𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐉𝐏𝐘

### EUR/JPY Technical Tahlil

EUR/JPY ka technical analysis H4 chart par kiya gaya hai, jahan trend lines, indicators, aur resistance aur support levels ka istemal karke market ki potential direction ka andaza lagaya gaya hai. Is waqt market ek uptrend mein hai, jo 162.70 ke resistance level ko todne ki koshish kar raha hai. Chart par ghor karne se pata chalta hai ke market trend line ka jawab de rahi hai, resistance ko todne ke bajaye is par chal rahi hai. Itihas mein, yeh trend line market ko upar ki taraf rehnumai karti rahi hai, aur aisa lagta hai ke yeh ab bhi kar rahi hai.

Market ne system level se breakout kiya hai, upar aur neeche ki taraf chali, resistance ko support mein badla, aur phir apni upward movement ko jaari rakha. Is waqt, 50-day simple moving average market ke neeche 161.55 par hai, jo ek support level ka kaam kar raha hai. Is ke ilawa, 200-day simple moving average bhi market ke neeche hai, jiska pehla support level 160.20 par hai. RSI indicator is waqt 30 se 70 ya 75 ke darmiyan hai. Halankeh market ne thodi si girawat dekhi hai, lekin indicators yeh darshate hain ke aage aur upar ki taraf badhne ki potential hai.

Aaj dopahar, EUR/JPY currency pair apne bullish trend ko barqarar rakhta hai, jo aaj (Peer) price ko 161.00 tak le ja sakta hai. EUR/JPY ki recent price increase ka bohot bada sabab yen ka kamzor hona hai, kyunki Japan ka M2 Money Stock data 0.2% gir gaya, aur Nikkei index 7,500 points tak gira. In factors ki wajah se EUR/JPY ki price 161.00 tak badh gayi.

Is ke ilawa, Euro ki value bhi haal hi mein behtar hui hai kyunki Germany se positive economic data aaya hai. German CPI (Consumer Price Index) 0.3% tak badh gaya, jabke German WPI (Wholesale Price Index) 0.1% tak upar gaya. Yeh Euro ki taqat ko majbooti deta hai, jo aaj ke din isay mazboot banaye rakhega. Mere fundamental analysis ke mutabiq, main EUR/JPY kharidne ke liye rujhan rakhta hoon, jiska target 161.00 level hai.

Technical analysis ke mutabiq, EUR/JPY ka aaj dopahar 161.00 tak upar badhne ki umeed hai. H1 time frame par EUR/JPY ne ek bullish engulfing candle banayi hai, jo ek strong BUY signal hai. RSI 14 indicator ke mutabiq, EUR/JPY ki current price 160.75 ke aas paas hai, jo overbought ya buying saturation ki surat-e-haal nahi darshata. Is liye, EUR/JPY pair ka aaj aur 10-50 pips tak badhne ka potential hai.

Aakhir mein, dono technical aur fundamental indicators yeh darshate hain ke EUR/JPY apne bullish trend ko jaari rakhega, aur kareeb ke waqt mein aur gains ki umeed hai.

EUR/JPY Analysis: Ascending Channel Insights
Current Market Behavior

EUR/JPY abhi ek ascending channel mein chal raha hai. Yeh technical pattern dikhata hai ke price ek defined range mein upward movement kar rahi hai, jahan ek trendline higher lows ko aur doosri trendline higher highs ko connect karti hai. Abhi price apni direction ko reverse karti hui nazar aa rahi hai aur downside test kar rahi hai. Yeh shift is baat ka ishara hai ke price lower boundary ki taraf decline kar sakti hai. Abhi channel ki lower boundary 162.18 ke aas-paas hai. Agar price is level tak pohnchti hai, toh yeh ek key support point ban sakta hai jahan downward movement ruk sakti hai.

Potential Market Scenario Breakdown

Current Market Behavior:

Price ka recent behavior yeh indicate karta hai ke yeh apne recent highs se pull back kar rahi hai aur ascending channel ki lower boundary ki taraf ja rahi hai. Iska matlab hai ke price ek retracement ke beech hai broader uptrend mein. Jab price 162.18 ke kareeb aayegi, traders ko is support level par kisi bhi reversal ya consolidation ke signs par dhyan dena chahiye.

Potential for Reversal:

162.18 ka level significant hai kyunki yeh ascending channel ki lower boundary ko represent karta hai. History mein, jab price is boundary ke kareeb aayi hai, toh yeh aksar bounce back karti hai aur apni upward trajectory resume karti hai. Isliye, agar price 162.18 tak pohnchti hai, toh yeh possibility hai ke yeh rebound kar sakti hai. Yeh potential reversal renewed buying interest ya technical rebound se ho sakti hai support level se.

Target for Upside Movement:

Agar price 162.18 level se rebound karti hai aur upward movement start karti hai, toh agla key target ascending channel ki upper boundary hoga. Yeh upper boundary filhal 164.36 ke level ke aas-paas hai. 164.36 level potential resistance point ko represent karta hai jahan price ko selling pressure ya temporary halt ka samna karna pad sakta hai upward movement mein.

Technical Considerations:

Support and Resistance Levels: 162.18 level ek critical support level ke roop mein kaam karta hai, jabki 164.36 level primary resistance hai. Traders ko price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye in levels ke aas-paas breakout ya reversal ke signs ke liye. Agar 162.18 se successful bounce hota hai, toh 164.36 tak test hone ki ummeed hai. Wahi agar 162.18 par hold nahi hota, toh aur decline ka signal mil sakta hai.

Trend Analysis: Ascending channel ek overall bullish trend ko indicate karta hai, lekin is trend ke andar consolidation aur retracement ke periods bhi hain. Temporary corrections aur significant trend changes ke beech mein farq karna zaroori hai. 162.18 se bounce aur subsequent rise to 164.36 ongoing bullish trend ko reinforce karega.

