pakeezabaloch trading journal

GOLD!

H-1 Time Frame Outlook:--

Sona 2,332 ke ird gird trade kar raha hai, 2,328 par waqe 200 EMA se oopar uchal raha hai, aur H1 chart par banne wale niche ke rajhan ke ander.

Sone ko 2,330 ke ird gird acha technical uchal mil sakta hai. Is qadam ko 2,350 ke qareeb bearish channel ke oopri hisse mein hadaf ke sath khareedari ke mauqe ke tor par dekha jayega.

Is channel ka tez wafirah aur 2,355 se oopar ka istehkam sone ko apne tezi ke chakkar ko dobara shuru karne ke qabil bana sakta hai. Therefore, dhaat 2,375 par 6/8 mare aur aakhir mein, 2,400 ki nafsiyati satah tak pohanch sakti hai.

Agar sone 2,228 par waqe 200 EMA se niche ajata hai aur H1 chart par is ilaqe ke niche mazboot hota hai, to hum toqqa kar sakte hain ke mandi ki raftaar jari rahegi. Aakhir kar, yeh aala 2,300 ki nafsiyati satah tak pohanch sakta hai. Yeh 2,250 par waqe 4/8 mare ki taraf bhi gir sakta hai.

Humein yaqeen hai ke agle chand ghanton mein sone 200 EMA se oopar uchal sakta hai, is liye hum 2,330 se upar khareedne ke mauqe talash karenge. Aquab ka ishara over sold zone ke qareeb pohanch raha hai. Therefore, ek technical behtari ka imkan hai aur hum khareed positionon se faida utha sakte hain.

GBP USD!

H-1 Time Frame Outlook!

Bartani pound 1.2483 ke ird gird trade kar raha hai jo 10 April se banne wale H1 chart par down trend channel ke oopri hisse par pohanch raha hai. Agar Bartani pound toot jata hai aur 1.25 ki nafsiyati satah se oopar jata hai, to hum yeh toqqa kar sakte hain ke yeh 2/8 mare ki taraf wapas ayega. 200 EMA waqe hai, dono 1.2573 par. Is ilaqe ko mazboot muzahimat ke tor par dekha jata hai.

Agar Bartani pound down trend channel ko torne mein nakam rehta hai, to hum 1.2412 par waqe 0/8 mare ke ird gird technical islah ki toqqa kar sakte hain. Agar koi technical uchal hota hai, to usay khareedne ke mauqe ke tor par dekha jayega.

Technical tor par, eagle indicator 12 April se zyada farokht hone wale ishare dikhata hai. Therefore, hum samajhte hain ke jab GBP/USD 1.2451 se upar trade kar raha hai, kisi bhi technical uchal ko 1.2571 aur 1.2634 par hadaf ke sath khareedne ke mauqe ke tor par dekha jayega.



General Conclusion:--

GBP/USD jorre ki lehar ka namuna ab bhi kami ka mashwara deta hai. Is waqt, mein ab bhi 1.2039 nishan se niche ahadaf ke sath jori farokht karne par ghor kar raha hoon, kyunke lehar 3 ya C apni tashkeel shuru kar rahi hai. 1.2472 ke nishan ko torne ki aik kamiyab koshish, jo ke Fibonacci ke mutabiq 50.0% ke musawi hai, niche ki taraf lehar paida karne ke liye market ki tawil intezar ki tayyari ki nishandahi karti hai.

Aik bare lehar ke pemanay par, lehar pattern aur bhi zyada fasiha hai. Niche ki taraf islahi rajhan ka section apni tashkeel jari rakhte hue hai, aur is ki doosri lehar ne pehli lehar ke 76.4% tak tosi'i shakl ikhtiyar kar li hai. Is nishan ko torne ki nakam koshish lehar 3 ya C ki tashkeel ke aghaz ka bani ban sakti thi.

SILVERT FORECAST!

Silver (XAG/USD) ka qeemat aaj izafa hua, jis ne aaj $29.02 qareeban buland intahi noksan tak puhanch gaya, jise global laa tanaquliyat ke darmiyan izafa hua hai. Jab ke mali aur siyasi gharoobat ke darmiyan investors safe-haven assests ki talaash mein hain, Silver ek pasandeeda intikhab bana raha hai. Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts ke baare mein shak hai jo market ke tanav ko barhata hai, jo Silver ke qeemat par hoshyar lekin ummidwar jazbat ko barhata hai.

Markazi Asia ke barhte hue tanazurat ka Silver Price (XAG/USD) par asar

Haal hi mein Markazi Asia ke tanazurat ke tabdil hone se Silver price (XAG/USD) par saaya pada hai, halan ke yeh halka bullish performance thi. Iran ke aggressive aamal, jaise ke Israel par drones aur missiles ke hamle, ne sahulat-e-siyasi tanazurat ko mazeed bigad diya hai.

Magar, Iran ke aur tabahi se bachne ki koshishain foran conflicts ke baare mein dili fikron ko halka kar sakti hain, jo market ke jazbat ko taqwiyat de sakti hain. Is naye imdad-e-khatra taraqqi mein, surkh-o-safed jese safe-haven assests par manfi dabao aye ga, jab ke investors zyada risky alternatives ki taraf raghib ho jaenge, safe-haven options ke liye maang ko kam karte hue.

Market ke hissedar Markazi Asia mein siyasi aur asar andaz hone wale tabdilat ko qareeb se nazar andaz kar rahe hain, aur unka manfi asar mizaj par aur maal ki qeemat par shanaakht kar rahe hain.

