Gold

Chand din pehle (26 June ko), sonay ki keemat lagbhag 1% gir gayi, $2,293.49 tak pohanch kar, jo 10 June se pehle se sab se kam keemat thi, aur $2,297.91 prati unns ansh par band hui.

Market aise hi jari hai ke Federal Reserve jald se jald (mumkin hai ke) interest daromar ko adjust na kare. Is wajah se, ab U.S. Treasury yield haal he mein buland rahe hain, jiske wajah se benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yield ne apni do hafte se zyada buland keemat tak pohanchi; U.S. dollar Budh (Wednesday) ko 0.4% gir gaya, aur sath mein bhi do mahine ke qareebi buly par $106.13 tak pohanch gaya. Haal he mein sonay ki mehengai ki bharaw tamam ki sahi dhang mein rokawat ke sath aik doosri trade session mein girawat paayi hai. Pichle do trade dino mein, yeh do hafte ke low tak gir gaya. Budh ko, U.S. mein May mein naye gharoon ke farokht aik six-month low tak gir gaye, jo ki umeed se kam thi. Commerce Ministry ke data ke mutabiq, May mein naye gharoon ke farokht 11.3% maahana bazere pe, mousamati factors ko na maddad di gayi sharton ke mutabiq did gaye. Halan ke yeh data dikhata hai ke duniya ke bara economy ki raftar dheemi ho rahi hai, lekin U.S. dollar is data par koi khas reaction na de raha hai.

Market ka tawajjo U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index par rehti hai jo Jumma ko jaari kiya jayega, jo Fed ka pasandida mahengaai ke tajzi indicator hai. Investors chahte hain ke pata chalay ke kya salana Price Pressures economy mein mojood hai. Agar data umeed se kam hai, to yeh investors ko motivate kar sakta hai ke woh is saal interest rate kum kerne pe zyada paisa lagayein, jo ek nisbat sonay ke le liye faida mand hoga. Lekin Eugene Epstein ke mutabiq, head of North American structures at Moneycorp, New Jersey, "PCE data CPI (Consumer Price Index) ke mutabiq zyada fluctuate nahi karega." Dosri baaton mein, agar PCE mein kuch ziada tabdeeli aa gayi, to phir short term mein Fed ki high interest rates ko barqarar rakhne ki attitude pe asar dene wala hai. Is ke elawa, Federal Reserve ke dawara jari kiye gaye saalana "stress test" ke natijay bhi, dikhate hain ke bade US bank wasool daam mein kam hain jo taiz gardish mein mojood market fluctuations aur commercial mortgage market mein tezi se girawat ka stress test paase kiya hai aur phir bhi inke paas kafi capital hai loaning jari rakhne ke liye. Yeh dikhata hai ke hali me mojood kangi karobarisch manjle ko koi khaas khatra nahi dalay gi. Yeh khabar sonay pe zyada dabao dalne ki aik wajah bani. Sasta intezam mein, sona lagay huay hai k zyada pressure aa raha hai negative khabron se.




Technically, rozaana ke chart se, sonay ki keemat girne ka silsila jaari hai aur do mahine ke wide range mein fluctuations ke neeche pohanch raha hai. Technical indicator MACD signal line ab ek doosre se uljhe huyay se neechee dekhne lag gaya hai, jo dikhata hai ke sona short term mein abhi bhi kamzor hai. Abhi, $2,293.49 ka rozaana ka low neeche kabil-e-aetibaar hai. Agar is se neeche jaata hai, to $2,284 tak ke wide range ki fluctuations ka support khaas mamooli tor pe zaruri hai. Agar is se neeche aur gir jata hai, to neeche kam zabardast support points hain, aur humein bara jhatke ki khatra se bachne ke liye sambhalne chahiye. Beshak, key uparwale U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index Jinna-Sunna ma'amla aega, us par dyaan dena zaruri hai.

Gold ka Technical Analysis
Pichle kaam ke week mai, gold ne limited range ke andar trade kiya. Price ne phir se 2358 level se upar break karne ki koshish ki, magar resistance mili aur fori tor pe gir gayi, phir range ki lower boundary ki taraf move hui. Is tarah se, expected decline ka scenario materialize nahi ho saka. Price chart abhi bhi super-trending red zone mai hai, jo indicate karta hai ke sellers control mai hain.

Aaj ke technical forecast se lagta hai ke gold apni upward momentum resume karega jo kal start hui thi, abhi bhi previously broken key resistance level 2340 ke upar trade kar raha hai, aur simple moving average se positive stimulus mil rahi hai. Hum optimistic hain magar cautious bhi, pehla target 2375 rakha gaya hai. Agar price 2375 ke upar consolidate karti hai to gold ka bullishness increase hoga, aur seedha 2389 tak le jaayega. Yaad rahe ke agar trading 2340 se neeche stable hoti hai to 23.60% ka correction hoga, aur above all 2337 ke neeche, jo temporary bullish scenario ko rok dega aur price ka formal pullback start hoga with targets starting from 2313 aur 2300.



