Eur/usd

EUR/USD currency pair ne 18 hafton ke uchchatam tak tezi dikhayi hai, rozana ki chart analysis ke mutabik yeh ek bullish trend ko signal kar rahi hai. Budhwar ke trading session mein ek 'hammer' formation ka zikr hai, jismein ek upar ki taraf movement ke baad hone wala hai, yeh potential further upside ko darshata hai. Halaanki, is rally ki jaari rakhne ke liye, zaroori resistance levels ko todna zaroori hai. Halat ke mutabik, EUR/USD ab 1.1000 ke aas paas trade ho rahi hai, isse is pair ke aas paas ke market dynamics ka gehra study karna zaroori ho gaya hai.

Fundamental Analysis

Doran-e-waqt, USD Index (DXY), jo kay mukhtalif currency pairs kay muqablay mein Greenback ki performance ko track karta hai, apni halat ko August 31 kay kamzor tareen point se recover karne mein challenges ka samna kar raha hai. Federal Reserve ki interest rates ke hawale se shahnakashion ke mutabiq, rate hikes mein thartharahat ka izhar hai.


EURUSD Daily Chart Analysis


EUR/USD ke technical indicators ko janchne par, yeh pair 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) se upar utha hai, jo 1.0990 par sthit hai, aur iske kareeb ek horizontal resistance level, 1.1040 par hai. Is level ke upar jaane se Euro ko aur momentum mil sakta hai. Viprit roop se, turant samayik takat 1.0851 ke as paas pehchanne gayi hai, jiske baad 1.0800 par madhyantarik samarthan aur 1.0763 par majboot samarthan level hai.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) musbat ilaaqay mein reh kar bhi ek ghataak slope ka tasawwur paish karta hai, jis se samjha jata hai ke nazdeek anay wale salee dabao ka ishara hai. Is ke ilawa, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) mein kam horahi hari bars ko numaya kiya gaya hai, jo ek potential bearish crossover ke ehsaas ko aarai hai. Yeh ishara karta hai ke be-bahaar hone wala bearish momentum hai, jo EUR/USD pair ke mustaqbil ki harkat par asar andaz hota hai.

jabkay is waqt hamara eur / usd currency jora khusoosi tor par ascalling ke shoqeen afraad ke zariye chalaya jata hai, aik wazeh misaal ke tor par mein nichale time framo mein se aik laita hon - m15, jahan asiayi tijarti session ke douran mandi ka signal masool sun-hwa tha, jis ke baad tijarti pozishnon ki ost ke sath 1. 1017 par wapsi ke nateejay mein qeemat mein 48 points ki kami waqay hui insta forex ke spread ke size ko mad e nazar rakhay baghair, dekhte hain agay kya hota hai, iqtisadi calendar mein hamaray paas Amrici jee d pi ka elaan chand minton mein hoga, aur thori der baad 18 : 30 moscow waqt - khaam tail ke zakhair, Europi union ki taraf se hamari terhan kuch bhi paish nahi kya gaya. takneeki tor par, abhi tak kuch bhi nahi badla hai, hum batadreej Amrici tijarti session ke fa-aal marhalay ke qareeb pahonch rahay hain, aik shumal ki naqal o harkat hai, lekin kisi bhi soorat mein, hum yahan wazeh tor par dekh satke hain ke hamaray paas bhi aik islaah hai, mein ab intra day pivots ko nahi choota wazeh wajohaat, mein ne subah un ka tafseel se tajzia kya, neechay dollar index ne abhi tak hadaf ko band nahi kya hai, is liye hamari jori bhi mukhalif simt mein kaam kere gi, fibonic grid aan ke mutabiq - h4 ne bhi sab kuch khech liya. haqeeqat yeh hai ke woh 10 win number par chhalang laganay ke qabil thay aik kaafi acha lamha hai, yeh un recho ke liye zindagi ko paicheeda banata hai jo neechay ki kami mein gir gaye thay, yeh aik khaas had tak yeh ta-assur chhorta hai ke kisi bhi soorat mein stop ke baghair istemaal karna zaroori hai.

