Aud/usd

AUD/USD Price Outlines

Hum abhi AUD/USD currency pair ke mojooda pricing behavior ka tajziya karne par behas kar rahe hain. British pound ki tarah, Australian dollar bhi aise rukh mein chal raha hai jo uske fundamentals se mutabiqat nahi rakhta. Jab Australian dollar 0.67220 par trade ho raha tha, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) apni monetary policy ko sakht karne ka soch rahi thi kiyunki mehngai ki satah kafi buland thi. Lekin, abhi haali mein Australia se aane wale inflation data mein kami dekhi gayi hai, jis se lagta hai ke RBA mazeed sakhti naheen karegi. Reserve Bank of New Zealand ke recent interest rate cuts ke baad, RBA bhi rates ko kam karegi, kyun ke ye dono central banks aam tor par apni monetary policies ko nazdeek rakhte hain. Is ke bawajood, Australian dollar mein izafa dekha ja raha hai, jo kuch herat angayz hai. Mujhe ummeed hai ke yeh wapas apne lower trading range ki taraf lautega, aur support ke aas paas 0.66672 tak target karega. Main apni position ko tab tak barqarar rakhne ka plan kar raha hoon jab tak yeh 61.8% Fibonacci level 0.67884 tak na pohanch jaye.



Hum yeh tawakku karte hain ke AUD/USD pair 0.6809 ki taraf move karegi, jahan ascending equidistant channel ki upper boundary mojood hai. Is price level ke saath contact se girawat ho sakti hai. Pure hafta mein, ek sell order flat movement ya downside correction ki taraf le jaa sakta hai, jo ke uptrend se downtrend ki taraf shift hone ki nishani ho sakti hai. Main yeh tawakku karta hoon ke yeh pair 0.6809 tak barh jaye gi baghair kisi recent low ya support level 0.6606 ko break kiye. Upward momentum se yeh lagta hai ke 0.6809 tak pohanchne se downside ki taraf koi badi correction nahi hogi. Pair ke chart ka Distances indicator ke zariye tajziya karte hue, aisa lagta hai ke buying positions par tawajjo dena mozoon hoga. Channel ek upward trend dikhata hai, jo bulls ki strength ko bears par highlight karta hai. Zigzag line bhi upar ki taraf ishara karti hai, jo ke long positions par focus karne ki strategy ko reinforce karti hai. Is ke ilawa, MACD aur VRP oscillators, jo main signals ko filter karne ke liye use karta hoon, wo bhi buyers ke haq mein zone mein hain.

AudUsd Market Pair on the Daily Market Timeframe

AudUsd market pair ne kal, yani Monday ko, buyer ke zariye kamyabi se apna bullish trend jaari rakha. Yeh is liye hua kyunke buyer ne 0.6670-0.6673 ke price par support area ko bearish seller ke pressure se bachakar control mein rakha, jis se buyer ko zyada buying ya buying pressure banane mein madad mili.



Daily timeframe par Bollinger bands indicator ke zariye monitor karte hue, yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke price abhi bhi buyers ke control mein hai, jo ke Upper Bollinger bands area 0.6710-0.6712 ke price par tor kar bullish movement jaari rakhenge. Yeh ek solid bullish candlestick ke formation se zahir hota hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke AudUsd market pair aaj bhi buyers ke dominate karne ke imkaan mein hai. Yeh naya buying pressure zaroor paida karenge jo ke price ko aglay target tak le ja sake, jo ke seller ke supply resistance area 0.6820-0.6825 par hai.

Aaj dopahar Tuesday ke trading session mein bhi, AudUsd market pair buyers ke control mein hai, jo aur zyada taqat ke sath enter ho kar price ko bullish movement mein ooper le ja rahe hain, aur seller ke resistance area 0.6744-0.6746 ko test karenge. Agar yeh area tod diya gaya, to price mazeed barh kar aglay target, yani seller ke supply resistance area 0.6820-0.6825 tak ja sakti hai. Lekin agar buyer fail ho jate hain, to seller ke paas mauka hai ke woh bearish resistance banaye, jiska qareebi target buyer support area 0.6682-0.6680 par hoga.




