PakeezaBaloch Trading Journal

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Offer credit cards payment processing for online businesses, including high-risk industries
Generate crypto wallets for your clients to accept deposits in crypto currencies
Create prepaid cards programs and issue ATM debit cards with virtual and plastic cards
Use a developer-friendly API to automate all services and to integrate additional payment options
Use our banking and payment services network and licensing and compliance support
Connect other payment options of your choice to the existing platform

BitCoin Forecast:

Cryptocurrency Ki Taaza Khabr:---

Karobar dunya tawajju se dekh rahi hai ke U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) ka faisla Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) par kaise asar daal sakta hai. Analyst Nate Geraci ke mutabiq, agar ETF manzoor nahi hua to baraabar girawat aane ka imkan hai. Lekin is ke bawajood, unka manana hai ke manzoori ke chances hain. Haal hi mein, Bitcoin ki keemat $45,000 tak chadh gayi, jo ke market ki umeed ko dikhata hai. Lekin, ETF ki manzoori na hone par kamzor hona bhi mumkin hai.Analysts Bitcoin ETF market mein potential dekhte hain, ise shuru ke 21st century ke sonay ETFs ke tarah tasawwur karte hain. Lekin, SEC ke faisle ka industry ke mustaqbil par asar rehta hai.


BTC Market Predictions:

Kuch mahireen samajhte hain ke SEC ke faisle se cryptocurrency exchanges ko asar ho sakta hai. Peshgoiyon ke mutabiq, ek spot BTC ETF, April mein hone wale Bitcoin halving ke saath, BTC ki qeemat ko $100,000 ya phir $1 million tak pahuncha sakti hai. Lekin, ye tajaweezain centralised cryptocurrency exchanges ke liye kamariyon mein kami kar sakti hain.

Analyst Eric Balchunas ne Bitcoin ETF trading ke liye sirf 0.01% ki kamai ko buland kiya hai. Ye cryptocurrency market mein izafah mein mabni ho sakta hai. Retail Bitcoin trading zyadatar U.S. ke bahar hoti hai, is liye American ETF ka asar mamoolan mehdood ho sakta hai.


Technical Outlook:---

Mojooda Market Status: BTC/USD pair ne trend line resistance ko phir se paar kar liya hai aur $43,470 ke darje par ek makhsoos unchaai tak pahuncha hai. Ye level sirf $43,515 par waqayi'i technical resistance se thoda neeche hai, is liye is level ke upar breakout hone par akhiri swing high nazar aayega. Intraday technical support $42,381 par hai.


H4 Time Frame Outlook:---

Bullon ke liye agla maqam $48,200 hai, jo ke 28 March 2022 ke haftay ke unchai hai. H4 time frame chart par key short-term demand zone $38,477 - $38,029 ke darmiyan hai, is liye sirf agar is zone ke neeche sustained breakout hua to short-term outlook ko zyada bearish mein tabdeel kiya ja sakta hai.

EUR USD Forecast:

Germany ke GfK Consumer Climate indicator aur European Central Bank ke current account ke reports se euro par dabaw aa sakta hai. Lekin December mein eurozone consumer confidence indicator mein kami investor ki tawajju ko apni taraf kar sakti hai. Level mein kami hone par choti correction aur naya support test hone ka khatra hai, jo ke kal sthapit hua tha. Is level ke thoda neeche humein moving averages milenge, isliye buyers ko uptrend ko jari rakhne ka achha mauka milega. Is halat mein 1.0955 ke paas ek false breakout banan zaroori hai, jo ki ek buy signal paida karega aur nishchit lakshya 1.0984 hoga - jo ki bar-bar test hua hai.

Agar yeh range break hota hai aur neeche ki taraf test hota hai, toh doosra buy signal aur mauka hoga ki 1.1009 ke paas uchaaiyon ko test kiya ja sake. Ant mein, 1.1041 kshetra mein labh lena hai. Agar EUR/USD gir jaata hai aur 1.0955 par koi gatividhi nahi hoti, toh pair sidhe chalega, lekin kuch bada nahi hoga ECB Executive Board ke sadasya Philip Lane ke bhashan se pehle. Is halat mein humein agle support 1.0924 ke paas ek false breakout ka intezar karna padega. Main seedhe 1.0891 se long positions kholunga, din bhar ke andar ek 30-35 pips ki upar ki correction ko dhyan mein rakh kar.



