Gold forum

Kal ke Asian session mein sona ka girav 2147 tak pahunch gaya tha, lekin phir 2163 tak chhute hue taizi se bharta gaya. Yeh do din pehle ke pattern ke mukable mein ek mushaba trend dikhane laga. Lekin aakhir mein, taizi mein kami hui aur daily chart ek bearish candle ke saath band hua. Abhi sona downside ko rok raha hai, aur bullish log 2150 ke oopar rehenge jab tak interest rate faisla na ho.Aaj raat ahem khabrein aane wali hain, aur isse takneeki tajziya bekaar hoga, kyunki fluctuations zyada honge. Isliye, investors ko
apni positions ko adjust karna chahiye aur ups aur downs ko peeche chhod dena chahiye.



Sona ka 2147 tak ka girav ek daawati avasar pradarshit karta hai. Ismein, sona ki keemat ne girav kiya tha aur 2163 ke nazdeek pahunch gaya tha. Lekin phir se girav ke baad, sona ne teji se bharna shuru kiya aur yeh trend do din pehle ke pattern ko yaad dila raha tha.Haal hi mein, interest rate faisla sona ke liye mukhya hai. Bullish investors 2150 ke oopar rehenge agar interest rate badha ya kam kiya gaya. Yeh faisla sona ke
moolya ko seedha prabhavit karega aur iske liye market mein tezi ya girav aane ki sambhavna hai.



Aaj raat ko ahem khabrein aane wali hain, jo sona ke moolya par seedhe asar daal sakti hain. Isliye, takneeki tajziya karne ka prayaas bekaar hoga, aur investors ko apni positions ko adjust karne ki zarurat hai. Fluctuations ki ummeed hai, isliye investors ko savdhani bartni chahiye aur ups aur downs ko samajhna chahiye. Sona ka market volatile ho sakta hai, isliye samay par len-den karna zaruri hai aur position ko surakshit rakhna bhi. Saar, sona ka market abhi unpredictable hai aur aane wale samay mein fluctuations ki ummeed hai. Investors ko khabron ka dhyaan dena chahiye aur apni strategies ko flexibly banaye rakhna chahiye.

Kal sone ke mutalliq, jo local support level se takraar ke baad hua, meri tajziya ke mutabiq 2148.990 par mojood tha, khabron ke background par keemat ko impulsively shumali taraf dhaakela gaya. Iska natija ek mukammal bullish candle tha jo jama hone wala ikhtraaq ke ooper band hua. Aaj, Asian session ke doran, keemat ko bharosemandi se mazeed shumali taraf dhaakela ja raha hai, aur dilchaspi hogi ke aaj ka session resistance level ke sath kaise band hota hai, jo meri tajziya ke mutabiq 2195.235 par mojood hai.
Aam tor par, jaise ke main ne pehle bhi kaha hai, market ke is taraqi mein kuch sannate ka ehsaas hota hai. Is bullish momentum ke baad, thori thori hichkichaahat hosakti hai. Darasal, ye ek natural process hai jahan investors profit lena shuru karte hain, aur isse ek temporary pullback ka mizaaj ban sakta hai.
Lekin, humein yaad rakhna chahiye ke ye sirf temporary harkat ho sakti hai. Market ke fundamentals aur sentiment mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ki wajah se, price action mein mazeed bullish movement bhi mumkin hai.



Resistance level par market ka behavior khaas tor par ahem hai. Agar keemat is level se guzarti hai aur yahan se neeche gir jaati hai, to ye ek sangeen nishaan hai aur bearish trend ka ishara ho sakta hai. Wahi agar keemat is level ko paar karti hai aur ise crossing kare, to ye ek tezi ki nishaani ho sakti hai aur mazeed upar ki taraf movement ka daromadar ho sakta hai. Hamari tajziya ke mutabiq, agar keemat resistance level ko paar kar leti hai, to ek aur bullish wave shuru hosakti hai. Lekin, humein hamesha savdhan rehna chahiye aur market ke mukhtalif factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue apne faislon ko tajziya karna chahiye.
Aakhir mein, market ki gati mein izafa ya kami aam tor par khabron, economic indicators aur global events par mabni hota hai. Isliye, humein market ke halaat ko mazbooti se monitor karna chahiye aur hamesha tayyar rehna chahiye ke kisi bhi anjaan halat ka muqabla kiya ja sake.

Sonay ki qeemat mein aik hissi wapasi ka samna karte hue jab achanak buland honay wale US ke producer inflation aur mazboot hoti hui US dollar ki wajah se gold ki qeemat mein kami aayi. Peela dhaat, jo aksar is liye talash ki jati hai ke muddai tanfiyat aur currency ki kamzori ke khilaf suraksha ka sahara hoti hai, ne pressure mehsoos kiya jab ke ma'ashi deta ne ek mazboot US maeeshat ka tasawwur pesh kiya. Achanak buland hone wali US ke producer inflation ne sarmayakaron ke darmiyan shak o shuba paida kiya ke bherat rates barhne ka khatrah hai, jo ke non-interest-bearing assest jese ke sona ke khenchne ka shoq ko kam kar deta hai. Is ke ilawa, mazboot hoti hui US dollar ne bhi sonay ki qeemat par bojh dala, kyun ke mazboot dollar doosri currency ke malikon ke liye sona mehnga banata hai.