Nateeja:

- Sell entry tab ki ja sakti hai agar seller qareebi buyer support area 0.6682-0.6680 ko torne mein kamyab ho jaye, jiss ke saath TP target area 0.6635-0.6633 par set ho.
- Buy entry tab ki ja sakti hai agar buyer qareebi seller resistance area 0.6755-0.6758 ko torne mein kamyab ho jaye, jiss ke saath TP target area 0.6780-0.6785 par set ho.

AUD/USD mazbooti se rebound karta hai 0.6350 ke aath-maheene ke lowest level se jabke US Dollar tezi se girta hai. Dismal market sentiment Australian Dollar ko edge par rakhta hai. Sarmayakaar US ISM Services PMI ke liye intizar kar rahe hain jo July ke liye hai aur RBA monetary policy ka bhi intezar hai.
AUD/USD pair mazbooti se bounce back karta hai jabke naya aath-maheene ka low 0.6350 ke qareeb Monday ki European session mein post karta hai. Aussie asset recover karta hai jabke US Dollar (USD) naya char-maheene ka low touch karta hai lekin phir bhi negative rehta hai kamzor Australian Dollar (AUD) ki wajah se.

Middle East tensions aur United States (US) economic slowdown ke risks ne global markets mein risk-aversion ko barhawa diya hai. Is ne risk-sensitive assets ki appeal ko kam kar diya hai. US slowdown ka dar cooling labor market conditions aur manufacturing sector mein activities ki tezi se contraction ki wajah se paida hua hai.

Aussie severe pressure mein hai dismal market sentiment ki wajah se. S&P 500 futures ne European trading hours mein sharp decline face kiya hai, jo ke investors ke risk appetite mein tezi se girawat dikhata hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki value ko six major currencies ke against track karta hai, tezi se girta hai aur 102.60 ke qareeb aata hai.

Is dauran, Australian Dollar ka agla trigger Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka interest-rate decision hoga, jo Tuesday ko announce hoga. RBA se expect kiya ja raha hai ke apna key Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par barqarar rakhega. Isliye, sarmayakaar zyada focus interest rate guidance par karenge.

Monday ki session mein, sarmayakaar US ISM Services PMI ke liye focus karenge jo July ke liye hai aur 14:00 GMT par publish hoga. PMI report se expect kiya ja raha hai ke services sector mein activities 51.0 tak expand hongi jabke contraction 48.8 tha. Sarmayakaar doosre Services PMI indexes par bhi focus karenge, jaise ke Prices Paid aur New Orders, jo input prices aur forward demand mein changes ko indicate karte hain

AUD/USD CURRENCY PAIR

Currency pair AUDUSD ka daily chart period par tajziya kiya ja raha hai. Iss hafta price mein izafa jaari hai, lekin yeh abhi bhi aam downward trend ke dauraan aik correction hi hai. Jab price ne 0.6632 ke main horizontal resistance level ko tor kar upar ki taraf move kiya, toh yeh wazeh tor par baraani haftawaar waves ke tops par banaye gaye main descending line ko test karne ke liye rush kar rahi hai. Wahan par aam horizontal resistance level 0.6782 bhi hai. Wahan tak sirf takreeban 50 points ka fasla reh gaya hai. Lekin main yahaan khareedari nahi karunga kyunke price apne ikhtitami muqam par hai aur mumkin hai ke specified resistance tak na pohanch paye aur pehle hi girawat shuru ho jaye. CCI indicator ne upper overheating zone mein dakhil ho gaya hai aur jald hi is se bahar nikalne ke liye tayar hai.

Agar price specified resistances tak pohanchti hai, toh aap chhoti time period par switch kar ke sale ki formation dekh saktay hain. Aap wahan M15 par bhi usi mirror level ko dekh saktay hain taake support resistance mein tabdeel ho. Abhi ke liye yeh sabit hota hai ke yahan bechna kafi jaldi hoga kyunke abhi isey support nahi mil raha hai. Yeh zaroori nahi ke price ko girne ke liye support chahiye, yeh baaki pairs par bhi depend karta hai, market connected hai. Misal ke tor par, euro dollar aur pound dollar lambe arsay ke izafa ke baad ab downward correction shuru karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar woh aisa karte hain, toh yeh pair bhi niche ki taraf jayegi, chahe yeh apne intended targets tak na pohanchi ho.




