Eur/usd

Price Action Analysis: EUR/ USD
Aaj ki guftugu mein hum EUR/USD currency pair ki keemat ki tafseeli tahlil par guftugu karenge. Pehle se chart mein bullish absorption dikhai di, jis se kuch afra-tafri hui. Halanki, keemat ne aaj giravat kiya, lekin yeh kafi numayan nahi thi. 7th figure ke neeche tashkeel mumkin nahi hai, jo ke qatati hai ke maqasid thodey nichay hain. Dollar ko aaj kuch support mila hai. Is ke bawajood, mera nazariya baaz raha hai. Mein pehle se bechne mein hoon jis ki keemat 1.0741 ke oopar hai aur ek kusoor-ri se samjhota kiya hai. Lekin mujhe ab bhi munasib munafa dekhna pasand hai. Ab hum EUR/USD pair ki ghante ke chart ko mukhtasir dekhte hain. Aaj ki keemat mein kami giravat ek neeche ki islaah hai jo mukhtasir khatm hoti hai. Mera tashbih upper ki taraf hai. Qareebi hadaf 1.0768 ke rukh hai. Agar bael is hadaf ko toor sakay, to hum ko 1.0794 ke rukh mein numayan giravat dekh sakte hain

Mumtaz tijaratkaron ke liye, main 1.0730 ke oopar khareedne ka tawaja dete hain. Agar keemat 46-period Moving Average (MA) ko paar kar jaye, to khareedne ko tariq hain. Lekin agar is star par kisi zaroorat ki toot par aa jaye, to khareedne ke mauqay ki ahmiyat ko kam kar sakta hai.

Rozana chart par Bollinger Bands mein keemat ki range mein kami nazar aati hai, jo tijarat ke rukh mein jald tabdeel hone ki alamat hai. Is kami se pehle aam taur par tezi aati hai, jis ke tijaratkaron ko tayar hona chahiye.

MACD indicator mein izafa dekha ja raha hai, jahan histogram signal line ke oopar hai, jo ek mazboot khareedne ka ishara deta hai. Yeh qareebi dour mein upper rukh ke liye mumkin hai.

Is dauran, Stochastic oscillator bhi oopar ki taraf ja raha hai lekin iski zaroorat ki darja band hai. Is se yeh zahir hota hai ke mojooda khareedne ki muzabani mojooda haalat mein apne injam kar raha hai, jo ke is dour ke chhotey dour mein italaqat ko aagaah kar raha hai.

Mukhtasir mein, tafseeli siyasat aur bazaar mein rukh ki taraf se mumkin mouqay ke liye is tafseeli analysis par ishara karte hain. Tijaratkar, MA, Bollinger Bands, MACD aur Stochastic jaise technical indicators aur bazaar ke halat ko milakar tashwishnaak faislon par koshish karenge, jo trading ke safaltay ke liye zaroori hai.

EUR/USD TAALIKA JAIZA

Europe ki siyasi pareshaniyon aur central bank policy ke milay julate manazir ke roshni mein, EUR/USD exchange rate teesri haftay mein mukhtalif hawaon ke bawajood tisri mukhtasir haare ki taraf ja raha hai, jisme ek mayoos kun economic survey ne dikhaya ke June mein economic momentum mehdood ho raha hai. Haal hi mein EUR/USD ke nuqsanat ne 1.0672 ke support level ko asar andaz kiya, jo ke haftay ke naye trading ke shuruat mein us ke qareeb mazboot hai.

Economic calendar ke natijay ke mutabiq... Standard & Poor's Global ne apne Purchasing Managers’ Index survey mein Eurozone ki economy ka izafa "saal ke doosre quarter ke ikhtitami mein setback hua hai" keh kar dikhaya. Headline composite PMI reading 50.8 thi, jo ke May mein 52.2 se kam thi aur 52.5 ki muntazir tawajjo se bhi kam thi. Manufacturing sector ab bhi contraction territory mein hai, jahan par reading 45.6 thi (Tawaqo: 47.9, Pehle: 47.3). Services sector ne economy ko chalane ka kaam kiya, jahan par expansion 52.6 par thi (Tawaqo: 53.5, Pehle: 53.2).

Aitmaad ke platforms ke mutabiq... Eurozone PMI release se pehle euro farokht ho gaya, jab market German aur French PMIs ko tawajjo se dekh rahi thi, jo ke Eurozone release se 45 minutes aur 30 minutes pehle jaari kiye gaye. Yeh dikhaya ke tamam items tawajjo se kam aaye hain. German release ke 45-minute window mein euro ka teesra hissa dollar ke liye farokht hua.

Karobar ki itmenaan ne February se apne lowest levels tak gir gaya hai.

