gpb/usd

GBP/USD Technical Analysis:

GBP/USD currency pair ka qeemat ka tajziya karna traders ke liye dilchaspi angaiz tasurat ka izhar karta hai jo haftawarana nazar ka paisa tehalne mein dilchaspi rakhte hain. Tareekhi data tasalsulat ke patterns ko numaya karta hai, khaaskar maujooda market mahol mein sellers ki taraf se fawr ko pasand karte hain. 1.2690 se 1.2664 tak ke range mein qeemat ki harkat aik khas jama muddat ki tajziyaat ka izhar karta hai, jisey mukhtalif shifat ya inkishaaf ke lehaaz se dekha ja sakta hai. Bullish breakout ke liye aghaaz ke dawrani umeedon ke bawajood, qeemat ka rukh 1.2739 par rukawat ka samna karta hai, jissey uroojon mein ulta rukh aur subsequent girawat ka izhar karte hue, sellers ki maujoodgi ka andaza lagaya ja sakta hai. Maali markets mein bullish trends ko samajhne ke liye, traders aksar khas technical signals par bharosa karte hain takay mumkinah khareedari ke mauqon ko pehchan sakein. Aham indicator aik trend channel mein tawel zamaney takarara banaye rehne ka hai, jo is ki salaiyat aur jari rehne ki sambhavna ko darust karta hai. Jab yeh do factors milte hain - trend channel mein tawel muddat ki mojoodgi aur bullish pin bar candle ki formation - to yeh traders ke liye lambi positions ko tawajo denay ka tajziya karte hain, jin ka taza nazariya mubashir mustaqbil mein mazeed fawaid ke lehaaz se hai.

Asal mein, GBP/USD qeemat ki harkat ko tajziya karne ka yeh strategy tasalsulat ke tareekhi data ko technical signals ke saath mila kar amli nateejay nikalne ki ahmiyat ko isharat karta hai. Pechida patterns ko pehchan kar jo pichli market harkat ki aftaab e numaish karti hain aur trend channels aur candlestick formations jaise aham indicators ko tarteeb dena, traders aetmaad ke saath mukhtalif faislay kar sakte hain, jin se wo currency market ke mutaghayyir halaat mein daakhil hote hain. Is tafseelati tajziya ke zariye, traders maujooda market dynamics ka shadeed samajh paate hain, jo unhe GBP/USD currency pair ke complicates maiyyar ke saath tehqeeq karne aur samajhne mein madad karta hai. Jab wo tareekhi patterns aur technical signals ko apne trading strategies ke inform karte hain, to wo mustaqbil ke mauqe ko chunaq se uthane aur unki trading outcomes ko optimise karne ke liye tayyar rehte hain financial markets ke hamesha badalte landscape mein.

Asalaam Alaikum, fellow traders! Is analysis mein hum GBP/USD currency pair ke technical pehlu aur tajziya ke chand asoolo par ghor karenge. Halhi mein hone wale price movements aur ahem levels ko dekhte hue, hum trading opportunities ke andar insights faraham karne ki koshish karenge.

Maujooda Market Ka Jaaiza:
Is trading week ne GBP/USD pair ke liye bullish traders ke liye ek behtareen mahol pesh kiya hai, kyunke prices ne ek numaya upper raftar ka tasalsul dikhaya hai. Magar, uski mukablay mein, euro ke sath, pond ke halat zyada nuanced nazar aate hain. Pair ek descending channel ke upper boundary ka izaafa karte hue raasta jari rakhta hai, jo ek neeche ki taraf ka trend darust karta hai. Haalanki, ab price ek ahem resistance level ke aas paas ghoom raha hai jo 1.2662 hai, jo peechle haftay ka unchaai darust karta hai, aur ise aik pivotal level ke tor par nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta.

Nazarandaaz Karne Ke Ahem Levels:

Resistance at 1.2662: Ye level peechle haftay ki unchai ko darust karta hai aur filhaal mazeed upar ki taraf barhne ke liye aik barri rukavat ke tor par kaam karta hai. Is resistance ke saath ek clear breakout aane ke surat mein, potential momentum mein ek tabdeeli ka signal ho sakta hai, jo khareedne ke positions ki taraf aik mumaani tabdeeli ko jaga sakta hai.
Minor Support at 1.2647: Mukablay mein, agar ye minor support level, jo 1.2647 hai, asar karte hue kisi ke andar gir jata hai, to ye bearish momentum ki tasdiq faraham kar sakta hai, aur short positions ke liye mauqa faraham karta hai. Traders ko is level ke aas paas price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunke potential entry signals ke liye.

