𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐉𝐏𝐘

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EUR/JPY currency pair ki movement ne corrective phase mein entry ka signal diya hai, jo ke recent trading pattern mein ek notable shift ko mark karta hai. Pair ne substantial losses ka samna kiya hai, aur lagbhag 170.383 tak gir gaya hai. Ye girawat EUR/JPY pair ke liye ek critical juncture hai, kyunki ab yeh 173.90-173.73 ke pivotal support level ke aas-paas stabilize ho raha hai.

Ye support zone EUR/JPY pair ke future direction ko determine karne mein crucial hai. Traders aur analysts is pair ke behavior ko closely monitor karenge jab yeh is barrier se interact karega. Is support level ki significance ko overstate nahi kiya ja sakta, kyunki yeh overall market trend ke liye ek critical indicator hai. Agar pair successfully is level ko test karta hai aur iske upar rehta hai, to yeh potential rebound ya stabilization ka signal de sakta hai. Iske opposite, agar yeh level breach ho jata hai, to yeh further declines aur corrective trend ki continuation ko signal kar sakta hai.

EUR/JPY pair ki recent decline ka sabab kai factors ka combination hai, jisme market sentiment ke changes, economic data, geopolitical events, aur monetary policy expectations shamil hain. Euro aur yen, dono major currencies hain, jo in developments ke liye sensitive hain, aur inka exchange rate broader economic landscape ko reflect karta hai.

Recent weeks mein, forex market ne increased volatility ka samna kiya hai, jo interest rates, inflation, aur economic growth ke varied expectations se driven hai, Eurozone aur Japan dono mein. European Central Bank (ECB) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne divergent monetary policy stances adopt kiye hain, jahan ECB gradually apni policy ko tighten kar raha hai rising inflation ke response mein, jabke BoJ ek zyada accommodative approach maintain kar raha hai economic growth ko stimulate karne ke liye. Ye contrasting policies EUR/JPY pair mein fluctuations create kar rahi hain, jo iski recent downward movement ka ek sabab hai.

Jab traders agle steps assess karenge, EUR/JPY pair ka behavior 173.90-173.73 ke support level ke around critical hoga. Agar pair is level ko successfully test kar leta hai aur rebound karta hai, to yeh indicate kar sakta hai ke pair floor ko find kar raha hai, jo recovery ki taraf lead kar sakta hai. Ye scenario suggest karega ke corrective phase apne end ke nazdeek hai aur pair ek upward trajectory resume kar sakta hai.

Agar aap is trend aur indicators ko visualize karna chahte hain, to attached image ko refer karen. Image par click karne se aap ek larger view dekh sakte hain, jo current market conditions aur relevant indicators ko clearer perspective deta hai.

In summary, EUR/JPY currency pair ab ek critical support level 173.90-173.73 ke aas-paas hai, jo future direction ko determine karne mein crucial role play karega. Is level ke upar successful stabilization ya rebound potential recovery ko signal kar sakta hai, jabke level breach hona further declines aur corrective trend ko signal kar sakta hai. Market ki volatility aur economic factors ko samajhte hue, traders ko is support zone ke around ke behavior par nazar rakhni chahiye aur apne trading decisions ko accordingly adjust karna chahiye.

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EUR/JPY Analysis: Ascending Channel Insights

Current Market Behavior

EUR/JPY abhi ek ascending channel mein chal raha hai. Yeh technical pattern dikhata hai ke price ek defined range mein upward movement kar rahi hai, jahan ek trendline higher lows ko aur doosri trendline higher highs ko connect karti hai. Abhi price apni direction ko reverse karti hui nazar aa rahi hai aur downside test kar rahi hai. Yeh shift is baat ka ishara hai ke price lower boundary ki taraf decline kar sakti hai. Abhi channel ki lower boundary 162.18 ke aas-paas hai. Agar price is level tak pohnchti hai, toh yeh ek key support point ban sakta hai jahan downward movement ruk sakti hai.

Potential Market Scenario Breakdown

Current Market Behavior:

Price ka recent behavior yeh indicate karta hai ke yeh apne recent highs se pull back kar rahi hai aur ascending channel ki lower boundary ki taraf ja rahi hai. Iska matlab hai ke price ek retracement ke beech hai broader uptrend mein. Jab price 162.18 ke kareeb aayegi, traders ko is support level par kisi bhi reversal ya consolidation ke signs par dhyan dena chahiye.

Potential for Reversal:

162.18 ka level significant hai kyunki yeh ascending channel ki lower boundary ko represent karta hai. History mein, jab price is boundary ke kareeb aayi hai, toh yeh aksar bounce back karti hai aur apni upward trajectory resume karti hai. Isliye, agar price 162.18 tak pohnchti hai, toh yeh possibility hai ke yeh rebound kar sakti hai. Yeh potential reversal renewed buying interest ya technical rebound se ho sakti hai support level se.

Target for Upside Movement:

Agar price 162.18 level se rebound karti hai aur upward movement start karti hai, toh agla key target ascending channel ki upper boundary hoga. Yeh upper boundary filhal 164.36 ke level ke aas-paas hai. 164.36 level potential resistance point ko represent karta hai jahan price ko selling pressure ya temporary halt ka samna karna pad sakta hai upward movement mein.

Technical Considerations:

Support and Resistance Levels: 162.18 level ek critical support level ke roop mein kaam karta hai, jabki 164.36 level primary resistance hai. Traders ko price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye in levels ke aas-paas breakout ya reversal ke signs ke liye. Agar 162.18 se successful bounce hota hai, toh 164.36 tak test hone ki ummeed hai. Wahi agar 162.18 par hold nahi hota, toh aur decline ka signal mil sakta hai.