Ek aur lehaz par, euro dollar ke mustaqbil par asar hoga... Agar Donald Trump White House mein wapas aate hain to unho ne wada kiya hai ke woh imports par sweeping 10% tariff lagayenge, jisse ke unko kehne ke mutabiq tax cuts ke liye billion dollars ka revenue mil sakta hai. Lekin mainstream economists ke mutabiq, GOP ke doosre term ke nominee ke trade agenda jo ke China mein banaye gaye goods par tariffs ko 60% ya us se zyada barhane ka bhi shamil hai, aakhir mein America ke gharanayon par tax hike hai.

European Central Bank ki policy ke mustaqbil ke hawale se... Naye inflationary shocks ke khatre ke sath Europe Central Bank ko interest rates par flexible rehna chahiye, Isabel Schnabel ke mutabiq Executive Board member keh rahi hain. "Humain naye price shocks ki khatra ho sakta hai," Schnabel ne Germany ke Kiel mein Sunday ke awards ceremony mein kaha. "Isi liye hum chaukanna hain aur pehle se muqarrar price path par nahi ja rahe hain, lekin hum data par bharosa kar rahe hain."

Europe Central Bank ne is month ke shuru mein borrowing costs ko kam kiya tha, aur jab ke officials ne is se sirf itminan se kiya tha, unho ne is par kuch zyada guidance nahi di thi ke interest rates kitni tezi se gir sakte hain. Zyadatar unho ne baaqi inflation risks ko highlight kiya aur ehtiyati approach ki tajweez ki.

Unho ne is par bhi izafa kiya ke inflation ko kam karne ka amal "kuch bumpy ho sakta hai," aur yeh bhi kaha ke "hum isay mushkil akhri mile ke roop mein tasveer kar rahe hain." Schnabel ne yeh bhi kaha ke jabke goods inflation tezi se kam ho rahi hai, services se price pressures zyada mushkil sabit ho rahe hain.

Europe Central Bank ne pehle is month mein jari ki gayi estimates ke mutabiq consumer price growth ko 2025 ke chaarwein quarter tak 2% target tak pahunchne ki umeed nahi hai. May mein inflation 2.6% tak barh gaya tha, jabke Bloomberg Economics ke forecasts abhi June ke liye 2.2% reading ko ishara kar rahe hain. "Haalat ke haqiqi maqasid mein point ke recent developments hain," Schnabel ne izafa kiya. Lekin unho ne is ke sath hi sath siyasi rishteyon ke khatron aur climate change ke asar se girawat se bhi izafa kiya.

Isi doran Schnabel ne kaha ke labor hoarding labor productivity par asar andaaz hota hai aur monetary policy transmission ko kamzor karta hai. Unho ne yeh bhi kaha ke "ab jab ke inflation wapas aa gaya hai, hum dekh rahe hain ke wage growth dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, aur 1970s mein dekhe gaye wage aur price spiral ki koi nishani nahi hai." "Yeh is wajah se hai ke hum ne businesses aur households ke inflation expectations ko humare inflation target ke saath jor diya hai."

Unho ne yeh bhi kaha ke "companies wage costs ko apne profit margins mein absorb karne lag rahe hain."

EUR/USD tashkeel aaj:

Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, euro ke daam ke general trend US dollar ke khilaf EUR/USD mein neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, jo ke spot par 1.0600 ke support ko toor sakta hai, jo ke hasiyat se political anxiety euro zone mein agay barhti rahe. US dollar ke daam ko US Central Bank ki policy aur economic performance ne support kiya hai. Bina ke is current trend ko todne ke bina, abhi ke resistance 1.0830 ki taraf mudawamat nahi hogi. Aaj euro ko German consumer climate ke Ifo reading ke announcement se asar hoga.

AUDUSD


Australian CPI news release ne aaj EURAUD ko aggressively move kar diya. Expected data se zyada aane ki wajah se Aussie dollar euro ke muqable aur strong ho gaya. Aisa lagta hai ke Australian inflation abhi bhi high hai. Is Asian session mein, mera AUDUSD lagbhag 75 pips gir gaya. Is girawat ke natije mein, 1.6079 price par support ko downward penetrate kar gaya.

Support penetrate hone ke bawajood, candle abhi tak demand area ko 1.6045 price par cross nahi kar saki. Agar demand area penetrate nahi hota, toh mujhe lagta hai ke ek kaafi bara increase ka potential hai kyunke ek shoulder bhi touch hua hai. Ichimoku indicator mein kuch unique hai kyunke intersection hone ke baad price seedha upar jaane ke bajaye actually neeche gaya. Khush kismati se, red line abhi bhi blue line ke upar hai, isliye rise ka mauka abhi bhi maintained hai.

Stochastic indicator se sirf thoda aur reh gaya hai aur yeh apne lowest level 20 par touch karne wala hai. Humein sirf stochastic lines ke intersect hone ka intezar karna hai. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, unhe sirf buy positions open karni chahiye. Aap apna target nearest resistance par laga sakte hain jo ke 1.6162 price par hai.

