PakeezaBaloch Trading Journal

Crypto Currency News:

Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum ke co-founder aur cryptocurrencies ke field mein sochne wale ke roop mein pehchaanewale, yeh chetavani dete hain ki agar artificial intelligence (AI) ko sahi se niyantrit nahi kiya gaya, toh ismein insano ko maat dene ka khatra hai, aur yeh nayi badi prajati ban sakti hai.

Unki latest blog post mein, jo 27 Nov ko ki gayi thi, Buterin ne apne vicharon ko AI par vyakt kiya, jise unhone "mool roop se alag" bataya hai dusre haalat se jaise samajik media, garbh nirodhak, hawai jahaj, bandook, chakkar aur printing press.

Buterin ke mutabiq, AI dusre takneekon se alag hai kyun ki yeh ek nayi prakar ki "mannatma" banati hai jo insano ke hit ke khilaaf ho sakti hai. Unhone dabaav diya ki superintelligent AI aakhir mein manav jeevan ka anth kar sakti hai, khaas kar agar yeh insano ko apne jeevan ke liye khatra manta hai. "Mars bhi surakshit nahi hoga," unhone yeh bhi jod diya.


BTC USD Technical Outlook:

BTC/USD pair ne $35,640 ke takneeki support se bounce kiya hai aur ek naya swing high banaya hai jo $38,456 par sthit hai. Is level ki kisi bhi todi ko todna rally ko $40,000 ke or extend kar sakta hai. Intraday takneeki support $35,640 par dikhai de rahi hai aur intraday takneeki pratirodh $37,770 aur $38,028 par sthit hai.
H4 time frame chart par majboot aur sakaratmak momentum BTC ke chhote samay ke bullish outlook ko support karta hai, lekin abhi market ek sankari horizontal zone mein consolidate kar raha hai. Breakout ka vishaal ummid hai.





Trading Outlook:

Bulls ne kamyabi se $25,442 ke mahatvapurna level ko paar kiya hai, jo BTC ke madhyam-term outlook mein ek mahatvapurna badlav ko darshata hai. Agla lakshya jo hai woh $40,000 par set hai. Lambe samay tak chalne wale uptrend ke liye sambhavit rahega, yadi ki $19,572 ka mahatvapurna star saaf taur par todi nahi hota.

AUD USD

Bunyadi Jaiza:

AUD/USD ne 0.6665 tak barh kar teeno mahinay ke unchaayi mein pahunchi, phir wapas hokar 0.6630 ke oopar support dhoondha. Kamzor US Dollar is harkat ke peechay ka asal sabab tha. Ab tawajju Australian inflation data par mabni hai.

Mangal ko jari hone wale data ne dikhaya ke Australia mein October mein retail sales mein 0.2% gir gaya, jabke 0.1% ke izaz ke mutabiq tha. Saalana dar 2% se 1.2% tak kam hua, jo ke August 2021 se kamzor tha. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock ne tanazur diya ke khidmatat inflation sticky hai aur unhone maqbul qeemat ke dabao mein ziada mu'tadil da'awat dekha hai. Bazaron ka khayal hai ke aglay mawakhaton mein mazeed izafah ka intezar nahi hai.

Wednesday ko aham malumat aayegi jab Mahana Consumer Price Indexes jari honge. Saalana dar ka intezar hai ke 5.6% se 5.2% tak giray ga. Maqrooz bhi hoga Reserve Bank of New Zealand ka faisla.

D1 Time Frame Outlook:--
Daily chart dikhata hai ke jora ab taaza unchaayiyon se thoda wapas gaya hai. Isi doran Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70 ke oopar chadh raha hai, jo ke overbought shorat ko darust karta hai. Yeh ishara kar sakta hai ke ek mazeed izafay se pehle thoda rukawat ho sakti hai. Tarjeeh yeh hai ke upar ki taraf hai, jis mein ke keemat asal Simple Moving Averages ke oopar hai.


H4 Time Frame Outlook:---
4 ghante ka chart dikhata hai ke jora saaf bullish tarz mein move kar raha hai. Lekin, Relative Strength Index overbought readings dikhata hai aur dakshin ki taraf mur kar raha hai. Momentum thik hai, aur MACD saaf signals nahi de raha. Ek taqseem ho sakti hai jo ke foran 0.6625 par nazar aati hai. Agar yeh 0.6595 tak phail jaye, toh trend taaza unchaayiyon ke liye raasta banaye rakhay ga. Ulta, agar yeh phir se barh kar 0.6650 ke oopar rahe, toh yeh mazboot ho jayega. 0.6665 ke qareeb barhne mein izafah ki umeed hai.
Support levels: 0.6620, 0.6595, 0.6570
Resistance levels: 0.6645, 0.6680, 0.6720Click image for larger version Name: analytics6565c417a72b7_source!~2.jpg Views: 0 Size: 214.1 KB ID: 12784653 image widget

CRUDE OIL NEWS

Aalmi mandi mein Mangal ko tehqiq k mutabiq, Crude Oil ke daam five dinon ke baad pehli bar munafa hasil karne ki raaste mein hain, OPEC+ ke maujooda production cuts ko mazeed barqarar rakhne ki umedon ke darmiyan.traders ka bhi intezaar hai ke aaj raat mein American Petroleum Institute se aane wale pehle data mein, jo panchwe haftay se barh chuka hone ki tawakul hai, aik buildup dikhayi dega.


