eur/usd

Aik mumkin wajah jo is rukawat ka sabab ban sakti hai wo aane wale iqtisadi reports ya central bank ke elan ka intezar ho sakta hai. Market participants aksar bade trades karne se pehle rok jate hain jab significant data releases ka intezar hota hai, taake market ke galat side par na phans jayein. Misal ke tor par, agar GDP growth, employment figures, ya inflation data jaise key economic indicators jald release hone wale hain, to traders aksar in reports ka intezar karte hain taake unhein market ka wazeh rukh mil sake. Isi tarah, agar central banks ke upcoming statements ya policy decisions hone wale hain, to yeh bhi market movements par bara asar dal sakte hain. Aise scenarios mein, market aam tor par khamosh rehta hai jab tak traders in critical information ka intezar karte hain.

Ek aur mumkin sabab jo aaj ki inakti ko contribute kar sakta hai wo broader market sentiment aur overall investor caution ho sakta hai. Kabhi kabhi low volatility aur lack of movement broader sense of uncertainty ya risk aversion ko reflect karte hain jo market participants ke darmiyan hota hai. Yeh un waqt mein ho sakta hai jab geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainties, ya bade global events ke lead-up mein ho. Jab investors ko future direction ke baray mein shak hota hai, to wo aksar wait-and-see approach apnate hain, jo subdued trading activity ko janam deta hai.

Technically, initial movement ke baad 1.0700 level par lack of follow-through ko bhi market ka ek breather lena kaha ja sakta hai. Yeh tab hota hai jab price ek significant level par pohanchti hai lekin aage barhne ki momentum nahi hoti. Aise cases mein, market consolidation phase mein enter hota hai jahan yeh narrow range mein trade karta hai jab buyers aur sellers ek dusre ko balance karte hain. Yeh consolidation market cycle ka ek healthy hissa hota hai, jo next significant move se pehle energy accumulate karne ka moka deta hai.

Aage dekhte hue, kal ka trading session ziada wazeh information de sakta hai. Yeh current pause wakai temporary ho sakta hai, aur market anticipated data ya events ke baad apni movement resume kar sakta hai. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur new developments par nazar rakhni chahiye jo market ke direction ke baray mein clearer insights provide kar sakti hain.

Akhir mein, aaj ka din market mein ek inactive din tha, jo initial movement ke baad lack of further development se characterized tha. Yeh inactivity upcoming economic data, central bank announcements, broader market sentiment, ya ek technical consolidation phase ki wajah se ho sakti hai. Kal ka trading session ziada wazeh information de sakta hai, aur traders ko alert rehna chahiye taake kisi bhi emerging opportunities ko capitalize kar sakein. Market developments ko closely monitor karte hue aur adaptable rehkar, traders periods of inactivity ko navigate kar sakte hain aur next significant move ke liye ready reh sakte hain.

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S
E U R / U S D
Main analysis daily time frame se shuru karunga jahan haal hi mein EURUSD pair ke price movement ko dekhte hue yeh nazar ata hai ke candlestick movement ab bhi bullish trend direction mein price movements ka samna kar rahi hai, haqeeqat mein kai dafa price movement ne neeche ki correction ki koshish ki hai jaise is hafte hua. April ke last period mein bhi ek market correction tha jiske baad price movements buyer army ke control mein wapas aaye jo bullish phase mein consistent movements ko maintain kar rahi hai. Pichle Jumme ko, market ne prices ko upar le jane ki koshish dekhi, lekin jaise ke market mein hota hai, yeh situation is haftay ke liye overall market trend ki madad nahi ki, jo ke ab bhi ek bearish correction hai.

Zyada tafseelat ke liye, maine analysis ke liye istemal kiye gaye indicators ki taraf se market ka tasawar dekhne ki koshish ki. Mojudah candlestick position mein, Simple Moving Average indicators 150 aur 160 ke upar khelna ab bhi comfortable hai jo daily timeframe par trend ko bullish darust rakhta hai. MACD indicator par histogram bar ka position phir se zero level ke upar hai, jo ke buyers ke control mein market ka tasawar hai. Daily timeframe par technical analysis ki complement ke taur par, RSI indicator (14) par Lime-coloured signal line ko level 30 ke upar comfortable tor par dekha ja sakta hai, jo market mein bullish conditions ka ishara hai.

Agla, mein EURUSD ke market ki halat ka H4 timeframe istemal karke monitor karunga. Is haftay ke trading session mein, candlestick movement ab bhi neeche ki taraf jaari hai, yeh halat market mein ghaate ke candlesticks ki saf mein dekhi ja sakti hai, khaaskar market opening Monday se lekar Thursday tak. Price movements ne phir se Jumme ko barhne shuru kiya aur candlestick ko haftay ke opening level ke qareeb laaya jahan tak 1.0868 hai.

