𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

USD/JPY
USD/JPY Currency Pair Ka Jaiza: Niche Girawat Mein Maujooda Mauqe: USD/JPY currency pair ki hal halat ne khaas tawajjo ka markaz banaya hai, khas tor par teesre nichle wave ke doran. Ye trend majooda farokht ki positions ki mawafiqiat ko numaya karta hai. H1 chart ka dafa tawajjo jaiza dar hamlet hai ke buland kharidari ki sargarmi pehle se hi guzar chuki hai, jo mojooda niche girawat ko barqarar rakhne ka saboot hai. Kul mila kar, mojooda market shiraa'iq mein se kam takhliqati mawafiq mahaul ki alaamat hai. Ek ooper ki impalse aur baad mein tasleeh shuda izafa ke baad, jis ka buland takriban 154.58 par tha, girawat ka barqarar rehne ka intizaar mumaqin hai. Taham, maqami samaji bandobast 156.38 par tasleem ki gayi hai, jo mojooda girawat ke aham asool ko mazid mazboot karta hai. Jab market naye tareekhi bulandiyon ki taraf ja raha hai, to maqami farokht ki satah aazmaish ke darjah se hamil ho sakti hai, jo mukhtasar girawat ke qisson ke sath hamil hai. Aham toor par, 154.44 mark se laot kar rebound ho chuki hai, jo mazid girawat ke bina jhoke ko numaya karta hai. Taham, 158.05 ke ooper breakout ka maqsood mansoob nahi kiya ja sakta, kyun ke ye ek mazid tawaja ka mauqa numaya kar sakta hai. Magar, 154.44 par mojooda maqami rukawat mojooda girawat ka barqarar rehne ka mazboot saboot hai, ek numaya girawat ke neeche barri had tak 151.50 par confirmation ke tor par, jo farokht ki positions mein e'temaad wazeh karta hai. Hal hi mein flaktuyashans ne dekha hai ke USD/JPY pair ko khaas tor par 152.88 par niche girawat ka samna karna para, sirf ye takreeban 152 ke darjay ko uthana hai, jo sirf chand hafto pehle mumkinat ki muddat shura kiye gaye, zahir hai. Is natije mein, ye mojooda market ke qeemat apni tarf mukhtalif moaqqe faraham karte hain, jis ki tasleemat 155.77 tak hafta ki shuruaat tak phoch sakti hain. Khaas tor par, Japan Bank ki haftawarana kharch ka maqsood $60 billion hai, jis ke sath shaid May ke liye mazeed $150 billion ka nisbatan maqsood hai, mustaqbil ke daromadar darustiyon par dabeer makhsoos karte hain. Jabke kharidar ki dilchaspi sabit hai, to hooshiyar mali iqdamat zaroori hain, mazeed aqbil maqami bulandiyo ki taraf phailne ke mauqe ki basharat ke daramadah mein. Ikhtitami tor par, USD/JPY currency pair ke ongoing nichle momentum ke doran, faham shuda market tajziya mowqe ke liye moqam faraham karta hai. Jab ke farokht ki positions maqbool hain, lekin janibdarana tor par breakout ke moqa aur markazi bank ke dakhalat ke nazar andaz rahna forex ka jadid manzar safar mein guzarne ke liye lazmi hai.

USD/JPY ka haftawar ka chart haal hi mein dilchasp price action dikhaya hai, jahan price ne local resistance level par 160.209 tak test kiya phir rukh badal kar dumdar taur par neeche ki taraf chala gaya. Yeh bearish candle banaya jo peechle haftay ka range ghaira aur support level 152.997 ke neeche band hua. Bearish sentiment agle haftay tak jari rahne ka tajwez hai, jahan ek mumkin target support level 150.809 par taay kiya gaya hai.
Jab price is support level ke qareeb pohanchti hai, to yahan do mumkin manazir ka imtehan lena zaroori hai. Pehla manzar yeh hai ke support level ke qareeb ek mukhtalif candle ban sakta hai jo ek possible uptrend ki dobara shuru ki alamat ho. Is surat mein, traders ko intezaar karna chahiye ke price resistance level 156.286 ke upar band ho jaye phir mazeed upar ki movement ka intezar karna chahiye 160.209 resistance level ke taraf. Is resistance level ke qareeb, traders ko agle trading setups ke liye mutayyan rehna chahiye taake price ka agla rukh tajwez kiya gaya hua ho.

Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price 164.500 tak phunch jaye, resistance levels ke reaction par mabni. Dusra manzar yeh hai ke price 150.809 support level ke neeche gir jaye aur neeche ki taraf apni movement jari rakhe. Is surat mein, traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke price support levels 146.484 ya 145.891 tak chala jaye. In support levels ke qareeb, traders ko bullish signals ke liye mutaharik rehna chahiye jo ek mumkin reversal aur uptrend ki dobara shuru ki alamat ho sakti hai.

