Aud/usd

AUD/USD ke trend ko mukhtalif ahem factors ki asar hosakti hain, jese ke maqroozati data releases, gharbi siyasi waqeiat, aur market sentiment. Filhal ke manzarname mein, AUD/USD ka trend mukhtalif ma'ashi variables ka asar dikhata hai. Sab se pehle, haal ki ma'ashi daleel Australia aur America se jo aai hai, us ne ahem asraat zahir kiye hain. Australia mein intesharat jese ke be-rozgarion ki dar, consumer sentiment, aur retail sales iska misaal hain. Halan ke be-rozgarion ke figures mazboot rahe hain, magar barhte hue interest rates aur inflation ke baare mein ashiaari raaye fehmi ke nishan dikh rahe hain, jo Australian dollar ko mutasir kar sakte hain.

Doosri taraf, America ka dollar ma'ashi hawalay mein mazboot reh chuka hai, non-farm payrolls aur retail sales figures jese mazboot ma'ashi indicators ke hamraah. Is ke ilawa, Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ahem hai. Fed se haal hi mein aane wali indicators mutafarriq hain jo batate hain ke ionflation ke muqablay mein mazboot monetary policy ka aitmam karke rakhne ka iraada hai, jo America ke dollar ki taqat ko support karta hai.

Gharbi siyasi aur confidence-related masael bhi AUD/USD ke trend per asar dalte hain. Misal ke tor per, America aur China ke darmiyani tensions Australia ki economy ko ba indirect tor per mutasir kar sakti hain, China ke saath zyada si mukhtalif trade relations ke wajah se. Agar America-Chin ke taluqaat mein manfi tabdeeliyan aati hain, to ye markets mein risk-off sentiment ko trigger kar sakti hain, jo investors ko mehfuz assets jese ke American dollar mein panah dhoondne per majboor kar sakti hai.

AUD/CAD pair mein honay wale potential future movements ke mutaliq mazeed insights ko ghor karne chahiye. Ye pair filhal aik ahem support level ke qareeb hai. Agar ye support level toota, to ye dobara bearish trend ka aik jari rehne ka ishaara hosakta hai, jo mazeed giravat ko le ja sakta hai. Aksar agar pair is support level ke oopar rehta hai aur rebound shuru karta hai, to ye aik mukhalif aur mazeed uncha chalne ka ishaara hosakta hai.

Traders aksar technical indicators jese moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) ka istemal karte hain trend ke mukhalif ya jari rahne ke ihtimam ke tajziyaat ke liye. Misal ke tor per, agar RSI dikhata hai ke ye pair oversold territory mein hai, to ye rebound ka imkaan dikhata hai.

AUD/USD Ke Price Activity

Hamari guftagu ka mawadah ya hai ke AUD/USD currency pair ke mojooda qeemat ka rawayat ka tajziya. Chart ka jaiza lene par, hum dekhte hain ke AUD/USD currency pair ke harkaton se munafa hasal karne ka imkaan hai. Aam tor par, yeh zyada faida mand nazar aata hai ke bechne per tawajjo dene ka socha jaye bechne ki nisbat, khas kar 0.6571 ke level se, maqsad 0.6531 par munafa mein mufeed hona hai. Agar market ka dhancha badal jata hai, to nuksan 0.6601 par ho sakta hai. Jab tak resistance lazim hai, yeh support ke tor per kaam karega, jo bechne ki tehkiron ko 0.6571 se istemal karne dega. Market dynamics mein, qeemat ka movement ahem hota hai; wahshat pasand nahi hai. AUD/USD Fibonacci levels ko istemal karta hai, jo ke ek bullish manzarnuma ki dalil hai. Market Fibonacci range mein badalti hai, 100-0.65690 aur 50-0.65479 ke darmiyan, jisme mojooda qeemat 0.65572 hai. Pichle din ke uxtumat ka istemal Fibonacci network qaim karne mein madadgar hota hai.