US Treasury yelds aur Dollar Index ne Federal Reserve ke monetary policy stance ke dobara tajziyah ke jawab mein izafa kiya. Sarmayakaron ne khyal diya ke Fed muddai tanfiyat ka mukabla karne ke liye ek zyada hawkish approach apna sakta hai, jo ke Treasury bonds par buland yields aur mazboot dollar ke liye lekar aya.

Barhti hui yields, mazboot dollar aur tanfiyat ke shubhon ke imtiaz se sarmayakaron ko apni positions ko dobara tajziyah karne par majboor kiya, jis ki wajah se sonay ki qeemat mein aik hissi wapasi hui.

Sonay ke samne mushkilat ke bawajood, US maeeshat ke istiqamat ko darust karti data bechun mein aur pehli nikaat mein zahir hui.

Bechnay wale maal ki data ne ek mazboot se mazboot karne wale performance ka zahir kiya, jis se ye maloom hota hai ke muddai tanfiyat aur buland hone wale interest rates ke bawajood kharchay ke istiqamat qayam raha, jo ke maeeshat ke mukhtalif pehlu ko behtar banata hai aur ye sujhata hai ke demand-side pressures maeeshat ki barqarar rakhsht ko ta'eed kar sakti hai.

Is ke ilawa, pehli nikaat ki data ne US ka mazboot maeeshat mandi ka zor-e-qawi ko mad e nazar rakha, jahan ke amreekanon ke liye na-insafi dawayon ke number ko ek mukhtalif mahino ke liye gira diya gaya. Na-insafi dawayon mein kami ka izhar karta hai ke karobari mulazimeen ko mehfooz rakha ja raha hai aur dawat kam horahi hai, jo ke maeeshat ki behtar hoti hui bharakna ko darust kar hai





Mazboot retail sales aur jobless claims ke data ne US maeeshat ka istiqamat mandar kirdar ko dobara tajziyah ki dastaan ko aur sabab banaya, tanfiyat aur monetary policy ke mutalliq shubhon ke shubhoolat ke khilaf. Jabke ye asoolson par sonay ki qeemat par bojh dalte hain, to US maeeshat ke asal istiqamat sonay ki qeemat ko lambay arse tak ta'eed de sakti hai, jabke sarmayakaron ko taqatwar economic landscape ko ta'eed dena hai

XAU/USD Tafseeli Jaiza

Adaab! Abhi tak, sona (XAU/USD) ne ek bekar rukh dikhaya hai. Chalein, H4 timeframe ko dekhte hain, jahan Fibonacci grid batata hai ke jab 138.20%–2004.00 level ko toor kar gaya, to humein 161.80%–2010.00 ki taraf rawana hone ki umeed thi. Kal, sonay ki keemat mein nazar mein aane wali kami ne bhaari tor par giraavat ki aur 1990.00 ki taraf nigraani ki. Ye aas ki jari rahne ki tawaqo ko mazid taqwiyat deti hai ke intardey market mein mukhtalif maqasid 1984.00 tak barh sakte hain. Agar ye level tor diya jaye, to bearish lehar 1962.35 tak phail sakti hai. Ya phir, manfi dabao ke khilaf hamwari ke doran sona apna asal bullish rukh dobara le sakta hai aur shuru mein 2009.30 ko imtehan kar sakta hai.

Lekin, sona ne tay nahi tora aur is ke bajaye peechlay uchayi se qabal 200 point khatam huye. Farokht karne walon ko yaad rakhna chahiye ke ek bearish do-fractal candle pattern ke rup mein ab bhi bazaar ka qarza baqi hai, jo ke intehai keeraq ke rang mein nuqta ehsas ke zariye darj kiya gaya hai. Is liye, janib dakhilat ki gai harkat ka tajziya karte waqt is factor ka khayal rakhna munasib hai. Ab waqar se musalsal kam hota hai, jis se manfi lehar ke halat ka maqsad minimum 450 point tak pohanch sakta hai, jab ke agar asal trend khatam ho jaye to kafi baray harkat bhi mumkin hain. Kyunke aaj United States mein Shukriya Day hai, is liye wahan se koi bazaar ki sakhtiyon ki tawajjo nahi milti jab tak 5:00 PM ke baad Amreki trading session dubara shuru na ho.