Aane wale haftay mein, market shara'iy aur mahol ke tabadlon ke liye mustaid aur mutayar rehna ahem hai. Risk management trading mein ahem hai, is liye stop-loss orders lagana aur un par amal karna capital ki hifazat mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Price action ko qareeb se dekhna aur mukhtalif manaziron ke liye tayyar rehna, traders ko USD/JPY ke trading mein kamiyabi ke imkanat ko barhane mein madadgar ho sakta hai.

Akhri tanassur yeh hai ke jab ke taqleef dene wali southern movement chhoti se muddat tak jari reh sakti hai, to mojud global northern trend ye dikhata hai ke mustaidar mein bullish movement ke liye mauqe ho sakte hain. Maloomat se wabasta rehne aur faislon mein proactive rehna, traders ko market mein aata pata banane mein madadgar ho sakta hai aur unke trading mein kamiyabi ke imkanat ko barhane mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Aane wale haftay mein USD/JPY par trading karne ke liye kamiyabi ki duaen hain!

USDJPY currency pair ne Monday ko 160.20 tak pohanchne ke baad, is hafte har mahine ke price dynamics ki taraf ruke aur 151.87 ke neeche girne ke baad 153.01 par band hua. Rozaana ke trading chart mein zahir hai ke agle trading session mein mazeed kami ki sambhavna hai, jabki Relative Strength Index 50.00 ke neeche hai. Ye ek bearish sentiment ko darust karta hai, jo market mein price ko 152.00 ke level tak le jane ki sambhavna darust karta hai. Agar ye level safal taur par todta hai, to ye 151.87, jo Friday ke din low tha, tak ja sakta hai. Aur neeche ki taraf ke targets 151.00 aur 150.50 shamil honge, agar price giraai jaari rakhti hai.

Upar ki taraf, bullish manzar ke liye price ko 153.80 ke level se guzarna hoga, jahan pehli targets 153.85 aur 154.50 honge. Agar price 154.50 ko todne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to agla target 155.00 hoga. 155.00 ke upar lagataar bullish momentum zyada traders ko market mein kheench sakta hai, jo 155.65 aur 155.90 jaise levels ki taraf badhenge. 4 ghante ke trading chart mein bhi nazara hai ke qareeb ane waale mozo mein mazeed uthaal-phul sambhav hai.

Magar mukhtasar technical analysis USDJPY currency pair ke liye bearish manzar ki taraf ishara karta hai, market mein bechnay ke opportunities par tawajjo dena behtar hai. Risk downside ki taraf jhuke hue hain, traders ke liye fazool positions ko avoid karne ka ishaara hai.

Traders jaise ki weekend ke mod pe ja rahe hain, agle haftay mein market kis tarah se unfold hoti hai, ye dekhna dilchasp hoga. Manzar aaj kal anjaan raha, jisme makoweem bartaav, geopolitical events aur market sentiment jaise factors ahem ho sakte hain.

Phir bhi, traders ke liye zaroori hai market mein risk management strategies ke saath approach karna aur zimmedari ke saath trading karna. Di gayi analysis sirf maaloomati maqsad ke liye hai aur ise kisi bhi financial advice ke tor par nahi liya jana chahiye. Financial markets mein trading karna madaari hai, aur individuals ko sirf un funds ke saath trading karna chahiye jo woh haarne ki istataat rakhte hain.

Akhri taur pe, USDJPY currency pair ke liye trading environment challenging hai jisme charts mein mukhtalif signals hain. Agli hafta mein zyada volatility ka samna hone ki ummeed hai, aur traders ko market conditions ke liye chaukanna aur adaptable rehna chahiye. Mazeed updates aur currency markets mein hone wale taraqqi ke liye stay tuned. Sabhi ko kamiyabi se bhara trading week ki shubkaamnaayein.

USD/JPY (US Dollar / Japanese Yen). Main aik currency pair/instrument ke liye H1 timeframe par taqreeban raqam banana ka tajwez deta hoon. Is ke liye, hum koshish karenge ke humein aik acha munafa hasil karne wala transaction milay. Sab se pehle, hamari ghalti se bachne ke liye (khareedne ya bechne ke liye khula) pratham rukh ka chayan karne ke liye, chaliye aik chart ko 4 ghante ka waqt darja ke saath kholen aur mojooda trend ko check karen. Hum yakin karte hain ke aaj market humein lambi karobar bandhne ka behtareen moqa deta hai, kyunke is waqt bechne walon ki taqat mojooda haalat mein wazeh tor par khareedne walon ke mumkinat ke muqable mein zyada hai. Hum apne kaam mein HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color ke indicators ka istemal karte hain. H1 timeframe par Ham indicator aur RSI Trend ke mutabiq, hum bhi ek bearish mahol dekhte hain - dono indicators neela aur sabz rang mein hain, jo ke bechne walon ki bhaari taqat ko darust karta hai. Is liye, hum aazad mehsoos karte hain ke hum ek bechne ka transaction khol sakte hain. Hum muqamiyat ko magnetic levels indicator ka istemal kar ke nikalenge. Abhi ke liye, kaam karne ke liye mukhtasir level 150.488 hai. Phir hum chart par nazar daalenge aur qeemat ke harkat ke fitrat par mutaabiq faisla karenge, ke kya hum market mein muqamiyat ko jari rakhna chahate hain, ya pehle hi kamaya hua munafa ko theek kar dena chahiye. Zyada mumkin munafa hasil karne ke liye, aap ek Trailing stop (trailing stop order, trailing) jod sakte hain, jis se pehle se zyada hisse ko band kar diya gaya ho, aur baqi hisse ko breakeven par transfer kar diya gaya ho

