Gold

Sonay ka samaan aksar ek safe-haven asasa samjha jata hai, matlab yeh ke yeh maqrooz aur maqami sahoolaton ya siyasi be-sakooni ke doran qeemat mein izafa karta hai. Yeh un investors ke liye mashhoor hai jo apne portfolios ko mukhtalif banana aur market ki uchhal-kood se bachne ke liye talaash kar rahe hote hain.
Sonay ka dosra mufassal asset classes jese ke stocks aur bonds ke sath kam ta'alluq rakhta hai, jo ke kul portfolio ka khatra kam karne ka asar hai. Yeh ta'alluq kam hone ka matlab hai ke sonay ki qeematein doosri maliyat ke sath alag taur par chal sakti hain, jise diversification faidayat faraham karta hai.

Sonay ka mazboot tareeqa ke sath tareekhi record hai apni qeemat ko lambay arsay tak barqarar rakhne ka. Yeh iski mukhtalif kami aur mehdood supply, sath hi iski qabooliyat ke darja ke liye tasleem ki gayi ek aam shakal ke tor par hota hai.

Sonay ki qeemat ko mukhtalif factors par asar parta hai, jese ke sood dar, mahangai, currency ki harkat, aur siyasi waqiat. Yeh yeh matlab hai ke sonay ek hassas aur mutaghayir market hai, jahan qeemat aksar global ma'ashi aur siyasi manzar mein tabdeel hone par jaldi reag karta hai.

Sonay ke market mein technical analysis ka waasta lagaya jata hai taake traders trends, patterns, aur trades ke liye potential dakhil aur nikalne ke nukaat ke pehchan kar sakein. Sonay ke trading mein aam technical indicators mein moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), aur Fibonacci retracements shamil hain.

Sonay ko duniya bhar mein 24 ghanton ke doran global spot market mein trade kya jata hai, jahan sab se zyada sakht trading hours aksar Asian aur European sessions ke doran hoti hain. Yeh 24 ghante ka market traders ko din ya raat ke kisi bhi waqt qeemat mein harkat se faida uthane ki ijaazat deta hai.

Sonay ko mukhtalif maliyat ke asasa, jese ke futures contracts, options, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), aur over-the-counter (OTC) contracts ke zariye trade kya ja sakta hai. Yeh traders ko sonay ke market mein exposure hasil karne aur qeemat ke harkat se faida uthane ke liye mukhtalif tareeqon faraham karta hai.trends, patterns, aur trades ke liye potential dakhil aur nikalne ke nukaat ke pehchan kar sakein. Sonay ke trading mein aam technical indicators mein moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), aur Fibonacci retracements shamil hain.

Sonay ko duniya bhar mein 24 ghanton ke doran global spot market mein trade kya jata hai, jahan sab se zyada sakht trading hours aksar Asian aur European sessions ke doran hoti hain. Yeh 24 ghante ka market traders ko din ya raat ke kisi bhi waqt qeemat mein harkat se faida uthane ki ijaazat deta hai.



Sonay ko mukhtalif maliyat ke asasa, jese ke futures contracts, options, exchange

Gold

Hello dosto! Aaj GOLD ki 4 ghanton ka time frame chart dekhte hain, jahan price ascending channel ke andar hai. Aaj, neeche jaate hue, price is channel ke neeche ke border tak pohanch gaya, yeh level 2309 hai, jise pair ne todi aur price ne girne ka silsila jaari rakha. Magar girne ka silsila pair mein nakaam raha, price mud gayi, upar jaane lagi aur ascending channel mein dakhil hui. Ab, yeh kaafi mumkin hai ke pair upar ki taraf jaari rakhega aur price ascending channel ke upper border tak chale jayegi, yeh level 2439 tak hai. Jab yeh level chhoo jaye ga, toh pair mein palat sakta hai aur price neeche ki taraf mud sakta hai.

