𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐉𝐏𝐘

EUR/JPY pair haal hi mein dabao mein tha, khas taur par mukhtalif macroeconomic factors aur geopoltical events ke asar se jo Eurozone aur Japan ko mutasir kar rahe hain. Bearish trend aam taur par ye darust karta hai ke bikraar karne wale price ko neeche le ja rahe hote hain. Ye neeche ke dabao ko kai wajohat se jora ja sakta hai, jaise ke Eurozone se kamzor maali dastavez, Japan ki behtar maali karkardagi ya safe-haven demand ya phir market ki risk se inkar.
Fators Jo Barri Harkat Ke Liye Kuch Bhi Sabaq De Sakte Hain
. Maali Dastavez Releases: Qareeb aane wale maali dastavez, Eurozone aur Japan se, EUR/JPY pair par kuch had tak asar daal sakte hain. Ahem indicators jaise GDP ki paidawar, mehengai dar, rozgar ki shumar, aur banane ki data maali sehat ke baray mein wazahat dete hain. Japan se musbat data ya Eurozone se manfi data bearish trend ko mazeed shadeed bana sakte hain, jabke Eurozone se musbat data ise ulta kar sakte hain.
. Markazi Bank Policies: European Central Bank (ECB) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki maali policies, EUR/JPY exchange rate ko tay karte hain. Agar ECB kisi tabdeeli ki isharaat de, jaise ke interest rates mein izafa, quantitative easing measures, ya doosri maali policies ke tools, to currency pair mein badi harkat ho sakti hai. Misal ke tor par, agar ECB ko zyada hawkish stance ka ishara milta hai, to Euro mazboot ho sakta hai, jisse mojooda bearish trend ulta ho sakta hai.
. Geopoltical Events: Geopoltical tensions aur events bhi EUR/JPY pair mein bari harkat ko barhawa de sakte hain. Masail jaise ke trade disputes, Eurozone mein siyasi biyabani, ya global risk sentiment mein tabdeeli ke waqt zyada volatility ka saamna ho sakta hai. Investors aksar safe-haven asset ke tor par Japanese Yen ki taraf rujoo karte hain jab tanzaniya ki surat mein, jo Euro ke khilaf Yen ko mazeed mazbooti de sakta hai.
. Market Sentiment: Maali markets mein jazbat aksar tezi se tabdeel hote hain, news, events, ya investors ke tasawar ki tabdeeli se driven. Agar market sentiment risk-averse hojaye, to Yen ko safe-haven currency ke tor par faida mil sakta hai, jiske nateejay mein EUR/JPY pair par mazeed dabao aayega. Ulta, agar risk appetite barhti hai, to Euro mazboot ho sakta hai, jo mojooda bearish trend ko ulta kar sakta hai.
. Technical Analysis: Technical analysis ke nazariye se, ahem support aur resistance levels, trend lines, aur chart patterns maqsad koar price movements ke baray mein wazahat faraham kar sakte hain. Traders aksar ahem levels par breakouts ya reversals ke liye dekhte hain ta ke trend mein tabdeeli ka ishara ho. Masalan, agar EUR/JPY pair kisi ahem support level se neeche ja sakta hai, to yeh tezi se bechnay ke dabao aur zyada shadeed bearish harkat ka bais ban sakta hai.
EURJPY pair currently strong downtrend mein hai aur koi immediate reversal ke signs nahi hain. Traders ko long positions consider karte waqt ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur potential short-selling opportunities par focus karna chahiye. Trade accuracy improve karne aur capital ko protect karne ke liye additional technical indicators aur risk management strategies ka istemal zaroori hai.

### EUR/JPY Analysis - 03 July 2024

#### Daily Timeframe Analysis:

EUR/JPY currency pair daily timeframe par bohot strong buying pressure show kar rahi hai. Yeh clearly dekha ja sakta hai ke EMA 50 se rejection ke baad, price 167.520 ke level ke aas-paas hover kar rahi hai, jo ab ek strong support ka kaam kar raha hai, aur buyers ko price ko upar push karne ka mauka de raha hai. Is buying pressure ne successfully price ko ek important resistance level 170.820 ke upar break karne mein madad ki. Is resistance level ka breakout yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi market mein strong control mein hain, aur current price movement mein kisi significant correction ke signs nazar nahi aa rahe. Corrections ka na hona yeh suggest karta hai ke bullish momentum abhi bhi bohot strong hai. Lekin, traders ko potential corrections ke liye alert rehna chahiye jo kabhi bhi ho sakti hain. Corrections market movements ka natural hissa hoti hain, jahan prices temporary declines experience karti hain pehle ke main trend ko continue karein. Isliye, jabke current focus long positions par hai, yeh important hai ke technical signs ko dekhte rahein jo correction indicate kar sakti hain, jaise ke reversal candlestick patterns ya overbought indicators.

