usd/jpy

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• 01-04-2024, 04:02 AM
  #31 Collapse
  aani
  
  
  Senior Member
  • تاریخِ شمولیت: Jun 2021
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  Subah bakhair pyaare dosto! Shukriya un sab dosto ka jo forex market mein tamam currency pairs ki tafteesh ke liye bohot mehnat karte hain. Meri sab doston ko salah hai ke forex market bohot zyada risk wala hai, is liye jo bhi forex trading karte hain unko risk management zaroori hai aur paise ka management karna chahiye, har position ke liye 5% se trading karna chahiye.
  
  USD/JPY ke liye aaj ka technical analysis, 1 April 2024, daily time frame chart ke saath:
  Ye pair ab tak itihaasik uchayi par, yaani ke 151.83 ke qareeb test kiya hai aur hum ab retracement ke liye neeche girne ka intezar karte hain. Shayad yeh 61 Fibonacci retracement tak neeche ja sake jab touch hoga 148.80 par, yeh area support zone par hai. Isay chhune ke baad hum bohot zyada uncha uthne ka dekhenge aur ek naya top darj karne ke liye jaye ga, shayad 153.30 ke qareeb. Magar agar pair 140.67 ke neeche char ghante ka candle band karta hai, toh yeh matlab hai ke pair up trend ko palat chuka hai aur humein naye trend ke liye dhundhna chahiye, is waqt aapko selling area ki talaash karni chahiye.
  
  USD/JPY ke liye aaj ka technical analysis, 1 April 2024, ek ghante ka time frame chart ke saath:
  Ye pair ek ghante ke time frame chart par flat wave ke saath ja raha hai jo 151.75 se shuru hua hai, yeh wave number A hai aur 150.26 se 151.63 tak wave number B banane ke liye utha hai. Iske baad aur abhi keemat par pair wave number C banata hai aur mujhe lagta hai ke yeh wave retracement pattern ka antim wave hai aur pair kuch hi der mein upar jaega.

Mausam e bazari ke tajrubat ke mutabiq, USD/JPY jodi lagbhag 153.34 ke resistance zone ke ird gird ghoom rahi hai, jo ek mozu mein mukhalif rukh ka zahir kar raha hai. Halankeh haal hi mein ek girawat dekhi gayi, kharidaron mein istiqamat nazar a raha hai, jo aane wale trading sessions mein bullish bias ka jari rakhne ki sambhavna darust karti hai. Is manzar ke mutabiq, thori si munasib take-profit had ko tay karna faida mand ho sakta hai jo 25 se 35 pips tak ki range mein hosakti hai. Magar, un logon ke liye jo hasoolat ko zyada karna chahte hain, khabron par mabni trades mein shamil ho kar achi tarah se tayyar trading plan ke saath faida hasil kar sakte hain. USD/JPY ka daily chart tajziya se dikhata hai ke jald hi ek bullish pattern ka andaza hai jo kharidaron ke liye bazaar mein dakhil hone ka moqa pesh karega. Kharidaron ke umeedon ke mutabiq resistance levels jald hi torhne ki umeed hai, iske mutabiq trading strategies ko mutabiq tarmeem ki jani chahiye. Behtareen nataij haasil karne ke liye kharidari positions ko barqarar rakhna masnoon hai jabke khas taur par aise maheenon mein effective risk management practices ka istemal karna chahiye jo bhaari khabrein pesh karti hain aur jise muzaffar banane ki sambhavna hai.

Muttahid States ke trading session ke liye agah rehna zaroori hai, hisaab kitab ko hoshiyarana tor par sambhalna aur mazboot trading plan banana jisme bazaar ke dynamics aur aane wale khabron ka hisaab rakha jaye. Khabri dasta ko nazdeek se monito karke aur mutadid dhaireyat ke mutabiq tayyar reh kar, traders apne aap ko barqarar rakh sakte hain jo bazar ki hisiyat ke tezi se tabdeel hone ke darmiyan apne aap ko faidemand tor par mehfooz kar sakta hai. Ye proactive approach buyers ke liye tajir ko faida dene wale market ke favrability ke sath mutabiq hai, moqaat mein behtareen munafa ke liye.

Bazar ke hisiyat ko zyada durust taur par samajhne ke liye aaj Muttahid States ke trading session ka intezar karna munasib hai. Ye qeemti maloomat faraham karega jo bazar ki taraf se janib rukhsat kar sakta hai. Sabr se kaam lena aur bazaar ke tabdeel hone ke doran bane hone wale ghaltiyon se bachne ke liye bazaar ki tafteeshat ko monitor karna, traders ko maloomat ke adhaar par faisle lena aur unke trading performance ko behtarin banane mein madadgar hoga. Ijtemai tor par, USD/JPY market buyers ke liye munasib shirayat pesh karta hai, ek bullish trend ka jari rakhne ke ishaarat ke sath. Khabri dasta par mabni trades mein tajwezati shirakat, sath hi effective risk management practices, trading nataij ko behtarin banane ke liye istemal ki ja sakti hai. Bazaar ke dynamics ke jawabdeh rehkar, traders tawana hone aur muzaffar moqay ko hasil karne ke liye volatilty ke raaste se guzar sakte hain.