Qad-o-raqiq US Retail Sales Data ka Silver Price (XAG/USD) par asar

Silver price (XAG/USD) ko March ke qad-o-raqiq US Retail Sales data ka release hone ka asar para hai. Data, jo ke US Census Bureau ne riwayat diya, ne 0.7% mahineyana (MoM) izafa kiya, 0.3% ke izafa ke ummedwaron se zyada tha. Yeh mustaqil nikkat, jo pichle maheene ki dobara tehqiq shuda shumarat 0.9% se zyada tha, mazboot consumer kharch aur potential inflationary dabao ka ishaara karta hai.

Is nateejay mein, musbat retail sales figures ne US Dollar ko mazboot kiya hai, jo Silver ke liye ek challenge banata hai. Aik mazboot dollar aam tor par Silver jese commodities ke liye maang ko kam karta hai, inke qeemat par neechay ki dabao daalta hai.

Silver (XAG/USD) Price Ke Bashindah Faraiz

Silver ke prices aaj ek neechay ki tezabiyat ka samna kar rahe hain, $28.69 par trading ho rahi hai, 0.65% ki kami ke saath. Halan ke ab yeh dhaalne par hai, lekin ek mazboot upar ki taraf jaane wala trend jo $28.09 par tay kiya gaya hai, ko taqwiyat deta hai. Fori rukawat $29.57 par dekhi ja sakti hai, aur mazeed rukawat up $30.51 aur $31.48 par hai jo upar ki harekatein rukne par rukawat daal sakti hain.

Mukhtalif tor par, agar neechay ki dabao jaari rahe, toh silver $27.32 tak ke rukawat darjat ko test kar sakta hai, $26.28 tak phel sakti hai aur shayad itna neeche $25.37 tak ja sakti hai. 50-din ka aur 200-din ka Exponential Moving Averages $27.84 aur $25.80 par mukhtalif tor par technical sath de rahe hain, jo $28.69 ke mark ke qareeb kisi muhim ki sambhavana ko de raha hai. $28.09 ke neeche se kisi chubhan ki aghaz ho sakta hai.

Market ka Jaiza

Mangal ko tail ki qeematon mein izafa dekha gaya, jis ki wajah pehli teen mahino mein Cheen ki GDP ki shara-e-namoo 5.3 percent thi, jo tawakulat se zyada thi. Duniya ke sab se bade tail ke daramad kanda mein yeh iqtisadi taraqqi tail ki talab ke liye ek musbat nazar ki nishandahi karti hai.

Is ke saath hi, Israel ki janib se missiles aur drones ke hamalon ka jawab dene ke ishare ke baad Mashriq Wasti mein kashidgi barh gayi hai.

Yeh jughrafiyai siyasi badamni, Cheen ki iqtisadi kar kardagi ke saath, qudrati gas aur tail ki mandiyan par numaya tor par asar andaz hoti hai, jo mumkinah tor par qeematon mein musalsal utaar charhao ka bai'as banti hai.



Natura Gas!

Qudrati gas (NG) ke liye aaj ka technical nukta nazar commodity mein 0.32% thoda sa izafa dekhta hai, jo $1.8780 par trade kar raha hai. Is ke pivot point ke bilkul neeche $1.89 par waqea, NG is had se agay barhne ki surat mein ooper ki harkat ke imkanat ko zahir karta hai. Fori muzamat ki satahain $1.95 par muqarrar hain, is ke baad $2.00 aur $2.04. Agar in ki khilaf warzi ki jati hai, to yeh mazeed tezi ki raftaar ki nishandahi kar sakta hai.

Manfi pehlu par, kya NG mahwar se neeche aajaye, yeh $1.84, $1.78, aur $1.72 par support levels ki jaanch kar sakta hai. Technical isharaat muhtaat nukta nazar ki tajwez karte hain. Balatarin $1.92 aur $1.90 par 50-din aur 200-din ki exponential moving averages, ek qareebi muddati muzamat ki zone ko numaya karte hain. Market ka muqam $1.89 se neeche mandi ka shikar rahega, is ahem satah se ooper ki tezi ki mumkin tabdili ke saath.



WTI CRUDE Oil!

Aaj ki trading mein, USOIL ne ek mamooli izafa ka nishan lagaya, jis ki qeemat $85.94 tak pohanch gayi, jo ke 0.39% ke izafe ko zahir karta hai. Commodity apni bunyadi satah $84.68 se ooper rahti hai, jo mumkinah ooper ki raftaar ka ishara deti hai. Fori muzamat $86.63 par dekhi gayi, mazeed rukawaton ke saath $87.63 aur $88.53 par.

Agar in satahoun ko ubor kya jaye to yeh musalsal tezi ke jazbat ki nishandahi kar sakta hai. Is ke baraks, kya qeemat mahwar se neeche aajaye, $83.62, $82.31, aur $80.95 par support levels ka test kiye jane ka imkan hai. Technical isharaat is nukta nazar ko taqwiyyat dete hain. Balatarin $85.40 aur $82.40 par 50 din aur 200 din ki exponential moving averages, mojooda qeematon ke liye ek mazboot underpinning tajwez karte hain.





Brent Crude Oil:--


Aaj ke session mein, UKOIL mein izafa dekha gaya hai, qeemat $90.63, 0.31% ke izafe ke sath. Commodity apne pivot point se ooper $89.87 par trade kar rahi hai, jo mazeed faiday ke imkanat ki tajwez karta hai. Dekhne ke liye muzamat ki satah $90.92 hai, is ke baad $91.83 aur $92.89 hai. In rukawaton par qabu pana tezi ke rujhan ko jari rakhta hai.