Prices is waqt weekly lows ke neeche hain jo pehle is week mai pohanchi thi. Main resistance area ne heavy pressure face kiya aur almost break ho gaya tha, magar hold kar saka, jo preferred decline vector correlation maintain hone ka indication hai. Quotes ko confirm karne ke liye aapko current price area 2325 se neeche set karna hoga, jahan main resistance zone border karti hai. Is area ka dusra retest aur bounce aglay dip ko pave karega, targeting area between 2221 aur 2188.

Agar resistance ke upar break hota hai aur 2358 ke reversal level ke upar move hoti hai, to current scenario ka reversal signal milega.

Gold ne overnight trading mein thodi rally dekhi, aur lagta hai ke pichle June ke lows ke karib gir gaya hai. Aur, price kal ke Intraday Alert bhejne ke waqt se zyada hai, profit lene ke liye, agar choti gold position June 20 ko open hui thi, jo closing price se lagbhag $70 upar thi.

Gold 2021 ke highs ko cross nahi kar saka, balki early 2021 ke bhi nahi. Ab, Bitcoin ne short-term support milne ke baad thodi recovery shuru kar di hai, $60k ke baad se.

Yeh pehle ke sabhi rebounds se kam thi. Consumer power gir rahi hai. Yeh koi hairani ki baat nahi – jo log bitcoins kharidne mein interested the, unhone "sure bet" condition ke basis par pehle hi kharid liya tha jab bitcoin halved hota hai (jo naye bitcoins ki supply ko limit karta hai).
Mainne pehle hi "sure condition" events ke main problem ke baare mein warn kiya tha – yeh apne prices ko event se pehle girate hain (!), aur jab aisa hota hai, toh koi customers nahi bachte jo price ko aur upar push kar sakein.

Kabhi-kabhi log yeh realize nahi karte ke agar koi buyers aur sellers nahi hain, toh price wahi nahi rehta.

Yeh girna shuru ho jata hai, aur girta rehta hai, jab tak buyers wapas na aajayein. Aur agar log yeh increments ke basis par dar kar apni positions se nikalte hain, toh humare paas waterfall sales aur massive price drops honge.

Shayad yeh "New Gold" ke liye agla hai. Of course, main exaggerate kar raha hoon.

Kuch customers hamesha rahenge. Masla yeh hai ke shayad unki taadaad itni na ho ke prices ko curb kar sake. Aur anti-dollar assets mein is decline ke saath, doosre anti-dollar assets, jaise gold aur silver, bhi girenge. Charts se dekha ja sakta hai ke Bitcoin February mein already booming tha.

Is dafa yeh shayad fall se pehle ho sakta hai. Aur, lagta hai ke yeh overall technological bubble se zyada connected hai. Haan, yeh dot-com #2 hai, mere khayal se. Haan, AI duniya ko badal dega. Internet ke liye bhi aisa hi tha. Par kya usne bhi 2000 mein rise ke baad plummet kiya tha? Haan! Shayad is dafa bhi wahi hone wala hai.

Technical analysis ke mutabiq 4 hours chart par pair trade iss waqt demand zone mein price 2326 par hai toh yeh is point se gir sakta hai lekin agar 4 hours candle 2332 ke upar close kar jaye toh iska matlab hai ke pair 2366 tak ja sakta hai.

XAU/USD H4

Aaj ke trading world mein, forex market ki market sentiment selleron ke beech mazboot qadam qaim kar rahi hai. Yeh trend currency pairs par barqarar nichle dabav ki taraf ishara karta hai, jis se traders ko short-selling strategies se faida uthane ke mauqe mil sakte hain. Is mahaul mein, traders ke liye ehmiyat hai ke woh ihtiyat aur hushyaranae se amal karen, khaas tor par sell positions kholne ke chote-mote targets ke liye.

XAU/USD ke mamlay mein, market aaj bhi selleron ke haq mein rahega. Wo jald hi 2285 area ko cross kar sakte hain. Is tarah ki market sentiment abhi stability ka ahsas deta hai selleron ke darmiyan, jo is baat ki dalil hai ke unhe mojudah market conditions ka faida uthane ke liye tayyar hai. Lekin is stability mein khatray bhi hain, kyun ke kisi bhi anjaane halat se trading dynamics jaldi badal sakte hain. Isliye traders ko mashroot nuqsanat se bachne ke liye effective risk management strategies istemaal karne ki hidayat di jati hai, jaise stop-loss tools ka istemal aur apne paisay ki hifazat karna.

Aaj ke market environment mein technical analysis samajhna aur istemal karna zaroori hai. Technical analysis market trends, price patterns, aur trades ke liye potential entry aur exit points ko pehchanne mein madad deta hai. Is se traders ko zaroori tools milte hain key support aur resistance levels ko pehchanne ke liye, jo informed trading decisions ke liye zaroori hote hain. Technical indicators aur charting techniques ka istemal kar ke traders apni capability ko barhate hain trend reversals ko pehchanne mein aur market opportunities se faida uthane mein.