H1 Time Frame Outlook:---

EUR/USD ke liye short positions ke liye:Bechne walon ko kal market par control banaye rakhne mein asafalta mili. Agar market eurozone data par sakaratmak pratikriya dikhata hai, toh main umeed karta hoon ki bears 1.0984 ke paas ek false breakout ke baad ubharenge. Yeh ek sell signal paida karega jiske lakshya honge ek sudharatmak kadam ka shuruaat aur support test 1.0955 ka. Sirf ek breakout aur is range ke neeche sthir hone ke baad, aur ek upward retest ke baad, main umeed karta hoon ki doosra sell signal 1.0924 par hoga, jahan maine badi buyers ka ubhar dekha hai. Sabse kam lakshya 1.0891 hoga, jahan main labh lunga. Is level ko test karna pair ko ek vistrit sideways channel mein nahi jaane dega. Agar EUR/USD European session mein majboot data aur 1.0984 par bears ki abhav mein bhi tezi se badhta hai, jo ki adhik sambhav hai, toh buyers maasik uchhao ko update karne ki koshish karenge. Is halat mein main pair ko bechne ki koshish tab karoonga jab ke daam 1.1009 ko test karega. Wahaan, bechna bhi sambhav hai, lekin sirf ek false breakout ke baad. Main seedhe 1.1041 se short positions kholoonga, ek 30-35 pips ki neeche ki sudhar ko nishchit karke.



Mere subah ki tafseelat mein, maine 1.0930 ke level ko ek mumkin entry point bataya. 1.0930 ke breakout aur neeche ke retest ne ek uttam buy signal paida kiya. Is natije mein, pair ne 25 pips se zyada tak badha. Shaam mein, 1.0967 ke resistance ko surakshit karne se ek bechne ka signal paida hua, lekin jab pair 12 pips gira, euro ke liye maang phir laut gayi.

COT report ne dikhaya ki long non-commercial positions 3,847 se kam hokar 231,837 ho gaye, jabki short non-commercial positions 1,186 se kam hokar 84,510 ho gaye. Is natije mein, long aur short positions ke beech ka antar 3,599 se kam hua.

USD JPY

Market signal nahi aaya kyunki pair ne 143.35 tak nahi pahuncha.Aur girawat ki ummeed hai, khaas karke pichle kuch dino se yen ki consistent demand ke madhyam se. Iske alawa, US jobless claims aur Q3 GDP ke bekar data se dollar par dabaw badhega, jisse yen ka rise jari rahega. Philadelphia Fed's manufacturing index ke report se market ke power balance mein koi badlaav nahi hoga. Daily low par susti bhi channel ke andar trading ko banaye rakhegi.


Buy Signal:---

Buy karein jab price 143.22 tak paunchti hai aur profit lein 143.85 par. Tezi tab hogi jab bahut majboot US statistics aur GDP data ke upward revisions honge.Buy karte waqt ye dhyan rakhein ki MACD line zero ke upar ho ya usse upar badhe. Aur USD/JPY ko 142.84 ke do consecutive price tests ke baad kharidne ka bhi vichar karein, lekin MACD line oversold area mein honi chahiye, tabhi market 143.22 aur 143.85 ki or badlegi.




Sell Signal :---

Sell karein jab price 142.84 tak pahnchti hai aur profit lein 142.29 par. Dabaw bana rahega agar US data nirashajanak hua.Sell karte waqt ye dhyan rakhein ki MACD line zero ke niche ho ya usse niche gire. Aur USD/JPY ko 143.22 ke do consecutive price tests ke baad bechne ka bhi vichar karein, lekin MACD line overbought area mein honi chahiye, tabhi market 142.84 aur 142.29 ki or badlegi.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD pair ne Budhvar ko U.S. dollar ke favor mein palat gaya, 61.8% corrective level (1.0960) ke neeche consolidate ho raha hai. Is prakar, niche ka process agla Fibonacci level 50.0% (1.0862) ki or badh sakta hai. Main is pair mein aur girawat ki scenario ko support karta hoon, kyunki waves ke adhar par lagta hai ki trend "bearish" taraf badal raha hai. Halaanki, 1.0960 ke level ke upar mazboot pakad bani rahegi to yeh dikhayega ki bulls puri tarah se hatne ke liye taiyar nahi hain aur ve punah badhne ki koshish kar sakte hain 1.1035 ke level ki or.Wave sthiti saaf aur adhik anukool ho rahi hai.



