𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐉𝐏𝐘

EUR/JPY abhi ek ascending channel mein chal raha hai. Yeh technical pattern dikhata hai ke price ek defined range mein upward movement kar rahi hai, jahan ek trendline higher lows ko aur doosri trendline higher highs ko connect karti hai. Abhi price apni direction ko reverse karti hui nazar aa rahi hai aur downside test kar rahi hai. Yeh shift is baat ka ishara hai ke price lower boundary ki taraf decline kar sakti hai. Abhi channel ki lower boundary 162.18 ke aas-paas hai. Agar price is level tak pohnchti hai, toh yeh ek key support point ban sakta hai jahan downward movement ruk sakti hai.
EUR/JPY currency pair ka D1 time frame mein gehrai se tajzia karte hain.
Sab se pehla qadam yeh hai ke hum trend ko samjhen aur dekhain ke EUR/JPY ka rujhan kis taraf ja raha hai. Abhi ke liye price Moving Average indicator ke upar hai, jo ke bullish trend ko zahir karta hai. Lekin Stochastic Indicator overbought area ko touch karne wala hai, is liye mumkin hai ke pehle ek price correction aaye.
Jab humein yeh pata chal jaye ke trend bullish hai, tou agla qadam yeh hoga ke hum EUR/JPY ka buy option dekhen. Lekin yeh kaam us waqt karna chahiye jab stochastic indicator oversold area mein ho D1 time frame par. Phir hum buy kar sakte hain. Best buying momentum smaller time frames par banega, jaise ke M30 ya M15. Agar hum abhi ke price par enter karte hain, tou pehle ek niche girnay ka chance kaafi strong hai.
Agar humein buy ka option milta hai, tou agla qadam yeh hoga ke stop loss area set karein. Main stop loss ke liye support area ka istemal karunga jo ke 158.04 ke price level par hai. Aur target take profit ke liye resistance area ka istemal karunga jo ke 167.88 ke price level par hai.

EUR/JPY, yaani Euro aur Japanese Yen ka currency pair, forex market mein ek khaas maqam rakhta hai. Yeh pair un traders aur investors ke liye ahmiyat rakhta hai jo Europe aur Asia ki financial markets mein dilchaspi rakhte hain. EUR/JPY ki trading karte waqt, iske price movements ko samajhna bohot zaroori hota hai, kyunki yeh dono currencies global economy mein ahem kirdar ada karti hain.

Economic Indicators
EUR/JPY ka rate aksar economic indicators par mabni hota hai. Eurozone ki economy, jisme kai mulk shamil hain, bohot saare economic reports, jaise GDP growth, inflation rate, aur employment statistics par nirbhar karti hai. Agar Eurozone ka economic data mazboot hota hai, toh EUR ki value barh sakti hai. Is ke muqablay mein, Japan ki economy bhi apne indicators, jaise consumer spending aur industrial output, ke zariye apni currency ko asar daalti hai. Jab Japan ki economy achi hoti hai, toh JPY ki value bhi barh sakti hai.
Central Bank Policies
European Central Bank (ECB) aur Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki monetary policies bhi EUR/JPY par bohot asar daalti hain. Agar ECB interest rates barhata hai, toh yeh EUR ki demand ko barha sakta hai, jis se EUR/JPY ka rate upar ki taraf jata hai. Usi tarah, agar BOJ apni monetary policy ko tighten karta hai, toh JPY ki value bhi barh sakti hai. Is liye, central banks ki decisions ko closely monitor karna traders ke liye ahem hota hai.
Technical Analysis
Technical analysis bhi EUR/JPY ki trading mein bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai. Traders aksar price charts, moving averages, aur support/resistance levels ka istemal karte hain. Is analysis ke zariye, wo market trends aur price movements ko samajhte hain, jo unhe sahi entry aur exit points dhoondne mein madad deta hai.
Geopolitical Events
Geopolitical events bhi EUR/JPY ki value ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Trade agreements, political stability, aur economic partnerships ka asar currency pair par hota hai. Koi bhi major news ya event jo Europe ya Japan mein ho, wo EUR/JPY ke rates ko ghatane ya barhane ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Aisa system dhundhein jo simple ho aur sirf 1 ya 2 indicators use karta ho, taake market ko analyze karte waqt hum confuse na hon. Aise system ka intekhab karein jiska risk aur reward ratio kam se kam 1:2 ho. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar 10 analysis mein se 7 galat bhi hote hain, tab bhi aakhirat mein hum profit kama sakte hain. Sabse zaroori baat yeh hai ke 100% accuracy rate wale trading system ki umeed na rakhein, kyunki aisa kuch bhi nahi hota. Isliye, agar hum 1:2 ka risk aur reward ratio apply karte hain, toh 7 out of 10 sahi analysis bhi kaafi hain.