H-1 time frame chart aaj, wazeh ho jata hai ke USD/JPY mazboot support level ke qareeb 150.80 ke darjah par ruk gaya hai. Ye tajziya mukhtalif dynamics ko samajhne ke liye eham hai jo currency pair ki manzil ko shakhsiyat de rahi hain. H-1 time frame chart ka tajziya hamen USD/JPY exchange rate ke ander hone wale dynamics ka aik qaribi nazar andaz faraham karta hai. Chart, ghanton ke tabadlaat ko qaboo mein rakhne ka aik zaree hai jo market sentiment aur qeemat ke movements ko chalane wale foron ka khel dekhta hai. Is peshanah daastan-e-data mein, aik numaya design nazar aata hai: aik shadid price action ka jama hona 150.80 mark ke aas paas.

Is support level ki ahmiyat ko zyada mat diya ja sakta hai. Ye aik markaz hota hai jahan market ke jama'at ke force ikhata ho jate hain, currency pair par graviational pull dene ke liye. Traders aur analysts aise levels ko tawajjo se dekhte hain, kyun ke yeh aksar pivot points ke tor par kaam karte hain, agle price movements ke direction ko muayyan karte hain. USD/JPY ke case mein, 150.80 ke aas paas dikhayi gayi istiqamat iska ahem kirdar ko sabit karta hai jo market sentiment ko shakl dene mein madad faraham karta hai. Chart par ek silsila dikhata hai jahan is ahem juncture ke aas paas keemat ke rukawat aur mawafiqat hoti hain. Har support level ka imtehan asal dynamics ke baray mein qeemti insights faraham karta hai. In imtehanon ki ta'adad aur shiddat market sentiment ka aik gauge banati hai, jo bullish aur bearish pressures ka tezi se bahao darust karti hai.

Is ke ilawa, technical indicators ke ittefaq ne 150.80 support level ki ahmiyat ko mazeed tasdiq diya hai. Oscillators, moving averages, aur doosre tajziati tools iska mazboot support zone hone ka tasawwur barhate hain, traders ki is ki reliability mein itminan ko mazboot karte hain. Aise ittefaqat ka impact psychological level ko barhata hai, jabke market participants apne trading strategies ko mutabiq banate hain. Technical realm se zyada, mazeed bazaar ke dynamics bhi khel aate hain. Macro-economic factors, geo-political events, aur central bank interventions apne asar ko dikhate hain, qeemat ke action par complexity ka aik doosra pehlu daal dete hain. Traders ko is peshanah manzar mein taqatwar faislon ko banane ke liye technical signals ko fundamental insights ke saath milana padta hai.

USD/JPY M5 Ye lag raha hai ke aap yen ke sath trading ki volatility aur risk ko kam karne ke ahemiyat par guftagu kar rahe hain. Yen, peechle dour mein apni mustaqiliyat ke liye mashhoor tha, lekin mukhtalif ma'ashi factors aur authorities ki dakhil kardah istilahat ki wajah se ab unpredictable ho gaya hai. Ye behtari ke baghair stop set karne wale traders ke liye nuqsanat ka sabab ban sakta hai.
Stop set karna, jo security ko mukarrar keemat par bech deta hai jab wo ek muqarrar daam tak pohanchti hai, trading mein ek aam risk management strategy hai. Ye traders ko nuqsanatStop set karna, jo security ko mukarrar keemat par bech deta hai jab wo ek muqarrar daam tak pohanchti hai, trading mein ek aam risk management strategy hai. Ye traders ko nuqsanat ko mehdood karta hai aur unke nuqsaanat ko rokta hai jis mein yen jese volatile markets shamil hain. Stop ke bina, traders ko market ke puray fluctuation ka samna karna parta hai, jo ke bade ma'ashiyati nuqsanat ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Yen ke case mein, is ki halqi risk management tadabeer zaroori ho sakti hai. Authorities ki currency markets mein intervensi ki barhti hui muddat ek mazeed complexity aur uncertainty kamarkets shamil hain. Stop ke bina, traders ko market ke puray fluctuation ka samna karna parta hai, jo ke bade ma'ashiyati nuqsanat ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Yen ke case mein, is ki halqi risk management tadabeer zaroori ho sakti hai. Authorities ki currency markets mein intervensi ki barhti hui muddat ek mazeed complexity aur uncertainty ka shuba dalti hai traders ke liye. Jabke interventions currency ko mustaqil karna aur ma'ashi ko support karna chahti hain, lekin ye bhi sudden aur drasti price movements ka baniad ban sakti hain, jo ke ghafil traders ko achanak se pakar sakti hain.mein intervensi ki barhti hui muddat ek mazeed complexity aur uncertainty ka shuba dalti hai traders ke liye. Jabke interventions currency ko mustaqil karna aur ma'ashi ko support karna chahti hain, lekin ye bhi sudden aur drasti price movements ka baniad ban sakti hain, jo ke ghafil traders ko achanak se pakar sakti hain.

In challenges ka samna karne ke liye, kuch traders chote lot sizes ka intikhab karte hain apne overall portfolio par market ke teziyon ke asarat ko kam karne ke liye. Ye approach unhe market mein exposure barqarar rakhne deta hai jabke potential badechallenges ka samna karne ke liye, kuch traders chote lot sizes ka intikhab karte hain apne overall portfolio par market ke teziyon ke asarat ko kam karne ke liye. Ye approach unhe market mein exposure barqarar rakhne deta hai jabke potential bade nuqsanat ke liye bachav banata hai. Magar, ye bhi matlab rakhta hai ke musallat market halat ke douran munasib market conditions ke douran potential kam munafa bhi hoga.