Technical Indicators aur Patterns:

Descending Channel: Ek descending channel ka mojud hona GBP/USD pair mein prevailing downward trend ko highlight karta hai. Is channel ka upper boundary barabar resistance ke tor par kaam karta hai, is structure ke andar price movements ko monitor karne ki ahemiyat ko zahir karta hai.
Price Action: Haalhi ke price movements ne bullish activity mein izafa ko darust kia hai, khaaskar taur par 1.2662 ke resistance level ke qareeb pohanchte hue. Magar, traders ko ahtiyaat baratni chahiye, kyunke overall trend bearish hai.

Trading Strategy:
Maujooda market dynamics ko madde nazar rakhte hue, traders ko positions dakhil karne se pehle confirming signals ka intezar karna mashwara diya jata hai. Neeche di gayi analysis ke mutabiq, ek potential trading strategy darust ki gayi hai:

Bullish Scenario: Agar ek decisive breakout 1.2662 ke resistance level ke upar aata hai, to traders ko khareedne ke positions shuru karne ka tajurba karna chahiye, jisse ke wo further upar ki taraf key resistance levels ko nishanah bana sakte hain.
Bearish Scenario: Mukablay mein, agar price convincingly 1.2647 ke minor support level ke neeche gir jata hai, to ye bearish momentum ki continuation ko darust karta hai. Traders phir kam support levels ko nishanah banakar short opportunities explore kar sakte hain.

Risk Management:
Risk management trading mein ahem hota hai, khaaskar volatile markets mein. Traders ko mogheemat se bachane aur apna capital surakshit rakhne ke liye munasib risk management techniques ko amal mein lana chahiye. Ismein stop-loss orders set karna, position sizing principles ka manana, aur zyada leverage se bachna shamil hai.

Conclusion:
Akhri mein, GBP/USD currency pair is haftay mein ek dilchasp trading opportunity pesh karta hai, jahan bullish momentum key levels par resistance se mutassir hai. Halankeh descending channel ke andar overall trend bearish hai, lekin 1.2662 ke resistance level ke upar ek decisive breakout potential momentum ka ek ishaara ho sakta hai. Traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye, confirming signals ka intezar karna chahiye, aur market ko kamiyabi se samajhne ke liye effective risk management strategies ko amal mein lana chahiye.




Khush trading aur ummed hai ke markets aapke haq mein hon!

In GBP/USD kal, ek halki dakhli rut ko guzarne ke baad, qeemat ne palat kar ek taqatwar bullish impulse se upar utha, jis se ek pooray shumali mombati bani jo aasani se pichle din ke range ki unchaai se oopar band hui. Aaj, main puri tarah se samajhta hoon ke buyers qareebi resistance level par kaam karenge, jo mere tajziya ke mutabiq, 1.26679 par waqe hai. Is qareebi resistance level ke paas, do manazir ho sakte hain. Pehla manzar shamil hai ke qeemat is level ke upar mazid tawazun kar ke apna shumali harakat jari rakhegi. Agar yeh mansooba kaamyaab ho gaya, to hum umeed kar sakte hain ke qeemat aage barhegi resistance level ki taraf 1.28032 ya phir resistance level ki taraf 1.28938. In resistance levels ke aas paas, main agla trading setup ka husool umeed karunga taake agle trading direction ko tay kiya ja sake. Beshak, ek mazeed door tak shumali maqsad tak pohonchne ki mumkin hai, jo mere tajziya ke mutabiq, 1.29956 par hai, lekin yeh halat aur qeemat ke kisi bhi khabron ke jawab mein is door tak shumali maqsad ke qareeb pohonchne ke doran kis tarah ke badalti hui halat par munhasir hoga. Qareebi resistance level 1.26679 ke qareeb pohnchte waqt ek mukhalif mansooba ek reversal candle ke shakl mein shamil hone aur phir southern harakat ki dobara shuruaat ka mansooba shamil hai. Agar yeh mansooba kaamyaab ho gaya, to hum umeed kar sakte hain ke ek aur qeemat ka pullback hoga support level ki taraf 1.25394 ya phir support level ki taraf 1.25180. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals ke talash mein mizaaj rahunga, shumali qeemat ki harakat ka dobara shuruaat umeed kar raha hoon. Mazeed door tak southern maqsad tak pohonchne ki mumkinat hai, lekin mojooda halat ko dekhte hue, main is waqt is ko ghor nahi kar raha kyunke mujhe is ki jald tahqeeq ke imkaanat nahi nazar aa rahe hain. Mukhtasir taur par, aaj ke mutabiq, main puri tarah se umeed rakhta hoon ke qeemat qareebi resistance level ko test karne ke liye harkat karegi, aur phir market ki halat ke mawafiq faislay kiye jayenge, shumali manazir ko pehle priority di jayegi.

