usd/jpy

Haal hi mein USD/JPY M30 currency pair ke movement ne traders ki duniya bhar mein tawajjo ko apni taraf mabni, jabke iske shanakhtniya upar ki raftar ne pichle chaar musalsal trading sessions mein jari rahi. Haalanki, dairay se yeh pair ne ek temporary stagnation ko Monday ko note kiya, lekin tab se yeh apni upar ki raftar ko dubara shuru kar diya hai, haftay bhar mein mustaqil faide dikhate hue. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke yeh haal hi ki chadhti hui raftar ne peechle giravat ko bhi paar kar diya hai, jo market ke shirakatdaar ke liye ek bunyadi nukaat darust karta hai.

Market analysis ka aham nukaat point breakout point hai, jo qareebi nigraani ki darkhwast ko laayak hai. Yeh pivotal level market sentiment mein tabdeeli ki alaamat le kar aata hai, jo bearish se bullish ilaqa mein tabdeel hone ki alaamat hoti hai. Is breakout point ki ahmiyat ko zyada nahi kar sakte, kyunke yeh mukhtalif mumkin scenarios ko anjam dene ke liye manzoor hai.

"Head and Shoulders" pattern ki tasdeeq kayi mumkinah scenarios ko deta hai, har ek mein kisi khas price levels ki tasdeeq par mabni hai.

1. Reversal ki Tasdeeq: Agar qeemat 149.775 ke mark ko kamiyabi se tor kar, aur baad mein right shoulder banta hai, to yeh trend reversal ki ek compelling nishani ka kaam kar sakta hai. Traders is mauqe ka faida utha sakte hain aur Fibonacci retracement ya tasleem shuda support/resistance levels par base ki gayi target levels ko tajweezi taur par set kar sakte hain.
2. False Breakout ka Ehtiyaat: Kuch maqamaat mein, price breakouts kamyaab nahi ho sakte, jo ek false breakout ke tor par jaani jati hai. Aise potential ko kam karne ke liye, prior to initiating new positions, traders should await confirmation and closely monitor price action for signs of a sustainable trend reversal. By exercising caution during periods of heightened volatility, traders can safeguard their capital and navigate the market with prudence and foresight.

By adopting a cautious and analytical approach, traders can effectively navigate the complexities of the forex market and capitalize on lucrative trading opportunities. With a keen understanding of technical indicators and market dynamics, traders can make informed decisions that enhance their overall profitability and mitigate the inherent risks associated with currency trading.

Aaj ke liye dollar/JPY ke maamlay mein, kal chhote se farq ke baad, keemat ne maqami muqablay ka darja barhane ka aghaz kiya jo ke mere ishaare se 149.205 par shumar hota hai, lekin is darje ko hasil nahi kar saka. Aaj main mukarrar kiye gaye muqablayi darje ke baray mein apni guftagoo jaari rakhunga, jo maamlay ko taraqqi dene ke liye do manaziron ka shakl le sakta hai. Jaise ke maine pehle bhi kai martaba kaha hai, is muqam ke daam ki istiqamat se pehchan ka ta'alluq hai aur mazeed shumali harkat. Agar yeh project kamyaab hota hai, to main keemat ko muqablayi darje par le jaane ke liye hounga, jo ke 150.844 par hai ya phir muqablayi darja, jo ke 151.908 par hai. Is muqablayi darje ke qareeb, main ek trading setup qaim karne ka intezar karunga, jo mazeed tijarat mein madad karega. Beshak, keemat ko shumali darje tak pahunchaaya ja sakta hai, jo ke 156,000 par hai. Lekin yahan aap is surat mein hain. Dekhenge, aur agar chhata plan bhi amal mein laaya gaya hai, to uttar ki taraf ke maqsad ke liye keemat ki wajah se meri janib se dohrana mouqa diya gaya hai, jo ke main chaar Bliss H S -Signes ka istemaal karne ka iraada rakhta hoon. Global ke daam ke harkat ko mila kar, global tezi ke hisse ke tor par qareebi support darja. Keemat ki harkat ke liye ek doosra intikhab, ek murnay wala mumtaz aur junoobi harkat ka mansooba banane ka intikhab hoga jab keemat muqablayi darja 149.205 ke qareeb pahunchega. Agar yeh project kamyaab hota hai, to main keemat ko support darja par wapas lotne ka intezaar karunga, jo ke 147.614 par hai





