usd jpy

Forex market mein haal hi mein jo taraqqiyan hui hain, unka khaas tawajjo mila hai, khaaskar USD/JPY pair par, jo ke mukhtalif salon ke unwaan par apni buland tareen satah ke qareeb qeematon par kharri hai. Ye waqia traders mein pareshani ka baais bana hai, jo ke nazdeek aane wale waqt mein neeche ke harkaton ki sambhavna ko ishaara karti hai. Market analysts ne juma ke band hone wale daam par nazar rakhne ki ahmiyat ko zahir kiya hai, kyunke ek bearish khatma haftay ka qareeb hone ka izhaar karega, jo USD/JPY pair mein kuch wapas chalne ki sambhavna ko taqwiyat de ga. Aise scenario mein market ki ziada behtareen karkardagi ki sambhavna hoti hai, jo traders ko apni positions aur risk management strategies ko dobaara ghoorna sahih karne par majboor kar sakti hai.
Maujooda afsoos ko barhane ka aur bhi ek khaas sabab hai, jo hai Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki tareekhi dakhil kaarighar, jo Japanese yen (JPY) ko mazboot karne ke liye kabhi bhi USD/JPY pair ke qareeb 151.000s ke level tak pohnchti hai. Ye tareekhi misaal yeh darshaati hai ke BoJ phir se dakhil kar sakta hai, USD/JPY exchange rate par mazeed neeche ke dabaav ko jama karne ke liye.

Market participants currency pair ke taraqqi ko tafseel se nigrani kar rahe hain, kyunke kisi bhi indication mein US dollar (USD) ki kamzori, USD/JPY ke neeche ke rukh ko mazeed taiz kar sakti hai. Aane wale arzi data release, geopolitical tensions, aur central bank policies jaise factors future mein USD/JPY exchange rates par bhari asar daal sakte hain.



Investors ko hoshiyari aur tawajjo ka markaz banaye rakhne aur market dynamics ke taraqqi ya tabdeel hone ke jawab mein muhafiz rehne ki hidayat di ja rahi hai. Halankeh USD/JPY pair abhi bearish dabaavon ka saamna kar raha hai, lekin anjaan taraqqiyan jald hi market ke mizaaj ko badal sakti hain, jis se flexible trading strategies ki zarurat hoti hai.

Mukhtasir mein, multi-year highs ke qareeb bearish candlestick pattern ka ubhar USD/JPY pair ke liye neeche ke harkaton ki sambhavna ka ishaara deta hai. Pullback ka khauf barh raha hai, is liye traders ko maahir bana ja raha hai aur currency markets ko hoshiyarana taur par samajhna hai.

Haal hi mein forex market mein jo taza tareen tabdiliyan aayi hain, unka khaas dhyan, khaas tor par USD/JPY pair par, jis ne apni chand saalon ke uchayiyo ke qareeb rehte hue bearish candlestick formation ka dikhawa kiya hai. Yeh waqiya traders ke darmiyan fikar paida kar raha hai, jo nazdeek ki mustaqbil mein neechay ki harkaton ki mumkinat ka ishaara kar raha hai. Market analysts Jumeraat ki band hone wali keemat ko nigrani dene ki ahmiyat ko zor dar taur par dene ke jis se saptah ka bearish ikhtitaam, USD/JPY pair mein mudakhil hone ki ihtimal ko mazid taqwiyat de sakta hai. Aise maqrooz paring wala manzar mazid market volatility ka bais ban sakta hai, jo traders ko apne positions aur risk management strategies ko dobara tajziya karne par majboor kar sakta hai.Maujooda peshe khidmatiyo mein tajziya ke israar ke sath hi, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke itihaasi intervention bhi hai jo Japanese yen (JPY) ko barhawa dene ke liye karta hai jab USD/JPY pair 151.000s ke darjaat tak pahunchta hai. Yeh tareekhi misaal yeh darshaati hai ke BoJ ek baar phir mudakhil ho sakta hai, USD/JPY exchange rate par aur neechay ke dabao daalne ke liye.
Market ke shirakat daron ko currency pair ke taraqqi par nazr rakhte hue, kisi bhi naqis darja mein US dollar (USD) ki taraf ishaara ho sakta hai jo neechay ka trend barha sakta hai. Anay wale maaliati data releases, saiyasi jhagron, aur central bank policies ke jaise factors, USD/JPY exchange rates ke mustaqbil ke rukh par wazeh asar dalne ke liye tayyar hain.Investors ko amal shanasi aur market dynamics ke tabdeel hone par muhafizana ho kar tajziya karna ki taqatwar tanqeed hai. Jabke USD/JPY pair abhi bearish dabao ka samna kar raha hai, to achanak tareen tabdiliyan market ka rang badal sakti hain, jo traders ko currency markets mein nafiz trading strategies ke liye masroof rakhti hai.