Crude Oil Ke Daam:

Amreeki tail mein 1.1% izafah hokar $75.86 per barrel tak pahuncha, jabke session ka kam az kam $74.75 tha, jabkay Brent ne bhi 1.1% izafah karke $80.86 per barrel tak pahuncha.Somwar ko Amreeki tail ne 0.25% ghataya, jabke Brent ne 0.2% ghataya, ye choutha nuqsaan tha raat bhar ke Amreeki talabat ke shubaat ki wajah se.


OPEC+ is haftay mein aik mulaqat kar raha hai production policies aur 2024 mein mukarrar output cuts par guftagu karne ke liye.Mulaqat ko char din ke liye taakhir di gayi hai kyun ke kuch paida karne wale mulkane aane wale saal mein mazeed production cuts ke khilaaf hain.

Saudi Arabia aur Russia dono mukhalif hukumaton ko naye production cuts ki zaroorat par manane ki koshish kar rahe hain taake daam ko support kiya ja sake aur market mein ziada hamwarqi ho sake.




Crude Oil Forecast:---

Crude oil ke daam EMA50 ke aas paas mabni hain, jisme daam clearly musbat momentum khota hai, jo ke intraday basis par girah ko dobara shuru karne ki imkaanat ko support karta hai, 73.73 ki taraf janay ka intezar hai.

Is liye, hum ummeed karte hain ke anay wale sessions mein nakarati tehqiqat dekhe jayenge, yaad rakhte hue ke izafay ka jari rehna aur 77.86 ko paar kar jana tawakul ki umeed ko rok dega aur daam ko intraday aur chhotay term mein barhane ki taraf le jayega.

aj K lye expected Trading Range Hai: 74.70 Support aur 77.60 Resistance ke Darmiyan hai. Aor aj ka trend bearish trend hai.

GBP USD Forecast

Technical Outlook:

GBP/USD pair ne 1.2732 ke level par ek aur swing high banaya hai jabke bulls mazeed upar ja rahe hain. Agar haalat mein izafah hua to, agle target ke liye jo swing high 1.2745 par hai, wo key long-term technical resistance level hai.

H4 time frame chart par taqatwar aur musbat momentum, GBP ke short-term bullish outlook ko support karte hain, lekin is time frame par mojood market conditions bohot overbought hain. Key technical support ab bhi 1.2373 ke level par nazar aata hai, aur sirf is level ke sust breakout ke baad outlook bearish hone ka badal sakta hai.




GBP USD Trading Outlook:

Haftay ka time frame chart ye dikhata hai ke 1.2330 ke level ke breakout ke beech mein decisive Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern ban raha hai, jo bullish sentiment ki dominance ko darust karta hai jab ke prices mazeed barh rahe hain. Ab market 50-week moving average (WMA) ke upar hai aur 1.2514 par mojood 100 WMA ki taraf ja raha hai. Wahi, 1.1812 ke critical long-term technical support ke sust breakout ke case mein, substantial downward movement ki probability ko khaas taur par barha deta hai, jo ke 1.1484 ke level ko nishana bana sakta hai.

USD JPY

USD/JPY aaj subah upside trading kar raha hai lekin main multi-day trend ke defined downside continuation ka potential dekhta hoon. Background mein downside trend aur RSI oscillator par negative reversals ke baawajood, mujhe mazeed girawat ke liye potential nazar aata hai jo ke lower references ki taraf ja sakti hai.

Downside targets 146.85 aur 145.90 par set hain. RSI oscillator negative reversals dikhata hai, jo further downside continuation ke liye acha sign hai. Key resistance 147.60 ke price par set hai.

EUR USD NEWS

EUR/USD ne Tuesday ko 1.1000 major handle ko capture kiya, lekin Euro (EUR) buyers ne US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf bullish momentum ko maintain nahi kiya, aur pair ne major handle ke neeche gir kar Wednesday ke trading session mein 1.0990 aur 1.0960 ke darmiyan churn kiya.

Wednesday ke US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth print expectations se ooper aayi, jisme real GDP growth annualized 5.2% print hui against forecast 5.0%, jo ki previous print 4.9% ko extend karti hai. Thursday ko Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for November aayega, uske baad aayenge US ke Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index figures for October.

