Asia ke trading session mein, jumme ko, Amreeki dollar ne Canadian dollar ke khilaaf izafa kiya aur 1.3705 ke darje tak pohanch gaya. Is izafe ka waqia us waqt hua jab Federal Reserve ne apne doveish signals aur tawaan-thanedara Canadian retail sales data se kamzor performance ke bawajood paisa barhane ki koshish ki. Nakami ka shikar hua Canadian retail sales data Canada mein Bank of Canada ki agle June mein hone wali meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ki ummeed kar raha hai. Canada mein yeh ma'ashi nuksaan Amreeki muqami ma'ashi ke mukhtalif mahaul ke sath mukhalif hai, jahan investors pehle 2024 ke pehle quarter ke liye 2.5% ke GDP ki izafa aur September 2024 tak Federal Funds Rate mein kami ka aetibaar kar rahe hain. Federal Reserve ka muqam hilaf-e-raayon ka shakar hai, jisey policymakers ne ishaarebazi ki thi ke mojooda interest rates theek hain aur muaqayi ke ihtibaat ko saal ke ikhtitam tak zaroorat nahin hai. Federal Reserve aur market ki tawajo ke darmiyan yeh ra'ayi ka farq Amreeki dollar ke Canadian dollar ke khilaaf izafe mein madadgar hai. Mazeed, kam crude oil ke daam Canadian dollar ke liye dabao banaye hue hain, kyun ke Canada Amreeka ke liye aik bara oil nigrani karne wala hai. Bears ka kamyabi sehar hone se pehle bullish comeback ki umeed abhi bhi mojood hai, kyunke RSI neutral ke oopar hai aur MACD musbat hai. Agar bears ke madde se qeemat ko 1.3743 ke 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level tak neeche le jaayein, to mazeed giravat ka imkaan hai jo 1.3690 ilaqa ki taraf ho sakti hai. Ye ilaqa toray hue chadhne wale ascending channel ke upper levels ko darust karta hai. Giravat ke imkaan ko mazeed lamba kiya ja sakta hai, 20 dinon ka SMA ya 1.3600 support zone tak pohanch kar. Dosri taraf, agar sell-off jari rahe, to CAD ko 50 dinon ka SMA tak khinch liya ja sakta hai, jo ke ab 1.3565 par hai. Khulasa karte hue, USD CAD ke khilaaf CAD ki kamzori ke kuch mukhtalif asbaab hain. In mein shamil hain kamzor Canadian ma'ashi data, Bank of Canada ki doveish signals, aur Amreeki ma'ashi ke liye musbat tajziya. Kam crude oil ke daam aur takneeki indicators bhi CAD ki kamzori mein hissa daal rahe hain. Qareebi zamana ki rehnumai saakh asbab par munhasir hogi ke bears qeemat ko ahem support levels tak neeche le ja sakte hain, ya agar bulls kuch momentum wapas le sakte hain ya nahin.
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