Gold

Gold ke prices haal hi mein 0.59% gir gaye hain. Is giravat ki wajah se hai ke US dollar mazboot ho gaya hai aur Treasury yields mein izafa hua hai. Ek mazboot US dollar doosri currencies istemal karne walon ke liye sona mehnga kar deta hai, jisse iski demand kam hoti hai. Isi tarah, zyada Treasury yields sona se behtar bonds ko banate hain, jisse investors ko bonds pasand aate hain.
Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman ke mazboot tajziyati khitab ke asar: Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman ne mazboot tajziyati taur par comments diye hain. Unhone yeh sujhav diya hai ke muddaton ke liye interest rates ko high rakhna ho sakta hai takay mahangai ko control kiya ja sake. Zyada interest rates se qarz lena mehnga ho jata hai, jo arzi tor par economic growth ko slow kar sakta hai aur sona ki demand ko kam kar sakta hai.

Federal Reserve's Lisa Cook ki mahangai ke baare mein pehli barri giravat ki tajziyat: Federal Reserve's Lisa Cook ne ek munsifana nazariya diya hai, jisme unhone pesh e nazar kiya hai ke mahangai agle saal mein kafi had tak kam ho sakti hai. Jab mahangai girati hai, tab cheezon aur khidmaton ke prices tezi se naheen badhte hain, jisse sona ke prices par asar pad sakta hai kyun ke logon ko lag sakta hai ke unki maal ki hifazat ke liye sona kharidne ki zaroorat kam hai.

US Conference Board ke mutabiq, consumer sentiment mein kami aa gayi hai. Log apne mustaqbil ke maali halat aur karobaar ke halaat ke baare mein kam umeedan hain. Jab consumer sentiment kam hota hai, tab aam tor par kharche mein kami aati hai, jo seedhi taur par arzi tor par economic mustehkamiyat ko mutasir karta hai. Is uncertainty mein logon ko aksar lagta hai ke turbulent waqt mein apne paisay ki hifazat ke liye sona jaise secure assey par zyada invest karna chahiye.

Daily frame mein, bechne wale support level 2284.00 par dabav mein hain jab ke sellers structure ke downside ko todne mein lage hue hain. Agar yeh level toot jaye to lambi correction ke liye selling opportunity dekhne ki talaash hogi. Dusri taraf, agar sona bechne wale dabav ko paar kar sake toh iske liye ek sakhtar scenario tashkeel diya jayega

Sonay ka market analaysis

Dhaanchay sonay ki keemat New York trading mein 2,320 dollar mark ke neeche girne ke baad phir se barh gayi aur report ki gayi 2,327.70 dollar per ounce, 0.06% barh gayi.

Sarmayakaron ne ab tak ke sab se naye inflation data ko digest kar rahe the United States mein, aur sonay ki keemat 2,325 dollar per ounce ke aas paas rahi. Agle Federal Reserve ki pasandida core inflation indicator ne sab se kam saalana rate since 2021 par rok diya. Ye ummeedon ko buland karta hai ke mooly vridhi nishchit dar tak nazdeek aa rahi hai aur ye ummeedon ko taawun karta hai ke Fed is saal do baar interest rates kam kar dega. Doosri central banks se interest rate cut ki ummeedon ne bhi sonay ki keemat ko support diya. Bank of England ko British amomi intekhabat ke baad interest rates kam karne ki ummeed hai, jab ke China ke Mulk-e-Khalq Bank (PBOC) ko mahangi tanzeemati taddabeer ko support karne ke liye interest rates mazeed kam karne ki umeed hai. Sarmayakaron ab U.S. rozgar report aur is hafte mein jaari kiye jane wale Federal Open Market Committee meeting ke minutes par tawajjo denge ta ke pata chal sake ke Fed ke interest rate cut ka waqt kab hai. Is ke ilawa, dunia ke doosre bara sonay istemal karne wale desh mein sonay ke liye fizai darkhwast kam thi jab ke sonay ki keemat barhti rahi.

Sonay ki keemat dusre mahine mein kareeb 5% aur saal ke pehle do mahine mein 14% barhti rahi, gold trading platform ke data ke mutabiq. Bade central banks ke qareeb hone waale interest rate cuts ke sath sona se aamdani ke qeemati assests rakhna zyada attractive ban gaya. Is ke ilawa maamooli sonay ki demand bade Asian central banks se, khaaskar People's Bank of China se, pehle do mahine mein sonay ki keemat ko buland kiya. Sonay ki keemat ne May mein 2,450 dollar per ounce tak record bulandiyon ko choo liya. U.S. economy mein Federal Reserve ki pasandida core inflation ka nizaam apna sab se kam saalana rate since 2021 tak gir gaya, ummeedon ko paida karte hue ke mooly vridhi apne nishchit dar ki taraf ja rahi hai aur ye umeedon ko support karta hai ke Fed is saal do baar interest rates kam karega.

Is ke ilawa, Donald Trump ko haal hi mein USA ke presidential debate ka jeetne wala dekha gaya, jo ke dollarko pehle session mein support deta hai kyun ke uske policies inflationary pressures ko fuel kar sakte hain. Federal Reserve ke dusre major central banks se policy mein pichhe rehne ke saath, dollarko asman tak chadhane ki umeed hai. June mein dollarko kareeb 1.2% upar jaane ki ummeed hai aur doosre mahine mein 1.3% barhne ki umeed hai. Is daur ke dauran mix data aur events ke sath, ye natije ab bhi zaroori manzar faraham karte hain ke Fed September mein rate cut cycle shuru kare, jo ke kareeb 70% market positions mein nazara aata hai. Is ke ilawa, benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury bond ki yielding second quarter ke shuru mein ke muqable mein rehne wali hai.

