𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐉𝐏𝐘

EUR/JPY Forum (Euro/Yen): Charts, Reviews 02/09/2024




Ek correction ho chuki hai range 163.90 tak, aur iske baad mazid mazbooti aana mumkin hai. Support level 160.00 tak gir sakta hai, lekin yahan se khareedari ki ja sakti hai. Agar 164.00 ka range break ho jaye, toh mazid mazbooti aani chahiye. Buyers ne koshish ki ke price ko upar le jayein aur 159.50 ka range break bhi kar diya, lekin iske baad bhi girawat jari rahi. 160.45 ka false breakout ho sakta hai, aur iske baad mazbooti phir se shuru ho sakti hai. Shayed 161.40 ka range break ho jaye, tab mazid mazbooti aani chahiye.

Thodi si mazbooti mazid barh sakti hai 162.60 ke range tak, aur hum isko break karne mein kamiyab ho sakte hain, iske baad mazid mazbooti aani chahiye. Shayed ek chhota sa impulse upar ki taraf 162.60 ke range tak ho, lekin iske baad bhi girawat jari rahegi. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke thodi growth ke baad girawat phir se shuru ho, kyun ke market ab south ki taraf mod rahi hai. Ek aur correction hui hai, aur girawat ke mazid barhne ka imkaan hai. Ab tak, sellers asani se nahi har rahe hain aur price ko mazid neeche kheench rahe hain, aur 161.05 ka breakout mil sakta hai.

Aaj EUR/JPY khoobsurti se rollback hua 161.20 ke support level tak, aur wahan se north ki taraf movement shuru hui, 162.71 ke resistance level tak. Abhi ke liye, price 162.59 par fix ho gayi hai, jo ke resistance level se thoda kam hai, lekin agar bulls ne price ko upar dhakelna jari rakha, toh yeh level test hoga, aur shayed cross bhi kar le. Agar bears ne initiative apne haath mein le liya, toh 162.71 ke level ke neeche sell ka entry point form ho jaye ga, aur price south ki taraf mod le gi, lekin abhi tak aise signals nahi mile. Daily chart par, abhi ke liye, ek bullish candle form hui hai, aur woh kaafi strong hai, toh isko kamzor karna mushkil hoga.

EUR/JPY Market Analysis 28 August, 2024

Is waqt EURJPY market mein buyers ka kafi zyada pressure nazar aa raha hai, jo ke EURJPY price ke bullish candle form karne se zahir ho raha hai, jo ke H1 timeframe mein ek lambi candle hai. Agar mein EURJPY market ke overall halat ka jaiza loon, toh lagta hai ke market ek bearish trend mein chal rahi hai. Mere H1 timeframe ke mapping ke mutabiq, ek important information yeh hai ke resistance trend line yeh batati hai ke EURJPY market abhi tak bearish trend mein hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke buyers MA100 indicator ko paar nahi kar payenge, jo ke bearish trend situation ka aik important defense hai. Main is baat ka intezar kar raha hoon ke kab sellers dobara EURJPY market mein entry karein aur EURJPY price ko neeche dhakel dein. Yeh situation ek accha entry sell signal ban sakti hai. Sellers ke paas EURJPY market ka control dobara hasil karne ka bohot acha mauqa hai, taake bearish trend situation ko barqarar rakha ja sake.




Meri trading recommendations EURJPY market mein yeh hai ke bearish trend situation ko follow kiya jaye jo ke H1 timeframe se zahir hoti hai. Halanki buyers ki koshish hai ke EURJPY price ko upar dhakel dein, mujhe lagta hai ke yeh buyers zyada dair tak nahi tikenge. Main is baat ka intezar kar raha hoon ke kab sellers phir se mazbooti se ubharen aur yeh ek signal ban jaye entry sell ke liye. Mera andaaza hai ke sellers EURJPY market ka control dobara hasil karenge aur EURJPY price ko neeche dhakel denge jab tak ke support 1 defense area break na ho jaye, taake bearish trend situation EURJPY market mein jari reh sake.

EUR/JPY D1 Chart
European Union/Japanese Yen (EUR/JPY) currency pair ne haal hi mein ek resurgence dekha, jahan Asian trading session mein Wednesday ko teen din ki girawat ka silsila ruka. Is uptick ka sabab zyada tar kamzor hoti hui Japanese yen thi, jo ke mulk ke trade balance data ke waja se thi. Japan ke merchandise trade balance ne July ke liye 621.84 billion yen ka deficit dikhaya, jo ke June ke surplus se ulat tha. Halanki yeh deficit market ki umeedon se kam tha, lekin yeh iss saal ka paanchwa deficit tha. Imports aur exports ke darmiyan farq, jo ke imports ke haq mein zyada tha, yen ki depreciation ka sabab bana. Magar yen ki girawat ko Bank of Japan ke taraf se ek aur interest rate hike ki umeed se thek kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh umeed recent Reuters poll ke zariye mazid barh gayi, jahan aadhe se zyada economists ne saal ke khatam hone se pehle rate increase ka andaza lagaya. Central bank ke Governor, Kazuo Ueda, Friday ko parliament ke samne apne recent rate hike decision par guftagu karne wale hain. Eurozone mein, market participants European Central Bank (ECB) ke taraf se rates mein dheere dheere kami ki umeed kar rahe hain. Magar ECB officials ne inflationary pressures ka hawala dete hue, rate cuts ke liye kisi specific timeline ka iltizam karne mein ehtiyat barhti hai. July ke liye Eurozone ka Harmonized Consumer Price Index (HICP) data monthly basis par koi tabdeeli nahi dikhata, jo ke umeedon ke mutabiq tha.