Eurozone HICP aur US PCE dono mein headline inflation mein slow decline dikhane ki ummeed hai, jisme November HICP ka MoM forecast 3.9% hai compared to October ke 4.2%, jabki US Core October PCE ka forecast hai 0.2% versus previous 0.3%. Annualized US PCE inflation ka expectation hai ki ye October tak ke year mein 3.5% print kare, compared to previous period ke 3.7%.




EUR/USD Technical Outlook:---

EUR/USD ne 1.0800 ke qareeb 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ko break karte hue ek steady climb ki hai, aur pair 1.1000 handle se technical resistance mein hai.

Jabki 50-day SMA abhi bhi 200-day SMA ke low side par drift kar raha hai, dono moving averages ka bullish crossover ek sustained move ke liye technical support provide karne mein madad karega, lekin EUR/USD ko shayad 1.0850 region mein wapas jaana padega isko shuru karne ke liye.

Euro ne October ke swing low se US Dollar ke khilaf 5% se zyada ki climb ki hai, aur EUR/USD saal ke liye green mein hai, lekin 2023 ke mid-year peak jo 1.1275 par hai, wo long-term trend par bhaari pad raha hai jab pair 1.1000 ke qareeb rehta hai aur technical indicators overbought territory mein hain.




Daily Time frame Outlook
Intraday bias EUR/USD mein upside par hai jisme 1.0933 minor support intact hai. 1.0447 se chal rahe current rise ka next target 1.1274 resistance hai. Lekin strong resistance wahaan dekhi jaani chahiye takay upside ko limit kiya ja sake. Downside mein, agar 1.0933 minor support ke neeche jaata hai to intraday bias neutral ho jayega aur consolidations la sakta hai.

Lekin jab tak 1.0851 support hold hota hai, further rally favor mein rahegi. Bigger picture mein, 1.1274 se jo price actions hain, wo 0.9534 (2022 low) se rise hone wale corrective pattern ki tarah dekhe ja rahe hain. 1.0447 se jo rise ho raha hai, wo tentatively second leg ki tarah dekha ja raha hai. Isliye, aur rally dekhi ja sakti hai, lekin upside ko 1.1274 se limit kiya jaana chahiye taki pattern ka third leg aaye.

Crude Oil News

Oil ke prices Wednesday ko 1.5% barhe, jabki US mein crude stocks mein achanak izafah hua, OPEC+ ki kal ki mulaqat ke agay.

Energy Information Administration ne pichle haftay mein US ke crude stocks mein aik nihayati surprise izafah darust kiya, 1.6 million barrels se 449.7 million barrels tak, jabke analysts ne 100 thousand barrels ki girawat ka intezar kiya tha.

Gasoline stocks 1.8 million barrels barh kar 218.2 million barrels tak pohanch gaye, jabke distillate stocks 5.2% barh kar 110.8 million barrels tak pohanch gaye.The Wall Street Journal ne OPEC+ ki kal ki mulaqat mein aik million bpd tak naye production cut ki khabar di.



Brent trading mein 1.74% ya $1.42 barh kar $83.10 per barrel tak pohancha.US ke crude futures January mein 1.90% ya $1.45 barh kar $77.86 per barrel tak pohanch gaye.

Crude oil ke prices 77.86 level ke aas paas tairte hain aur is ke neeche apni mustaqiliyat ko qaim rakhte hain, jo ke aglay dor ke liye bearish trend ke manzar ko mustahkam rakhta hai, jise stochastic negativity ne support kiya hai, bearish rebound ka intezaar karte huye jo 73.73 ilaqon ki taraf ja sakta hai.76.50 ko toorna decline ki taraf jaane ka mission asaan kar dega, jabke 77.86 ko paar karna uthne ki taraf palatne aur bullish wave ko tajwez karne ka klidi hai jo qareebi dor ke liye 81.20 ki taraf ja sakta hai.

Coffee Price ki ForecasForecast

Coffee ke prices mein haal ki taraf dekhe jaa rahe mudamad fluctuation ke bawajood, baar-baar 165.45 ke ooper qaim hone se yeh tasdeeq karta hai ke yeh mazeed musbat action ke liye tayyar hai, jo ke MA55 ke qareeb naye fluctuation ko taza karna hai.

Hum yeh yaqeen dilate hain ke zaroori hai ke mazeed musbat momentum ikhatta kiya jaye takay MA55 ko paar karne aur baray faiday hasil karne ka rasta khul sake, jo ke pehle 183.60 aur phir 194.70 tak jaa sakta hai.

Aaj ke liye mutawaqit trading range 169.00 se 180.00 ke darmiyan hai.Aaj ka mutawaqit trend Bullish hai.

BCH USD Analysis

Bitcoin Cash ka halat short term mein uncertain hai aur lagta hai ke Bitcoin ke rate ke saath hi yeh bhi sideways move kar raha hai. Altcoin ka rate likhne ke waqt 222.35 hai.

