pohanchay, toh global bullish trend ke madde nazar, mein bullish signals dhoondhunga jo price ke dobara upward move ka indication dein.



Summary mein, agla hafta focus karega ke price ka reaction 155.067 ke aas paas kaisa hota hai. Agar buyers enter karte hain aur reversal pattern ban jata hai, toh price ka movement 158.387 aur uske aagay barhne ka chance hai. Lekin agar yeh support break ho gaya, toh price 153.115 tak gir sakti hai, jahan pe phir se buying opportunities ke liye signals ka intezar hoga.

EUR/JPY currency pair daily chart par dekhne ko mil raha hai ke yeh aik flat range mein trade kar raha hai, 163.58 aur 155.20 ke darmiyan. 155 ka level do dafa test ho chuka hai aur dono martaba wahan se price rebound hui hai, jo aik **double bottom** pattern ko indicate karta hai. Yeh upward momentum ka ishara hai. Price ke 175.47 tak pohanchne ki umeed hai, lekin yeh outlook abhi speculative hai jab tak koi confirm buy signal nahi milta. Hum ne bullish engulfing pattern observe kiya hai aur price ne 155 ke level se rebound kiya hai, magar jab tak 163.58 ke upar breakout aur sustained consolidation nahi hoti, medium-term buy opportunities without significant risk confirm nahi ho sakti.

Is waqt price **Ichimoku Cloud** indicator ke andar stagnant hai, jahan bulls dobara bullish trend ko regain karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Yeh scenario puri tarah realistic nahi hai, lekin phir bhi mumkin hai. Price abhi 25% resistance level 162.40 ko todhne ki koshish kar rahi hai, magar upward trendline se neeche hi hai jo maine draw ki hai. Agar upward acceleration successful hoti hai, to yeh zyada bullish activity attract kar sakti hai. Isi wajah se main kuch consolidation ke baad northward movement anticipate karne ka risk lene ko tayar hoon.

Haalan keh humain market mein neutral rehna chahiye, agar price 163.58 par rebound karti hai aur aik bearish engulfing pattern samne aata hai, to yeh wapas 155 level ya usse bhi neeche 153.30 tak gir sakti hai. Wahan se phir recovery ho kar 175 tak pohanchna mumkin hai. **CCI indicator** daily timeframe par upward trend dikha raha hai, jo bulls ki strength ko confirm karta hai, lekin momentum filhal in levels par ruk gaya hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke market reactions ko closely monitor kiya jaye, kyun ke indicator aur bullish engulfing pattern ka combination yeh possibility show karta hai ke price 163.58 se upar breakout kar sakti hai.



**Conclusion:*

* EUR/JPY pair kuch recovery signs dikha raha hai, lekin resistance levels aur market dynamics par nazar rakhna bohot zaroori hai. Traders ko fluctuations ke liye tayar rehna chahiye aur clear signals ka intezar karna chahiye jo upward movement ke entry points ko confirm kar saken. **Risk management** aur market opportunities ke darmiyan balance rakhna essential hoga taake yeh complex trading environment navigate kiya ja sake.