Trend Analysis: Ascending channel ek overall bullish trend ko indicate karta hai, lekin is trend ke andar consolidation aur retracement ke periods bhi hain. Temporary corrections aur significant trend changes ke beech mein farq karna zaroori hai. 162.18 se bounce aur subsequent rise to 164.36 ongoing bullish trend ko reinforce karega.

Volume and Momentum: Volume aur momentum indicators ka observation additional insights provide kar sakta hai price movement ke strength ke baare mein. Agar 162.18 se bounce ke dauran volume increase hota hai, toh yeh strong buying interest ko signal kar sakta hai aur 164.36 tak pohnchne ki likelihood ko validate kar sakta hai. Similarly, agar decline ke dauran volume decrease hota hai, toh downward pressure ke kam hone ka indication mil sakta hai.

Risk Management:

Channel ke andar trading karte waqt effective risk management zaroori hai. Agar aap 162.18 level par long position consider kar rahe hain, toh ensure karein ke aap ek stop-loss set karein is level ke neeche potential risks ko manage karne ke liye. Wahi agar aap channel ke upper boundary par short kar rahe hain, toh stop-loss ko 164.36 level ke upar rakhna prudent hoga.

Summary:

Summary ke taur par, EUR/JPY pair filhal hourly chart par ek ascending channel ke andar navigate kar raha hai. Price ab downward movement start kar chuki hai aur support level 162.18 ke kareeb aa rahi hai. Yeh level significant hai kyunki yeh channel ki lower boundary ko represent karta hai, jahan reversal ya bounce ho sakti hai. Agar price reverse hoti hai aur upar ki taraf move karti hai, toh target 164.36 tak ki upper boundary hogi.

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EUR/JPY Technical Analysis

EUR/JPY currency pair filhal daily timeframe par aik complex technical setup dikhayi de rahi hai. Haal hi mein hui bullish movement kaafi had tak ek corrective phase mein lag rahi hai, aur price key resistance levels ko break karne mein struggle kar rahi hai. Khaaskar, pair EMA 7 daily par resistance ka saamna kar rahi hai, jo ke lower Bollinger Band se rejection ke baad se hai. Yeh resistance level bulls ke liye challenging sabit hua hai, jaise ke recent bearish candlestick pattern se zahir hai jo is key moving average ke neeche close hua.

Strong bearish reversal ka potential nazar aa raha hai, lekin confirmation lower timeframes se zaroori hai taake traders confidently short positions le saken. Agar price continue karti hai decline, to sabse nazdeek support level 158.30 hai. Yeh level bears ke liye testing ground ban sakta hai, jahan break karne se deeper correction ka signal mil sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar corrective movement continue hoti hai, to price EMA 255 daily tak rise kar sakti hai, jo ke 162.42 ke aas-paas hai. Yeh level next significant resistance banega, jahan bullish momentum ko phir se challenges ka saamna karna pad sakta hai.

Indicators ki perspective se, stochastic oscillator filhal sharp rise dikhayi de raha hai, jo overbought area ke near 80 level tak approach kar raha hai. Yeh market mein ab bhi kuch bullish momentum hone ka signal hai. Lekin, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 level ke aas-paas rejection ke signs dikhane lag gaya hai, jo aam tor par bearish pressure ke dobara ubharne ka indication hota hai. In dono indicators ke beech divergence—stochastic bullish potential suggest karta hai aur RSI bearish outlook signal karta hai—uncertainty ko barhata hai, jo immediate direction of the pair ko high confidence ke saath predict karna mushkil bana deta hai.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) aur RSI indicators market ki current indecision ko aur emphasize karte hain. MACD sideways movement dikhayi de raha hai, jo kisi bhi direction mein strong momentum ki kami ko reflect karta hai. Yeh flat momentum yeh suggest karta hai ke bulls recent recovery ke baad ek breather le rahe hain, lekin yeh bhi strong resistance ko highlight karta hai 162.00 level ke aas-paas, jahan previous bullish attempts ko consistently reject kiya gaya hai. RSI neutral hai, na to overbought na oversold territory mein, jo market ke consolidation phase mein hone ka idea reinforce karta hai, na ke kisi strong direction mein trending.

In mixed signals ko dekhte hue, traders ko naye positions lene se pehle ehtiyaat baratni chahiye. Current market setup yeh suggest karta hai ke consolidation period zyada likely hai, clear trend direction se zyada. Confident trade setup establish karne ke liye, yeh behtar hoga ke 162.00 resistance level ke upar definitive breakout ya key support levels jaise 158.30 ke neeche breakdown ka intezaar kiya jaye. 162.00 ke upar break hone se bullish trend dobara ignite ho sakti hai, jabke support ke neeche break hone se bearish reversal confirm ho sakti hai.

Additionally, traders ko indicators ke beech potential divergences par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki yeh current trend mein underlying weaknesses signal kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar MACD bullish momentum indicate karta hai lekin RSI flat ya bearish ho jata hai, to yeh suggest kar sakta hai ke bullish trend steam lose kar raha hai. Conversely, agar dono indicators align karte hain, to yeh trend ki direction ke strong confirmation provide karega, jo zyada confident trading decisions allow karega.

Summary mein, EUR/JPY pair filhal critical juncture par hai, jahan technical indicators se mixed signals mil rahe hain jo cautious approach suggest karte hain. Traders ko naye positions commit karne se pehle clear direction signs ka intezaar karna chahiye, khaaskar key resistance aur support levels par jo market ke next significant move ko dictate kar sakte hain.