Yen ki trading ke sath jo khatraat hain, kuch traders phir bhi faida dikhate hain, khaaskar agar wo market ke developments ko pehchan kar foran jawab de sakte hain. Lekin, yen rakhta hai ke musallat market halat ke douran munasib market conditions ke douran potential kam munafa bhi hoga.

Yen ki trading ke sath jo khatraat hain, kuch traders phir bhi faida dikhate hain, khaaskar agar wo market ke developments ko pehchan kar foran jawab de sakte hain. Lekin, yen trading ko caution ke sath qareeb se dekha jana chahiye aur ghatakarar risk management strategies ko amal mein lanay chahiye taake yen ke rawayye ke douran achanak nuqsanat se bacha ja sake.

Ikhtitam mein, yen market mein halilanay chahiye taake yen ke rawayye ke douran achanak nuqsanat se bacha ja sake.


Ikhtitam mein, yen market mein hali volatility, currencies ki trading mein stops set karne aur risk ko effectively manage karne ki ahemiyat ko izhar karta hai. Jabke faida ke mauqay maujood hain, wo muqablay karne chahiye bade nuqsanat ke potential ke saath ek ghair mutawaqqa market environment mein. Traders ko market developments ke mutaliq ma'aloomat hasil karne aur unke strategies ko mutabiq karna zaroori hai yen ke rawayye ke douran pesh ane walestops set karne aur risk ko effectively manage karne ki ahemiyat ko izhar karta hai. Jabke faida ke mauqay maujood hain, wo muqablay karne chahiye bade nuqsanat ke potential ke saath ek ghair mutawaqqa market environment mein. Traders ko market developments ke mutaliq ma'aloomat hasil karne aur unke strategies ko mutabiq karna zaroori hai yen ke rawayye ke douran pesh ane wale challenges ko manzil tak pohanchne ke liye.

USD/JPY M5 Ye lag raha hai ke aap yen ke sath trading ki volatility aur risk ko kam karne ke ahemiyat par guftagu kar rahe hain. Yen, peechle dour mein apni mustaqiliyat ke liye mashhoor tha, lekin mukhtalif ma'ashi factors aur authorities ki dakhil kardah istilahat ki wajah se ab unpredictable ho gaya hai. Ye behtari ke baghair stop set karne wale traders ke liye nuqsanat ka sabab ban sakta hai.
Stop set karna, jo security ko mukarrar keemat par bech deta hai jab wo ek muqarrar daam tak pohanchti hai, trading mein ek aam risk management strategy hai. Ye traders ko nuqsanatStop set karna, jo security ko mukarrar keemat par bech deta hai jab wo ek muqarrar daam tak pohanchti hai, trading mein ek aam risk management strategy hai. Ye traders ko nuqsanat ko mehdood karta hai aur unke nuqsaanat ko rokta hai jis mein yen jese volatile markets shamil hain. Stop ke bina, traders ko market ke puray fluctuation ka samna karna parta hai, jo ke bade ma'ashiyati nuqsanat ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Yen ke case mein, is ki halqi risk management tadabeer zaroori ho sakti hai. Authorities ki currency markets mein intervensi ki barhti hui muddat ek mazeed complexity aur uncertainty kamarkets shamil hain. Stop ke bina, traders ko market ke puray fluctuation ka samna karna parta hai, jo ke bade ma'ashiyati nuqsanat ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Yen ke case mein, is ki halqi risk management tadabeer zaroori ho sakti hai. Authorities ki currency markets mein intervensi ki barhti hui muddat ek mazeed complexity aur uncertainty ka shuba dalti hai traders ke liye. Jabke interventions currency ko mustaqil karna aur ma'ashi ko support karna chahti hain, lekin ye bhi sudden aur drasti price movements ka baniad ban sakti hain, jo ke ghafil traders ko achanak se pakar sakti hain.mein intervensi ki barhti hui muddat ek mazeed complexity aur uncertainty ka shuba dalti hai traders ke liye. Jabke interventions currency ko mustaqil karna aur ma'ashi ko support karna chahti hain, lekin ye bhi sudden aur drasti price movements ka baniad ban sakti hain, jo ke ghafil traders ko achanak se pakar sakti hain.

In challenges ka samna karne ke liye, kuch traders chote lot sizes ka intikhab karte hain apne overall portfolio par market ke teziyon ke asarat ko kam karne ke liye. Ye approach unhe market mein exposure barqarar rakhne deta hai jabke potential badechallenges ka samna karne ke liye, kuch traders chote lot sizes ka intikhab karte hain apne overall portfolio par market ke teziyon ke asarat ko kam karne ke liye. Ye approach unhe market mein exposure barqarar rakhne deta hai jabke potential bade nuqsanat ke liye bachav banata hai. Magar, ye bhi matlab rakhta hai ke musallat market halat ke douran munasib market conditions ke douran potential kam munafa bhi hoga.

Yen ki trading ke sath jo khatraat hain, kuch traders phir bhi faida dikhate hain, khaaskar agar wo market ke developments ko pehchan kar foran jawab de sakte hain. Lekin, yen rakhta hai ke musallat market halat ke douran munasib market conditions ke douran potential kam munafa bhi hoga.