Maiyarvi, esteemed colleagues! Aaj main tajaweez aur takneekhi pehluon ke hamil EUR/USD ke keemat harkat ki tafseelati jayeza karne ka shoq rakhta hoon. Is waqt, EUR/USD 1.3650 par hai. Hamari tahlil ki bunyad yeh hai keh US dollar mojooda dor mein 1.3710 ke upar hai. Yeh eham point hai jo keemati harkat ki peshgoi mein eham hai. Agar US dollar aur taqatwar hota hai, to USD/CAD ki kamzori barh jaati hai. Iska matlub hai keh bear mojooda trend mein agay hain, jo keh USD/CAD ko jald hi 1.3600 ke daire ke neeche girane ki sthiti mein daal sakte hain. Mukhtalif takneekhi dalail is bearish jazbat ko sabit karti hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) filhaal 30-50 ke bearish ilaaqe mein dolatay hue hai, jo girne wale momentum ki ibteda ki taraf isharaat karta hai. Isi doran, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) apne laal trigger midline ke upar hai, jo wazeh tor par southern zone ki taraf isharaat karta hai.

Takneeki kahani mein izafay ke liye, 100 aur 200 EMA indicators tashreefi alamat-e-islaah dikhate hain, jo keemat mein hone wale ek taqatwar rawani ki taraf isharaat karte hain. Main ek mumkin milawat darust hone ke dore ke liye pesh karta hoon, jise keemati rawani ke dobara harkat hone se pehle karne ka ishara hai. Ye takneekhi cues ko jama karne mein, zahir hai keh chhalees qisam ki nazar hai keh bears USD/CAD jor pakar rahe hain. Is tarah, bazoo taur par 3618 ke daire ke todne ke liye mehfooz rehna chahiye, jo keh barhate hue USD/CAD kamzori ka aghaz kar sakti hai. Takneeki aur bunyadi uroojon ko qareeb se nigaah mein rakhna ahem hai, taa ke dynamic currency market mein achi fehmi se trading faislay liye ja sake.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis & Forecast:

EUR/USD ki tezi ne 1.1018 ke darje tak pohanchne ke baad apni upri raftar ko rok liya. Isne pichle kuch dino mein, US dollar ki kamzori ke baais se khaas pips ikhatta kiye. 3rd November ko, EMA-50 ko lambi ek bullish candle ne tora, iske baad ke dino mein price ne Exponential Moving Averages 50 aur 34 dono ko test kiya, phir tezi se badh gayi.

Haftawar Chart Tanazur: Haftawar ke doran, EUR/USD ne kafi arse tak barhne wale channel ke neeche ki had mein moatbari ki thi. Is se pehle, price ne barhne wale trend ke darmiyan ki taraf trading ki thi, lekin yeh jhatpat se channel ke upper boundary par 1.1264 par dastak de gayi, phir badi taqat ke sath neeche ki had tak foran palat gayi 1.0454 par. Badi miqdaar mein farokht ki taqat ne market par ghalib aayi. Channel ke neeche ke hisse mein, kai indicators jo ke price ke liye bearish the, unhe tor diya gaya tha. Lagta hai ke EUR/USD jald hi signal line tak pohanch kar channel ke upper hisse mein trade karay ga. Relative Strength Index ne pehle hi 60.00 ke ek qeemat tak pohanch li hai, aur main chart par price signal line ke just neeche trade kar rahi hai. Hum aik price girawat dekhein ge, phir aik "W" pattern banay gi. Is manzarnay se, mujhe "W" pattern complete honey ka intezar hai, phir signal line tak pohanch kar, sab rukawaton ko tor kar, aagey barhne ki tawaqo hai.



Trading Recommendation Aik ghante ka chart, aik mustafe entry point pehchanne ke liye behtareen hai. Is chart mein shamil tamam indicators, jese ke Relative Strength Index, neutral hain. 1.1017 par buland hone ke baawajood, price ne EMA-50 ke neeche gir kar ya to higher highs ya lower lows sthapit nahi kiye, jisse ke yeh batata hai ke market range-bound hai. Ek sell ya buy position shuru karne ke liye, price ko is hadd se bahar jana zaruri hai.