Dusre indicators ki baat karein, jese ke RSI 14 indicator, iska current value lower 30% se neeche hai, jo ke 29% value range mein hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke EURAUD pair ka price movement is morning tak downward trend continue kar raha hai. Toh agar aane wale waqt mein price continue neeche move karta hai, toh mumkin hai ke price aur bhi gir sake. Main suggest karunga ke trading Wednesday ke liye sell order karein, take profit around 1.5960 aur stop loss 1.6160 par rakhein. Umeed hai aap profit kama sakenge.

EUR/USD



EUR/USD karansi jodi jo abhi 1.0739 par trading kar rahi hai, noticeable bearish trend ka samna kar rahi hai. Is ki value mein girawat macroeconomic factors, geopolitical events, aur prevailing market sentiments ka natija hai jo euro aur US dollar dono ko affect kar rahe hain.

Kai macroeconomic indicators EUR/USD jodi ki trajectory ko shape karne mein significant role play karte hain. Misal ke taur par, Eurozone ki economic performance United States ke muqablay mein relatively lackluster rahi hai. Recent data slower-than-expected growth rates aur kuch Eurozone countries mein persistently high inflation show kar rahi hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ne monetary policy ke hawalay se cautious stance maintain rakha hai, aur gradual rate hikes opt kiye hain, jo ke Federal Reserve ke aggressive approach ke contrast mein hai. Fed ki interest rate hikes ki series jo inflation ko curb karne ke liye ki gayi hain, US dollar ko bolster kar rahi hain, jis se yeh investors ke liye zyada attractive ban gaya hai aur EUR/USD jodi par downward pressure exert ho raha hai.

Geopolitical events bhi currency markets ko influence karne mein crucial role play karte hain. Ukraine mein ongoing conflict ne Europe ke liye far-reaching economic repercussions laayi hain. Eurozone ki proximity to the conflict aur uski Russian energy supplies par heavy reliance ne economic uncertainties aur disruptions ko lead kiya hai. Energy prices soar kar gayi hain, jo inflation ko contribute kar rahi hain aur economic recovery efforts ko slow kar rahi hain. In contrast, United States ne, jab ke global economic shifts se affected hai, conflict se direct economic impact face nahi kiya hai. Yeh relative stability ne US dollar ko euro ke muqablay mein strengthen kiya hai.

Trade dynamics bhi Eurozone aur United States ke darmiyan currency pair ko impact karte hain. Trade tensions, tariffs mein changes, aur shifting trade policies exchange rate mein fluctuations lead kar sakte hain. Abhi, US ne policies pursue ki hain jo domestic production aur exports ko favor karti hain, jo dollar ko strengthen kar sakti hain. Bar'aks, Eurozone ki trade policies Brexit aur doosre internal market challenges se affected rahi hain, jo euro ki weakness ko add karti hain.

Summary mein, EUR/USD karansi jodi ka bearish trend jo abhi 1.0739 par trade kar rahi hai, macroeconomic factors, geopolitical events, aur market sentiments ka confluence ke wajah se hai. Eurozone aur United States ki economic performance aur monetary policies, geopolitical tensions jaisay Ukraine ka conflict, aur shifting market perceptions sab significant roles play karte hain current exchange rate ko shape karne mein. Jaise hi yeh factors evolve hote hain, yeh undoubtedly EUR/USD jodi ki future trajectory ko influence karte rahenge.

EURAUD


Australian CPI news ke release ne aaj EURAUD ko aggressively move karwaya. Data jo expectations se exceed hua usne Aussie dollar ko euro ke against aur bhi strong banaya. Lagta hai ke Australian inflation abhi bhi high hai. Is Asian session mein, mera AUDUSD kareeb 75 pips gir gaya hai. Is decline ke natijay mein, support price 1.6079 ko penetrate kar gaya hai.

Halaanki support penetrate ho gaya hai, candle abhi bhi demand area ko 1.6045 par cross nahi kar sakta. Agar demand area jo mein keh raha hoon abhi tak penetrate nahi hua, to mujhe lagta hai ke ek kaafi bara increase ka potential hai kyunke ek shoulder bhi touch hui hai iske paas. Ichimoku indicator mein kuch unique hai kyunke intersection ke baad price immediately upar jane ke bajaye, actually neeche chali gayi. Khushkismati se, red line abhi bhi blue line ke upar hai to rise ka mauka abhi bhi barkarar hai.

Stochastic indicator se sirf thoda sa baqi hai aur yeh apne lowest level par touch karega jo ke number 20 par hai. Humain bas wait karna hai ke stochastic lines intersect karen. Is liye, main un doston ko recommend karta hoon jo is pair mein trade karte hain ke wo sirf buy positions kholne par focus karen. Aap apna target nearest resistance par place kar sakte hain jo ke price 1.6162 par hai.