EUR/JPY pair ko asar andaz karne wale aham factors mein Eurozone aur Japan ke mukhtalif economic outlooks shamil hain. Eurozone, jo ke dheemi economic growth aur high inflation jese challenges ka samna kar raha hai, ne kuch resilience dekhi euro mein, jo ke European Central Bank (ECB) ke tightening policy continue rakhne ki umeedon ki wajah se hai. Haal hi ke Eurozone ke data, jaise ke industrial production aur trade balance figures jo ke umeed se behtar aayi, ne euro ko kuch support diya, halanki yeh gains potential economic slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se kuch kami ho gayi. Doosri taraf, Japan ka economic landscape Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke ultra-loose monetary policy ke zariye dominate ho raha hai. BoJ ka commitment low-interest rates banaye rakhne aur apne bond-buying program ko jari rakhne ka yen par pressure banaye rakha. Magar haal hi mein BoJ ke yield curve control policy ko adjust karne ki speculation ne yen ki performance mein kuch volatility introduce ki hai, jab ke traders iske imkani asar aur impact ka andaza lagane ki koshish kar rahe hain.

EUR/JPY Exchange Rate Ka Aik Forecast
Is chart par aap EUR/JPY exchange rate dekh sakte hain. EUR/JPY mein thoda sa breakthrough lag raha tha, lekin abhi tak koi significant breakthrough nahi hua. Mujhe lagta hai ke candles itni bari ya khaas nahi hain, isliye yahan kisi impulse ki baat nahi ho rahi. Yeh seriously situation par asar daal sakta hai aur direction change kar sakta hai, jo ke abhi downward hi hai. Mere khayal mein, bull sirf ek hi wajah se resistance zone 161.66-161.74 ko tod payega: hamare paas ek bohot strong uptrend hai jo ke abhi tak nahi toota. Meri nazar mein resistance zone 161.74-161.86 bohot acha hai, isliye mein 30 percent chances doon ga ke hum southern journey par mazid barh sakte hain. Bear ke liye itne strong trend ke against move karna mushkil hoga, isliye filhaal mein north ki taraf barhne ko zyada mumkin samajhta hoon, lekin mein kisi bhi surat mein buying consider nahi karoon ga jab tak price resistance zone 162.70-163.65 ke upar consolidate hoti nazar nahi aati.




Lekin yeh candles itni important bhi nahi hain ke un par bharosa karke trade kiya jaye. Mujhe lagta hai ke Euro ke liye interest rate aur Central Bank ke head ka speech significant ho sakte hain; kuch economic data inflation par bhi asar daal sakta hai. Agle hafte mein umeed karta hoon ke price kam az kam 159.31 tak decline kare, jo ke descending channel ka lower boundary hai jismein yeh pair move kar rahi hai. Main maximum level 162.14 ko resistance ke tor par mark karoonga, aur jab tak yeh level upar break nahi hota, decline hi sabse behtareen option rahega. Lekin humne abhi tak us short initiative ko kaafi nahi samjha jo collapse ke dauran hua tha. Iske ilawa, yeh bhi note karna chahiye ke aur bhi lower targets hain. Magar mujhe northern future par zyada

EUR/JPY H1 Chart
H1 chart ko dekh kar lagta hai ke EUR/JPY cross currency pair par sellers ka pressure hai, jo ke price movement ke EMA 200 ke neeche hone se zahir hota hai. Lekin Bullish 123 pattern aur kuch Bullish Ross Hook (RH) ke zahoor ke baad ab price movement WMA 20 By High ke upar hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke EUR/JPY mein abhi ek strengthening correction chal rahi hai. Yeh correction is waqt 162.94 ke level ko test aur break karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Agar yeh level successfully upar break ho jata hai, toh agla target 163.93 hoga, aur agar momentum aur volatility support karein, toh 165.75 ka level agla target banega. Magar ehtiyat ki zarurat hai, kyun ke Rising Wedge pattern ka zahoor aur EUR/JPY price movement mein deviation, jo higher-high condition create kar raha hai jab ke Awesome Oscillator indicator higher-low form kar raha hai, yeh condition further weakening ka imkaan zahir kar rahi hai. Khaaskar agar 160.50 ke level se neeche girawat hoti hai, kyun ke agar yeh level successfully neeche break hota hai toh pehle se zahir ki gayi strengthening correction scenarios invalid ho jayeinge aur apne aap cancel ho jayeinge.