GBPUSD Ki Tadbeer
Din ke waqt ke frame chart ke nazarie mein, GBPUSD ke daily time frame chart par asal trend March 21st se, jab ke daam 26 aur 50 EMA lines ke neeche chal raha hai, bearish hai. Main ne dekha hai ke is hafte ke daam giravat ke doran peer ko, GBPUSD 1.2538 support level ke qareeb pohanch gaya; is natije mein, mangal aur budhwar ko, daam ke maamlay ka jawabdaar bartao ke natije mein barh gaya. GBPUSD ne kal ek bearish pin bar candle bana, kyunke ye kal 26 aur 50 EMA lines tak pohanch gaya tha, jaise ke maine diye gaye diagram mein trend line ki suchi mein; is ke baad, daam girne laga. GBPUSD ki farokht karne se aap ko daam ke giravat se faida hoga kyunke RSI indicator ne madhya rekha ko imtehaan kiya, jo ke ab 45 par hai.

November ke doosre haftay mein, GBPUSD ne haftay ke waqt ke frame chart par dono 26 aur 50 EMA lines ko paar kiya, jo ke trend ko neeche se oopar le gaya. Main ne umeed ki thi ke aise moving average lines ka upar ki taraf se crossover hone ke baad daam ka lamba dor izafa hoga, lekin GBPUSD ne ek range zone mein trading shuru kiya aur aaj bhi isi tarah ka kaam kar raha hai. Kyunke daam ke fa'alat range zone mein char mahinay se chal rahi hai, is waqt trend traders ko mushkil ho rahi hai. Magar, overall trend musbat hai kyunke daam 26 aur 50 EMA lines ke upar hai. Trend traders ko range zone ko ya to resistance ya support level se bahar nikalne ka intezaar karna chahiye. Agar GBPUSD resistance level ko tor deta hai, to daam barhega; agar ye support level se bahar nikalta hai, to daam girayga.

GBP/USD


Dunya bhar ki makro-iqtisadi rujhanat aur jughrafiyai waqiyat ka dharakanay par rakhta hona currency markets ke pechid dynamics ko samajhnay ke liye laazmi hai. Beshumar factors, jin mein se interest rates ka faisla, mehngaai ke metrics, jughrafiyai tensions aur trade talks shamil hain, currency values ko mutasir karte hain aur market sentiment ko shakal dete hain.

Central banks ke interest rate faislay currency markets par qaim influence rakhte hain. Jab kisi central bank interest rates ko barhata hai, to aksar is se mutaliq currency ki qeemat mein izafa hota hai, kyun ke zyada interest rates foreign capital ko attract karte hain jo behtar returns talash kar rahe hote hain. Umumiyat se, interest rates ko kam karna currency ki qeemat ko kam karta hai, kyun ke ye foreign investors ke liye kam attractive ho jata hai.

Mehngaai data bhi currency value ka aham nateeja hai. Mehngaai currency ki purchasing power ko khatam karta hai, jis se uski qeemat kam hoti hai. Is tarah, un countries ki currency jin ke mehngaai rates zyada hain, unka qeemat us se kam mehngaai rates wale countries ke mukable mein gir jata hai.

Jughrafiyai tensions currency markets ko kharab karte hain jab ke investors mein risk aversion ya risk appetite ko janam dete hain. Jaise ke conflicts, terrorist attacks, ya political instability ki wajah se investors safe-haven currencies jaise ke US dollar, Swiss franc, ya Japanese yen ko talash karte hain, jo ke unki qeemat ko barha dete hain. Baraks, un countries ki currencies jo jughrafiyai turmoil mein hain, heightened uncertainty aur risk ki wajah se gir sakti hain.

Trade negotiations aur policies bhi currency markets par gehra asar dalte hain. Tariffs, trade agreements, aur trade imbalances currency values ko mutasir karte hain. Maslan, agar koi country imports par tariffs lagaye, to uski currency ki qeemat barh sakti hai kyun ke domestic goods relatively zyada attractive ho jate hain. Baraks, large trade surpluses wale countries currency ko barha sakte hain, jabke trade deficits wale countries apni currencies ko girte dekh sakte hain.

Is ke ilawa, currency markets market sentiment ke shifts ke liye bhi bohot zyada sensitive hote hain, jo ke economic indicators, jughrafiyai developments, aur investor speculation se influence ho sakti hai. Traders aksar technical aur fundamental analysis mein shamil ho kar market sentiment ko samajhte hain aur future currency movements ko tay karte hain.

Ikhtitami tor par, global makro-iqtisadi rujhanat aur jughrafiyai waqiyat ke pechid interplay ko samajhna currency markets mein safar mein madadgar hai. Agar traders aur investors mutarif aur hoshiyar rahain, toh wo forex trading ke dynamic duniya mein opportunities ko capitalize karne aur risks ko kam karne mein behtar position mein rah sakte hain.