#### H1 Timeframe Analysis:

H1 timeframe par EUR/JPY currency pair strong bullish trend show kar rahi hai. EMA 50 indicator EMA 100 ke upar hai, jo yeh confirm karta hai ke bullish momentum abhi bhi dominate kar raha hai. Lekin, price is waqt ek important resistance level 173.653 par stuck hai. Yeh level break karne ke liye challenging area hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke price ke aas-paas significant selling pressure maujood hai. Kal price ne correction experience ki, lekin 173.101 ke level ke aas-paas strong support mila. Is support ka formation important hai kyun ke yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain aur temporary decline ke baad price ko wapas upar push karne ke liye tayar hain. Agar price successfully 173.653 resistance ke upar break kar leti hai, toh yeh ek stronger bullish signal provide karega aur aksar further upward movement lead karega. Lekin, is baat ka bhi possibility hai ke 173.653 resistance level par rejection ho jaye. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price dubara 173.101 support ko retest kar sakti hai.

Movement ne is ki corrective phase mein entry ko signal kiya, jo uske recent trading pattern mein ek notable shift ko mark karta hai. Pair ne substantial losses suffer ki, approximately 170.383 tak plunge karta hua. Ye drop currency pair ke liye ek critical juncture ko represent karta hai, kyunke yeh ab ek pivotal support level 173.90-173.73 ke aas-paas stable hai.

Yeh support zone EUR/JPY pair ke future direction ko determine karne ke liye crucial hai. Traders aur analysts is pair ke behavior ko closely monitor karenge jab yeh is barrier ke saath interact karta hai. Is support level ki importance ko overstate nahi kiya ja sakta, kyunke yeh overall market trend ke liye ek critical indicator serve karta hai. Agar pair successfully test karta hai aur is support ke upar hold karta hai, toh yeh ek potential rebound ya stabilization suggest kar sakta hai. Conversely, agar yeh level ke neeche breach hota hai, toh yeh further declines aur corrective trend ke continuation ko signal kar sakta hai.

EUR/JPY pair ke recent decline ko kuch factors ke saath attribute kiya ja sakta hai. Market sentiment economic data, geopolitical events, aur monetary policy expectations mein changes ke combination se influence hua hai. Euro aur yen, jo major currencies hain, aise developments ke liye sensitive hain, aur unka exchange rate broader economic landscape ko reflect karta hai.

Akhri kuch hafton mein, forex market mein increased volatility dekhi gayi hai, jo varying expectations regarding interest rates, inflation, aur economic growth in both the Eurozone aur Japan se driven hai. European Central Bank (ECB) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne alag monetary policy stances adopt kiye hain, jahan ECB gradually apni policy ko tighten kar raha hai in response to rising inflation, jabke BoJ zyada accommodative approach maintain kar raha hai to stimulate economic growth. Yeh divergent policies EUR/JPY pair mein fluctuations create kar rahi hain, jo recent downward movement mein contribute karti hain.

Jaise traders next steps assess karte hain, EUR/JPY pair ka behavior around the 173.90-173.73 support level critical hoga. Agar successful test aur rebound is level se hota hai, toh yeh indicate kar sakta hai ke pair ek floor find kar raha hai, potentially leading to a recovery. Yeh scenario suggest karega ke corrective phase nearing its end hai, aur pair apni upward trajectory resume kar sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, agar pair is support ke upar hold karne mein fail hota hai, toh yeh further declines ko lead kar sakta hai, reinforcing bearish sentiment in the market. Aise case mein, traders additional support levels dekh sakte hain aur apni strategies ko accordingly adjust kar sakte hain.

EUR/JPY currency pair key support levels ki importance ko highlight karta hai in forex trading. Pair ka behavior around the 173.90-173.73 support zone iski future direction ke liye valuable insights provide karega. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye, technical indicators aur broader economic factors ko consider karte hue, taake dynamic market environment mein informed decisions le sakein.

### EUR/JPY Analysis - 03 July 2024


EUR/JPY currency pair daily timeframe par bohot strong buying pressure show kar rahi hai. Yeh clearly dekha ja sakta hai ke EMA 50 se rejection ke baad, price 167.520 ke level ke aas-paas hover kar rahi hai, jo ab ek strong support ka kaam kar raha hai, aur buyers ko price ko upar push karne ka mauka de raha hai. Is buying pressure ne successfully price ko ek important resistance level 170.820 ke upar break karne mein madad ki. Is resistance level ka breakout yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi market mein strong control mein hain, aur current price movement mein kisi significant correction ke signs nazar nahi aa rahe. Corrections ka na hona yeh suggest karta hai ke bullish momentum abhi bhi bohot strong hai. Lekin, traders ko potential corrections ke liye alert rehna chahiye jo kabhi bhi ho sakti hain. Corrections market movements ka natural hissa hoti hain, jahan prices temporary declines experience karti hain pehle ke main trend ko continue karein. Isliye, jabke current focus long positions par hai, yeh important hai ke technical signs ko dekhte rahein jo correction indicate kar sakti hain, jaise ke reversal candlestick patterns ya overbought indicators.

