Usd/jpy

Jab tak ye 14.6% fib level 149.33 ke upar hai, iska bahar nikalna namumkin nahi hai. Pehle toh aapko 149.75, 149.63, 149.50 aur 149.33 ke neeche karz jama karna hai, aur ye pehli baras ke dinon ka aam balance 149.77 aur aam dinanat Bollinger Bollinger 149.90 ke neeche hai, jo JSC par bearish divergence ka jari rahna aur current March futures 147.80-146.80 mein nichle zone tak utarna ki jaari rah sakti hai, ya'ni ke 23.6% 148.38 - 38.2% 146.82+-. Aur ek aur cheez jo kai instruments par amal mein ati hai - current futures ke ant tak pichle futures ke maksad ko test karne jate hain, aur December futures mein yen ne seedhe 148.60-147.0 kshetra mein adhikatam prapt kiya, turant vahan ek bearish karz hai. Aam tor par, jab tak jodi March futures 150.43-150.25 ke mahatvapurn volume staron ke neeche hai, tab daksin ko isab chalane ki taraqqi kiya jaata hai.
Bazaar ki dynamics ke shetra mein, rasta December se ab tak ek saaf taur par mukarar channel ke andar ek uchai ki taraf raha hai. Neeche ki seema ka temporary urjaan hone ke bawajood, maamooli rup se channel ki hudood mein lautne ka iski mazbooti ko darust karti hai aur yeh mukhya bullish trend ka jari rahne ka ishaara deti hai. Aage, aur bhi unchaal gati ke liye bahut zyada rasta nazar aata hai, halqi market gatividhi mein aakhri samay ke parakast ka ishaara kar rahi hai jo kharidari dabav mein ek wapas ka ishaara kar sakti hai. Iske alawa, neeche ki seema ka haal hi mein kiya gaya parikshan traders ko ek akarshak pravesh bindu pradan karta hai jo aage chalne waale uchai ki gati mein teesri laabh ke mouke ko le ja sakta hai.

Dynamics ka tafseeli taur par jayza aaj ka market sentiment ko sath dene ke liye dikhata hai. Ek sthapit oopri channel pattern, sath hi neeche ke seema ke moolay ka farzi parikshan, bullish gatividhi ke liye ek anukool mahaul ko daawa karte hain. Magar, satark rehna zaroori hai kyun ke bazaar ki dynamics mein maujood tashvishen bani rehti hain. Agar bhi vartamaan bashao ek oopri gati ko prathamikta dete hain, toh anjaane hadse is rukh ko badal sakte hain. Baahri factors jese ki siyasi ghatnaen, maqoolat data rihaaiyan aur nivesh bhavana mein tabdili market disha ko prabhavit kar sakte hain, jisse trading faislon ke liye ek mehdood nazariya ki zaroorat hai.

USD/JPY H-4 Timeframe Analysis:
151.80 ke range ka ek jhoota todh diya gaya hai aur iske baad, hum dhire dhire giraavat kar rahe hain aur 150.95 trading range ka todh diya gaya hai. Jab hum range 150.90 ko todh lete hain aur iske neeche mazboot hote hain, yeh ek bechnay ka signal hoga. 151.85 ka ek jhoota todh diya ja sakta hai aur aise ek todh ke baad, giravat jari rahegi. Moujooda ke hisab se, giraavat jari rahe sakti hai aur 151.00 range ko todna zaroori hai. 151.35 ke range mein ek trade hai aur wahan se, giraavat jari rahegi. 151.95 ka trading range todne ke baad, mazid mazbooti hogi. Asal mein, 151.58 ke range mein ek trade gap hai aur jab hum isse todh lete hain, to giraavat jari rahegi. Jo bhi market mein aara hai, woh ek sudharak mehngaai jaisa hai. Iske baad, USD/JPY bechna behtar hai. Moujooda ke hisab se, humein shayad ek chhota upar ki chal mil sakti hai, lekin iske baad, giraavat aur jari rahegi. Ek chhota upar ki chal ke baad, jaise ki 151.95 range mein, giraavat aur jari rahegi. 150.88 ke trading range ka todh aur iske neeche sthapit ho jaana ek bechnay ka signal hoga. Mumkin hai ki 150.50 ke range ko todh lena, jahan par trade ho, phir iski keemat ko neeche sthapit karne ke baad, giraavat aur jari rahegi. Sudhar ke baad, giravat aur jari rahe sakti hai.

Ismein, trading strategies ke mutaliq hoshyaari se kuch ahem urooj samajhna bhi zaroori hai. Yeh ek suvidha janaak tareeqa hai jisse trading decisions ko sahi dhang se lena aasaan ho jaata hai. Agar aapko trading mein kisi bhi jadui tareeqe ka yakeen nahi hai, to aapke paas ek shayad hi kisi aur badey tareeqe se behtar tareeqa hoga. Is tareeqe ka istemaal karke aap apni trading approach ko aur bhi behtar bana sakte hain, jisse aapke trading decisions ko sahi tarah se le ja sakein. Aapke trading plan ke hisaab se, aapko behtar profit haasil karne ke liye apne trades ko manage karna chahiye aur apne risk ko kam karna chahiye. Yah aapko trading mein safalta dilane mein madad karega aur aapko behtar tareeqe se market ke sath jodne me madad karega.