Volume and Momentum: Volume aur momentum indicators ka observation additional insights provide kar sakta hai price movement ke strength ke baare mein. Agar 162.18 se bounce ke dauran volume increase hota hai, toh yeh strong buying interest ko signal kar sakta hai aur 164.36 tak pohnchne ki likelihood ko validate kar sakta hai. Similarly, agar decline ke dauran volume decrease hota hai, toh downward pressure ke kam hone ka indication mil sakta hai.

Risk Management:

Channel ke andar trading karte waqt effective risk management zaroori hai. Agar aap 162.18 level par long position consider kar rahe hain, toh ensure karein ke aap ek stop-loss set karein is level ke neeche potential risks ko manage karne ke liye. Wahi agar aap channel ke upper boundary par short kar rahe hain, toh stop-loss ko 164.36 level ke upar rakhna prudent hoga.

Summary:

Summary ke taur par, EUR/JPY pair filhal hourly chart par ek ascending channel ke andar navigate kar raha hai. Price ab downward movement start kar chuki hai aur support level 162.18 ke kareeb aa rahi hai. Yeh level significant hai kyunki yeh channel ki lower boundary ko represent karta hai, jahan reversal ya bounce ho sakti hai. Agar price reverse hoti hai aur upar ki taraf move karti hai, toh target 164.36 tak ki upper boundary hogi

EUR/JPY currency pair ka technical analysis kuch khaas prospects show kar raha hai, jisme resistance aur support levels, volumes, aur basement indicators par khas taur se tawajju di gayi hai. Chart ko dekhte hue, yeh samajh aata hai ke pair ne aaj thora aur decline dekha hai. Yeh lagta hai ke EUR/JPY upar jane ke bajaye neeche ja raha hai. Chart ke mutabiq, yeh pair ne 155.40 ka support level test kiya hai aur ab 156.59 par trade ho raha hai.

RSI abhi range ke darmiyan chal raha hai aur neeche ki taraf dekh raha hai, jo thodi uncertainty ka izhar kar raha hai. AO (Awesome Oscillator) ek kamzor buy signal show kar raha hai, aur price bhi pichlay din ki trading range se neeche chal raha hai. Yani, signals weak hain lekin yeh yeh bata rahe hain ke slight decline ka possibility hai. Is liye, analysis ke mutabiq, thoda aur decline dekhne ki umeed hai, aur pair 155.40 ka support level test karega. Filhal ke liye, mohtaat sales ka mashwara diya ja raha hai, jiska target 155.50 ho sakta hai. Lekin, market kabhi bhi achanak badal sakta hai, is liye apnay risks ko dhang se samajhna zaroori hai.

Hamaara EUR/JPY ke liye forecast zyada kuch farq nahi karta, kyun ke hum bhi four-hour time interval par resistance zone ko dekhte huay ek correction ki umeed kar rahe hain, jo ke 157.34 ke aas paas hai, average Bollinger moving line ke range mein. Abhi ek downward trend hai jo ke zigzag correction ke saath upar ki taraf ja raha hai, lekin global goal yeh hai ke medium term mein 154.40 ka support level achieve hoga, aur yeh kuch dinon mein ho sakta hai.

Trader geometric figure dekh kar lagta hai ke ek double bottom ban raha hai jisse ek acha northern correction ya trend reversal dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Lekin zyadatar chances hain ke ek chhoti correction ke baad downward southern trend jari rahega jab tak global ya medium term trend ke reversal ke liye koi waazeh asar na ho. Is liye, filhaal ke liye priority downward trend ke hawale se rahegi.

Is waqt ke economic aur monetary policies bhi EUR/JPY ko affect kar rahi hain. Japanese yen par hawkish signals hain, kyun ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke officials ne hint diya hai ke yeh saal ke akhri tak interest rate hike ho sakta hai. Upar se major central banks ke events ka asar bhi yen ko strong kar raha hai aur EUR/JPY par neeche ka pressure daal raha hai. Federal Reserve aur Bank of England ke policy decisions bhi agle kuch dino mein expected hain, jo ke market dynamics ko influence karenge.

Yeh decline ECB ke recent interest rate cut aur borrowing costs ke kam hone ki policy ke bawajood hai, jo euro ko thora support kar raha hai lekin BoJ aur ECB ke diverging outlooks EUR/JPY ke liye headwinds create karte hain.

EUR/JPY Analysis: Ascending Channel Insights
Current Market Behavior

EUR/JPY abhi ek ascending channel mein chal raha hai. Yeh technical pattern dikhata hai ke price ek defined range mein upward movement kar rahi hai, jahan ek trendline higher lows ko aur doosri trendline higher highs ko connect karti hai. Abhi price apni direction ko reverse karti hui nazar aa rahi hai aur downside test kar rahi hai. Yeh shift is baat ka ishara hai ke price lower boundary ki taraf decline kar sakti hai. Abhi channel ki lower boundary 162.18 ke aas-paas hai. Agar price is level tak pohnchti hai, toh yeh ek key support point ban sakta hai jahan downward movement ruk sakti hai.

Potential Market Scenario Breakdown

Current Market Behavior:

Price ka recent behavior yeh indicate karta hai ke yeh apne recent highs se pull back kar rahi hai aur ascending channel ki lower boundary ki taraf ja rahi hai. Iska matlab hai ke price ek retracement ke beech hai broader uptrend mein. Jab price 162.18 ke kareeb aayegi, traders ko is support level par kisi bhi reversal ya consolidation ke signs par dhyan dena chahiye.

Potential for Reversal:

162.18 ka level significant hai kyunki yeh ascending channel ki lower boundary ko represent karta hai. History mein, jab price is boundary ke kareeb aayi hai, toh yeh aksar bounce back karti hai aur apni upward trajectory resume karti hai. Isliye, agar price 162.18 tak pohnchti hai, toh yeh possibility hai ke yeh rebound kar sakti hai. Yeh potential reversal renewed buying interest ya technical rebound se ho sakti hai support level se.