Mukhtasar tor par, USD/JPY pair ke multi-year uchayiyo ke qareeb bearish candlestick pattern ka ubhar, neechay ki harkaton ki mumkinat ka ishaara deta hai. Pullback ka dhamaka nazr aane par, traders ko maaloomaat hasil karne aur currency markets ko behtareen taur par chalane ke liye tayyar rehne ki tajveez di jati hai.

USD/JPY Currency Pair ki performance aur uski price action analysis par charcha karte hain. Pichle haftay ke nataij ko dekhte hue, main dekh raha hoon ke pair ka mukhya darmiyan-mudiyana trend oopar ki taraf hai, chhote-mudiyana theek karne ke saath. Jaise hi Jumeraat ko trading khatam hui, pair 151.46 ke support ke oopar bana raha aur chadhate hue TMA trend indicator ke upper had tak pahunch gaya, jo bullish taqat ko darust karta hai. Halankeh yeh 14-periyad moving average ke qareeb pohancha, jo akhri dinon mein active kharidari ko zahir karta hai, yeh CCI indicator ke upper had ke ooper bhi chala gaya, jo bullish rukh ko aur bhi zahir karta hai. H4 chart par, Stochastics ka ishara deta hai ke aane wale dinon mein ek upar ki taraf murna hai pehle neeche ki taraf chhune ke qabal, jo Monday ko muntazir upar ki taraf ki uthar chadhav ko support dene ke liye tayyar hai.
Is tarah, agle haftay mein USD/JPY pair ke hawale se aur bhi bullish rukh ki taraf jane ki sambhavana hai pair ke daam ko 152.24, ek maqsood jo pichle haftay haasil nahi hua. Yeh uttejana bharakar samay ho sakta hai jis mein pair ko global unchaai tak le jaaya ja sakta hai.

Mukhya trend ka samarthan karne ke liye, main 152 ke mazboot level ko pehle bhi do baar short kiya gaya tha. Aur is haftay hum ne dobara is level ke qareeb pahuncha, ek tezi se oopar ka movement ke saath. Halankeh yeh sona ya sonay jaise mazboot nahi hai, lekin yeh nishchit roop se ek mazboot level hai. Isliye, agar aapke paas lamba position open hai, to main aapko salah deta hoon ke ise rakhein aur dekhein kaise market 152 ke level ka pratikriya deti hai.

Din ki chart par dekha jaye to dekha jaa sakta hai ke hum tezi se oopar badh gaye hain bina kisi mahatvapoorn ikatthaan ke. Yeh 152 ke level ka ek test lagta hai, jisme bechne ki koshish ki gayi hai. Haalanki, is baat ka dhyan dena bhi zaroori hai ke pichli upar ki taraf ki movement mein bhi ikatthaan tha. Isliye shayad ab lambi positionen lena der ho gaya ho, aur 152 level ek overbought zone ban sakta hai. Agar neeche palatne ki sthiti utpann hoti hai, to hum divirgence aur ek aur signal dekh sakte hain jisse short positions mein dakhil ho sakte hain.

Samajhne ke liye ke kya ho raha hai, main market ki pratikriya ko 150 ke level par dekhne ki salah deta hoon. Pichli baar jab humne is level ka test kiya tha, to uske baad bechne ki koshish ki gayi thi. Shayad yeh sthiti ab dohra sakta hai. Isliye, yeh ek bahut hi dilchasp zone hai, aur humein short positions mein dakhil hone ka mauka ho sakta hai.