USD/JPY

Jab tak yeh 149.33 ke 14.6% fib level ke oopar hai, yeh asal mein yeh nahi keh diya ja sakta ke 149.33 ka breakout ho ga. Pehle toh aapko 149.75, 149.63, 149.50 aur 149.33 ke nichle qarze jama karne honge, aur yeh pehli baar 149.77 aur average daily Bollinger Bollinger ke 149.90 ke darmiyan ek giravat hai, jo ke JSC par bearish divergence ka jari rahne ke saath ek nahi descent ko 147.80-146.80 ke current March futures ke lower zone mein le ja sakta hai, yani ke, zone 23.6% 148.38 se 38.2% 146.82+-. Aur ek aur cheez jo kai instruments par aksar hoti hai - current futures ke ant mein, wo pichle futures ke maximum set ko test karne jaate hain, aur December futures mein yen ne seedha 148.60-147.0 zone mein ek maximum hasil kiya, jald hi wahan bearish debt tha. Aam tor par, jab tak jodi March futures ke ahem volume levels 150.43-150.25 ke neeche hai, toh unka maqsood southern correction ko jaari rakhna hai.
Market dynamics ke shetraf mein, raasta December se le kar aaj tak ek waziha channel ke andar ek uppri raftar ko barqarar rakhne ki nishandahi hai. Nichle had ka temporary urooj, jo ke agle channel ki hadon tak wapas aane ka ishara hai, iske dum ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta aur ye mukhtalif bullish trend ka barqarar rahne ka ishara deta hai. Agla, mazeed uppri harkat ke liye kafi jagah nazar aati hai, halqi market ki activity ke baad buying pressure ka ek wapas ka ishara hai. Is ke ilawa, nichle had ka halqi test karne ne traders ko ek khoobsurat dakhil noksan faraham kiya hai jo ke uppri harkat jari rahne par triple profit ka mauka dene wala hai. [M30]USD/JPY Dynamics ke tajziye ke mutabiq, prevailing market sentiment ko uppri harkat ko support faraham karte hue dekha gaya hai. Ek sthapit ascending channel pattern, sath hi nichle limits ka note karne wala ghalat test, bullish activity ke liye ek mufeed mahol ka tasavvur deta hai. Magar, sambhal kar chalne ki zarurat hai kyun ke market dynamics mein mojood gumrahiyaat wajib hai. Halankeh mojooda tajwez uppri harkat ko favor karta hai, magar anjaane maqamaat is rah ko badal sakte hain. Geopolitical waqeeyaat, ma'ashi data releases aur investment sentiment mein tabdiliyan jaise ke baaqi factors market ke rukh ko asar andaz bana sakti hain, jis se trading decisions ko ek nuance taur par paish karna hai.

USD/JPY
As-salamu alaykum. Mojooda trend mudra par sakht nichle dabao dale raha hai, jis ka JPY daily H1 timeframe chart ka mojud level 151.16 hai. Shuru mein, aik numaya upward movement ka intezar tha darmiyani level se lambay position ki taraf se. Magar, ye level tor diya gaya aur mudra ek nichli whirlpool ka samna kar raha hai. Agar giraawat be-rokari se jaari rahe, to agle maqsood ka nazarandaz karna mumkin hai jo k imtiazi had hai. Ye khaas keemat ka shumaar sirf H1 chart par zahir hota hai. Agar koi is had ka koi rad-e-amal karta hai, agar ho bhi, to yeh tasawwur kiya jata hai ke yeh nisbatan minor hogi, shayad aage chal ke unchay ilaqay ke taraf le jaayegi. Magar, H1 chart par dikhayi jane wali tasweer ke mutabiq, mazeed girawat ki buhat zyada sambhavna hai, shayad tareekhi zone ki taraf jahan pe keema pehle se hi support mila hai. Muamele mein barhne wale contracts ne bazaar ko mazbooti se jakar liya hai. Shakhseey maali tanzeem ki tajdeedi umeed par, range ko aage ki taraf projection kiya jaata hai. Bazaar ke phikarangey raaste mein, main aksar ghalat nivesh faisle se hone wale nuqsano ka samna karta hoon. Magar, main ishaare ki taqat par hamesha tawajjo rakhta hoon, jo ke kifayati munafa aur aqalmandana risk lenay ki manzoori deta hai. Is tarah, nuqsano ke saamne shikayat karne ka koi faida nahi hai; balkay, hum apni stops ko had se zyada daraj karne ke taur par tawajjo detay hain. Har unchaal ko zaroori taur par ek neeche ki islaah hoti hai. Is moolakat par qayam karne ke mutabiq, main 115.00 ke aspaas karobar band karne ki tajwez deta hoon. Halankeh, is haalat mein bhi, munafa margin pehle se zyada hai jo tayy kiya gaya stop ko paanch guna barh kar pehchani hai. Aaj ka nateeja mashroot hai, magar humehtat ke saath taraqqi ki zarurat hai.