GOLD. Amm tor par, main umeed karta hoon ke pair jald hi barhna shuru karega, kyun ke 4 ghanton ke chart par price ascending channel ke neeche ke border par hai, jahan se price mud gayi aur upar ki taraf chalna shuru hui. Aur agar hum ghanton ke chart par dekhein, toh pair ke liye neeche ki taraf ek channel bana sakte hain. Aaj, upar jaate hue, pair ne is channel ke upper border tak barhav dikhaya, yeh level 2329 tak hai, uske baad pair mein palat aur price neeche ki taraf mud gayi. Ab main umeed karta hoon ke price neeche ki taraf jaari rahegi aur pair neeche ke descending channel ke neeche border tak chala jayega, yeh level 2289 tak hai. Jab yeh level chhoo jaye ga, toh pair mein palat ho sakta hai aur price upar ki taraf mud sakta hai.

Gold ka Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Gold ki analysis dekhte hue, umeed ki ja rahi hai ke gold naye low ke qareeb 2343 level tak giray ga. Magar yeh raftar faujon ke liye maqsad ke ilaqe tak na pohanchne ke liye kafi nahi hai. Isi liye, jab price ne 2358 ke oopar thori rukawat paayi, aik munasib tanqeed shuru ho gayi. Price ne 2360 ke resistance level tak izafa kiya. Yeh humein aik hammer candle diya, lekin hum is bullish ko mansookh kar sakte hain kyunke yeh ek resistance level par band hua. Price chart super trend ke laal zone mein bana rehta hai. Yeh sellers ka continued dominance indicate karta hai jo naye lows ki taraf raazi hain. Mujhe umeed hai ke blue moving average ko chhu jaye ga.



Abhi price haftay ke girawat mein 2332 ke oopar ki jagah mein hai. Yeh ek nakami ke baad is level tak laut raha hai. Yeh movement ke dobara shuru hone ke pehle ek marammati break ka sabab ho sakta hai, jo ke upar jaane ki koshish karta hai. Price ne downside channel ko toora hai. Magar bear trend ka khatra hai. Lekin aisi marammat ke liye maamooli scope ho sakta hai. 2350 ke muqami ilaqe ne mazeed upar ki koshishon ko had mein rakha hai. Agar yeh kamiyabi se dobara koshish karta hai aur is ilaqa se nikal jata hai, to iske paas 2332 level ko toorna aur phir 2301 aur 2285 ke darmiyan region mein lautne ka mouqa banega. Current manzar ko mansookh karne ka signal resistance ka breakdown aur 2390 ke reversal level ke oopar nikalne ka hoga.

Rozmarra ke waqt ke tajziya mein, sonay ke maidan mein market dynamics ka dilchasp qissa samne aata hai. Apni nigahein peechay lete hue, hum us waqt ki yaad karte hain jab 2292 par maxil samarthan darja tha, jaise ke dabaav ka bojh uth gaya, sirf yeh khulasa hota hai ke yeh ek chalak fauj tha - ek jhooti ijlaas jo be-khabar farokht karne walon ko apni chaal mein phasa liya. Bilkul, jhooti breakout ki dhoka dene wali kashish ne ek shandar wakiya ka raasta saaf kiya, jaise hi qeemti dhaat ek urooj par chali gayi, umeedon ko qatal kar diya aur shak-o-shuba ko hairan kar diya. Jab taaza daur aage badhta hai, hamara dhyan rozmarra ke mombati par hota hai, jiska bunyadi rukh pehle se mazboot rukawat - rozmarra ke samarthan darja jo 2330 par durust hai - ke ooper ka husool hai. Bullish jazbat ke liye umeed ki roshni ka ek ishara, yeh upri uthaal ek market dynamics mein aham tabdeeli ka imkaan dikhata hai. Har ghadi ke saath, intezaar barhta hai, jaise ke tajziya ki khamoshi mein khayalat ka hawa mein ghool jaana - kya aaj ka rozmarra waaqai riwayat ko nazar andaaz karega aur samarthan ke mukaddar wale darwaze ke ooper band hojayega?
Ikhtitam mein, sonay ke rozmarra ke tajziya ka kahani ek dilchasp afsana hai, fareb, istiqamat, aur intezar ka. Har muraad aur mod ke saath, manch dramayi anjam ke liye tayar hota hai - ek mukabla bullish jazbat aur samarthan ke laazim quwwaton ke darmiyan. Jab aaj ka mombati fateh ki qareeb hai, market ke aankhon ki nigahen mabood hoti hain, umeed ke sath intezaar karte hue ke kismet kya faisla karegi. Aur is tarah, safar jari rehta hai, hamesha aage ki taraf towards the tantalizing horizon of possibility, jahan maal-o-daulat haazir hai market sentiment ke rukhne samne.