RSI indicator (14) ke Lime Line ka position level 50 ke neeche reh gaya hai, jo ke Jumme se pehle ek bohot mazboot bearish trend momentum ko darust karta hai. MACD indicator par yellow signal line ka direction level 0 ke neeche hai aur histogram bar ki size chhoti ho rahi hai, jo ke market trend ko jo neeche ki correction ko darust karta hai, kamzor hone ki nishani hai. Kuch bar buyers ki army ki koshishen nazar aayi jo price ko upar le jane ki koshish ki lekin hamesha price level 1.0606 ko phaadne mein nakam rahe. Meri raye mein, yeh halat mazeed bullish movements ke liye ek reference ho sakti hai.

Mukhtasir Karwai:

Rozana aur H4 timeframes ke zariye hasil ki gayi technical data ke buniyad par aur market mein price movements ko nigrani karne ke liye istemal kiye gaye kai indicators ke tamam hidayaton ko parhne ke baad, yeh dikhaya gaya hai ke zyadatar indicators next market ka most likely ab bhi neeche jaane ki sambhavna ko dikhate hain. Is tarah, agle haftay ke liye EURUSD currency pair ke liye, iska andaaza hai ke iske agle qadam ki sambhavna bullish trend ki taraf jaari rahegi.

Buy trading transactions ke liye mukhtasir candlestick position ke liye, aapko intezar karna chahiye ke price phir se barhe aur level 1.0860 tak pahunch jaye. Agla bullish movement ke liye maqsad ke tor par, price level 1.0900 par rakh sakte hain. Stop loss level ko transaction karne ke waqt price se lagbhag 35 pips door rakhna chahiye.

diya aur moatbar tajziya ke mutabiq bandh gaya. EUR/USD pair mein dekhi gayi price action ne bullish taqat ka wazeh dikhawa kiya, jab ke kharidari karne walay market ko apni baat manane mein kamiyab rahe aur prices ko yaqeen ke sath buland kiya. Retracement ke baad, market participants foran apna itminan wapas le liye, jo ke uthay hue raaste ki dobara shuruat ka natija tha. Aik mukammal bullish candlestick ke ubhar ne bullish bias ko mazeed mazbooti se taqat di, jo ke taqatwar kharidari ki dilchaspi aur mazeed upar ki taraf hareef dikhata tha.
Resistance level 1.08122 ke tor par tor karne aur baad mein uske band hone ne is price point ki ahmiyat ko market dynamics mein gehri roshni dali. Resistance ko support banane wale levels aksar traders aur investors ke liye nihayat eham reference points hote hain, jo ke market sentiment mein tabdeeliyon ki alamat aur mustaqbil ki price movements ke liye qeemti insights faraham karte hain. Is resistance level ke tezi se breakthrough ne market dynamics mein aik nihayat eham tabdeeli ka ahsas dilaya, jahan kharidari walay control hasil kar rahe aur prices par buland dabao dala ja raha tha. Technical indicators ne bhi EUR/USD pair ke liye bullish outlook ko support kiya, jahan momentum indicators ne mazboot upar ki taraf momentum signal kiya aur price chart par bullish continuation patterns ban rahe the. Relative Strength Index (RSI), aik mashhoor momentum oscillator, ne bullish divergence ki ishaarat di, jis ne yeh sugges kia ke kharidari ka dabao mazboot ho raha hai. Mazeed is ke ilawa, moving averages ne bullish crossovers ka nazar aya, jo ke bullish bias ko mazeed mazbooti dene aur upar ki taraf ke momentum ko tasleem karne ka saboot diya.

Aage dekhte hue, traders EUR/USD pair mein price developments ko nazar andaz karenge, khaaskar key support aur resistance levels ke ird gird bartao ko. 1.08122 ke resistance level ke ooper mustaqil harkat ek mazeed bullish momentum ke raste ko banane ka rasta bana sakta hai, jahan potential upar ki taraf ke targets par tawajjo mojood hai. Mutasir hone par, is level ke ooper qaim rehna aik support levels ke retest ka rasta ban sakta hai, jahan niche ke khatron ko carefuly monitor kiya jayega.

EUR/USD H4

Pichle Jumme ke market movement ke doran, Eurusd phir se upar gaya, lekin jo izafa hua tha wo resistance area ko break nahi kar saka. Price abhi bhi SMA 50 area mein hai aur SMA 50 line SMA 200 line ke upar hai. Price ek flag pattern bana rahi hai.

Agar hum trend ko dekhen jo ke abhi bhi bullish hai aur price flag pattern bana rahi hai, to Eurusd ke next movement ke liye bullish potential abhi bhi maujood hai. Lekin, price ka position abhi bhi SMA 50 line par hai aur price resistance line ke niche aur flag ke andar hai, to agle movement ke liye bearish potential bhi maujood hai. Eurusd ke pass bearish potential bhi hai ke wo pehle SMA 200 line ko re-test kare aur phir bullish rely continue kare. Hoshiar rahen agar price phir se neeche girti hai aur SMA 200 line aur support line 1.0727 ko break karti hai. Kyun ke agar price 1.0727 ke support line ko break karne mein kamiyab hoti hai to Eurusd ke next movement ke liye bearish potential ban sakta hai.