Main is support darja ke qareeb mutalliq ishaare dhoondhna jari rakhunga, jo ke qeemat ki paishgoyi mein keemat ko tay karta hai. Beshak, zyada door tak janoobi maqsadon ka imtehaan karne ka intikhab hai, lekin main abhi tak is par ghoor nahi raha, kyunke main is ke amal ki kisi tawaqo se koi umeed nahi dekh raha. Ise paish karne ke liye, aaj maine tasleem kiya hai ke keemat uttar ki taraf dabao jari rakh sakti hai, lekin yakeen banane ke liye, mujhe keemat ko qareebi darja se oopar dekhna chahta hoon, taake hum dour ki shumali hisse tak pahunch sakein. Maqsadon

USD/JPY H1


Haal hi mein hui 150.455.Japan ki meeting ka ikhtitam ho chuka hai, aur is natije mein USD/JPY ke tabadlay dar 150.75 par hain. Haal hi ke market ki taraqqiyat ko mad e nazar rakhtay hue, yeh tasawwur kiya ja raha hai ke aaj USD/JPY joda mukhya satah 149.75 ki taraf wapas rukega. Yeh satah pehle se tooti hui hai aur ab ek ahem muqamiyon ka kaam karta hai jahan khareedne wale aur farokht karne wale ke taaqat ko imtehaan diya jayega. 149.75 par qeemat ka amal aham tor par market ka mansooba aur aglay rukh ka tay karega. Traders ko market ki jazbaat ko dekh kar is satah ko nazdeek se nigrani mein rakhna chahiye taake kisi bhi numaya tabdeeli ya faislay par tawajjuh di ja sake jo ek naye trend ke banne ka ishara kar sakte hain.






Haal hi ke ma'ashi taraqqi aur saiyasi tajziyat jo forex market ko asar andaz hoti hain, USD/JPY jode mein mumkinah qeemat ki harkaton ke liye buland intezar ka mahaul hai. Traders ko darkhwast di jati hai ke woh chaukanna rahein aur apni strategies ko mutabiq banayein taake is currency pair mein numaya mauqe par faida utha sakein. Aam tor par, Japan ki meeting ke baad USD/JPY ke tabadlay dar 150.75 par khara hai, aur ab traders 149.75 ke qareeb qeemat ki rawayat par nazar rakhein jab woh market ke dynamics aur trading opportunities ke potentiail rukh par tayar hotay hain. Abhi market ki jazbaat ko aik qawi bearish lehja se sifarat kiya ja raha hai, jaise ke dainik pivot aur asli trend line ke neechay joda gaya pair, aik triangular formation ke dayre mein khaas tor par achi tarah mojood hai. Yeh konfigurayshn market ke shirakat daron ke darmiyan thaharav aur shak ki kuch had tak nakaami ko zahir karta hai, jiske baad ko asal numaya dalil nahi mil sakti.

US Dollar / Yen currency pair ki market ki halaat ka tajziyah. Tajziyah ka dorah 4 ghante ka time-frame hai.
Hum is aala ke liye sab se mufeed trading plan banana chahte hain, jo ke linear regression indicator Extended Regression StopAndReverse ke indicators ke saath mila kar, RSI aur MACD ke popular technical analysis indicators ke saath, jo ke aik khaas moqa faraham karte hain ke market mein munafa hasil karne ke liye behtareen dakhilay karain, aur, bulandi ke imkan ke sath, hasil signal ko kaamyaab tareeqay se kam karen. Tadbeer ke tajziyah ko kaamyaabi ke saath poora karne ke liye, hum current extreme points par Fibonacci grid ko stretch karenge aur qareebi Fibonacci correction levels par tawajjuh denge.

Sab se pehle, ehem baat yeh hai ke mojudah chart, jis mein hourly dorah (time-frame H4) chuna gaya hai, wazeh tor par dikhata hai ke pehla darjah ka regression line (golden dotted line), jo ke aala ke saath rehne aur mojooda trend ko dikhane wala hai, neeche ki taraf mudward hai, tez angle par, jo ke behad taizi ke sath jari trend movement ko dikhata hai jis mein janib badhata hua tawazun hai. Isi doran, ghair linear regression channel (convex lines), jo qareebi mustaqbil ke liye pesh-goi karne ke liye istemal hoti hai, ne golden channel line ko oopar se neeche se cross kar liya hai aur neeche ki taraf ka rukh dikhata hai.