Jab ke mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, tra

EUR/USD Technical Outlook


EUR/USD taqreeban 1.0816 ke qareeb tha. Amreeki dollar ke mutanaffir rawaiye ne jari rakha, jis se EUR/USD mein ek aur izafa hua aur EUR/USD ko peer ko 1.0800 ke panch haftay ke urooj ke oopar chadha diya. Jab dollar gir gaya, to sab maturities ke Amreeki bond daam bhi aam tor par neechay ki taraf rawana huay. Jabke macroeconomic mahol ki koi tabdeeli na hui, to April mein Amreeki paidawaar ke daam bila tawakuf barh gaye. Is mahol mein, market jaari hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein aik easing cycle shuru karega, jabke European Central Bank (ECB) shuru mein hi interest rates ko kam karne ki tayyari kar sakti hai, shayad June mein. Federal Reserve policy ke hawale se, Chicago Mercantile Exchange ke FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, September tak Amreeki interest rates ko kam karne ke imkaanat qareeb 66% hain. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne kaha ke wo umeed karte hain ke Amreeki mahangi 2024 tak girte hue rehgi, peechle saal ki trend ko taskeen dete hue. Unhone kaha ke Fed ko mazeed interest rates ko buland nahi karnay ka koi tawazo nahi nazar aata. Mahangi ki baat karte hue, Consumer Price Index (CPI) jo ke Budh ko niklega, wo Fed ke interest rates ko kam karne ka iraada ka timing ka zyada maloomat faraham kar sakta hai.


Barqi cycle ki taraf dekhte hue, kisi bhi temporary weakness in the U.S. dollar ko temporary samjha jata hai kyunke market ne apne expectations ko dobara dekha ke Federal Reserve is saal ke baad interest rates ko kam kar sakta hai. Isi doran, Federal Reserve ne apni monetary policy ko nahi badla, jis se Federal Reserve aur doosre G10 central banks ke darmiyan imtiazat ka farq zahir hua, khaas tor par European Central Bank ke sath. European Central Bank ke hawale se, policymakers ke taaza bayanat se lagta hai ke ECB kehta ke June mein easing process ko shuru kiya jaa sakta hai, halankeh ECB policymaking ke maamle mein aglay summer ke baad ki surat e haal mubham rehti hai. Is taluq mein, De Guindos ne pichle jumme ko kaha ke European Central Bank June ke baad kisi trend ka andaza lagana mushkil hai. Aage dekhte hue, Eurozone ki maeeshat ke bunyadiyat nisbatan slow hain aur U.S. ki maeeshat mazboot hai, jis se medium term mein mazeed U.S. dollar ki tawakulat ko support mil rahi hai, khaas tor par European Central Bank ke interest rates ko Federal Reserve se pehlay kam karne ke imkaanat barhte jaa rahe hain. Is nazar se, medium term mein mazeed EUR/USD ki kamzori ka imkaan sochna chahiye. Upar ki taraf.