Friday ke trading ke end par, price 1.0850 level par freeze ho gayi, jo market mein indecision ko darshata hai. Na koi clear bearish sentiment tha ke price south mein jaye, aur na hi bulls ne north mein pichle high ke around 1.0860 ko surpass karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki. General tor par, humare paas kuch unfinished business tha jo weekend par sochna padta. Yeh aam baat hai aur is mein kuch unusual nahi.

Monday ke opening ke liye, mein thodi se upward movement towards 1.0870 anticipate karta hoon, jo bullish bias ko confirm karegi, followed by ek technical pullback 1.0820-1.0830 range tak. Wahan se, humein is pullback ko monitor karna padega. Agar hum 1.0804 se neeche nahi girte, to iska matlab hai ke bullish sentiment intact hai. Lekin, weekend par unforeseen geopolitical events US dollar ko unexpected strengthen kar sakte hain.

Jumme se Monday ke liye jo minimum level chhoda gaya tha wo 1.0812 hai, jo bullish momentum ko rokh sakta hai, jab ke 1.0804 se neeche break hona intra-day reversal signal karega. Main even potentially more severe consequences for the bulls due to geopolitical factors ka zikr nahi karunga. Yeh sirf meri current assumption hai, hum dekhenge ke opening par cheezain kaise unfold hoti hain.

Eurusd pichle Jumme ke market movement ke doran phir se barh gaya, lekin jo izafa hua woh abhi tak resistance area ko tor nahi saka. Keemat SMA 50 area mein hai jahan SMA 50 line SMA 200 line se oopar hai. Keemat ek jhanda pattern bana rahi hai.

Agla Eurusd ka movement tasavvur karen, agar hum trend dekhte hain jo ke abhi tak bullish hai aur keemat ek jhanda hadood pattern bana rahi hai, to phir Eurusd ka agla movement bhi bullish hone ka imkaan hai. Magar keemat abhi tak SMA 50 line par hai aur keemat abhi bhi resistance line ke neeche aur jhanda ke andar hai, isliye agle movement ke liye bearish imkaan bhi hai aur Eurusd ka agla movement bullish hone par bhi rely karna mushkil hai. Agar keemat phir se gir jaati hai aur SMA 200 line aur support line 1.0727 ko tor deti hai to tah-e-dil se tayyar rahein, kyun ke agar keemat support line 1.0727 ko tor deti hai to Eurusd ka agla movement bearish hone ka imkaan hai.

Jumme ki trading ka ikhtitam hone ke baad, keemat 1.0850 ke daraje par jam gayi, jo ke market mein tawajju ki kami ki nishaani hai. Kisi wazeh bearish jazbaat ki taraf na to sout, aur na hi bull ko peechli unchi 1.0860 ke paar karne mein kamyabi mili. Aam tor par, humein hafta ke maamlaat par ghoor kar sochnay ke liye baaz reh gaya. Ye aam baat hai aur kuch bhi nayi baat nahi hai. Haftay ke Monday ki opening ke liye, main thori si upar ki taraf movement ka tawaqqu rakhta hoon jisme 1.0870 tak ponchne ka bullish bias tasdeeq kiya jayega, phir ek technical pullback aayega jis mein 1.0820-1.0830 ke daire mein ja sakti hai. Yahan se, humein is pullback ko nigrani mein rakhni hogi. Agar hum 1.0804 ke neeche nahi girte, to yeh yeh bullish jazbaat barkarar hain. Magar haftay ke darmiyan, anjaani siyat-e-jamaari waqiyat US dollar ko naaummeed tarzee se mazboot kar sakti hain. Haftay ke liye chhuti rehne wala kam az kam darja 1.0812 hai, jo bullish momentum ko ruk sakta hai, jabke 1.0804 ke neeche girna ek reversal intra-day ko ishaara karega. Main yehan tak hi keh doon ga, bulls ke liye siyasati ya maaliyati factors ki wajah se ziada buri asraat bhi hosakte hain. Ye sirf meri mojooda qeyas hai, hum dekhein ge ke opening mein kaise maamlaat unfold hotay hain.

EURUSD currency pair ne peechle haftay ke trading mein buhat mehdood haftay ke range mein trade kiya. Meri tajziyat ke mutabiq, is pair ne sirf 100 pips ke aas paas izafa aur kami dekha. EURUSD ne resistance level ke baad qeemat ki tajwez shuda silsila 1.0880 se lekar 1.0930 tak ko chorh diya jab kharidne walon ne ise nahi tora, is liye farokht karnewale market ke buniyad mein ahem kirdar ada kar sakte hain peechle haftay.