Salam! Main doller/yen pair ko weekly chart par dekh raha hoon. Jab pehli bar Japan bank ne currency intervention k Saransh mein, clear trading strategy bana kar price trends, support levels, aur profit targets par adharit trading ke liye zaroori hai USD/JPY currency pair mein safar karne ke liye. Maqsadmandata ke chances badhane ke liye traders ko jankari mein rehna, risks ko hoshiyar se manage karna, aur badalte market conditions ke mutabiq trading decisions lena zaroori hai. Forex market mein kamiyabi haasil karne ke liye trading approaches ko badalne ki kshamata aur market ke badalte dynamism ke jawabdehi mein badlav karne ki kshamata bhi zaroori haiiya tha, tab resistance level 149.695 se, tab yeh teesri intervention thi aur uske baad pair ne tezi se girna shuru kiya. Aur woh tezi se girna shuru hua tha jab khabrein shuru hui ke Japan bank monitory policy ko tight karne ja raha hai. Is tarah pair ne tak giravat dekhai,



phir Japan bank ne intervene kiya. Unho ne 10-year bond ki yield ka spread widen kiya. Traders ne is kadam ko monitory policy ko tight karne ka pehla qadam samjha. Unhone pair ko aur bechne shuru kiya, aur kuch afwahen thi ke naye successor ka chayan hoga jo Japan bank ki policy ko badal dega aur monitory policy ko tight karne ka amal shuru karega. Phir se traders ne pair ko becha aur yeh 127.536 tak gir gaya. Phir Japan bank ne aya aur kaha ke 10-year bond ki yield ka spread widen karna monitory policy ko tight karne ka koi qadam nahi hai. Us waqt bhi afwahen thi ke Japan bank yield curve control policy ko chhod dega aur pair ko bechne ke liye bohot saare reasons the. Phir maloom hua ke Kuroda ka successor Ueda hoga. Unhone kaha ke woh Japan bank ki policy ko follow karenge. Toh, aapko kuch aur samajhna hai is topic par?

USD/JPY Tafseeli Jaiza: Ghanton aur 4-Ghante Ke Chart Par Nazar
USD/JPY pair ne halqo aur 4-ghante ke chart par dilchaspi angaiz harkatien dikhayi hain, jinse forex market mein maujooda mouzua aur mumkinayat par traders ko faida uthane ke liye aham maloomat mil sakti hai. In charts ka tajziya kar ke, traders pair ke hali trend aur mustaqbil ke hoslaafz harkatein ko behtar samajh sakte hain.

Ghantawi chart par, USD/JPY pair ne 154.665 ke support level se muqabla uthane shuru kia hai. Is bunyadi barhai ko Bank of Japan ke monitory policy fazilay aur sath hi speech se wabasta kia ja sakta hai. Agar Bank of Japan darust darjat ki sath rakhti aur bonds ka wapas khareedna jari rakhti hai to yeh pair ko mazeed barha sakti hai. Intehai izaafa karne par, pair ne unchaaiyan 160.143 tak pohancha, jise buyers ne munafa hasal karne par rok diya aur ek temporary pullback ka sabab bana.

Buyers ne aham support levels par qadam uthaya hai, jese ke 155.322, jo pair ko agay daba raha hai. Halan ke pehle highs ko guzarne ka intezar tha, lekin buyers ke munafa lene ne ke natijay main qeemat ka ulat chakkar aya. Halanke yen ne currency intervention ke baad taqat dikhayi hai, lekin moujooda market sharaait kisi bhi waja se yen ko mazeed mazboot nahi banati hai. Bank of Japan ke market ke andar dakhil hone ke khilaf dhamkian aur negative interest rate policy se koi teesri asar na hone ka paish e manzar pair ke liye barqarar tabadla ki numaindagi karte hain.


4-ghante ke chart par daal kar, ek mukhtalif nazar saamne aati hai. USD/JPY pair ne late tajawuz mein ahem nichawar par shiddat se dabao mehsoos kia hai, jisme bears ne pair ko pehle global unchi 152.20 tak dabaya. Halan ke moujooda qeemat mai izafa aik temporary waqt guzarne ke isharaat de sakti hai, lekin yehy mumkin nahi ke pair ke overaal trend mein mukammal palat pher le. 14-maahdar EMA ooncha ishara deta hai, jisse ke mazeed qeemat barh sakti hai, lekin global highs ke neeche qaim hone ka mawqe dene wali shakyat nuhaand hai ke medium-term downtrend barah sakta hai.