Keemat ne linear regression channel 2-nd LevelSupLine ka neela support line cross kiya lekin qeemat ki quotes ka minimum value (LOW) 146.443 tak pohanch gayi, iske baad isne apni kami rok li aur dhire dhire barhna shuru kiya. Halhi mein, aala 150.671 ke keemat par trade ho raha hai. Sabhi is ke mutabiq, main umeed karta hoon ke market ke keemat ki quotes wapas hongi aur 2-nd LevelSupLine channel line (151.876) FIBO level 123.6% ke upar jam jaengi aur agay ki taraf barhengi golden average line LR of the linear channel 152.318 tak, jo ke FIBO level 138.2% ke sath milta hai. Madadgar indicators RSI (14) aur MACD, jo ke sahi dakhilay ke point ko tasdeeq karte hain, oversold area mein hain aur bhi aala keemat ke umeed hai aala keemat ki taraf barhne ki.

USD/JPY currency pair ki technical tajziyah
Japan ke mukhtalif ahem kaarobari events ke baad, jaise ke darjaat e bai’at aur karz e rafiq mein izafa, USD/JPY currency pair apna upri raasta jaari rakhta raha, jiske asaarat 150.48 ke resistance level tak phail gaye. Tajziyah tayyar karne ke waqt, nazar aata hai ke bai’at aur bank statement ki bayaanati tijarat karne walon ke arzoo ke mutaabiq nahi the, aur Japan ki Central Bank ki manfiyat se strong interest policy hai. Is se pehle, Japanese yen ki keemat kareeban 149 yen per US dollar tak kamzor ho gayi thi, jab ke tijarat karne walay is haftay Japan ke Central Bank ke policy faisla ka intezaar kar rahe the, kyun ke iski tawaanat se umeed hai ke wo manfi interest rate policy ko khatm karega. Ye betain bari japanese companies ne is saal ke spring wage negotiations mein mazeed intehai dafa tawaruf karae ke baawajood aai.

Apne kirdar mein, Bank of Japan ke afisaal baar baar izhar kiya hai ke agar maasum mad e amal aur mahangai ke darmiyan farokht mein barhti hui silsalah jari rahe to wo maali policy ko normal karne ka aaghaz kar sakti hai. Magar analysis ko is baat ka andaaza hai ke market ne iss potenshal policy shift ko pehle se shumar kar liya hai, aur rukha ****l ki tezi ke mutaaliq pareshaniyan hain. Baharhal, Japanese yen ko mazeed dabaav ka samna tha mazid se ummeed hai ke US inflation data se, jo ke taqreeban ke ilaawa se taqatwar tha, jis se Federal Reserve ke interest rates ke early cut ki umeedain kamzor hui.

Bank of Japan ki ek mumkinah tareekhi darjaat e bai’at ki bareh khuwahish ko haftay ki shuruaat mein abad kar diya gaya hai, jab ke US Federal Reserve, sath hi UK, Switzerland aur Australia ke central banks apne taza policy faislaat ka izhar karenge.

Aam taur par, tijarat karne walay ye bet kar rahe hain ke Bank of Japan apni tanqeedi manfi interest rate policy ko April ki mulaqat tak intizaar nahi karega, aur unhein maalumat mil gayi thi Pichle Jumme ko pehli wazahat ki mulaqat se. Japan ki bari trade union, Ringo, ne elaan kiya ke uske afraad ne saal 2024 ke liye 5.28% ki average tanqeed par itefaq kya, jo ke 33 saalon mein sabse bari hai. Isharon ki daleel hai ke Japan ke bade companies mahangai ki raftar par tanqeedon ko barha rahe hain, jo ke kuch Bank of Japan ke board members ko March ke bajaye April mein tanqeedon ke ihtimam ke mumkinah pehlu ki isharon se inkar kar diya. Magar unka umeedmandi ne unki haqiqat ko taayin nahi kiya, jo ke Japan ki Central Bank ke governor Kazuo Ueda, ne haal hi mein kiye gaye unke tajziyati khitab mein thori shakhsiyat ka izhar kiya, aur April se pehle policy mein tabdeeli ka intizaar nahi kiya.