#### H1 Timeframe Analysis:

H1 timeframe par EUR/JPY currency pair strong bullish trend show kar rahi hai. EMA 50 indicator EMA 100 ke upar hai, jo yeh confirm karta hai ke bullish momentum abhi bhi dominate kar raha hai. Lekin, price is waqt ek important resistance level 173.653 par stuck hai. Yeh level break karne ke liye challenging area hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke price ke aas-paas significant selling pressure maujood hai. Kal price ne correction experience ki, lekin 173.101 ke level ke aas-paas strong support mila. Is support ka formation important hai kyun ke yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain aur temporary decline ke baad price ko wapas upar push karne ke liye tayar hain. Agar price successfully 173.653 resistance ke upar break kar leti hai, toh yeh ek stronger bullish signal provide karega aur aksar further upward movement lead karega. Lekin, is baat ka bhi possibility hai ke 173.653 resistance level par rejection ho jaye. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price dubara 173.101 support ko retest kar sakti hai.

EUR/JPY:H4: 175.41.

Sab members ko khushamdeed. Umeed hai sab log theek hain. Agar aap logon ko EUR/JPY mein trade open karne ke liye motivate karna chahte hain, toh zaroori hai ke aap ek wazeh strategy dein aur ise live share karein taake doosron tak effectively pohnch sakein. EUR/JPY is waqt 156.50 par trade kar raha hai aur lagta hai ke yeh 142.70 tak barhne ke liye tayar hai. Halanki pair ne abhi tak sideways movement dikhayi hai, magar H4 chart par 200 MA resistance limit ki wajah se downward shift ka potential hai jo mazeed bullish movement ko rok sakta hai. Halaat ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke bearish trend qaim reh sakta hai aur qareebi waqt mein yeh 158.84 tak pohanch sakta hai. Iske ilawa, Stochastic indicator overbought zone mein hai aur downward reversal ke qareeb hai.

Yeh dekh kar hamesha acha lagta hai jab koi success hasil karta hai, khaaskar hamare field mein, jo ke ek profitable aur challenging profession hai. Mere analysis mein, maine ek selling entry point identify kiya hai. Halanki, maine pehle move ko miss kar diya, magar market khulne par abhi bhi is currency pair ko sell karne ka mauqa hai. Is dauran, maine trading ke liye ek zyada systematic approach develop kiya hai, bawajood is aam raay ke ke market ko sirf ehtiyaat se handle karna chahiye. Mera tajurba iske baraks sabit hua hai.

EUR/JPY:H4: 175.41.

Technical tor par, pair oversold hai, magar downside reversal ka potential abhi bhi maujood hai. Key support levels 166.15, 165.00, aur 200-day moving average par hain. Agar yeh levels break hoti hain toh yeh ek sustainable downtrend ka ishara ho sakta hai. Uper ki taraf, resistance 160.00 psychological level ke qareeb expected hai. Kul mila kar, EUR/JPY pair ko mukhtalif asraat ka samna hai, jin mein global economic uncertainties, geopolitical risks, aur diverging monetary policies shaamil hain. Halanki short-term bounce ya consolidation ko nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta, magar pair ka downside potential significant hai. Short-term picture tab hi improve hogi agar price 20- aur 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs) aur April ke high 171.56 ke upar break kare. Lekin agar price 168.17 ke upar close hoti hai, toh yeh 169.72 barrier tak extension ka ishara ho sakta hai. Ager yeh mazeed barhta hai, toh yeh 172.55 region ke qareeb ruk sakta hai, jahan se price ko July ke darmiyan reject kiya gaya tha. Agar yeh achi tarah se jari raha, toh yeh July ke peak 175.41 tak rasta bana sakta hai.

EUR/JPY/H1164.15
EUR/JPY currency pair is waqt aik rukawat kay daur se guzar raha hai aur lagataar apni position 168.15 mark kay aas-paas barqarar rakhta hai. Yeh pattern zyada tar sideways movement ki taraf ishaara karta hai, jahan thori si downward trajectory bhi nazar aati hai. Abhi tak ke behavior se yeh maloom hota hai ke market mein koi tehqiqi momentum nahi hai, aur traders significant upward ya downward shifts mein dilchaspi nahi le rahe. Kuch asar-andaz factors hain jo is lateral trading phenomenon mein hissa le rahe hain.

Sab se pehle, European Central Bank (ECB) aur Bank of Japan (BOJ) ne aise monetary policies apnaayi hain jo keh mukammal direction mein is pair ko propel karne mein kam asar rakhti hain. ECB khas tor par ehtiyaat se kaam le raha hai, inflationary pressures ko control karne aur economic growth momentum ko barqarar rakhne ke liye ek nazuk balance banaye rakhne ki koshish mein hai.