Is ke baraks, agar UKOIL apne mahwar se neeche aajaye, to isay $88.78, $87.64, aur $86.37 par support ka samna karna par sakta hai, jo kami ko rok sakta hai. Technical tajziyah mahwar ke ooper tezi ke muqam ki himayat karta hai, balatarin $89.82 aur $86.75 par 50-din aur 200-din ki exponential moving averages, ooper ki raftaar ko kam karte hain.

Frightened Crypto Market Chooses a Path


Bitcoin peechlay saat hafton ki kam tareen satah par waapas aa gaya hai, jo January ki kam tareen satah se rally ke 61.8% retracement level ke saath mawafiq hai. Cryptocurrency market ki tarah, bitcoin kami ko dheelay control shuda ghera karne ya taraqqi ke ult janne ke darmiyan intikhab kar raha hai. Manfi pehlu par, 50 din ki mutaharik ausaf ne peer ko muzahimat ko janam diya.

CoinShares ke mutabiq, ek hafta pehle $646 million ki aamad ke baad guzishta haftay cryptocurrency fund ki sarmaya kari mein $126 million ki kami hui. Chhote akhraj index mein do hafton ki taraqqi ke baad aya. Bitcoin ki sarmaya kari mein $110 million, Ethereum - 29 million, aur Solana mein 4 million dollar ki kami waqea hui.

Americi stock markets mein farokht ne peer ke aakhir mein aalmi khatron ki bhuk ko mutasir kiya, ibtedai musbatyat ko tabdeel kar diya. Natijatan, cryptocurrency market capitalization 24 ghanton mein 5.4% gir kar 2.29 trillion ho gayi, jo ke ikhtitam haftay ki kam tareen satah ke qareeb hai. Market march ki kam tareen satah ke qareeb mandla rahi hai. Aanay wale hafton ke liye market ki samt ka intikhab karne mein yeh ek ahem lamha hai. Is ilaqe se bahar nikalna halqiya unchayion par jald bazi ki tawqee ko ijaazat dega. Zeel mein ek dip mumkinah tor par positions ki ek wasee tar liquidation ko mutaharik kare ga.

Cryptocurrency news

Tajziya kar aur CMCC Crest ke shareek banii Wali Woo ne kaha ke agar bitcoin qaleel muddati holders ki himayat se $58,900 se neeche aa jata hai, to market mandi ke marhale mein jane ka khatra hai. Usne note kiya ke nisf karne se pehle taqreeban har dour mein pehli cryptocurrency currency ke 'ziyada jam hoone' ki wajah se reech ka marhala dekha gaya hai.

Bitcoin ke adhe hone ke natije mein, dunya ki sirf 20 percent kaan kuni companies apni aamdani ko guzishta muddat ke muqable ki satah par barqarar rakh saki, TheMinerMag ne hisaab lagaya. Is ke natijay mein, kaan kuni ki sanat ko saalana taqreeban 10 billion dollar ki aamdani ka nuqsaan ho sakta hai.

10x research ne khbar dar kiya ke nisf karne ke baad, kaan kuni mumkinah tor par $5bn maaliyat ki Bitcoin inventory ko khatam kar sakte hain, jis se qeemat par dabao parta hai. Is sale of ki overhanging char se chhe maah tak chal sakti hai.

BITCOIN!

Potential Bull Flag Pattern

Bilkul, yeh pattern dekha jaa sakta hai jo ~$98K, aaj ki levels se 55% zyada ko nishana banata hai. 2021 mein, humne nichli satah se 100% rally dekhi, lekin yeh ab bhi ho sakta hai ya nahi, iski koi guarantee nahi hai. Realistically, lagarithmic growth wakr BTCUSD ki pehri ki wajah se kam hone wale mafa'at ke qanoon ko dekhte hue, jo waqt ke saath saath kam hota hai, 100% se kam ki rally ka imkan zyada hota hai.

Paracham ke patterns sab se zyada qabil-e-aitemad tasalsul ke numayon mein se hain kyun ke yeh sab kafi milte julte hain aur mojooda rajhano se milte julte halat mein zahir hote hain. Taham, abhi tak, pattern ki tasdeeq nahi hui hai, aur yeh sirf paracham ke oopri trend line ke oopar ek waqfe par hai. Iss tarah, agar Bitcoin kam az kam $56K se oopar reh sakta hai, toh hum umeed karte hain ke mojooda tasheeh/mazbooti takreeban khatam ho jaye gi aur kone ke as paas ~$98K ki rally hai.


Bitcoin uruj par hai aur, ab tak, umeed ke mutabiq niche aa gaya hai. Teen haftay pehle, humne dikhaya ke Bitcoin (BTCUSD) ne January 2021 ki islah ke saath fractal ki pehri jari rakhi, aur hamare Elliot Wave Principle (EWP) tajziya ki bunyad par, humne paaya ke hamen umeed karni chahiye ke BTCUSD takreeban $57.5K par neeche aa jayega, jo pehle zikr ki gayi $55080 ki satah ke qareeb hai aur grey W-c ke liye $54-57K hadaf zone. Bila shubah, BTCUSD ko 2021 ki tarah ishi raaste par chalne ki zaroorat nahi hai aur woh pehle hi neeche aa sakta hai... zyada imkan hai ke yeh humein flat (3-3-5) islah faraham kar sakta hai, jiska hadaf ~$74+/-1K pehle hai. Phir left off se pehle ~$60+/-1K par wapas aa jata hai. Qata-e-nazar, hum BTC ke liye tawil muddat ke liye tezi se rehte hain aur umeed karte hain ke yeh kam az kam $100K tak pohanch jaye ga, jisme $150+/25 K ke adjusted hadaf ke saath.