Kya yeh izafa jari rahega? Yeh hum jald hi jaanenge. Kal ke live ranges kya hain? Sell zone (154.50–159.50) aur buy zone (159.60–164.65) hain. EURJPY ka iss waqt ke liye technical price 161.50 hai. Mera khayal hai ke is halat mein kahin bhi position open karna bohot ghalat faisla hoga. Magar agar kisi ko apne faisle par yaqeen hai, toh faisla aapka hai. Pehle din ka kaam do benchmarks par mabni hoga, aur mein inhi se orders open karna shuru karoonga. Humne apne liye do belts allocate ki hain: 161.25 aur 162.50. Yeh woh area hai jahan hum ping-pong ball ki tarah idhar udhar ghoom sakte hain. Agar hum in limits ke andar zigzags karte rahe, toh mein entry par zyada harkat nahi karoonga. Lekin agar 161.25 ke neeche breakout hota hai, toh sellers ke paas apni aggression aur decline dikhane ka chance hoga. Is halat mein, mein sales open karoonga. Pehla aur important target short term mein 160.40 hoga. Yeh distance kaafi decent hai, aur agar circumstances favor karein, toh isko lena acha hoga. Ek aur deep point of decline (159.60) bhi hai. Lekin mujhe yakeen nahi ke yeh itni tezi se neeche chale jayenge. Dusra option yeh hai ke price upar jaye, aur is surat mein hamare paas 162.50 ek beacon ke tor par hoga. Magar +100 points tak crawl karna aur upar ek quick shot lena abhi bhi mujhe shak mein daal raha hai. Yeh ek nafrat angaiz surat-e-haal hogi agar hum upar jana shuru karein aur 162.50 ke breakthrough se pehle chup chaap phir se decline karna shuru kar dein. Theek hai, sabse important baat yeh hai ke plan tayar hai, aur ab dekhte hain ke speculators humein entry dene kahan shuru karte hain. Sabko yeh mashwara hai ke jaldbazi na karein aur akalmandi se distance ko pakrein.

Euro ne Japanese Yen ke muqable mein Monday ki sobah European trading ke dauran kamzori dikhayi, aur EUR/JPY pair 160.70 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Is downward movement ka bais Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke dovish comments the, jinhon ne yen ko support diya aur uske muqable mein euro ko kamzor kiya. Ueda ne apni commitment dohrayi ke agar inflation 2% ke target se upar rehta hai toh woh interest rates barhane par zor dein ge. Jabke economists is saal rate hike ki umeed kar rahe hain, lekin aksar ka khayal hai ke yeh December mein zyada mumkin hai na ke October mein. BOJ ke mazeed monetary tightening ke barh te huye speculation ne yen ki qeemat ko euro ke muqable mein mazid barhawa diya hai. Eurozone mein investors August ke harmonized consumer price index (HICP) data ke jari hone ka intezar kar rahe hain. Yeh inflation report European Central Bank (ECB) ke September mein interest rate decision ke baray mein andaza lagane mein madad karegi. Jabke inflation August mein year-on-year 2.3% tak kam hone ka tajzia hai, ECB se umeed hai ke woh is saal ke baqi maheenon mein rate cuts jari rakhegi. Is umeed ne euro par kuch selling pressure daal diya hai. ECB Governing Council ke member Olli Rehn ne bhi is ehsaas ka izhar kiya ke kamzor hoti hui eurozone economy aur kam hoti hui inflation ke chalte ainday maheene mein borrowing costs ko kam karna zaroori hai.



EUR/JPY pair ne July mein ek tez sell-off ka samna kiya, jo ke 32 saal ki bulandiyon se gir kar August 6 ko 154.34 ki neeche qeemat tak pohonch gaya. Tab se le kar ab tak, yeh pair recover karne ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin iski upward momentum 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke qareeb ruk gayi hai. Agar bearish sentiment barqarar rehti hai, toh 160.40 ka qareebi support level ek rukawat ka kaam kar sakta hai. Mazid losses ko February ke low 158.06 par roka ja sakta hai. Agar yeh pair 158.06 ke upar qaim rehne mein nakam hota hai, toh yeh January ke low 155.05 ko challenge kar sakta hai aur shayad 2024 ke low 154.34, jo August 6 ko set hua tha, ko phir se test kare. Agar upper side par dekha jaye, toh 200-day SMA ke upar break hona ek potential recovery ka raasta khol sakta hai. March resistance level 165.34 ek significant rukawat ke tor par samne aa sakta hai. Is resistance ko overcome karne ke liye bulls ko pair ko June ke support level 167.50 ke upar push karna hoga, jo ke mustaqbil mein ek resistance barrier ka kaam kar sakta hai.

EUR/JPY H1 Chart Analysis
ECB ka Mouqaf: European mohim par, ECB ke policymaker Martins Kazaks ne September ki meeting mein ek aur interest rate hike par guftagu karne ke liye tayar hai. ECB Eurozone mein barhti hui inflation se larne mein masroof hai, jisme pehle se hi rate hikes kiye gaye hain taake price pressures ko roka ja sake. Kazaks ke comments se lagta hai ke ECB ab bhi inflationary risks par fikrmand hai aur zaroorat parne par mazeed qadam uthane ke liye tayar hai. ECB ka yeh hawkish outlook BoJ ke ehtiyaati rawaiye ke muqable mein hai, jisme agar ECB apne rate hikes jari rakhta hai jabke BoJ apni accommodative policy par qaim rehta hai, toh Euro Yen ke muqable mein mazid mazboot ho sakta hai.