Daily Timeframe Outlook:

Chaliye D1 ke dauray ki chart par nazar daalain. Kal, sham tak, keemat ko jitna behtar kar sakte thay, khaaskar mazbooti se, lekin pur aitmaad se. Signals ke bunyadi par, saaf tha ke harkat khatam ho rahi hai, sham mein sab kuch khatam ho gaya aur keemat ne din ke andar palat par chala gaya aur keemat tezi se neeche chali gayi. Aur aap dekh sakte hain ke yeh giravat kahan se aayi, 1.2686 ke horizontal resistance level se. Aise ek khoobsurat inverted hammer bana aur aaj giravat jari rahi, subah ka intezaar kiye bina, raat mein hi chale gaye. Khaas tor par saaf nahi hai ke keemat ne nichay se kyun uthane ka faisla kiya bina hala ke neechay ke low ke bahar nahi gaye. Main yeh maan leta hoon ke keemat is bade sahayak range ke niche ke taraf jana chahegi, jaise ke pichli martaba March ke pehle aadhe mein upar se gayi thi, ya'ni 1.2511 ke neechay.

H1 Hour Timeframe Outlook:

Chart H1. Ghante mein aap dekh sakte hain ke kitna khoobsurat sab kuch hua aur sabhi signs the ke keemat giray gi. Pehle, is puri akhri uthanay ke cycle ko panch waves ka qayam ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai, puri uthanay ka mukammal daur. Dusra, jab keemat peechlay uthanay ke high se guzri, toh yeh farokht zone mein dakhil hui jo 1.2685 aur 1.2666 ke darmiyan hai. Is doran, MACD aur CCI ke indicators par bearish divergence ban gaya. Plus, saathi dosto ne dusri joriyon ko milti julti ishaaray ke baare mein tasdiq di. Toh yeh sab signals ka pura complex kaam karta raha, aur giravat shuru ho gayi. M5 intraday mein kal ke top par aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat ne ek mirror level banaya, support se resistance mein tabdeel hua. Main umeed karta hoon ke giravat 1.2583 ke darjay tak jari rahegi, kyunke keemat ne kabhi is darjay ko baray doran mein test nahi kiya jab wo wahan se udd gaya tha. Aaj ki ehmiyat pazeer khabron ka barahai waqt 15-30 Moscow waqt - America mein average ghanton mein mazdoori, America ke ghair zirae se mazdooron ke tadad mein tabdeeli, America mein bayrozgari ka dar.

GBP/USD D1

Chaliye period D1 ke chart par nazar dalte hain. Kal shaam tak, keemaat ko jitna behtar kar sakte thay, wo sab neeche uthaya gaya, khaaskar taqatwar tareeqay se, magar pur sukoon. Signals ke mutabiq, samajh aaya ke movement khatam ho raha tha, shaam ko sab kuch khatam hua aur keemaat ne din ke andar ek u-turn banaya aur keemaat neeche jaanboojh kar gaya. Aur aap dekh sakte hain ke yeh girawat kahan se aayi, horizontal resistance level 1.2686 se. Aise ek khoobsurat inverted hammer bana tha aur aaj girawat jaari rahi, subah ke intezaar ke bina, raat mein hum chale gaye. Yeh khaas wazeh nahi hai ke neeche se keemaat ne kyun udaan bhari, bina lows ke bahar jaaye. Main maan leta hoon ke keemaat is bade sideways range ke neeche ki taraf jaane ka irada rakhega, jaise ke pehle March ke pehle hisse mein usne upar jaane ka irada rakha tha, yani ke 1.2511 ke neeche.




H1 Time Frame

H1 graph. Ghantay ke chart mein aap dekh sakte hain ke kaise sab kuch khoobsurat tareeqay se ho raha tha aur sab signs thay ke keemaat neeche jaane wali hai. Pehli baat, is puri aakhri growth wave mein, hum ek structure of five waves ko consider kar sakte hain, ek mukammal cycle of growth. Dusri baat, jab keemaat peechle decline ke high se guzri, toh wo sales zone mein aayi jo 1.2685 aur 1.2666 ke darmiyan hai. Isi waqt, MACD aur CCI indicators par bearish divergence bana tha jo istemal kiya gaya. Plus, allies ne bhi doosri pairs ko confirm kiya tha jo similar signals dete thay ke girawat anay wali hai. Toh in sab signals ka pura complex kaam kiya, aur girawat shuru hui. Intraday M5 par kal upar aap dekh sakte hain ke keemaat ne ek mirror level banaya tha, support se resistance mein change hua. Mujhe umeed hai ke girawat 1.2583 ke level tak jaari rahegi, kyunki jab keemaat pehli baar us level se door gayi thi, tab wo kabhi bhi us level ko test nahi kiya tha. Aaj ke 15-30 Moscow time par mukammal package of important news hai - Average hourly wages in the USA, Changes in the number of people employed in the non-agricultural sector of the USA, Unemployment rate in the USA.