Is takhleeq mein ek range of 100-0.65690 aur 50-0.65469, ke saath qeemat 0.65572 ko ek bullish corridoor mein rakha gaya hai. Is data ke buniyad par, main critical levels jese 50-0.65469, 61.8-0.65522, aur 76.4-0.65586 par tehkire shamil karne ka maqsad rakhta hoon. Yeh levels rebounds aur breakouts ke liye mauqaat faraham karte hain. Main munafa 123.6-0.65794 ya 138.2-0.65858 ke uoper levels par haasil karne ka irada rakhta hoon, jo ek pasandida nateeja hoga. Magar, agar market is mansoobe ke sath milta julta na ho aur bear control mein aata hai, aur price 50-0.65469 level ke neeche jaata hai to ek bearish manzar ka samne aana mumkin hai. Aisay mein, istedlal ahem hai, aur bechni ki taraf moor karna zaroori ho sakta hai. Fibonacci grid mukhtalif tareeqon mein mumkin hai, magar main ne is ko daily candle ke sath jor kar qaim karne ka faisla kiya hai, is ke installation ko asan banate huye aur market errors ko kam karne ka maksad rakhte hue.

Joray ne apni lehrati raftar barqarar rakhi hai, aur teisri mubarak din tak trade 0.6540 ke aaspaas chal rahi hai early Asian session ke doran mangal ko. Ye kami bharne ka buniyadi sabab mazboot hone wale American Dollar ka hai, jo July ke liye umeedwar US S&P Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data se faraham kiya gaya hai.

AUD/USD ke Bunyadiyat:

Federal Reserve ke a****ron ne apni data par mabni tawajjo ko aziz rakha hai, aur samjhaute ke pehle zaroori hai ke aagay baddne se pehle unke 2% had ko mukhalif hone wale inflation ke liye mazeed saboot ki zarurat hai. Bazar ki raye filhal yeh darshati hai ke CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq september mein Fed rate mein kami ka 64% imkan hai.

RBA ne ek fawrani raqabat apnai hai, jo shayad AUD ko mazboot kare aur AUD/USD ke nichle khatrey ko short term mein mehdod karne ke liye. RBA Governor Michele Bullock ke hali press conference ke doran diye gaye bayanat ne rate hike ki mumkin muzakirat ki roshni dali, rate cuts ke fori imkanat ko ta'akub se mat dala.





Daily Time Frame Takneeki Manzar:

Jora apne mojooda range mein mukhtalif harkat ke liye mustaid dikhai deta hai. Dekhne wale khas lehre mein oopar barhne ke liye markazi satahain 0.6677 ko guzar jaane par shuru ho sakti hain, shayad 0.6707 tak phailne ke imkanat ke saath. Saath hi, 0.6625 ke us mini-range ke hone se neeche se tezi se 0.6591 ke range floor tak kami ka aghaz ho sakta hai. Is range ke izaafi bunyadi trend ke mad se, is waqt muqarar mein se oopar barrhne ka imkan darust lagta hai.

Nishandah nishanian ek kamzor ho rahi raftar ka izhar karti hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi 50 ke oopar hai lekin ek neeche ki taraf dekhai deta hai, jabke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) laal bars ke saath jari hai. Qawi kharidar se mazbooti mazbooti ke tauq ka saboot hasil karne ke liye, AUD/USD jora ko 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke oopar mazboot satah qayam karna hoga. Bechne wale alag se is SMA ki madad ko aane wale sessions mein jaanchenge.

Aaj ka muzakra AUD/USD karansi pair ke price trends ka tajzia karega. Yahan behtareen horizontal boundaries ke sath ek flat channel form hua hai, jo bohot dilchasp lagta hai. Is channel ki structure bazaar ke mojooda phase ko wazeh dikha rahi hai, jo moving average (M.A.) ke dono taraf se breakdown hone se zahir hoti hai. Hum shayad is trend ke aaghaz ya darmiyan mein hain, lekin yeh abhi tak khatam nahi hua, kyun ke is ke liye koi khasa wajah nahi hai. Ahm khabrone ab tak market par asar nahi dala, jo ke yeh darshata hai ke aane wale dino mein activity hone ke imkaanaat barh jaayenge, jab ke Monday ko stagnant rehta hai aur movement kam hoti hai. Is surat-e-haal mein, ek saadah strategy yeh ho sakti hai ke upper boundary par sell karein aur lower boundary par buy karein, jo ke taqreeban 0.6551 aur 0.6491 hain. Naye hafta ke shuru hone se pehle, chaliye daily (D1) chart par AUD/USD karansi pair ka tajzia karte hain.
Pair ke persistent downtrend jari hai bawajood chand fluctuations ke jo ke recent dino mein aaye hain, jo overall trend ko nahi badalte. Pichle ascending wave structure ko tab invalidate kiya gaya jab aakhri decline ne pichle low ko exceed kar diya. Former wave ka bottom, jo ke ab resistance level par hai 0.6578, ne price ko settle hone diya aur retest kiya from underneath se pehle phir se drop kar gaya. Halankeh price ne is level ko achieve nahi kiya, yeh ek choti si error ho sakti hai. Price koshish kar raha hai ke main ascending line ko approach kare jo ke previous wave lows ke sath draw hui thi. Magar is line tak pohanchne se pehle correction aur 0.6578 level ka retest kiye baghair mumkin nahi lagta. Commodity Channel Index (CCI) indicator oversold zone se barh raha hai. Mojooda price levels par sell karna mumkin nahi, kyun ke main line tak rise hone ka imkaan hai baghair kisi khasa resistance ke. Behtar hoga ke ek pullback ka intezar karein aur anticipated upward movement par kuch points kamane ka maqasad rakhain.