Antim girawat relative roop se kamzor nikli (pichli tezi ke mukable), aur vartaman girawat ko yeh sabhi chances hain ki yah pichle wave (December 14 se) ke charam seema ko paar nahi karega. Agar yah scenario hua, to yah hamare "bullish" trend ko samapt hone ka pehla sanket hoga. Is case mein, 1.0862 ke level ki or girawat shuru hogi, jo shayad ek lambi "bearish" trend ka shuruaat ho sakti hai. Yeh wahi scenario hai jismein main vartaman mein bharosa

BTC USD

Technical Analysis:---
BTC/USD ki trading mein aagay ki taraf chal rahi hai aur price $43,990-$44,750 ka ahem resistance zone test kar rahi hai. Yahan par ya toh rejection hone ka chance hai ya phir aur upar breakout hone ka.Agar $44,700 ke resistance ka breakout ho gaya, toh $46,000 ki taraf rally hone ka chance hai.Agar resistance cluster reject hota hai, toh downside movement ka chance hai jiska target $41,600 aur $40,000 ke neeche hai.RSI oscillator ne 60 ke aas-paas ka reading diya hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ki buyers control mein hain.

ETH USD

Technical Market Outlook:

ETH/USD pair ne short-term resistance ko kai baar test kiya hai lekin decisive breakout nahi hua hai. Market often reverses after reaching technical support at $2,134, jo bulls ya bears ki control ki kami dikhata hai. Key resistance aur support levels $2,222 aur $2,134 hain. $2,116 ke swing low ke neeche jaane par bearish turn signal ho sakta hai.


Market Outlook:

A Bullish Perspective Ethereum market ne $1,520 tak pahunchne ke baad upward movement dikhaya hai. $1,368 ke long-term support level ka khaas hai; jab tak prices iske upar hain, outlook bullish rahega. $1,913 ke mid-term support ka bhi mahatvapurna hai; agar yeh toot jaata hai toh bearish shift ho sakta hai.Ethereum ne $2,222 ke resistance level ko paar kiya hai, momentum banaye rakhte hue aur bullish trend ko confirm karte hue.Price agla resistance level $2,258 pe target karta hai, jisme WR1 at $2,349 jaise higher levels tak jaane ka potential hai.


Bullish traders breakout ke baad long positions mein enter ho sakte hain, recent swing low at $2,166 ke neeche stop losses set karte hue.Bulls upward movement ka fayda uthane ki koshish karte hain, jari rahegi positive sentiment aur technical indicators ki monitoring.Ethereum $2,222 ke resistance ko tod nahi pata aur decline shuru karta hai, $2,116 ke support level ko neeche gira kar.
Yeh movement potential trend reversal ko signal karta hai, aur bearish traders short positions consider kar sakte hain.



Bears ka agla target $1,913 ke lower support level pe hoga, aur further downside potential tak pahunch sakte hain WS2 at $1,838 tak.Bears stop losses $2,222 ke recent high ke upar set karte hain, risks ko manage karte hue agar market phir se bullish ho jaaye.Is scenario mein factors include hote hain Ethereum 2.0 ke negative news, regulatory developments ka nuksan, ya global economic conditions ka bigadna.

EUR USD

H-4 Chart Analysis:---
4 ghante ka chart euro/dollar pair ke liye wave analysis kaafi wazeh hai. Pichle saal mein, sirf teen wave structures nazar aayi hain jo barabar mein ek dusre ke sath tabdeel hoti rahi hain. Ek aur teen-wave structure ka bunyad daalna - jo ke ek neeche ki taraf hai - jari hai. Shayad maana jata hai ke soorat-e-haal ke wave 1 aur 2 mukammal ho gaye hain, jisse ke pair ne tisri wave ki tijarat mein dakhil ho gaya hai, jo ke pair ko 4th figure aur uske neeche ki taraf le jayegi. Maana jata hai ke maqboliyat hai ke maana gaya wave 2 ya b mushkil ho sakta hai, kyun ke bazaar ghair musteql hai, aur khabar ka peecha kisi bhi currency ke favor mein kiya ja sakta hai. Phir bhi, main euro ki qeemat mein girawat ka dobara izhaar ka intezar kar raha hoon.

Chahe wave 2 ya b kaisa bhi ho (ye mazeed lambi shakal mein ho sakti hai), Europe ki currency ka kul girawat tabhi mukammal hogi agar, har soorat mein, haal mein giraysh wave ki tashkeel ki zarurat hoti hai. Haal mein maqbool wave structure ko pehchanah jaa sakta hai.Euro/dollar pair ne jumeraat ko thoda sa izafah kiya. Lekin is "thode" ne kaafi tha ke ab dollar phir se peechay hat gaya. Is ne aise haalat mein peechay hatna shuru kiya jab ke peechay jaane ka koi maqaam bacha nahi tha. Haalat ke mutabiq, mojooda wave analysis nazr mein hai ke pair mein ab badi girawat anay wali hai. Warna, poori wave tasweer badal sakti hai.