Isi dauran, doosre indicators ke tor par, RSI 14 indicator, current value 30% se neeche hai, jo ke 29% range mein hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke EURAUD pair ke price movements ka performance is subah tak downward trend ko continue kar raha hai. To agar future mein price move downwards continue karti hai, to possible hai ke price aur bhi giray aur main suggest karunga sell order ko trade karne ke liye is Wednesday ko with a take profit around 1.5960 and stop loss at 1.6160 aur umeed hai ke aap profit bana sakte hain.

EUR/USD currency pair jo ke iss waqt 1.0696 ke qareeb trade ho rahi hai, ek bearish trend ka samna kar rahi hai. Market movement abhi slow hai, magar kuch aise factors hain jo near future mein ek significant shift ko suggest karte hain. In factors ko samajhna traders aur investors ko potential volatility ke liye prepare karne mein madad de sakta hai.

Sab se pehle, Eurozone aur United States ki macroeconomic environment bohot important role play karti hai. Euro Eurozone ki economic challenges ki wajah se pressure mein hai, jaise ke sluggish growth, inflationary pressures, aur political uncertainties Italy aur Spain jaise countries mein. European Central Bank (ECB) ne dovish stance rakha hua hai low interest rates aur quantitative easing measures ke sath taake economy ko stimulate kar sakein. Magar agar inflation barhti rahi, toh ECB ko apna stance hawkish karna pad sakta hai, jo euro ko strengthen kar sakta hai.

Dosri taraf, U.S. dollar relatively strong hai, jo Federal Reserve ke tighter monetary policy ki wajah se support hota hai. Fed inflation ko combat karne ke liye interest rates barha raha hai, jo dollar ko bolster kar raha hai. Agar Fed ki policy mein koi changes aayein, jaise ke rate hikes ka pause ya future cuts ka indication, toh dollar weaken ho sakta hai aur EUR/USD pair mein significant movement aa sakti hai. Iske ilawa, U.S. se strong economic data, jaise ke employment figures aur GDP growth, dollar ko support karte hain. Magar kisi bhi economic slowdown ke signs market sentiment ko shift kar sakte hain.

Geopolitical events bhi EUR/USD pair mein significant movements ko drive kar sakte hain. Jaise ke ongoing trade negotiations, political developments, ya economic sanctions, jo heightened volatility ko lead kar sakte hain. Positive developments, jaise ke trade disputes ka resolution ya Eurozone mein increased political stability, euro mein investor confidence ko boost kar sakti hain. Conversely, geopolitical tensions ya sanctions jo Eurozone ya U.S. ko affect karte hain, safe-haven assets ki demand ko increase kar sakte hain, jo EUR/USD pair ko impact kar sakta hai.

Market sentiment aur speculative activities bhi currency pair ko influence karti hain. Traders aur investors closely monitor karte hain economic indicators ko, jaise ke GDP growth, employment rates, aur manufacturing output, taake Eurozone aur U.S. economies ki health ko gauge kar sakein. Eurozone se strong economic data euro mein confidence instill kar sakti hai, jo bearish trend ko reverse kar sakti hai. On the other hand, disappointing data current bearish sentiment ko exacerbate kar sakti hai. Speculative activities, jo market expectations aur news par reactions se driven hoti hain, in movements ko amplify kar sakti hain.

Is chart ko dekhte hue, EUR/USD currency pair ki trading dynamics samajh sakte hain. Pehle, price decline hoti hui nazar aati hai jo 1.09973 ke level tak jaati hai. Is level par pehle ek support milta hai lekin phir bhi price neechay gir kar 1.09666 par support paati hai.

Iske baad price thoda rebound karti hai aur 1.09789 ke level tak aati hai. Yahan se phir ek downward movement hoti hai jo price ko 1.09545 ke level tak le jaati hai. Phir se ek choti si recovery hoti hai aur price 1.09662 ke level tak aati hai lekin yeh sustain nahi ho pati aur phir se decline hota hai jo price ko 1.09492 tak le aati hai.

Ab yahan se agar hum dekhen to, chart par ek potential bullish pattern nazar aa raha hai jo indicate karta hai ke price 1.09732 ke target ko achieve karne ki koshish kar sakti hai. Agar yeh bullish trend continue hoti hai to price 1.09972 ke level tak bhi pahunch sakti hai.

Is analysis ke basis par, traders ko support aur resistance levels ko nazar me rakhna chahiye. Current support levels 1.09662 aur 1.09492 hain jo ke crucial points hain agar price decline hoti hai to. Dusri taraf, resistance levels 1.09732 aur 1.09972 hain jo ke important targets hain agar price bullish trend ko follow karti hai.

Summary:

• Current Support Levels: 1.09662, 1.09492
• Current Resistance Levels: 1.09732, 1.09972
• Potential Bullish Target: 1.09732, 1.09972
• Potential Bearish Risk: If price falls below 1.09492

In conclusions, traders ko yeh support aur resistance levels monitor karte rehna chahiye aur price action ke hisaab se apni trading strategies ko adjust karna chahiye. Accurate technical analysis aur timely decision making is crucial for successful trading.