Yen ki trading ke sath jo khatraat hain, kuch traders phir bhi faida dikhate hain, khaaskar agar wo market ke developments ko pehchan kar foran jawab de sakte hain. Lekin, yen trading ko caution ke sath qareeb se dekha jana chahiye aur ghatakarar risk management strategies ko amal mein lanay chahiye taake yen ke rawayye ke douran achanak nuqsanat se bacha ja sake.

Ikhtitam mein, yen market mein halilanay chahiye taake yen ke rawayye ke douran achanak nuqsanat se bacha ja sake.

Market trends aur potential reversals ka tajziya karna technical indicators aur price action dynamics ka gehra samajhna zaroori hai. Kya haal hai ke hilne ka akhri movement ek neeche ki trend ka jari rakhna hai ya ek mumkin reversal ki ishaaraat hai, yeh traders ko analyze karna hota hai.

Pehle toh, zyada market ka context dekhna bohot ahem hai. Factors jaise ke ma'ashiyati indicators, geopolitical events, aur central bank policies market sentiment aur direction ko asar andaaz karte hain. Agar haal hi ka neeche ki taraf ka movement market mein prevailing bearish sentiment ke saath milta hai, toh yeh sach mein trend ka jari rakhne ka ishaaraat ho sakta hai.

Dusra, price action aur volume patterns ka tajziya bohot ahem maloom hota hai. Ek lagataar downtrend aam tor par lower highs aur lower lows ke saath hota hai, sath hi sath zyadah bechne ka pressure bhi hota hai jo zyadah trading volumes mein zahir hota hai. Mukhtalif, ek potential reversal ko ek established pattern mein toorna ke through signal kiya ja sakta hai, jaise ke price aur momentum indicators mein bullish divergence ya significant buying volume mein izafa.

Teesra, key support aur resistance levels ka tajziya zaroori hai. Agar price kisi ahem support level ke qareeb aata hai aur woh kai koshishon ke bawajood usse neeche nahi toorta, toh yeh yeh dikhata hai ke bechne ka pressure kamzor ho raha hai, aur mumkin hai ke rasta reversal ke liye khul jaye. Ulta, agar koi ahem support level convincing taur par tor diya jata hai, toh yeh neeche ki taraf trend ko mazboot kar sakta hai.

Aur iske ilawa, technical indicators jaise ke moving averages, trend lines, aur oscillators ka istemal additional confirmation ya divergence signals faraham kar sakta hai. Masalan, short-term moving averages ke upar long-term wale ke bullish crossover ya ek key support level par reversal candlestick pattern ka hona, potential reversal ke liye case ko mazboot kar sakta hai.

Traders ke liye ahem hai ke woh chaukanna rehkar ek indicator ya signal par puri tarah na bharosa karen. Market ki halat tezi se tabdeel ho sakti hain, aur ghair sahi signals aam tor par hotay hain. Isliye, mukhtalif analytical tools aur techniques ka istemal kar ke trading decisions ko tasdeeq karne aur ghalat fehmiyon ka khatra kam karne mein madad milti hai.

Ikhtitam mein, yeh tajziya karna ke haal hi ka market movement ek neeche ki trend ka jari rakhne ka hai ya ek potential reversal ki ishaaraat hai, mukhtalif factors ka mukammal tajziya zaroori hai, jaise ke market ka context, price action, volume patterns, support aur resistance levels, aur technical indicators. In factors ko chaukanna dekh kar, traders behtareen decisions le kar apni strategies ko mukhtalif surato mein adjust kar sakte hain taake woh market mein mumkinat ka faida utha saken.

Pichle haftay ko kahin na kahin seedha keh sakte hain. Shumara uttar ki taraqqi nahi hui, zyada se zyada 150.88 ko update nahi kiya gaya, bulke Thursday ko uttar rad kar diya gaya, halankeh Jumeraat ko rukh barqarar karne ki koshish ki gayi, lekin yeh bhi nakam rahi. Intraday mein, uttar phir se rad kar diya gaya aur trading amreeki session ke kareeb ke mukhtalif time par band hui, jo hai ke Monday ke trading ke aghaz par dakhal ke otomatik tasdeeq ko zahir karta hai. Aam taur par, junubi 150.05 ke darjaat ko tasdeeq karenge. Lekin yeh oversold hai, is liye woh ooper se wapas shuru ho sakte hain, farokht karne walon ke liye asal baat 150.72 se ooper nahi hona chahiye, jahan junubi rad kar diya jayega. Agar woh ideal hain toh woh 150.35+- tak ka wapas hona chahiye, wahan mA ka ek ikaat hoga aur aik darja jo intraday times par farokht ka nishan mila tha, jo imtehaan hona chahiye. Waise hi, yeh aik behtareen moqa bhi hoga ke behtar qeemat par farokht kiya jaye. Nazdeeki junubi manzoori 149.49 hai. Mujhe yeh wazeh karna chahiye, yeh bilkul Monday ke liye hai. Jab baat mumkinat aur darmiani doar ki hoti hai, is hafte hum ne pehla wapas leval 149.95 tak pohanch gaya aur isko tod diya, aur lagta hai ke woh yahan rukain gaye, agla 148.84 ke darja (din ke doran). Yahan se ooper ki taraf wapas hona mumkin hai. Lekin zyadatar hum giravat ka jari rakhna dekheinge, aur yeh sab is liye ke haftawarana doran ke leval wapas 147.71 par hain. Is stage par mein ne nichayi nahi dekhi, keun ke uttar trend mazboot hai aur aasani se tora nahi ja sakta, toh wahan phir bhi bharh pae gi. Junubi tajziya mukammal hone ke baad, mein tawaqo ko barqarar rehne ki umeed rakhta hoon. Achhi trading.