Mudra bazaron ke mushtamil natayeje par ghor karne ke doraan, ghalat nivesh faisle ke mohtalika asraat tasleem karna zaroori hai. Magar, pareshaniyon ke darmiyan, munafa mand hisse ki ahmiyat ko pehchanna wazeh hai, jo aqalmandana aur hisaab lagayi hue nivesh ke jokhimon ke liye ek haqeeqati inaam deta hai. Is tarah, ek mantaqi naqsha banaye rakhna zaroori hai; halankeh nuqsan shayad lazmi hai, munafa dene ki tawanai ka ihtimal aik qabil e tasalli mukhalif banata hai. Bazar ke phirkishat mein chalte hue, munafa nuqsan ki asar se mukhalfat karne ke liye intezam karna hoshiyarana hai. Tafseelat ke baazudd orders, masalan USD/JPY daily H4 timeframe chart, 151.16 se aage ki khatre ki hifazati tadabeer, market ke musbat phirkash harkat ki khilwat se pani me chalne ke liye aik strategy mand kawatam hai. Yeh intizami tarz insani ko barqarar rakhta hai, haalankah market ki daur e giraavat ke darmiyan, niveshak bade maali nuqsan se bachay jate hain. Mazeed, bazar ki dhundliyat ko ghor se sochna zaroori hai, khaaskar keemat ki harkaton ka dauriya nature. Bazar ki takreeban rukhiyat ka maan lena, strategy ki nazar mein munafa ya nuqsan ki kammi, nivesh ki raseed ko bachane aur nuqsan ko kam karne ke liye samay par munafa daayitvaar banane mein akalmandi hai. Misal ke tor par, maan len, karobaar ke behtareen phelao ka masnoon nuqsan kar sakte hain jab tak qeemat chhaton ko choo le. In asasat ke tahat chalte hue, niveshak apne wapsi ko behtar taur par optimize kar sakte hain jabke bazaar ki dhoodnein se kamzor, lachakdar, aur majbur hoti hai. Halankeh, foran fawaid mumkin ho sakta hain, lekin karobar ke taur par tarz e hoshmandi se nateejaat hasil karna lambi leharat mein kamiyabi aur maali mustaqilat ke maqsad tak pahunchne mein madad faraham karta hai. Mazeed, proactive faisla kashi maali bazar ke hamesha tabdeel hone w

USD/JPY H1

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ki mojooda karobari rawayat par baat karenge. Main yen ki farokhto par kaafi tasalli se nazar daal raha hoon, lekin mujhe samajh mein aata hai ke kisi tarah qeemat na toh kisi rukh par jaana chahti hai aur na hi yahaan. Aam tor par ta'areef ka koi manzar mojooda hai. Aur is liye, maine ek mazboot faisla liya ke mujhe kuch kharidna chahiye. Shakiyat hai, lekin ek aage ki bhavishyavani mujhe 151.25 se 151.98 ke ilaake mein qayam karne par majboor karti hai. Main ne pehle se kaafi kuch dekh liya hai; is dafa main apne stops ko 152.03 mark par rakhoonga. Bilkul tay matematiki sciences ki tawajjo aur meri thori si maloomat ke taraf murawajah kiya hai, main samajhta hoon ke behtar hai ke main yahaan par 151.04 par hi tajaweez ko rok doon. Baad mein, jeetne ki nisbat, haaren ka imkaan paanch se ek hota hai. Hamari soch ki logic ko bharpoor taur par tabdeel karne ki zaroorat hai. Barhaanah baar market mere khilaf ja raha hai. Main ek currency pair ke baare mein sochta hoon jo ajeeb hai; aap kisi bhi trading instrument ka naam le sakte hain aur sirf USD/JPY nahi. Mukhtalif sawalon ke sath ek surat e haal par mukammal hota hai ke hum ab bhi trend ke mutaabiq barhne ki koshish karna chahte hain. Yahaan koi saaf jawab nahi hai, is liye hum ek masla se bhare huye haalaat mein mukhtalif sawalon ke saath khatam ho jate hain.

Mujhe bhi lagta hai ke USD/JPY pair par chhote positions wajib hain kyunki mujhe kisi harkat mein kuch rukawat ka nazar aata hai. Kal main ne 151.90 ko ek farokht ki tajweez ke liye nishaan lagaaya tha, lekin woh wahaan nahi pohanchi. Aaj woh 151.65 hai, lekin yahaan ek aur sawaal paida hota hai: itne mein kitna farokht karna chahiye jab ke bohot se log Good Friday ko manate hain? Dakhil ho jane se pehle, yaqeeni banaye ke taiz taiz taizi aur oscillator indicator ke reading sahi hain. Aap indicator ke laal momayz ki mashal nahi khareed sakte, aur bilkul bhi aap indicator ke hare rang ke momayz ko nahi bech sakte. Ab wahi lamha aaya hai jab tamaam umeedain ek tamaatar ki bartan se dhak di gayi hain. Mumkin hai ki candle 151.39 mark ke neeche daud jaye. Mere paas koi doosra ikhtiyaar nahi hai ke farokht ke leq contracts ko mukammal karna shuru karoon. Stock market mein tajweez par ghor karne ka mutlaqam bhoolna nahi chahiye. Toh, hum 151.39 mark ke qareeb farokht karenge. Har baar main apne dimagh par jhagarte hoon ke kis tarah sab se zyada qeemat ka intezar karna chahiye phir tezi se girne se pehle, ab candle tezi se girne lagegi, aur main us ke jadui harkat se ameer ho jaonga! Main apne aas paas 151.39 ke aas paas jadui rukavat lagaunga. Agar main stop ko pakar leta hoon, toh aaj main is ke liye aur khatra nahi uthaoonga. Beshak, tamaam umeedain currency ki giravat par hain.