Lekin, is se neechay girne ko rokne ke liye kaafi effort aur resources ki zaroorat hogi, aur yeh value 163.70 par hogi. Yeh price point aik critical resistance level ho sakta hai jahan downtrend ko challenges ka samna ho sakta hai. M15 time frame par downtrend aur higher time frames suggest karte hain ke bearish momentum jari reh sakta hai, aur agar price support levels ko test karte huye break na kar paye toh short positions mein entry ka moka ho sakta hai. Dosri taraf, 164.15 par resistance ko overcome karne ke liye significant effort ki zaroorat hogi, jo ke reversal ya ek bara bullish movement ko signal kar sakta hai, traders ko market conditions mein potential changes ke liye alert karte huye.




EUR/JPY/H1164.15

Akhir mein, jabke EUR/JPY pair is waqt strong bullish tendencies dikha raha hai jo yen ki kamzori se support kiya gaya hai, kuch strategic reasons hain higher levels par selling consider karne ke liye. Key yeh hai ke price action ko critical support levels tak pohanchne ka intizar karein aur market behavior ko potential reversal ke asaar ke liye observe karein. Vigilance barqarar rakh kar aur aik disciplined approach apna kar, traders EUR/JPY pair ke prevailing trend dynamics mein bullish aur bearish dono opportunities se faida utha sakte hain.

Good evening, traders. Local minimums update karne ke baad, pair ne consolidation ke baghair rollback experience kiya. Kamzor dollar ke bawajood, euro ko significant support mila, aur yen ne mukhtalif factors ki wajah se momentum hasil kiya. Yeh sab bullish outlook ko barqarar rakhta hai. Jab price 156.17 area ke qareeb aayegi, mein potential sales opportunities ko closely monitor karunga. Daily chart ke mutabiq, EUR/JPY ka general trend bullish hai. Is trend ka significant breach sirf tab hoga jab support level 154.56 par break ho jaye. Agar pair resistance 156.80 ke upar chala jata hai, toh yeh technical indicators ko overbought levels ki taraf dhakel sakta hai, jisse is resistance ke upar se selling zyada favorable ho jati hai. Euro European economic data ka intizar nahi kar raha, isliye investor risk appetite pair ki movement par ahm asar daalega.



Chaar ghanton ke scale par, EUR/JPY ko buy zone mein dakhil hone mein mushkil hui, aur yeh 158.70 par, jo chaar ghanton ki envelope ki lower line hai, fail ho gaya. Abhi ke liye buy zone ka transition level 157.54 hai, aur pair 157.45 par trade kar raha hai. Bullish zone ki taraf recent approach stops collect karne ka final impulse tha. Sabr zaroori hai. Agar aaj ka trading din 158.42 ke upar close hota hai, toh yeh euro aur pound dono ke liye yen ke against Monday se upward movement ka signal hoga. Is surat mein, mein in dono pairs ko simultaneously khareedne par ghour karunga. EUR/JPY market mein informed trading decisions lene ke liye, in levels ko gaur se dekhna aur clear signals ka intizar karna zaroori hai. EUR/JPY market mein effectively navigate karne ke liye, in key levels par nazar rakhni hogi aur sabr se kaam lena hoga.

Good afternoon fellow traders, aakhri do dinon ki movements mein yeh baat wazeh nazar aati hai ke EUR/JPY pair ne phir se aik bara movement kiya hai. Kal ke din yeh movement sirf bearish nahi thi, balke Asian session ke aghaz mein EUR/JPY ne ek mazid strong bullish movement karne ki koshish ki thi, jo ke resistance area 168.0 ko lagbhag paar karne wali thi. Lekin, aakhir mein yeh koshish naakaam hui aur jaldi hi EUR/JPY ne wapas se aik kafi bara decline record kiya. Yeh decline na sirf kal dekha gaya, balki is subah bhi is ka silsila jaari raha. Is subah EUR/JPY ne last week ke support area ke neeche bhi trade kiya. Halanki, aakhir mein thoda unfortunate raha ke EUR/JPY ko phir se kuch rukawat ka samna karna para, aur market ko wapas se bearish trend mein barqarar rakhne mein kamiabi hasil na kar saka, jahan jaldi se ek aur upward movement dekhne ko mili.
Abhi ke market conditions mein, EUR/JPY currency pair ko neeche ki taraf move karte hue dekha ja raha hai. Hafte ke aghaz se hi price 60 aur 150 Simple Moving Average indicators ke neeche gir gayi hai, jo ke ek strong bearish market trend ka indication hai. EUR/JPY pair ka yeh decline overall market trend ke mutabiq hai jo ke mahine ke darmiyan se observe kiya gaya hai, jahan candlestick pattern consistent downward phase mein hai. Weekly time frame par bearish candlestick ka formation is baat ko mazid mazbooti deta hai ke bearish trend lagataar teen hafton se jaari hai.