BCH/USD apne sideways movement ko extend kar sakta hai, jab tak BTC/USD mein koi tez move na ho jo is market par saaf direction laye.Bitcoin Cash ne minor downtrend line ko retest karne ke baad wapas gir gaya hai aur ab yeh lower median line (lml) ke thoda upar khada hai.

Aapko meri peechli tajwez se pata hai ke jab tak yeh lower median line (lml) ke upar rahe, altcoin ek upwards movement develop kar sakta hai. Downtrend line ek important upside obstacle hai, jabki former low of 219.36 ek critical support hai.


Bitcoin Cash ki forecast!

219.46 ke neeche girna aur aur girawat ko activate karna bechne ka mauka samjha jayega.224.67 ke upar ek valid breakout aur downtrend line ke through jaana ek naya leg higher announce karega.

EUR USD Analysis

EUR/USD pair short term mein Dollar Index ke tezi se gir gaya hai. Ab yeh 1.0926 par hai aur yeh strongly bearish lag raha hai. Upar ki movement ke baad, ek retreat natural hai. Lekin, ek broader correction ke liye confirmation ki zarurat hai.

Technical nazariye se, EUR/USD pair ne 1.1018 ke upar ek false breakout register kiya aur ab yeh downside mein hai.Ab yeh almost uptrend line tak pahuncha hai jo ek dynamic support ko represent karta hai. Jab tak EUR/USD iske upar rahe, rate ek naya bullish momentum develop kar sakta hai aur apne growth ko extend kar sakta hai. Toh, retreat temporary ho sakti hai.


EUR/USD Outlook!

Uptrend line ke neeche girna aur is line ko retest karke new downtrend line ke neeche rahna naye selling opportunities layega.Uptrend line ke neeche false breakdown aur 1.0964 aur minor downtrend line ke upar valid breakout further growth ko activate karega.

USD/CAD:

Karobarik maalumat dikhati hai ke 51.44% karobarik sahulat se mawafiq hain, jin mein traders long to short ka tanasub 1.06 to 1 hai. Haqeeqatan, jab USD/CAD 1.36 ke qareeb tha, toh traders ne Sep 29 se net-long rahe hain, aur us waqt se price 0.04% barh gayi hai. Traders net-long ki tadad kal se 5.67% zyada hai aur pichle haftay se 46.95% zyada hai, jabke net-short traders ki tadad kal se 10.42% kam hai aur pichle haftay se 19.21% kam hai.

Hamara tajaweez hai ke hum crowd ke jazbat ke mutanafi nazariye ko lete hain, aur yeh ke traders net-long hain yeh ishara karta hai ke USD/CAD ki keemat girne ka silsila jaari reh sakta hai.Hamari data dikhata hai ke traders ab pehli dafa Sep 29, 2023 se net-long hain jab USD/CAD 1.36 ke qareeb tha. Traders kal aur pichle haftay se zyada net-long hain, aur mojooda jazbat aur haaliyaat ke mil jul ke natayaj se humein ek mazeed mazboot USD/CAD-bearish contrarian trading bias milta hai.

Aaj, America aur Canada ki maaliyat se mutalliq figures zor daar izafa la sakti hain. Canada ki GDP mein 0.0% izafa hone ki ummed hai. Dusri taraf, America ki Core PCE Price Index aur Unemployment Claims buland asarat hain. USD mukhtasar muddat mein taqatwar hai, is liye musbat US data se usay apne dushmanon ke mukhalif barhne ki ummed hai.




USD/CAD Breakout Tasdeeq!

Technically, USD/CAD joda hua hai nichay ki taraf ka pattern dikhakar ke jo aik mumkin upside reversal ki alamat hai.Breakout ko downtrend line ke zariye tasdeeq karne ke baad, yeh aab muqablaat ki taraf move kar raha hai. Mojooda range 1.3564 aur 1.3612 ke darmiyan aik iktiza hai.

USD/CAD 1.3612 ke ooper chadhna aur band hona ek bullish ishara ke tor par dekha jata hai kyun ke keemat naye unchayion tak pahunch sakti hai.

SILVER Forecast

Silver ki keemat 25.020 ke aspaas hai, aur subah se koi taqatwar harkat nahi dikhayi gayi, is liye aaj ke liye maqsood bullish trend mein koi tabdili nahi hai, jo ke 24.65 ke upar keemat istiqamat par mabni hai. Iski aglay maqsood 25.60 par hai, aur tawakul hai ke stochastic darusti se taqat hasil kar raha hai jise ke aane wale sessions mein izafa ki tawakul ki ja rahi hai.

Aaj ke liye maqsood trading range 24.75 support aur 25.60 resistance ke darmiyan hai.Aaj ka trend Bullish hai.

USD JPY Analysis

USDJPY joda dene mein wazeh taur par musbat tehqiqat faraham kiye gaye hain taake 148.00 ke qareeb pohnch sake, aur bearish taur par murne ke baad bullish channel ki support line ko daba raha hai jo tasweer par nazar aati hai, is par note karna chahiye ke stochastic isey manfi tor par lapait raha hai jise ke is level ko toorna aur mazeed girawat ki taraf rukhsat dene ki imkanat ko madde nazar rakhne ke liye.