EUR/USD currency pair, jo ke is waqt kareeb 1.0696 par trade ho rahi hai, ek bearish trend experience kar rahi hai. Market movement slow hone ke bawajood, kai factors suggest karte hain ke near future mein ek significant shift ho sakti hai. In factors ko samajhna traders aur investors ko potential volatility ke liye tayar karne mein madad kar sakta hai.

Sab se pehle, macroeconomic environment dono Eurozone aur United States mein crucial role play karta hai. Eurozone mein economic challenges, jaise ke sluggish growth, inflationary pressures, aur political uncertainties Italy aur Spain jese mulkon mein, euro ko pressure mein rakh rahe hain. European Central Bank (ECB) ne dovish stance maintain kiya hua hai with low interest rates aur quantitative easing measures taake economy ko stimulate kiya ja sake. Lekin agar inflation barh jaati hai, toh ECB ko apna stance hawkish karna pad sakta hai, jo ke euro ko strengthen kar sakta hai.

Is ke mukable mein, U.S. dollar relatively strong raha hai, supported by Federal Reserve ki tighter monetary policy. Fed interest rates raise kar raha hai inflation ko combat karne ke liye, jo ke dollar ko bolster kar raha hai. Agar Fed ki policy mein koi changes aate hain, jaise ke rate hikes ka pause ya future cuts ki indications, toh dollar weaken ho sakta hai aur EUR/USD pair mein significant movement aa sakti hai. Is ke ilawa, strong economic data from U.S., jaise ke employment figures aur GDP growth, dollar ko support karte hain. Lekin agar economic slowdown ke signs nazar aate hain, toh market sentiment shift ho sakta hai.

Geopolitical events bhi ek critical factor hain jo EUR/USD pair mein significant movements drive kar sakte hain. For instance, ongoing trade negotiations, political developments, ya economic sanctions heightened volatility la sakte hain. Positive developments, jaise ke trade disputes ka resolution ya Eurozone mein increased political stability, investor confidence ko boost kar sakti hain euro mein. Conversely, geopolitical tensions ya sanctions Eurozone ya U.S. ko affect karte hain toh safe-haven assets ki demand barh sakti hai, jo EUR/USD pair ko impact kar sakta hai.

Market sentiment aur speculative activities bhi currency pair ko influence karte hain. Traders aur investors closely monitor karte hain economic indicators ko, including GDP growth, employment rates, aur manufacturing output, taake Eurozone aur U.S. economies ki health gauge kar sakein. Strong economic data from Eurozone euro mein confidence instill kar sakti hai, potentially bearish trend ko reverse kar sakti hai. Dusri taraf, disappointing data current bearish sentiment ko exacerbate kar sakti hai. Speculative activities, market expectations aur news reactions se driven, in movements ko amplify kar sakti hain.

Technical analysis additional insights provide karti hai potential future movements of EUR/USD pair ke liye. Is waqt, pair ek critical support level ke kareeb hai. Agar yeh level ke neeche break karta hai, toh yeh bearish trend continuation ka signal de sakta hai, jo further declines lead kar sakta hai. Conversely, agar pair is support ke upar hold karta hai aur rebound shuru karta hai, toh yeh ek reversal aur significant upward movement indicate kar sakta hai. Technical indicators jaise ke moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) useful tools hain potential trend reversals ya continuations ko identify karne ke liye.

In conclusion, jab ke EUR/USD pair currently bearish trend aur slow market movements experience kar raha hai, kai factors significant changes ka potential suggest karte hain. Economic policies, geopolitical events, market sentiment, aur technical analysis sabhi possible volatility ko indicate karte hain coming days mein. Yeh pair apni bearish trajectory continue karega ya bullish reversal experience karega yeh depend karta hai in factors ke play out hone par. Is liye, yeh crucial hai traders aur investors ke liye ke woh informed rahen aur new developments par ready ho actions lene ke liye jo EUR/USD currency pair ko impact kar sakti hain. Ek well-informed aur strategic approach essential hogi is currency pair ke potential shifts ko navigate karne ke liye, market participants ko emerging opportunities capitalize karne mein enable karne ke liye.

Abhi EUR/USD pair ek tight range mein atka hua hai jabki investors US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ka intezaar kar rahe hain jo March ke liye release hone wala hai. Is data ka bahut bada mahatva hai kyunki yeh mahangai ke star ko darshata hai, jo central banks jaise Federal Reserve ke faislon ko prabhavit kar sakta hai. Charts par, yeh pair 50, 100 aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) jaise mukhya levels ke beech idhar-udhar ghoom raha hai. Yeh moving averages traders ke liye mahatvapurn tools hai jo market ke direction ko alag-alag timeframes mein samajhne mein madad karte hain. Jab tak traders CPI data release ka intezaar karte hain, ve khaas taur par dekh rahe hain ki EUR/USD pair in pivotal moving average levels ke saath kaise interact karta hai. In SMAs ke saath pair ka vyavahar market sentiment aur trajectory mein hone waale badlav ke sanket dete hain.