European Union/Japanese Yen (EUR/JPY) currency pair ne hal hi mein resurgence dekha hai, jisme teen din ki losing streak ko snap kiya gaya hai, Wednesday ke Asian trading session ke doran. Yeh uptick zyada tar kamzor hoti hui Japanese yen ki wajah se aayi hai, jo ke mulk ke trade balance data ki wajah se hui. Japan ka merchandise trade balance July ke liye 621.84 billion yen ka deficit dikhata hai, jo ke June mein record kiye gaye surplus ke ulat hai. Jab ke yeh deficit market expectations se kam tha, lekin is saal ka paanchwa deficit tha. Imports aur exports ke darmiyan ka farq, jo ke imports ke haq mein hai, yen ke girawat ka sabab bana. Lekin, yen ki girawat kaafi had tak Bank of Japan ki taraf se mazeed interest rate hike ke imkanaat se roki ja sakti hai. Yeh umeed ek recent Reuters poll se mazid barh gayi hai, jisme se adhay se zyada economists ne year-end se pehle rate increase ka andaza lagaya hai. Central bank ke Governor, Kazuo Ueda, ne Friday ko parliament mein recent rate hike faislay par guftagu karni hai.

Eurozone mein, market participants European Central Bank (ECB) ke taraf se interest rates mein gradual reduction ki umeed kar rahe hain. Magar, ECB ke officials ne inflationary pressures ki wajah se kisi specific timeline ka commitment karne mein ehtiyaat se kaam liya hai. Eurozone ke Harmonized Consumer Price Index (HICP) data ne July ke mahine mein koi tabdeeli nahi dikhai, jo ke expectations ke mutabiq tha.

Aagay dekhte hue, traders ab eurozone aur German Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data ka intizar kar rahe hain, jo Thursday ko release hoga. Eurozone ka HCOB composite PMI thora decline dikhane ka imkaan hai, pichlay level se thoda neeche. EUR/JPY pair ne guzishta chand mahino mein volatility dekhi hai, jisme July mein 32 saal ki unchi level ko chhu kar significant correction hui. Pair ka current recovery market analysts ke nazar mein hai, jisme 200-day simple moving average ek key technical level ban gaya hai. Agar pair ka upward momentum weak hota hai, to 160.40 aur 158.06 ke support levels asar mein aa sakte hain. Dusri taraf, agar 200-day SMA break hota hai, to mazeed gains ka raasta khul sakta hai, aur resistance levels 165.34 aur 167.50 ke aas paas ho sakte hain.

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EUR/JPY H1 Chart

Kamiyab traders wo hain jo yeh maan chuke hain ke koi bhi trading system hamesha achi kaam nahi karega. Yeh isliye hota hai ke market ka character kabhi bhi badal sakta hai. Pichle saal ho sakta hai hamara system behtareen kaam kar raha ho, lekin is saal yeh zaroori nahi ke waisa hi ho. Iska sabab kai cheezein ho sakti hain, jaise ke abhi US mein jo siyasi uthal-puthal chal rahi hai, iska market par asar pad raha hai aur market ka character bhi badal raha hai. Misal ke taur par, agar aam taur par hamara stop loss 100 pips hota hai, toh aise waqt mein yeh 200 pips bhi ho sakta hai. Humein aise cheezein samajhni chahiye taake hum risk ko kam kar sakein aur market ki halat se behak na jayein.

Acha trading system kaise dhundhein? Aisa system dhundhein jo simple ho aur sirf 1 ya 2 indicators use karta ho, taake market ko analyze karte waqt hum confuse na hon. Aise system ka intekhab karein jiska risk aur reward ratio kam se kam 1:2 ho. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar 10 analysis mein se 7 galat bhi hote hain, tab bhi aakhirat mein hum profit kama sakte hain. Sabse zaroori baat yeh hai ke 100% accuracy rate wale trading system ki umeed na rakhein, kyunki aisa kuch bhi nahi hota. Isliye, agar hum 1:2 ka risk aur reward ratio apply karte hain, toh 7 out of 10 sahi analysis bhi kaafi hain.

EUR/JPY Currency Pair Update

European Union/Japanese Yen (EUR/JPY) currency pair ne haal hi mein ek taza chadhai dekhi hai, jismein Asian trading session mein teen din ki girawat ke baad izafa hua. Yeh izafa zyada tar Japanese yen ke kamzor hone ki wajah se hai, jo ke desh ke trade balance data ke chalte hua. Japan ki merchandise trade balance July ke mahine ke liye 621.84 billion yen ka deficit dikhayi, jo ke June mein surplus se ulta hai. Halankeh yeh deficit bazaar ki ummeed se kam tha, lekin yeh is saal ka paanchwa deficit tha. Imports aur exports ke darmiyan farq, jo imports ke haq mein hai, yen ki kami ka sabab bana hai. Lekin, yen ki kami ko Bank of Japan ke doosre interest rate hike ke imkaan se kuch had tak control kiya ja sakta hai. Iski ummeed ek recent Reuters poll se milti hai, jismein se aadhe se zyada economists ne saal ke end se pehle rate increase ka prediction diya hai. Central bank ke Governor, Kazuo Ueda, Friday ko parliament ke saamne aakar ke recent rate hike ka faisla discuss karenge.

Eurozone mein, market participants ko ummeed hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) dheere dheere interest rates ko kam karega. Lekin, ECB ke officials ne rate cuts ke specific timeline ko commit karte waqt caution barqarar rakha hai, aur inflationary pressures ka zikr kiya hai. Eurozone ke Harmonized Consumer Price Index (HICP) data July ke liye monthly basis par same raha, jo ke expectations ke mutabiq tha.