Bahrhaal, euro dollar pair sab se aham hai, jahan yeh hai, wahan baaki majeors bhi usi ke baad chalte hain, jo iske hum safar hain, aur mukhalifeen bar aks, aik mirror image mein. Agar aap economic calendar dekhein, toh yeh kal ki tarah aaj bhi itna hi pur sukoon hai, kuch khaas aham nahi nazar aa raha, isliye koi gair maamooli harkaatein expect nahi ki ja rahi hain. Abhi ke liye intezar zaroori hai, agar yeh thora aur barhta hai, toh rebound par sale kiya jaa sakta hai.

AUD-USD Pair Analysis

July ke aakhir se lekar ab tak AUD/USD currency pair ne kafi significant bearish pressure ka samna kiya, lekin mahana period mein is waqt yeh bullish trend mein wapas aa gaya hai. Yeh hi condition abhi bhi weekly market mein nazar aa rahi hai kyunke jab se strong bearish trend shuru hua tha, uske baad is maheene ke aaghaz mein bullish movement hui hai jiss ke kaafi wide range hone ki wajah se market ka upward trend mazeed validate hota nazar aata hai.

Is hafte ke aaghaz se yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke candlestick ne dobara upar ki taraf move karne ki koshish ki hai, aur kal raat ko bhi market ko buyers ki taraf se encouragement mil rahi thi jis ki wajah se price consistently upar ki taraf move hoti rahi. Aaj bhi, buyers ki taraf se market par ab bhi ghalba dekha ja raha hai jo ke price ko uske bullish trend ki taraf move karne mein madad kar raha hai. Abhi jo current price hai woh 0.6727 level ke aas paas khel rahi hai. Halanki major timeframe par price upar ki taraf move ho rahi hai, humein yeh bhi ehtiyaat karni chahiye ke chhote timeframe par kisi downward correction ka imkaan ho sakta hai.




Relative Strength Index indicator par Lime Line ki position ab level 70 tak barh gayi hai, jo ke bullish trend ka izhar hai. Agar hum is waqt ke market ke haalaat dekhein, meri raaye mein, humein trading ke liye mauka talaash karna chahiye. Buyer ke troops se umeed hai ke woh dubara market par ghalba karenge aur prices ko mazeed upar ki taraf le jayenge. Aakhri chand hafton ke trend ko dekhte hue, hum dekh sakte hain ke market conditions abhi bhi bullish direction mein move ho rahi hain. Candlesticks ke upar move hone ki umeed hai, jo 0.6785 ke level range ko test karein gi. Meri raaye mein agla trading option BUY karna hai. Haftay ke darmiyan market ki volatility mein izafa hota dekhne ko mil sakta hai, iss liye ehtiyaat zaroori hai.

AUD/USD Price Recap

Is conversation mein hum AUD/USD currency pair ki maujooda pricing behaviour ka tajziya aur behas kar rahe hain. Currency pair ke technical analysis se lagta hai ke downward trend jari hai, jisko indicators bhi support kar rahe hain. Zigzag, MACD, aur Trend indicators bhi bearish movement ki taraf ishaara karte hain kyun ke yeh overbought zone mein position liye hue hain, jo ke short selling ki strong potential ko zahir karta hai. Iss waqt bears ki current strength aur momentum ko dekhte hue, mera irada hai ke main apni open position ko Fibo target 78.6% (jo 0.64654 par hai) par pohanchne par secure kar loon. Lekin risk ko kam karne ke liye, main order ko us waqt break even par le aaoonga jab yeh positive territory mein chali jaye. Trading opportunities ka tajziya karte waqt, afzaish ke dauraan buy karna hamari priority honi chahiye. Jo current price level 0.66972 hai, us par buying shuru karna kam faydemand hai. Is liye, sab se munasib support level ko identify karna zaroori hai, jo 0.66072 par hai aur uske sath ek associated stop loss 0.66047 par hai.