Sonay ki Technical Analysis

Rozana chart par, sonay ki keemat ab bhi neeche jaane ki taraf mael hai, aur bearon ka pehla target 2,300 dollar per ounce ka support level hai. Agar 2,300 dollar ke neeche break hua toh agli sab se important support level 2,285 aur 2,270 dollar per ounce hoga, aur hum is level se sonay ko beghair risk ke khareedne ka irada rakhte hain.

Doosri taraf, agar sonay ki keemat 2,355 dollar per ounce ke resistance level ke upar stabilize hoti hai, toh yeh bullish trend ko control karne ke liye bulls ko encourage karega. Ant mein, hum ab bhi har neeche ke level par sona khareedne ka irada rakhte hain.

XAU/USD pair ka jaiza

US dollar ke faiz ko rokna ne sonay ke daam ko mazeed bulandi tak pohnchaya, jahan munaafi me $2344 per ounce ke resistance level tak pohancha, jab taqreban yeh tajzia likhne ke waqt, jo do hafton ke ooncha tareen daam hai. Iski mazeed izafat ruk gayi jab takreban sabar kar rahe thay mazeed amreeki maali data aur Federal Reserve ke afraad ke bayanat ke liye, jo amreeki interest rate ke raaste par isharaat ke liye the. Ahem point yeh hain ke Federal Reserve ke chairman Jerome Powell ke aane wale taqreer, sath hi FOMC ki meeting ke minutes jo budh ko aur amreeki non-farm payrolls report jo jumma ko jaari honge, in par roshni daalne ki umeed hai.

Is dauran, guzishta din jaari maaloomaat ne sonay ke daamo ko thora sa support diya, jab ISM Manufacturing PMI June mein teesri maheenay se mushtail hua, aur US factories ke input ke daamo ka ek measure chhe maheenon ke kamzor tareen level tak gir gaya, jis se yeh nishaan milta hai ke mahangai jari rah sakti hai. Europe mein, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde ne kaha ke central bank ko mahangai ko 2% ke rukh ki taraf janay mein mazeed waqt ki zaroorat hai, aur interest rate cuts ki jaldi nahi hai.

Sonay ke market par asar andaz hone wale factors ke samne. US dollar index ne martes ko 105.9 ke aas paas stabil ho gaya, jab ke pehle session mein 105.43 tak gir gaya tha, strong Treasury yields se support mil raha hai jo analysts ne samjha ke sarkari qarz mein izafa ke natijay mein ho raha hai, Donald Trump ke doosre daur ki mumkinat ke roshni mein. Trading ke mutabiq, US standard 10-year yield taqreeban 4.45% par mushtamil hai, aur yeh apne aakhri maheenay ke unchi satah ke qareeb trading kar raha hai. Somwar ko, US dollar pressure mein tha jab amreeki manufacturing activity mein tezi se girawat ne Federal Reserve ke interest rates ko kam karne ki dalil mazboot ki. Forex market trading ke mutabiq... US dollar ne euro, British pound aur Australian dollar ke khilaaf kuch nuqsan wapis liye, jabke woh New Zealand dollar, yuan aur yen ke khilaf mazbooti jari rakhta raha. Japani currency ne apni tezi se girawat ke baad 38 saalon ki kamzori tak pohanchi hai, jab ke carry trade ka rangi mazbooti se kaam liya ja raha hai.

Sonay ke market par doosra asar... US 10-year Treasury yields taqreeban aik maheenay ki unchi satah ke qareeb hain.

Trading ke mutabiq, US 10-year Treasury bonds ki yield martes ko taqreeban 4.44% tak gir gayi, lekin ek maheenay ki unchi satah ke qareeb bani rahi, jab ke pichle haftay ke debate aur Supreme Court ke faislay ke natijay mein, jis mein qabal ke presidents ko jurm ke khilaf baqa milne ki wus'at mili, aur pichle President Donald Trump ke doosre daur ke imkaanat. Pehle ke presidents ke doosre daur ko mahangai ke roop mein dekha ja raha hai, jis mein tax cuts, immigration policy ke mazboot ho jana aur import tariffs barhane se ho sakta hai. Isi dauran, investors ne Federal Reserve ke monetary policy outlook ko evaluate karna jari rakha, May mein kamzor PCE inflation reading aur June mein kamzor tareen ISM manufacturing PMI ke mutabiq.

Sona
Aap ne jo tasveer faraham ki hai woh sonay ki M30 (30-minute) time frame par trading chart dikhata hai. Yahan chart ke aham tafsiliyat darj hain:

1. Qeemati Data: Chart sonay ki qeemati sair ko candlesticks ke zariye darshata hai, har 30-minute doraan ke liye open, high, low aur close qeematein dikhate hue.

2. Moving Averages: Yahan do moving averages nazar aate hain:

• Lal Line: Aam tor par choti muddat ke liye moving average ko darshata hai.
• Neela Line: Aam tor par lambi muddat ke liye moving average ko darshata hai.

Is waqt, lal line 5-period moving average aur neela line 10-period moving average ko darshata hai.

3. RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI indicator 51.49 par hai. Yeh oscillator 0 se 100 tak range rakhta hai aur overbought ya oversold halat ko pehchanne ke liye istemal hota hai. RSI 70 se oopar usually overbought aur 30 se neeche oversold consider kiya jata hai.