H4 Hour Timeframe Outlook:

Aaj, naye haftay ki shuruaat mein, hum H4 time period ka chart dekhenge. Guzishta trading haftay mein, keemat ne daramadi tor par harkat ki, jis ki haqeeqat mein kuch bhi tabdeeli nahi hui. Market ke is marhale mein, yeh currency pair char ghante ke chart par apni tarteeb ko niche ki taraf bana raha hai, MACD indicator nichlay bechnay wale zone mein hai. Ascending line bhi pehle toot gayi thi. Pichle haftay behtar point jahan se bechna tha, woh tha 1.2668 ke horizontal resistance level ka ilaqa. Wahan se, keemat mein giravat hone ke sab factors they, aur chhotay period ke indicators par bearish ikhtilaf tha, jiske mutabiq yeh level ke qareeb ka tajziyah pura hua tha. Yeh samjha ja raha tha ke keemat us waqt ke minimum ko update karegi, magar kisi wajah se keemat ne yeh nahi kiya. Halankeh wajah thi ke yeh ho sakta tha. Waise he euro/dollar pair asani se apne mukhtalif low ko update kar gaya, magar pound ne bharhawa diya aur ab tak yeh kar nahi saka. Lekin phir bhi, agla manzar zyada nichayi ki taraf hai.





Ikhtisaar mein, GBP/USD tabadla darja mazeed upri harkat ka dikhawa karta hai, jahan traders 1.2590 ka ahem resistance level nazar andaaz kar rahe hain. Agar is level ko tor kar consolidate ho jaaye, to yeh uptrend ka jari rehna ka ishaara ho sakta hai. Traders 1.2620 ke daira mein waqe hain, jahan woh apni position ko barhaane ka iraada karte hain agar qeemat is level ko tor deti hai. Magar, khatarnaak nigrani kaari aham hai, aur traders ko market ke mukhtalif dynamics ke jawab mein hushyar aur muntaqil rehna chahiye.

GBP/USD Takneeki Tajziya H4 Time Frame

GBP/USD ke takraar darja behtar rawaiye ke liye taiyaar nazar aa raha hai, jisme qareebi muddat mein keemat ko mazeed bulandi tak pohanchne ki mumkinat hai. Karobari log ko 1.2590 par ahem resistance level ko tawajjo se dekh rahe hain, kyunke is level ke oopar breakout aur consolidation agle uptrend ka aghaaz darust kar sakta hai.

Mausam ke doran, GBP/USD ke liye 1.2620 ke daira mein ek trade maujood hai. Is strateegi mein mukhtalif positions ko barhaya jayega agar takraar darja is level ke oopar pohanch jaaye. Yeh pair par bullish outlook ko zahir karta hai, jahan karobari log mazeed upar ki mumkinat ki tawaqo rakhte hain. Halaanki, ehmiyat hai ke keemat abhi tak 1.2615 mark tak girne ki koi nishandahi nahi ki hai. Jab yeh level test kiya jata hai aur keemat mustasna rehti hai, toh yeh mazeed bulandi ki taraf rawangi ke liye ek manzar e aam ban sakta hai.

Aik durustive girawat pehle hi ho chuki hai, jahan pair ne 1.2550 ke qareeb trade range ko test kiya hai. Yeh yeh is baat ka ishaara hai ke kharidar is level par keemat ka saath de rahe hain, jo GBP/USD ke liye aur bhi taaqat dene ka bayaan hai. Trading range ka kamyab test ye tasdiq deta hai ke uptrend intehai mazboot hai aur traders ke aqeedon ko mazeed faida hasil karne ke liye mazid mazboot karta hai.

Takneeki factors ke ilawa, bunyadi drivers bhi GBP/USD ke liye bullish outlook ko support kar sakte hain. Ma'ashiyati dastavezat, central bank policies, aur siyasi o mua'shri toor par sabhi currency markets ko asar andaz kar sakte hain aur exchange rates par asar daal sakte hain. Misal ke tor par, UK se musbat ma'ashiyati dastavezat, jaise mazboot GDP ke izafe ya behtar mulaazim rozgaar ke figures, British pound ko US dollar ke muqablay mein mazboot kar sakte hain. Isi tarah, Federal Reserve se kisi bhi bearish signal ya America ki ma'ashi asaamiyon ke bare mein koi fikr US dollar par asar daal sakti hai aur GBP/USD ke qeemat mein izafe ka sabab bana sakti hai.

Is ke ilawa, siyasi o mua'shri factors currency market sentiment ko shakal dene mein eham kirdaar ada karte hain. Tawaqoat jaise ke tehqeeqat ka tajziya, Brexit se mutaliq khabarain, ya siyasi o mua'shri tensions exchange rates mein tabdeeliyon ka sabab ban sakte hain. Karobari logon ko in tajziyaat par qayam rakhte hue apne trading strategies ko tabdeel karne ki tayyari rakhni chahiye.