CPI data aur ECB meeting ka intezaar karte hue EUR/USD pair aas-pass ke range ke andar cautious trade karta rahega. Magar jab yeh events unfold honge, tab increased volatility aur pair ke direction mein badlav ki ummeed hai. Traders ko vigilant rehna hoga aur in market-moving events ke jawaab mein apni strategies ko anusar banana hoga. Is asset ke liye daily chart ka analysis challenging hai kyun ki yahan confusing candlestick formations maujood hain. Yeh candlesticks din ke trend ko spasht taur par pehchanna mushkil banate hain. Iske alawa, yeh asset ek liquidity zone mein enter ho chuka hai, jo aur bhi complications laata hai. Is liquidity zone ke andar, up price rejection ko dikhane wali candles aur ek downtrend line hai jo price par downward pressure exert kar rahi hai. Agar price in rukavaton ko paar nahi karta, to yeh ek selling opportunity signal kar sakta hai. Magar agar price in bearish barriers ko tod deta hai, to yeh investors aur traders ko buy positions open karne ke liye prakrit kar sakta hai.

Daily chart mixed signals deta hai. Ek taraf, higher prices ke rejection aur ek downtrend line jaise signs downward movements ki possibility ko darshate hain. Dusri taraf, agar price in rukavaton ko paar kar leta hai, to yeh investors aur traders ke liye ek buying opportunity signal kar sakta hai. Isliye market participants ko in developments ko closely monitor karna hoga taki informed trading decisions liya ja sake.

EUR/USD pair ka analysis karte hue, yeh wazeh hota hai ke ek downward trend chal raha hai. Magar, four-hour (H4) timeframe ka qareebi jaiza lene se ek dilchasp dynamic nazar aati hai: downward pressure ke bawajood, yeh pair baar baar crucial support zone 1.0760 ke neeche trade sustain karne mein nakam raha hai. Yeh lagataar koshish aur nakami latent bullish sentiment ko zahir karti hai, jo market mein ek aane wale reversal ka ishara deti hai. Recent market movements, khaaskar Friday ko observed USD index ke positive shift ko dekhte hue, yeh andaza lagana munasib hai ke near future mein USD strength ka resurgence ho sakta hai. Aise scenario mein, EUR/USD pair par downward pressure barh sakta hai. Iss context mein, yeh conceivable hai ke pair daily basis par 1.0700 mark ki taraf retreat kar sakta hai. Magar, yeh dynamics badal sakti hain, khaaskar USD index ke fluctuations par depend karti hain.



Hourly chart par linear regression channel north ki taraf face kar raha hai. M15 ke along channel bhi isi direction mein hai. Dono channels ki movement baghair disagreement ke upward movement ko highlight karti hai. Abhi shopping meri priority hai. Channel ke bottom se, level 1.07059 ke qareeb, main entry point consider kar raha hoon. Mutawaqqa hai ke market 1.07989 tak grow kar rahi hai - yeh channel ki upper limit hai, jahan market braking hogi. Agar market channel ki upper border ke qareeb lambay arsay tak rehti hai, to aksar ek fall lower part of the channel tak dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Lower part tak movement ko reduce karte hue, main sales mein nahi jaata. Selling ka matlab hai trend ke against jana, aur agar rollback na ho, growth jari rahegi. Isliye, main market mein pullback se enter hone ka tareeqa use karta hoon. Mujhe lagta hai yeh tareeqa ek strong player ke sath mil kar implement hoga jo bears ko tor kar growth karega. Aise case mein top tak chalna kayi bar barhta hai.

EURUSD Technical Analysis in 4H:

Kal, EUR/USD aur GBP/USD currency pairs ne daily charts par bearish outlook dikhaya, jo strong red bodies wali candles banane se zahir hota hai. Yeh candles ek bearish pattern banate hain jo "Bearish Engulfing" kehlata hai, khaaskar Fibonacci level 23.45 (1.0763) ke qareeb, jo downward movement 1.0895 se start hoti hai. Yeh pattern ek potential shift in sentiment ko signal karta hai, jahan sellers momentum gain karte hain consolidation period ke baad. In dono pairs mein patterns ki similarity broader market factors ke shared dynamics ko highlight karti hai.

EUR/USD pair ke liye nearest selling target approximately 1.0610-1.0621 ke qareeb hai, jo April 22, 2024 ka minimum hai. Yeh area ek critical support zone represent karta hai, aur agar yeh level break hota hai, toh yeh downward trend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai. Agar yeh level sustained breakthrough hota hai, toh yeh traders ke liye lower targets ko unveil kar sakta hai, jaise ke next major support levels 1.0510 aur 1.0420. EURUSD price 100 exponential moving average ke neeche hai, aur main strong resistance level 1.0709 par hai.