4. Stochastic Oscillator: Stochastic indicator %K aur %D lines ko 34.26 aur 35.32 par dikhata hai. Yeh ek aur momentum indicator hai jo ek khaas band closing price ko us ke muddat ke prices ke range se mawazna karne ke liye istemal hota hai. 80 se oopar ke values aam tor par overbought conditions ko zahir karte hain, jabke 20 se kam values oversold conditions ko dikhate hain.

5. Volume: Chart ke neeche volume bars transactions ya trade ke volume ko har 30-minute doraan dikhate hain. Zyada volume bars zyada taqatwar qeemat ki harkat ko dikhate hain.

6. Sell Signal: Chart par ek sell order (#1130813621) note hai jo ek mukarar qeemat par trade shuru hone ki soorat hai.

Indicators ke mabain:

• RSI 51.49 ke aas paas neutral hai.
• Stochastic Oscillator bhi nisbatan neutral hai lekin neeche ki taraf trend hai, jo bearish momentum ko zahir karta hai.
• Qeemat abhi moving averages ke neeche hai, jo bhi ek bearish trend ko ishara kar sakta hai.

Lagta hai ke aap is chart ko technical indicators ke buniyad par buy ya sell ke imkaanat ke tajziya kar rahe hain. Agar aap ke paas khas sawalat hain ya mazeed tajziya ki zaroorat hai, to zaroor puchhein!

JPY Technical & Fundamental Analysis: EUR/JPY currency pair ab mojooda dor mein aik mazboot upward trend ke andar aik wapas ja raha hai. Kam arsay, darmiyani, aur lambi dor ke doran ye upward trend dekha gaya hai. Haal hi mein giravat ke bawajood, mahir yeh samajhte hain ke yeh wapas ja raha hai mumkin hai aur 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) par support mil sakta hai. EUR/JPY ne qaaim tor par izafa kiya hai, mukhtalif doron mein bullish signals dikhate hue. Ye mustaqil upward movement Euro ko Japani Yen ke khilaf mazbooti dikhata hai. Magar, mojooda market mein thori giravat dekhi ja rahi hai, jo ke trend mein tabdeeli ke bajaye aik natural wapas ja rahi hai. 100-day SMA aik ahem technical indicator hai jo aksar ek uptrend mein pullback ke doran support level ke tor par kaam karta hai. Jab EUR/JPY is level ke qareeb hota hai, traders tawajjo se dekh rahe hote hain ke kya support qaim rahega. Pichle dino mein, 100-day SMA ne mazboot support faraham kiya hai, keemat ko phir se barhne mein madad karte hue aur overall bullish trend jaari rakha hai. Short term mein, EUR/JPY mein mazeed giravat ka koi baraasb nahi hai. Charts bullish trend ko dikhate hain, jo ke mojooda pullback ko aik acha buying opportunity bana sakta hai. Jab pair support dhoondta hai aur recover karna shuru karta hai, to uptrend jari rahne ki sambhavna hai, haal ki maheenon ki musbat momentum ko barqarar rakhte hue. EUR/JPY ke strong uptrend ke doran wapas ja raha hai, lekin yeh giravat wapas jaane ka intezar hai. 100-day SMA aik ahem support level hai jo mojooda downward movement ko rok sakta hai. Overall bullish trend ke sath, pair mein kisi bhi kamzori ki sambhavna kam hai, jo ke traders ko Euro ki mazbooti ke doraan faida uthane ka ek moqa banata hai. Investors aur traders ko dekhna chahiye ke EUR/JPY 100-day SMA ke sath kis tarah ka amal karta hai, taake unko agle qadmon ki aham maloomat mil sake. Aam nazar, musbat hai, jo ke pullback ke baad uptrend jari rahega.
Sonay ki keemat barhti hai, record levels $2,260 ke qareeb. Qeemati dhaat ne pehli lifetime high $2,223 ko tor kar taqriban mehsool kiya. Aur zyada potential upar ki taraf barh sakta hai Sonay ki keemat jo ke unhindered territory mein trade ho rahi hai. Short-to-long term ke Outstanding Moving Averages (EMAs) taj rahen hain, strong short term demand ke ishara dete hue.
14 dino ka Relative Strength Index (RSI) 78.00 ke qareeb mojood hai, ek taqat ki jagah indication hai. Magar, keemat aur RSI ke darmiyan zahir hone wale ikhtalaf aur overbought levels ko correction mein lanay tak pohnch sakta hai

Sonay
Aap ne jo tasveer faraham ki hai woh sonay ki M30 (30-minute) time frame par trading chart dikhata hai. Yahan chart ke aham tafsiliyat darj hain:

1. Qeemati Data: Chart sonay ki qeemati sair ko candlesticks ke zariye darshata hai, har 30-minute doraan ke liye open, high, low aur close qeematein dikhate hue.

2. Moving Averages: Yahan do moving averages nazar aate hain:

• Lal Line: Aam tor par choti muddat ke liye moving average ko darshata hai.
• Neela Line: Aam tor par lambi muddat ke liye moving average ko darshata hai.

Is waqt, lal line 5-period moving average aur neela line 10-period moving average ko darshata hai.

3. RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI indicator 51.49 par hai. Yeh oscillator 0 se 100 tak range rakhta hai aur overbought ya oversold halat ko pehchanne ke liye istemal hota hai. RSI 70 se oopar usually overbought aur 30 se neeche oversold consider kiya jata hai.

4. Stochastic Oscillator: Stochastic indicator %K aur %D lines ko 34.26 aur 35.32 par dikhata hai. Yeh ek aur momentum indicator hai jo ek khaas band closing price ko us ke muddat ke prices ke range se mawazna karne ke liye istemal hota hai. 80 se oopar ke values aam tor par overbought conditions ko zahir karte hain, jabke 20 se kam values oversold conditions ko dikhate hain.