Daily chart par, markazi level intak hai. Jabke shuru mein mujhe yeh ummeed thi ke bullane kam az kam isay imtehan karenge, keemat ulta hui aur wapas bhari SMA-50 tak chali gayi, jahan se is ne bounce kiya lekin sirf ghanto ki dauran choti fasla tay kiya. Ab sona manfi tor par trading kar raha hai jab ke yeh hamari muntazimah maqsad ko pohanchne ki koshish kar raha hai jo ke bullish channel ke support line par hai, jo ke ab 1984.00 par waqai hai. Intardey basis par bearish rukh ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, keemat ka bartao is level tak pohnchne par khasi ahmiyat ki wajah se ehem hai ke agle rukh ka tay kiya ja sakta hai. Agar is level ko tor diya jaye, to manfi lehar ko rasta mil sakta hai jo 1962.35 tak ja sakta hai, jab ke is ke ooper muwafiqat sonay ko pehle se hi 2009.30 tak pohancha sakti hai.

XAU/USD analysis

Adaab! Abhi gold (XAU/USD) ek neutral trend ka dikhawa kar raha hai. Chaliye H4 timeframe ka jayeza lete hain, jahan Fibonacci grid darust kar raha hai ke 138.20%–2004.00 ke darja ko torne ke baad, hume 161.80%–2010.00 ki taraf ek manzil ka intezar hai. Kal, sonay ke daamon ki keemat mein nazar kamzor hui, jise 1990.00 ki taraf le gaya gaya. Ye aaj ke intraday market mein jaari bearish dabao ki umeed ko mazboot karta hai, jahan potenshel targets ko 1984.00 tak barha sakte hain. Agar ye darja tor diya jata hai, to bearish lehar ko 1962.35 tak phela sakta hai. Ya to, manfi dabao ke khilaf ghatna hone par sona apni mukhya bullish trend ko dobara shuru kar sakta hai aur pehle 2009.30 ki imtihanat karega.

Magar, sona faisla shakti se torne mein kamyab nahi hua aur iske bajaye pichle unchaai se takra gaya, lagbhag 200 points wapis chalkar. Farokht karnewalon ko yad rakhna chahiye ke yahan abhi bhi bearish do-fractal candle pattern ke roop mein baaki market ki qarz hai, jo ke indicator ke zariye surkhi mein darust kiya gaya hai. Is liye, dakshin ki taraf ke harkaat ko madde nazar rakhte hue is faktar ko ghor se madde nazar rakhein. Vartaman darajat se neeche ki potential kam taareeki 450 points tak pahunch sakti hai, jismein agar mukhya trend khatam ho jaye to bohot bade move mumkin hain. Kyunki aaj United States mein Thanksgiving Day hai, isi liye waha se koi bazaar ki gatividhiyan anumit nahi hai jab tak 5:00 PM ke baad American trading session dobara shuru nahi hoti hai.

Daily chart par, muqaddar ka darja intikhaab shuda raha. Jabki shuru mein maine umeed ki thi ke bhalu kam az kam isay kal imtehanat denge, qeemat ulte aur bhari SMA-50 tak palat gayi, jahan se yeh palti le gaya magar sirf ek chhote fasle par ghari ke timeframe par. Halat ke mutabiq, sona manfi tor par karobaar kar raha hai jab wo hamari umeed ki manfi channel ki support line tak pahunchne ki koshish karta hai, jo filhal 1984.00 par waqai hai. Ek din ke doran bearish trend ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, is daraje ki pohnch par qeemat ke rawayyaat ka nigrani karna ahem hai kyunki yeh agle trend ko tay karne mein ahem hai. Is daraje ko torne se raasta mil jayega bearish lehar ko manfi jaariyon ki taraf, jahan par is daraje ke upar jama ho kar qeemat ko 2009.30 ke pehle manfi maqsad tak le ja sakti hai.

XAU/USD Tahlil

Adaab! Abhi ke liye, sona (XAU/USD) ek darmiyani trend ka mazhar hai. Chaliye H4 time frame ko dekhte hain, jahan Fibonacci grid ye dikhata hai ke 138.20%–2004.00 level ko torne ke baad, humein 161.80%–2010.00 ki taraf ek qadam ki umeed thi. Kal, sonay ki qeemat mein nazarbaar girawat hui, jis ka nishaan 1990.00 par tha. Ye umeed ko mazid bearish dabav ka inrtaday market mein intizaar kiya jata hai, jahan mumkinah maqasid 1984.00 tak phel sakti hain. Agar ye level tor diya jata hai, to bearish lehar 1962.35 tak phail sakti hai. Ya to, manfi dabav ke khilaaf milawat sona ko apni asal bullish trend ko dobara jaari karne ka rasta dikhayega aur pehle 2009.30 ko test karega.