Aik technical nazarie se dekha jaye toh, D1 time frame par USDJPY ke keemat ka chart kuch khaas patterns aur levalat dikhata hai. Traders key support aur resistance levels, sath hi trend lines aur moving averages ko dekhte hain, taake potential entry aur exit points ko pehchanein. Mazboot bullish momentum ki mojudgi wazeh tor par dekhi ja sakti hai, jo ek silsila mein barhne wale highs aur barhne wale lows se hoti hai, jo ke bazaar mein mustaqil kharidari dabaav ko darust karta hai. Macro-economic aur technical factors ke ilawa, USDJPY ke keemat ka amal bhi geopolitical events aur market sentiment ka aham kirdar ada karta hai. Geopolitical events ke sath juri laalak, jese ke tijarati tanaza ya siyasi jhagron ke aham ho sakte hain, jo zyada mutasir honay ki surat mein shiddat aur achanak tabdeelion ki taraf le ja sakte hain. Is liye, traders ko agah rehna chahiye aur unke trading strategies ko mutabiq banaye rakhna chahiye. D1 time frame par USDJPY ke tasreehat ka moaqfi tajziya ek darmiani mor bullish trend ko darust karta hai, jo ke macroeconomic factors, technical indicators aur market sentiment ke ek imtezaaj

Fed ke quantitative easing measures aur fiscal stimulus packages ne US ma'eeshat ko mazeed support di hai, jo sarmayakaroon ki confidence ko barhawa de rahi hai aur dollar ke demand ko barha rahi hai. Dosri taraf, Japan Bank ne dahi decades ke deflationary pressures aur sust ma'eeshati taraqqi ka jawab dene ke liye intehai accommodating monetary policy apnai hai. Is ne aggressive quantitative easing measures, jaise ke large-scale asset khareedna aur negative sood ki shrahain, ko inflation ko farogh denay aur ma'eeshati sargarmi ko barhanay ke liye istemal kiya hai. Magar, ye measures yen ke dollar ke muqable mein musalsal girti hui qiymat ka sabab bhi bane hain, kyun ke sarmayakar zyada munafay ki talaash mein hain.

Monetary policy ke ilawa, ma'eeshati data ke ijraat aur geo-political developments bhi USD/JPY jori par asar andaaz hotay hain. Ahem ma'eeshati indicators jaise ke GDP growth, rozgar ke aankde, inflation rates, aur trade balances market sentiment ko mutasir kar sakte hain aur exchange rate mein utar charhao la sakte hain. Masalan, agar United States se behtar mutawaqqa ma'eeshati data aata hai to yeh dollar ki confidence ko mazboot karta hai aur USD/JPY jori ko ooncha utha sakta hai, jabke geo-political tensions ya trade tanazaat safe-haven assets jaise ke yen ki demand ko barha sakte hain, jo ke jori ko neeche le ja saktay hain.

Is ke ilawa, currency markets mein mukhtasir muddat ki qiymat ki harkaton ko samajhne ke liye technical tajzia aik ahem kirdar ada karta hai. Traders aksar chart patterns, aur mukhtalif technical indicators ka istemal kar ke apni trades ke liye potential entry aur exit points ko identify karte hain. USD/JPY ke mamlay mein, aam technical indicators jaise ke moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), aur Fibonacci market sentiment aur potential price movements ko samajhne mein qeemati basira faraham karte hain.




Ab, chaliye short-term aur long-term dono nazariyon se USD/JPY ke mumkinah scenarios ko explore karte hain. Mukhtasir muddat mein, agar United States se ma'eeshati data ki ijraat ummedon se behtar hoti rahen aur Federal Reserve apni monetary policy par hawkish stance barqarar rakhta hai to USD/JPY jori apni ooper ki taraf trajectory ko jari rakh sakti hai. Geo-political front par musbat developments ya trade negotiations mein taraqqi bhi dollar ko yen ke muqable mein support kar sakti hai. Technical nuqta nazar se, agar jori key resistance levels jaise ke haal hi ka buland tareen level ya psychological round numbers ko tor deti hai to ye mazeed khareedari ki dilchaspi ko janam de sakti hai aur jori ko ooper ki taraf le ja sakti hai.

Magar, mukhtasir muddat mein downside risks bhi hai. Agar United States se ma'eeshati data mayoos kun hota hai ya Fed ki policy mein dovish shift hota hai to is ka bhi tajzia kiya jana chahiye.