EUR/USD ka short-term technical manzar nama ye hai ke EUR/USD ka pehla resistance May ki urooj 1.0825 par taqreeban (14 May), jo ke 100-day simple moving average ke sath milta hai. Is level se, targets mein silsila hai April ki urooj 1.0885 (9 April), March ki urooj 1.0981 (8 March), haftay ki urooj 1.0998 (11 January), aur phir 1.1000 ke nishan. Neche ki taraf, agar EUR/USD May ki kami 1.0649 (1 May) ke neeche gir jaye, to 2024 ki kami 1.0601 (16 April) ko nishan banaya ja sakta hai, jise November 2023 ki kami 1.0516 (Nov 1 day) ka teesra target kiya ja sakta hai. Agar EUR/USD is level ke neeche gir jaye, to ye haftay ki kami 1.0495 (13 October, 2023) ko nishan banaye ga, phir 2023 ki kami 1.0448 (3 October) aur phir 1.0400 ka gola. Ab tak, 4-hour chart mein aik musalsal uptrend nazar aa raha hai. Is surat e hal mein, 1.0825 aur 1.0885 upri resistance ke tor par tay hain. Is doran, 200 simple moving average ke qareeb pehla support 1.0737 ke qareeb hai, jise 1.0723 ke sath follow kiya jata hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) taqreeban 68 ke qareeb chadha hai.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke semi-annual Senate testimony ke baad, bearish 2307 tak nishana banata hai taake bullish trend ki taqat ka imtehaan kiya ja sake, jo trend ka ek ahem pehlu hai. Pichle trading week mein, sona maamooli low tak girne jari raha, 2304 ke mark ke qareeb. Yeh is mark ko torne mein nakam raha. Aakhir mein, isne upar consolidate kiya. Yeh dohraaye gaye koshishon ko todne ki koshish ki aur bhi nakam raha. Is natije mein, yeh consolidation aur baad mein bounce, jaise hi support mila, ek rally ko le kar aaya jo haal hi mein hue nuksano ko wapas le gaya. Price chart ab green zone mein move kar raha hai, jo buyers ki dabav ko zyada hone ki nishaani hai. Ek yaad dilane ke taur par, 2360 ke upar trading stability aur zyada giravat ko rokta hai, aur hum 2347 ka retest dekh sakte hain. Neeche diye gaye chat ko dekhein:

Mausam ke pehle haftay mein girne ke baad price ab uth rahi hai aur ek mukammal paus banane ki dhamki de rahi hai. Magar, is correction ke hudood ka had se zyada intezam hosakta hai. Mukhya resistance area pehle se hi 2457 ke level par tay kiya gaya hai. Yeh aage ki upar ki koshishon ko rokega. Agar yeh kamyabi ke saath retest kiya jaaye aur is area se bounce kiya jaaye, toh neeche ki taraf momentum banane ka mauka milega, jiska nishana 2340 aur 2310 ke darmiyan area hoga. Current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal, resistance ke breakdown aur 2390 ke reversal level ke upar se alag hone par mil jaayega.

ke mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain



, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne

mumkinah moqaat faraham karti hai. Maqami darkhwast ka nuskha rally base rally ke aas pass pehchana gaya hai, jo ke moment ke darasal mein 81.96 - 81.67 ke minor darkhwast ilaqa mein waqe hai. Tasdeeq Stochastic indicator parameter ki intezaar hai, jo ke 50 ke darajay par cross kar sakta hai. Mazeed, Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke histogram ko mustaqil tor par 0 ke darjay ke ooper rehna chahiye. Maal-o-daulat ka lehaaz rakhte hue, nafa ka maqasid buland prices 83.86 ya rukawat 83.55 par tay kiya gaya hai, jabke stop loss 80.37 ke support level par rakha gaya hai. Sone ki keemat ne doosri bar itihaasi bulandiyon ko paar kar ke 2245 ke qareeb pahunch gayi hai. Ye izafa federal reserve ke faislay ke mutalliq tajawuz ki tajawuz ki bajaye hai. Amrika ke Dollar ke lehaaz se behtar hota ja raha hai, sonay ki keemat bazaar ke khilariyon aur investors dono ke liye zyada dilchasp ho rahi hai. 2232 ke bulandiyon tak pahunchne ke baad 2156 ki taraf sudhar ke bawajood, keemat 2147 ke support level ke upar rahi, jo taqatwar bull trend ko zahir karta hai. Keemat phir se EMA 50 ko chhu ke 2204 ke rukawat se guzargayi. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke histogram ke zyadah tar hisse 0 ke darjay ke ooper rehte hain, jo ke tajawuz ke sath ek musbat trend ko zahir karta hai jo zyada volume ke sath aata hai. Jabke Stochastic indicator ke parameter overbought zone mein dakhil ho gaye hain, jo ke aik mumkin downward correction ka ishaara deta hai, bunyadi asools kehte hain ke koi bhi correction aham nahi ho sakta.