5. Volume: Chart ke neeche volume bars transactions ya trade ke volume ko har 30-minute doraan dikhate hain. Zyada volume bars zyada taqatwar qeemat ki harkat ko dikhate hain.

6. Sell Signal: Chart par ek sell order (#1130813621) note hai jo ek mukarar qeemat par trade shuru hone ki soorat hai.

Indicators ke mabain:

• RSI 51.49 ke aas paas neutral hai.
• Stochastic Oscillator bhi nisbatan neutral hai lekin neeche ki taraf trend hai, jo bearish momentum ko zahir karta hai.
• Qeemat abhi moving averages ke neeche hai, jo bhi ek bearish trend ko ishara kar sakta hai.

Lagta hai ke aap is chart ko technical indicators ke buniyad par buy ya sell ke imkaanat ke tajziya kar rahe hain. Agar aap ke paas khas sawalat hain ya mazeed tajziya ki zaroorat hai, to zaroor puchhein!

1. Sona aksar ek safe-haven maal ki hesiyat se samjha jata hai, jiska matlab hai ke yeh maal aam tor par arthik anishchitata ya siyasi bay-tukkaliyat ke dauran qeemat mein izafa karne ki tendency rakhta hai. Is wajah se yeh behtar pasandeeda hota hai un investors ke liye jo apne portfolio ko mukhtalif karna aur market ki achanak ravaan dhar mein apni raksha karna chahte hain.

2. Sona doosre maal ki classes jaise ke stocks aur bonds se kam taaluq rakhta hai, is tarah yeh amooman portfolio ke kul risk ko kam karne ka kaaragar tareeqa hai. Is taaluq ki kami ki wajah se sonay ke prices doosre maliyat markets ke baghair bhi alag tareekay se move kar sakte hain, jisse mukhtalif hone ki faide mandi hoti hai.

3. Sona ke paas tareekhi record hai ke yeh lambay arsay tak apni qeemat ko qaim rakhne mein kamyab raha hai. Is ki bunyadi kam raqs aur mehdood supply ki wajah se, sath hi sath yeh universally accepted currency aur qeemat ki hifazat karne wala maal ke darje mein hai.

4. Sona ke prices ko mukhtalif factors par asar parta hai, jaise ke biaaj dar, mahangi, currency ki harkat, aur siyasi wakaiaat. Iska matlab hai ke sona ek naram aur be-lata'at market ho sakta hai, jahan prices amooman global arthik aur siyasi manzar mein tabdeeliyon ke tezi se react karte hain.

5. Technical analysis sonay ke market mein traders ke darmiyan wase spread hai taake woh trends, patterns aur trade ke liye potential entry aur exit points ko identify kar saken. Aam taur par istemal hone wale technical indicators sonay ke trading mein moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), aur Fibonacci retracements shamil hain.

6. Sona global spot market mein around the clock trade hota hai, jahan sab se active trading hours aam tor par Asian aur European sessions ke dauran hotay hain. Yeh 24-hour market traders ko din ya raat ke kisi bhi waqt price movements se faida uthane ki ijazat deta hai.

7. Sona ko aik variety ke financial instruments ke zariye trade kiya ja sakta hai, jaise ke futures contracts, options, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), aur over-the-counter (OTC) contracts. Is se traders ko sonay ke market mein exposure hasil karne aur price movements se faida uthane ke liye mukhtalif tareeqay moujood hote hain.

Gold Ki Technical Analysis
Pichlay trading haftay mein, gold ne apni pehli price levels ke kareeb trade continue rakha lekin lower limit test karnay ke baad upward accelerate kar gaya. Price girti hui 2288 level tak pohanch gayi thi, magar phir se support milne par rebound karke ek upward trend start ho gaya. Is tarah, expected declines ka sequence kabhi materialize nahi hua. Is ke ilawa, price chart green supertrend zone mein move kar gayi, jo buyer activity ko indicate karta hai.

Aaj ki technical forecast suggest karti hai ke consolidation ho sakta hai kyun ke trading current level 2340 par major resistance ke neeche ho rahi hai, jo ke 240-minute chart pe 23.60% Fibonacci retracement aur 50-day high ko represent karta hai. Simple moving average fluctuations ke upar trade kar rahi hai. Is tarah, bearish trend sab se ziada popular hai agar price 2317 se neeche break kar ke support karke 2300 aur agla official level 2272 ki taraf resumption ko support kare. Yad rahe, trade stability aur key resistance level 2340 ke upar fresh pullback price ko higher turn hone se rok sakta hai, jis ka initial target 2345 aur phir 2357 hoga. Chart dekhain:




Prices is waqt weekly highs se moderately rise ho rahi hain. Key resistance zone strong pressure aur dynamic mein hai, aur upward breakout zyada likely hai, jo preferred vector ko bottom se top ki taraf change karne ko justify karta hai. Quotes ko current price area 2325 ke neeche consolidate karna hoga, jo ke main support area ke border par hai. Is area ka ek aur retest aur bounce ek aur higher move ki raah hamwaar karega, jo 2377 aur 2407 ke area ko target karega.

Support ke neeche break aur 2288 pivot level ke neeche move current scenario ka reversal signal karega.