USD/JPY currency jori ke maujooda haalat ka tajzia karte hue, yeh saaf hai ke market mein istehkaam bara hai, jo market dynamics mein aik tawazun ki satah ko zahir karta hai. Exchange rate jo 155.10 ke qareeb musalsal baraabar hai, yeh aik consolidation ka lamha reflect karta hai jahan na to khareedne wale aur na bechne wale kisi ne ghalba hasil kiya hai. Ye nazaakat ka tawazun aik waqtati takrao ko zahir karta hai, jahan market forces seemingly deadlocked hain. Bawajood is zahiri pur-sukoon ke, USD/JPY currency jori ke mustaqbil ke rukh par aik waziha bay-yaqeeni ka ehsaas hai. Ghallba rakhta hua neeche ki taraf dabao qareebi mustaqbil ke outlook par saaya dalta hai. Ye tashweesh is imkaan se hai ke mazeed neeche ki taraf, ahem H1 support level jo 154.10 par hai, tak girawat ho sakti hai. Aisa hona maujooda tawazun ko tor sakta hai aur bechne ki sargarmi ko trigger kar sakta hai.




Market ka dhyan ahem support levels par sakht hai, jahan traders hukmi tor par entry ke moqay ka jayza le rahe hain mojooda bay-yaqeeni ke darmiyan. Neeche ki taraf jari rehne ka imkaan cautious sentiment ko zahir karta hai jo market ke shirakat daaron mein ghallba rakhta hai. Har choti si harkat ko uski potential ke liye scrutinize kiya jata hai ke kya yeh nazaakat ka tawazun bigaar sakta hai aur paimaane ko ya to khareedne walon ya bechne walon ke haq mein jhuka sakta hai. Is pas-e-manzar mein, traders chokas rehte hain, har taraqqi ko closely monitor karte hue kisi bhi market dynamics mein tabdeeli ke asaar ke liye. Maujooda istehkaam, jo ke apparently benign lagta hai, is ke neeche underlying tension aur aane wale waqt mein volatility ke imkaan ko chhupa raha hai. Yeh bullish aur bearish forces ke darmiyan aik nazaakat ka raqs hai, har ek apne control ke liye jor azma raha hai aur kisi bhi perceived fawaid ko istemal karne ki koshish kar raha hai.

USD/JPY Rozana Tajzia

USD/JPY currency jori ne D1 time frame mein aik numayan ooper ki taraf rujhan ikhtiyar kiya hai, jo ke sakht aur tez volatility se muntashir hai. Haal hi mein, Jumma ko, yeh 158.30 ki ghair mamooli satah tak pohanch gaya, jo is ki tareekh mein aik nayi bulandi thi. Ab, tajziakaron ko yeh sochna par raha hai ke yeh chadhao jari rahega ya ke aik southern reversal qareeb hai.

Pichle hafte ki harkaton ka, khas taur par Jumma ke, jayeza lenay se lagta hai ke Japan Bank ne control chhod diya hai, jis se American ghoda baghair kisi hichkichahat ke aage barh raha hai. Yeh surge khaas tor par Japan Bank ke Jumma ke ijlas ke nateejon se fuel hua tha, jahan sood ki shrahain chhoone ka faisla kiya gaya tha, mulk mein musalsal kam inflation ko buniyad bana kar.

Jumma ke ijlas ki ahmiyat ko kam nahi samjha ja sakta. Status quo barqarar rakhne ka faisla kar ke, Japan Bank ne basically USD/JPY jori ko apni meteoric rise jari rakhne ki khamoshi se manzoori de di. Is faislay ka asar sirf currency traders par hi nahi balke wasee ma'eeshati jazbaat aur policy outlooks par bhi hai.

Is ke asraat ko gehrai se samajhne par, yeh waziha hota hai ke USD/JPY ki chadhao monetary policy dynamics aur market expectations mein bara paimaane par tabdeelion ko zahir karta hai. Japan Bank ka sood ki shrahain barqarar rakhne ka faisla aik commitment ka ishara hai jo narm monetary measures ko support karta hai, jo badle mein US dollar ko Japanese yen ke muqable mein mazboot banata hai.




Mazeed, USD/JPY ka surge dollar ki taqat ko major currencies ke muqable mein prevailing narrative ko underline karta hai, jo ke mazboot ma'eeshati indicators, pur umeed taraqqi ki projections, aur Federal Reserve se tighter monetary policy ki expectations jaise factors se chal raha hai.

Magar, is tez rally ke darmiyan, ehtiyati awaazain ubhar rahi hain jo ke rapid appreciation se wabasta khatraat aur vulnerabilities ko ujagar karti hain. Overheating, qayasi hadon se zyada, aur external shocks ke khatraat barqarar hain, jo sarmayakaron ko financial markets ki fitri unpredictability ki yaad dilate hain.

Mojooda trading plan US Dollar/Yen currency jori ke liye. Timeframe H4.

Aaiye currency jori/instrument ki harkat ka forecast tajziya karein, jo Extended Regression StopAndReverse indicator ke signals ke zariye, aur RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ke standard settings ke mutabiq chuni gayi entry point ki confirmation se. Position se nikalne ke liye sab se munasib option chunne ke liye, hum Fibonacci grid ko kal ya mojooda trading din (ya haftay) ke intihaai nishaanat ke mutabiq phailaenge aur market se nikalne ke liye sab se behtar option chunenge takay zyada se zyada take profit haasil kiya ja sake.




Muntakhib timeframe (timeframe H4) par linear regression channel ka rukh ooper ki taraf hai, jo ke market mein khareedaron ki mojoodgi aur aane wale waqt mein ooper ki taraf trend jari rakhne mein unki dilchaspi ko zahir karta hai. Mazeed, jhukao ke zavia jitna bara hoga, maujooda ooper ki taraf trend utna hi mazboot hai. Nonlinear regression channel (concave ya convex rangon wali lines) seedha ho gaya hai aur sonay ki ooper ki taraf trend line ko neeche se ooper ki taraf cross kar chuka hai aur filhal ooper northern movement dikhata hai.