GOLD V CL

Commodities News!

GSC Commodity Intelligence ke mutabiq - 2024 ki pehli teen mahine mein commodities mein sarmaye ki aamad mukhtalif asbaab ki wajah se overall tor par $1.4 trillion hogayi hai. Yeh 2007 ke baad se record par sab se badi khalis aamad hai.

Commodities mein tezi mutawaqqa mehngai ki wajah se mazeed barh gayi hai, jisne commodities ki mang mein izafa kiya hai - jise "hatmi afraat zar ka hij" kaha jata hai.

Teel, jo dunya mein sab se badi aur sab se zyada tijarat ki jane wali ajnas hai, is saal mashriq wasat mein barhte hue tanazur aur tawaqo se zyada talab aur oopar ki wajah se rasad ke khasare ke darmiyan chadh gaya hai. Guzishta haftay, Brent crude oil October ke baad pehli bar 92 dollar per barrel se oopar gaya.


Teel ki alami mandiyan doosre nisf mein "intehai sakht" hone ke raaste par hain, agar OPEC aur us ke ittehadi saal ke aakhir tak teel ki mojooda paidawar mein kami ko barhate hain to is saal qeemtein $100 aur $125 per barrel ke darmiyan tijarat kar rahi hain.

Mazeed braan, Wall Street par siyasi mahireen iqtisadiyat ki taraf se ek dilchasp zavia uthaya gaya hai - teel ki qeemton aur Amrici sadarti intikhabat ke darmiyan taamul ka ishara. Tareekhi tor par, kisi bhi Amrici sadar ne intikhab nahi jeeta jab teel ki qeemat $100 per barrel ke qareeb pohanch gayi hoti hai.

Commodity markets mein sonay ki na rukne wali chadhayi



Gold’s Unstoppable Climb in the Commodity Market

Commodity markets mein kahin aur, asli sitar adakaroon mein se ek gold hai.

Chamakti hui nayi bulandiyan ki taraf sonay ka mosmiati izafah is saal mazboot se mazboot hota ja raha hai, jisne har port folio mein 'lazmi' asasa klas ke tor par is ki mashhoor hesiyat ko numaya tor par taqweat bakshi. Jumeraat ko, sonay ki qeemtein 2,431 dollar per ounce ki nayi hameh waqt buland tareen satah par pohanch gayi, jisne qeemti dhaton ki sabiq buland tareen 2,376 dollar per ounce ko peechay chor diya jo sirf ek din pehle tay kiya gaya tha.

February ke darmiyan qeemti dhaat ki qeemat mein 23 feesad se zyada izafah hua hai. Lekin zyada mutasir kun baat yeh hai ke October se ab tak sonay ki qeemtein 35% se zyada ka naqabil yaqeen izafah hua hai.

GSC Commodity Intelligence ke tajziya karoon ka khayal hai ke duniya ki do sab se zyada tijarat ki jane wali commodities ke darmiyan tanasub "par zyada tawajjuh dene ke qabil hai".

Chupchapay afraat zar ke doran teel ki qeemton ko sahara diya jata hai, jabke sona rawaity tor par afraat zar ke khilaf hij ke tor par istemal hota hai. Yeh musbat talluq is baat ki nishandehi karta hai ke sonay ki unchi qeemtein aksar teel ki unchi qeemton ke sath milti hain.

GSC Commodity Intelligence ke mutabiq - 2024 ki pehli teen mahine mein commodities mein sarmaye ki aamad mukhtalif asbaab ki wajah se overall tor par $1.4 trillion hogayi hai. Yeh 2007 ke baad se record par sab se badi khalis aamad hai.
Commodities mein tezi mutawaqqa mehngai ki wajah se mazeed barh gayi hai, jisne commodities ki mang mein izafa kiya hai - jise "hatmi afraat zar ka hij" kaha jata hai.

Teel, jo dunya mein sab se badi aur sab se zyada tijarat ki jane wali ajnas hai, is saal mashriq wasat mein barhte hue tanazur aur tawaqo se zyada talab aur oopar ki wajah se rasad ke khasare ke darmiyan chadh gaya hai. Guzishta haftay, Brent crude oil October ke baad pehli bar 92 dollar per barrel se oopar gaya.


Teel ki alami mandiyan doosre nisf mein "intehai sakht" hone ke raaste par hain, agar OPEC aur us ke ittehadi saal ke aakhir tak teel ki mojooda paidawar mein kami ko barhate hain to is saal qeemtein $100 aur $125 per barrel ke darmiyan tijarat kar rahi hain.

Mazeed braan, Wall Street par siyasi mahireen iqtisadiyat ki taraf se ek dilchasp zavia uthaya gaya hai - teel ki qeemton aur Amrici sadarti intikhabat ke darmiyan taamul ka ishara. Tareekhi tor par, kisi bhi Amrici sadar ne intikhab nahi jeeta jab teel ki qeemat $100 per barrel ke qareeb pohanch gayi hoti hai.

Commodity markets mein sonay ki na rukne wali chadhayi



Gold’s Unstoppable Climb in the Commodity Market

Commodity markets mein kahin aur, asli sitar adakaroon mein se ek gold hai.

Chamakti hui nayi bulandiyan ki taraf sonay ka mosmiati izafah is saal mazboot se mazboot hota ja raha hai, jisne har port folio mein 'lazmi' asasa klas ke tor par is ki mashhoor hesiyat ko numaya tor par taqweat bakshi. Jumeraat ko, sonay ki qeemtein 2,431 dollar per ounce ki nayi hameh waqt buland tareen satah par pohanch gayi, jisne qeemti dhaton ki sabiq buland tareen 2,376 dollar per ounce ko peechay chor diya jo sirf ek din pehle tay kiya gaya tha.