Target for Upside Movement:

Agar price 162.18 level se rebound karti hai aur upward movement start karti hai, toh agla key target ascending channel ki upper boundary hoga. Yeh upper boundary filhal 164.36 ke level ke aas-paas hai. 164.36 level potential resistance point ko represent karta hai jahan price ko selling pressure ya temporary halt ka samna karna pad sakta hai upward movement mein.

Technical Considerations:

Support and Resistance Levels: 162.18 level ek critical support level ke roop mein kaam karta hai, jabki 164.36 level primary resistance hai. Traders ko price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye in levels ke aas-paas breakout ya reversal ke signs ke liye. Agar 162.18 se successful bounce hota hai, toh 164.36 tak test hone ki ummeed hai. Wahi agar 162.18 par hold nahi hota, toh aur decline ka signal mil sakta hai.

Trend Analysis: Ascending channel ek overall bullish trend ko indicate karta hai, lekin is trend ke andar consolidation aur retracement ke periods bhi hain. Temporary corrections aur significant trend changes ke beech mein farq karna zaroori hai. 162.18 se bounce aur subsequent rise to 164.36 ongoing bullish trend ko reinforce karega.

Volume and Momentum: Volume aur momentum indicators ka observation additional insights provide kar sakta hai price movement ke strength ke baare mein. Agar 162.18 se bounce ke dauran volume increase hota hai, toh yeh strong buying interest ko signal kar sakta hai aur 164.36 tak pohnchne ki likelihood ko validate kar sakta hai. Similarly, agar decline ke dauran volume decrease hota hai, toh downward pressure ke kam hone ka indication mil sakta hai.

Risk Management:

Channel ke andar trading karte waqt effective risk management zaroori hai. Agar aap 162.18 level par long position consider kar rahe hain, toh ensure karein ke aap ek stop-loss set karein is level ke neeche potential risks ko manage karne ke liye. Wahi agar aap channel ke upper boundary par short kar rahe hain, toh stop-loss ko 164.36 level ke upar rakhna prudent hoga.

Summary:

Summary ke taur par, EUR/JPY pair filhal hourly chart par ek ascending channel ke andar navigate kar raha hai. Price ab downward movement start kar chuki hai aur support level 162.18 ke kareeb aa rahi hai. Yeh level significant hai kyunki yeh channel ki lower boundary ko represent karta hai, jahan reversal ya bounce ho sakti hai. Agar price reverse hoti hai aur upar ki taraf move karti hai, toh target 164.36 tak ki upper boundary hogi

Kamiyab traders wo hain jo yeh maan chuke hain ke koi bhi trading system hamesha achi kaam nahi karega. Yeh isliye hota hai ke market ka character kabhi bhi badal sakta hai. Pichle saal ho sakta hai hamara system behtareen kaam kar raha ho, lekin is saal yeh zaroori nahi ke waisa hi ho. Iska sabab kai cheezein ho sakti hain, jaise ke abhi US mein jo siyasi uthal-puthal chal rahi hai, iska market par asar pad raha hai aur market ka character bhi badal raha hai. Misal ke taur par, agar aam taur par hamara stop loss 100 pips hota hai, toh aise waqt mein yeh 200 pips bhi ho sakta hai. Humein aise cheezein samajhni chahiye taake hum risk ko kam kar sakein aur market ki halat se behak na jayein. Acha trading system kaise dhundhein? Aisa system dhundhein jo simple ho aur sirf 1 ya 2 indicators use karta ho, taake market ko analyze karte waqt hum confuse na hon. Aise system ka intekhab karein jiska risk aur reward ratio kam se kam 1:2 ho. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar 10 analysis mein se 7 galat bhi hote hain, tab bhi aakhirat mein hum profit kama sakte hain. Sabse zaroori baat yeh hai ke 100% accuracy rate wale trading system ki umeed na rakhein, kyunki aisa kuch bhi nahi hota. Isliye, agar hum 1:2 ka risk aur reward ratio apply karte hain, toh 7 out of 10 sahi analysis bhi kaafi hain.

EUR/JPY Currency Pair Update

European Union/Japanese Yen (EUR/JPY) currency pair ne haal hi mein ek taza chadhai dekhi hai, jismein Asian trading session mein teen din ki girawat ke baad izafa hua. Yeh izafa zyada tar Japanese yen ke kamzor hone ki wajah se hai, jo ke desh ke trade balance data ke chalte hua. Japan ki merchandise trade balance July ke mahine ke liye 621.84 billion yen ka deficit dikhayi, jo ke June mein surplus se ulta hai. Halankeh yeh deficit bazaar ki ummeed se kam tha, lekin yeh is saal ka paanchwa deficit tha. Imports aur exports ke darmiyan farq, jo imports ke haq mein hai, yen ki kami ka sabab bana hai. Lekin, yen ki kami ko Bank of Japan ke doosre interest rate hike ke imkaan se kuch had tak control kiya ja sakta hai. Iski ummeed ek recent Reuters poll se milti hai, jismein se aadhe se zyada economists ne saal ke end se pehle rate increase ka prediction diya hai. Central bank ke Governor, Kazuo Ueda, Friday ko parliament ke saamne aakar ke recent rate hike ka faisla discuss karenge.

Eurozone mein, market participants ko ummeed hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) dheere dheere interest rates ko kam karega. Lekin, ECB ke officials ne rate cuts ke specific timeline ko commit karte waqt caution barqarar rakha hai, aur inflationary pressures ka zikr kiya hai. Eurozone ke Harmonized Consumer Price Index (HICP) data July ke liye monthly basis par same raha, jo ke expectations ke mutabiq tha

EUR/JPY Exchange Rate Ki Halat
Euro-yen (EUR/JPY) ka exchange rate apni oonchai ki taraf barhta raha, aur Tuesday ko pehle Europe ke trading mein yeh 160.70 ka level tak pohanch gaya. Is mein sab se bara haath naye Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ke dovish comments ka tha, jiski wajah se yen pe asar pada. Is darmiyan, investors euro zone ke harmonized consumer price index (HICP) ke September ka intezar kar rahe the, jisse naya momentum milne ki umeed thi. Is ke ilawa, European Central Bank ke policymakers, Luis de Guindos aur Isabel Schnabel, ki speeches bhi baad mein aane wali thi.