USD/JPY Ke Dauroob:
Maine USD/JPY currency pair ki haqeeqati dam ghoomti ke dauroob ka tajziyah kya aur chaar ghante ki shamaat mein chand lamhaat ki ta'aamul ko daikha, jo cheh candlesticks ko shamil karta hai. Do mumkinat hain: ya toh kami ya upri harkat 45-70 points ke hamle se mawaqif se. Magar, mein musalsal barhti huee kami ka intezar karta hoon aur bechnay se bachta hoon. Agar tor phore ho gaya toh, mein farokht zone mein dakhil hone ka iraada karta hoon 149.76-149.97 ke sath ek stop loss set kiya gaya hai 100 points par aur faida ke nishan 450-500 ke hain. USD/JPY uptrend line ke ooper trading kar raha hai, jis se bounce hua aur uptrend ke ooper had tak pahuncha phir wapis lout kar neechay had tak phir gaya aur upar ki chadhti huee mushahida shudah had ko tor diya. Yeh us waqt doosre neechay had tak pahuncha. 149.09-148.85 ke sahara zone se ek rebound ke imkaanat hain ke aur barhti taraqqi ki taraf le jaye ga jiska manna hai 149.43-149.58 ke farokht zone tak. Agar yeh zone tor diya gaya toh, 148.66-148.59 ke sahara zone ko jaancha ja sakta hai, jo pehla neechay target hai.

H1 chart par, USD/JPY ne mera bullish buy level 147.457 par paar kar diya, zyada se zyada 190 points tak bharak gaya, jise aham bullish harkat ka ishara hai. Seriyas mukhaafat ke bawajood, bullish bais mazboot hai, mohtemam umeed hai ke ziada resistances ko nishana banaya ja sakta hai 149.450, 150.10, aur 150.650. Agar bullish harkat jaari rehti hai, toh ghatiye bearish trend lines ko ziada barhava de sakti hai. Haalaanki abhi tak bearish targets ke haalaat mutawaqqa nahi hain, lekin bearish sell level 148.600 ke tor phore ek nuqsaan ka ishaara ho sakta hai taqreeban 148.150-148.000, 147.400, aur 146.900-146.650 ke saharaat ke taraf. H1 chart par USD/JPY pair ke liye bearish jazbat seemit nazar aate hain. Agar barhti hui harkat resistances ke taraf jaari rahe, toh overbought haalaat barh sakti hain, jise shayad mera bearish sell level ki taraf muraatab karne ke liye ek ishaara ban sakta hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ke qeemat ke rawayya par ikhtilaaf ka mawad hai. Maujooda waqt mein yeh din hai jab market ne is faislay ka rad-e-amal karna faisla kiya, aur ek baar phir yen ko market mein becha gaya. Isi mutabiq, hamara USD/JPY kaafi achhi tarah se badh gaya, haalaanki sirf dopahar tha aur qeemat ne pehle hi 170 points ko cross kar liya tha. Main ek din yaad rakhta hoon jab maine 150.69 par resistance ka test ka intezaar kiya tha aur pareshani thi ke market itni unchiyaan tak nahi pohanchegi aur mujhe pehle ke targets ki talash karni hogi. Magar, jaise ke nikla, dollar yen continue surprise karta raha hai; ab wo 150.50 ke level ko test kar raha hai. Mujhe uttar mein basements pasand nahi hain. H4 aur H1 dono hi oopar hain. Mujhe isay khareedne nahi diya gaya, lekin yeh aksar hota hai: woh apni aqal bazi karte hain, phir peechle harkat ko tor kar recoil karte hain. Yeh cheezein yen ke liye mazhabi hain. Kal, qeemat ne puray din ko ascend channel ke upper border par guzara aur maine yeh nahi rule out kiya ke qeemat palat jayegi aur neeche ki taraf chalne lag jayegi. Lekin nikla ke qeemat raat ko upar ki taraf chalne lagi aur is channel se upar nikal gayi. Ab maine doosra ascend channel banaya hai, red lines, aur ab mujhe yeh tawaqqa hai ke pair upar ki taraf chalta rahega, aur is channel ke upper border tak izafa ho sakta hai; yani ke 151.09 level tak. Japanese yen ke 146.48 ke low se upward impulse mein chaar ahem levels abhi bhi wahi par hain, aur aaj masla market ki reaction Bank of Japan ke meeting ke natijon par tha.
Natija yeh nikla ke Japanese regulator ne discount rate ko barha diya lekin abhi tak yield curve par control nahi hai, jo ke zyada tar national currency ko mazeed kamzor karne ka sabab ban sakta hai. Isi mutabiq, levels ke hawale se, humein pehle impulse zone ke levels ka breakdown mila, aur qeemat ne apne upper limit 149.59 ke ooper mazbooti se consolidate kar liya hai, isliye hum yeh samajh sakte hain ke pair apni uttar ki taraf raftar jari rakhega, doosre impulse zone ke level 150.55 ki taraf, shayad thoda aur upar. Buyers is impulse ko puray uttar ke cycle ke zariye kaam karne ki koshish kar sakte hain, yani ke doosre zone (151.14) tak, lekin yeh ek bonus option hai aur iska implement karne ka probability zyada nahi hai. Is waqt, main ek long position ko open karne ke saath experiment kar raha hoon, current prices se shuru karte hue aur 150.67 ke level ki taraf rawayya karne ka iraada hai, jo ke Bollinger envelope ke upper border ke mutabiq hai. Isi waqt, main vertical volumes ke formation ko bhi dheyan se monitor kar raha hoon. Main yeh position band karne ka iraada rakhta hoon jab 150.67 ka level pohancha jaye, lekin agar volume mein stable izafa hota hai, toh main position ko aur upar bhi hold karne ka soch raha hoon. Meri strategy mein, market mein volatility ko mad e nazar rakhte hue aur 149.69 ke level par bhi dheyan diya jata hai.