Is hafte AUD/USD pair ke price movement sideways/ranging hai, halankeh volatility kaafi tezi se hai. Yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke price sirf resistance 0.6568 aur support 0.6493 ke darmiyan move kar rahi hai. Iske ilawa, yeh zaroori nahi ke price support 0.6493 ke neechay move kare, kyun ke kal isne ek rejection experience kiya aur phir bounce back karte hue lagbhag SMA 200 tak pahunch gaya jo ke ek dynamic resistance hai. Misal ke taur par, agle hafte bhi agar price support ko paar karne mein fail hoti hai, toh yeh mumkin hai ke price do Moving Average lines ko upar ki taraf paar kar jaaye. Is waqt bullish trend direction bhi kamzor ho rahi hai kyun ke EMA 50 SMA 200 ke qareeb aayi hai, jo ke golden cross signal generate karne ka mauqa deti hai. Magar MACD indicator ke histogram ko dekh kar jo positive area mein widen hone mein nakam raha aur wapas negative area mein chala gaya, yeh darshata hai ke downward rally jari reh sakti hai. RSI indicator parameter (14) bhi 50 level ko paar karne mein fail hoti hai aur ab wapas 30-20 level ki oversold zone ki taraf ja rahi hai.
Trading plan ab bhi bearish trend direction par mabni hai aur re-entry SELL position ko place karne par focus karti hai. Entry position ko tab place karein jab price support 0.6493 ko successfully paar kare, aur phir jab price wapas upar jaaye aur rejection experience kare toh foran execute karein. RSI indicator parameter (14) jo ke level 50 ke neechay hai aur MACD indicator histogram jo phir se downtrend momentum dikhata hai valid confirmation ban gaye hain. Take profit ka target daily time frame par support 0.6403 ho sakta hai aur stop loss resistance 0.6568 ke qareeb.

AUD/USD mazbooti se rebound karta hai 0.6350 ke aath-maheene ke lowest level se jabke US Dollar tezi se girta hai. Dismal market sentiment Australian Dollar ko edge par rakhta hai. Sarmayakaar US ISM Services PMI ke liye intizar kar rahe hain jo July ke liye hai aur RBA monetary policy ka bhi intezar hai.
AUD/USD pair mazbooti se bounce back karta hai jabke naya aath-maheene ka low 0.6350 ke qareeb Monday ki European session mein post karta hai. Aussie asset recover karta hai jabke US Dollar (USD) naya char-maheene ka low touch karta hai lekin phir bhi negative rehta hai kamzor Australian Dollar (AUD) ki wajah se.

Middle East tensions aur United States (US) economic slowdown ke risks ne global markets mein risk-aversion ko barhawa diya hai. Is ne risk-sensitive assets ki appeal ko kam kar diya hai. US slowdown ka dar cooling labor market conditions aur manufacturing sector mein activities ki tezi se contraction ki wajah se paida hua hai.

Aussie severe pressure mein hai dismal market sentiment ki wajah se. S&P 500 futures ne European trading hours mein sharp decline face kiya hai, jo ke investors ke risk appetite mein tezi se girawat dikhata hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki value ko six major currencies ke against track karta hai, tezi se girta hai aur 102.60 ke qareeb aata hai.

Is dauran, Australian Dollar ka agla trigger Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka interest-rate decision hoga, jo Tuesday ko announce hoga. RBA se expect kiya ja raha hai ke apna key Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par barqarar rakhega. Isliye, sarmayakaar zyada focus interest rate guidance par karenge.