Tijarati options saaf tor par mojooda bullish trend ke faidemand hoti hain. Rukawat 2204 par, jo ab RBS area ka kaam kar rahi hai, aik munasib entry point ke tor par kaam karti hai. Tasdeeq Stochastic indicator parameter ke 50 ke darajay ke aas pass cross hone ka intezar hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke histogram ko 0 ke darajay ke ooper rehna chahiye, jo ke mustaqil upar wale rukh ke moment ko zahir karta hai. Waqtan fawaite nafa ka maqasid buland prices 2235 par tay kiya gaya hai, jabke stop loss EMA 50 ke darja ke ird gird mojood hai.

Bilkul, siyasi aur ma'ashi lafzat ka sonay ka appeal par asar hota hai aur unka kirdaar sonay ke market mein barhaane mein khaas tor par ahem hota hai. Ye lafzat sonay ke kimat par seedha ya seedha asar nahi daalte, lekin unka tanaavat aur instability ka mahol sonay ke keemti kiraaye ko badha dete hain.
Siyasi tanaavat, jaise ke Darmiyanay Mashriq mein tensions aur bara aizaeon ke darmiyan tajawuzat, sonay ke market par seedha asar daal sakte hain. Jab bhi kisi khaas kshetra mein siyasi ya aizaei tanazaat badh jaate hain, log sonay jese safe haven assets ki taraf rukh karte hain. Kyunki sona tareeqi aur siyasi tanaavat ke doraan aik mehfooz asaar hota hai, isliye log isay apni nigrani mein rakhna pasand karte hain. Iske ilawa, bade economies ke darmiyan trade disputes bhi sonay ke market par asar daalte hain. Jab do ya zyada mulkon ke darmiyan ma'ashi ikhtalafat ya tariffs ke jhagre hote hain, to investors apne paisay ko ma'ashi lafzat se dur rakhna pasand karte hain aur sonay jese mahfooz asaaraat ki taraf mabni hote hain. Ye disputes bhi sonay ke kimat ko ooncha chadha sakte hain, khaas kar jab stocks aur currencies kamzor ho.

Siyasi aur ma'ashi instability ke dauraan, investors apne investments ko hedge karne ke liye sonay ko ek safe haven asset ke roop mein dekhte hain. Iska natija hota hai ki jab bhi koi bada siyasi ya ma'ashi crisis hota hai, sonay ke demand mein izafa hota hai, jiski wajah se uski kimat mein izafa hota hai. Magar, yeh yaad rakhna bhi zaroori hai ke sonay ka market bhi apne hi qawaneen par chalta hai aur har tanaavat aur ma'ashi crisis ki apni tareek hoti hai. Kabhi-kabhi, jab ma'ashi halat stable hote hain ya geopolitical tensions kam hote hain, to sonay ke market mein bhi girawat aati hai. Siyasi aur ma'ashi lafzat sonay ke market ko seedha to nahi karte, lekin unka asar sonay ke appeal ko barha deta hai, khaas tor par jab investors ko safe haven assets ki zarurat hoti hai. Isliye, sonay ka market hamesha siyasi aur ma'ashi tanaavat ke asar mein rehta hai, aur is par amal karne wale investors ke liye ye ahem hai ke wo in tanaavat aur muddaton ki nazar rakhen.

Siyasi aur ma'ashi lafzat, sonay ka appeal ko barhane mein ek ahem kirdar ada karte hain jaise mushkilat mein ek mahfooz sahara. Siyasi tanaavat, jaise ke Darmiyanay Mashriq mein tensions aur bara aizaeon ke darmiyan tajawuzat, bade economies ke darmiyan trade disputes, ne investors ko sonay jese mahfooz asaaraat talashne par majboor kiya hai taake wo apni portfolios ko market volatility ke khilaaf bacha sakein. Magar haal hi ki bullish trend ke bawajood, zaroori hai samajhna ke markets by default ghaer mantaq hote hain, aur corrections aksar aati hain. Ye sab issues sonay ke qeemat par asar andaz ho sakte hain. Sonay ki qeemat par asar daalne waale siyasi aur ma'ashi factors aksar investors ke liye ek chunoti ka baais bante hain. Jab tanaavat siyasi ya ma'ashi tor par barhti hai, log sonay jese safe haven investments ki taraf rujoo karte hain. Ye unke liye ek aham tareeqa ban jaata hai apni maaliyat ko mehfooz rakhne ka. Maqsad unka hota hai apni maaliyat ko market ki tabdeeliyon se bachane ka. Magar jab ye tensions kam ho jaate hain, ya masael hal ho jaate hain, to investors phir se riskier assets ki taraf mawajood ho jaate hain, jaise ke stocks ya real estate.