Maine price ki taqat ko trend lines aur Fibonacci indicator ke istemal se mehsoos kiya hai. Price ne is level par 61.8% Fibonacci value ka faida uthaya hai, jo is darja ki mazboot bullish taqat ko darust karti hai. Iske mutabiq, agar price EMA-50 ke upar ek hourly candle ke jism ke sath bahar nikalti hai, to yeh upri mumkinat ko ishara kare ga ke ek trade shuru kiya jaye. Haan agar EUR/USD 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ke neeche chala jata hai, to hum apne khareedari stance se bahar nikal jayenge aur ek short sale ke liye mauqa talash karenge.

*EUR/USD Technical Outlook*

Assalam-o-Alaikum aur subha bakhair sabko! Main khushi se kehna chahunga ke maine EUR/USD pair mein kuch paisa kamane mein kamyabi haasil ki hai, jo ke meri pasandidgiyon mein se ek hai. Main ne is par haal he mein trade nahi ki thi, lekin main is par nazdeek se nazar rakh raha hoon. Abhi, EUR/USD pair 1.0960 ke aas paas ghoom raha hai, aur lagta hai ke yeh is level ke oopar qaim hai. Stochastic indicator se kuch musbat signals aa rahe hain, jo ke ishara karte hain ke price apni upri raftar ko dobara shuru kar sakti hai. Is movement ka maqsad 1.1080 hai. Lekin, yeh khatra hai ke price 1.0960 ke neeche gir sakta hai, jo ke bullish manzarnama ko batil kar dega aur price ko neeche bhej dega.

Kal, humne dekha ke khareedari mein kamzori aa rahi thi, aur price ne naye urooj tak pahunchne ke baad palat gaya. Phir woh support level 1.09652 par laut gaya, jahan se ek bearish candle banaya. Main abhi koi wazeh trading opportunities nahi dekh raha hoon, lekin main aam taur par umeed karta hoon ke price upar jaayega. Lekin, main yeh bhi jaan gaya hoon ke price gehri correction mein bhi ja sakta hai.

Aaj, main 1.09652 ke support level ko dekhte rahunga. Yahan do mumkin scenarios hain ke kya ho sakta hai.
1. Price ek bullish candle banata hai aur apni upri raftar ko dobara shuru karta hai. Agar yeh hota hai, to main umeed karta hoon ke price 1.10649 ke resistance level ki taraf jaayega. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup dhundhunga jo mujhe price ke agle rukh ka taayun karne mein madad kar sake.
2. Price 1.09652 ke support level ke neeche consolidate hota hai aur phir neeche jaata hai. Agar yeh hota hai, to main umeed karta hoon ke price 1.08522 ke support level ki taraf jaayega. Is support level ke qareeb, main urooj ki movement ki dobara shuru hone ki isharaat dhundhunga.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis:

4-hour chart:

EUR/USD mein neeche ki taraf trend hai, jo ke h4 time frame par 1.0810 ke strong support level ko cross kar raha hai. Stock market ke price mein 50-day simple moving average aur support level dono par badi izafahui hui hai, lekin ab price inke neeche trade kar raha hai. Agar support level toota nahi, toh price badh sakti hai. Jab price 50-day simple moving average ke upar jaayegi, toh price 1.0990 ke resistance area se move karegi.

Chart dikhata hai ke RSI indicator 30 ke level ke upar badh raha hai, jo ke ek mumkin price badhne ki nishani hai. Support level par ek zyada volume trading ho rahi hai, jise ek market price ke izafay ki taraf ishara hai. Chart ke mutabiq, market price ko dheere dheere badhne ki umeed hai aur jald hi resistance levels tak pahunchegi.

H1 time frame par EUR/USD ke liye ek working market price hai. Price ko upar rakhne ke liye sardi ki bajaye garam rahiye. Trend line ke mutabiq, price neeche ki taraf ja raha hai. 50-day simple moving average ko tootne ke baad, price ne ab support level ko todkar average ke upar close kiya hai. Agar price 200-day SMA ke upar badhti hai aur downtrend line ko todti hai, toh price 200-day SMA tak pahunchne par 1.0985 ke short-term resistance level ki taraf ja sakti hai. Abhi, chart par RSI indicator 30 ke level ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo indicator ke readings ke mutabiq jald hi team ko upar jaane ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Euro/Dollar pair ne Jumma ko, local support level (1.08522 par) ke baad, price ne top se bottom tak girne ke baad, ek uncertain candle banayi, aur ek lambi fayeda-daar candle bhi dikhayi di. Aane wale haftay mein uttar ki taraf movement ho sakti hai, lekin mujhe tab tak aur bhi clear uttar ki nishani dekhni hai, is liye main support level ko nazar mein rakhta rahunga. Is level ke aas-paas do mukhtalif haalaat ho sakte hain.