Yeh highlight karna zaroori hai ke aaj, US Federal Reserve ki interest rate se mutaliq crucial data release hone wala hai. Anticipated increased volatility ke madde nazar, traders ko caution exercise karni chahiye aur trading se refrain karna chahiye taake potentially erratic market movements se associated risks ko mitigate kiya ja sake. Fed ka policy stance EUR/USD aur GBP/USD pairs ke liye significant implications rakh sakta hai, aur koi bhi surprises sharp price movements ko fuel kar sakte hain. Agar hum forex factory news dekhein, toh bohot saari economic news aaj release ho rahi hain.

EUR/USD

Is deri ka aik waajib ho sakta hai ke qareeb anay wali maali reports ya qoumi bank ki tehqiqat ki umeed ho sakti hai. Tijarat karne walay aam tor par ahem data releases se pehle bari tehqiqat se bachne ke liye baray trades par rok laga dete hain. Misal ke taur par, agar ahem maali indicators jaise ke GDP ki taraqqi, karobar ke figures ya inflaishan ki maloomat jald hi jaari hone ka intezar hai, to brokers umeed karte hain ke yeh reports unhe saaf rahnumai dengi. Bunyadi tor par, qoumi bankon ki kisi bhi qisam ki iltija ya strategy decisions market ke bunyadi tajarbat ko gehra asar andaz dene ke qabile hain. Jab tak traders in ahem maloomat ka intezar karte hain, market aksar in maqamaat mein khamosh rehti hai. Is deri mein shamil hone wala ek aur mamooli tareen unsar ho sakta hai jisey market ki fehrist o asool mein bhi hai. Tijarat karne walon ke aam tor par uncertainty ya khatray se ijazat dar harkaton ki aamad se pehle mahaul mein khamoshi aur sakti ke maqamaat ki bunyadi tajarbat mein bhi akassar hoti hai. Yehi waja hai ke in bina tajarbat market stress, monetary voltile rate kuch difficult ya pazeer ke hotey hain jo traders kiya hob ke taraf bhi jo agree




EUR/USD

Ek mumkin wajah is delay ki yeh ho sakti hai ke qareebi monetary reports ya national bank declarations ka intezar ho. Market ke participants aksar significant data releases se pehle bade trades karne se ruk jate hain taake market ke ghalat side pe na fas jayein. Misal ke taur pe, agar key financial indicators, jaise GDP growth, employment figures, ya inflation data, jald release hone wale ho, toh traders yeh reports ka intezar karte hain taake clear direction mil sake. Isi tarah, upcoming announcements ya policy decisions from national banks bhi market movements pe significant asar daal sakte hain. Jab traders in crucial information ka intezar kar rahe hote hain, market aksar quiet rehta hai in situations mein.

Ek aur mumkin element jo is waqt ke idleness mein contribute kar sakta hai, wo hai broader market sentiment aur overall investor wariness. Periods of low volatility aur lack of movement kabhi kabhi market participants ke general uncertainty ya risk aversion ko reflect karte hain. Yeh tab hota hai jab international tensions, economic uncertainties, ya even major global events ka lead-up ho raha ho. Jab investors future direction of the market ke bare mein unsure hote hain, toh wo aksar cautious approach adopt karte hain, jo subdued trading activity ko lead karta hai.



Tuesday ko, US dollar ne sharp market mood ke darmiyan rally ki. Iske bawajood, pair ne apni comfort zone se bahar step lene se inkar kiya kyun ke policymakers ke words aur data speculative interest ko pique karne ke liye kafi nahi the. Germany ka April producer price index, jo 3.3% year-over-year gira expectations ke 3.2% decline ke muqable mein, generally positive news thi Europe se. Month-to-month, PPI 0.2 percent se bara, jo ke expectations aur March data ke mutabiq tha. Iske ilawa, EU ne March ka current account release kiya, jo €17.3 billion ka trade balance aur €35.8 billion ka seasonally adjusted surplus dikhata hai, jo anticipated se zyada tha. US macroeconomic schedule mein sirf ek aur cluster tha Federal Reserve speakers ka, jo notable messages ko repeat kar rahe the. Asian aur European markets red mein band hue, jabke US indices ne modest gains kiye, jo suggest karta hai ke market participants ne apni cues stocks se li thi.

Mukammal chhart tajziya ke mutabiq, hum EUR/USD currency pair ke trading dynamics ke baray mein aik mukammal samajh hasil kar sakte hain. Shuru mein, qeemat mein girawat ho rahi hai, jahan tak 1.09973 level par chali gayi. Is moqa par thori shuruwati madad milti hai, lekin qeemat neechay girne ke siwa, 1.09666 level par mazboot support level ki talash mein jari hai.