Mausam ke mojudah pattern ko dekhte hue, ab bhi EURUSD ke liye up trend ki taraf safar jaari rehne ka imkan hai, kyunke kharidne walon ka mohtaj bhi qeemat ko buland karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Stochastic indicator ne 60 zone tak izafa ki tasdeeq di hai, jo ke kharidne walon ki hukoomat ko zahir karta hai. Qeemat buland karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, is liye mein mashwara deta hoon ke bullish trend par tawajjo di jaye, jo shayad qeemat ko kareeb 1.0896 zone tak le jaye. Is liye, is waqt halaat ke rukh ke mutabiq kharidari ki position ki dhoondh nikali jaye, kyunke mumkin hai ke up trend ki chiknai raat ko barh jaye.

Kal ke haftay ke aakhir mein, EURUSD currency pair ne naye support level 1.0770 se lekar 1.0840 ke qeemat range mein mil kar bullish trend banane ki koshish ki. Magar, EURUSD ko 1.0866 se lekar 1.0885 ke qeemat range mein strong resistance level ne roka hai, jo kharidne walon ko peechay kar raha hai. Ye trading ka tajziya dikhata hai ke agar 1.0866 - 1.0885 ke resistance level ko kaamyabi se tora jata hai, to EURUSD mazid taqat hasil kar sakta hai. Halankeh, mojooda H4 time frame chart par, EURUSD currency pair ne golden cross pattern banaya hai jo bullish trend reversal ka signal hai.

Pichle trading week mein, US dollar index thoda sa barha, lekin phir bhi, Jumma ko shaya hone wale data ne United States mein consumer sentiment mein kharabi ka izhar kiya. Hafta ke maqboule goftagu US Core Price Index for Personal Consumption Expenditures ke baray mein hai, jo agle Jumme ko jaari kiya jayega. Zyadatar ma'aashiyatdanon ka ittefaq hai ke index April mein 0.2% tak barh jayega, jisse haqeeqat mein growth rates mein numaya rukawat ka andaza ho. Agar bazaar ke shiraa'ik muntazimoon ke tawaqoat sabit hotay hain, to hum US dollar mein kuch kamzori ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo ke acha nahi hai. Daily chart ab bhi ek bearish bias dikhata hai, Jumme ko lambi bullish candle ke bawajood. Haftay ke natayej ke mutabiq, qeematain 1.0861 ke darje se neeche apni positionon ko qaim rakhti rahin, aur agle haftay ke shuru mein ye mumkin hai ke neeche ki taraf ka rukh jari rahega takay support level 1.0763 tak pahunche, aur agar pehle darja tor diya jata hai, to main agle support level 1.0643 par bearish khelunga. Fitratan, humein ek mukhtalif mansooba ki taraqqi ke imkaan ko bhi yaad rakhna chahiye, aur agar bull log 1.0861 ke darja ko paar kar sakte hain aur is ke ooper qaim rah sakte hain, to afzal taur par wuzoo ki taraqqi ka imkaan hai takay resistance level 1.0959 tak pahunche, uske baad humein rukawat ke tor par taraqqi ke dauran breakthrough ka imkaan lena hoga. EUR/USD jodi mein kharidaron par haftay ke shuru mein dabao hoga, lekin US GDP ke barhne se EUR/USD jodi mein taraqqi hogi, kyun ke yeh jodi abhi tak un bulandiyon tak nahi pohanchi hai jo kuch hafton pehle milti thi. Jahan tak mujhe yaad hai, May ke shuru mein umeedain thi ke EUR/USD jodi mein giravat hogi, lekin bakhair, EUR/USD jodi ne bilkul mukhtalif rukh ikhtiyar kiya. Jab hum ye nagahani taraqqi haasil kar lain, to hum neeche ki taraf rukh lenge, jo is harkat mein dollar ko mazbooti faraham karega.

Mere pyare sweet member, aap jante hain ke euro aur U.S. dollar (EUR/USD) aam currency pair, har moqa par puri duniya mein sab se zyada trade hone wala market hota hai. Do sab se taqatwar aur asar angaiz maeeshaton ka mazidaron se taalluq rakhne ke wajah se, yeh traders ko bohot se trading opportunities faraham karta hai. Har roz is par trillions ki transactions hoti hain. Iski wajah se, EUR/USD ek bohot hi liquid currency pair hai aur aksar volatile hota hai. Pair ki bari trading volumes, lagbhag kisi bhi aur maaliyat se zyada liquidity (aur kabhi kabhi zyada volatility) faraham karte hain. Yeh mawaqay ka khazana forex traders ke liye ek mashhoor intekhab banata hai. Mukhtalif factors EUR/USD exchange rate ke harkat ko aage barhne mein kirdaar ada karte hain, aur inhe samajhna is pair ke future trading sessions ke liye ahem intekhabat mein nayi rahnumai faraham kar sakta hai. EUR/USD ki trading se bara faida uthaya ja sakta hai - lekin bara nuqsan bhi ho sakta hai - is liye is pair ke baray mein apni maloomat ka hona zaroori hai. EUR/USD currency pair duniya ka sab se active forex market hai aur aksar global risk sentiment ka ek paigham barometer ke tor par istemal hota hai. Is liye, yeh zaroori hai ke aap ko pata ho ke EUR/USD exchange rate ke ahem drivers kaise pehchane jate hain. Asasi tajziya - jese ke maeeshati indicators ka mutala kar ke trading opportunities ka talash karna - chand dino ya mahinon tak is currency pair ko kis tarah se move kar sakta hai, is ke baray mein ahem maloomat faraham kar sakta hai. Bade maeeshati waqiyat ke aane se pehle jese ke America ke nonfarm payrolls ya aakhri ECB ya Fed ki meeting, EUR/USD pair mein zyada dilchaspi paida ho sakti hai aur sath hi zyada liquidity aur volatility bhi ho sakti hai. Mazeed influential hosakti hai sudden, unexpected sources se aane wale extreme news - maslan kisi bhi mumkin terrorist hamla ya koi natural aapda ya fir United States ya Europe mein. Is liye, asasi tajziya ke shauqeen logon ke liye zaroori hai ke wo sab se bari announcements jese ke Fed aur ECB meetings aur nonfarm payrolls ke waqt ke maeeshati calendars ko taaza rakhen.