Pehle maamlay mein, main candles ki formation aur unki barhne se juda hua hoon. Agar yeh plan tay hota hai, toh main price ko 1.10171 ke resistance level tak pohanchaonga. Agar price is resistance level se oopar hoti hai, toh mujhe ummeed hai ke agla resistance level 1.11497 hoga, aur main is resistance level ke qareeb aur bhi resistance levels dekhoonga, jo further transactions ki raah ko decide karne mein madad karenge. Haan, hum price ko 1.12757 tak bhi pohancha sakte hain, lekin yahan par aapko situation ko dekhna hoga, har cheez price par depend karti hai, jo door ki taraf uttar ki manzil ko specify karti hai.

1.08522 ke support level ke neeche, price ko transfer karne ka doosra tareeqa bhi hai. Agar yeh plan hota hai, toh price ko support level par le jaaya jayega, jo ke 1.07563 hai. Main mazeed price changes ke liye support level ko support karne wali bullish nishani dhoondhta rahunga.

Mujhe mukhtasar mein kehna chahata hoon ke main aane wale haftay mein support level ko continue observe karta rahunga, aur phir mojooda global uttar ki trend ko bhi mad-e-nazar rakhoonga. Main ek aisi nishani talash karunga jo main dekh sakta hoon.

Jumeraat ko, EUR/USD pair ne 1.08522 ke qareeb local support level ko test kiya top se bottom tak. Price ne bounce kiya aur ek candle of uncertainty banaya with thora sa bearish advantage. Mumkin hai ke agle hafte northward movement dobara shuru ho jaaye, lekin mujhe clear bullish signal dekhna pasand hai. Is liye, main mentioned support level ko continue karunga monitor karna, jahan do scenarios ho sakte hain.

Pehla scenario hai reversal candle ya reversal candlestick pattern ke formation aur growth ka dobara shuru hona. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, toh main expect karunga ke price resistance level tak jaayega jo 1.10171 hai. Agar price is resistance level ke upar consolidate karta hai, toh main further growth expect karunga, upar tak jo resistance level hai wo 1.11497 hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main trading setup ka formation expect karunga jo further trading direction determine karne mein madad karega.

Bila shuba, possible hai ke price further northwards jaake resistance level jo 1.12757 hai, tak break kar jaaye, lekin is case mein hume situation assess karna hoga aur sab kuch price ke reaction par depend karega mentioned higher north targets ke saath.

Ek alternative scenario price movement ke liye jab resistance level 1.08522 ke qareeb approach karta hai, woh plan ho sakta hai ke price is level ke neeche consolidate ho aur corrective southward movement continue kare. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price support level tak jaayega jo 1.07563 hai. Is support level ke qareeb, main bullish signals ki search karta rahunga, expecting ke upward movement dobara shuru ho.

Aam tor par, summarize karke, agle hafte main nearest local support level ko monitor karna jari rakhoonga, aur uske baad, existing global northward trend ko consider karte hue, main bullish signals ki talash karoonga.

EURUSD TECHNICALLY ANALYSIS:


h1 time frame view

EUR/USD pair ne apne 15 hafton ke unchi se, jo ke 1.1000 ke upar thi, peeche hat gayi aur kareeb 1.0980 par gir gayi, market mein profit booking shuru ho gayi. Pair ki haali surge ke liye traders cautious thay, khaas kar jab pair ne bahut tezi se aage badh gaya tha. Pair ki tezi ne kisi ke bhi asani se 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ko paar diya tha aur 1.0800 ke qareeb pahunch gaya tha.

. Euro ke liye jaari rehne wala is mazboot trend mein kuch khaas wajahen shamil hain, ke US dollar ki kamzori aur ummeed hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) asaan monetary policy stance ko maintain karegi. In that case, kuch isharaat hain ke ye tezi thamne wali hai. Iska matlab hai ke underlyng selling pressure abhi bhi hai, 50-day moving average price ke neeche hai aur bearish territory mein hai. Iske alawa, overbought levels of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) ki taraf badh raha hai, iska matlab hai ke pair ko correction ki taraf le jane ki khatra hai.