Magar, sona faisle se na guzra aur is ke bajaye peechle unchi se mudaafa karke, taqreeban 200 point wapis chala gaya. Farokht karne walon ko yaad rakhna chahiye ke ab bhi ek bearish do-fractal candle pattern ke roop mein baqi bazaar ka qarza hai, jo ki indicator ke zariye laal rang mein dikhaya gaya hai. Is liye, jab junubi leharon ke rukh ka tasavvur kiya jata hai, to is factors ko mad e nazar rakhna munasib hai. Haalat ke manfi halaat se mukhlis nichayi se kam az kam 450 point tak pohanch sakti hai, jab ke ager mukhtalif lehar tor jaye to kafi zyada harkat mumkin hai. Kyunki aaj Amerika mein Thanksgiving Day hai, is liye yahan se koi bazaar ki gati ki tawaqo nahi hai jab tak Ameriki trading session 5:00 PM ke baad dobara shuru na ho.

Dailly chart par, kluch level baqi raha. Jabke main pehle umeed karta tha ke bhare ke kam se kam is ko azmaayenge, qeemat palat gayi aur woh bhari SMA-50 tak palat gayi, jis se woh wapis mudaafa kiya magar sirf aik chhoti doori tak ghoomi hourly time frame par. Halankeh, sona manfi tor par farokht hota hai jabke woh hamari umeed ki target ko pohanchne ki koshish karta hai jo bullish channel ke support line par hai, jo ab 1984.00 par waqif hai. Intraday buniyadi tour par bearish trend ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, is level tak pohanchne par qeemat ke rawayya ka muntazir rehna ahem hai kyunki ye agle trend ka tay karnay mein ahmiyat rakhta hai. Agar is level ko tor diya jata hai, to bearish lehar ko 1962.35 ki taraf phelne ka raasta bana sakti hai, jabke is ke upar milawat qeemat ko pehle 2009.30 ki taraf dhakel sakti hai jo aik aaghazati mukhlis maqsood hai.

XAU/USD Tahlil

Adaab! Ab tak, sona (XAU/USD) aik be-nuqsaan trend ka izhar kar raha hai. Chaliye H4 timeframe ka jaaiza lete hain, jahan Fibonacci grid yeh dikhata hai ke 138.20%–2004.00 level ko torne ke baad, humne 161.80%–2010.00 ki taraf ek chal ka tasawwur kiya tha. Kal, sonay ki keemat mein numaya kami maddaar thi, jis ka nishana 1990.00 par tha. Yeh aik mukhtalif bearish dabaav ke jaari rehne ka tawaqo hai intraday market mein, jahan potenstail targets 1984.00 tak ja sakte hain. Agar yeh level tor diya gaya, to bearish lehar 1962.35 tak phail sakti hai. Doosri taraf, manfi dabaav ke khilaaf maddaaron ke imtehaan ka muqabla sona ko apni asli bullish trend ko dobara shuru karne par le ja sakta hai aur pehle 2009.30 ka imtehaan kar sakta hai.



Magar, sona mukhtalif karte hue faisla karne mein nakam raha aur iss ke bajaye peechle unchi se wapas gaya, lagbhag 200 points ka retracement kar diya. Farokht karne wale ko yad rakhna chahiye ke aik bearish do-fractal mombi pattern ke tor par abi tak baqi bazaar ka qarz hai, jo isharaati tor par surkh rang mein hai. Is liye, jab junoo ke harkaat ka tawazun kar rahe hain to is factor ko ghor se ghor lena munasib hai. Haalat ki takmeel ke baad, haalat ke halat 450 points tak pahonch sakti hain, jabke agar asli trend khatam ho jaye to kafi zyada chalakiyan mumkin hain. Kyunki aaj United States mein Thanksgiving Day hai, is liye wahan se koi bazaar ki gatividhi ki umeed nahi hai jab tak American trading session 5:00 PM ke baad shuru na ho.



Rozana chart par, ahem level barqarar raha. Jab main pehle umeed kiya tha ke bull kam az kam iska imtehan lenge, to keemat palat gayi aur bhari SMA-50 tak lot gayi, jahan se yeh palat gayi lekin sirf ghante ke timeframe par choti doori tay ki. Ab sona manfi taur par farokht ho raha hai jab ke wo hamare mutmain bullish channel ke support line tak pahunchne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo mojooda waqt mein 1984.00 par hai. Be-nuqsaan trend ko ek intraday basis par barqarar rakhne ke liye, is level tak pohnchne par keemat ke rawayye ko nazar andaz karna ahem hai ke iski ahmiyat agle trend ka taslem karna mein munsaraf hoti hai. Agar is level ko tor diya gaya, to raasta khul jaye ga ek mazeed bearish lehar ki taraf 1962.35 ki taraf, jabke iske ooper ittefaqia hone par keemat ko wapas 2009.30 tak phauch sakta hai jaisa ke pehla masroof nishana hai.