Gold ke H4 time frame ke andar, halat ke bawajood, signs hain ke Gold mein bullish turnaround ka potential hai. Khas tor par 5 SMA, 20 SMA, aur 50 SMA ne haal hi mein 2345 level ke upar cross kiya hai, jo ek upward trajectory ki mumkin nishaani hai. Halanki haal hi mein downward movement tha, Gold ne 2296 level tak pohancha jaisa ki umeed thi. Aaj, 2330 level ka test mumkin hai, jahan se ek mazboot bullish trend shuru hone ki umeed hai jo is maheene 2370 milestone ko target karega.

Potential buying opportunities ko faida uthane ke liye, mashroot strategies mein shamil hain

Gold Daily Time Frame:

Subah sabko! Gold mein kuch interesting nahi ho raha hai kal ke din; GOLD ROS line ke neeche trade ho raha hai, jo humein daily candle ke tail par vertical bearish volumes deta hai. Yani, ROS line candle ke is jagah par sabse bada bearish volume hai, aur is haftay tak humne ise upward break karne mein kamiyabi nahi haasil ki hai. Takneeki taur par, hum is kafi wide resistance zone ke andar trade kar rahe hain jo weekly bearish Pin bar ke tail ke saath banaya gaya hai. By the way, is weekly pattern ki idea abhi bhi zinda hai. Sirf jo bearish hai in dinon wo basement hai, jo humein upar se sell karne ke liye re-zone ke signals deta hai. Aur GOLD ke main chart par humein uncertainty hai, lekin yeh sirf meri raay hai aur yeh niche diye gaye picture mein hai.

GOLD H1 Time Frame:

Mood abhi sahi hai, jo bhi sale par hai, use khareedne ke liye. Aapko exactly 2381.78 aur 2397.79 ke beech mein enter karna chahiye. Koi bhi zyada precautions aur reinsurances nahi hain. Main decide karta hoon ke stop 2397.84 par rakhna chahiye taki greedy na ho, aur profit 2362.37 par fix karne ka sujhav deta hoon. Phir bhi, yeh size meri stop se paanch guna bada hai. Agar aaj mera plan justify nahi hota hai, to main deal close karunga. Kal sab kuch alag hoga, mausam bhi aur market ke charts ki movement bhi. Dukhi khabron ke aage, behtar hai ke kaam hi na karen, apne direction mein movement se dukhi hone se behtar hai.

GOLD H4 Time Frame:

Hello doston! Aaj GOLD 4-hour time frame chart par, price ascending channel ke andar hai. Aaj neeche move karte hue, price is channel ke lower border tak pohancha, jo ki 2309 level hai, jise pair ne break kiya aur price continue downward ho sakta tha. Magar pair ki downward movement ki possibility fail ho gayi, price ne turn around kiya, upar move karna shuru kiya aur ascending channel mein enter ho gaya. Ab yeh bilkul mumkin hai ke pair upar move karta rahe aur price ascending channel ke upper border tak pohanch jaye, jo ki 2439 level tak hai. Is level par pohanchne ke baad, pair mein reversal ho sakta hai aur price neeche move karna shuru kar sakta hai.

Mujhe yeh ummeed hai ke pair jald hi grow karna shuru karega, kyunki 4-hour chart par price ascending channel ke lower border par hai, jahan se price ne turn around kiya hai aur upar move karna shuru kiya hai. Agar hourly chart par dekhein to pair ke liye downward channel bhi build kiya ja sakta hai. Aaj upar move karte hue, ek increase hua hai downward channel ke upper border tak, jo 2329 level tak hai, uske baad pair ne reversal kiya aur price neeche move karna shuru kiya hai. Ab mujhe yeh ummeed hai ke price neeche move karta rahega aur pair downward move kar sakta hai descending channel ke lower border tak, jo ki 2289 level tak hai. Is level par pohanchne ke baad, pair mein reversal ho sakta hai aur price upar move karna shuru kar sakta hai.

Gold ka tajziyah
Assalam Alaikum!
Kal subah, ham ne mazbut raftar dekhi, jis ne hamein ek long positions kholne ki ijazat di. Natije ke taur par, qimat taqriban 2,331.27 ki muzahmati satah tak pahunch gayi. Ek bar jab qimat is satah ko chu gayi to yah ulat gayi aur girne lagi. Mujhe lagta hai keh aaj suratehal shayad hi badlegi aur asset apni qadar khota rahega. Yah 2,318.11 ki support satah se niche gir kar 2,304.96 ki agli support satah tak gir sakta hai. Agar sona is satah par palatne me nakam rahta hai to, yah 2,296.84–2,283.68 ki support area ki taraf girta rahega.
GOLD