USD/JPY D1
USD/JPY currency pair ka daily chart. Iska matlab hai ke yeh chart waqt ke saath ek US dollar ka Japanese yen mein price dikhata hai. Waqt ka frame November 27, 2023 se lekar March 18, 2024 tak ka hai.

Yahaan chart par jo dekhne ko milta hai uska breakdown yeh hai:

Downtrend: Overall trend neeche ki taraf ja raha hai. Iska matlab hai ke US dollar ka price waqt ke dauran Japanese yen ke muqable mein aam tor par gira hua hai.

Resistance level: 151.00 ke aaspaas ek resistance level nazar aata hai. Iska matlab hai ke sellers is price point par aa rahe hain, jo ke price ko oopar jaane se rok rahe hain. Price ne kuch baar is level ko test kiya hai lekin isay consistent tor par toorna nahi paya hai.

Volatility: Price movement mein thori si volatility nazar aati hai, jismein tezi se izafa aur giravat dono hain. Yeh volatility chart par bars ke size se dikhaya jata hai.

Forex charts dekhte waqt yeh kuch zaruri cheezein yaad rakhein:

Time frame: Trend waqt frame ke mutabiq alag dikh sakta hai. Daily chart mein downtrend nazar aata hai, lekin chhota time frame wala chart alag trend dikhayega.

Technical indicators: Traders aksar price charts ke saath technical indicators ka istemal karte hain taake potential trading signals ko pehchaan sakein.

Fundamental factors: Interest rates, inflation, aur economic growth jese fundamental factors bhi currency valuations par asar daal sakte hain.

Overall, USD/JPY chart US dollar ke value mein Japanese yen ke muqable mein ek downtrend suggest karta hai. Lekin price ka future direction uncertain hai aur yeh kai factors par depend karega.

Market ki halat ka tajziya US Dollar / Yen currency pair ke liye. Tafteesh ka dor 4 ghantay ka waqt-frame hai.
Hum is aalaat ke indicators ke istemal se sab se zyada effective trading plan banayenge, jo ke linear regression indicator Extended Regression StopAndReverse ke saath popular technical analysis indicators RSI aur MACD ke saath mil kar ek makhsoos moqa faraham karte hain ke market mein munasib dakhil kar sakte hain aur, zyadatar soorat mein, paaye gaye signal ko execute karne mein kamiyabi hasil kar sakte hain. Tafteesh ka mushahida hone ke baad, hum deal ko band karne ke liye sab se kamyabi se kareebi exit point ka chunav karenge takay highest possible efficiency ke saath deal ko khatam kar sakein. Is ke liye, hum Fibonacci grid ko chart par maujood extreme points par stretch karenge aur nazdeek ke Fibonacci correction levels par tawajju denge.

