PakeezaBaloch Trading Journal

GBP USD

H1 Time Frame Outlook:--

On Friday, GBP/USD ne hourly chart par naye reversal ko execute kiya, jo British ki taraf hua, Fibonacci level 38.2% - 1.2477 par laut gaya. Ye level 1.2513 ke sath ek resistance zone banata hai, jahan se pichhle haftay mein ek rebound hua tha. Dobarah rebound hone par, fir se US currency ki taraf se ek naya girav shuru hoga, jo ke corrective level 23.6% - 1.2321 ki taraf le jayega. Zone ke upar consolidation, agle corrective level 50.0% - 1.2603 ki taraf barhne ke zyada chances ko bhadkaayegi.

Pichhle haftay ki wave situation ab saral aur saaf ho gayi hai. Waves abhi bhi kafi bade hain, jo trading mein takleef paida karte hain. Lekin, trend abhi "bullish" hai, aur iska khatma zone 1.2477–1.2513 ka breakthrough ya last low ka breakthrough ke bina hoga. Is halat mein, jodi ek "bearish" trend mein transition kar rahi hai, jo mere khayal mein ek kafi majboot uthan ke baad jyada justified hai.



H4 Time Frame Chart :--

Bank of England ki taraf se mazeed interest rate hikes ab praktikal nahi hain, jise pichhle haftay mein dikha gaya, jo ki bears ko attack karne ke liye kai karanon se rok raha hai. Shayad woh aur behtar selling prices ka intezaar kar rahe hain.
4-hour chart par, pair ne pound ki taraf reversal aur level 1.2450 ke upar naye consolidation ko execute kiya. Is tarah, growth process ko 1.2620 ke next level ki taraf jaari kiya ja sakta hai, lekin main 1.2477–1.2513 zone ke hone ke bare mein yaad dilana chahunga, jahan se rebound hone ke chances kaafi hain. Aaj koi bhi indicators mein koi nazdeekiyon nahi dikhai de rahi hai. Ascending trend corridor traders' sentiment ko "bullish" darust kar raha hai.

USD JPY Forecast
USD/JPY ke trading plan ne qeemat mein kami ka ishara diya.5 dinon ke baad, daam ek nishana qeemat ke darjay mein gir gaye.Jin logon ne is rahnama ko follow kia, unko mubarak ho! Niche ki harkat ne 3,000 pips tak giraya. Traders ko faida hasil karne ke liye short positions band kar lena chahiye.Yeh trading idea "Price Action" aur "Stop Hunting" strategies ke framework ko follow karti hai.Trading mein kamyabi aur jokhimon ko control karne mein kamiyabi hasil ho, yehi dua hai.

GOLD

Americi session ke shuruat mein, Gold (XAU/USD) 1,971.49 ke aas-paas trade ho raha hai, 21 SMA ke neeche, aur November 10 se bane uptrend channel ke andar. H4 chart mein, hum ek majboot takneeki correction dekh sakte hain, jo yeh dikhata hai ki dhaatu taqat kam ho sakti hai.Gold ne 1,993 ke aas-paas ke uptrend channel ke top tak pahunchne ke baad ek majboot takneeki correction dikhaya hai. Agar yeh channel toota aur instrument 1,968 ke neeche consolidate ho gaya, toh hum ek bearish acceleration ka intezar kar sakte hain, aur qeemat 200 EMA tak gir sakti hai, jo 1,952 hai.


Technical Outlook:--

Jokhim se bachne ka driving force sone ki qeemat par rahega aur agar yeh dhaatu sirf 1,975 (21 SMA) ke upar consolidate hoti hai, toh hume ummeed hai ki yeh psycological level $2,000 tak pahunch sakti hai.Gold ka US Treasury bond yields ke saath ek negative divergence hai. Yeh ki haal hi mein humne bonds mein ek naya tezi ka ubhar dekha hai aur agar yeh trend jaari rahe, toh gold nuksan utha sakti hai aur qeemat 1,953 (200 EMA) tak gir sakti hai.



Ulta, Treasury yields mein correction gold ka ubhar karne ka faida pahuncha sakti hai aur yeh 1,985 aur 1,993 tak pahunch sakti hai.Eagle indicator ek positive signal de raha hai. Isliye, kisi bhi takneeki correction ka mauka tabhi gold ko kharidne ka hosla de sakta hai agar yeh 1,968 ke upar consolidate hoti hai."