Is lambi bearish sentiment ne selling army ka confidence barha diya hai, jo ke agle kuch dino mein market par dabao dalte rehne ka imkaan rakhta hai. Agar current market conditions ko closely observe kiya jaye, toh yeh dekhne mein aata hai ke price range 165.82 mein ek upward correction movement ho rahi hai.

Is correction movement se yeh andaza lagaya ja sakta hai ke market mein abhi bhi kuch uncertainty mojood hai, jo ke EUR/JPY ke price ko istarah se fluctuate kar rahi hai. Lekin agar price ne resistance area 168.0 ko phir se test kiya, aur agar yeh uspe qaim rahi, toh ek mazid bullish movement ki umeed ki ja sakti hai. Dosri taraf, agar price is resistance area ko break nahi kar pati, toh bearish trend phir se haavi ho sakta hai, aur market neeche ki taraf significant movement kar sakti hai.

Ab, traders ke liye sabse ahmiyat ki baat yeh hai ke wo market ke in movements par gairat se nazar rakhein, aur apni trading strategies ko accordingly adjust karein. Support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna aur market behavior ko samajhna ab zaroori ho gaya hai. Yeh waqt hai disciplined approach apnane ka, taake in fluctuating market conditions mein profitable opportunities ka faida uthaya ja sake. Market ka yeh trend abhi bhi clear nahi hai, lekin patience aur strategic analysis ke zariye traders EUR/JPY market mein apne fayde ke liye trading decisions le sakte hain.

EUR/JPY: 164.84.
EUR/JPY abhi bhi sell analysis ke saath chal raha hai kyunki price ab tak down trend area mein play kar rahi hai. Yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke guzishta haftay ka low price, jo ke 164.94 tha, successfully break out kar gaya hai. Is liye, aaj aur kal (Wednesday aur Thursday) ko yeh area full sell entry ke liye use ho sakta hai, kyunki aaj ki movement se aane wale din ke trend ka pata chalta hai. Current conditions ko check karne ke liye hum niche diye gaye image ko dekh sakte hain.




Technical taur par, EUR/JPY pair ne saal ke aghaz se ek notable uptrend experience kiya, jo ke 32 saalon ka high 175.41 tak pohancha. Lekin, Japanese currency ke intervention ke baad, yeh pair apne 50-day simple moving average aur December 2023 ke rising trend line ki taraf retrace kar gaya hai. Immediate support level 167.50 par position hai, jiska breach hone par price 165.34 ya 164.28 tak pullback kar sakti hai. Upper side par, resistance April high 171.56 par expect kiya ja raha hai, phir 173.50 aur previous all-time high 175.41 ke aas-paas. Agar yeh level successful breach ho jaye, toh yeh price ko 180.00 ke psychological mark tak rally karne ka chance de sakta hai. Kul mila kar, EUR/JPY pair ki direction bohot zyada BOJ aur ECB ki contrasting monetary policies aur geopolitical developments par depend kar rahi hai. Investors in factors ko closely monitor kar rahe hain taake potential market-moving shifts ka pata chal sake.

EUR/JPY: 164.84.

Mujhe umeed hai ke euro/Japanese yen pair mein correction resistance level 164.84 ke qareeb hoga. Yeh woh area hai jahan short transaction mein enter karna kaafi profitable ho sakta hai, kyunki yahan 100 points ka stop lagana aur 500 points ka profit hasil karna mumkin hoga. Mera khayal hai ke bears ab bhi south ki taraf ek acha move karne ki salahiyat rakhte hain. Sabse aham baat yeh hai ke is se pehle ek correction ho jaye taake market mein stop ke saath jump kiya ja sake, jaisa ke maine pehle kaha, 100 points ka, aur wo bhi zyada bara nahi. Jitna bara stop hoga, utna hi kam profit milega. Is liye agar bulls 164.84 ke resistance level ke qareeb move karte hain, toh yeh zaroori hai ke stop ko chota rakha jaye taake zyada se zyada profit hasil kiya ja sake.

EUR/JPY Technical Analysis: Sell Signal aur Key Levels
EUR/JPY currency pair ab bhi aik sell opportunity present kar raha hai kyunki yeh downtrend mein phansa hua hai. Recent price action se yeh maloom hota hai ke guzishta haftay ka low, jo 164.94 tha, break ho gaya hai, jo ke bearish sentiment ko mazid mazboot kar raha hai. Jab hum Wednesday aur Thursday ki taraf barhte hain, toh yeh recent low aik pivotal area ban sakta hai short-selling ke liye. Market behavior yeh suggest karta hai ke significant price movements aksar aane wale trends ko set karte hain, jo ke traders ke liye yeh aik moqa hai ke sell entry consider karein.

Technical point of view se dekha jaye toh EUR/JPY pair ne saal ke aghaz se ek significant uptrend dekha, jo 32 saalon ka high 175.41 tak pohancha. Lekin, Japanese authorities ke intervention ke baad, yeh pair key support levels ki taraf retrace kar gaya, jin mein 50-day simple moving average aur December 2023 ki rising trend line shamil hain. Immediate support level ab 167.50 par situated hai. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, toh pair further decline karte hue 165.34 ya 164.28 levels ko test kar sakta hai.