Yad rahe ke Bank of Japan ne apne aap ke liye aik waze "red line" taay ki hai 160.00 ke aas paas, jiske par woh yen ko mazeed kamzoor nahi honay dene ka irada rakhti hai. Traders ko is level ko aik mukarrar nukta samajhna chahiye jise pair ke liye palatne ka moqa ho sakta hai. koi bhi bulls ke koshishen jo pair ko yeh had paar karne ki koshish karen, woh Bank of Japan se qataar amal ka samna kar sakti hai, jise USD/JPY pair par tezi se kam hoga.

Aamari monitory intervention ke bina, traders ke buhat zyada tawajjo ane wali Federal Reserve meetings par mabni hogi aur potential interest rate cuts par rehte gi. Federal Reserve se koi mushkil ishaara hone par kisi aur wajah se yen ki mazeed taqwiyat hosakti hai, jo USD/JPY pair ke upar asar andaaz hoga.

Akhri alfaz mein, USD/JPY pair halqo aur 4-ghante ke chart par mukhtalif market mahool mein chal raha hai, jisme pair ke qeemati harkaton par mukhtalif factors asar andaz hai. Traders ko asal maqwad aur resistance levels par nazar rakhna chahiye dono charts par taake potential dakhil aur nikal ke points tajziya kar saken. Bank of Japan ke policy faiz aur Federal Reserve ke monitory policy faiz pair ke qareebi mustaqbil mein hawalaat hamesha aham sabit honge. Market sharaait ke mutabiq maloomat haasil karne aur tabdeeli laane se, traders jo USD/JPY pair mein moqaat se faida utha sakte hain.

D1 Chart Tafseel: USD/JPY Pair Ka Rollercoaster Safar

USD/JPY pair ka D1 period chart traders ke liye aik hairat angez safr ka aaina dikhata hai, jis mein uchay, nichay aur ghair mutawaqqa mure karnamo ke silsile hain. Chaliye haal ki waaqiyat par ghor karte hain aur agle manazir ka tajziya karte hain.

Tareekhi Uchay aur Mutawaqqa Girawat

USD/JPY pair ke raaste ne tareekhi unchaaiyon se girawat ka manzar dekha. Aise unchaaiyan aksar ek mutawaqqa dardmand girawat ko talab karte hain, jaise ek phayla hua spring ka nafrat. Yaqeenan, keemat lagbhag 800 point gir gayi apni intehai bulandi se. Ye tez girawat khaas tor par un traders ke liye dabao banaya, jo trading averages par aitmaad kar rahe the.

Aik Rollercoaster Sawari

Market skating rink ki tarah tha, jahan traders twist aur turns se guzarte rahe. CCI indicator par bearish divergence ek paish-e-nazar khatra tha, ek qareebi girawat ka ishaara dete hue. Aur sachai yehi thi, keemat gir gayi, halaanki ek seedha saffar nahi tha.

Ahem Support Levels

Girawat ke bawajood, kuch ahem horizontal support levels samne aaye, khaaskar 151.90 par. Ye level, 2022 aur 2023 ke uchay ko dharney wala, qawi markaz tha. Keemat is saira ke ird gird ghoomti rahi, traders ko upri breakout ke mumkinat se jhankar haar gayi.

Mutasira Updates aur Breakouts

Magaar, market ke paas doosre iraade the. Breakout ke baad, keemat ne taraqqi ki, bohot se ko ghayab kar diya jo neeche ahem level par ikhatta ho chuke the, trading strategies mein risk management ki ahmiyat ko zahir karte hue.

Aage Ki Umeed: Tawaja aur Signals

Jab keemat 151.90 level se bahal hui, upri sudhar ki umeed barh gayi. MACD indicator par bullish divergence, khaaskar ghante ke chart par wazeh thi. Ab traders aik mumkin rebound ka intezar kar rahe hain, tajwez ko 156.15 ke ilaake ki taraf ishaara karte hue.

Nateeja: Intehai Ajzi ke Safar ka Manzar

USD/JPY pair ka safar forex market ke fitrat se bhara hua hai. Traders ko mutawaqqa mure karnamon ke zariye apne strategies ko mutabiq banaye rakhne ki zaroorat hai. Halaanki tareekhi unchaaiyan girawat ko zaroor bulati hain, magar yeh bhi tajziyat faraham karte hain ke daanishmand traders ko market ke harkaton ka faida uthane ka mauqa milta hai.

Mukhtasar mein, USD/JPY pair ke liye agle raste ne mazeed tafreeh ka vaada karta hai, jahan traders apne aap ko keemat ke is rollercoaster safar ke agle mor par tayar kar rahe hain.