European Union/Japanese Yen (EUR/JPY) currency pair ne haal hi mein ek taza chadhai dekhi hai, jismein Asian trading session mein teen din ki girawat ke baad izafa hua. Yeh izafa zyada tar Japanese yen ke kamzor hone ki wajah se hai, jo ke desh ke trade balance data ke chalte hua. Japan ki merchandise trade balance July ke mahine ke liye 621.84 billion yen ka deficit dikhayi, jo ke June mein surplus se ulta hai. Halankeh yeh deficit bazaar ki ummeed se kam tha, lekin yeh is saal ka paanchwa deficit tha. Imports aur exports ke darmiyan farq, jo imports ke haq mein hai, yen ki kami ka sabab bana hai. Lekin, yen ki kami ko Bank of Japan ke doosre interest rate hike ke imkaan se kuch had tak control kiya ja sakta hai. Iski ummeed ek recent Reuters poll se milti hai, jismein se aadhe se zyada economists ne saal ke end se pehle rate increase ka prediction diya hai. Central bank ke Governor, Kazuo Ueda, Friday ko parliament ke saamne aakar ke recent rate hike ka faisla discuss karenge

RSI abhi range ke darmiyan chal raha hai aur neeche ki taraf dekh raha hai, jo thodi uncertainty ka izhar kar raha hai. AO (Awesome Oscillator) ek kamzor buy signal show kar raha hai, aur price bhi pichlay din ki trading range se neeche chal raha hai. Yani, signals weak hain lekin yeh yeh bata rahe hain ke slight decline ka possibility hai. Is liye, analysis ke mutabiq, thoda aur decline dekhne ki umeed hai, aur pair 155.40 ka support level test karega. Filhal ke liye, mohtaat sales ka mashwara diya ja raha hai, jiska target 155.50 ho sakta hai. Lekin, market kabhi bhi achanak badal sakta hai, is liye apnay risks ko dhang se samajhna zaroori hai.
Hamaara EUR/JPY ke liye forecast zyada kuch farq nahi karta, kyun ke hum bhi four-hour time interval par resistance zone ko dekhte huay ek correction ki umeed kar rahe hain, jo ke 157.34 ke aas paas hai, average Bollinger moving line ke range mein. Abhi ek downward trend hai jo ke zigzag correction ke saath upar ki taraf ja raha hai, lekin global goal yeh hai ke medium term mein 154.40 ka support level achieve hoga, aur yeh kuch dinon mein ho sakta hai.

Trader geometric figure dekh kar lagta hai ke ek double bottom ban raha hai jisse ek acha northern correction ya trend reversal dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Lekin zyadatar chances hain ke ek chhoti correction ke baad downward southern trend jari rahega jab tak global ya medium term trend ke reversal ke liye koi waazeh asar na ho. Is liye, filhaal ke liye priority downward trend ke hawale se rahegi.

Is waqt ke economic aur monetary policies bhi EUR/JPY ko affect kar rahi hain. Japanese yen par hawkish signals hain, kyun ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke officials ne hint diya hai ke yeh saal ke akhri tak interest rate hike ho sakta hai. Upar se major central banks ke events ka asar bhi yen ko strong kar raha hai aur EUR/JPY par neeche ka pressure daal raha hai. Federal Reserve aur Bank of England ke policy decisions bhi agle kuch dino mein expected hain, jo ke market

EUR/JPY pair ke price mein thoda upward correction dekhne ko mila jab yeh 158.06 ki low price par impulsive decline ke baad thoda recover karne laga. Is baat ka imkaan hai ke price FR 50 - 160.75 tak ya FR 61.8 - 161.38 tak barh sakta hai, jo ke SBR area ke saath confluent hai. Is ke ilawa, price ko dobara EMA 50 ya SMA 200 ke neeche move karna hoga taake bearish trend continue rahe. Kam az kam price ko consistently FR 38.2 - 160.11 ke neeche move karna hoga, warna agar price downward rally continue nahi kar pata, tou trend ka direction badalne ka andaza diya jaa sakta hai.
Moving Average lines ke darmiyan jo faasla hai wo bearish trend ko confirm karne ke liye abhi tak zyada nahi hai, is liye trend ko mazid mazboot karne ke liye price ko dobara neeche aana zaroori hai. Major structure lower low - lower high ka lagta hai kyun ke abhi tak 163.81 ke high price, jo ke sabse qareebi invalidation level hai, ko break nahi kiya gaya. Price ne jo upper move ki thi wo sirf 163.43 tak hi pahunchi thi. Agar hum Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ko dekhein, jis ka volume histogram abhi tak level 0 ya positive area ke upar hai, tou uptrend momentum EUR/JPY ke price ke upward correction ko support kar raha hai.

Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo overbought zone ke qareeb 90 - 80 tak ja rahe hain, level 50 ko cross karne mein naakaam rahe hain, yeh bhi price ke upward correction phase ko support karte hain. Yeh is liye ke saturation point abhi tak nahi aya hai kyun ke parameters ne

EUR/JPY pair mein utar charhao ka sabab bana hai. Yeh pair 161.95 ke qareeb momentum kho baitha, magar dono central banks se updates ke liye ab bhi sensitive hai. Agar BoJ apni monetary policy ko tighten karne ki taraf ishara karta hai, to is se Yen mazid mazboot ho sakta hai, jisse pair neeche jasakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar ECB apni hawkish stance par qayam rehta hai, to Euro Yen ke muqablay mein aur zyada gain kar sakta hai. Traders ko aanay walay economic data aur central bank meetings par nazar rakhni chahiye taake EUR/JPY pair ke future direction ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Market ka Tajziyah: Hal hi mein EUR/JPY pair mein girawat ke peechay kai factors hain, jin mein market sentiment ka shift, economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur monetary policy ke hawalay se expectations shamil hain. Euro aur Yen donon hi ahem currencies hain aur in developments ke liye sensitive hain, jo ke inke exchange rates par asar dalte hain. Forex market mein barhti hui volatility ka asar bhi EUR/JPY pair par hua hai, jo ke Eurozone aur Japan mein interest rates, inflation, aur economic growth ke hawalay se mukhtalif expectations se driven hai. ECB aur BoJ ke mukhtalif monetary policy approaches ne EUR/JPY pair mein fluctuations paida ki hain aur iske recent decline mein ahem kirdar ada kiya haihai
EUR/JPY currency pair ka D1 time frame mein gehrai se tajzia karte hain.
Sab se pehla qadam yeh hai ke hum trend ko samjhen aur dekhain ke EUR/JPY ka rujhan kis taraf ja raha hai. Abhi ke liye price Moving Average indicator ke upar hai, jo ke bullish trend ko zahir karta hai. Lekin Stochastic Indicator overbought area ko touch karne wala hai, is liye mumkin hai ke pehle ek price correction aaye.
Jab humein yeh pata chal jaye ke trend bullish hai, tou agla qadam yeh hoga ke hum EUR/JPY ka buy option dekhen. Lekin yeh kaam us waqt karna chahiye jab stochastic indicator oversold area mein ho D1 time frame par. Phir hum buy kar sakte hain. Best buying momentum smaller time frames par banega, jaise ke M30 ya M15. Agar hum abhi ke price par enter karte hain, tou pehle ek niche girnay ka chance kaafi strong hai.
Agar humein buy ka option milta hai, tou agla qadam yeh hoga ke stop loss area set karein. Main stop loss ke liye support area ka istemal karunga jo ke 158.04 ke price level par hai. Aur target take profit ke liye resistance area ka istemal karunga jo ke 167.88 ke price level par hai.

/JPY ka rate aksar economic indicators par mabni hota hai. Eurozone ki economy, jisme kai mulk shamil hain, bohot saare economic reports, jaise GDP growth, inflation rate, aur employment statistics par nirbhar karti hai. Agar Eurozone ka economic data mazboot hota hai, toh EUR ki value barh sakti hai. Is ke muqablay mein, Japan ki economy bhi apne indicators, jaise consumer spending aur industrial output, ke zariye apni currency ko asar daalti hai. Jab Japan ki economy achi hoti hai, toh JPY ki value bhi barh sakti hai.
Central Bank Policies

European Central Bank (ECB) aur Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki monetary policies bhi EUR/JPY par bohot asar daalti hain. Agar ECB interest rates barhata hai, toh yeh EUR ki demand ko barha sakta hai, jis se EUR/JPY ka rate upar ki taraf jata hai. Usi tarah, agar BOJ apni monetary policy ko tighten karta hai, toh JPY ki value bhi barh sakti hai. Is liye, central banks ki decisions ko closely monitor karna traders ke liye ahem hota hai.