Sab se pehle, yeh zaroor note karna ke attach kiya gaya chart selected hourly period (time-frame H4) ke saath (golden dotted line) pehle darja ka regression line, jo ke aalaat ki taraf aur mojooda trend ki disha ko dikhata hai, neeche ki taraf mudi hui hai, ek tez angle mein, jo ke ek bohot zyada strong trend movement ko darust karta hai jise south ki taraf barhti dynamics ke saath. Isi waqt, nonlinear regression channel (convex lines), jo qareebi mustaqbil ka faisla karne ke liye istemal hota hai, golden channel line ko ooper se neeche cross kar chuka hai aur neeche ki taraf ka rukh dikhata hai.

Price ne linear regression channel 2-nd LevelSupLine ka blue support line cross kiya lekin quotes ka minimum value (LOW) 146.443 tak pohancha, uske baad usne apni girawat ko rok diya aur dheere dheere barhne laga. Abhi haal mein, instrument ek qeemat level par 150.671 par trade kar raha hai. Sab kuch yeh dekhte hue, main umeed karta hoon ke market price quotes 2-nd LevelSupLine channel line (151.876) FIBO level 123.6% ke ooper wapas laut kar consolidate honge aur phir upar jaayenge golden average line LR of the linear channel 152.318 tak, jo ke FIBO level 138.2% ke saath milta hai. Madadgar indicators RSI (14) aur MACD, jo ke sahi dakhil karne ka point tasdeeq karte hain, oversold area mein hain aur price mein izafa hone ki high probability ko bhi dikhate hain.

USDJPY ki daily chart par mojooda surat-e-hal se lag raha hai keh ye ab murawajahdar mein hai jo ke aakhri maa ki bar par peechay hat raha hai. Jis par ab momkinat hain ke ye mojooda dam tor kar ke 150,889 ke keemat par mojooda rukawat ko paar kar jaye. Agar ye rukawat tor di jati hai, to is mein mazeed izafa ho sakta hai jo ke 152,528 ke qareeb hai. Is ke ilawa, ek moqa mojooda andaruni bar pattern ke paanchwan projection ko paar karne ka hai jo 151,661 ke keemat par hai. Ye bhi ek moqa hai ke agle projection tak jaari rahe, jo ke 155,674 ke keemat par hai, khaas tor par agar ye aakhri maa ki bar ke ooper rehta hai. Wahi, agar ye maa ki bar ke ooper bounce karna nahi kar sakta, to mumkin hai ke ye apne 149,250 ke qareeb support ki taraf gir jaye. Darmiyani mein, intraday mein izafa theek kiya gaya tha jab ke H4 time frame mein mojooda andaruni bar pattern ke teesri projection ko tor diya gaya tha jo 150,545 ke keemat par tha.




Agar ye ab bhi is projection ke ooper reh sakta hai, to ye mazeed izafa ke raaste ko khol sakta hai jo ke 151,560 ke keemat par hai. Is liye is mein mojooda andaruni bar pattern se nauwan projection tak izafa karne ka potential hai jo ke 151,147 ke keemat par hai, jo agle projection tak jaari rehne ka moqa kholta hai jo ke 152,180 ke keemat par hai. Magar, agar izafa trikay pattern ke upper line ke ird gird se inkar kiya jata hai, to ye mukhtalif shakal mein gir sakta hai, jo ke taqreeban 149,805 ke keemat par hai, jo ke RBS ilaqay ke qareeb hai. Agar position ab bhi H4 time frame mein mojooda andaruni bar pattern ke teesri projection ke ooper rehta hai jo ke 150,545 ke keemat par hai, to ek kharidne ka option tayar hai. Maqsood ke 151,538 ke keemat par SBR ilaqay ke qareeb rakha gaya hai. Dobara kharidne ka option tayar kiya gaya hai agar rukawat se tehleel ki gayi hai aur ye flip ilaqay ke ooper rehta hai jo ke 150,889 ke keemat par hai. Maqsood ke 151,560 ke keemat par mojooda andaruni bar pattern ke chouthay projection ke qareeb rakha gaya hai.