Khataray ka nigrani ko trading forex mein ahem tor par, khaas tor par GBP/USD jese ahtiyaat se ghor karna chahiye. Karobari logon ko nuqsaan ki had ko mehdood karne ke liye stop-loss orders tay karna chahiye aur ma'ashri eham muddaton par aikhi ri'ayati asoolon ka paalan karna chahiye. Is ke ilawa, currency market sentiment ka tajziya karna aur market sharaarat ke badalne par mutaabiq apni trading strategies ko tarteeb dena bhi zaroori hai.

Mukhtasir mein, GBP/USD exchange rate mazeed upar rawangi ki mumkinat ko dikhata hai, jahan karobari log 1.2590 par ahem resistance level par nigaah rakh rahe hain. Is level ke oopar breakout aur consolidation agle uptrend ka aghaaz darust kar sakta hai. Kar

GBP/USD

Briten ki mudern ecomony ka akbar shuda zamana hai aur iske paise ka tajurba rollercoaster ki tarah hai. Jumma ko girne ke baad, ab ye gawahi le raha hai ki khoi hui zameen wapas le raha hai. Ye aane wale haftay ke liye yeh kehte hue ke iske bawajood ke baad, tezi se bechaini hai. Amrici dollar ko mazboot karne wale amrici rozgar ke mareezi riport ke baad, ye aisa hai. Amrici muashiyat is currency exchange drama mein aham kirdaar ada karti hai. March ke nonfarm employment ke expectations ko paar karne wale aik shandar hiring quarter ne amrici dollar ko mazboot kiya hai. Jabke saalana growing rate thodi si gir gayi, wage inflation barhti rahi hai, jis se Federal Reserve ki interest rate hikes ke lehaz se fikron ko aasan ho gaya hai. Samandar ke doosri ore, UK ki muashiyaat ke outlook mein ghanim ghum hai. Is haftay services industry se kamzor data, pareyshaniyon ko mazeed izafa deta hai. Aik sust GDP aur rukh rukh ke daam dabaav investers ko Bank of England ke interest rate cuts ke lehaz se speculation karne par majboor kar rahi hai, jo pound ko neeche ki taraf dabaav dal raha hai.

Easter chhuttiyon ke baad investors ke wapas aane se ye nafrat angez tajurba zahir hua. Pound se dollar ka exchange rate che mahino ki kam se kam mehsoos ki gayi girao ke baad ek che mahino ki kam se kam pehli baar low pe gir gaya. Analysts ab tawajjo se dekh rahe hain ke agar pound ek rejection se bach sakta hai jo usne December 2023 mein mehsoos kiya tha. Agar girao jaari rahe, to pound pehle mukhya nafsiyati sahara ke level ko 1.2517 aur 1.2500 par aazma sakti hai. Ek mazeed girao ise ahem 1.2440 resistance zone tak girne ki khatra hai. Mazeed nuqsaan 1.2380-1.2400 range ya shayad december mein pehchaani gayi sahara line se bhi wazeh kiya ja sakta hai. Asal mein, pound ka anjam ek mazboot hona ya mazeed girne ka khel ke bich ki badi warzi pe nirbhar hai ek mazboot hota hai ya aur girne se bachta hai. Aane wale hafton mein yeh eham hoga ke pound apne kadmo ko wapas le sakta hai ya mazeed girao ka shikaar ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD

British Pound (GBP) abhi filhal Asia ke early trading mein US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf thora nichayi ki taraf trade ho raha hai, kuchh 1.2640 ke darje ke qareeb. Yeh thori nichayi ek maqool rebound ke baad aayi hai jismein USD 104.20 tak pohanch gaya, jo ek ihtiyati marketi jazbat ka natija hai. Investors mazeed tarjih diye gaye arzi data releases aur saiyasi tensions ko nazdeek se dekh rahe hain jo currency valuations par asar daal sakti hain. Market ko mutassir karne wale aham factors mein se ek US Non-farm Payrolls data, bay-rozgar darja, aur Federal Reserve ke afkar par speech shamil hain. Yeh data US ka mazdoori market ki sehat aur Fed ke monetary policy stance mein shaoor faraham karega, dono cheezen jo USD ke qeemat par bade asar daal sakti hain. Dosra dilchaspi ka point haal hi mein US mein be-rozgar faide dawaon mein izafa hai. Pichle haftay mein faide dawaon ke liye apply karne wale Americans ki tadad do mahino ki bulandiyon tak pohanch gayi, jo mazdoori market mein rukawat ka ishara ho sakta hai. Yeh data, pehle ki USD ki kamzori ke sath mil kar, pehle to dollar par niche dabaav daal sakta tha. Magar, saiyasi masail, khaaskar Iran ka Israel par hamla karne ki mumkinat ke ird gird, ne market mein kuch ihtiyati wapas dakhil kar di hai. USD, jo aksar uncertain waqt mein ek safe haven ke tor par dekha jata hai, investors ke stability ki talaash mein kuch arzi maqam haasil kar chuka hai.