General Conclusion:---

America ki currency ki mazbooti ek mah ya aik mahinay pehle shuru ho sakti thi. Lekin sab se pehle (November mein), market ne America se aik poori series be-naqabil reports hasil ki, jo ne dollar ke izafah ko muaakhir kar diya. December mein, Fed aur ECB ki mulaqat ke nateejay aise the ke market ko America ki currency ke liye talab kam karnay ka koi aur raasta nahi bacha. Aur aaj, teesray mausam ka final GDP report jari kiya gaya.Aam taur par aakhri guzishta mahino mein, girawat ke set ki tashkeel jari hai. Level 1.0463 ke aas-paas maqsood ho gaye hain, aur is level ko todne ki nakam koshish ne ek tahqiqati wave ki taraf ishara kiya, jo ek murattab wave ki tashkeel ki taraf ishara karti hai.

Wave 2 ya b ka aik mukammal andaaz ho gaya hai, is liye main jaldi hi pair mein izafah ke sath aik maayini nichi tarah ki girawat ki tashkeel ka intezar kar raha hoon. Main ab bhi umeed rakhta hoon ke girawat aaye gi, jise wave 1 ya a ke neeche maqsood raka gaya hai. Stop-loss orders ko maana gaya wave 2 ya b ke chhat ke oopar rakh sakte hain.Baray wave maap ke liye, dikhaya gaya hai ke taqweem wave 2 ya b ki tashkeel jari hai, jo ke Fibonacci ke mutabiq pehli wave ke 61.8% se ziada hai. Jaisa ke maine pehle bhi kaha hai, ye mushkil nahi hai, aur wave 3 ya c ki tashkeel aur pair ko 4th figure ke neeche ki taraf girane ka manzar ab bhi waqaiyat mein hai.

GBP USD

GBP/USD 1.2682 pe UK GDP aur US PCE data se pehle nichay ja raha hai. Pair ne 100-hour EMA ke ooper bullish vibe maintain ki hai; RSI momentum indicator 50 ke ooper hai.Pehla resistance level 1.2740 pe hoga; pair ke liye 1.2625 key support level hai.GBP/USD pair early European session mein ground gain karne mein mushkil ho raha hai. Major pair 1.2700 psychological mark ke neeche hi reh raha hai, UK aur US se top-tier economic data ke pehle. Ab, GBP/USD 1.2682 pe trade ho raha hai, day ke down 0.04%.


Technical Analysis:---

Technically, GBP/USD ka outlook positive hai kyunki pair 100-hour Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) ke ooper hai four-hour chart pe. Aur RSI bullish territory mein 50 ke ooper hai, jo further upside ko favorable dikhata hai.

Major pair ke liye immediate resistance level Bollinger Band ke upper boundary pe 1.2740 ke paas aayega, followed by December 19 ke high 1.2761. Key barrier 1.2790–1.2800 region mein hai, jo December 15 ke high aur psychological round mark ko represent karta hai. Aur upar, next hurdle July 28 ke high 1.2888 pe hai.

1.2646 ke imtehan ne MACD line ke zero se izafay ke doran husool kiya. Ye ek khareed sinyal ko barah-e-karam laya, jis ne 40 pips se ziada ke keemat mein izafay ka nateeja diya.Teisri sadi ke liye kamzor US GDP report ne dopahar mein jhatak diya. Is doran, UK net izafa aur rozgar ke farokht data ko tijaratkarion ne nazar andaz kiya lagta hai.Pound aaj mukhalif reh sakta hai, lekin rozgar ke farokht, petrol ke intizamat, GDP maqami aur muawin ka muawin zaruriyat ke tabdeelat is sorat-e-haal ko badal sakti hain. Maaliyat mein kami ka tasheeh aam taur par pound ko girane ka sabab banay gi, jabke achi shumarat aane wale daur mein keemat mein izafay ke liye achhi imkanat khol sakti hain.




Downside pe, 100-hour EMA aur December 20 ke low 1.2625 ka confluence pair ke liye critical support level hai. Agar iske neeche selling hoti hai, toh pair 1.2615 pe Bollinger Band ke lower limit tak ja sakta hai. Additional downside filter December 7 ke low 1.2544 pe hai, jise December 13 ke low 1.2500 tak le ja sakta hai (round figure).

AUD USD Forecast:

H-4 Time Frame Outlook:---

Kal, Australian dollar ne 71 pips hasil kiye aur 0.6815 ke target level ke qareeb pohanch gaya, aur muqami price channel ke upper band ke qareeb pohncha.Marlin oscillator haal hi mein pareshan hua hai, lekin 0.6830 ke upar ka tootna mazeed izafay ke raste ko kholti hai, jahan pehla target 0.6897 hai - July 13 ke chhati ke taraf ek darmiyan level ke sath 0.6872.