Monday ki session mein, sarmayakaar US ISM Services PMI ke liye focus karenge jo July ke liye hai aur 14:00 GMT par publish hoga. PMI report se expect kiya ja raha hai ke services sector mein activities 51.0 tak expand hongi jabke contraction 48.8 tha. Sarmayakaar doosre Services PMI indexes par bhi focus karenge, jaise ke Prices Paid aur New Orders, jo input prices aur forward demand mein changes ko indicate karte hain.

AUD/USD Forum (Australian Dollar - US Dollar): Charts, Reviews

Sabka mood acha ho! M15 chart par linear regression channel niche ki taraf ghooma hua hai, jo bazaar mein bechne walon ki qabdari ko darshata hai. Bazaar ka movement south ki taraf 0.64165 tak ho raha hai. Jab yeh level tak pohnch jayega, to upar ki taraf correction mumkin hai, kyunki channel ki volatility is chart par khatam ho jayegi. Niche border ke qareeb sales karna behtar nahi hai, balki channel ke upper part 0.64956 tak ka intezar karein. Is se nuksan kam hoga. Channel ka angle bazaar mein bechne walon ki taqat ko tay karta hai; jitna zyada steep hoga, utni zyada movement hogi. Thoda slope, sales ke initial stage mein formation.

Hourly chart par linear regression channel niche ki taraf hai, jo bechne walon ki taqat ko darshata hai. Ghante ka channel mukhya hai aur M15 auxiliary hai. Dono charts par channels ka direction south hai. Shorts dhoondhna behtar hai, kyunki agar aap kharidte hain to aap movement ke khilaf ja rahe hain, jo nuksan ka zyada imkaan hai. Agar 0.64956 ka level buyers ko rok nahi pata, to zyada mumkin hai ke movement continue kare. Bulls channel ke upper part tak 0.65325 tak barhenge, jahan sales par nazar rakhni chahiye. Yahan se sales kafi interesting lagti hain, kyunki ghante ke baad ek rollback hoga. Uske baad bears apni activity dikhayenge aur channel ke lower part 0.64449 tak movement hogi. Is par channel ki volatility khatam ho jayegi aur sales ke liye intezaar karna padega jab tak bulls movement ka kuch hissa wapas na le lein.

AUD/USD Keema Keemat Par Nazar

Hamari tajziya mein, hum AUD/USD currency pair ki mojooda keemat ka rawaiyya discuss karte hain. Kal ke market action ne aaj ke ulte phere ko le kar aaya, mujhe aur zyada sawalon ke liye utha diya. Jab ke kuch currencies ke khilaf US dollar taqat hasil kar raha hai, AUD/USD ke khilaf kamzor hota jar aha hai, jo aam market trend se mukhtalif hai. Umeed hai ke yeh imtinae jald dur ho jaye ga, aur market ek muttahida rukh dobara pakrega. Mojooda tajwez hai ke AUD/USD mein izafa hone wala hai, aur is harkat ke sath, yeh jora 0.650 ki nishanbardar ko paar karna chahiye. Mera target 0.671 ki taraf ki harkat hai. Halaanke main yaqeenan nahi keh sakta, lekin mujhe mojooda bull trend se khush hoon. Aaj ka din kaam ki bazar data releases ka aghaz hai, aur kal ka tawajjo Federal Reserve ke interest rate faisla par shift hoga, khas kar Powell ke press conference se nikali hue maaloomat par.






AUD/USD currency pair ek up trend mein hai, jo MACD indicator channel ke ooper ki taraf chal raha hai, jo ke green mein dikhaya gaya hai. MACD indicator zero line ke ooper aur green hai, jabke CCI indicator ne pink line ko blue line ke ooper dikhaya hai. Yeh milti julti signals istemal karne ke liye buying opportunities ko suggest karte hain. Halaanke, behtar hai ke price ko CCI indicator ke average level pe lautne ka intezar kiya jaye 0.6546 pe. Chaliye daily (D1) time frame ka bhi mushahida karte hain, market conditions ka andaza lagane ke liye. Rozana price data ka tajziya karne par: candle ka close 0.6552, Parabolic indicator 0.6628, aur MA indicator 0.6576. Agar daily candle Parabolic Curve aur moving average ke nichay band hoti hai, to us din ke dauran hourly time frame par sell signals ke liye dekhna faida mand hoga.