Lekin iss strategy ke kaamyab hone ke liye price ka anticipated levels tak girna zaroori hai. Baharhal, 0.67059 par profit ko target karne se ek strong return milne ki umeed hai jiss mein ek impressive stop-profit ratio hai. 0.66660 level bhi ek accumulation zone ki surat ikhtiyar kar sakta hai, jis par nazar rakhna zaroori hai, lekin yeh aik chhoti consideration hai. AUD/USD pair ki priority trading par focus karte hue buying hai. Analytical activities mein hisa lene se AUD/USD ke movement ki paishgoi karne ki salahiyat barhti hai, jo na sirf munafa bakhsh trading ke mauqay faraham karti hai balki trading faislon mein yaqeen paida karti hai. Iss liye, analytical skills ko refine karna successful trading ke liye zaroori hai. Pair four-hour chart par balance aur MACD indicator lines ke upar growth dikha raha hai, aur Marlin zero line ke qareeb brief consolidation ke baad ab upar ki taraf ja raha hai. Initial momentum establish ho chuka hai aur abhi tak barqaraar hai.




Recommendations: Pair ki buying par focus karen, aur mazeed growth ki tawaqqo rakhte hue, khaas tor par 0.6726 resistance level ke upar break aur subsequent consolidation ke sath.

Asian Currency Rebound and AUD/USD Price Forecast

Hum Asian currencies ke rebound ko Federal Reserve ke “high for longer” rates stance ke baad losses ki recovery ke taur par dekhte hain, jo iss saal ke pehle hisse mein hui thi. MYR (Malaysian Ringgit) iss saal ki sabse mazboot currency ban gayi hai, jisne ab tak 5.1% ka izafa dekha hai. Yeh April mein hone wale 4% ke loss se bohat behtar hai. SGD (Singapore Dollar) bhi ek aisi currency hai jisne saal ke liye 1.3% ki tareeqi ki hai, jo April ke aakhir tak hone wale 3% ke nuqsan ko ulat kar rakh diya.

THB (Thai Baht) iss saal ke liye flat hai, lekin isne pehle char mahinon mein hone wale 7-8% ke nuqsan ko pura kar liya. Asian currencies ke liye outlook ko support mil raha hai region ki badi currencies (JPY aur CNY) ki recovery se, kai Asian maashiaton ke behtar-tawaqqo se behtar growth report karne se jab ke US ki growth ko lekar chintayein hain, aur yeh ummeed nahi hai ke unke central banks aane wale do saalon mein Federal Reserve ke cut cycle ka saath denge.

**AUD/USD Price Forecast: 0.6750 ke qareeb position ko maintain karta hua, short-term bullish trend**

AUD/USD ki qeemat mein mazeed izafa ho sakta hai short-term bullish trend ke sabab se. 9-day EMA (Exponential Moving Average) ne 50-day EMA ko cross kar liya hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke price momentum lambi muddat ke trend se aagey nikal raha hai. Yeh pair apne saat mahine ke high 0.6798 ke qareeb aa sakta hai.

AUD/USD apni teen din ki winning streak ko rokta hua, Tuesday ko European hours ke dauran 0.6730 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Daily chart analysis se yeh pata chalta hai ke pair ek ascending channel pattern mein upar ki taraf move kar raha hai, jo bullish bias ke majboot hone ki taraf ishaara karta hai.

Iske ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70 mark ke qareeb hai, jo chal rahi bullish momentum ko mazboot karta hai. 70 level tak pohanchna currency pair ke liye ek overbought condition ki taraf ishaara karega, jo yeh dikha sakta hai ke ek correction nazar mein hai.

Iske alawa, daily chart analysis se pata chalta hai ke 9-day EMA ne 50-day EMA ko cross kar liya hai. Yeh crossover yeh ishaara karta hai ke price momentum lambi muddat ke trend se tez hai, jo AUD/USD pair ke liye ek short-term bullish trend ki taraf ishaara karta hai.

Oopar ki taraf, AUD/USD pair apne saat mahine ke high 0.6798 ke aas paas pohanch sakta hai, jo 11 July ko dekha gaya tha. Mazeed resistance ascending channel ke upper boundary par 0.6820 level par nazar aata hai.

Support ke hawale se, AUD/USD pair ascending channel ki lower boundary ko test kar sakta hai, jo ke 9-day EMA ke saath 0.6648 level par align hai. Agla support 50-day EMA par 0.6624 level par hai.




Agar 50-day EMA ke neeche break hota hai, toh bullish bias kamzor ho sakti hai aur pair ko neeche ki taraf pressure dal sakta hai, jisse 0.6575 ke throwback level ko test karne ka mauqa milega. Agar pair is support level se neeche girta hai, toh yeh isse agle throwback level 0.6470 ki taraf le jaa sakta hai.