XAU/USD

Adaab! Abhi ke liye, sona (XAU/USD) ek darmiyani trend ka mazhar hai. Chaliye H4 time frame ko dekhte hain, jahan Fibonacci grid ye dikhata hai ke 138.20%–2004.00 level ko torne ke baad, humein 161.80%–2010.00 ki taraf ek qadam ki umeed thi. Kal, sonay ki qeemat mein nazarbaar girawat hui, jis ka nishaan 1990.00 par tha. Ye umeed ko mazid bearish dabav ka inrtaday market mein intizaar kiya jata hai, jahan mumkinah maqasid 1984.00 tak phel sakti hain. Agar ye level tor diya jata hai, to bearish lehar 1962.35 tak phail sakti hai. Ya to, manfi dabav ke khilaaf milawat sona ko apni asal bullish trend ko dobara jaari karne ka rasta dikhayega aur pehle 2009.30 ko test karega.

Magar, sona faisle se na guzra aur is ke bajaye peechle unchi se mudaafa karke, taqreeban 200 point wapis chala gaya. Farokht karne walon ko yaad rakhna chahiye ke ab bhi ek bearish do-fractal candle pattern ke roop mein baqi bazaar ka qarza hai, jo ki indicator ke zariye laal rang mein dikhaya gaya hai. Is liye, jab junubi leharon ke rukh ka tasavvur kiya jata hai, to is factors ko mad e nazar rakhna munasib hai. Haalat ke manfi halaat se mukhlis nichayi se kam az kam 450 point tak pohanch sakti hai, jab ke ager mukhtalif lehar tor jaye to kafi zyada harkat mumkin hai. Kyunki aaj Amerika mein Thanksgiving Day hai, is liye yahan se koi bazaar ki gati ki tawaqo nahi hai jab tak Ameriki trading session 5:00 PM ke baad dobara shuru na ho.

Dailly chart par, kluch level baqi raha. Jabke main pehle umeed karta tha ke bhare ke kam se kam is ko azmaayenge, qeemat palat gayi aur woh bhari SMA-50 tak palat gayi, jis se woh wapis mudaafa kiya magar sirf aik chhoti doori tak ghoomi hourly time frame par. Halankeh, sona manfi tor par farokht hota hai jabke woh hamari umeed ki target ko pohanchne ki koshish karta hai jo bullish channel ke support line par hai, jo ab 1984.00 par waqif hai. Intraday buniyadi tour par bearish trend ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, is level tak pohanchne par qeemat ke rawayya ka muntazir rehna ahem hai kyunki ye agle trend ka tay karnay mein ahmiyat rakhta hai. Agar is level ko tor diya jata hai, to bearish lehar ko 1962.35 ki taraf phelne ka raasta bana sakti hai, jabke is ke upar milawat qeemat ko pehle 2009.30 ki taraf dhakel sakti hai jo aik aaghazati mukhlis maqsood hai.

XAU/USD

Adaab! Abhi ke liye, sona (XAU/USD) ek darmiyani trend ka mazhar hai. Chaliye H4 time frame ko dekhte hain, jahan Fibonacci grid ye dikhata hai ke 138.20%–2004.00 level ko torne ke baad, humein 161.80%–2010.00 ki taraf ek qadam ki umeed thi. Kal, sonay ki qeemat mein nazarbaar girawat hui, jis ka nishaan 1990.00 par tha. Ye umeed ko mazid bearish dabav ka inrtaday market mein intizaar kiya jata hai, jahan mumkinah maqasid 1984.00 tak phel sakti hain. Agar ye level tor diya jata hai, to bearish lehar 1962.35 tak phail sakti hai. Ya to, manfi dabav ke khilaaf milawat sona ko apni asal bullish trend ko dobara jaari karne ka rasta dikhayega aur pehle 2009.30 ko test karega.

Magar, sona faisle se na guzra aur is ke bajaye peechle unchi se mudaafa karke, taqreeban 200 point wapis chala gaya. Farokht karne walon ko yaad rakhna chahiye ke ab bhi ek bearish do-fractal candle pattern ke roop mein baqi bazaar ka qarza hai, jo ki indicator ke zariye laal rang mein dikhaya gaya hai. Is liye, jab junubi leharon ke rukh ka tasavvur kiya jata hai, to is factors ko mad e nazar rakhna munasib hai. Haalat ke manfi halaat se mukhlis nichayi se kam az kam 450 point tak pohanch sakti hai, jab ke ager mukhtalif lehar tor jaye to kafi zyada harkat mumkin hai. Kyunki aaj Amerika mein Thanksgiving Day hai, is liye yahan se koi bazaar ki gati ki tawaqo nahi hai jab tak Ameriki trading session 5:00 PM ke baad dobara shuru na ho.