Technical Analysis

Technical analysis bhi EUR/JPY ki trading mein bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai. Traders aksar price charts, moving averages, aur support/resistance levels ka istemal karte hain. Is analysis ke zariye, wo market trends aur price movements ko samajhte hain, jo unhe sahi entry aur exit points dhoondne mein madad deta hai.

Geopolitical Events

Geopolitical events bhi EUR/JPY ki value ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Trade agreements, political stability, aur economic partnerships ka asar currency pair par hota hai. Koi bhi major news ya event jo Europe ya Japan mein ho, wo EUR/JPY ke rates ko ghatane ya barhane ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Conclusion

EUR/JPY ki trading karte waqt in tamam factors ka jaiza lena bohot zaroori hai. Economic indicators, central bank policies, technical analysis, aur geopolitical events sab mil kar is currency pair ki movement ko tay karte hain. Isliye, traders ko in sab pe nazar rakhni chahiye taake wo apne investment goals ko behtar tareeqe se achieve kar saken. EUR/JPY ki dynamics ko samajhne se unhein trading mein ek strategic advantage mil sakta hai, jo unke liye faida mand sabit

kaam nahi karega. Yeh isliye hota hai ke market ka character kabhi bhi badal sakta hai. Pichle saal ho sakta hai hamara system behtareen kaam kar raha ho, lekin is saal yeh zaroori nahi ke waisa hi ho. Iska sabab kai cheezein ho sakti hain, jaise ke abhi US mein jo siyasi uthal-puthal chal rahi hai, iska market par asar pad raha hai aur market ka character bhi badal raha hai. Misal ke taur par, agar aam taur par hamara stop loss 100 pips hota hai, toh aise waqt mein yeh 200 pips bhi ho sakta hai. Humein aise cheezein samajhni chahiye taake hum risk ko kam kar sakein aur market ki halat se behak na jayein.
Acha trading system kaise dhundhein? Aisa system dhundhein jo simple ho aur sirf 1 ya 2 indicators use karta ho, taake market ko analyze karte waqt hum confuse na hon. Aise system ka intekhab karein jiska risk aur reward ratio kam se kam 1:2 ho. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar 10 analysis mein se 7 galat bhi hote hain, tab bhi aakhirat mein hum profit kama sakte hain. Sabse zaroori baat yeh hai ke 100% accuracy rate wale trading system ki umeed na rakhein, kyunki aisa kuch bhi nahi hota. Isliye, agar hum 1:2 ka risk aur reward ratio apply karte hain, toh 7 out of 10 sahi analysis bhi kaafi hain.

EUR/JPY Currency Pair Update

European Union/Japanese Yen (EUR/JPY) currency pair ne haal hi mein ek taza chadhai dekhi hai, jismein Asian trading session mein teen din ki girawat ke baad izafa hua. Yeh izafa zyada tar Japanese yen ke kamzor hone ki wajah se hai, jo ke desh ke trade balance data ke chalte hua. Japan ki merchandise trade balance July ke mahine ke liye 621.84 billion yen ka deficit dikhayi, jo ke June mein surplus se ulta hai. Halankeh yeh deficit bazaar ki ummeed se kam tha, lekin yeh is saal ka paanchwa deficit tha. Imports aur exports ke darmiyan farq, jo imports ke haq mein hai, yen ki kami ka sabab bana hai. Lekin, yen ki kami ko Bank of Japan ke doosre interest rate hike ke imkaan se kuch had tak control kiya ja sakta hai. Iski ummeed ek recent Reuters poll se milti hai, jismein se aadhe se zyada economists ne saal ke end se pehle rate increase ka prediction diya hai. Central bank ke Governor, Kazuo Ueda, Friday ko parliament ke saamne aakar ke recent rate hike ka faisla discuss

170.53 ka resistance level bohat aham hai, kyun ke yeh current bullish momentum ki strength ko test karega. Agar price is level ko todne mein kamyab hoti hai, toh yeh mazeed upward movement ka signal ho sakta hai aur bullish trend ka continuation dikhaye ga. Magar agar price is level ko break karne mein nakam hoti hai aur wapas neeche chali jati hai, toh yeh indicate karega ke bears ab bhi control mein hain, jo price ko wapas support level ki taraf le jaa sakta hai.