When investors hear about the ECB's planned tightening of policy, stocks and bond yields rise. Lagarde ne bas ye batane ki koshish ki thi ke ECB kisi bhi exit strategy ko consider karne ke liye tayyar hai, aur actual stimulus reduction abhi bhi mahino door hai. The EUR/USD pair is approaching a significant resistance level of 1.0950, which corresponds to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the July downwave.

1.0950 resistance level ke paar jane se pair par upward pressure badh sakta hai, jo August ke wave ka top hai, jiske baad agla potential target 1.1065 level ho sakta hai. Lekin traders ki taraf le jane ki khatra se parwaah karni chahiye, khaas kar RSI reading aur bhi badhti hai aur overbought levels ki taraf badh jaati hai. If the 1.0950 support level is breached, a pullback will occur, with the 200-day SMA at 1.0800 acting as a barrier.



h4 time frame view


Mojooda currency pair EUR/USD ki qeemat ke rawaiye par hamari guftagu mein hum tajaweez karain ge. khaas kar United States mein darusti mein izafah, ek kami ko darust kar raha hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ki maali siyaset mein narami ki taraf ishara karti hai. If a dollar has a qeemat girne ka imkaan, then saaf izhaarat does not.

Is natijay mein, ek musalsal upper movement par, maqsoodat ko paar karte huye aur 10th figure ke oopar ja kar, bullish pressure ka domination qaim hai. Wajah se ke state GDP statistics jaari honge aane wale trade din ahem hai. 1.1050 ke upar chadhna mumkin hai, but in qeemat levels, bechne ki signals ke liye muhtat rehta hoon.

In levels, however, koi bechne ki signals mojood nahi hain. Euro tawakul hai ke ye H1 resistance par 1.0980 tak laotarta hai, jisme ye level nahi hota toh aik u-turn mumkin hai. Haan lekin, pair ne H1 resistance ko todiya aur 1.1015 tak pahuncha, ek mansoob u-turn kiya gaya. Currency pair ab H1 support ki taraf girne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke ab thoda buland hai, 1.0980 ke din ke balance ko torne par mabni hai.

EUR/USD pair nay apni neechay ki taraf rawani ko barha diya hai or akhiri sessions mein 1.0880 level ko test kia, session ke doran ek percent se zyada gir gaya. Yeh girawat nay pair ko 200-hour simple moving average (SMA) ke neeche le gaya hai, jo near-term momentum mein tabdil hone ki alamat hai. Iske ilawa, 50-hour SMA ne bhi neeche mud gaya hai, jo bearish jazbat ko aur tasdeeq karta hai. Rozana ke hisab se, EUR/USD nay 1.0800 handle ke ooper 200-day moving average tak hata gaya, haftay ke darmiyan aik ahem 1.1000 level ki taqat war manfi jawabiyaat ke baad. Haalanki, haali mein hui wapas ki bawajood, momentum indicators mazbooti se bullish hain. Stochastic upar ja raha hai, or MACD abhi zero threshold ke ooper cross hua hai. Dono indicators apni moving averages ke saath ek musbat rukh mein hain, haan lekin Stochastic abhi overbought zone mein hai.

Agar pair agay badhta raha, toh July-October downtrend ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level 1.0643 par potential rukawat pesh kar sakta hai, pehle EUR/USD October ke unchaayi par lauta hai jis ki qeemat 1.0693 hai. Is peak ko tordne ke baad or 1.0700 ke ooper chadhne ke baad, rasta tay ho jayega 38.2% Fibonacci level tak jo 1.0763 par hai. Eurozone mein mahine November mein taqatwar tareen 3.6% core CPI inflation rate aya, jo ke 3.9% ke mutabiq kam tha lekin pehle haftay ke 4.2% se zyada tha. Lekin agar ye rally thak jati hai, to 100-period moving average jo ke uptrend line ke sath mil gaya hai, foran support farahem kar sakta hai jo 1.0575 area ke aas paas hai. Neche, qaim support 1.0520 dobara nuksan roknay mein madad kar sakta hai. Warna, early October ke 10-month low 1.0447 ko dobara test karne ke imkan hai.

