Canadian dollar haal hee main apni tasalsul dar giraawat jaari rakhti rahi, aur jumeraat ko chup chaap Asian session ke doran 1.3660 ke qareeb trade kar rahi thi. Yeh kami Federal Reserve ki fazool faarmashiyon ke baad Ameriki dollar ki kamzori ka nateeja hai jo ke budh ke din interest rates ko mustaqil rakhne ka faisla karne ke baad aayi. Federal Reserve Chair, Jerome Powell, ne maqrooz tajwez se zyada dovish qadam uthaya, jis se Ameriki dollar ne zameen khoyi. Market ka tawajjo ab april ke ahem Ameriki jobs report par shift ho chuka hai jo ke jumeraat ke din baad mein jaari kiya jayega. Jab Federal Reserve ne apni mojooda maali policy ko barqarar rakha, to usne mazeed rate ki taqseem par cautious approach ka ishara diya. Powell ne ishara diya ke agla qadam zyada tar rate hike nahi hoga, aur Federal Reserve ek potential rate cut par faisla karne se pehle mazeed data ki zarurat hai. Is ke ilawa, central bank ne apne quantitative tightening program mein tezi ko kam karne ka elaan kiya. Budh ko, Ameriki Labour Department ke data ne dikhaya ke be-rozgaari ke dawayun 208,000 tak reh gaye the jo ke April 27 ko khatam hone wale haftay ke liye behtareen sabit hua. Yeh shumara behtar tha aur Ameriki kaam ki bazaar mein mustaqil istehkaam ka ishara deta hai.
USD/CAD jora pehle ke faiday mita diye aur 20-day moving average ke nichay chala gaya, jis ki vajah se ab 1.3845 ke daromdar kee taraf kar raha hai. Magar, lambi arzi nazar ka manzar thora sa musbat hai. Keematain ab tak 200-day moving average ke ahem se upar trade kar rahi hain, jo ke ek mumkin upward bias ko ishara karta hai. Technical indicators ek mishrit tasveer pesh kartay hain. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) zero line ke neeche magar musbat soorat mein hai, jis se mumkin hai ke upri taizgi ka nuqsan ho. Dusri janib, RSI (Relative Strength Index) 50 ke qareeb ghoom raha hai, jo ke be-tazgeeri ko ishara karta hai. 50-day moving average 1.3585 par hai, jabke zyada ahem 200-day moving average 1.3550 par support faraham kar raha hai. Qareebi muddat mein, 1.3630 support level se rebound agar hua to jora 1.3730 resistance ki taraf phir ja sakta hai. Agar yeh upri harkat waqai hoti hai, to mazeed faida hone par jora pehle ke 1.3845 ke pehle wale high ko dobara test kar sakta hai, agle hadaf 1.3900 tak pohanchne ka ho sakta hai. Kul mila kar, USD/CAD jora ab ek correction decline ka samna kar raha hai ek das din ki rally ke baad. Agar ahem 200-day moving average ke nichay mustaqil girao hota hai, to lambi arzi nazar ko musbat se neutral par tabdeel kar sakta hai.
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