4 ghantay ka chart dekhein, jahan ke price balance aur MACD indicator lines ke upar set ho gaya hai, aur Marlin oscillator uptrend territory mein stable ho gaya hai. Hum is izafay par progress ka intezar kar rahe hain.

GOLD Analysis!

Sona taqreeban 2,050.40 ke aas paas trade ho raha hai, 21 SMA ke upar, aur 5/8 Murray ke neeche. Sona ne 2,045 ke aas paas chhota sa gap ke saath trading shuru ki. Hum dekh sakte hain ke ye December 14 se shuru hone wale ek secondary bullish channel ke andar move kar raha hai.Sona ko 2,057 ke uptrend channel ke top ke aas paas mazboot resistance ka saamna ho sakta hai, aur ye 5/8 Murray ke aas paas bhi mazboot resistance se guzar sakta hai 2,062 ke aas paas.

Agar sona aglay kuch ghanton mein gir jata hai aur 2,046 ke aas paas pivot point ke aas paas bounce karta hai, to ye 2,045 ke aas paas chhoda gaya gap bhi cover kar sakta hai. Phir, hum 2,062 ke target ke saath ek bullish move ka intezar kar sakte hain.Agar sona 2,062 ke neeche resistance levels tak pahunchta hai, to isay $2,000 ke psychological level ke taraf bechnay ka mouqa samjha jayega.



H-4 Time Frame Outlook!

Is ke ilawa, uptrend channel ka tez toot aur 4-hour chart par 21 SMA ke 2,037 ke neeche band hone par ye bechnay ka signal hoga, jiski target 2,006 par 200 EMA hai. Sona shayad hi early December se shuru hone wale uptrend channel ke neeche 1,985 ke aas paas gir sakta hai.Eagle indicator ke mutabiq, sona overbought levels tak pohanch raha hai. Agar ye 20,62 ke neeche consolidate hota hai, to hum agle dino mein ek technical correction ka intezar kar sakte hain.

Market sentiment report ke mutabiq, 62.65% traders sona khareed rahe hain. Ye statistics ye signal deti hai ke qeemat agle kuch dino mein $2,000 ke psychological level ki taraf gir sakti hai.

BITCOIN FORECAST

Bitcoin apni aakhri swing high ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo ek bullish momentum ko darust kar raha hai. $44,447 ki maqami unchi ye ishara karti hai ke bull log saalana unchaai ko paar karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Intraday takneeki support $43,478 par mazboot hai, jabke resistance $44,523 par hai. Iske paar hone se Bitcoin $48,210 ko nishaanahai, jo March 2022 ki ek ahem haftai ki unchi hai.


Intraday Indicators:

Ek Milaawat ka Signal1 ghante ke indicators ne milaawat ka tajaweez diya hai. Jabke 20 takneeki indicators mein se 13 sell signal dikhate hain, 4 buy ko, aur 5 neutral ko. Moving averages bhi is tarah bataye gaye hain, jisme 11 sell aur 7 buy ko dikhaya gaya hai.


Sentiment Analysis:

Milaawat ke intraday signals ke bawajood, aam jazbaat buland hain. Sentiment scoreboard mein 73% bullish aur 27% bearish hai. Ye trend haftai aur teen-din ke jazbaat ke saath milta hai, dono bull ko favor karte hain.



Weekly Pivot Points:

Pivot Points tijarat karne walon ke liye aham hote hain takneeki trend reversals aur support ya resistance levels ko samajhne ke liye. Maujooda levels WR3 $42,297 se lekar WS3 $39,674 tak hain. Weekly ka pivot $40,984 par hai, jo ke qeemati malboosat ke liye aik potaential fulcrum ka kaam karega.



Long-Term Outlook:


Haali mein trend line resistance ke oopar ka breakout ek oonchi raftar ke dobara shuru hone ki ishara hai. Agar Bitcoin qeemati support levels ke oopar bana rahe, khaas kar ke $32,839 aur $31,890 ke lambi muddat ke supports, to bullish manazir mehfooz rahega, jise $48,210 nishanahai par ghor kiya ja raha hai.Bullish tijarat karne walon ke liye, qeemati support levels ke oopar rehna aur musbat jazbaat ka faida uthana, oonchi raftar mein izafa kar sakte hain. Argentina ka fazaiya aur cryptocurrency qubooliyat ki duniya bhar mein shift, mazeed tez raftar ko barhane ke liye madad faraham kar sakti hai.