Agar pasandeeda breakout oopar ki taraf na hua ho, toh mayoos hone ka waqt nahi hai. Kyunki traditional do options gayab nahi hue hain - agar oopar nahi, toh neeche. "Hamare logon ne dakshin liya," jaise ke ek Bulgakov ki kahani ke hero ne kaha. Mujhe lagta hai ke abhi tak unho ne use nahi kiya hai. Movement abhi bhi mumkin hai. Kyun? Kyunki main poori dil se likhne ki hukumat mein yakeen rakhta hoon "tasawwur aur mithal mein". Isse fractal tajurba banakar na, main "tasawwur aur mithal mein" ka qanun nahi chhodunga. Ye mithal kahan hai? Iska toh wujood hona lazmi hai. Kyunki ek oak patte ki qisam oak ke khud ki tarah hoti hai. Aur ek maple patte - bilkul aik bara forest maple ka tasawwur deti hai. Chand chand schematic spermatozoa ko jor kar bhi, aap aik puray insan ka tasawwur bana sakte hain. Toh phir humein is matrix ko kahan dhundna chahiye? - jo kam az kam, level toh nahi, magar aane wale movement ka tasawwur toh zaroor dega. Sawal? Sawal. Aur kya sawal hai. Waise toh gain unhealthy trend - Kabbalah ke bhi maahir, uska jawab nahi nikal sake hain. Shayad humein us jagah ki taraf dekhna chahiye jahan koi kabhi nahi dekha hai. Yani - chart ki "compression" ki jagah mein, jiski wajah se volatility kam ho gayi hai. Jo log maahir hain woh samajh jayenge. Ya shayad wahan nahi? Maqsad kahin 161.8% ke qareeb hai Fibonacci ke mutabiq.






EUR/USD pair ne Jumeraat ko upar jaane ke baad, maine thoda Euro khareeda hai aur intezar kar raha hoon ke woh minimum target 1.0920 tak pohunchay. Agar pair yeh level tak pohunchta hai, toh wahan se bechna consider karonga, kyun ke meray targets 1.0799 - 1.0820 tak abhi tak pooray nahi hue hain. Main asal mein is pair mein aage ki taraf umeed rakhta hoon! Lekin agar pair upar nahi jaata aur dobara neechay jaana shuru karta hai, toh main 1.0820 level par buy positions open karne ka soch raha hoon, with a tentative target of 1.0900. Naye saal ke taqreeban hone ke maqam par, mujhe umeed hai ke EUR/USD pair mein New Year rally hogi!

Fundamental Outlook:

Monday ko hone wale kuch ahem events mein se aik hai European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde ki guftagu. Hum yad dilana chahte hain ke Lagarde ne pichle do hafto mein lagbagh paanch martaba ya shayad ziada bhi baat ki hai. Lekin, unhon ne market ko koi significant information nahi di hai. ECB pehle bhi key interest rate ko barhane ke liye tayyar nahi tha, aur pichle haftay mein pata chala ke eurozone ki inflation rate 2.4% tak gir gayi hai. Isi wajah se ECB aur unke officials ke liye interest rate ko discuss karna faisla karne ke liye koi maqsad nahi hai, jo ke euro ko support kar sakta tha. Is liye, behtareen surat mein, Lagarde monetary policy ke topic par zyada jayegi nahi. Aur agar kharab surat mein, toh unka tone naram ho sakta hai, jo euro aur pound par pressure daal sakta hai.

ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos bhi aaj baat karain ge, aur unka rhetoric bhi dovish ho sakta hai. Is liye, humein unke remarks se euro ki umeed bhi nahi rakhni chahiye.
Technical Outlook:

EUR/USD pair ne 61% Fibonacci retracement ke fake breakout ke baad neeche jaane ki taraf rukh kiya hai aur ab 1.0825 par key short-term technical support ko test kar raha hai. Agar yeh level tor diya gaya, toh agla technical support 1.0756 par hai. Momentum H4 time frame chart par kamzor aur negative hai kyun ke abhi bears price par control mein hain. Sirf agar level 1.0966 ke oper sustained breakout ho toh outlook bullish ho sakta hai.
Weekly Pivot Points:

WR3 - 1.1179

WR2 - 1.1098

WR1 - 1.0991

Weekly Pivot - 1.0910

WS1 - 1.0803

WS2 - 1.0722

WS3 - 1.0615

EUR/USD market ne haal ki weekly downtrend ke 61% Fibonacci retracement, jo 1.0963 par hai, ko breakout kiya hai, aur agar is level par weekly close ho toh yeh initial signal ho sakta hai long-term trend reversal ke liye Euro ki favor mein.