Upper side par, resistance April high 171.56 par expect kiya ja raha hai, jiske baad 173.50 aur previous all-time high 175.41 par additional resistance hai. Agar 175.41 ka level successfully breach hota hai, toh yeh psychological resistance 180.00 tak rally ka rasta khol sakta hai.

Bank of Japan (BOJ) aur European Central Bank (ECB) ki contrasting monetary policies aur geopolitical developments ke context mein, EUR/JPY ki trajectory in factors se kaafi zyada mutasir hoti hai. Traders aur investors in elements ko closely monitor kar rahe hain taake potential market-moving shifts ka pata lagaya ja sake.

Current market conditions ke madde nazar, EUR/JPY pair expected hai ke resistance level 164.84 ki taraf correct karega. Yeh area short trade enter karne ke liye aik strategic point present karta hai, jahan traders tight stop loss 100 points ka set kar sakte hain, aur 500 points ka substantial profit hasil karne ka potential hai. Jab market south ki taraf trend kar rahi ho, toh ek short position mein enter karna aur precise stop loss set karna zaroori hota hai. Bara stop loss profitability ko kam kar sakta hai, is liye precise entry aur exit strategies apnana gains ko maximize karne ke liye bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai.

EUR/JPY currency pair ek bearish trend dikhata hai, kyunki price ek crucial support level ke neeche chali gayi hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke neeche ki taraf movement jaari rehne ke imkaanat bohot zyada hain. Technically dekha jaye toh yeh pair saal ke aghaz se ek uptrend mein tha, aur multi-year high tak pohanch gaya tha. Lekin, Japanese government ke intervention ke baad yeh ek significant moving average aur rising trendline ki taraf retrace kar gaya. Ab immediate support 167.50 par hai, aur agar yeh level break hota hai toh price further decline kar ke 165.34 ya 164.28 tak ja sakti hai. Upper side par, resistance 171.56, 173.50, aur previous record high 175.41 par anticipated hai. Lekin agar 175.41 ka level successfully breach hota hai, toh yeh 180.00 ke psychological threshold tak rally ka rasta bana sakta hai.
EUR/JPY currency pair ka H4 time frame trajectory, Bank of Japan aur European Central Bank ki divergent monetary policies ke saath-saath geopolitical events se bhi kaafi mutasir hota hai. Investors in factors ko attentively observe kar rahe hain taake potential market-altering shifts ka pata lagaya ja sake.




Meri analysis ke mutabiq, euro/Japanese yen currency pair ko 164.84 level ke qareeb resistance ka samna ho sakta hai. Yeh aik acha moqa hai short position initiate karne ka, kyunki 100 points ka stop loss lagane se 500 points ka potential profit mil sakta hai. Mera khayal hai ke bearish sentiment ab bhi mazboot hai, aur resistance area ki taraf ek correction aane se optimal entry point mil sakta hai. Zyada profitability hasil karne ke liye 100 points ke qareeb tight stop loss lagana zaroori hai, kyunki bara stop lagane se potential gains kam ho sakte hain.

EUR/JPY ne apna downside Thursday ke early European session mein 162.25 ke qareeb extend kar diya hai. Yeh cross key 100-period EMA se neeche hai aur RSI bhi oversold condition mein hai.
Key support level 162.00 ke psychological mark par dekha ja raha hai, jabke pehla upside barrier 164.85 par ubhar raha hai.

EUR/JPY cross Thursday ke early European session mein 162.25 ke qareeb negative territory mein chaar din se lagatar trade kar raha hai. Japanese Yen (JPY) Euro (EUR) ke muqable mein momentum gain kar raha hai, jo ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke Wednesday ko kiye gaye surprise hawkish policy announcement se mazid barh gaya.

BoJ ne apna short-term policy rate 0-0.1% se barhakar 0.25% kar diya, jo ke 2008 ke baad se sabse bara increase hai. Iske ilawa, Japanese central bank ne yeh bhi kaha ke woh Japanese government bonds ko January se March 2026 quarter tak mahine ke 3 trillion yen ($19.64 billion) tak taper karega.

EUR/JPY apni bearish vibe ko 4-hour chart par bhi unchanged rakhta hai, kyunki yeh key 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se neeche hold kar raha hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi midline se neeche bearish territory mein hai. Lekin, oversold RSI condition yeh dikhati hai ke further consolidation hone ka imkaan hai pehle ke koi near-term EUR/JPY depreciation position li jaye.

Is cross ke liye crucial support level 162.00 ke psychological mark par ubharega. Agar losses extend hote hain, toh price 161.00-161.10 region tak gir sakti hai, jo Bollinger Band ke lower limit aur round figure ko portray karta hai. Ek aur downside filter jo dekhne layak hai woh 160.22 hai, jo ke March 11 ka low hai.