Bearish tijarat karne walon ke liye, $38,487 - $38,129 maang zone par tawajjo dena ahem hai. Agar iske oopar ka sust breakout ho, to ye ek bearish manazir ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai, jo ek himayati strategy ko zaroorat mand bana sakta hai.Dono manaziron mein, global maahol ko samajhna, jaise ke Argentina ka qadam, aur takneeki indicators aur jazbaat ka dhyan se tafseeli tanqeed, malumat se bharpoor tijarat ke faislay ke liye klidi hai. Ye mozu chust aur challenges ka muqabla karta hai, lekin hoshyar strategy aur duniyai nazar se, tijaratkar is maajra mein itminan se safar kar sakte hain.

GOLD FORECAST!

XAU/USD ne briefly Friday ko $2,070 ke upar test kiya, phir wapas day ke opening bids ki taraf laut gaya. Fed ke main interest rate 22 saal ke high par hai, isliye market mein ummeed hai ki Fed jald hi interest rates kam karega, aur kam hoti hui US inflation se investors ko lag raha hai ki 2024 mein Fed rate cuts ka pace tezi se badh sakta hai.

US Annualized Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index ne November mein pichle saal ke mukable 3.2% se grow kiya, jo market ke forecasts se kam tha. Iske saath hi, previous period ke 3.4% se bhi kam tha (jo ki pichle se revise kiya gaya tha).US inflation kam hone ke sath, markets US Dollar par downside pressure daal rahe hain aur Fed rate cuts ki ummeed mein Spot Gold ko upar bid kar rahe hain.

Fed ke dot plot of interest rate expectations ke mutabiq, market mein 2024 ke end tak 75 basis points ki rate cuts ki expectations hain. Comparison mein, markets abhi 160 basis points ki cumulative rate cuts par bets lagaye huye hain, aur kuch log toh next March tak ke rate cut par bhi bet laga rahe hain.2023 ke last full trading week ko pura karte hue, Friday ke early action mein ek noticeable reversal hua, jismein US Dollar ne day ke losses ko wapas liya aur Gold day ke opening bids ki taraf laut gaya.



XAU/USD Technical Outlook:--

Gold ne Friday ko 1.10% tak ki growth dikhayi, ek last-minute bull run ke baad, phir $2,070 par ruk gaya aur Friday ke open ke pass laut gaya.XAU/USD ke intraday action ne haal hi mein 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) ko bahut acha support diya hai, jabse pichhle hafti mein moving average ke topside break hua tha, jismein $2,020 ke paas tha.



Ek higher-lows pattern ne daily candles par XAU/USD mein bana hua hai, jabse Spot Gold ne early October mein $1,820 ke aas-pass bottom-out kiya tha, aur long-term technical support 200-day SMA se mil raha hai jo $1,960 ke paas rising hai.December ke early rally ne near-term Gold bids ko bull country mein chhod diya hai, aur XAU/USD ko bearish patterns develop hone ke liye $2,000 major handle ke neeche jaana hoga.

USD CHF Forecast!

USD/CHF ka chart bearish momentum ki potential nishanat dikhata hai, jab ke ye aik ahem resistance level ko nazdeek pohanch raha hai aur is resistance se ulta ho sakta hai.

Resistance Levels:

Pehla resistance 0.8639 par "Overlap Resistance" ke taur par kategorize hota hai, jo upward price movements ko rokne ki potential rakhta hai. Iske alawa, doosra resistance level 0.8708 par bhi "Pullback Resistance" ke tor par pehchana gaya hai, jise further advances ke liye aham rok bata gaya hai.

Support Levels:

Support ke hawale se, pehla support 0.8598 par "Pullback Support" ke tor par pehchana gaya hai. Ye level ek zone ko darust karta hai jahan se buying interest nikal sakti hai, jisse ke price ko thoda support mil sakta hai. Iske alawa, doosra support 0.8555 par "Swing-low Support" ke tor par characterized hai, jo isey substantial support zone banata hai.



EUR JPY ANALYSIS:---


Technical perspective ke mutabiq, EURJPY ne is haftay mein thora sa recovery dikhaya hai. EURJPY haftay ka candle bullish engulfing candle close ke liye tayyar hai, jo further upside ki taraf ishara karta hai. EURJPY pair ne 158.10 major resistance ke neeche aur negative closings di hain, jo isey 156.40 level ke qareeb consolidate karne par majboor karta hai. Isay 157.10 level ki koshish ne ek aur barrier banane mein madad ki hai, jo future trading ke liye bearish track ki efficiency ko barha deti hai.