Subah bakhair, aap ka din Tuesday ko acha guzre. Aaj hum baat kar rahe hain EUR/USD ki is time frame ke chart ke bare mein. EUR/USD ki price abhi lagbhag 1.0838 hai. EUR/USD ki technical situation yeh batati hai ke EUR/USD mein bullish trend hai. Isi wajah se EUR/USD is time frame par bearish nazar aa raha hai. Dusri taraf, is time frame mein relative strength index 50 ke nichay hai, jo ke is trend ko bilkul negative darshata hai. Agar hum yahan moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator ki taraf dekhein, toh slow line zero line ya midline ke neeche hai. Moving averages bhi bearish momentum dikhate hain kyunki price 20 aur 50 EMA moving average lines ke neeche hai.

EUR/USD market ki abhi ki resistance level 1.1287 hai. Agar yeh 1.1287 ke initial resistance level ko todta hai, toh upar 1.2538 ke bohot mazboot resistance level hai. Uske baad, market price ke liye agla resistance level 1.3985 hoga jo ke teesra resistance level hai. Dusri taraf, EUR/USD market ki abhi ki support level 1.0476 hai. Agar yeh 1.0476 ke initial support level ko todta hai, toh neeche 0.9576 ke bohot mazboot support level hai. Uske baad, market price ke liye agla support level 0.9000 hoga.

Chart mein istemal kiye gaye indicators:
MACD indicator:
RSI indicator period 14:
50-day exponential moving average color Orange:
20-day exponential moving average color Magenta:


Monday ke early trading hours mein, euro mein thora sa negative trend nazar aaya lekin mazboot support ke saath raha. Yeh manzar ishara deta hai ke Monday ki candlestick mein koi khaas implications nahi hongi, jo market mein ongoing noise ko reflect karta hai. Jab tak market resolution ka intezar kar raha hai, maujooda landscape trading strategies ko badalne ke liye compelling cues nahi deta.

1.08 level ek noteworthy support zone ke roop mein ubharta hai, jismein 1.0850 level tak extend ho sakta hai. Yeh darshata hai ke har market dip ko energetic buyers se milti hai jo eager hain participate karne ke liye. Isi se kaafi logical lagta hai "buy on the dips" strategy adopt karna, kam az kam saal ke end tak. Traders abhi yeh factor consider kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve as early as March mein rate cuts start kar sakta hai, jo US dollar ki kamzori ka ek factor hai.

Lekin zaroori hai ke samjha jaye ke European Union apne khud ke challenges se guzar rahi hai. Friday ki massive hammer-shaped candlestick ke upar ka breakthrough bullish trend ko signal karega. Aisa hone par rasta khul sakta hai psychologically significant 1.10 level ki taraf badhne ka. Haan, ek noticeable sell-off pehle ki koshish ke baad hua hai is level ko breach karne ki, lekin market ki resilience subsequent attempts mein uncertain hai.

Ek pivotal shift ho sakta hai agar market 1.08 level ke neeche jaata hai, jo ek aur leg lower trigger kar sakta hai, prevailing long-term downtrend ke saath jo haal hi mein tha. Is situation ka sab se important hissa United States ke interest rates ki monitoring mein hai. Bond market ke movements ko nigaah mein rakhte hue aur yeh samajhne mein ke rates ascend kar rahe hain ya descend, euro-dollar relationship ke evolving dynamics mein navigate karna crucial hoga. Jab tak market uncertainties ko handle kar rahi hai, traders ko emerging trends ke liye adaptable rehna chahiye aur currency valuations ko influence karne wale fundamental factors ko diligence se assess karna chahiye.