Aik Gehri Nazar Gold Ke Prices Par

Chaliye baat karte hain Gold ke abhi ke price behvaiour analysis ki. Chaliye the precious metal ko analyze karte hain aur agle haftay ke lie uske behvaiour ko predict karte hain. Yahan meri strategy Gold ke liye hai, jo ek bullish direction ko target kar rahi hai. Main 2369 aur 2379 ki taraf barhna chahta hoon, jo maine weekend mein mention kiya tha. Haftay ke doran kisi bhi waqt changes hone ke bawajood, mera outlook unchanged hai. Lekin solid momentum ke lie zyada waqt ki zaroorat hai. Red line ka effect abhi bhi stabilize ho raha hai, aur consolidation ko solidify karne ke liye kuch haftay ka waqt lagega. Kabhi kabhi, momentum fail ho jata hai, jiski wajah se prices revert ho jati hain, lekin geopolitical factors upward movement ko support karenge. Haftay ke chart par, gold ke prices pehle range ke minimum ko update karke reverse hue aur support level ke qareeb pohnche. Haftay ke end tak, ek turning candle nazar aya, jo bullish ki taraf point kar raha hai. Yeh bullish trend agle haftay bhi jari reh sakta hai, aiming for resistance levels at 2369.764 ya 2388.784.

Do scenarios in resistance levels par ho sakti hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke yeh levels ke upar consolidation ho, jisse further upward movements ho. Agar yeh hota hai, to prices resistance level 2451.124 ya 2501 tak pohanch sakti hain. In levels ke qareeb trading setup agle direction ko guide karega. News aur market reactions par depend karte hue, ek distant bullish target 2601 tak bhi possible hai. Ya phir agar prices resistance levels 2369.764 ya 2388.784 par turning candle form karte hain aur downward movement resume karti hain, to main support levels 2287.829 ya 2278.344 ki taraf dekhunga. Main in support levels ke qareeb bullish signals dekhunga taake ek rebound ka anticipation kar saku. Summary mein, main umeed karta hoon ke prices agle haftay nearest resistance levels ki taraf push karenge, fir market conditions ke basis par apni strategy adjust karunga, bullish movements ko priority denge.

EUR/JPY Technical & Fundamental Analysis:
EUR/JPY currency pair ab mojooda dor mein aik mazboot upward trend ke andar aik wapas ja raha hai. Kam arsay, darmiyani, aur lambi dor ke doran ye upward trend dekha gaya hai. Haal hi mein giravat ke bawajood, mahir yeh samajhte hain ke yeh wapas ja raha hai mumkin hai aur 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) par support mil sakta hai. EUR/JPY ne qaaim tor par izafa kiya hai, mukhtalif doron mein bullish signals dikhate hue. Ye mustaqil upward movement Euro ko Japani Yen ke khilaf mazbooti dikhata hai. Magar, mojooda market mein thori giravat dekhi ja rahi hai, jo ke trend mein tabdeeli ke bajaye aik natural wapas ja rahi hai. 100-day SMA aik ahem technical indicator hai jo aksar ek uptrend mein pullback ke doran support level ke tor par kaam karta hai. Jab EUR/JPY is level ke qareeb hota hai, traders tawajjo se dekh rahe hote hain ke kya support qaim rahega. Pichle dino mein, 100-day SMA ne mazboot support faraham kiya hai, keemat ko phir se barhne mein madad karte hue aur overall bullish trend jaari rakha hai. Short term mein, EUR/JPY mein mazeed giravat ka koi baraasb nahi hai. Charts bullish trend ko dikhate hain, jo ke mojooda pullback ko aik acha buying opportunity bana sakta hai. Jab pair support dhoondta hai aur recover karna shuru karta hai, to uptrend jari rahne ki sambhavna hai, haal ki maheenon ki musbat momentum ko barqarar rakhte hue.
EUR/JPY ke strong uptrend ke doran wapas ja raha hai, lekin yeh giravat wapas jaane ka intezar hai. 100-day SMA aik ahem support level hai jo mojooda downward movement ko rok sakta hai. Overall bullish trend ke sath, pair mein kisi bhi kamzori ki sambhavna kam hai, jo ke traders ko Euro ki mazbooti ke doraan faida uthane ka ek moqa banata hai. Investors aur traders ko dekhna chahiye ke EUR/JPY 100-day SMA ke sath kis tarah ka amal karta hai, taake unko agle qadmon ki aham maloomat mil sake. Aam nazar, musbat hai, jo ke pullback ke baad uptrend jari rahega.
Sonay ki keemat barhti hai, record levels $2,260 ke qareeb. Qeemati dhaat ne pehli lifetime high $2,223 ko tor kar taqriban mehsool kiya. Aur zyada potential upar ki taraf barh sakta hai Sonay ki keemat jo ke unhindered territory mein trade ho rahi hai. Short-to-long term ke Outstanding Moving Averages (EMAs) taj rahen hain, strong short term demand ke ishara dete hue.
14 dino ka Relative Strength Index (RSI) 78.00 ke qareeb mojood hai, ek taqat ki jagah indication hai. Magar, keemat aur RSI ke darmiyan zahir hone wale ikhtalaf aur overbought levels ko correction mein lanay tak pohnch sakta hai.