Bareilly, major indicators negative momentum provide karte hain, jisse humein yeh kahne ki izazat milti hai ke jald hi 155.80 level ki taraf crawlling hone wala hai, jise 154.55 par 38.2% Fibonacci correction level ko target banane ki koshish ki jayegi.Daily timeframe par EYRJPY 200-day MA ke darmiyan trade kar raha hai jo support provide karta hai, aur 20 aur 100-day MAs 158.00 par hain.



Agar 158.00 level ko paar kiya jata hai to 50-day MA ko focus mein laaya jaayega jo 159.64 par hai aur ye hai psychological 160.00 mark.Doosri taraf, yahan ek push lower 156.00 mark ke aas-paas turant support se guzarna padega, pehle 200-day MA ke aas-paas 154.66 par aayega.

CRUDE OIL

Crude Oil News:---

EIA’s 2024 Forecast and U.S. Production:--
U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) ne Brent crude ke liye apne 2024 ke daam tajaweez ko $93 per barrel se ghatakar $83 per barrel rakh diya, haalanki OPEC+ ke haali mein ki gayi production cut ki ghoshna ke bawajood.


OPEC’s Optimistic Stance!
OPEC ne oil market ke mustaqbil ke liye ek ummed bhara nazariya banaya hai, ummid hai ke crude oil ki talab non-OPEC sources ki izafah se aage badhegi. OPEC ne tail ke daam mein hilchul aur bhaari chintaon ko tawajju di hai ke oil ke daam kam hote ja rahe hain.

Angola ka OPEC se bahar jaana!
Ek ahem tareen tajaweez mein, Angola ne 2023 ke akhir mein apne nikas ke bare mein OPEC se nikalne ka elaan kiya, jise output quotas ke mutalik tanazaat ki bina par liya gaya. Ye faisla OPEC aur uske ittehad ke 2024 mein aur tail utpadan kam karne par ittefaq ke bawajood aaya. Angola ke 16 saal ke membership ke baad OPEC se bahar jaane ka faisla OPEC ke andar tabdeeli ke aham pehlu ko numaya karta hai, kyun ki ye ek qadeem rukne wala tha jis ki production lagbhag 1.1 million barrels per day thi.



Crude Oil Technical Outlook:---


CL Weekly Chart Pr!

Crude Oil (WTI) ke weekly chart mein aik muwafiq samatal triangle pattern nazar aata hai. Is pattern ki pehchaan doosri trendlines ko milti hai, jismein upper trendline $94.27 aur $114.95 par do lower highs ko jodti hai, jabke lower trendline teen higher lows ko $44.05, $46.47, aur $61.82 par jodti hai. Khaas tor par, jo lowest low aur highest high ke darmiyan midpoint hai, ya'ni $79.50, wo pattern ke andar aik ahem level ka kaam karta hai.

Samatal triangles ko aik mustawar aur faislay se bhara dor samjha jata hai, jiske andar anay wala breakout maal ki mustaqbil trend ko tay karega. Triangle ki chaukhat, jo ke sab se taaza low aur high ke istemal se calculate ki gayi hai, taqreeban $32.45 hai, jisse breakout ke baad hone wale daam mein izafah ka andaza lagaya ja sakta hai.Consolidation stage ke doran trading volume ko nazar andaaz karna mushkil nahi hai, kyun ke breakout ke doran izafah hui volume moqa ko tasdeeq kar sakta hai.



Traders aur investors ko breakout ke liye tayyar hona chahiye aur malumat hasil karne ke liye mukhtalif market factors ko madde nazar rakhna chahiye. Upside breakout aik bullish jazbat ka ishara ho sakta hai, jabke downside breakout Crude Oil (WTI) ke daamon mein bearish bias ko ishara kar sakta hai. $79.50 par pivotal level is tanqeed mein ahemiyat ko izhar karta hai aur isay pattern ke andar aik key reference point ke taur par izafah diya gaya hai.

GOLD UPDATES!

Weekly Gold Technical Analysis:---

Haftawar Gold (XAU/USD) chart mein, ham aik classic ascending triangle pattern ko dekh rahe hain, jo takneeki tahlil mein aksar ek bullish market sentiment ke saath jora jata hai.Is pattern ki pehchaan aik horizontal resistance line aur aik ascending support line se hoti hai. Resistance line $2070.63 level par waziha hai, jo triangle ki upper boundary ko darust karti hai. Jabke support line ne apna upward trajectory $1616.67 se shuru kiya, aur doosra significant point $1810.46 par register kiya.