Qiymat ne linear regression channel ke red resistance line 2nd LevelResLine ko cross kiya lekin maximum quote value (HIGH) 157.907 tak pohanch gayi, jis ke baad is ki growth ruk gayi aur yeh neeche girna shuru ho gaya. Aalaat ab 157.744 ke price level par trade kar rahi hai. Upar di gayi tamam maloomat ke mutabiq, main tawaqo rakhta hoon ke market price quotes wapas aayenge aur channel line 2-nd LevelResLine (148.502) FIBO level 38.2% ke neeche consolidate honge aur mazeed neeche ki taraf sonay ke average line LR ke linear channel 147.731, jo FIBO level 23.6% ke saath milti hai, ki taraf move karenge. Sell transaction mein dakhil hone ki muzmari aur validity RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ke zariye poori tarah se tasdeeq shuda hai, chunke filhal woh overbought zone mein hain.

Technical Analysis of USD/JPY

Pichle trading haftay mein, 154.75 par mukhtasir arsay ke liye mustiqil hone ke baad, Japanese yen kamzor hota raha aur ek aur record kamzori tak pohanch gaya. 154.75 par range ka upper hissa dheere dheere dabane ke baad, qeemat ko uncha karne aur mustaqil hone mein kamyabi milti rahi, jo agle tez izafa ke liye mazboot support faraham karta raha. Is natije mein, muntazir target ka manzil tak nahi hi pohancha gaya, balki is se kafi zyada aage nikal gaya. Magar, iske baad hi qeemat tezi se gir gayi, jis se sab pichli faidah ho chuke faide mita diye gaye.

Tehqiqi tor par, 4 ghantay ke chart ko qareeb se dekhte hain, to hum dekhte hain ke pair ne 155.00 ke ooper musbat istiqamat ko kamyab taur par barqarar rakha hai, jari simple moving average support ne mustaqil faida hasil karne ke liye musbat momentum faraham kiya hai. Yahan se, uptrend 154.90 par mazboot support ke ooper farokht karke barqarar hai, jisme agla target 155.70 hai, jaante hue ke ooper diye gaye levels ko paar karna ek mojhil amal hai, jo 156.00 tak pohanchne ke imkanat ko barha deta hai. 154.90 ke neeche ek harkat jodi jaaye gi, jisme farokht ka nishana 154.45 aur 154.00 ki dobara se upar ki koshishon se pehle ki tajwez hogi. Neeche diye gaye chart par nazar daalain:

Abhi ke moqay par, qeemat tezi se barhne aur baad mein girne ke baad haftay ke ibtedai mukhtalif oqat par hai. Markazi support areas ko imtehaan kiya gaya hai aur wo apni buniyad ko barqarar rakhte hain jo aag ki taraf ishaarat karte hain. Qeemat ab aik naye qeemat zone mein mazid ho rahi hai jiska nizam 154.75 ka nataq hai, jabke markazi support area ke hadood barqarar hain. Is level ke mustaqil imtehaanen agle rebound ke agle lahron ke liye imkanat faraham karengi, aur nishana 161.29 aur 163.05 ke ilaqe par hoga.

Agar support toot jata hai aur qeemat 153.35 ke ulte level ke neeche gir jati hai, to is maujooda manzar ko mansookh karne ka signal mil jayega.

Is haftay aur is maheenay, USD/JPY ke mojooda market ne buyers ko faida mand sabit kiya hai. Ye 154.78 zone ke aas paas trade ho raha hai. Aur buyers ne baad mein 154.92 ke aglay resistance zone ko paar karne ka nishana banaya hai. April ke khatam hone ke saath, market ke dynamics buyers ke favor mein mael ho jate hain, jo tijarat karne walon ke liye behtareen imkanat se bharpoor ek wazeh manzar faraham karte hain. Jab hum May ke safar mein qadam rakhte hain, to market ko zyada shor machane ka imkan hota hai, jo ke tijarat karne walon ke liye chunautiyan aur imkanat dono faraham karta hai. Is taizid paristhiti ke darmiyan, ek strategy ka qabool karna ahem ho jata hai, aur main taqatwar taur par kuch muntakhib joriyon par khareedari order ka aghaz karne ke liye hoon, jin ka maqsad chand pips par qareebi faida hasil karna hai.

Buyers abhi market mein agay hain. Mazeed, April apni khatm hone ki taraf ja raha hai. Aam tor par, buyer jazbat ka dominion hai, jo mustaqil upri harkat ke liye ikhtiyar karnay ka soorat e haal hai. Aik portfolio ko buy orders ke sath musallat rakhna aur mustaqbil ki taraqqi mein hawale se market ke jazbat ko nazar andaz karte hue, aqalmandana hai. Aaj, main USD/JPY par aik buy order ko 154.95 ke short target ke saath tareef karta hoon. Yaad rakhein ke mazeed tabdeeliyon ke liye tayar rahein, kyunke bandish ke ghanto mein market ke dynamics mein numaya tabdeelion ka dorra shuru ho sakta hai. Halat ko hushyarana taur par samajh kar aur taraqqi pazeer trends mein mutaghayyar ho kar, traders agle dino mein faida utha sakte hain. Umeed hai ke USD/JPY ka market agle ghanton mein buyers ko mazeed moqaat faraham karega. Is liye, apni trading setup ko mutabiq tayar karnay ki koshish karein. Aur yeh bhi yaad rakhein ke aaj maheena ka aakhri din hai aur market baad mein shor macha sakti hai.