Haal Hi Mein, jora US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf madadgar rehnumai dekha, jab intraday nuksanat kraze ki shakal mein palat gaye jab US Treasury bond yields wapis hotay gaye. Yeh tabdeeli ne pair ki madad ki, jo ke shayad Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke hawkish nazariye ke bais aur bhi ooper ka momentum dekhegi. RBA Governor Michele Bullock ne board ki guftagoo par zor diya ke matafiyan uthane ke mumkin rate hikes par, ABC News ke mutabiq rate cuts ke qareebi imkanat ko rad karte hue.

CPI Data Release aur RBA's Inflation Tanzeem ka Intezar Barhta Hai:

Ab investors ka tawajjo May ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ke hone wale release par muntashir hai jo Budh ko aayega. Tawaqoat buland hain, taqreeban do point izafa ke saath saalana 3.8% ka paanch mahini high hone ka. Yeh data ahem hai kyun ke yeh RBA ke mushahida kareel karne ka hissedaar hai inflation ka samna karte hue, jo future monetary policy adjustments ke mutalik market expectations ko shape karta hai.

Market sentiment ek ehtiyaat bhari umeed ko darust karta hai, jo market projections ke swaps mein mazahir hain. Yeh isharat dete hain ke 2024 mein rate cuts ki minimum imkanat hain, kareeb 70% khudaaratein 2025 ke February mein pehle cut ke direction mein hain. Aise tajwez RBA ke hawkish nazariye ko tasdeeq dete hain aur uske inflatio ko stabilize karne par wazahat ko.

Technical analysis aur AUD/USD ke ahem levels:

Jora taqreeban 0.6540 ke barabar hai, jo ghante ke chart par ek rectangle formation ke andar jamata hai toh isme ek neutral bias dikha raha hai. Ahem support levels mein shamil hain 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 0.6595 aur takreeban 0.6581, jo formation ka lower boundary darust karte hain. Resistance levels qareeb 0.6700 ke nazdeek hain aur Janvari se dekhi gayi 0.6711 ki high, jo agle ooper ki movement ke liye rukawaton ki mumkinat dikhate hain.






14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) jo 50 level par hota hai woh naqabil faisla ka ishara deta hai, aage ka price action ke liye ek clear directional trend ko define karne ke liye. Yeh technical insight current consolidation phase aur breakout ke potential ke mutalik hai jo economic data releases aur mukhtasar market developments ko muntazir hai.

Pichle hafton mein, keemat tezi se gir rahi thi bina kisi significant rujhan ke, jo ek wazeh downdrend ki nishani thi. Yeh kami tezi se hoti rahi jab keemat pichli lemme ka minimum tor kar neeche gir gayi, ascending se descending market structure mein tabdeeli ko tasdeeq de gayi. MACD indicator, jo market ke momentum ki tracking ke liye aik ahem tool hai, lower sales zone mein dakhil ho gaya hai aur apni signal line ke neeche girte ja raha hai, jis se bearish outlook ko mazbooti milti hai.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ek ahem pehli ishaara tha, jo bearish divergence ka ishara deta hai jab keemat abhi tak apni peak par thi. Yeh farq yeh keh raha tha ke ek trend reversal nazdeek hai. Is ke ilawa, MACD mein bhi ek significant bearish divergence nazar aya, jo mojooda downtrend ko durust taur par predict kar raha tha. Technical indicators ke saath, ek ascending wedge ke shakal mein reversal pattern ne keemat giravat ko mansoob kar diya.

Keemat pehle target level 0.6577 tak pohanchi, jahan woh ek potential upward correction ka samna kr sakti thi. Halaank, market mein rukawat ka koi ishara nahi mila aur neeche ki taraf hi chalne lagi. Is momentum ke chalte, lagta hai keemat bari support level ki taraf ja rahi hai. Phir bhi, 0.6577 ke moqwae pe bechna behtareen strategy nahi hosakti, khas tor par agar nazdeeki resistance level upar ki taraf jane ka mauqe de raha ho.






CCI indicator lower overheating zone se barhne ki koshish mein hai, jo ek rebound ke imkanat ko dikhata hai. Agar keemat choti time frame par 0.6577 level ko tor kar upar se test karti hai, to yeh ek buying ke liye signal ho sakta hai, ek correctice bounce ka intezar karte hue. Agar yeh scenario pesh aa jata hai, to shayad keemat 0.6695 level tak pohanchne ki koshish karegi, jo ke breakout ke baad ab tak test nahi kiya gaya hai. Jab tak keemat 0.6577 ke upar mazbooti se hai, behtar hai buying se inkaar kar dena.