Ye formation aam taur par ek upward breakout ki possibility ko darust karti hai, jo market ki direction mein aik musbat murna signal karta hai.Ascending triangles ke asoolon ke mutabiq, Gold ka projected target breakout ke baad qareeb $2524.59 estimate kiya gaya hai.Ye target, pattern ki asal structure se nikala gaya hai, aur Gold ke liye aik bada upside potential highlight karta hai, traders aur investors ke liye jo qeemati dhaat market par tawajju dene mein masroof hain.




Global Economic projections for 2024:---

2024 ki taraf dekhte hain, jahan U.S. ki maeeshat ka intezar hai ke wo apni expansion ko jari rakhegi, strong consumer spending aur sambhalay hue private investment ke sath. Federal Reserve ke signals ke mutabiq, potential rate cuts ki taraf isharaat, ek mazeed mushkil monetary policy ki taraf isharaat, inflation mein kami ke mahaul mein. Ye badalte monetary mahaul ka asar gold market par hone wala hai, jabke investors apni strategies ko changing economic landscape ke jawab mein dobara tajwez de rahe hain.

2024 mein potential economic risks aur opportunities:---

Musbat outlook ke bawajood, kuch khatray asman par tairte hain. In mein se ek sab se ahem khatra hai gharo aur firms ki interest rate environment mein tabdeeli ka. Federal Reserve ki policy rate mein tezi se izafah, jo ke mazboot financing shorat ko le kar aaya hai, jo maeeshati faaliyat aur growith ko kam kar sakta hai.

Is ke alawa, geopolitical khatrat, jese ke Middle East mein tensions aur China ki economic adjustments, sath hi domestic fiscal sustainability concerns, gold market trends par asar daal saktay hain. Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts ka mumkin ehtimaam aur long-term interest rates mein mutawaqqi'in adjustments, khaas kar investor sentiment ko gold ke richtay par asar daalay ge.

USD INDEX

USD News!

US Dollar aur Mehangaai Report!

Mehangi ke naye data ke mutabiq, U.S. Dollar major currencies ke khilaf kamzor hai jab ek sarkari report ne mehangaai mein girawat ka zahir kiya. Ye report Federal Reserve ke maqasid ke mutabiq hai, jo March mein shayad darusti darust kam karne ki tajwez par dhamaka macha rahi hai. US Dollar Index (DXY) ne apni kamzori ko dikha di hai aur yeh July ke akhri mahine se apni kamzori ka izhaar kar raha hai, jo investor ke jazbaat mein tabdili ko ishara karta hai.

Mehangaai ke naye data ke jawab mein Treasury yields gir gaye hain, jiski wajah se greenback ki kashish par asar hua. Core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, jismein khana aur bijli shamil nahi hai, mahine ke liye sirf 0.1% badha aur saal bhar mein 3.2% tak pahuncha, jo Fed ke maqasid ke qareeb hai. Yeh narm mehangaai ki chhaap market ke tawakulat ko badal rahi hai aur Treasury yields par asar daal rahi hai.


Short-Term Market Forecast:---

Naye data ke mutabiq, U.S. Dollar ka chhota muddati nazariya kamzor hai, kyun ke thandak mehangaai dabaav aur Fed ka naram rukh kisi bhi waqt ke liye kam darjey par le ja sakte hain. Treasury yields mein tabdili aur Fed ka PCE ko Consumer Price Index (CPI) ke bajaye mehangaai ke pehloo ke tor par istemal karne ki pasand, is trend ko mutassir karne wale ahem factors hain.



Daily Technical Analysis US Index:--


Dollar Index (DXY) 101.512 par trade ho raha hai, thoda kamzor hokar apne pichle rozana close 101.793 se. Yeh value mein choti girawat ko darust karti hai. 200-day moving average (103.459) ke mutabiq, DXY khaas tor par neeche hai, jo ek kamzor trend ko ishara karta hai. Isi tarah, 50-day moving average (104.453) ke mawafiq, yeh uske neeche hai, jo kamzor jazbat ko mazeed sabit karta hai.Support aur resistance levels ke hawale se, mukhya support 101.000 aur chota support 101.950 ahem kirdar ada kar sakte hain.

Lekin, yeh note karna bhi zaroori hai ke chhota support aur chhota resistance levels abhi 101.950 par barabar hain, jisse yeh keemat is din ke liye ek ahem nuqta ban jaati hai.Moving averages ke mutabiq neeche hone aur ahem support levels ki mojoodgi ke zariye, market ke jazbat kamzor nazar aate hain. Traders ko khaas taur par 101.950 ke pivotal level ko paar karne par mukhalif accelerations ke liye qareebi nazar rakhtay rehna chahiye.