H4 chart par bhi dekha jaa sakta hai ke is haftay hum tezi se oopar badh gaye the, lekin fir kuch chhote-mudiyana beche gaye. Yeh shayad ek mazboot neeche ki taraf murne ke liye kaaran ban sakta hai. Chaliye dekhte hain kya hota hai.

To, USD/JPY pair par lambi position ab mahatvapoorn nahi hai. Agar aapke paas pehle se aisi koi position hai, to main aapko ek sambhav tezi se band hone ke liye taiyar rahne ki salah deta hoon. Aur agar aap short positions kholne ki soch rahe hain, to chaliye dekhein ki kya bears 152 resistance level ke paas bechne

Colleagues, Jumma ko pair mein ek bechnay ka andaza hua. Daily chart dekhnay par, puray hafte mein upar ka trend lagataar raha. Main pair ka Monday ke movement ko anuman lagane ki koshish karunga. Chaliye pair ke liye technical analysis ka jaiza lete hain.
Moving averages aur technical indicators dono hi active kharidari ko darust kartay hain, jo ke yeh saabit karta hai ke pair ki trading mein tawajjuh lena behtar hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, kharidari ke liye hidayat di ja rahi hai. Yeh dekhte hain ke Monday ko pair par ahem khabron ka kya asar hoga.

Monday ko US mein naye ghar ki farokht ki data jari kiya jayega, jiska tajwez musbat hai. Yeh tajwez thos economic activity aur consumer confidence ke baray mein ek optimistic tasawwur faraham karta hai, jo pair par asar daal sakta hai. Japan se koi ahem khabar ka intezaar nahi hai, jis se pair par khaas asar nahi hone ki tawajjuh hai.

Yeh sara maqam le kar, mujhe lagta hai ke pair mein kharidari ka aghaz umeed kiya ja sakta hai. Kharidari ke mauqe takreeban 152.10 tak ke resistance level tak hosakte hain. Farokht, jo 151.15 tak support level tak pohanch sakta hai, yeh ek mukhtasir term strategy ke liye ek darust nishaan hai.

Is intihai nazarye se, main umeed karta hoon ke pair uttar ki taraf chalega. Yeh hai ek lagbhag trading plan Monday ke liye. Ab, yeh strategy asal mein asar andaz hoti hai, is liye yeh zaroori hai ke ahtiyaat se kaam liya jaye. Market mein achanak tabdeeliyan a sakti hain jo ke apki strategy ko mutasir kar sakti hain.

Trading mein kamiyabi ke liye, yeh zaroori hai ke hamesha maqool aur mutwaqqaat rukh apnaayen, sath hi tajziyaat aur tajwezat par bhi tawajjuh di jaye. Yeh plan sirf ek imkaan hai aur asal trading ke waqt aapko situation ke mutabiq adjust karna hoga. Sabko kamyabi ki duaen.

USD/JPY H1
Primary trend ki upri adaigi ko shuru hone ka ehsas. Ye zahir tabdeeli market ki janib se ek markazi mor hai, jo mustaqil nami ke imkanat ke raaste ko khole ga. Moving averages, technical analysis ka ek sutoon, market ke trends mein qeemat ki farqiyat ko ek mukhtasir muddat ke doran samahjne mein na qabil tareen madad faraham karte hain. Jab ye averages milti ya alag ho jati hain, to yeh market ki jazbat aur mazeed mustaqbil ki raah ko zahir karte hain. In zones ko samajh kar, investors khud ko emerging opportunities ka faida uthane aur market ki qabal-e-ehtiyat fluctuations se bachne ke liye moqarar kar sakte hain.

Is waqt, moving averages ki ittehad ka asar ek bullish hukumat ki taraf ek tabdili ka ishara hai, jahan upri momentum taaqat hasil karta hai, jise mustaqil upri harkat ke liye bunyadi bunyadi bunyad bana diya jata hai. Ye barhte hue umeed ko ek sath laaye gaye factors se wazeh karte hain, jin mein mazboot iqtisadi bunyadain, pasandida market shara'it aur mazeed barhne wale investor itmenan shamil hain. Is ke ilawa, mojooda market ki jazbat ko mukhtalif iqtisadi nishanaat se mazbooti milti hai, jo GDP ki growti se lekar rozgar shumar tak ki jaati hai, jo moving average analysis se tasawwur ki gayi upri raftaar ko thaharte hain. Ye indicators na sirf market ki buniyadi taqat ko tasdeeq karte hain balki mustaqbil ki growti ke imkanat ka ek roadmap bhi faraham karte hain.