Market ka Rad-e-Amal aur Outlook: BoJ aur ECB ke darmiyan monetary policy expectations mein farq ki wajah se EUR/JPY pair mein fluctuations dekhi gayi hain. Jab pair 161.95 ke qareeb momentum kho chuka tha, yeh dono central banks se aane wali updates ke liye ab bhi sensitive hai. Agar BoJ tightening ki taraf ishara karta hai, toh is se Yen mazid mazboot ho sakta hai aur pair neeche ja sakta hai. Is ke baraks, agar ECB apni hawkish stance barqarar rakhta hai, toh Euro Yen ke muqable mein mazeed barh sakta hai. Traders ko aanay wale economic data aur central bank meetings par nazar rakhni chahiye taake EUR/JPY pair ke future direction ke bare mein andaza lagaya ja sake.

EUR/JPY pair mein recent girawat ke peechay kai asbaab hain, jisme market sentiment mein tabdeeli, economic data releases, geopolitic events, aur monetary policy ke hawalay se expectations shamil hain. Euro aur Yen, dono badi currencies ke tor par in developments ke liye sensitive hain, jo inke exchange rates mein broader economic context ke mutabiq asar andaz hote hain.

Forex Market mein Barhti Hui Volatility: Hal hi mein forex market mein volatility mein izafa dekha gaya hai, jo ke interest rates, inflation, aur Eurozone aur Japan mein economic growth ke hawalay se mukhtalif expectations ki wajah se hai. European Central Bank (ECB) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne mukhtalif monetary policy approaches ikhtiyar kiye hain, jisme ECB apni policy ko dheere dheere tight kar raha hai taake barhti hui inflation se lara ja sake, jabke BoJ apni accommodative stance ko barqarar rakhta hai taake economic growth ko stimulate kiya ja sake. Yeh divergent policies EUR/JPY pair mein fluctuations ka bais bani hain aur iski recent girawat mein aham kirdar ada kiya hai.

EUR/JPY H4 Chart Analysis
Aaj ke liye EUR/JPY ka technical analysis yeh hai. Trend lines, indicators, aur resistance aur support levels ko dekh kar, hum H4 timeframe par market ke agle move ka andaza lagayenge. Filhal, market ek uptrend par hai, resistance level 162.70 ko tod kar upar ki taraf ja rahi hai. Chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke market trend line ke response par chal rahi hai, resistance ko tod nahi rahi. Market history dikhati hai ke market trend line ke upar move kiya hai. Yeh trend line market ko upar ki taraf guide karti rahegi. Market system level se bahar aayi, upar aur neeche gai, resistance ko support mein tabdeel kiya, aur phir se upar chali gayi. Abhi, 50-day simple moving average market ke 161.55 ke neeche hai, jo hamara support level hai. Hamara 200-day simple moving average bhi market ke neeche hai, aur initial support 160.20 par hai. RSI indicator 30 aur 70, ya 75 ke beech hai. Market gir rahi hai, aur indicators bhi yeh sabit karte hain. Market mein mazeed izafa hoga.




Filhal, price apni upward trajectory ko continue kar rahi hai, aur koi significant downward correction ke asaar nahi dikhai de rahe. Yeh sustained movement bullish momentum ko strong dikhata hai, buyers ke higher levels ki taraf dekhne ki umeed hai. Jab tak price recently broken resistance level ke upar rehti hai, jo ab support ke tor par kaam kar raha hai, bullish trend jari rahne ki umeed hai. Traders ko reversal ya correction ke signals par nazar rakhni chahiye, lekin filhal downward pressure ki kami market ko bulls ke favor mein dikhati hai. Price behavior ko 162.444 level aur EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ke around monitor karna zaroori hoga taake is trend ki strength aur informed trading decisions ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Mukhtasir mein, EUR/JPY pair ab H1 timeframe par strong bullish phase mein hai, aur key technical indicators aur price action mazeed upward movement ko support kar rahe hain. 162.444 resistance level ke upar breakout, jo sustained buyer pressure se hua, continued gains ki umeed ko barhata hai, jab tak market mein koi unexpected shift na aaye. Support level 156.530 ne recent past mein kafi strength dikhayi hai. Support level wahi hota hai jahan price girna band kar deti hai aur aksar direction reverse hoti hai.

Yuro (EUR) ne Tuesday ko subah ke European trading ke doran Japanese Yen (JPY) ke muqablay mein stability banaye rakhi, aur 161.60 ke aas-paas raha. Yen ki kamzori ki wajah zyada tar Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki mustaqbil ki monetary policy ke hawaale se paish aayi uncertainties hain, kyunki Governor Kazuo Ueda ke dovish comments ne interest rate adjustments ke baray mein clear guidance nahi di. Aane wale waqt mein Japan ke Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur Middle East mein chal rahe geopolitical tensions bhi EUR/JPY pair ko mutasir kar rahe hain. Jabke CPI data BoJ ki future monetary policy ke baray mein kuch hints de sakta hai, Middle East ki badhti tensions safe-haven flows ko barha sakti hain aur Yen ko mazid majbooti de sakti hain. Is dauran, European Central Bank (ECB) ne apne interest rate hike cycle ko rokne ka ishara diya hai. ECB ke Chief Economist Philip Lane ne price pressures ko control karne mein hui progress ko highlight kiya, lekin 2% inflation target ke baare mein uncertainty ko bhi maan liya. Iska matlab hai ke ECB shayad apne current interest rate levels ko kuch waqt ke liye barqarar rakhe. Germany ke Q2 GDP data aur Eurozone ke inflation figures bhi market participants ke nazar mein rahenge. Agar GDP data expectations se kam aati hai to Euro par dabao ho sakta hai, jabke agar inflation expectations se zyada hoti hai to ECB ke further rate hikes ki ummeed barh sakti hai.