Tafseeli Tajziya: USDJPY Pair Ki Harkat Aur Mumkin Mustaqbil Ki Simt Japanese yen pairs mein pichle dino ke toor-taazah izhaar ne ek baar phir unki tezi se aur intehai keemat pe harkat ko dikhaya hai, jaise ke USDJPY pair. Ye currency pairs, jinhein unki buland tezi aur aalam-e-waqa ke nazdeeki ke liye mashhoor hai, traders ko bohot se imkaanat aur baray challenges faraham karte hain. Jaise ke tawaqqa tha, USDJPY currency pair ne lambay arsay se muntakhib giravat ka samna kiya, jis mein bechnay walay ne 500 pips se zyada ka aham harkat paida ki. Ye keemat ka amal technical analysis ki peshgoiyan ko tasdeeq karta hai aur bearish trend shift ki wazi tasdeeq faraham karta hai. Aage dekhtay hain, traders ke liye kya mutwaqqi hai? Jab ke halaat ka giraftaar naapa gaya short-term biases ke liye, to deir aayi hai lambe arse ke nazaray aur unke baray bazar ke tajawzat par mabni hai.

Jabke Japanese yen pairs apni bay-yaqeeniyat ke liye mashhoor hain, abhi ke tajziyay isharaat faraham karte hain ke USDJPY pair ke liye aik mumkin upward trajectory hai. Ye bullish potenti market ke technical signals aur fundamental factors jaise ke interest rate differentials aur bazar ke jazbaat par mabni hai.

Bullish momentum ke liye ibtidaee target 155.00–155.30 ke daira mein qaim hai, jo ke baeloon ke liye aik mawafiq maqsood hai. Is level tak pohanch jana aik mumkin technical reversal ko ishara deta hai aur lambay positions ke liye aik wazi dafa meqdaar hai. Mazeed, 157.00 ke qareeb phailne ka strong imkaan hai, jo bullish investors ke liye aik umeed afza nazar ka raasta hai. Magar, ye target aik ahem nafsiyati aur technical resistance level hai jo ke aik mustaqil bullish impulse ko qaim karne ke liye zaroorat hai. Magar, aik key sochnay ki baat bechnay walon ke amalat par hai ke wo keemat 151.00 ke qareeb ko harkat denay mein kaamyabi haasil karsakte hain. Ye level aik ahem support aur resistance point hai, jahan ke breakdown ne aik ziada hawalati bearish harkat ko paida kar sakta hai. Agar aik mustaqil giravat ka asar hua, aur is level tak pohanch gaya, to tasveer ko dubara dekhna zaroori hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke yeh giravat ek mojooda bullish trend ke andar ek waqtan-hai giravat hai ya aik ziada ahem bearish shift ki ibtida hai. Agar yeh critical level ko tor kar nehein gaya, to lambay positions ko dakhliya maqasid ke sath dakhil karne ka acha moqa hoga. Magar, traders ko ihtiyaat barqarar rakhni chahiye aur mumkinah price volatility ke liye tayyar rahna chahiye, kyunke bazar ki short-term tabdiliyan humare fauran ke control ke bahar bohot se factors par mabni hoti hain.

Agar Keemat 152.10 Ke Qareeb Jama Hui
Mumkin hai ke agar keemat 152.10 ke qareeb jam jaye, to yeh market ke dynamics mein tabdeeli ki isharaat ko darust kare, jo ke kharidari ke imkaanat ke liye ehtiyaat bhari harkat ka manasib banay ga. Is manzar ke toor par, kuch hazar pip ki harkat ke liye strategies ko dobara dekhna zaroori ho ga jab ke qareebi tajziya lambay traders ke liye kam behtar hota ja raha hai. Bazar ki fitri be-yaqeeniyat ke saath, tabdeeli ke qeemat hawalati harkat ke liye mukhtalif aur jawabdeh rehne ka khasiyat ban jaye ga.

Tajziya ke mutabiq, agar keemat 152.10 ke qareeb jam jaye, to yeh market ke dynamics mein tabdeeli ki isharaat ko darust kare, jo ke kharidari ke imkaanat ke liye ehtiyaat bhari harkat ka manasib banay ga. Is manzar ke toor par, kuch hazar pip ki harkat ke liye strategies ko dobara dekhna zaroori ho ga jab ke qareebi tajziya lambay traders ke liye kam behtar hota ja raha hai. Bazar ki fitri be-yaqeeniyat ke saath, tabdeeli ke qeemat hawalati harkat ke liye mukhtalif

USD/JPY H-1


USD/JPY. Achi dopahar, mahinay ke support 150.80 par hai, jahan se oopar buyer's zone hai, aur haftay ka giravat kuch nahi hai balkay Nirvana Bank apne short position mein paisay kamane ki koshish kar raha hai. 4 ghantay ka chart dekh kar aap yakeen kar jayenge ke is haftay ka move yahan zyada wazeh hai, lekin Saturday ya Sunday par waisa hi mamla hai.