Is ke ilawa, bullish trend ki bulandiyon ko technical indicators, jaise ke relative strength index (RSI) aur moving average convergence divergence (MACD), se mazboot kiya jata hai, jo mukhtalif bullish momentum ko tasdeeq karte hain. Jab ye indicators overbought territories mein chale jate hain, to ye mojooda bullish jazbat ka barwaqt tasleem hai, jisse investoron ki irtiyaad mazboot hoti hai.

Asal mein, moving averages ki ittehad ek tabdeeli ka aghaz hai market dynamics mein, jahan bullish asrat sarasar kahani par ghaleb hote hain, jo investors ke darmiyan ek naye umeed ki khichao ko paida karte hain. Ye tabdeeli na sirf fori mustaqbil ke liye behtareen nazer aati hai balki mustaqil lambi sair ke liye buniyadi bunyad bana deti hai.

Aage dekhte hue, investors ke liye zaroori hai ke woh hoshyar rahen aur apne strategies ko market dynamics ke mutabiq tarteeb dain. Halankeh mojooda bullish momentum mazboot nazar aata hai, lekin ehtiyaat aur rikhtaav ke saath headwinds ko samajhne ke liye risk mitigation strategies ko istemal karna zaroori hai.

Toh ikhtitami tor par, moving average zones ko samajhna market ke trends ko samajhne aur potential growti raah ko tasawwur karne ke liye laazmi hai. Jab market ek tabdili ka safar tay karta hai jo bullish fervor se nawaqif hota hai, to investors faisla karne aur tehqeeqati andaz se mufeed hone ke faide utha sakte hain. Moving average analysis ka istemal kar ke, investors market ke pechida manzar ko khud-ba-khud hi guzar sakte hain, jisse lambi arzi taraqqi aur maali kamyabi ki raah khulti hai.

USDJPY Takniki tajziya:
Kal ki tabdeeli ke baad, market somwar ko mazeed girawat ki taraf ja raha hai. Chahe kuch bhi upar ki taraf rebound ho, girawat jaari hai, 151.30 ke qareeb aik minor false breakout ke darmiyan bhi. Halat ke mutabiq, mubadala dar ko uncha chadhane ka koi imkaan hai. 150.30 se guzar jaane se keemat mein izafa ka bunyadi zameen tayar hoti hai. Mojudah rates ke mutabiq, mubadala dar ka girawat jaari rahega. Jab US markets khulenge, to kuch ulta-pulta momentum dekhne ko mil sakta hai jisse girawat aaye, khaaskar agar kuch thora sa pullback aaye upri range ke qareeb, 148.70 ke aaspaas. 148.00 range mein wapas aane ka amal mumkin hai, aur iske baad keemat mein mazeed kami hona munasib hai. 151.30 ke mark ko paar karne aur uske agay chadhne par aur kharidari ki tajwez hai.

Girawat barh sakti hai, aur 150.30 ke paar ja sakti hai. Agar stock price 148.75 ke neeche gir jaaye, to mazeed stock sell-offs ke liye moqa hai. Japanese yen ki aukri surat mein ghatati keemat mein kami ke imkaan hai. Stock ke mojooda price ka girawat 148.03 range mein ja sakta hai, jo ke 146 ilaqa tak girne ka tasawwur hai. 150.40 range ka tootne par aur iske neeche istiqrar ke baad mazeed bechne ki tajwez hai. Behtareen strategy yeh hai ke 151.00 ke upar chhote se false break par munafa ki sell karna, aur jab keemat 152.50 ilaqa ko paar kare, to is ke upar istiqrar hone ka imkaan hai, jo aik mufeed kharidari mauqa darust karta hai. Traders 148.90 range se girawat ko niche ke trend ka agla hissa samajh sakte hain.