**EUR/JPY H1 Chart**

Kamiyab traders wo hain jo yeh tasleem kar chuke hain ke koi bhi trading system hamesha ke liye achha kaam nahi karega. Aur kyun? Kyunki market ka character kabhi bhi badal sakta hai. Pichle saal hamara system shayad optimal kaam karta ho, lekin is saal yeh zaroori nahi ke wahi kaam kare. Iska sabab kuch factors ho sakte hain, jaise ke aajkal US mein chal raha siyasi halchal, jo market pe asar daal raha hai aur market ka character bhi badal raha hai. Misal ke taur par, pehle hum 100 pips ka stop loss rakhte the, lekin ab aise waqt mein yeh 200 pips tak bhi ho sakta hai. Humein aisi cheezon ka sha'oor hona chahiye taake hum apne risk ko kam kar sakein aur market ki halat se bewajah mutasir na hon.

Acha trading system dhoondhne ka tareeqa yeh hai ke ek simple system talaash karein, jo sirf 1 ya 2 indicators use kare taake hum market ko analyze karte waqt zyada confused na hon. Aur aisa system dhoondein jisme risk aur reward ratio kam az kam 1:2 ho taake agar 10 analysis mein se 7 ghalat bhi hon, to aakhir mein hum phir bhi munafa hasil kar sakein. Sab se ahem yeh hai ke kabhi bhi 100% accuracy wali trading system ki umeed na rakhein kyun ke aisi cheez mojud nahi. Agar 10 mein se 7 analysis sahi ho to yeh kaafi hai agar hum risk aur reward ratio ko theek se lagate hain.

**EUR/JPY** currency pair ne recent resurgence ka tajurba kiya hai aur Asian trading session mein Wednesday ko teen din ki losing streak ko khatam kiya hai. Is uptick ka sabab kamzor hota Japanese yen hai, jo ke Japan ke trade balance data ki wajah se hai. Japan ke July ka merchandise trade balance deficit mein tha, 621.84 billion yen ka, jo ke June ke surplus se ulat tha. Yeh deficit market expectations se kam tha, lekin is saal ka paanchwan deficit tha. Imports aur exports ke darmiyan farq, jo imports ke haq mein hai, yen ke girawat ka sabab bana. Lekin, yen ki girawat ko Bank of Japan ki agli interest rate hike ke badhne ke imkaan ne kamzor kar diya hai. Ek haali Reuters poll ke mutabiq, aadhe se zyada economists ne saal ke khatam hone se pehle rate hike ka imkaan zahir kiya hai. Bank ke Governor, Kazuo Ueda, Friday ko parliament ke samnay recent rate hike faislay pe guftagu karenge.

Eurozone mein, market participants European Central Bank (ECB) se dheemi interest rate cut ki umeed rakhtay hain. Lekin ECB officials rate cuts ka specific timeline dene mein ehtiyaat barat rahe hain, inflationary pressures ki wajah se. Eurozone ka Harmonized Consumer Price Index (HICP) data July ke liye monthly basis par koi tabdeeli nahi dikhata, jo ke expectations ke mutabiq hai.

EUR/JPY H1 Chart Analysis

EUR/JPY ka H1 chart dekha jaye toh lagta hai ke yeh currency pair Seller ke dabao mein hai. Yeh is baat se zahir hota hai ke iski price movement EMA 200 ke neeche hai, lekin Bullish 123 pattern ka nazar aana aur kuch Bullish Ross Hook (RH) ka tasalsul, aur uske baad price movement ka WMA 20 By High ke upar hona yeh sab is baat ki nishani hai ke abhi EUR/JPY mein aik mazid taghdiee correction ho rahi hai. Jo ab 162.94 ke level ko test aur break karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Agar yeh level successfuly break hota hai toh agla target 163.93 ka hoga, aur agar momentum aur volatility isko support karte hain, toh agla target 165.75 hoga. Lekin ehtiyaat zaroori hai kyunke ek Rising Wedge pattern ka zahoor aur EUR/JPY ki price movement ke darmiyan ikhtilaf (deviation) ka hona, jahan EUR/JPY ne higher-high condition banaya, magar Awesome Oscillator indicator ne higher-low form kiya, yeh condition aindah mazeed kamzori ka ishara deti hai, khaskar agar 160.50 ke level ke neeche mazeed kamzori hoti hai. Kyunke agar yeh level neeche ki taraf successfully break hota hai toh pehle se described sabh strengthening correction scenarios khatam ho jayenge aur apne aap cancel ho jayenge.