Aham Resistance Level: 170.53

170.53 ke resistance level ke hawale se do possible scenarios unfold ho sakte hain:
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout


Pehle scenario mein, price 170.53 ke resistance level ko tod sakti hai. Agar yeh level successfully breach hota hai, toh yeh mazeed buyers ko attract karega aur bullish sentiment ko mazid mazbooti dega. Traders breakout ka confirmation dekhein ge, jo ke 170.53 level ka retest ho sakta hai taake yeh ab ek naye support ke taur pe kaam kare. Agar price is level ke ooper stable rehti hai, toh yeh aage barh sakti hai, aur higher resistance levels, jaise ke 171.00 ya us se upar, target ho sakte hain. Yeh scenario un logon ke liye ideal hoga jo long positions hold kar rahe hain, kyun ke yeh bullish trend ka continuation dikhaye ga.
Scenario 2: Bearish Rejection


Dusre scenario mein, price 170.53 ka resistance level break karne mein nakam ho sakti hai. Agar price is level par reject hoti hai, toh yeh signal ho ga ke sellers ki strong presence hai, jo ke ek bearish reversal ko janam de sakti hai. Is surat mein, price wapas support level 170.217 ki taraf gir sakti hai. Agar selling pressure barh gaya, toh price mazeed neeche gir sakti hai. Traders is waqt bearish candlestick patterns ya doosre technical indicators par focus karein ge jo rejection ko confirm kar sakein. Jo log long positions hold karte hain, unke liye EUR/JPY apni downward trajectory maintain kar sakta hai, aur pehla line of defense 171.55 ka previous high hoga. Yeh level 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ke saath coincides karta hai, jo iske support function ko mazid mazbooti deta hai. Agar price is point se neeche girti hai, toh yeh bearish sentiment ko trigger kar sakta hai, aur price ko 169.70 par 50-day EMA ya 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, jo ke takreeban 169.50 ke qareeb hai, tak push kar sakta hai.
Natija


Summary mein, traders ko 170.53 ke resistance level ko ghore se monitor karna chahiye. Agar successful breakout hota hai, toh yeh mazeed bullish momentum ko janam de sakta hai aur higher levels target ho sakte hain. Wohi agar rejection hota hai, toh yeh bearish control ko indicate karega aur downward correction ka imkaan ho sakta hai. Market indicators ko dekhte rehna zaroori hai taake informed trading decisions liye ja sakein.

### EUR/JPY تجزیہ - 03 جولائی 2024

#### ڈیلی ٹائم فریم تجزیہ

EUR/JPY کرنسی جوڑا ڈیلی ٹائم فریم پر مضبوط خریداری کے دباؤ کا مظاہرہ کر رہا ہے۔ قیمت نے EMA 50 لیول، جو کہ 167.520 کے قریب ہے، پر واضح ریجیکشن دکھائی ہے، جو اب ایک مضبوط سپورٹ کے طور پر کام کر رہا ہے اور قیمت کو اوپر کی طرف دھکیل رہا ہے۔ خریداروں نے 170.820 کی اہم مزاحمتی سطح کو کامیابی سے عبور کیا ہے، جو مارکیٹ میں ان کی مضبوط گرفت کی نشاندہی کرتا ہے۔ چونکہ ابھی تک کوئی بڑی تصحیح نظر نہیں آئی، اس کا مطلب ہے کہ بُلش مومنٹم ابھی تک بہت مضبوط ہے۔ تاہم، تاجروں کو ممکنہ تصحیحات کے لیے چوکس رہنا چاہیے، جو کہ مارکیٹ کی قدرتی حرکات کا حصہ ہیں۔

#### آورلی ٹائم فریم تجزیہ

آورلی ٹائم فریم پر EUR/JPY کرنسی جوڑا ایک مضبوط بُلش ٹرینڈ میں ہے۔ EMA 50، EMA 100 سے اوپر ہے، جو بُلش مومنٹم کی طاقت کو کنفرم کرتا ہے۔ اس وقت قیمت کو 173.653 کے اہم مزاحمتی لیول پر سخت سیلنگ پریشر کا سامنا ہے۔ کل قیمت میں تصحیح ہوئی، لیکن 173.101 کے لیول کے قریب مضبوط سپورٹ ملی، جو اس بات کی نشاندہی کرتی ہے کہ خریدار اب بھی قابو میں ہیں اور ایک وقتی کمی کے بعد قیمت کو مزید اوپر لے جانے کے لیے تیار ہیں۔