EUR/USD ka mawad neutral rehta hai jab ke 1.0601 temporary low ke upar consolidations hoti hain. Jabke taqatwar recovery na mumkin nahi hai, upside 1.0723 support se rok di jani chahiye jo resistance ban gaya hai. Neche ki taraf, 1.0601 ka break 1.1138 se 1.0694 tak ke decline ko 100% projection se dobara shuru karega jo 1.0980 se 1.0536 tak hai. 1.1274 se price actions ko 0.9534 (2022 ki kam ke) se uthane ka ek sahih pattern samjha jata hai. Hal ki girawat ko teesra pair samjha jata hai. Mazeed girawat 1.0447 aur shayad is se neeche dekhi ja sakti hai. Mazboot support 61.8% retracement se nazar aata hai jo 0.9534 se 1.1274 tak hai jo 1.0199 par pura hota hai tak correction ko mukammal karne ke liye.

Agar koi paar karne ka koi mauqa hai, to agla maqsood 1.0129 USD par waqai hoga. Sawadhan rahein, short term filhal buniyadi trend ke muqable mein zameen khone lag raha hai. Ziyada arsay ke waqton ko talash kar ke mukhtalif over sold items ko pehchan'ne ka khayal rakha jana chahiye jo short-term correction ka pehchan hone ka ishara ho sakta hai. Pehle support 1.0564 USD par paar ho jana agle potential keemat ke girne ka ishara hoga. Fir sellers 1.0469 USD par mojood support ko ek maqsood ke tor par istemal karenge. Isko paar karne se sellers ko 1.0129 USD ko maqsood bana lena chahiye. Ahtiyaat, 1.0638 USD par waapas aane ka short-term basic trend ka mukammal rukh hone ka ishara ho sakta hai.

Ek sab se aam istemal hone wale technical analysis ka tool keemat ka chart hota hai. Keemat ke charts mein maeeshati qeemat ko mukhtalif arsey ke liye dikhaya jata hai aur traders ko trends ya patterns ko pehchan'ne ki ijazat deta hai jo potential trading opportunities ke ishaara ho sakte hain. Khatra nigrani har kamyabi hasil karne wale trader ke liye zaroori hai jab EUR/USD currency pair ki trading hoti hai. Is mein apni khatra exposure ko control karna shaamil hai aur apne potential nuqsanat ko kam karne ke liye apne zor-o-zabar ko istemal karna bhi shaamil hai aur apne mumkinah faiday ko mehfooz rakhna bhi.

EUR/USD currency pair ke daam ko realtime mein jaa raha hoon. Jahan tak EURUSD ka sawaal hai, cheezein aise hi chal rahi hain jaisa ki maine ummeed ki thi. Maine lagatar kaha hai ki 1.0755 ke upar ki chalanein mumkin hain, jo ki bina conso Iske bajaay, main 1.08 par ek sambhav vyarth bahar nikalne par dhyan kendrit kar raha hoon, aur agar daam 1.0783-1.08 zone ko dobara pahunchta hai, to main ek tight stop ke saath bechna ka vichar karunga. EURUSD mein ek neeche ki disha ke liye ek spasht signal sirf 1.0645 ka todna hoga. Europe ke raasta katne ka mahatva khaaskar 1.0858 ke neeche bana hai. Arthavyavastha par katne ka gahra asar nahi padta; bhavna ke jhatkon ka mahatva hai. Pichle hafte ke mahatvapurn utaar-chadhaav yeh tha ki baelon ne 1.0824 pratirodh ke kareeb kiya, jo mid-April se 4 ghante ka aarohi channel aur bullish momentum ko darust kar diya. Haalaanki trading ek pullback ke saath samapt hui, yeh ek prakritik ghatna hai