Is support ke baad, qeemat thori miyad se bharh kar 1.09789 level tak pohanchti hai. Yahan se, mazeed neeche ki taraf aik or rukh hota hai, jis se qeemat 1.09545 level tak gir jati hai. Is ke baad, aik minor recovery hoti hai, jo qeemat ko 1.09662 level par le aati hai. Lekin yeh urooj nahi barqarar hota hai, jis se mazeed girawat hoti hai, or qeemat 1.09492 tak gir jati hai.

Is marhale par, chhart aik potential bullish pattern zahir karta hai, jo isharay deti hai ke qeemat 1.09732 target tak pohanchne ki koshish kar sakti hai. Agar bullish trend jari rahe, to qeemat 1.09972 level tak bhi pohanch sakti hai.

Is mukammal tajziya ke mutabiq, tajziya karne wale ko pehchide gaye support aur resistance levels par khas tawajjo deni chahiye. Ab waqt ki kawaif ho gayi 1.09662 aur 1.09492, jo agar qeemat or behtar ho sakte hain. Is ke mutabiq, support levels 1.09732 aur 1.09972 hain, jo agar qeemat ek bullish trend jari rahe.

EUR/USD currency pair ki tajarbat angaiz dynamics present hain jab market mein 1.0704 ke level par tootne ki umeedain hain, jo ke traders ke liye ek bullish signal ho sakta hai. Yeh level mahatvapurn hai kyun ke agar yeh toot jaye to is ke baad market mein consolidation aur ek naye bullish phase ka aghaz ho sakta hai.

Forex market mein EUR/USD pair ka level 1.0704 euro ke mukablay dollar par hai. Jab yeh level tootne ki umeed zahir ho rahi hai, to is ka matlab hai ke dollar ki kamzori aur euro ki taqat mein tabdeeli ane ki sambhavna hai. Traders is level ko closely monitor kar rahe hain taake woh is mauqe par long positions khol saken jo ke unhein faida pohancha sakta hai.

Technical analysis ke mutabiq, agar EUR/USD 1.0704 ke level par toot jaye to is ke baad ek bullish trend ka aghaz ho sakta hai. Is level ka tootna ek strong resistance ko cross karne ka matlab hoga jo ke market dynamics mein tabdeeli layega. Jab ek resistance level toot jata hai, to is ke baad traders ka interest market mein long positions lene mein barh jata hai, jo ke prices ko mazeed upar le jane mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai.

Is waqt, global economic conditions aur geopolitical factors bhi EUR/USD pair par asar andaz ho rahe hain. Euro zone ki economic recovery aur dollar ki performance mein aane wale changes traders ke liye crucial hain. Agar euro zone ki economy mein expected growth aane lage aur dollar ki value mein kami aye, to EUR/USD pair ke bullish movement ko aur tezi se dekhne ki sambhavna hai.

Overall, EUR/USD pair ke 1.0704 ke level par tootne ki ummid traders ke liye ek important trading opportunity ho sakti hai. Is level ke tootne ke baad market mein ek bullish phase ka aghaz hone ki sambhavna hai jo ke traders ke liye faida mand sabit ho sakta hai. Is scenario ko samajh kar traders ko apne strategies ko adjust karna hoga taake woh market ke changing dynamics ka fayda utha saken.

On Friday, EUR/USD is continuing its downward trend, currently hovering around 1.0686 after a brief pause.

The dollar initially weakened due to mixed economic indicators and uncertain market expectations, with particular focus on the PCE inflation report, crucial for Federal Reserve decisions. Recent US data showed unemployment fell sharply, while May durable goods orders increased slightly, though core PCE declined.

Q1 2024 GDP estimates were revised slightly higher, indicating modest US economic growth at 1.4%, up from a previously estimated 1.3%, compared to 3.4% growth in Q4 2023. Despite US Treasury yields dipping, the dollar briefly retreated.

Looking ahead, market attention is on today’s releases, including key PCE data, personal income and spending, and the University of Michigan May Consumer Sentiment Index.

**EUR/USD Technical Analysis and Forecast:**
EUR/USD closed lower at 1.0666 and then corrected to 1.0715. Currently, it is targeting 1.0655 with potential for another downward move.

If this level is breached, a rebound towards 1.0690 might occur before the pair resumes its decline towards 1.0577. The bearish outlook is supported by the MACD indicator, which remains below zero, signaling a strong downward trend.

**EUR/USD Forecast on the H1 Chart:**
On the hourly chart (H1), EUR/USD is consolidating around 1.0690. Further downside could lead to a test of 1.0655, followed by potential corrections to 1.0640. If selling pressure persists, the pair might extend its decline towards 1.0577.

The stochastic oscillator, currently near 20, suggests there's potential for another downward movement before recovering above 80, indicating short-term volatility.

In summary, EUR/USD appears poised for continued downward movement, with key levels to watch at 1.0655 and potential support around 1.0577, while any corrective bounces may find resistance near 1.0690.