Kal raat ko, 4 ghantay ke trading volumes barh gaye, isliye aap jald hi is pair ka 155.30 tak recover hone ka intezar kar sakte hain aur agle haftay shuru mein 156.25 ki taraf barhna dekh sakte hain. Phir bhi, is waqt, USD/JPY daily rising channel ke neeche se rebound hua, aur daily trading volume ka choutha wave aage badhta rha. Ek aur scenario ye hai ke daily trading volume short term recovery ke baad ghata rahega.

Over all, is stage par hum hafte ke liye 4 ghantay ka trend zyada ya kam tor par predict kar sakte hain, isliye hum shuru ke din me growth par nazar rakhenge lekin USD/JPY 153.37 aur 153.79 tak barhne ke baad na dekhne ki sochenge. 4 ghantay aur ghantay ki growth indexes unke kam se kam values par hain - 20% growth ke neeche, isliye galat hoga ki aap pair ke shuruat se recover hone ka ummeed kar rahe hain

​​. . USD/JPY D-1


Salam. Beshak, is hafte sab currency pairs yen ke khilaf zyada tezi se chal rahe the, Bank of Japan ka andaza lagaya gaya aur 800 points ke neeche gir gaye. Magar main nahi kehna chahta ke hamara uptrend toot gaya hai, khas tor par jab 152.50 par ek fake breakout hua aur volatility kam ho gayi.

Toube ke, humare paas ab bhi kafi bearish volatility hai aur short absorption kai hafton se ho raha hai. Isliye maine puri girawat par focus kiya. Yahan ek ache pullback ki zaroorat hai, isi liye agar hum 156.50 ke oopar pahunchte hain (jo main na munaasib nahi samajhta), tou main sirf wahan selling ki ijazat deta hoon.

USDJPY Daily Time Frame Chart Ki Tehqiqat
USDJPY ki qeemati harkaat daily time frame chart par aik range zone mein hain kyunke qeemat aik khaas trading area ke andar chal rahi hai. RSI indicator yeh dikhata hai ke qeemat apne urooj darjah par hai aur overbought level ke oopar hai, jo ke 70 ki bajaye uske mojooda qeemat 76 par hai. Shayad USDJPY range zone ki harkaat kuch aur trading dinon tak jaari rahe, lekin aakhir kar is ki qeemat giray gi aur trend ka rukh jald hi badal jayega. Bears ke madad ke liye do darje ka support hai, pehla 50 EMA line ke oopar hai, jabke baqi darje ise neeche hain, jaise ke maine diye gaye diagram mein dikhaya gaya hai.




Jaise ke USDJPY ki qeemat kabhi is level ko nahi choo chuki, halankeh is waqt yeh tamam waqt ke unchayi par hai; hum is ko chart ki history ko dekh kar nazar andaz nahi kar sakte. Is haftay, 159.19 ke qeemat ko test karne ke baad, USDJPY ki qeemat gir gayi aur aik choti si pin bar candle ki surat mein bani. Halankeh candle ka jism chhota hai, lekin yeh bears ko ishara hai ke woh tayyar ho kar USDJPY ko lambay arsay ke liye bechne ke liye tayyar ho jayein. RSI indicator bears ke liye manfi harkaat ke liye mufeed hai kyunkeh iski qeemat overbought qeemat ke dafa kar hai. Halankeh kharidari ki taqat ruk gayi lagta hai aur bullish harkat khatam ho gayi lagti hai, lekin qeemat jald hi ziada bear momentum ki wajah se giray gi. Is waqt frame chart par kuch support levels 151.79, 146.21, aur 140.17 hain.

Japanese yen ka haal hilāna multi-decade lows tak aam sababon se wabasta hai, jismein interest rate differentials ek ahem kirdar ada kartay hain. Aaj ke dor mein, US mein interest rates kaizaman Japan ke mukable zyada rahne ka tawaqquh hai. Ye dono mulkun ke darmiyan ek interest rate ka farq banaata hai, jo ke US mein paisa lagane Pakistan se Japan mein se zyada mein aham hone ki tajwez deti hai. Aam tor par, investors jo zyada wapasiyon ki talash me hote hain woh apna paisa yen-denominated assets se dollar-denominated assets mein shift kar sakte hain, jo yen ki qeemat par neeche ki taraf dabaw dalta hai.
Interest rate differentials ke ilawa, Japan aur America ke mukable economic performances bhi Japanese yen ki qeemat prabhavit karne mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain. Jab ke Japan ne economic growth ko taraqqi dene aur deflation ka muqabla karne ke liye koshishen ki hain, magar un ke saamne challenges hain jese population ka taraqi yafta hona aur rukka hua tankhwah kaafi intithayan hain. Doosri taraf, America ki mehfooz maashiati daramdari mein mazid consumer spending, mazboot naukriyon ki menh-ghei aur mustaqil GDP taraqqi ka muzahira hai. Ye economic performance mein fark investors ko US mein lagane ke liye zyada khaas kar sakta hai aur is se yen ke qeemat par aur kamzor hoti dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Geo-political aur trade tensions bhi aik factor hain jo currency markets ko asar andaaz aur exchange rates mein tabdeeliyon mein shamil ho saktay hain. Global trade policies ke aaspaas uncertainty, khas tor par US aur China ke darmiyan, market volatility ka sabab ban saktay hain aur investor sentiment ko mukhtalif currencies ke taraf atract kar sakte hain. Is tehqiqaat ke mutabiq, trade negotiations, tariffs, aur geo-political events yen ke qeemat ko mukhtalif currencies ke mukable se sokhta hain. Traders aur investors ko ishtiraak karne wale alaqon ke baray mein mutaharrik rehna aur currency movements par unke asarat ko pehchante rehne ki zarurat hoti hai.