, vishesh roop se haal hi mein America ke datalidation ke 8th figure ko briefly par kar sakti hain. Is nateeje ka aana koi aashcharyajanak nahi tha, khaaskar jab karyakram ki moolya se dharak ka giravat hua. Sakaratmak PMI data ne giravat ko rok diya hai, jo ek sambhav punarvarg ka suchak hai. Halaanki, turant lakshyon ki avashyakta faisla lene ko ulajhati hai, jo mujhe aur adhik kharidne se bachane ke liye prerit k mein pravesh karne ke. EURUSD ke liye pichle sthaaniya niman, aadarsh roop se 1.0727 se door rehna avashyak hai aur upyukt maarg ko nirdharit karne ke liye MA14 moving average rekha ko 1.0705 par parikshan karna hai, jo 1.0858 pratirodh zone ke or vruddhi kearti hai. Tarkik roop se, daam bullish hai. Iske bajaay, main 1.08 par ek sambhav vyarth bahar nikalne par dhyan kendrit kar raha hoon, aur agar daam 1.0783-1.08 zone ko dobara pahunchta hai, to main

EUR/USD Tahlil

EUR/USD session ko 1.0885-1.0890 zone mein multi-week ki unchaaiyon par shuru kiya, lekin ek aur shant session aur asli US dollar ke karvayi ke bavjood kuch defensive tarah se trade kiya. Bond yields Europe aur US dono mein gira hua hain, jismein EUR/USD zara sa kam ho gaya hai ek bilkul badal hi monetary policy stance ke beech aur mazboot ummedon ke beech ki ECB apne is hafte ke meeting mein policy ko beghair kisi tabdeeli ke rakhegi, sath hi US ke mahangai data aur Fed minutes ke release ke aagey barhne wali ehtiyaat ke beech. Is natije mein, Federal Reserve aur European Central Bank dono ek easing cycle shuru karne ki ummed hai, jiska aghaz June mein ho sakta hai. Do mukhya banks mukhtalif tareeqon se chal sakte hain rate cuts ki rok tham, lekin ECB ko Fed ke peechay kafi peechay na hona ummed hai.

Fed ke front par, Chicago Fed ke A. Goolsby ne Fed ko apni contractionary policies ke asrat ka khayal rakhne ki zaroorat par jor diya, jabki Minneapolis Fed ke karkun N. Kashkari ne kaha ke agar mahangai is saal bhi stagnant rahegi to rate cuts mushkil mein hain. Fed Governor M. Bowman ne kaha ke mahangai ko kam karne ki koshishon ke khilaf dikkat hai.

Pair ke liye pehli resistance points umeed kiye ja rahe hain April ki unchaaiyon par 1.0885 (April 9), March ki unchaaiyon par 1.0981 (March 8), saptahik unchaai par 1.0998 (Jan. 11), aur manasik rok 1.1000. Is ke mutabiq, EUR/USD ke mazeed izafay ke bina december 2023 ki unchaai 1.1139 (December 28) ko test kar sakte hain. Niche, EUR/USD ko mukhya 200 din ka harkat hua average 1.0832 par milega pehle 1.0724 (April 2) aur 1.0694 (Feb 14) ki nichli hadon ko torne se 2024 mein. Iske baad November 2023 ki kamai (1.0516), saptahik kamai (1.0495), October 13, 2023, kamai (10.448), aur October 2023 ki manasik rok (1.0440) aati hai.

Char ghante ka chart dikhata hai ke EUR/USD pair ke liye musbat jazba abhi tak mojood hai. Agla upar ka nishan 1.0885 hai, aur agla 1.0942 hai. 100 sadharan harkat hua average aur 55 sadharan harkat hua average, jo 1.0828 aur 1.0809 ke aas paas hain, EUR/USD ke liye nichey ka resistance level hai, jiska peeche 1.0791 aata hai. RSI lagbhag 55 ke aspaas gira hua hai, jabki moving average convergence divergence (MACD) signal positive hai.

Meri prediction ke mutabiq, agar pichle hafte me price movements ka ek wave aata hai, to market ke opening ke baad aaj ke din correction ya sideways movement hoga. EUR/USD pair ka movement abhi bhi upward trend dikhata hai aur is rally ne do Moving Average (MA) lines ko cross karwa diya, jo ke ek golden cross signal produce kar raha hai. Lekin, price pattern structure tab tak change nahi hua jab tak highest price 1.0964 ko pass nahi kar leta. Jab tak price is high point ko cross nahi karta, price ka naya low 1.0730 se neeche banane ka rujhan ho sakta hai.


