Gbp usd

GBP/USD pair ne halqi umeedon ke baad bhi mustaqil downtrend ka samna kia hai. Is douran, mukhtalif factors ne is pair ki qayamat ko barhawa diya. Budh ko, jo market mein optimism ka pehla jhalak tha, bhi pair ko mehfooz nahi rakha. Is darust nahi hai ke jab bhi koi choti umeed ati hai, woh pair ko uthne nahi deti, balke uske baad bhi, pair ne apni manfi raftar barqarar rakhi hai.

Yeh downtrend kuch mukhtalif sababon se munasib hai. Ek wazeh sabab hai Brexit uncertainty ka dor. Brexit ke taqaze aur EU ke saath moza'iq agreements ke jhagre, investors ko uncertainty ka samna karne par majboor karte hain. Is uncertainty ne GBP ko kamzor kar diya hai, jo ke USD ke mukable mein kamzor ho gaya hai. Dusra sabab, jo pair ko nicha girane mein kirdar ada karta hai, hai UK ki economic recovery ki darust nahi hone ka khauf. Omicron variant ke aane se sarkar ne restrictions barha diye hain, jo UK ki economic growth par asar daal raha hai. Is ke natije mein, investors economic stability ki kami ko dekhte hue, GBP ko behtar currency ki nisbat kamzor currency samajhte hain.



Iske ilawa, Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ki expectations bhi GBP/USD pair par asar andaz hoti hain. Agar Federal Reserve apni monetary policy ko tight karta hai aur interest rates ko barhata hai, to USD mazid mazboot ho sakta hai, jo ke GBP/USD pair ko aur neeche le ja sakta hai. Thursday ko pair ne 1.2750 tak giravat ki, jo ke pair ke liye naye record ki taraf ishara karta hai. Is downtrend mein, traders aur investors ko behtar risk management ki zarurat hai. Kisi bhi naye tajziyat ya umeed par puri tarah se aetmad na karna hi behtar hai, taake nuksan se bacha ja sake.

GBP/USD

Maine GBP/USD currency pair mein pichle kuch trading sessions mein mazboot farokht ki dabao ko notice kiya hai. Is harkat ke darmiyan ek ahem qeemat girawat ka markazi kirdar ada kiya gaya, jo ke 1.28010 ke darje par aik swing buland hone par apni pahunch tak pahunch gaya. Is lehron mein farokht karne ki fa'iliyat mein saaf izafa dekha gaya, jo aik kafi tez qeemat girawat tak ponch gaya.

Farokht karne ki dabao ka mazboot signal aik ahem satah giravat 1.26711 ke darmiyan ka breakout hai. Yeh giravat farokht karne ki raftar mein aik numaya barhawa darust karti hai. Jab aik satah ko todi jata hai, to is ka matlb hota hai ke farokht karne ki dabao dominant ho rahi hai aur zyada waqt ke liye jari rahegi. Satah ke breakout ke tasdeeq ke sath, mein umeed rakhta hoon ke GBP/USD currency pair mein mazeed girawat dekhne ka jhukao hai. Meri agle fikar hai agle mumkin satah giravat ke aur girne ke ilaqe ke mutaliq.

GBPUSD pair ki qeemat kal ke Bank of England maaliyat ka policy hone ke baad bohot tezi se giri. Jis tarah ke prices pehle FOMC meeting ke baad barh gai thi, woh ab asani se guzri ja sakti hai. Qeemat ne SMA 200 ko as dynamic support aur kai aur statik support ko bhi guzara. Agar mojooda qeemat jo 1.2616 ke upar uthne ki koshish kar rahi hai, yeh asar nahi hoti toh giravat jaari rahegi jab tak yeh 1.2573 ke kam darje se guzar nahi jati. Mazeed, qeemat do Moving Average lines ke nichay hai halan ke maut cross signal abhi tak nazar nahi aaya hai. Support 1.2538 agla nishana hoga agar qeemat giravat jaari rakhti hai, kyunki yeh support abhi tak taza hai aur sab se pehle imtihan liya jayega.

Stochastic indicator ka nazarati manzar yeh dikhata hai ke neeche ke rally ne apni had tak pohanch gayi hai kyun ke parameters ne oversold zone ko kaamyaab taur par paar kar liya hai. Magar abhi tak koi palatne ka signal mombir se nahi aya hai. Maslan, agar ek dominant break pattern hota hai jo tasdeeq se durust hai, toh price movement ko Stochastic indicator ke signal ke mutabiq upar ki taraf durust karne ka imkan hai. Sirf upar ki durusti daur ke liye yeh sirf 200 SMA tak pohanch sakta hai aur aala darjah ka 1.2694 ke qareeb taqreeban aur phir qeemat support 1.2538 ko imtihan karne ke liye girne ka imkan hai.

Trading plans ko farokht ki surat par mabni karne ke liye, mein maut cross signal abhi tak nahi aane ke bawajood SELL lamha ke intezar par tawajjo di ja sakti hai. 200 SMA jo ke minor SBR area 1.2665 ke sath mazboot hai, position ke dakhil hone ka nishana banaya gaya hai. Stochastic indicator parameters ko 50 darjah ke ird gird paar karne ke baad aik position kholi ja sakti hai. Karza sab se qareeb support 1.2616 aur sab se door support 1.2538 tak hota hai, jab ke 1.2694 ke upar 10 - 15 pips ke liye rok tok hoti hai.

Potensial farokht ilaqon ko pehchanne mein, main Fibonacci analysis par tawajjo di hai. Pichli kam qeemat 1.25751 se umeedwar swing buland 1.28010 tak ke darmiyan Fibonacci retracement dekh kar, maine ye ilaqe pehchanne ka aik mumkin daur dekha hai, jahan qeemat ko giravat ke baad aik sudhar mein guzarna mumkin hai.