XAU/USD: Range Main Bandh Kar Breakout Ka Muntazir: XAU/USD pair, jo sona (XAU) aur US dollar (USD) ke darmiyan tabdeeli dar miqdar ko numayan karta hai, ab ek consolidation phase mein hai, jisme woh ahem takneeki levels ke darmiyan trade kar raha hai. Yeh range-bound movement 2380+ par ek support level aur 2400 par ek resistance level dwara define ki gayi hai. Is band ke andar ke price action ne ek neutral stance hasil kiya hai, jabke market participants ek breakout ka intezar kar rahe hain jo sonay ke liye agla directional move tay karega.

Maujooda Market Manzar:
Sonay ka market tez taur par barhti hui instability se nazar aata hai, mukhtalif global iqtisadi factors ke bais, jinmein inflation ke shoubhat, central bank policies aur intehai tensions shamil hain. In dynamics ke bawajood, XAU/USD pair upar zikr kiye gaye levels ke andar band hai, jo traders aur investors ke darmiyan ek phase e raye ko zahir karta hai. Yeh scenario yeh nazroni hai ke dono bulls aur bears ek naye trend ke liye commit karne se pehle ek zyada wazeh signal ka intezar kar rahe hain.

Technical Analysis
2380+ par Support: Yeh level mukhtalif bar test kiya gaya hai aur yeh ek mazboot support zone saabit hua hai. Agar price is support level ko breach karti hai, to yeh maloom hota hai ke bullish trend ka muzar mizaaj hai, jo 2400 ke upar levels ko target kar sakta hai. 2380+ par support ki ahmiyat hai kyunki yeh ek psychological rukawat bhi darust karta hai, jahan se agar breach hota hai to yeh significant buying interest ko trigger kar sakta hai.

2400 par Resistance: Upar ka raasta par, 2400 par resistance zaruri level hai jo closely monitor karna chahiye. Is resistance ko paar karna ek taqatwar rally ki base banayega, jo mukhtalif 2390+ levels tak pohonch sakti hai qareebi arsay mein. Yeh resistance level bhi ahem hai kyunki yeh aik potential area ko mark karta hai jahan se sellers market mein dobara shamil ho sakte hain, jo upward movement par pressure dalta hai.

Market Sentiment aur Strategy
Maujooda neutral position ke baab jhar, traders ko in ahem levels ko tawajja se monitor karna chahiye. Support ya resistance ke breach aam tor par XAU/USD pair ke agli targets ko zyada wazeh tor par define karega.
Bullish Scenario: 2380+ support level ke niche ka break XAU/USD ko oopar dabaega, mainly 2400+ ko target karke. Yeh scenario gold market mein taza taqat ka nazar aana darust karega, jo maamoolan barh rahi safe-haven demand ya kamzor US dollar ke wajah se.

Bearish Scenario: Ulti, 2400 ke resistance ko paar karna XAU/USD ke mazid izafe ke darwaze ko kholega takay qareebi arsay mein 2390+ tak pohonch sake. Yeh scenario yeh ishara karega ke bullish momentum traction hasil kar raha hai, shayad faidaymand iqtisadi data ya central banks ki zyada accommodating stance ke wajah se.

Nateeja
XAU/USD pair ek narrow trading range mein reh raha hai. Market participants ko neutral stance barqarar rakhne ki salahiyat deni chahiye jab tak 2380+ support ya 2400 resistance se break out na ho jaye. Aise ek breakout ek wazeh raah aur sonay ke prices mein agle significant move ke liye potential targets faraham karega. Us waqt tak, market mukhtalif poshida raaye ka samajhne ke liye muqarar rehta hai jab traders taqreeban evolving economic landscape ka jaeza lete hain.

XAU/USD: Range Mein Phansa Hua Breakout Ka Intizar:

XAU/USD pair, jo sona (XAU) aur US dollar (USD) ke darmiyan tajaweez ka nisbat ko darsha karta hai, ab taalukaat mein mohtaj phase mein hai, ahem technical levels ke darmiyan trade kar raha hai. Yeh range-bound movement 2380+ per ek support level aur 2400 per ek resistance level ke darmiyan makhsoos hai. Is band ke andar ke price action ne market ke participants ko ikhtilaaf ki halat mein chhoda hai, jab tak market ek breakout ka intizar kar rahi hai jo sona ke liye agla rukh mukarrar kar sakta hai.


Maujooda Market Manzar:

Sonay ke market ko mukhtalif global ma'ashi factors ke wajah se buland taweelat ki taraf se phechan di gayi hai, jo ke inflaton ke shobdaar, central bank policies aur sa'ee halat ka shewa hai. Muttasir isyaad se bhi XAU/USD pair mu****l levels ke darmiyan mehdood hai, jo darshata hai ke traders aur investors mein ek naye trend ke liye commitment karne se pehle tawanayon ka intizar hai. Yeh manzar darshata hai ke tantoos aur baaz dono ek saaf signal ke liye intizar kar rahe hain.


Technical Tahlil:

2380+ per Support: Yeh level mukhtalef martaba imtehaan hui hai aur aham support zone hone ka saboot diya hai. Agar price is support level ko tor deti hai, to yeh mumkin hai ke bullish trend ka continuation signal hoga, jise 2400 ke upar ke levels ki taraf rehanuma banaya ja sakta hai. 2380+ per support aham hai kyunke yeh bhi ek nafsiyati daman hai, jahan ek torne se ke barabar mein, yeh bohot se market participants ke liye ek rekhta ka kaam karta rehta hai.

2400 per Resistance*: Upar ke taraf, 2400 per resistance aik pivotal level hai jo dekha jaye. Agar is resistance ko tor dete hain to ye badi raily le jayega, 2390+ tak najdik hone ki taraf. Yeh resistance level bhi aham hai kyunke yeh ek area darust karta hai jahan bechnewala market mein dobara dakhil ho sakta hai, jo upar ke movement par dabao dalta hai. 2400 level market ki bullish himmat ki jaanch hai, jahan isse nikalna sarasar tezi ko kholt ahai, upar ke prices ke liye banye ki rastein kholega.