Abhi ke liye, price minor supply area 1.0855 - 1.0878 tak pohanchne ke baad decline experience kar raha hai. Agar price EMA 10 aur SMA 20 jo cross ho chuki hain, ke upar stay karne ke kabil hota hai, to ye bullish trend ko indicate karta hai aur minor supply area ko re-test karne ka potential rakhta hai, taake upward rally continue ho sake. Indicator jo level 20 ke upar crossover dikhata hai, upward price movement ko support karta hai. Lekin, agar indicator level 70 ko cross karne me fail hota hai aur oversold zone ki taraf turn karta hai, to price correction phase me enter karne ka possibility hai. Ye isliye kyunke EUR/USD pair me price increase karib ek mahine se chal rahi hai, isliye downward correction pehle ho sakta hai.

Meri rai me, trading recommendation ye hai ke price ke neeche EMA 10 ya SMA 20 tak correct hone ka intezar karein jo cross ho chuki hain, phir ek SELL entry position place karein. Confirmation ke liye Stochastic indicator ka cross oversold zone me wapas aane ka intezar bhi karein. Take profit minor supply area 1.0855 - 1.0878 ke aas paas le sakte hain, aur stop loss placement lowest price 1.0700 par rakhein.

EUR/USD:

EUR/USD currency pair ab ek selling zone mein hai, kyunki weekly pivot level aur key price channels ke niche break hone ke baad ek notable shift dekha gaya hai D1 chart par. Yeh price dynamics ka shift recent bullish trend mein potential reversal ko signal karta hai. Week ke shuru mein, pair ne buying pattern dikhaya tha, jo pichle do hafton ke trends ko mirror karte hue price channels ke confines mein raha, aur overall upward trajectory maintain ki. Iske ilawa, price ne W1 pivot level 1.0738 ke aas paas support paya, jo bullish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai.



Magar, recent breach of weekly pivot level aur price channels market sentiment mein ek bearish bias ki taraf shift ko suggest karta hai. Ab traders potential selling opportunities dekh rahe hain jab pair is naye trading environment mein navigate kar raha hai. Key support levels ke niche breakdown increased selling pressure aur trend direction mein possible reversal ko indicate karta hai. Is tarah, traders price action ko closely monitor kar rahe hain aur sustained downtrend ka confirmation dhund rahe hain nayi positions initiate karne se pehle.

Selling zone mein move hone ke sath changing market dynamics aur evolving investor sentiment ke asrat hain. Economic data releases, geopolitical developments, aur central bank policies jese factors sab EUR/USD pair ke direction ko influence kar sakte hain. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko accordingly adapt karna chahiye taake emerging opportunities ko capitalize kar sakein aur volatile market environment mein risks ko mitigate kar sakein.

Recent shift in price momentum ke bawajood, traders potential support levels ka dhyan rakhe hue hain jo further downside movement ko limit kar sakte hain. W1 pivot level 1.0738, jo pehle support zone tha, ab price declines ke liye barrier ka kaam kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, traders kisi bhi bullish reversal patterns ya oversold conditions ke signs dekh rahe hain jo current downtrend mein temporary pause ya reversal signal kar sakte hain.

Summary mein, EUR/USD currency pair ek selling zone mein enter kar chuka hai key support levels aur price channels ke niche break hone ke baad D1 chart par. Week ke pehle hisse mein, pair ne W1 pivot level se supported buying pattern dikhaya, magar recent market sentiment shift ek potential reversal ko suggest karta hai bullish trend mein. Traders ab selling opportunities pe focus kar rahe hain aur sustained downtrend ka confirmation dhund rahe hain price action ko closely monitor karke. Bearish bias ke bawajood, traders potential support levels aur reversal signals ka dhyan rakhe hue hain jo future price movements ko impact kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD jodi ka tajziya karte hue, yeh wazeh hai ke ek downward trend chal raha hai. Magar, agar hum 4-hour (H4) timeframe ko qareebi se dekhein to ek dilchasp dynamic nazar aata hai: downward pressure ke bawajood, yeh jodi crucial support zone 1.0760 ke neeche trading ko barqarar nahi rakh sakti. Yeh lagataar koshish ke bawajood neeche girne mein nakam rehna market mein ek latent bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke ek qareebi reversal mumkin hai.

Haal hi mein, khas tor par Friday ko USD index mein positive shift dekh kar, yeh reasonable lagta hai ke qareebi mustaqbil mein USD ki taqat wapas aayegi. Aisi surat mein, EUR/USD jodi par downward pressure barhta hai. Is context mein, mumkin hai ke jodi daily basis par 1.0700 mark tak retreat kare. Magar, yeh dynamics tabdeel ho sakte hain, khaaskar agar USD index mein fluctuation hoti hai.

Hourly chart par linear regression channel north ki taraf hai. Channel M15 ke sath bhi same direction mein hai. Dono channels ka baghair disagreement ke movement is instrument par upward movement ko highlight karta hai. Abhi shopping (kharidari) mere liye aham hai. Channel ke bottom, jo ke level 1.07059 ke qareeb hai, se main entry point consider kar raha hoon. Mummkin hai ke market 1.07989 tak grow kare - yeh channel ki upper limit hai, jahan market braking hogi. Agar market channel ke upper border ke qareeb der tak rehti hai, to zyada imkaan hai ke fall lower part of the channel tak ho sakti hai. Lower movement par main sales mein nahi jaata. Selling ka matlab trend ke against jana hai, aur agar rollback na ho, to growth jari rahegi. Is liye, main market mein pullback se enter karne ka method use karta hoon. Mera khayal hai ke yeh method ek strong player ke sath mil kar implement hoga jo bears ko tor kar grow karega. Is surat mein top ki taraf chalna kai gunah barh jata hai.