AUD / USD Technical Analysis:
Aglay technical analysis ke mutabiq, potential market trend barhne ki taraf ja sakta hai jis se khareedne ka option tayar ho sakta hai. Pichle haftay ke trading doraan market ki halat ab bhi barh rahi thi, is liye ek tasawwur hai ke aaj ka neeche ki correction market correction ki situation ho sakti hai, shayad qeemat mazeed barh sakay aur haftay ke ikhtitam tak pohanch jaye. Graph ke zariye jo main monitor kar raha hoon, haqeeqat mein agar aap pichle kuch dinon ki taraf dekhen to dikhayi dene laga ke seller ne candlestick ko neeche lene ki koshish ki thi, lekin bearish qeemat ko neeche nahi le gaya kyun ke qeemat 0.6573 zone ko chhoo kar upar uth gayi thi. Aglay trading doraan unchi qeemat wala area buyers ka target banne ka intezar hai bullish journey ke jariye. Technical taur par, Uptrend journey pattern ab bhi market ki halat par chha gaya lag raha hai. Is ke ilawa, candlestick ka zahirah upar ja raha hai. Meri raye ke mutabiq, market trend ki taraf ke mutabiq ek acha area Buy position kholne ke liye ghoor kar sakte hain agar qeemat 0.6758 zone se guzar jaye. Ek correction journey ka moqa hai ke European session ke qareeb aane wala hai, us ke baad, bullish jane ka chance hai.


AUD / USD H4 Chart:



Trading liquidity chouthay volatility area ke darmiyan jama hoti hai, jo ke 0.6727 aur 0.6756 ke darajon se mehdood hai. Average balance se bhatakne ki wajah abhi tak nahi hai, lekin ehtiyaat se bachna zaroori hai kyun ke tez wapas ka impulse ho sakta hai. Halat buyers ke liye na-faasid hai lekin woh apne aap ko long-term faiday ke liye tayyar kar rahe hain. Ahtiyaat se 10 MM strategy ke sath qareebi nataij faiday mand ho sakti hain, maamooli wapas ke leheron ke bawajood. aud/usd mein mukhtalif time frames par wave structure analysis ke zariye tasdeeq shuda overall downtrend nihayat ahem hai, jo ke H1 se aage waqt frames par hai. Ye sirf short positions ke liye mufeed hai, lekin filhal ke area se bhi short positions risky ho sakti hain. Main mashwara deta hoon ke agar bulls T5 probability zone 0.6756-0.6794 tak pohanch jayein to bechna munasib hai. Market sabar ko pasand nahi karti, is liye behtar hai ke wapas ke leheray ka mukammal honay ka intezar karna.

AUD/USD H1 Chart

AUD/USD ke H1 time frame par, yeh currency pair is waqt aik trading range dikhai de raha hai jo market mein be-yaqeeni ke ahsas ko zahir karta hai. Yeh sideways movement, jahan price support aur resistance levels ke beech mein idhar udhar hoti hai, yeh dikhata hai ke na bullish aur na hi bearish forces ne abhi koi faisla karnay wali lead li hai. Market ek tawazun ki haalat mein lagta hai, jahan traders aur investors ek wazeh signal ke intazar mein hain taake apni aglay qadam ki rahanumaayi kar sakein. Yeh trading range aam tor par financial markets mein dekhi jati hai, khas tor par jab volatality kam ho ya jab market ke hissa lena walay muhim maashi data ya geo-siyasi taraqqi ka intezar kar rahe hon. AUD/USD ke case mein, yeh range-bound behavior mukhtalif asbaab ka nateeja ho sakta hai, jese ke aalmi maashi surat-e-haal se mutaliq gheir yaqeeni soorat, commodity ke prices mein utar chadhav, ya central banks se mutaliq aane wali elanaat. Yeh asbaab strong directional movement ki kami mein madadgar hain, jese traders long ya short position lene se gurez karte hain. Misal ke tor par, moving averages trading range ki taqat aur mumkin breakouts ko pehchanne mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain. H1 chart par moving averages ka flat ya converging pattern aam tor par consolidation ke period ko zahir karta hai, jabke in lines ka diverge hona ya cross hona trend ke tabdeel hone ki alamat ho sakta hai. Isi tarah, Bollinger Bands, jo market ki volatility ko naapte hain, breakout ke mumkin hone ke hawale se clues de sakte hain. Jab bands narrow hotay hain, to aam tor par iska matlab hota hai ke market ek mazeed bara move ke liye tayar ho raha hai, kyun ke low volatility ka period aksar ek teiz price movement se pehle hota hai.