AUD/USD Currency Pair Market Analysis

Monday (August 19) ko Australian dollar ne US dollar ke muqablay mein mazbooti se izafa kiya, aur 0.95% ka izafa ke saath $0.6729 par band hua, jo ke July 18 ke baad se sabse zyada hai, aur $0.6732 tak bhi pohnch gaya. Mazboot US sales aur thandi inflation ne risk appetite ko barhawa diya hai, investors ko lagta hai ke duniya ki sabse bari economy recession se bach jayegi aur Federal Reserve September mein interest rates ko cut karega.

Investors ab yeh umeed kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve Chairman Powell Jackson Hole meeting mein dovish statement de sakte hain, aur is umeed ne Australian dollar ko boost diya hai. Iske ilawa, Reserve Bank of Australia ne apni August policy meeting ke minutes Tuesday ko release kiye. Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) ke international economics ke head Joseph Capurso ne kaha: "Agar RBA ke minutes ko hawkish samjha gaya ya FOMC Chairman Powell ki speech dovish interpret ki gayi, to AUD/USD is week ke zyada hisson mein humari quarter-end forecast of 0.6700 se upar reh sakti hai."




Technical Analysis

Daily chart par, Bollinger Bands expand ho rahe hain, aur AUD/USD exchange rate upper track ko cross kar raha hai. Technical indicators clear upward trend ko show karte hain, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke Australian dollar ke rebound mein strong momentum hai. Lekin, short-term par oversold condition heavy hai, aur profit-taking adjustments ka risk hai.

Pichle resistance level 0.67 ab support ban gaya hai, aur pehla support level 0.6660 hai. Agar further upside hota hai, to primary target 0.6800 hoga.

Trading Analysis 20 August: AUD/USD

AUD/USD currency pair ke daily timeframe par significant buyer pressure nazar aa raha hai. Yeh is baat se clear hota hai ke price ne 0.63881 level par support area se strong rejection experience kiya, jahan ek lambi tail wali candle ne price ke niche jaane ki rejection ko indicate kiya. Yeh rejection yeh darshata hai ke buyers market ko dominate karna shuru kar rahe hain aur prices ko wapas upar le aane mein successful rahe hain. Iske ilawa, in buyers ki strength ne prices ko do important EMA indicators, EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ke through push karne mein kamyabi hasil ki hai. Yeh penetration yeh indicate karta hai ke bullish trend phir se form ho raha hai, ya kam se kam short term mein buying momentum mazboot ho raha hai. EMA 50 aur EMA 100 traders ke liye trend ki strength dekhne ka ek reference point hota hai. Jab price in dono EMAs ko penetrate kar ke unke upar hoti hai, to yeh aksar signal hota hai ke market bullish phase mein hai ya kam se kam price increase ka potential hai. Is penetration ke sath, sabse nazdeek supply area 0.67506 se 0.67931 ke range mein hai, jo next price increase ke liye target ho sakta hai. Yeh supply area resistance level hai jo buyers test kar sakte hain agar upward momentum continue raha. Filhaal, jab tak price EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ke upar hai, bullish bias barqarar hai aur increase continue hone ke chances hain.




Mera trading plan yeh hai ke main deeper correction ka intezar karunga taake entry ko zyada optimal level par le sakun. Yeh correction price ko 0.66785 se 0.66920 ke base area ki taraf le ja sakti hai, jo ek strong support area hone ki umeed hai, isse pehle ke price apni bullish trend ko continue kare. Yeh base area buyers ke liye ek key level ban sakta hai, jo market me dobara enter karne ka potential turning point ho sakta hai.

mazbooti se rebound karta hai 0.6350 ke aath-maheene ke lowest level se jabke US Dollar tezi se girta hai. Dismal market sentiment Australian Dollar ko edge par rakhta hai. Sarmayakaar US ISM Services PMI ke liye intizar kar rahe hain jo July ke liye hai aur RBA monetary policy ka bhi intezar hai. AUD/USD pair mazbooti se bounce back karta hai jabke naya aath-maheene ka low 0.6350 ke qareeb Monday ki European session mein post karta hai. Aussie asset recover karta hai jabke US Dollar (USD) naya char-maheene ka low touch karta hai lekin phir bhi negative rehta hai kamzor Australian Dollar (AUD) ki wajah se.