Is liye, bearish trend ka manzar-e-am jari rahega, note karna chahiye ke agar 147.40 ko toora jaye to yeh keemat naye izafay hasil karne mein madadgar hogi aur 148.30 areas ko test karne ke liye kisi naye koshish se pehle.

USD/JPY pair ne taqatwar tezi se oopar ki taraf harkat darust ki hai aur likhne ke waqt 148.47 par hai. Keemat ne pehle wale kamzor hawalay 146.78 tak pohnchne mein nakam hone ki ishara di hai, jo thak gaye bechne wale ko darust karti hai.

Ab yeh lagbhag downtrend line ko pohnchne wala hai jo aik upside rukawat hai. Jab tak yeh is ke neeche rahegi, keemat dobara gir sakti hai. 148.71 pehle ke unchayi bhi ek upside rukawat hai.

USD/JPY Trading Conclusion!

Downtrend line aur 148.71 ke ooper chadhna aik upside reversal ko faal karta hai. Is se naye kharidari ke mauqe paida hote hain.Downtrend line ko test aur dobara is ke neeche rehna ek naye downside harkat ko ilan kar sakta hai.

USD/JPY:


D1 Time Frame Outlook:--

Kal, USD/JPY pair ne 147.18 se 148.28 ke darmiyan tamam levels ko guzar diya, aur aaj ke Asian session mein, yeh 147.18 ki taraf murh gaya. Is waqt downtrend ko koi khatra nahi hai. Agar keemat 147.18 ke nichay consolidate hoti hai, to agla target 145.10 hoga. Marlin oscillator negative territory mein gir raha hai.




4-hour chart par, MACD indicator line ne upar ki raah rok di hai. Marlin oscillator ki signal line ne zero line ke upar (jis taur par ab lag raha hai) false breakout kiya aur downtrend territory mein wapas laut gayi hai. Maqsad 147.18 hai.

Phir bhi, agar keemat kal jo resistance tak pohanchi hai, us ke upar settle ho sakti hai, to yeh MACD line ki taraf barhna jari rakhegi, jo daily chart par 149.61 ke aas-paas hai.

Gold Trading Forecast:---

Mazboot initial jobless claims data se buyers ko 2034.97 ke level ke neeche phansaye rakhna hoga. Iska matlub hai ke traders ko gold trading mein short positions ka khayal rakhna chahiye.

Ta'kreeban, market players ko gold ko breakdown ke baad bechna chahiye aur stop-loss 2046.50 par set karna chahiye. 2034.62 ke breakdown par take profit lena chahiye.

Yeh trading idea "Price Action" aur "Stop Hunting" strategies ke framework mein hai.

Sona ki keemat ab $2,034 ke aas-paas hai. Daily chart ke mutabiq, Ichimoku cloud indicator ke mutabiq short-term trend bullish hai. Keemat Kumo (cloud) ke bahut oopar hai aur abhi tak koi reversal ka ishara nahi hai. Keemat tenkan-sen (red line indicator) aur kijun-sen (yellow line indicator) ke oopar hai. Ye do indicators $2,008 aur $1,985 par support faraham karte hain. Aaj sona ki keemat negative territory mein hai. Pull back ke bawajood, short-term trend mein koi tabdili nahi hui hai.

GBP USD

GBP/USD ki H-4 chat mein dikhai dene wala hai ke yeh apne opening level ke aas-pass trade kar raha hai, lekin isne ek ziada high aur ek ziada low post kiya hai, jo ke upside ki taraf risk ko maintain karta hai. Isi doran, Momentum indicator puri tarah north ki taraf badh raha hai, apne 100 level ke bahut oopar, jabke Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator apni taqat ko kho raha hai kuch around 70 ke aas-pass. Ant mein, pair apne tamam moving averages ke oopar viksit ho raha hai, jisme 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) apni majboot upward slope ko maintain karta hai, jo ke 100 aur 200 SMAs ke directionless hone ke just neeche hai.

GBP/USD qareebi doran overbought hai, lekin ek tezi se giravat abhi tak tasweer mein nahi hai. Takneekai indicators ne intehai levels tak pahunch kar retreat mode mein dakhil hote hain, lekin unki neeche ki taqat mehdood hai. Isi doran, pair ek bullish 20 SMA ke bahut oopar viksit ho raha hai, jo ke ek bhi bullish 100 aur 200 SMAs ke oopar badh raha hai.
Support levels: 1.2650 1.2605 1.2570
Resistance levels: 1.2690 1.2730 1.2780



GBP USD News:--

Tuesday ke tez US Dollar ke girne ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 1.2732 tak trade kiya, yeh uske late August ke baad ka sabse zyada level hai. Greenback ne Federal Reserve (Fed) ke afra tafri se mutasir hone ke baad gira, jo bazaar ko yeh mazid yaqeen dilane mein madad karti hai ke central bank ne rate hikes ko khatam kar dia hai.