Technically, GBP/USD pair abhi filhal ek neutral zone mein phansa hua hai. Jabke yeh apni 200-day moving average aur uptrend line se rebound kar chuka hai, lekin 50-day aur 20-day moving averages par foran resistance ka samna hai. In levels ke upar se breakout ek taza bullish trend ka ishara ho sakta hai, jo shayad pair ko upper channel boundary tak 1.2820 ke darje tak pohanchaye. Mukhalif, uptrend line aur 200-day moving average ke neeche break ek bearish move ko trigger kar sakta hai joh 1.2495-1.2520 support area ki taraf le jaye, jahan 1.2370 ke darajat tak pohanchne ka imkan hai. Ikhtitam mein, GBP/USD pair filhal faisla karne ki dor mein hai. Pehle 6 mahine ki unchi tak pohanchne ke baad, yeh wapas chala gaya hai aur ab ek neutral range mein atka hua hai. Anay wale data releases aur saiyasi taraqqiyat pair ki raah ka tay karna mein ahem hongi. Traders ke liye, muqarrar resistance aur support levels ke upar ya neeche breakout market mein agle harkat ko tasdeeq karne ka signal hoga jiska intezar hai.

Aaj maine pehle hi GBP/USD ka tajziya kiya aur ek chaar ghanton ka time frame dikhaya jis par maine ek kam hone ki tahqeeq ki; isme 38.2% se lekar 14.6% tak ka ek andaruni pattern hai. Ab main daily chart ka tajziya karna chahta hoon aur dikhana chahta hoon ke agle kuch hafton mein main GBP/USD se kya umeed karta hoon. Maine un unchaaiyon ke qareeb ek resistance cluster ka pehchan kiya; ye 61.8% aur 14.6% levels se milta hai. Chaar ghanton ka andaruni pattern is cluster ko dikhata hai, pattern ke mutabiq keemat ko is tak chadha dena chahiye aur ek aur pattern nazar aayega, sirf ab is baar neela retirement ke saath, jis ke mutabiq keemat ko 61.8% tak ek kami honi chahiye, sirf ab ye kai minimums ke peechay hai. Main abhi ke liye barhne ka dawa karta hoon, agle hafte mein intraday kharidne ki khwahish hai, position munafa bakhsh honi chahiye.

Amrica mein core consumer price index ne speed kam dikhaya. Is ke bawajood, buhat se inflation ke shobay buland hain. Federal Reserve interest rates ko kam karne ke bare mein ehtiyaat se kaam le raha hai. agle inflation ko budhwar ko chhoda jayega, ek 0.3% ke barhne ka intezar hai pichle report ke muqable mein. Rozgaar riport umeedon ko paar kar gayi. Rozgaar panchwa mahine se barh gaya hai. Federal Reserve ke officials ne point out kiya ke mazdoori ki darkhwast muneat hai aur kaha ke agar numbers aise hi nikle to wo mazdoori ke market ka thanda hona dikhayenge. Phir wo interest rates ko kam karenge. Bazaar barh raha hai, jo ishara deta hai ke koi nazdeek kaam rate mein kamii nahi hogi. Buhat se Federal Reserve ke officials pichle haftay mein bole aur kaha ke wo kam rates ke bare mein ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye. Jab tak unhe musalat raftar mein izafa nahi dekhte, wo interest rates ko kam karne ka mashwara nahi dete. Ab sab tawajjo inflation par muntakil ho rahi hai, aur yeh jawab mein sab se ahem factor hai. agla Federal Reserve ka mulaqat 1st May ko hai. Inhe ummid hai ke rate ko waisa hi rakha jayega.

Takneekan ke mutabiq, Jumeraat ko din halki izafa ke saath shuru hua, phir girawat aayi. Support 1.26338 tor diya gaya, ek farokht ishara tha, keemat level ke neeche mil gayi, us par takra gayi, aur farokht ka maqsad support 1.26042 tha. Farokht ka ishara kaam kar gaya, farokht ka maqsad hasil hua, phir support tor di gayi, keemat support 1.25787 tak pohanch gayi. Phir ham dekhte hain ke berozgari ke data ke baad ek munasib wapas aayi. Pair ne resistance 1.26338 tak wapas gaya aur agar yeh resistance tora gaya, agar yeh breakout tasdeeq kiya gaya, to khareedne ka maqsad hoga resistance 1.26731. Agar keemat wapas support 1.26042 tak jaati hai, agar yeh breakout tasdeeq kiya gaya, to farokht ka maqsad hoga support 1.25787.