February ke darmiyan qeemti dhaat ki qeemat mein 23 feesad se zyada izafah hua hai. Lekin zyada mutasir kun baat yeh hai ke October se ab tak sonay ki qeemtein 35% se zyada ka naqabil yaqeen izafah hua hai.

GSC Commodity Intelligence ke tajziya karoon ka khayal hai ke duniya ki do sab se zyada tijarat ki jane wali commodities ke darmiyan tanasub "par zyada tawajjuh dene ke qabil hai".

Chupchapay afraat zar ke doran teel ki qeemton ko sahara diya jata hai, jabke sona rawaity tor par afraat zar ke khilaf hij ke tor par istemal hota hai. Yeh musbat talluq is baat ki nishandehi karta hai ke sonay ki unchi qeemtein aksar teel ki unchi qeemton ke sath milti hain.

GOLD ANALYSIS!

Sonay ke futures, chhatar par aa kar Thursday ko upar ki taraf ja rahe thay, lekin narrow range ke andar consolidation ke signs dikh rahe thay, jo investers mein bullish aur bearish sentiments ka mishran darshate hain. Global economic aur political context, jismein U.S. monetary policy aur Middle East mein geopolitical tensions shamil hain, gold ke current market dynamics ko prabhavit karne mein ek mahatvapurn bhumika nibhata hai.

09:46 GMT par, XAU/USD $2379.635 par trade ho raha hai, $18.540 ya +0.79% upar.

Mixed Signals AageSonay ke futures, chhatar par aa kar Thursday ko upar ki taraf ja rahe thay, lekin narrow range ke andar consolidation ke signs dikh rahe thay, jo investers mein bullish aur bearish sentiments ka mishran darshate hain. Global economic aur political context, jismein U.S. monetary policy aur Middle East mein geopolitical tensions shamil hain, gold ke current market dynamics ko prabhavit karne mein ek mahatvapurn bhumika nibhata hai.

09:46 GMT par, XAU/USD $2379.635 par trade ho raha hai, $18.540 ya +0.79% upar.

Mixed Signals Aage

Gold ke liye turant outlook bearish lag raha hai jabki market consolidation aur potential pullbacks ko ane wale high-interest rate environment ke karan anumanit kar rahi hai. Haalanki, gold-backed ETFs mein seemit disinvestment aur patli investment star darshate hain ki agar geopolitical tensions badh jayein ya economic data dollar ko aur kamzor kar de to upar ki movement ke liye kuch rasta ho sakta hai.

Short-term Takhmeen

Chhote muddem mein, gold markets volatile trading dekhne ko mil sakte hain ek bearish bias ke saath, majboot dollar aur uchit interest rates ke karan. Haalanki, traders ko current minor trend ko jaldi hi ulta karne wale kisi bhi significant shifts ya U.S. monetary policy mein anexpected changes ke liye chaukanna rehna chahiye.

Technical Analysis

XAU/USD abhi bhi uptrend mein hai, lekin agle bade move se pahle consolidate ho sakta hai. Hum ye nahi bata sakte ki accumulation ya distribution ho rahi hai, lekin hum ye jaante hain ki pichle Jumme ko dramatic closing price reversal top ek potenshiyal bearish signal hai.

Hum trader reaction ko chhote muddem ke pivot par hone wale kaam par lene wale hain ki kharidne wale ya bechne wale kaun hain.

Chhote muddem ka range $2431.59 se $2324.25 tak hai. Pivot $2377.92 hai. Market ke disha ko najdeeki muddem par trader reaction ki pratispardha iske upar kuch tay karegi.

Gold ke liye turant outlook bearish lag raha hai jabki market consolidation aur potential pullbacks ko ane wale high-interest rate environment ke karan anumanit kar rahi hai. Haalanki, gold-backed ETFs mein seemit disinvestment aur patli investment star darshate hain ki agar geopolitical tensions badh jayein ya economic data dollar ko aur kamzor kar de to upar ki movement ke liye kuch rasta ho sakta hai.

Short-term Takhmeen

Chhote muddem mein, gold markets volatile trading dekhne ko mil sakte hain ek bearish bias ke saath, majboot dollar aur uchit interest rates ke karan. Haalanki, traders ko current minor trend ko jaldi hi ulta karne wale kisi bhi significant shifts ya U.S. monetary policy mein anexpected changes ke liye chaukanna rehna chahiye.

Technical Analysis

XAU/USD abhi bhi uptrend mein hai, lekin agle bade move se pahle consolidate ho sakta hai. Hum ye nahi bata sakte ki accumulation ya distribution ho rahi hai, lekin hum ye jaante hain ki pichle Jumme ko dramatic closing price reversal top ek potenshiyal bearish signal hai.

Hum trader reaction ko chhote muddem ke pivot par hone wale kaam par lene wale hain ki kharidne wale ya bechne wale kaun hain.

Chhote muddem ka range $2431.59 se $2324.25 tak hai. Pivot $2377.92 hai. Market ke disha ko najdeeki muddem par trader reaction ki pratispardha iske upar kuch tay karegi.

SILVER FORECAST!

Chandi ka market aam tor par idhar udhar ki tarah ghoom raha hai, kyunki market ko oopri rukh ki bohot zyada momentum ko khatam karna hoga.

Chandi lagatar $28.50 ke darje pe ghoom rahi hai, jo ke aakhri kai daqiqon mein ahem hua hai. $30 tak, yahan aur bhi zyada resistance hai, is liye mujhe lagta hai ke is waqt chandi khareedna bohot mushkil hai.