Dailly chart par, kluch level baqi raha. Jabke main pehle umeed karta tha ke bhare ke kam se kam is ko azmaayenge, qeemat palat gayi aur woh bhari SMA-50 tak palat gayi, jis se woh wapis mudaafa kiya magar sirf aik chhoti doori tak ghoomi hourly time frame par. Halankeh, sona manfi tor par farokht hota hai jabke woh hamari umeed ki target ko pohanchne ki koshish karta hai jo bullish channel ke support line par hai, jo ab 1984.00 par waqif hai. Intraday buniyadi tour par bearish trend ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, is level tak pohanchne par qeemat ke rawayya ka muntazir rehna ahem hai kyunki ye agle trend ka tay karnay mein ahmiyat rakhta hai. Agar is level ko tor diya jata hai, to bearish lehar ko 1962.35 ki taraf phelne ka raasta bana sakti hai, jabke is ke upar milawat qeemat ko pehle 2009.30 ki taraf dhakel sakti hai jo aik aaghazati mukhlis maqsood hai.

GOLD market ke H4 timeframe chart ka tajziyah karne par, traders apne aapko aik ahem juncture par paate hain, do mumkin manazir ka intezar karte hue jo agle qadam ko tay karsakte hain. Ye manazir market ke rawayati resistance aur support ke khaas darajat ke ird gird ki harkat par mabni hain, har ek mein mukhtalif mauqe aur khatray hain. Pehla manzar 2222 ke qawi resistance level ke upar tootne ki mumkinat par mabni hai. Ye darja hal halat mein aik mushkil rukawat sabit hua hai, lekin aik faisla mand toot par market ke jazbat ka taqaza badal sakta hai aur bullaish momentum ke raste ko saaf kar sakta hai. Is manzar par nazar daalne wale traders breakout ki tasdeeq ke liye dekhte hain, shayad 2222 ke upar barhne ke saath saath trading volume mein izafa ho. Tasdeeq ke baad, kharidari ki position shuru karna aik dilchasp tajziyah ban jata hai, umeed hai ke upar ki taraf rukh kheenchta hai. Lekin aise suratehal mein aqalmand risk management ahem hai. Breakout level ke thore se neeche aik stop-loss order set karna mumkin nuqsanat ko kam karne mein madadgar hota hai, jaise ke jhootay breakout ya achanak rukh palat ke khilaf, naqadat ko nuksan se mehfooz rakhne mein.
Mukhalif taur par, doosra manzar correction phase ka jari rakhne ke ird gird ghoomta hai, jo market ke qawi support level 2130 ke upar darust nahi reh sakta. Agar qeemat ki harkat is ahem darja ke neeche istiqamat se girne ki alamat dikhaye, to ye traders ke darmiyan farokht ke jazbat ko jaga sakta hai. Ye manzar ek bearish nazar ke mutabiq hai, jisme potential downside momentum ke jazbat ziada hote hain. Is manzar ko tajziyah karne wale traders 2130 ke neeche breakdown ki tasdeeq ke baad farokht ke orders shuru karne par ghor karenge, apni positions ko mojud trend ke saath mawafiq banate hue. Bullish manzar ki tarah, stop-loss order ka taqreeban zaroori hai takay khatra ko mukammal tor par manage kiya ja sake. Breached support level ke just upar stop loss set karna mukhalif ya khilaf trend harkat ya palatne wale harkat ke khilaf mehfoozgar hota hai, naqadat mein nuksanat ke mukhalif daira ke mehfooz rakhne mein madadgar hota hai

Sonay ki keemat tez tareen tour par gira jab naye York session ke ibtida mein Thursday ko US Bureau of Labor Statistics ne February ke liye ek zyada ummedwar Producer Price Index riwayat ki. Qeemti dhaat ko mehngai ke lehaz se dabaav mein ana para jab February ke liye America ki mehngai ke data, jo Tuesday ko jaari kiya gaya tha, ummeed se garam nikla. Ab, ek mushaba trend, PPI data ke mutabiq, June ki siyasi jalsa mein Federal Reserve ke rate kaat ke umeedon mein shakat barha di hai. Is ne America ke 10 saal ke Treasury bonds ke yeeled ko 4.27% tak barha diya, jo ke non-yielding assests jese sona ki jaise assets ko pakadne ki intekhabiyat ke alternative ke sharp izafay ka natija hai. US Dollar Index 103.10 tak barh raha hai, jis se sonay ki keemat sarmaya karne wale ke liye mehngi ho rahi hai. Daily chart par, level 2158 support ke tor par kaam kar raha hai, aur agar ye level is se neeche band hota hai, toh agle giravat ke liye nafsiyati level 2100 hai. Agar ye 2173 ke upar band hota hai, toh bull phir se 2194 ke unchaai ko dohraayenge. Intehai doran, US Census Bureau ne riyaasat ki retail bikri ko market ke ummeedon se kam tezi se barhne ki riwayat riwayat di. Mustaqbil mein, sonay ki keemat ko asal factor Federal Reserve ke interest daron ki faisla karega aur naye dot plot ko, jo interest rate ke tajziyaat faraham karta hai. Aakhri dot plot, December ki mulaqat mein shaamil kiya gaya tha, is saal teen rate kaat ki numayish ki, America ke mustaqil dollar aur bond yields ke mazboot hone ki wajah se. Hourly chart par, kal ne 2169-2178 ke supply zone ko buland kiya, jahan hum peeli dhaat ke liye ek farokht mauqa talaash rahe hain. Ek farokht dakhilai nakaahat pehle hi Asian session mein ban chuka hai, lekin yeh mera trading waqt nahi hai, aur European session ke doran, agar 2169 ka level imtehaan diya jata hai, toh ek farokht pattern ban jata hai. Pehla target 2150 hai, aur agar keemat girne ka silsila jari rahta hai aur 1/2 zone 2150-2146 ke neeche band hota hai, toh agle target 2106 ke liye raasta khul jata hai