USDJPY ka daily chart dekhtay hue lag raha hai ke ye ab murawajahdar mein hai aur aakhri maa ki bar par peechay hat raha hai. Ye tajziye parhne wale ke liye kuch maqsadain aur aham pehchanayn faraham karta hai. Momkin hai ke is halat mein mojooda rukawat ko paar kar ke 150.889 ke keemat tak izafa ho sakta hai aur is mein mazeed izafa ho sakta hai jo ke 152.528 ke qareeb hai. Forex market mein tajziyat karne wale ko is mojooda halat par ghor karna chahiye. Haqeeqat ye hai ke jab bhi ek currency pair aakhri maa ki bar par hat'ta hai, to is mein mojooda trend ko samajhna aur future ke liye tameer karna mushkil ho jata hai. Lekin, agar mojooda rukawat tor di jati hai, to is mein mazeed izafa hone ka imkan hai. 150.889 aur 152.528 ke darmiyan ki keemat se is currency pair ki dastiyaabiyat ko dekh kar aksar traders aur investors apne faislay tay karne mein madad lete hain. Agar USDJPY mojooda rukawat ko paar karta hai, to yeh ek strong bullish signal ho sakta hai aur mazeed tezi ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Is surat mein, 152.528 ke qareeb ka level ek potential target ban sakta hai.

Lekin, darust faislay ke liye, traders ko sabhi mawadat aur faaslon ko ghor se dekhna chahiye. Technical analysis ke alawa, fundamental factors bhi ahem hote hain. Geopolitical events, economic indicators, aur monetary policies bhi is currency pair par asar daal sakte hain. Is mojooda halat mein, risk management ki ahmiyat bhi izafi hoti hai. Moqif ko darust samajhne aur us ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna zaroori hai. Stop-loss orders aur position sizing ka istemal karte hue, traders apne nuqsaan ko kam kar sakte hain agar market unke muntazam kareebat ko na qabool karta hai. Mukhtalif tajziyat aur analysis ke baad, traders aur investors apne faislay ko mustaqil tor par monitor karte hain taake wo market ki tabdeeliyon aur imkaanat ke mutabiq apne positions ko update kar sakein. Aakhri maa ki bar par USDJPY ka mojooda halat murawajahdar hai, lekin sahi tajziyat aur risk management ke saath, traders aur investors is halat se faida utha sakte hain.

USD/JPY currency pair ke price ke rawayye pe ikhtelaaf ka mamla hai. Mozu ke taur par, yeh aaj ka din hai jab market ne is faislay ka jawab diya, aur ek baar phir yen ko market mein becha gaya. Mutabiq, hamara USD/JPY kaafi acha barh gaya, halankeh sirf dopahar tha aur keemat pehle hi 170 point se guzar chuki thi. Mujhe yaad hai ek din mujhe umeed thi ke resistance ka imtehan 150.69 pe hoga aur mujhe fikar thi ke market itni bulandiyan na pohanch jaye aur mujhe pehle se maqsoodain talash karne parenge. Lekin, jaise ke sabit hua, dollar yen aaj bhi heraan kar raha hai; ab yeh 150.50 ke level ko imtehan de raha hai. Mujhe mashriqi khanon pasand nahi aate. H4 aur H1 dono pehle se oonchay hain. Mujhe isko kharidne nahi diya gaya, lekin aksar aisa hota hai: woh log apne sar ko bewakoof bana lete hain, phir woh peechle harkat ko tor dete hain aur pichar jaate hain. Yen ke liye aise mamlay aam hain. Kal, keemat poore din uth-tay huye channel ke oonchay sar par guzra aur yeh tajweez kiya ke keemat mudharik ho kar neeche ki taraf chalay jaegi. Lekin yeh sabit hua ke keemat raat ko oopar ki taraf chalne lagi aur is channel se bahar nikal gayi. Ab maine ek aur uth-tay huye channel banaya hai, laal rekhen, aur ab mujhe umeed hai ke jodi oopar ki taraf chalti rahegi, aur is channel ke oonchay sar tak barhne ka imkaan hai; yani 151.09 ke level tak. Japanese yen ke liye 146.48 ke kam se kam se is urooj se char aham levels taqreeban wahi reh gaye hain, aur aaj bazaar ke natije Bank of Japan ki mulaqat ke natayej par reh gaye the

USD/JPY ka Technical Analysis
H-1 Timeframe Analysis

Pichle haftay Japanese yen mein kamzori waapas aayi, 147.45 ke neeche giraavat mein naakaami ka samna kiya aur mazbooti mein izafa hota raha. Pair ke liye ek barqarar bearish scenario haqiqat mein na aasoodgi, jab Coates signal area se bahar nikal gaya aur reversal level ke upar chadha. Iske alawa, price chart supertrend ke laal zone mein dakhil ho raha hai, jo dikhata hai ki sellers situation par kabu rakhte hain.