Technically, EUR/JPY pair abhi bhi pressure mein hai, aur niche ke risks zyada hain. Recent attempt jo 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) 164.00 se upar nikalne ki thi, usne strong upward momentum ki kami ko dikhaya. Relative Strength Index (RSI sirf neutral threshold 50 ke upar hai, aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) apne trigger line ke upar hai lekin negative territory mein hai. EUR/JPY pair ke liye immediate resistance 162.30 par milne ki ummeed hai, jo ke recent downward wave ka 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai. Ek bara resistance area 164.00 aur 164.80 ke beech hai, jo 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level ko cover karta hai. Is area ko break karne se 50-day moving average ki taraf move hone ka raasta khul sakta hai, jo ke 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level 167.20 ke saath overlap karta hai.

EUR/JPY pair ne Tuesday ko subah ke European trading mein 161.60 ke aas-paas ek nisbatan stable position banaye rakhi. Japanese yen ki kamzori, jo zyada tar Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki monetary policy stance ke hawale se uncertainty ki wajah se hai, ne is pair ki upward movement mein madad ki. Governor Kazuo Ueda ke comments jo potential interest rate hikes ke baare mein hain, ke bawajood, market ab bhi central bank ke monetary policy ko tighten karne ke commitment par shaki hai. Japan ke Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) ke aane wale release se inflationary pressures aur interest rate decisions ke hawale se aham insights milenge. Is dauran, Middle East ke ongoing geopolitical tensions bhi currency dynamics ko mutasir kar rahe hain. Hamas ke Israel ke ceasefire terms ko reject karne se concerns barh gaye hain ke situation aur bhi escalate ho sakti hai, jo safe-haven currencies jaise yen ki demand ko barha sakti hai. Euro ke hawale se, European Central Bank (ECB) ke chief economist, Philip Lane, ne eurozone mein inflation ko contain karne mein hui progress par optimism zahir kiya. Lekin, unhone yeh bhi kaha ke 2% inflation target abhi bhi uncertain hai, jo suggest karta hai ke interest rates ko kuch waqt ke liye restrained rakha ja sakta hai. Germany ke Q2 GDP data aur eurozone ke inflation figures ke aane wale release se economic outlook aur ECB ke potential monetary policy actions ke baare mein additional clues milenge. Agar ECB rate cut ki umeed barhati hai to isse euro aur iske bawajood EUR/JPY pair par short term mein negative impact ho sakta hai.



Technical perspective se, EUR/JPY pair ne 160.35 level par support paaya hai, lekin momentum abhi bhi kamzor hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral threshold ke aas-paas hai, jabke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) strong upward momentum ki kami ko signal kar raha hai. Pair ke upside ko 162.30 par immediate resistance se roka ja sakta hai. Agar is level ko break kiya jaye to further gains ke liye raasta khul sakta hai, jahan 164.00-164.80 resistance area ek zyada significant hurdle banega. Is area ko successfully breach karne se 50-day moving average aur 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level 167.20 ki taraf move ka raasta khul sakta hai.

EUR/JPY Technical Analysis
EUR/JPY currency pair filhal daily timeframe par aik complex technical setup dikhayi de rahi hai. Haal hi mein hui bullish movement kaafi had tak ek corrective phase mein lag rahi hai, aur price key resistance levels ko break karne mein struggle kar rahi hai. Khaaskar, pair EMA 7 daily par resistance ka saamna kar rahi hai, jo ke lower Bollinger Band se rejection ke baad se hai. Yeh resistance level bulls ke liye challenging sabit hua hai, jaise ke recent bearish candlestick pattern se zahir hai jo is key moving average ke neeche close hua.

Strong bearish reversal ka potential nazar aa raha hai, lekin confirmation lower timeframes se zaroori hai taake traders confidently short positions le saken. Agar price continue karti hai decline, to sabse nazdeek support level 158.30 hai. Yeh level bears ke liye testing ground ban sakta hai, jahan break karne se deeper correction ka signal mil sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar corrective movement continue hoti hai, to price EMA 255 daily tak rise kar sakti hai, jo ke 162.42 ke aas-paas hai. Yeh level next significant resistance banega, jahan bullish momentum ko phir se challenges ka saamna karna pad sakta hai.

Indicators ki perspective se, stochastic oscillator filhal sharp rise dikhayi de raha hai, jo overbought area ke near 80 level tak approach kar raha hai. Yeh market mein ab bhi kuch bullish momentum hone ka signal hai. Lekin, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 level ke aas-paas rejection ke signs dikhane lag gaya hai, jo aam tor par bearish pressure ke dobara ubharne ka indication hota hai. In dono indicators ke beech divergence—stochastic bullish potential suggest karta hai aur RSI bearish outlook signal karta hai—uncertainty ko barhata hai, jo immediate direction of the pair ko high confidence ke saath predict karna mushkil bana deta hai.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) aur RSI indicators market ki current indecision ko aur emphasize karte hain. MACD sideways movement dikhayi de raha hai, jo kisi bhi direction mein strong momentum ki kami ko reflect karta hai. Yeh flat momentum yeh suggest karta hai ke bulls recent recovery ke baad ek breather le rahe hain, lekin yeh bhi strong resistance ko highlight karta hai 162.00 level ke aas-paas, jahan previous bullish attempts ko consistently reject kiya gaya hai. RSI neutral hai, na to overbought na oversold territory mein, jo market ke consolidation phase mein hone ka idea reinforce karta hai, na ke kisi strong direction mein trending.