Daily Timeframe Outlook:

US dollar index Jumma ko 0.45% izafa kiya, lekin Japanese yen 0.12% kam hua aur 151.44 par ruka, guzishta saal Bank of Japan ki dakhalat ke izafi dar se thori kam. Federal Reserve ne is saal teen tafreeh karne ki tawazunat ko chhodne se pehle rozana tafreehi rates ko 5.25% se 5.5% tak ke range mein kam kiya. Magar, Federal Reserve ne ye bhi kaha ke jab tak wo yakeen na haasil kare ke makhsoos inflation hamesha ke liye 2% had tak gir sakta hai, tab tak wo consumer prices ko kam nahi karega. Federal Reserve aur doosri markazi banks ke paas mukhtalif tafreehi price insurance programs hain, jo Swiss tafreehi kharch mein ghair mutawaqqi farokht ko darust karte hain. Is waqt, dollar bulls agle hain. Ummeed hai ke trend jaari rahega agar dar 150.25 USD/JPY se neeche nahi girta. Sirf 150.25 ke neeche band hona maazi trend ko tabdeel kar sakta hai.



H4 Hour Timeframe Outlook:

USD/JPY H4 ne peer, 25 March ko, halka sa correction kiya. Dollar 0.03 percent izafa kar ke 151.47 par band hua, thori si dair tak Friday ko pohnchne wale char mah ke uchay darja 151.86 ke neeche. Japan ke wazeer-e-kharija ne currency ko kamzor karne ki koshish karnay walay ko rokne ki dhamki di, jis ke baad yen ke qeemat mein aik chand lamha ke liye izafa hua. Japan ke Wazeer-e-Kharija ka sarbarah maashi analayst ne kaha ke yen ki maujooda kamzori bunyadi asoolon par nahi hai, jis ka dawa rasmi tanbeehon ne tasdeeq ki hai jo yen ke hilat-e-qadim ki wajah se mustaqil hui hai. Karobarion ka 152.00 ke darje ko nazar andaz karne ke ishaara hai. Is saal ke USD/JPY ke uncha darja daro mein US dollar bulls ab bhi kheil mein hain. Magar, Bank of Japan ki dakhalat hone ki pareshani ke baais, ooncha jana hoshiyarana hoga. Agar Bank of Japan asal mein market mein dakhalat nahi karti, toh tawaqqo karain ke karobarion ne 152.55 ke muqablay ka kareebi nazarbandi ke darja par nazar rakha hoga.

USD/JPY Daily Time frame

Peer ko mondi ko bari firms ke jazbat ka index jari kia jaye ga. Mangal ko japani das saal ke bondon ko jagah denay ke liye ek oqooba hoga, aur budh ko khidmat sector mein PMI index jari kiya jaye ga. Aur jumma ko ghar walay kharach ka index. Aam tor par, mujhe lagta hai ke kisi bhi indicators se market mein taiz shiddat ka izafa nahi hoga, magar yeh phir bhi mojud hoga. Peer ko, daily chart par dollar-yen ki din mein aik range mein trade ho rahi thi, is liye jumma ko main phir se range mein trading ko ahmiyat di. Yani, peer ko support nahi test hua, resistance nahi test hui thi, is liye jumma ko main phir se range mein trading ko ahmiyat di. Trading range mein hoti rahi, phir se support test nahi hua, resistance test nahi hua, is liye main peer ko phir se range mein trading ko ahmiyat doon ga. Agar peer ko peer ko band hone ke baad resistance ke upar band hota hai, to yeh ek khareedna ho ga, agar support ke neeche band hota hai, to yeh ek farokht ho ga.


Jumeraat ko USD/JPY currency pair par trading kuch bhi nahi tha; is natije mein, hafta ke akhri din yeh apni peechli asamiyon mein bani rahi aur 151.40 ke darje ke qareeb mabaid mein trade jaari hai. Main intizar kar raha hoon ke USD/JPY ke quotes, izafa ke doran, jodi ke global maximum ko 152.20 ke darje par taaza karein aur kam az kam 152 figure ke darmiyan chalein, yeh 153.00 ke darja tak rasta khol dega, magar wahan koi chhat nahi hai, is liye abhi sirf andaza laga sakte hain. Magar is ke baad, is currency pair mein girawat ka buland ihtimal hai, abhi, bears ko murray indicator ke hisab se chaar ghante ke chart par psychological tor par ahem 150.00 ke darja tak pohanchne par guzara hua hai.