Wednesday ke shuru mein, investors ne pehle se hi table se kuch munafa kamaya, pehli darja ki data releases se pehle. GBP/USD mid-European session mein 1.2680 ke aas-pass trade kar raha hai, jisme United Kingdom (UK) ke chand figures ne din ke pehle posted kiye gaye hain jo encouraging hain. Ek taraf, October Consumer Credit ne be tawaqoof £1.289 billion barhaya, jo ke tawajjuat se kam hai aur September se kam hai. Dusri taraf, October mein M4 Money Supply 0.3% MoM barh gaya, jabke Mortgage Approvals bhi usi mahine mein 47.38K tak chadh gaye.

Isi doran, US government bond yields mein mazeed giravat, USD ke faide ko had mein rakhti hai. 10-year Treasury note abhi 4.29% pesh karta hai, jo ke do mahine ke liye kamzor hai, jabke 2-year note 4.70% pesh karta hai, jo ke mid-July se kamzor hai.

United States (US) Q3 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) ka doosra estimate jari karega, jo ke expected hai ke saalana izafay mein 5% par qaim rahega, thoda behtar pichle 4.9% se. Iske alawa, kai Federal Reserve speakers bayanat denge, jabke Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey London Foreign Exchange Joint Standing Committee ke 50th anniversary ke ikhtitam mein mukhtasar guftago karenge.

Pound Sterling ne is haftay mein US Dollar ke khilaf mazeed taqat hasil ki hai, jabke GBP/USD ne 1.2600 level ke kareeb do mahine ka uncha tajwez kiya hai. Pair daily chart par bullish technical setup ke saath hai, aur ek muqami data-light haftay mein bhi upside risks ke liye khula hai.

Copper ki Price ki Forecast

Aj Copper ka qeemat taqatwar tor par barh rahi hai aur ab $3.87 par trade ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.62% ki izafah hai. Yeh dhaat $3.85 ke pivot point ko paar kar chuki hai, ab $3.89, $3.94, aur $3.98 par fori rukawatein ka samna kar rahi hai. Support pe key levels $3.79 aur $3.74 par hain.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) 64 hai, jo ke strong bullish sentiment ko darust karta hai bina overbought shiraa'it ko chhooey. Copper ki qeemat comfortably apne 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) $3.83 ke oopar hai, jo ke short-term bullish trend ko mazbooti deta hai.



Chart mein ek ascending triangle breakout aur $3.85 ke upar ek bullish engulfing candlestick pattern dikh raha hai, jo ke solid buying trend ko darust karti hai. In technical indicators ke mutabiq, Copper ka overall trend $3.85 ke oopar bullish nazar aata hai, jismein ummeed hai ke qareebi muddat mein higher resistance levels ko test kiya jayega.

SILVER Analysis:!

1st December ko, Silver (XAG/USD) ki market performance cautious optimism aur halki wapisi ka amla dikhata hai. Yeh dhaat ab $25.16 par trade ho rahi hai, jo ke last 24 ghanton mein 0.45% ki kami hai.

Yeh $25.49 ke pivot point ke neeche ghoom rahi hai, jahan fori rukawatein $25.92, $26.26, aur $26.65 par mawjud hain. Support levels $24.85 aur $24.53 par hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 53 hai, jo ke thora sa bullish sentiment ko darust karta hai.

Silver apne 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) $24.91 ke oopar trade ho rahi hai, jo ke short-term bullish trend ko darust karta hai. Observ kiya gaya upward channel pattern $25.15 ke qareeb crucial support deta hai, jisse dhaat ki qeemat mein istiqamat nazar aata hai.

In factors ke mutabiq, Silver ka overall trend $25 ke oopar thoda sa bullish nazar aata hai, jismein chhoti muddat mein fori rukawatein ko challenge karne ki tawakul hai.




Commodities News:!

Sona ki qeematain Jumeraat ko aath mahine ke unchaai par jam gayi hain, jab ke bazaaron ne Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke raay ke liye intizaar kiya tha, Asia ke moderate PMI readings aur ma'ashat mein kamzori ke dauran.

Sarmayedar tajwez karte hain ke Fed 2024 mein interest rates barhane ka amal rok sakta hai aur shayad ise kam bhi kar sake. Powell ke anay wale taqreeron ka khaas ahamiyat hai, khaas karke doosre Fed officials ke dovish signals aur U.S. inflation mein kami ke bawajood.