JPY Technical & Fundamental Analysis: EUR/JPY currency pair ab mojooda dor mein aik mazboot upward trend ke andar aik wapas ja raha hai. Kam arsay, darmiyani, aur lambi dor ke doran ye upward trend dekha gaya hai. Haal hi mein giravat ke bawajood, mahir yeh samajhte hain ke yeh wapas ja raha hai mumkin hai aur 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) par support mil sakta hai. EUR/JPY ne qaaim tor par izafa kiya hai, mukhtalif doron mein bullish signals dikhate hue. Ye mustaqil upward movement Euro ko Japani Yen ke khilaf mazbooti dikhata hai. Magar, mojooda market mein thori giravat dekhi ja rahi hai, jo ke trend mein tabdeeli ke bajaye aik natural wapas ja rahi hai. 100-day SMA aik ahem technical indicator hai jo aksar ek uptrend mein pullback ke doran support level ke tor par kaam karta hai. Jab EUR/JPY is level ke qareeb hota hai, traders tawajjo se dekh rahe hote hain ke kya support qaim rahega. Pichle dino mein, 100-day SMA ne mazboot support faraham kiya hai, keemat ko phir se barhne mein madad karte hue aur overall bullish trend jaari rakha hai. Short term mein, EUR/JPY mein mazeed giravat ka koi baraasb nahi hai. Charts bullish trend ko dikhate hain, jo ke mojooda pullback ko aik acha buying opportunity bana sakta hai. Jab pair support dhoondta hai aur recover karna shuru karta hai, to uptrend jari rahne ki sambhavna hai, haal ki maheenon ki musbat momentum ko barqarar rakhte hue.
EUR/JPY ke strong uptrend ke doran wapas ja raha hai, lekin yeh giravat wapas jaane ka intezar hai. 100-day SMA aik ahem support level hai jo mojooda downward movement ko rok sakta hai. Overall bullish trend ke sath, pair mein kisi bhi kamzori ki sambhavna kam hai, jo ke traders ko Euro ki mazbooti ke doraan faida uthane ka ek moqa banata hai. Investors aur traders ko dekhna chahiye ke EUR/JPY 100-day SMA ke sath kis tarah ka amal karta hai, taake unko agle qadmon ki aham maloomat mil sake. Aam nazar, musbat hai, jo ke pullback ke baad uptrend jari rahega.
Sonay ki keemat barhti hai, record levels $2,260 ke qareeb. Qeemati dhaat ne pehli lifetime high $2,223 ko tor kar taqriban mehsool kiya. Aur zyada potential upar ki taraf barh sakta hai Sonay ki keemat jo ke unhindered territory mein trade ho rahi hai. Short-to-long term ke Outstanding Moving Averages (EMAs) taj rahen hain, strong short term demand ke ishara dete hue.
14 dino ka Relative Strength Index (RSI) 78.00 ke qareeb mojood hai, ek taqat ki jagah indication hai. Magar, keemat aur RSI ke darmiyan zahir hone wale ikhtalaf aur overbought levels ko correction mein lanay tak pohnch sakta hai

"Gold ka daily time frame chart outlook:
Gold ki keemat kuch pichlay trading dinon se daily time frame chart par moving average lines ke saath chal rahi hai. Kuch dafa, Gold ki keemat ne in lines ko upar aur neeche kar liya hai. Overall, jaise maine diagram mein bataya hai, keemat ik symmetrical triangle mein move kar rahi hai, aur Gold ke buyers din ba din kamzor ho rahe hain. Zyada chance hai ke Gold ne symmetrical triangle ka lower level todega aur moving average lines ko neeche cross karega. Mein expect karta hoon ke daily time frame chart ke do ahem support levels jo maine diagram mein dikhaye hain, us price mein giravat hogi jo maine umeed ki hai.

Weekly time frame chart outlook:
Weekly time frame chart par Gold ka highest price 2249.40 hai; yeh price Gold trading ki history mein sabse zyada hai kyun ke Gold ki keemat pehle kabhi is level par nahi pahunchi thi. 2249.40 aur 2284.62 ke resistance levels ke saath keemat ne pichle kuch hafton mein test kiye hain. Keemat shayad aur kuch hafton tak is zone mein fluctuate karti rahegi lekin agar hum overall Gold ki taraf dekhein to Gold ne supply zone ko touch kiya hai aur is liye long-term price giravat zaroori hai. Main suggest karunga ke Gold ko bechne ki salahiyat den agar yeh 2284.62 support level tode aur 2073.31 aur 1867.82, jo do mazeed mazboot support levels hain, tak pahunche. Gold 2073 support level ko test karne se pehle trend direction change kar dega kyun ke yeh moving average lines ko neeche cross karke girney ka rukh badlega."