Kya Yeh Izafa Jaari Reh Sakta Hai

Yeh hum jald hi dekh lenge. Kal ke liye live ranges kya hain? Sell zone (154.50–159.50) aur buy zone (159.60–164.65). Is waqt EUR/JPY ka technical price sleep ka 161.50 hai. Meri raaye mein, is halat mein kahin bhi position kholna aik ghalat faisla hoga. Agar kisi ko apni baat ka yaqeen hai toh intekhab aapka hai. Pehle din ke kaam ka asool do benchmarks par mabni hai, aur unse mein orders kholna shuru karunga. Humne apne liye do belts allocate kiye hain: 161.25 aur 162.50. Yeh woh range hai jisme hum ping-pong ball ki tarah idhar-udhar bhaag sakte hain. Agar hum in limits mein zigzags karte rehte hain, toh mein entry par bhi hilta nahi. Lekin agar 161.25 ke neeche breakout hota hai, toh sellers ke paas apni aggression aur girawat dikhane ka mauqa hoga. Iss surat mein, main sale orders kholunga. Short term mein pehla aur aham target 160.40 hai. Yeh faasla kaafi acha hai, aur agar halaat mazeed behtar hote hain toh yeh hasil karna acha rahega. Ek aur deep point of decline bhi hai (159.60), magar mujhe yakin nahi ke woh aik din mein itni rapidly neeche ja sakein. Dusra option rise ka hai, aur yahaan humare paas 162.50 aik indicator hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke pehle +100 points ka izafa ho, magar yeh abhi bhi meri shakhsiyat mein shak ka baes hai ke yeh jaldi upar ja sakta hai. Aik na khushgawar manzar hoga agar hum upar jaane lagen, aur 162.50 ka breakthrough hone se pehle hi wapas silently decline shuru kardein. Kher, sabse zaroori baat yeh hai ke plan ready hai, aur ab dekhenge ke speculators humein kaam ke entry points kaha provide karte hain. Sab ko hidayat karta hoon ke jaldi mat karein aur akalmandi se distance pakrein.

EUR/JPY Exchange Rate ka Aindah Tajziyah

Is chart mein aap EUR/JPY exchange rate ka tajziyah dekh sakte hain. EUR/JPY mein kuch had tak breakthrough nazar aa raha hai, lekin abhi tak koi waazeh breakthrough nahi hua. Mujhe lagta hai ke candles na to badi hain aur na hi khaas, is liye yahan kisi impulse ki baat nahi ho sakti. Yeh situation ko seriously asar andaz kar sakta hai aur direction ko tabdeel kar sakta hai, jo ke abhi downward hi lagta hai. Mera yeh andaza hai ke bull 161.66-161.74 ke resistance zone ko tor sakta hai, sirf ek hi wajah se: humare paas aik bohot mazboot uptrend hai jo ke abhi tak break nahi hua. Mere khayal mein 161.74-161.86 ka resistance zone kaafi strong hai, is liye mein 30 percent ka chance deta hoon ke hum southern journey par ja sakte hain. Lekin bear ke liye itne strong trend ke against move karna mushkil hoga, is liye filhal mein north ki taraf jane ko ziada mumkin samajhta hoon, magar mein tab tak kharidari par ghaur nahi karunga jab tak price 162.70-163.65 ke resistance zone ke upar consolidate nhoti hoti





Lekin yeh itna important nahi ke aap in par depend kar ke trading karein. Mere khayal mein Euro ke liye interest rate aur Central Bank ke sarbarah ka khitaab ziada ahmiyat rakh sakta hai; kuch economic data inflation par bhi asar dal sakta hai. Agle hafte, mein yeh ummed karta hoon ke price kam az kam 159.31 ke level tak decline karegi; yeh woh level hai jahan descending channel ki lower boundary hai jisme yeh pair move kar raha hai. Mein 162.14 ko resistance ka maximum level mark karunga, aur jab tak yeh level upar ki taraf break nahi hota, decline sabse behtar option rahega. Magar humne abhi tak woh short initiative kaam mein nahi laya jo collapse ke doran hua tha. Yeh bhi dekhna chahiye ke aur bhi neeche ke targets hain. Lekin kisi tarah mujhe northern future par yakeen nahi hai; noise ke andar, yeh baghair kisi khaas breakthrough ke upar gaye, halan ke yahan koi serious scale ki resistances bhi nahi hain. Mera khayal hai ke hum dobara 160.00 ke mark tak neeche jane ki koshish karenge ya iske qareeb pohonchne ki koshish karenge.

EUR/JPY H1 Chart ka Tajziyah

ECB ka Mawqif:European front par, ECB ke policymaker Martins Kazaks ne September ke meeting mein aik aur interest rate hike par baat karne ke liye tayari dikhayi hai. ECB Eurozone mein barhti hui mehngai ka samna kar raha hai, aur pehle bhi rate hikes ke zariye price pressures ko kam karne ki koshish ki gayi hai. Kazaks ke comments yeh dikhate hain ke ECB ab bhi inflationary risks se mutma'in nahi hai aur zaroorat parne par mazeed action lene ke liye tayar hai. ECB ka yeh hawkish outlook BoJ ke ehtiyaati rawayya se mukhtalif hai, jisse yeh dynamic paida hoti hai ke agar ECB apne rate hikes jari rakhta hai aur BoJ apne accommodative stance par qayam rehta hai, to Euro Yen ke muqablay mein mazid mazboot ho sakta hai.

Market ka Reaction aur Outlook:BoJ aur ECB ke monetary policy expectations mein faasla EUR/JPY pair mein utar charhao ka sabab bana hai. Yeh pair 161.95 ke qareeb momentum kho baitha, magar dono central banks se updates ke liye ab bhi sensitive hai. Agar BoJ apni monetary policy ko tighten karne ki taraf ishara karta hai, to is se Yen mazid mazboot ho sakta hai, jisse pair neeche jasakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar ECB apni hawkish stance par qayam rehta hai, to Euro Yen ke muqablay mein aur zyada gain kar sakta hai. Traders ko aanay walay economic data aur central bank meetings par nazar rakhni chahiye taake EUR/JPY pair ke future direction ka andaza lagaya ja sake.