Filhal, USDJPY dar mein shadeed volatility hai, keemat 151.10 se 151.90 tak chadhi hai, jo ke 80 points ka izafa hai. 148.70-146 ke pivotal local high ke breakdown ko teen din tak dekhne ke baad, asal uparward momentum ab samne aa raha hai. Market na toh overbought samajh rahi hai aur na hi girne ke liye taiyar, jisse hamari company ke mazeed izafa ko in tamam tabdeeliyon ka shumar hai.

USD/JPY ka chart ab aam tor par bullish impulse dikhata hai, yani keemat mein barhao ki rukh nazar aata hai. Is maahol mein, aik mumkinah manzar yeh hai ke keemat aik u-turn point ke upar phir se break kar ke pehle resistance level ki taraf barh sake. Reversal level jo ke 151.78 hai, ek correction resistance ke tor par define kiya gaya hai. Yeh level aik mark hai jahan se keemat ne pehle u-turn liya tha aur ab phir se us se guzar ke upar ja sakti hai. Agar keemat is level ko paar kar leti hai, to yeh aik bullish indication hai aur mazeed upar ki taraf ki raftar ka izhar karta hai. Iske baad, pehla resistance level jo 153.56 hai, usay 161.80% Fibonacci extension level ke correspond karte hue resistance ke tor par mark kiya gaya hai. Yeh level mazeed barhne ko rok sakta hai aur keemat ko rukawat de sakta hai.

Jab baat support ki hai, to ibtidaai support level jo 150.65 hai, use overlapping support ke tor par identify kiya gaya hai. Yeh level 23.60% Fibonacci correction level ke qareeb pohnchta hai, jis se uski ahmiyat ko barha diya gaya hai ek key support ke tor par. Jab keemat is level tak aati hai, to yeh ek mazbooti ka izhar karta hai aur isay mazeed girne se bachata hai.

Trading mein, yeh levels aur patterns traders ke liye ahem hotay hain. In levels ko dekhte hue, traders apne trading strategies ko tayyar karte hain aur entry aur exit points ko decide karte hain. Resistance levels ko dekh kar traders profit booking aur short positions ko consider karte hain, jab ke support levels par traders long positions ke liye opportunities talash karte hain.

Is trading scenario mein, ek cautious approach apnana zaroori hai. Market ki volatality aur unexpected events ka tasavvur rakhna bhi zaroori hai. Agar keemat resistance level ko paar kar leti hai, to phir se bullish trend ki samarthan milegi. Magar agar keemat support level ko toarti hai, to mazeed girawat ka imkan hai.

Isi tarah, traders ko market ke movements ka mutaalba karte hue apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye. Yeh unhein market ki tabdeeliyon aur trends ke mutabiq trading mein madad karta hai aur unhein kamyabi ki raah mein madad deta hai.

USD/JPY H4

USD/JPY ka jari rukh barqarar rehna Bank of Japan ke mustaqil kam interest rates ka bunyadi sabab hai. Ye policy stance Japanese yen ko American dollar ke mukable mein kamzor banati hai, jabke ye apni taqat ko barqarar karne ki koshish karta hai. Is ke ilawa, US dollar ki mazbooti mein kamiyabi ka sabab ghata hua bayrozgar hone ki dar hai, jo ke is ke irtiqa ko mazeed izafa deti hai.

USD/JPY exchange rate ko chalane wale dynamics ko gehri tor par samajhne se monetary policies aur economic indicators ke darmiyan pesh aane wala mukhtalif khel ka parda faash hota hai. BOJ ka interest rates ko kam darjon par rakhne ka tareeqa maqrooz levels par mukhtalif economic activity aur inflations ko taraqqi dene ka maqsad rakhta hai, magar ye bhool se yen ko US dollar ke mukable kamzor banata hai. Ye depreciation Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ko tight karne se barh jata hai, jo ke investors ko zyada munafa hasil karne ki talab mein dollar ki taraf khenchta hai.

Is ke ilawa, global economic landscape USD/JPY exchange rate ko shakl dene mein aik ahem kirdar ada karta hai. Siyasi tensions, trade dynamics, aur market sentiment ke tabadlaat sab investor ki harkatein aur currency valuations par asar dalte hain. Ghair yaqeeni ya khatre se bachne ke doran, US dollar aksar aik safe haven ke tor par kaam karta hai, jo ke capital inflows ko khench kar us ke qeemat ko dusre currencies ke mukable mein barhata hai, is mein Japanese yen bhi shamil hai.