Central bank policies aur interventions bhi currency markets par asar andaaz hote hain. Bank of Japan ne kai monetary stimulus measures, jese ke quantitative easing aur negative interest rates, taraqqi dene aur deflation ka muqabla karne ke liye qayam kiye hain. Ye measures yen ke supply ko market mein asar andaaz bana sakte hain aur iski qeemat ko prabhavit karte hain. Mutasira tor par, Federal Reserve ke monetary policy decisions, jese ke interest rate adjustments aur asset purchases, US dollar ki qeemat par asarat dal sakte hain. Market participants ko central bank policies aur interventions ko barasar ki nazar se moniter karna chahiye takay unke currency movements par unke asarat ka dehan rakha jaa sake.

Yeh sabit hota hai, ke Japanese yen ki maqbulon ke multi-decade lows tak kamzor ho jaane ka aik mutajasa muzaira qareeb hai jo mukhtalif factors ke sath wabasta hota hai. In factors ko samajhna aur unke darmiyan taaluqat ko samajhna currency movements ko analayze karne aur foreign exchange market mein mutala karte waqt aham hai. Traders aur investors ko mukhtalif tajawuzat, risk management strategies ka istemal aur market trends se waqif rehna chahiye takay currency markets mein asani se safar karen aur mauqay par faida utha sakte hain. Maloomat hasil karne aur proactive rehne se, market participants khud ko dynamic aur hamesha mutaharrik maali manzar me sound trading decisions karne ke liye tayyar kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY

USD/JPY currency pair European trading ke shuruat mein teen dinon ke downtrend ko ulta ker ke 153.70 ke aas paas ghoom raha tha. Is tabdili ko US Dollar (USD) mein izafa se jor diya ja sakta hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke USD ki taqat ko major currencies ke basket ke muqable mein darust karta hai, 105.10 ke qareeb tha. Magar, USD ke faidey ko kam kar sakta hai lower US Treasury yields. Mazeed, dollar ko kamzor America ke mulazmati data ke baad muqable ke samne rukawat ka samna hai jo ke pichle Jumma ko jaari kiya gaya tha. Ye data 2024 mein Federal Reserve ke interest rates ko baad mein kam karne ki tawakulat ko barha deta hai. Aglay dekhnay ki taraf, khatar ki bardasht is haftay mein Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ne ek meeting mein monetary policy ke hawale se aik dhamakedar stance ki ishaarat ki hai. USD ne is saal ke shuru se yen ke muqable mein mustaqil izafa kiya hai, jo ke Peer ko 34 saal ke record tak pohanch gaya. Pair ne bhaari farokht se guzra phir zyada tar nuqsan ko hasal kiya jab Japanese authorities ke dakhal ki afwahen ek phurtilay trading session ko jhila di.



Agar USD/JPY pair par upri dabaav jaari rehta hai, to qeemat 159.10 level ko azma sakti hai, jo aik ahem trading range ka 161.8% Fibonacci extension hai. Mazeed taraqqiyan rukawat ke shikaar ho sakti hain 160.20 ke 34 saal ke record se. Is raaste se guzar jaane ke baad 163.55 par 200.0% Fibonacci retracement level ka samna ho sakta hai. Ulta, agar pair farokht ke dabaav ka samna karta hai, to pehla support 156.35 ke 138.2% Fibonacci retracement level par mil sakta hai. Is level ka tor phir qeemat 154.64 ke 123.6% Fibonacci retracement level ki taraf ko jaa sakta hai, jo ke is haftay ke shuruat mein izafa se bachaya gaya tha. Ek bearish scenario mein, November 2023 ke 151.90 ke record ko bear ke liye agle rukawat ban sakta hai. Bunyadi tor par, USD/JPY pair apne potential intervention ke bawajood bullish hai jo ke pehle is haftay ki shuruat mein hua tha. 160.00 level ka potential retest hone ka natija pair ke mustaqbil ke rukh ka tay karne ke liye aik ahem lamha ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY daily time frame:

North ki taraf is rukh ko barqarar rakhne ki kafi bari sambhavna hai, kyun ke D1 dour ke mutabiq chal rahi moving average aik kaafi kam level par hai aur 154.33 ki taraf shumara hai, jo keh is rukh mein mazeed harkat ko ishara karta hai. Isi doran, daily chart par aik ahem resistance level ka tor phora gaya, jo keh market mein izafa jaari hai. Is liye, aaj mein ek bullish harkat ka intezar kar raha hoon, aur agar yeh taraqqi hoti hai, to 153.38 ke darja ko tora jaana zaroori hai. Sirf is ke baad hum USD/JPY mein bearon ka shikast ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo long positions ko 154.33 ke darja tak pohanchane ki ijaazat dega. Hum abhi ek maqami phase mein hain, lekin yeh waisi tezi se khatam ho sakta hai jaise woh shuru hua. Aam trend ke sath, sab kuch zahir hone laga hai.