Market ka Tajziyah: Hal hi mein EUR/JPY pair mein girawat ke peechay kai factors hain, jin mein market sentiment ka shift, economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur monetary policy ke hawalay se expectations shamil hain. Euro aur Yen donon hi ahem currencies hain aur in developments ke liye sensitive hain, jo ke inke exchange rates par asar dalte hain. Forex market mein barhti hui volatility ka asar bhi EUR/JPY pair par hua hai, jo ke Eurozone aur Japan mein interest rates, inflation, aur economic growth ke hawalay se mukhtalif expectations se driven hai. ECB aur BoJ ke mukhtalif monetary policy approaches ne EUR/JPY pair mein fluctuations paida ki hain aur iske recent decline mein ahem kirdar ada kiya hai.

Ek correction pehle hi range 163.90 ke liye kiya gaya hai aur uske baad mazid taqat barh sakti hai. Support level 160.00 tak, lekin wahan se hum khareed sakte hain. Agar range 164.00 ko todna mumkin hua, to taqat barhna jaari rahega. Buyers ne price ko upar le jane ki koshish ki aur range 159.50 ko tod diya, lekin uske baad girawat jaari rahi. Range 160.45 ka ek jhootha breakout ho sakta hai, uske baad taqat barh sakti hai. Shayad hum range 161.40 ka breakout dekhen, to taqat barhna jaari rahega.

Thodi bahut taqat barh sakti hai range 162.60 tak aur agar hum usse todne mein kamiyab hue, to taqat barhna jaari rahegi. Shayad ek choti si udaan dekhne ko mile range 162.60 tak, lekin uske baad girawat jaari rahegi. Aisa lagta hai ke choti si growth ke baad bhi girawat jaari rahegi, kyunki market south ki taraf mod rahi hai. Ek aur correction hui hai aur girawat aage bhi chal sakti hai. Abhi tak, sellers asani se nahi maan rahe aur price ko aage bhi neeche ki taraf kheench rahe hain aur hum 161.05 ka breakout dekh sakte hain.

EURJPY aaj khoobsurati se support level 161.20 par wapas aaya, aur wahan se north ki taraf chalna jaari raha, resistance level 162.71 ki taraf. Filhaal, price 162.59 par fix hai, jo thoda sa resistance level se kam hai, lekin agar bulls price ko upar push karte rahenge, to yeh level test ho sakta hai, aur shayad overcome bhi ho. Agar bears initiative le lete hain, to 162.71 ke neeche ek sell ka entry point banega, aur price south ki taraf mod sakti hai, lekin abhi tak aise signals nahi mile hain. Daily chart par, filhaal ek bullish candle ban chuki hai, aur kaafi strong hai, isliye clubfooted ke liye isse kamzor karna mushkil hoga.

EUR/JPY Forum (Euro/Yen): Charts aur Tajziyat
02/09/2024

EUR/JPY ki movement mein pehli correction range 163.90 tak ho chuki hai, aur iske baad mazid mazbooti ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Support level 160.00 tak girawat ka imkaan hai, lekin yahan se khareedari ka acha moqa mil sakta hai. Agar 164.00 ka range torna mumkin ho gaya, to mazbooti jari rehne ke asar hain. Buyers ne price ko upar le jaane ki koshish ki, aur wo 159.50 ka range torne mein kamyab bhi ho gaye, lekin iske baad price phir gir gayi. 160.45 ka false breakout ho sakta hai, iske baad mazbooti ka silsila dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Shayad 161.40 ka range break ho, jisse mazbooti jari reh sake.

Choti si mazbooti mazeed 162.60 ke range tak jari reh sakti hai aur agar ye range tor di gayi, to mazbooti ka silsila barqarar rahega. Shayad ek choti si upward impulse 162.60 ke range tak ho, lekin iske baad girawat ka silsila jari rehne ke imkaan hain. Aisa ho sakta hai ke choti si growth ke baad girawat jari reh, kyun ke market ka rukh south ki taraf dikhayi de raha hai. Humne ek aur correction dekh li hai aur girawat ke mazeed jari rehne ka imkaan hai. Abhi tak sellers asani se haar nahi maante aur price ko neeche kheench rahe hain, jisse 161.05 ka breakout ho sakta hai.





Aaj EUR/JPY ne khoobsoorti se 161.20 ke support level tak pullback kiya, aur wahan se phir north ki taraf move kiya, 162.71 ke resistance level tak. Filhaal price 162.59 par stable hai, jo ke resistance level se zara neeche hai, lekin agar bulls ne price ko mazeed push kiya, to ye level test hoga, aur shayad break bhi kar de. Agar bears ne initiative haasil kiya, to 162.71 ke level ke neeche sell karne ka acha point milega, aur price south ki taraf move karegi, lekin abhi tak aise signals nahi mile. Daily chart par, filhaal ek bullish candle form ho chuki hai, aur kaafi strong bhi hai, is liye girawat karwana mushkil hoga.

EUR/JPY H4 Chart ka Tajziya

Is char ghanton ki timeframe wale chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke EUR/JPY pair ne expected growth ka pehla target test kar liya hai. Chart par pair ka uptrend zahir ho raha hai. Price Nichimoku cloud ke upar hai, jo ke bullish momentum ka pata deti hai. Aakhri trading session mein, pair northward direction mein move karti rahi. Bullish group ne reversal level ke upar mazid mazbooti haasil kar li, pehla resistance level tod diya, aur ab 162.75 par trade ho rahi hai. Intraday growth ke liye reference point classic pivot reversal level hai. Mera khayal hai ke current price se uptrend barqarar rahegi aur doosray resistance level 165.63 tak pohonch sakti hai. Iske baad consolidation se naya rally start ho sakta hai, jo ke third resistance line ke upar move karte hue 169.86 tak ja sakta hai. Agar bears market mein wapas aate hain, to current chart ke hisay ka reference point 155.81 ka support level hoga.