Shigeru Ishiba ke bayan ne Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke loose monetary policy ko barqarar rakhne ke irade ko mazid majboot kiya, jo ke fragile economic recovery ko support kar raha hai. Yeh stance European Central Bank (ECB) ke 2% inflation target ke baray mein barhte huye confidence se mukhtalif tha, jaise ke President Christine Lagarde ne zahir kiya. Lagarde ke bayan ne ek qareeb interest rate cut ka ishara diya, jiski wajah se markets ne October ki meeting mein lower borrowing costs par bets barhaye. Euro zone mein, kamzor German CPI inflation data ne ECB ki agle policy meeting par 25 basis point ke rate cut ki umeed ko barha diya. Yeh potential rate cut euro ki oonchai ko rok sakta hai, lekin yen ki kamzori ki wajah se euro ki taqat zyada thi.



Technical Analysis

Technical taur par, EUR/JPY pair ne short-term bearish signals dikhaye. Relative strength index (RSI) 30 ke level ke kareeb pohanch gaya, jo ke oversold conditions ko darshata hai. Moving average convergence divergence (MACD) apne trigger line aur zero line se neeche tha, jo ke mazid girawat ki sambhavana ko dikhata hai. Iske ilawa, 50-day aur 200-day simple moving averages ke darmiyan bearish crossover ne downtrend ka ishara diya.

Magar in short-term bearish indicators ke bawajood, agar 155.15 ke support level par koi rebound hota hai, to pair ko recovery ka mauka mil sakta hai. Short-term downtrend line 158.00 par hai, aur 159.30-160.05 ka limit zone, jo ke 175.37 se 154.40 tak ke downtrend ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement aur 20-day moving average ko shamil karta hai, potential resistance levels ban sakte hain.

Akhir mein, euro ki yen ke muqable mein qeemat ki barhavat ka sabab yen ki kamzori thi, jo ke naye Japanese Prime Minister ke dovish comments se asar andaz hui. Jabke short-term technical indicators ne downward correction ki sambhavana ka ishara diya, lekin overall trend ooncha hi rahega. Investors euro zone aur Japan ke developments, economic data release, aur central bank policy decisions par nazar rakhte rahenge, taake EUR/JPY exchange rate ke mustaqbil ki disha ka andaza laga sakein.

EUR/JPY currency pair ne haali mein do hafton ki bulandi ko chooa hai, aur 160.00 ke ahem nafsiyati satah par apni position barqarar rakhi hai. Yeh izafa Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke aik aham policy faislay ke baad aaya hai jo guzishta Jumay ko kiya gaya. Trading ke aakhri ghantay mein spot rates thodi girawat ke sath 158.00 par aa gaye, lekin yeh girawat peechlay din ke wider trading range ke andar hi thi. Market participants waqfi the ke BOJ apni short-term interest rate ko barqarar rakhega, aur BOJ ne apni do-rozah monetary policy meeting ke baad isay 0.15% aur 0.25% ke darmiyan rakha.
Policy statement mein, BOJ ne Japanese ma'eeshat ke liye optimistic nazriya diya, keh growth ki umeed hai ke wo apne potential levels se barh jaayegi. Mehngai bhi bank ke target rate ke mutabiq barqarar rahegi. Magar is musbat nazariye ne Japanese yen ko ziyada support nahi diya, kyun ke traders ziada solid signals ke intezaar mein hain jo tightening monetary policy ki taraf ishara karen. Khaaskar, BOJ ke hawkish outlook aur kuch officials ke bayanaat, jo ke 2024 ke aakhir tak interest rate mein izafa ka imkaan dikhate hain, EUR/JPY pair ke liye ek rukawat banay hue hain.

Yeh monetary policy stance ka background Friday ko release hone wale consumer inflation data se milta hai, jo ke yeh batata hai ke Japan ka overall consumer price index (CPI) August mein 10 maheenay ki buland satah, yani 3%, par pahunch gaya, jo pehle 2.8% tha. Yeh izafa bohot ahem hai kyun ke yeh dikhaata hai ke BOJ ki kooshishain, mehngai ko control karne ke liye, kaamyaab ho rahi hain, aur deflation ka khatra kam ho raha hai jo kai saalon se Japanese economy ke liye ek challenge raha hai. Core CPI, jo ke fresh food ki volatile prices ko exclude karta hai, bhi 2.8% tak barh gaya, jo ke das maheenay ki buland satah hai.

Mazdooron ki tankhwaon mein izafa ek ahem factor hai jo ke consumption recovery ko support kar raha hai Japan mein. Jab gharon ki aamdani barhti hai, tou consumer spending bhi barhti hai, jo inflationary pressures ko mazid barhata hai, aur yeh BOJ ke monetary policy tightening ke maqool honay ki dalil ko mazid mazboot banata hai.



Agar hum EUR/JPY currency pair ko broader context mein dekhein, tou yeh sirf Japan ke domestic developments tak mehdood nahi hai, balke Eurozone ke economic conditions bhi asar daal rahay hain. European Central Bank (ECB) bhi inflationary pressures ke response mein tightening path par chal raha hai. Dono central banks inflation ke mutaliq ek jese challenges ka samna kar rahay hain, is liye relative interest rate expectations EUR/JPY pair ke direction mein ahem kirdar ada karen gi.

Market participants dono regions ke aanewale economic data par ghoor se nazar rakhenge, kyun ke agar dono monetary policies mein koi intehai faraq samnay aya, tou yeh EUR/JPY pair mein volatility ko barha sakta hai. Agar BOJ rate hike karta hai aur ECB se koi dovish signals miltay hain, tou yeh yen ko euro ke muqablay mein mazid taqat de sakta hai, jo is currency pair ki dynamics ko naya shape de sakta hai.