USD/JPY H1 time frame:

Yahan par USDJPY ke H1 chart par upar ki rukh ko 153.38-152.75 ke darmiyan flat ne roka hai. Is se pehle, ek flat bhi tha aur qeemat is se ba asani barh gayi aur 153 ke figure tak barhti rahi. Is ke ilawa, qeemat ne Ichimoku Cloud indicator ke dono sarhon se upar ruk gaya hai, jo mazeed khareedariyon ki taraf ishara deta hai, humein mazeed flat ke neeche se rebound bhi mila hai, to ab currency pair ke paas sirf aik rasta hai - flat ke ooperi sarh ke imtehan ke liye, jismein ek moge se tor phora ja sakta hai aur aur northward harkat hoti hai. Main ne H1 chart par aik mukhlis support line bhi draw ki hai, jis ke upar qeemat abhi bhi trade kar rahi hai, aur jab tak yeh is tarah se trade kar rahi hai, currency pair barhta rahega, aur agar hum is support line ko neeche se tor dete hain, to phir hum dobara bechna shuru karte hain, aur phir qeemat Ichimoku Cloud indicator ke neeche wale hadood se neeche jaegi. To zyada se zyada qeemat kahan aur kaise mud sakta hai, woh sirf neeche ki jaa rahi halki slope wali support line tak hai.

USD/JPY Ki Bunyadi Nigaah

Thursday ke Asian session ke doran, Japanese yen (JPY) Ameriki dollar ke muqable mein mustahkam ho gaya, jaise ke yeh din ke chote chote izaafaat ko taqat di. Qaumi currency ko Japanese authorities ki tanqid karne ki mazeed mojoodgi se kuch madad milti rahi hai. USD/JPY tabdeel hua aur 152.00 integer mark ke qareeb pohncha, jabke Ameriki dollar ka ek din ka slide nearly ek haftay ka kamyaab banne ki taraf gaya. Poore din ke European trading ke doran, USD/JPY tabdeel hui aur 151.70 ki darjat tak pohanchi. Is ke ilawa, pair shayad Wednesday ke high 151.95 ke qareeb turant mukhalifat ka samna karega, jo ke 152.00 ke nafsiyati darja aur 151.97 ka March high ke sath hai. Agar USD/JPY is nishan se guzar sakta hai, toh ek mushabeh aage ki chadhao honi chahiye, jo USD/JPY ko 152.50 ke qareeb ehmiyat dar darjaat ki daryaft karne ki ijaazat degi. Neeche, 9 dinon ka exponential moving average (EMA) 151.39 dikha raha hai, iska matlab hai ke USD/JPY ko full-scale level 151.50 par turant madad mil sakti hai. Agar yeh darja tor diya gaya, toh USD/JPY pair ko negative dabaav mehsoos ho sakta hai, shayad mainly 151.00 ke nafsiyati rukawat ko test karne ke liye pehle, phir 150.67 ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement darja par chalkar.

USD/JPY Ki Takneeki Nigaah

USD/JPY pair ke aas paas ke mahol mein pichle do hafton mein tabdeel ho gaya hai. March ke swing lows se mazboot behtari ke mutabiq, yeh phase consolidation ab bhi bulish ke taur par tasleem kiya ja sakta hai. Daily chart par oscillators bhi dikhate hain ke spot prices ke liye kam resistance ki taraf ka rasta oopri hai, chahe wo abhi tak overbought conditions se door kyun na hon. Magar, 152.00 nafsiyati darja ke ghareeb ho jaane tak kisi mazeed fayda ke liye intizaar karna aqalmandi hai. Magar, koi maayusi gahra giravat mumkin hai jo ke taqreeban 151.00 ke qareeb mazboot madad payega. Pehli bat ke mazboot tor phir 150.80 aur 150.75 ke darmiyan kharji madad, jo ke ab waqt par madad hai aur USD/JPY ko 150.25 ilaqay mein mukhtalif madad ki taraf dakhil kar sakti hai. Isi doran, yeh nafsiyati 150 darja hai, agar yeh puri tarah se tor diya gaya, toh yeh bearish traders ka nazarie mein tabdeel ho sakta hai aur 149.00 darja aur 149.35–149.30 ilaqay ki taraf ek mushabeh tajwez ko kholti hai.