Lekin, halaan ke filhal bullish momentum zyada hai, traders ko ehtiyat baratni chahiye kyun ke medium-term trend analysis ek reversal ke imkaan ko zahir kar raha hai. Kai indicators dikhate hain ke upward movement mein slowdown aa sakta hai, jo ke bearish reversal ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, relative strength index (RSI) overbought territory ke qareeb hai, jo dikhata hai ke pair mein ek correction due ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, stochastic oscillator bhi ye signal de raha hai ke pair exhaustion point ke qareeb hai, jahan buying pressure kam ho sakta hai aur ek pullback ho sakta hai.






Fundamental factors bhi EUR/JPY pair ke future direction mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain. Euro ko Eurozone se aanay wale strong economic data se support mil rahi hai, khaaskar manufacturing aur consumer sentiment ke areas mein. Magar, European Central Bank (ECB) ki monetary policy mein potential changes ke hawalay se pareshaniyan euro par asar dal sakti hain. Isi tarah, yen par Japan ki ongoing loose monetary policy ka pressure hai, lekin agar Bank of Japan apni stance change karta hai to yen mazboot ho sakta hai, jo EUR/JPY pair mein reversal la sakta hai.

Akhir mein, halaan ke EUR/JPY pair filhal strong bullish momentum zahir kar raha hai, jo ke bullish triangle pattern se driven hai, traders ko medium-term reversal ke imkaan ka khayal rakhna chahiye. Key technical indicators ka dehaan rakhnay aur fundamental developments par nazar rakhnay se is currency pair mein agle moves ko samajhna asaan hoga.

Jumeraat ke din kay liye kaafi zyada macroeconomic events planned hain. Eurozone ka economic calendar khaali hai, lekin UK aur U.S. mein kuch aham reports jari ki jayengi. Aaj Great Britain mein GDP aur industrial production ke data release honge. Halaanki in reports ko market mein khaas ahmiyat nahi di jati, lekin agar asal values forecasts se mukhtalif hoti hain, to thodi si reaction dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Jumeraat ke din ke fundamental events mein sirf ek noteworthy event hai, aur wo hai Federal Reserve ke representative Patrick Harker ka speech. Magar, is haftay ke U.S. inflation reports ke baad, ye mushkil lagta hai ke Harker market ko ye yaqeen dilwa sake ke Fed ne abhi tak key interest rate ka faisla nahi kiya. Market is baat par convinced hai ke September mein rate na sirf reduce hoga, balki 0.5% se kam hoga. Sirf is factor ki buniyad par dollar mein mazeed girawat dekhi ja sakti hai.

U.S. mein retail sales, industrial production, aur unemployment claims par kuch kum ahmiyat wali reports bhi jari hongi. Market ka rujhan abhi donon currency pairs ko buy karne ka hai, is liye U.S. se aanay wale naye kamzor data dollar mein ek aur girawat ka sabab ban sakte hain.






Agar hum 4-hour chart par dekhein, to EUR/JPY cross currency pair par seller pressure nazar aa raha hai, jo ke is baat se zahir hota hai ke price movement apni EMA 200 se neeche hai. Lekin Bullish 123 pattern ka zahoor aur uske baad kai Bullish Ross Hook (RH) ka zahoor is baat ki nishani hai ke EUR/JPY mein filhal ek strengthening correction chal rahi hai, jo ke ab 162.94 ka level test karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Agar ye level upar ki taraf break ho gaya, to agla target 163.93 hoga, aur agar momentum aur volatility support karein, to phir agla target 165.75 ho sakta hai. Lekin ehtiyat baratni chahiye kyun ke Rising Wedge pattern ka zahoor aur EUR/JPY ke price movement mein deviation, jo higher-high condition banata hai jabke Awesome Oscillator indicator higher-low form kar raha hai, ye conditions mazeed kamzori ka indication deti hain. Khaaskar agar girawat 160.50 ke level se neeche break hoti hai, to jo pehle strengthening correction scenarios bataye gaye hain, wo invalid ho jayenge aur apne aap cancel ho jayenge.

EUR/JPY currency pair ki movement ne corrective phase mein entry ka signal diya hai, jo ke recent trading pattern mein ek notable shift ko mark karta hai. Pair ne substantial losses ka samna kiya hai, aur lagbhag 170.383 tak gir gaya hai. Ye girawat EUR/JPY pair ke liye ek critical juncture hai, kyunki ab yeh 173.90-173.73 ke pivotal support level ke aas-paas stabilize ho raha hai.

Ye support zone EUR/JPY pair ke future direction ko determine karne mein crucial hai. Traders aur analysts is pair ke behavior ko closely monitor karenge jab yeh is barrier se interact karega. Is support level ki significance ko overstate nahi kiya ja sakta, kyunki yeh overall market trend ke liye ek critical indicator hai. Agar pair successfully is level ko test karta hai aur iske upar rehta hai, to yeh potential rebound ya stabilization ka signal de sakta hai. Iske opposite, agar yeh level breach ho jata hai, to yeh further declines aur corrective trend ki continuation ko signal kar sakta hai.

EUR/JPY pair ki recent decline ka sabab kai factors ka combination hai, jisme market sentiment ke changes, economic data, geopolitical events, aur monetary policy expectations shamil hain. Euro aur yen, dono major currencies hain, jo in developments ke liye sensitive hain, aur inka exchange rate broader economic landscape ko reflect karta hai.