Middle East tensions aur United States (US) economic slowdown ke risks ne global markets mein risk-aversion ko barhawa diya hai. Is ne risk-sensitive assets ki appeal ko kam kar diya hai. US slowdown ka dar cooling labor market conditions aur manufacturing sector mein activities ki tezi se contraction ki wajah se paida hua hai.

Aussie severe pressure mein hai dismal market sentiment ki wajah se. S&P 500 futures ne European trading hours mein sharp decline face kiya hai, jo ke investors ke risk appetite mein tezi se girawat dikhata hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki value ko six major currencies ke against track karta hai, tezi se girta hai aur 102.60 ke qareeb aata hai.

Is dauran, Australian Dollar ka agla trigger Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka interest-rate decision hoga, jo Tuesday ko announce hoga. RBA se expect kiya ja raha hai ke apna key Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par barqarar rakhega. Isliye, sarmayakaar zyada focus interest rate guidance par karenge.

Monday ki session mein, sarmayakaar US ISM Services PMI ke liye focus karenge jo July ke liye hai aur 14:00 GMT par publish hoga. PMI report se expect kiya ja raha hai ke services sector mein activities 51.0 tak expand hongi jabke contraction 48.8 tha. Sarmayakaar doosre Services PMI indexes par bhi focus karenge, jaise ke Prices Paid aur New Orders, jo input prices aur forward demand mein changes ko indicate karte hain

Analysis Of the AUD/USD Pair in H-4 frame

AUDUSD pair ke H-4 time frame mein analysis k mutabiq, kal raat market ne upward rally ko continue rakha, lekin price zone 0.6765 ko cross nahi kar saki. Market conditions jo ke mein ne observe kiye hain, yeh dikhate hain ke is haftay ke dauran price 0.6703 zone ke upar trade ho rahi hai. Yeh situation traders ke liye ek reference point ban sakti hai ke woh zyada focus bullish attempts par karein kyunke market trend August ke aghaz se uptrend ki taraf move kar raha hai. Stochastic indicator 5,3,3 ab level 20 par hai jo ke subha se sellers ke control ko indicate kar raha hai. AUDUSD pair H-4 time frame mein slight downward correction dikhata hai lekin abhi bhi bullish bias ke saath chal raha hai.

Agay ki technical analysis ke mutabiq, market trend may be barh sakta hai jisse ke purchase option tayar rakhi jaye. Pichlay haftay ke trading period mein market ki situation ab bhi rising thi, toh yeh andaza lagaya ja sakta hai ke aaj ka downward correction market ka sirf ek correction situation ho sakta hai, aur shayad price hafte ke akhir tak aur bhi zyada barh sakay. Graph ko dekhte hue, pichlay kuch dinon mein sellers ne candlestick ko neeche le jane ki koshish ki thi, lekin bearish price ko neeche nahi la sake kyunke price ne 0.6573 zone ko touch karne ke baad wapas bounce kiya.

Agli trading period ke liye, higher price area buyers ka target ho sakta hai bullish journey ke continuation ke liye. Technically, Uptrend journey pattern abhi bhi market situation ko dominate karta hua lag raha hai. Candlestick ka appearance bhi upward movement dikhata hai. Meri rai mein, agar aap buy position open karna chahte hain market trend ke direction ke mutabiq, toh aap yeh consider kar sakte hain ke agar price 0.6758 zone ko cross kar jaye toh buy kiya jaye. European session ke kareeb correction journey ka chance hai, uske baad bullish move ka possibility hai.

AUD/USD H4 Chart
H4 chart pe jo analysis kiya tha, us mein dikhai nahi diya ke AUD/USD market mein koi aur entry hone wali hai. Pichle raat tak, jabke hafte ke shuru mein ek bara spike aaya tha—upar ki taraf ka trend. Pichle kuch dinon mein, price ke 0.6610 tak jane ke koi nishan nahi the, aur Tuesday aur Wednesday raat ko price movement clearly down thi aur ab 0.6530 par hai. Is girawat ke baad, price 20-Bollinger-band ke center par wapas aayi aur 150-SMA ke upar rahi. Market pichle do din se narrow range mein consolidate kar rahi hai. Is wajah se, zyada tar H4 period indicators ab bhi upar ki taraf hi indicate kar rahe hain. Bullish case ko boost ki zaroorat hai kyunki Australian dollar ke muqablay mein pound momentum dhoondh raha hai.