Copper ki qeematain November ki izafah ke baad sthir ho gayi hain, jise China ke mixed signals aur Peru aur Panama mein mine closures ki rok thamati hai. Ye factors gold ki safe-haven status ko mazbooti dete hain aur silver aur copper ki qeematon ko asar andaaz karte hain, ishara hai

USD JPY ANALYSIS

H1 TIME FRAME OUTLOOK:---

American session mein, USD/JPY pair 148.45 ke aas-pass trade kar raha hai, 21 SMA ke upar, aur 200 EMA ke neeche. H1 chart par, hum dekh sakte hain ke Japanese yen ne 2/8 Murray aur 200 EMA ke aas-pass mazboot rok encountered ki hai. November 28th se, humein ek downtrend channel nazar aata hai. Instrument ne kai martabah isko todne ki koshish ki hai lekin asafalta milti rahi hai.

Kyunki USD/JPY ek downtrend follow kar raha hai, agar yeh agle kuch ghanton mein 148.45 ko paar karne ki koshish kare aur isme asafalta ho, toh yeh ek bechne ka signal samjha jayega aur keemat 147.77 ki aur giregi, aur shayad 146.89 tak pahunch sakti hai.Dusri taraf, agar Japanese yen 148.54 ko paar karke is zone ke upar consolidate karta hai, toh hum ek bullish cycle ke punarprarambh ka ummid kar sakte hain aur Japanese yen 3/8 Murray tak pahunch sakti hai, shayad 149.23 tak, aur yeh 150.00 ke manasik star tak bhi pahunch sakti hai.November 30 se, JPY ne overbought levels dikhaya hai. Isliye, agar 2/8 Murray ko todne ki koshish asafalta ho jati hai, toh yeh ek bechne ka signal samjha jayega jiska nishana 146.88 hai.Hamara agla trading plan hai ki 148.43 ke neeche bechein, nishane 148.10, 147.67 aur 146.88 hain.




Eagle indicator ek negative signal de raha hai jo hamare bearish strategy ko support karta hai.Market sentiment report dikhata hai ki USD/JPY mein 24.95% traders buy kar rahe hain aur 75.05% bech rahe hain. Yeh ek bullish signal ho sakta hai aur short term mein Japanese yen 150.00 tak pahunch sakti hai. Lekin overbought conditions ke bawajood, hum kuch dinon mein technical correction ka ummid kar sakte hain aur fir buying ko resume karenge.

EUR USD Forecast

H1 time frame Outlook:---

EUR USD! H1 chart mein, hum dekh sakte hain ki euro 5/8 Murray support ke aas-pass, yani 1.0865 ke kareeb ja raha hai. Yeh level ek majboot takneeki rebound ka avsar ho sakta hai aur euro 1.0910 aur shayad downtrend channel ke top tak, yani 1.0935 tak laut sakti hai.Agar neeche ki dabav jaari rahe, toh euro downtrend channel ke neeche, yani 1.08 ke aas-pass, inkar ka samna kar sakti hai.

Yeh level bhi ek takneeki rebound ka avsar pradan kar sakta hai aur ise ek kharidne ka signal samjha ja sakta hai.Eagle indicator ke mutabiq, euro November 29 se ek atyant oversold zone mein trade kar raha hai. Isliye, ummid hai ki EUR/USD kuch dinon mein takneeki rebound karegi aur yeh 1.0910 ke 200 EMA tak pahunch sakti hai.



Market sentiment report dikhata hai ki euro mein 46.61% log bech rahe hain aur 53.39% log kharid rahe hain. Yeh yeh darshata hai ki euro kuch dinon tak girne ka silsila jari rahega, lekin oversold sthitiyon ke karan, ek takneeki rebound hone ki ummid hai. Fir, bechna punah shuru hoga.

PRECIOUS METAL GOLD FORECAST

Gold News:--

"Gold, jo ke naye record levels ke qareeb hai, December 13th ke Fed meeting ke qareeb prices consolidate ho sakti hain. Main sochta hoon ke hum ek historic breakout ke qareeb hain, lekin exact timing ka pata lagana mushkil hai.

2016 mein maine apne bete Joseph Wagner ke saath ek article likha tha jiska title tha 'Gold’s Super Cycle' Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities (TASC) mein. Humne usme ek model diya tha gold ke super cycle ka jo 1970s mein shuru hua tha jab Nixon ne gold standard ko khatam kiya. Gold aur US dollar ka decoupling ne ek precious metal ke supercycle ko shuru kiya jo 50 saal se zyada ka hai, jiska impulse phase (waves one through five) aaj complete ho sakta hai.

Is diye gaye article mein, jo ke lagbhag no saal pehle tha, humne predict kiya tha ke hum gold ke Supercycle ke fifth wave mein hain aur yeh wave lagbhag $2063 par complete hoga. Aaj ke closing price ne us prediction ke margin of error ke andar aaya. Yeh study dikhata hai Elliott wave theory aur Fibonacci sequence ki power ko aur yeh suggest karta hai ke gold apne fifth wave aur current rally ko complete kar chuka hai. Kya yeh study yeh predict karti hai ke gold aur upar nahi jayega



Gold Technical Analysis:--

Gold futures ke continuous contract ke mutabiq, jo ke sabse active contract month ko agle active month mein merge karta hai, ne aaj record high ko break kiya. $2091.30 par closing hui, aaj ke $35.10 ya 1.71% ke gain ke baad. Continuous futures contract ka highest close Thursday, May 4 ko hua tha jab gold futures ne intraday high of approximately $2083 touch kiya tha aur closing approximately $2059 thi.