Agar hum yahan se oopar ja sakte hain aur $30 tak pohanch jaen, to is per qareebi tawajju bohot zaroori hai kyunki tareekh ke hisaab se, chandi ne do dafa 30 ke oopar tareeqi ki hai, aur dono dafa yeh ek absolute melt up ke taraf gayi hai $50 ke darja tak. Magar, paper chandi market mein bohot se manipulators hain, aur mujhe lagta hai ke shayad yeh sirf waqt ka masla hai ke woh shamil ho jaen.

Sachai yeh hai ke market ko manipulate karke arboon kamane se trading karna asaan hai. Chandi intehai lahar daar hai, is liye apni position ki sizing ke sath bohot ehtiyat se kaam karna chahiye.

Agar yahan se koi kami aaye, to main chahta hoon ke market $26 ke darje tak giray, jo ke bara gol, nafsiyati ahem shumar hai, aur ab 50-day EMA ko attract kar raha hai.

Market ki yadon se yeh maloom hota hai ke hum yahan par thori madad dekh sakte hain, kyun ke yeh ahem resistance tha. Interest rates aur sone ke market par tawajju dena, dono is market par kisi wazeh asar ka hamil hain. Is liye is par tawajju dena bhi ahem hai. Aam tor par, yeh ek market hai jo zyada stretched hai aur kam az kam ko sideways jaana zaroori hai.

CRUDE OIL!

WTI (West Texas Intermediate) ka technical tajziyah:

West Texas Intermediate Intermediate Crude Oil Market abtardi tor par jumeraat ko trading session ke doran 50 din ke EMA tak pohanchne ke liye gir gayi aur sirf zindagi ke asaar dikhane ke liye. Aisa karne se, aisa lagta hai jaise market cheezon ko modne ki koshish kar rahi hai aur dobara $85 ki satah ki taraf dekh rahi hai.

Zehan mein rakhein ke agar biden ne Tajwez kiya hai ke ASP ko khali kiya ja sakta hai, lekin haqeeqat yeh hai ke jis cheez ne waqai market ko sakht mutasir kiya woh mujmua tor par khaam teel ki supply mein izafa tha. Iss se pata chalta hai ke kam mang hai. Yeh ek qaleel muddati be zabtgi ho sakti hai kyunke hum saal ke is waqt tareekhi tor par ahem aur mang ke urooj par ja rahe hain. West Texas Intermediate bohat achhi tarah se upar $85 ki satah par ja sakta hai. Neeche, hamein $80 par ahem support hasil hai.



Brent Crude Oil ka technical tajziyah:

Brent bilkul waisa hi lagta hai jaisa ke aap ki tawakul hogi. Market mein kafi shor wala rawiya jari hai, lekin aakhir kar, mere khayal mein yeh ek aisi surat hal hai jahan se hum bhi achalte hain. $84.50 ki satah ek aisa ilaqa hai jis ke bare mein mere khayal mein taawun jari rahe ga. Mere khayal mein, upar ki $90 ki satah ahem muzahimat ki wajah se khatam hoti hai. Bala-aakhir, mujhe lagta hai ke hamare pass ek acha pal baqi raha hai, aur qadar ke shikar karne wale iss tasveer mein wapas aane aur saste teel se faida uthane ki koshish karne se kahin zyada imkan rakhte hain.

Kisi bhi surat mein, kisi bhi cheez se zyada position ke size ke bare mein ehtiyaat rakhein, kyunke yeh market shor machati rahegi kyunke iss waqt marketon ko mutasir karne wale bohat se beroon-e-aamal hain, jin mein se kam az kam mashriq wasat mein kushadgi nahi hogi.



CRUDE Oil ki market mein aam tor par bohat utar chadhaav dekha gaya hai, jaisa ke hum ne ek ahem pal baqi dekha hai, lekin jumeraat ka session yeh bhi batata hai ke kharidar wapas ana shuru ho rahe hain.

BITCOIN ANALYSIS!

Bitcoin ke tezi ke pennt break ke bawajood, abhi tak noticeable kami ki raftaar nahi dikhai hai. Taham, mandi ke ishaare abhar rahe hain, jo rajhan mein mumkinah tabdili ki nishandahi karte hain.

Bitcoin orange 50-Day MA ki muzahimat ke neeche mazeed mazboot hota hai. Mazeed, qareebi muzahimat ki numaindgi neelay rang ke 8-Day MA se hoti hai, jo ab 64,845 par hai. 8-din ki line ne mangal ko mandi ka ishaara diya kyun ke ye 50-din ki line se neeche gir gayi. Is ke ilawa, jameeni 20-Day MA 50-Day line se neeche girne ka khatra hai kyun ke woh ab chho rahe hain.

Agar aisa hota hai to, ek ezafi mandi ka ishaara diya jayega. Ye taraqqi-pazeer neeche ke rajhan ki alamaat hain jo utaar chadhao mein izafa dekh sakte hain. Woh ek tezi ke pennt se kharabi ki peervi karte hain jo nakam ho gaya hai aur is ke bajaye mandi ke ult ko mutaharrik kiya hai. Ab tak, mandi ke ishaare ne zyada manfi raftaar paida nahi ki hai. Taham, ye jald hi badal sakta hai.


Inside Day Sets Up Next Signal:-

Aaj, jumeraat ko androni din ke saath khatam hone ka imkan hai. Isay aglay tezi ya mandi ke signal ki shanakht ke liye istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Is tehreer ke waqt 64,210 ki aaj ki buland tareen satah se oopar ka izafa qaleel muddati tezi hai aur muzahimat ke imtehan ka baais ban sakta hai. Mumkinah muzahimat 8-Day MA mein 64,845 par, ya 50/20-Day MAs mein taqreeban 67,313 jahan tak moving average jati hai dekhi ja sakti hai.