Upper side par, is cross ke liye immediate resistance level 164.85 ke qareeb hai, jo 25 July ka low hai. Agar price is level se upar jati hai, toh agla hurdle 167.88 par located hai, jo ke 30 July ka high hai. Agar is level ke upar follow-through buying hoti hai, toh yeh 100-period EMA ko 168.55 par expose kar sakti hai, jiske baad Bollinger Band ka upper boundary 169.12 ke qareeb hai.

EUR/JPY Analysis:
EUR/JPY currency pair mein haal hi mein kaafi significant movement dekhne ko mili hai, jo ke zyadatar broader market dynamics aur external economic factors ki wajah se hui hai. Ahem factors mein se ek Japanese yen ke aas paas ongoing negotiations aur fluctuating sentiment hai. In external factors ke bawajood, agar 161.50 level ke upar breakout aur consolidation hota hai, to EUR/JPY ke outlook mein kaafi tabdeeli aasakti hai. Lekin is waqt, overall sentiment bearish lag raha hai. Agar price 161.83-162.28 levels tak badhta hai, to yeh behtar hoga ke selling signals dekhe jayein. Yeh resistance range is liye important hai kyun ke yeh pair ke liye potential ceiling represent karta hai. Is range ki taraf koi bhi upward movement closely monitor ki jani chahiye for signs of reversal ya weakening momentum.

Bullish scenario ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke EUR/JPY 161.50 resistance level ke upar breakout kare aur wahan consolidate kare. Yeh market sentiment mein ek potential shift ki nishani hogi, jo ke aage aur upward movement ke liye foundation bana sakti hai. Traders ko is level ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyun ke agar yeh successfully breach ho jata hai aur 161.50 ke upar consolidate karta hai, to yeh higher targets ke liye rasta khol sakta hai. Is surat mein, next significant resistance levels jo dekhne chahiye wo 161.83-162.28 ke aas paas honge. Yeh levels crucial hain, kyun ke yeh bullish trend ko reinforce kar sakte hain ya phir resistance points ban kar pair ko wapas niche dhakel sakte hain.




Lekin current market sentiment suggest karta hai ke EUR/JPY ko sell karna ziada faidemand hai. Economic conditions aur technical indicators ko dekhte hue, sales ko zyada viable mana ja raha hai. Pair ka 161.50 ke upar levels ko maintain na kar pana bearish sentiment ko aur reinforce karta hai. Is liye traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur selling opportunities ko dekhna chahiye, khaaskar agar price 161.83-162.28 resistance range ke kareeb aati hai.

Is baat ka potential hai ke EUR/JPY 161.50 ke upar breakout kare aur consolidate ho, lekin current market conditions bearish outlook ko favor karti hain. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur selling opportunities par focus karna chahiye, khaaskar agar price 161.83-162.28 resistance levels ke kareeb aaye. Key technical indicators ko monitor karna aur latest economic developments se updated rehna trading decisions ko informed banane mein crucial hoga. Jaise hamesha, risk management ko priority deni chahiye taake unforeseen market volatility se bach sake.

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Haal ka Market Dynamics


160.08 ke current level par EUR/JPY pair mazbooti se bearish trajectory mein hai. Yeh downward movement Eurozone aur Japan dono ke economic factors ka natija hai. Euro ek taraf se slow economic growth aur rising inflation concerns ki wajah se pressure mein hai, jab ke Japanese yen ne relative strength dikhai hai, jo ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke low interest rates aur inflation control ki commitment se buoyed hai.

Filhaal, Eurozone rising inflation rates jese challenges ka samna kar raha hai, jo consumer spending aur overall economic growth ko affect kar rahe hain. European Central Bank (ECB) ne in challenges ke peesh-e-nazar ek ehtiyati approach apnayi hai, jo Euro ke negative sentiment ko barhawa de raha hai. Doosri taraf, Japanese economy ne resilience dikhayi hai, jo recent stable growth figures se supported hai, aur jiski wajah se yen ne doosri currencies, jese ke Euro, ke muqable mein mazid strength hasil ki hai.
Technical Analysis


Technical perspective se dekha jaye to EUR/JPY pair ka current level 160.08 badi ahmiyat rakhta hai. Yeh pair musalsal lower highs aur lower lows form kar raha hai, jo ke bearish trend ke classic indicators hain. Iske ilawa, dono 50-day aur 200-day moving averages downward trajectory mein hain, jo overall bearish sentiment ko mazid reinforce karte hain. Jab tak market conditions mein koi notable shift nahi aata, yeh downtrend qaim rehne ka imkan hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi ek critical indicator hai jise nazar mein rakhna chahiye. Filhaal, RSI kareeban 45 level ke qareeb hai, jo oversold territory mein dakhil hone ke qareeb hai. Yeh ek rebound ka potential zahir karta hai, lekin prevailing downward momentum—jise Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator zahir kar raha hai—strong bearish pressure ka signal deta hai.

