Australian dollar (AUD) ne apne US counterpart (USD) ke muqable mein guzishta Jumay ko nuksan uthaya, jis ki wajah shaayad Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser ke comments ho sakte hain. Hauser ne Bloomberg se baat karte hue ek single inflation report ki ahmiyat ko kam karte hue zordiya ke policy decisions banane ke liye mukhtalif maeeshay ki data ka gehra jaeza lena zaroori hai. Yeh baat us waqt ki gayi jab May ke consumer price index (CPI) mein izafa ne pehlay se hi AUD ko mazbooti di thi, aur speculation hui thi ke RBA August mein interest rate hike karega. Mujhseene ke dauran, US dollar ne US Treasury bonds ke attractive yields ke bawajood mazbooti dikhayi.
Zyada expectations thi ke Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data, jo Federal Reserve ka pasandeeda gauging tool hai, usi Jumay ko release hone wala tha. Us din AUD 0.6630 ke aas-paas tha. Agar technical scenario dekha jaye, to AUD/USD pair filhal neutral tendencies dikhara hai, aur ek rectangular formation mein consolidate ho raha hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) jo ke 50 pe hai, ye neutrality mazeed reinforce karta hai, jo ke ek clear directional momentum ko suggest nahi karti. Halanki, agar yeh range se upar ya neeche ek faislay ka move karta hai, to mustaqbil ka trend zahir ho sakta hai.
Agar downside dekhi jaye to support 50-day simple moving average (EMA) ke qareeb 0.6618 pe hai. Is level ke niche girawat ke baad yeh pair rectangle ke lower boundary 0.6585 tak test kar sakta hai. Upar ki taraf, resistance rectangle ke upper edge ke qareeb 0.6695 par aa rahi hai, jo psychological level 0.6700 ke paas hai. Ek mazboot resistance barrier 0.6714 par hai, jo January se highest point hai.
Agar buying pressure barkarar rahti hai, to AUD/USD apni 0.6713 wali five-month high ko recapture kar sakta hai, jo ke is ke short-term trading range ka upper limit bhi hai. Is level ko paar karna December 2023 ke high 0.6870 tak test ka darwaza khol sakta hai. Agar yeh point bhi paar ho jata hai, to yeh summer 0.6898 reached dual peak ko challenge kar sakta hai.
Agarchay, agar pair girawat ka shikar hoti hai, to immediate support 0.6643 par mil sakta hai, jo April mein potential floor establish hui thi. Is level se neeche girne par traders ka target akhri support zone 0.6590 ho sakta hai, jo 50-day SMA ke sath coincide karti hai. Aur girawat ke movement ke liye support 0.6558, jo pair ka most recent low hai, paayi ja sakti hai.
Akhir mein, AUD/USD ka qareebi direction is ke mausam e-haal ke neutral stance ko chandani pe depend karta hai. Anay wali inflation data aur RBA ke future policy decisions shaayad pair ke trajectory ko influence karne wali key factors honge.
Zyada expectations thi ke Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data, jo Federal Reserve ka pasandeeda gauging tool hai, usi Jumay ko release hone wala tha. Us din AUD 0.6630 ke aas-paas tha. Agar technical scenario dekha jaye, to AUD/USD pair filhal neutral tendencies dikhara hai, aur ek rectangular formation mein consolidate ho raha hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) jo ke 50 pe hai, ye neutrality mazeed reinforce karta hai, jo ke ek clear directional momentum ko suggest nahi karti. Halanki, agar yeh range se upar ya neeche ek faislay ka move karta hai, to mustaqbil ka trend zahir ho sakta hai.
Agar downside dekhi jaye to support 50-day simple moving average (EMA) ke qareeb 0.6618 pe hai. Is level ke niche girawat ke baad yeh pair rectangle ke lower boundary 0.6585 tak test kar sakta hai. Upar ki taraf, resistance rectangle ke upper edge ke qareeb 0.6695 par aa rahi hai, jo psychological level 0.6700 ke paas hai. Ek mazboot resistance barrier 0.6714 par hai, jo January se highest point hai.
Agar buying pressure barkarar rahti hai, to AUD/USD apni 0.6713 wali five-month high ko recapture kar sakta hai, jo ke is ke short-term trading range ka upper limit bhi hai. Is level ko paar karna December 2023 ke high 0.6870 tak test ka darwaza khol sakta hai. Agar yeh point bhi paar ho jata hai, to yeh summer 0.6898 reached dual peak ko challenge kar sakta hai.
Agarchay, agar pair girawat ka shikar hoti hai, to immediate support 0.6643 par mil sakta hai, jo April mein potential floor establish hui thi. Is level se neeche girne par traders ka target akhri support zone 0.6590 ho sakta hai, jo 50-day SMA ke sath coincide karti hai. Aur girawat ke movement ke liye support 0.6558, jo pair ka most recent low hai, paayi ja sakti hai.
Akhir mein, AUD/USD ka qareebi direction is ke mausam e-haal ke neutral stance ko chandani pe depend karta hai. Anay wali inflation data aur RBA ke future policy decisions shaayad pair ke trajectory ko influence karne wali key factors honge.
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