USD/JPY H4

Ham USD/JPY currency pair ki mojooda ravayat par guftagu karenge. Main yen ki farokht ko kaafi dhair se dekh raha hoon, lekin mujhe samajh nahi aa raha ke qeemat na to kisi tarah jaana chahti hai. Aam manzar-e-harkaat koi tassali dene wala nishaan nahi deta. Is liye, maine ek majboot iraada kiya ke mujhe kuch khareedna chahiye. Shubaat hain, lekin ek andesha mujhe 151.25 se 151.98 ke ilaake mein qaim rahne ki taraf dhakel raha hai. Maine pehle hi bahut kuch dekha hai; is dafa main apne stops ko 152.03 ke nishaan par rakhunga. Barabar raibaron ki exact arithmetic sciences aur meri kam knowledge par dhaan dena, main sochta hoon ke behtar hoga ke 151.04 par yeh transaction rok diya jaye. Baad mein, jeetne ki ratio ke saath, haaren ki sambhavna paanch se ek hogi. Humein apni soch ki logic ko turant badalna chahiye. Baar baar bazaar meri khilaaf ja raha hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke currency pair ke quirks ke baare mein sochna chahiye; aap kisi bhi trading instrument ka naam le sakte hain aur sirf USD/JPY nahi. Yeh poori baat hai ke kya hum ab bhi is trend ke saath chalne wale is taraqqi ke koshishon ko trade karna chahte hain. Yahan koi saaf jawab nahi hai, is liye hum ek situation ke saath end up hote hain jisme kai sawalat hote hain.

Mere liye, USD/JPY pair par short positions bhi is baat ke kareeb hain ke mujhe kisi taraqqi ki kuch inkar ko dekh raha hoon. Kal maine 151.90 ko aik farokht transaction kholne ke liye note kiya, magar woh wahan tak nahi pohanchi. Aaj yeh pehle se 151.65 hai, lekin yahan ek aur sawal uth jata hai: itna kuch bechne ke din kitna kharidna chahiye? Daakhil hone se pehle, yeh dekh len ke tezi aur oscillator indicator readings durust hain. Aap indicator ke laal mombatiyon ko nahi khareed sakte, aur be shak, aap indicator ke hare mombatiyon ko nahi bech sakte. Ab wo waqt aa gaya hai jab sab umeedain aik tambe ke basin se dhak gayi hain. Mombati ne 151.39 ke nishaan ke neeche daudna shuru kiya. Mujhe kuch farokht contracto ko khatam karne ka koi doosra raasta nahi hai. Stock market mein correction ke baare mein mat bhooliye. To, hum 151.39 ke kareeb bechenge. Har waqt main apne dimag ko yeh sochte hue pachtata hoon ke mujhe tezi se upar ki keemat ka intezaar kaise karna chahiye, ab mombati daud kar gir jayegi, aur main us ke jadui harkat se ameer ho jaunga! Main aik jadui rukawat 151.39 ke aas paas ka dikkat ko charge karoonga. Agar maine stop pakad liya, to aaj ke liye main aur khatra nahi lengega. Beshak, tamaam umeedain currency ke girne ki taraf hain.

USD/JPY currency pair ke trading mein is hafta kuch khaas activity nahi dekhi gayi. Iski keemat, hafta ke ant mein bhi peechli asamiyon mein hi bani rahi aur lagbhag 151.46 ke darje ke qareeb mabaid mein trade jaari hai. Market mein kuch factors ne is currency pair ki movement ko influence kiya, jaise ki economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur central bank policies. Yeh sabhi factors USD/JPY ke dar mein tabdili la sakte hain. Ek badi influence wala factor US Federal Reserve ki monetary policy hai. Agar Fed apne interest rates mein kisi bhi tarah ki tabdili karti hai, toh yeh USD/JPY ke dar mein farq daal sakta hai. Iske alawa, Japan ki Bank of Japan ki policies bhi is currency pair par asar dal sakti hain. Geopolitical events bhi is currency pair ko prabhavit kar sakte hain. Kisi bhi bade samrajya ke saath hone wale trade ya political tensions USD/JPY ke dar mein izafa ya kam kar sakte hain. Ek aur factor hai economic indicators jaise ki GDP growth, employment data, aur inflation figures. Jab bhi koi naye data release hota hai, market participants USD/JPY ke dar mein tabdili ki ummeed karte hain, jiska asar uske trading par padta hai. USD/JPY currency pair ki volatality ka bhi ek factor hai. Kabhi-kabhi market mein sudden movements hoti hain jo ki traders ko surprise kar deti hain aur unke positions ko prabhavit kar deti hain. Is hafta, yadi USD/JPY ke trading mein kuch bhi nahi tha, toh yeh mukhyatah ek range-bound trading week thi, jismein market mein kisi bhi direction mein mazboot movement nahi tha. Is tarah ki sthitiyon mein, traders apne positions ko hedge karne aur risk ko manage karne ke liye various strategies ka istemal karte hain. Overall, USD/JPY currency pair ke trading ke is hafta mein kuch tezi nahi thi, lekin future mein market ki kisi bhi movement ka dhyaan rakhna mahatvapurna hai, taaki traders apne positions ko effectively manage kar sakein.