USD/JPY

Mai abhi USD/JPY currency pair ki mojooda qeemat ka jaiza le raha hoon, jo ke ek range mein hai jismein koi wazeh bearish price rukh nahi hai. Market be mustabil hai, lekin bulls abhi bhi control mein hain, jis se Monday ki candle ko todna mushkil hai. Aane waale trading session mein aik ahem imtehan hoga, aur agar hum bearish trend ko tasdeeq nahi karte, to yeh bullish territory ki taraf palat sakta hai. Market price ka insight ek upward trend dikhata hai jo jari rahega. USD/JPY ki keemat mein izafah ke liye pehla brake 158.17 par resistance hai, jo mazeed upward movement ke liye aik ahem rukawat hai. Magar is darjaat ko paar karna bullish trend ki nishani ho sakta hai, jis se USD/JPY 159.03 aur 160.08 ki taraf ja sakta hai. Yeh aik naye phase ke liye aik palatne ki nishani ho sakti hai, lekin keemat ke trend ko side movement ke saath khatam karna asaan nahi hoga. Choti directional tabdiliyon mein bhaari wazan nahi hai, isliye backup plans ka tajziya karna abhi be tarteeb hai.
Ghanton ke chart par, maine dollar-yen pair ka tajziya kiya tha ke yeh 154.65 resistance ke paar aur 166.753 ki taraf mazeed chalega. Is resistance tak pohanchne ke baad, Bank of Japan ke elaan ne ke rates ko maintain karne aur corporate bonds ko timeline ke baghair kharidne ki umeedon ko buland kiya, jo 158.81 ke price resistance ki taraf mazeed movement ki umeedon ko barha diya. Magar haal hi mein Japanese currency intervention ke afwaon ne ek giravat ko 154.65 tak le gaya, qareeban 500 points ke darmiyan. Yeh giravat kharidar ki munafa lena ho sakta hai. Halan ke aur giravat mumkin hai, lekin yeh halaat se nahi hoga, aur humein 165 yen ke qareeb giravat dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

trends aur potential reversals ka tajziya karna technical indicators aur price action dynamics ka gehra samajhna zaroori hai. Kya haal hai ke hilne ka akhri movement ek neeche ki trend ka jari rakhna hai ya ek mumkin reversal ki ishaaraat hai, yeh traders ko analyze karna hota hai.
Pehle toh, zyada market ka context dekhna bohot ahem hai. Factors jaise ke ma'ashiyati indicators, geopolitical events, aur central bank policies market sentiment aur direction ko asar andaaz karte hain. Agar haal hi ka neeche ki taraf ka movement market mein prevailing bearish sentiment ke saath milta hai, toh yeh sach mein trend ka jari rakhne ka ishaaraat ho sakta hai.

Dusra, price action aur volume patterns ka tajziya bohot ahem maloom hota hai. Ek lagataar downtrend aam tor par lower highs aur lower lows ke saath hota hai, sath hi sath zyadah bechne ka pressure bhi hota hai jo zyadah trading volumes mein zahir hota hai. Mukhtalif, ek potential reversal ko ek established pattern mein toorna ke through signal kiya ja sakta hai, jaise ke price aur momentum indicators mein bullish divergence ya significant buying volume mein izafa.

Teesra, key support aur resistance levels ka tajziya zaroori hai. Agar price kisi ahem support level ke qareeb aata hai aur woh kai koshishon ke bawajood usse neeche nahi toorta, toh yeh yeh dikhata hai ke bechne ka pressure kamzor ho raha hai, aur mumkin hai ke rasta reversal ke liye khul jaye. Ulta, agar koi ahem support level convincing taur par tor diya jata hai, toh yeh neeche ki taraf trend ko mazboot kar sakta hai

Aur iske ilawa, technical indicators jaise ke moving averages, trend lines, aur oscillators ka istemal additional confirmation ya divergence signals faraham kar sakta hai. Masalan, short-term moving averages ke upar long-term wale ke bullish crossover ya ek key support level par reversal candlestick pattern ka hona, potential reversal ke liye case ko mazboot kar sakta hai.

Traders ke liye ahem hai ke woh chaukanna rehkar ek indicator ya signal par puri tarah na bharosa karen. Market ki halat tezi se tabdeel ho sakti hain, aur ghair sahi signals aam tor par hotay hain. Isliye, mukhtalif analytical tools aur techniques ka istemal kar ke trading decisions ko tasdeeq karne aur ghalat fehmiyon ka khatra kam karne mein madad milti hai.

Ikhtitam mein, yeh tajziya karna ke haal hi ka market movement ek neeche ki trend ka jari rakhne ka hai ya ek potential reversal ki ishaaraat hai, mukhtalif factors ka mukammal tajziya zaroori hai, jaise ke market ka context, price action, volume patterns, support aur resistance levels, aur technical indicators. In factors ko chaukanna dekh kar, traders behtareen decisions le kar apni strategies ko mukhtalif surato mein adjust kar sakte hain