Trade disputes bhi sonay ke qeemat par asar daal sakte hain. Jab bade economies ke darmiyan trade disputes hote hain, to ye asar sonay ke prices par pad sakta hai. Maslan, jab do bade mulk aapas mein tariffs ya sanctions lagate hain, to ye global economic uncertainty paida karta hai, jo sonay ki qeemat ko influence kar sakta hai. Log is tarah ke situations mein sonay ko ek stable investment samajhte hain, aur is liye is taraf rujuu karte hain. Market volatility ke waqt, investors apni portfolios ko mehfooz karne ke liye sonay jese assets ki taraf rujoo karte hain. Sonay ki qeemat mein tezi ya ghataav hote hain, jo market instability ke dauraan investors ke liye ek mahfooz asar bhi ban sakta hai. Magar ye bhi yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke markets hamesha stable nahi rehte, aur corrections aksar aate hain. Aakhir mein, sonay ka appeal barhane mein siyasi aur ma'ashi factors ek crucial role ada karte hain. In issues ka ma'loom hona aur unke asraat ka samajhna investors ke liye zaroori hai taake wo apni maaliyat ko mehfooz rakh sakein aur market volatility ke khilaaf tayyar rah sakein.

hai. Range-bound price action ko samajhna aur exploit karna traders ke liye zaroori hai. Ismein price ek specific range mein move karta hai, jo ki trading opportunities provide karta hai. Is tarah ke market conditions mein, bearish consolidation ke baad haal hi mein dekha gaya tha ke price ne aasman ko choo gaya tha. Magar, yeh zaroori hai ke mazboot follow-through selling ho ya phir further declines ke liye positioning ho taake price level ke neeche acceptance ka intezar kiya ja sake.Dusri taraf, price levels ke aas paas ka daily low immediate downside ko aur zyada neeche jane se bachata hai. Iska matlab hai ke yeh level ek kind of support provide kar raha hai, jo ke downside risk ko kam karta hai. Agar ek convincing breakout ho, toh yeh ek slide ke darwaze ko khol dega price level ki taraf agar convincing break ho. Is tarah ke price action ko samajhna aur uska sahi taua t Jab peer ka din aaram se shuru hota hai, to sonay ki keemat mein thori kami nazar aati hai, jo kareeban tak pahunchti hai. Ye thori si giravat bazaar ke rawayyon mein aik zahir badlaav ke saath milti hai, jo zyada taqatwar stand ka rujhan dikhata hai, jis se sonay ki qeemat kam ho sakti hai. Aam taur par, sona


y ki qeemat maeeshatdano ke darmiyan tanav ya mulk ke halaat mein izafa hone par zyada hoti hai, jab sarmaya danon ko safe investments ki talab hoti hai. Magar, hal hi mein Israel aur Iran ke darmiyan husnul muqamat ke doran tanaza shuru hua hai. Qaumi hawaadis aam tor par sarmaya danon ki dilchaspi ko barhata hai, jab mulk ke darmiyan sulah ki umeed hoti hai, lekin bazaar mein giraavat ke doran istiqamat ki taraf murnay lagte hain. Is natije mein, jab mojooda bazaar ka mahol zyada taqatwar stand ki taraf muntaqil hota hai, mojooda Israel-Iran taluqat bhi is par asar andaz ho sakte hain. Sarmaya danon ke liye, is tarah ke geo-political tensions aksar assest ke taur par sonay ki taraf mohlati hai, kyunke sona safe haven maana jata hai aur iski keemat sulah ki umeed ke doran barh sakti hai. Lekin, Israel aur Iran ke darmiyan hote hue tanaza is rujhan ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Aise maahol mein, sarmaya danon ko muktalif tareeqon se apni investments ki tafteesh karni chahiye, taki woh apni maaliyat ko mehfooz rakh sakein. Sonay ki keemat bazaar ke rujhanon, siyasi hawaadis aur geo-political tensions par asar andaz hoti hai. Israel aur Iran ke darmiyan taizi se barhti hui tanazaat sonay ke bazaar par ek naya asar dal sakte hain. Sarmaya danon ko chahiye ke woh muntakhib aur mufeed tajweezat ke sath apni sarmayadari ki