#### تجارتی منصوبہ

میرا تجارتی منصوبہ یہ ہے کہ 173.653 کی مزاحمتی سطح کے اوپر واضح بریک آؤٹ کا انتظار کیا جائے، پھر لمبی پوزیشن میں داخل ہوں۔ اگر اس لیول کے اوپر مضبوط بریک آؤٹ ہوتا ہے، تو یہ بُلش ٹرینڈ کے جاری رہنے کی تصدیق کرے گا اور مزید اوپر جانے کی صلاحیت کو کھولے گا۔ دوسری صورت میں، اگر تصحیح ہوتی ہے اور قیمت دوبارہ گرتی ہے، تو میں 173.101 کے سپورٹ لیول تک قیمت کے پہنچنے کا انتظار کروں گا۔ اگر یہ سپورٹ لیول ٹوٹ جاتا ہے، تو یہ سیل پوزیشن کا اشارہ دے سکتا ہے، اس توقع کے ساتھ کہ قیمت مزید گرتی رہے گی۔ تاہم، یہ نوٹ کرنا ضروری ہے کہ 173.101 کا سپورٹ لیول دیکھنے کے لیے کلیدی ہے، تاکہ اگر قیمت یہاں سے واپس پلٹتی ہے تو خریداری کا موقع پیدا ہو۔

mein aik aur interest rate hike par baat karne ke liye tayari dikhayi hai. ECB Eurozone mein barhti hui mehngai ka samna kar raha hai, aur pehle bhi rate hikes ke zariye price pressures ko kam karne ki koshish ki gayi hai. Kazaks ke comments yeh dikhate hain ke ECB ab bhi inflationary risks se mutma'in nahi hai aur zaroorat parne par mazeed action lene ke liye tayar hai. ECB ka yeh hawkish outlook BoJ ke ehtiyaati rawayya se mukhtalif hai, jisse yeh dynamic paida hoti hai ke agar ECB apne rate hikes jari rakhta hai aur BoJ apne accommodative stance par qayam rehta hai, to Euro Yen ke muqablay mein mazid mazboot ho sakta hai. Market ka Reaction aur Outlook:BoJ aur ECB ke monetary policy expectations mein faasla EUR/JPY pair mein utar charhao ka sabab bana hai. Yeh pair 161.95 ke qareeb momentum kho baitha, magar dono central banks se updates ke liye ab bhi sensitive hai. Agar BoJ apni monetary policy ko tighten karne ki taraf ishara karta hai, to is se Yen mazid mazboot ho sakta hai, jisse pair neeche jasakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar ECB apni

Current Market Behavior

EUR/JPY abhi ek ascending channel mein chal raha hai. Yeh technical pattern dikhata hai ke price ek defined range mein upward movement kar rahi hai, jahan ek trendline higher lows ko aur doosri trendline higher highs ko connect karti hai. Abhi price apni direction ko reverse karti hui nazar aa rahi hai aur downside test kar rahi hai. Yeh shift is baat ka ishara hai ke price lower boundary ki taraf decline kar sakti hai. Abhi channel ki lower boundary 162.18 ke aas-paas hai. Agar price is level tak pohnchti hai, toh yeh ek key support point ban sakta hai jahan downward movement ruk sakti hai.

Potential Market Scenario Breakdown

Current Market Behavior:

Price ka recent behavior yeh indicate karta hai ke yeh apne recent highs se pull back kar rahi hai aur ascending channel ki lower boundary ki taraf ja rahi hai. Iska matlab hai ke price ek retracement ke beech hai broader uptrend mein. Jab price 162.18 ke kareeb aayegi, traders ko is support level par kisi bhi reversal ya consolidation ke signs par dhyan dena chahiye.

Potential for Reversal:

162.18 ka level significant hai kyunki yeh ascending channel ki lower boundary ko represent karta hai. History mein, jab price is boundary ke kareeb aayi hai, toh yeh aksar bounce back karti hai aur apni upward trajectory resume karti hai. Isliye, agar price 162.18 tak pohnchti hai, toh yeh possibility hai ke yeh rebound kar sakti hai. Yeh potential reversal renewed buying interest ya technical rebound se ho sakti hai support level se.

Target for Upside Movement:

Agar price 162.18 level se rebound karti hai aur upward movement start karti hai, toh agla key target ascending channel ki upper boundary hoga. Yeh upper boundary filhal 164.36 ke level ke aas-paas hai. 164.36 level potential resistance point ko represent karta hai jahan price ko selling pressure ya temporary halt ka samna karna pad sakta hai upward movement mein.

Technical Considerations:

Support and Resistance Levels: 162.18 level ek critical support level ke roop mein kaam karta hai, jabki 164.36 level primary resistance hai. Traders ko price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye in levels ke aas-paas breakout ya reversal ke signs ke liye. Agar 162.18 se successful bounce hota hai, toh 164.36 tak test hone ki ummeed hai. Wahi agar 162.18 par hold nahi hota, toh aur decline ka signal mil sakta hai.