Market Sentiment aur Strategy:

Jazbat se door hone ke bawajood, traders se mashwara hai ke ye key levels ko qareeb se moniter karen. Kisi bhi support ya resistance ke tor kar baad shayad XAU/USD pair ke next targets ko zahir karain. Market ka jazbatht kaafi ihtiyati nazar araha hai, participants kisi bhi rukh mein poora aqeeda nahi kar rahay jab tak ek saaf breakout na ho.


Bullish Scenario: 2380+ support level ka tor sonar tre mein XAU/USD ko ubharnay ka dabao banaye ga, mainly 2400+ tak. Yeh scenario sonay market mein nai mazbooti ka ahem asar dikhata hai, jise mazeed safe-haven demand ya ek kamzor US dollar ka sabab banaya ja sakta hai. Worsening geopolitical tensions ya major central banks ka significant dovish shifts include karte hue ye escenario catalyz e karne wale factors hain, jo safety ki taraf ur jane ki taraf le jate hain.

Bearish Scenario*: Ultay, 2400 per resistance ko torne se XAU/USD ke barqarar hone ka rasta khul jayega, nazdeeki doram tak 2390+ tak puhanchne ki taraf. Yeh scenario yeh darshata hai ke bullish momentum traction hasil kar rah hai, shayed economic data ya central banks ki zyada tawaja pasandi ke sabab se. Is escenario mein barqarar honay wale iqtisadi phelao ya misal se zyada result expect karne walay iqtisadi shumarat sona par neechay dabaav dalte hain.


Nateeja:

XAU/USD pair ek halat mein hai jahan takaza hai, ek tang trading range ke andar mufassal hai. Market participants ko 2380+ support ya 2400 resistance se ek breakout ke intizar mein apni neutral position ko barqarar rakhna chahiye. Aise breakout se ek zahir rukh aur gold prices ke agle marziyat ke liye potential targets ko mukammal karne ka daromadar hota hai.
Is waqt tak, market ko traders ke liye continued consolidation ka samna karne wala hai jab tak un economic peyz manzar ko tashweesh se nazr andaaz kar rahe hain. Sabar aur chowkannaai is darmiani marhale ke doran zaroori hain, kyunki agla significant rukh gold ke price me nazdik hal tukat hoga.

XAU/USD: Range Mai Chipka Hua Breakout Ka Intizar:

XAU/USD pair, jo sona (XAU) aur US dollar (USD) ke darmiyan exchange rate ko darust karti hai, ab ek consolidation phase mein hai, jo significant technical levels ke darmiyan trade kar rahi hai. Ye range-bound movement 2380+ par ek support level aur 2400 par ek resistance level se define ki gayi hai. Is band ke andar price action ne ek neutral stance ko result kiya hai, jab ke market participants ek breakout ka intizar kar rahe hain jo sonay ke aglay directional move ko tay karega.

Mojooda Market Ki Haalat:

Sonay ka market mukhtalif global economic factors ke bais izafa shuda volatility se charha hua hai, jin mein inflation ke shikayat, central bank policies, aur saqafati tensions shamil hain. In dynamics ke bawajood, XAU/USD pair upar diye gaye levels ke andar mahdood hai, jo traders aur investors ke darmiyan ek phase of indecision ko zahir karta hai. Ye scenario ye dikhata hai ke dono bulls aur bears ek naye trend mein shamil hone se pehle ek saaf signal ka intizar kar rahe hain.

Kai contributing factors market ki mojooda halat par asar dal rahe hain. Inflation, jo caroron mein fiat currencies ki purchasing power ko kam karti hai, aksar sonay ki demand ko barhane ke liye kaam aati hai. Central bank policies, khaaskar interest rates se mutalliq woh policies, bhi ek bari role play karte hain. Kam interest rates sona jese non-yielding assets ko hold karne ke opportunity cost ko kam karte hain, jis se sonay ki keemat barh sakti hai. Saqafati tensions bhi sonay ki appeal ko safe-haven asset ke tor par barha sakti hain. Lekin ye bullish drivers ab mazboot US dollar aur potential interest rate hikes ke bais barabar hone par hain, jo market mein ek band reh jaati hai.

Technical Analysis:

Support at 2380+: Ye level kai martaba test kiya gaya hai aur yeh ek mazboot support zone ke tor par sabit hua hai. Agar price is support level ko paar karta hai, to yeh zahir karta hai ke bullish trend ka continuation hoga, jise 2400 ke upar level target kar sakta hai. 2380+ par support crucial hai kyun ke yeh ek psychological barrier ko represent karta hai, jahan agar breach hota hai to yeh significant buying interest ko trigger kar sakta hai. Is support level ki mukarrar test karne ne iske ahmiyat ko underscore kiya hai, jo ke bohot se market participants ke liye ek line in the sand ka kaam karta hai.

Resistance at 2400: Upar ki taraf, 2400 par resistance ek critical level hai jo dekhne layak hai. Is resistance ko paar karne se ek successful breakout bari rally ka pehlu bana sakti hai, jise qareebi doran 2390+ tak extend kiya ja sakta hai. Ye resistance level bhi significant hai kyun ke yeh ek potential area ko mark karta hai jahan sellers market mein dobara enter kar sakte hain, jo upward movement par dabao daal sakta hai. 2400 level market ke bullish resolve ke liye ek litmus test ka kaam karta hai, jahan isko overcome karna higher prices ke liye gates ko khole sakta hai.