Is ke ilawa, is haftay ki muzahimat ab tak 66,929 thi aur dobara muzahimat ho sakti hai. Ye note karna dilchasp hai ke hafta war chart par (nahi dikhaya gaya) Bitcoin ne is haftay tawil 8-hafta MA ke ird gird muzahimat ka tajurba kiya aur qeemat ko neeche ki taraf mustarad kar diya gaya. Dusre alfaz mein, muzahimat ki shanakht haftay ki unchi aur 8-hafta line par hoti hai, jo ab 67,175 par hai.


Downside Potential:---

Manfi pehlu par, 60,816 ki aaj ki kam tareen satah se neeche girne par bearish signal diya jayega. Tab bechnay walay zyada jarahana hona shuru kar sakte hain. Mazeed ab bhi is haftay ke kam budh ke 59,648 ki kam se neeche ki kami par. Is haftay ke kam se neeche pehla shanakht shuda support zone taqreeban 56,159 hai. Is qeemat ki satah ki shanakht do tareeqon se ki jati hai. Ye janwari ke nichle darajay se shuru hone wale unche darjay ka 50% retracement hai aur ek tawsiya shuda bearish ABCD pattern ki takmeel hai. 100% se masavat hone ke bajaye, kami ke ahdaaf ki CD tang qeemat mein AB kami ko 127.2% Fibonacci tanasub tak barha deti hai.

Gold Analysis!

Sonay ka qareebi muddati up trend mazboot hai, kalidi support levels se oopar hai. 2,393 se oopar mumkinah breakout qeemat mein mazeed izafay ki nishandahi kar sakta hai.

Sonay 8-Day MA ke ard gird oopar ki himayat ko barqarar rakhta hai jo is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke qareeb ki muddat mein oopar ka rujhan barqarar hai. Is mutaharik support rujhan ke ishare ki peer ke roz kisi bhi maani khaas tareeqay se sirf ek bar khilaf warzi ki gayi thi, lekin tezi se bahal ho gayi. Aap dekh sakte hain ke 20 March se breakout ke baad mojooda jhoolay mein ibtidaai tor par market ki taraf se 8-din ki line ko kis tarah tasleem kiya gaya tha. Is ka matlab yeh bhi hai ke 8-Day MA se neeche ki faisla kun kami is waqt ke liye ibtidaai mandi ka ishara faraham kar sakti hai jab retracement shuru ho sakta hai. Bilashuba, kisi bhi signal ki tasdeeq ezafi tasdeeqi signals ke zariye ki jaani chahiye.



Support zone ke oopar holding!

8 din ki line ke oopar sonay ke inehqad ke ilawa, yeh do upri channel trend lines ke ard gird support ki bhi kamiyabi se jaanch kar raha hai jo pehle muzahimat ki nishandahi karti thi aur ab support karti thi. Yeh taqat ki alamat hai jo sonay ki musalsal mang ko zaahir karti hai. Aaj ki qeemat ki karwai ek androni din ke tor par mukammal hone ke raaste par hai. Lihaza, 2,393 ki unchai se oopar jana taqat ka agla nishan faraham karega jo qeematon mein mazeed izafay dekh sakta hai. Baharhal, is hafte ki buland tareen 2,398 se oopar ka breakout zyada etemad ke liye zaroori hai ke qeemat wahan se barh sakti hai.


Guzishta Jumma ki qeemat ki had ke andar tijarat

Guzishta Jumma ko 2,431 ki nai buland tareen satah par pohanchne ke baad se sonay mein tezi ki raftaar kam ho gayi hai. Is bulandi ke baad mandi mein kami ayi, jo din ki kam tareen satah ke qareeb khatam hui. Is mein short-term blow off top ki khosusiyaat hain. Is ke bawajood, abhi tak mandi ki peyrawi nahi hui hai, jo tezi ke nukta nazar ki himayat karta hai. Lekin is ka matlab yeh hai ke sona is hafte ki buland tareen satah se barh sakta hai lekin Jumma se wasee range ke andar reh sakta hai. Lihaza, yumi chart par 2,431 ki satah ke mutaharik hone tak wazeh tezi ke rujhan ke tasalsul ka ishara nahi milega.


Agley hafte ke liye haftey wari setup ka imkan

Chunancha budh ki trading takriban mukammal ho chuki hai, is liye imkan hai ke sona androni hafte ke sath hafte ka ikhtitam karega. Agar aisa hai to, yeh tezi ke tasalsul ko mutaharik karne ke liye hafte ke andar ek mumkinah breakout qaem karega. Is ko is hafte rozana breakout ke muqable mein taqat ka zyada qabil-e-aitemad ishara faraham karna chahiye. Is ka matlab yeh bhi hai ke is hafte naye rujhan ki bulandiyon par jane ka imkan nahi hai.

NG & CL Forecast!

Iran ke Israeeli missile hamlaat ke baad jumma ke din tail ki qeemat mein 3 dollar fi biril ka izafa hua, jis se mashriq wasti mein tail ki supply mein mumkinah rukaawaton ke hawalay se khatre ki ghanti baj gayi hai.

Ye peshraft ne jughrafiyai siyasi tanao ko barhaya hai, tail ki supply China ke istehkaam ko mutasir karne ke mazeed barhne ke khaufaat ke saath. Americi aur aalami media ne Iran ke shehar Isfahan mein hone wale dhamakon ki aitila'at di hai jis ki wajah se hawai traffic mein khalal pada hai aur tail ki mandiyo mein barhti hui ghair yaqeeni suratale hai.