Key support levels jo monitor karne chahiye wo hain 159.80 aur 159.50. Agar yeh levels breach ho jate hain, to Euro mazid decline face kar sakta hai yen ke muqable mein. On the upside, immediate resistance levels 160.50 aur 160.80 ke aas paas anticipated hain. Agar price in resistance levels ko break kar leti hai, to yeh ek potential reversal ya kam az kam bearish trend mein temporary halt ka ishara ho sakta hai.
Mustaqbil Ke Movements Ko Mutasir Karne Wale Factors


EUR/JPY pair mein significant fluctuations ka sabab banne wale kuch factors yeh hain:

1. Economic Data Releases: Eurozone aur Japan se aanewali economic data future market movements ko shape karne mein crucial role ada karegi. Agar Japan ki taraf se stronger-than-expected economic results aate hain, to yeh yen ko mazid support dega, jis se EUR/JPY pair neeche ki taraf move karegi. Ulta, agar Eurozone se positive surprises aate hain, to yeh Euro ko bolster kar sakte hain, jo bearish trend mein reversal ya pause la sakte hain.
2. Central Bank Policies: European Central Bank (ECB) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki monetary policies bhi EUR/JPY pair ke mustaqbil ke direction mein pivotal role ada karengi. Agar ECB cautious rehti hai aur BoJ apni accommodative stance qaim rakhti hai, to Euro mazid pressure ka shikar ho sakta hai. Lekin agar ECB inflation se nimatne ke liye aggressive strategy ka ishara karti hai, ya BoJ apni monetary policy mein kisi tabdeeli ka irada zahir karti hai, to Euro yen ke muqable mein mazbooti hasil kar sakta hai.
3. Global Economic Conditions: Broader global economic trends bhi EUR/JPY pair ko affect karengi. Economic slowdown ya geopolitical tensions ke indicators safe-haven assets jese yen ki demand ko barhawa de sakte hain, jo Euro par mazid pressure dalega. Ulta, agar global economic conditions improve hoti hain ya investor sentiment optimistic ho jata hai, to yeh Euro ko support faraham karega aur EUR/JPY pair mein potential recovery la sakta hai.

Conclusion


Akhir mein, EUR/JPY currency pair ka current market scenario bearish trend ko zahir karta hai, lekin mazid volatility ka imkan hai. Economic data releases, central bank policies, aur global economic conditions key factors honge jo future market movements ko influence karenge. Traders ko in factors par nazar rakhni chahiye aur technical indicators ka dehan mein rakhte hue informed trading decisions lene chahiye.

### EUR/JPY Analysis - 03 July 2024

#### Daily Timeframe Analysis:

EUR/JPY currency pair daily timeframe par bohot strong buying pressure show kar rahi hai. Yeh clearly dekha ja sakta hai ke EMA 50 se rejection ke baad, price 167.520 ke level ke aas-paas hover kar rahi hai, jo ab ek strong support ka kaam kar raha hai, aur buyers ko price ko upar push karne ka mauka de raha hai. Is buying pressure ne successfully price ko ek important resistance level 170.820 ke upar break karne mein madad ki. Is resistance level ka breakout yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi market mein strong control mein hain, aur current price movement mein kisi significant correction ke signs nazar nahi aa rahe. Corrections ka na hona yeh suggest karta hai ke bullish momentum abhi bhi bohot strong hai. Lekin, traders ko potential corrections ke liye alert rehna chahiye jo kabhi bhi ho sakti hain. Corrections market movements ka natural hissa hoti hain, jahan prices temporary declines experience karti hain pehle ke main trend ko continue karein. Isliye, jabke current focus long positions par hai, yeh important hai ke technical signs ko dekhte rahein jo correction indicate kar sakti hain, jaise ke reversal candlestick patterns ya overbought indicators.

#### H1 Timeframe Analysis:

H1 timeframe par EUR/JPY currency pair strong bullish trend show kar rahi hai. EMA 50 indicator EMA 100 ke upar hai, jo yeh confirm karta hai ke bullish momentum abhi bhi dominate kar raha hai. Lekin, price is waqt ek important resistance level 173.653 par stuck hai. Yeh level break karne ke liye challenging area hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke price ke aas-paas significant selling pressure maujood hai. Kal price ne correction experience ki, lekin 173.101 ke level ke aas-paas strong support mila. Is support ka formation important hai kyun ke yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain aur temporary decline ke baad price ko wapas upar push karne ke liye tayar hain. Agar price successfully 173.653 resistance ke upar break kar leti hai, toh yeh ek stronger bullish signal provide karega aur aksar further upward movement lead karega. Lekin, is baat ka bhi possibility hai ke 173.653 resistance level par rejection ho jaye. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price dubara 173.101 support ko retest kar sakti hai.