EUR/JPY currency pair filhal ek pechida situation se guzar raha hai jo BOJ ki monetary policy, barhti mehngai aur Japan ke evolving economic conditions se mutasir hai. Traders ko ahtiyaat se monitoring karni chahiye kyun ke interest rate hikes ki anticipation market mein uncertainty ko barha rahi hai. BOJ aur ECB dono inflation ka samna kar rahay hain, aur yeh dekhna ho ga ke kisi bhi central bank ka agla qadam EUR/JPY pair ko kaise asar andaaz karega.

EUR/JPY ka outlook analysis
EUR/JPY ke D1 time frame chart par market abhi tak sellers ke haq mein hai, kyun ke bearish momentum poore trend par haawi hai. Is waqt, yeh pair pressure mein hai, aur lagta hai ke sellers ka control barqarar rahega jab tak market mein koi aham tabdeeli nahi aati. D1 chart par technical indicators bhi is bearish outlook ko support karte hain, jahan price key moving averages ke neeche hai aur recent sessions mein musalsal girawat dekhne ko mili hai. Magar yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke market sirf technical factors se nahi chal raha. Is haftay ke scheduled news events price action ko kaafi had tak asar andaaz kar sakte hain. Khaaskar, European aur Japanese economies ke hawalay se hone wali fundamental developments yeh tay karengi ke yeh downtrend barqarar rahega ya ulta jaayega.

Central bank meetings, inflation reports, aur GDP figures jaise major economic announcements market mein zyada volatility le aa sakte hain. News releases aksar market sentiment ko jaldi se badal sakti hain aur technical patterns ko disturb kar sakti hain, jis se market har direction mein move kar sakta hai, chahe current trend kuch bhi ho. Is liye traders ko hamesha hoshiyaar rehna chahiye aur aise key events ke doran potential price swings ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Halaat ke mutabiq technical setup abhi tak sellers ke haq mein hai, lekin news ka impact bhi andaza se ziada ho sakta hai. Is liye, traders ko technical aur fundamental aspects dono ka balanced analysis karna chahiye



EUR/JPY pair ke price mein thoda upward correction dekhne ko mila jab yeh 158.06 ki low price par impulsive decline ke baad thoda recover karne laga. Is baat ka imkaan hai ke price FR 50 - 160.75 tak ya FR 61.8 - 161.38 tak barh sakta hai, jo ke SBR area ke saath confluent hai. Is ke ilawa, price ko dobara EMA 50 ya SMA 200 ke neeche move karna hoga taake bearish trend continue rahe. Kam az kam price ko consistently FR 38.2 - 160.11 ke neeche move karna hoga, warna agar price downward rally continue nahi kar pata, tou trend ka direction badalne ka andaza diya jaa sakta hai.

Moving Average lines ke darmiyan jo faasla hai wo bearish trend ko confirm karne ke liye abhi tak zyada nahi hai, is liye trend ko mazid mazboot karne ke liye price ko dobara neeche aana zaroori hai. Major structure lower low - lower high ka lagta hai kyun ke abhi tak 163.81 ke high price, jo ke sabse qareebi invalidation level hai, ko break nahi kiya gaya. Price ne jo upper move ki thi wo sirf 163.43 tak hi pahunchi thi. Agar hum Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ko dekhein, jis ka volume histogram abhi tak level 0 ya positive area ke upar hai, tou uptrend momentum EUR/JPY ke price ke upward correction ko support kar raha hai.

Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo overbought zone ke qareeb 90 - 80 tak ja rahe hain, level 50 ko cross karne mein naakaam rahe hain, yeh bhi price ke upward correction phase ko support karte hain. Yeh is liye ke saturation point abhi tak nahi aya hai kyun ke parameters ne overbought zone ko cross nahi kiya.

EUR/JPY currency pair ne haali mein ek aham aur impulsive girawat ke baad notable price correction upward dikhai hai, jahan price 158.06 ke low tak gir gaya tha. Is downward movement ne possible price levels aur aane wale trends ka dobara jaiza lene par majboor kiya hai. Traders aur analysts ab market ka muthaina kar rahe hain, aur kuch key points hain jo corrective phase aur possible resistance levels ke hawalay se dekhne chahiyein.
Is waqt, lagta hai ke upward correction ho rahi hai, jahan targets Fibonacci retracement levels ke hisaab se 50% (FR 50) 160.75 ke qareeb aur 61.8% (FR 61.8) 161.38 ke qareeb hain. Yeh levels is liye ahem hain kyun ke yeh Support-Become-Resistance (SBR) area ke sath coincide karte hain, jo strong psychological levels ko zahir karte hain jahan traders react kar sakte hain. FR 50 level ko aksar ek ahem area samjha jata hai jahan sellers market mein dobara daakhil ho sakte hain, jab ke FR 61.8 level ek critical resistance point hai jo profit-taking ya nayi selling pressure ko trigger kar sakta hai.

Upward correction ko mazeed strength tab milegi jab EUR/JPY pair in Fibonacci levels ke upar apni position barqarar rakhe. Agar price in resistance points ko break nahi kar pata, tou yeh signal ho sakta hai ke pehli girawat ka bearish trend dobara barqarar ho sakta hai.

Ek aur ahem point jo dekhne ke laayak hai, wo price ka key moving averages ke muqable mein position hai. 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) aur 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) market sentiment aur trend direction ke ahem indicators hain. Agar price corrective phase ke dauran in moving averages ke upar barqarar rahta hai, tou yeh market dynamics mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakta hai. Bar'aks, agar price in averages ke neeche aa jata hai, tou yeh bearish trend ko mazid taqat de sakta hai aur aane wali mazeed girawat ka ishara de sakta hai.



Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye aur price action ko ghoor se dekhna chahiye. EUR/JPY pair ka upward correction ko barqarar rakhna aur in Fibonacci levels aur moving averages ka ehtiraam karna is ki short-term trajectory ka taayun karega. Agar price EMA 50 ya SMA 200 ke neeche move karta hai, tou yeh dobara bearish trend ka ishara ho sakta hai, aur traders ko apni positions dobara sochnay ki zarurat ho sakti hai. Kul mila kar, EUR/JPY pair ek ahem mor par hai, aur in technical levels ka gehra analysis aane wale waqt mein behtar trading decisions lene ke liye bohot zaroori hoga.

EUR/JPY pair mein ahem movement US trading session ke dauran shuru hui, jo ke European session ke dauran dekhay gaye stagnant price action se kaafi mukhtalif thi. European session ke dauran price mein zyada tabdeeli nahi hui, aur yeh aik narrow range mein 159.89 aur 159.51 ke beech mein chalta raha. Yeh range, jo aam tor par traders ke liye important signals deti hai, trading ke early hisay mein nazarandaz ki gayi, jis ki wajah se clear positions lena mushkil ho gaya.
European session ke dauran traders jo ke opportunities ki talaash mein thay, un ke liye yeh kaafi challenging tha, kyun ke price direction mein na to volatility thi aur na hi koi wazeh signal. 159.89-159.51 ke area ka reaction na milne ki wajah se traders ke paas actionable signals ki kami thi. Is stagnant price behavior ki wajah se bohot se traders side par rehne par majboor ho gaye, aur breakout ya kisi wazeh direction ka intezar karte rahe. Market ne jab is important price zone ko respect nahi kiya, tou positions ko European session ke zyada hisay ke liye hold karna pada.



US trading session ke shuru hone par market ne dynamic movement dikhani shuru ki. Price action kaafi clear ho gaya, aur traders ko market mein daakhil hone ka mauqa mila. Magar, jo tez decline US session ke dauran aaya, usay predict karna mushkil tha. Market sentiment mein achanak shift ne kai traders ko heran kar diya, kyun ke is girawat ka pehle se koi clear indication nahi tha.

US session ke dauran jo overall movement thi, wo kafi ahem thi aur hindsight mein yeh trading opportunities ke liye bohot faydemand thi. Magar, real-time mein in moves ka faida uthana bohot mushkil sabit hua. Jo tez girawat hui, wo bohot jaldi hui, aur traders ke paas effective reaction ke liye waqt kam tha. Jin logon ne momentum shift ko pehle dekh liya, un ke liye yeh profitable move tha, magar bohot se traders ke liye yeh girawat itni achanak thi ke iska poora faida lena mushkil ho gaya.

Akhir mein, jab ke EUR/JPY pair ne US trading session ke dauran strong movement dikhai, European session ke dauran volatility ki kami ne traders ke liye muskilat paida ki ke wo is action ko anticipate kar sakein ya us ke liye tayar ho sakein. 159.89-159.51 ka key support/resistance zone nazarandaz ho gaya, aur US session ke dauran jo sudden price drop hui, usay predict karna mushkil tha. Market ne akhir kar clear direction mein move kiya, magar rapid decline ka pace traders ke liye challenge bana, jo is opportunity ka poora faida nahi utha sake.

EUR/JPY Price Forecast
Aik taraf, geopolitical tensions mein izafa dekhne ko mil raha hai jo investors ko midweek tak ehtiyaat baratne par majboor kar raha hai. Khabaron ke mutabiq Iran ne Israel par lagbhag 200 ballistic missiles fire kiye hain, aur Israel ne jawab mein Iran par hamla karne ka azam zahir kiya hai. Israel ke Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu ne kaha ke Iran ne ek “bara ghalti” ki hai aur “keemat chukay ga,” jis se Middle East mein conflict ke gehray hone ka khauf phir se zinda ho gaya hai. Is negative market mood ka asar US stock index futures par bhi dekhne ko mila, jo 0.3% se 0.4% tak gir gaye hain.

EUR/USD ne Tuesday ko 0.5% se zyada nuqsan uthaya aur teesray musalsal din negative territory mein close kiya. Press ke waqt, yeh pair 1.1050 ke thodi si upar tight range mein trade kar raha tha.

GBP/USD ne Tuesday ko tez decline dekha aur 19 September ke baad apna sabse neechay ka level 1.3250 ke neeche chooa. Yeh pair Wednesday ko European morning mein stable raha magar 1.3300 ke neeche trade kar raha tha. Bank of England aaj Financial Policy Committee (FPC) meeting ke minutes aur FPC Statement jari karega.

EUR/JPY Wednesday ki early European session mein 158.80 ke qareeb kamzor ho gaya, aur din ka girawat 0.06% record kiya gaya. Cross ka negative outlook barqarar hai, aur RSI indicator bhi bearish nazar aa raha hai.

Immediate resistance level 161.80 par hai, jabke pehla support level 158.10 par dekha gaya hai.

EUR/JPY cross Wednesday ki early European session mein 158.80 tak neeche aa gaya hai. Global markets mein risk-aversion ne Japanese Yen (JPY) jese safe-haven asset ko support diya hai.

Technical Analysis ke mutabiq, EUR/JPY daily chart par apna bearish vibe barqarar rakhta hai, kyun ke yeh cross key 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) ke neeche hold kar raha hai. Mazid, downward momentum ko Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi support kar raha hai, jo midline ke neeche 45.80 ke qareeb hai, is baat ki taraf ishara kar raha hai ke qareebi future mein mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai.



30 September ka low 158.10 par pehla support level hai. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, tou 155.60 tak girawat aa sakti hai, jo Bollinger Band ka lower limit hai. Mazeed nuqsan 154.41 tak rasta bana sakta hai, jo 5 August ka low hai.

Dusri taraf, pehla upside barrier 161.80 par hai, jo Bollinger Band ki upper boundary hai. Agar price is level ke upar trade karne lage tou 163.15 tak rally aa sakti hai, jo ke 100-day EMA hai. Mazeed upside filter jo dekhne layak hai, wo 164.00 ka psychological mark hai.