In mixed signals ko dekhte hue, traders ko naye positions lene se pehle ehtiyaat baratni chahiye. Current market setup yeh suggest karta hai ke consolidation period zyada likely hai, clear trend direction se zyada. Confident trade setup establish karne ke liye, yeh behtar hoga ke 162.00 resistance level ke upar definitive breakout ya key support levels jaise 158.30 ke neeche breakdown ka intezaar kiya jaye. 162.00 ke upar break hone se bullish trend dobara ignite ho sakti hai, jabke support ke neeche break hone se bearish reversal confirm ho sakti hai.

Additionally, traders ko indicators ke beech potential divergences par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki yeh current trend mein underlying weaknesses signal kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar MACD bullish momentum indicate karta hai lekin RSI flat ya bearish ho jata hai, to yeh suggest kar sakta hai ke bullish trend steam lose kar raha hai. Conversely, agar dono indicators align karte hain, to yeh trend ki direction ke strong confirmation provide karega, jo zyada confident trading decisions allow karega.

Summary mein, EUR/JPY pair filhal critical juncture par hai, jahan technical indicators se mixed signals mil rahe hain jo cautious approach suggest karte hain. Traders ko naye positions commit karne se pehle clear direction signs ka intezaar karna chahiye, khaaskar key resistance aur support levels par jo market ke next significant move ko dictate kar sakte hain.

EUR/JPY Analysis: Ascending Channel Insights

Current Market Behavior

EUR/JPY abhi ek ascending channel mein chal raha hai. Yeh technical pattern dikhata hai ke price ek defined range mein upward movement kar rahi hai, jahan ek trendline higher lows ko aur doosri trendline higher highs ko connect karti hai. Abhi price apni direction ko reverse karti hui nazar aa rahi hai aur downside test kar rahi hai. Yeh shift is baat ka ishara hai ke price lower boundary ki taraf decline kar sakti hai. Abhi channel ki lower boundary 162.18 ke aas-paas hai. Agar price is level tak pohnchti hai, toh yeh ek key support point ban sakta hai jahan downward movement ruk sakti hai.

Potential Market Scenario Breakdown

Current Market Behavior:

Price ka recent behavior yeh indicate karta hai ke yeh apne recent highs se pull back kar rahi hai aur ascending channel ki lower boundary ki taraf ja rahi hai. Iska matlab hai ke price ek retracement ke beech hai broader uptrend mein. Jab price 162.18 ke kareeb aayegi, traders ko is support level par kisi bhi reversal ya consolidation ke signs par dhyan dena chahiye.

Potential for Reversal:

162.18 ka level significant hai kyunki yeh ascending channel ki lower boundary ko represent karta hai. History mein, jab price is boundary ke kareeb aayi hai, toh yeh aksar bounce back karti hai aur apni upward trajectory resume karti hai. Isliye, agar price 162.18 tak pohnchti hai, toh yeh possibility hai ke yeh rebound kar sakti hai. Yeh potential reversal renewed buying interest ya technical rebound se ho sakti hai support level se.

Target for Upside Movement:

Agar price 162.18 level se rebound karti hai aur upward movement start karti hai, toh agla key target ascending channel ki upper boundary hoga. Yeh upper boundary filhal 164.36 ke level ke aas-paas hai. 164.36 level potential resistance point ko represent karta hai jahan price ko selling pressure ya temporary halt ka samna karna pad sakta hai upward movement mein.

Technical Considerations:

Support and Resistance Levels: 162.18 level ek critical support level ke roop mein kaam karta hai, jabki 164.36 level primary resistance hai. Traders ko price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye in levels ke aas-paas breakout ya reversal ke signs ke liye. Agar 162.18 se successful bounce hota hai, toh 164.36 tak test hone ki ummeed hai. Wahi agar 162.18 par hold nahi hota, toh aur decline ka signal mil sakta hai.

Trend Analysis: Ascending channel ek overall bullish trend ko indicate karta hai, lekin is trend ke andar consolidation aur retracement ke periods bhi hain. Temporary corrections aur significant trend changes ke beech mein farq karna zaroori hai. 162.18 se bounce aur subsequent rise to 164.36 ongoing bullish trend ko reinforce karega.

Volume and Momentum: Volume aur momentum indicators ka observation additional insights provide kar sakta hai price movement ke strength ke baare mein. Agar 162.18 se bounce ke dauran volume increase hota hai, toh yeh strong buying interest ko signal kar sakta hai aur 164.36 tak pohnchne ki likelihood ko validate kar sakta hai. Similarly, agar decline ke dauran volume decrease hota hai, toh downward pressure ke kam hone ka indication mil sakta hai.