NG!

Aaj ki qudrati gas (NG) market mein halki si tezi dikhayi derahi hai, qeematien $1.9550 tak barh rahi hain, jo ke 0.67% izafa hai. Ye commodity apne pivot point se upar $1.91 par trade kar rahi hai, jo barqarar rehne ki surat mein tezi ki raftaar ka imkaan batati hai. Mazahimat ki satahain ko $1.99, $2.04, aur $2.08 par nazar rakha gaya hai, jo mazeed peshraft ko rok sakta hai. Dusri taraf, support $1.85 par pai jati hai, mazeed support $1.78 aur $1.72 ke saath milti hai jo giraawat mein shadeed aane par manzil faraham kar sakti hai.

Technical ishaaraat, beshumar $1.92 par 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) aur $1.90 par 200-Day EMA, mojooda tijarati zone ko khaas support ki satahain se bilkul upar ki nishandahi karte hain. Outlook $1.91 se upar rehta hai, lekin is ahem mor se neeche girna qudrati gas ki market mein tezi se niche ki taraf islah ko mutaharrik kar sakta hai.




WTI tail ki qeemat ki peshangoi


USOIL aaj ek izafa dekh raha hai, jis ki qeemat $83.60 hai, jis mein 2.05% izafa hai. Commodity apne key pivot point se neeche $84.70 par trade kar rahi hai, jo din ki raftaar ka taeen karne ke liye ahem hai. Mazahimat ki satahain $86.11, $87.63, aur $89.21 par set hain. In se upar ka waqfa mazeed tezi ke jazbat ka ishara de sakta hai. Is ke baraks, support ki satahain $82.76, $81.00, aur $79.41 par mustehkam hain, in mumkinah tor par shadeed mandi ke rujhanat se neeche giraawat ke saath.

Technical ishaaraat balturut qareeb almadat mazahimat aur madad faraham karte hue 50-din ki exponential moving average (EMA) $84.37 aur 200-Day EMA $82.58 dikhate hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ki tafseelat zair altawa hai lekin raftaar ko mazeed wazeh karay gi. Mojooda technical moqaf $84.70 se neeche mandi ka shikar hai. Taham, is satah par qabu pana tezi ke nuktah nazar ki taraf jhuk sakta hai.

SILVER FORECAST!

Chandi ki qeematien mein Jumma ke roz izafa hua lekin Iran par Israeli hamle ki khabron ke barq hone ke baad, ek wasee ilaqaai tanaza ka khadsha barhne aur mehfooz panah gah ke asasaat ke tor par chandi ki appeal ko barhane ke baad sab se zyada ibtidaai faiday ko tasleem kar liya. Ab, chandi par market ki tawajju zari policy ke mazameer se mashriq wasta ki jughrafiyai siyasi surat-e-haal ki taraf muntaqil ho gayi hai, jo halqay hafthon mein chandi ki qeematien ko barhane ka bunyadi unsar raha hai.

11:55 GMT par, XAG/USD $0.004 ya +0.01% ziada, $28.25 trade kar raha hai.

Israel Iran tanaza ki tafseelat

Is taza tareen kashidgi mein Irani sarzameen par Israeli missile hamla shamil hai, jo ke aqwam ke darmiyan jari intiqami karwaiyon ka ek hissa hai jo ilaqaai adam istehkam ko mazeed gehra kar sakta hai. Irani media ne aagah kiya hai ke dhamake Isfahan ke oopar teen drones ke fazai difai amley ki wajah se hue, jis se yeh ishara milta hai ke kashidgi ki surat-e-haal mazeed barh sakti hai.

Federal Reserve aur iqtisadi isharaat

In jughrafiyai siyasi tanau ke bawajood, Federal Reserve ne sharah sood ke liye ek mustehkam nuqta nazar ka ishara diya hai, jo jari ifraat zar ke control aur mazboot iqtisadi isharaat se mutasir hai. Yeh moqif doosre bare central banks se mutasadim hai, jaise European Central Bank, jo apni policy ki sharah ko jald kam karne ke liye taiyar dikhata hai.

Qaleel mudati market ki peshangoi

Mukhtasir mudat mein, chandi ki qeematien mein utaar chadhao rahne ka imkan hai kyun ke geo political surat-e-haal taiyar hoti hai. In tanau aur markazi bank ki policies ke darmiyan taamul, khaas tor par Fed aur ECB ki taraf se, chandi ki qeemat ki naqal o harkat ko numaya tor par mutasir karega. Sarmaya karoon ko aanay wale hafthon mein geo political khabron aur iqtisadi data release dono se chaukna rehna chahiye.

Silver Daily Outlook:--

Tamam ahem rujhanat upar hain, lekin chandi (XAG/USD) Jumme ke roz ek mili juli karkardgi ka muzahira kar rahi hai kyun ke tajir market ko ooncha karne ya qadr ke ilaqe mein aam pal beik ke liye khel rahe hain.

$29.80 ke zariye tijarat upar ke rujhan ke dobara shuru hone ka ishara de gi, jab ke $27.59 ke zariye muntaqil mukhtasir mudat ke rujhan ko neeche ki taraf tabdeel kar deti hai. Yeh raftaar ko neeche ki taraf bhi muntaqil karta hai. Yeh support zone mein $26.90 se $26.17 mein mazeed kami ka baais ban sakta hai.

Yumiya chart ishara karta hai ke 50 din ki mutaharik ausat $24.92 par aane ke sath intermediate support tak pahunchne se pehle neeche ki taraf kafi gunjaish mojood hai.