Aaj ke trading ke shuru se ab tak, haftawar pivot level ne keemat ke liye mazboot support ka darja rakha hai jo keemti satah tak le ja sakta hai jo din bhar mein 2345 ke resistance level tak ek ooper ki lehar mein le aaye ga.
Keemat ke channels bhi upar ki taraf trend ko support karte hain, kyun ke hamein do channels hain jo upar ki taraf trend mein hain, aur ab keemat in channels ke neeche ki line se support hasil kar rahi hai.

Aaj sonay ki trade ke liye, hamein mauqa hai ke hum current level se 2345 ke haftawar resistance level tak khareedai mein shamil ho sakte hain.

Jahan tak bechne ka mauqa hai, wo haftawar pivot level ke neeche maujood hai ya aaj ke sab se kam trading price ko todkar.

Maeeshat ke pehlu se, pichle Jumma ko ye elan kiya gaya tha ke US Federal Reserve ka core inflation ka pasandida measure 2021 se sab se kam salana dar par ruka, jis ne umeedon ko barhaya ke keemat ki paidawar maqsad ke tehat hogi aur samaji umeedon ko sath dete huye 2024 mein bank central ke do baar interest rate kate jayen ge.

Mazeed interest rate kate ke umeedon ne bhi sonay ke daamon ko support kiya hai, jahan Bank of England ki intekhabat ke baad is saal ke chunav ke baad qatai umeez ke qatai interest rate kate ke umeez jahan Pakistan Bank ko maqtad ek intekhabat ka shuru Allah ke

maujood hai ya aaj ke sab se kam trading price ko todkar.

Maeeshat ke pehlu se, pichle Jumma ko ye elan kiya gaya tha ke US Federal Reserve ka core inflation ka pasandida measure 2021 se sab se kam salana dar par ruka, jis ne umeedon ko barhaya ke keemat ki paidawar maqsad ke tehat hogi aur samaji umeedon ko sath dete huye 2024 mein bank central ke do baar interest rate kate jayen ge.

**Sonay Ka Market Tajziya**
Spot sona shanivaar ko $2,326.47 per ounce par mustehkam raha (28 June ko). Aham U.S. tanazzuli report aam umidon ke mutabiq thi, jis ne umeedon ko barhaya ke Federal Reserve September se pehle interest rates khatam kar sakta hai, jo keemat ko session ke doran $2,339.58 tak qareeb ek hafte ke unchiyaan pohncha diya tha, lekin aakhir mein sona ne tanazzul mein munfarid lehar nahi paida ki thi tanazzul mein kami ke baaes se.

Pichle Jumma ko, U.S. shakhsi istemal-e-nafaay par wasail (PCE) ke qeemat index, Fed ke pasandida tanazzuli indicator, May mein pehle mahine se barabar raha aur salana 2.6% se barh gaya, April ke 2.7% barhne ke muqablay mein. PCE report aam umidon ke mutabiq thi. Is ke saath hi, is mahine ke shuru mein thora kamzor shakhsi keemat index (CPI) aur istehsal shuda keemat index (PPI) data ke saath milakar dikhata hai ke U.S. tanazzul tanazzul mein khatam hai. Is baad is ahtayati tajziya ne dikhaya ke shakhsi nafaay par wasail ne May mein pehle mahine se barhna band kar diya tha, market ki umidon ko barhaya ke Federal Reserve September mein aur phir December mein do bar interest rates ko khatam kar sakta hai. Chicago Mercantile Exchange ke FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, karobariyon ne abhi 68% ke imkanat par qeemat kata chhodne ka qeemat kata chhodne ke imkanat se ho gaya hai, jo ke tanazzul ke data ko nashar hone se pehle 64% ke barabar tha.

Rate kata hone ke imkanat mein thori si izafa ne sonay ko thora sa boost diya hai. Lekin May mein shakhsi nafaay par wasail ke kam honay se dollar par manfi asar mehsoos nahi hua. Is ke saath hi, Jumma ko doosre data reports ne dikhaya ke business activity midwest mein umidon se behtar hai, jahan Chicago Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) 35 se 47.4 tak chala gaya, jo keconomists ke 40 se acha hai. Isi doran, University of Michigan ke June consumer confidence index 68.2 tha, jo ke umidon ke mutabiq se behtar hai, jo ke New York ke dermiyani karobar mein dollar ko support diya hai. Sonay ke bulls ke jazbaat ko thanda paani pohncha diya gaya hai. Ab investors US non-farm payrolls report par tawajjo denge jo agle haftay mein nashar kiya jayega. Wall Street economists ke mutabiq, US non-farm payrolls June mein 195,000 ke saath barh jayega, May ke 272,000 ke muqablay mein. Kuch maqbool ma'arif ke mutabiq, agar kaam ka bazar bura hone lagta hai, to Federal Reserve July mein dawam rakhne mein mushkil hoga. Agar yun ho, to sonay ko qareebi doran mein bullish halaat mein wapas lana mushkil hoga.