Iss waqt hum AUD/USD currency pair ke live pricing ko decode karne ke amal mein hain. AUD/USD pair ne recent market turmoil ke dauran dosray commodity currencies ke behavior ki naqaal ki, aur arsa-e-muqarrar ke low 0.63493 ko chhoya, jab investors safe-haven assets ki taraf bhagne lagay. Lekin, yeh pair zyada dair tak is low par nahi raha, aur jaldi hi apne ibtadai level ke qareeb wapas aa gaya ussi din. H1 time frame chart par dekhte hue, Tuesday, August 7 ko aglay candle ne ek solid green top dikhaya. Better Volume indicator ne apne histogram par ek white bar ke saath is baat ko highlight kiya, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke bears ki hukoomat kamzor ho rahi hai aur bulls control sambhalna shuru kar rahe hain. Is signal ke mutabiq, pair ne hafta ki flat corridor 0.65652/0.64823 ko tor diya aur 38.2% Fibonacci level tak pohnch gaya. Agle hafte Australian dollar ki mazeed growth ki tawakku ki jaa rahi hai, jo mumkin hai ke 50.0% Fibonacci level tak pohnch jaye.

AUD/USD D1 Chart

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Australian Dollar (AUD) ko pichlay hafta US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein zameen hasil karne mein mushkilat ka saamna karna para, jiss ke nateeje mein yeh 0.6575 par band hui, jo ke 0.30% ki halka sa girawat thi. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke musalsal hawkish stance aur China ki tawakku se zyada strong inflation data ke bawajood, AUD ke liye apni recent trading range se bahar nikalna mushkil sabit hua. RBA ne mehngai par kadi nigraani barqarar rakhi hai aur zaroorat parne par mazeed rate hikes ke imkaanaat ka ishara diya hai. Governor Michelle Bullock ne iss hawkish lahje ko Thursday ko mazid taqviat di, aur bank ki taiyari ko ishaara diya ke woh mustahkam inflationary dabav ke khilaf karwai ke liye pur-azm hai. Iss hawkish rhetoric aur 2024 mein sirf 25 basis point rate cut ke RBA ke paishgoy se AUD ki downside potential mehdood hui hai. Dusri taraf, China ki maishat ne mazbooti ke asaar dikhaye jab July ke consumer price index (CPI) ne tawakkuat ko maatoo karte hue, saal ba saal 0.5% ki izafa dikhaya. Yeh data China, jo Australia ke liye ek ahm trade partner hai, mein aik taz ruku mandi ke hawale se paida hone walay khadshaat ko kam karta hai. Lekin, AUD par is ka musbat asar, aam maashi soorat-e-haal ke pechida hone ki wajah se kuch mehdood raha.




AUD/USD ne pichlay hafta khaas tor par Black Monday ki wajah se kafi volatility dekhi, jab Japanese stock market gir gayi aur doosre markets ko bhi saath le gayi. Commodities, jiss mein Aussie bhi shamil hai, sab se zyada mutaasir hue. Lekin, soorat-e-haal dramtic tor par ulat gayi aur hafta ke akhir mein chart par ek bara bullish pin bar ban gaya. Yeh pattern 0.6359 ke aas paas ke sloping support se rebound hone ke baad saamne aaya. Nateejaatan, aglay hafta tak yeh growth jari reh sakti hai, basharte ke pattern 0.6629 level ko tor de. Agar aisa hota hai, to mazeed growth inclined resistance ke qareeb 0.669 tak pohanch sakti hai. Agle hafte ka daromadar asar tor par Wednesday ke U.S. inflation statistics par hoga. Yeh pair ki recent girawat ascending channel ke nichle hadd tak nahi pohanchi thi, is liye yeh Monday se girna jari rakhegi, jiss ka mumkin hadaf 0.6552 hai. Is level tak pohanchne par girawat ruk sakti hai, jiss ke baad price mein tabdeeli aane aur upar ke taraf dhakelne ke imkaanaat hain.