Is ke ilawa, COVID-19 pandemic se jari istiqamat ko mad-e-nazar rakhte hue, US economy ki mustaqil istehkamat ko izhar kia jata hai, jo ke dollar ko aik pasandida investment destination banata hai. Jab tak vaccination efforts jaari rehti hain aur economic activity ko phir se start kiya jata hai, investors ko US markets mein paaye jane wale stability aur growth prospects ko le kar ziada tawajjo milti hai, jo ke dollar ke liye demand ko barhati hai aur is ke appreciation ko yen ke mukable mein izafa deti hai.

Ikhtitam mein, USD/JPY ka mustaqil rukh mukhtalif factors ka aik muzmir imtiza hai, jin mein Bank of Japan aur Federal Reserve ke darmiyan monetary policy ka farq, United States mein behtar economic fundamentals, aur mazeed global market dynamics shamil hain. Halan ke exchange rate ka durust rukh fluctuations aur external shocks ka markazi suba hai, lekin ye mukhtalif drivers jari rahne ki sambhavna hai aur tasveer qareebi mustaqbil mein currency pair ke movements ko shape karte rahenge.

USD/JPY D1

Japnese Yen (JPY) ne mukhtalif wajood ke doraan Urooj ka samna kia tha jis ki wajah se USA dollar ke khilaaf ek sementana farokht hui thi. Magar is ke faidaat mukhtalif shor se mukhtalif thay, aur yeh European session mein ek tang trading range mein settle ho gaya. Is sahare ke kuch wajohaat hain. Pehle toh, Japani hukoomat ke dabaav ke bare mein fikron ne Yen ko kamzor karne aur apni currency ko mazboot karne ke liye kuch support faraham kiya. Yeh dabaav mukhtalif shaklon mein aasakta hai, lekin sirf ye mumkinat hi traders ko yen ko zyada kam nahi karne ke liye discourage karti hai. Dusra, mashriqi Europe aur Middle East mein jari mazhabi tensions ne Yen ki safe-haven appeal ko boost kiya hai. Investors aksar uncertainty ke doran yen ki relative istaability ki talaash mein aate hain. In supportive wajohaat ke bawajood, Yen ki upar wali potential mehdood hai. Japan Bank ki (BoJ) mustaqbil ki monetary policy ke faislon mein uncertainty hai. Agar BoJ apni naram monetary policy ko barqarar rakhe, toh yeh yen ko lambe arsay tak kamzor kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, stock market mein maujooda bullish sentiment aam tor par yen ke liye manfi hai, kyun ke investors market ki upswings ke doran risky assests ko tareef dete hain.

Dusray janib, USA dollar ko Federal Reserve ke mutawaqqa shift ka samna hai jo ek ziada relax monetary policy stance ki taraf jane ka intezar hai. Yeh dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur USD/JPY jodi ke liye kisi khaas faida ko mehdood kar sakta hai. Technical tor par, yen ke liye 151.85 ke qareeb resistance hai, jo pichle haftay ek swing high ke tor par kaam kiya tha. November 2022 mein taqreeban 152.00 ke aas-pass mojooda multi-decade high ka aham bullish signal hoga traders ke liye. Magar January 2023 se chal rahe amoomi trend ke mutabiq, USD/JPY exchange rate ka barhna jaari hai. Neche, 151.00 level ab ek ahem support zone ke tor par dekha ja raha hai. Is level ko todne par, ek sell-off ko trigger kiya ja sakta hai, jo yen ko 150.25 area ki taraf daba sakti hai. Agla bara psychological barrier 150.00 par hai. Agar ise paar kiya jaye, to yen ko 149.35-149.30 zone tak aur phir aham 149.00 level tak aur gir sakti hai.