Iske saath, yeh kaafi realistic hai ke gold apne record-high close ko challenge karta rahega. Upar diye gaye chart mein yeh projection hai jo is week mein banaya gaya hai, Elliott wave theory aur Fibonacci extensions ka combination istemal karte hue. Ismein wave three aur five ke price gains ka ratio dikhaya gaya hai. Sabse simple model ke mutabiq, wave five ke price gains ka ratio wave three ke gains ka lagbhag 0.618% hai. Is methodology ke istemal se yeh project kiya ja raha hai ke major Supercycle jo 1975 se 2023 tak tha, uske baad achieve hone wala high $2072 hoga."

USD CAD Forecast

USD/CAD ke chart mein bullish bounce ka potential nazar aata hai, jisme significant support aur resistance levels ka important role hai.

Support Levels:

1st Support Level (1.35220): Pullback support ke roop mein hai, yeh level yeh sujhata hai ki yahaan buying interest ka kshetra hai, jisse bounce ho sakta hai.2nd Support Level (1.34210): Multi-swing low support ke roop mein hai, jo ki price ko support dene mein mahatva purna hai.

Resistance Levels:
1st Resistance Level (1.36080): Pullback resistance ke roop mein hai, is level se upar jane mein selling pressure ka kshetra hai.2nd Resistance Level (1.36550): Overlap resistance ke support se hai, iski mahatva purna resistance zone hone ki baat karta hai.

GBP USD NEWS

GBP/USD mein tezi ka anubhav hua hai, jo 1.2700 ke upar 0.70% badh gaya hai.Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke vichar, jo ki restrictive monetary policy aur high core inflation par hain, ne US Dollar ko majbooti nahi di hai.Market futures ab 2023 mein Fed ke 130 basis points se adhik rate cuts ki ummeed karte hain, jisse US Treasury bond yields mein giravat aayi hai.

GBP/USD ne Friday ke North American session mein 90 pips se jyada yaani 0.70% badhkar 1.2711 par trade kiya. Speculations ke hisaab se Federal Reserve ne apne tightening cycle ko samapt kiya hai aur agle saal mein 100 basis points se adhik rate cuts ki sambhavna hai, jo Greenback ke liye ek sannata hai.

Powell ne kaha ki monetary policy "restrictive territory" mein hai, jo ki investors ke liye ek green light hai, aur risk dekhte hue unhone high beta currencies jaise ki British Pound (GBP) ko pasand kiya. In the meantime, Wall Street ne apne nuksan ko kam kiya aur session ke ant mein tezi dikhai. Waise ki unhone maana ki mahangai kam ho rahi hai, lekin unka kehna hai ki core prices ab bhi "bahut adhik" hain.Money market futures ke mutabiq Federal Fund Rates (FFR) agle saal ke ant tak lagbhag 4.11% par honge, jo 130 basis points se adhik rate cuts ko darshaata hai. Is par US Treasury bond yields ghat gaye hain, 2s aur 10s ne dono mein se das basis points se adhik katoti ki hai, 4.56% aur 4.22% par, kramashah.

Data ke mamle mein, US mein manufacturing business activity ne teesre mahine tak ghatnaayen dekhi, jo ki 46.7 par rahi, jo October ke mukable mein badal nahi. Iske viprit, S&P Global Manufacturing PMI ne sudhar dikhaya, lekin yeh recessionary territory mein hi bana hua hai. Virodha mein, Bank of England (BoE) ke adhikari hawkish bane rahe hain. Margaret Greene ne kaha ki unhe mahangai sthirta ke sanket nazar aate hain, kyun ki unhone kaha ki "core" services inflation, jisme energy prices shamil nahi hain, 6% par hai, jo BoE ko rate cuts par vichar karne se rok sakta hai.


GBP/USD Price Analysis:

Takneekan ka drishtikonFriday ko, GBP/USD ne 1.2700 figure ke upar badhne ke saath ek bullish engulfing candle pattern banaya, jo sujhata hai ki bulls mein sambhal hai. Lekin unhe apne case ko majboot banane ke liye unhe 1.2746 ke August 30 ke upar jaana hoga, jo 1.2800 figure ko challenge karne mein madad karega. Is case mein, pair ne do resistance levels ko tod diya hoga, jo ki 1.3000 ki or raaste ko kholega. Dusri taraf, agar major ruk jaata hai aur 1.2700 ke neeche daily close karta hai, toh yeh pair 1.2600/1.2740ish range mein hi bana rahega.