Update Analysis of AUD/USD

Time frame H4:

AUD/USD pair ki movement ki dynamics dusre US dollar ke saath walay pairs se zyada mukhtalif nahi hain. Speculators US dollar ki girawat par khel rahe hain, jo ke khud hi hamari pair ke quotes ko mazbooti deta hai. Subah bakhair! Aapko ek acha din aur mazeed munafa kamane ki dua deta hun! Aaj Asian session ke doran, Reserve Bank of Australia ke aakhri meeting ki minutes jari ki gayi, lekin usmein koi nai maloomat nahi thi, isliye market ka rehaction dair rakha, aur AUD/USD pair ki movement ka asal driver abhi bhi US dollar hi hai.



Ab chaar ghantay ke chart par soorat-e-haal badal gayi hai. Aakhri do bearish candles ek janubi correction ki nishani ban sakti hain, lekin abhi tak main lambi pullback ki tawakku nahi kar raha. Bears apne aap ko 0.6702 ke support level par kaam karne tak mehdood rakh sakte hain, aur sirf neelay moving average se neeche wapas aane ke baad hi hum mukammal girawat ki tawakku kar sakte hain, jiss ke targets 0.6574 ke ilaqe mein hain. Agar bulls apni position ko 0.6702 ke level ke upar rakhte hain, to upward movement jaari rahegi aur aksar chances hain ke growth 0.6799 level tak mehdood na rahe, balki upar jaaye. Mere paas koi aur raasta nahi hai. Main sirf ek teer draw karta hoon taake US dollar ki mazbooti aur iske nateeje mein is pair ki qeemat mein girawat ko dikhaya ja sake. Haan, aaj is instrument ki qeemat barhi hai. Yeh 0.6695 tak barhi. 4-hour chart par hum abhi bhi MA200 moving average line ke upar trade kar rahe hain. Lekin hum aasan raaste nahi dhoond rahe hain! Resistance 0.6700 aur 0.6740 par hai. Support levels 0.6670 aur 0.6625 par hain. Dekhte hain kya hota hai.

AUD/USD Price Momentum

Humari behas AUD/USD currency pair ki mojooda price behavior ka tajziya karti hai. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke AUDUSD buyers abhi bhi active hain, chahe upward trend jari hai, jiss ki wajah se quotation movement vector mein tabdeeli aayi hai aur channel revision ki zaroorat pari hai. Yeh kuch ajeeb hai, kyun ke aaj ka market sakoon mein hai aur news ka zyada asar nahi hai. Shayad trading sessions ke tabdeel hone ke saath aaj baad mein kuch tabdeeli aaye, lekin abhi ke liye focus selling par hi hai. Local ascending regression channel ke ilaqe ko dekhte hue, sellers ka target lower boundary 0.6659 hoga, jo ke ek khaas dilchasp number hai. Agar sellers is level ko todne mein kamyab ho jate hain, to umeed ki ja rahi hai ke ek baray girawat dekhne ko milegi. Main abhi sirf local sales par hi gaur kar raha hoon aur kisi baray girawat ki tawakku nahi kar raha. Aayiye AUDUSD currency pair ki mojooda soorat-e-haal ka tajziya karte hain. Yeh asset ek local upward movement ka tajziya kar raha hai aur 0.6759 ke critical resistance range ko test karne ke liye tayar hai. Lekin, abhi ek long-term position lena mumkin nahi lagta kyun ke growth potential mehdood nazar aa raha hai.



Resistance range 0.6739 se 0.6759 ke darmiyan bohat aham hai, jo ek unbalanced zone ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Is liye, lower boundary of this resistance ko retest karte waqt ek short position li ja sakti hai. Trading algorithm ke mutabiq, stop loss pehle qareebi resistance level 0.6804 par rakha gaya tha. Is placement se jhooti breakouts se hifazat hoti hai aur risk ko minimize kiya jata hai. Order kholne par, kam se kam pehle support level 0.6649 tak girawat ki tawakku hai, jahan stop loss ko break even par set kiya jana chahiye taake position ko secure kiya ja sake. Initial profit target 0.6599 par hai, jahan partial profit liya jayega. Lekin, kyun ke 0.6599 support area pehle se retest ho chuka hai, mumkin hai ke aglay retest par yeh level tod diya jaye, jiss se ek mazeed girawat 0.6549 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Yahan potential mazboot hai, aur risk-to-reward ratio mutmin kun hai.