Filhal, hum AUD/USD currency pair ki live pricing ko decode kar rahe hain. AUD/USD pair ne recent market turmoil ke dauran dusre commodity currencies ka behavior mirror kiya, briefly yearly low 0.63493 ko touch karte hue jab investors safe-haven assets ki taraf bhagte hain. Magar, pair zyada der tak is low par nahi raha, aur same din mein quickly wapas apne initial level par aa gaya. H4 time frame chart ko observe karte hue, Tuesday, August 7 ko aane wali candle mein solid green top dikha. Better Volume indicator ne histogram par white bar ke saath isse highlight kiya, jo bears ko ye signal deta hai ke unki dominance kam ho rahi hai aur bulls control le rahe hain. Is signal ke saath, pair ne hafte ke flat corridor 0.65652/0.64823 ko break kiya aur 38.2% Fibonacci level tak advance kiya. Agle hafte, Australian dollar ke aur growth ki ummeed hai, jo shayad 50.0% Fibonacci level tak pahunche. AUD/USD ne Black Monday ke din substantial weekly volatility ka samna kiya, jab Japanese stock market gira, baqi markets ko bhi neeche le aaya. Commodities, including Aussie, ko sabse zyada nuksan hua. Lekin, situation dramatically reverse hui aur hafte ke end tak chart par ek sizable bullish pin bar bana. Ye pattern 0.6359 ke around sloping support se rebound karne ke baad aaya. Isliye, growth agle hafte tak continue ho sakti hai, agar pattern 0.6629 level ko break kar de. Agar ye hota hai, to further growth inclined resistance ke paas 0.669 tak pahunchegi. Agle hafte ka course largely Wednesday ke U.S. inflation statistics par depend karega. Pair ke recent decline ne ascending channel ke lower border ko nahi chhua, to pair Monday se descend hota rahega, potential target 0.6552 tak ho sakta hai. Is level par pahunche par decline shayad ruk jaye, price change ho aur upward push de.

AUD/USD H4 Chart
Daily time frame ke mutabiq, pair side-way trend mein hai. Magar abhi, ye bullish trend mein hai. Kal, market 1.2688 level par open hui. Kal ke trading session ke doran, isne 1.2751 ka high aur 1.2664 ka low banaya. Is tarah, kal ka trading range lagbhag 87 pips tha. Market ka sentiment bullish hai aur ye daily pivot level ke upar trade kar rahi hai. Aane wale trading sessions mein, ye daily resistance levels R1 aur R2 ko hit kar sakti hai. Neeche diye gaye reasons ko dekhein. Market ne kal weekly support level 0.6519 ko hit kiya. RSI14 is level par oversold hai. Weekly support level par ek pin bar candlestick pattern ban gaya. Is pin bar ke baad bullish candlestick patterns ne market ke bullish strength ko confirm kiya. MACD bullish divergence bhi is level par dekhi gayi. Market MA 200 ke upar bhi move kar rahi hai.




Filhal, movement do bade EMAs ke beech me lagti hai, jinmein se ek EMA 633 daily hai aur ab price EMA ke kareeb aa rahi hai. Aaj bhi bullish price continue ho rahi hai, lekin movement abhi bhi limited hai, aur aaj dopahar mein temporary high price 0.6697 tak pohanch gayi hai. Agar ye trend continue hota hai, to price daily resistance 0.6712 ko hit karne aur thoda upar EMA 633 daily ko cross karne ki koshish karegi, jo lagbhag 0.6728 ke aas-paas hai. Ye buyers ke liye ek warning ho sakti hai, kyunki prices daily dynamic resistance, yani EMA 633, ke kareeb aa rahi hain, aur stochastic ye dikha raha hai ke market saturation ki taraf badh rahi hai. Isse prices corrective movement ka samna kar sakti hain, aur sellers in resistance areas mein limited targets ke saath participate karne ki taiyari kar sakte hain. Ye bullish momentum technical indicators aur market dynamics ke combination se driven hai. Daily timeframe par, AUD/USD ne poore hafte consistent gains show kiye hain, 0.6513 se shuru hota hua aur Thursday ke trading session ke end tak 0.6606 tak pahuncha. Thursday ka closing price hafte ke shuruat ke price se upar tha, jo ongoing bullish trend ko reinforce karta hai.