Guzishta haftay ko, kisi kehne ko, seedha keh sakte hain, flat tha. Shumali ki taraqqi nahi hui, zyada se zyada 150.88 ko update nahi kiya gaya, aur saath hi, jumeraat ko shumali rad kar di gayi, halankeh jumma ko tor phir ki koshish ki gayi, lekin woh bhi nakam rahi. Intraday, shumal phir se rad kar di gayi aur karobari ka session almost American session ke neechay band hua, jo ke peer ko karobari ke ibtedai mein shumal ki khud ba khud tasdeeq par dala. Aam taur par, jumla mein, shumal 150.05 ke darje ko tasdeeq karega. Magar yeh oversold hai, is liye woh top ki taraf wapas lena shuru kar sakte hain, farokht karne walon ke liye aham hai ke woh 150.72 se ooncha na jaye, jahan par shumal rad ho jayegi. Behtareen hoga agar 150.35 ke qareeb wapas le jaye, yahan par mA ka ikhatta hai aur ek darja hai jahan par intraday times mein farokht ka signal mila, jo test kiya jana chahiye. Acha, isi waqt behtar keemat par farokht karne ka acha mauqa hoga. Qareebi nichle maqsood 149.49 hai. Mujhe yeh wazeh karne dein, yeh bilkul peer ke liye hai. Jab baat mustaqbil aur darmiyani muddat ki ho, is haftay hum pehli wapas le jane ke darje ko 149.95 tak pohanch gaye aur usay tor diya, aur lagta hai ke woh wahan rukay ga nahi, agla darja 148.84 par hai (din waqt). Yahan par wapas top ki taraf ka rebound mumkin hai. Lekin zyadatar hum kami mein dekhenge, aur yeh sab is liye ke haftay ke doran wapas le jane ka darja 147.71 par hai. Main abhi tak is darje se neeche nahi dekh raha hoon, kyunki shumali trend mazboot hai aur aasani se tora nahi ja sakta, to phir bhi izafa hoga. Shumali islaah mukammal hone ke baad, main umeed karta hoon ke izafa dobara shuru hoga. Acha karobar.
Technical nukta nazar se, D1 waqt frame par USDJPY ke daam ka chart kai zahir patterns aur darje dikhaata hai. Karobar karne walay ahem support aur resistance ke darje, sath hi trend lines aur moving averages ko tawajjo se dekhte hain, taake potential entry aur exit points ko pehchanein. Mazboot bullish momentum ka mojudgi asaani se nazar aati hai ek silsile ke unchay uncha aur unchay darje, jo market mein mazboot kharidari ka dabao dikhata hai. Macro ma'ashi aur technical factors ke ilawa, USDJPY daam ka asar karne wale siyasi waqiyat aur market ka jazba bhi ahem kirdaar ada karte hain. Siyasi waqiyat se mutalliq ghaafilpan, jaise ke tijarati tension ya siyasi tanazaat, izafa shuda ghaafilpan aur market ke jazbaat mein foran tabdeel hone ka sabab ban sakti hai. Is liye, karobar karne walon ko aghahi rakhtay rehne aur apni karobar ki strategies ko mutabiq karne ki taalim di jati hai. D1 waqt frame par USDJPY ka mojooda jaiza darmiyani muddat ki bullish trend ko darust karta hai jo ke macroeconomic factors, technical indicators aur market ke jazbaat ke ek misaal hai. Magar karobar karne walon ko hoshyar rehna chahiye aur tabdeel hone walay waqiyat ya darwazon ko nazdeek se monitor karna chahiye.

USD/JPY H1 Time Frame

USDJPY currency pair, agar hum H1 chart dekhte hain, to ab ek accumulation mein hai, jo corridor ke upper border se lower border aur wapas ja rahi hai, lekin jab tak woh positions ikattha kar rahe hain, mujhe lagta hai ke hum is corridor mein kaam kar sakte hain. Ab keemat ne corridor ke lower border tak aik level tak pohanch gayi hai jahan do daily aur weekly supports 151.11 ke aas paas hain aur keemat is se upar uth rahi hai, candles par level par teen danday hain, jo ke iss waqt majboot buyers ko dikhate hain jo ke keemat ko level se khareed rahe hain, hum ne pehle bhi usey kai dafa roka hai. Nishan aur bhi sath basement indicators ki taraf se urooj ki taraf ishaara karte hain, jo ke level se khareed ko mazeed sabit karta hai. Mujhe lagta hai ab ek acha mauqa hai ke level ke short stop ke sath khareedain.


USD/JPY H4 Time Frame

USDJPY ne 151.97 par aik naye bulandiyon tak pohncha. Main ne is se retracement zones banaye hain: 150.80-69 aur 149.64-41. Hum daily pivot, 151.41 ke neeche trade kar rahe hain, din ke andar south force mein hai, yeh peechay hat raha hai. Haqeeqat mein, hum lambay arsay se ek flat mein trade kar rahe hain, aur wahi unchiyon par hum dekh sakte hain, aur bilkul bhi yahan se khareedna nahin chahte hain. Main kabhi bhi 150 ke upar se khareedna nahin chahta, aur yahan bhi, main apna haath utha nahi sakta. Aam tor par, mojooda flat ke andar maine aik head and shoulders dekha, mujhe nahi pata ke yeh flat ke andar kaam karega ya nahi, lekin agar yeh kaam karta hai, to hum zaroor 1/4 zone tak aayenge, aur yahan hai historical flat channel ka top. Yahan hum reaction dekhte hain, yeh margin technique istemal karke khareed ke liye jagah hai. Aap wahan dakhilay ke liye bhi talash kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY H1