Aaj sonay mein market baghair kisi rukawat ke khula, Asian session ke doran qeemat shumali taraf sudhar gayi, lekin aam tor par, mujhe lagta hai ke southern movement jaari reh sakta hai aur qeemat nazdeeki support level ko test karne ja sakti hai, jo ke mere tajziya ke mutabiq 2146.155 par waqai hai. Jaisa ke main pehle bhi zikar kiya hai, is support level ke qareeb do manazir ho sakte hain. Pehla manzar ek reversal candle aur uptrend qeemat ke dobara shuru hone ka hai. Agar ye manzar aagey badhta hai, to main qeemat ko resistance level 2222.915 par lautne ka intezar karunga. Agar qeemat is resistance level ke upar mazid mazbooti ikhtiyar karti hai, to main mazeed shumali harkat ka intezar karunga, ta ke qeemat 2300 ke resistance level tak pohanch jaye. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main trading setup ka intezar karunga jo mazeed trading ka rukh mukarrar karne mein madad karega. Beshak, main tasleem karta hoon ke qeemat ko mazeed shumali taraf dhamak sakte hain, lekin ye halat par munhasir hoga aur qeemat ki harkat ke doran khabar ke dabao aur qeemat ko mukarrar shumali maqamat par kis tarah ke reaction milta hai par asar daalay ga. Support level 2146.155 ke qareeb qeemat ki harkat ke liye ek doosra manzar aik plan hai jahan qeemat is level ke nichay mazid mazbooti ikhtiyar karti hai aur mazeed southern harkat hoti hai. Agar ye plan samne aata hai, to main umeed karta hoon ke qeemat support level 2088.545 ya support level 2062.310 ki taraf chalegi. Is support level ke qareeb, main bullish signals ka talash jari rakhoonga, umeed karte hue ke uptrend qeemat ke dobara shuru hone ka. Aam tor par, iss ko chand alfaaz mein kehte hue, mujhe poori tarah se yeh imkan qabool hai ke qeemat sudhar ke doran southern taraf jaari reh sakti hai, aur nazdeeki support levels ke qareeb main bullish signals ka talash jari rakhoonga, global northern trend ke andar mazeed izaafa ke intezar mein

lambi muddat ka markazi kirdar hai. Filhal, FOMC ko yeh ziada itminan ki zarurat hai ke inflashion 2% tak wapas aa raha hai ya nahi, phir munafa dar muthi ki mumkinah soorat-e-haal ka tasawwur karna. Mujhe yaqeen hai ke muthi July se shuru ho gi. Market ne qeematain 2024 ke doosre nisf se kam karna shuru ki hai. Magar market ki umeedon ka march se June tak wapas lena qeemat ki barhao ko mehdood kar sakta hai. Amreeka mein hakoomat ka tabdili future policy ke liye khatraat paida karti hai. Ma'asharti aur saqlaini tensions ke is pehlu ke samne, shares ke market record bulandiyon tak pohanch gaye hain. Ye mumkin hai ke yeh investors ko downside risk ke baray mein zyada ehtiyaat barat sakta hai. Aik umeed hai ke US ke intikhabi dor ke qareeb uthne par tozgi barh jaye gi. Shares ke market mein risk-off surat mein sone ki qeemat ko support karay gi. Daily chart par, 2155 ka darja aik support hai jo ke 4 din se tora nahi gaya, magar jaise ke hum dekh sakte hain, dabao barh raha hai, aur main ek tor aur is level ke neeche jamawar banne ko samajh raha hoon, jo ke ek ghata ki taraf le jaye ga, 2100 ke nafsiyati level ki taraf. Sone ki keemat Jumma ko barhtay hue US bond yields ke sath gira hai. June ki policy mulaqat mein Federal Reserve ki munafa dar muthi par umeedain kam ho gayi hain, sone ki keemat par neechay dabao banaye rakhte hue. Sone ki keemat 2173 dollar tak wapas nahi aane ke baad gira hai, jab ke US Treasury bond yields ke ziada potential hai. Sone ki ziada attractiveness muntashir hai jab ke investors US mein February mein Producer Price Index report ke mutabiq mal-o-khidmat ke liye intehai taiz keemat barhane par ghor kar rahe hain. Aaj ka daily candle lambi shanakht ke sath ek bearish market sentiment ko darust karta hai, magar keemat ko 2150-2146 ke 1/2 zone ke neeche band karna zaroori hai, phir hum 2106 ki taraf bechna ka