AUD/USD Pair ka H-4 Time Frame Mein Analysis
Pichli raat market abhi bhi upward rally mein thi, lekin 0.6765 ke price zone ko paar nahi kar paayi. Market conditions ke mutabiq, is hafte ki price journey 0.6703 ke zone ke upar trade ho rahi hai, jo traders ko bullish attempts par focus karne ka signal deta hai, kyunki August ke shuruat se market trend upar ki taraf move kar raha hai. Stochastic indicator 5,3,3 level 20 par gir gaya hai, jo subah se sellers ke control ko indicate karta hai. H-4 time frame mein AUD/USD pair thodi downward correction dikhata hai lekin ab bhi bullish bias ke saath chal raha hai.

Next technical analysis ke mutabiq, market trend barhne ka potential dikhayi de raha hai, isliye buy option ke liye tayari rakhi ja sakti hai. Pichle hafte ki trading period mein market still rising thi, isliye aaj ki downward correction market correction ka signal ho sakti hai, aur price hafte ke end tak aur upar ja sakti hai. Graph ko dekhte hue, pichle kuch dinon mein sellers ne candlestick ko neeche le jane ki koshish ki, lekin bearish trend neeche nahi aa paya kyunki price 0.6573 ke zone ko touch karne ke baad upar bounce ho gayi.

Agle trading period ke liye, higher price area buyers ka target ban sakta hai jo bullish journey ke continuation se related hai. Technically, Uptrend journey pattern ab bhi market situation ko overshadow kar raha hai. Candlestick ki appearance bhi upar ki taraf ja rahi hai. Mere hisaab se, ek achi area buy position open karne ke liye wo hoga jab price 0.6758 ke zone ko paar kar sake. European session ke dauran aaj dopahar ko correction ka chance ho sakta hai, uske baad bullish trend dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

AUD/USD Price Action
Filhal, hum AUD/USD currency pair ke live pricing ko decode kar rahe hain. AUD/USD pair dheere dheere apne trend ko reverse kar raha hai, magar yeh U.S. dollar ke strong hone ke perception ke bawajood hai. Dollar ab tak significant growth nahi dikhayi hai. Bohot log ab bhi Powell ka strategy Jackson Hole Economic Symposium mein reveal karne ka intezaar kar rahe hain, khaaskar potential interest rate cuts ke hawale se. Aane wale elections ke madde nazar, September 17 se pehle kisi clear decision ki umeed kam lagti hai, jab agle Fed meeting ke results aayenge. Rate cut ke baare mein ab bhi uncertainty hai, kyunki isse inflationary surge ka khauf hai. Ye meri raaye hai, aur market aksar alag perspectives rakhta hai. Dekhna ye hoga ke market aaj ke Fed minutes par kaise react karti hai. Australian dollar 0.6348 tak pahuncha sakta hai.




Pair shayad continue karte hue rise kare. Daily chart dikhata hai ke Monday, August 18 ko price climb hui aur historical resistance level 0.6708 ke upar close hui. Agle din, August 19 ko, price 0.6735 pivot line ke upar close hui. Aaj chaar consecutive din ke growth ke baad pehla din hai jahan slight correction dekhi ja rahi hai. Lekin, aaj ke Fed minutes ke release se further movement trigger ho sakti hai. Candlestick patterns aur MACD indicator resistance levels 0.6749, 0.6757, 0.6771, aur 0.6794 ki taraf potential growth ka signal dete hain, aur historical resistance 0.6799 test hone ke liye likely hai. Recent uptrend kafi strong raha hai. Aaj, price reversal line 0.6735 ki taraf correction kar rahi hai aur shayad lower S1, S2, ya historical support 0.6707 tak bhi jaa sakti hai. Jab tak global risk sentiment strong rahega, pair apne upward trend ko continue karegi. Lekin, risk appetite mein sudden shift ke possibilities bhi hamesha rehti hain.