Jari rahe sawalat ke daira mein pair ki future direction ke baray mein behas jaari hai, jahan traders aur analysts dono yeh soch rahe hain ke kya iska mojooda uptrend jaari rahega ya phir aik ulta waqfa qareeb hai. Yeh mojooda ghaalat fehmi agle trading sessions mein qeemat ki harkaton aur market dynamics ko chokanna mutala mein lenay ki ahem ehamiyat ko zahir karta hai. Mumkin outcomes ko achi tarah samajhne ke liye, zaroori hai ke dono bullish aur bearish scenarios ka jaiza liya jaye.

Ab mojooda waqt mein, kuch market participants ke darmiyan aik had tak ehtiyat bhari umeed hai, jo ke pair ke mojooda upar ki manzil ko barqarar rakhne ki umeed par hai. Yeh umeed is surat mein hai ke exchange rate 151.60 ke marka par barqarar rahe. Agar yeh darja barqarar rahega, to aik mojooda khayal hai ke pair apna chadhai jaari rakhega, shayad is dauran naye unche pahunche.

Kai factors is bullish outlook mein hissa daal rahe hain. Pehle to, musbat ma'ashyati indicators ne US economy mein itminan barhaya hai, jo ke pair ke liye upar ki raftar ko sahara de sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke darmiyan barhtay monetary policy ka izhar ek sahara dene wala factor samjha jata hai. Jab Federal Reserve apni monetary normalization ki rah par jaari rahegi, jo ke interest rate hikes aur asset purchases ki ghatana hai, to yeh Bank of Japan ki ziada razamandi ki hawale se ikhtilaf utpann karta hai. Yeh policy ikhtilaf US dollar ko favor karti hai, jisse pair ko taqwiyat milti hai.

Magar, yeh zaroori hai ke bearish considerations ka wajood tasleem kiya jaye jo ke pair ki mojooda upar ki manzil ko girane ke imkanat ko rok sakte hain. Market participants ko kisi bhi nuqsandah development se hoshyar rehna chahiye jo ke ehtiyaat barqarar karne ke liye jazbati kar sakti hai. Factors jaise ke siyasi tensions, monetary policy ke irtekaazat mein ghair mutawaqqa tabdeeliyan, ya global risk se ihtijaj ka dobara barhna, sab mojooda bullish outlook ke liye khatraat peda kar sakte hain.

Ikhtitam mein, pair ke liye nazar ki rakhawal rahe gi, jo ke musbat ma'ashyati indicators aur monetary policy ke ikhtilaf ki madad se sahara di jati hai, lekin market participants ko maqami ehtimam se bachne wale khatraat par hoshyar rehna chahiye jo ke kisi bhi ma'ashyati tahafuz ko palat sakte hain. Qeemat ki harkaton ko qareeb se nazar andaz karte hue aur tabdeeliyan anay wale market dynamics ke mutabiq rehkar, traders currency markets mein apni position ko kamyabi se qaim kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY D1

Mangal ko Japanese yen (JPY) ne US dollar ke khilaf aik waqti izafa dekha. Magar, is ka faida mukhtasir muddat tak tha, aur yeh Europi session mein aik tang trading range mein atak gaya. Is kam momentum ka kai asbaab hain. Sab se pehle, Japanese authorities ki taraf se yen ko kamzor karne aur apni currency ko mazboot karne ki mumkin dakhilat ka shak traders ko thora sa sahara faraham kar raha hai. Ye dakhilat mukhtalif shaklon mein ho sakti hai, lekin sirf ye mumkinah sambhavna traders ko yen ko zyada niche na dabaane se rokti hai. Dusra, mashriqi Europe aur Middle East mein mojooda siyasi tensions ne yen ko safe-haven ki taraf attraction barha di hai. Investors aksar ghair yaqeeni doron mein yen ki relative istehqaqabil ko talash karte hain, dusri currencyon ke muqablay mein iski mustaqil taseer ki talash mein. In support ki factors ke bawajood, yen ka upar ka potential mehdood hai. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke mustaqbil ki monetary policy ke faislay andheron mein mubtala hain. Agar BoJ apni lose monetary policy ko barqarar rakhta hai, to ye yen ko lambay arsay mein kamzor kar sakta hai. Mazeed, mojooda bullish sentiment stock market mein yen ke liye aam tor par manfi hai, kyun ke investors market ke tezi mein zyada risky assests ko pasand karte hain.