Assalam o Alaikum, EUR/USD minutes ki release se pehle stable hai jo ke Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke May 1 ke meeting se Wednesday ko expected hai. Pair Asian trading session ke dauran lagbhag 1.0850 ke aas paas tha. Technical perspective se dekha jaye to, EUR/USD pair ka daily chart dikhata hai ke pair apne saare moving averages se zyada comfortable hai, 20 simple moving average mazbooti se neeche se flat 200 SMA ke qareeb aane wala hai. Technical indicators bhi apni weekly peaks se retreat kar rahe hain lekin positive grounds pe achi tarah se hold kar rahe hain aur increased selling interest ko suggest karne se door hain. 4-hour chart dikhata hai ke EUR/USD pair technically neutral hai, lekin ek bearish bias ke sath. Pair apne 20 SMA ke neeche develop kar raha hai, jo ke directional strength kho chuka hai lekin lambi duration ke liye upar hi hai. Aakhri mein, Momentum indicator apne 100 level ke aas paas directionless hover kar raha hai, jab ke Relative Strength Index indicator modestly 49 ke aas paas top kar raha hai, bina kisi leg down ki expectation ko confirm kiye.

Tuesday ko, US dollar sour market mood ke darmiyan rally ki. Phir bhi, pair ne apne comfort zone ko chorne se inkar kiya, kyun ke data aur policymakers ke words speculative interest ko convince karne ke liye kafi nahi the. Europe se news generally encouraging thi, kyun ke Germany ne apna April producer price index release kiya jo ke 3.3% YoY shrink hua expectations ke 3.2% slide ke against. Monthly basis par, PPI 0.2 percent increase hua, jo ke expectations aur March data ke sath in line tha. Iske ilawa, EU ne March ka current account unveil kiya, jo ke seasonally adjusted surplus €35.8 billion ke sath expected se zyada tha, jab ke trade balance bhi usi month ke liye €17.3 billion increase hua. United States ka macroeconomic calendar sirf aur sirf ek aur batch of Federal Reserve speakers ko cover karta tha, jo ke well-known messages ko repeat kar rahe the. Agar kuch bhi tha, to market participants ne stocks se cues liye, Asian aur European markets red mein close hui lekin US indices modest gains banane mein kamiyab rahe.

EURUSD
Mujhe lagta hai ke maujooda market shara'tiyo mein price action trading strategy ko amal mein laana mushkil hoga. Pichle Mangalwar se, keemat ne neechay ki taraf aik bearish tendency ka dikhawa diya hai jismein lower lows aur lower highs ke formation huye hain. Haalaanki, jaise hi jumeraat ko keemat ne ek ahem girawat mehsoos ki, main yeh yaqeen rakhta hoon ke bearish trend jaari rahega. Magar, meri tajwez ghalat sabit hui kyunke Jumma ko keemat bulish ho gayi...

Haalaanki keemat ne jumeraat ko sab se oonchi resistance tak nahi pohancha, magar mazboot bulish momentum mujhe yeh sochne par majboor karta hai ke keemat mein phir se izafa hone ki khaas mumkinat hai, khaaskar keemat ne upper band area tak pohanch kar. Lekin phir bhi, main BUY position kholne mein jaldi nahi kar raha kyunke mujhe mazeed mazboot saboot ki zaroorat hai, jaise ke ek naye oonchi high ke formation ka. Is liye, main is Peer ke price movements ka nazar andaaz karta rahunga bina kisi position ko pehle kholne ke....

Amooman, pichle Jumma, EURUSD mein izafa hua aur keemat ne 50 muddat ke moving average ko oonchi taraf se penetrate kiya aur 1.0810 ke resistance level ko paar kiya. Magar, main tajwez karta hoon ke agle hafte ke shuruaat mein, EURUSD jodi sab se pehle neeche aik correction ka samna karegi, aur main tajwez karta hoon ke keemat pivot point tak 1.0780 par pohanchegi pehle phir shayad doosre resistance tak 1.0910 ke taraf phir se uthne ki mumkinat hai....

Maine dekha ke daily timeframe par, mombati red moving average ko penetrate kar gayi thi, magar H4 timeframe par, mombati moving average ke upar thi. Is tawajju se, main tajwez karta hoon ke Peer ko EURUSD doosri girawat ka samna karegi, khaaskar keemat ne 1.0810 supply area ko paar nahi kar saki. Is liye, main doston ko mashwara deta hoon ke sab se pehle sell positions par tawajjo dein....