Technical tor par, simple moving averages aur upward price curves ke support ke alawa, hum trading mein musbat hain, upper price channel ke andar kaam ki regularity par bharosa karte hain. Is se, uptrend jari hai, jab day trading 146.5 ke upar aur aam tor par pehle se toot gaye resistance level ke upar, jo 149.90 par support mein tabdeel ho gaya hai, mein hai. Yeh yaad rakhne ke liye, 148.4 ke neeche ek move bearish trading ko bullish scenario ko bigadne ka mauka dega aur oil prices ko pehle 145.60 ka retest karne ki ijaazat dega.



H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Price ab ek haftay ke uchhaal par pahunch chuki hai, haal hi ke 150.76 ke qareeb. Key support areas ne pair ko support nahi kiya aur ant mein toot gaya, jisse preferred vector ka ek shift upside mein hua. Iske liye, buyers ko 149.19 ke level ke upar consolidate karna hoga, jahan mukhya support area sthit hai, jo sthaanik correction aur retesting ko zaroori kar sakta hai. Aane wala rebound ek aur upward development ke liye mauka dega, jiska target 151.88 aur 152.85 ke area mein hai.

Agar support toot jaata hai aur price 147.45 ke reversal level ke neeche girti hai, toh current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal mil jaayega.

Japani yen ki mazbooti mein tezi se kami aur ek correction ke dauran, USD/JPY jodi ne apni position ka hissa gawara karke 145.81 ke darje tak pahunch gayi. Ye darja saal ke ibtida mein 140.80 ke darje se muqabla karte hue ahem support ka markaz hai aur girne ka intezar kiya jata hai. Is doran, jodi ke urooj ka rukh bhi 145.81 ke darje tak mehdood tha, jo ke ahem rukawat tak pohanch gaya, jis se keemat ko kuch had tak bahal hone aur 143.53 tak girne ki ijaazat milti hai. Yen ki taqat mein kami aur USD/JPY jodi ki tezi ke darmiyan ka taawun barqarar hai. Is doran, 145.81 ke darja ek mahatvapurna nishaan hai, jo ke asal mein saal ke ibtida mein 140.80 ke darje se aagay badh kar umeedwar kiya gaya tha. Yeh wahi manzil hai jahan se jodi ka girawat shuru hota hai, lekin is bar girawat ki shuruat se pehle, 145.81 ke darje tak pahunch gaye. Is moqay par, jodi ka urooj 145.81 ke darje tak mehdood tha, jo ke ek eham rukawat ka markaz hai. Is had tak pahunchne ke baad, jodi ko girne ka intezar tha, taake keemat ko theek kar sake aur 143.53 ke darje tak pahunch sake.

Yeh mahaz ek tahreek-e-faraar ka aghaz tha, jahan USD/JPY jodi ne apne urooj ke badle girawat ka safar tay kiya. Ahem baat yeh hai ke is safar mein, jodi ne asal mein ahem support ka markaz gawara kiya, jo ke 140.80 ke darje se shuru hota hai. Yeh darja un logon ke liye bhi ahem hai jo forex market mein hissa lete hain, kyun ke yeh ek aham had hai jahan se taqat ka izhar hota hai. Is waqt, jodi ke daro mein 145.81 ke darje ka mahatva hai, jahan se girawat ki shuruat hoti hai. Yeh girawat ek tabdeeli ki nishaan hai jis ke natije mein jodi umeed se kam ho sakti hai aur 143.53 tak gir sakti hai. Ye dekhne mein aya hai ke Japani yen ki mazbooti mein tezi se kami ke doraan, USD/JPY jodi ka rukh kis tarah badal raha hai aur kis had tak gir sakti hai.