Dosri taraf, US dollar Federal Reserve ke mutawaqqa maazi monetary policy stance ki taraf se museebat se guzar raha hai. Ye dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur USD/JPY pair ke liye ahem faidmon ko mehdood kar sakta hai. Tehnically, yen ke samne 151.85 ke darjay par rukawat hai, jo pichle haftay ko swing high ke tor par kaam kiya. Aik faisla kun todh ke baad, jo November 2022 mein set ki gayi multi-decade high ke qareeb hai, traders ke liye aik ahem bullish signal hoga. Magar, January 2023 se mukhtalif trend ke mutabiq USD/JPY exchange rate ka mustaqbil kaafi tawajjo ka markaz hai. Niche ki taraf, 151.00 ke darja ab ek ahem support zone ke tor par dekha ja raha hai. Is level ke neeche girna ek sell-off ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo yen ko 150.25 ke ilaqe tak dhakel sakta hai. Agla ahem psychology barrier 150.00 par hai. Agar ye todha jaye, to yen mazeed 149.35-149.30 zone tak gir sakti hai, pehle se ahem 149.00 level tak ponchne se pehle.

USD/JPY H4 Timeframe:

H1 timeframe par instrument/currency pair ka tajziya karte hain aur is par achi raqam kamane ke liye behtareen entry dhoondhte hain. Ek maharatmand takneeki tajziya anjaam dene ke liye, sabse pehle hum ek chart 4 ghanton ke time frame ke saath kholenge, jo humein mojooda trend ko sahi taur par tay karna mein madad karega. Hamare paas market ki halat ko dekhne ke liye istemal hone wale indicators HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color hain. Hama aur RSI Trend indicators ke base par, humein ek wazeh bullish interest nazar aata hai - dono indicators ne neela aur hare rang mein palat gaye hain, aur is tarah se market mein kharidari karne wale ki majoodgi ko darust karte hain. Is liye, hum ek lambi kharidari karte hain. Hum position ko magnetic levels indicator ke indicators ke base par band karte hain. Aaj ye 153.639 hain. Aur phir, jab keemat umeed ki gayi keemat ke lehaz se pahunchti hai, to hum chart par dikhaye gaye bullish range mein dusre target levels par nazar daalte hain. Agar keemat aage se bhi zyada behtar tarah se aur aatmavishwas se uttar ki taraf gati mein hai, to hum ek Trailing stop (peecha karne wala stop order, trailing) jodte hain aur munafa mein izafa ka intezaar karte hain. Kharidari ka hissa bhi band kar dena mumkin hai aur baqi hissa ko breakeven par le jaane ka faisla kiya ja sakta hai. Agar, ulte, bazaar ki keemat ke harqat thamne lagti hai ya volatility mein waziha kami nazar aati hai, to hum pehle hi mawjooda munafa ke saath karobar ko mazbooti se band kar dete hain aur agle wazeh dakhil hone ke liye intezar karte hain.

USD/JPY M30 Timeframe:

Aaj hum USD/JPY ke baray mein baat kar rahe hain, jo ek currency pair hai jise main dekhta hoon, tajziya karta hoon aur trade karta hoon. Trading sirf aik din ke liye hoti hai aur is ka asal bunyadi intekhab Bolinger indicator ke values ke muqabil price ke moqey par hota hai. Mojooda waqt par, indicator teen values ko signal kar raha hai: top - 151.434, middle - 151.284 aur bottom - 151.134. USD/JPY ki keemat 151.396 par hai jo 151.284 se oopar hai, jo kharidari ki taraf trading par asar daal sakta hai aur 151.434 ke ooper ke daam ko nafa ke taur par pohanchne ke liye. Agar kharidari karne wale aur bechne wale ke darmiyan aik mumkin jhagra hota hai aur keemat 151.284 ke darja tak gir jata hai, to main kharidari ke bare mein bhool jata hoon aur 151.134 ke neeche ki taraf trade karta hoon. Ye awkward situations mein padhne se bachne ke liye, main vertical volume ki tameeri ko track karta rehta hoon. Is ki uthna, girna aur girna bhi ache clues faraham karta hai.