Today Nikkei News :--

Is haftay, maaliyat bazaar mein tawajjuh FED, ECB, aur RBA ki minutes par murattib hai, sath hi ke BoE ke monetary policy report hearing bhi hai. Is ke ilawa, mukhtalif mulkon se Canada aur Japan ki CPI figures, Jermany ka Ifo business climate index, aur America se durable goods orders ka maalumat release honay wala hai. Australia, Eurozone, UK, aur Japan se PMI data bhi global iqtisadiyat ke haalat mein malumat farahem karega.



NZD USD :---

Technically, NZD/USD 0.6054 resistance ko torne ke liye doosri koshish ke liye tayyar hai, jo ke pichle haftay 55 D EMA se bounce hokar hui thi. Is resistance ka decisve tor is bat ko mazbooti deta hai ke 0.6537 se medium term mein hone wale corrective fall ka khatma ho gaya hai.



Mazeed rally ke baad, agla target 0.6316 ke aas paas ke trendline resistance par dekha jayega.Asia mein, Nikkei -0.63% down hokar band hua, jab ke 33853 tak pohnchne ke baad. Hong Kong HSI 1.63% up hai.



China Shanghai SSE 0.40% up hai. Singapore Strait Times -0.73% down hai. Japan ke 10-year JGB yield 0.747 par -0.001 down hai.



USD CHN :---

Aaj National Interbank Funding Center ki report ke mutabiq, China ka one-year loan prime rate 3.45% par barqarar hai. Barah-e-karam, over-five-year LPR, jo ke mortgage rates ka aham taey karne wala hai, bhi 4.2% par barqarar hai.
LPR, jo ke mukhtalif banks ki quoteon se aya hai jin par open-market operation rates ke adjustements ki gayi hain, loan pricing ke liye aik ahem dalil hai. Ye mustaqil hone ka saboot hai PBoC ke pichle haftay market mein CNY 1.45 ki ziada liquidity injection ke baad, jo ke 2.5% ki interest rate ke sath ki gayi hai.

USD/CNH 7.3679 se shuru hokar 7.1696 tak gir chuka hai. Technical tor par, nazdeek ka manzar ab tak bearish rahega jab tak 7.2684 resistance qaim rahega, agla target 7.1154 cluster support (6.6971 se 7.3679 tak ke 38.2% retracement par) hai. Yahan se reaction ye batayega ke kya USD/CNH pehle se hi puri up trend se palat raha hai jo 6.6971 se 7.3679 tak tha.

Crypto Currency News:--


Financial media ke diye gaye malumat ke mutabiq, maaliyat ki khidmat farah karne wala Mastercard ne artificial intelligence company Feedzai ke sath naye ta'alluqat ka ailaan kiya hai.Mastercard ke mutabiq, yeh ta'alluqat cryptocurrency exchanges ke zariye kiye jane wale fraud ko pehchanne aur rokne ki salahiyat ko behtar banane ke liye ki gayi hai.

Raport ke mutabiq, Feedzai seedha CipherTrace Armada Mastercard platform ke sath integrate hoga, jo hazaron cryptocurrency exchanges par transactions monitor karne ke liye ek banking tool hai, takay fraud aur dosre shakhsiyat afraad ko pehchana ja sake.

BTC USD

H4 Time Frame Technical Outlook:

BTC/USD joda ka rebound mustaqil taur par aage badh raha hai, jo ish haftay ke peak $38,028 ke qareeb hai, jo market mein bullish control ka dobara aghaz hone ka ishara hai. Intraday technical support $36,840 par pehchani gayi hai, jabke resistance $37,531 par hai. Bullon ka agla maqsood $40,000 hai, lekin pichle haftay ke high $38,028 ko paar karna ek shart hai. Momentum H4 timeframe chart par mazboot aur musbat hai, jo darust hai ke Bitcoin tajwez shuda uptrend ko barqarar rakhne ke liye tayyar hai.




Trading Outlook:

Bullon ne $25,442 ke ahem darja ko kamyaab taur par paar kiya hai, jo BTC ke darmiyan-term outlook mein ek bulish rukh ki taraf nihayat ahem tabdeeli ko darust karta hai. Bullon ka agla maqsood $40,000 par hai. Barqarar long-term uptrend ka maumkinar mauqa hai, agar $19,572 ka ahem darja faisla anjaam na de.


USD JPY Forecast :---

Yen apni asal jagah par wapas laut raha haiEssentially, yen apni asal jagah par wapas laut gaya hai—October ke zyadatar hissay mein, pair ne 148.50-149.90 ke qeemat range mein trade kiya. Kamzor yen ne pair ko ooper ki taraf daba diya, lekin jab ye 150 darjay ke qareeb pahuncha, to upside momentum kamzor pad gaya.

Aaj, pair bhi 149 darjay ke andar hai. Mojudah bunyadi hawale ke mutabiq, ye kaha ja sakta hai ke USD/JPY kharid-dar phir se resistance level ko test karenge jo 150.20 hai (daily chart par Bollinger Bands indicator ki middle line) taake woh khud ko 150 ilaqa mein qaim kar sakein. Har halat mein dollar ki kamzori ke bawajood, yeh manzar sab se zyada mumkin lagta hai. Dosray major pairs ke mukablay mein, USD/JPY dollar ke liye ek kamzor sparring partner hai.

USD CHF

USD CHF Daily Analysis :--

Daily chart par, hum dekh sakte hain ke USDCHF ne 0.8888 ke neeche gir kar disappointing US data ke asar mein US Dollar par dabav dal diya. Ab bias downside ki taraf hai kyun ki price ne lower lows aur lower highs print kiye hain aur moving averages downside mein cross ho gaye hain. Risk-reward ke drishtikon se dekha jaye toh bechne ke liye behtar jagah downward trendline ke aas-pass hogi, jahan 50% Fibonacci retracement level, pehle ke swing low aur red 21 moving average ke saath confluence bhi hai.




USD CHF Technical Analysis – 4-hour Timeframe

4-hour chart par, hum dekh sakte hain ke jab se low ke neeche break hua hai, price MACD ke saath diverge ho rahi hai. Yeh amm taur par momentum ki kamzori ka ek ishara hota hai jo aksar pullbacks ya reversals ke saath aata hai. Is case mein, humein 0.8888 level ke aas-pass pullback dekhne ko milna chahiye, jahan 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level bhi milta hai. Yahan par aggressive sellers apni jagah bana sakte hain, ek defined risk ke saath, level ke upar, taki woh naye lows ko target kar sakein.



1-hour chart par, humein 0.8855 level par ek maayne waala level nazar aata hai kyun ki price ne is par kai baar react kiya hai. Agar yeh level toot jata hai toh aur buyers ismein shamil ho sakte hain, 0.8888 resistance ko target karne ke liye. Aur agar price phir 0.8888 level ko bhi todti hai, toh sellers jaldi haar maan sakte hain aur buyers trendline ke aas-pass ke agle resistance tak bullish bets badha sakte hain.


Upcoming Events:--

Aaj hamain latest US Jobless Claims report milegi jo saptah ke sabse mahatvapurna release hone wali hai. Kal, US Thanksgiving Day ke liye chutti par hogi, isliye market mein liquidity kam hogi. Friday ko hum saptah ko latest US PMIs ke saath samapt karenge.

EURO ZONE ECONOMY NEWS:--

Phir bhi, European currency Federal Reserve ki hawkish meeting minutes ki taleemat ke baad bhi maqbool hai. European Central Bank ke Vice President, Luis de Guindos, ne investors ko tanbih di hai ke eurozone ki maeeshat par interest rate barhane aur siyasi tanazaat barhne ke ek saal ke baad unhe nuksan ka khatra kam nahi hai.

"Middle East mein mazeed mushkilat sirf ek misal hai ke kaise jughrafiai siyasat ummid hai ke 'soft landing' ko bigad sakti hai, jahan mehangaai ko bina badi tanazaat ke qabu mein kia jaye," Luis de Guindos ne kaha. "Market ki nazar mein maeeshat ke bartaraf hone ke hawale se, mein kehna chahunga ke thori si khushfehmi aur umeed hai," Guindos ne Bloomberg Television se kaha. "Thori si tamanna hai.

"Main bazaar ki tohfah dahi ke baraye mein charcha nahi karunga, lekin jo keh sakta hoon woh hai ke hamara tajaweez aitbaar mein wazeh hai: Daita par mabni aur har mulaqat ke baad dekhein ge ke chezein kaise talti hain," Guindos ne kaha. "Mujhe lagta hai ke baat karne ki koshish karna thoda jaldi hai." Unhone dobara kaha ke mehangaai ko kam karne ka rasta bunyadi asarat ke bais par bayabani ho sakta hai, lekin usne ECB ke maqsad ko pura karne par bharosa jataya.

EUR USD Forecast :--

EUR/USD ki takhleeqi tasweer ke hawale se, kharidarein 1.0890 ke oopar rehne ke liye koshish karni chahiye. Agar aisa kiya jata hai to rasta ho sakta hai 1.0925 aur 1.0970 ki taraf. Us darjeel, 1.1005 tak pahunchne mein maamoolan badi players ki madad ke bina mushkil ho sakti hai. Agar jodi girati hai, to 1.0890 ke aas-pass major buyers ke azmooda amal dekhe ja sakte hain. Agar us darjeel par koi nahi aata, to naya low 1.0860 ya phir 1.0830 se long jaane ka intezar karna munasib ho sakta hai.


GBP USD Analysis:--

Is dauraan, pound ki darkhwast waisi hi hai. 1.2550 par control hasil karne ke baad mazeed izafah mumkin hai. Is range ko dobara hasil karne se umeed hai ke 1.2580 ki taraf behtari ki ja sakti hai, jis ke baad 1.2630 ki taraf tez izafah kiya ja sakta hai. Agar jodi girati hai, to bears 1.2500 par control hasil karne ki koshish karenge. Agar unhe kamyabi milti hai, to is range ke bahar nikalna bulls ke muqamein ko asar andaz karega, jiski wajah se GBP/USD 1.2455 ki taraf gir sakta hai, 1.2410 tak pahunchne ka imkan hai.

USD JPY Forecast :--

Tezi mein izafay mein rukawat aayi jab 147.29 ka imtehan hua, jab MACD line ne zero se tezi se ooper jaana shuru kiya. Dopahar mein, mazeed girawat bhi ruki jab pehla imtehan 148.75 ka mila aur iske saath hi MACD line zero se tezi se neeche ja rahi thi. Lekin thori der baad, ek aur imtehan hua, jise ek khareed signal ne paida kiya, jiski wajah se qeemat mein 100 pips se zyada izafah hua. 149.11 par bechne se madhya US session ne bazari nazriyat ko sahi sabit kiya.

Mazboot US Mazduri Market ki data ne USD/JPY mein sakht izafay ko barhaya, jo aaj naye US statistics ke intezar mein tez ho sakta hai.

Buying position :---
Jab qeemat 149.29 ko chhooye (chart par sabz rekha) to khareedari karein aur faida hasil karne ke liye 149.99 par le jayein. Izafah tab tak jari rahega jab tak 149.29 ke ooper bullish fa'aliyat dekhi ja sakti hai. Lekin khareedne par yaad rakhein ke MACD line zero ke ooper ho ya usse tezi se ooper ja rahi ho.

USD/JPY ko 148.85 ke do musalsal qeemati imtehanon ke baad khareedne ka bhi tawajjo dein, lekin MACD line oversold ilaqa mein hona chahiye, taake bazaar 149.29 aur 149.99 ki taraf palat sake.

Selling Points:---
Farokhti karein jab qeemat 148.85 tak pahunchti hai (chart par laal rekha) aur faida hasil karne ke liye 148.17 par le jayein. Dabao uss waqt wapis aayega agar muqami bulandiyon mein gheir meyda mein jamay rehne mein nakami ho. Lekin bechne par yaad rakhein ke MACD line zero ke neeche ho ya usse tezi se neeche ja rahi ho.

USD/JPY ko 149.29 ke do musalsal qeemati imtehanon ke baad farokhti ka bhi mawazna karein, lekin MACD line overbought ilaqa mein hona chahiye, taake bazaar 148.85 aur 148.17 ki taraf palat sake.

USD JPY NEWS

USD/JPY taqreeban aik mahinay se qeemat mein shadeed izafay ke ilmi saath mein rahe hai. October ke end mein, bohot soch samajh ke baad, kharidar ne akhir kar 150 darjah par hamla karne ka faisla kiya, wale Japani hukumat ki jawabi karwai ke khatrat ke bawajood. Yeh reconnaissance mission acha gaya—karobari log 150.00 maqsood ke upar bas gaye, jabke Japani hukumat ne dobara dakhalat karne ka khatra nahi liya. Aur kyunki bhuk badhane par bhukh aati hai, USD/JPY bulls ne yeh faisla kiya ke wo jo hasil kiya hai us par rukawat nahi daalenge aur mazeed bulandaiyan hasil karne ka irada kiya.

Jaise ke hum dekh sakte hain, Japan ki muddai abhi bhi maqsood dar se oopar hai aur dheere-dheere izafay ki taraf ja rahi hai. Ye report doosre macroeconomic data ke saath dekhi jaani chahiye jo pichhle haftay mein shaaya hua. Yeh zahir hua ke Japan ki GDP teesre quarter mein 0.5% gir gayi (2012 ke chaubees quarter ke baad pehli shrinkage). Experts ne ek zyada sannari mein 0.1% giravat ka tasawwur kiya tha. Doosre quarter ka natija ghairat se kam kiya gaya (1.2% ke bajaye 1.1% ka izafah). Saalana basis par, Japan ki maeeshat ne is saal ke doosre quarter mein 4.5% ki tezi ke baad 2.1% shrinkage dikhayi.

Ye natijayen yen ke lehaaz se behtar nahi hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke Bank of Japan apni mojooda policy se bahar nikalne ka sochegi nahi (hata ke wahmi taur par bhi), ultra-loose approach ki wafaadaari banaye rakhenge. Ek waqt tak, kayi Federal Reserve representatives abhi bhi ek hawkish stance dikha rahe hain, kehte hain ke interest rate hawalati muddat ke liye is waqt ke level par rahega aur zarurat padne par markazi bank mojooda monetary policy ko aur tight karne ka irada karega.

Maujooda asooli mahaul USD/JPY ke izafay mein madadgar hai—kam se kam Bollinger Bands indicator ke daily chart par middle line ke 150.20 darjah tak barhne ke lehaaz se.

CAD JPY

Technically, CAD/JPY pair ne 108.88 aur 109.27 ke darmiyan phans gaya tha. Is range ko upside continuation formation ke tor par dekha gaya.Ab, yeh 109.27 aur 61.8% (109.32) retracement level ko challenge kar raha hai. Median line (ML) ek dynamic resistance ko darust karta hai.

CAD/JPY Outlook!

61.8% Fibonacci level (109.32) ke upar ek bullish closure ek upside continuation aur median line (ML) ke oopar tezi se bahar jaane ka amal ko activate karega. Median line (ML) ke oopar chhalaang maarna aur is par qaim ho jaana ek khareedne ka mauka samjha jayega.

Forecast on Different Currencies

USD sab major currencies ke muqablay mein naye session ke lows ki taraf ja raha hai, JPY ke ilawa. Giravatain US yields mein izafay ke bawajood a rahi hain. US 2-year mein 3.2 bps izafah, 10-year mein 5.8 bps, aur 30-year mein 5.6 bps izafah hua hai.


USD JPY:--

USDJPY 149.30 ke aas paas consolidation range bana raha hai. Neeche bhagne par, 148.56 ki taraf ek correct link ho sakti hai. Agla, 149.90 ki taraf izafah anay wala hai. Is level se oopar breakout hone par, 151.15 ki taraf ek wave ka potential ho sakta hai. Ye ek local target hai.

EUR USD

EURUSD ne kal ke 1.09299 ke high se oopar ja kar ab saptah ke high 1.09644 ki taraf dekh raha hai. Pair ne US session shuru hote hi 1.09158 ke 100-hour MA ke upar neeche ki taraf trading shuru ki, jo Asian session mein 1.08788 se 1.08959 ke beech ek swing area ke qareeb base hue the.



EURUSD ne 1.0929 tak ek corrective wave complete ki hai. Aaj 1.0880 ki taraf ek decline link bana hai. Amaliyat ke taur par, is level ke aas paas ek consolidation range bana ho raha hai. Is range se bahar nikalne par, 1.0840 ki taraf ek giravat wave jaari reh sakti hai. Aur agar ye level bhi toota, to 1.0750 ki taraf ek wave ka potential ho sakta hai. Ye ek local target hai.





GBPUSD:

GBPUSD 1.25886 ke July high se neeche ke 50% ke upar break kar raha hai. Is level par pohanch kar rehna pair ke liye aur bhi bullish hai. Pair ne aaj pehle 1.25248 ke aas paas ek swing area ke qareeb base kiya tha. Jise buyers ne upside ki taraf push karne ka ishara samjha.

GBPUSD ab 1.2505 ke aas paas ek wide consolidation range bana raha hai. Ab tak, range 1.2560 tak phail chuki hai. 1.2505 ki taraf ek decline structure ab 1.2456 tak jaari ho raha hai. Ye pehla target hai.

LITECOIN Analysis

Litecoin ne chhote arsey mein tezi se barhna shuru kiya hai aur ab likhne ke waqt 70.50 par hai. Chhotey arsey mein keemat mein izafah hone se, bias chhotey arsey mein bullish hai kyun ki Bitcoin ki keemat bhi tezi se barh rahi hai. Bitcoin ki mazeed izafat se yeh altcoin ko ek bada swing upar ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Litecoin ne last 24 ghanton mein 2.87% aur last 7 dinon mein 2.59% izafah kiya hai. Phir bhi, upar ki taraf ka izafah tasdeeq ki zaroorat hai.


LTC/USD Trend Bullish!

Jaise ke aap H1 chart par dekh sakte hain, keemat ne downtrend line ko paar kar liya hai aur ab yeh pichhle high 70.59 ko challenge kar raha hai.Downtrend ko paar karna yeh ishara karta hai ke neeche ki harkat khatam hui hai aur humein ek upar ki taraf palat jane ka mauka mil sakta hai.

Litecoin Ki Forecast:--

70.59 aur sab se ahem taur par ascending pitchfork ke 50% Fibonacci line ke upar jump kar ke band ho jana, iska matlab hai ke aur izafah hone wala hai aur ek naya lamba mauka aaya hai.

USD CAD Analysis

USD/CAD pair ne kal resistance ko tor diya, jo ke 1.3578 ke darje ka mazboot support ban gaya hai. 1.3578 ke darje ka level ek golden ratio (38.2% Fibonacci) ke sath milta hai, jo aaj major support ka kaam karega. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 ke upar hone ke liye overbought consider hota hai. RSI abhi bhi ishara kar raha hai ke trend upar ki taraf hai kyun ki yeh abhi bhi moving average (100) ke upar mazboot hai.


Pichhli waqiyat ke mutabiq, USD/CAD pair abhi tak 1.3502 aur 1.3784 ke darmiyan move kar raha hai; is ke liye hum aane wale dino mein 282 pips ka range (1.3784 - 1.3502) mutawaqqi hai.



Agar USD/CAD pair 1.3700 ke resistance level ko paar nahi karta, to market mazeed giraygi aur 1.3502 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Yeh bearish market ko ishara karega kyun ki RSI indicator abhi bhi positive area mein hai aur koi trend-reversal ishara nahi dikhata. Is pair ki kam se kam 1.330 ki taraf girne ki tawakul hai.

EUR USD NEWS

EUR/USD taqatwar dollar ki tajwez se asar andazi karte hue early Asian session mein halki nuksan darj karta hai. Jaded USD ki talab se major pair kamzor hota ja raha hai. EUR ki upper side bhi maqrooza nazar aati hai macro outlook ki bina par. Yeh major pair mojooda mein 1.0935 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, din ke 0.08% nuksan mein.

Jab ke Germany ki maaliyat ne saal ke doosre hisse mein halkay economic slowdown ke saath shuru kiya. Friday ko statistics office ne bataya ke teesre quarter (Q3) ke liye German Gross Domestic Product (GDP) ne 0.1% ki kami ki, jabke saalana GDP 0.4% ghata, pehle ke reading se 0.3% kam. European Central Bank (ECB) Vice President Luis de Guindos ne Friday ko kaha ke European economic outlook ke liye nuksan wala mausam hai. De Guindos ne mazeed kaha ke muasharti dar mei izafa hone ka imkaan hai, lekin mojooda interest rate ko lamba waqt tak barqarar rakhna inflation ko control mein rakh sakta hai. Germany, Europe ki sab se bari maishat mein kami ke khadshaat Euro (EUR) par dabao daal sakti hai aur EUR/USD pair ke liye aik rukawat ka kaam kar sakti hai.

Doosri taraf, US S&P Global Composite PMI November mein 50.7 par barqarar raha. Isi doran, Manufacturing PMI 49.4 par gira 50.0 se, jo ke 49.8 ki tajwez se bura hai. Services PMI ne mazeed grow kiya aur 50.8 par pahuncha 50.6 ke pichle maah se, jo ke 50.4 ki tajwez se oopar hai.

Market players Eurozone Consumer Confidence ko Wednesday ko monitor karenge. Thursday ko German Retail Sales, Consumer Price Index (CPI), aur Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) aaye ga. US docket mein housing data, Consumer Confidence, GDP, aur ISM Manufacturing PMI bhi honge. Traders EUR/USD pair ke aas paas ek trading mauqa talash karenge.

BTC USD Forecast

Market mein lag raha hai ke woh apne aapko central banks se itni significant borrowing cost cuts ki umeed laga raha hai. Lekin overall, investors sahi hain: monetary restriction cycles khatam ho gaye hain, aur ek favorable monetary policy easing risky assets aur BTC/USD ko faida pahunchayegi.

Bitcoin ke daily chart par technically, bulls ek baar phir 37,750 pivot level ko cross karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Is mein kamyaabi inhe BTC/USD rally ko 39,750 aur 40,820 tak badhne ki umeed dilayegi aur yeh purchases ke liye base banayegi.


Today News:--

Yeh bhi ek acchi khabar hai ke Binance, FTX ke vipreet, apne CEO ko badal kar, fine sanctions ka samna karke aur agle baar behtar karne ki kasam khakar ant mein survive karega. Haan, $4.3 billion ka amount impression banata hai, lekin Bloomberg ki analysis ke mutabiq, company ne sirf 2021 mein $20 billion ka profit kiya hai. Haan, Binance ke reserves last kuch dino mein 5,000 bitcoins kam ho gaye hain, jo ek significant capital outflow ko darust karta hai, lekin haqeeqatan mein paisa bas industry ke andar redistribute ho raha hai. Jaise ki Coinbase ne lagbhag 12,000 bitcoins ka influx dekha hai.

Gold Technical Forecast:

Gold price ne $2,018 six-month high touch kiya tha, lekin ab cautious start ke bawajood $2,000 ke upar consolidate ho raha hai. Yeh ek crucial week hai jisme US aur EU se inflation data aane wala hai.

Technical Overview ke mutabiq, Gold ka daily chart bullish technical setup maintain kar raha hai, jisse upside risks Gold price ke liye bana rahe hain. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) midline ke upar pointing karta hai, overbought territory ki taraf approach kar raha hai, jisse ke aur gains hone ki sambhavna hai. Gold price ne Black Friday ko $2,000 ke upar close kiya, jo ki bullish bias ko strengthen karta hai.



Immediate resistance $2,020 ke paas hai, aur iske paar jaane se $2,050 static resistance ki taraf jaane ka darwaza khulega. Virodh mein, immediate support $2,000 level par hai, jise neeche jaane par $1,978 21-day SMA ki taraf sharp drop ho sakta hai. Agla cushion $1,955-$1,950 region mein hai, aur sustained break is confluence zone ke neeche November 28 low ko threaten kar sakta hai.

Gold Price News!

Sona (XAU/USD) ne $2,008-2,010 horizontal rukawat ko paar karke Monday ko $2,018 ilaqa tak barha, yaani ke May ke darmiyan se iski buland tareen satah tak pahunch gayi. Qeemti dhaat ab seems karta hai ke wo bullish consolidation phase mein dakhil ho gayi hai aur Tuesday ke European session mein is ne is ilaqa ke just neeche ek range mein oscillate karna shuru kiya hai. Do haftay pehle jari hone wale naram US consumer inflation figures ne Fed ki monetary tightening cycle mein rukawat hone ki tawajju ko barhaya. Iske alawa, market mein 2024 mein rate cuts ke mumkin hone ka bhi imkaan hai. Isse, US Dollar ko ek taqreeban teen hafton ke qareeb ki kamzori aayi hai aur isse ye ummeed hai ke is commodity ki haali uptrend ko sub-$1,950 darjat se mazeed barhaya ja sakta hai, yaani ke November 13 ko haftay ki kamzor satah se.



Technical Outlook:--

Tekniki hawale se, $2,008-2,010 horizontal rukawat ke zariye jo raat ko breakout hua, ye fresh trigger tha bullish traders ke liye. Iske alawa, daily chart par oscillators comfortably positive territory mein hain aur wo overbought zone se door hain. Isse ye ishara hota hai ke Gold price ka asaan tareeqa nisbatan niche ki taraf hai. Is liye, agle relevant resistance, $2,035 ilaqa, ki taraf ek mazeed move ka izhaar mumkin hai. Momentum mazeed barh sakta hai $2,048 intermediate hurdle ki taraf aur phir YTD peak, May mein touch ki gayi $2,078 ilaqa, ki taraf.



Dosri taraf, $2,010-2,008 resistance breakpoint ab fori downside ko $2,000 mark ke samne rokne ka kaam karta hai. Kuch follow-through selling, jo $1,988-1,987 ilaqa ke neeche ek mutabaqat ko barhaye, mazeed nuqsaan ki taraf rasta bana sakta hai. Gold price phir girne ki taraf tezi se barh sakti hai $1,978 zone ki taraf, jise $1,967-1,966 ilaqa aur $1,955 support zone ki taraf tewel dene mein madad mil sakti hai. Jo ke agar iske neeche convincing tor par gir jaye, to isse 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke qareeb jo ke mojood hai, $1,942 ilaqa aur $1,935-1,934 confluence – jisme 100- aur 50-day SMAs shamil hain – ko expose kar dega.

CL Price and OPEC News:---


Global oil prices iss haftay OPEC+ ki aham mulaqat ka intezar kar rahe hain jisme 2024 mein production policies aur mukarrar output cuts par guftago ki jayegi.Mulaqat ko char din tak ta'akhir di gayi hai kyunke kuch producers naye production cuts ke khilaf hain.

Saudi Arabia aur Russia dono opposing countries ko naye production cuts ki zarurat par manane ki koshish kar rahe hain taki prices ko support mile aur market mein zyada hamwar hoti rahe.Agar OPEC+ naye production cuts ko 2024 tak lekar chalegi to ab ye is par depend karega.

Crude oil ke prices ne September se 15% gir kar char mahine ke nadir ko choo liya hai jab traders OPEC+ ki crucial mulaqat ka intezar kar rahe hain.Ab ye dekha jayega ke OPEC+ sach mein fresh production cuts ko amal mein layegi ya nahi.



Crude Oil Forecast :---

Crude oil ke prices mein EMA50 ki taraf clear positivity hai, jisse ye zahir hota hai ke recover hone aur intraday gains hasil karne ki taraf ja rahe hain. Isse aane wale trading par ihtiyaat bartani chahiye, kyunke agar rise jaari rahe aur 76.30 ko paar kiya jaye to ye price ko 77.86 tak le ja sakta hai.

Ab tak, negative scenario aaj ke liye valid hai jab tak 76.30 level barkarar rahe, aur yaad rahe ke hamare targets 73.73 se shuru hote hain aur pehle ke level ko paar karne ke baad 72.25 tak ja sakte hain, jise 70.00 tak extend kiya ja sakta hai.

Aaj ke liye expected trading range 73.40 support aur 76.40 resistance ke darmiyan hai, aur expected trend bearish hai.

USD JPY ANALYSIS

Pichle mahine, USD/JPY ne ne 150.00 ka psychological level tora, aur is mahine ke beech mein, October 2022 mein paaye gaye 151.95 ke record high ke qareeb pahunch gaya.


D1 Time frame Analysis:---

Halanki, pichhle teen adhoore trading hafton mein, jismein yeh hafta bhi shamil hai, USD/JPY ne active taur par girawat dikhayi hai, pichhle haftay 147.15 ke level tak girkar gaya, jo mid-September se kamzor tha. Likhnay ke doran, jo jodi trade ho rahi thi, woh kareeb 148.65 ke qareeb thi, short-term bearish market ke zone mein, mahatvapurn short-term resistance level 149.29 (1-hour chart par 200 EMA) ke neche hai.



Yeh sab kuchh ke bawajood, lagbhag 400 points ki correction ke bawajood, USD/JPY ek sakaratmak momentum mein hai, key medium-term aur long-term support levels 145.40 (daily chart par 200 EMA), 145.00, 144.00, 143.60 (daily chart par 144 EMA) ke upar trade kar raha hai.



H1 Time Frame Outlook:---

USD/JPY jo ke ek bullish market zone mein trade kar raha hai, madhyam aur lambi avadhi mein, tahqiqat ke mutabiq, taqat prefer ki jani chahiye, haan ki short term mein, ek naye wave ki correction girawat mumkin hai.

Mukhya mansooba mein, hum ummeed karte hain ke tezi dobara shuru hogi. Iske liye pehla signal aaj ke 148.82 ke breakout ka ho sakta hai, aur confirmatory resistance levels 149.15 (daily chart par 50 EMA), 149.29 (1-hour chart par 200 EMA) hain.



Ikhtiyari mansoobah mein, naye short positions kholne ka ek signal 148.00 aur aaj ke low 147.95 ke local support level ke tor par ho sakta hai.Agar girawat abhi ke levels ke qareeb rukti nahi hai, to girawat jari reh sakti hai local support level 145.00 aur key support levels 144.00, 143.60 tak hai.