Sonay ke daamon ki keemat early Asian trading mein gir gayi aur ab wo $2,321 per ounce ke qareeb hai. Ye giravat mukhtalif global ma'ashi aur siyasi wakaion ki wajah se aayi hai jo market sentiment par asar dal rahi hain. Magar bulls ne ek uthati hui jaal banayi aur 15 minute ke chart mein 34 exponential moving averages ki taraf band kardi.
Mukhtalif Wajoohat


Ek ahem factor latest US inflation data hai. Amrika mein rupai ke mool keemat mein kami aayi hai jis se wo teen saalon se zyada ki minimum barasat tak pohanch gayi hai. Ye kami bohot se logon ke liye aik rehnumai hai jo darust hui keemat mein rafah sharah ka brake aagaya hai. Kam inflation ke saath, sonay ki maang bhi kam hoti hai jaise keemat barhne ka hifazati asbab, jis ne maujooda sonay ke daamon par asar dikhaya hai.

Darmiyaan Mashriqi Asia mein Tashadud aur Siyasi Ghumshudgi
Mashriqi Asia mein Geopolitical masail bhi ahem hain. Chalne wale tanazur aur tawazun mein beinteha soorat ishtiqal ke jadeed ilaqon mein ansaniyat shakhsiyat paida karte hain, jo ajza ke daanon mein keemat ki charkhiyon mein tabdeeli ko janam dete hain, jisme sona bhi shamil hai. Iss ke ilawa, France ke parlimentary intikhaabat ke girish hone wale siyasi ghair-yakeeni mein thokar lagti hai. Ye ghair-yakeeniyat aam tor par sona jese safe haven assets ke taraf kar deti hai, lekin maujooda US inflation ki kaifiyat ka khaas asar hota hai, jo daam kam karta hai.

Asar US Dollar par


Ye factors US dollar par bhi asar daalte hain. Greenback mashriqi Asia mein jhulte hote hain, mashriqi Asia ke tanaav aur France mein siyasi ghair-yakeeni se. Kamzor dollar aam tor par sonay ke daamon ko madad karti hai, aur dusri currencies ke malikon ke liye sona sasta banati hai. Magar maujooda halat dikhate hain ke US inflation ki kami ka zyada bharosa hai, jo aam tor par kamzor dollar ke asar ko shadeed kar deta hai.

Trading Strategy:


Early Asian trading mein sonay ke daamon ne $2,321 per ounce ke qareeb giravat dekhi. Ye US mein kami aane wale inflation, teen saalon se zyada ki minimum barasat ke mutalliq hai, aur Geopolitical tashadud Mashriqi Asia mein aur siyasi ghair yaqeeni France mein, jo US dollar par asar dalti hain. Ye factors duniya bhar ke markets ki piraktik tabiyyat aur commodity ke daamon par jald nazar andaz krte hain. Technical nazar mein, RSI kaafi acha nazir aa raha hai. Sonay ne achi support paai hai 2295.00 par aur 2340.00 ke qareeb ulta kar liya. Agar qeemat 2240 k horizontal line ko tooti to humain khareedne ka mauqa milega. Dosri taraf, agar qeemat EMA-34 ke neeche lauti to short selling ka mauqa hoga

Parallel mein, XAU/USD pair ne trading dynamics mein tabdeeli dekhi jab pound ne D1 pivot level 2270+ ko tor diya. Is aham harkat ne market ko sales ke liye khol diya, jo ke potential trend reversal ya consolidation phase ki taraf ishara karti hai. Jab tak ye pair pivot level se neechay trade kar raha hai, consolidation ho rahi hai, jo market ke stabilize hone se pehle apni aglay harkat ka faisla lene ka sign hai. Filhal, XAU/USD najdi support 2400 ke qareeb hai. Agar ye support level barqarar nahi reh sakti, to mazeed girawat ka significant chance hai. Tawajju ab target range 2385-2395 par hai, jahan reduction ki umeed hai. Ye target range ek rolling level ke tor par kaam karti hai, jahan traders expect karte hain ke price fluctuate hogi pehle ke stabilze ya decline ho. Pivot level ke neeche consolidation aur 2400 ke qareeb support critical technical factors hain jo market participants madde nazar rakhe huye hain. Agar 2400 ke qareeb support barqarar rehti hai, to ye rebound ke liye strong base ka kaam kar sakti hai, mumkin hai ke resistance levels 2390 ke ooper dobara test kiye jayein. Lekin, agar ye support tor jati hai to selling pressure barh sakta hai, aur prices neeche significant support zones ki taraf ja sakti hain. XAU/USD mein price movements gold market ki dynamic nature ko reflect karti hain, jo ke economic data releases, jaise ke NFP, se heavily influenced hain. D1 pivot level ka tootna aur uske neeche consolidation market ke halat ko highlight karte hain. Traders support level 2400 ko closely dekh rahe hain, target range 2385-2395 ko short term mein pivotal samjha ja raha hai. Kya price is range mein stabilize karegi ya neeche todegi, yeh abhi dekhna baqi hai, lekin technical aur fundamental indicators significant movements ka ishara dete hain near term mein. Anjaam paate hue economic conditions aur market sentiment XAU/USD ke direction ko aane wale trading sessions mein tay karne mein crucial role ada karenge.