Risk Management:

Channel ke andar trading karte waqt effective risk management zaroori hai. Agar aap 162.18 level par long position consider kar rahe hain, toh ensure karein ke aap ek stop-loss set karein is level ke neeche potential risks ko manage karne ke liye. Wahi agar aap channel ke upper boundary par short kar rahe hain, toh stop-loss ko 164.36 level ke upar rakhna prudent hoga.

Summary:

Summary ke taur par, EUR/JPY pair filhal hourly chart par ek ascending channel ke andar navigate kar raha hai. Price ab downward movement start kar chuki hai aur support level 162.18 ke kareeb aa rahi hai. Yeh level significant hai kyunki yeh channel ki lower boundary ko represent karta hai, jahan reversal ya bounce ho sakti hai. Agar price reverse hoti hai aur upar ki taraf move karti hai, toh target 164.36 tak ki upper boundary hogi

Correction pehle hi ki ja chuki hai range 163.90 tak, aur iske baad mazeed mazbooti barqarar reh sakti hai. Support level 160.00 par, lekin is se hum khareedari kar sakte hain. Agar range 164.00 ka tohna mumkin ho jaye, toh mazbooti barqarar rahegi. Buyers ne qeemat ko upar ki taraf barhane ki koshish ki thi, aur woh range 159.50 ko torne mein kamyab hue, lekin iske baad girawat jari rahi. 160.45 par aik ghalat breakout ban sakta hai, iske baad mazbooti dobara shuru ho sakti hai. Mumkin hai ke hum range 161.40 ka breakout hasil karein, phir mazbooti barqarar rahegi
Mazbooti abhi bhi thori der ke liye mazeed barqarar reh sakti hai range 162.60 tak, aur hum isko tor sakte hain, aur iske baad mazbooti barqarar rahegi. Shayad ek chhota sa impulse upar ki taraf 162.60 tak ho, phir iske baad girawat jari rahegi. Yeh mumkin hai ke chhoti si barhahat ke baad girawat phir se jari rahe, kyun ke bazaar janubi rukh lene laga hai. Humne aik aur correction ki hai aur girawat ke mazeed barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai. Ab tak, sellers aasani se haar nahi maantay aur qeemat ko mazeed neeche kheench rahe hain, aur hum 161.05 ka ek breakout hasil karenge EURJPY aaj khoobsurti se support level 161.20 tak wapas aya, aur wahan se shimal ki taraf, resistance level 162.71 ki taraf barhna jari rakha. Iss waqt, qeemat 162.59 par muqarrar hai, jo ke resistance level se thora qareeb hai, lekin agar bulls qeemat ko upar dhakelna jari rakhte hain, toh yeh level test hoga, aur shayad tor bhi diya jaye. Agar bears pehl karnay mein kamyab ho jate hain, toh iss surat mein, level 162.71 ke neechay sell ke liye entry point banega, aur qeemat janub ki taraf mur jayegi, lekin abhi tak aise koi signals nahi milay hain. Daily chart par iss waqt aik bullish candle ban chuki hai, aur woh bhi kafi strong hai, isliye "clubfooted" ke liye isay kamzor karna aasan nahi hoga. Lekin, mojudah bullish momentum ke bawajood, traders ko ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye kyun ke medium-term trend analysis ek reversal ka imkaan zahir karta hai. Kai indicators is baat ki taraf ishara karte hain ke upward movement mein slowdown a sakta hai, jo bearish reversal ki wajah ban sakta hai. Misal ke tor par, relative strength index (RSI) overbought territory ke qareeb hai, jo ke is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke pair correction ke liye tayar ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, stochastic oscillator bhi signal kar raha hai ke pair ek exhaustion point ke qareeb hai, jahan buying pressure kam ho sakta hai, jis se pullback ho sakta hai. Fundamental factors bhi EUR/JPY pair ki mustaqbil ki simt ka taayun karne mein aham kirdar ada karte hain. Euro ko support mila hua hai

EUR/JPY H1 chart

ECB ka Mawqif: European side par, ECB ke policymaker Martins Kazaks September meeting mein ek aur interest rate hike par baat karne ke liye tayyar thay. ECB Eurozone mein mehngai ko control karne ke liye pehle bhi rate hike kar chuka hai, aur Kazaks ke comments se maloom hota hai ke ECB abhi bhi inflationary risks ke hawale se mutma'in nahi hai aur zaroorat parne par mazeed qadam uthane ko tayyar hai. ECB ka yeh sakht rukh Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke ehtiyaati rujhan se bilkul mukhtalif hai, jis ke natijay mein Euro yen ke muqablay mein mazeed mazboot ho sakta hai agar ECB rate barhate rehne ka faisla karta hai aur BoJ apni narm policy par qayam rehta hai Bazaar ka Re-action aur Outlook: BoJ aur ECB ki monetary policy ke hawale se mukhtalif tawakkuat ke natijay mein EUR/JPY pair mein utar chadhao dekhne ko mila hai. Yeh pair 161.95 ke aas paas momentum kho chuki hai, lekin dono central banks ki taraf se anewale updates ke liye ab bhi sensitive hai. Agar BoJ tightening ki taraf ishara karta hai, toh yen mazboot ho sakta hai aur yeh pair neeche aa sakta hai. Waisa hi, agar ECB apne sakht rukh par qayam rahta hai, toh euro yen ke muqablay mein mazeed mazboot ho sakta hai. Tajiron ko mazeed iqtisadi data aur central banks ki meetings par nazar rakhni chahiye ta ke EUR/JPY pair ki mustaqbil ki simt ke hawale se koi ishara mil sake
EUR/JPY pair mein haali girawat ke peeche kai asbaab ho sakte hain, jin mein bazaar ke rawaiye mein tabdeeli, iqtisadi data ki jaari shuda reporten, geo-siyasi waqiaat, aur monetary policy ke hawale se tawakkuat shamil hain. Euro aur yen, dono hi bare currencies hain jo in tabdeeliyaan se mutasir hoti hain, jo ke un ke exchange rates mein apne wasee iqtisadi tanazur ke andar zahir hoti hain Forex Market mein Barhtay Hue Utar Chadh: Haal hi mein, forex market mein barhtee hui volatility dekhi gayi hai, jo interest rates, inflation, aur iqtisadi nashonuma ke hawale se mukhtalif tawakkuat ki wajah se hai, jo ke Eurozone aur Japan, dono mein payi jati hain. European Central Bank (ECB) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne mukhtalif monetary policy apnaayi hui hain, ECB apni policy ko dheere dheere sakht kar raha hai ta ke mehngai ko rok sake, jabke BoJ zyada narmi ka rukh apnaay hue hai ta ke iqtisadi taraqqi ko stimulate kar sake. Yeh mukhtalif policies EUR/JPY pair mein fluctuations ka sabab bani hain aur is ki haali girawat mein bhi aham kirdar ada kiya hai