EUR/USD taqreeban 1.0816 ke qareeb tha. Amreeki dollar ke mutanaffir rawaiye ne jari rakha, jis se EUR/USD mein ek aur izafa hua aur EUR/USD ko peer ko 1.0800 ke panch haftay ke urooj ke oopar chadha diya. Jab dollar gir gaya, to sab maturities ke Amreeki bond daam bhi aam tor par neechay ki taraf rawana huay. Jabke macroeconomic mahol ki koi tabdeeli na hui, to April mein Amreeki paidawaar ke daam bila tawakuf barh gaye. Is mahol mein, market jaari hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein aik easing cycle shuru karega, jabke European Central Bank (ECB) shuru mein hi interest rates ko kam karne ki tayyari kar sakti hai, shayad June mein. Federal Reserve policy ke hawale se, Chicago Mercantile Exchange ke FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, September tak Amreeki interest rates ko kam karne ke imkaanat qareeb 66% hain. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne kaha ke wo umeed karte hain ke Amreeki mahangi 2024 tak girte hue rehgi, peechle saal ki trend ko taskeen dete hue. Unhone kaha ke Fed ko mazeed interest rates ko buland nahi karnay ka koi tawazo nahi nazar aata. Mahangi ki baat karte hue, Consumer Price Index (CPI) jo ke Budh ko niklega, wo Fed ke interest rates ko kam karne ka iraada ka timing ka zyada maloomat faraham kar sakta hai.
Barqi cycle ki taraf dekhte hue, kisi bhi temporary weakness in the U.S. dollar ko temporary samjha jata hai kyunke market ne apne expectations ko dobara dekha ke Federal Reserve is saal ke baad interest rates ko kam kar sakta hai. Isi doran, Federal Reserve ne apni monetary policy ko nahi badla, jis se Federal Reserve aur doosre G10 central banks ke darmiyan imtiazat ka farq zahir hua, khaas tor par European Central Bank ke sath. European Central Bank ke hawale se, policymakers ke taaza bayanat se lagta hai ke ECB kehta ke June mein easing process ko shuru kiya jaa sakta hai, halankeh ECB policymaking ke maamle mein aglay summer ke baad ki surat e haal mubham rehti hai. Is taluq mein, De Guindos ne pichle jumme ko kaha ke European Central Bank June ke baad kisi trend ka andaza lagana mushkil hai. Aage dekhte hue, Eurozone ki maeeshat ke bunyadiyat nisbatan slow hain aur U.S. ki maeeshat mazboot hai, jis se medium term mein mazeed U.S. dollar ki tawakulat ko support mil rahi hai, khaas tor par European Central Bank ke interest rates ko Federal Reserve se pehlay kam karne ke imkaanat barhte jaa rahe hain. Is nazar se, medium term mein mazeed EUR/USD ki kamzori ka imkaan sochna chahiye. Upar ki taraf.EUR/USD ka short-term technical manzar nama ye hai ke EUR/USD ka pehla resistance May ki urooj 1.0825 par taqreeban (14 May), jo ke 100-day simple moving average ke sath milta hai. Is level se, targets mein silsila hai April ki urooj 1.0885 (9 April), March ki urooj 1.0981 (8 March), haftay ki urooj 1.0998 (11 January), aur phir 1.1000 ke nishan. Neche ki taraf, agar EUR/USD May ki kami 1.0649 (1 May) ke neeche gir jaye, to 2024 ki kami 1.0601 (16 April) ko nishan banaya ja sakta hai, jise November 2023 ki kami 1.0516 (Nov 1 day) ka teesra target kiya ja sakta hai. Agar EUR/USD is level ke neeche gir jaye, to ye haftay ki kami 1.0495 (13 October, 2023) ko nishan banaye ga, phir 2023 ki kami 1.0448 (3 October) aur phir 1.0400 ka gola. Ab tak, 4-hour chart mein aik musalsal uptrend nazar aa raha hai. Is surat e hal mein, 1.0825 aur 1.0885 upri resistance ke tor par tay hain. Is doran, 200 simple moving average ke qareeb pehla support 1.0737 ke qareeb hai, jise 1.0723 ke sath follow kiya jata hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) taqreeban 68 ke qareeb chadha hai.