Trend Analysis: Ascending channel ek overall bullish trend ko indicate karta hai, lekin is trend ke andar consolidation aur retracement ke periods bhi hain. Temporary corrections aur significant trend changes ke beech mein farq karna zaroori hai. 162.18 se bounce aur subsequent rise to 164.36 ongoing bullish trend ko reinforce karega.

Volume and Momentum: Volume aur momentum indicators ka observation additional insights provide kar sakta hai price movement ke strength ke baare mein. Agar 162.18 se bounce ke dauran volume increase hota hai, toh yeh strong buying interest ko signal kar sakta hai aur 164.36 tak pohnchne ki likelihood ko validate kar sakta hai. Similarly, agar decline ke dauran volume decrease hota hai, toh downward pressure ke kam hone ka indication mil sakta hai.

Risk Management:

Channel ke andar trading karte waqt effective risk management zaroori hai. Agar aap 162.18 level par long position consider kar rahe hain, toh ensure karein ke aap ek stop-loss set karein is level ke neeche potential risks ko manage karne ke liye. Wahi agar aap channel ke upper boundary par short kar rahe hain, toh stop-loss ko 164.36 level ke upar rakhna prudent hoga.

Summary:

Summary ke taur par, EUR/JPY pair filhal hourly chart par ek ascending channel ke andar navigate kar raha hai. Price ab downward movement start kar chuki hai aur support level 162.18 ke kareeb aa rahi hai. Yeh level significant hai kyunki yeh channel ki lower boundary ko represent karta hai, jahan reversal ya bounce ho sakti hai. Agar price reverse hoti hai aur upar ki taraf move karti hai, toh target 164.36 tak ki upper boundary hogi

Japanese Yen ki taqat mein izafa ho raha hai, aur is ke peechay kuch ahem wajahein hain. Pehli wajah Bank of Japan ke board member Asahi Noguchi ke comments hain, jinhon ne yeh kaha ke central bank ke paas abhi bhi interest rates barhane ki gunjaish hai, lekin woh ehtiyaat ke sath aage badhenge. In comments se Japanese Yen ko kaafi support mila hai. Dusri wajah Middle East mein barhti hui geopolitical tensions hain, jo Yen ko ek safe-haven currency ke tor par aur mazboot kar rahi hain. Safe-haven currencies un waqtoun mein investors ke liye maqbool hoti hain jab duniya mein uncertainty barh jaye. Teesri taraf, Euro ki kamzori ka sabab yeh hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) se umeed ki ja rahi hai ke October mein dobara interest rates cut kiye jayenge, kyun ke inflation ke pressures kam ho rahe hain aur economy bhi slow ho rahi hai.

In tamam negative factors ke bawajood, EUR/JPY pair ko abhi bhi support mil raha hai, aur is ka sabab Bank of Japan ke aglay interest rate hikes ke hawalay se uncertainty hai. Japan ke naye Prime Minister aur Economic Revitalization Minister ne deflation ko khatam karne ki zarurat par zor diya hai. Yeh baat is baat ka ishara hai ke filhaal interest rates mein bohot ziada izafa nahi kiya jayega, jo ke Japanese Yen ki appreciation ko rok sakta hai aur EUR/JPY pair ke liye ek tailwind sabit ho sakta hai.

Technical Analysis

Agar hum technical perspective se dekhein, toh daily chart par "death cross" ka formation ho chuka hai, jahan 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ne 200-day SMA ke neeche cross kiya hai. Yeh ek bearish bias ko zahir karta hai EUR/JPY pair ke liye. Saath hi, Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 30 ke qareeb hai, jo oversold conditions ka ishara deta hai. Is ke ilawa, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi apni trigger line aur zero line ke neeche hai, jo yeh batata hai ke downward trend abhi bhi majood hai.







Short term mein, EUR/JPY pair ko thodi pullback ka saamna ho sakta hai jab yeh 155.15 support level ko test karega. Agar pair is level ke upar rehne mein kaamyab hota hai, toh yeh short-term downtrend line 158.00 tak recover kar sakta hai, aur phir 159.30-160.05 ke limit zone tak ja sakta hai, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level hai jo 175.37 se lekar 154.40 tak ke downtrend mein aata hai. Lekin, agar pair 155.15 support level ko break kar deta hai, toh aur zyada sell-off ka imkaan hai.