EUR/JPY Technical Analysis
EUR/JPY currency pair filhal daily timeframe par aik complex technical setup dikhayi de rahi hai. Haal hi mein hui bullish movement kaafi had tak ek corrective phase mein lag rahi hai, aur price key resistance levels ko break karne mein struggle kar rahi hai. Khaaskar, pair EMA 7 daily par resistance ka saamna kar rahi hai, jo ke lower Bollinger Band se rejection ke baad se hai. Yeh resistance level bulls ke liye challenging sabit hua hai, jaise ke recent bearish candlestick pattern se zahir hai jo is key moving average ke neeche close hua.

Strong bearish reversal ka potential nazar aa raha hai, lekin confirmation lower timeframes se zaroori hai taake traders confidently short positions le saken. Agar price continue karti hai decline, to sabse nazdeek support level 158.30 hai. Yeh level bears ke liye testing ground ban sakta hai, jahan break karne se deeper correction ka signal mil sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar corrective movement continue hoti hai, to price EMA 255 daily tak rise kar sakti hai, jo ke 162.42 ke aas-paas hai. Yeh level next significant resistance banega, jahan bullish momentum ko phir se challenges ka saamna karna pad sakta hai.

Indicators ki perspective se, stochastic oscillator filhal sharp rise dikhayi de raha hai, jo overbought area ke near 80 level tak approach kar raha hai. Yeh market mein ab bhi kuch bullish momentum hone ka signal hai. Lekin, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 level ke aas-paas rejection ke signs dikhane lag gaya hai, jo aam tor par bearish pressure ke dobara ubharne ka indication hota hai. In dono indicators ke beech divergence—stochastic bullish potential suggest karta hai aur RSI bearish outlook signal karta hai—uncertainty ko barhata hai, jo immediate direction of the pair ko high confidence ke saath predict karna mushkil bana deta hai.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) aur RSI indicators market ki current indecision ko aur emphasize karte hain. MACD sideways movement dikhayi de raha hai, jo kisi bhi direction mein strong momentum ki kami ko reflect karta hai. Yeh flat momentum yeh suggest karta hai ke bulls recent recovery ke baad ek breather le rahe hain, lekin yeh bhi strong resistance ko highlight karta hai 162.00 level ke aas-paas, jahan previous bullish attempts ko consistently reject kiya gaya hai. RSI neutral hai, na to overbought na oversold territory mein, jo market ke consolidation phase mein hone ka idea reinforce karta hai, na ke kisi strong direction mein trending.

In mixed signals ko dekhte hue, traders ko naye positions lene se pehle ehtiyaat baratni chahiye. Current market setup yeh suggest karta hai ke consolidation period zyada likely hai, clear trend direction se zyada. Confident trade setup establish karne ke liye, yeh behtar hoga ke 162.00 resistance level ke upar definitive breakout ya key support levels jaise 158.30 ke neeche breakdown ka intezaar kiya jaye. 162.00 ke upar break hone se bullish trend dobara ignite ho sakti hai, jabke support ke neeche break hone se bearish reversal confirm ho sakti hai.

Additionally, traders ko indicators ke beech potential divergences par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki yeh current trend mein underlying weaknesses signal kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar MACD bullish momentum indicate karta hai lekin RSI flat ya bearish ho jata hai, to yeh suggest kar sakta hai ke bullish trend steam lose kar raha hai. Conversely, agar dono indicators align karte hain, to yeh trend ki direction ke strong confirmation provide karega, jo zyada confident trading decisions allow karega.

Summary mein, EUR/JPY pair filhal critical juncture par hai, jahan technical indicators se mixed signals mil rahe hain jo cautious approach suggest karte hain. Traders ko naye positions commit karne se pehle clear direction signs ka intezaar karna chahiye, khaaskar key resistance aur support levels par jo market ke next significant move ko dictate kar sakte hain.