Kamiyab traders wo hain jo yeh maan chuke hain ke koi bhi trading system hamesha achi kaam nahi karega. Yeh isliye hota hai ke market ka character kabhi bhi badal sakta hai. Pichle saal ho sakta hai hamara system behtareen kaam kar raha ho, lekin is saal yeh zaroori nahi ke waisa hi ho. Iska sabab kai cheezein ho sakti hain, jaise ke abhi US mein jo siyasi uthal-puthal chal rahi hai, iska market par asar pad raha hai aur market ka character bhi badal raha hai. Misal ke taur par, agar aam taur par hamara stop loss 100 pips hota hai, toh aise waqt mein yeh 200 pips bhi ho sakta hai. Humein aise cheezein samajhni chahiye taake hum risk ko kam kar sakein aur market ki halat se behak na jayein.
Acha trading system kaise dhundhein? Aisa system dhundhein jo simple ho aur sirf 1 ya 2 indicators use karta ho, taake market ko analyze karte waqt hum confuse na hon. Aise system ka intekhab karein jiska risk aur reward ratio kam se kam 1:2 ho. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar 10 analysis mein se 7 galat bhi hote hain, tab bhi aakhirat mein hum profit kama sakte hain. Sabse zaroori baat yeh hai ke 100% accuracy rate wale trading system ki umeed na rakhein, kyunki aisa kuch bhi nahi hota. Isliye, agar hum 1:2 ka risk aur reward ratio apply karte hain, toh 7 out of 10 sahi analysis bhi kaafi hain.

EUR/JPY Currency Pair Update

European Union/Japanese Yen (EUR/JPY) currency pair ne haal hi mein ek taza chadhai dekhi hai, jismein Asian trading session mein teen din ki girawat ke baad izafa hua. Yeh izafa zyada tar Japanese yen ke kamzor hone ki wajah se hai, jo ke desh ke trade balance data ke chalte hua. Japan ki merchandise trade balance July ke mahine ke liye 621.84 billion yen ka deficit dikhayi, jo ke June mein surplus se ulta hai. Halankeh yeh deficit bazaar ki ummeed se kam tha, lekin yeh is saal ka paanchwa deficit tha. Imports aur exports ke darmiyan farq, jo imports ke haq mein hai, yen ki kami ka sabab bana hai. Lekin, yen ki kami ko Bank of Japan ke doosre interest rate hike ke imkaan se kuch had tak control kiya ja sakta hai. Iski ummeed ek recent Reuters poll se milti hai, jismein se aadhe se zyada economists ne saal ke end se pehle rate increase ka prediction diya hai. Central bank ke Governor, Kazuo Ueda, Friday ko parliament ke saamne aakar ke recent rate hike ka faisla discuss karenge.

Eurozone mein, market participants ko ummeed hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) dheere dheere interest rates ko kam karega. Lekin, ECB ke officials ne rate cuts ke specific timeline ko commit karte waqt caution barqarar rakha hai, aur inflationary pressures ka zikr kiya hai. Eurozone ke Harmonized Consumer Price Index (HICP) data July ke liye monthly basis par same raha, jo ke expectations ke mutabiq tha.

EUR/JPY currency pair ki movement ne corrective phase mein entry ka signal diya hai, jo ke recent trading pattern mein ek notable shift ko mark karta hai. Pair ne substantial losses ka samna kiya hai, aur lagbhag 170.383 tak gir gaya hai. Ye girawat EUR/JPY pair ke liye ek critical juncture hai, kyunki ab yeh 173.90-173.73 ke pivotal support level ke aas-paas stabilize ho raha hai. Ye support zone EUR/JPY pair ke future direction ko determine karne mein crucial hai. Traders aur analysts is pair ke behavior ko closely monitor karenge jab yeh is barrier se interact karega. Is support level ki significance ko overstate nahi kiya ja sakta, kyunki yeh overall market trend ke liye ek critical indicator hai. Agar pair successfully is level ko test karta hai aur iske upar rehta hai, to yeh potential rebound ya stabilization ka signal de sakta hai. Iske opposite, agar yeh level breach ho jata hai, to yeh further declines aur corrective trend ki continuation ko signal kar sakta hai.

EUR/JPY pair ki recent decline ka sabab kai factors ka combination hai, jisme market sentiment ke changes, economic data, geopolitical events, aur monetary policy expectations shamil hain. Euro aur yen, dono major currencies hain, jo in developments ke liye sensitive hain, aur inka exchange rate broader economic landscape ko reflect karta hai.

Recent weeks mein, forex market ne increased volatility ka samna kiya hai, jo interest rates, inflation, aur economic growth ke varied expectations se driven hai, Eurozone aur Japan dono mein. European Central Bank (ECB) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne divergent monetary policy stances adopt kiye hain, jahan ECB gradually apni policy ko tighten kar raha hai rising inflation ke response mein, jabke BoJ ek zyada accommodative approach maintain kar raha hai economic growth ko stimulate karne ke liye. Ye contrasting policies EUR/JPY pair mein fluctuations create kar rahi hain, jo iski recent downward movement ka ek sabab hai.

Jab traders agle steps assess karenge, EUR/JPY pair ka behavior 173.90-173.73 ke support level ke around critical hoga. Agar pair is level ko successfully test kar leta hai aur rebound karta hai, to yeh indicate kar sakta hai ke pair floor ko find kar raha hai, jo recovery ki taraf lead kar sakta hai. Ye scenario suggest karega ke corrective phase apne end ke nazdeek hai aur pair ek upward trajectory resume kar sakta hai.

Agar aap is trend aur indicators ko visualize karna chahte hain, to attached image ko refer karen. Image par click karne se aap ek larger view dekh sakte hain, jo current market conditions aur relevant indicators ko clearer perspective deta hai.

In summary, EUR/JPY currency pair ab ek critical support level 173.90-173.73 ke aas-paas hai, jo future direction ko determine karne mein crucial role play karega. Is level ke upar successful stabilization ya rebound potential recovery ko signal kar sakta hai, jabke level breach hona further declines aur corrective trend ko signal kar sakta hai. Market ki volatility aur economic factors ko samajhte hue, traders ko is support zone ke around ke behavior par nazar rakhni chahiye aur apne trading decisions ko accordingly adjust karna chahiye.

EUR/JPY H1 Chart

Kamiyab traders wo hain jo yeh maan chuke hain ke koi bhi trading system hamesha achi kaam nahi karega. Yeh isliye hota hai ke market ka character kabhi bhi badal sakta hai. Pichle saal ho sakta hai hamara system behtareen kaam kar raha ho, lekin is saal yeh zaroori nahi ke waisa hi ho. Iska sabab kai cheezein ho sakti hain, jaise ke abhi US mein jo siyasi uthal-puthal chal rahi hai, iska market par asar pad raha hai aur market ka character bhi badal raha hai. Misal ke taur par, agar aam taur par hamara stop loss 100 pips hota hai, toh aise waqt mein yeh 200 pips bhi ho sakta hai. Humein aise cheezein samajhni chahiye taake hum risk ko kam kar sakein aur market ki halat se behak na jayein.

Acha trading system kaise dhundhein? Aisa system dhundhein jo simple ho aur sirf 1 ya 2 indicators use karta ho, taake market ko analyze karte waqt hum confuse na hon. Aise system ka intekhab karein jiska risk aur reward ratio kam se kam 1:2 ho. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar 10 analysis mein se 7 galat bhi hote hain, tab bhi aakhirat mein hum profit kama sakte hain. Sabse zaroori baat yeh hai ke 100% accuracy rate wale trading system ki umeed na rakhein, kyunki aisa kuch bhi nahi hota. Isliye, agar hum 1:2 ka risk aur reward ratio apply karte hain, toh 7 out of 10 sahi analysis bhi kaafi hain.

EUR/JPY Currency Pair Update

European Union/Japanese Yen (EUR/JPY) currency pair ne haal hi mein ek taza chadhai dekhi hai, jismein Asian trading session mein teen din ki girawat ke baad izafa hua. Yeh izafa zyada tar Japanese yen ke kamzor hone ki wajah se hai, jo ke desh ke trade balance data ke chalte hua. Japan ki merchandise trade balance July ke mahine ke liye 621.84 billion yen ka deficit dikhayi, jo ke June mein surplus se ulta hai. Halankeh yeh deficit bazaar ki ummeed se kam tha, lekin yeh is saal ka paanchwa deficit tha. Imports aur exports ke darmiyan farq, jo imports ke haq mein hai, yen ki kami ka sabab bana hai. Lekin, yen ki kami ko Bank of Japan ke doosre interest rate hike ke imkaan se kuch had tak control kiya ja sakta hai. Iski ummeed ek recent Reuters poll se milti hai, jismein se aadhe se zyada economists ne saal ke end se pehle rate increase ka prediction diya hai. Central bank ke Governor, Kazuo Ueda, Friday ko parliament ke saamne aakar ke recent rate hike ka faisla discuss karenge.

Eurozone mein, market participants ko ummeed hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) dheere dheere interest rates ko kam karega. Lekin, ECB ke officials ne rate cuts ke specific timeline ko commit karte waqt caution barqarar rakha hai, aur inflationary pressures ka zikr kiya hai. Eurozone ke Harmonized Consumer Price Index (HICP) data July ke liye monthly basis par same raha, jo ke expectations ke mutabiq tha

ECB ka Mawqif: European front par, ECB ke policymaker Martins Kazaks ne September ke meeting mein aik aur interest rate hike par baat karne ke liye tayari dikhayi hai. ECB Eurozone mein barhti hui mehngai ka samna kar raha hai, aur pehle bhi rate hikes ke zariye price pressures ko kam karne ki koshish ki gayi hai. Kazaks ke comments yeh dikhate hain ke ECB ab bhi inflationary risks se mutma'in nahi hai aur zaroorat parne par mazeed action lene ke liye tayar hai. ECB ka yeh hawkish outlook BoJ ke ehtiyaati rawayya se mukhtalif hai, jisse yeh dynamic paida hoti hai ke agar ECB apne rate hikes jari rakhta hai aur BoJ apne accommodative stance par qayam rehta hai, to Euro Yen ke muqablay mein mazid mazboot ho sakta hai. Market ka Reaction aur Outlook:BoJ aur ECB ke monetary policy expectations mein faasla EUR/JPY pair mein utar charhao ka sabab bana hai. Yeh pair 161.95 ke qareeb momentum kho baitha, magar dono central banks se updates ke liye ab bhi sensitive hai. Agar BoJ apni monetary policy ko tighten karne ki taraf ishara karta hai, to is se Yen mazid mazboot ho sakta hai, jisse pair neeche jasakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar ECB apni


hawkish stance par qayam rehta hai, to Euro Yen ke muqablay mein aur zyada gain kar sakta hai. Traders ko aanay walay economic data aur central bank meetings par nazar rakhni chahiye taake EUR/JPY pair ke future direction ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Market ka Tajziyah: Hal hi mein EUR/JPY pair mein girawat ke peechay kai factors hain, jin mein market sentiment ka shift, economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur monetary policy ke hawalay se expectations shamil hain. Euro aur Yen donon hi ahem currencies hain aur in developments ke liye sensitive hain, jo ke inke exchange rates par asar dalte hain. Forex market mein barhti hui volatility ka asar bhi EUR/JPY pair par hua hai, jo ke Eurozone aur Japan mein interest rates, inflation, aur economic growth ke hawalay se mukhtalif expectations se driven hai. ECB aur BoJ ke mukhtalif monetary policy approaches ne EUR/JPY pair mein fluctuations paida ki hain aur iske recent decline mein ahem kirdar ada kiya haiha