Conclusion

Yen ki taqat aur Euro ki kamzori ke darmiyan kaafi interesting dynamics hain. Traders ko technical aur fundamental indicators ka gehra jaiza lena chahiye, aur support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhte hue apni trading strategy ko adjust karna chahiye. In dynamics ka sahi taur par faida uthane ke liye, risk management bhi intehai zaroori hai, kyun ke market mein bohot si unpredictabilities hoti hain jo kisi bhi waqt scenario ko tabdeel kar sakti hain.

indicators ka istemal karein. Yeh sadaht bazaar ki tajziya karte waqt traders ko ghalat fehmi se bachaata hai. Iske ilawa, ek aise system ka chunav karna bhi zaroori hai jiska risk-to-reward ratio acha ho, jaise ke 1:2. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar 10 trades mein se 7 ghalat bhi hon, tab bhi aap faida kama sakte hain. Sabse zaroori baat yeh hai ke traders ko 100% accuracy ka aim nahi rakhna chahiye, kyunke aisa koi system nahi hota. 1:2 risk-reward ratio ke saath, agar 10 mein se 7 trades sahi hoti hain, tab bhi aap munafa kama sakte hain

Haali mein, EUR/JPY currency pair ne teen din ki giraawat ke baad dubaara udaan bhari, jo ke Asian trading session mein dekhi gayi. Yeh barhoti khaas taur par Japanese yen ki kamzori ki wajah se thi, jo ke Japan ke trade balance data se mutasir hui. Japan ne July ke liye 621.84 billion yen ka trade deficit report kiya, jabke June mein surplus tha. Yeh deficit agarche bazaar ki ummeed se kam tha, lekin yeh is saal Japan ka paanchwa deficit tha. Imports ki tulna mein exports ke kam hone ne yen ki kamzori mein izafa kiya. Lekin is giraawat ko Bank of Japan se doosri interest rate hike ki mumkinah wajah se kuch had tak control kiya ja sakta hai. Ek recent Reuters poll ke mutabiq, aadaad shumar karne wale economists ka akser yeh khayal hai ke saal ke end se pehle interest rate mein izafa hoga. Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda jumeraat ko parliament mein is rate hike ke faislay par guftagu karne wale hain.

EUR/JPY pair ko filhal selling pressure ka samna hai aur price mein girawat nazar aa rahi hai. Yeh girawat us waqt hui jab Japanese Yen mein mazid mazbooti dekhi gayi, jo kai factors ki wajah se hui. Pehla factor, Bank of Japan ke board member Asahi Noguchi ke comments hain, jo yeh suggest karte hain ke central bank ke paas interest rates barhane ki gunjaish abhi bhi hai, magar yeh ehtiyaat se kiya jayega. Is wajah se Japanese Yen ko support mili. Doosra, Middle East mein barhte hue geopolitics tensions ne Yen ki safe-haven demand ko barhawa diya. Teesra factor yeh hai ke Euro mein kamzori dekhne ko mili, kyunke European Central Bank ke October mein interest rates dobara cut karne ki umeed hai, jabke inflation ke pressures mein kami aur economy ki slow growth bhi is ke peeche hai. In tamam challenges ke bawajood, EUR/JPY pair ko ab tak support mila hua hai, Bank of Japan ke future mein interest rate hikes ke hawalay se uncertainty ki wajah se.

Japan ke naye Prime Minister aur Economic Revitalization Minister ne deflation ko khatam karne ke ahmiyat ko ujaagar kiya hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke qareebi mustaqbil mein interest rates mein zyada izafa nahi hoga. Yeh cheez Japanese Yen ki taqat ko mehdood kar sakti hai, aur EUR/JPY pair ke liye support ban sakti hai.

**Technical Analysis**

Agar hum technical perspective se dekhen, daily chart par ek "death cross" ka formation nazar aaya hai, jahan 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) 200-day SMA se neeche cross kar gaya hai. Yeh EUR/JPY ke liye bearish bias ko darshata hai. Iske ilawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 ke level ke qareeb hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke pair ab oversold conditions mein hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi apni trigger aur zero line ke neeche hai, jo ke downward trend ko support karta hai.

Short term mein, EUR/JPY pair 155.15 ke support level ko test kar sakta hai aur thoda pullback aasakta hai. Agar yeh is level ke upar rehne mein kaamiyab hota hai, to yeh 158.00 ke short-term downtrend line tak wapas aane ki koshish kar sakta hai, aur phir 159.30-160.05 ke limit zone tak bhi pohanch sakta hai. Is zone mein 23.6% Fibonacci retracement bhi shamil hai jo downtrend ke 175.37 se 154.40 tak ka range cover karta hai. Magar, overall bearish technical outlook ko dekhte hue, agar EUR/JPY 155.15 ke support level ko break karta hai, to yeh pair mein mazid girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai.