PakeezaBaloch Trading Journal

EUR/USD currency joray ki qeemat ke ruaiye ka maujooda tajziya zair behas hai. 4 ghantay ke chart par, is currency joray ke liye ek tezi se Wolfe pattern taiyar hua hai. Mein toqea karta hoon ke jori Wolfe pattern ki 5wi lahar mein taraqqi ka marhala shuru karegi. Is hafte ke shuru mein, qeemat barhna shuru hui lekin 1.06232 par girne ke ahem rajhan ki satah par puhnchnay par ek ulta ka samna karna pada, jis ki wajah se jora zawal ki taraf barh gaya. Peer tak, mein do mumkinah manazirnamon ki pesh goi kar raha hoon. Agar peer se qeemat kam hoti hai to yeh 1.03741 tak nichay aa sakti hai. Is kami ke baad ek ulta phir ho sakta hai, jis se qeemat mein izafah ho sakta hai. Taham, is baat ka bhi imkan hai ke jori peer se oopar ki taraf barhna shuru kar sakti hai, maroojah nichay ki janib rajhan ko tor kar. Is manzar name mein, jora 1.0832 ki satah par charrh sakta hai aur mumkinah tor par is se bhi aage nikal sakta hai.Kransi ke joray ki naqal o harkat ka ziada jamia tajziya karne ke liye, mein tawsiati rujat ke ishare par ghaur karunga aur maeeri tarteebat ke sath RSI (14) aur MACD isharyon se reading ka istemal karte huye muntakhib entry point ki tasdeeq karunga. Hum bahar nikalnay ki behtareen hikmat amli ka ta'een karne ke liye haliye bulandi aur nichon ki bunyad par Fibonacci grid ka istemal karenge. Pichle hafte ki tarah tezi se hone wali kami ko dekhtay huye, is baat ka bohat zyada imkan hai ke khareedar shamal ki taraf mor denge. Mazeed baran, 1.05 zone mein mazboot support aik thos bunyad faraham karti hai, jis se mujhe khareedari ki izafi positions par ghaur karne ki targhib milti hai. Sirf 1.0465 se nichay ki harkat majmooi tor par oopar ki janib rajhan ke imkanat ko sanjeedgi se kamzor kar degi. Haliye kami thos hai, aur rajhan ab mandi ka shikar hai.

GBP USD: Out Look Technical Rozana Time Frame:

Dobara dabain aur ghor ke tor par ahem mandi ke rujhan ke baray mein tasheeh karne ka mauqa faraham karein aur ise positionen kholne ke liye aik qadam ke tor par istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Hum sab jante hain ke market ki tehreek jo is waqt hasil ki jayegi jab yeh maujood hai. Yeh nuqta nazar 13, 18, aur 28 ke EMA zones ke andar 1.2135 ke daakhilay ki satah se shuru hone wale jari kami ke rujhan ke muthatay imtehan par mabni hai. Hatmi hadaf 1.2117 par waqe nichli BB tak pohanchna hai. Is hikmat amli ke peechay dalil market ke haliya halat mein mazmir hai. Is se pehle, upar ki taraf dabao ka ghalib ghulba tha, jis ka kuch hissa ittefaq raaye se hua tha. Taham, jab market ne apna nuzool shuru kiya, to samajhdari ne aik intezar ke khail ka hukm diya takay yeh yaqeeni banaya ja sake ke har cheez ki durustgi se tasdeeq ho gayi hai. Is tasdeeqi amal mein stochastic accelerator ki position ka andaza lagana shamil tha, jo ab bhi oversold zone tak pohanchne ki koshish kar raha tha.

Dusra jaiza char ghante ka Time Frame:

Khareedne ya call karne ke option ko ab is ke tor par samjha ja raha hai agar cheh neeche ki taraf barhne ka imkan nazar ata hai, is baat ka imkan hai ke yeh 4 ghante ke time frame par upri Bollinger Bands (BB) ki taraf dhakelte hue mazboot upri ki raftaar ka muzahira kare. Hum agle mauqe ke liye sabr se kaam lenge, aik aise signal ki talash mein honge jo growth ke ibtida'i isharon ke bawajood neeche ki janib harkat ke mumkinah tasalsul ki tajwez kare. Aakhir kar, hum aik khareed ya call ke option ka intikhab kar sakte hain, mukhalif rujhan ki tijarati hikmat amli ke baad, upri BB ki taraf aik hadaf muqarar kiya gaya hai. Is tarah, hum trading ke amal ke liye tayyari kar sakte hain jab waqt durust ho. Rujhan aik musalsal upri ki raftaar ke sath is waqt tak barqarar rehne ki tawaqqa hai jab tak ke upri BB tak rasai ke andar nah ho, hamare hadaf ke sath hum aahang ho jaaye kyunki hum lambay arsay par rujhan ki peyshwaai karne wali trading ka irada rakhte hain. Waqt ki hud. Bilashuba, moasar rakam ka intizam har waqt bohat ahem hai.

USD/CHF Keemat Ki Sargarmi

Hum filhal USD/CHF currency pair ki keemat ke ruye par tajziya par baat kar rahe hain. Aaj ki khabron mein, tawajjah mustusna iqtisadi nazar aur abadi ki mutawaqqa daulat mein izafay par hai. Kal ke tijarati session ke doran, USD/CHF currency pair ne apna pehla pal beik hadaf 0.9054 par hasil kiya lekin 0.9132 par doosre hadaf tak pohnchne mein nakam raha. Asiayi market ne aage peechay peytron ki numayish ki, jo market ki harkiyat ka ishara hai. Joray ko apna upar ki taraf rujhan jari rakhna chahiye, 0.9132 mera hadaf hai. Agar yeh is satah tak pohnch jata hai, to main asseet farokht karne ke liye signal ka intezar karunga.

Taham, khatrat ko sanbhalne ke liye ehtiyaat bartana aur 0.9058 ke qareeb stop ko barqarar rakhna zaroori hai.Amm taur par, billon ne kafi sargarmi dikhayi, jis ne keemat ko din ke liye ausat haqiqi hud (ATR) se oopar dhakel diya, jo ke qabil-e-sta'ish hai. Keemat par dabao ke bawajood, 0.9013 par aik support zone ne billon ko kafi madad faraham ki. Keemat guzishta roz ki buland tareen satah ko abar kar gayi, aur karobari din 50 din ki moving average (MA) se oopar ikhtitam pazir hua, jo aik mazboot tezi ke jazbat ki akasi karta hai. Aane wale dino mein is jazbe ki paidawari ka taeen karna ke liye aaj ka din ahem hai. Ghanta war chart par, mandi ka rujhan toot gaya hai, lekin keemat par ab bhi neeche ki taraf dabao hai, aur asseet filhal 50-day MA ki jaanch kar raha hai. Agar keemat is satah se wapas aati hai, to is ka buniyadi maqsad mumkinah tor par pichle din ki bulandi ko dobara jaanchna hoga. Main MT4 mein Ichimoku isharon mein maeeri tarteebat istemal karta hoon. Yeh wazahat zaroori hai kyunke mukhtalif tarteebat mukhtalif adwaar ke liye online dastiyab hain. Main umeed karta hoon ke USD/CHF mazboot ho jayega, aur upar ki harkat ke doran, agar cloud par pal beikas mukamil ho jayen to lambi positionon mein izafa karne ke mauqay mil sakte hain."

GBPUSD takneeki tor par out look:

GBPUSD currency ka jora neeche ki taraf barh raha hai, jis ne nichli oonchaiyon aur nichli satahon ki aik series banayi hai. Is mandi ke rajhan ki tasdeeq Stochastic Accelerator aur RSI se hui hai, jo dono hi qareebi muddat mein mazeed kami ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Agar maujooda kami ka rajhan jari rehta hai to, GBPUSD jori ko 1.2121 ki halqi satah par sab se pehle support ka samna karne ka imkan hai. Agar is satah ki khilaf varzi hoti hai to, agli mumkinah support level 1.2036 ke saath mah ke neeche hai. Agar reach control mein rahte hain aur jori ko is satah se neeche dhakel dete hain, to yeh March ki kam tareen satah 1.1800 tak gir sakta hai.

GBPUSD joray ki simt ko mutasir karne walay ahem aawaz mien se aik Amriki afraat zar ki sharah hai. Mehngai mein halqi ghair mutawaqqa izafah ne market ke shirkao ki tawajjo apni janib mabzool karai hai, aur imkan hai ke yeh Federal Reserve ki janib se maaliyat policy ke mazeed jarehana mawqaf ki taraf le jaye ga. Is ke natijay mein sharah sodh mein mazeed izafah ho sakta hai, jis se Amriki dollar mazboot hoga aur Bartani pound kamzor hoga.Taham, agar bel dobara control hasil karne aur GBPUSD jori ko ooncha karne ka intizam karte hain, to yeh 1.2336 ke halqi mustard zone tak barh sakta hai. Agar yeh satah toot jati hai, to jora 1.2445 tak ja sakta hai, jo December-January muzahimi zone hai jo 50- aur 200-din ki sadah harkat paziri ausat (SMAs) ke saath mawafiq hai.

Manfi pehlu par, 1.2200 se 1.2210 ki had muzahimat ki qabil zikr satahon par mushtamil hai. Yeh kisam Fibonacci 23.6% retracement aur 50- aur 100-period Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) ka ghar hai. Agar GBPUSD jora is rukawat ko dor karne mein kamiyab ho jata hai, to agle mumkinah bahaali ke ahdaf 1.2250 (aik jamid satah) aur 1.2300 (Fibonicki 38.2% rate-smant) ho sakte hain. Mazeed ulta phir 1.2547 par muzahimat se roka ja sakta hai, jo August mein support level tha. Majmooi tor par, GBPUSD currency joray ke liye takneeki nukta nazar qareeb ki muddat mein mandi ka shikar hai. Taham, bel dobara control hasil kar sakte hain agar woh jori ko 1.2336-1.2445 ke muzahimati zone se oopar dhakelne mein kamiyab ho jate hain."

USD/JPY ke bunyadi aur takneeki outlook

:USD/JPY ne musalsal dusre din baghal mein tijarat jari rakhi, ab bhi 149.00 points ke qareeb ek tang range mein utaar chadhao aa raha hai. Federal Reserve (Fed) ke agle polisi iqdamaat par ghair yaqeeni surat-e-haal ne dollar ki baal ko dafai taur par khara kar diya hai. Yeh, musalsal qiyas araiyon ke sath ke Japani hukam currency ko support karne ke liye zar mubadiyon mein mudadalat karain gay, USD/JPY jode ke liye muddai ka baais hai. Taham, manfi pehlu ab bhi kam hai kyun ke Bank of Japan ne ek zyada ghair mohazzib muqaffal apnaya hai, jisse yen ki himayat jari rakhanay ka imkaan hai.
Takneeki nazar se, USD/JPY mahinayi swing lowz se pheli hui upper ki taraf barh rahi hai. Mandarja bala support level filhal 149.15 ke qareeb waqia hai, jo 4 ghantay ke chaar chart par 100 sadah moving average par hai aur isay klidi satah banna chahiye. Darain asna, youmiy askelirator musbat zone mein rahta hai, kam satah par USD/JPY mein kuch soday bazi ke imkaan ki himayat karta hai.

Lihaza, muddai ki shart lagane se pehle USD/JPY mein mazkurah bala trend line support ke neeche wazeh waqfe ka intezar karna samajhdari ki baat hogi. Agar USD/JPY 149.00 adadi nishaan se neeche ajata hai aur is ke baad farokht hoti hai, USD/JPY ko 148.15 ke qareeb 200-muddat ki moving average support ki taraf dhakel diya ja sakta hai.

s ke baad 148.00 adadi nishaan ata hai. USD/JPY ke is nishaan se neeche aane ke baad, yeh neeche ki taraf jari rakhta hai aur 3 October ko 147.30-147.25 ke qareeb jhatke ko dobara janch sakta hai. Dosri taraf, 149.80-149.85 ka ilaqa 150.00 nafsiyati rukawat ya mumkinah se pehle fori muzahimat ke taur par kaam kar sakta hai. Mudadalat ki satah agar USD/JPY mazboot hota rahata hai, to yeh tezi ke tajiron ke liye ek naya moharik ban jayega aur 151.00 adadi satah ki taraf mazeed izafay ki raah hamwar karega. Imkaan hai ke yeh raftaar jari rahegi aur bal aakhir USD/JPY ko 152.00 ke nishaan ke qareeb le jaye gi, October 2022 mein kai dahiyaon ki sab se zyada hit

EUR-USD juray ki peshan goi

Filhal, qeemat 1.05890 par muzahimati himayat se neeche dekhi ja rahi hai, jiska nishan sentri ke alaqe se hai. Manzar nama yeh hai ke jab tak qeemat is satah se neeche rahegi, farokht karne ka faisla bohat durust hai. Purjosh bechne wale USD data ko tezi ki salahiyat ke tor par dekhte hain, is liye unhon ne EURUSD ko farokht karne ka faisla kiya takay kam az kam 1.05374 par saport tak pohanchne ka mauqa mile. Is satah par, agar qeemat market se toot jati hai, to kam az kam sab se muzoon hadaf agli saport level 1.050007 par hoga.
Aik ezafi manzar name mein, misal ke tor par, agar qeemat is waqt qareeb tarin muzahimati se oopar hai, yaani 1.05890, to jalai aout ho sakta hai. Lehaza, aap 1.06200 par H4 muzahimati par aik bari farokht ka intezar karen. Abhi ke liye, set up ka focus bohat mazboot rehta hai jab tak ke qeemtain 1.06200 se oopar nahin rahein, yaani EURUSD market balance aik bar phir khareedaron ka ghulbah hai.CCI isharon ki halat ke mutabiq, yeh filhal 100 aur 100 ki satah ke darmiyan hai, yaani abhi tak koi farokht aur khareed ka set up nahin hai. Zyada khareeda hua mauqa jaise ke ilan kardah muzahimati tarteeb durust hai agar hum aahang CCI shart ki peyrawi ki jaye. 1.06182 muzahimati zone ki taraf barhne ke bajaye, aisa lagta hai ke EURUSD double top pattern ki tashkeel ke sath kami ka samna kar raha hai, jisme 1.04935 saport zone mein dakhil hone tak qeemat mein kami jari rahe sakti hai. Kyunki, is haqiqat ke alawa ke ek double top trend maujood hai, jo kami waqai hui hai woh bhi aik tanau ke sath dikhai deti hai jise baray ke tor par bhi bayan kiya ja sakta hy .Lehaza, mukhtasar EURUSD set up ke liye, aap 1.05890 par muzahimati ko dobara janchnay ke liye qeemat ka intezar kar sakte hain.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis:

As the Australian Dollar currency pair is hovering around the price of 0.6310, important developments are taking place. A significant moment occurred when the exchange rate dropped below this crucial level, leading to waves of assessments and decision-making in the trading fraternity.
However, as soon as the sun dipped below the horizon, the situation took a different turn, ushering in a night of change and uncertainty. During the nighttime hours, the exchange rates of the Australian Dollar currency pair experienced a subtle shift, revealing the effects of volatility. Currently, the exchange rate is holding at approximately 0.6400, offering traders a glimmer of hope.The recent modest increase has raised questions among traders and analysts about whether this is a temporary shift or the beginning of a more significant change.

The Forex market is a dynamic and complex field influenced by various factors, ranging from economic indicators and geopolitical events to market sentiment and investor behavior. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for traders who want to make informed decisions and predictions about the future of currency pairs like the Australian Dollar.Traders are now closely watching the current situation, waiting to see if the Australian Dollar currency pair can sustain its modest gains or if it will revert to its previous pace.

It seems that the future holds an element of uncertainty, and market participants are eager to determine whether this increase is part of a more prominent trend or simply a temporary deviation. As traders analyze charts and review the latest economic data, they are well aware that currency markets can be captivating and provide real-time responses to global events and economic progress.In this context, the pivotal question on everyone's mind is whether the current exchange rate of 0.6380 represents a sign of resilience for the Australian Dollar or merely a pause before resuming a downward journey. If the Australian Dollar currency pair can breach this level, it may signal potential changes in the medium term. For traders keeping an eye on this scenario, 0.6203 becomes a focal point for analysis. Reaching this target will likely require a sustained upward pace and perhaps the synergy of factors favoring the Australian Dollar in its position.

USD/JPY.

Guzishta roz USD/JPY mein koi khaas harkat nahi thi, lekin aam taur par, ek chhote se janubi pal beik ke baad, qeemat ab bhi shamal ki taraf mazeed barhne ke qabil thi, aur din ke ikhtitam par, ek aur mom-mom beti tashkeel di gayi, jis ki hidayat ki gayi. Shamal, jo pichle din ki unchai par qadam jamane ke qabil tha. Mojooda surat-e-haal mein, mein poori tarah tasleem karta hoon ke aaj, ek chhote se janubi pal beik ke khatme ke baad, shumali tehreek dobara shuru ho jaye gi, aur is surat mein, mein muzahimi satah par nazar rakhne ka irada rakhta hoon, jo 151.944 par waqea hai. Is muzahimi satah ke qareeb, surat-e-haal ki taraqqi ke liye do manazirname honge. Pehla manazirname is satah se upar qeemat ke istehkaam aur mazeed taraqqi se wabista hai.

Natija:

Agar yeh mansuba kaam karta hai, to mein muzahimi satah par jane ka intezar karunga, jo ke 156,000 par waqea hai. Is muzahimi satah ke qareeb, mein ek tajrati set up ki tashkeel ka intezar karunga, jis se tajarat ki mazeed simt ka ta'ayun karne mein madad milegi. Bilashuba, mein tasleem karta hoon ke qeemat ko mazeed shamal ki taraf 160.401 ki muzahimi satah ki taraf dhakela ja sakta hai, lekin yahan aapko surat-e-haal ko dekhne ki zaroorat hogi aur har cheez ka inhsaar is baat par hoga ke qeemat barhne ke sath-sath kis qisam ki khbaron ka pas manzar shamil kiya jaye ga.151.944 ki muzahimi satah ke qareeb pohanchne par qeemat ki naqal o harkat ka ek mtabadl option ek mom beti ki tashkeel aur janubi tehreek ko dobara shuru karne ka mansuba hoga. Agar is mansube par kaam kiya jata hai, to mein toq'un karunga ke qeemat support level par wapas ajaye gi, jo 147.273 par waqea hai ya support level par, jo 144.538 par waqea hai. Mein in support levels ke qareeb tezi ke isharun ko talash karta rahunga, qeematon mein izafay ke dobara shuru hone ki umeed mein. Aam taur par, mukhtasiran, aaj, maqami taur par, mein poori tarah tasleem karta hoon ke qeemat apni shamal ki taraf harkat jari rakhe gi aur qareeb tareen muzahimi satah par kaam kare gi, aur phir mein tajrati surat-e-haal se aage barhun ga."

USD JPY :-

usd / jpy jora aik baar phir mazboot Amrici dollar ke darmiyan 150. 00 ki satah ki jaanch kar raha hai. yeh is pur asraar qeemat ki rukawat ko tornay ki pehli koshish se bohat daur hai, jo aik bara kirdaar ada karta hai. tajir –apne aap ko chattaan aur sakht jagah ke darmiyan phansay hue paate hain. aik taraf, usd / jpy belon ke liye 150. 00 ki satah ko challenge karne ke ilawa koi aur option nahi hai. yan badastoor kamzor hai, aur poori market mein wasee kamzoree ke bawajood green back ki maang jari hai.

aap keh satke hain ke usd / jpy jori ka apna mahol hai, apna ayko system hai, jis se dollar ke belon ko mushkil waqt mein bhi aetmaad mehsoos hota hai. lehaza, dollar se kisi bhi qisam ki numoo 150. 00 ke nishaan par hamla aawar hoti hai. aisa lagta hai ke yeh hadaf ab japani hukoomat ke liye' ' surkh lakeer' ' ka kaam nahi karta. kuch mahireen ke mutabiq, stap signal ab qadray ouncha hai, 151. 00 ki satah ke aas paas. october ki meeting ke douran market mein ghalib anay wali aajizana tawaquaat ko mad e nazar rakhtay hue ( 2024 mein manfi shrhon se mumkina tor par daur honay ke isharay ), meeting ke nataij ko japani yan ke liye aik manfi Ansar ke tor par tabeer kya gaya.

usd / jpy jora mojooda khatraat par ziyada tawajah


diye baghair 151. 00 ki satah par pahonch gaya. mayoos kin Amrici nan form pay rules data ne yan ko 149. 00 ki satah par wapas laya .


is waqt, belon ne dobarah pehal ki hai aur 150. 00 ke nishaan se agay barh gaye hain. yeh baat qabil ghhor hai ke october ke douran, is hadaf ke qareeb pounchanay par taizi ki raftaar khatam ho gayi. ab khredar mazeed jurrat mand ho gaye hain aur musalsal 150. 00 ki satah ki jaanch kar rahay hain. is soorat mein, koi bhi pichlle saal ke sath aik baar phir mushabihat khech sakta hai, yeh farz karte hue ke" surkh lakeer" ab 151. 00 ki satah ke ird gird, qadray oopar waqay hai. yeh note karna zaroori hai ke qareeb tareen aur mazboot tareen muzahmati satah 151. 30 par waqay hai ( rozana chart par Bollinger baind ki balai line ). agarchay belon ne haal hi mein ounchay ( 151. 70 ) ko dhakel diya hai, phir bhi 151. 30 ki satah par lambi pozishnon par tala lagana munasib hai. is se agay barhatay hue khatray ka zone hai .

GBP USD Forecast :--

ghanta waar chart par, gbp / usd jori ne jumaraat ko Amrici dollar ke haq mein aik naya ulat palat kya aur 1. 2250 ki satah se neechay mustahkam sun-hwa. is terhan, qeematon mein kami 1. 2175 ki agli satah ki taraf jari reh sakti hai. 1. 2250 ki satah se oopar ki jori ki sharah ka istehkaam Bartanwi pound ke haq mein kaam kere ga aur 23. 6 % ( 1. 2321 ) ki Fibonacci satah ki taraf kuch taraqqi kere ga .



lehar ki sorat e haal mabham hai. haliya hafton mein, hum ne ghair mamooli tijarti sar garmion ke sath ufuqi harkat ka mushahida kya hai, lekin guzashta jummay ka ekhtataam aik mazboot oopar ki lehar ki tashkeel ke sath sun-hwa jo pichlle 2 mahino mein tamam lehron ki chotyon ko toar kar le gayi. is terhan, aik taraf, ab taizi ka rujhan ban raha hai, lekin mujhe shak hai ke yeh taraqqi kere ga. mere khayaal mein is se aik naya mandi ka rujhan ban'nay ka ziyada imkaan hai. neez qaleel mudti, jori 1. 2106 ki satah par girnay ke sath. lekin 1. 2106 ki satah tak girnay se bhi taizi ke rujhan ko mandi mein tabdeel nahi kya jaye ga, kyunkay aakhri oopar ki lehar bohat mazboot hai .




H4 Time Frame Outlook :--

4 ghantay ke chart par, jori ne Amrici currency ke haq mein aik ulat palat kya aur 50. 0 % ( 1. 2289 ) ki durust satah se neechay mustahkam ho gaya. is terhan, kami ka amal 1. 2035 ki agli satah ki taraf jari rakha ja sakta hai. 1. 2289 ke oopar aik nai bandish ka matlab is waqt bohat kam hoga. behtar hai ke fi ghanta ke chart par ab tawajah di jaye. kisi bhi isharay mein ubhartay hue ikhtilaaf nahi hain .



taajiron ke waday ( COT ) report :



aakhri reporting ki muddat ke liye" ghair tijarti" tajir ke zamray ke jazbaat mazeed mandi ka shikaar ho gaye hain. qiyaas aarai karne walon ke haath mein taweel muahidon ki tadaad mein 3407 units aur mukhtasir muahidon ki tadaad mein 1672 units ki kami waqay hui. barray khiladion ka majmoi jazba mandi mein badal gaya hai, aur taweel aur mukhtasir muahidon ki tadaad ke darmiyan farq barh raha hai, lekin ab doosri simt mein : 84 hazaar ke muqablay mein 64 hazaar. meri raye mein, engrazeo ke paas ab bhi girtay rehne ke behtareen imkanaat hain. mujhe ab bhi mustaqbil qareeb mein pound mein mazboot izafay ki tawaqqa nahi hai. mujhe yaqeen hai ke waqt guzarnay ke sath sath bells khareed pozishnon se chhutkara paate rahen ge, jaisa ke Europi currency ka maamla hai. haliya hafton mein hum ne jo numoo dekhi hai woh durust hai .

BTC USD Forecast :--

BTC/USD kal manfi tijarat kar raha hai aur mujhe $38,000 par muzahimat ke liye mustard paya.Pas-e-manzar mein resistance cluster ke mustard hone ki wajah se, niche walay hawalay ki taraf mazeed kami ka mauqa hai.Manfi maqsad $35,000 ki qeemat par muqarrar kiya gaya hai.RSI oscillator 50 ki satah ke ird gird parh raha hai, jo ke adam faisla ki alamat hai.Kalidi muzahimat ki qeemat $38,000 par rakhi gayi hai.

USD JPY ANALYSIS :---
150.47 ke qareeb tareen support ke baad bulls apni mojoodgi zahir karne ka imkan hai, jis se lambi positions ke liye 150.82 par muzahimat ko dobara jaanchne ke liye ek entry point faraham kiya jayega, jis ke bilkul oopar moving average bechne walon ke haq mein hai. Is range ke upar break out aur consolidation khareedaroon ko 151.15 par hadaf ke sath khareed signal peda karte hue apni market ki position ko mazboot karne ki ijaazat dega. Hatmi hadaf 151.55 ilaqa mein hai, jahan mein munafa lenay ka irada rakhta hoon. Agar jodi mein kami aati hai aur bull 150.47 par koi sargarmi nahi dikhaate hain to reach tezi se market control hasil kar lenge. Is liye, mein is waqt tak khareedari mein takhir karne ki tajwez karta hoon jab tak ke qeemat 150.19 ki kam tareen satah par na aa jaye jahan dollar ke bulls is haftay pehle hi do baar barh chuke hain.



Buy and Sell positions on USD/JPY:--


Is liye, is satah par sirf ek ghalat break out lambi positions ko kholne ka ishara de ga. Mein 149.94 se rebound par fori tor par USD/JPY khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon, jiska maqsaad 30-35 pips ki intra-day islah hai. Is se jodi par dabao wapas aayega aur 150.47 par support mein kami lana mein madad milegi. Is range ka ek break out aur bottom up reset khareedaroon ki positions ko zyada sangin dھchka dega, jiski wajah se stop orders mutaharik honge aur 150.19 ke qareeb haftay waare nichli satah par jane ka raasta khul jaye ga. Hatmi hadaf 149.94 ilaqa hai, jahan mein munafa lenay ka irada rakhta hoon.



Agar USD/JPY barhata hai, jiska honay ka zyada imkan hai, aur reach 150.82 par koi sargarmi nahi dikhaate hain, to khareedar ek nai tezi ki market banane ke imkanat ko barqarar rakhte hue, pehle dobara haasil kar lenge. Is surat mein, mein 151.15 par jhootay break out tak farokht mein takhir karonga. Agar wahan koi niche ki taraf harkat nahi hoti hai, to mein 30-35 pips ki intra-day islah par ghor karte hue, 151.55 se rebound par fori tor par USD/JPY farokht karonga.

XAU USD

Friday ko American session mein, sona (XAU/USD) 1,989.14 ke aas-paas trade ho raha tha, jo ke European session ke doran pohnchay gaye buland se neeche tha, aur 1,993.24 ke aas-paas hai. Sona ka yeh recovey 1,931 ke neeche se 1,993 ke aas-paas isharay deti hai ke is mein mazboot upside potential hai. Is liye, aane wale dino mein jo bhi technical correction hota hai, woh ek khareedne ka mauka samjha ja sakta hai, jiska target 2,031 hai.



4 Hourly Forecast:--

Sona ke aas-paas 1,993 ke qareeb mein ek mazboot resistance zone hai. Agar sona is level ko torne mein nakam rehta hai, to yeh ek bechne ka mauka samjha ja sakta hai, jiska target 1,975 hai. Is level ke aas-paas rozana ka pivot point bhi hai, jo sonay ko ek musbat nazar dete hai.Dusri taraf, $2,000 aur 8/8 Murray ke aas-paas mansubai level ne ek mazboot resistance banaya hai. Agar sona is area tak pohanchta hai, to yeh bhi ek bechne ka signal ho sakta hai.$2,000 ke upar consolidation aur rozana band hone ki soorat mein, yeh ek naya bullish advance ka ishara ho sakta hai, aur sona 2,031 aur shayad +2/8 Murray tak pohanch sakta hai.



Dusri taraf, jo uptrend channel hai jo 9 November se shuru hua hai agar tez taur se tor jata hai, aur 1,970 ke neeche jaata hai, to yeh ek bearish acceleration ka aghaz ho sakta hai. Is halat mein, sona 200 EMA tak pohanch sakta hai jo 1,948 par hai, aur shayad 6/8 Murray tak pohanch sakta hai jo 1,937 par hai.Eagle indicator ek musbat signal de raha hai. Magar sona thakawat ke nishan dikhane laga hai aur aane wale dino mein ek technical correction hone ki sambhavna hai. Agar yeh manzoor ho, to yeh humein khareedne ka mauka de sakta hai, as long as sona 1,976 ke upar consolidate karta hai.

BITCOIN

H4 TIME FRAME ANALYSIS :--

BTC/USD pair ka bounce $37,897 level par rok gaya aur market phir se neeche mud gaya. Intraday technical support $35,628 par dikhai de rahi hai aur intraday technical resistance $37,531 par dikhai de rahi hai. Bull ke liye agla target $40,000 par hai, lekin pehle pichle haftay ke high, jo $37,889 par hai, ko toorna hoga.
H4 time frame chart par momentum phir se mazboot aur musbat hai, is liye Bitcoin up trend ko jari rakhne ke liye tayyar hai.





Haftay ke Pivot Points:

WR3 - $38,322
WR2 - $37,676
WR1 - $37,333

Weekly Pivot - $37,030

WS1 - $36,687
WS2 - $36,384
WS3 - $35,738

Trading Outlook:

Bull ne $25,442 level ko toorna hai, is liye ab BTC ka darmiyan-term outlook bullish hai. Bull ke liye agla target $40,000 par hai. Jab tak $19,572 level saaf tora nahi jata, lambi-term ke up trend ka mauka hai.

USD JPY ANALYSIS:--

USDJPY 149.68 ke aas-paas trade ho raha hai. Hamari pichli analysis mein humne traders ko warning di thi ke ek neeche ki taraf move hone ke badh gaye chances hain. Price ne aaj green upward sloping support trend line ko tor diya hai, jo ek naye kamzori ke nishan hai.



USDJPY ne 4 ghante ke chart mein lower lows aur lower highs ki ek sequence shuru ki hai. Aaj price ne horizontal support aur pichle low ko test kiya hai jo 149.21 par hai. USDJPY ne abhi tak higher highs aur higher lows ki sequence ko nahi todi hai. Haalat-e-haal mein iska yeh zahir hota hai ke jald hi 149.20 ke neeche ja sakta hai. Yeh abhi tak sab se zyada mumkin scenario hai. Hum isko apne primary scenario ke roop mein dekh rahe hain, kyun ke hum mante hain ke USDJPY mein pura upward move khatam ho gaya hai aur jald hi ek correctional pull back shuru hoga.

GBP USD

GBP/USD ke pair ne haal hi mein 1.2400 handle ke oopar treading ki hai jab ye pair haal hi mein hui consolidation ke top end se nipat raha hai. Pound Sterling (GBP) is haftay mein US Dollar (USD) ke khilaaf hasil ki gayi faiday mein qaim rehne mein mushkil ho rahi hai.

GBP ne mid-week mein US Dollar ke khilaaf 2.25% ka gain kiya tha, lekin us ne tab se ek zyada munasib 1.65% tak wapis jaane mein madad ki hai.
Mawad ke bazaar mein risk barhne ke bawajood, jo ke ek baar phir se yeh spekulat kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ne interest rate hikes par khatam kar diya hai, GBP/USD midrange mein phans gaya hai jabke UK ke data expectations ko miss kar raha hai.

Saalana UK Retail Sales bhi behtar nahi hui, jab October tak ka daur -2.7% ke against print hua, jo ke pehle -1% ke against tha, aur forecast -1.5% ko bhi paar kar gaya.Agle haftay mein investors Tuesday ko Fed ke latest Meeting Minutes release par tawajju denge.



GBP/USD Technical Outlook

GBP/USD haftay ke liye green zone mein hai, 1.65% upar jab Pound Sterling mid-week ke faiday ko bacha raha hai.Aakhiri haftay ke lows ke qareeb se ek qareebi trendline ab tak intraday action ko top side par qaim rakh rahi hai jabke hourly candles 50-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke saath jhagad rahe hain, lekin aik flat 200-hour SMA median range mein bids ko dobara draw karne mein madad karne ka irada hai.



Daily candlesticks ne GBP/USD ko 200-day SMA par latka diya hai jabke pair long-term momentum ko tajwez karne mein mushkil ho raha hai, aur is haftay ki peak 1.2500 handle par bulls ke liye muaqqar figure hai.

GOLD Forecast:--

Sonay ki kimat nay $1,974 ke 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ko paar kar liya aur Thursday ko issey ooper band karnay mein kamyabi hasil ki, jisse kharidaroon ki himmat mein izafah hua.14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) behtareen taur par midline ke ooper hai, jo bullish bias ko support karta hai.

Aglay upside barrier ko $1992 ke descending trendline resistance mein dekha ja raha hai, jo ke November 6 ki unchi, $1,993 ke qareeb hai. Iske ooper qubooliyyat, sonay ki kimat ko $2,000 ki taraf le jane ke liye kharidaroon ko hosla afza karegi.

Mazeed upar, $1,905-$1,910 ke aas paas static resistance ko imtehan mein daala jayega.
Mukhalif taur par, agar sonay ki kimat ke bechne wale dakhil ho gaye, to pehli support 21-day SMA par $1,974 par mojood hai, iske neeche tezi se giraavat ka khatra hai jiska mukhaalf $1,960 ki taraf ja sakta hai.Sonay ki kimat ko downside ke extension par $1,950 ke nafsiyati support ko test karne ka imkan hai.



Fundamental overview of Gold:--

Sonay ki kimat $1,980 ke ooper haftay ke hasoolat ko mazbooti se jama kar rahi hai, jise do hafton ke nuksanat ko khatma karne ka maqsad hai. Girte hue US Treasury bond yields sonay ki kimat ki up-trend mein madad kartay hain, lekin phir se taqat hasil kar rahe United States Dollar (USD) bright metal ke bullish momentum ko check kar sakta hai. Tajaweez honay walay nafsiyati data releases ke mutabiq, Fed ka pause hone ka intezar hai, jo ke non-interest-bearing sonay ki kimat mein izafah ko maqool banata hai.

Is haftay ke ibtedai dino mein, US Producer Price Index (PPI) ne October mein teeno aur aadhe saal ke baad sab se zyada giravat ki, jab ke US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation October mein 3.2% YoY par gira. Iske ilawa, Retail sales, jo ke seasonality ke liye adjust hain lekin mahangayi ke liye nahi, October mein pichli maah ke mukable mein 0.1% gir gaye. Jumeraat ko, US Initial claims ne November 11 tak mawafiqiati dor ke liye 13,000 izafah kar ke 231,000 tak pahunch gaye.
Is pe manhij se, sonay ki kimat apni up-trend ko banaye rakhne ka imkan hai lekin haftay ke ikhtitam par munafa ikhtisar ka saffar sath le sakti hai, sath hi sath US Dollar ki dobara taqwiyat ka imkan hai. Isi doran, US Housing Starts aur Building Permits data ka US Dollar ki trade par koi bhi numayan asar hone ka imkan nahi hai.