Gold ka Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Pichle week, gold gradually recover hone lagi aur consolidation zone se nikalne lagi. 2288 ke neeche break karne ki koshish fail hui, aur price barh gayi, immediate 2358 ke reversal level ko break kar diya. Is tarah, further decline ka predicted scenario materialize nahi hua aur cancel ho gaya. Meanwhile, price chart abhi bhi green supertrend zone mai hai, jo ke buyers ki increased support indicate karta hai.

Friday ko gold prices North American session mai 1% se zyada barh gayi, rising US Treasury yields ke bawajood. Ye University of Michigan (UoM) ke research ke mutabiq hai, jisne consumer confidence mai sharp decline dikhaya, jo ke six months ka lowest level tha. XAU/USD pair $2,369 pe trade ho rahi hai, after day's low of $2,343 se bounce karke. Latest sentiment data aur early May se weak labor market data ne investors ko safety ke liye gold aur US dollar ki taraf attract kiya, jo ke gold prices ko higher push kar rahi hai.

Prices currently weekly highs se moderately rising hain. Critical resistance zone overcome nahi hui aur price reverse hui aur cross hui, jo ke preferred vector upward change karne ki zarurat indicate karti hai. Ye tab confirm hoga jab 2358 ke upar consolidation possible hogi, jo ke currently major support area ke adjacent hai. Is area ka retest aur confidence ke sath bounce pave karega next move higher ke liye, target area 2429 aur 2463 ke darmiyan hai.

Agar support level break ho jata hai aur price movement area below 2288 pe chali jati hai, to current scenario cancel ho jayega. Neeche chart dekhen:

Gold Outlook Technical Analysis:
Mere technical analysis ke mutabiq, gold ke mustaqbil ke movement ka andaza lagaya jaye to yeh ab bhi 2400 ke aas paas barh sakti hai agar candlestick ko dekha jaye. Kyunki daily time frame par gold ki movement ne ek bullish engulfing candle banayi hai jo ke BUY GOLD ka kafi mazboot signal hai aur yeh 2400 ki qeemat tak barh sakta hai. Magar humein gold mein downward correction ke liye bhi hoshyar rehna chahiye kyunki RSI 14 indicator ke visualization se yeh maloom hota hai ke gold ki qeemat 2385 par overbought ya buhat zyada overbought hai, isliye aaj gold ke qeemat mein kafi gehri downward correction hone ka imkaan hai aur yeh 2360 ki qeemat tak gir sakti hai. Aaj ke liye SELL GOLD ka signal bhi kafi bara hai kyunki yeh SNR aur Fibonacci methods se bhi supported hai, kyunki jab gold ki qeemat 2385 par thi, to yeh Support Become Resistance ya SBR area mein thi isliye yeh bara imkaan hai ke aaj SELLER is gold pair mein enter karein jo ke gold ko kafi gehri tareek se 2350s ki qeemat tak le aaye. Mere technical analysis ke nateejay mein gold ki movement ko dekhte hue, maine faisla kiya ke SELL GOLD karoon 2350 ki qeemat tak, magar yeh bhi mumkin hai ke gold aaj phir se 2400 ki qeemat tak barh sakti hai.

Lainain 2,175.80 aur 2,270.80 par hain. Iska matlab yeh hai ke na to buyers aur na hi sellers market par qaboo hasil kar paa rahe hain. Volatility: Range ke andar ab bhi kuch volatility hai, aur qeemat mein kabhi kabhi $50 se zyada ke swings hain. Yeh mukhtalif factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jaise ke economic data releases, central bank policy announcements, ya geopolitical events. Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke yeh aik short time frame hai aur zaroori nahi ke yeh long-term trend ko depict karta ho. Yahan kuch mazeed cheezain hain jo zehan mein rakhni chahiyein:

Technical indicators: Aap price charts ke ilawa technical indicators ka istemal kar sakte hain taake mumkin trends aur trading signals ko pehchaan sakein. Magar, technical indicators foolproof nahi hain aur inhe doosri forms of analysis ke sath milakar istemal karna chahiye.