GBP/USD

British Pound (GBP) abhi thori kam value par trading kar rahi hai compared to US Dollar (USD), takreeban 1.2640 ke qareeb, early Asian trading mein Jumma ko. Yeh thori si kami aai hai ek halki taraqqi ke baad USD ki taraf se jo ke 104.20 tak pohanch gaya, jo ke cautious market sentiment ki wajah se hai. Investors tawajo se key economic data releases aur geopolitical tensions ko dekh rahe hain jo currency valuations par asar daal sakti hain. Market ko influence karne wala aik bara factor US Non-farm Payrolls data ka agla release hai, sath hi unemployment rate aur Federal Reserve officials ke speeches bhi. Yeh data US labor market ki sehat aur Fed ki monetary policy stance par insights provide karega, dono cheezen USD ki value ko bade asar se mutasir kar sakti hain. Ek aur dilchasp point yeh hai ke haal hi mein US mein unemployment benefit claims mein izafa hua hai. Americans ke claims ki tadaad ek do mahine ka unwaan chuki hai, jo ke job market mein tham jaa sakti hai. Yeh data, pehle USD ki kami ke saath, initial tor par dollar par neeche ki taraf dabao daal chuka tha. Magar, geopolitical concerns, khaaskar ek mohtasib tor par aik Iranian attack Israel par, ne market mein thori ehtiyaat ko wapas bhar diya hai. USD, jo ke uncertainty ke doran safe haven ke tor par dekha jata hai, investors ke stability talash karne par thori si value wapas hasil kar raha hai.

GBP/USD pair mojooda dor mein aik neutral zone mein phansa hua hai. Jabke yeh apne 200-day moving average aur uptrend line se bounce kar chuka hai, isse foran resistance aata hai 50-day aur 20-day moving averages par. Agar yeh levels ko paar kar leta hai, toh yeh ek naya bullish trend ka signal de sakta hai, jise pair 1.2820 tak pohanch sakta hai. Mukhtalif, agar uptrend line aur 200-day moving average ko tor diya jata hai, toh yeh ek bearish move ko trigger kar sakta hai 1.2495-1.2520 support area ki taraf, with a possibility of reaching even lower levels around 1.2370. Ikhtitam mein, GBP/USD pair mojooda dor mein ek fazooliyat ki muddat se guzar raha hai. Jaise ke pehle 6 mahine mein ek choti taiz value hasil kar ke wapas laut gaya hai aur ab yeh ek neutral range mein phansa hai. Anay wale data releases aur geopolitical developments pair ki direction ko tay karne mein ahem honge. Traders ke liye, key resistance aur support levels ke oopar ya neeche breakout hona unka signal hoga ke market ka agla move confirm ho gaya hai.

Kafi arsa guzar gaya hai jab maine paond par tajziya nahi kiya. Pichla mansuba asal mukhtasir honay ki taraf tha. Us waqt se aik ahem girawat hui, lekin afsos ke liye farokht karne walon ke liye, unho ne apne maqasid tak nahi pohancha aur aik mazboot shumali impulse ka aghaz hua, jo ke hamein pehle se mazeed barhne ke bare mein sochne par majboor kar diya.
Pehle to, hum daily timeframe par nazar daalain. Yahan hum dekh sakte hain ke jo sloping support line teesri martaba kaam kar rahi thi, uska bounce aik qabil-e-qadar size ka tha. Jab main paond ka character andaza lagata hoon, to ye qisam fractals ko barqarar rakhne ki rujhan rakhta hai. Is mamlay mein, main abhi taq support level ka breakthrough ka intezar nahi kar raha. Aam tor par, daily timeframe par, hum filhal aik wide consolidation mein hain, lekin halki shumali taraf ka rujhan hai. Lambay arse mein, shumali rukh filhal faida utha sakta hai, kyun ke abhi tak kisi asal barhne ki soorat-e-hal nahi hui hai.

Magar, main abhi tak barhne ko mazboot faida bhi nahi keh sakta. Meri pehli farokhten qareebi maqasid ke darjah tak pohanchne par mutawajjah thi jo 1.2522 tha. Magar hum dekhte hain ke ye nichli mumkinat puri nahi hui, lekin isay mansookh bhi nahi kiya gaya. Gray bar, H4 timeframe par signal ka shuru hone ka level aur iska maqasid dikhata hai. Neela bar H4 timeframe par aik taza signal ka level aur potential dikhata hai, lekin is dafa upar ki taraf. Main yeh talafuz karna chahta hoon ke girawat ke andar bhi barhne ho sakti hai, kyun ke 1.2754 ke shumali maqasid tak pohanchne se farokht ka signal mansookh nahi hota, jaise ke wo farokht karne walon ke risk level ko update nahi karta. Magar, agar pehle se barhne tak 1.2522 ke level tak girawat hoti hai, to ye kharid farokht ka signal mansookh samjha jayega, kyun ke ye senior fractal ke bahar kharid farokht walon ke risks ko mutasir karta hai. Filhal, barhne ka faida ho sakta hai, kyun ke shumali janib aik taza impulse hai, is impulse par aik khareed farokht ka signal hai, aur is mein shumali taraf ke fractal resistance ka breakthrough hai, jo local downtrend structure ko khatam karta hai.