Recent weeks mein, forex market ne increased volatility ka samna kiya hai, jo interest rates, inflation, aur economic growth ke varied expectations se driven hai, Eurozone aur Japan dono mein. European Central Bank (ECB) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne divergent monetary policy stances adopt kiye hain, jahan ECB gradually apni policy ko tighten kar raha hai rising inflation ke response mein, jabke BoJ ek zyada accommodative approach maintain kar raha hai economic growth ko stimulate karne ke liye. Ye contrasting policies EUR/JPY pair mein fluctuations create kar rahi hain, jo iski recent downward movement ka ek sabab hai.

Jab traders agle steps assess karenge, EUR/JPY pair ka behavior 173.90-173.73 ke support level ke around critical hoga. Agar pair is level ko successfully test kar leta hai aur rebound karta hai, to yeh indicate kar sakta hai ke pair floor ko find kar raha hai, jo recovery ki taraf lead kar sakta hai. Ye scenario suggest karega ke corrective phase apne end ke nazdeek hai aur pair ek upward trajectory resume kar sakta hai.

Agar aap is trend aur indicators ko visualize karna chahte hain, to attached image ko refer karen. Image par click karne se aap ek larger view dekh sakte hain, jo current market conditions aur relevant indicators ko clearer perspective deta hai.

In summary, EUR/JPY currency pair ab ek critical support level 173.90-173.73 ke aas-paas hai, jo future direction ko determine karne mein crucial role play karega. Is level ke upar successful stabilization ya rebound potential recovery ko signal kar sakta hai, jabke level breach hona further declines aur corrective trend ko signal kar sakta hai. Market ki volatility aur economic factors ko samajhte hue, traders ko is support zone ke around ke behavior par nazar rakhni chahiye aur apne trading decisions ko accordingly adjust karna chahiye

EUR/JPY H4 Chart
Assalam o Alaikum! Aaj ka din aap sab ke liye profitable rahe! Abhi ke liye, meri trading strategy jo Heiken Ashi, TMA, aur RSI candlestick indicators par mabni hai, yeh bata rahi hai ke ab currency pair ya instrument ko buy karne ka waqt hai, kyunke system ke agreed signals yeh zahir karte hain ke bulls ne market mein apna asar dikhana shuru kar diya hai, aur ab sirf purchases ko hi priority deni chahiye. Heiken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke traditional Japanese candlesticks ke muqable mein price quotes ko smooth aur average karti hain, humein reversal moments, corrective rollbacks aur impulse shootouts waqt par dekhne mein madad deti hain. TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator, jo ke chart par moving averages ka istemal karke current support aur resistance lines draw karta hai, trading mein bohot madadgar sabit hota hai, kyunke yeh asset ki movement ke boundaries ko dikhata hai. Aakhri decision lene ke liye aur signals ko filter karne ke liye, RSI oscillator ka istemal hota hai, jo ke overbought aur oversold zones ko indicate karta hai. Mere khayal mein, yeh trading instruments ka chunaav technical analysis process ko bohot improve karta hai aur ghalat market entries se bacha sakta hai.

Provided chart par iss pair ki situation yeh hai ke Heikin Ashi candles ne apna color blue kar liya hai, jo ke bullish mood ki taraf ishara hai, aur ab bearish mood par bullish preference di jani chahiye. Price quotes lower boundary of the linear channel (red dotted line) ke beyond chali gayi thi, lekin sabse lowest LOW point ko touch karke unhone apna direction change kar liya aur central line of the channel (yellow dotted line) ki taraf wapas aayi.

Abhi ke liye, price apni upward trajectory continue kar rahi hai aur koi significant downward correction ke asar nahi dikhayi de rahe. Yeh sustained movement yeh batata hai ke bullish momentum abhi bhi strong hai, aur buyers zyada higher levels ko aim kar rahe hain. Jab tak price recently broken resistance, jo ab support ka kaam kar raha hai, ke upar rehti hai, bullish trend continue hone ki umeed hai. Traders ko kisi bhi potential reversal ya correction ke signals par nazar rakhni chahiye, lekin ab tak downward pressure ki kami ke wajah se market abhi bhi bulls ko favor kar raha hai. Price behavior ko 162.444 level par, EMA 50 aur EMA 100 par monitor karna zaroori hoga taake is trend ki strength ko assess karke informed trading decisions liye ja saken.




Mukhtasir mein, EUR/JPY pair abhi H1 timeframe par strong bullish phase mein hai, jahan key technical indicators aur price action further upward movement ko support karte hain. 162.444 resistance level ke upar breakout, jo ke sustained buyer pressure ki wajah se hua hai, continued gains ke liye ek strong likelihood ko reinforce karta hai, jab tak koi unexpected market shifts na ho. 156.530 par support level ne qareebi mazi mein considerable strength dikhayi hai. Support level woh hota hai jahan price girne se rukti hai aur aksar apna direction change karti hai. Is case mein, price is level se pehle bhi rebound hui thi, jo indicate karta hai ke yeh phir se hold kar sakti hai. Iss historical performance ko dekhte hue, mein 156.530 par buy position enter karne ka plan bana raha hoon. Iss decision ke peeche rationale yeh hai ke mujhe umeed hai ke price 156.530 se rebound hoke wapas rise karegi. Meri strategy yeh hai ke mein apni buy position ko tab tak hold karunga jab tak price previous high 164.730 ko touch nahi kar leti. Yeh high ek significant resistance point hai jahan se price pehle bhi struggle kar chuki hai. Agar price is level tak pohonchti hai, toh mein profits lock karne ka sochunga.