**TECHNICAL ANALYSIS**

Rozaana chart ke mutabiq, sonay ke qeemat tehelka warana amalat ko ghayab hote hue laanat karta hai, jis neen Tuesday aur Wednesday, Thursday ko muqabla karne ke liye tehelka karne ke baad, aur Friday ko thoda sa barh gaya lekin aik daarby par band ho gaya. Lambi shor par tug-of-war pattern hamesha chalta raha. Aam tor par, sonay ki qeemat ab bhi neechay ki taraf chal rahi hai, aur qeemat ke channel ke upper rail resistance ke qareeb hai. Technical indicator MACD abhi tak jareedaar hai, aur relative strength index RSI ma'mooli halat ke qareeb teeqa line ke nazdeek hai, jo ke aik naqabil taqseem raaste ke isharaat hai.

Trading ke aaghaz se ab tak, weekly pivot level price ke liye ek mazboot support area represent karta hai jo ke din ke dauran ek upward wave ko lead kar sakta hai resistance level 2345 tak. Price channels bhi upward trend ko support karte hain, kyun ke humare paas do channels hain jo upward trend mein hain, aur price ko un channels ke lower line se support mil raha hai. Aaj gold trade karne ke liye, humare paas mauqa hai ke current level se buy karein takay weekly resistance level 2345 tak pohonch sakein. Jahan tak sell ka taluq hai, ye mauqa weekly pivot level ke neeche ya aaj ke lowest trading price ko break karne ke baad available hai. Economic side par, pichlay Jumay ko ye announce hua tha ke US Federal Reserve ka preferred measure of core inflation apne lowest annual rate par 2021 se hai, jo umeed barhata hai ke price growth targeted pace ke sath align hoga aur is saal bank central do bar US interest rates cut karega. Kahin aur interest rates ke kam hone ki umeed bhi bullion prices ko support karti hain, Bank of England ke election ke baad expected cuts aur China ke People's Bank se additional interest rate cuts economic stimulus efforts ko support karne ke liye expected hain. Investors ka dihan ab US jobs report aur FOMC meeting minutes par hoga jo is haftay release honay wale hain, takay Fed ke interest rate cuts ke timing ka pata chal sake. Kahin aur, India jo ke doosra bara gold consumer hai, ne last week mein rising prices ki wajah se physical demand mein kami dekhi. Gold trading companies ke platforms ke mutabiq... Gold price ne about 5% gain kiya second quarter mein aur 14% jump kiya first half of the year mein, kyun ke impending interest rate cuts by major central banks ne interest-free money-yielding bullion assets ko zyada attractive banaya.

Sonay ke daamon ki keemat early Asian trading mein gir gayi aur ab wo $2,321 per ounce ke qareeb hai. Ye giravat mukhtalif global ma'ashi aur siyasi wakaion ki wajah se aayi hai jo market sentiment par asar dal rahi hain. Magar bulls ne ek uthati hui jaal banayi aur 15 minute ke chart mein 34 exponential moving averages ki taraf band kardi.

Mukhtalif Wajoohat


Ek ahem factor latest US inflation data hai. Amrika mein rupai ke mool keemat mein kami aayi hai jis se wo teen saalon se zyada ki minimum barasat tak pohanch gayi hai. Ye kami bohot se logon ke liye aik rehnumai hai jo darust hui keemat mein rafah sharah ka brake aagaya hai. Kam inflation ke saath, sonay ki maang bhi kam hoti hai jaise keemat barhne ka hifazati asbab, jis ne maujooda sonay ke daamon par asar dikhaya hai.

Darmiyaan Mashriqi Asia mein Tashadud aur Siyasi Ghumshudgi
Mashriqi Asia mein Geopolitical masail bhi ahem hain. Chalne wale tanazur aur tawazun mein beinteha soorat ishtiqal ke jadeed ilaqon mein ansaniyat shakhsiyat paida karte hain, jo ajza ke daanon mein keemat ki charkhiyon mein tabdeeli ko janam dete hain, jisme sona bhi shamil hai. Iss ke ilawa, France ke parlimentary intikhaabat ke girish hone wale siyasi ghair-yakeeni mein thokar lagti hai. Ye ghair-yakeeniyat aam tor par sona jese safe haven assets ke taraf kar deti hai, lekin maujooda US inflation ki kaifiyat ka khaas asar hota hai, jo daam kam karta hai.

Asar US Dollar par


Ye factors US dollar par bhi asar daalte hain. Greenback mashriqi Asia mein jhulte hote hain, mashriqi Asia ke tanaav aur France mein siyasi ghair-yakeeni se. Kamzor dollar aam tor par sonay ke daamon ko madad karti hai, aur dusri currencies ke malikon ke liye sona sasta banati hai. Magar maujooda halat dikhate hain ke US inflation ki kami ka zyada bharosa hai, jo aam tor par kamzor dollar ke asar ko shadeed kar deta hai.