Aaj USD/JPY currency pair ki haalat ka tajziya kiya ja raha hai, khaaskar 15 minute ka chart dekha ja raha hai. Khaas tor par, pair nedhri support level jo 151.386 par mojood hai, ke qareeb aya hai. Ye harkat ne market mein sellers ki positions ko saaf kiya hai, sath hi behtar farokht volume mein izafa bhi ho raha hai. Magar, kuch kharidaroon ki sakhti ki fauri zarurat hai taake woh kisi qisam ka asar daal sakein. Yeh observation kisi moghlat ki sambhavana ka stage tayar karta hai, khaaskar haal hi mein dekhi gayi wazeh kami aur us ke baad farokht mein izafa. Mazid, in tamaam tajziyon ke darmiyan, kharidaroon ka barha hua aana bhi hai, jo nazdeeki mustaqbil mein izafa ka ishara hai. Magar, ahem rukawat ka aitiraf karna zaroori hai jo 151.08 par mojood hai, jo foran kisi bhi door ka koshish ke khilaaf mushkilat ka saamna kar sakta hai. Ye resistance level hoshiyari ke sath umeedon ko darust karta hai, kyun ke is ko paar karne ke liye mustaqil kharidari dabao aur market ki rafter zaroorat hogi.

Situation ke complexity ko mazeed barhane ka sabab Energi Maloomat Idara se aaye latest data hai jis mein US ka shale teliya stock ka izafa ana hai. Izafa ke tawaqo ki bajaaye teliya stock mein kami ka izafa ek mukhtasir daur ke liye izafa ka ishara hai aur is ke natijan mein teliya ke prices mein izafa ho sakta hai. Ye tajziya mazeed bara market dynamics mein ahmiyat ka izhar karta hai, kyun ke teliya ke prices ki tabdeeliyan USD/JPY jaise currency pairs ke liye bohot bari taseer rakhti hain.

In mukhtalif factors ke mumkin asarat ka tajziya karte waqt, traders aur analysts ko ek mukammal approach apnana chahiye jo technical aur fundamental indicators ko maddah samjhein. Hal hi ki USD/JPY chart par ki gayi keemat ki harkat mein ek mukhtasir darja ki tahrikiyat ki sambhavana zahir hai, magar kharidaroon ka aana aur teliya ke atraaf market dynamics, khaaskar crude oil ke, uncertainty ke elements laa sakte hain.

Jab traders in complexity ko samajhte hain, to unhe mustaqil market ki halat mein nazar rakhna aur adapt hona zaroori hai. Ahem support aur resistance levels ki nigrani, sath hi fundamental developments jaise teliya ke stock ke baray mein maloomat hasil karna, mojooda keemat ki harkat aur trading ke mauqay par qeemati maloomat faraham kar sakti hai.

Akhri mein, halankeh USD/JPY currency pair qareebi muddaton mein challenges aur uncertainty ka saamna kar raha hai, lekin technical aur fundamental factors ka barabri ka tajziya traders ko market ko mukhtasar aur trading ke mauqay ko farogh dene mein madad faraham kar sakta hai.

M15 Minute Timeframe Outlook:

M15 Minute Timeframe Ki Nigaah. Linear regression channel nichay ki taraf aarahi hai, jo bechnay walon ki taqat ko darust karta hai. Faida southern raaste mein hai, jaise ke channel ka nichla kona 151.229 ki taraf ja raha hai. Main 151.481 ke daraje se farokht ka imkaan dekh raha hoon, jo ke bailon ko mukhalifat karna chahiye, warna gehra islah ki taraf mansoobat ki mukhtalif harkat ki sambhavna aahistagi se barh jati hai. Maqsad ko haasil karne ke baad, aapko farokht ke saath intezaar karna chahiye, jo ghair munafa bakhsh ban jaate hain, kyun ke M15 ke saath harkat ki shiddat khud ko khatam kar degi, jo ulte phir ki taraf ikhtiyar kar legi. Is surat mein, aap neeche latak sakte hain, gaonon mein. Agar channel ke zariye milay signals ko samjha nahi gaya to, tab market se daakhil honay ka sahi waqt ka intezar karna zyada behtar hai, jo agar waqei hota hai to kharch ko bhaari tor par kam karega.



H1 Hour Timeframe Outlook:

Main doosri senior muddat H1 ki taraf chalta hoon, jahan linear regression channel din bhar ke trading mein maal ki aham harkat ko darust karta hai. Channel M15 ko wazeh, durust aur pura karne ke liye istemal kiya jata hai. Market 151.363 par H1 channel ke oopri kono ke neeche hai, jaise ke M15 ke neeche bhi hai. Main is surat ko bearish taur par tajziya karta hoon. Do channelon ka complex farokht ki tawaqqu mei hai aur khareedariyon ke bajaay farokht ki tawaqqu hai, jo is surat mein chhure ki tarah nazar aati hai. Jahan aap ghalti kar sakte hain aur nuksan utha sakte hain. Agar bail 151.481 ke daraje ke oopar mazbooti dikhata hai, to H1 channel ke oopri hisse se bhi farokht ka tajziya ya madad kar sakte hain 151.645 ke darajay se. Maamooli farokht session mein doosra bearish maqsad 151.117 hai.