Sonay ki keemat mein aik hissi wapasi ka samna karte hue jab achanak buland hone wale US ke producer inflation aur mazboot hoti hui US dollar ki wajah se sonay ki qeemat mein kami aayi. Peela dhaat, jo aksar is liye talash ki jati hai ke muddai tanfiyat aur currency ki kamzori ke khilaf suraksha ka sahara hoti hai, ne pressure mehsoos kiya jab ke ma'ashi deta ne ek mazboot US maeeshat ka tasawwur pesh kiya. US ke producer inflation ka sudden uthna aur mazboot US dollar ke barhne se, sonay ki qeemat par gehri asar pada. Jab dollar mazboot hota hai, log sonay ko behtar maqbul samajhte hain aur iski demand barh jati hai. Lekin jab producer inflation buland hoti hai, toh iska matlab hota hai ke utpadak maal ki qeemat mei izafa hua hai, jo ke sonay ke liye kharidne wale logo par asar dalta hai, aur iska asar sonay ki qeemat par hota hai.



Peela dhaat, jo kay surkhiyo mai aati hai jab bhi muddai tanfiyat ya maeeshat ki kamzori ka izhar hota hai, is baar be shakht pressure mehsoos kiya. Zahir hai ke sonay ko le kar itne saare factors shamil hain ke uski qeemat ko control karne mei mushkil hoti hai. Log peele dhaat ko aksar safe haven ke taur par istemal karte hain, lekin mazboot US maeeshat ke hawale se, is dafa ye masla mazeed complicate ho gaya. Ye ma'ashi deta ka tasawwur pesh karna bhi ek ahem cheez hai. Agar US maeeshat mazboot hai aur aam logon ka aitmaad barh gaya hai, toh iska asar sonay ki qeemat par padta hai. Logon ko maaloom hota hai ke unki mulki maeeshat stable hai aur is se unka aitmaad barh jata hai. Is tarah, sonay ki qeemat pe asar padta hai aur logon ki tawajjo is taraf barh jati hai.

GOLD H1 Timeframe Analysis

2177 range tak ki rate barhao ahem hoga, aur hum wahan pe qadam rakh sakte hain. Agar thori si kami bhi ho, to bhi growth ho gi. 2176 range se bahar nikal kar aur uske upar jama hone ka ek acha sabab rahega ki kharidari jari rakhein. Aise situations mein, jab bhi aik mazboot corrector pullback hota hai, tab munasib prices par kharidna behtareen hota hai. Halankeh US session ke doran choti nuqsan ho sakti hain, lekin US economy 2162 ke upar barh sakti hai. Yer local 2155 low ka tor phor aur jama hone se aur rate mein mazeed girawat ka imkan hai. 2158 mein local top range tor kar hum wahan pe qadam rakhein ge, jo kharidari jari rakhne ka acha sabab hai. Agar 2152 ke levels pe local maximum breakdown milta hai to kharidari ke liye acha sabab hoga. Agar 2158 range ka jhoota breakout ho, to uptrend jari reh sakta hai. Hum US session ke doran gold mein southward correction dekh sakte hain, jismein mustaqil faida hoga. 2163 mein local top range ka breakout aur mazeed kharidari ko janib dain ge. Yeh waqt ki pesh raft hai, magar hum 2142 range se bahar nikal sakte hain aur uske neeche mil sakte hain.



GOLD H-4 Timeframe Analysis

H4 time frame mein aik bearish inside bar pattern ban gaya hai all-time high aur peechle teen swing highs ke darmiyan. Is natije mein, 2177 ke aas paas resistance zone apne structural sharton se tor kar gir gaya hai. Iske abhi ke price ke neeche do naye demand zones hain, ek hafte ke support 2180 ke kareeb aur ek naya order block zone upar mahine ke support 2165 ke kareeb bana hai jabke abhi ke price ke upar ek naya order block zone hai jo 2160.00 range mein structure torne se pehle bana hai. Main ne abhi tak samjha ke price ne is timeframe mein dobara ek inside bar pattern banaya hai (2160.67 se 2170.00 tak), is liye main pehle intezaar karoonga, andar ke bar pattern se bahar nikalne ka, phir setup dekhonga kharidne ya bechnay ka baad jab price ne maa ke bar candle ki lambai ke barabar ek dafa upar ya neeche move kiya hai.