Trading Strategy:


Early Asian trading mein sonay ke daamon ne $2,321 per ounce ke qareeb giravat dekhi. Ye US mein kami aane wale inflation, teen saalon se zyada ki minimum barasat ke mutalliq hai, aur Geopolitical tashadud Mashriqi Asia mein aur siyasi ghair yaqeeni France mein, jo US dollar par asar dalti hain. Ye factors duniya bhar ke markets ki piraktik tabiyyat aur commodity ke daamon par jald nazar andaz krte hain. Technical nazar mein, RSI kaafi acha nazir aa raha hai. Sonay ne achi support paai hai 2295.00 par aur 2340.00 ke qareeb ulta kar liya. Agar qeemat 2240 k horizontal line ko tooti to humain khareedne ka mauqa milega. Dosri taraf, agar qeemat EMA-34 ke neeche lauti to short selling ka mauqa hoga.

Sona market ka tajziya

Spot sona Jumma ko $2,326.47 per ounce par mustafi tha. Aham U.S. mahangai riport kisi had tak umeedo ke mutabiq thi, jis se umeed barhi ke Federal Reserve September se pehle interest daro mein kami kare, jis ne gold ko session ke doran naqat $2,339.58 tak pohancha diya tha, lekin aakhir mein mahangai mein rokhawat kam hone ki wajah se sona buray asar nahi dikhaya.

Pichli Jumma ko, U.S. shakhsiyat istemal naw ka Tail-index (PCE) ki keemat May mein pichle mah se aik doosre ke barabar rahi aur saal bhar mein 2.6% barh gayi, April mein 2.7% ke barabar barh rahi thi. PCE riport umeedo ke mutabiq thi. Is ke sath, is mahine pehle thori kamzor consumer price index (CPI) aur producer price index (PPI) ki data ke sath, ye darshata hai ke U.S. ki inflation mein rukawat a rahi hai. Is intezar ke zayada wakt ke baad jab yeh azeem intezar ki gayi data ne dikhaya ke shakhsiyat istemal naway naw mein May se barh nahi rahi thi, market ki umeede barh gayi ke Federal Reserve September mein interest daro mein kami karega aur phir December mein bhi. Chicago Mercantile Exchange ke FedWatch tool ke mutabiq traders abhi 68% chance de rahe hain ke Fed September mein interest daro mein kami karega, jo ke PCE data riport se pehle 64% thi.

Rate cuts ke thori si izafay ne sona ko thori si taraqqi di hai. Magar May mein shakhsiyat istemal naw (PCE) ke index ki girawat umeedo ke mutabiq thi, is liye dollar par musbat asar mehdood raha. Is ke elawa, Jumma ko doosri riportan ne dikhaya ke business activity midwest mein acha tha, Chicago Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) May mein 35 se 47.4 tak barh gaya, jo ke 40 se behtar tha jo economists ki umeed thi. Isi wakt, University of Michigan ka June consumer confidence index 68.2 tha, jo ke umeed se behtar tha, jo dollar ko late New York trading mein support pohnchta hai. Sonay ke bullish traders ke junoon par thandi pani phiraya gaya. Investors ab next week release hone wale US non-farm payrolls report par tawajjo denge. Wall Street economists ka prediction hai ke US non-farm payrolls June mein 195,000 se increase hoga, May mein 272,000 ke muqable. Kuch mashhoor institutions ka kehna hai ke agar job market mein kharabi shuru ho jati hai, to Federal Reserve July mein tab bhi kamzor na rahay. Agar aisa hai, to sonay ko chandarma mein bullish hawale wapas hasil karna mushkil hoga.

TECHNICAL TAJZIYA



Techincally, daily chart se dekha gaya to sonay ke prices ne pichli haftay mein thori si taiz ho gayi, 2 daily mein gir gayi aur jume aur jumeraat ko taraqqi ki, jumma ko thori si barhi lekin doji par band hui. Lambi aur choti khichai ka jungle abhi bhi jari hai. Kulla, sonay ke kimat abhi bhi niche ki rukhsi mein chal rahi nazar aati hai, aur kimat channel ka upper rail resistance ke qareeb hai. Techincal indicator MACD ab bhi hatphool hai, aur relative strength index RSI equiblrium line ke nazdeek hai, jo ke ek saaf rukhsat ki nisbat tawajjo ki.

Maujooda $2,326 daily K Bollinger Band ke darmiyan ke track ki position hai, jo ke sonay ka ibtidaai dabaav banti hai. Agar ye position tor sakta hai aur June 21 ki unchi par $2,368 ko tor sakta hai, to sona haal hi mein hue giravat ko palat sakta hai. Agar pichle 2 hafton ki $2,293 ki kamzori gayab ho jati hai, to May 3 ki $2,277 ki kamzori ka sahara liya jayega.