pichlay hafta ke trading ke douran girta raha, aur aik aur local level par pohanch gaya. Ibtida main price ooper janay ki koshish ki, aur 2358 ke level par upper limit ko break kiya, magar wo gain karke wahaan qaim nahi reh saka. Price sharp turn lekar girnay lagi aur 2288 ke level par ruk gayi, jo ke significant support provide kar rahi thi. Yeh target area ko mark karne aur kaam jaari rakhne ka moqa deti hai. Is doran, price chart largely supertrending red zone main hai, jo indicate karta hai ke sellers ab bhi control main hain. Aaj ke technical analysis ke perspective se, 4-hour chart par dekhain to, kal jo uptrend shuru hui thi, uske bawajood 50-day simple moving average ab bhi price par upward pressure daal raha hai, jo ke shuruwat ka aik acha signal hai. Momentary consolidation 2318 ke support ke uper, upside potential ko support karta hai aur bullish scenario ko activate karta hai. Hamein current trading level 2340 ka clear break dekhna hoga aur sab se important, key resistance level 2360 ko break karna hoga, jo higher price value ko indicate karega. Agar 2360 ko break nahi kiya gaya, aur 2318 ke level se neechay break hua to target 2272 ke qareeb hoga, jo bearish correction ke liye strong reason ban sakta hai aur bearish pattern ke aur negative consequences ko lead kar sakta hai. Sonay ka lamba arsa ka level mutmaen tor par $2,029 ke oopar rehne wala hai, us se bhi nahi ponchega. Resistance baelon ke samne hai (investors jo keemat ka izafa ummed karte hain), jabke mazboot bearish jazba hai (keemat mein kami ummed karte hain). Agar ye trend jaari rahe to hum shayad jald hi aur kami dekhein. Lekin baelon ne bilkul har nahi mani hai; unka abhi bhi bazaar mein kuch asar hai. Sonay ki keemat ko agle haftay se shuru hone wale khabron ka asar hoga. Main umeed karta tha ke keemat Jumma ko $2,326 se wapas aayegi, lekin sirf $2,348 tak pohanchi phir ulta ruk gayi. Is kamzor izafe ke bunyadi par, ye mukhtalif ho sakta hai. Agle haftay, ek neeche ki taraf ka trend phir shuru ho sakta hai $2,320 ke neeche girne ke saath. Jumma ko support breach ki koshish nakam rahi, is liye $2,285 aur $2,265 ke maqasid agle haftay ke liye abhi bhi qabil-e-ejaz hain. Ek ahem correction cycle agar ye do support levels qareeb hain to $2,356 tak pahunch sakta hai. Agar support qaim rehta hai, to keemat shayad phir se $2,356 ko paar karne ki koshish kare, phir agla neeche ki taraf ka dhakka agar $2,320 mumkin hai. $2,380 (resistance) ko paar karne se, keemat ka ikhtiyar $2,417 aur shayad $2,454 ki taraf ho sakta hai. Agle haftay ke ikhtitami tak, ye manzar mujhe $2,268 par farokht karne ka behtareen mauqa de sakta hai. Sonay ki mustaqbil ke baare mein tanhai hai.
Magar, ghanton aur 15-minute charts par aane wale US trading session mein nuqsan ke imkaanat ka ishara hai. Bearish rising wedge pattern ka breakout batata hai ke bearish trend ka jari rahna, jo keh raha hai ke bechne wale market mein dominaat hain. Is ke ilawa, 15-minute chart par MACD bearish signals dikhata hai jahan histogram manfi alaqay mein hai, jo 2313.40 ke qareeb support level tak nuqsan ke imkaanat ko tasdeeq karta hai.
Ikhtisar mein, kuch technical indicators aur daam harkaton ke bunyadiye par bullish nazar hai, lekin traders ko bechne wale manzar ke imkaanat ke liye bhi tayar rehna chahiye, khaas tor par breakout patterns aur MACD signals jo nichle dabaav ki tasdeeq karte hain. In factors ko nazdeek se mutalia karna sonay ke market mein maeeshatik faislay mein sahihari aur mustafeed hota hai.

US dollar ki kamzori ne sonay ke daamon ko izafay mein aik bar phir se puhanchaya, jotakreban 2 hafton ke liye buland hogaya aur likhnay ke waqt $2,344 per ounce tak pohncha, jo ke do hafton ka sab se ooncha darja hai. Ye izafa roka gaya jab traders mazeed US maishat ke data aur Federal Reserve ke afseran se intezaar kar rahe the takay US percentage darojat ke mustaqbil ke bare mein wazahat mil sake. Ahem markaz walo mein shamil hain Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke taqreer jo aaj ke liye muntakhib hai, FOMC ki meeting ke minutes jo Budh ke din shaya hongi, aur US non-farm payrolls riport jo Jumma ko ayegi.
Is ke sath hi, kal shaya hui data ne sonay ke daamon ke keemat ko madad di, jab ISM Manufacturing PMI June mein teesri jari mahina tak kam hua. Mazeed, US factories jo input ke liye ada karte hain unki keemat ka aik paima down hua aur yeh 6 mahinon ka sab se kam level tha, jo ke darasal yeh dikha raha hai ke mehngai mazeed ghatne ki sambhavna hai. Europe mein, European Central Bank ke President Christine Lagarde ne kaha ke central bank ko yeh yakin dene mai zyada waqt chahiye ke inflation 2% ki taraf ja rahi hai, aur interest rate cuts jaldi nahi hai.

Sonay ke market ko mutasir karne wale factors ke baray mein baat karte hain, US dollar index ne Tuesday ko 105.9 ke aas paas stabilize ho gaya, pehle session mein 105.43 tak girne ke baad, jismein taqat hasil hui strong Treasury yields se. Analysts isko government borrowing ka izafa hone aur Donald Trump ke doosre daur ke imkani hone ke chalte attribu