EUR-USD PAIR REVIEW

Haal hi mein, maine dekha hai ki EURUSD major brace mein, aur bhi tezzi se deal karne ka mauka hai. Haan, sach mein, jo abhi maujood hai, lagta hai ki yeh abhi tak kaafi khatarnaak hai, khaaskar USD ki sthiti mein. Aage aur mazbooti ke koi bhi signs abhi tak nahi hain. Mera mukhya dhyaan EURUSD major brace par phir se bechna hai, lekin nishchit lakshya bahut bada nahi hona chahiye; yaane ki lagbhag 1,080 kshetra ke aas-pass, jo agar yeh kshetra pravesh kar sake, toh yeh avashyaak roop se dilchasp hoga. M30 samay frame ko dekhkar, abhi price neeche ki aur badh raha hai, 1.0805 samarthan kshetra ya maang kshetra ko parakhne ki koshish kar raha hai. Lagta hai ki chal rahe bearish trend ko abhi bhi maanyata di gayi hai aur ismein koi vishesh uchch pattren ki kami hai. Jaise ki, agar price sahi hai aur samarthan ya maang kshetra se guzar sakta hai, toh humein ek naya, neeche ka samarthan kshetra dekhne ko milega, jise price ke dwara punarsthapit hone ke baad fir se parakh liya jayega. Abhi ke liye, aapko dhyan dena chahiye 1.0830 ke paas ke SBR kshetra aur 1.0875–1.0866 ke beech supply kshetra par. 1.0830 ke SBR kshetra ko vending positions ke liye pehla pravesh bindu ke roop mein istemal kiya ja sakta hai, aur 1.0875–1.0866 ke beech supply kshetra ko dusra pravesh bindu ke roop mein istemal kiya ja sakta hai agar price SBR kshetra se guzar sakta hai. Iske alawa, aaj raat mein ISM Services PMI aur JOLTS Job Openings ke data ko dekhkar savdhaan rehna chahiye kyun ki yeh New York session mein EUR/USD brace ke drivers honge. Haalanki, EUR/USD brace mein price movements mein badlav dekhne ko sambhav hai, ek uchch pattren ki ore, agar data release US dollar ke outlook ko support nahi karta. Yeh bhi ek trend ki disha mein parivartan ki asli suchna hogi M30 samay frame par, jo ki abhi tak bearish hai.

Sub ko acha din ho! Linear regression channel ke nichle slope se dikh raha hai ke bechne walon ki taqat 1.07913 ke level tak pohanchne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Target level par movement mein rukawat hogi. Chuni hui volatility ki wajah se, ek rebound mumkin hai, aur us pullback ke doran dubara se trade karna zaroori hoga. Nichle hisse mein bechna nahi chahiye; behtar hai ke 1.08533 ki correction ka intezaar kiya jaye. Uske baad, bechnay ki positions ko sochna faydakar ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.08533 ke upar consolidate ho jata hai, toh bullish sentiment aa sakti hai, jo market ko upar le ja sakti hai. Is liye, bechnay ki positions mein sabr karna munasib hai. Channel ka slope dikhata hai ke bearish trend neeche jaana chahta hai; jis had tak slope tez hoga, woh bechne walon ki zyada taqat ko dikhata hai. Aam taur par, significant angle wala channel market ki movement ko influence karne waali khabron ka sign hota hai.

Hourly chart par linear regression channel primary channel hai, jismein movement ko determine karne ke liye istemal hota hai. 15-minute channel secondary hai, jo abhi bearish picture ko complement kar raha hai. Kyunki dono channels ek hi direction mein ja rahe hain, toh iss instrument ke liye bearish sentiment hai. Agar shorter timeframe mein signal break hota hai, toh 1.08478 ke level tak izafa anay ka intezar karna chahiye. Phir wahan se, 1.07793 ke level ki taraf dubara se bechnay ki positions consider ki ja sakti hain. Mein khud dono, bechnay aur khareednay mein, channel ke nichle hisse mein unka faisla mushkil samajh raha hoon, jahan par abhi khareednay ka risk mehsoos ho raha hai. Mera trading principle H1 channel ke movement ki direction mein trade karna hai kyun ke yeh mera primary channel hai. Shorter channel entries ko refine karne aur jab movements strong hon toh unke doran kam correction ke dauran kaam aata hai.