Agar h1 timeframe se tajziya kiya jaye, to dekha ja sakta hai ke ab tak candle supply area at the price of 151.55 se guzar nahi saka hai. Mujhe shak hai ke agar supply area guzar nahi gaya to double top pattern banne ka potential hai. Is pattern ke zahir hone par bhi yeh ek ishara hai ke qareebi mustaqbil mein rukh ki ulat pher hone wali hai. Pattern banne ke liye shart hai ke qareebi support at the price of 150.34 ko pehle guzara jaye. Jab yeh guzar nahi sakte, to harkat sirf qareebi supply aur demand area mein idhar udhar hogi. Lambay arsay mein, mein yeh peshgoi karta hoon ke harkat neeche jaegi. Masla yeh hai, USDJPY ki barhao bahali bohot zyada rahi hai aur ab rukh ki ulat pher ka waqt hai.
Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal kiya jaye to, haqeeqat mein Jumma se hi giravat ki nishaaniyan milti hain. Tenkan sen aur kijun sen ke intersection se markaz lagaya jata hai. Ab dekha ja sakta hai ke candle ki position line ke neeche hai. Yeh yeh matlab hai ke USDJPY ki trend shayad pehle bullish se bearish ki taraf badalne wali hai. Kumo cloud ko guzarna ke liye abhi bhi lambi giravat ki zaroorat hai.

Is dauran, waqt ke mutabiq stochastic indicator abhi bhi upar ki taraf munh kar raha hai, jo ke ishara hai ke indicator abhi tak prices ko girne ki madad nahi kar raha hai. Bas intezaar karte hain ke ye neeche ki taraf mukharj ho. Shayad yeh isliye ho ke market abhi tak side mein hai. Umeed hai ke 80 level ko pohanchne ke baad usdjpy ki harkat jaldi neeche ja sake.

Toh aaj ke tajziya ka nateeja yeh hai ke USDJPY ke liye abhi tak giravat ka moqa hai jab tak ke supply area at the price of 151.75 guzara nahi gaya hai. Agar yeh guzara gaya, toh mukhalif mein, barhne ka moqa zyada hoga. Isliye, yeh Monday mein main apne doston ko is pair mein trade karne ke liye kehta hoon ke woh sirf ek sell position kholne ki koshish karein. Maqsood ko door tak le jane ki zaroorat nahi hai, bas ise qareebi support at the price of 150.47 par rakh dein. Is dauran, stop loss ko qareebi resistance at the price of 151.93 par rakh sakte hain.

US Dollar/Yen currency pair (USD/JPY) ki technical analysis ke mutabiq movement ka manzar nama. 4 ghante ka time frame.

Aaj ke instrument ke munafa mand trading ke imkaanat ko tay karte hain, teen indicators - Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD ke signals ke mutabiq, jo hamen market mein dakhil hone ke liye sab se zyada mutawaqqa entry point chunne mein madad karenge. Tamaam tajziya ko kamiyabi se poora karne ke baad, ek barabar ahem kaam hai ke transaction ko band karne ke liye sab se zyada munafa deh point ka tay kiya jaaye. Is maqsad ke liye, ham mojooda extreme points par Fibonacci grid banaayenge aur position se nikalne ke liye, qareebi correctional Fibo levels par tawajjo denge.

Chuna gaya time frame (time-frame H4) par linear regression channel ka direction upar ki taraf hai, jo bazaar mein kharid-daron ki mojoodgi aur unka upar rawani ke trend ke izhar ko zor deta hai. Is ke ilawa, jo zyada inclination ka angle, wo abhi ke upar rawani trend ke liye utna hi mazboot hota hai. Saath hi, qareebi mustaqbil ke liye istemal hone wala ghair-linear channel, jo peela-hara rang mein hai, aur instrumental ke quotes mein mazeed izafa ko ishaara karta hai, kyun ke ye uttar ki taraf mansub hai.

Price ne linear regression channel 2-nd LevelResLine ke laal resistance line ko cross kiya lekin 151.766 ke maximum quote value (HIGH) tak pohanchi, jiske baad is ne apni izafa ki rawani ko rok di aur dhire-dhire ghatna shuru ki. Ab instrument ek price level par trading kar raha hai jo 151.360 hai. Tamam yeh dekhte hue ke market price quotes 2-nd LevelResLine (148.502) channel line ke neeche laut kar aur majmooe hony ki tawaqqu ko dakhil kiya jaata hai FIBO level 38.2% par aur mazeed neeche ki taraf rawani linear channel ka golden average line LR par 147.731, jo FIBO level 23.6% ke saath milta hai. Is waqt RSI (14) aur MACD oscillators bay qaidgi se ishaaraat faraham kar rahe hain ke instrument overbought hai kyun ke woh ek zone mein hain jo unhe munafa mand farokht ka aamadah banata hai.

#USD/JPY H4